Abstract
Background
We describe demographic features, treatments and clinical outcomes in the International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) COVID-19 cohort, one of the world's largest international, standardized data sets concerning hospitalized patients.
Methods
The data set analysed includes COVID-19 patients hospitalized between January 2020 and January 2022 in 52 countries. We investigated how symptoms on admission, co-morbidities, risk factors and treatments varied by age, sex and other characteristics. We used Cox regression models to investigate associations between demographics, symptoms, co-morbidities and other factors with risk of death, admission to an intensive care unit (ICU) and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV).
Results
Data were available for 689 572 patients with laboratory-confirmed (91.1%) or clinically diagnosed (8.9%) SARS-CoV-2 infection from 52 countries. Age [adjusted hazard ratio per 10 years 1.49 (95% CI 1.48, 1.49)] and male sex [1.23 (1.21, 1.24)] were associated with a higher risk of death. Rates of admission to an ICU and use of IMV increased with age up to age 60 years then dropped. Symptoms, co-morbidities and treatments varied by age and had varied associations with clinical outcomes. The case-fatality ratio varied by country partly due to differences in the clinical characteristics of recruited patients and was on average 21.5%.
Conclusions
Age was the strongest determinant of risk of death, with a ∼30-fold difference between the oldest and youngest groups; each of the co-morbidities included was associated with up to an almost 2-fold increase in risk. Smoking and obesity were also associated with a higher risk of death. The size of our international database and the standardized data collection method make this study a comprehensive international description of COVID-19 clinical features. Our findings may inform strategies that involve prioritization of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 who have a higher risk of death.
Keywords: COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, cohort study, risk of death, co-morbidities, symptoms, treatments
Key Messages.
Several studies have investigated the risks of severe illness and death due to infection with SARS-CoV-2, providing estimates of the case-fatality ratio in different settings and risk factors for these outcomes, but these tended to be national studies conducted over a short time period.
We show how clinical presentation and risks of death and admission to an intensive care unit vary with patient characteristics based on a very large number of patient records from 52 countries, collected using standardized data collection tools.
Age was the strongest determinant of risk; pre-existing co-morbidities and male sex were also associated with higher risk of death.
Smoking and obesity are modifiable risk factors that are associated with a higher risk of death.
Our findings may inform strategies that involve prioritization of patients, globally, who have a higher risk of adverse outcomes if hospitalized with COVID-19, as well as prevention strategies.
Introduction
To respond to COVID-19, policymakers and clinicians need robust data to drive the decision-making processes that save or cost lives. Observational cohort data describing clinical characteristics and the likelihood of severe outcomes can guide health policy development, produce research hypotheses for clinical trials and improve clinical guidelines for patient care.1 Across the world, multiple cohort studies have described the clinical impact of the COVID-19 pandemic2–8 but heterogeneity in study features makes combining and comparing the findings challenging.
The Clinical Characterisation Protocol (CCP) developed by the International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) and the World Health Organization (WHO)9 has helped researchers across the world to collect and analyse clinical data.10 Thanks to this international co-operation, it has been possible to produce a truly global cohort study using standardized clinical data. The growing data set has been analysed regularly, with results shared via reports,11 and the data set has been used to address specific research questions.12,13
We present data from an international cohort of almost 700 000 patients from 1380 sites across 52 countries. We summarize the demographic features and clinical presentation of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in low-, middle- and high-resource settings. We characterize the variability in clinical features in these patients and explore the risk factors associated with mortality, and the need for intensive care and mechanical ventilation, on a global scale. We aimed to report a general description of this international data set 2 years after the beginning of the pandemic, to estimate the frequency of co-morbidities, risk factors, symptoms and use of different treatments, and to estimate the risk of severe clinical outcomes and the associations of various factors with risk of these outcomes.
Methods
Study
We used international prospective observational data of clinical features and outcomes of patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19. The ISARIC/WHO CCP, incorporating Short PeRiod IncideNce sTudy of Severe Acute Respiratory Infection (SPRINT-SARI),14 is a standardized protocol for investigations of (re-)emerging pathogens of public health interest. All data were stored at a central repository at the University of Oxford, England. Patients with clinically suspected or laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infection were enrolled in the study. Participating sites used the ISARIC case report form15 to enter data onto a Research Electronic Data Capture (REDCap, version 8.11.11, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN) database or used local databases (Supplementary Methods, available as Supplementary data at IJE online) before uploading to the central data repository. Centrally collated data were wrangled and mapped to the structure and controlled terminologies of Study Data Tabulation Model (version 1.7, Clinical Data Interchange Standards Consortium, Austin, TX) using Trifacta® software. The data collection, aggregation, curation and harmonization process has been previously described.16 The first patient was enrolled on 30 January 2020. This analysis includes all patients whose data were entered up to 5 January 2022.
Participants
We included hospitalized patients of any age with clinically or laboratory-diagnosed COVID-19. This analysis included patients admitted to hospital in any of the countries which contributed data. It also includes a small subset of asymptomatic patients who were admitted to the hospital purely for isolation (<1%).
Statistical analysis
We excluded patients with missing age or sex from all analyses (Figure 1). Additionally, we excluded from analyses of symptoms or treatments sites that did not record information on these two sets of variables. We calculated medians and interquartile ranges (IQRs) for continuous variables and proportions for categorical variables. We calculated proportions of patients who met each of the WHO, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) of the USA, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) and Public Health England (PHE) symptom-based case definitions (Supplementary Methods, available as Supplementary data at IJE online). We calculated case-fatality ratios (CFRs) overall, by country and by month, using the method suggested by Ghani et al.17 We calculated inverse-variance weighted CFRs by country.
Patients were followed up from hospital admission to death, discharge or censoring, whichever occurred first. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association of demographic variables, co-morbidities and symptoms at admission (unless symptom onset was after admission) with risk of death, admission to an intensive care unit (ICU) or a high-dependency unit (hereafter referred to collectively as ICU) or use of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). Individuals were censored if they were lost to follow-up (e.g. transferred to another facility) or remained in hospital on 6 January 2022. Time from symptom onset to the time of death or censoring, whichever occurred earlier, was used as the timescale. Patients were considered at risk from the time of symptom onset or admission, whichever occurred later. For all outcomes, censoring times of discharged patients were modified and set to be equal to the maximum time to censoring/event (to account for informative censoring). For associations with admission to an ICU, the timescale was from symptom onset to the earliest of admission to an ICU, death, discharge and censoring. The event was admission to an ICU. For associations with receipt of IMV, the timescale was from symptom onset to the earliest of IMV, death, discharge and censoring. The event was IMV. Models were adjusted for age and sex, and stratified by country. We grouped countries with <50 individuals into a single category. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs were estimated. We assessed the proportional hazards assumption using scaled Schoenfeld residuals. For explanatory variables with multiple categories (such as age groups), we used quasi-standard errors18 to facilitate comparisons between any two groups.
We repeated the main analyses for patients with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 only, as a sensitivity analysis. For associations of age and sex with risk of death, we also estimated HRs within each country and calculated an overall HR using inverse-variance weighting. For age, sex and co-morbidities, we also estimated associations within the first (2020) and second year (2021) of the pandemic.
In total, 9442 individuals had missing age or sex (Figure 1) and were excluded from the analysis. Missingness for other variables among included patients varied from 2% to 93%. For analyses on the prevalence of co-morbidities, risk factors, symptoms or treatments, ‘missing’ is shown as a separate category in all tables and figures. For analyses on associations with outcomes, a complete case approach was used.
Analysis was performed using R version 4.1.1 and packages survival, ggplot2, qvcalc and finalfit.
Patient and public involvement
This was an urgent public health research study in response to a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Patients or the public were not involved in the design, conduct or reporting of this rapid response research. ISARIC, ISARIC4C, the National Institute of Communicable Diseases South Africa and other collaborators have public facing websites (isaric.org; isaric4c.net; nicd.ac.za) and social media accounts to disseminate findings. The contributing individuals and institutions engage with print and internet press, television, radio, news and documentary programme makers to share evidence with the public and invite feedback.
Results
Participants’ characteristics
In total, 689 572 patients (Figure 1) were included from 1380 sites in 52 countries (Figure 2 and Supplementary Figure S1, available as Supplementary data at IJE online). Overall, 91.1% of the participants included in the primary analysis had a positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR test (Table 1); 49.4% were male and the median age was 58 years (range 0 to 119, IQR 30). The median time from the latest of symptom onset or admission to discharge, death or date last known to be alive was 6 (IQR 10) days. Among 679 194 individuals with a known ICU admission status, 15.9% were admitted to an ICU, a third of whom were admitted directly (on the day of hospitalization). Oxygen saturation on presentation to hospital was reported for 34.8% of patients with a median SpO2 of 96% (IQR 4%).
Table 1.
