Abstract
Background Although Helicobacter pylori has been identified as a major cause of chronic gastritis, not all infected patients develop ulcers, suggesting that other factors such as lifestyle may be critical to the development of ulcer disease. Objective To investigate the role physical activity may play in the incidence of peptic ulcer disease.Methods The participants were men (n = 8,529) and women (n = 2,884) who attended the Cooper Institute for Aerobics Research, Dallas, Texas, between1970 and 1990. The presence of gastric or duodenal ulcer disease diagnosed by a physician was determined from a mail survey in 1990. Participants were classified into 3 physical activity groups according to information provided at the baseline clinic visit (before 1990): active, those who walked or ran 10miles or more a week; moderately active, those who walked or ran less than 10miles a week or did another regular activity; and the referent group consisting of those who reported no regular physical activity. ResultsWith the use of gender-specific proportional hazards regression models that could be adjusted for age, smoking, alcohol use, body mass index, and self-reported tension, active men had a significantly reduced risk for duodenal ulcers (relative hazard [95% confidence interval] for the active group, 0.38 [0.15-0.94], and 0.54 [0.30-0.96] for the moderately active group). No association was found between physical activity and gastric ulcers for men or for either type of ulcer for women. Conclusion Physical activity may provide a non pharmacologic method of reducing the incidence of duodenal ulcers among men.
Does physical activity reduce the risk of developing peptic ulcers?
Peptic ulcer disease is one of the most common disorders affecting the digestive system. In 1989, 10% of adult residents of the United States (an estimated 18 million people) reported ever having had ulcer disease diagnosed by a physician, and about a third of those reported having an ulcer within the preceding year.1Since Marshall and Warren suggested that Helicobacter pylori may playa role in gastritis-associated diseases,2 Hpylori infection has been confirmed as the major cause of chronic gastritis throughout the world. Exposure to this organism occurs in childhood and is common in many areas of the world. In the United States, the prevalence of H pylori infection is higher among blacks and among groups with low education and low income levels, indicating that socioeconomic conditions may affectexposure.3
Although H pylori infection is common worldwide, ulcers develop in only a minority of infected patients.4,5Various host factors or cofactors other than H pylori are probably critical to the development of peptic ulcer disease in infected people.5,6,7,8,9Besides H pylori, smoking, alcohol consumption, and psychological stress have been identified as risk factors (or cofactors) for peptic ulcer disease,9,10,11suggesting that, even if H pylori is causal for some types of peptic ulcer disease, other factors may play an important contributing role.6,7,8
Although physical activity has been shown to provide numerous benefits for psychological and physical health,12 studies of the effect of physical activity on the development of peptic ulcer disease, controlling for psychological tension, have not been reported. Physical activity could possibly affect peptic ulcer disease through several biologic mechanisms, including enhancing the immune system's ability to neutralize the effects of H pylori, reducing excess acid secretion, and improving a person's ability to cope with stressful situations. The purpose of this study is to explore the relation between physical activity and peptic ulcer disease among men and women, controlling for age, smoking habits, alcohol use, body mass index (BMI), and psychological tension.
Summary points
Physical activity has numerous health benefits and may also represent a cost-effective approach to the prevention of peptic ulcers
At the levels observed in this study among the moderately active group (walking or jogging <10 miles a week), possible adverse effects—for example, injuries—are minimized
In the general population, only about a third of adults undertake this much physical activity
Strategies to promote safe walking, jogging, and cycling may benefit many aspects of health in addition to the cardiovascular and musculoskeletal systems
PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS
Data sources
Study subjects were selected from those who received a medical examination at the Cooper Institute for Aerobics Research, Dallas, Texas, between 1970 and1990. All subjects completed a detailed questionnaire and underwent a clinical evaluation, including a physical examination by the physician.
Information obtained included personal characteristics (age and sex),medical status, clinical measures, medical history, lifestyle habits (tobacco use, alcohol use, and physical activity), and a measure of psychological tension (that is, stress). Between 1970 and 1990, 36,605 people (28,315 men and 8,290 women) were examined at least once. They came from all 50 states, and were predominantly male (80%) and white (97%). Participants were well educated and from middle to upper socioeconomic strata; more than 75% had graduated from college.
A mail-back survey completed in 1990 asked for detailed self-reported information on illnesses and conditions diagnosed by a physician. The questionnaires were sent to everyone who had ever attended the Cooper clinic.The final response rate after multiple mailings was 63% (not including questionnaires with incorrect addresses).
