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Cancer Medicine logoLink to Cancer Medicine
. 2023 Mar 23;12(10):11293–11304. doi: 10.1002/cam4.5839

Impact of residual disease biomarkers on the prognosis of HER2‐positive breast cancer following neoadjuvant therapy

Youzhao Ma 1, Mingda Zhu 1, Minhao Lv 1, Peng Yuan 1, Xiuchun Chen 1,, Zhenzhen Liu 1,
PMCID: PMC10242303  PMID: 36951436

Abstract

Background

The changes in prognostic factors and clinicopathological characteristics of residual disease following neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) for breast cancer are important references for postoperative adjuvant therapy. The analyses of the relationship between the clinicopathological characteristics of residual diseases and the prognosis were not comprehensive in most previous studies. This study aimed to determine how prognostic factors changed following NAT and the impact of clinicopathological characteristics of residual disease on the prognosis of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)‐positive breast cancer.

Methods

The study comprised 350 consecutive patients with HER2‐positive breast cancer who had residual disease after surgery following NAT. The independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of HER2‐positive breast cancer were analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Chi‐square test and binary logistic regression were used to analyze the influencing factors of HER2 loss following NAT.

Results

The expression of prognostic factors changed significantly following NAT. A total of 44 patients (12.6%) had HER2 loss. HER2 status (immunohistochemistry (IHC) 3+ vs. IHC 2+/FISH+, p < 0.001) at baseline was associated with HER2 loss. In this investigation, the HER2 loss did not affect the prognosis. In univariate analysis, the decrease in Ki‐67 (p < 0.001) after NAT was associated with improved prognosis, but this influence was lost in the Cox proportional hazards model. The ypN stage (p < 0.001), postoperative ER status (p = 0.020), Miller–Payne grade (p = 0.007), and targeted therapy (p = 0.003) were all independent prognostic factors.

Conclusions

ER, PR, HER2, and Ki‐67 changed significantly after NAT, but no impact of these changes on DFS was observed in this study. Postoperative N stage, postoperative ER status, MP grade, and targeted therapy were independent prognostic factors in patients with HER2‐positive breast cancer after NAT.

Keywords: breast cancer, disease‐free survival, HER2 loss, neoadjuvant therapy, residual disease


The study comprised 350 consecutive patients with HER2‐positive breast cancer who had residual disease after surgery following neoadjuvant therapy. A total of 44 patients (12.6%) had HER2 loss. HER2 status (IHC 3+ vs IHC 2+) at baseline was associated with HER2 loss. The HER2 loss did not affect the prognosis. ER, PR, and Ki‐67 changed significantly after neoadjuvant therapy, but no impact of these changes on DFS was observed in this study. Postoperative N stage, postoperative ER status, MP grade, and targeted therapy were independent prognostic factors in patients with HER2‐positive breast cancer after neoadjuvant therapy. DFS, disease‐free survival; ER, strogen receptor; HER2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; IHC, immunohistochemistry; MP grade, Miller‐Payne grade; NAT, neoadjuvant therapy; pCR, pathological complete response; PR, rogesterone receptor.

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1. INTRODUCTION

Human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)‐positive breast cancer is one of the most aggressive types of breast cancer. Although not all patients can be cured, anti‐HER2 targeted therapy combined with chemotherapy significantly increases survival in HER2‐positive early breast cancer. 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 The response of HER2‐positive breast cancer to neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) can serve as a reliable indicator of recurrence risk. Patients who experienced a pathological complete response (pCR) with NAT for HER2‐positive breast cancer have a better prognosis than those who did not. 5 The selection of postoperative therapy options is also significantly influenced by the effect of NAT. Trastuzumab emtansine can improve the survival of patients with residual invasive disease after NAT. 6 However, attempts to completely replace trastuzumab in NAT and conventional adjuvant therapy with trastuzumab emtansine failed. 7 , 8 , 9 Therefore, there is still a need for advancements in the treatment of HER2‐positive breast cancer.

