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Journal of Arrhythmia logoLink to Journal of Arrhythmia
. 2021 Jul 10;37(4):990–1006. doi: 10.1002/joa3.12588

Changes in anticoagulant prescription patterns over time for patients with atrial fibrillation around the world

Monika Kozieł 1,2, Christine Teutsch 3, Valentina Bayer 4, Shihai Lu 4, Venkatesh K Gurusamy 5, Jonathan L Halperin 6, Kenneth J Rothman 7, Hans‐Christoph Diener 8, Chang‐Sheng Ma 9,10, Menno V Huisman 11, Gregory Y H Lip 1,2,12,; the GLORIA‐AF Investigators
PMCID: PMC8339088  PMID: 34386125

Abstract

Background

Prescribing patterns for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients evolved with approval of non‐Vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) over time.

Objectives

To assess changes in anticoagulant prescription patterns in various geographical regions upon first approval of a NOAC and to analyze the evolution of oral anticoagulants (OACs) use over time in relation to CHA2DS2‐VASc and HAS‐BLED risk profiles.

Methods

Global Registry on Long‐Term Oral Antithrombotic Treatment in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation (GLORIA‐AF) Phases II and III reported data on antithrombotic therapy for patients with newly diagnosed AF and ≥1 stroke risk factor. We focused on sites enrolling patients in both phases and reported treatment patterns for the first 4 years after initial NOAC approval.

Results

From GLORIA‐AF Phases II and III, 27 432 patients were eligible for this analysis. When contrasting the first year with the fourth year of enrolment, the proportion of NOAC prescriptions increased in Asia from 29.2% to 60.8%, in Europe from 53.4% to 75.8%, in North America from 49.0% to 73.9% and in Latin America from 55.7% to 71.1%. The proportion of Vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) use decreased across all regions over time, in Asia from 26.0% to 9.8%, in Europe from 35.5% to 16.8%, in North America from 28.9% to 12.1%, and in Latin America from 32.4% to 17.8%. In the multivariable analysis, factors associated with NOAC prescription were as follows: enrolment year, type of site, region, stroke and bleeding risk scores, and type and categorization of AF.

Conclusions

During 4 years after the approval of the first NOAC, NOAC use increased, while VKA use decreased, across all regions.

Keywords: atrial fibrillation, bleeding risk, GLORIA‐AF, oral anticoagulants, stroke risk


Treatment patterns for stroke prevention in AF overtime were assessed globally. The novelty of this study refers to evaluation of changes upon first approval of a NOAC. NOAC use increased and VKA use decreased over 4 years.

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1. INTRODUCTION

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, with both incidence and prevalence increasing with age. Nonvalvular AF is associated with a fivefold increase in risk of stroke. Therefore, stroke prevention is the cornerstone of the holistic approach to AF management. Currently, when oral anticoagulation (OAC) is indicated for stroke prevention in patients with AF, non‐Vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) are recommended in preference to Vitamin K antagonists (VKAs). 1 In contrast, when NOACs were introduced and adopted into practice, clinical guidelines were still assessing results from pivotal trials. Since then, the rationale for using NOACs has changed. It is challenging to measure temporal trends of global prescription patterns, however, because the timing of NOAC approval varied across countries and prescription patterns can change rapidly as uptake of a new agent increases. Moreover, use of a particular OAC may reflect the manner in which physicians interpret stroke and bleeding risk scores, which have also been incorporated variably into clinical practice guidelines. Published descriptions of global NOAC uptake have not consistently accounted for these variables, overlooking distinctions based on the local availability of NOACs for clinical use. Therefore, results of such analyses are affected by the distribution of countries included in the evaluation.

The specific design of the large, prospective, global registry Global Registry on Long‐Term Oral Antithrombotic Treatment in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation (GLORIA‐AF) Phases II and III provides an opportunity to assess temporal changes over time on a global scale. Enrolment for Phases II and III continued from 2011 to 2016 allowing for assessment of changes in practice patterns in a large number of patients over more than 4 years.

This report is based on baseline data, including antithrombotic prescriptions for stroke prevention in patients with newly diagnosed AF enrolled in Phases II and III of GLORIA‐AF. We assessed temporal changes in antithrombotic prescription patterns within specific geographical regions, starting from initial NOAC approval. We also analyzed changes in types of OAC prescribed in relation to CHA2DS2‐VASc (heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes, stroke/transient ischemic attack, vascular disease, age 65‐74 years, sex category) and HAS‐BLED (hypertension, abnormal renal/liver function, stroke, bleeding history or predisposition, labile international normalized ratio, elderly [>65 years], drugs or alcohol concomitantly) risk scores during each year of enrolment.

2. METHODS

The design of GLORIA‐AF (https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/home; trial registration numbers NCT01468701, NCT01671007, and NCT01937377) has been previously reported. 2 A signed patient informed consent form was obtained before enrolment. The study protocol is concordant with the ethical guidelines of the 1975 Declaration of Helsinki.

The GLORIA‐AF study collected data in 44 countries regarding routine clinical practice for patients with AF diagnosed <3 months before the baseline visit (4.5 months in Latin America), to evaluate characteristics that influenced choice of antithrombotic treatment and clinical outcomes. GLORIA‐AF was conducted in three phases (Figure 1A,B). Phase I was before NOACs became available for stroke prevention in AF. In Phase I, a cross‐sectional approach was implemented. Phase II began when dabigatran etexilate (dabigatran) was approved in each participating country. During Phase II, baseline characteristics of all enrolled patients were collected, and those prescribed dabigatran were followed for 2 years. Phase III began once relevant baseline characteristics of patients initiating dabigatran and VKA in Phase II showed substantial overlap, as measured by comparison of propensity score distributions. During Phase III, follow‐up data were collected for up to 3 years regardless of prescribed antithrombotic therapy. 2

FIGURE 1.

FIGURE 1

(A) Enrolment period in Phases II and III of the GLORIA‐AF registry per country in calendar dates. (B) Enrolment period in Phases II and III of the GLORIA‐AF registry per country in years after NOAC availability

Adults with nonvalvular AF and ≥1 CHA2DS2‐VASc risk factor score for stroke were included. Stroke and bleeding risks were assessed using the CHA2DS2‐VASc and HAS‐BLED risk scores. 3 , 4 Patients were managed according to local practice. This report includes regions and sites enrolling patients during Phases II and III.

Standard electronic case reports forms (eCRFs) were used to collect patients' baseline characteristics and follow‐up observation data. Baseline therapy was the treatment prescribed for long‐term anticoagulation subsequent to the diagnosis of AF and recorded at the baseline visit.

Time zero in a participating country was set to the date of the baseline visit for the first patient in each country. The first year of enrolment for a participating country was the first year after time zero in that country. Most countries continued enrolment for up to 4 years. In this paper, we classify newly enrolled patients according to which prescribed treatment they received at their baseline visit, by year of enrolment.

2.1. Statistical analysis

Treatment patterns are presented as a percentage of patients prescribed NOAC, VKA, or no OAC in each of the 4 years of enrolment, overall and by region. Categorical variables are reported as absolute frequencies and percentages, and continuous variables are summarized by median (Q1, Q3). Baseline characteristics were described by categorization of patients with AF according to stroke prevention treatment (NOAC, VKA, no OAC) and year of enrolment (first year versus last year, ie, Year 4), as well as by CHA2DS2‐VASc and HAS‐BLED risk scores. For each treatment, standardized differences were included to compare baseline characteristics between the last year and first year of enrolment. 5

Factors associated with OAC prescription patterns over time were evaluated using log‐binomial regression models, providing estimates of relative probability for NOAC prescription (vs. VKA prescription). Both univariate and multivariable log‐binomial regression analyses were fit to evaluate the crude as well as adjusted probability ratios together with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Missing data were imputed using multiple imputation. The imputation model was constructed with 56 baseline patient characteristic variables including those used in the multivariable analyses. The COPY method was used to obtain approximate maximum likelihood estimates when log‐binomial models failed to converge. 6 Statistical analyses were performed using SAS version 9.4 (SAS Institute, Inc, Cary, NC).