Participants were included in this analysis if they were older than 20years at the first clinic visit, had a baseline examination between 1970 and1990, and responded to a mailed questionnaire in 1990 (at least 6 months after their clinic examination). The 231 who had an ulcer diagnosis at their first clinic visit were excluded. The final sample size was 11,413 (8,529 men and2,884 women).
Outcome variables
Although ulcers of the stomach (gastric ulcers) or of the upper intestine (duodenal ulcers) are grouped as peptic ulcers, they are distinct diseases with important pathologic differences. Therefore, despite the small number of new cases, peptic ulcerations of the stomach and duodenum were distinguished in this study.
The presence of diagnosed ulcer disease was reported by participants in the follow-up survey in 1990. Although the accuracy of self-reported peptic ulcer disease diagnosed by a physician is not known, this cohort has shown high sensitivity and specificity for diagnosed hypertension (98% and 99%,respectively).13High sensitivity and specificity for hypertension (82% and 98%, respectively) have also been reported in other data sets of well-educatedadults.14 A national survey in the United States found that about 75% of those who self-reported ulcer disease had their diagnosis confirmed by a physician.1 Because of this evidence, we are unlikely to have large misclassification errors by using self-report data on ulcer disease to classify these well-educated people as to their disease status.
Independent variables
Physical activity was assessed at baseline and determined by self-reported regular walking and jogging and other activities. Participants who did not participate in regular walking or jogging or any other leisure time physical activity were the referent group; those who walked or jogged up to 10 miles a week or reported regular participation in another activity were considered moderately active; and those who walked or jogged more than 10 miles a week were considered active.
In this analysis, current smokers were compared with those who had never smoked or who had quit smoking by the time of the baseline examination, which was before the ulcer diagnosis. Information on alcohol use was obtained at the baseline clinic examination and the data converted to ethanol consumption as follows: 1.1 g for 1 oz of beer, 2.7 g for 1 oz of wine, and 15.1 g for 1 oz of spirits.15Ethanol consumption was categorized into 4 levels: none (reference level); 0.1to 13.2 g a day (equivalent to 1 drink a day); 13.21 to 26.4 g a day (equivalent to 2 drinks a day); and 26.41 g or more a day (equivalent to >2drinks a day).
Psychological stress has been shown to have a strong effect on the gastrointestinal system, and there is some evidence that it may cause peptic ulcers.10 To assess psychological tension as a marker for stress, we used the question (from the baseline record), “How would you classify yourself on the following tension and anxiety scale?” The 5 possible choices were no tension or very relaxed; slight tension; moderate tension; high tension; and very tense or highly strung. We identified people with high tension as those who reported either having high levels of tension or that they were very tense or highly strung.
Weight and height were measured on a standard physician's scale at the first (baseline) clinic visit. The BMI was calculated as weight (kg) divided by height2 (m2). The BMI was divided into 3 levels: lowest 25% (cutoff point, 23.5), highest 25% (cutoff point, 27.4), and the middle group, which served as the reference. Age and BMI were used as controlvariables. Other potential confounders such as race or ethnicity, socioeconomic status, and educational status were not included because most of the participants were white and well educated.
Statistical analysis
Analyses were conducted using commercial statistical software (StatisticalAnalysis System, version 6; SAS Institute, Inc, Cary, NC). χ2and trend tests were used to summarize categorical variables. Instantaneous relative risk (RR) was derived from the Cox proportional hazards model using the time of observation. Considering the differences between men and women in lifestyle, occupation, and other unmeasured factors that are difficult to control adequately in the models, we developed gender-specific Cox regression models. Because of missing values for the psychological tension variable (n =645), Cox models were developed first for the whole group without including psychological tension as an independent variable. Subsequently, Cox models were developed for the subset of subjects who had been asked the psychological tension question. We included all variables in building each model to evaluate the effect of each variable while controlling for all others.
RESULTS
Descriptive analysis
After the omission of participants who had a diagnosis of peptic ulcer disease before the baseline visit and those who had missing information on physical activity patterns, ulcer diagnoses, smoking habits, alcohol use, weight, or height, 11,413 people (8,529 men [74.7%] and 2,884 women [25.3%])were available for study. The mean age was 45 (range, 20-87) years. Between the time of the baseline examination and the mail-back survey, new duodenal ulcers developed in 61 men and 13 women and new gastric ulcers developed in116 men and 42 women.
