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. 2023 Apr 6;18(4):e0283685. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0283685

A systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of childhood undernutrition in North Africa

Nagwa Farag Elmighrabi 1,2,3,*, Catharine A K Fleming 1,4, Mansi Vijaybhai Dhami 4,5, Ali Ateia Elmabsout 3, Kingsley E Agho 1,4,6
Editor: Seo Ah Hong7
PMCID: PMC10079122  PMID: 37023076

Abstract

Undernutrition (stunting, wasting and underweight) among children remains a public health concern in North Africa, especially following recent conflicts in the region. Therefore, this paper systematically reviews and meta-analyses the prevalence of undernutrition among children under five in North Africa to determine whether efforts to reduce undernutrition are on track to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030. Eligible studies published between 1st January 2006 and 10th April 2022 were searched for, using five electronic bibliographic databases (Ovid MEDLINE, Web of Science, Embase (Ovid), ProQuest and CINAHL). The JBI critical appraisal tool was used, and a meta-analysis was conducted using the ‘metaprop’ command in STATA, to estimate the prevalence of each undernutrition indicator in the seven North African countries (Egypt, Sudan, Libya, Algeria, Tunisia, Morocco, and Western Sahara). Due to the significant heterogeneity among studies (I2 >50%), a random effect model and sensitivity analysis were conducted to examine the effect of outliers. Out of 1592 initially identified, 27 met the selection criteria. The prevalence of stunting, wasting and being underweight were 23.5%, 7.9% and 12.9%, respectively. Significant variations between the countries with the highest rates of stunting and wasting were reported in Sudan (36%, 14.1%), Egypt (23.7%, 7.5%), Libya (23.1%, 5.9%), and Morocco (19.9%, 5.1%). Sudan also had the highest prevalence of underweight (24.6%), followed by Egypt (7%), Morocco (6.1%), and Libya (4.3%) with more than one in ten children in Algeria and Tunisia having stunted growth. In conclusion, undernutrition is widespread in the North African region, particularly in Sudan, Egypt, Libya, and Morocco, making it challenging to meet the SDGs by 2030. Nutrition monitoring and evaluation in these countries is highly recommended.

Introduction

Malnutrition, whether under- or over-nutrition, affects hundreds of millions of children worldwide. Approximately, one hundred and forty nine (149.2) million, 45.4 million, 38.9 million and 12.6% of children under-five suffer from stunting, wasting, overweight and underweight, respectively [1]. Globally, undernutrition is responsible for approximately 45% of deaths among children under five [2]. To measure undernutrition, the three anthropometric indices, namely, stunting (low height-for-age), wasting (low weight-for-height), and underweight (low weight-for-age) are used. These three undernutrition indices also represent one of 100 indicators used to measure a community’s progress toward achieving the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) [3]. In this study, we focus on the three anthropometric indices of undernutrition (stunting, wasting, and underweight) in North African countries (Egypt, Sudan, Libya, Algeria, Tunisia, Morocco, and Western Sahara).

Nutrition during the first 2000 days (the first five years) of life is critical for the physical, cognitive, social, and emotional development of a child. Irreversible effects on a child’s physical and mental health will occur if nutritional needs are not met during this period [2, 4, 5]. Yet, the burden of undernutrition remains high among children in North African countries. For instance, stunting affects more than 35% of under-five children in Libya and Sudan. At the same time, 22.3% of children suffer from stunting in Egypt, while 6.6% of children in the entire region suffer from wasting [1]. Undernutrition has profound direct and indirect effects on individuals and families due to a child’s increased susceptibility to illnesses resulting in a heightened risk of morbidity and mortality [2]. Furthermore, undernutrition affects the economy and productivity of the entire community. Besides impairing physical growth, it also decreases academic performance, cognitive abilities, work efficiency, and earnings of individuals. Undernutrition may also result in increased costs of health care services, thereby causing the economy to grow slower, leading to less investment in human capital [6]. In Egypt and Sudan, the health costs of undernutrition among children amounts to approximately 1.10 billion Egyptian Pounds (EGP) and 11.66 billion Sudanese Pounds (SDG), respectively. In Egypt, 11% of child deaths are attributable to undernutrition and this is expected to increase by 32% by 2025, resulting in a cost of 26.8 billion EGP [7, 8].

