The association between household food insecurity and obesity in Mexico: a cross-sectional study of ENSANUT MC 2016

Abstract

Objective:

To examine the association between household food insecurity and overweight, obesity and abdominal obesity in Mexican adults.

Design:

Cross-sectional study.

Setting:

We analysed data from the Mexican Halfway National Health and Nutrition Survey 2016, a nationally representative survey that accounted for rural and urban areas in four regions of Mexico: North, Centre, Mexico City and South.

Participants:

Adults from 20 to 59 years old (n 5456, which represents 45 804 210 individuals at the national level).

Results:

70·8 % of the Mexican adults had some degree of household food insecurity. This situation showed larger proportions (P < 0·05) among indigenous people, those living in a rural area, in the Southern region or the lowest socio-economic quintiles. The prevalence of obesity and abdominal obesity was higher in female adults (P < 0·001), with the highest proportions occurring among those experiencing severe household food insecurity. Among women, mean BMI and waist circumference were higher as household food insecurity levels increased (P < 0·001). According to multivariate logistic regression models, severe household food insecurity showed to be positively associated with obesity (OR: 2·36; P = 0·001) in Mexican adult females.

Conclusions:

Our findings confirm the association between household food insecurity and obesity among Mexican women. Given the socio-demographic characteristics of the food-insecure population, it is alarming that prevailing socio-economic inequalities in the country might also be contributing to the likelihood of obesity. Therefore, it is crucial to maintain and bolster surveillance systems to track both problems and implement adequate policies and interventions.

Food insecurity exists when people lack secure access to sufficient amounts of safe and nutritious food for normal growth and development and an active and healthy life⁽¹⁾. This condition derives in deficient nutritional status and affects social and mental well-being, physical health and overall quality of life⁽²⁾. Food insecurity has been classified in three categories: (i) mild food insecurity, defined as worrying about not being able to obtain enough food and/or decreasing dietary quality, (ii) moderate food insecurity, which refers to compromising not only the quality but the quantity of the food consumed as well and (iii) lastly, severe food insecurity that exists when people experience hunger episodes⁽³⁾.

The presence of obesity in situations of economic and food scarcity was identified since 1965 when Goldblatt et al. observed a markedly larger obesity prevalence among people from low socio-economic status in Manhattan⁽⁴⁾. Thirty years later, Dietz described a similar situation in a case report and proposed that either food choices (i.e. cheap and high-calorie foods) or physiological adaptations responding to food scarcity episodes could be responsible for this paradoxical association⁽⁵⁾. Since then, the evidence supporting those arguments has increased, especially in the USA^(6–9) and Latin America^(10–14). For instance, a study that evaluated Mexican households reported an inverse relationship between food insecurity and income⁽¹⁵⁾. Additionally, in comparison with food-secure households, food-insecure families showed significantly lower expenditure on fruits, vegetables, meats and dairy, while their spending on eggs, legumes, sugar, fats and oils was higher⁽¹⁵⁾. Other studies have also reported that poverty is a common factor in food insecurity and obesity⁽¹⁶⁾. This condition leads to higher consumption of nutrient-poor, energy-dense foods, which are more affordable⁽¹⁶⁾. Furthermore, stress and other psychological and social consequences of poverty can have a negative impact on body weight, hormonal balance and metabolic functions⁽¹⁷⁾.

In Mexico, the last decades have been characterised by an economical and nutritional transition, where the intake of ultra-processed and densely caloric foods has increased, accompanied by more sedentary lifestyles, contributing to a rapid increment in the rates of obesity and chronic illnesses⁽¹⁰⁾. Since 1980, adult obesity prevalence has tripled⁽¹⁸⁾, and today, the country ranks second highest at the global level⁽¹⁹⁾. Moreover, complications such as type II diabetes and cardiovascular problems are the leading causes of death among Mexican people⁽²⁰⁾. Therefore, obesity is one of the most relevant public health issues⁽¹⁸⁾. According to the Mexican Halfway National Health and Nutrition Survey 2016 (ENSANUT MC 2016 by its acronym in Spanish, Encuesta Nacional de Salud y Nutrición Medio Camino 2016), a nationwide survey conducted by the National Institute of Public Health of Mexico (INSP by its acronym in Spanish, Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública), adult overweight and obesity mixed prevalence was 72·5 %, and the prevalence of abdominal obesity was 76·6 %⁽²¹⁾.

Simultaneously, food insecurity has also been a problem for the country during the last years. In 2008, this phenomenon was measured for the first time nationwide by the National Council for the Evaluation of Social Development Policy (CONEVAL for its acronym in Spanish, Consejo Nacional de Evaluación de la Politica de Desarrollo Social). At that time, it was estimated that 21·7 % of the population lacked access to food, a condition that encompasses both moderate and severe food insecurity⁽²²⁾. This prevalence decreased to 20·4 % in 2018⁽²²⁾. Nonetheless, the number of affected people increased from 24·3 to 25·5 million during that period⁽²²⁾. Moreover, considering mild food insecurity, a total of 49·7 million people experienced some degree of food insecurity in 2018⁽²²⁾. For its part, the ENSANUT has reported even higher figures in 2012 and 2016. Without significant changes from one period to another, food insecurity was reported at 69·5 % in 2016⁽²³⁾.