Tables 1 and2 show a possible protective effect of both moderate and high levels of physical activity on the development of duodenal or gastric ulcers among men, and the χ2trend test suggests a dose-response trend for both duodenal ulcer(P=0.001) and gastric ulcer (P=0.01). Results also show that current smoking and high levels of tension were risk factors for duodenal ulcer (among men) and that high levels of tension were a risk factor for gastric ulcer for both men and women. For men, smoking was associated with an increased risk of gastric ulcers, but light and moderate amounts of alcohol consumption were protective, although the trend test for alcohol consumption was not statistically significant. The results shown in tables1 and2 are not adjusted for any of the covariates, nor are they adjusted for the length of observation.
Table 1.
Men (n = 8,529) | Women (n = 2,884) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Risk factor | Cases, No. | Subjects, No. | RR (95% CI) | Cases, No. | Subjects, No. | RR (95% CI) |
Physical activity | ||||||
Active | 6 | 2,059 | 0.23 (0.10-0.55) | 3 | 563 | 0.82 (0.21-3.28) |
Moderately active | 20 | 3,686 | 0.43 (0.25-0.75) | 4 | 1,395 | 0.44 (0.13-1.56) |
Referent | 35 | 2,784 | 1.00 | 6 | 926 | 100 |
|
|
Trend test: χ2 = 16.71, P = 0.001
|
|
Trend test: χ2 = 0.29, P = 0.59
|
||
Psychologicaltension* | ||||||
High | 22 | 1,905 | 2.28 (1.32-3.92) | 2 | 635 | 0.74 (0.16-3.42) |
Low | 31 | 6,112 | 1.00 | 9 | 2,116 | 1.00 |
Smoking | ||||||
Yes | 52 | 3,362 | 1.70 (1.03-2.08) | 4 | 1,043 | 0.78 (0.24-2.54) |
No | 29 | 5,167 | 1.00 | 9 | 1,841 | 1.00 |
Ethanol consumption | ||||||
Heavy | 12 | 2,059 | 0.82 (0.40-1.70) | 1 | 325 | 0.67 (0.08-5.75) |
Moderate | 8 | 1,507 | 0.75 (0.33-1.72) | 1 | 369 | 0.59 (0.07-5.04) |
Light | 23 | 2,421 | 1.34 (0.73-2.48) | 6 | 1,098 | 1.19 (0.37-3.90) |
None | 18 | 2,542 | 1.00 | 5 | 1,092 | 1.00 |
|
|
Trend test: χ2 = 0.81, P = 0.37
|
|
Trend test: χ2 = 0.04, P = 0.85
|
||
Age | ||||||
>60 | 5 | 537 | 1.30 (0.49-3.41) | 1 | 179 | 1.31 (0.15-11.13) |
40.1 to 60 | 34 | 4,927 | 0.96 (0.56-1.64) | 7 | 1,535 | 1.07 (0.34-3.35) |
20 to 40 | 22 | 3,065 | 1.00 | 5 | 1,170 | 1.00 |
|
|
Trend test: χ2 = 0.06, P = 0.81
|
|
Trend test: χ2 = 0.05, P = 0.82
|
||
Body mass index | ||||||
Higher 25% | 12 | 1,923 | 0.89 (0.46-1.71) | 1 | 618 | 0.38 (0.05-3.09) |
Reference | 33 | 4,684 | 1.00 | 7 | 1,650 | 1.00 |
Lower 25% | 16 | 1,922 | 1.18 (0.65-2.14) | 5 | 616 | 1.91 (0.61-6.01) |
RR = risk ratio; CI = confidence interval |
The number of subjects in this category differs because only a subset of respondents was asked about psychological tension.
Table 2.