3. RESULTS

There were 27 432 eligible patients who enrolled in GLORIA‐AF during Phases II and III and who qualified to be included in this analysis. Of 8969 patients who enrolled in the first year, 46.6% were prescribed NOAC, 31.9% were prescribed VKA, and 21.5% were prescribed no OAC. Of 4388 patients enrolled in the fourth year, 71.6% received NOAC, 14.1% received VKA, and 14.3% received no OAC (Figure 2). A similar trend in treatment pattern over time, ie, increase in NOAC and decrease in VKA, was observed for Europe and North America. From the third to fourth year, an increase in NOAC prescriptions and a decrease in VKA or no OAC prescription was reported in Asia (Figure 3). The prevalence of non‐OAC slightly decreased from Years 1‐4, except Latin America (Figure 2).

FIGURE 2.

FIGURE 2

Temporal trends of antithrombotic therapy prescription globally. NOAC, non‐Vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants; OAC, oral anticoagulation; VKA, Vitamin K antagonists

FIGURE 3.

FIGURE 3

Temporal trends of antithrombotic therapy prescription by region. NOAC, non‐Vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants; OAC, oral anticoagulation; VKA, Vitamin K antagonists

Baseline characteristics of patients prescribed NOAC by region are summarized in Table 1. Paroxysmal AF was less prevalent in patients with NOAC during the first year of enrolment than in patients with NOAC during the last year of enrolment in Europe, North America, and Latin America. The standardized differences for stroke and bleeding risk scores (CHA2DS2‐VASc and HAS‐BLED) between the last and first year for NOAC patients were small in Europe, North America, and Latin America (less than 0.1).

TABLE 1.

Baseline Characteristics for NOAC patients by first and last year of enrollment by region