According to 2012 national data, mild food insecurity is associated with obesity⁽¹¹⁾ and diabetes in women, and with hypertension in men and women⁽²⁴⁾. Correspondingly, it has been suggested that food insecurity might be leading people to consume high amounts of sugar, fat and refined carbohydrates^(11,24). Furthermore, the stress related to living in a scarcity situation could contribute to increased visceral fat deposition⁽²⁴⁾. Thereby, attending food insecurity is crucial to solving the ongoing nutritional epidemic^(11,24). Accordingly, researchers have urged the government to improve the performance of assistance programmes while addressing the roots of food insecurity^(11,24).

Since 2013, the Mexican government has increased efforts to confront poverty and hunger⁽²⁵⁾. For instance, the National Strategy for Inclusion (Estrategia Nacional de Inclusión in Spanish) was implemented with the objective of eradicate hunger and provide an adequate nutrition among the poorest⁽²⁶⁾. As a result, half of the households in moderate or severe food insecurity have been included in a food aid programme⁽²⁶⁾. Consequently, the need for updated and continuous evidence of the impact of such interventions has been noted⁽²⁶⁾. Therefore, it is relevant to analyse the results from nutrition surveys periodically. In this study, we examined information from ENSANUT MC 2016 with the objective of further shading light on the relationship between household food insecurity and overweight, obesity and abdominal obesity in Mexican adults.

Methods

Data and design

We analysed open-access data from ENSANUT MC 2016⁽²⁷⁾, a probabilistic survey with both regional and national representation, which included urban and rural areas from the four regions of Mexico: North, Central, Mexico City and South. A detailed description of its design has been published elsewhere⁽²⁸⁾. Briefly, the survey gathered information from 9479 households. In all of them, the head of the family and its members were interviewed face to face by trained personnel following structured questionnaires regarding household characteristics, health and nutritional situation⁽²⁸⁾. Questionnaires regarding socio-demographic characteristics and food insecurity were answered by the head of the household and provide household-level information^(21,28). Anthropometric measurements, semi-quantitative FFQSFFQ and physical activity, sedentariness and sleeping time questionnaires were obtained directly from the household members included in the subsamples for such questionnaires^(21,28).

Our population of interest was adults (20–59 years old). According to ENSANUT, an adult is an individual of 20 years or more⁽²¹⁾, and according to the National Institute of Statistic and Geography (INEGI for its acronym in Spanish, Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía), in Mexico, a subject of 60 years or more is considered an older adult⁽²⁹⁾. Only subjects with complete data on the above-mentioned questionnaires were included in the present study. The number of subjects whose information was available for each of our variables is presented in the following sections. A maximum of one adult per household counted with complete questionnaires. Lactating and pregnant women, as well as subjects whose information on BMI, energy consumption or physical activity was out of the valid cut-off points (specified later in the variables description section), were excluded from the study.

Based on available data for the variables included in the multivariate models and after applying the exclusion criteria, the final sample was composed of 5456 subjects representing 45 804 210 adult individuals at the national level. Analyses were conducted for men and women both together and separately.

Exposure variable

The household food insecurity level was the independent variable used in the present study. This variable was measured employing the Latin American and Caribbean Food Security Scale (ELCSA for its acronym in Spanish, Escala Latinoamericana y Caribeña de Seguridad Alimentaria), a validated method for evaluating household food insecurity, from the access dimension, in the Mexican population^(30,31). ELCSA inquires about household food insecurity-related experiences during the 3 months previous to the survey⁽³⁾. It contains fifteen questions designed to be answered in a dichotomous way (yes or no)⁽³⁾. Answers are coded ‘1’ for yes and ‘0’ for no, generating a score that is subsequently used to classify households into one of four categories: food secure, mildly food insecure, moderately food insecure and severely food insecure⁽³⁾. Information on this variable was available for 9019 households.

For the analyses, participants were considered to inhabit either a food secure or a mildly, moderately or severely food-insecure household. Given that ELCSA was applied at a household level^(30,31), individual-specific experiences within the household might not be reflected.

Outcome variables

BMI (in kg/m²) and waist circumference (WC, in cm) were initially analysed as continuous variables. Afterwards, adults were classified either overweight or obese according to the WHO criteria with BMI ≥ 25 kg/m² and ≥30 kg/m², respectively⁽³²⁾. The range for valid BMI measurements was considered from 10 to 58 kg/m², as presented in previous studies for the same population of interest^(11,21). Previous to this study, the database of anthropometric information was reviewed and outliers were excluded from it by the INSP. This database showed a range of 12·13–56·78 kg/m² for BMI, and no participants were excluded by the authors provided this criterion. Abdominal obesity was defined according to the International Diabetes Federation with a WC ≥ 80 cm for women and ≥90 cm for men⁽²¹⁾. For our population of interest, there was information available on BMI of 6412 participants and WC of 6160 individuals. Anthropometric measurements taken to calculate these variables were performed applying Lohman’s techniques⁽³³⁾ and the Habicht procedure for standardising fieldwork⁽³⁴⁾, ensuring the quality of the data collected. Height, weight and WC were measured twice, and the average was reported and used for the analyses.

