Table 4.
Number of individuals | Number of CRC | Cases per 1000 person-years of follow-up | Univariate HR (95% CI) | p-value | Multivariate HR (95% CI)a | p-value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HP <10 mm | 30,580 | 72 | 0.74 | 1.281 (0.998–1.644) | 0.052 | ||
SSL <10 mm, no dysplasia | 10,521 | 19 | 0.63 | 1.098 (0.694–1.736) | 0.690 | ||
SSL low-risk 1–4 | 10,393 | 19 | 0.64 | 1.113 (0.704–1.760) | 0.648 | ||
SSL low-risk ≥5 | 128 | 0 | NA | NA | |||
Low-risk adenoma 1–4 | 93,715 | 178 | 0.59 | 0.980 (0.817–1.177) | 0.831 | ||
Low-risk adenoma 3–4 | 15,439 | 34 | 0.53 | 1.191 (0.841–1.687) | 0.325 | ||
Proximal serrated polyp | 29,161 | 70 | 0.78 | 1.357 (1.054–1.746) | 0.018 | 1.182 (0.906–1.542) | 0.226 |
Proximal adenoma | 86,178 | 223 | 0.79 | 1.559 (1.307–1.858) | <0.001 | 1.360 (1.130–1.637) | 0.001 |
Tubular adenoma | 145,028 | 307 | 0.64 | 1.133 (0.947–1.355) | 0.171 | ||
Tubulovillous adenoma | 54,806 | 152 | 0.76 | 1.286 (1.063–1.556) | 0.010 | 1.079 (0.884–1.317) | 0.456 |
Villous adenoma | 3427 | 22 | 1.64 | 2.591 (1.690–3.973) | <0.001 | 2.069 (1.341–3.190) | 0.001 |
High-risk polyps | |||||||
Serrated polyp ≥10 mm | 9829 | 27 | 0.84 | 1.407 (0.955–2.073) | 0.085 | ||
SSL with dysplasia | 2911 | 11 | 1.14 | 1.897 (1.043–3.447) | 0.036 | 1.467 (0.789–2.726) | 0.226 |
Traditional serrated adenoma | 2125 | 11 | 1.48 | 2.424 (1.334–4.406) | 0.004 | 2.089 (1.144–3.816) | 0.017 |
Adenoma ≥10 mm | 69,331 | 159 | 0.64 | 1.026 (0.850–1.238) | 0.789 | ||
Adenoma with HGD | 9796 | 53 | 1.45 | 2.420 (1.821–3.218) | <0.001 | 2.059 (1.529–2.771)) | <0.001 |
≥5 low-risk adenomas | 5815 | 20 | 1.11 | 1.906 (1.219–2.981) | 0.005 | 1.459 (0.924–2.304) | 0.105 |
HP: Hyperplastic polyp, SSL: Sessile serrated lesion, HGD: High-grade dysplasia.
Adjusted for age at baseline colonoscopy, sex, and other significant subgroups at univariate analysis.