To eliminate all forms of undernutrition, it is imperative to invest in interventions, monitor the progress of essential government initiatives and collect and analyse quality data [9]. In North African countries, there is a lack of current and specific information regarding undernutrition among children [10]. Previous studies on child undernutrition, carried out in various individual North African countries, namely Tunisia [11]; Egypt [12]; Sudan [13]; Algeria [14]; Morocco [15] and Western Sahara [16], highlighted the prevalence of undernutrition among children under five. Joulaei et al. [17]. conducted a review to examine the prevalence of stunting among children and adolescences aged 2–18 in 24 countries in the Middle Eastern and North African regions [17]. Apart from including a wide range of children ages with different growth requirements and health needs which affects the validity and generalizability of the results to all age groups, there was no information on Libya, Algeria, or Tunisia. A recent study in the Eastern Mediterranean region (including Afghanistan, Bahrain, Djibouti, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Pakistan, Oman, Palestine, Qatar, Saudi, Somalia, Sudan, Syrian, Tunisia, Emirates and Yemen) found a prevalence of malnutrition [18]. These findings did not specifically target North African countries as the results combined the area with other regions or countries; this may result in an over- or under-estimation of the problem due to a separation from local contexts. More concerningly, this may result in the misrepresentation of data used to inform local policies, strategies and decisions [19]. The limitations of the study included an over-reliance on grey literature, no peer-reviewed journal articles, and the limited timeframe of the search (2019–2020). Two years is too short a period of time to gather and analyse trends in the wider literature, or to reach comprehensive representative results as nutrition guidelines are typically updated every 5 years [18, 20, 21]. Finally, Algeria was not included in the review which could affect the generalizability of the findings to all Eastern Mediterranean countries including North African countries.

As discussed above, childhood undernutrition plays an increasingly significant role in childhood morbidity and mortality. Despite this, there are currently no ongoing nutrition monitoring and evaluation programs in North Africa to target the reduction of childhood undernutrition. Investigating how the prevalence of stunting, wasting, and underweight varies across North African countries would offer insights into how well these countries are progressing towards SDGs 1, 2, and 3 by the year 2030.

This systematic review and meta-analysis study addresses this gap. It was conducted to determine the prevalence of undernutrition (stunting, wasting, and underweight) among children under five in the North African region. The findings of this systematic review aim to help strengthen existing child nutrition policies and practices and enable policymakers to determine whether countries in the North African region are on track to meet SDGs 1, 2, and 3 by 2030. Results of the study are specific to the region and may lead to more efficient and practical applications of detailed nutrition interventions aimed at improving child health and nutrition in North Africa.

Methods

Anthropometric indicators

The current systematic review utilised three anthropometric indicators for analysis:

  1. Stunting (chronic malnutrition): an indicator of retardation of linear growth and cumulative growth deficits in children; height-for-age <-2 standard deviation (SD) of the World Health Organisation (WHO) child growth standards median.

  2. Wasting (acute malnutrition): measuring of body mass concerning the height and describing the current nutritional status; weight-for-height <-2 SD of the WHO child growth standards median.

  3. Underweight: is a composite index of height-for-age and weight-for-height. It takes into account both acute malnutrition (wasting) and chronic malnutrition (stunting), but it does not distinguish between the two; weight-for-age <-2 standard deviations (SD) of the WHO child growth standards median [22].

Search strategy

To review the existing literature, the study used the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) 2020 guidelines [23]. The PRISMA 2020 checklists for the manuscript and abstract are attached as additional S1 and S2 Tables. The protocol was submitted and registered with the Prospective Registry of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO number CRD42022311922). Five databases were scanned for relevant peer-reviewed articles: Ovid MEDLINE, Web of Science, Embase (Ovid), ProQuest, and CINAHL. In addition, MeSH headings with related subheadings were combined with key terms for the included countries, region, and age-specific search terms were added to ensure all relevant studies were identified. In addition, the reference lists of retrieved articles and Google Scholar were screened for further relevant publications. Articles retrieved were imported from each database into an EndNote library. The following combination of keywords was used in the search: (Child* or under-five* or paediatr* or infant* or bab*) AND (Malnutr* or malnourish* or undernourish* or undernutr* or stunt* or wast* or underweight*) AND (Egypt* or Sudan* or Libya* or Algeria* or Tunisia* or Morocco* or Western Sahara* or North Africa*) AND (prevalence* or rate*).

Eligibility criteria

To be included in the review studies needed to meet the following criteria: 1) participants aged between 0 and 59 months of age; 2) conducted in any or all of the North African countries (Egypt, Sudan, Libya, Algeria, Tunisia, Morocco and Western Sahara); (3) investigated one or more anthropometric indicators of undernutrition (stunting, wasting, and underweight); 4) observational studies only (no qualitative, intervention, review, or experimental studies were considered); (5) published in peer-reviewed journals (no abstracts, policy briefs, or conference proceedings were reviewed); (6) written only in English and (7) published between 1 January 2006 and 10 April 2022. The year 2006 was used as a baseline in this review to capture the period when WHO Child Growth Standards were introduced by the WHO.

Data extraction

All retrieved articles were imported from each database into EndNote X20 (Clarivate Analytics, USA) and sorted and ordering in a scientific and organised manner [24]. After removing duplicates, the first author, NFE, reviewed the study titles and screened all the publications. Following this initial screening, the second phase involved reading the abstracts and to identify the eligible studies. The third and final screening involved reading the full texts and ensuring each study met the eligibility criteria.

The identified studies are listed in Table 1, with the following information: The author, year of publication, geographic region, year of data collection, number of children and age, sample strategy, study design, population characteristics, and quality assessment score. In S4 Table, the included literature was classified according to the country of study and the prevalence of the three indices of undernutrition.

Table 1. Characteristics of included publications in the literature.