Covariates

Socio-demographic characteristics

It includes age (in years); indigenous ethnicity (yes or no, depending on whether they recognised themselves as indigenous and whether they reported using an indigenous language⁽¹¹⁾); educational level (preschool or none, primary or secondary education, or high school or higher); marital status (single/divorced/widow, or married/cohabitating); the number of people residing in the household (1–2, 3–4, 5 or more); area of residence (urban or rural); region of the country (North, Central, Mexico City or South⁽²⁸⁾); and socio-economic level (quintiles). For the latter, we took the existent classification presented by the INSP in the databases of ENSANUT MC 2016. The construction of this variable was based on a wellness condition index created using the principal components analysis method and the information collected from the socio-demographic questionnaire included in the survey⁽¹¹⁾. The household aspects considered for developing this index were the construction materials of floor, walls and ceiling, number of rooms used for sleeping, access to water, vehicle possession, number of domestic goods and number of electronic devices⁽¹¹⁾. Finally, the index was divided by quintiles; the first quintile (Q₁) represents the lowest socio-economic level, and the last one (Q₅), the highest⁽¹¹⁾. Information on these variables was available for all the subjects from the 9479 households.

Energy consumption

It is calculated from the SFFQ included in the survey. This SFFQ has been designed and validated to estimate energy, macronutrients and micronutrients consumption in Mexican adults⁽³⁵⁾. It includes a list of 140 food and beverage items and inquires about their consumption in terms of d/week, times a day, portions/time and portion size⁽³⁵⁾. Individuals in which the ratio of energy intake/estimated energy requirement was over 3 sd, or in which the ratio of energy intake/BMR was under 0·5, were excluded⁽³⁶⁾. The extended methodology for estimating dietary data from this SFFQ has been published elsewhere⁽³⁶⁾. There was information on this variable of 6511 subjects from our population of interest.

Physical activity

ENSANUT MC 2016 incorporated the short version of the International Physical Activity Questionnaire. This instrument asks about the execution and duration of different physical activities performed in bouts of at least ten continuous minutes during the last 7 d⁽²¹⁾. Data cleaning and classification of physical activity levels were done in agreement with the International Physical Activity Questionnaire guidelines. In accordance, subjects may have a low, moderate or high level of physical activity. This classification depends on the MET-min/week, and the d/week, the physical activities were performed⁽³⁷⁾. For our population of interest, there was information available on this variable for 6435 subjects.

Sleeping time

For sleeping time sufficiency classification, we applied the criteria of the US National Sleep Foundation. Accordingly, sleeping time was considered as sufficient with at least 7 h/d⁽³⁸⁾. For our population of interest, there was information available on this variable for 6416 subjects.

Statistical analysis

Continuous variables are presented as means and categorical variables as proportions. Bivariate contingency tables were generated for observing the distribution of food insecurity by socio-demographic characteristics, and χ² tests were performed to detect associations between these variables. Subsequently, all analyses were performed independently for men and women. Prevalences of overweight, obesity and abdominal obesity were calculated by gender and food insecurity levels. Differences in mean BMI and WC by food insecurity level were evaluated through ANOVA in conjunction with Bonferroni post-hoc testing, following confirmation of homogeneity of the variances using the Levene’s test. Afterwards, the OR for overweight, obesity and abdominal obesity were obtained through bivariate and multivariate logistic regression models adjusting for multiple contrasts. For the regression analyses, the backward elimination method was employed until all covariates had a P < 0·15⁽³⁹⁾. Although energy consumption, physical activity level, socio-economic level and educational level were not significantly associated with the outcome variables in some models, these variables were incorporated into the analyses due to their physiological or theoretical relationship with body weight. The analyses were conducted using the complex samples option of IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, v. 25.0. Results were reported as significant with a P < 0·05.

Results

From the final sample, 46·7 % of the subjects were males and 53·3 % females. Regarding household food insecurity level, 29·2 % (95 % CI 26·9 %, 31·7 %) were household-food secure, 40·7 % (95 % CI 38·3 %, 43·2 %) mildly household-food insecure, 18·8 % (95 % CI 17·1 %, 20·7 %) moderately household-food insecure and 11·2 % (95 % CI 9·9 %, 12·7 %) severely household-food insecure. Household food insecurity distribution by socio-demographic characteristics is reported in Table 1.

Table 1.