Characteristic Asia Europe North America Latin America
NOAC during first year (n = 666) NOAC during last year (n = 570) Std diff NOAC during first year (n = 2598) NOAC during last year (n = 1330) Std diff NOAC during first year (n = 714) NOAC during last year (n = 930) Std diff NOAC during first year (n = 201) NOAC during last year (n = 312) Std diff
Age, median, IQR, y 71.0 (64.0‐78.0) 69.0 (63.0‐76.0) −0.161 72.0 (65.0‐79.0) 73.0 (66.0‐79.0) 0.064 72.0 (65.0‐79.0) 71.0 (64.0‐77.0) −0.121 73.0 (64.0‐79.0) 72.0 (65.0‐78.0) −0.046
Females, n (%) 285 (42.8) 274 (48.1) 0.106 1191 (45.8) 611 (45.9) 0.002 305 (42.7) 429 (46.1) 0.069 93 (46.3) 164 (52.6) 0.126
Alcohol abuse, n (%) a 61 (9.2) 12 (2.1) −0.310 185 (7.1) 65 (4.9) −0.094 55 (7.7) 75 (8.1) 0.013 0 (0.0) 4 (1.3) 0.119
Unknown 24 (3.6) 60 (10.5) 0.273 277 (10.7) 125 (9.4) −0.042 36 (5.0) 35 (3.8) −0.062 3 (1.5) 6 (1.9) 0.033
BMI, median, IQR, kg/m2 25.1 (22.2‐28.4) 24.8 (22.6‐27.1) −0.207 27.7 (24.9‐31.1) 27.9 (25.0‐31.5) 0.078 29.6 (25.7‐34.8) 30.2 (26.7‐35.5) 0.121 27.4 (24.6‐31.1) 27.4 (24.6‐31.2) 0.067
Missed, n (%) 26 (3.9) 14 (2.5) 21 (0.8) 2 (0.2) 0 (0.0) 2 (0.2) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
Type of AF, n (%)
Paroxysmal 393 (59.0) 341 (59.8) 0.017 1212 (46.7) 708 (53.2) 0.132 422 (59.1) 645 (69.4) 0.215 83 (41.3) 158 (50.6) 0.188
Persistent 196 (29.4) 208 (36.5) 0.151 1028 (39.6) 492 (37.0) −0.053 253 (35.4) 257 (27.6) −0.169 70 (34.8) 73 (23.4) −0.254
Permanent 77 (11.6) 21 (3.7) −0.300 358 (13.8) 130 (9.8) −0.125 39 (5.5) 28 (3.0) −0.122 48 (23.9) 81 (26.0) 0.048
Categorization of AF, n (%)
Symptomatic 218 (32.7) 156 (27.4) −0.117 814 (31.3) 537 (40.4) 0.189 152 (21.3) 226 (24.3) 0.072 52 (25.9) 87 (27.9) 0.045
Minimally symptomatic 256 (38.4) 225 (39.5) 0.021 1030 (39.6) 411 (30.9) −0.184 269 (37.7) 311 (33.4) −0.089 81 (40.3) 86 (27.6) −0.271
Asymptomatic 192 (28.8) 189 (33.2) 0.094 754 (29.0) 382 (28.7) −0.007 293 (41.0) 393 (42.3) 0.025 68 (33.8) 139 (44.6) 0.221
Creatinine clearance (measured), median, IQR, ml/min 65.4 (50.8‐84.4) 68.9 (54.7‐87.4) 0.062 74.4 (56.5‐96.8) 76.5 (59.0‐99.4) 0.079 80.1 (59.7‐107.4) 83.8 (62.0‐112.7) 0.075 70.4 (54.5‐95.0) 67.3 (52.0‐87.1) −0.038
<15, n (%) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.2) 0.028 15 (0.6) 3 (0.2) −0.056 3 (0.4) 4 (0.4) 0.002 1 (0.5) 1 (0.3) −0.028
15‐29, n (%) 13 (2.0) 8 (1.4) −0.043 18 (0.7) 16 (1.2) 0.053 9 (1.3) 9 (1.0) −0.028 5 (2.5) 3 (1.0) −0.117
30‐49, n (%) 117 (17.6) 80 (14.0) −0.097 319 (12.3) 154 (11.6) −0.022 72 (10.1) 81 (8.7) −0.047 16 (8.0) 33 (10.6) 0.090
50‐79, n (%) 248 (37.2) 198 (34.7) −0.052 843 (32.4) 461 (34.7) 0.047 179 (25.1) 246 (26.5) 0.032 45 (22.4) 78 (25.0) 0.062
≥80, n (%) 169 (25.4) 142 (24.9) −0.011 898 (34.6) 523 (39.3) 0.099 265 (37.1) 413 (44.4) 0.149 43 (21.4) 52 (16.7) −0.121
Missing, n (%) 119 (17.9) 141 (24.7) 0.168 505 (19.4) 173 (13.0) −0.175 186 (26.1) 177 (19.0) −0.169 91 (45.3) 145 (46.5) 0.024
CHA2DS2‐VASc score, median, IQR 3.0 (2.0‐4.0) 3.0 (2.0‐3.0) −0.271 3.0 (2.0‐4.0) 3.0 (2.0‐4.0) −0.007 3.0 (2.0‐4.0) 3.0 (2.0‐4.0) −0.003 3.0 (2.0‐4.0) 3.0 (2.0‐4.0) 0.020
HAS‐BLED score, median, IQR 1.0 (1.0‐2.0) 1.0 (0.0‐1.0) −0.334 1.0 (1.0‐2.0) 1.0 (1.0‐2.0) −0.028 1.0 (1.0‐2.0) 1.0 (1.0‐2.0) −0.029 1.0 (1.0‐2.0) 1.0 (1.0‐2.0) −0.086
Missing (HAS‐BLED), n (%) 50 (7.5) 80 (14.0) 0.212 354 (13.6) 173 (13.0) −0.018 64 (9.0) 49 (5.3) −0.144 23 (11.4) 6 (1.9) −0.389
Medical history, n (%)
Congestive heart failure 189 (28.4) 66 (11.6) −0.430 669 (25.8) 265 (19.9) −0.139 119 (16.7) 174 (18.7) 0.054 54 (26.9) 70 (22.4) −0.103
Unknown 7 (1.1) 0 (0.0) −0.128 23 (0.9) 13 (1.0) 0.010 6 (0.8) 1 (0.1) −0.107 1 (0.5) 0 (0.0) −0.059
Hypertension 523 (78.5) 411 (72.1) −0.149 1965 (75.6) 1032 (77.6) 0.046 580 (81.2) 770 (82.8) 0.041 159 (79.1) 244 (78.2) −0.022
Unknown 5 (0.8) 0 (0.0) −0.103 6 (0.2) 4 (0.3) 0.014 1 (0.1) 0 (0.0) −0.028 1 (0.5) 0 (0.0) −0.059
Diabetes mellitus 159 (23.9) 131 (23.0) −0.021 519 (20.0) 272 (20.5) 0.012 186 (26.1) 270 (29.0) 0.067 31 (15.4) 79 (25.3) 0.248
Previous stroke/TIA/systemic embolism 103 (15.5) 63 (11.1) −0.130 423 (16.3) 196 (14.7) −0.043 93 (13.0) 104 (11.2) −0.057 26 (12.9) 38 (12.2) −0.023
Myocardial infarction 38 (5.7) 17 (3.0) −0.134 230 (8.9) 117 (8.8) −0.002 71 (9.9) 84 (9.0) −0.031 10 (5.0) 21 (6.7) 0.075
Unknown 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 2 (0.1) 0 (0.0) −0.017 1 (0.1) 2 (0.2) 0.018 0 (0.0) 1 (0.3) 0.014
Coronary artery disease 117 (17.6) 50 (8.8) −0.262 419 (16.1) 245 (18.4) 0.061 199 (27.9) 224 (24.1) −0.086 20 (10.0) 32 (10.3) 0.010
Unknown 15 (2.3) 0 (0.0) −0.202 78 (3.0) 48 (3.6) 0.034 13 (1.8) 6 (0.6) −0.107 6 (3.0) 3 (1.0) −0.146
Vascular disease 50 (7.5) 22 (3.9) −0.158 313 (12.0) 156 (11.7) −0.010 94 (13.2) 122 (13.1) −0.001 15 (7.5) 27 (8.7) 0.044
Cancer 62 (9.3) 23 (4.0) −0.213 204 (7.9) 131 (9.8) 0.070 124 (17.4) 135 (14.5) −0.078 6 (3.0) 11 (3.5) 0.031
Unknown 10 (1.5) 1 (0.2) −0.146 33 (1.3) 25 (1.9) 0.049 2 (0.3) 1 (0.1) −0.039 5 (2.5) 1 (0.3) −0.185
Chronic gastrointestinal disease 146 (21.9) 46 (8.1) −0.396 220 (8.5) 95 (7.1) −0.049 145 (20.3) 197 (21.2) 0.022 31 (15.4) 24 (7.7) −0.244
Unknown 16 (2.4) 0 (0.0) −0.210 41 (1.6) 27 (2.0) 0.034 3 (0.4) 0 (0.0) −0.075 1 (0.5) 0 (0.0) −0.059
Hepatic disease 43 (6.5) 14 (2.5) −0.195 29 (1.1) 9 (0.7) −0.047 10 (1.4) 8 (0.9) –0.051 4 (2.0) 1 (0.3) −0.157
Unknown 11 (1.7) 1 (0.2) −0.156 47 (1.8) 32 (2.4) 0.042 5 (0.7) 1 (0.1) −0.094 9 (4.5) 0 (0.0) −0.281
Chronic kidney disease b 216 (32.4) 155 (27.2) −0.115 623 (24.0) 302 (22.7) −0.030 135 (18.9) 171 (18.4) −0.013 39 (19.4) 64 (20.5) 0.028
Unknown 119 (17.9) 141 (24.7) 0.168 505 (19.4) 173 (13.0) −0.175 186 (26.1) 177 (19.0) −0.167 91 (45.3) 145 (46.5) 0.024
Prior bleeding 40 (6.0) 18 (3.2) −0.137 118 (4.5) 53 (4.0) −0.028 42 (5.9) 42 (4.5) −0.062 8 (4.0) 11 (3.5) −0.024
Unknown 14 (2.1) 0 (0.0) −0.195 61 (2.3) 48 (3.6) 0.074 16 (2.2) 10 (1.1) −0.091 2 (1.0) 0 (0.0) −0.110
Type of site, n (%)
GP/primary care 48 (7.2) 0 (0.0) −0.387 78 (3.0) 16 (1.2) −0.126 68 (9.5) 63 (6.8) −0.100 39 (19.4) 66 (21.2) 0.044
Specialist office 66 (9.9) 37 (6.5) −0.125 526 (20.2) 348 (26.2) 0.141 557 (78.0) 677 (72.8) −0.121 70 (34.8) 102 (32.7) −0.046
Community hospital 385 (57.8) 49 (8.6) −1.226 1120 (43.1) 652 (49.0) 0.119 48 (6.7) 91 (9.8) 0.112 71 (35.3) 65 (20.8) −0.327
University hospital 154 (23.1) 484 (84.9) 1.580 785 (30.2) 280 (21.1) −0.211 32 (4.5) 97 (10.4) 0.228 16 (8.0) 49 (15.7) 0.242
Other c 13 (2.0) 0 (0.0) −0.186 89 (3.4) 34 (2.6) −0.051 9 (1.3) 2 (0.2) −0.122 5 (2.5) 30 (9.6) 0.302
Physician specialty, n (%)
GP/PCP/geriatrician 13 (2.0) 1 (0.2) −0.174 50 (1.9) 22 (1.7) −0.020 18 (2.5) 33 (3.5) 0.060 13 (6.5) 18 (5.8) −0.029
Cardiologist 649 (97.4) 554 (97.2) −0.016 2279 (87.7) 1183 (88.9) 0.038 622 (87.1) 801 (86.1) −0.029 187 (93.0) 292 (93.6) 0.022
Neurologist 0 (0.0) 14 (2.5) 0.214 118 (4.5) 95 (7.1) 0.111 22 (3.1) 17 (1.8) −0.081 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000
Internist 4 (0.6) 1 (0.2) −0.068 61 (2.3) 16 (1.2) −0.087 49 (6.9) 58 (6.2) −0.025 1 (0.5) 2 (0.6) 0.019
Angiologist 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000
Other 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 90 (3.5) 14 (1.1) −0.163 3 (0.4) 21 (2.3) 0.160 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000
Medical treatment reimbursed by, n (%)
Self‐pay/no coverage 66 (9.9) 106 (18.6) 0.250 105 (4.0) 21 (1.6) −0.149 13 (1.8) 17 (1.8) 0.001 56 (27.9) 79 (25.3) −0.058
Not self‐pay d 581 (87.2) 415 (72.8) −0.367 2329 (89.6) 1263 (95.0) 0.201 669 (93.7) 881 (94.7) 0.044 137 (68.2) 225 (72.1) 0.087
Unknown 19 (2.9) 49 (8.6) 0.249 164 (6.3) 46 (3.5) −0.133 32 (4.5) 32 (3.4) −0.053 8 (4.0) 8 (2.6) −0.080

Abbreviations: AF, atrial fibrillation; BMI, body mass index; CHA2DS2‐VASc, congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes, stroke/transient ischemic attack/systemic embolism, vascular disease, age 65‐74 years, sex category (female); GP, general practitioner; HAS‐BLED, hypertension, abnormal renal/liver function, stroke, bleeding history or predisposition, labile international normalized ratio, elderly (>65 years), drugs or alcohol concomitantly; IQR, interquartile range; NOAC, non‐Vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant; PCP, primary care physician; TIA, transient ischemic attack.

a

 ≥ 8 units/wk.

b

 < 60 mL/min.

c

Anticoagulation clinics, out‐patient healthcare centers, and other healthcare settings.

d

Private and statutory/ federal insurance.

