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. 2023 Apr 13:1–14. Online ahead of print. doi: 10.1007/s10238-023-01038-9

Genetic polymorphisms of ACE1, ACE2, IFTM3, TMPRSS2 and TNFα genes associated with susceptibility and severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Valentina Pecoraro 1,, Michela Cuccorese 1, Tommaso Trenti 1
PMCID: PMC10101542  PMID: 37055652

Abstract

Background

Some human polymorphisms of ACE1, ACE2, IFITM3, TMPRSS2 and TNFα genes may have an effect on the susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection and increase the risk to develop severe COVID-19. We conducted a systematic review of current evidence to investigate the association of genetic variants of these genes with the susceptibility to virus infection and patient prognosis.

Methods

We systematically searched Medline, Embase and The Cochrane Library for articles published until May 2022, and included observational studies covering genetic association of ACE1, ACE2, IFITM3, TMPRSS2 and TNFα genes with COVID-19 susceptibility or prognosis. We evaluated the methodological quality of included studies, and pooled data as convenient in meta-analysis (MA). Odds ratio (OR) values and 95% confidence intervals were calculated.

Results

We included 35 studies (20 on ACE, 5 each on IFITM3, TMPRSS2, TNFα), enrolling 21,452 participants, of them 9401 were COVID-19 confirmed cases. ACE1 rs4646994 and rs1799752, ACE2 rs2285666, TMPRSS2 rs12329760, IFITM3 rs12252 and TNFα rs1800629 were identifies as common polymorphisms. Our MA showed an association between genetic polymorphisms and susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection for IFITM3 rs12252 CC (OR 5.67) and CT (OR 1.64) genotypes. Furthermore, MA uncovered that both ACE DD (OR 1.27) and IFITM3 CC (OR 2.26) genotypes carriers had a significantly increased risk of developing severe COVID‐19.

Discussion

These results provide a critical evaluation of genetic polymorphisms as predictors in SARS-CoV-2 infection. ACE1 DD and IFITM3 CC polymorphisms would lead to a genetic predisposition for severe lung injury in patients with COVID-19.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10238-023-01038-9.

Keywords: SARS-CoV-2, Polymorphism, Meta-analysis

Background

The infection by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), causing the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), has emerged as a global health problem. The mechanism underlying the infection was studies by several authors to identify main cause of susceptibility, and responsible factors of severe form of COVID-19. Polymorphism in genes mediating virus entry in target cells has been at the centre of attention. To entry into cells, the virus uses angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) as the major receptor for viral entry in humans. SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoprotein binds via its receptor-binding domain (RDB) with a high affinity to human ACE2 and mediates virus internalization [1]. This phenomenon suggests that this gene as a factor for increasing susceptibility to disease [2]. Likewise, the presence of polymorphism in ACE1 has been shown to be associated with COVID-19 [3]. Indeed, several studies have also demonstrated an association between the frequency of ACE D/D polymorphism and both prevalence and mortality rates of COVID-19 [4, 5].

Single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the ACE and ACE2 genes have been described, and their association with the risk of various diseases, included COVID-19 has been indicated [6]. In addition to ACE, several other molecules, such as the transmembrane protease serine 2 (TMPRSS2), are also involved in the process of SARS-CoV-2 virus entry [1]. TMPRSS2 facilitates the cleavage of the S protein, enabling membrane fusion and endocytic entry of the virus particles. This has suggested the hypothesis that genetic variability within the TMPRSS2 gene may play a role in determining SARS-CoV-2 infection [7, 8]. The Interferon-induced transmembrane proteins (IFITMs) play an important role in the antiviral defence in the adaptive and innate immune response [9], blocking the fusion of enveloped-viruses with the cell membranes. IFITMs seem to play a role also in the response to coronavirus as inhibitors of infection. In particular, polymorphisms in the IFITM3 genes would affect the susceptibility to viral infection [10]. Furthermore, the SARS‐CoV‐2 infection induces pathogenic T helper 1 (Th1) cells to secrete proinflammatory cytokines such interleukin‐1 (IL-1) and IL‐6, which, in turn, trigger CD14 + CD16 + inflammatory monocytes to generate large amounts of IL‐6, TNF‐α, and other cytokines. Genetic variations within some inflammatory cytokines, including TNFα, have been already associated with the increased risk of severe COVID-19 [11].

