Abstract
The similarity of the average ratios of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) in marine dissolved inorganic and particulate organic matter, dN:P and pN:P, respectively, indicates tight links between those pools in the world ocean. Here, we analyze this linkage by varying phytoplankton N and P subsistence quotas in an optimality-based ecosystem model coupled to an Earth system model. The analysis of our ensemble of simulations discloses various feedbacks between changes in the N and P quotas, N2 fixation, and denitrification that weaken the often-hypothesized tight coupling between dN:P and pN:P. We demonstrate the importance of particulate N:C and P:C ratios for regulating dN:P on the global scale, with marine oxygen level being an important control. Our analysis provides further insight into the potential interdependence of phytoplankton physiology and global climate conditions.
Changes in phytoplankton subsistence quotas induce complex global scale feedbacks between marine nutrient ratios and climate.
INTRODUCTION
In the 1930s, A. C. Redfield found the similarity between the average ratios of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) in marine dissolved inorganic and particulate organic matter (dN:P and pN:P), which suggests a tight relationship between dissolved and particulate pools (1). This similarity is difficult to explain because observations show considerable variations of pN:P and dN:P in time and space. Previous studies have focused mostly on how non–N2-fixing phytoplankton N:P (phyN:P) may regulate dN:P under the assumption of a globally constant phyN:P (2–4). This assumption is at odds with observations revealing that ambient conditions (nutrients, light, and temperature) strongly affect phytoplankton stoichiometry (5–8). In addition, variations in phyN:P appear to contribute substantially to the pronounced spatiotemporal variability of pN:P across the world ocean (9). Thus, a constant phyN:P likely introduces considerable bias to model investigations with regard to the regulation of dN:P.
Maintaining dN:P close to the Redfield ratio could be the result of effective averaging within ecosystems on a seasonal time scale or of large-scale mixing via ocean circulation (10). Several physiological and ecological hypotheses also have been proposed to explain the similarity of dN:P and pN:P in view of the variability of phytoplankton C:N:P (11, 12). Nevertheless, a convincing explanation for this phenomenon remains elusive. A useful model approach for elucidating interdependencies between dN:P and pN:P is to combine biogeochemical processes with ocean circulation, i.e., advection and mixing. From a climate perspective, changes in dN:P and pN:P affect marine primary production and the vertical export and remineralization of particulate organic matter (POM) in the ocean, which have an impact on atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration. Earth system models can be used for testing hypotheses that may explain global-scale phenomena (13), such as the relations among dN:P, pN:P, and global climate conditions. Here, we apply the optimality-based plankton ecosystem model (OPEM) that relates the optimal growth of the plankton to ambient environmental conditions while resolving variations in elemental ratios (N:C, P:C, and N:P) of the POM and dissolved inorganic nutrients (14, 15). The OPEM ecosystem contains two functional types of primary producers, (non–N2 fixing) phytoplankton and facultative diazotrophs. OPEM allocates cellular resources of primary producers for the acquisition of C, N, and P to maximize the net balanced growth rate. It is implemented in the UVic Earth system climate model (UVic-ESCM), an Earth system model of intermediate complexity that is computationally feasible for a large number of ensemble simulations (16). UVic-ESCM contains an atmospheric component and therefore allows examining mutual dependencies between marine biogeochemistry and the global climate.
The effects of variable phytoplankton C:N:P on the global biogeochemistry have received considerable attention in recent years. Variable C:N:P affects surface nutrient distributions and inventories (10, 17–19) and could also mitigate the changes in C export under different climate conditions (20–23). Previous studies have considered how variations in elemental stoichiometry may be linked to the diversity of phytoplankton functional types (10, 24) and how allowing for variable stoichiometry affects future climate projections (25).
Here, we revisit the more fundamental question of what drives the similarity between pN:P and dN:P on the global scale. We start out with calibrating a reference simulation for OPEM coupled to UVic-ESCM (UVic-OPEM) against data from the World Ocean Atlas 2013 (26) under preindustrial climate conditions with a fixed atmospheric partial pressure of CO2 (pCO2) (see Materials and Methods). To elucidate the linkage between pN:P and dN:P, we then perturb phyN:P by varying the subsistence N and P quotas and evaluate the resulting changes in dN:P and pN:P in a factorial sensitivity analysis. Our UVic-OPEM reference simulation describes spatial patterns of marine particulate and dissolved elemental stoichiometry, as shown earlier (14, 15). The subsistence quotas largely characterize different functional types (27, 28), so that different subsistence quotas can be viewed as representing the phytoplankton community by different “average” functional types, resulting in different stoichiometry patterns in the world ocean. Thus, we can investigate feedbacks between phyN:P and dN:P and the potential coupling and interdependence between pN:P and dN:P.
Our sensitivity analysis comprises an ensemble of 400 parameter sets with different combinations (20 by 20) of the N and P subsistence quotas of phytoplankton (, ). The ranges of and extend by factors between about 3.5 and 5 around the values of the reference simulation, yielding : ratios between 1 and 400 mol mol−1. Atmospheric pCO2 is set to evolve freely to analyze potential impacts of variations in and on the global C cycle. All other settings and parameters are left unchanged from the reference simulation, including those of the diazotrophs (table S1). Other factors that can affect phytoplankton community structure and the biogeochemical cycles of N and P, such as the source of inorganic N (29, 30) and dissolved organic P (31, 32), are beyond the scope of our analysis, because they are not part of OPEM.
