(See the Major Article by Hu et al. on pages 1468–75.)
Between 2015 and 2050, the number of people in the world aged 60 years or over is expected to double to 2.1 billion, of whom 80% will be living in low- and middle-income countries [1]. This global increase in the older population masks gross life-course inequalities, both within and across countries, not only in life expectancy but also in the number of healthy life-years lost, including to disease and disability [2]. In 2020, to reduce these inequalities and improve the health and well-being of older people, their families and communities, the United Nations General Assembly declared 2021–2030 the Decade of Healthy Aging.
Tuberculosis (TB) is an age-old disease typified by inequity that has been overlooked in such healthy aging strategies, despite a pronounced impact on older people [3]. Although over recent decades, the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic skewed TB notification rates toward younger people, especially in sub-Saharan Africa, the proportion of older people among all those newly diagnosed with TB globally is increasing and will likely continue to do so in line with life expectancy. Older people remain one of the largest reservoirs of TB infection worldwide. [3] In low TB burden settings, this is predominantly due to distant exposure in early life whereas in high TB burden settings it may be more likely to relate to recent exposure [4]. Most TB deaths and more than a quarter of TB-related disability adjusted life-years (DALYs) globally occur in people older than 50 years [4], with countries in the Southeast Asia and Western Pacific regions being particularly affected [4, 5]. In China, a country of 1.4 billion people, national TB prevalence surveys have demonstrated that older people, especially older men, have the highest prevalence of TB of all age groups [6].
In this issue of Clinical Infectious Diseases, Hu et al describe the implementation and evaluation of a mass tuberculosis screening intervention among the elderly (60 years or over) in China. The screening was implemented in Lanxi County, an area in which more than 1 in 4 people notified with TB are elderly. The intervention consisted of chest radiographs with focused clinical and sociodemographic questionnaires and clinical examination and was integrated with an existing national program called the “Basic Public Health Service Project” (BPHSP), in which individuals aged 60 years or over or with diabetes are provided healthcare examinations at no individual cost.
Chest radiographic images were uploaded to 2 platforms, 1 where images were read by a specialist radiologist, and another where images were read by the BPHSP attending physician. A multi-disciplinary team discussed discrepant reports and agreed a final report by consensus. No computer assisted digital (CAD) or other artificial intelligence tools were used to interpret images. People with chest radiographs showing signs of TB, including cavities, tuberculoma, miliary changes, infiltrates, and/or pleural effusions or thickening, went on to have a computed tomography of the thorax and sputum smear examination. If either CT or sputum smear was positive, an Xpert molecular test and mycobacterial culture was performed at the local hospital. Concurrent to the intervention, the team collected data on older people in Lanxi County diagnosed through passive case finding (PCF).
The mass screening intervention reached nearly one third (32%) of the total population of older people in Lanxi county. Of 49 399 individuals screened, 599 (1.2%) had an abnormal chest radiograph, of whom 115 were subsequently diagnosed with TB. Case detection was 44% higher (233 cases per 100 000 people screened vs 168 cases among 103 979 person-years, prevalence to notification ratio [PNR] 1.44, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.14–1.84) in the mass screening population versus PCF population with a number needed to screen of 430 (95% CI: 357–526). The difference in case detection was highest among males (PNR 1.77, 95% CI: 1.09–2.89) and 60- to 69-year-olds (PNR 1.77, 95% CI: 1.09–2.89), but there was no difference in case detection between people with and without diabetes (PNR 1.04, 95% CI: .56–2.05).
Of the people with TB identified through mass screening, half (50%) were asymptomatic, and more than one quarter (26%) were not microbiologically confirmed by smear, Xpert, or mycobacterial culture. Symptom duration prior to diagnosis was shorter in the mass screening versus PCF group, although this was largely driven by the number of asymptomatic cases. In adjusted multivariable logistic regression, people with TB identified by mass screening were more likely than people identified by PCF to be current smokers (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.43, 95% CI: 1.15–5.17), have diabetes (aOR 4.72, 95% CI: 2.17–10.91), and have only basic “Urban residents” medical insurance (aOR 4.52, 95% CI: 1.35–21.28).
Prior to delivering the mass screening intervention, the team implemented a countywide health information campaign about the TB screening with the aim of increasing rates of participation. Although vital to provide evidence-based information, dispel myths and misconception, and improve willingness to seek care [4], the design of the education campaign and its constituent elements were not described in the article. Moreover, no costing or cost-effectiveness analyses were reported with which to guide policy makers and implementers, no data was shown to facilitate comparison of PCF rates prior to and during the intervention, and the impact of the intervention (or multiple rounds of the mass screening) on TB prevalence remains unknown.
Despite the elderly being recognized by the World Health Organization (WHO) as a priority group for TB screening, especially in Southeast Asia and Western Pacific Regions [7], there are few studies on Active Case Finding (ACF) or mass screening in the elderly with which to compare Hu et al's results. A pilot ACF project in Sichuan province screened 17 000 older people during an annual check-up using a symptom and risk factor screening followed by chest radiograph and found few TB cases with an estimated detection rate of 146 per 100 000 cases [8]. A cross-sectional survey in 10 provinces of China among people over 65 years being screened for TB showed underweight, diabetes, and previous TB as risk factors for TB; identified a dose-response relationship between TB risk, increasing age and decreasing body mass index; and suggested ACF strategies should target older people with these risk factors [9].
