肌少症是指因持续骨骼肌含量流失、强度和功能下降引起的综合征,且与包括肝细胞癌(HCC)在内的肿瘤患者预后密切相关。目前该病的检测手段局限且无统一标准。本文旨在利用基于影像组学的深度学习(DL)技术评估肌少症,用于肝癌患者行肝脏部分切除术或肝移植术的预后预测。本研究回顾性纳入浙大一院肝癌手术切除492例(训练集+内部验证集)与肝癌肝移植173例患者(外部LT验证集),东方肝胆医院肝癌切除患者161例(外部验证集),并收集患者术前一个月内的腹部计算机断层扫描(CT)平扫期影像与临床资料;单中心肝切除术组入组患者按7:3随机分为训练集和内部验证集(训练集345例,验证集147例),肝移植组及第二中心肝癌切除组作为外部验证集,经训练集建立预测模型,并利用内部和外部验证集验证预测模型的预测性能;对训练集患者CT图像中第3腰椎骨(L3)层面的骨骼肌(SM)及腰大肌(PM)轮廓进行人工勾画;抽提SM与PM影像组学特征,随后利用自编码器(AutoEncoder)压缩特征,TFDeepSurv生存分析网络构建DL预后预测模型,预测HCC术后无瘤生存率(RFS)与总体生存时间(OS);最后计算时间依赖性受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)的曲线下面积(AUC)和一致性指数(C-index),采用应用净重新分类改善指数(NRI)和临床决策曲线(DCA)评价模型预测性能。最终从勾画的CT图像L3层面的SM及PM中采集相应肌肉中1343个影像组学特征。经AutoEncoder将此高阶影像组学特征降维至100个特征。运用TFDeepSurv生存分析网络完成DL预测模型的构建,将HCC患者根据预后的差异分为高危组和低危组,高危组HCC患者行肝部分切除手术后预后显著低于低危组患者。此外,通过Kaplan-Meier生存曲线分析等方法证实DL模型在内部及外部验证集、外部LT验证集中均可对肝癌患者术后的预后进行准确预测,一致性指数分别达0.775和0.613。NRI和DCA同样显示DL模型具有较高的预测性能。本研究创新性地提出了基于影像组学的DL技术构建的预后预测模型;该模型可在术前对肝癌手术切除和肝移植术后的生存风险进行个体化预测,从而实现对肝癌患者OS的早期预判,有助于制定合理的临床决策和指导临床实践。
Keywords: 影像组学, 深度学习, 肌少症, 肝细胞肝癌, 肝部分切除术, 肝移植
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignancies and is a major cause of cancer-related mortalities worldwide (Forner et al., 2018; He et al., 2023). Sarcopenia is a syndrome characterized by an accelerated loss of skeletal muscle (SM) mass that may be age-related or the result of malnutrition in cancer patients (Cruz-Jentoft and Sayer, 2019). Preoperative sarcopenia in HCC patients treated with hepatectomy or liver transplantation is an independent risk factor for poor survival (Voron et al., 2015; van Vugt et al., 2016). Previous studies have used various criteria to define sarcopenia, including muscle area and density. However, the lack of standardized diagnostic methods for sarcopenia limits their clinical use. In 2018, the European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People (EWGSOP) renewed a consensus on the definition of sarcopenia: low muscle strength, loss of muscle quantity, and poor physical performance (Cruz-Jentoft et al., 2019). Radiological imaging-based measurement of muscle quantity or mass is most commonly used to evaluate the degree of sarcopenia. The gold standard is to measure the SM and/or psoas muscle (PM) area using abdominal computed tomography (CT) at the third lumbar vertebra (L3), as it is linearly correlated to whole-body SM mass (van Vugt et al., 2016). According to a “North American Expert Opinion Statement on Sarcopenia,” SM index (SMI) is the preferred measure of sarcopenia (Carey et al., 2019). The variability between morphometric muscle indexes revealed that they have different clinical relevance and are generally not applicable to broader populations (Esser et al., 2019).