Thus, we conducted a comprehensive systematic review with meta‐analysis aimed to evaluate the association of genetic polymorphisms of ACE1, ACE2, IFITM3, TMPRSS2 and TNFα genes with the susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection and risk to develop severe COVID-19.

Methods

Protocol

The review protocol was registered in PROSPERO, the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (CRD42022356627). We followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses guideline for reporting systematic review [12].

Literature search

A systematic literature search was conducted in Medline (PubMed), EMBASE and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL). We scanned also reference lists of articles for additional records. Search strategy adopted was similar across the databases and it was developed using applying the following keywords: COVID-19, genetic polymorphisms, mutation, ACE1, ACE2, IFITM3, TMPRSS2 and TNFα. We limited the search to studies in humans and published in English, Italian or Spanish. The search was performed on May 2022.

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

We included studies meet the following inclusion criteria: (i) examined the association between genetic polymorphisms of genes of interest and susceptibility and severity to SARS-CoV-2 infection; (ii) enrolled human subjects with infection of SARS-CoV-2; (iii) reported the COVID-19-related SNPs and genes.

We excluded editorial, abstracts, conference proceedings, unpublished reports, review articles, meta-analyses, comments, editorials and repeated literature, animal studies and studies with human subjects involving other coronaviruses, studies that did not provide enough information or were performed on paediatric patients. Our approach was ‘inclusive’ so as to obtain a pragmatic overall picture of research in this field.

Selection of studies

Two investigators (VP and MC) independently screened title and abstract of each citation included in reference list of potentially eligible studies. After examining the entire text of the retrieved documents, only those articles satisfying the inclusion criteria were included. Any disagreements were resolved by discussion and consensus.

Data extraction

We collected information about characteristic of: (i) the publication (author, year of publication, and country), (ii) included study (study design and total number of patients included), (iii) the study population (age and gender), and (iv) outcomes of interest (prevalence of each genotype, and association between SNP and susceptibility and severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection).

Quality assessment

The Newcastle–Ottawa Scale (NOS) [13] was used to evaluate quality of eligible cohort and case‐control studies included in this systematic review with meta‐analysis. Two authors (VP and MC) independently evaluated each included study considering the following domains: selection, comparability, and exposure. The maximum NOS scores of each domain were 4, 2, and 3 stars, respectively. The study was rated as high quality if it received a total score of 7–9, moderate quality with a total score of 4–6, or low quality with a total score of 0–3 stars.

Statistical analysis

We stratified studies by genes and carried out meta-analyses for each polymorphism. Pooled odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) was calculated. We assessed the presence of heterogeneity utilising the I-squared statistics (I2), which estimates the percentage of variation between study results that is due to heterogeneity rather than sampling error. The I2 statistics indicates the percentage of the overall variability that is due to between-study (or inter-study) variability, as opposed to within-study (or intra-study) variability. An I2 value smaller than 50% reveals low heterogeneity, I2 included between 50 and 75% moderate heterogeneity, and I2 greater than 75% substantial heterogeneity. In the absence of heterogeneity between studies, we pooled data using Mantel–Haenszel methods for a fixed-effects model [14], otherwise we combined the studies using the random-effects model [15]. Meta-analysis was performed when at least three articles studying the same subgroup were available. A p value < 0.05 was considered as statistically significant. Analyses were performed with the REVMAN 5.4 (The Cochrane Collaboration, The Nordic Cochrane Centre, Copenhagen, Denmark) software.

Results

Studies identification and selection

The literature search, after the exclusion of duplicates and irrelevant records, identified 2508 references. Of these, 2435 were excluded because they did not meet the inclusion criteria. There were 73 studies considered eligible for inclusion and details were obtained from full texts. From full-text analysis, further 38 texts were excluded, leaving a total of 35 studies [6, 11, 1648] included in this systematic review (Fig. 1).