RESULTS
Oceanic pN:C, pP:C, and pN:P in UVic-OPEM
The surface (0 to 50 m) POM stoichiometry in the calibrated reference simulation is assessed against observations (33) in Fig. 1. Albeit less variable, simulated pN:C and pP:C largely lie within the ranges of the observations (Fig. 1, A and B). The pN:C ratios are slightly underestimated at low concentrations (≤3 mmol m−3), possibly because of the utilization of bioavailable dissolved organic N by phytoplankton under N-limiting conditions (34), a process unresolved in the model. The highest values of simulated pN:P are found in regions where is scarce and pP:C is lowest, e.g., in the subtropical North Atlantic (Fig. 1, C and D).
Fig. 1. Elemental stoichiometry of surface (0 to 50 m) particulate organic matter (POM).
(A to C) Comparison of the reference simulation of pN:C, pP:C, and pN:P ratios with observed values. (D) Global map of pN:P. The widths of the green and red areas in (A) to (C) indicate the probability densities within the concentration ranges of and depicted on the x axes. Note that the bin widths are finer at low concentrations. The observations contain 12, 25, and 67 outliers not shown in the panels among the 6789, 1098, and 1146 data points for pN:C, pP:C, and pN:P, respectively. Model results from ice-covered ocean areas are excluded. The observational data were remapped to a 1° × 1° grid with 10 depth levels. Median values have been applied where multiple data points occur in the same grid cell in the same month, and the corresponding and concentrations are from the World Ocean Atlas 2013 (26).
The linkage between pN:P and dN:P
The subsistence quotas ( and ) broadly determine the ranges of the realized phytoplankton N and P quotas (phyN:C and phyP:C) in the model. Owing to the large contribution of phytoplankton to total POM in our model (fig. S1), phyN:C, phyP:C, and phyN:P largely determine pN:C, pP:C, and pN:P (cf. Fig. 1 and figs. S2 to S4). For example, at mmol mol−1, a doubling in from 0.06 to 0.12 mol mol−1 causes median phyN:C and pN:C to rise by about 50% (Fig. 2A and fig. S5A). Global median pN:C even doubles from 0.14 to 0.28 mol mol−1 for this change in (Fig. 2D).
Fig. 2. Biogeochemical status as a function of and .
(A) Comparison of surface pN:C for and 0.12 mol mol−1 at . (B) Comparison of surface pP:C in two model configurations with and 4 mmol mol−1 at . (C to N) pP:C, pN:C, surface , surface , surface dFe, globally averaged , globally averaged O2, atmospheric pCO2, as well as averaged sea surface temperature (SST), net primary production (NPP), water column plus benthic denitrification (Denitrification), and N2 fixation for all 400 ensemble simulations. pP:C and pN:C are median values of the surface data (0 to 50 m), and surface , surface , and surface dFe are the averaged surface concentrations. NPP, denitrification, and N2 fixation are globally integrated. The three black circles in (C) to (N) indicate the three simulations shown in (A) and (B). Note that the spatial distributions of surface and vary between the different simulations; hence, the nutrient bins in (A) and (B) may be associated with different regions. Tg N, teragrams of nitrogen; Pg C, petagrams of carbon.
The sensitivity of the global median pN:C is enhanced by a strong concomitant increase in the fraction of the ocean surface area with high concentrations, so that the median surface concentration increases from ≈7 mmol m−3 for mol mol−1 to ≈21 mmol m−3 for mol mol−1 (Fig. 2F). Similarly, at mol mol−1, a doubling in from 2 to 4 mmol mol−1 causes an increase by about 50% in phyP:C (fig. S5B) and a rise in pP:C by about 40%, depending on the ambient concentration (Fig. 2B).
In contrast to the relation between and the global median pN:C, however, the effect of the same increase in on the global median pP:C appears rather subdued, amounting to only about 1% (Fig. 2C). This reduced sensitivity in global median pP:C results from a negative feedback between phyP:C and surface . That is, when increases, phyP:C and, hence, the demand for increases and phytoplankton takes up more . Thus, the sea surface area with low concentration increases, which reduces the global median pP:C (Fig. 2E).
The divergent responses in simulated pN:C and pP:C to changes in the subsistence quotas are associated with the different controls of dissolved inorganic and inventories. Because the inventory is fixed in the model, changes in model parameters only cause a spatial redistribution of within the global ocean. By contrast, the inventory can vary, as it is sensitive to rates of N2 fixation and denitrification in the water column and the sediments (Fig. 2, H, M, and N), which contribute to the different sensitivities of pN:C and pP:C to changes in and , respectively.
The subsistence N and P quotas for diazotrophs ( and ) are fixed in the ensemble simulations, and the ranges of and encompass and . When or is high enough, the (facultative) diazotrophs can outcompete phytoplankton even in areas with high surface . Diazotrophs can contribute up to 37% to total surface POM in these cases (fig. S6), although N2 fixation always remains restricted to low conditions. When is high, phytoplankton N:P can be as low as 1.3 mol mol−1, and diazotroph N:P can be as high as 53 mol mol−1, resulting in a globally averaged pN:P of up to 28 (fig. S7, G, H, and J).