Radiomics refers to the large-scale, algorithm-based, quantitative analysis of imaging features, which can reveal disease features and underlying pathophysiological features. Deep learning is a data-driven analytical method that allows for the mining of images with hidden clinical value, and has shown promising results in diagnosing HCC and determining its pathology, prognosis, and response to therapy (Jin et al., 2021). Coupled with radiomics, deep learning can automatically learn features from imaging labels and be used to plan individualized treatment of cancer patients (Bi et al., 2019). In this study, we assessed muscle mass and determined its prognosis significance in HCC patients using a deep learning-based radiomic survival model implemented by tensorflow (TFDeepSurv).
This study included HCC patients who had undergone hepatectomy (n=492, discovery cohort, divided into the training and internal test sets at a 7:3 ratio) and liver transplantation (n=173, external LT test set) at the Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery of the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine (Hangzhou, China), and 161 patients who had undergone hepatectomy at Easter Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Naval Medical University (Shanghai, China) (external test set). Patients were eligible for inclusion if they had primary HCC confirmed by pathology and had undergone abdominal CT within the month before surgery. Patients with unsatisfactory image quality or missing clinical data were excluded. The clinical characteristics of the subjects in the training and validation sets are summarized in Table 1. The discovery and the external test cohorts were similar in terms of baseline clinical characteristics. In the external LT test cohort, the majority of recipients were female and the tumors were mostly multiple. Radiomic features from CT scans at L3 were used to develop the TFDeepSurv model. A flowchart of the research process is shown in Fig. 1. The theories of AutoEncoder and the TFDeepSurv network are shown in the supplementary section materials and methods.
Table 1.
Subject characteristics of discovery and test sets
Characteristics | Discovery cohort (n=492) | External test (n=161) | External LT test (n=173) |
---|---|---|---|
Age (years)* | 55.9±11.1 | 55.0±11.2 | 52.4±9.3 |
BMI (kg/m2)* | 22.9±2.9 | 24.0±3.4 | 23.3±3.3 |
Gender | |||
Male | 418 (85.0%) | 139 (86.3%) | 23 (13.3%) |
Female | 74 (15.0%) | 22 (13.7%) | 150 (86.7%) |
Tumor size | |||
Total diameter≥5 cm | 128 (41.3%)a | 97 (60.2%) | 56 (32.4%)b |
Tumor number | |||
Single | 415 (84.3%)c | 150 (93.2%) | 77 (44.5%)d |
Vascular invasion | |||
Yes | 70 (14.2%)e | NAf | 46 (26.6%) |
* Data are shown as mean±standard deviation. a Miss data (n=35); b Miss data (n=1); c Miss data (n=35); d Miss data (n=1); e Miss data (n=24); f Miss data (n=161). BMI, body mass index; NA, not available.
Fig. 1. Overview of the research process. The left panel shows the overall workflow of the proposed study. The right panel shows the architecture of the deep neural network prediction model for the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on AutoEncoder and TFDeepSurv. CT: computed tomography; DL: deep learning; TFDeepSurv: deep learning-based radiomic survival model implemented by tensorflow.
Plain abdominal CT images of the patients were obtained from the hospital’s picture archiving and communication systems in digital imaging and communications in medicine (DICOM) format. The details of the CT images can be found in the supplementary section materials and methods. After the optimal window width and position were set, region of interest (ROI) segmentation was performed with a three-dimensional (3D) slicer. ROIs in SM and PM were manually delineated at the L3 level of the CT in each patient by an experienced clinician, and the delineated images were reviewed by a senior clinician. The patients’ clinical data were obtained from the hospital’s medical records, such as survival time and recurrence-free time.
According to Carey et al. (2017), sarcopenia is indicated by an SMI of ≤50 cm2/m2 in males and ≤39 cm2/m2 in females, while according to Golse et al. (2017), the PM area (PMA) is <15.61 cm2 in males and <14.64 cm2 in females. According to Hamaguchi et al. (2016), the PM index (PMI) is <6.36 cm2/m2 in men and <3.92 cm2/m2 in women, and according to Yoo et al. (2017), a PM density (PD) of <38.5 Hounsfield unit (HU) indicates sarcopenia. Fujiwara et al. (2015) used mean muscle attenuation (MA) as an indicator of intermuscular fat (IMF) deposition and found that a positive MA result is ≤44.4 HU in men and ≤39.3 HU in women. The prevalence of preoperative sarcopenia in patients with HCC varies according to different definitions of sarcopenia. In our cohort, based on definitions by Golse et al. (2017), Hamaguchi et al. (2016), Yoo et al. (2017), Carey et al. (2017), and Fujiwara et al. (2015), sarcopenia was present in 216 (43.9%), 263 (53.5%), 20 (4.1%), 290 (58.9%), and 352 (71.5%) patients, respectively. Its prevalence among 173 LT cases ranged from 2.9% to 78.6% (Table 2).