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

PRISMA flow diagram of the studies selection process

Characteristics of included studies

We included 35 studies (enrolling 21,452 participants, of them 9401 COVID-19 confirmed cases), 20 on ACE, 5 on TMPRSS2, 5 on IFITM3, and 5 on TNFα. We included ten cohort studies and 25 case–control studies. Overall, the number of participants ranged from 39 to 4759. ACE1 rs4646994 and rs1799752, ACE2 rs2285666, TMPRSS2 rs12329760 and IFTM3 rs12252 were identifies as common polymorphisms. Details are reported in Table 1.

Table 1.

Characteristics of included studies

Author Study design Country Genotyping method Gene Polymorphism N participants Male (%) N patients with COVID 19 NOS SCORE
Akbari et al. [16] Case–control Iran PCR ACE 1 rs1799752 182 105 (56) 91 7
Aladag e al. [17] Cross-sectional Turkey PCR ACE 1 rs4646994 412 112 6
Alimorandi et al. [18] Case–control Iran PCR ACE 1 rs4343 129 67 (52) 79 9
ACE 2 rs2285666
Annunziata et al. [19] Case–control Italy RT-PCR ACE 1 I/D polymorphism 39 20 6
Bastug et al. [20] Cohort Turkey RT-PCR ACE 1 rs1799752 100 59 (59) 100 8
Cafiero et al. [21] Cross-sectional Italy PCR ACE 1 rs1799752 104 58 (56) 104 6
ACE 2 rs2074192
ACE 2 rs2106809
Calabrese et al. [22] Case–control Italy Not Reported ACE 1 rs1799752 290 68 7
Celik et al. [23] Cohort Turkey PCR ACE 1 ACE I/D 155 78 (50) 155 5
ACE 2 rs2106809
Gomez et al. [6] Case–control Spain PCR ACE 1 rs4646994 740 373 (50) 204 8
ACE2 rs2285666
Gong et al. [24] Case–control China PCR ACE 1 I/D polymorphism 862 419 8
Gunal et al. [25] Cohort Turkey (RT)-qPCR ACE 1 I/D polymorphism 90 59 (65) 90 8
Hubacek et al. [26] Case–control Czech Republic PCR ACE 1 rs4646994 I/D polymorphism 2969 1388 (47) 410 8
Kouhpayeh et al. [27] Case–control Iran RT-PCR ACE 1 rs4646994 504 276 (55) 258 8
Mahmood et al. [28] Cohort Iraq PCR ACE 1 rs4646994 195 98 (50) 99 8
ACE 2 rs2285666 G/A
Martınez-Gomez et al. [29] Cross-sectional Mexico RT-PCR ACE 1 I/D polymorphism 481 290 (60) 481 7
ACE 2 rs2285666
ACE 2 rs2074192
Mir et al. [30] Case–control Saudi Arabia RT-qPCR ACE 1 rs4646994 I/D 267 185 (69) 117 8
Mohlendick et al. [31] Cohort Germany RT-PCR ACE 1 rs1799752 550 323 (59) 297 8
ACE 2 rs2285666
Papadopoulou et al. [32] Case–control Greece PCR ACE 1 I/D polymorphism 397 - 81 8
Saad et al. [33] Case–control Lebanon PCR ACE 1 rs1799752 358 195 (54) 232 9
Verma et al. [34] Cohort India PCR- AFLP ACE 1 rs4646994 269 170 (63) 269 6
Alghamdi et al. [35] Cohort Saudi Arabia PCR IFTM3 rs12252 880 825 6
Cuesta-Llavona et al. [36] Case–control Spain RT-PCR IFTM3 rs34481144 C/T 666 369 (55) 484 2
rs12252 A/G
Gomez et al. [37] Case–control Spain RT-PCR IFTM3 rs12252 751 374 (50) 311 7
Schonfelder et al. [38] Case–control Germany RT-PCR IFTM3 rs12252 492 288 (59) 239 8
rs34481144
Zhang et al. [39] Cohort China Not Reported IFTM3 rs12252 80 33 (41) 80 8
Andolfo et al. [40] Cohort Italy TaqMan, WES TMPRSS2 rs12329760 4759 996 7
Ravikanth et al. [41] Cohort India WES TMPRSS2 rs12329760 1030 809 (79) 510 8
Rokni et al. [42] Case–control Iran RTqPCR TMPRSS2 s12329760 C/T 576 325 (56) 288 9
rs75603675 C/A
rs17854725 A/G
rs4303795 A/G
Schonfelder et al. [43] Case–control Germany RT-PCR TMPRSS2 rs2070788 G/A 492 288 (59) 239 7
rs12329760 C/T
rs383510 T/C
Wulandari et al. [44] Cohort Indonesia PCR TMPRSS2 rs12329760 95 60 (63) 95 7
Ali et al. [45] Case–control Iraq rRT PCR TNFα rs1800629 239 104 (44) 125 6
Fishchuk et al. [46] Cohort Ukraine PCR–RFLP TNFα rs1800629 31 16 (52) 31 6
Heidari Nia et al. [47] Case–control Iran RT-PCR TNFα rs1800629 550 316 (57) 275 8
Rokni et al. [48] Case–control Iran PCR–RFLP TNFα rs1800629 634 359 (57) 317 9
Saleh et al. [11] Case–control Egypt RT-qPCR TNFα rs1800629 1084 600 (55) 900 9

