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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: Am J Epidemiol. 2017 Sep 1;186(5):532–540. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwx140

Table 3.

Associations of duration of rotating night shift work and invasive breast cancer, stratified by follow-up period, during 24 years of follow-up (NHS: 1988–2012; NHS II: 1989–2013)

Follow-up <=10 years Follow-up >10 years MV
pinteraction

No. of cases Person-years Age-adjusted
HR (95%CI)
Multivariable-adjusted
HR (95% CI)b
No. of cases Person-years Age-adjusted
HR (95%CI)
Multivariable-adjusted HR
(95% CI)b
NHS rotating night shift work history
 Never 977 298,701 Ref Ref 1405 336,729 Ref Ref
 1–14 yrs 1415 383,622 1.11 (1.02–1.21) 1.09 (1.00–1.18) 1747 427,392 0.97 (0.91–1.05) 0.96 (0.89–1.03)
 15–29 yrs 146 40,739 1.03 (0.86–1.23) 1.07 (0.90–1.28) 185 43,381 1.01 (0.87–1.18) 1.05 (0.90–1.23)
 30+ yrs 60 12,537 1.23 (0.95–1.60) 1.26 (0.97–1.64) 36 12,418 0.65 (0.47–0.91) 0.68 (0.49–0.95)


2598 735,599 ptrend = 0.08 ptrend = 0.04 3373 819,920 ptrend = 0.15 ptrend = 0.25 pint = 0.03
NHS II 1989 baseline rotating night shift work history (early career)
 Never 416 412,724 Ref Ref 902 553,730 Ref Ref
 1–9 yrs 637 622,782 1.03 (0.91–1.17) 1.02 (0.90–1.15) 1434 833,620 1.07 (0.98–1.16) 1.07 (0.98–1.16)
 10–19 yrs 57 47,867 0.94 (0.71–1.24) 0.97 (0.73–1.28) 111 63,327 0.94 (0.77–1.14) 1.01 (0.83–1.23)
 20+ yrs 6 1,491 2.13 (0.95–4.80) 2.35 (1.04–5.31) 7 1,801 1.63 (0.77–3.45) 1.97 (0.93–4.20)


1116 1,084,864 ptrend = 0.76 ptrend = 0.70 2454 1,452,478 ptrend = 0.65 ptrend = 0.25 pint = 0.86
NHS II cumulative rotating night shift work (updated)a
 Never 341 321,600 Ref Ref 609 346,804 Ref Ref
 1–9 yrs 621 602,095 0.98 (0.86–1.12) 0.97 (0.85–1.11) 1381 767,303 1.06 (0.96–1.16) 1.07 (0.97–1.18)
 10–19 yrs 60 50,481 0.92 (0.70–1.21) 0.94 (0.71–1.24) 141 88,801 0.90 (0.74–1.07) 0.95 (0.79–1.14)
 20+ yrs 12 2,956 1.99 (1.11–3.56) 2.12 (1.18–3.80) 23 10,637 1.10 (0.72–1.66) 1.20 (0.79–1.82)


1034 977,132 ptrend = 0.83 ptrend = 0.74 2154 1,213,546 ptrend = 0.58 ptrend = 0.88 pint = 0.73
a

For NHS II, analyses using updated duration of shift work excluded participants during the cycles in which they were missing shift work exposure information, resulting in fewer cases and person-years, compared to analyses using history of shift work reported at baseline in 1989.

b

Multivariable-adjusted models. See Table 2 footnotes for list of covariates.