Some studies have reported heterogeneity in HER2 expression, which causes resistance to targeted therapy. 10 As the proportion of NAT gradually increased, we observed changes in the HER2 status of some patients following NAT. We speculate that either this phenomenon is either related to tumor heterogeneity or one of several factors that cause variations in HER2 expression in tumor cells following chemotherapy and targeted therapy. One study observed that residual lymph node disease following NAT may be a better predictor of the prognosis of breast cancer than baseline lymph node status. 11 The aforementioned topics have been covered in previous studies, however, the majority of them did not comprehensively investigate how the aforementioned factors affected the prognosis. Therefore, the objectives of this study were to compare alterations in clinicopathological features (including HER2 loss) before and after NAT and determine their impact on prognosis in patients with HER2‐positive breast cancer who did not achieve pCR.

2. MATERIALS AND METHODS

2.1. Patient selection

In this study, we retrospectively analyzed the outcomes of patients with primary breast cancer treated in Henan Cancer Hospital from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2020. This research was conducted per the standards established in the Declaration of Helsinki. This study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Henan Cancer Hospital (Research Approval Number: 2022–299).

The inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) HER2‐positive breast cancer. HER2‐positive criteria were: HER2 detected by immunohistochemistry (IHC) is 3+ or IHC 2+ and fluorescence in situ hybridization detected with HER2 gene amplification (FISH+). (2) Stage II‐III breast cancer and all patients received NAT. (3) Patients who did not achieve pCR (non‐pCR, residual invasive disease) following NAT, and the residual invasive disease is sufficient for IHC detection. (4) There are accurate data of estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), Ki‐67 index, and HER2 before and after NAT. (5) Accurate clinical tumor staging is determined by ultrasound or magnetic resonance imaging (American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) systems 7th edition). (6) Clinical nodal staging is determined by palpation of axillary lymph nodes or needle biopsy of suspicious lymph nodes (AJCC systems 7th edition). (7) Pathological tumor and nodal staging are determined by AJCC systems 7th edition. (8) All patients underwent surgery within 3–6 weeks following the completion of NAT, and postoperative pathological data were complete. (9) All patients had complete postoperative therapy information and follow‐up data.

Exclusion criteria: (1) Male breast cancer. (2) Metastatic breast cancer. (3) Bilateral breast cancer. (4) Inflammatory breast cancer. (5) Combined with other primary tumors. (6) Combined with other diseases that cannot tolerate chemotherapy. (7) Incomplete clinicopathological data before and after NAT. (8) The patients with pCR or without sufficient residual invasive disease for IHC detection following NAT.

2.2. Information collection and follow‐up

In this study, the clinical data of patients were collected, including age, menopausal status, baseline clinical T and N staging, postoperative pathological T and N staging, preoperative therapy regimen, the expression of ER, PR, and HER2 before and after NAT, date of operation, Miller−Payne grade (MP grade), postoperative pathology, radiotherapy, targeted therapy, relapse time, relapse site, and disease‐free survival (DFS).

In this study, ER ≥1% was defined as positive, and ER <1% was defined as negative; PR ≥1% was defined as positive, and PR <1% was defined as negative; Ki‐67 ≥ 20% was defined as the high expression and Ki‐67 < 20% was defined as low expression. MP grade was primarily used to compare post‐NAT breast tumor specimens and pre‐NAT biopsy specimens for breast cancer. DFS is defined as the period from surgery to disease relapse, death from any cause, or the last follow‐up.

2.3. Statistical analysis

Statistical analysis was mainly performed using SPSS 23.0 and R version 4.0.3 in this study. The mean value of continuous variables was compared by T test. The independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of HER2‐positive breast cancer were analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Chi‐square test and binary logistic regression were used to analyze the influencing factors of HER2 loss following NAT. In univariate analysis, variables with p‐values <0.1 were included in multivariate analysis. Factors with p‐values <0.05 in Cox and logistic regression analysis were considered independent prognostic factors. Kaplan–Meier survival curve was used to reflect the impact of independent risk factors on prognosis.

3. RESULTS

3.1. Patients and tumor characteristics at baseline

After excluding patients who did not meet the inclusion criteria, a total of 350 patients with HER2‐positive breast cancer were analyzed in this study (Figure 1). There were 242 patients (69.1%) with HER2 IHC 3+, 108 patients (30.9%) with HER2 IHC 2+ and FISH+, 217 patients (62.0%) with ER+/HER2+, 133 patients (38.0%) with ER ‐/HER2+, 197 patients (56.5%) with PR+/HER2+, and 152 patients (43.5%) with PR −/HER2+. Three hundred and six patients (87.4%) received either trastuzumab or trastuzumab in combination with pertuzumab during NAT (Table 1). Following a median follow‐up of 39 months, DFS events occurred in 76 (21.7%) patients with residual disease after NAT.