Methodological quality of included studies

Following the NOS, the most of included studies (n = 26, 74%) were of high methodological quality (7–9 stars), while eight studies (23%) were of moderate quality (4–6 stars) and only one study was of scarce quality (Table1).

Susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection

Thirty-five studies reported data about allele and genotype frequencies of ACE1 rs4646994, ACE1 rs1799752, ACE2 rs2285666, IFITM3 rs12252, TMPRSS2 rs12329760 and TNFα (Table 1).

For ACE1, ACE2, TMPRSS2, and TNFα, meta-analyses showed not significant association between genetic polymorphisms and SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients tested positive respected to negative, with high heterogeneity among included studies (Table 2).

Table 2.

Meta-analyses on susceptibility considering different genotypes

ACE1_rs4646994_rs1799752Gene N studies Cases Controls OR (95% CI) p I2
Events Total Events Total
ACE1_rs4646994_rs1799752
DD 10 750 20,664 1405 4827 1.41 (0.97–2.05) 0.07 87%
DI 10 917 2398 0.8 (0.51–1.26) 0.34 92%
II 10 399 1034 0.69 (0.48–1) 0.05 80%
ACE2_rs2285666
GG 4 368 679 409 935 1.27 (0.58–2.82) 0.55 90%
AG 4 96 149 0.77 (0.46–1.29) 0.33 64%
AA 4 44 54 1.12 (0.26–4.82) 0.88 84%
IFTM3_rs12252
CC 3 9 1034 0 875 5.67 (1.01–31.77) 0.05 0%
CT 3 101 55 1.64 (1.15–2.33) 0.007 0%
TT 3 924 820 0.56 (0.39–0.79) 0.001 0%
TMPRSS2_rs12329760
CC 4 1165 2033 3094 4824 0.87 (0.68–1.11) 0.27 72%
CT 4 718 1456 1.10 (0.94–1.3) 0.24 37%
TT 4 150 254 1.01 (0.54–1.91) 0.97 84%
TNFα_rs1800629
AA 4 543 1617 170 890 1.11 (0.51–2.40) 0.79 89%
GA 4 601 366 1.22 (0.74–2.01) 0.44 85%
GG 4 473 360 0.63 (0.29–1.38) 0.25 94%

The association between IFITM3 rs12252 and COVID-19 susceptibility was evaluated in three studies including 1034 COVID-19 positive patients and 875 controls. Meta-analysis showed a significant association with C recessive (OR 5.67, 95% CI 1.01–31.77; p = 0.05; I2 = 0%, Fig. 2) and CT heterozygous models (OR 1.64, 95% CI 1.15–2.33; p = 0.007; I2 = 0%, Fig. 2).