Men (n = 8,529) | Women (n = 2,884) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Risk factor | Cases, No. | Subjects, No. | RR (95% CI) | Cases, No. | Subjects, No. | RR (95% CI) |
Physical activity | ||||||
Active | 19 | 2,059 | 0.51 (0.30-0.87) | 6 | 563 | 0.55 (0.22-1.37) |
Moderately active | 47 | 3,686 | 0.71 (0.48-1.05) | 18 | 1,395 | 0.66 (0.35-1.27) |
Referent | 50 | 2,784 | 1.00 | 18 | 926 | 1.00 |
|
Trend test: χ2 = 6.97, P = 0.01
|
Trend test: χ2 = 2.18, P = 0.14
|
||||
Psychologicaltension* | ||||||
High | 36 | 1,905 | 1.83 (1.22-2.75) | 16 | 635 | 2.67 (1.39-5.11) |
Low | 63 | 6,112 | 1.00 | 20 | 2,116 | 1.00 |
Smoking | ||||||
Yes | 56 | 3,362 | 1.43 (1.01-2.06) | 18 | 1,043 | 1.32 (0.72-2.43) |
No | 60 | 5,167 | 1.00 | 24 | 1,841 | 1.00 |
Ethanol consumption | ||||||
Heavy | 32 | 2,059 | 0.86 (0.55-1.34) | 6 | 325 | 1.26 (0.50-3.19) |
Moderate | 13 | 1,507 | 0.48 (0.26-0.88) | 6 | 369 | 1.11 (0.44-2.82) |
Light | 25 | 2,421 | 0.57 (0.35-0.93) | 14 | 1,098 | 0.87 (0.43-1.77) |
None | 46 | 2,542 | 1.00 | 16 | 1,092 | 1.00 |
|
Trend test: χ2 = 0.80, P = 0.37
|
Trend test: χ2 = 0.24, P = 0.63
|
||||
Age | ||||||
>60 | 7 | 537 | 1.21 (0.54-2.72) | 1 | 179 | 0.41 (0.05-3.06) |
40.1 to 60 | 76 | 4,927 | 1.43 (0.95-2.15) | 25 | 1,535 | 1.15 (0.64-2.22) |
20 to 40 | 33 | 3,065 | 1.00 | 16 | 1,170 | 1.00 |
|
Trend test: χ2 = 1.84, P = 0.18
|
Trend test: χ2 = 0.17, P = 0.68
|
||||
Body mass index | ||||||
Higher 25% | 30 | 1,923 | 1.18 (0.76-1.82) | 4 | 618 | 0.38 (0.13-1.08) |
Reference | 62 | 4,684 | 1.00 | 28 | 1,650 | 1.00 |
Lower 25% | 24 | 1,922 | 0.94 (0.59-1.51) | 10 | 616 | 0.96 (0.47-1.96) |
RR = risk ratio; CI = confidence interval |
The number of subjects in this category differs because only a subset of respondents was asked about psychological tension.
Cox proportional hazards models
The results of the Cox proportional hazards models that include all of the possible risk factors except psychological tension were similar to those models that included psychological tension, which are reported here and shown in table 3. For men, inactivity and the presence of psychological tension were risk factors for duodenal ulcer. Also for men, smoking and psychological tension were positively associated with gastric ulcers; alcohol consumption had a U-shaped relation, with moderate intake inversely associated with the development of gastric ulcer. For women, the only significant finding was that psychological tension was associated with gastric ulcer development (P < 0.001).
Table 3.
Men | Women | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Risk factor | Duodenal ulcer HR (95% CI) | Gastric ulcer HR (95% CI) | Duodenal ulcer HR (95% CI) | Gastric ulcer HR (95% CI) |
Moderately active | 0.54 (0.30-0.96) | 1.08 (0.51-2.27) | 0.62 (0.15-2.53) | 1.08 (0.69-1.69) |
Active | 0.38 (0.15-0.94) | 1.01 (0.56-1.82) | 1.47 (0.32-6.83) | 1.19 (0.44-3.25) |
High tension | 1.97 (1.14-3.43) | 1.57 (1.04-2.38) | 0.66 (0.14-3.10) | 2.52 (1.30-4.89) |
Smoking | 1.91 (1.09-3.35) | 1.71 (1.13-2.58) | 0.61 (0.15-2.45) | 1.14 (0.57-2.28) |
Ethanol (light) | 1.90 (0.90-4.02) | 0.65 (0.38-1.11) | 1.93 (0.47-7.88) | 1.11 (0.48-2.53) |
Ethanol (moderate) | 0.80 (0.31-2.05) | 0.43 (0.22-0.83) | 0.80 (0.08-7.88) | 1.15 (0.41-3.23) |
Ethanol (heavy) | 0.77 (0.33-1.80) | 0.72 (0.43-1.21) | 2.56 (0.39-16.92) | 1.28 (0.44-3.70) |
Age (40-60 yr) | 1.07 (0.59-1.94) | 1.24 (0.80-1.93) | 0.63 (0.18-2.24) | 1.13 (0.57-2.24) |
Age (>60.1 yr) | 1.95 (0.72-5.33) | 1.26 (0.52-3.05) | 1.16 (0.13-10.22) | 0.62 (0.08-4.73) |
BMI (upper 25%) | 1.13 (0.60-2.14) | 1.04 (0.63-1.74) | 2.00 (0.55-7.35) | 1.25 (0.57-2.74) |
BMI (lower 25%) | 0.64 (0.29-1.40) | 1.04 (0.64-1.70) | 0.39 (0.05-3.28) | 0.41 (0.14-1.21) |
HR = hazard ratio; CI = confidence interval; BMI = body mass index |
DISCUSSION