DISCUSSION
Interdependence between dN:P and pN:P
The global dN:P is most sensitive to changes in in our ensemble simulations because of the interplay between diazotrophs and other phytoplankton. The oceanic inventory is driven by the balance of N2 fixation by diazotrophs and denitrification in the water column and sediments under oxygen (O2)–deficient conditions. The effect of varying subsistence quotas on the inventory is best appreciated by combining the effect on N2 fixation with that on denitrification, mediated by net primary production (NPP) and its effect on O2. Increasing raises phyN:P and the consumption of , which increases pN:P but lowers surface concentrations and, hence, promotes N2 fixation. However, the higher N demand combined with lower surface eventually reduces NPP and the subsequent POM export and remineralisation at depth, which leads to less O2 consumption and, thus, less denitrification. Both increased N2 fixation and reduced denitrification add up, increasing the inventory. Decreasing increases phyN:P, NPP, and also N2 fixation, but rising NPP and POM export also leads to higher O2 consumption, which increases denitrification and counteracts the increase in N2 fixation. This negative feedback, thus, limits the effect of on dN:P.
While previous studies, assuming constant phyN:P, have concluded that dN:P should be linearly correlated with pN:P (3, 4), this relationship turns out to be more complex in our ensemble of simulations, allowing for variable phytoplankton stoichiometry. dN:P generally does increase with higher pN:P (Fig. 3A), but we identify two notable features: (i) Simulated global average pN:P and dN:P do not form a one-to-one (injective) functional relation across our ensemble of simulated worlds, differing only in phytoplankton subsistence quotas. Instead, it allows for similar dN:P being attributable to different pN:P and vice versa (Fig. 3A), and (ii) dN:P has an upper limit of around 28 in our ensemble simulations, although pN:P can increase further. The deviant, nonlinear relationship between pN:P and dN:P can be attributed to differences in spatiotemporal variations between phyN:C and phyP:C, because they exert indirect but strong control on dN:P via O2 (Figs. 2I and 3C).
Fig. 3. Effects of different and on marine biogeochemistry.
(A) dN:P versus median surface pN:P and global mean sea surface temperature (SST). The dashed lines delineate regions with different dN:P ranges: I (dN:P > 24 mol mol−1; diamonds), II (12 < dN:P < 17; triangles), and III (dN:P < 5; squares). (B) Surface versus . In (A) and (B), symbol color indicates and size . (C) Schematic of the biological control and biogeochemical feedbacks for the three dN:P ranges shown in (A). Circles and squares represent ranges of the fluxes and tracer levels, respectively. The relative strength of control for individual components among the three regions is indicated by the arrow thickness. The plus and minus signs specify positive and negative controls, respectively; when both signs are present, both directions of controls exist. NPP, net primary production; Pg C, petagrams of carbon.
A negative feedback regulating the marine nitrogen inventory has been described previously in a qualitative manner, where O2 acts as a biogeochemical mediator in the ocean that connects variations in pN:P to variations in dN:P (35, 36). Variations in O2 concentration reflect variations in primary production and the ensuing export and respiration, which, in turn, is influenced by changes in phyN:C and phyP:C (Fig. 2I). Once O2 is depleted (O2-deficient zones), denitrification sets in, reducing the inventory and, hence, dN:P. In turn, changes in dN:P affect the rate of N2 fixation of the diazotrophs, which compensates for losses from denitrification once a steady state is reached and a different inventory is established.
A key finding is that contrary to dN:P, which is driven mainly by changes in , the main driver of the variations in pN:P is . The range of realized pN:P among the simulations is narrowest when dN:P is close to the Redfield ratio (region II in Fig. 3), owing to an effective negative biogeochemical feedback between variations in and pN:P: Increasing raises the P demand for N assimilation in phytoplankton, leading to a decline in both phyN:P (fig. S7G) and surface concentrations (Fig. 2E). This results in a competitive advantage for diazotrophs, which, owing to the high diazotroph’s N:P ratio, can counteract the lower phyN:P and thereby reduce the variability of pN:P. Under these conditions, NPP is co-limited by N and P.
This negative feedback is less effective in both the low and the high dN:P ranges (regions I and III in Fig. 3), however, where exerts much stronger control on pN:P, albeit for different reasons. In the high dN:P range (region I in Fig. 3A), NPP is mostly Fe limited, and relatively high surface macronutrient concentrations (Fig. 3B) largely diminish the diazotrophs’ advantage. Hence, diazotrophs have little effect on NPP and O2 and cannot compensate for changes in phyN:P. In contrast, owing to the low conditions associated with the lower dN:P range (region III in Fig. 3B), variations in pN:P are mostly driven by changes in diazotroph abundance benefitting from high (fig. S6B), also shifting the ocean from to limitation as increases (Fig. 3B). As a result, pN:P, global NPP, O2, and are all highly sensitive to changes in in the lower dN:P range (region III in Fig. 3, A and C). The increase in relative diazotroph abundance with increasing , together with the low , also causes a positive relation between pN:P and in this region, which is opposite to that in region I. For dN:P close to the Redfield ratio (region II in Fig. 3), pN:P is less variable because of the negative feedback between and pP:C, which is most effective when NPP is co-limited by N and P.
Biogeochemical constraints on the changes in dN:P and pN:P
Two feedbacks restrict dN:P to values below ≈28 for high , in spite of the low denitrification associated with low primary production and low particulate organic carbon (POC) export found at the upper end of the dN:P range (Fig. 4D). (i) High dN:P suppresses N2 fixation, because the facultative diazotrophs in UVic-OPEM switch to using at high ambient concentrations. (ii) Dissolved iron (dFe) limits phytoplankton photosynthesis and N assimilation in UVic-OPEM, resulting in an inverse relation between surface dFe and concentrations (Fig. 2, G and H). Because increasing increases phytoplankton Fe demand, surface dFe decreases toward high , resulting in more severe Fe limitation and higher concentrations. Thus, Fe limitation of N2 fixation also contributes to limiting dN:P, in spite of the low denitrification associated with the low NPP and POC export at high . Together, these constitute a negative feedback between surface and N2 fixation, which limits the maximum achievable surface concentration.