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Forest plot on IFTM3 rs12252 association with COVID-19 susceptibility

Severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection

The association between COVID-19 severity and ACE1 rs4646994 and ACE1 rs1799752 was evaluated in 15 studies (1223 patients with severe disease). Meta-analyses showed that the DD genotype was associated with an increased risk of severe disease (OR 1.61, 95% CI 1.21–2.14; p = 0.001; Table 3, Fig. 3) respect to patients with not severe disease, with high heterogeneity among included studies (I2 = 60%).

Table 3.

Meta-analyses on severity considering different genotypes

Gene N studies Severe disease Not severe disease OR (95% CI) p I2
Events Total Events Total
ACE1_rs4646994_rs1799752
DD 15 422 1223 565 1977 1.61 (1.21–2.14) 0.001 60%
DI 13 484 1155 815 1855 0.87 (0.68–1.11) 0.27 50%
II 15 273 1223 511 1977 0.67 (0.49–0.93) 0.02 55%
ACE2_rs2285666
GG 4 290 480 284 454 1.47 (0.77–2.80) 0.24 62%
AG 4 64 105 0.51 (0.35–0.74) 0.0005 0%
AA 4 126 65 0.89 (0.31–2.54) 0.83 61%
IFTM3_rs12252
CC 4 16 332 21 782 2.26 (1.05–4.89) 0.04 0%
CT 4 41 97 1.00 (0.67–1.49) 0.98 39%
TT 4 275 664 0.82 (0.55–1.21) 0.32 0%
TMPRSS2_rs12329760
CC 4 145 384 367 749 0.92 (0.45–1.91) 0.83 83%
CT 4 172 302 1.04 (0.68–1.59) 0.86 54%
TT 4 67 80 0.93 (0.46–1.87) 0.84 41%
TNFα_rs1800629
AA 5 420 896 125 752 1.91 (0.44–8.32) 0.39 94%
GA 5 316 292 0.87 (0.58–1.3) 0.50 61%
GG 5 160 335 0.36 (0.07–1.75) 0.20 95%

Meta-analyses with p < 0.005 are in bold

Fig. 3.

Fig. 3

Forest plot on ACE association with COVID-19 severity

A significant association between ACE1 polymorphism with an increased risk to develop severe disease was observed in dominant (OR 1.50), homozygous (OR 1.53) and additive (OR 1.4) models (Table 4, Supplemental Figure I), while there was not association in recessive model (Table 4).

Table 4.

Meta-analyses on severity considering different genetic models

Gene N studies N participants OR (95% CI) p I2
ACE1_rs4646994_rs1799752
Dominant (DD vs II + DI) 13 3042 1.50 (1.10–2.06) 0.01 67%
Recessive (DD + ID vs II) 13 3105 1.31 (0.94–1.81) 0.11 59%
Homozygous (DD vs II) 13 1720 1.53 (1.23–1.9) 0.0002 63%
Additive () 13 2275 1.41 (1.02–1.94) 0.04 62%
ACE2_rs2285666
Dominant (GG + GA vs AA) 3 454 2.24 (0.90- 5.61) 0.08 0%
Recessive (GG vs GA + AA) 3 454 2.18 (1.28- 3.72) 0.04 16%
Homozygous (GG vs AA) 3 370 2.52 (1.00—6.33) 0.05 0%
Additive (GG vs GA) 3 418 2.03 (1.10- 3.76) 0.02 0%
IFTM3_rs12252
Dominant (CC + CT vs TT) 3 630 1.14 (0.68- 1.94) 0.61 0%
Recessive (CC vs CT + TT) 3 630 2.27 (0.98- 5.25) 0.05 0%
Homozygous (CC vs TT) 3 539 1.60 (0.58- 4.42) 0.37 0%
Additive (CC vs CT) 3 124 2.60 (1.04- 6.52) 0.04 0%
TMPRSS2_rs12329760
Dominant (CC + CT vs TTI) 4 2492 0.72 (0.04- 12.18) 0.82 96%
Recessive (CC vs CT + TT) 4 1132 0.92 (0.44- 1.89) 0.82 83%
Homozygous (CC vs TT) 4 659 1.08 (0.33- 3.47) 0.90 73%
Additive (CC vs CT) 4 986 0.89 (0.44- 1.80) 0.74 80%
TNFα_rs1800629
Dominant (AA + AG vs GG) 4 748 1.17 (0.85–1.60) 0.34 38%
Recessive (AA vs AG + GG) 4 440 1.26 (0.82–1.92) 0.29 0%
Homozygous (AA vs GG) 4 428 1.14 (0.96–1.36) 0.14 0%
Additive (AA vs GA) 4 445 1.13 (0.72–1.77) 0.61 0%