Household food insecurity distribution according to socio-demographic characteristics of the population. Mexican adults (20–59 years old). ENSANUT MC 2016

	n	Household food secure		Mildly household-food insecure		Moderately household-food insecure		Severely household-food insecure		P
		%	95 % CI	%	95 % CI	%	95 % CI	%	95 % CI
Sex										0·613
Women	1807	29·8	26·7, 33·3	41·4	38·4, 44·5	17·7	15·6, 20·0	11·0	9·5,12·8
Men	3649	28·5	25·1, 32·2	39·9	36·3, 43·6	20·1	17·3, 23·3	11·4	9·2, 14·2
Age group (years)										0·637
20–29	1242	31·7	27·5, 36·3	38·7	34·7, 42·9	17·7	14·4, 21·7	11·8	8·9, 15·5
30–39	1589	28·8	24·7, 33·3	43·2	38·3, 48·1	18·3	15·1, 22·0	9·7	7·6, 12·3
40–49	1457	29·0	24·7, 33·7	39·5	35·8, 43·2	20·1	16·7, 23·9	11·5	8·9, 14·7
50–59	1168	25·7	21·4, 30·5	42·4	38·1, 46·8	19·9	16·4, 24·0	12·0	9·2, 15·6
Indigenous ethnicity										<0·001
No	4862	30·4	27·9, 33·0	40·5	37·9, 43·1	18·4	16·7, 20·3	10·7	9·3, 12·3
Yes	594	12·3	7·9, 18·8	44·0	36·4, 51·8	25·0	18·3, 33·2	18·6	12·1, 27·6
Education level										<0·001
High school or higher	1439	40·2	35·5, 45·2	37·9	33·9, 42·0	14·2	11·6, 17·3	7·7	5·8, 10·1
Elementary or secondary	3683	22·3	20·0, 24·7	43·1	40·1, 46·1	21·6	19·2, 24·2	13·0	11·2, 15·0
Preschool or none	334	18·7	11·4, 28·9	35·2	26·1, 45·5	24·7	17·8, 33·1	21·5	13·7. 32·0
Marital status										0·485
Single/divorced/widow	1645	28·9	25·1, 32·9	40·1	35·7, 44·6	18·2	15·2, 21·6	12·8	10·5, 15·6
Married/cohabitating	3811	29·4	26·6, 32·4	41·0	38·4, 43·8	19·1	17·2, 21·3	10·4	8·7, 12·3
Number of people residing in the household										0·014
1–2	1786	31·9	28·4, 35·8	38·8	35·4, 42·2	20·3	17·4, 23·6	8·9	7·4, 10·8
3–4	2376	30·4	26·6, 34·4	41·9	38·4, 45·4	18·0	15·5, 20·9	9·7	7·9, 11·9
5 or more	1294	25·8	21·8, 30·2	40·4	35·5, 45·6	18·9	15·6, 22·6	14·9	12·1, 18·3
Residence area										<0·001
Rural	2774	21·7	18·8, 25·0	47·8	44·6, 51·0	19·8	17·2, 22·8	10·6	8·7, 12·9
Urban	2682	31·7	28·7, 34·8	38·4	35·5, 41·5	18·5	16·4, 20·8	11·4	9·7, 13·3
Region of the country										0·010
Centre	1424	28·3	23·8, 33·4	44·2	39·3, 49·2	16·9	14·2, 19·9	10·5	8·1, 13·7
Mexico City	599	32·2	26·3, 38·9	35·4	30·4, 40·9	21·4	16·9, 26·7	10·9	7·9, 14·9
North	1714	34·3	29·6, 39·2	37·6	33·1, 42·4	16·4	13·3, 20·0	11·8	9·5, 14·5
South	1719	23·0	19·6, 26·8	43·6	39·5, 47·7	21·8	18·2, 26·0	11·6	8·9, 14·9
Socio-economic level										<0·001
Q5	1051	43·1	38·3, 48·0	40·1	35·6, 44·9	12·6	9·4, 16·6	4·2	2·9, 6·2
Q4	1073	28·7	24·6, 33·2	42·0	37·6, 46·5	17·4	14·2, 21·1	11·9	8·7, 16·0
Q3	1112	26·3	21·4, 31·9	37·0	32·0, 42·2	23·4	19·5, 27·8	13·3	10·0, 17·5
Q2	1126	17·1	14·0, 20·6	42·1	37·3, 47·1	23·2	19·5, 27·3	17·7	13·5, 22·7
Q1	1094	11·2	8·5, 14·8	43·7	38·7, 48·9	26·8	21·7, 32·6	18·3	13·8, 23·8

Q_i, quintile and quintile number (Q₅ represents the highest socio-economic level).

P-values correspond to the χ² test of independence for each variable and food insecurity level.