Fig. 4. Effects of different and on marine biogeochemistry and atmospheric pCO2 in our ensemble of simulations.
(A to E) Atmospheric partial pressure of CO2 (pCO2) versus globally averaged marine O2, , surface dFe, globally integrated particulate organic carbon (POC) export at 130 m, and surface . R2, square of the Pearson product moment correlation coefficient; n = 400. Pg C, petagrams of carbon.
Nitrate concentrations at the lower end of the dN:P range can be very low because of high rates of denitrification associated with the low O2 content of the ocean under these conditions. N2 fixation often cannot keep up with denitrification, particularly if both processes become spatially coupled. The strength of the coupling between N2 fixation and denitrification is sensitive to the ecological niche of the diazotrophs, i.e., assumptions made with respect to the drivers of N2 fixation (37).
Two major negative feedbacks limit the changes in pN:P at the global scale in our ensemble of simulations: (i) The negative feedback between phyP:C and surface restricts the ranges of pP:C and pN:P, and (ii) the presence of diazotrophs prevents pN:P from getting as low as that of phytoplankton at high and low . The diazotrophs also limit the increase of pN:P for high and low (fig. S7). These negative feedbacks result in pN:P staying between 6 and 38 mol mol−1 (Fig. 3A), although : ranges from 1 to 400 mol mol−1.
Biotic controls on marine O2 and atmospheric pCO2
The growth of phytoplankton and diazotrophs determines the rate of CO2 fixation, which reduces atmospheric pCO2 due to enhanced air-sea gas flux of CO2 (Fig. 2J). We find a strong correlation between atmospheric pCO2 and the oceanic O2 inventory (R2 = 0.98; Fig. 4A). A large oceanic O2 inventory corresponds to low remineralization and, thus, low oceanic C storage and high atmospheric pCO2. A small oceanic O2 inventory corresponds to high remineralization and high oceanic C storage, leaving less CO2 in the atmosphere. Because O2 is the main mediator between the inventories of C and N, the strong correlation between atmospheric pCO2 and the oceanic O2 inventory implies a mutual dependence between atmospheric pCO2 and the marine inventory. pCO2 and are highly correlated (R2 = 0.96) across our ensemble simulations (Fig. 4B). Thus, the eventual imprint of and on the inventory in the model translates into a concomitant, roughly proportional change in atmospheric pCO2, which affects the climate and ocean circulation in the model. Because surface dFe largely limits the marine C fixation, atmospheric pCO2 and surface dFe are highly negatively correlated (R2 = 0.98; Fig. 4C).
In the ensemble simulations, the POC export is negatively correlated with the pCO2 (Fig. 4D), and the POC export is as high as 17 petagrams of carbon (Pg C) per year when the pCO2 is down to 88 parts per million (ppm) and is as low as 4.6 Pg C per year when the pCO2 is close to 400 ppm. Surface concentration has been used as an indicator for atmospheric pCO2 because the utilization of surface is associated with C fixation (38–40). This relation becomes more complicated when considering a variable pP:C, which may amplify (38, 41) or damp (23) the effect of surface changes on atmospheric pCO2. In the present study, the correlation between pCO2 and surface depends on whether we are looking at variable or . For constant , the correlation is mostly positive, as both NPP and decline and, hence, both pCO2 and surface rise with increasing . However, for constant , the correlation ranges from negative for small , associated with region III in Fig. 3A, to weakly positive for large , associated with region I in Fig. 3A (Fig. 4E). In contrast to (Fig. 4B), no clear relation emerges between pCO2 and surface among the whole ensemble of simulations (Fig. 4E). Thus, varying phytoplankton subsistence quotas in UVic-OPEM break the relationship between pCO2 and surface postulated in previous studies (38–40).
Climate constraints on the N:P of phytoplankton
NPP in our ensemble is maximal for a specific range of optimal combinations of and . Subsistence quotas may be viewed as costs to phytoplankton growth, also because of the higher Fe demand when increases. Thus, it is not unexpected that the maximum globally integrated NPP occurs in the simulation with the lowest and (Fig. 2L). Nevertheless, the low pCO2 in simulations with very low subsistence quotas lowers sea surface temperature (SST; Fig. 2K) and, hence, also NPP. For a given , the maximum NPP does not occur at the lowest , when (blue dashed line, Fig. 5), and for a given , the that yields the maximum NPP is not the lowest when (red dashed line, Fig. 5). Notably, the combination of and of our reference solution, which was calibrated against global data with a median dN:P close to the Redfield ratio, lies in the vicinity of the maximum NPP for (open diamond, Fig. 5).
Fig. 5. Net primary production (NPP) as a function of pN:P (horizontal axis) and (vertical axis).
The blue dashed line indicates the maximum NPP at each given , and the red dashed line denotes the maximum NPP at each given . The open diamond shows the position of the reference simulation. Pg C, petagrams of carbon.