Author; year Geographical Region Year of Data Collection Children (No); Age Sample Strategy Study Design Population Characteristics Quality Assessment Score
Abdalla et al. 2009 El Fau (Rural area) in Sudan 2003 N = 150
6–60 months
Random sampling Cross sectional study Children under five in the three target villages Medium
Abu-Manga et al. 2021  Sudan 2019 N = 145,002
0–5 years
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five from households in the Sudanese community High
Aitsi-Selmi 2014 Egypt 1992–95 N = 9,201
0–5 years
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five in the community High
2005–8 N = 13,376
0–5 years
Almasi et al. 2019 Egypt 2014 N = 14898.9
0–5 years
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five in the Eastern Mediterranean countries Medium
Libya 2007 N = 10723
0–5 years
Morocco 2011 N = 6872.6
0–5 years
Sudan 2014 N = 11712.3
0–5 years
Tunisia 2012 N = 2677.3
0–5 yrs.
Barouaca 2012 Morocco 2004 N = 5311
0–5 yrs.
Multistage sampling surveys Cross sectional study Children under five in the community Medium
1997 N = 5240
0–5 years
1992 N = 4502
0–5 years
Dahab et al 2020 Sudan 2014 N = 14,081
0–5 years
Stratified multistage cluster sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five from households in armed conflicts in Darfur in Eastern state, Blue Nile and South Kordofan High
Elsary 2017 Egypt (Tamiya district in Fayoum) 2014 N = 400
0–5 years
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five who attend the health care facilities High
El-Taguri et al. 2009 Libya 2003 N = 7232
0–5 years
Multistage sampling designs Cross sectional study Children under five in five Arab countries (Libya, Djibouti, Syria, Morocco and Yemen High
Morocco 2003 N = 5380
0–5 years
El Taguri et al. 2008 Libya 1995 N = 5348
0–5 years
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five from households across Libya High
Fagbamigbe et al. 2020  Egypt 2014 N = 13,682
0–5 years
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five in the community High
Figueroa and Kurdi 2019 Egypt 2014 N = 13601
6–59 months
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five in the community Medium
2008 N = 9103
6–59 months
2005 12131
6-59m
Ghattas et al. 2020  Egypt 2014 N = 13,857
6–59 months
Stratified cluster sampling Cross sectional study Children under five in Middle East and North African (MENA) region High
Algeria 2013 N = 13,077
6–59 months
Sudan 2014 N = 12,538
6–59 months
Morocco 2003 N = 5309
6–59 months
Tunisia 2012 N = 2593
6–59 months
Kavle et al. 2015  (Egypt) 2008 N = 6091
6–59 months
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five from households across Egypt High
2005 N = 7794
6–59 months
Kerac et al 2019 Egypt 2014 N = 1,210
0–6 months
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children less than six months of age in developing countries High
Kiarie et al. 2021  Sudan Yambio country 2018 N = 630
6–59 months
Cluster multistage sampling method Cross Sectional study Children aged 6–59 months living in Yambio County, Sudan High
Mberu et al. 2016 Egypt (Slum communities) 2003 N = 5761
0–5 years
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five in the community Medium
Musa et al. 2014 Sudan (Khartoum State) 2014 N = 411
0–5 years
Simple random sampling Cross sectional study Children under five in Khartoum state, Sudan Medium
Nikooyeh et al. 2022  Egypt 2020 N = 163
0–5 years
Online surveys Cross sectional study Children under five in Eastern Mediterranean countries Medium
2015 N = 258
0–5 years
2010 N = 409
0–5 years
2005 N = 713
0–5 years
2000 N = 1142
0–5 years
Sudan 2020 N = 29
0–5 years
2015 N = 99
0–5 years
2010 N = 266
0–5 years
2005 N = 80
0–5 years
2000 N = 28
0–5 years
Libya 2020 N = 74
0–5 years
2015 N = 111
0–5 years
2010 N = 225
0–5 years
2005 N = 320
0–5 years
2000 N = 241
0–5 years
Morocco 2020 N = 286
0–5 years
2015 N = 347
0–5 years
2010 N = 640
0–5 years
2005 N = 652
0–5 years
2000 N = 679
0–5 years
Tunisia 2020 N = 507
0–5 years
2015 N = 960
0–5 years
2010 N = 1064
0–5 years
2005 N = 1212
0–5 years
2000 N = 985
0–5 years
Özaltin et al. 2010 Egypt 2005–2008 N = 33440
0–59 months
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five in Egypt and Morocco High
Morocco 2003–04 N = 5544
0–59 months
Rico et al. 2010 Egypt 2005 N = 3242
6–59 months
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five in the community High
Seedhom et al. 2014 Egypt (El-Minia) 2014 N = 700
6–24 months
Non-random sampling Cross sectional study Children 6–24 months in Minia region, Egypt Medium
Shaker-Berbari et al 2021 Egypt 2014 N = 5100
6–23 months
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five in the Middle East High
Sudan 2014 N = 4009
6–23 months
Sharaf and Rashad 2016  Egypt 2014 N = 12,997
0–5 years
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five in the community Medium
Sulaiman et al. 2018  North Sudan (Rural area) 2014 N = 1635
0–5 years
Cluster multistage sampling method Cross Sectional study Children under five who live in the Four Nile River rural area of Sudan High
Tzioumis et al. 2016  Egypt 2008 N = 9275
0–5 years
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five in the community High
2005 N = 12038
0–5 years
2003 N = 5911
0–5 years
2000 N = 10078
0–5 years
1995 N = 10165
0–5 years
1992 N = 7241
0–5 years
Winskill et al. 2021  Egypt 2014 N = 11,706
0–5 years
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five in 39 low to middle-income countries High
Zotarelli et al. 2007 Egypt 2000 N = 10194
0–5 years
Multi-stage stratified sampling design Cross sectional study Children under five in the community High