Table 2.
Prevalence of sarcopenia in different definitions and its association with outcomes
Definition of sarcopenia and muscle mass assessment | Discovery cohort (n=492) | External test set (n=161) | External LT test set (n=173) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
n (%) |
RFS (HR, 95% CI) |
OS (HR, 95% CI) |
n (%) |
OS (HR, 95% CI) |
n (%) |
RFS (HR, 95% CI) |
OS (HR, 95% CI) |
|
Golse et al. (2017)M: PMA<1561 mm2F: PMA<1464 mm2 | 216 (43.9%) | 1.04 (0.80‒1.35)P=0.76 | 1.58 (1.07‒2.35)P=0.02 |
54 (33.5%) |
1.58 (0.81‒3.06) P=0.18 |
71 (41.0%) | 1.24 (0.64‒2.38)P=0.52 | 1.59 (0.76‒3.31)P=0.22 |
Hamaguchi et al. (2016)M: PMI<6.36 cm2/m2F: PMI<3.92 cm2/m2 | 263 (53.5%) | 1.14 (0.88‒1.48)P=0.31 | 1.57 (1.05‒2.35)P=0.03 |
81 (50.3%) |
1.27 (0.66‒2.45) P=0.48 |
100 (57.8%) | 1.37 (0.70‒2.65)P=0.36 | 1.47 (0.70‒3.13)P=0.31 |
Yoo et al. (2017) PD<38.5 HU |
20 (4.1%) | 1.27 (0.68‒2.40)P=0.45 | 2.11 (0.92‒4.85)P=0.08 | 0 | NA | 5 (2.9%) | 5.98 (1.33‒26.90)P=0.02 | 5.47 (1.25‒23.92)P=0.02 |
Carey et al. (2017)M: SMI≤50 cm2/m2F: SMI≤39 cm2/m2 | 290 (58.9%) | 1.10 (0.84‒1.43)P=0.49 | 1.52 (1.00‒2.31)P=0.05 |
97 (60.2%) |
1.92 (0.92‒3.98) P=0.08 |
87 (50.3%) | 1.08 (0.55‒2.11)P=0.83 | 1.23 (0.57‒2.66)P=0.60 |
Fujiwara et al. (2015)M: MA≤44.4 HUF: MA≤39.3 HU | 352 (71.5%) | 1.31 (0.97‒1.76)P=0.07 | 1.52 (0.96‒2.40)P=0.08 |
8 (5.0%) |
0.52 (0.07‒3.82) P=0.52 |
136 (78.6%) | 1.34 (0.61‒2.95)P=0.47 | 2.44 (0.84‒7.05)P=0.10 |
LT, liver transplantation; RFS, recurrence-free survival; OS, overall survival; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; M: male; F: female; PMA, psoas muscle area; PMI, psoas muscle index; PD, psoas muscle density; SMI, skeletal muscle index; MA, mean muscle attenuation; HU, Hounsfield unit; NA, not available.
In the discovery cohort, patients with sarcopenia at the time of operation had significantly lower overall survival (OS) according to three muscle indices (PMI, SMI, and PMA), while based on other muscle indices (IMF and PD), sarcopenia was not associated with OS (Fig. 2). However, sarcopenia was not associated with recurrence-free survival (RFS) according to any muscle indices (Fig. S1). Additionally, only the patients with sarcopenia based on PMI had a trend of lower OS than those without sarcopenia in the external test cohort (Fig. S2), and the patients with sarcopenia based on PD had a significantly lower OS than the patients without sarcopenia in the LT cohort (Fig. S3). To summarize, sarcopenia was more associated with OS. Finally, the TFDeepSurv model was constructed to predict OS.