The prevalence of overweight was 39·5 % (95 % CI 37·2 %, 41·8 %). Men showed a higher prevalence of overweight than women (42·8 % v. 36·6 %; P < 0·001). Obesity was present in 34·0 % (95 % CI 31·7 %, 36·3 %), with higher proportion in females (38·7 % v. 28·6 %; P < 0·001). Abdominal obesity was found in 76·4 % of the sample (95 % CI 74·2 %, 78·5 %), with also a higher prevalence among females (87·2 % v. 64·1 %; P < 0·001). No significant associations were found between household-food insecurity and overweight, obesity or abdominal obesity among males. However, in females, the χ² test showed a significant association in the case of obesity (Table 2), and mean BMI and WC were higher as household-food insecurity increased (P < 0·001) as shown in Fig. 1a and b, respectively.

Table 2.

Overweight, obesity and abdominal obesity prevalence by household food insecurity level in Mexican women. ENSANUT MC 2016

	Household food security		Mild household-food insecurity		Moderate household-food insecurity		Severe household-food insecurity
	%	95 % CI	%	95 % CI	%	95 % CI	%	95 % CI
Overweight	34·46	29·78, 39·46	39·38	35·42, 43·48	34·96	29·79, 41·69	34·74	26·76, 43·68
Obesity*	35·31	30·47, 40·47	36·85	32·59, 41·32	42·26	35·66, 49·14	49·13	40·55, 57·77
Abdominal obesity	86·89	82·89, 89·90	85·94	82·38, 88·88	86·92	82·13, 90·57	93·24	88·24, 96·21

^* P = 0·023 from the χ² test of independence.

Fig. 1.

Mean BMI (a) and WC (b) by food insecurity level in Mexican women (n 3649). Error bars represent the 95 % CI of the mean based on the standard error. Significant differences (P < 0·05) between food security levels are indicated with dissimilar letters. WC, waist circumference

Bivariate logistic regression results for the relationship between household food insecurity level, covariates and overweight, obesity and abdominal obesity among women are found in Table 3. The association between severe household-food insecurity and obesity, age, being married or cohabitating with a partner, having a primary or secondary educational level and reporting insufficient sleeping time remained significant in multivariate logistic regression models (Table 4). The relationships between severe household-food insecurity and overweight and abdominal obesity were found to be not statistically significant in multivariate models.

Table 3.

Bivariate logistic regression models for the associations between household food insecurity and overweight, obesity and abdominal obesity in Mexican women. ENSANUT MC 2016

Variable	Overweight			Obesity			Abdominal obesity
	OR	95 % CI	P	OR	95 % CI	P	OR	95 % CI	P
Household food insecurity level
Household food security	1·00			1·00			1·00
Mild household-food insecurity	1·48	0·97, 2·25	0·068	1·35	0·87, 2·09	0·181	0·93	0·60, 1·45	0·753
Moderate household-food insecurity	1·47	0·86, 2·50	0·158	1·73	1·02, 2·95	0·044	1·01	0·61, 1·68	0·963
Severe household-food insecurity	1·85	1·08, 3·16	0·025	2·55	1·54, 4·23	<0·001	2·10	1·08, 4·10	0·029
Indigenous ethnicity
No	1·00			1·00			1·00
Yes	1·16	0·63, 2·13	0·642	0·71	0·41, 1·24	0·227	0·78	0·38, 1·62	0·507
Education level
High school or higher	1·00			1·00			1·000
Elementary or secondary	1·31	0·93, 1·85	0·124	1·84	1·31, 2·60	0·001	2·12	1·52, 2·94	<0·001
Preschool or none	2·49	1·20, 5·16	0·015	2·57	1·33, 4·96	0·005	3·71	1·61, 8·54	0·002
Marital status
Single/divorced/widow	1·00			1·00			1·00
Married/cohabitating	1·32	0·99, 1·77	0·056	1·624	1·21, 2·17	0·001	1·57	1·13, 2·18	0·008
Number of people residing in the household
1–2	1·00			1·00			1·00
3–4	0·81	0·60, 1·09	0·154	0·74	0·52, 1·05	0·089	0·98	0·69, 1·39	0·905
5 or more	1·12	0·77, 1·64	0·554	0·79	0·52, 1·19	0·260	1·17	0·76, 1·79	0·486
Residence area
Rural	1·00			1·00			1·00
Urban	0·88	0·68, 1·15	0·339	1·04	0·80, 1·35	0·760	0·94	0·69, 1·29	0·708
Region of the country
Centre	1·00			1·00			1·00
Mexico City	1·45	0·94, 2·25	0·096	1·33	0·86, 2·05	0·20	1·05	0·63, 1·76	0·849
North	1·21	0·84, 1·74	0·306	1·33	0·89, 1·99	0·16	1·04	0·70, 1·56	0·840
South	1·23	0·90, 1·69	0·190	1·45	0·98, 2·16	0·06	0·89	0·62, 1·27	0·504
Socio-economic level
Q5	1·00			1·00			1·00
Q4	1·02	0·68, 1·53	0·932	1·00	0·68, 1·48	0·994	0·97	0·64, 1·46	0·864
Q3	1·31	0·84, 2·05	0·234	1·70	1·11, 2·60	0·015	1·12	0·71, 1·76	0·634
Q2	1·05	0·68, 1·63	0·814	1·11	0·71, 1·72	0·653	0·83	0·51, 1·35	0·447
Q1	1·06	0·68, 1·66	0·787	0·99	0·63, 1·57	0·990	0·85	0·53, 1·34	0·474
Physical activity level
High	1·00			1·00			1·00
Moderate	1·00	0·71, 1·41	0·998	0·73	0·52, 1·01	0·057	0·84	0·58, 1·20	0·332
Low	1·10	0·74, 1·64	0·636	1·10	0·74, 1·63	0·648	0·90	0·58, 1·38	0·614
Sleeping time
Sufficient	1·00			1·00			1·00
Insufficient	1·39	0·96, 2·01	0·081	1·86	1·33, 2·59	<0·001	1·98	1·38, 2·85	<0·001