FIGURE 1.

FIGURE 1

Patient flow diagram.

TABLE 1.

Clinicopathological characteristics of the cohort pre‐ and post‐neoadjuvant therapy.

Features Pre‐NAT Post‐NAT p‐value
T N (%) N (%) NA
T1 25 11
T2 253 220
T3 56 114
T4 16 5
N NA
N0 50 116
N1 195 110
N2 14 61
N3 91 63
ER range (mean) 0–100 (44.4 ± 42.5) 0–100 (45.6 ± 42.4) 0.377 a
PR range (mean) 0–100 (30.2 ± 36.3) 0–100 (19.7 ± 30.1) <0.001 a
Ki‐67 range (mean) 2–95 (50.7 ± 20.4) 0–90 (32.9 ± 25.7) <0.001 a
HER2 NA
IHC 3+ 242 (69.1) 213 (60.8)
IHC 2+ and FISH+ 108 (30.9) 93 (26.6)
Negative 44 (12.6)
Targeted therapy NA
No 44 (12.6)
Trastuzumab (±pertuzumab) 306 (87.4)
Post‐NAT (Negative) Post‐NAT (Positive)
pre‐NAT
ER < 1% 106 (80.9) 25 (19.1) <0.001 b
ER ≥ 1% 24 (11.0) 195 (89.0)
pre‐NAT
PR < 1% 123 (80.9) 29 (19.1) <0.001 b
PR ≥ 1% 54 (27.4) 143 (72.6)
pre‐NAT
Ki‐67 <20% 11 (64.7) 6 (35.3) 0.032 b
Ki‐67 ≥ 20% 126 (38.7) 200 (61.3)

Abbreviations: ER, estrogen receptor; FISH, fluorescence in situ hybridization; HER2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; IHC, immunohistochemistry; NAT, neoadjuvant therapy; PR, progesterone receptor.

a

t‐test.

b

Chi‐square test.

3.2. Changes in prognostic factors before and after NAT

There were significant statistical differences in the changes in ER, PR, and Ki‐67 index before and after NAT. The expression of Ki‐67 significantly decreased after NAT (p < 0.05) (Table 1). A total of 44 patients (12.6%) lost HER2 (from positive to negative) after NAT (Table 2), and 283 patients maintained HER2‐positive. Among the 44 patients experiencing loss of HER2, 15 patients had Luminal A, 17 patients had Luminal B, and 12 patients had triple‐negative breast cancer (TNBC) (Figure 2A). Following NAT, 24 (11.1%) patients lost ER (from positive to negative), and 25 (18.8%) patients gained ER (from negative to positive); 54 (27.4%) patients experienced PR loss and 30 (19.7%) patients experienced PR gain. Prior to NAT, Ki‐67 of 17 patients was <20%, which changed to ≥20% after NAT in 7 patients (41.2%); Ki‐67 of 331 patients was ≥20% before NAT, which changed to <20% after NAT in 126 patients (38.1%) (Table 2) (Figure 2B).

TABLE 2.

Changes of prognostic factors following neoadjuvant therapy.

Primary tumor (n) Residual disease (n)
HER2 status HER2 status
Positive 350 Positive 283 (80.9%)
Negative 44 (12.6%)
N/A 23 (6.5%)
ER status ER status
≥1% 217 ≥1% 193 (88.9%)
<1% 24 (11.1%)
<1% 133 ≥1% 25 (18.8%)
<1% 108 (81.2%)
PR status PR status
≥1% 197 ≥1% 143 (72.6%)
<1% 54 (27.4%)
<1% 152 ≥1% 30 (19.7%)
<1% 122 (80.3%)
Ki‐67 status Ki‐67 status
<20% 17 <20% 10 (58.8%)
≥20% 7 (41.2%)
≥20% 331 <20% 126 (38.1%)
≥20% 201 (60.7%)
N/A 4 (1.2%)

Abbreviations: ER, estrogen receptor; HER2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; N/A, not available; PR, progesterone receptor.