Implication for the role of phytoplankton physiology in marine nutrient cycling and global climate
Our simulations encompass a very wide spread in pCO2 (≈100 to >350 ppm; Fig. 2J), which, in this case, obviously originates from differences in the biological soft tissue pump (42), as phytoplankton is the only model component directly affected by the subsistence quotas. This may appear unexpected because changes in the biological pump usually are considered a minor contribution to variations in ocean C storage in the current climate change context, albeit with widely differing estimates (43, 44). Analyses of anthropogenic CO2 uptake by the ocean concern transient behavior on a time scale of decades to centuries, however, whereas our results refer to equilibrium Earth system states on a time scale of 104 years. In addition, wide-spread air-sea CO2 disequilibria have recently been shown to amplify effects of a changed biological pumping to such an extent that it could be considered a major contributor to the glacial-interglacial pCO2 difference (45).
Our model results demonstrate the importance of considering variable stoichiometry when analyzing the response of marine biogeochemistry to phytoplankton physiological variations. Therefore, the negative feedbacks stabilizing the marine nitrogen cycle in our study differ fundamentally from the “nutrient thermostat” described in earlier studies (2, 17), where an assumed fixed average pN:P ratio acts as a trigger for N2 fixation. Allowing for local deviations from the fixed pN:P ratio also can have considerable effects on dN:P (17). However, the nutrient thermostat concept would essentially imply a tight spatial association of N2 fixation and O2 minimum zones (46), which could result in a positive feedback between N2 fixation and denitrification (47) and, thus, render this mechanism ineffective for stabilizing the marine nitrogen cycle (48). Our results further show that it is critical to consider also variations in C to nutrient ratios, which largely affect the growth of phytoplankton and denitrification, the major loss of nitrate in the ocean. Descriptions of the physiology of tiny plankton organisms can help elucidate profound interdependencies between particulate organic and dissolved inorganic matter pools in the global ocean. Accordingly, laboratory and field experiments that focus on physiological details, such as subsistence quotas of diverse phytoplankton, are not only valuable for explaining plankton dynamics but also of relevance for global marine biogeochemistry and climate.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Model description
For our study, we apply the UVic-ESCM (16) coupled to the OPEM (14, 15), referred to as UVic-OPEM, in the following. The UVic-ESCM contains three components, a terrestrial model, a one-layer energy-moisture balance atmosphere model, and a three-dimensional ocean general circulation model. The horizontal resolution of the ocean, land, and atmosphere components is 3.6° × 1.8°, and the ocean has 19 vertical layers. UVic-ESCM is widely used as a comprehensive global C cycle model for simulations under various climate settings (49–51) and has also participated in the Climate Model Intercomparison Project 6 (52).
OPEM comprises four POM pools: non–N2-fixing phytoplankton (phytoplankton in the following), diazotrophs, zooplankton, and detritus. The growth of phytoplankton and diazotrophs follows an optimality assumption, where dynamic resource allocation between light-harvesting, and uptake, and N2 fixation of diazotrophs maximizes growth rate under changing environmental conditions (light, temperature, and nutrient concentrations) (28).
Bioavailable Fe is explicitly resolved, and primary production can become limited by the ambient Fe concentration. This limitation is introduced as a Monod equation, with different half-saturation Fe concentrations for phytoplankton and diazotrophs.
Phytoplankton nutrient uptake and CO2 fixation follow the temperature function in (53). Diazotrophs facultatively fix N2, i.e., they use when N2 fixation would yield a lower net growth rate. The formulation of zooplankton foraging is the optimal current feeding model (54). The only sinking compartment is the detritus, which is fed by phytoplankton, diazotrophs, and zooplankton mortality, as well as sloppy feeding and egestion of zooplankton. The elemental composition is dynamic in phytoplankton, diazotrophs, and detritus, while the zooplankton has a fixed C:N:P ratio of 106:16:1. Details of the model description and evaluation have been reported in previous articles (14, 15). For the current study, the code has been updated to UVic-ESCM version 2.10 (52), which includes the consideration of benthic denitrification (55), and we follow the original UVic temperature function for diazotrophs.
Calibration of the reference simulation
For ecosystem parameter calibration, we conducted 600 simulations under preindustrial conditions with parameter sets constructed with the Latin hypercube (LHC) method (14). The LHC sampling has been preferred over the estimation of parameter values with an iterative optimization algorithm here, mainly for two reasons: (i) All 600 simulations can be done in parallel, which reduces computational time considerably, and (ii) the applied metric can be refined and then applied to the existing ensemble without the need for extra model optimizations. Every ensemble member has been spun up for 10,000 years under preindustrial climate conditions with a prescribed atmospheric CO2 concentration of 284.3 ppm, achieving approximate steady-state conditions. The reference parameter set (table S1) produces the lowest data model misfit, according to the minimum of a likelihood-based cost function (14). In this study, we apply a refined version of the cost function, which still considers surface chlorophyll a and , but and O2 are replaced by and modified apparent oxygen utilization (AOU), , respectively. , , and O2 data are from the World Ocean Atlas 2013 (26).
Setup of the sensitivity analysis
In OPEM, phytoplankton N and P cell quotas [phyN:C in (molN)(molC)−1 and phyP:C in (molP)(molC)−1] are allocated to maintenance and growth. The maintenance of a baseline physiology is associated with the subsistence quotas ( and ), while the remainders ( and ) are allocated to nutrient uptake, biosynthesis, and photosynthesis (28). Variations in resource allocation are the primary cause of the plasticity of phytoplankton stoichiometry in our model. Corresponding allocation factors are determined by the optimal growth strategy, and they reflect the acclimation state of phytoplankton. The subsistence N quota is proportional to the demands for structural material, and represents the P bound in the nucleus and membranes. and are treated as global constants in UVic-OPEM. Because the parameter values of the non–N2-fixing phytoplankton are assumed to be representative means of the entire community, any change of the subsistence quotas ( and ) can be viewed as a shift in community composition.