Peptic ulcer disease is a common clinical problem. The lifetime risk of peptic ulcer disease is 5% to 10% in developed countries.1,16,17The pathophysiologic characteristics of peptic ulcer are complicated and may involve an overproduction of acid or pepsin, inadequate mucosal defenses, or reflux of bile and pancreatic juice into the stomach.18 AlthoughH pylori is considered causal for peptic ulcer disease, infection is widespread in developed and developing countries, but few people actuallydevelop peptic ulcers.4,19The epidemiologic data for peptic ulcer disease do not suggest a single cause but instead multiple etiologic factors, including socioeconomic indicators, psychosocial factors, H pylori infection, and cigarette smoking.9
Physical activity may be involved in the pathogenesis of peptic ulcer disease through several mechanisms, one of which may involve the immune system. Although epidemiologic studies suggest that regular moderate physical activity is associated with a lower risk of bacterial infections (upperrespiratory tract infections),20 and experimental studies document an alteration in immune status in athletes and nonathletes in response to exercise,21 the issue is far from resolved. Even when these changes are documented, the immune system is not necessarily enhanced. In fact, overexertion of the physical system can have an overall adverse effect on immune system variables, similar to the proposed effect of stress. Because the experimental studies that show increases or decreases in a myriad of immune variables have not been able to connect these results with clinical illness, this mechanism is hypothetical at this stage.22
Another possible mechanism through which physical activity may affect the development of ulcer disease is decreased acid secretion. A few studies report a decrease in basal or meal-stimulated acid secretion with cycling and after exertion, leading to suggestions that exercise may assist in duodenal ulcer healing and maintenance of remission.23,24,25Regular physical activity (walking, gardening, or vigorous physical activity) has been associated with a decreased risk for severe gastrointestinal hemorrhage in older subjects with gastroduodenal ulcer or gastritis (RR = 0.4,95% confidence interval [CI] =0.3-0.7).26 In our study, after confounding variables had been controlled for, physical activity was found to be inversely related to the incidence of duodenal, but not gastric, ulcers for men only. This finding may be consistent with other studies if the effect of reduced acid secretion is more important for the duodenum, but this is difficult to determine because most studies combine duodenal and gastric ulcers. Also, our study showed a similar effect of physical activity on both gastric and duodenal ulcers when evaluated without adjusting for other potential confounders.
Another possible mechanism by which physical activity can reduce the incidence of duodenal ulcers is through its effect on stress. The role of physical activity in reducing stress has not been clearly defined, probably because of the difficulty of developing a consistent definition of psychological stress. In cross-sectional studies and clinical trials, moderate levels of physical activity have been associated with stress-related emotions such as anxiety.27,28Although the data are not totally consistent at this point, some evidence exists that increased physical conditioning or fitness enhances a person's ability to deal with the physiologic response to psychological stress.29
A recent update concludes that stress is a major risk factor for peptic ulcer disease regardless of the presence of H pylori infection or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use.30 The relation between stress and peptic ulcer disease has been well established.10,30In a longitudinal study of adults in the UnitedStates,31 after adjustment for age, sex, education, smoking status, and regular aspirin use, ulcers were 1.8 (95% CI = 1.3-2.5) times more likely to develop in those who perceived themselves as stressed than in those who did not. A graded relationbetween the perceived amount of stress and incidence of peptic ulcers was also shown. The results of our study, using self-perceived tension as a marker for stress, support this viewpoint.