Q_i, quintile and quintile number (Q₅ represents the highest socio-economic level).

Table 4.

Multivariate logistic regression model for the association between household food insecurity and obesity in Mexican women. ENSANUT MC 2016

	Obesity
	OR	95 % CI	P
Household food insecurity level
Household food security	1·00
Mild household-food insecurity	1·28	0·81, 2·02	0·299
Moderate household-food insecurity	1·53	0·88, 2·66	0·133
Severe household-food insecurity	2·36	1·40, 3·98	0·001
Age (years)	1·04	1·02, 1·05	<0·001
Education level
High school or higher	1·00
Primary or secondary	1·43	1·01, 2·03	0·042
Preschool or none	1·44	0·68, 3·04	0·341
Marital status
Single/divorced/widow	1·00
Married/cohabitating	1·53	1·14, 2·06	0·005
Socio-economic level
Q5	1·00
Q4	0·92	0·61, 1·39	0·684
Q3	2·42	1·54, 1·98	0·063
Q2	0·83	0·58, 1·19	0·303
Q1	1·12	0·75, 1·67	0·586
Energy consumption (kcal)	1·00	1·00, 1·00	0·607
Physical activity level
High	1·00
Moderate	0·83	0·58, 1·19	0·303
Low	1·12	0·75, 1·67	0·586
Sleeping time
Sufficient	1·00
Insufficient	1·86	1·28, 2·68	0·001

Q_i, quintile and quintile number (Q₅ represents the highest socio-economic level).

Discussion

Through this cross-sectional study, a positive relationship between severe household-food insecurity and obesity among Mexican women was confirmed. After controlling for covariates, obesity was twice as probable to appear in severely household-food insecure women than in household-food secure ones, although this result does not suggest a causal relationship. Additionally, mean BMI and WC were higher with higher levels of household food insecurity.

Likewise, data from 2012 showed an association between mild food insecurity and obesity among Mexican women⁽¹¹⁾; and mild and moderate food insecurity was related to higher odds of overweight and obesity⁽¹⁰⁾. Such findings were attributed to the consumption of foods rich in fat, sugar and refined flours, as a response to the lack of economic access of food-insecure people to healthy and more diverse diets^(10,11). Although our analyses did not show a significant relationship with mild and moderate household-food insecurity, a similar trend was observed.

Resembling our findings, severe food insecurity was associated with a greater likelihood of obesity in low-income Latino women in California⁽⁶⁾. This relationship was explained by a possible occurrence of cycles of involuntary food restriction followed by overeating periods⁽⁶⁾, a situation that was also reported in 2009⁽⁹⁾. This condition could trigger a metabolic response for increasing the body’s efficiency for storing energy in the form of fat⁽⁶⁾.

Similarly, in Brazil, severe food insecurity was related to excessive weight in female adolescents⁽¹²⁾. Back then, it was suggested that this condition might result from energy overconsumption incentivised by the affordability of energy-dense foods, as can occur at certain stages of the nutritional transition in a country⁽¹²⁾. Additionally, it was also mentioned that participating in cash-transfer programmes might be a risk factor for overweight given the insufficiency of the monetary support for lasting the whole month, which would lead families to stretch their budgets and relying on low-cost, high-calorie foods⁽¹²⁾.

From the analyses of continuous variables, we observed higher mean BMI with higher levels of household-food insecurity. This is comparable to what has been reported in Costa Rica, where it was described that BMI was positively correlated with any level of food insecurity⁽¹³⁾. In that context, elevated food prices, seasonal unemployment and abandonment of agricultural activities were found to be the main determinants for such observations⁽¹³⁾. Those factors affected people’s diet by leading to increases in the consumption of staples, processed meats and cheeses, and fried snacks while reducing the purchase of more expensive products such as fruits and vegetables⁽¹³⁾.