N recorded (%) | Female | Male | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total N | 349 267 | 340 305 | 689 572 | ||
Age | 689 572 (100.0) | Median (IQR) | 57.0 (39.0 to 72.0) | 58.1 (45.0 to 72.0) | 58.0 (42.0 to 72.0) |
0–9 | 6863 (2.0) | 8624 (2.5) | 15 487 (2.2) | ||
10–19 | 9023 (2.6) | 6594 (1.9) | 15 617 (2.3) | ||
20–29 | 27 684 (7.9) | 15 233 (4.5) | 42 917 (6.2) | ||
30–39 | 44 367 (12.7) | 32 124 (9.4) | 76 491 (11.1) | ||
40–49 | 44 562 (12.8) | 48 309 (14.2) | 92 871 (13.5) | ||
50–59 | 60 856 (17.4) | 66 106 (19.4) | 126 962 (18.4) | ||
60–69 | 56 001 (16.0) | 63 357 (18.6) | 119 358 (17.3) | ||
70–79 | 48 288 (13.8) | 54 735 (16.1) | 103 023 (14.9) | ||
80–89 | 38 383 (11.0) | 36 251 (10.7) | 74 634 (10.8) | ||
90+ | 13 240 (3.8) | 8972 (2.6) | 22 212 (3.2) | ||
Region | 689 572 (100.0) | East Asia and Pacific | 2551 (0.7) | 5565 (1.6) | 8116 (1.2) |
Europe and Central Asia | 108 670 (31.1) | 133 306 (39.2) | 241 976 (35.1) | ||
Latin America and Caribbean | 1451 (0.4) | 2618 (0.8) | 4069 (0.6) | ||
Middle East and North Africa | 400 (0.1) | 608 (0.2) | 1008 (0.1) | ||
North America | 3346 (1.0) | 4733 (1.4) | 8079 (1.2) | ||
South Asia | 5882 (1.7) | 11 226 (3.3) | 17 108 (2.5) | ||
Sub-Saharan Africa | 226 967 (65.0) | 182 249 (53.6) | 409 216 (59.3) | ||
Onset to admission (days) | 619 812 (89.9) | Median (IQR) | 0.0 (0.0 to 3.0) | 0.0 (0.0 to 5.0) | 0.0 (0.0 to 4.0) |
Length of hospital stay (days) | 689 572 (100.0) | Median (IQR) | 6.0 (2.0 to 11.0) | 6.0 (3.0 to 12.0) | 6.0 (2.0 to 12.0) |
Body mass index (kg/m²) | 18 582 (2.7) | Median (IQR) | 27.7 (23.5 to 32.5) | 27.3 (24.2 to 30.9) | 27.5 (24.0 to 31.2) |
Heart rate on admission (b.p.m.) | 229 125 (33.2) | Median (IQR) | 90.0 (79.0 to 103.0) | 90.0 (78.0 to 103.0) | 90.0 (79.0 to 103.0) |
Systolic blood pressure on admission (mmHg) | 236 114 (34.2) | Median (IQR) | 128.0 (114.0 to 144.0) | 129.0 (116.0 to 143.0) | 129.0 (115.0 to 144.0) |
Diastolic blood pressure on admission (mmHg) | 236 097 (34.2) | Median (IQR) | 73.0 (65.0 to 82.0) | 75.0 (67.0 to 84.0) | 74.0 (66.0 to 83.0) |
Temperature on admission (degrees C) | 238 084 (34.5) | Median (IQR) | 37.0 (36.5 to 37.7) | 37.0 (36.5 to 37.8) | 37.0 (36.5 to 37.8) |
Oxygen saturation on admission (%) | 240 068 (34.8) | Median (IQR) | 96.0 (93.0 to 98.0) | 95.0 (92.0 to 97.0) | 96.0 (93.0 to 97.0) |
− On oxygen therapy | 78 961 (32.9%*) | Median (IQR) | 95.0 (92.0 to 97.0) | 95.0 (92.0 to 97.0) | 95.0 (92.0 to 97.0) |
− In room air | 150 585 (62.7%*) | Median (IQR) | 96.0 (94.0 to 98.0) | 96.0 (93.0 to 97.0) | 96.0 (93.0 to 98.0) |
− Unknown oxygenation status | 10 689 (4.5%*) | Median (IQR) | 96.0 (93.0 to 98.0) | 96.0 (93.0 to 97.0) | 96.0 (93.0 to 98.0) |
Respiratory rate on admission | 229 421 (33.3) | Median (IQR) | 20.0 (18.0 to 24.0) | 21.0 (18.0 to 26.0) | 20.0 (18.0 to 25.0) |
Admission to ICU | 674 753 (97.9) | Never | 300 046 (87.6) | 270 984 (81.6) | 571 030 (84.6) |
Later admission | 30 290 (8.8) | 38 720 (11.7) | 69 010 (10.2) | ||
Direct admission | 12 212 (3.6) | 22 501 (6.8) | 34 713 (5.1) | ||
Outcome | 689 572 (100.0) | Unknown outcome | 28 189 (8.1) | 33 706 (9.9) | 61 895 (9.0) |
Death | 69 878 (20.0) | 80 589 (23.7) | 150 467 (21.8) | ||
Discharge | 251 200 (71.9) | 226 010 (66.4) | 477 210 (69.2) | ||
SARS-CoV-2 status | 689 572 (100.0) | Positive | 314 139 (89.9) | 314 013 (92.3) | 628 152 (91.1) |
Unknown | 35 128 (10.1) | 26 292 (7.7) | 61 420 (8.9) |
Percentage of individuals with oxygen saturation recorded.
The majority of patients were recruited in South Africa (59.3%) and 31.1% in the UK (Table 1). Participants’ characteristics varied between patients admitted directly to an ICU, those admitted at a later time point and those never admitted (Supplementary Table S1, available as Supplementary data at IJE online). In particular there were differences in age, region and vital signs (heart and respiratory rate and blood pressure). Anthropometric variables and vital signs varied by age (Supplementary Table S2, available as Supplementary data at IJE online).
Presenting symptoms
The most common symptoms on presentation were shortness of breath (50%), cough (48.5%) and fever (44.3%) (Figure 3 and Supplementary Table S3, available as Supplementary data at IJE online). There was some variation by age and country (Supplementary Figure S2, available as Supplementary data at IJE online). Fatigue/malaise, cough and shortness of breath were most prevalent amongst patients who were 40–70 years old. The prevalence of altered consciousness/confusion increased with age and was reported in 28.4% of patients of >80 years of age. Loss or altered smell or taste were not commonly reported but there was a high proportion of missing values for these two symptoms (39.3% for loss of smell and 40.5% for taste). We have previously described the associations of age and gender with presenting symptoms.11 Prevalence of symptoms by age was similar when we restricted our analysis to patients with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 (Supplementary Figure S3, available as Supplementary data at IJE online) but there were more missing values among individuals with only a clinical diagnosis (Supplementary Figure S4, available as Supplementary data at IJE online). Altered consciousness/confusion, cough, fatigue/malaise, fever, shortness of breath and vomiting/nausea were more frequently reported in patients with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection than in those with a clinical diagnosis alone (Supplementary Figure S5, available as Supplementary data at IJE online).
Overall, 50–70% of patients met each of the international symptom-based case definitions. These proportions were higher among those with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection (CDC met by 64.0% vs 33.7% among laboratory-confirmed and clinically diagnosed, respectively, ECDC 68.7% vs 31.3%, PHE 61.3% vs 33.7%, WHO 49.2% vs 30.2%) (Supplementary Figure S6, available as Supplementary data at IJE online). Individuals aged 40–70 years were more likely to meet each of the four case definitions based on symptoms than patients at the extremes of the age distribution (Figure 4). Adults with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection were more likely to meet one of the four case definitions based on symptoms than those with only a clinical diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection, but the opposite was true amongst patients aged <20 years (Supplementary Figure S7, available as Supplementary data at IJE online).
Routine blood test results are shown in Supplementary Table S4 (available as Supplementary data at IJE online). The median white blood cell count (7.2 IQR 5.4–9.8 cells per litre) was normal but the median lymphocyte count was low (0.9 IQR 0.6–1.3 cells per litre) among participants with available data. The median C-reactive protein was high (74.0; IQR 30.0–138.0 mg/litre) but the median liver transaminase and median urea levels were unremarkable. Several median values for routine blood test results varied with age; with increasing age, the median lymphocyte count was lower, whereas the median urea was higher (Supplementary Figure S8, available as Supplementary data at IJE online).
Pre-existing co-morbidities and risk factors
The most common pre-existing co-morbidities were hypertension, diabetes and chronic cardiac disease (Figure 5 and Supplementary Table S5, available as Supplementary data at IJE online). Among 538 974 individuals with data available for any five or more co-morbidities or risk factors, 165 987 (30.8%) had no co-morbidities reported. The prevalence of most co-morbidities varied by age (Supplementary Figure S9, available as Supplementary data at IJE online). The prevalence of chronic cardiac disease, chronic kidney disease, dementia, hypertension and rheumatologic disorder increased with age. The prevalence of diabetes was highest in individuals aged 60–80 years. There were 26 776 patients with HIV infection, 11 384 with tuberculosis and 5044 with both; 25 368 of the patients with HIV infection and 11 137 patients with tuberculosis were from South Africa. Obesity was reported for 48 077 participants, smoking for 65 056 and pregnancy for 18 669.
Treatments
Of 275 051 patients with available data on oxygen therapy (98.0% of individuals included in the treatment analyses), 179 448 (65.2%) received oxygen therapy at any time during hospitalization, which was delivered via a high-flow nasal cannula to 55 541 (19.8%), by non-invasive ventilation (NIV) to 44 280 (15.8%) and IMV to 38 440 (13.7%) (Table 2). Type of oxygen supplementation received was not specified for 48.7%. As might be expected, a proportion of patients received multiple types of oxygen delivery systems during their admission [37 330 (20.8%)]. For instance, 41.8% of those receiving IMV also received oxygen delivered via NIV.
Table 2.
N recorded (%) | Female | Male | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total N (%) | 72 484 (40.4) | 106 964 (59.6) | 179 448 | ||
Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation | 173 972 (96.9) | No | 69 984 (99.1) | 102 052 (98.7) | 172 036 (98.9) |
Yes | 603 (0.9) | 1333 (1.3) | 1936 (1.1) | ||
Ever received invasive mechanical ventilation | 176 135 (98.2) | No | 58 745 (82.5) | 78 950 (75.2) | 137 695 (78.2) |
Yes | 12 462 (17.5) | 25 978 (24.8) | 38 440 (21.8) | ||
Ever received non-invasive ventilation | 177 313 (98.8) | No | 56 111 (78.3) | 76 922 (72.8) | 133 033 (75.0) |
Yes | 15 594 (21.7) | 28 686 (27.2) | 44 280 (25.0) | ||
High-flow nasal cannula | 163 908 (91.3) | No | 45 488 (68.5) | 62 879 (64.5) | 108 367 (66.1) |
Yes | 20 891 (31.5) | 34 650 (35.5) | 55 541 (33.9) | ||
Oxygen therapy via mask | 45 (0.0) | No | 17 (89.5) | 21 (80.8) | 38 (84.4) |
Yes | 2 (10.5) | 5 (19.2) | 7 (15.6) | ||
Nasal oxygen therapy | 45 (0.0) | No | 0 (0.0) | 2 (7.7) | 2 (4.4) |
Yes | 19 (100.0) | 24 (92.3) | 43 (95.6) | ||
Other or unspecified type of oxygen supplementation | 87 328 (48.7) | 38 922 (100.0) | 48 406 (100.0) | 87 328 (100.0) | |
Number of types of oxygen supplementation | 92 120 (51.3) | 1 | 20 998 (62.6) | 33 792 (57.7) | 54 790 (59.5) |
2 | 9240 (27.5) | 17 672 (30.2) | 26 912 (29.2) | ||
3 | 3203 (9.5) | 6836 (11.7) | 10 039 (10.9) | ||
4 | 121 (0.4) | 258 (0.4) | 379 (0.4) |
Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, invasive mechanical ventilation, non-invasive ventilation or high-flow nasal cannula.
The most used treatments were oxygen therapy, antibacterial agents and corticosteroids (Figure 6 and Supplementary Table S6, available as Supplementary data at IJE online). The proportion of patients receiving antibacterial agents increased with age, as did the proportion receiving corticosteroids up to ages 70–80 years (Supplementary Figure S10, available as Supplementary data at IJE online). Information on antibacterial treatment was available for 255 031 patients, 198 295 (77.8%) of whom received antibacterial agents; 126 391 of 262 385 of patients with data available (48.2%) received corticosteroids. The use of corticosteroids increased after the publication of results of the RECOVERY trial19 in June 2020 (Supplementary Figure S11, available as Supplementary data at IJE online), in particular among patients who received oxygen supplementation, in line with the trial results.
