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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Dec 19.
Published in final edited form as: Inflamm Bowel Dis. 2017 Dec 19;24(1):45–53. doi: 10.1093/ibd/izx007

TABLE 3.

Misclassification Table for the Models: Testing Cohort

Clinical Outcome Visits With Event (%) Nonevent Visits (%)
Prediction Model Cutoff Predicted
Event		 Predicted
Nonevent		 Predicted
Event		 Predicted
Nonevent		 Brier
Score
Logistic regression 0.111 5043 (64.1) 2830 (35.9) 35,259 (36.0) 62,586 (64.0) 0.36
Longitudinal random forest 0.143 5814 (73.8) 2059 (26.2) 17,395 (17.8) 80,450 (82.2) 0.18
Longitudinal random forest with previous events 0.143 6275 (79.7) 1598 (20.3) 19,555 (20.0) 78,290 (80.0) 0.20