High = 7–9; medium = 4–6, and poor = 0–3

Reliability

A second reviewer (MVD) who was blinded to the primary reviewer (NFE), checked the article’s relevance and the recorded details. In each stage, the articles’ appropriateness was checked, with any differences of opinion discussed. A third reviewer (KEA) was available to clarify differences regarding the final publications for inclusion.

Quality assessment

The JBI critical appraisal tool was used to evaluate the degree of reliability, validity, and usefulness of the identified studies and to assess the quality of the reviewed studies. The tool is a set of 9 questions (a checklist) used to evaluate the external validity (bias in selection) and internal validity (information biases and bias of cofounders) [25]. The accuracy, suitability, and confidentiality of the JBI tool for critical appraisal of systematic reviews were confirmed [26]. For each reviewed study, a score ranging from zero to nine was allocated (zero if none of the criteria was met, and nine if all the criteria were met). This sum of points determined the overall quality of the study. Studies were rated as being high quality (7–9), medium (4–6) or poor quality (0–3), as shown in S3 Table.

Statistical methods

The results were imported into STATA version 17 (Stata Corp LLC, Texas, USA) [27]. For each country, the prevalence of undernutrition indicators (stunting, wasting and underweight) was assessed through the forest plot. Each indicator was displayed in the forest plots with its corresponding weight, 95% confidence interval, and overall prevalence in the region.

A heterogeneity test of the different studies showed a high level of inconsistency (I2 > 50%), thereby indicating the use of a random effect model in all the meta-analyses conducted. Sensitivity analysis was also conducted by examining the effect of outliers. We employed a similar method to Patsopoulos et al. [28] which compared the pooled prevalence before and after eliminating one study at a time. The funnel plot was used to report potential bias and small/large study effects, and Begg’s tests were used to assess asymmetry. Their respective funnel plots are shown as S1-S4 Figs.

Results

As displayed in Fig 1, a total of 1592 peer-reviewed articles were initially identified from the five databases. After removing 519 duplicates, 1073 articles remained. The screening of the titles in the first screening phase excluded 986 articles. Further screening of the remaining 87 abstracts excluded another 37 articles. In the final phase, the full texts of the remaining 50 articles were screened and a further 30 articles were excluded. During the screening processes seven more papers were identified from Google scholar and other papers [29, 30]. Accordingly, 27 peer-reviewed papers were eligible for critical appraisal.

Fig 1. Flow chart of the study selection process based on PRISMA 2020.

Fig 1

Characteristics of included studies

As shown in Table 1, all 27 studies included in this review were cross-sectional surveys. Eighteen of these studies were investigated in Egypt [3047], and 10 studies explored the problem in Sudan [32, 35, 38, 42, 4853]. In addition, 6 studies assessed prevalence of undernutrition in Morocco [32, 35, 38, 39, 54, 55]; 4 studies assessed prevalence of undernutrition in Libya [32, 38, 55, 56], 3 studies demonstrated prevalence of undernutrition in Tunisia [32, 35, 38], and 1 study investigated in Algeria [35]. Six studies were conducted on children aged 6 to 60 months [30, 35, 40, 47, 48, 51], 2 studies investigated children aged 6–24 months [41, 42] and only 1 study investigated children from 0–6 months [36] and the remaining studies focused on children aged 0–60 months [3134, 3739, 4347, 49, 50, 5256]. Twenty two papers used secondary source data (nationally-representative data) [3032, 3440, 4247, 49, 50, 5356], and only 5 studies used a primary source data [33, 41, 48, 51, 52). The prevalence of stunting was found in 22 studies [3033, 35, 3744, 46, 47, 49, 5156], prevalence of wasting was found in 18 studies [3234, 3639, 41, 42, 45, 46, 48, 49, 5153, 55, 56] and that of underweight in 12 studies [33, 37, 39, 41, 46, 4954, 56].

Among the nine JBI criteria used to assess the quality of the studies, 18 (66.7%) articles scored seven points or higher [30, 31, 3336, 39, 40, 42, 4446, 49, 50, 51, 53, 55, 56], while 9 (33.3%) papers scored medium between 4 and 6 [32, 37, 38, 41, 43, 47, 48, 52, 54] as seen in S3 Table.