Hu et al's article is timely and useful to consider within the context of the distinct, intersecting biosocial determinants and health system factors influencing TB in older people (Table 1), which represent a challenge to successful TB elimination strategies for this vulnerable age group.
Table 1.
TB Exposure | TB Infection, TB Infection Screening, and TB Preventive Therapy | TB Disease, TB Disease Screening and Diagnosis | TB Treatment And Care, TB Outcomes and Sequelae | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Individual biological and/or clinical determinant |
|
|
As per TB infection plus delayed diagnosis due to:
|
|
Individual social determinant |
|
|
|
|
Health system factors |
|
|
|
|
Potential solutions |
|
|
|
|
Abbreviations: AI, artificial intelligence; BCG, Bacillus Calmette–Guérin; CAD, computer assisted digital tool; CLD, chronic lung disease; C-Tb, skin test for TB (Statens Serum Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark); TB, tuberculosis.
First, TB transmission to or between older people is complex and setting-dependent. For older people in TB-endemic low- and middle-income countries with large informal economies, social determinants including poverty, overcrowding related to congregate settings or multi-generational households, poor housing conditions, and limited access to healthcare, social protection or pensions, may foment conditions for TB transmission and infection, and impact negatively on healthcare access. It is notable in Hu et al's findings that people identified with TB by mass screening were more likely to have only basic health insurance than people identified through PCF.
Second, rates of TB infection increase with age, but tuberculin skin-testing is hampered by lower sensitivity in older age groups, TB infection screening among the elderly is inconsistently implemented, and TB preventive therapy is underused in older people [4]. This, coupled with physiological processes including immune senescence and “inflammaging” [10], lack of efficacy of Bacillus Calmette–Guérin (BCG), higher rates of immunosuppressive and immunomodulatory therapy use, and comorbidities including diabetes, undernutrition, and chronic lung and/or kidney disease [11], increase the likelihood of progression of TB infection to disease among older people. In endemic areas, integrating TB screening with existing screening programs, such as for diabetes, would be of benefit.
Third, identifying TB disease in older people is challenging, meaning that diagnosis can be delayed or missed [12]. Older people with TB are more likely to present with no, few, or atypical TB symptoms, and to under-recognize or under-report their symptoms (including dyspnea). Microbiological confirmation of TB diagnosis is not straightforward in elderly populations. Older people may be less able to produce sputum and have higher likelihood of smear- or Xpert-negative disease, or extrapulmonary TB. Hu et al found a sizeable proportion of people with TB, diagnosed through both mass screening and PCF, were not microbiologically confirmed. Chest radiograph findings are distinct in this age group compared to younger adults, with lower rates of cavitation but higher rates of pleural effusion, pleural thickening, infiltrates, nodules, and mass-like lesions. Clinicians may attribute signs and symptoms to alternative diagnoses such as chronic lung disease and bronchogenic carcinoma, which have increasing prevalence with increasing age. Hu et al rightly note the low specificity of human-read chest radiographs and the potential for misclassification or overdiagnosis—such issues with radiographic interpretation have also been recognized in other countries in the region [13]. Although computer-aided detection (CAD) systems in chest radiography may lead to improvements in both sensitivity and specificity to diagnose TB, artificial intelligence algorithms will require age-adjustment to increase their utility in ACF programmes focused on older people.
Fourth, although outside of the scope of the article by Hu et al, treating older adults with TB comes with multiple nuances that, if not appreciated, can hamper rates of TB treatment success. TB care for older people should be holistic, including assessment and management of frailty and nutritional status, and ideally involve specialist gerontology multi-disciplinary team input. Underweight and undernutrition, comorbidity and multimorbidity, and polypharmacy may negatively affect absorption and metabolism of TB drugs, exacerbate adverse drug effects, and increase the risk of drug-drug interactions. Alongside other factors such as memory impairment or dementia, these issues can collectively contribute to non-adherence and adverse TB treatment outcomes including TB treatment failure, post-TB sequelae, and TB-related mortality, and require careful consideration and management. This is also of importance given newer technologies to support adherence such as video-observed therapy (VOT) may have reduced effectiveness due to limited smartphone literacy and/or visual and hearing impairment in this age group.
Ending TB among elderly individuals, especially in countries with aging populations like China, is a complex challenge influenced by age-specific biosocial factors. A multisectoral response is required to overcome this challenge, including through awareness raising and targeted or mass screening approaches as implemented by Hu et al, and also through development of tailored, integrated, and holistic TB prevention and care strategies for this underserved group.
Notes
Financial support . T. W. is supported by grants from the Wellcome Trust, UK (grant number 209075/Z/17/Z), the Medical Research Council, Department for International Development, and Wellcome Trust (Joint Global Health Trials, MR/V004832/1), the Medical Research Council (PHIND, MR/Y503216/1), and the Medical Research Foundation (Dorothy Temple Cross International TB Collaboration Scheme Award No. MRF-131-0006-RG-KHOS-C0942). He is a member of the WHO Task Force on Catastrophic Costs of TB and has received consultancy fees from WHO Geneva for advising on National TB Patient Cost Surveys.
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