In the sensitivity analysis, we vary the two subsistence quotas by specifying an ensemble of 400 (20 × 20) combinations of and . varies with an incremental step size . varies with incremental step sizes for , for , and for .
For every ensemble member, we start the simulation from the final state of the reference model solution and integrate for another 10,000 years. Apart from a freely evolving atmospheric CO2, to analyze possible relations between changes in phytoplankton stoichiometry and pCO2, all other parameter values and settings remain identical to the reference simulation. We evaluate the results of the ensemble simulations at year 10,000, when the marine biogeochemical cycles are again close to equilibrium. Steady-state conditions are assessed by the average relative change in the oceanic inventory over the last 100 years, which ranges from −0.0015 to 0.0043% year−1 among the 400 simulations.
Acknowledgments
We thank the Biogeochemical Modelling group of GEOMAR for helpful discussions.
Funding: This work was supported by German Research Foundation grant CH 2605/1-1, project number 447794210 (to C.-T.C.).
Author contributions: Conceptualization: C.-T.C. Software: C.-T.C., M.P., M.S., and N.L. Methodology: C.-T.C., M.P., M.S., and N.L. Writing—original draft: C.-T.C. Writing—review and editing: All coauthors.
Competing interests: The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
Data and materials availability: All model codes and data used for the analyses are available on Zenodo, https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7986680. All observational data in the study are publicly available, including the World Ocean Atlas 2013 (www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/ocean-climate-laboratory) (26) and POM (www.nature.com/articles/sdata201448) (33). All data needed to evaluate the conclusions in the paper are present in the paper and/or the Supplementary Materials.
Supplementary Materials
This PDF file includes:
Figs. S1 to S7
Table S1
REFERENCES AND NOTES
- 1.A. Redfield, in On the Proportions of Organic Derivatives in Seawater and their Relation to the Composition of Plankton (University Press of Liverpool, 1934), pp. 177–192. [Google Scholar]
- 2.T. Tyrrell, The relative influences of nitrogen and phosphorus on oceanic primary production. Nature 400, 525–531 (1999). [Google Scholar]
- 3.T. M. Lenton, C. A. Klausmeier, Biotic stoichiometric controls on the deep ocean N:P ratio. Biogeosciences 4, 353–367 (2007). [Google Scholar]
- 4.A.-S. Auguères, M. Loreau, Regulation of Redfield ratios in the deep ocean. Global Biogeochem. Cycles 29, 254–266 (2015). [Google Scholar]
- 5.R. Geider, J. L. Roche, Redfield revisited: Variability of C:N:P in marine microalgae and its biochemical basis. Eur. J. Phycol. 37, 1–17 (2002). [Google Scholar]
- 6.Z. V. Finkel, J. Beardall, K. J. Flynn, A. Quigg, T. A. V. Rees, J. A. Raven, Phytoplankton in a changing world: Cell size and elemental stoichiometry. J. Plankton Res. 32, 119–137 (2010). [Google Scholar]
- 7.A. Toseland, S. J. Daines, J. R. Clark, A. Kirkham, J. Strauss, C. Uhlig, T. M. Lenton, K. Valentin, G. A. Pearson, V. Moulton, T. Mock, The impact of temperature on marine phytoplankton resource allocation and metabolism. Nat. Clim. Change 3, 979–984 (2013). [Google Scholar]
- 8.A. C. Martiny, A. Talarmin, C. Mouginot, J. A. Lee, J. S. Huang, A. G. Gellene, D. A. Caron, Biogeochemical interactions control a temporal succession in the elemental composition of marine communities. Limnol. Oceanogr. 61, 531–542 (2016). [Google Scholar]
- 9.A. C. Martiny, C. T. A. Pham, F. W. Primeau, J. A. Vrugt, J. K. Moore, S. A. Levin, M. W. Lomas, Strong latitudinal patterns in the elemental ratios of marine plankton and organic matter. Nat. Geosci. 6, 279–283 (2013). [Google Scholar]
- 10.T. S. Weber, C. Deutsch, Ocean nutrient ratios governed by plankton biogeography. Nature 467, 550–554 (2010). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 11.A. R. Moreno, A. C. Martiny, Ecological stoichiometry of ocean plankton. Ann. Rev. Mar. Sci. 10, 43–69 (2018). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 12.T. Tanioka, C. A. Garcia, A. A. Larkin, N. S. Garcia, A. J. Fagan, A. C. Martiny, Global patterns and predictors of C:N:P in marine ecosystems. Commun. Earth Environ. 3, 271 (2022). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 13.M. Scholze, J. I. Allen, W. J. Collins, S. E. Cornell, C. Huntingford, M. M. Joshi, J. A. Lowe, R. S. Smith, O. Wild, in Earth System Models: A Tool to Understand Changes in the Earth System (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2012), pp. 129–159. [Google Scholar]