The association between COVID-19 severity and ACE2 rs2285666 polymorphism was evaluated in four studies enrolling 480 patients with severe disease. Meta-analysis showed that this polymorphism was not associated with an increased risk to develop severe disease respect to patients with not severe disease (Table 3). Likewise, this polymorphism was not associated with an increased risk to develop severe disease in any genetic model, but meta-analyses showed high heterogeneity among included studies. After the exclusion of the Martinez-Gomez study [29] in the sensitivity analysis, meta-analyses showed a significant association in recessive, homozygous and additive models without heterogeneity among included studies (Table 4, Supplemental Figure II).

Four studies, including 332 patients with severe disease and 782 with not severe disease, evaluated the association between IFTM3 rs12252 and COVID-19 severity with a significant association for the C recessive model (OR 2.26, 95% CI 1.05–4.89; p = 0.04; I2 = 0%, Table 3, Fig. 4). No significant association was observed under any genetic model (Table 4).

Fig. 4.

Fig. 4

Forest plot on IFTM3 rs12252 association with COVID-19 severity

The association between COVID-19 severity and TMPRSS2 rs12329760 polymorphism was evaluated in four studies enrolling 384 patients with severe disease. Meta-analysis showed that this polymorphism was not associated with an increased risk to develop severe disease respect to patients with not severe disease (Table 3). Likewise, no association between polymorphism and a higher risk to develop severe disease was observed under any genetic model (Table 4).

The association between COVID-19 severity and TNFα rs1800629 polymorphism was evaluated in five studies enrolling 896 patients with severe disease. Meta-analysis showed that this polymorphism was not associated with an increased risk to develop severe disease respect to patients with not severe disease (Table 3). Likewise, no association between polymorphism and a higher risk to develop severe disease was observed under any genetic model, even after the exclusion of the Saleh study [11] in the sensitivity analysis (Table 4).

Mortality

The association with death was analysed in three studies for ACE1 [25, 30, 31] including 98 patients who died and 406 survivors, three for IFITM3 [35, 36, 39] including 121 subjects who died and 991 survivors, two for TMPRSS2 [42, 44] including 30 subjects who died and 290 survivors, and three for TNFα [11, 47, 48] including 112 subjects who died and 1380 survivors.

Meta-analyses showed that the ACE 1 II genotype seem to be associated with an increased risk of death (OR 2; 95% CI 1.17–3.42, p = 0.01, I2 = 34%, Table 5, Fig. 5). No significant association was observed for TMPRSS2 and TNFα (Table 5).

Table 5.