CFR
The CFR varied by country (Figure 7), likely because of the different features of different sites in different countries where patients of different disease severity may be admitted. The weighted average CFR was 0.215 [standard error (SE) 0.000462]. Among patients for whom reporting commenced in the ICU, the CFR was 0.469 (SE 0.00287). Among patients admitted to the ICU but for whom reporting did not commence in the ICU, the CFR was 0.341 (SE 0.00178). The CFR was 0.214 (SE 0.00048) among patients with laboratory-confimed SARS-CoV-2 and 0.231 (SE 0.00161) among patients with clinically diagnosed COVID-19. The CFR varied over time during the study, as did patient recruitment at different sites (Supplementary Figure S12, available as Supplementary data at IJE online). Admission criteria likely varied by country and time, contributing to the heterogeneity in illness severity. Death and discharge rates increased over the first 40 days from hospital admission (or symptom onset if this occurred after admission) (Supplementary Figure S13, available as Supplementary data at IJE online).
Associations with death
The risk of death was higher for males than for females (Figure 8). Older age was associated with a significantly higher risk of death, with a HR of 1.49 (95% CI 1.48, 1.49) per 10 years higher age, adjusting for sex and stratifying by country, with individuals aged 90–100 years having an HR of 17.45 (95% CI 16.54, 18.40) compared with the group aged 20–30 years (Supplementary Figure S14, available as Supplementary data at IJE online). Males had a significantly higher risk of death than females, with an HR of 1.23 (95% CI 1.21, 1.24), adjusting for age (in 10-year groups) and stratifying by country. There was evidence of deviation from the proportional hazards assumption for both variables. There was no particular trend over follow-up for the magnitude of the association of age with death, but the magnitude of the association of male sex with death appeared to increase with increasing time from admission (or symptom onset for patients who developed symptoms after admission). A model stratified by sex was fitted to estimate associations of age with death taking this time-varying association of sex into account. HRs for age estimated by the two models were very similar. HRs were also estimated by sex and age, stratifying (allowing different baseline hazards) by country (Figure 9). HRs for age (Supplementary Figure S15, available as Supplementary data at IJE online) and sex (Supplementary Figure S16, available as Supplementary data at IJE online) varied by country. Country-specific HRs for a 10-year increase in age varied from 1.15 (Italy; 95% CI 1.05, 1.26) to 3.50 (Poland; 1.19, 10.29), with a pooled estimate of 1.49 (1.48, 1.49), which is the same as the estimate from the main analysis. For sex (males vs females), HRs were between 0.61 (Malawi; 95% CI 0.28, 1.31) and 3.57 (Japan; 1.05, 12.07), with a weighted average of 1.26 (1.25, 1.27) [compared with 1.23 (1.21, 1.24) in the main analysis]. When fitting a model including age (continuous) and sex, and stratified by country, within each year of the pandemic, HRs (95% CI) per 10 years of higher age were 1.50 (1.49, 1.51) for 2020 and 1.47 (1.47, 1.48) for 2021, and for males vs females 1.31 (1.29, 1.33) and 1.20 (1.19, 1.22), respectively.
Overall, HIV infection [HR 1.77 (95% CI 1.72, 1.81), adjusting for age, age2 and sex, and stratifying by country] and tuberculosis [1.56 (1.50, 1.62)] were associated with the highest relative risks of death; there was no evidence of an interaction (P = 0.18). Since many patients with these co-morbidities were from South Africa, we assessed the associations separately among patients from South Africa and patients from all other countries by fitting a model including HIV, tuberculosis, age and age stratified by sex and country. The associations with risk of death did not significantly differ between patients from South Africa and patients from other countries, although estimates were numerically higher for patients from South Africa: respectively for HIV HR (95% CI) 1.52 (1.47, 1.58) and 1.18 (0.83, 1.69) and for tuberculosis 1.35 (1.29, 1.41) and 1.18 (0.82, 1.70). All reported co-morbidities were associated with a higher risk of death, except rheumatologic disorder and asthma for which there was no evidence of an association (Figure 10 and Supplementary Table S7, available as Supplementary data at IJE online). Obesity was associated with a higher risk of death [HR 1.24 (1.21, 1.27)]. Smoking was also associated with a higher risk of death [1.10 (1.07, 1.12)]. Pregnancy was associated with a lower risk of death [HR 0.37 (0.33, 0.41) among females aged 15–45 years, adjusting for age, age2 and stratifying by country]. There were small differences in the magnitude of associations of co-morbidities with risk of death between calendar years (Supplementary Figure S17, available as Supplementary data at IJE online).
Inability to walk [HR 1.84 (95% CI 1.67, 2.03), adjusting for age, age2 and sex, and stratifying by country], shortness of breath [1.76 (1.72, 1.80)], lymphadenopathy [1.45 (1.27, 1.65)], wheezing [1.40 (1.35, 1.45)], severe dehydration [1.36 (1.31, 1.41)], altered consciousness/confusion [1.32 (1.29, 1.35)], skin rash [1.30 (1.22, 1.37)], cough [1.16 (1.13, 1.18)], fever [1.18 (1.16, 1.20)] and fatigue/malaise [1.06 (1.04, 1.08)] were associated with a higher risk of death (Figure 10 and Supplementary Table S8, available as Supplementary data at IJE online). In general, gastrointestinal, musculoskeletal symptoms and loss of or altered taste or smell were associated with a lower risk of dying; e.g. nausea/vomiting had a HR of 0.81 (0.79, 0.83), abdominal pain 0.84 (0.81, 0.88), diarrhoea 0.93 (0.91, 0.96) and muscle aches/joint pain 0.88 (0.86, 0.91).
Associations with admission to an ICU and with use of IMV
The risk of admission to an ICU increased with age after age 30 years and started decreasing from age 60 years, with patients aged >80 years being unlikely to be admitted to an ICU. Men were more likely to be admitted to an ICU overall, with a HR of 1.17 (1.15, 1.18). There was evidence of non-proportional hazards, indicating that the relative risk changed with time since symptom onset (or hospitalization). There were similar patterns for risk of IMV (Figure 11). There was some variation in risks by age in different countries (Supplementary Figure S18, available as Supplementary data at IJE online).
Discussion
The ISARIC international cohort study included at the time of these analyses standardized data on almost 700 000 patients from 1380 sites across 52 countries. To our knowledge, this is the most extensive in-hospital COVID-19 cohort study in the world. The size and breadth of the study allow us to evaluate the contribution of individual risk factors to outcomes such as death, admission to an ICU and use of mechanical ventilation. The value of the international cohort design is its capacity to cover the breadth of COVID-19 characteristics unencumbered by differences in classification and reporting. Furthermore, our international cohort design allowed us to explore risk factors that are globally uncommon, or uncommon in cohorts from high-income countries. For example, our data set is the largest prospective cohort study of COVID-19 patients with HIV infection, tuberculosis, malnutrition, pregnancy and transplantation. Although the study population includes children and we have presented some of their characteristics, a detailed analysis of the children population is beyond the scope of this paper.
Across the cohort, the most common presenting symptoms were fever, shortness of breath and cough. Among other symptoms reported, the most common were altered consciousness in older patients and gastrointestinal symptoms in younger patients. Our data show that about one-third of patients do not meet one of the four most widely used case definitions at the time of hospitalization, particularly those in the younger and older age groups. These differences are relevant when defining testing or isolation and for early detection of new clusters and variants. Although case definitions must be simple, age-specific definitions may improve sensitivity. This has implications also for case management; about one-third of patients did not require any oxygen therapy during their hospitalization.
Our study confirms that the strong association between age and risk of death from COVID-19 is a global phenomenon. The elderly are at a significantly higher risk of death from COVID-19. Every decade of life adds a 50% risk of dying, with those aged >90 years having a 17-fold higher risk than 20- to 30-year-olds. Although similar results were shown globally for non-hospitalized cases,20,21 our study reproduces these results globally and amongst hospitalized patients. There were differences between the sexes, with men having an increased risk of death around one-third higher than the corresponding female 10-year age group. A meta-analysis published early in the pandemic showed that male patients had an odds ratio (OR) of 2.84 (95% CI 2.06, 3.92) for intensive treatment unit admission and an OR of 1.39 (1.31, 1.47) for death compared with females, despite not having a higher risk of infection.22 A US study of hospitalized patients also reported a higher risk of death among males.23 Such age- and sex-specific CFRs with a global perspective are critical to understanding the global in-hospital burden of COVID-19. The pattern holds across lower- and higher-income countries. Interestingly, non-respiratory presentations were associated with lower risk of death.
We found five co-morbidities to be strongly associated with risk of death. The most substantial risk factor was HIV infection. There was a high proportion of people living with HIV (PLWH) in this cohort. Whilst retrospective health records analyses have been performed previously,24,25 this is the most extensive international cohort study of COVID-19 in PLWH. A recent cohort study performed in South Africa26 demonstrated that PLWH had an adjusted OR of death of 1.34 (95% CI 1.27, 1.43). Our study reinforces these findings and suggests that a higher risk is observed in other countries as well. Unfortunately, we have no further detail on how well controlled the HIV infection was or on the levels of immunocompromise for PLWH in our study. The second strongest association with the risk of death was a diagnosis of tuberculosis. To our knowledge, this is also the largest international cohort of patients co-infected with SARS-CoV-2 and tuberculosis (>5000 patients); however other studies have reported a higher risk of death among patients with COVID-19 and tuberculosis.26,27 There have been few studies on the effect of COVID-19 on transplant patients. The 1606 transplant patients included in our data set make it one of the largest cohorts to date. Overall, risk of death was 52% higher in transplant patients and 34% higher in those on immunosuppressive therapies. Several studies have shown that tobacco smoking is associated with worse COVID-19 outcomes.28,29 We found a 10% higher risk of death among smokers; however, smoking information was available only on ∼30% of patients and detailed information on the quantity and duration of smoking were not available. Obesity is a recognized risk factor for hospitalization and poor outcomes in patients with COVID-19 and has been one of the conditions for which individuals are prioritized for access to vaccines and treatments. Obesity was associated with a 24% increase in risk; obesity status was available for ∼45% of patients. Both smoking and obesity are potentially modifiable risk factors that could be targeted by public health measures. Our results suggest pregnancy is associated with a lower risk of death among people admitted to hospital, which appears to contrast with other studies suggesting an increased risk of death, intubation or ICU admission for pregnant women.30 However, the UK Obstetric Surveillance System found that 55% of hospital admissions for pregnant women with COVID-19 were for the purpose of giving birth,31 whereas very few other elective and semi-elective admissions were taking place during the pandemic; this is likely to have increased the proportion of pregnant women in hospital with less severe COVID-19 compared with the broader cohort, confounding our observed lower risk of death for pregnant women.
Globally, CFRs were much higher in the 5% of patients who were admitted to an ICU on the first day of their admission than those who required an ICU later during their admission. The risk of admission to an ICU increased with age, but then started decreasing from age 60 years, with patients aged >80 years being very unlikely to be admitted to an ICU. It has been suggested that patients who have severe illness and are not treated in an ICU have poorer outcomes.32 This may reflect decisions to admit patients to an ICU during periods when resources were limited, taking into account their overall health. Compared with other studies, these results are consistent for patients aged <60 years but not for those aged >60 years. For example, in a study from the USA33 and in a separate meta-analysis,34 elderly patients were more likely to be admitted to an ICU than their younger counterparts;35 this may reflect geographical variation in clinical practice.