FIGURE 2.

FIGURE 2

Changes of prognostic factors following neoadjuvant therapy in HER2‐positive breast cancer. (A), Molecular subtype of patients with HER2 loss following neoadjuvant therapy (NAT). (B) Changes of predictors following NAT. TNBC, triple‐negative breast cancer. Ki‐67*, the cut‐off value of Ki‐67 is 20%. Ki‐67 positive to negative means Ki‐67 ≥ 20% before NAT changed to Ki‐67 < 20% after NAT. Ki‐67 negative to positive means Ki‐67 < 20% before NAT changed to Ki‐67 ≥ 20% after NAT.

3.3. Clinicopathological features associated with HER2 loss

This study analyzed the clinicopathological features associated with HER2 loss after NAT. In univariate analysis, variables with p‐values <0.1 were included in multivariate analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that HER2 status (p < 0.001) prior to treatment was the influencing factor for HER2 loss following NAT. Patients with pre‐NAT HER2 (IHC 2+) and FISH (+) exhibited a higher rate of HER2 loss after NAT than those with pre‐NAT HER2 (IHC 3+) (25.9% vs 6.6%; odds ratio (OR) = 5.211 [95% CI 2.638–10.294]; p < 0.001) (Table 3).

TABLE 3.

Clinicopathological characteristics associated with a change in HER2 status.

Characteristics Total HER2 positive after NAT N (%) HER2 negative after NAT N (%) Univariate Analysis Multivariate Analysis
χ2 p‐value OR 95% CI p‐value
Age at diagnosis 2.609 0.106
≤50 191 162 (84.4) 29 (15.2)
>50 159 144 (90.6) 15 (9.4)
Menopausal status 2.761 0.097
Premenopausal 198 168 (84.8) 30 (15.2) Reference
Postmenopausal 152 138 (90.8) 14 (9.2) 1.831 0.894–3.749 0.098
cT 0.534 0.911
T1 25 21 (84.0) 4 (16.0)
T2 253 223 (88.1) 30 (11.9)
T3 56 48 (85.7) 8 (14.3)
T4 16 14 (87.5) 2 (12.5)
cN 7.343 0.062 0.129
N0 50 45 (90.0) 5 (10.0) Reference
N1 195 171 (87.7) 24 (12.3) 0.741 0.257–2.137 0.580
N2 14 9 (64.3) 5 (35.7) 0.183 0.004–0.840 0.029
N3 91 81 (89.0) 10 (11.0) 0.794 0.243–2.597 0.703
Pre‐NAT ER 0.024 0.876
Negative 131 115 (87.8) 16 (12.2)
Positive 219 191 (87.2) 28 (12.8)
Pre‐NAT PR 0.143 0.705
Negative 152 134 (88.2) 18 (11.8)
Positive 197 171 (86.8) 26 (13.2)
Pre‐NAT Ki‐67 0.405 0.524
<20% 17 14 (82.4) 3 (17.6)
≥20% 331 290 (87.6) 41 (12.4)
Pre‐NAT HER2 25.345 <0.001
IHC 3+ 242 226 (93.4) 16 (6.6) Reference
IHC 2+ and FISH+ 108 80 (74.1) 28 (25.9) 5.211 2.638–10.294 <0.001
Targeted therapy 1.522 0.217
No 99 90 (90.9) 9 (9.1)
Yes 251 216 (86.1) 35 (13.9)

Abbreviations: ER, estrogen receptor; FISH, fluorescence in situ hybridization; HER2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; IHC, immunohistochemistry; NAT, neoadjuvant therapy; PR, progesterone receptor.

The bold values are statistically significant values.

3.4. Effects of changes in prognostic factors after NAT on DFS

After NAT, in univariate analysis, the changes in ER, and PR status were not associated with DFS. There was no significant difference in the DFS between patients who maintained HER2‐positive expression and those who did not. The DFS events in the Ki‐67 decreased group were observed to be lower (11.1%) compared to the Ki‐67 unchanged or increased group (27.9%). The Kaplan–Meier curve of DFS between the two groups showed that Ki‐67 decrease was associated with improved prognosis (log‐rank test p < 0.001) (Figure 3; Table 4).

FIGURE 3.