Meta-analyses on mortality considering different genotypes

Gene N studies Died Survivors OR (95% CI) P I2
Events Total Events Total
ACE1_rs4646994_rs1799752
DD 3 27 98 180 406 0.42 (0.25–0.69) 0.0006 51%
DI 3 43 141 1.44 (0.90–2.30) 0.13 0%
II 3 28 85 2.00 (1.17–3.42) 0.01 34%
ACE2_rs2285666
GG 1 41 46 189 251 2.69 (1.02–7.11) 0.05 n.a
AG 1 4 36 0.57 (0.19–1.68) 0.31 n.a
AA 1 1 26 0.19 (0.03–1.45) 0.11 n.a
IFTM3_rs12252
CC 3 3 121 31 991 2.52 (0.59–10.84) 0.21 0%
CT 3 27 183 1.58 (0.99–2.54) 0.06 0%
TT 3 88 762 0.58 (0.37–0.91) 0.02 0%
TMPRSS2_rs12329760
CC 2 3 30 74 290 0.30 (0.08–1.07) 0.06 0%
CT 2 19 128 2.29 (1.02–5.16) 0.04 25%
TT 2 7 79 0.81 (0.34–1.96) 0.65 37%
TNFα_rs1800629
AA 3 70 112 533 1380 2.4 (0.08–70.13) 0.61 93%
GA 3 25 539 0.39 (0.06–2.43) 0.31 87%
GG 3 10 308 0.35 (0.05–2.75) 0.32 81%

n.a. not applicable

Fig. 5.

Fig. 5

Forest plot on ACE1 association with mortality

Discussion

This systematic review with meta-analysis includes all relevant studies providing evidence about the association of genetic variation in some genes of interest and SARS-CoV-2 infection susceptibility or risk to develop severe COVID-19.

Selected genes included ACE1, ACE2, IFITM3, TMPRSS2 and TNFα based on their involvement in SARS-CoV-2 tropism to the human cells. Several studies have found that SARS-CoV-2, to enter into host cells, utilizes ACE2 to attach the receptor-binding domain (RBD) and TMPRSS2 to cleave the spike (S) protein and also helps the virus escape the immune system [49]. Hence, genetic variations among some molecules responsible for cellular entry might alter the observed responses to virus infection among different individuals [1]. Given the involvement of these proteins in the entry of SARS-CoV-2 into host cells, as well as host-immune response to the virus, the relationship with disease severity may be due to single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the corresponding genes.

For ACE1, ACE2, TMPRSS2 and TNFα, our meta-analysis showed no significant association in test positive respect to negative subjects. For IFITM3 was a higher susceptibility for patients with C allele. Although the evaluated SNPs have been reportedly associated with viral pathogenesis, the results on host susceptibility indicated no connections between genetic polymorphisms of those genes and COVID‐19 susceptibility, probably due to limited availability of studies. Furthermore, it is important to consider that numerous factors could influence vulnerability of a population to SARS‐CoV‐2 infection, such as age, gender, ethnicity, and co‐morbidities, in addition to genetic factors, and these factors are not considered in our work. [5052]

Furthermore, our results showed that ACE1 DD and IFITM3 CC polymorphisms could lead to a genetic predisposition for severe lung injury in patients infected by SARS-CoV-2. Notably, a significant association between ACE1 polymorphism and a higher risk to develop severe disease was observed for dominant, homozygous and additive models. Accordingly, also for ACE2 polymorphism, our meta-analyses, after the sensitivity analysis, showed a significant association with developing severe disease for recessive, homozygous and additive models. The inclusion of Martinez-Gomez study in the meta-analysis reversed results and increased heterogeneity from 0 to 97%. Patients with IFITM3 CC genotype presented higher risk to develop severe COVID-19. Finally, meta-analyses showed that the ACE 1 II genotype seem to be associated with an increased risk of death, instead no significant association was observed for TMPRSS2 and TNFα.

Despite this systematic review with meta-analysis contributes to our current understanding of host genetic susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection, the following limitation should be considered. First, small number of studies was included, reducing the statistical power of the analysis. Second, included studies enrolled patients came from Europe and Asia, limiting our conclusions to a narrow ethnic group. Thirty, the analysis not considered co-founding factors, including age, gender and comorbidity that may influence the infection prognosis.

The course of SARS-CoV-2 infection can differ greatly among individuals, ranging from asymptomatic to severe disease and death. The factors that underlying these clinical manifestations are still under debate. Several studies showed that multiple viral factors such as the number of viral particles and mutations in the virus genome can influence the disease severity [53]. However, our meta-analyses showed that the genetic background of the host could influence the severity of the infection and disease outcome. Similarly, host factors such as race, age, gender, immune status, diabetes, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, chronic respiratory disease or cancer, might influence the symptoms and outcome of disease. Unfortunately, the studies included in our work not reported these information. Other studies are needed to confirm their role on susceptibility and severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Finding the factors that affect the virulence of SARS-CoV-2 will contribute to the development of appropriate treatment strategies and better infection control.