Meta-analysis of the prevalence of undernutrition

Stunting

A forest plot of the prevalence of stunting among children under five in study is shown in Fig 2. The overall random effect pooled prevalence of stunting was approximately one in five, 23.5% with high heterogeneity (I2 = 99.7%). Funnel plots and the use of Begg’s test for stunting in North Africa indicated homogeneity (S1 Fig), and meta-regression analysis of undernutrition by year of publication indicated that the year of publication increased as the proportion of undernutrition decreased as shown in S4 Fig. However, this relationship did not differ statistically (p = 0.0083). Countries with the highest significant prevalence of stunting in the North Africa region were Sudan 36% (95% CI: 33.8, 38.2; P < 0.001), Egypt 23.7% (95% CI: 22.1, 25.2; P < 0.001), Libya 23.1% (95% CI: 21.0, 25.3; P < 0.001) and Morocco 19.9% (95% CI: 17.8, 22.0; P < 0.001). However, the overall pooled prevalence of stunting was not significant in Algeria 10.7% (95% CI: 10.17, 11.2; P < 0.001) and Tunisia 10.2% (95% CI: 9.1, 11.3; P < 0.001).

Fig 2. Prevalence of stunting in North Africa by country.

Fig 2

Wasting

Fig 3 presents a forest plot of the prevalence of wasting among children under five in the North African region. The overall random effect pooled prevalence of wasting was 7.9% (95% CI: 6.5, 9.3); p <0.001), with high heterogeneity (I2 = 99.5%). The Funnel plots and use of Begg’s test for wasting shown in S2 Fig reported the absence of publication biases. The highest significant rate of wasting in the region was reported in Sudan 14.1% (95% CI: 11.4,16.7; P < 0.001); and medium rates were found in Egypt 7.5% (95% CI: 6.1, 8.8; P < 0.001), Libya 5.9% (95% CI: 4.5, 7.2; P < 0.001) and Morocco 5.1% (95% CI: 2.1, 8.2; P < 0.001). However, the weighted prevalence in Tunisia was minor at 2.9% (95% CI: 2.5, 3.3; P < 0.001).

Fig 3. Prevalence of wasting in North Africa by country.

Fig 3

Underweight

The prevalence of underweight among children under five across the North African region, and in the individual countries under study is presented in Fig 4. Accordingly, the overall random effect pooled prevalence of underweight was 12.9% (95% CI:6.4, 19.5); p <0.001), with high heterogeneity (I2 = 100.0%). The highest pooled prevalence of underweight was reported in Sudan 24. 6% (95% CI: 17.5, 31.6; P < 0.001) and the medium weighted rates of underweight were reported in Egypt 7% (95% CI: 5.1, 9.0; P < 0.001), Morocco 6.1% (95% CI: 3.4, 8.8: P < 0.001) and in Libya 4.3% (95% CI: 3.8, 4.9; P < 0.001). However, there was a little evidence of an effect on the prevalence, which implied homogeneity due to limited data. Funnel plots and the use of Begg’s test for underweight, indicated an absence of publication biases, S3 Fig).

Fig 4. Prevalence of underweight in North Africa by country.

Fig 4

Discussion

In the current study, 27 studies within the last 15 years met the eligibility criteria to determine the prevalence of stunting, wasting and underweight in North African children under five years of age. The critical appraisal of the 27 studies ranged from medium (9) to high (18). No studies were appraised as low. The overall prevalence of stunting, wasting and underweight in the current study were 23.5%, 7.9% and 12.9%, respectively.

Accordingly, the overall pooled prevalence of stunting among children under five in North Africa was approximately one in four. This is higher than that the global average of one in five. It is however lower than that of West Africa one in three children have stunting [57]. The review also found that the overall pooled prevalence of wasting among children under five in North Africa was approximately 7.9% which is higher than the global average of 6.7% and higher than the West Africa value of 6.9% [57]. Furthermore, the overall pooled prevalence of underweight among the children under five in North Africa was approximately one in eight. This is higher than the 2020 global average of 12.6% [58], and lower than the WHO 2018 estimate for the Africa region of 17.1% [59].

As described above, the study revealed stunting (chronic undernutrition) and underweight rates in children under five in North African countries were higher than the global average, while wasting was moderate (acute undernutrition). The results are consistent with a study by by Akombi et al [60]. Our results are also consistent with the study of Joulaei et al. [17] that focused on children 2–18 years in Middle East and North African countries, and found high stunting rates among children [17]. Finally, our results agree with the 2021 WHO report which observed that stunting was prevalent and increasing in the North African region [1].

North African countries, similar to other low- and middle-income countries, is experiencing increased malnutrition as a result of conflicts and civil wars, increased food insecurity, displacement, communicable diseases, and a changing climate [6163]. For example, due to conflicts in Libya, children and families are experiencing inadequate dietary diversity and reduced access to food due to rapid declines in public services, particularly education and health services, as well as higher food and fuel prices, loss of shelter and livelihoods, loss of jobs and income [64]. Similarly, the ongoing crisis in Sudan has been exacerbated by a worsening economic situation, recurring violence throughout many states, a poor harvest, and global price shocks in grains and other food commodities. Children who live in conflict areas are often malnourished due to conflict displacement, infectious diseases, poverty, a decrease in food production, and a lack of essential resources such as food, water, and shelter. Most children aged 6 to 23 months did not consume the Minimum Acceptable Diet daily in Libya [64]. Additionally, families are unable to buy food at the market due to economic deterioration, political instability, and low salaries [6568]. The effects of climate change are also possible contributors; Sudan and Libya, for example, are among the world’s most water-scarce countries. Water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) services and facilities have been severely impacted by conflict, non-renewable water supply, and climate change in these countries [69]. Poverty might also play a role; 29.7% of Egyptians live below the official poverty line in 2019, despite Egypt having the third highest GDP in Africa [70, 71].