This international cohort study overcomes some of the traditional problems of multicentre observational studies by using standardized variables and outcome measures. Our data are likely to be of value in modelling and health system planning. For example, we note the greatly increased risk of death amongst patients with tuberculosis and malnutrition in our cohort and protecting such individuals from COVID-19 must be a critical public health priority for countries with high prevalence rates of these conditions. Equally concerning is our finding of increased risk of death amongst PLWH. Many PLWH reside in sub-Saharan Africa and our data may indicate a phenomenon that is currently hidden due to under-testing for SARS-CoV-236 across Africa.
Limitations
Whereas our study includes a broad range of data from different countries, various sites have different levels of data completeness. For example, we cannot evaluate the proportion of patients with HIV infection or tuberculosis who were taking appropriate, effective treatments. We have no further detail on the type of organ received by the transplantation cohort. Missing data may have affected the estimates of prevalence of symptoms, co-morbidities and other patient characteristics, as well as estimates of associations between these and risks of outcomes. We presented missing data in each variable in tables and figures. Specifically for symptoms and treatments, data from South Africa were not available and aggregated estimates might largely reflect data from the UK. Whereas we have produced a summary of the associations of risk factors with outcomes in COVID-19, pandemics are complex, dynamic phenomena. There is variation in the amount and completeness of data between countries and between sites within each country. Although we have adjusted for potential confounders, inclusion of patients in the data varies by country/site, which may lead to bias in estimates of association and of absolute risks such as CFR. Our findings will increasingly be influenced by the provision of vaccination, which we have not examined in this study, and effective treatments, as well as the variability in access to these measures in the global context. We do not include data on SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern in this paper. The majority of submitted case records come from two countries: the UK and South Africa; however, there were 22 countries with data on >500 patients.
Conclusion
This paper represents the largest international cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients published to date. We demonstrate several associations of global importance, including an increased risk of death in patients with HIV and tuberculosis. Co-morbidities were associated with a higher risk of death, each associated with up to a 2-fold increase. Smoking and obesity were also associated with a higher risk of death. Age was most strongly associated with risk of death, with a ∼30-fold difference between the oldest and youngest groups. These findings may be used to inform strategies that involve prioritization of high-risk patients hospitalized with COVID-19 and prevention strategies. The ISARIC global collaboration continues to collect standardized data which will enable continued data-led comparisons as the world implements vaccination, treatment and public health control strategies.
Notes
ISARIC Clinical Characterisation Group: Ali Abbas; Sheryl Ann Abdukahil; Nurul Najmee Abdulkadir; Ryuzo Abe; Laurent Abel; Lara Absil; Subhash Acharya; Andrew Acker; Elisabeth Adam; Diana Adrião; Saleh Al Ageel; Shakeel Ahmed; Kate Ainscough; Eka Airlangga; Tharwat Aisa; Ali Ait Hssain; Younes Ait Tamlihat; Takako Akimoto; Ernita Akmal; Eman Al Qasim; Razi Alalqam; Angela Alberti; Tala Al-dabbous; Senthilkumar Alegesan; Cynthia Alegre; Marta Alessi; Beatrice Alex; Kévin Alexandre; Abdulrahman Al-Fares; Huda Alfoudri; Imran Ali; Adam Ali; Naseem Ali Shah; Kazali Enagnon Alidjnou; Jeffrey Aliudin; Qabas Alkhafajee; Clotilde Allavena; Nathalie Allou; Aneela Altaf; João Alves; Rita Alves; João Melo Alves; Maria Amaral; Nur Amira; Phoebe Ampaw; Roberto Andini; Claire Andréjak; Andrea Angheben; François Angoulvant; Séverine Ansart; Sivanesen Anthonidass; Massimo Antonelli; Carlos Alexandre Antunes de Brito; Ardiyan Apriyana; Yaseen Arabi; Irene Aragao; Francisco Arancibia; Carolline Araujo; Antonio Arcadipane; Patrick Archambault; Lukas Arenz; Jean-Benoît Arlet; Christel Arnold-Day; Lovkesh Arora; Rakesh Arora; Elise Artaud-Macari; Diptesh Aryal; Angel Asensio; Muhammad Ashraf; Namra Asif; Mohammad Asim; Jean Baptiste Assie; Amirul Asyraf; Anika Atique; AM Udara Lakshan Attanyake; Johann Auchabie; Hugues Aumaitre; Adrien Auvet; Laurène Azemar; Cecile Azoulay; Benjamin Bach; Delphine Bachelet; Claudine Badr; Nadia Baig; J Kevin Baird; Erica Bak; Agamemnon Bakakos; Nazreen Abu Bakar; Andriy Bal; Mohanaprasanth Balakrishnan; Valeria Balan; Firouzé Bani-Sadr; Renata Barbalho; Nicholas Yuri Barbosa; Wendy S. Barclay; Saef Umar Barnett; Michaela Barnikel; Helena Barrasa; Audrey Barrelet; Cleide Barrigoto; Marie Bartoli; Mustehan Bashir; Romain Basmaci; Muhammad Fadhli Hassin Basri; Denise Battaglini; Jules Bauer; Diego Fernando Bautista Rincon; Denisse Bazan Dow; Alexandra Bedossa; Ker Hong Bee; Husna Begum; Sylvie Behilill; Albertus Beishuizen; Aleksandr Beljantsev; David Bellemare; Anna Beltrame; Beatriz Amorim Beltrão; Marine Beluze; Nicolas Benech; Lionel Eric Benjiman; Dehbia Benkerrou; Suzanne Bennett; Luís Bento; Jan-Erik Berdal; Delphine Bergeaud; Hazel Bergin; José Luis Bernal Sobrino; Giulia Bertoli; Lorenzo Bertolino; Simon Bessis; Sybille Bevilcaqua; Karine Bezulier; Amar Bhatt; Krishna Bhavsar; Claudia Bianco; Farah Nadiah Bidin; Moirangthem Bikram Singh; Felwa Bin Humaid; Mohd Nazlin Bin Kamarudin; François Bissuel; Patrick Biston; Laurent Bitker; Jonathan Bitton; Pablo Blanco-Schweizer; Catherine Blier; Frank Bloos; Mathieu Blot; Filomena Boccia; Laetitia Bodenes; Alice Bogaarts; Debby Bogaert; Anne-Hélène Boivin; Pierre-Adrien Bolze; François Bompart; Aurelius Bonfasius; Diogo Borges; Raphaël Borie; Hans Martin Bosse; Elisabeth Botelho-Nevers; Lila Bouadma; Olivier Bouchaud; Sabelline Bouchez; Dounia Bouhmani; Damien Bouhour; Kévin Bouiller; Laurence Bouillet; Camile Bouisse; Anne-Sophie Boureau; John Bourke; Maude Bouscambert; Aurore Bousquet; Jason Bouziotis; Bianca Boxma; Marielle Boyer-Besseyre; Maria Boylan; Axelle Braconnier; Cynthia Braga; Timo Brandenburger; Filipa Brás Monteiro; Luca Brazzi; Patrick Breen; Dorothy Breen; Patrick Breen; Kathy Brickell; Shaunagh Browne; Alex Browne; Nicolas Brozzi; Marjolein Brusse-Keizer; Nina Buchtele; Christian Buesaquillo; Polina Bugaeva; Marielle Buisson; Danilo Buonsenso; Erlina Burhan; Ingrid G. Bustos; Denis Butnaru; André Cabie; Susana Cabral; Eder Caceres; Cyril Cadoz; Mia Callahan; Kate Calligy; Jose Andres Calvache; João Camões; Valentine Campana; Paul Campbell; Josie Campisi; Cecilia Canepa; Mireia Cantero; Pauline Caraux-Paz; Sheila Cárcel; Chiara Simona Cardellino; Sofia Cardoso; Filipe Cardoso; Filipa Cardoso; Nelson Cardoso; Simone Carelli; Nicolas Carlier; Thierry Carmoi; Gayle Carney; Inês Carqueja; Marie-Christine Carret; François Martin Carrier; Ida Carroll; Maire-Laure Casanova; Mariana Cascão; Siobhan Casey; José Casimiro; Bailey Cassandra; Silvia Castañeda; Nidyanara Castanheira; Guylaine Castor-Alexandre; Henry Castrillón; Ivo Castro; Ana Catarino; François-Xavier Catherine; Paolo Cattaneo; Roberta Cavalin; Giulio Giovanni Cavalli; Alexandros Cavayas; Adrian Ceccato; Minerva Cervantes-Gonzalez; Anissa Chair; Catherine Chakveatze; Adrienne Chan; Meera Chand; Christelle Chantalat Auger; Jean-Marc Chapplain; Julie Chas; Allegra Chatterjee; Mobin Chaudry; Jonathan Samuel Chávez Iñiguez; Anjellica Chen; Yih-Sharng Chen; Matthew Pellan Cheng; Antoine Cheret; Thibault Chiarabini; Julian Chica; Suresh Kumar Chidambaram; Leong Chin Tho; Catherine Chirouze; Davide Chiumello; Sung-Min Cho; Bernard Cholley; Marie-Charlotte Chopin; Ting Soo Chow; Yock Ping Chow; Hiu Jian Chua; Jonathan Chua; Jose Pedro Cidade; José Miguel Cisneros Herreros; Anna Ciullo; Jennifer Clarke; Emma Clarke; Rolando Claure-Del Granado; Sara Clohisey; Perren J. Cobb; Cassidy Codan; Caitriona Cody; Alexandra Coelho; Megan Coles; Gwenhaël Colin; Michael Collins; Sebastiano Maria Colombo; Pamela Combs; Marie Connor; Anne Conrad; Sofía Contreras; Elaine Conway; Graham S. Cooke; Mary Copland; Hugues Cordel; Amanda Corley; Sabine Cornelis; Alexander Daniel Cornet; Arianne Joy Corpuz; Andrea Cortegiani; Grégory Corvaisier; Emma Costigan; Camille Couffignal; Sandrine Couffin-Cadiergues; Roxane Courtois; Stéphanie Cousse; Rachel Cregan; Charles Crepy D'Orleans; Cosimo Cristella; Sabine Croonen; Gloria Crowl; Jonathan Crump; Claudina Cruz; Juan Luis Cruz Berm; Jaime Cruz Rojo; Marc Csete; Ailbhe Cullen; Matthew Cummings; Gerard Curley; Elodie Curlier; Colleen Curran; Paula Custodio; Ana da Silva Filipe; Charlene Da Silveira; Al-Awwab Dabaliz; Darren Dahly; Heidi