Fig. 2. Role of traditional sarcopenia definitions in the prognosis of overall survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who have undergone liver resection. (a) Skeletal muscle index (SMI); (b) Psoas muscle index (PMI); (c) Intermuscular fat (IMF); (d) Psoas muscle area (PMA); (e) Psoas muscle density (PD). Red, sarcopenia; blue, non-sarcopenia.
Radiomics feature extraction was carried out using PyRadiomics, a tool that extracts standardized radiomic features from imaging data. Firstly, we extracted 1343 radiomics features from muscle images, including three standardized feature classes: first-order statistics, shape descriptors, and texture features (including a grey level co-occurrence matrix, a grey level run length matrix (GLCM), a grey level size zone matrix (GLSZM), a grey level dependence matrix (GLDM), and a neighboring gray tone difference matrix (NGTDM)). Features not only contain the SM area but also its density, shape, and textural features. In total, 1343 radiomic features were extracted from SMs containing psoas at L3 level CT images, which comprised various muscle mass information. To assess the performance of numerous radiomics features, a 3D-vector was obtained after using principal component analysis (PCA) to reduce dimensionality. As expected, radiomics features also have good power to discriminate between various sarcopenia definitions, except for the definition by Yoo et al. (2017) (Fig. 3), indicating that radiomics features of muscle are associated with sarcopenia.
Fig. 3. Ability of radiomics features to discriminate between different sarcopenia definitions. (a) Body mass index (BMI); (b) Skeletal muscle index (SMI); (c) Psoas muscle index (PMI); (d) Intermuscular fat (IMF); (e) Psoas muscle area (PMA); (f) Psoas muscle density (PD).
Radiomic features have a lot of redundancy and many features are linearly related to each other. Therefore, we used AutoEncoder to reduce the dimensionality of original radiomics features to obtain deep learning features (relatively small and not related to each other), and TFDeepSurv to construct a prognosis prediction model. TFDeepSurv was constructed as follows: to speed up the analysis and fully use its features, 1343 radiomics features were compressed into 100 variables using AutoEncoder, and the TFDeepSurv survival network was trained based on those variables. Figs. 4a and 4b show the training process. The medium-based cut-off of the TFDeepSurv stratified the HCC patients in the training set into two risk groups (Fig. 4c), and its prognostic stratification power was confirmed in the internal (Fig. 4d), the external (Fig. 4e), and the LT test sets (Fig. 4f) via Kaplan-Meier survival analysis.
Fig. 4. Development of the TFDeepSurv and Kaplan-Meier survival curves of training and test sets. (a, b) The trend of the concordance index (a) and loss function (b) of the deep neural network training process. (c‒f) The TFDeepSurv divided patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) into high- and low-risk groups with a significantly different overall survival (OS) in the training group (c), the internal test set (d), the external test set (e), and the external liver transplantation (LT) test set (f). TFDeepSurv: deep learning-based radiomic survival model implemented by tensorflow.
The time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the concordance index (C-index) values are depicted in Fig. 5. Compared to the other sarcopenia definitions, TFDeepSurv maintained higher AUC values in the internal test set (Fig. 5a), the external test set (Fig. 5c), and the external LT test set (Fig. 5e). As anticipated, TFDeepSurv exhibited a significant predictive ability in the internal test set (C-index, 0.730; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.707–0.753; Fig. 5b), the external test set (C-index, 0.667; 95% CI, 0.651–0.682; Fig. 5d), and the external LT test set (C-index, 0.653; 95% CI, 0.633–0.677; Fig. 5f). This is the first attempt to decode SM mass with radiomics in tumor patients, independent of any definition of sarcopenia. The principal finding was that, despite substantial heterogeneity among patients from multiple centers, TFDeepSurv still exhibited a superior performance to the traditional definitions of sarcopenia in the test sets.
Fig. 5. Comparison of the predictive performance of TFDeepSurv vs. various sarcopenia definitions. (a, b) Time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) (a) and C-index (b) in the internal test set. (c, d) Time-dependent AUC (c) and C-index (d) in the external test set. (e, f) Time-dependent AUC (e) and C-index (f) in the external liver transplantation (LT) test set. TFDeepSurv: deep learning-based radiomic survival model implemented by tensorflow; PMA: psoas muscle area; PD: psoas muscle density; PMI: psoas muscle index; SMI: skeletal muscle index; IMF: intermuscular fat; ANOVA: analysis of variance.