In the current study, we also found a significant variation between the prevalence rates of stunting and wasting among the countries with the highest rates, Sudan, and the lowest, Morocco. Sudan had the highest prevalence of underweight, followed by Egypt, Morocco, and Libya. More than one in ten children under five in Algeria and Tunisia had stunted growth. These conclusions align with several other studies. For instance, a study by Akombi et al. [60] on Sub-Saharan African countries found a substantial prevalence of undernutrition in the region, higher within East and West African countries than in South or Central countries in the same region [60].

The previously mentioned observations could be attributed to the concluded variation in the region, which also shows the high prevalence of undernutrition in countries like Sudan and Libya. That are still experiencing violent conflicts or countries like Egypt and Morocco, where conflicts have recently ended, compared with countries that have never experienced conflict or war.

The variation in undernutrition is likely due to high levels of disadvantage, inequality, and food insecurity in the North African region. This is exacerbated by conflict, displacement, and a changing climate. The United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) recently conducted a study of 11 countries in the Middle East and North Africa and found that poverty continues to affect at least 29 million children, or one in four children in this region [72]. Poverty and unemployment rates, which are already high in Algeria, Tunisia, and Libya, are unevenly distributed across age, gender, and geography. Economic inequality is identified as a major obstacle to the global goal of ending global poverty by 2030 [73]. Africa represented the third unequal region after Latin America and Middle East [74]. The inequality may be attributed to economic, governmental, and social structures that limit the equal distribution of medical care, access to food, the impact on dietary intake, and other factors that affect child health directly or indirectly [75]. Poverty, food insecurity and inequality are the roots of undernutrition; these are exacerbated when regional conflicts and other environmental factors increase. For instance, studies from Bangladesh and South Asia found a strong direct, immediate association between higher income inequality and child health. The most vulnerable children suffer the most significant burden of stunting [76, 77]. Furthermore, in 2010, before recent conflicts begun, North African countries were already identified as food security-challenged countries, which faced challenges that prompted them to reconsider their approaches to development [78]. To achieve food security and development, it was suggested that these North African countries need to grow economically, increase employment, manage to sustain water resources, adapt to climate change in a timely manner [78].

Policy implications of the study

Findings from our study may inform governments, policymakers, public health researchers and other stakeholders to identify countries in North Africa whose children are most vulnerable to undernutrition. The current study also serves as a needs assessment indicator for specific countries that report a high prevalence of child undernutrition. Our findings suggest specific policies are needed to address undernutrition within each North African country as an important public health issue. The current review contributes to the evidence for aid organizations and programming to continue allocating resources within North African countries to address undernutrition. This study also provides the latest update on national and international levels of undernutrition which can help determine whether North African countries are making progress towards achieving SDG goals 1, 2 and 3 by 2030.

Strengths and limitations

The main strength of this review is its unique focus of undernutrition in the North African region, specifically in its seven countries of Egypt, Sudan, Libya, Algeria, Tunisia, Morocco, and Western Sahara. Other strengths include the use of uniform standards of measurement from the 2006 WHO standards for child health and the exclusion of studies in clinical settings (e.g., hospitalized children) thereby enhancing the generalizability of results to the general population. The study’s eligibility criteria that evaluated the robustness of the study designs employed in each study was another strength. Nonetheless, this review has a certain number of limitations. Firstly, it was unable to investigate trends in the prevalence of undernutrition indices in the region due to inconsistent data collection and the limited number of studies from some included countries. Secondly, the selection of English-only studies likely biased the results towards studies in countries where the findings are reported in English. Nor did the current review examine the various factors that influence the epidemiology of undernutrition within this region.

Conclusions

Undernutrition is a concern for children under five years of age in North Africa. Considerable variations by country were determined in undernutrition for stunting, wasting and underweight. The North Africa region is at risk of an escalating burden of child undernutrition (particularly in Sudan, Libya, Egypt, and Morocco) due to ongoing conflicts, increased disadvantages and impacts of a changing climate. Public health attention must be paid to this region due to the wide range of inequalities experienced by families and young children living there. This review indicates that ongoing nutrition monitoring and evaluation programs are needed in North African countries to determine and measure progress made by these countries in achieving Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 1, 2 and 3 by 2030.

Supporting information

S1 Fig. Funnel plots and 95% confidence intervals of stunting.

(TIF)

S2 Fig. Funnel plots and 95% confidence intervals of wasting.

(TIF)

S3 Fig. Funnel plots and 95% confidence intervals of underweight.

(TIF)

S4 Fig. A meta-regression analysis of undernutrition by year of publication.