Baseline characteristics of patients prescribed VKA by region are shown in Table 2. The standardized differences for CHA2DS2‐VASc were small between the patients enrolled during the last and first year in North America, while they were more than 0.1 in Europe, Asia and Latin America. The standardized differences for HAS‐BLED were more than 0.1 between last and first year in Asia, North America, and Latin America.

TABLE 2.

Baseline characteristics for VKA patients by first and last year of enrollment by region

Characteristic Asia Europe North America Latin America
VKA during first year (n = 594) VKA during last year (n = 92) Std diff VKA during first year (n = 1728) VKA during last year (n = 295) Std diff VKA during first year (n = 422) VKA during last year (n = 152) Std diff VKA during first year (n = 117) VKA during last year (n = 78) Std diff
Age, median, IQR, y 68.0 (60.0‐75.0) 63.5 (56.0‐71.5) –0.418 74.0 (66.0‐79.5) 75.0 (68.0‐80.0) 0.127 73.0 (65.0‐81.0) 72.5 (63.5‐79.0) –0.100 70.0 (62.0‐77.0) 69.0 (63.0‐76.0) 0.021
Females, n (%) 259 (43.6) 32 (34.8) –0.181 819 (47.4) 157 (53.2) 0.117 202 (47.9) 68 (44.7) –0.063 46 (39.3) 30 (38.5) −0.018
Alcohol abuse, n (%) a 46 (7.7) 4 (4.3) –0.143 156 (9.0) 8 (2.7) –0.271 21 (5.0) 6 (3.9) –0.050 0 (0.0) 6 (7.7) 0.375
Unknown 68 (11.4) 5 (5.4) –0.218 112 (6.5) 22 (7.5) 0.038 18 (4.3) 6 (3.9) –0.016 3 (2.6) 2 (2.6) 0.000
BMI, median, IQR, kg/m2 24.7 (22.7‐27.1) 24.8 (22.7‐27.6) 0.097 28.0 (25.0‐31.6) 28.0 (25.0‐32.4) 0.054 30.0 (26.4‐35.5) 31.2 (26.5‐35.8) 0.004 28.1 (25.6‐31.6) 27.2 (24.4‐31.9) 0.092
Missed, n (%) 22 (3.7) 1 (1.1) 20 (1.2) 10 (3.4) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.9) 0 (0.0)
Type of AF, n (%)
Paroxysmal 294 (49.5) 60 (65.2) 0.322 689 (39.9) 126 (42.7) 0.058 245 (58.1) 107 (70.4) 0.260 42 (35.9) 32 (41.0) 0.106
Persistent 275 (46.3) 23 (25.0) –0.456 792 (45.8) 135 (45.8) –0.001 150 (35.5) 41 (27.0) –0.186 44 (37.6) 21 (26.9) −0.230
Permanent 25 (4.2) 9 (9.8) 0.220 247 (14.3) 34 (11.5) –0.083 27 (6.4) 4 (2.6) –0.182 31 (26.5) 25 (32.1) 0.122
Categorization of AF, n (%)
Symptomatic 135 (22.7) 19 (20.7) –0.050 532 (30.8) 122 (41.4) 0.221 97 (23.0) 45 (29.6) 0.151 31 (26.5) 31 (39.7) 0.284
Minimally symptomatic 297 (50.0) 43 (46.7) –0.065 661 (38.3) 76 (25.8) –0.270 162 (38.4) 50 (32.9) –0.115 44 (37.6) 18 (23.1) −0.320
Asymptomatic 162 (27.3) 30 (32.6) 0.117 535 (31.0) 97 (32.9) 0.041 163 (38.6) 57 (37.5) –0.023 42 (35.9) 29 (37.2) 0.027
Creatinine clearance (measured), median, IQR, ml/min 69.1 (52.1‐86.3) 76.0 (57.5‐96.9) 0.382 72.0 (52.8‐94.5) 68.9 (47.5‐89.3) –0.098 73.7 (50.4‐109.7) 80.5 (52.4‐110.6) 0.077 74.1 (57.9‐95.7) 67.0 (52.6‐93.7) –0.023
<15, n (%) 9 (1.5) 0 (0.0) –0.097 18 (1.0) 2 (0.7) –0.039 5 (1.2) 1 (0.7) –0.055 0 (0.0) 0 (0,0) 0.000
15‐29, n (%) 20 (3.4) 0 (0.0) –0.205 52 (3.0) 25 (8.5) 0.237 14 (3.3) 8 (5.3) 0.096 3 (2.6) 2 (2.6) 0.000
30‐49, n (%) 73 (12.3) 10 (10.9) –0.044 231 (13.4) 40 (13.6) 0.006 61 (14.5) 20 (13.2) –0.038 10 (8.5) 4 (5.1) −0.136
50‐79, n (%) 215 (36.2) 32 (34.8) –0.030 533 (30.8) 84 (28.5) –0.052 96 (22.7) 33 (21.7) –0.025 23 (19.7) 23 (29.5) 0.223
≥80, n (%) 148 (24.9) 31 (33.7) 0.194 566 (32.8) 86 (29.2) –0.078 148 (35.1) 67 (44.1) 0.185 28 (23.9) 17 (21.8) −0.051
Missing, n (%) 129 (21.7) 19 (20.7) –0.026 328 (19.0) 58 (19.7) 0.017 98 (23.2) 23 (15.1) –0.207 53 (45.3) 32 (41.0) −0.086
CHA2DS2‐VASc score, median, IQR 3.0 (2.0‐4.0) 2.0 (1.0‐3.0) –0.521 3.0 (2.0‐4.0) 4.0 (3.0‐4.0) 0.149 4.0 (2.0‐4.0) 3.0 (3.0‐4.0) –0.025 3.0 (2.0‐4.0) 3.0 (2.0‐4.0) –0.181
HAS‐BLED score, median, IQR 1.0 (1.0‐2.0) 1.0 (0.0‐1.0) –0.389 1.0 (1.0‐2.0) 1.0 (1.0‐2.0) –0.069 1.0 (1.0‐2.0) 1.0 (1.0‐2.0) 0.123 1.0 (0.0‐2.0) 1.0 (0.0‐1.0) –0.289
Missing (HAS‐BLED), n (%) 95 (16.0) 6 (6.5) −0.303 204 (11.8) 38 (12.9) 0.033 50 (11.8) 10 (6.6) −0.183 20 (17.1) 2 (2.6) −0.503
Medical history, n (%)
Congestive heart failure 117 (19.7) 30 (32.6) 0.297 435 (25.2) 76 (25.8) 0.014 111 (26.3) 55 (36.2) 0.214 50 (42.7) 26 (33.3) −0.195
Unknown 5 (0.8) 0 (0.0) –0.036 30 (1.7) 4 (1.4) –0.031 4 (0.9) 2 (1.3) 0.035 1 (0.9) 0 (0.0) −0.025
Hypertension 402 (67.7) 52 (56.5) –0.232 1273 (73.7) 225 (76.3) 0.060 352 (83.4) 134 (88.2) 0.136 89 (76.1) 59 (75.6) −0.010
Unknown 1 (0.2) 0 (0.0) 0.063 8 (0.5) 0 (0.0) –0.052 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000
Diabetes mellitus 135 (22.7) 17 (18.5) –0.105 385 (22.3) 97 (32.9) 0.239 136 (32.2) 57 (37.5) 0.111 20 (17.1) 16 (20.5) 0.088
Unknown 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000