Dalton; Jo Dalton; Seamus Daly; Nick Daneman; Corinne Daniel; Jorge Dantas; Frédérick D'Aragon; Menno de Jong; Gillian de Loughry; Diego de Mendoza; Etienne De Montmollin; Rafael Freitas de Oliveira França; Ana Isabel de Pinho Oliveira; Rosanna De Rosa; Cristina De Rose; Thushan de Silva; Peter de Vries; Jillian Deacon; David Dean; Alexa Debard; Marie-Pierre Debray; Nathalie DeCastro; William Dechert; Lauren Deconninck; Romain Decours; Eve Defous; Isabelle Delacroix; Eric Delaveuve; Karen Delavigne; Nathalie M Delfos; Ionna Deligiannis; Andrea Dell'Amore; Christelle Delmas; Pierre Delobel; Corine Delsing; Elisa Demonchy; Emmanuelle Denis; Dominique Deplanque; Pieter Depuydt; Mehul Desai; Diane Descamps; Mathilde Desvallées; Santi Dewayanti; Pathik Dhanger; Alpha Diallo; Sylvain Diamantis; André Dias; Juan Jose Diaz; Priscila Diaz; Rodrigo Diaz; Kévin Didier; Jean-Luc Diehl; Wim Dieperink; Jérôme Dimet; Vincent Dinot; Fara Diop; Alphonsine Diouf; Yael Dishon; Félix Djossou; Annemarie B. Docherty; Helen Doherty; Arjen M Dondorp; Andy Dong; Maria Donnelly; Sean Donohue; Yoann Donohue; Chloe Donohue; Peter Doran; Céline Dorival; Eric D'Ortenzio; James Joshua Douglas; Renee Douma; Nathalie Dournon; Triona Downer; Joanne Downey; Mark Downing; Tom Drake; Aoife Driscoll; Murray Dryden; Murray Dryden; Claudio Duarte Fonseca; Vincent Dubee; François Dubos; Alexandre Ducancelle; Toni Duculan; Susanne Dudman; Abhijit Duggal; Paul Dunand; Mathilde Duplaix; Emanuele Durante-Mangoni; Lucian Durham III; Bertrand Dussol; Juliette Duthoit; Xavier Duval; Anne Margarita Dyrhol-Riise; Sim Choon Ean; Marco Echeverria-Villalobos; Siobhan Egan; Carla Eira; Mohammed El Sanharawi; Subbarao Elapavaluru; Brigitte Elharrar; Jacobien Ellerbroek; Philippine Eloy; Tarek Elshazly; Iqbal Elyazar; Isabelle Enderle; Tomoyuki Endo; Chan Chee Eng; Ilka Engelmann; Vincent Enouf; Olivier Epaulard; Mariano Esperatti; Hélène Esperou; Marina Esposito-Farese; João Estevão; Long COVID India Etienne; Manuel Etienne; Nadia Ettalhaoui; Anna Greti Everding; Mirjam Evers; Marc Fabre; Isabelle Fabre; Amna Faheem; Arabella Fahy; Cameron J. Fairfield; Zul Fakar; Komal Fareed; Pedro Faria; Ahmed Farooq; Hanan Fateena; Arie Zainul Fatoni; Karine Faure; Raphaël Favory; Mohamed Fayed; Niamh Feely; Laura Feeney; Jorge Fernandes; Marília Andreia Fernandes; Susana Fernandes; François-Xavier Ferrand; Eglantine Ferrand Devouge; Joana Ferrão; Mário Ferraz; Sílvia Ferreira; Isabel Ferreira; Benigno Ferreira; Ricard Ferrer-Roca; Nicolas Ferriere; Céline Ficko; Claudia Figueiredo-Mello; William Finlayson; Juan Fiorda; Thomas Flament; Clara Flateau; Tom Fletcher; Letizia Lucia Florio; Deirdre Flynn; Claire Foley; Jean Foley; Victor Fomin; Tatiana Fonseca; Patricia Fontela; Simon Forsyth; Denise Foster; Giuseppe Foti; Erwan Fourn; Robert A. Fowler; Marianne Fraher; Diego Franch-Llasat; John F Fraser; Christophe Fraser; Marcela Vieira Freire; Ana Freitas Ribeiro; Caren Friedrich; Ricardo Fritz; Stéphanie Fry; Nora Fuentes; Masahiro Fukuda; Argin G; Valérie Gaborieau; Rostane Gaci; Massimo Gagliardi; Jean-Charles Gagnard; Amandine Gagneux-Brunon; Sérgio Gaião; Linda Gail Skeie; Phil Gallagher; Carrol Gamble; Yasmin Gani; Arthur Garan; Rebekha Garcia; Julia Garcia-Diaz; Esteban Garcia-Gallo; Navya Garimella; Denis Garot; Valérie Garrait; Basanta Gauli; Nathalie Gault; Aisling Gavin; Anatoliy Gavrylov; Alexandre Gaymard; Johannes Gebauer; Eva Geraud; Louis Gerbaud Morlaes; Nuno Germano; praveen kumar ghisulal; Jade Ghosn; Marco Giani; Jess Gibson; Tristan Gigante; Morgane Gilg; Elaine Gilroy; Guillermo Giordano; Michelle Girvan; Valérie Gissot; Daniel Glikman; Petr Glybochko; Eric Gnall; Geraldine Goco; François Goehringer; Siri Goepel; Jin Yi Goh; Jonathan Golob; Rui Gomes; Kyle Gomez; Joan Gómez-Junyent; Marie Gominet; Alicia Gonzalez; Patricia Gordon; Isabelle Gorenne; Laure Goubert; Cécile Goujard; Tiphaine Goulenok; Margarite Grable; Jeronimo Graf; Edward Wilson Grandin; Pascal Granier; Giacomo Grasselli; Christopher A. Green; Courtney Greene; William Greenhalf; Segolène Greffe; Domenico Luca Grieco; Matthew Griffee; Fiona Griffiths; Ioana Grigoras; Albert Groenendijk; Anja Grosse Lordemann; Heidi Gruner; Yusing Gu; Jérémie Guedj; Martin Guego; Dewi Guellec; Anne-Marie Guerguerian; Daniela Guerreiro; Romain Guery; Anne Guillaumot; Laurent Guilleminault; Maisa Guimarães de Castro; Thomas Guimard; Marieke Haalboom; Daniel Haber; Hannah Habraken; Ali Hachemi; Amy Hackmann; Nadir Hadri; Fakhir Haidri; Sheeba Hakak; Adam Hall; Sophie Halpin; Jawad Hameed; Ansley Hamer; Raph L. Hamers; Rebecca Hamidfar; Terese Hammond; Lim Yuen Han; Rashan Haniffa; Kok Wei Hao; Hayley Hardwick; Ewen M Harrison; Janet Harrison; Samuel Bernard Ekow Harrison; Alan Hartman; Mohd Shahnaz Hasan; Junaid Hashmi; Muhammad Hayat; Ailbhe Hayes; Leanne Hays; Jan Heerman; Lars Heggelund; Ross Hendry; Martina Hennessy; Aquiles Henriquez-Trujillo; Maxime Hentzien; Jaime Hernandez-Montfort; Andrew Hershey; Liv Hesstvedt; Astarini Hidayah; Eibhilin Higgins; Dawn Higgins; Rupert Higgins; Rita Hinchion; Samuel Hinton; Hiroaki Hiraiwa; Haider Hirkani; Hikombo Hitoto; Yi Bin Ho; Alexandre Hoctin; Isabelle Hoffmann; Wei Han Hoh; Oscar Hoiting; Rebecca Holt; Jan Cato Holter; Juan Pablo Horcajada; Koji Hoshino; Ikram Houas; Catherine L. Hough; Stuart Houltham; Jimmy Ming-Yang Hsu; Jean-Sébastien Hulot; Stella Huo; Abby Hurd; Iqbal Hussain; Samreen Ijaz; Hajnal-Gabriela Illes; Patrick Imbert; Mohammad Imran; Rana Imran Sikander; Aftab Imtiaz; Hugo Inácio; Carmen Infante Dominguez; Yun Sii Ing; Elias Iosifidis; Mariachiara Ippolito; Sarah Isgett; Tiago Isidoro; Nadiah Ismail; Margaux Isnard; Junji Itai; Daniel Ivulich; Danielle Jaafar; Salma Jaafoura; Julien Jabot; Clare Jackson; Nina Jamieson; Victoria Janes; Pierre Jaquet; Coline Jaud-Fischer; Stéphane Jaureguiberry; Jeffrey Javidfar; Denise Jaworsky; Florence Jego; Anilawati Mat Jelani; Synne Jenum; Ruth Jimbo-Sotomayor; Ong Yiaw Joe; Ruth N. Jorge García; Cédric Joseph; Mark Joseph; Swosti Joshi; Mercé Jourdain; Philippe Jouvet; Hanna Jung; Anna Jung; Dafsah Juzar; Ouifiya Kafif; Florentia Kaguelidou; Neerusha Kaisbain; Thavamany Kaleesvran; Sabina Kali; Alina Kalicinska; Smaragdi Kalomoiri; Muhammad Aisar Ayadi Kamaluddin; Zul Amali Che Kamaruddin; Nadiah Kamarudin; Paul Kambiya; Kavita Kamineni; Darshana Hewa Kandamby; Chris Kandel; Kong Yeow Kang; Darakhshan Kanwal; Pratap Karpayah; Todd Karsies; Daisuke Kasugai; Anant Kataria; Kevin Katz; Aasmine Kaur; Christy Kay; Hannah Keane; Seán Keating; Pulak Kedia; Claire Kelly; Yvelynne Kelly; Andrea Kelly; Niamh Kelly; Aoife Kelly; Sadie Kelly; Maeve Kelsey; Ryan Kennedy; Kalynn Kennon; Maeve Kernan; Younes Kerroumi; Sharma Keshav; Imrana Khalid; Osama Khalid; Antoine Khalil; Coralie Khan; Irfan Khan; Quratul Ain Khan; Sushil Khanal; Abid Khatak; Amin Khawaja; Krish Kherajani; Michelle E Kho; Saye Khoo; Ryan Khoo; Denisa Khoo; Nasir Khoso; Khor How Kiat; Yuri Kida; Peter Kiiza; Beathe Kiland Granerud; Anders Benjamin Kildal; Jae Burm Kim; Antoine Kimmoun; Detlef Kindgen-Milles; Alexander King; Nobuya Kitamura; Paul Klenerman; Rob Klont; Gry Kloumann Bekken; Stephen R Knight; Robin Kobbe; Chamira Kodippily; Malte Kohns Vasconcelos; Sabin Koirala; Mamoru Komatsu; ISARIC Collaborator Korten; Caroline Kosgei; Arsène Kpangon; Karolina Krawczyk; Vinothini Krishnan; Sudhir Krishnan; Oksana Kruglova; Deepali Kumar; Ganesh Kumar; Mukesh Kumar; Dinesh Kuriakose; Ethan Kurtzman; Demetrios Kutsogiannis; Galyna Kutsyna; Konstantinos Kyriakoulis; Marie Lachatre; Marie Lacoste; John G. Laffey; Marie Lagrange; Fabrice Laine; Olivier Lairez; Sanjay Lakhey; Antonio Lalueza; Marc Lambert; François Lamontagne; Marie Langelot-Richard; Vincent Langlois; Eka Yudha Lantang; Marina Lanza; Cédric Laouénan; Samira Laribi; Delphine Lariviere; Stéphane Lasry; Sakshi Lath; Naveed Latif; Odile Launay; Didier Laureillard; Yoan Lavie-Badie; Andy Law; Teresa Lawrence; Cassie Lawrence; Minh Le; Clément Le Bihan; Cyril Le Bris; Georges Le Falher; Lucie Le Fevre; Quentin Le Hingrat; Marion Le Maréchal; Soizic Le Mestre; Gwenaël Le Moal; Vincent Le Moing; Hervé Le Nagard; Paul Le Turnier; Ema Leal; Marta Leal Santos; Todd C. Lee; James Lee; Jennifer Lee; Heng Gee Lee; Biing Horng Lee; Yi Lin Lee; Su Hwan Lee; Gary Leeming; Laurent Lefebvre; Bénédicte Lefebvre; Benjamin Lefevre; Sylvie LeGac; Jean-Daniel Lelievre; François Lellouche; Adrien Lemaignen; Véronique Lemee; Anthony Lemeur; Gretchen Lemmink; Ha Sha Lene; Jenny Lennon; Rafael León; Marc Leone; Michela Leone; Quentin Lepiller; François-Xavier Lescure; Olivier Lesens; Mathieu Lesouhaitier; Amy Lester-Grant; Bruno Levy; Yves Levy; Claire Levy-Marchal; Katarzyna Lewandowska; Erwan L'Her; Gianluigi Li Bassi; Janet Liang; Ali Liaquat; Geoffrey Liegeon; Wei Shen Lim; Kah Chuan Lim; Chantre Lima; Lim Lina; Bruno Lina; Andreas Lind; Maja Katherine Lingad; Guillaume Lingas; Sylvie Lion-Daolio; Keibun Liu; Marine Livrozet; Patricia Lizotte; Antonio Loforte; Navy Lolong; Leong Chee Loon; Diogo Lopes; Dalia