- 14.C.-T. Chien, M. Pahlow, M. Schartau, A. Oschlies, Optimality-based non-Redfield plankton-ecosystem model (OPEM v1.1) in UVic-ESCM 2.9—Part 2: Sensitivity analysis and model calibration. Geosci. Model Dev. 13, 4691–4712 (2020). [Google Scholar]
- 15.M. Pahlow, C.-T. Chien, L. A. Arteaga, A. Oschlies, Optimality-based non-redfield plankton–ecosystem model (opem v1.1) in uvic-escm 2.9—Part 1: Implementation and model behaviour. Geosci. Model Dev. 13, 4663–4690 (2020). [Google Scholar]
- 16.A. J. Weaver, M. Eby, E. C. Wiebe, C. M. Bitz, P. B. Duffy, T. L. Ewen, A. F. Fanning, M. M. Holland, A. MacFadyen, H. D. Matthews, K. J. Meissner, O. Saenko, A. Schmittner, H. Wang, M. Yoshimori, The uvic earth system climate model: Model description, climatology, and applications to past, present and future climates. Atmos. Ocean 39, 361–428 (2001). [Google Scholar]
- 17.T. Weber, C. Deutsch, Oceanic nitrogen reservoir regulated by plankton diversity and ocean circulation. Nature 489, 419–422 (2012). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 18.T. Weber, C. Deutsch, Local versus basin-scale limitation of marine nitrogen fixation. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 111, 8741–8746 (2014). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 19.A. C. Martiny, M. W. Lomas, W. Fu, P. W. Boyd, Y.-L. L. Chen, G. A. Cutter, M. J. Ellwood, K. Furuya, F. Hashihama, J. Kanda, D. M. Karl, T. Kodama, Q. P. Li, J. Ma, T. Moutin, E. M. S. Woodward, J. K. Moore, Biogeochemical controls of surface ocean phosphate. Sci. Adv. 5, eaax0341 (2019). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 20.A. R. Moreno, G. I. Hagstrom, F. W. Primeau, S. A. Levin, A. C. Martiny, Marine phytoplankton stoichiometry mediates nonlinear interactions between nutrient supply, temperature, and atmospheric CO2. Biogeosciences 15, 2761–2779 (2018). [Google Scholar]
- 21.K. Matsumoto, T. Tanioka, R. Rickaby, Linkages between dynamic phytoplankton C:N:P and the ocean carbon cycle under climate change. Oceanography 33, 44–52 (2020). [Google Scholar]
- 22.K. Matsumoto, R. Rickaby, T. Tanioka, Carbon export buffering and CO2 drawdown by flexible phytoplankton C:N:P under glacial conditions. Paleoceanogr. Palaeoclimatol. 35, e2019PA003823 (2020). [Google Scholar]
- 23.E. Y. Kwon, M. G. Sreeush, A. Timmermann, D. M. Karl, M. J. Church, S.-S. Lee, R. Yamaguchi, Nutrient uptake plasticity in phytoplankton sustains future ocean net primary production. Sci. Adv. 8, eadd2475 (2022). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 24.K. Inomura, C. Deutsch, O. Jahn, S. Dutkiewicz, M. J. Follows, Global patterns in marine organic matter stoichiometry driven by phytoplankton ecophysiology. Nat. Geosci. 15, 1034–1040 (2022). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 25.L. Kwiatkowski, O. Aumont, L. Bopp, P. Ciais, The impact of variable phytoplankton stoichiometry on projections of primary production, food quality, and carbon uptake in the global ocean. Global Biogeochem. Cycles 32, 516–528 (2018). [Google Scholar]
- 26.H. E. Garcia, R. A. Locarnini, T. P. Boyer, J. I. Antonov, A. V. Mishonov, O. K. Baranova, M. M. Zweng, J. R. Reagan, D. R. Johnson, World Ocean Atlas 2013, S. Levitus, Ed. (NOAA Atlas NESDIS 75, 2013), vol. 3.
- 27.B. J. Shuter, Size dependence of phosphorus and nitrogen subsistence quotas in unicellular microorganisms 1. Limnol. Oceanogr. 23, 1248–1255 (1978). [Google Scholar]
- 28.M. Pahlow, H. Dietze, A. Oschlies, Optimality-based model of phytoplankton growth and diazotrophy. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 489, 1–16 (2013). [Google Scholar]
- 29.P. M. Glibert, F. P. Wilkerson, R. C. Dugdale, J. A. Raven, C. L. Dupont, P. R. Leavitt, A. E. Parker, J. M. Burkholder, T. M. Kana, Pluses and minuses of ammonium and nitrate uptake and assimilation by phytoplankton and implications for productivity and community composition, with emphasis on nitrogen-enriched conditions. Limnol. Oceanogr. 61, 165–197 (2016). [Google Scholar]
- 30.I. Klawonn, S. Bonaglia, M. J. Whitehouse, S. Littmann, D. Tienken, M. M. M. Kuypers, V. Brüchert, H. Ploug, Untangling hidden nutrient dynamics: Rapid ammonium cycling and single-cell ammonium assimilation in marine plankton communities. ISME J. 13, 1960–1974 (2019). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 31.R. T. Letscher, J. K. Moore, Preferential remineralization of dissolved organic phosphorus and non-redfield dom dynamics in the global ocean: Impacts on marine productivity, nitrogen fixation, and carbon export. Global Biogeochem. Cycles 29, 325–340 (2015). [Google Scholar]
- 32.Z. Liang, R. T. Letscher, A. N. Knapp, Dissolved organic phosphorus concentrations in the surface ocean controlled by both phosphate and iron stress. Nat. Geosci. 15, 651–657 (2022). [Google Scholar]