The vertical axis is the log proportion of undernutrition, and the horizontal axis represents the year of publication. Each dark dot represented one selected study, and the size of each dark dot corresponds to the weight assigned to each study. Given the slope of the regression line has descended slightly in this figure, this could be interpreted as the publication of year increased as the proportion of undernutrition decreased but this relationship differs statistically (p = 0.0083).

(TIF)

S1 Table. PRISMA 2020 checklist for the main.

(DOCX)

S2 Table. PRISMA 2020 checklist for the abstract.

(DOCX)

S3 Table. Quality assessment score.

(DOCX)

S4 Table. Prevalence of undernutrition among children under five in North Africa.

(DOCX)

Acknowledgments

This paper is a part of the first author’s doctoral dissertation at Western Sydney University’s School of Health Sciences.

Availability of data and other materials

Sample size was not always explicitly stated in studies. The authors; however, direct readers to the name of the national data report or a link for more information. Demographic Health Survey (DHS) reports and databases for each country are available @ dhsprogram.com; information about Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MIC) are available @ mics.unicef.org; and child malnutrition estimates data for 2021 can be found @ UNICEF/WHO/World Bank joint websites.

Data Availability

All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information files.

Funding Statement

The authors received no specific funding for this work.

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PONE-D-22-26443A systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of childhood undernutrition in North AfricaPLOS ONE

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Reviewer #1: The paper 'A systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of childhood undernutrition in

North Africa' is written well, analysis is made in very good way. But need some minor correction, which are as follow.

1. Citation is not in correct manner.

2. Funnel plot if you made country-wide, heterogeneity can be easy assessed.

Reviewer #2: Well-done on your effort with this review of child undernutrition in North Africa. See below my comments to make your study stronger.

Abstract

Review this sentence in the abstract for grammatical error "Therefore, we aimed to systematically review and meta-analysis the prevalence of undernutrition .........".

What is the significance of this statement: "More than one in ten children in Algeria and Tunisia had stunted growth"?

Introduction

Overall: The introduction section appears disjointed with lots of grammatical errors which makes the narrative hard to comprehend. The authors attempt making some points but the points do not seem to flow logically across the paragraphs. I strongly advise a revision of the entire introduction section so it flows logically.

See below more specific comments.

In lines 65 - 66, what do you mean by "Burdens of undernutrition range from high to remarkably high among children in North African countries"?. How is "high to remarkably high" quantified? any reference? Please rephrase the sentence and include a reference.

Review this sentence in lines 69 - 70 for grammatical error: "It increases morbidity and mortality by exacerbates disease and makes children more susceptible to illness".

From lines 76 - 81, the dive into the discussion on health care cost was quite sudden and unrelated and does not add to nor continue the preceding discussion. It appears irrelevant to the on-going discussion.

Review this sentence in lines 81 - 82 for grammatical error: "Therefore, eliminating all forms of undernutrition is crucial, and requires investment interventions of collecting, analyzing, and quality data, which is the key....."

What do you mean in lines 92 - 95 by: "Apart from the child age, no studies were included on Libya, Algeria, Tunisia, or Western Sahara, even though they were a part of the study. Only four included studies focused on Egypt, two on Sudan, and one on Morocco". What study are you referring to here? This sentence is quite confusing because it does not follow a preceding line of thought and providing a reference is not enough.

In lines 98 - 99 you wrote: "However, this study was limited in several ways: First, the authors indicated that they conducted literature search from PubMed and google scholar, but only reported prevalence from published reports". How is this a limitation? Are reports not found in PubMed and google scholar?

In lines 99 - 100 you wrote: "Secondly the authors’ literature search was restricted to the period 2019-2020;". How is this a limitation?

In lines 100 - 101 you wrote: "third, Algeria was not captured, which implied that the study could not be applied to all the countries in the region". Does you review address this? Does your review capture all North African countries given the recent conflicts?

Review this sentence in lines 107 - 110 for grammatical error and break sentence in two: "The main goal of this study is to determine through a systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of undernutrition (stunting, wasting, and underweight) among under-five children in North Africa and aimed to ascertain if those countries are on course to achieve the SDGs 1, 2, and 3 by the year 2030."

Method

What is the difference between lines 135 - 136: "Furthermore, Google Scholar and the reference lists of retrieved articles were screened for further relevant publications." and lines 140 - 143: "Furthermore, to avoid missing any additional relevant publications, we searched the bibliographical references of all retrieved articles that met the inclusion criteria, complemented by citation tracking by the use of Google Scholar". In my view, both sentences are communicating the same message. So I recommend you remove one of them.

Why were grey literature not included? Given the situation in some countries in North Africa, some government or non-governmental organizations may have some useful documents on child undernutrition in their individual countries.

Results

Include in Table 1 the prevalence of stunting, wasting and underweight as reported in the individual studies OR create a separate table that outlines the prevalence of stunting, wasting and underweight which informs the forest plots.

Discussion

In lines 274 and 275, replace the words "utilised" and "investigate" respectively with more suitable words.