Lopez-Colon; Jose W. Lopez-Revilla; Anthony L. Loschner; Paul Loubet; Bouchra Loufti; Guillame Louis; Silvia Lourenco; Lara Lovelace-Macon; Lee Lee Low; Marije Lowik; Jia Shyi Loy; Jean Christophe Lucet; Carlos Lumbreras Bermejo; Carlos M Luna; Olguta Lungu; Liem Luong; Nestor Luque; Dominique Luton; Nilar Lwin; Ruth Lyons; Olavi Maasikas; Oryane Mabiala; Moïse Machado; Gabriel Macheda; Hashmi Madiha; Guillermo Maestro de la Calle; Rafael Mahieu; Sophie Mahy; Ana Raquel Maia; Lars S. Maier; Mylène Maillet; Thomas Maitre; Maximilian Malfertheiner; Nadia Malik; Paddy Mallon; Fernando Maltez; Denis Malvy; Victoria Manda; Laurent Mandelbrot; Frank Manetta; Julie Mankikian; Edmund Manning; Aldric Manuel; Ceila Maria Sant′Ana Malaque; Flávio Marino; Daniel Marino; Samuel Markowicz; Charbel Maroun Eid; Ana Marques; Catherine Marquis; Brian Marsh; Laura Marsh; Megan Marshal; John Marshall; Celina Turchi Martelli; Dori-Ann Martin; Emily Martin; Guillaume Martin-Blondel; Martin Martinot; Alejandro Martin-Quiros; João Martins; Ana Martins; Nuno Martins; Caroline Martins Rego; Gennaro Martucci; Olga Martynenko; Eva Miranda Marwali; Marsilla Marzukie; David Maslove; Sabina Mason; Sobia Masood; Basri Mat Nor; Moshe Matan; Meghena Mathew; Daniel Mathieu; Mathieu Mattei; Romans Matulevics; Laurence Maulin; Michael Maxwell; Javier Maynar; Thierry Mazzoni; Natalie Mc Evoy; Lisa Mc Sweeney; Colin McArthur; Colin McArthur; Anne McCarthy; Aine McCarthy; Colin McCloskey; Rachael McConnochie; Sherry McDermott; Sarah E. McDonald; Aine McElroy; Samuel McElwee; Victoria McEneany; Allison McGeer; Chris McKay; Johnny McKeown; Kenneth A. McLean; Paul McNally; Bairbre McNicholas; Elaine McPartlan; Edel Meaney; Cécile Mear-Passard; Maggie Mechlin; Maqsood Meher; Omar Mehkri; Ferruccio Mele; Luis Melo; Kashif Memon; Joao Joao Mendes; Ogechukwu Menkiti; Kusum Menon; Alexander J. Mentzer; Emmanuelle Mercier; Noémie Mercier; Antoine Merckx; Mayka Mergeay-Fabre; Blake Mergler; António Mesquita; Roberta Meta; Osama Metwally; Agnès Meybeck; Dan Meyer; Alison M Meynert; Vanina Meysonnier; Amina Meziane; Mehdi Mezidi; Céline Michelanglei; Isabelle Michelet; Efstathia Mihelis; Vladislav Mihnovit; Hugo Miranda-Maldonado; Nor Arisah Misnan; Tahira Jamal Mohamed; Nik Nur Eliza Mohamed; Asma Moin; David Molina; Elena Molinos; Brenda Molloy; Mary Mone; Agostinho Monteiro; Claudia Montes; Giorgia Montrucchio; Shona C. 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Turtle; Anders Tveita; Pawel Twardowski; Makoto Uchiyama; PG Ishara Udayanga; Andrew Udy; Roman Ullrich; Alberto Uribe; Asad Usman; Timothy M Uyeki; Cristinava Vajdovics; Piero Valentini; Luís Val-Flores; Amélie Valran; Stijn Van de Velde; Marcel van den Berge; Machteld Van der Feltz; Job van der Palen; Paul van der Valk; Nicky Van Der Vekens; Peter Van der Voort; Sylvie Van Der Werf; Laura van Gulik; Jarne Van Hattem; Carolien van Netten; Frank van Someren Greve; Ilonka van Veen; Hugo Van Willigen; Noémie Vanel; Henk Vanoverschelde; Pooja Varghese; Michael Varrone; Shoban Raj Vasudayan; Charline Vauchy; Shaminee Veeran; Aurélie Veislinger; Sebastian Vencken; Sara Ventura; Annelies Verbon; James Vickers; José Ernesto Vidal; César Vieira; Deepak Vijayan; Joy Ann Villanueva; Judit Villar; Pierre-Marc Villeneuve; Andrea Villoldo; Gayatri Vishwanathan; Benoit Visseaux; Hannah Visser; Chiara Vitiello; Harald Vonkeman; Fanny Vuotto; Suhaila Abdul Wahab; Noor Hidayu Wahab; Nadirah Abdul Wahid; Marina Wainstein; Wan Fadzlina Wan Muhd Shukeri; Chih-Hsien Wang; Steve Webb; Katharina Weil; Tan Pei Wen; Sanne Wesselius; T. Eoin West; Murray Wham; Bryan Whelan; Nicole White; Paul Henri Wicky; Aurélie Wiedemann; Surya Otto Wijaya; Keith Wille; Suzette Willems; Virginie Williams; Calvin Wong; Yew Sing Wong; Teck Fung Wong; Natalie Wright; Gan Ee Xian; Lim Saio Xian; Kuan Pei Xuan; Ioannis Xynogalas; Siti Rohani Binti Mohd Yakop; Masaki Yamazaki; Yazdan Yazdanpanah; Nicholas Yee Liang Hing; Cécile Yelnik; Chian Hui Yeoh; Stephanie Yerkovich; Toshiki Yokoyama; Hodane Yonis; Obada Yousif; Saptadi Yuliarto; Akram Zaaqoq; Marion Zabbe; Kai Zacharowski; Masliza Zahid; Maram Zahran; Nor Zaila Binti Zaidan; Maria Zambon; Miguel Zambrano; Alberto Zanella; Konrad Zawadka; Nurul Zaynah; Hiba Zayyad; Alexander Zoufaly; David Zucman; Mazankowski Heart Institute; The Western Australian COVID-19 Research Response.
Ethics approval
Ethics Committee approval was given by the WHO Ethics Review Committee (RPC571 and RPC572, 25 April 2013). Institutional approval was additionally obtained by participating sites including the South Central—Oxford C Research Ethics Committee in England (Ref. 13/SC/0149), the Scotland A Research Ethics Committee (Ref. 20/SS/0028) for the UK and the Human Research Ethics Committee (Medical) at the University of the Witwatersrand in South Africa as part of a national surveillance programme (M160667), which collectively represent the majority of the data. Other institutional and national approvals are in place as per local requirements.
Supplementary Material
Acknowledgements
This work uses data provided by patients and collected by the NHS as part of their care and support #DataSavesLives. The data used for this research were obtained from ISARIC4C. We are extremely grateful to the 2648 frontline NHS clinical and research staff and volunteer medical students who collected these data in challenging circumstances; and the generosity of the patients and their families for their individual contributions in these difficult times. The COVID-19 Clinical Information Network (CO-CIN) data were collated by ISARIC4C Investigators. We also acknowledge the support of Jeremy J. Farrar and Nahoko Shindo.
Contributor Information
Christiana Kartsonaki, Medical Research Council (MRC) Population Health Research Unit, Clinical Trials Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
J Kenneth Baillie, Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK; Intensive Care Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Noelia García Barrio, Hospital 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain.
Joaquín Baruch, International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) Global Support Centre, Pandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Abigail Beane, Critical Care Asia, Bangkok, Thailand.
Lucille Blumberg, National Institute for Communicable Diseases, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Fernando Bozza, National Institute of Infectious Disease Evandro Chagas, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (INI-FIOCRUZ), Ministry of Health, and D'Or Institute of Research and Education (IDOR), Rio de Janeiro, São Paulo, Brazil.
Tessa Broadley, Monash University, Clayton, Melbourne, Australia.
Aidan Burrell, Monash University, Clayton, Melbourne, Australia.
Gail Carson, International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) Global Support Centre, Pandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Barbara Wanjiru Citarella, International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) Global Support Centre, Pandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Andrew Dagens, International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) Global Support Centre, Pandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Emmanuelle A Dankwa, Department of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Christl A Donnelly, Department of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics and Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Jake Dunning, International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) Global Support Centre, Pandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Loubna Elotmani, CHU Caremeau, Nîmes, France.
Martina Escher, International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) Global Support Centre, Pandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Nataly Farshait, Humber River Hospital, Toronto, Canada.
Jean-Christophe Goffard, Cliniques Universitaires de Bruxelles (CUB) Hopital Erasme, Anderlecht, Belgium.
Bronner P Gonçalves, International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) Global Support Centre, Pandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Matthew Hall, Big Data Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Madiha Hashmi, Critical Care Asia and Ziauddin University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Benedict Sim Lim Heng, Hospital Sungai Buloh, Ministry of Health, Sungai Buloh, Malaysia.
Antonia Ho, Medical Research Council-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, UK Department of Infectious Diseases, Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, Glasgow, UK.
Waasila Jassat, National Institute for Communicable Diseases, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Miguel Pedrera Jiménez, Hospital 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain.
Cedric Laouenan, Un iversité de Paris, France, Infection, Antimicrobials, Modelling, Evolution (IAME), INSERM, Paris, France.