Previous stroke/TIA/systemic embolism 91 (15.3) 8 (8.7) –0.205 267 (15.5) 33 (11.2) –0.126 64 (15.2) 20 (13.2) −0.058 16 (13.7) 5 (6.4) −0.243
Unknown 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 101 (86.3) 73 (93.6) 0.244
Myocardial infarction 15 (2.5) 2 (2.2) –0.023 246 (14.2) 38 (12.9) –0.040 58 (13.7) 19 (12.5) −0.037 15 (12.8) 5 (6.4) −0.219
Unknown 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 1 (0.1) 0 (0.0) 0.033 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000
Coronary artery disease 70 (11.8) 14 (15.2) 0.101 323 (18.7) 49 (16.6) –0.055 131 (31.0) 48 (31.6) 0.012 12 (10.3) 7 (9.0) −0.044
Unknown 6 (1.0) 0 (0.0) –0.054 82 (4.7) 23 (7.8) 0.126 6 (1.4) 1 (0.7) −0.075 4 (3.4) 0 (0.0) −0.198
Vascular disease 22 (3.7) 2 (2.2) –0.091 311 (18.0) 52 (17.6) –0.010 77 (18.2) 27 (17.8) −0.013 17 (14.5) 9 (11.5) −0.089
Cancer 33 (5.6) 2 (2.2) –0.176 135 (7.8) 25 (8.5) 0.024 66 (15.6) 33 (21.7) 0.156 4 (3.4) 2 (2.6) −0.050
Unknown 5 (0.8) 0 (0.0) –0.036 8 (0.5) 10 (3.4) 0.214 2 (0.5) 0 (0.0) −0.023 1 (0.9) 0 (0.0) −0.025
Chronic gastrointestinal disease 64 (10.8) 6 (6.5) –0.152 168 (9.7) 36 (12.2) 0.080 92 (21.8) 36 (23.7) 0.045 7 (6.0) 4 (5.1) −0.037
Unknown 5 (0.8) 0 (0.0) –0.036 17 (1.0) 9 (3.1) 0.147 2 (0.5) 0 (0.0) −0.023 2 (1.7) 1 (1.3) −0.035
Hepatic disease 14 (2.4) 2 (2.2) –0.012 27 (1.6) 1 (0.3) –0.126 9 (2.1) 4 (2.6) 0.033 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000
Unknown 7 (1.2) 1 (1.1) –0.009 19 (1.1) 3 (1.0) –0.008 6 (1.4) 0 (0.0) −0.1177 12 (10.3) 0 (0.0) −0.434
Chronic kidney disease b 166 (27.9) 22 (23.9) –0.092 484 (28.0) 85 (28.8) 0.018 122 (28.9) 44 (28.9) 0.001 18 (15.4) 19 (24.4) 0.226
Unknown 129 (21.7) 19 (20.7) –0.026 328 (19.0) 58 (19.7) 0.017 98 (23.2) 23 (15.1) −0.207 53 (45.3) 32 (41.0) −0.086
Prior bleeding 28 (4.7) 3 (3.3) –0.074 90 (5.2) 12 (4.1) –0.054 34 (8.1) 17 (11.2) 0.106 7 (6.0) 2 (2.6) −0.170
Unknown 10 (1.7) 0 (0.0) –0.109 23 (1.3) 10 (3.4) 0.136 16 (3.8) 1 (0.7) −0.214 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000
Type of site, n (%)
GP/primary care 5 (0.8) 0 (0.0) –0.036 62 (3.6) 1 (0.3) –0.236 55 (13.0) 12 (7.9) −0.169 9 (7.7) 8 (10.3) 0.090
Specialist office 83 (14.0) 15 (16.3) 0.065 193 (11.2) 75 (25.4) 0.375 295 (69.9) 93 (61.2) −0.184 35 (29.9) 30 (38.5) 0.181
Community hospital 43 (7.2) 9 (9.8) 0.091 695 (40.2) 120 (40.7) 0.009 35 (8.3) 14 (9.2) 0.032 35 (29.9) 6 (7.7) −0.593
University hospital 460 (77.4) 69 (73.9) –0.082 714 (41.3) 99 (33.6) –0.161 27 (6.4) 28 (18.4) 0.371 34 (29.1) 33 (42.3) 0.279
Other c 3 (0.5) 0 (0.0) 0.005 64 (3.7) 0 (0.0) –0.259 10 (2.4) 5 (3.3) 0.056 4 (3.4) 1 (1.3) −0.141
Physician specialty, n (%)
GP/PCP/geriatrician 1 (0.2) 0 (0.0) 0.063 68 (3.9) 2 (0.7) –0.218 21 (5.0) 10 (6.6) 0.069 1 (0.9) 0 (0.0) −0.025
Cardiologist 592 (99.7) 92 (100.0) –0.031 1385 (80.2) 281 (95.3) 0.473 360 (85.3) 122 (80.3) −0.134 116 (99.1) 77 (98.7) −0.042
Neurologist 1 (0.2) 0 (0.0) 0.063 32 (1.9) 9 (3.1) 0.078 5 (1.2) 6 (3.9) 0.175 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000
Internist 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 57 (3.3) 3 (1.0) –0.158 35 (8.3) 12 (7.9) −0.015 0 (0.0) 1 (1.3) 0.093
Angiologist 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000
Other 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000 186 (10.8) 0 (0.0) –0.479 1 (0.2) 2 (1.3) 0.123 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0.000
Medical treatment reimbursed by, n (%)
Self‐pay/no coverage 69 (11.6) 5 (5.4) –0.223 108 (6.3) 7 (2.4) –0.192 14 (3.3) 8 (5.3) 0.096 13 (11.1) 10 (12.8) 0.053
Not self‐pay d 510 (85.9) 76 (82.6) –0.089 1437 (83.2) 284 (96.3) 0.442 376 (89.1) 136 (89.5) 0.012 94 (80.3) 60 (76.9) −0.084
Unknown 15 (2.5) 11 (12.0) 0.370 183 (10.6) 4 (1.4) –0.397 32 (7.6) 8 (5.3) −0.095 10 (8.5) 8 (10.3) 0.059

Abbreviations: AF, atrial fibrillation; BMI, body mass index; CHA2DS2‐VASc, congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes, stroke/transient ischemic attack/systemic embolism, vascular disease, age 65‐74 years, sex category (female); GP, general practitioner; HAS‐BLED, hypertension, abnormal renal/liver function, stroke, bleeding history or predisposition, labile international normalized ratio, elderly (>65 years), drugs or alcohol concomitantly; IQR, interquartile range; PCP, primary care physician; TIA, transient ischemic attack; VKA, Vitamin K antagonists.

a

 ≥ 8 units/wk.

b

 < 60 mL/min.

c

Anticoagulation clinics, out‐patient healthcare centers, and other healthcare settings.

d

Private and statutory/ federal insurance.