Review this comment in lines 281 - 283: "Accordingly, the overall pooled prevalence of stunting among the under-5 children in North Africa was approximately one in every five. This is higher than that of the global average of 22%. It is however lower than that of West Africa (30.9%)". If you intend making comparison then use the same metrics. What % is "one in every five?".

In lines 370 - 371, how does excluding hospitalized children enhance the generalizability of results to the general population?

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6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.

Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy.

Reviewer #1: Yes: Jang Bahadur Prasad

Reviewer #2: No

**********

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Decision Letter 1

Seo Ah Hong

2 Feb 2023

PONE-D-22-26443R1A systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of childhood undernutrition in North AfricaPLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Elmighrabi,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. 1. I still found some grammatical errors and typos although the reviewers previously mentioned.  English editing is necessary, both to improve grammar, readability, and reduce redundancy.

For example of “because of: (line 55)”, “development, (line 62)”; “Another a recent review (line 86)”; “(23,24); Fourthly,”; ”Table1 (line 168)”; “Lybia 4.3 (line 276)”; “in in (line 312)” and so on.

Break sentences to improve readability (Line 91-98)

2. check the reference format. For example, Reference #57.

Please submit your revised manuscript by Mar 19 2023 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.

Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:

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If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter.

If applicable, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io to enhance the reproducibility of your results. Protocols.io assigns your protocol its own identifier (DOI) so that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols. Additionally, PLOS ONE offers an option for publishing peer-reviewed Lab Protocol articles, which describe protocols hosted on protocols.io. Read more information on sharing protocols at https://plos.org/protocols?utm_medium=editorial-email&utm_source=authorletters&utm_campaign=protocols.

We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Kind regards,

Seo Ah Hong, PhD

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Journal Requirements:

Please review your reference list to ensure that it is complete and correct. If you have cited papers that have been retracted, please include the rationale for doing so in the manuscript text, or remove these references and replace them with relevant current references. Any changes to the reference list should be mentioned in the rebuttal letter that accompanies your revised manuscript. If you need to cite a retracted article, indicate the article’s retracted status in the References list and also include a citation and full reference for the retraction notice.

[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed

**********

2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: The paper entitled 'A systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of childhood undernutrition in North Africa' have used appropriate analysis and written well.

Reviewer #2: (No Response)

**********

7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.

Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy.

Reviewer #1: Yes: Dr. Jang Bahadur Prasad

Reviewer #2: No

**********

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While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step.

PLoS One. 2023 Apr 6;18(4):e0283685. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0283685.r004

Author response to Decision Letter 1


11 Mar 2023

Response

1- because of: (line 55)”

Authors response: sorted out (line 54)

2- “Development, (line 62)”

Authors response: sorted out (line 64)

3- Another a recent review (line 86)”

Authors response: sorted out (line 82)

4- “(23,24); Fourthly,”

Authors response: sorted our (line 93)

5- ” Table1 (line 168)”

Authors response: sorted out (line 171)

6- “Lybia 4.3 (line 276)

Authors response: sorted out (line 254)

7- “in in (line 312)”

Authors response: sorted out (line 284)

8- so on

Authors response: We conducted a thorough English editing process to improve the paper’s readability and clarity.

9- Break sentences to improve readability (Line 91-98)

Authors response: sorted out (line 82-95)

10- check the reference format. For example, Reference #57

Authors response: sorted out (Reference 55); we thoroughly reviewed and checked all references.

Attachment

Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

Decision Letter 2

Seo Ah Hong

15 Mar 2023

A systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of childhood undernutrition in North Africa

PONE-D-22-26443R2

Dear Dr. Elmighrabi,

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.

An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org.

Kind regards,

Seo Ah Hong, PhD

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Additional Editor Comments (optional):

Reviewers' comments:

Acceptance letter

Seo Ah Hong

27 Mar 2023

PONE-D-22-26443R2

A systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of childhood undernutrition in North Africa

Dear Dr. Elmighrabi:

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org.

If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org.

Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.

Kind regards,

PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff

on behalf of

Prof. Seo Ah Hong

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Fig. Funnel plots and 95% confidence intervals of stunting.

    (TIF)

    S2 Fig. Funnel plots and 95% confidence intervals of wasting.

    (TIF)

    S3 Fig. Funnel plots and 95% confidence intervals of underweight.

    (TIF)

    S4 Fig. A meta-regression analysis of undernutrition by year of publication.

    The vertical axis is the log proportion of undernutrition, and the horizontal axis represents the year of publication. Each dark dot represented one selected study, and the size of each dark dot corresponds to the weight assigned to each study. Given the slope of the regression line has descended slightly in this figure, this could be interpreted as the publication of year increased as the proportion of undernutrition decreased but this relationship differs statistically (p = 0.0083).

    (TIF)

    S1 Table. PRISMA 2020 checklist for the main.

    (DOCX)

    S2 Table. PRISMA 2020 checklist for the abstract.

    (DOCX)

    S3 Table. Quality assessment score.

    (DOCX)

    S4 Table. Prevalence of undernutrition among children under five in North Africa.

    (DOCX)

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

    Data Availability Statement

    All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information files.


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