As in our review, studies included in previous works contributed with few data about severity. In fact, our results are aligned with finding reported by de Araújo [54] about ACE1 association with COVID-19 severity. In addition, our meta-analysis showed a higher risk to develop severe disease for patients with ACE1 dominant genotype, as reported in a previous systematic review [55].

In virology, is well known that the host genetic background plays a pivotal role in determining susceptibility to viral infections. The genetic characteristics of the host influence the recognition of viral particles, presentation of viral peptides to the host-immune system and neutralization of the viral infection. Likewise, host genetic variants of genes and innate immunity might alter susceptibility, and prognosis of COVID-19. Evidences suggest that genetic variants contribute to individual variability in human immunity, and these may affect innate and adaptive responses to SARS-CoV-2 infection.

As has been described for the other coronaviruses, host genetic variation may influence the susceptibility, severity, and overall clinical outcomes of COVID-19. Due to the emergence of the SARS‐CoV‐2, few studies evaluating the genetic characteristics of the host cell on susceptibility to the COVID‐19 has been conducted.

To identify genetic determinants of COVID-19 susceptibility, severity, and outcomes, an international COVID-19 host genetics initiative (https://www.covid19hg.org/) has been launched. This project aims to analyse genetic information for millions of individuals in order to identify genetic variants associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection as well as COVID-19 hospitalization and disease severity. Recently published meta-analyses conducted whiting the COVID-19 HGI project, identified 13 genomic loci that are significantly associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection and/or COVID-19 severity confirming that this disease has a strong underlying genetic component [56].

We now know that some host cell molecule, such as ACE and TMPRSS2, are used by SARS-CoV-2 for cell entry and spike protein cleavage, and their polymorphisms gave an impact on COVID-19 susceptibility. In addition, also individual biological characteristics such as ethnicity, age and gender, carry specificity variants of genes directly involved in viral infection, and differential expression of these genes may have different susceptibility to COVID-19, which may explain the broad spectrum of symptoms and severity of disease. Currently, the physiological basis of this heterogeneous predisposition is unknown, and population studies integrating analysis of genetic variant and immunogenetic are need to understand the inter-individual variability of COVID-19 severity [57].

Furthermore, understanding the interaction between SARS-CoV-2 and host antiviral defence mechanism could be fundamental to create effective vaccines. But many questions about the genetic variants and immunity mechanisms remain without answer. Main gaps which should be filled to fully understand the disease prevention, pathogenesis and treatment are about: [1] the role of host genes (such as ACE and TMPRSS2) on SARS-CoV-2 infection; (2) the association between individual characteristics (ethnicity, gender, and age) and clinical outcomes; (3) the effects of viral mutations and recombination on infectivity, transmissibility and disease severity in consideration of host factors which influence host gene expression.

In conclusion, genetic polymorphism of ACE1 and IFITM3 is associated with higher risk of severe COVID-19, but further studies considering ethnicity and comorbidities of patients are need to corroborate our results.

Supplementary Information

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

Author Contributions

All the authors have accepted responsibility for the entire content of this submitted manuscript and approved submission. VP conceived and designed the systematic review. VP designed and implemented the search strategy. VP and MC extracted data and performed the quality assessment of included studies. VP analysed data. VP wrote the paper. All authors were involved in the critical revision of the intellectual content of the manuscript.

Funding

The authors received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.

Declarations

Conflict of interests

The authors declared no potential conflict of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.

Footnotes

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Contributor Information

Valentina Pecoraro, Email: v.pecoraro@ausl.mo.it.

Michela Cuccorese, Email: m.cuccorese@ausl.mo.it.

Tommaso Trenti, Email: t.trenti@ausl.mo.it.

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