Prescription of oral antithrombotic treatment by region is presented in Table 3 and Figure 3. A decrease in no OAC use including acetylsalicylic acid (ASA) was reported in Asia between the third and fourth year of enrolment. An increase in NOAC use and decrease in VKA and no OAC use including ASA was present in Europe and North America. An increase in NOAC and a decrease in VKA were reported between second and fourth year in Latin America.

TABLE 3.

Prescription of oral antithrombotic treatment over time by region

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Total
Region: Asia
Number of patients 2284 (100.0) 1336 (100.0) 1396 (100.0) 937 (100.0) 5953 (100.0)
NOAC (N, %) 666 (29.2) 619 (46.3) 527 (37.8) 570 (60.8) 2382 (40.0)
On NOACs standard dose (N, %)
Yes 214 (9.4) 239 (17.9) 204 (14.6) 224 (23.9) 881 (14.8)
No 452 (19.8) 380 (28.4) 323 (23.1) 346 (36.9) 1501 (25.2)
On NOACs reduced dose (N, %)
Yes 452 (19.8) 380 (28.4) 323 (23.1) 346 (36.9) 1501 (25.2)
No 214 (9.4) 239 (17.9) 204 (14.6) 224 (23.9) 881 (14.8)
VKA (N, %) 594 (26.0) 266 (19.9) 330 (23.6) 92 (9.8) 1282 (21.5)
No OAC (N, %) 1024 (44.8) 451 (33.8) 539 (38.6) 275 (29.3) 2289 (38.5)
ASA (N, %) 522 (22.9) 251 (18.8) 313 (22.4) 150 (16.0) 1236 (20.8)
Antiplts other than ASA (N, %) 34 (1.5) 22 (1.6) 35 (2.5) 16 (1.7) 107 (1.8)
None (N, %) 468 (20.5) 178 (13.3) 191 (13.7) 109 (11.6) 946 (15.9)
Region: Europe
Number of patients 4866 (100.0) 4090 (100.0) 2911 (100.0) 1754 (100.0) 13 621 (100.0)
NOAC (N, %) 2598 (53.4) 2308 (56.4) 1899 (65.2) 1330 (75.8) 8135 (59.7)
On NOACs standard dose (N, %)
Yes 1523 (31.3) 1514 (37.0) 1373 (47.2) 1016 (57.9) 5426 (39.8)
No 1075 (22.1) 794 (19.4) 526 (18.1) 314 (17.9) 2709 (19.9)
On NOACs reduced dose (N, %)
Yes 1075 (22.1) 794 (19.4) 526 (18.1) 314 (17.9) 2709 (19.9)
No 1523 (31.3) 1514 (37.0) 1373 (47.2) 1016 (57.9) 5426 (39.8)
VKA (N, %) 1728 (35.5) 1367 (33.4) 741 (25.5) 295 (16.8) 4131 (30.3)
No OAC (N, %) 540 (11.1) 415 (10.1) 271 (9.3) 129 (7.4) 1355 (9.9)
ASA (N, %) 280 (5.8) 228 (5.6) 115 (4.0) 66 (3.8) 689 (5.1)
Antiplts other than ASA (N, %) 43 (0.9) 36 (0.9) 22 (0.8) 4 (0.2) 105 (0.8)
None (N, %) 217 (4.5) 151 (3.7) 134 (4.6) 59 (3.4) 561 (4.1)
Region: North America
Number of patients 1458 (100.0) 2045 (100.0) 1593 (100.0) 1258 (100.0) 6354 (100.0)
NOAC (N, %) 714 (49.0) 1215 (59.4) 1093 (68.6) 930 (73.9) 3952 (62.2)
On NOACs standard dose (N, %)
Yes 599 (41.1) 1033 (50.5) 943 (59.2) 772 (61.4) 3347 (52.7)
No 115 (7.9) 182 (8.9) 150 (9.4) 158 (12.6) 605 (9.5)
On NOACs reduced dose (N, %)
Yes 115 (7.9) 182 (8.9) 150 (9.4) 158 (12.6) 605 (9.5)
No 599 (41.1) 1033 (50.5) 943 (59.2) 772 (61.4) 3347 (52.7)
VKA (N, %) 422 (28.9) 442 (21.6) 216 (13.6) 152 (12.1) 1232 (19.4)
No OAC (N, %) 322 (22.1) 388 (19.0) 284 (17.8) 176 (14.0) 1170 (18.4)
ASA (N, %) 200 (13.7) 262 (12.8) 200 (12.6) 134 (10.7) 796 (12.5)
Antiplts other than ASA (N, %) 4 (0.3) 21 (1.0) 5 (0.3) 4 (0.3) 34 (0.5)
None (N, %) 118 (8.1) 105 (5.1) 79 (5.0) 38 (3.0) 340 (5.4)
Region: Latin America
Number of patients 361 (100.0) 420 (100.0) 284 (100.0) 439 (100.0) 1504 (100.0)
NOAC (N, %) 201 (55.7) 219 (52.1) 164 (57.7) 312 (71.1) 896 (59.6)
On NOACs standard dose (N, %)
Yes 122 (33.8) 112 (26.7) 83 (29.2) 142 (32.3) 459 (30.5)
No 79 (21.9) 107 (25.5) 81 (28.5) 170 (38.7) 437 (29.1)
On NOACs reduced dose (N, %)
Yes 79 (21.9) 107 (25.5) 81 (28.5) 170 (38.7) 437 (29.1)
No 122 (33.8) 112 (26.7) 83 (29.2) 142 (32.3) 459 (30.5)
VKA (N, %) 117 (32.4) 137 (32.6) 73 (25.7) 78 (17.8) 405 (26.9)
No OAC (N, %) 43 (11.9) 64 (15.2) 47 (16.5) 49 (11.2) 203 (13.5)
ASA (N, %) 24 (6.6) 46 (11.0) 33 (11.6) 31 (7.1) 134 (8.9)
Antiplts other than ASA (N, %) 3 (0.8) 4 (1.0) 3 (1.1) 3 (0.7) 13 (0.9)
None (N, %) 16 (4.4) 14 (3.3) 11 (3.9) 15 (3.4) 56 (3.7)

Standard dose: Dabigatran 150‐mg BID, Rivaroxaban 20‐mg QD, Apixaban 5‐mg BID, Edoxaban 60‐mg QD. The other doses are reduced.

Abbreviations: ASA, acetylsalycylic acid, NOAC, non‐vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants, VKA, Vitamin K antagonists.

3.1. Factors associated with NOAC prescription in phases II and III

Results from univariate analyses are presented in Table 4. In the multivariable log‐binomial regression analysis, factors strongly associated with increased prescription of NOAC were as follows: enrolment year, type of site (higher probability outside of a university hospital, such as GP/primary care, specialist office, community hospital, and other), and region (higher prescription probability in North America compared with Europe) (Table 4).

TABLE 4.