FIGURE 3

Kaplan–Meier curves for DFS in HER2‐positive breast cancer patients according to ER changes (A) and Ki‐67 changes (B).

TABLE 4.

Univariate analysis of the effect of changes in prognostic factors on DFS.

Characteristics Total Non‐DFS events N (%) DFS events N (%) Univariate analysis
χ2 p‐value
ER changes 6.580 0.087
Negative maintained 108 (30.9) 80 (74.1) 28 (25.9)
Positive maintained 193 (55.1) 158 (81.9) 35 (18.1)
Negative to Positive 25 (7.1) 21 (84.0) 4 (16.0)
Positive to Negative 24 (6.9) 15 (62.5) 9 (37.5)
PR changes 3.675 0.299
Negative maintained 122 (35.0) 89 (73.0) 33 (27.0)
Positive maintained 143 (41.0) 118 (82.5) 25 (17.5)
Negative to Positive 30 (8.6) 24 (80.0) 6 (20.0)
Positive to Negative 54 (15.4) 43 (79.6) 11 (20.4)
HER2 changes 2.231 0.328
Positive maintained 283 (86.5) 221 (78.1) 62 (21.9)
Positive to zero 11 (3.4) 7 (63.6) 4 (36.4)
Positive to low 33 (10.1) 28 (84.4) 5 (15.2)
Ki‐67 changes 13.178 <0.001
No/Increase 219 (63.5) 158 (72.1) 61 (27.9)
Decrease 126 (36.5) 112 (88.9) 14 (11.1)

Abbreviations: DFS, disease‐free survival; ER, estrogen receptor; HER2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; PR, progesterone receptor.

The bold values are statistically significant values.

3.5. The prognostic value of the clinicopathological features of residual disease

During NAT, 44 (12.6%) patients did not receive targeted therapy, 240 (68.6%) patients received trastuzumab therapy, and 66 (18.8%) patients received trastuzumab with pertuzumab therapy. Univariate analysis and Cox regression analyses revealed that postoperative N stage (p < 0.001), postoperative ER status (HR = 0.568 [95% CI 0.350–0.919]; p = 0.021), MP grade (p = 0.006), and targeted therapy (p = 0.003) were independent prognostic factors in patients with HER2‐positive breast cancer following NAT. Neither changes in the Ki‐67 index (p = 0.140) nor post‐NAT Ki‐67 (p = 0.581) was independent prognostic factor (Table 5). Among patients with HER2‐positive early breast cancer following NAT, those with a lower N stage had a better DFS (log‐rank p = 0.001), and those with a higher MP grade had a better DFS (log‐rank p < 0.001). ER‐positive patients had a better DFS than ER‐negative patients (log‐rank p = 0.045), and patients with dual‐target therapy had a better DFS. Patients without targeted drug therapy exhibited the worst prognosis (log‐rank p = 0.030) (Figure 4).

TABLE 5.

Cox proportional hazards model for postoperative clinicopathological characteristics associated with DFS.