SM mass is an important predictor of HCC outcomes, but many questions, such as “what is the best modality for assessing muscle?” “what are the ideal timing and frequency of muscle mass assessment?” and “how to incorporate the method of assessment into clinical decision-making?” remain unanswered. Sarcopenia, which is a metric of SM depletion, is used to assess muscle mass in clinical practice. Despite the existence of multiple definitions of sarcopenia, there is no consensus on the threshold value associated with poor survival that accurately stratifies patients awaiting surgery. However, based on the traditional definitions, the prevalence of sarcopenia varied from 2.9% to 78.6% in our cohort. Until now, radiomics has rarely been used to assess sarcopenia. Kim (2021) successfully identified sarcopenia based on radiomic features and machine learning methods, which proved that radiomic features could decode the phenomenon in the muscle. However, this was a pilot study of only a limited number of patients and lacked sufficient validation. Chen et al. (2022) proposed a new CT radiomics-based method for diagnosing sarcopenia, which could effectively improve the predictive accuracy of prognosis compared to the traditional sarcopenia definitions. However, the above research defined sarcopenia using different criteria. There are no established evaluative indicators or cut-off values for each traditional definition of sarcopenia, which may limit their application to different populations. Hence, there is a desperate need for an objective muscle mass evaluation system assisted by deep learning and radiomics.
This study is limited by its retrospective nature. The use of varying CT imaging equipment in diverse patient populations may display different muscle composition phenotypes, potentially leading to biases during feature extraction. Thus, to validate the robustness and generalizability of our findings, larger prospective studies are warranted.
In conclusion, we developed a TFDeepSurv system for accessing SMs and predicting the survival of patients with HCC who have undergone liver resection and transplantation. The prognostic stratification power of TFDeepSurv was superior to other traditional definitions of sarcopenia, so it can serve as a visual prognostic tool that can assess muscles and help clinicians to identify patients with a high mortality risk and plan their treatment.
Materials and methods
Detailed methods are provided in the electronic supplementary materials of this paper.
Supplementary information
Acknowledgments
This work was supported by the Key Program of Provincial Natural Foundation of Zhejiang Province (No. LZ22H180003), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 92159202 and 81802889), and the Key Research & Development Program of Zhejiang Province (No. 2022C03108). We are grateful to Wiley Editing Services for assisting in language editing assistance (Order No. TNIPJ_1).
Author contributions
Xiao XU, Shusen ZHENG, Ningyang JIA, and Zhikun LIU performed the conceptualization; Yichao WU, Lun LU, Ningyang JIA, Abid Ali KHAN, Jianguo WANG, and Jun CHEN contributed to the data curation; Xiao XU, Zhikun LIU, and Jun CHEN performed the funding acquisition; Zhikun LIU and Yichao WU performed the methodology; Zhikun LIU, Yichao WU, and Lun LU performed the investigation; Xiao XU and Zhikun LIU performed the project administration; Yichao WU, Zhikun LIU, and Abid Ali KHAN wrote the manuscript; Xiao XU, Shusen ZHENG, and Ningyang JIA contributed to writing ‒ review & editing. All authors have read and approved the final manuscript, and therefore, have full access to all the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity and security of the data.
Compliance with ethics guidelines
Xiao XU is an editorial board member for Journal of Zhejiang University-SCIENCE B (Biomedicine & Biotechnology) and was not involved in the editorial review or the decision to publish this article.
Zhikun LIU, Yichao WU, Abid Ali KHAN, Lun LU, Jianguo WANG, Jun CHEN, Ningyang JIA, Shusen ZHENG, and Xiao XU declared that they have no conflict of interest.
All procedures followed were in accordance with the ethical standards of the responsible committee on human experimentation (the Ethics Committee of Affiliated Hangzhou First People's Hospital) and with the Helsinki Declaration of 1975, as revised in 2013. The individual consent for this retrospective analysis was waived.
Data availability statement
The dataset used or analyzed during the current study is available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
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Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Supplementary Materials
Data Availability Statement
The dataset used or analyzed during the current study is available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.