Regarding our evaluation of WC and abdominal obesity, we included these indicators of visceral fat for being better predictors of cardiometabolic risk and mortality than BMI⁽⁴⁰⁾. We found significantly higher levels of mean WC with higher household-food insecurity, and a higher proportion of abdominal obesity among severely household-food insecure women. However, the association between household-food insecurity and abdominal obesity was not significant in multivariate models. This discrepancy might be explained by either the strikingly high and generalised prevalence of the latter among the population or because of the higher sensitivity of the analysis conducted with continuous variables. Other studies have reported findings similar to ours. For instance, in Malaysia, abdominal obesity prevalence was higher among food-insecure women, which was attributed to the consumption of low-diverse diets and physical inactivity⁽⁴¹⁾. Similarly, in Iran⁽⁴²⁾ and Brazil⁽¹⁴⁾, it has been observed that abdominal obesity is more likely to occur in severe food insecurity situations, but a causal association has not been established.

From a biological perspective, the food insecurity-obesity paradox has been explained through the resource scarcity hypothesis⁽¹⁷⁾. Accordingly, food insecurity in an environment where high-calorie foods are more accessible than healthier foods may especially affect individuals of lower social status⁽¹⁷⁾. Aside from their limited purchasing power, which might restraint their food choices, in this segment of the population, individuals have lower fat oxidation and metabolic rates^(17,43), and higher concentrations of serum cortisol⁽⁴⁴⁾, which has been associated with leptin and insulin resistance, thereby promoting fat accumulation^(17,45). Additionally, poverty and the fact of living in an adverse environment can lead to an increased desire for food and to opting for consuming high amounts of energy-dense products (binging), probably due to the perception that food supply is inadequate or that access to it might be compromised in the future⁽⁴⁶⁾.

Interestingly, the majority of studies that have analysed the association between food insecurity and obesity report positive results more frequently among females than males. The above has been explained by a number of arguments indicating that women might have: (i) periods of increased food intake due to greater anxiety and social stress^(17,47), (ii) a lower economic capacity to achieve food security⁽⁴⁸⁾, (iii) a lower physical activity level⁽⁴⁸⁾, (iv) a physiological response for ensuring adequate body fat levels for reproduction^(17,49) or (v) due to probable unequal food distribution at the household level^(6,15), which can occur in response to protecting children from the adverse effects of food insecurity⁽¹²⁾. This last hypothesis has been suggested for rural and indigenous Mexican populations, where males, as the primary workforce, have priority in feeding, leaving children and women at a disadvantage⁽¹⁵⁾. However, more studies on this maternal buffering response are required.

Other observations from this study include the associations found between insufficient sleeping time and obesity. These findings concur with clinical and experimental investigations that evidence the relevance of sleeping as a regulator of endocrine and metabolic processes. Sleeping restriction can contribute to triggering overweight and obesity⁽⁵⁰⁾. This condition has been linked to higher sensations of hunger, cravings for carbohydrate-rich food, greater ingestion of food during the night time and digestive problems⁽⁵⁰⁾. On the other hand, this association could also occur in the opposite direction. An analysis from ENSANUT MC 2016 found that BMI was a predictive factor for obstructive sleep apnoea and daytime sleepiness or not restful sleep⁽⁵¹⁾. Therefore, it has been pointed out the relevance of counting with longitudinal studies that allow a better understanding of the sleep problems in Mexico and their association with obesity⁽⁵⁰⁾. Moreover, that sleeping habits should be part of the interventions aimed to attend the obesity epidemic in the country⁽⁵¹⁾.

With regard to physical activity level, we did not observe a significant association with our outcome variables. Nonetheless, we suggest further studies regarding its association with obesity and abdominal obesity. As reported by previous publications, physical activity should get more attention in the fight against obesity in Mexico⁽⁵²⁾. The National Program for Physical Culture and Sport for 2014–2018 reported a lack of governmental promotion and programmes for the practice of physical activity and a lack of physical activity habits by the population⁽⁵²⁾. According to the ENSANUT MC 2016, 14·4 % of Mexican adults did not meet the WHO recommendations for minimal physical activity, being the main barriers for not practicing it lack of time, lack of adequate and safe spaces, and lack of motivation⁽²¹⁾. In other contexts, it has been suggested that the lack of healthy food or the uncertainty of access to food, related to food insecurity, could lead people to be physiologically or psychologically less energetic to practice physical activity⁽⁵³⁾. This could be another way in which food insecurity might be affecting the health and weight status of people; however, studies would be needed in the Mexican setting.

In regard to education, having only primary or secondary schooling has been associated with our outcome variables. Nonetheless, we did not observe a significant result in the case of counting with preschool or none. Other authors have reported an inverse association between education and obesity among Mexican women from urban areas but not from the rural setting, where obesity prevalence has been higher in females with secondary education than in those with primary or less, but also than those with high school or higher education⁽⁵⁴⁾. In that publication, it was proposed that probably less-educated rural women had a lower economic purchasing power that might protect them for acquiring processed, high-calorie foods; nonetheless, that the increasing availability of these products at low cost in their communities might eventually revert their situation⁽⁵⁴⁾.