Not all studies have found a protective effect of physical activity on the development of ulcers. Katschinski and coauthors32 found physical activity at work to be positively associated with duodenal ulcers.After the values had been adjusted for age, sex, smoking, and social class, the participants who reported high levels of physical activity at work had a higher risk of duodenal ulcer than those who reported sedentary activity at work (RR = 3.6, 95% CI = 1.3-7.8), but moderate activity at work was not associated with duodenal ulcer (RR = 1.3, 95% CI = 0.6-3.0). Although the data were controlled for social class, people who have jobs with high physical demands (that is, laborers) may also have high levels of stress or other lifestyle exposures—for example, H pylori infection—that were not considered in the analysis. In part, the inconsistencies found among these studies may reflect differences in the measurement of physical activity as well as other factors, such as the level of stress.
Two related behaviors, cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption, have been variously implicated as risk factors for peptic ulcer disease. As in other studies,1,11,33,34we found both gastric and duodenal ulcer disease to be strongly associated with cigarette smoking, even after controlling for other possible risk factors. Excessive alcohol consumption causes damage to the stomach orduodenum by impairing the integrity of the mucosal barrier.35 In our study, however, we found a protective effect of moderate consumption of alcohol (1 or 2 drinks a day) on the development of gastric ulcer in men, even after controlling for tension. This finding suggests that some of the adverse effects of alcohol may be attributed to alcohol-associated behavior, such as smoking. A seroepidemiologic study of smoking and alcohol consumption on serum levels of pepsinogen I, pepsinogen II, or pepsinogen I:II ratio conducted among 13,381 employees using a questionnaire and serum test36 concluded that current smoking elevated the pepsinogen I level and the I:II ratio and that drinking reduced pepsinogen I and II levels, but the effect was small. As in the current study, other studies found drinking alcohol to be either a protective factor or not associated with peptic ulcer.37,38,39Drinking moderate amounts of alcohol has also been shown to protect against active infection with Hpylori.40,41The possibility exists that alcohol consumption may be related to positive or negative risk factors, depending on the dose and type of drinking.
Weatherall and Shaper found that mean BMIs decreased with increasing levels of physical activity, and peptic ulcer disease was inversely related to BMI in7,735 middle-aged overweight and obese men in 24 British towns.42 In theCooper clinic data, in people of primarily normal weight, we found no evidence of a relation between BMI and peptic ulcer disease.
Sonnenberg and Everhart reported that age was not associated with gastric ulcer development in National Health Interview Survey data but was associated with duodenal ulcer development.1 We did not find age to be associated with either type of ulcer disease. One explanation for this variation is that peptic ulcer disease is a chronic condition, older populations may have a higher prevalence, and in our study, only new (incident) cases were analyzed. Another explanation is that, if Hpylori is a causal factor, older people would have a longer window for exposure, and a higher prevalence among older people may reflect an aging-related decline in immune function. However, because the prevalence ofH pylori is strongly associated with low income, low levels of education, and nonwhite race, and because our study participants were not in these risk groups, it is possible that, for these participants, Hpylori infection did not play a major role in the development of their peptic ulcer disease. This would also explain the lack of an effect of age onthe development of peptic ulcers found in this study.
Our findings for women differed from those for men, and this may reflect a different level of intensity for the reported physical activity between men and women. Our study looked at the type and duration of physical activity but not intensity. In addition to intensity, the type of physical activity reported may not be representative of all the physical activity that women may do, including housework and child care. The small sample size for women (only13 cases of duodenal ulcer) was also a disadvantage for this study. Other data sets will need to be analyzed further to clarify the possible relation between physical activity and peptic ulcers in women. If these findings hold, physical activity may prove to be a good candidate for non pharmacologic intervention to prevent the development of duodenal ulcers among men.
Acknowledgments
We thank the Cooper Institute physicians and technicians for baseline data collection, Carolyn E Barlow for data and survey management, and H W Kohl for the design and administration of the survey. Contributors: Y C developed the study hypothesis, designed and conducted analyses, and wrote the initial complete draft of the manuscript. C A M participated in augmenting the background, interpreting the results, and editing the manuscript. D R D developed the prospective data set and conducted preliminary analyses. S N B initiated the original cohort design and participated in developing the study hypothesis, interpreting the results, and editing the manuscript.
Competing interests: None declared.
This article has been slightly modified from its original publication inBr J Sports Med 2000;34:116-121
Funding: This work was supported in part by US Public Health Service research grant AG06945 from the National Institute on Aging, Bethesda, MD.
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