Multivariable log‐binomial analysis for factors associated with prescription of oral antithrombotic therapy (NOAC versus VKA)

Variable

Total

N (100%)

NOAC

n (%)

VKA

n (%)

Univariate analysis relative proportion (95% CI) for NOAC prescription Multivariate analysis relative proportion (95% CI) for NOAC prescription
Time (categorical, Years 1‐4)
Year 1 7040 4179 (59.4) 2861 (40.6) 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
Year 2 6573 4361 (66.3) 2212 (33.7) 1.118 (1.09‐1.15) 1.10 (1.07‐1.12)
Year 3 5043 3683 (73.0) 1360 (27.0) 1.23 (1.20‐1.26) 1.20 (1.17‐1.23)
Year 4 3759 3142 (83.6) 617 (16.4) 1.41 (1.38‐1.44) 1.34 (1.31‐1.37)
Region
Asia 3664 2382 (65.0) 1282 (35.0) 0.98 (0.95‐1.01) 1.03 (0.99‐1.05)
Europe 12 266 8135 (66.3) 4131 (33.7) 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
North America 5184 3952 (76.2) 1232 (23.8) 1.15 (1.13‐1.17) 1.05 (1.03‐1.08)
Latin America 1301 896 (68.9) 405 (31.1) 1.04 (0.99‐1.08) 0.99 (0.96‐1.04)
BMI class
<18.5 297 201 (67.7) 96 (32.3) 0.99 (0.92‐1.09) 0.98 (0.91‐1.05)
18.5‐24 5856 3970 (67.8) 1887 (32.2) 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
25‐29 8623 5884 (68.2) 2738 (31.8) 1.01 (0.98‐1.03) 1.00 (0.98‐1.02)
30‐34 4582 3165 (69.1) 1417 (30.9) 1.02 (0.99‐1.05) 0.99 (0.97‐1.01)
≥35 3057 2145 (70.2) 912 (29.8) 1.04 (1.01‐1.07) 0.98 (0.96‐1.01)
Categorization of AF
Symptomatic 6996 4740 (67.8) 2256 (32.2) 0.96 (0.94‐0.98) 0.98 (0.96‐0.99)
Minimally symptomatic 7915 5332 (67.4) 2583 (32.6) 0.96 (0.94‐0.98) 0.99 (0.97‐1.00)
Asymptomatic 7504 5293 (70.5) 2211 (29.5) 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
HAS‐BLED score <3 20 619 14 176 (68.8) 6443 (31.2) 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
HAS‐BLED score ≥3 1796 1189 (66.2) 607 (33.8) 0.96 (0.93‐0.99) 0.96 (0.93‐0.99)
CHA2DS2‐VASc score =1 2741 1902 (69.4) 839 (30.6) 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
CHA2DS2‐VASc score ≥2 19 674 13 463 (68.4) 6211 (31.6) 0.99 (0.96‐1.01) 0.97 (0.95‐0.99)
Chronic gastrointestinal disease
Yes 2968 2101 (70.8) 867 (29.2) 1.04 (1.01‐1.06) 1.01 (0.99‐1.03)
No 19 447 13 264 (68.2) 6183 (31.8) 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
Type of AF
Paroxysmal 11 828 8536 (72.2) 3292 (27.8) 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
Persistent 8239 5304 (64.4) 2935 (35.6) 0.89 (0.88‐0.91) 0.93 (0.92‐0.95)
Permanent 2348 1525 (64.9) 823 (35.1) 0.90 (0.87‐0.93) 0.93 (0.90‐0.96)
Type of site
GP/primary care 1123 830 (73.9) 293 (26.1) 1.282 (1.230‐1.334) 1.24 (1.19‐1.29)
Specialist office 6945 5199 (74.9) 1746 (25.1) 1.29 (1.27‐1.33) 1.22 (1.19‐1.25)
Community hospital 7205 5171 (71.8) 2034 (28.2) 1.25 (1.21‐1.28) 1.23 (1.20‐1.27)
University hospital 6540 3769 (57.6) 2771 (42.4) 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
Other 602 396 (65.8) 206 (34.2) 1.14 (1.07‐1.21) 1.15 (1.09‐1.22)
Cancer
Yes 2261 1586 (70.1) 675 (29.9) 1.026 (0.99‐1.06) 0.99 (0.97‐1.02)
No 20 154 13 779 (68.4) 6375 (31.6) 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
Medical treatment reimbursed by
Self‐pay/no overage 1362 894 (65.6) 467 (34.3) 0.956 (0.92‐0.99) 0.99 (0.96‐1.03)
Not self‐pay 21 053 14 471 (68.7) 6583 (31.3) 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)

Abbreviations: AF, atrial fibrillation; BMI, body mass index; CHA2DS2‐VASc, congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes, stroke/transient ischemic attack/systemic embolism, vascular disease, age 65‐74 years, sex category (female); CI, confidence interval; GP, general practitioner; HAS‐BLED, hypertension, abnormal renal/liver function, stroke, bleeding history or predisposition, labile international normalized ratio, elderly (>65 years), drugs or alcohol concomitantly; NOAC, nonvitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants; ref, reference; VKA, Vitamin K antagonist.

Factors associated with decreased prescription of NOAC were the following: HAS‐BLED score ≥3 (compared with HAS‐BLED score <3), categorization of AF (lower probability of symptomatic AF compared with asymptomatic AF), CHA2DS2‐VASc score ≥2 (compared with CHA2DS2‐VASc score <2), and type of AF (lower probability of persistent or permanent AF compared with paroxysmal AF) (Table 4).

3.2. Prescription of antithrombotics over time by CHA2DS2‐VASc score class

Regional patterns of prescription of antithrombotics over time by CHA2DS2‐VASc score class are presented in Table S1.

In the first year after approval, 32.5% of those with CHA2DS2‐VASc scores ≥2 received NOACs in Asia. Corresponding proportions for patients in Europe, North America, and Latin America were 53.5%, 49.6%, and 56.2%. In the fourth year after approval, 67.1% of patients with CHA2DS2‐VASc scores ≥2 received NOACs in Asia. Corresponding proportions for patients in Europe, North America, and Latin America were 75.7%, 75.4%, and 70.4%.

Let interval change denote the change between Year 4 and Year 1 in prescription rate. The interval changes in those with CHA2DS2‐VASc scores ≥2 who received NOACs in Asia were +34.6%. The corresponding interval changes for Europe, North America, and Latin America were +22.2%, +25.8%, and +14.2%. The interval changes in those with CHA2DS2‐VASc scores ≥2 who received VKAs in Asia were −17.5%. The corresponding interval changes for Europe, North America, and Latin America were −18.5%, −17.2%, and −15.3% (Table S2).

3.3. Prescription of antithrombotics over time by HAS‐BLED score class

Regional patterns of prescription of antithrombotic drugs over time by HAS‐BLED score class are presented in Table S3. The interval changes in those with HAS‐BLED scores ≥3 who received NOACs in Asia were +4.1%. The corresponding interval changes for Europe, North America and Latin America were +20.7, +20.3, and +22.5%. The interval changes in those with HAS‐BLED scores ≥3 who received VKAs in Asia were −9.7%. The corresponding interval changes for Europe, North America, and Latin America were −18.5%, −17.2%, and −21.3% (Table S4).

4. DISCUSSION

We found that use of NOAC increased and VKA decreased over time in patients with newly diagnosed AF. In consecutive years after their introduction, the proportions of patients prescribed NOAC increased and exceeded that of VKA or no OAC in all geographical regions, just as prescriptions for VKA decreased in all regions. North America was associated with NOAC prescription in the univariate analysis of NOAC vs. VKA prescription. The interval changes between fourth and first year after NOAC approval regarding NOAC prescription in patients with CHA2DS2‐VASc scores ≥2 were the highest in Asia and North America. The interval changes between fourth and first year after NOAC approval regarding NOAC prescription in patients with HAS‐BLED score ≥3 were the highest in Latin America, Europe, and North America. The prescription of non‐OAC agents decreased in Asia, Europe, and North America but remained little changed in Latin America.