Samantha Lissauer, Malawi-Liverpool Wellcome Trust, Blantyre, Malawi.
Ignacio Martin-Loeches, St James's Hospital, Dublin, Ireland.
France Mentré, Un iversité de Paris, France, Infection, Antimicrobials, Modelling, Evolution (IAME), INSERM, Paris, France.
Laura Merson, International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) Global Support Centre, Pandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Infectious Diseases Data Observatory, Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Ben Morton, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK.
Daniel Munblit, Department of Paediatrics and Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Institute of Child’s Health, Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University), Moscow, Russia; Inflammation, Repair and Development Section, National Heart and Lung Institute, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Nikita A Nekliudov, Sechenov University, Moscow, Russia.
Alistair D Nichol, Irish Critical Care Critical Clinical Trials Network, Dublin, Ireland.
Budha Charan Singh Oinam, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), Rishikesh, India.
David Ong, Franciscus Gasthuis & Vlietland, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Prasan Kumar Panda, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), Rishikesh, India.
Michele Petrovic, Humber River Hospital, Toronto, Canada.
Mark G Pritchard, International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) Global Support Centre, Pandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Nagarajan Ramakrishnan, Apollo Hospitals Chennai, Chennai, India.
Grazielle Viana Ramos, National Institute of Infectious Disease Evandro Chagas, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (INI-FIOCRUZ), Ministry of Health, and D'Or Institute of Research and Education (IDOR), Rio de Janeiro, São Paulo, Brazil.
Claire Roger, CHU Caremeau, Nîmes, France.
Oana Sandulescu, Carol Davila University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Bucharest, Romania; National Institute for Infectious Diseases ‘Prof. Dr. Matei Bals’, Bucharest, Romania.
Malcolm G Semple, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK; UK Respiratory Medicine, Alder Hey Children’s NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK.
Pratima Sharma, University of Michigan Schools of Medicine & Public Health, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Louise Sigfrid, International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) Global Support Centre, Pandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Emily C Somers, University of Michigan Schools of Medicine & Public Health, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Anca Streinu-Cercel, Carol Davila University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Bucharest, Romania.
Fabio Taccone, Cliniques Universitaires de Bruxelles (CUB) Hopital Erasme, Anderlecht, Belgium.
Pavan Kumar Vecham, Apollo Hospitals Chennai, Chennai, India.
Bharath Kumar Tirupakuzhi Vijayaraghavan, Department of Critical Care Medicine, Apollo Hospitals, Chennai, India; The George Institute for Global Health, New Delhi, India.
Jia Wei, Big Data Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Evert-Jan Wils, Franciscus Gasthuis & Vlietland, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Xin Ci Wong, National Institutes of Health (NIH), Ministry of Health, Shah Alam, Malaysia.
Peter Horby, International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) Global Support Centre, Pandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Amanda Rojek, International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) Global Support Centre, Pandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Australia; Centre for Integrated Critical Care, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Piero L Olliaro, International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) Global Support Centre, Pandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
ISARIC Clinical Characterisation Group:
Ali Abbas, III, Sheryl Ann Abdukahil, Nurul Najmee Abdulkadir, Ryuzo Abe, Laurent Abel, Lara Absil, Subhash Acharya, Andrew Acker, Elisabeth Adam, Diana Adrião, Saleh Al Ageel, Shakeel Ahmed, Kate Ainscough, Eka Airlangga, Tharwat Aisa, Ali Ait Hssain, Younes Ait Tamlihat, Takako Akimoto, Ernita Akmal, Eman Al Qasim, Razi Alalqam, Angela Alberti, Tala Al-dabbous, Senthilkumar Alegesan, Cynthia Alegre, Marta Alessi, Beatrice Alex, Kévin Alexandre, Abdulrahman Al-Fares, Huda Alfoudri, Imran Ali, Adam Ali, Naseem Ali Shah, Kazali Enagnon Alidjnou, Jeffrey Aliudin, Qabas Alkhafajee, Clotilde Allavena, Nathalie Allou, Aneela Altaf, João Alves, Rita Alves, João Melo Alves, Maria Amaral, Nur Amira, Phoebe Ampaw, Roberto Andini, Claire Andréjak, Andrea Angheben, François Angoulvant, Séverine Ansart, Sivanesen Anthonidass, Massimo Antonelli, Carlos Alexandre Antunes de Brito, Ardiyan Apriyana, Yaseen Arabi, Irene Aragao, Francisco Arancibia, Carolline Araujo, Antonio Arcadipane, Patrick Archambault, Lukas Arenz, Jean-Benoît Arlet, Christel Arnold-Day, Lovkesh Arora, Rakesh Arora, Elise Artaud-Macari, Diptesh Aryal, Angel Asensio, Muhammad Ashraf, Namra Asif, Mohammad Asim, Jean Baptiste Assie, Amirul Asyraf, Anika Atique, A M Udara Lakshan Attanyake, Johann Auchabie, Hugues Aumaitre, Adrien Auvet, Laurène Azemar, Cecile Azoulay, Benjamin Bach, Delphine Bachelet, Claudine Badr, Nadia Baig, J Kevin Baird, Erica Bak, Agamemnon Bakakos, Nazreen Abu Bakar, Andriy Bal, Mohanaprasanth Balakrishnan, Valeria Balan, Firouzé Bani-Sadr, Renata Barbalho, Nicholas Yuri Barbosa, Wendy S Barclay, Saef Umar Barnett, Michaela Barnikel, Helena Barrasa, Audrey Barrelet, Cleide Barrigoto, Marie Bartoli, Mustehan Bashir, Romain Basmaci, Muhammad Fadhli Hassin Basri, Denise Battaglini, Jules Bauer, Diego Fernando Bautista Rincon, Denisse Bazan Dow, Alexandra Bedossa, Ker Hong Bee, Husna Begum, Sylvie Behilill, Albertus Beishuizen, Aleksandr Beljantsev, David Bellemare, Anna Beltrame, Beatriz Amorim Beltrão, Marine Beluze, Nicolas Benech, Lionel Eric Benjiman, Dehbia Benkerrou, Suzanne Bennett, Luís Bento, Jan-Erik Berdal, Delphine Bergeaud, Hazel Bergin, José Luis Bernal Sobrino, Giulia Bertoli, Lorenzo Bertolino, Simon Bessis, Sybille Bevilcaqua, Karine Bezulier, Amar Bhatt, Krishna Bhavsar, Claudia Bianco, Farah Nadiah Bidin, Moirangthem Bikram Singh, Felwa Bin Humaid, Mohd Nazlin Bin Kamarudin, François Bissuel, Patrick Biston, Laurent Bitker, Jonathan Bitton, Pablo Blanco-Schweizer, Catherine Blier, Frank Bloos, Mathieu Blot, Filomena Boccia, Laetitia Bodenes, Alice Bogaarts, Debby Bogaert, Anne-Hélène Boivin, Pierre-Adrien Bolze, François Bompart, Aurelius Bonfasius, Diogo Borges, Raphaël Borie, Hans Martin Bosse, Elisabeth Botelho-Nevers, Lila Bouadma, Olivier Bouchaud, Sabelline Bouchez, Dounia Bouhmani, Damien Bouhour, Kévin Bouiller, Laurence Bouillet, Camile Bouisse, Anne-Sophie Boureau, John Bourke, Maude Bouscambert, Aurore Bousquet, Jason Bouziotis, Bianca Boxma, Marielle Boyer-Besseyre, Maria Boylan, Axelle Braconnier, Cynthia Braga, Timo Brandenburger, Filipa Brás Monteiro, Luca Brazzi, Patrick Breen, Dorothy Breen, Patrick Breen, Kathy Brickell, Shaunagh Browne, Alex Browne, Nicolas Brozzi, Marjolein Brusse-Keizer, Nina Buchtele, Christian Buesaquillo, Polina Bugaeva, Marielle Buisson, Danilo Buonsenso, Erlina Burhan, Ingrid G Bustos, Denis Butnaru, André Cabie, Susana Cabral, Eder Caceres, Cyril Cadoz, Mia Callahan, Kate Calligy, Jose Andres Calvache, João Camões, Valentine Campana, Paul Campbell, Josie Campisi, Cecilia Canepa, Mireia Cantero, Pauline Caraux-Paz, Sheila Cárcel, Chiara Simona Cardellino, Sofia Cardoso, Filipe Cardoso, Filipa Cardoso, Nelson Cardoso, Simone Carelli, Nicolas Carlier, Thierry Carmoi, Gayle Carney, Inês Carqueja, Marie-Christine Carret, François Martin Carrier, Ida Carroll, Maire-Laure Casanova, Mariana Cascão, Siobhan Casey, José Casimiro, Bailey Cassandra, Silvia Castañeda, Nidyanara Castanheira, 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Shetty, Haixia Shi, Nisreen Shiban, Mohiuddin Shiekh, Nobuaki Shime, Hiroaki Shimizu, Keiki Shimizu, Sally Shrapnel, Pramesh Sundar Shrestha, Shubha Kalyan Shrestha, Hoi Ping Shum, Nassima Si Mohammed, Ng Yong Siang, Jeanne Sibiude, Atif Siddiqui, Piret Sillaots, Catarina Silva, Rogério Silva, Maria Joao Silva, Wai Ching Sin, Dario Sinatti, Punam Singh, Budha Charan Singh, Pompini Agustina Sitompul, Karisha Sivam, Vegard Skogen, Sue Smith, Benjamin Smood, Coilin Smyth, Michelle Smyth, Michelle Smyth, Morgane Snacken, Dominic So, Tze Vee Soh, Joshua Solomon, Tom Solomon, Agnès Sommet, Rima Song, Tae Song, Jack Song Chia, Michael Sonntagbauer, Azlan Mat Soom, Alberto Sotto, Edouard Soum, Marta Sousa, Ana Chora Sousa, Maria Sousa Uva, Vicente Souza-Dantas, Alexandra Sperry, Elisabetta Spinuzza, B P Sanka Ruwan Sri Darshana, Shiranee Sriskandan, Sarah Stabler, Thomas Staudinger, Stephanie-Susanne Stecher, Trude Steinsvik, Ymkje Stienstra, Birgitte Stiksrud, Eva Stolz, Amy Stone, Adrian Streinu-Cercel, David Stuart, Ami Stuart, Decy Subekti, Gabriel Suen, Jacky Y Suen, Asfia Sultana, Charlotte Summers, Dubravka Supic, Deepashankari Suppiah, Magdalena Surovcová, Suwarti Suwarti, Andrey Svistunov, Sarah Syahrin, Konstantinos Syrigos, Jaques Sztajnbok, Konstanty Szuldrzynski, Shirin Tabrizi, Lysa Tagherset, Shahdattul Mawarni Taib, Ewa Talarek, Sara Taleb, Jelmer Talsma, Renaud Tamisier, Maria Lawrensia Tampubolon, Kim Keat Tan, Yan Chyi Tan, Taku Tanaka, Hiroyuki Tanaka, Hayato Taniguchi, Huda Taqdees, Arshad Taqi, Coralie Tardivon, Pierre Tattevin, M Azhari Taufik, Hassan Tawfik, Richard S Tedder, Tze Yuan Tee, João Teixeira, Sofia Tejada, Marie-Capucine Tellier, Sze Kye Teoh, Vanessa Teotonio, François Téoulé, Pleun Terpstra, Olivier Terrier, Nicolas Terzi, Hubert Tessier-Grenier, Adrian Tey, Alif Adlan Mohd Thabit, Anand Thakur, Zhang Duan Tham, Suvintheran Thangavelu, Vincent Thibault, Simon-Djamel Thiberville, Benoît Thill, Jananee Thirumanickam, Shaun Thompson, Emma C Thomson, David Thomson, Surain Raaj Thanga Thurai, Ryan S Thwaites, Paul Tierney, Vadim Tieroshyn, Peter S Timashev, Jean-François Timsit, Noémie