Fig. 6.

Relative importance of the detection process and the NPIs on the spread of the epidemic. Estimates for the reproduction number are plotted for three different scenarios: (red) neither diagnostic testing nor NPIs are employed; (blue) only diagnostic testing is performed; (green) only NPIs are applied. The bands correspond to the 90% posterior credible interval, while the solid line denotes the median value. (For interpretation of the references to colour in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.)