Characteristics Total Non‐DFS events N (%) DFS events N (%) Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis
χ2 p‐value HR 95% CI p‐value
Age at diagnosis 0.158 0.691
≤50 191 148 (77.5) 43 (22.5)
>50 159 126 (79.2) 33 (20.8)
Menopausal status 0.000 0.999
Premenopausal 198 155 (78.3) 43 (21.7)
Postmenopausal 152 119 (78.3) 33 (21.7)
ypT stage 11.312 0.003 0.203
T0 17 15 (88.2) 2 (11.8) Reference
T1 214 178 (83.2) 36 (16.8) 0.898 0.192–5.011 0.892
T2–T3 119 81 (68.1) 38 (31.9) 1.411 0.297–6.704 0.665
ypN stage 30.932 <0.001 <0.001
N0 116 104 (89.7) 12 (10.3) Reference
N1 110 88 (80.0) 22 (20.0) 2.444 1.190–4.985 0.015
N2 61 48 (78.7) 13 (21.3) 2.071 0.918–4.674 0.079
N3 63 34 (54.0) 29 (46.0) 5.406 2.695–10.845 <0.001
Post‐NAT ER 4.348 0.037
Negative 130 94 (72.3) 36 (27.7) Reference
Positive 220 180 (81.8) 40 (18.2) 0.568 0.350–0.919 0.021
Post‐NAT PR 2.710 0.100
Negative 178 133 (74.7) 45 (25.3)
Positive 172 141 (82.0) 31 (18.0)
Post‐NAT HER2 2.231 0.328
HER2‐0 11 7 (63.6) 4 (36.4)
HER2‐low 33 28 (84.8) 5 (15.2)
HER2‐Positive 306 239 (78.1) 67 (21.0)
Post‐NAT Ki67 11.628 0.001
<20% 137 120 (87.6) 17 (12.4) Reference
≥20% 208 150 (72.1) 58 (27.9) 1.400 0.423–4.636 0.581
Radiotherapy 0.789 0.374
No 53 39 (73.6) 14 (26.4)
Yes 296 234 (79.1) 62 (20.9)
MP grade 20.025 <0.001 0.006
1–2 91 57 (62.6) 34 (37.4) Reference
3 161 130 (80.7) 31 (19.3) 0.546 0.319–0.934 0.027
4–5 98 87 (88.8) 11 (11.2) 0.298 0.136–0.654 0.003
Targeted therapy 17.317 <0.001 0.003
No 44 26 (59.1) 18 (40.9) Reference
Trastuzumab 240 187 (77.9) 53 (22.1) 0.405 0.224–0.732 0.003
Trastuzumab + Pertuzumab 66 61 (92.4) 5 (7.6) 0.217 0.071–0.668 0.008
Ki‐67 changes 13.178 <0.001
No/Increase 219 158 (72.1) 61 (27.9) Reference
Decrease 126 112 (88.9) 14 (11.1) 0.385 0.108–1.366 0.140

Abbreviations: DFS, disease‐free survival; ER, estrogen receptor; HER2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; MP grade, Miller‐Payne grade; NAT, neoadjuvant therapy; PR, progesterone receptor.

The bold values are statistically significant values.

FIGURE 4.

FIGURE 4

Kaplan–Meier curves for DFS in HER2‐positive breast cancer patients according to ypN stage (A), post‐NAT ER (B), MP grade (C), and targeted therapy (D).

4. DISCUSSION

A huge risk of relapse exists in HER2‐positive breast cancer, particularly in the non‐pCR group following NAT. This study demonstrated a DFS event rate of 21.7% in patients without pCR with a median follow‐up of 39 months, which is similar to the invasive disease‐free survival event rate in the non‐pCR group receiving trastuzumab therapy in the KATHERINE trial with a median follow‐up of 40.9 months. 6 To determine the parameters impacting prognosis and investigate further therapeutic options to lower the risk of relapse, we collected clinicopathological data from patients with a high risk of relapse before and after NAT and studied their association with prognosis.

Similar to the findings in clinical practice, previous studies have reported that ER, PR, HER2, and Ki‐67 are inconsistently expressed in specimens before and after NAT. 12 Ki‐67 is an indicator of tumor proliferation index. One study demonstrated that the Ki‐67 values detected by core needle biopsy specimens and postoperative specimens may be inconsistent in patients without NAT. 13 The changes in Ki‐67 values before and after NAT are evident. 14 Another study has reported that Ki‐67 decreased after NAT in hormone receptor (HR)‐ and HER2‐positive breast cancers, albeit not in TNBC. 15 Our study also demonstrated that the average expression level of Ki‐67 in surgical specimens after NAT was significantly reduced compared with the biopsy specimens before NAT. We observed that in univariate analysis the reduction in Ki‐67 values was significantly correlated with the favorable prognosis of patients with HER2‐positive early breast cancer. This was consistent with the conclusions of a previous large‐scale study. 16 It appears to coincide with the use of Ki‐67 as a predictor of treatment's effectiveness in neoadjuvant endocrine therapy trials, such as in the PALLET trial. 17 However, the association between Ki‐67 reduction and improved prognosis in this study was not significant in multivariate analysis. In the future, we need a larger sample size to verify this result.