- 33.A. C. Martiny, J. A. Vrugt, M. W. Lomas, Concentrations and ratios of particulate organic carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus in the global ocean. Sci. Data 1, 140048 (2014). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 34.D. A. Bronk, J. H. See, P. Bradley, L. Killberg, Don as a source of bioavailable nitrogen for phytoplankton. Biogeosciences 4, 283–296 (2007). [Google Scholar]
- 35.P. G. Falkowski, Evolution of the nitrogen cycle and its influence on the biological sequestration of co2 in the ocean. Nature 387, 272–275 (1997). [Google Scholar]
- 36.N. Gruber, C. A. Deutsch, Redfield’s evolving legacy. Nat. Geosci. 7, 853–855 (2014). [Google Scholar]
- 37.A. Landolfi, W. Koeve, H. Dietze, P. Kähler, A. Oschlies, A new perspective on environmental controls of marine nitrogen fixation. Geophys. Res. Lett. 42, 4482–4489 (2015). [Google Scholar]
- 38.W. S. Broecker, Glacial to interglacial changes in ocean chemistry. Prog. Oceanogr. 11, 151–197 (1982). [Google Scholar]
- 39.T. Ito, M. J. Follows, Preformed phosphate, soft tissue pump and atmospheric CO2. J. Mar. Res. 63, 813–839 (2005). [Google Scholar]
- 40.I. Marinov, A. Gnanadesikan, J. L. Sarmiento, J. R. Toggweiler, M. Follows, B. K. Mignone, Impact of oceanic circulation on biological carbon storage in the ocean and atmospheric pCO2. Global Biogeochem. Cycles 22, 10.1029/2007GB002958 (2008). [Google Scholar]
- 41.E. D. Galbraith, A. C. Martiny, A simple nutrient-dependence mechanism for predicting the stoichiometry of marine ecosystems. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 112, 8199–8204 (2015). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 42.T. Volk, M. I. Hoffert, The Carbon Cycle and Atmospheric CO2: Natural Variations Archean to Present, E. T. Sundquist, W. S. Broecker, Eds. (American Geophysical Union, 1985), vol. 32 of Geophysical Monograph Series, pp. 99–110. [Google Scholar]
- 43.W. Koeve, P. Kähler, A. Oschlies, Does export production measure transient changes of the biological carbon pump’s feedback to the atmosphere under global warming? Geophys. Res. Lett. 47, (2020). [Google Scholar]
- 44.J. D. Wilson, O. Andrews, A. Katavouta, F. de Melo Viríssimo, R. M. Death, M. Adloff, C. A. Baker, B. Blackledge, F. W. Goldsworth, A. T. Kennedy-Asser, Q. Liu, K. R. Sieradzan, E. Vosper, R. Ying, The biological carbon pump in CMIP6 models: 21st century trends and uncertainties. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 119, e2204369119 (2022). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 45.S. Khatiwala, A. Schmittner, J. Muglia, Air-sea disequilibrium enhances ocean carbon storage during glacial periods. Sci. Adv. 5, eaaw4981 (2019). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 46.C. Deutsch, J. L. Sarmiento, D. M. Sigman, N. Gruber, J. P. Dunne, Spatial coupling of nitrogen inputs and losses in the ocean. Nature 445, 163–167 (2007). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 47.D. E. Canfield, Models of oxic respiration, denitrification and sulfate reduction in zones of coastal upwelling. Geochim. Cosmochim. Acta 70, 5753–5765 (2006). [Google Scholar]
- 48.A. Landolfi, H. Dietze, W. Koeve, A. Oschlies, Overlooked runaway feedback in the marine nitrogen cycle: The vicious cycle. Biogeosciences 10, 1351–1363 (2013). [Google Scholar]
- 49.C. J. Somes, A. Schmittner, J. Muglia, A. Oschlies, A three-dimensional model of the marine nitrogen cycle during the last glacial maximum constrained by sedimentary isotopes. Front. Mar. Sci. 4, 108 (2017). [Google Scholar]
- 50.A. Oschlies, W. Koeve, A. Landolfi, P. Kähler, Loss of fixed nitrogen causes net oxygen gain in a warmer future ocean. Nat. Commun. 10, 2805 (2019). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 51.K. Wallmann, S. Flögel, F. Scholz, A. W. Dale, T. P. Kemena, S. Steinig, W. Kuhnt, Periodic changes in the cretaceous ocean and climate caused by marine redox see-saw. Nat. Geosci. 12, 456–461 (2019). [Google Scholar]
- 52.N. Mengis, D. P. Keller, A. H. MacDougall, M. Eby, N. Wright, K. J. Meissner, A. Oschlies, A. Schmittner, A. J. MacIsaac, H. D. Matthews, K. Zickfeld, Evaluation of the university of victoria earth system climate model version 2.10 (uvic escm 2.10). Geosci. Model Dev. 13, 4183–4204 (2020). [Google Scholar]
- 53.R. W. Eppley, Temperature and phytoplankton growth in the sea. Fish. Bull. 70, 1063–1085 (1972). [Google Scholar]
- 54.M. Pahlow, A. Prowe, Model of optimal current feeding in zooplankton. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 403, 129–144 (2010). [Google Scholar]
- 55.C. J. Somes, A. Oschlies, A. Schmittner, Isotopic constraints on the pre-industrial oceanic nitrogen budget. Biogeosciences 10, 5889–5910 (2013). [Google Scholar]
Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Supplementary Materials
Figs. S1 to S7
Table S1