Although our results could have a similar explanation, another possibility is that people with low academic preparation could be limited to predominantly physical occupations that prevent them from obesity (e.g. agriculture), as it has been suggested previously⁽⁵⁵⁾. The relevance of education in this context lies in its influence over other social determinants of health, such as occupation and income, therefore, on the economic access to food⁽⁵⁵⁾. Furthermore, the level and quality of education are linked to greater health literacy and health behaviours⁽⁵⁵⁾. For instance, it has been observed that nutritional education is more effective in higher educated people⁽⁵⁵⁾.

The strengths of our study include the inclusion of abdominal fat indicators in addition to generalised obesity, and the use of a nationally representative sample for the analyses. Thus, the results are applicable nationwide, and to some extent, even to similar contexts to Mexico.

Limitations of our research refer to the inability to infer a cause–effect relationship due to its cross-sectional design. Moreover, the instruments used to assess diet and food insecurity capture information related to defined periods of time. Thereby, the season in which the survey was carried out could have influenced the responses on these variables, mainly in families that depend on their food production, as is the case in many rural areas. Additionally, the interpretation of our results could be further complemented by knowing how long people have been experiencing food insecurity. For instance, some authors have found that suffering from food insecurity in the past is related to obesity in the future⁽⁵⁶⁾. Finally, given that food insecurity was a household-level measurement, and not an individual one, the particular experiences of the household members might not be reflected with exactitude in the analysis of this variable.

Furthermore, it has been reported that experiencing famine and nutritional deficiencies in prenatal and perinatal stages, and early infancy can undermine the physiological performance of the organism even until adulthood, influencing the development of obesity⁽⁵⁷⁾. Additionally, our understanding of the phenomenon of study in this investigation would be clearer by knowing the individual and household coping strategies (i.e. fall-back mechanisms to face short-term insufficiency of food) and adaptative mechanisms (i.e. long-term or permanent changes in the way households and individuals acquire sufficient food or income to deal with food insufficiency) that emerge to face this situation⁽⁵⁸⁾. Perhaps, longitudinal or qualitative studies might be convenient in the last case.

Another limitation of our study could be that diet was evaluated only in terms of energy intake, whereas a more detailed analysis of the SFFQ getting information on dietary diversity and quality might have been more advantageous in two aspects. First, this information is essential to provide specific food policy recommendations. Second, it might be helpful in understanding the differences observed between our findings and the reports derived from ENSANUT 2012.

At that time, mild food insecurity was associated with obesity⁽¹¹⁾. Accordingly, the authors attributed this result to an affectation of the dietary quality, driven by the low purchasing power of the food-insecure families⁽¹¹⁾. Since then, these individuals may have improved their diets or the strategies to deal with food insecurity. This hypothesis would be supported by a recent evaluation of the food assistance programmes of the last years⁽²⁶⁾. But on the other hand, a previous study conducted in rural communities from the southern region of Mexico found that both cash transfers and food baskets contributed to increasing obesity in females⁽⁵⁹⁾. The above let us point out the need for future evaluations on the health outcomes derived from food programmes, in addition to the assessments on coverage and focalisation that have been conducted⁽²⁶⁾. These proposed studies should also contemplate the role of food programmes in potential abundance-shortage cycles in the household.

As we have confirmed in this study, household-food insecurity is part of the multiple elements that contribute to obesity in Mexico. It might be affecting people’s diet by economic restraints that lead to the consumption of inexpensive calorie-dense products⁽¹⁵⁾. Moreover, it could be involved in the development of behaviours like eating disorders (binging)⁽⁴⁶⁾, stress and associated hormonal imbalances⁽¹⁷⁾. The latter, in conjunction with the inconsistent access to food, poor dietary quality and the lack of healthy habits (physical activity and sleeping), could be triggering metabolic alterations that are reflected in fat and weight gain^(6,9,50).

In comparison with previous studies, our findings show that there has not been a substantial improvement in the food and nutritional problems in the last years, notwithstanding the constitutional reforms and programmatic interventions on these aspects⁽²⁵⁾. Given the magnitude of the circumstances, the government and society should consider these problems more seriously and confront them urgently. Our observations are a reflection of the economic inequalities that have existed and persist in Mexico and highlight the need for attending the current food insecurity and obesity challenges from the root. Therefore, the health, educational and economic sectors of the country should respond collectively with even stronger efforts to overcome the current health crisis.

As it has been previously said, the approach to food insecurity and obesity should contemplate a structural perspective⁽¹¹⁾. While assistance programmes should maintain and increase their progress in coverage and inclusion⁽²⁶⁾, other interventions should work on ensuring sustainable and long-term impacts on the availability of healthier foods, assuring permanent economic access to these, and increasing awareness in the population about the adoption of healthy diets and lifestyles. The consistency and permanence of government programmes directed to alleviate hunger and to improve people’s nutritional status should be guaranteed, prioritising the most vulnerable population sectors (females, indigenous groups, rural areas, the southern region of the country, people of low educational and socio-economic level).