Previous studies have reported that the expression levels of ER, PR, and HER2 in patients without NAT did not significantly change before and after surgery. 13 , 14 However, the changes in these predictors owing to NAT were common, 14 , 18 , 19 , 20 of which those in PR expression levels may be the most prevalent. Consequently, the adjuvant therapy of some patients was changed. Variations in the initial Luminal subtype were the most prevalent; however, they had the least influence on the modification of adjuvant therapy. Changes in initial HR‐ and HER2‐negative patients had a greater impact on the change in adjuvant therapy. Our study yielded similar findings. Our study revealed that the ER gain incidence was higher than ER loss incidence. This is consistent with the findings of Renu Gahlaut et al. 19 Endocrine therapy was recommended if ER/PR was positive in our study's bioptic or postoperative sample. Consistent with the findings of a previous study, 21 we observed that the impact of ER changes on the prognosis was not statistically significant. Patients with ER loss have a worse DFS than patients with ER‐positive or ER‐negative maintained and ER gain. These findings suggest that residual disease predictors after NAT may have a greater impact on prognosis. These results support the popular perception that patients receiving endocrine therapy had a better chance of survival.

This study focused on variations in HER2 status. In daily clinical practice, most patients whose HER2 status had changed from positive to negative after NAT still received targeted therapy with trastuzumab (or trastuzumab in combination with pertuzumab), especially those who were unable to use trastuzumab emtansine (owing to drug toxicity or economic reasons). In some studies, patients who experienced HER2 loss after NAT had a worse prognosis than those who maintained HER2‐positive. 22 , 23 , 24 This may be attributed to tumor heterogeneity, and HER2‐positive cancer cells can be eliminated by targeted therapy whereas HER2‐negative cancer cells cannot be eliminated owing to their insensitivity to targeted therapy. However, there was no statistically significant difference between the survival of patients who lost HER2 and those who maintained HER2 at a median follow‐up of 39 months in this study. We considered that this difference may be attributed to the small proportion of patients experiencing HER2 loss and the shorter follow‐up duration of this study. Thus, these results also suggest that we must consider whether it is appropriate to continue trastuzumab therapy in patients with HER2 loss during the adjuvant therapy phase following NAT. After NAT, trastuzumab emtansine is currently the preferred therapy option for patients who were non‐pCR HER2‐positive, albeit the level of evidence‐based medicine for this recommendation in patients receiving dual‐target therapy in the NAT phase was not considerably high owing to the proportion of the enrolled population in the KATHERINE trial. Prospective studies have demonstrated that trastuzumab deruxtecan can improve the prognosis of patients with HER2‐low advanced breast cancer. 25 Thirty‐three out of 44 patients with HER2 loss exhibit HER2‐low expression in our study. Trastuzumab deruxtecan may improve the prognosis of these patients.

In this study, the proportion of HER2 loss in the neoadjuvant chemotherapy combined with the targeted therapy group was higher than that in the chemotherapy alone group, albeit there was no statistical difference. In the aforementioned studies, the proportion of HER2 loss in the chemotherapy combined with the targeted therapy group versus the chemotherapy alone group varied. 22 , 23 These results suggest that several factors may have an impact on alterations in HER2 status both before and after NAT. In this study, the contributing elements leading to HER2 loss were analyzed. It is noteworthy that the initial HER2 expression status (IHC 3+ versus IHC 2+/FISH+) had a greater impact on HER2 changes, suggesting that patients with poor HER2 expression (IHC 2+/FISH+) among HER2‐positive patients may be more susceptible to HER2 loss. We speculated that the heterogeneity of HER2 expression may be involved. The heterogeneity of HER2 expression may impact the efficacy of targeted therapy, further affecting prognosis. Differences in detection methods may also affect the accuracy of HER2 status interpretation. Studies have revealed that the inconsistent HER2 expression level detected by IHC and in situ hybridization is 4%–9%. 26 This is most likely one of the reasons for the disparities in HER2 loss proportions across studies.