The use of NOAC appears to have increased over time in Europe. This finding is consistent with other reports. 7 , 8 , 9 After the release of NOAC, the prevalence of NOAC use rose steadily in Japan. 10 Similar patterns of NOAC and VKA prescription were shown in Outcomes Registry for Better Informed Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation (ORBIT‐AF). 11

Smaller proportions of patients from Latin America were prescribed NOAC or VKA at baseline in the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the Field‐Atrial Fibrillation (GARFIELD‐AF) than in our registry. 12 Patients prescribed VKA during the last year of enrolment were more likely to have concomitant diseases, such as CHF, diabetes or vascular disease, than those who use NOAC during their last year of enrolment in Europe. In other studies, patients prescribed VKAs also had more comorbidities than those prescribed NOACs. 13 , 14 Similar to our study, patients prescribed VKA were more likely to have permanent AF than those prescribed NOAC in each region. 13 , 14 Interestingly, in Korean patients those who used VKAs were less likely to have prior stroke/TIA/systemic embolism than those who used NOACs. 15

In our study, the proportion of patients who were prescribed a reduced dose of NOAC is highest in Asia, a finding that could be related to smaller body size in Asian patients. The risk of major bleeding seems to be higher in Asian patients medicated with VKAs than in non‐Asian patients. 16 In one study, lower NOAC doses were frequently used in Asian patients in routine daily practice. However, unjustified underdosing of apixaban was associated with a less apparent clinical benefit over warfarin in patients. 17

The data from baseline Phase II of GLORIA‐AF showed that considerable numbers of patients were not treated with OAC, especially in Asia and North America. 18 Our observations are concordant with other studies in the United States, Denmark, Australia, and Korea. 15 , 19 , 20 , 21 However, data from the United States (from 2008 to 2014) indicate no increase in OAC prescriptions overall due to an increase in NOAC uptake being offset by a decrease in VKA use. 22

In our analysis, the prescription of NOAC for stroke prevention has been increasingly associated with individual patient stroke risk as recommended by the European Society of Cardiology guidelines. 23 The proportion of patients on OAC increased with CHA2DS2‐VASc score, as described in other datasets. 24

Increased prescription of NOAC over the 4 years of enrollment in GLORIA‐AF is consistent with other reports. 15 , 20 , 25 The proportion of patients with moderate‐to‐high risk of stroke who are not prescribed OAC has declined continuously. Increased awareness of physicians and patients, improved implementation of guidelines, and educational programs might have resulted in greater NOAC prescription. 26 Indeed, noticeable differences in patients' baseline characteristics between consecutive years of enrolment are evident. The use of NOAC has also been increasing among patients with higher bleeding risk.

This study has important practical implications and may help in identifying the “action points” needed to improve stroke prevention in AF patients in “routine” clinical practice. Our observations also reflect the evolution of international guidelines on the management of AF in clinical practice. 27

Numerous registries have reported data on prescription patterns of antithrombotics for stroke prevention in AF, but comparison across registries appears to be challenging for a variety of reasons. The GLORIA‐AF registry's specific design facilitated a description of how the OAC prescription patterns changed across participating countries after NOAC approval. In contrast, in the EURObservational Research Programme (EORP) and the GARFIELD‐AF registries, temporal OAC prescription patterns were presented by calendar year, which led to an aggregation of countries with and without NOAC approval particularly in the first years of NOAC availability; ie, while the first NOAC, dabigatran, was approved in the United States in 2011, the first approval in Italy only occurred in 2013; therefore, country composition as well as the amount patients by country had an impact on the observed treatment patterns. aggregated. 7 , 25

In our study, that only started with NOACs availability, the proportion of patients prescribed NOAC increased within a period of between 1 and 4 years, while the proportions of VKA and no‐OAC prescriptions decreased. A pattern similar to that in our study has also been seen in other studies, 25 with a decline in the use of VKA as well as antiplatelets, and a rise in the use of NOAC. In the EORP‐AF registry 7 , most of patients who were medicated with VKA or NOAC at the baseline and at 1‐year follow‐up were still anticoagulated with the same OAC at 2‐year follow‐up.

In this study, patients with a high HAS‐BLED score had a generally increasing proportion of OAC prescriptions between the first and fourth year of enrollment. The percentage of patients with no OAC among patients with HAS‐BLED score ≥3 was relatively stable (approximately one third of the patients) over the same period. A high percentage of patients with HAS‐BLED score ≥3 had no OAC prescription, possibly reflecting a lack of concordance between empirical bleeding scores and physician assessment of bleeding risk in AF. 28 Importantly, there appears to be a need to emphasize that AF patients with a high risk of bleeding should continue taking OAC with close monitoring and frequent visits and individual reassessment of thromboembolic and bleeding risks. 23 , 29 , 30 In the mobile atrial fibrillation application (mAFA‐II) randomized trial, proactive use of HAS‐BLED for dynamic bleeding risk assessment was associated with lower bleeding rates and an increase in OAC use. 31

Furthermore, year of enrolment, type of site, region, type and categorization of AF, and stroke and bleeding risks are associated with NOAC prescription in the combined Phase II and III data in our analysis. A similar pattern was found in another report where persistent or permanent AF was inversely associated with NOAC prescription. 13 Also, the year of enrollment was associated with NOAC prescription.

4.1. Limitations

These findings may not generalize to the entire global nonvalvular AF patient population or even to the patient population of the participating countries, because the study is restricted to patients with a CHA2DS2‐VASc score ≥1. Furthermore, this analysis represents only a snapshot of the prescribing practice in the course of treatment and does not take into account treatment continuation, switching or adherence. These issues were addressed in other reports from GLORIA‐AF. Data on the reasons for OAC non‐prescription were not collected.

5. CONCLUSIONS

In this global registry of prospectively enrolled AF patients, NOACs have been more commonly prescribed than VKA. During 4 years after approval of the first NOAC for stroke prevention in AF, NOAC use increased over time, while VKA use decreased across all regions.

CONFLICT OF INTEREST

Dr Kozieł and Professor Rothman declare they have no conflict of interest. Dr Bayer, Gurusamy, and Dr Teutsch are employees of Boehringer Ingelheim. Dr Lu was employee of Boehringer Ingelheim at time of manuscript writing. Dr Diener has received honoraria for participation in clinical trials, contribution to advisory boards or oral presentations from: Abbott, Bayer Vital, Bristol‐Myers Squibb (BMS), Boehringer Ingelheim, Daiichi‐Sankyo, Medtronic, Pfizer, Portola, Sanofi‐Aventis, and WebMD Global. Financial support for research projects was provided by Boehringer Ingelheim. Dr Diener chairs the Treatment Guidelines Committee of the German Society of Neurology and contributed to the EHRA and ESC guidelines for the treatment of AF. Professor Halperin has engaged in consulting activities with Boehringer Ingelheim, for advisory activities involving anticoagulants, and he is a member of the Executive Steering Committee of the GLORIA‐AF Registry. Professor Ma has received honoraria for lectures from AstraZeneca, Bayer HealthCare, Boehringer Ingelheim, BMS, Johnson & Johnson, and Pfizer. Professor Huisman reports grants from ZonMW Dutch Healthcare Fund, grants and personal fees from Boehringer Ingelheim, Pfizer‐BMS, Bayer HealthCare, Aspen, Daiichi‐Sankyo, outside the submitted work. Professor Lip: Consultant and speaker for BMS/Pfizer, Boehringer Ingelheim and Daiichi‐Sankyo. No fees are received personally.

Supporting information

Table S1

Table S2

Table S3

Table S4

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

The study was funded by Boehringer Ingelheim. The authors thank the patients who participated in this trial, their families, the investigators, study co‐ordinators, and study teams.

Kozieł M, Teutsch C, Bayer V, Lu S, Gurusamy VK, Halperin JL, et al; the GLORIA‐AF Investigators . Changes in anticoagulant prescription patterns over time for patients with atrial fibrillation around the world. J Arrhythmia. 2021;37:990–1006. 10.1002/joa3.12588

Funding information

The work was supported by Boehringer Ingelheim, Germany.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Table S1

Table S2

Table S3

Table S4


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