Tissot, Jordan Zhien Yang Toh, Maria Toki, Kristian Tonby, Sia Loong Tonnii, Margarida Torres, Antoni Torres, Rosario Maria Torres Santos-Olmo, Hernando Torres-Zevallos, Michael Towers, Tony Trapani, Théo Treoux, Cécile Tromeur, Ioannis Trontzas, Tiffany Trouillon, Jeanne Truong, Christelle Tual, Sarah Tubiana, Helen Tuite, Jean-Marie Turmel, Lance C W Turtle, Anders Tveita, Pawel Twardowski, Makoto Uchiyama, P G Ishara Udayanga, Andrew Udy, Roman Ullrich, Alberto Uribe, Asad Usman, Timothy M Uyeki, Cristinava Vajdovics, Piero Valentini, Luís Val-Flores, Amélie Valran, Stijn Van de Velde, Marcel van den Berge, Machteld Van der Feltz, Job van der Palen, Paul van der Valk, Nicky Van Der Vekens, Peter Van der Voort, Sylvie Van Der Werf, Laura van Gulik, Jarne Van Hattem, Carolien van Netten, Frank van Someren Greve, Ilonka van Veen, Hugo Van Willigen, Noémie Vanel, Henk Vanoverschelde, Pooja Varghese, Michael Varrone, Shoban Raj Vasudayan, Charline Vauchy, Shaminee Veeran, Aurélie Veislinger, Sebastian Vencken, Sara Ventura, Annelies Verbon, James Vickers, José Ernesto Vidal, César Vieira, Deepak Vijayan, Joy Ann Villanueva, Judit Villar, Pierre-Marc Villeneuve, Andrea Villoldo, Gayatri Vishwanathan, Benoit Visseaux, Hannah Visser, Chiara Vitiello, Harald Vonkeman, Fanny Vuotto, Suhaila Abdul Wahab, Noor Hidayu Wahab, Nadirah Abdul Wahid, Marina Wainstein, Wan Fadzlina Wan Muhd Shukeri, Chih-Hsien Wang, Steve Webb, Katharina Weil, Tan Pei Wen, Sanne Wesselius, T Eoin West, Murray Wham, Bryan Whelan, Nicole White, Paul Henri Wicky, Aurélie Wiedemann, Surya Otto Wijaya, Keith Wille, Suzette Willems, Virginie Williams, Calvin Wong, Yew Sing Wong, Teck Fung Wong, Natalie Wright, Gan Ee Xian, Lim Saio Xian, Kuan Pei Xuan, Ioannis Xynogalas, Siti Rohani Binti Mohd Yakop, Masaki Yamazaki, Yazdan Yazdanpanah, Nicholas Yee Liang Hing, Cécile Yelnik, Chian Hui Yeoh, Stephanie Yerkovich, Toshiki Yokoyama, Hodane Yonis, Obada Yousif, Saptadi Yuliarto, Akram Zaaqoq, Marion Zabbe, Kai Zacharowski, Masliza Zahid, Maram Zahran, Nor Zaila Binti Zaidan, Maria Zambon, Miguel Zambrano, Alberto Zanella, Konrad Zawadka, Nurul Zaynah, Hiba Zayyad, Alexander Zoufaly, and David Zucman
Data availability
The ISARIC-WHO CCP, case report form and consent forms are openly available on the ISARIC website at https://isaric.org/research/covid-19-clinical-research-resources/clinical-characterisation-protocol-ccp/. The statistical analysis plan is openly available on the ISARIC website at https://isaric.org/research/covid-19-clinical-research-resources/accessing-covid-19-clinical-data/approved-uses-of-platform-data/. Most individual patient data are available to researchers approved by the Data Access Committee. The data inventory, application form and terms of access for the COVID-19 Data Platform, hosted by the Infectious Diseases Data Observatory (IDDO), are available at https://www.iddo.org/covid19/data-sharing/accessing-data. All individual participant data are available to individuals from sites who have contributed to the ISARIC COVID-19 Platform via the ISARIC Partner Analysis Scheme. See details via this link: https://isaric.org/research/isaric-partner-analysis-frequently-asked-questions/.
Supplementary data
Supplementary data are available at IJE online.
Author contributions
Author contributions are available as a Supplementary file at IJE online.
Funding
This work was made possible by the UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office; Wellcome (215091/Z/18/Z, 205228/Z/16/Z, 220757/Z/20/Z); Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1209135); UK Medical Research Council Clinical Research Training Fellowship (MR/V001671/1); the philanthropic support of the donors to the University of Oxford’s COVID-19 Research Response Fund; CIHR Coronavirus Rapid Research Funding Opportunity (OV2170359) and the co-ordination in Canada by Sunnybrook Research Institute; endorsement of the Irish Critical Care—Clinical Trials Group, co-ordination in Ireland by the Irish Critical Care—Clinical Trials Network at University College Dublin and funding by the Health Research Board of Ireland (CTN-2014–12); the Rapid European COVID-19 Emergency Response research (RECOVER) (H2020 project 101003589) and European Clinical Research Alliance on Infectious Diseases (ECRAID) (965313); the COVID clinical management team, AIIMS, Rishikesh, India; the COVID-19 Clinical Management team, Manipal Hospital Whitefield, Bengaluru, India; Cambridge NIHR Biomedical Research Centre; the dedication and hard work of the Groote Schuur Hospital Covid ICU Team; support by the Groote Schuur nursing and University of Cape Town registrar bodies co-ordinated by the Division of Critical Care at the University of Cape Town; the Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine and the University of Oxford; the dedication and hard work of the Norwegian SARS-CoV-2 study team; the Research Council of Norway (grant no. 312780) and a philanthropic donation from Vivaldi Invest A/S owned by Jon Stephenson von Tetzchner; Imperial NIHR Biomedical Research Centre; the Comprehensive Local Research Networks of which PJMO is an NIHR Senior Investigator (NIHR201385); Innovative Medicines Initiative Joint Undertaking under Grant Agreement No. 115523 COMBACTE, resources of which are composed of financial contribution from the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007– 2013) and EFPIA companies, in-kind contribution; the French COVID cohort (NCT04262921) is sponsored by INSERM and is funded by the REACTing (REsearch & ACtion emergING infectious diseases) consortium and by a grant of the French Ministry of Health (PHRC n 20–0424); Stiftungsfonds zur Förderung der Bekämpfung der Tuberkulose und anderer Lungenkrankheiten of the City of Vienna (project no. APCOV22BGM); Italian Ministry of Health ‘Fondi Ricerca corrente–L1P6’ to IRCCS Ospedale Sacro Cuore–Don Calabria; Australian Department of Health grant (3273191); Gender Equity Strategic Fund at University of Queensland, Artificial Intelligence for Pandemics (A14PAN) at University of Queensland, the Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Engineered Quantum Systems (EQUS, CE170100009), the Prince Charles Hospital Foundation, Australia; grants from Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Ministerio de Ciencia, Spain; Brazil, National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (scholarship no. 303953/2018–7); the Firland Foundation, Shoreline, Washington, USA; a grant from foundation Bevordering Onderzoek Franciscus; the South Eastern Norway Health Authority and the Research Council of Norway; and preparedness work conducted by the Short PeRiod IncideNce sTudy of Severe Acute Respiratory Infection. Data and Material provision was supported by grants from the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR; award CO-CIN-01), the Medical Research Council (MRC; grant MC_PC_19059) and by the NIHR Health Protection Research Unit (HPRU) in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections at University of Liverpool in partnership with PHE (award no. 200907), NIHR HPRU in Respiratory Infections at Imperial College London with PHE (award no. 200927), Liverpool Experimental Cancer Medicine Centre (grant no. C18616/A25153), NIHR Biomedical Research Centre at Imperial College London (award no. IS-BRC-1215–20013) and NIHR Clinical Research Network providing infrastructure support.
Conflict of interest
Donnelly, C.A. declares research funding from the UK Medical Research Council and the UK National Institute for Health Research. Ho, A. declares grant funding from Medical Research Council UK, Scottish Funding Council—Grand Challenges Research Fund, and the Wellcome Trust, outside this submitted work. Martin-Loeches I. declared lectures for Gilead, Thermofisher, Pfizer, MSD; advisory board participation for Fresenius Kabi, Advanz Pharma, Gilead, Accelerate, Merck; and consulting fees for Gilead outside of the submitted work. Mentré F, declares consulting fees from IPSEN, Servier and Da Volterra, and reports research grants to her group from Sanofi, Roche, Servier and Da Voleterra, all outside the submitted work. Nichol, A. declares a grant from the Health Research Board of Ireland to support data collection in Ireland (CTN-2014–012), an unrestricted grant from BAXTER for the TAME trial kidney substudy and consultancy fees paid to his institution from AM-PHARMA. Semple, M.G. reports grants from DHSC National Institute of Health Research UK, from the Medical Research Council UK and from the Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging & Zoonotic Infections, University of Liverpool, supporting the conduct of the study; other interest in Integrum Scientific LLC, Greensboro, NC, USA, outside the submitted work. Streinu-Cercel, Anca has been an investigator in COVID-19 clinical trials by Algernon Pharmaceuticals, Atea Pharmaceuticals, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Diffusion Pharmaceuticals, Celltrion, Inc. and Atriva Therapeutics, outside the scope of the submitted work.
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Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Supplementary Materials
Data Availability Statement
The ISARIC-WHO CCP, case report form and consent forms are openly available on the ISARIC website at https://isaric.org/research/covid-19-clinical-research-resources/clinical-characterisation-protocol-ccp/. The statistical analysis plan is openly available on the ISARIC website at https://isaric.org/research/covid-19-clinical-research-resources/accessing-covid-19-clinical-data/approved-uses-of-platform-data/. Most individual patient data are available to researchers approved by the Data Access Committee. The data inventory, application form and terms of access for the COVID-19 Data Platform, hosted by the Infectious Diseases Data Observatory (IDDO), are available at https://www.iddo.org/covid19/data-sharing/accessing-data. All individual participant data are available to individuals from sites who have contributed to the ISARIC COVID-19 Platform via the ISARIC Partner Analysis Scheme. See details via this link: https://isaric.org/research/isaric-partner-analysis-frequently-asked-questions/.