This study demonstrated that the clinicopathological characteristics of postoperative residual disease after NAT had a greater impact on prognosis. Low postoperative regional lymph node stage, positive ER, high MP grade in breast lesions, and targeted therapy are effective prognostic markers. One study has also revealed that the lymph node status and the Ki‐67 values of residual disease affect prognosis after NAT. 27 In our study, the decrease in Ki‐67 values after NAT and the Ki‐67 values of residual disease did not affect the prognosis. This may be associated with the different study designs and cut‐off values of Ki‐67. The impact of lymph node staging on prognosis indicates the importance of accurate axillary staging after NAT. We must be cautious when deciding to forgo axillary dissection following NAT for patients with HER2‐positive early breast cancer. ER status is a prognostic indicator of postoperative residual disease that is still valuable to retest. In this study, the change in the HER2 expression level of postoperative specimens did not affect the prognosis, most likely owing to the small sample size of postoperative specimens with HER2 loss. Dual‐target therapy had a greater effect than single‐target therapy, and single‐target therapy had a greater effect than no targeted therapy. These results suggest that continuation of trastuzumab + pertuzumab (HP) dual‐target therapy can improve survival in non‐pCR patients even when trastuzumab emtansine is difficult to obtain or has intolerable side effects. Although the prognostic value of T staging has not been established, MP grading, which represents the shrinkage of the primary tumor to some extent, has a significant impact on prognosis. This suggests that the impact of the primary tumor on the prognosis was not determined by the preoperative or postoperative staging but by the degree of tumor degeneration, including the level of decrease in cancer cell density. The clinicopathological characteristics of residual disease following NAT and surgery must therefore be prioritized.

The advantage of this study is the large sample size and the collection of a dataset of clinicopathological characteristics of residual invasive disease in patients with HER2‐positive early breast cancer after NAT. This study analyzed the relationship between clinicopathological characteristics of residual disease and survival after NAT. The main limitation of this study was that it was a single‐center retrospective study. The data of this retrospective study were from a single‐center database and needs to be verified by multi‐center data. It also has the same selective bias as other retrospective studies. Due to drug availability and economic reasons, most of the patients in this study did not receive dual‐target therapy in the neoadjuvant setting, and no patients received trastuzumab emtansine in adjuvant setting. Therefore, the conclusions of this study may not be applicable to the population who received dual‐target therapy in neoadjuvant setting or trastuzumab emtansine in adjuvant setting. This is one of the limitations of this study. Pathological data were obtained from the interpretation of pathologists in daily treatment, and there may be a deviation. The median follow‐up time was only 39 months, which requires a longer follow‐up duration to verify our conclusions. The lack of overall survival data was another limitation of this study.

5. CONCLUSION

In conclusion, ER, PR, HER2, and Ki‐67 changed significantly after NAT, but no impact of these changes on DFS was observed in this study. The intensity of HER2 expression may be the most important influencing factor of HER2 loss. The clinicopathological characteristics of residual disease after NAT have a significant impact on prognosis. Postoperative N stage, postoperative ER status, MP grade, and targeted therapy were independent prognostic factors in patients with HER2‐positive breast cancer after NAT.

AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS

Youzhao Ma: Conceptualization (lead); writing – original draft (lead). Mingda Zhu: Formal analysis (lead); visualization (lead). Minhao Lv: Data curation (equal). Peng Yuan: Data curation (equal). Xiuchun Chen: Supervision (equal); writing – review and editing (equal). zhenzhen liu: Conceptualization (equal); writing – review and editing (equal).

FUNDING INFORMATION

This work was supported by a grant from Henan province medical science and technology research project (LHGJ20220204).

CONFLICT OF INTEREST STATEMENT

No potential competing interests are disclosed.

ETHICS APPROVAL STATEMENT

This research was conducted in accordance with the standards set out in the Declaration of Helsinki. This study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Henan Cancer Hospital (Research Approval Number: 2022–299). The Medical Ethics Committee of Henan Cancer Hospital did not require patients to agree to review their medical records (On the premise of not disclosing the privacy of patients, doctors can use it for clinical research).

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

We are grateful to MJEditor (www.mjeditor.com) for its linguistic assistance during the preparation of this manuscript.

Ma Y, Zhu M, Lv M, Yuan P, Chen X, Liu Z. Impact of residual disease biomarkers on the prognosis of HER2‐positive breast cancer following neoadjuvant therapy. Cancer Med. 2023;12:11293‐11304. doi: 10.1002/cam4.5839

Youzhao Ma and Mingda Zhu have contributed equally to this study and share the first authorship.

Contributor Information

Xiuchun Chen, Email: zlyychenxiuchun3921@zzu.edu.cn.

Zhenzhen Liu, Email: zlyyliuzhenzhen0800@zzu.edu.cn.

DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Data Availability Statement

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.


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