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. 2024 Jan 2;19(1):e0295681. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0295681

Albumin change predicts failure in ulcerative colitis treated with adalimumab

Natsuki Ishida 1, Kenichi Takahashi 2, Yusuke Asai 2, Takahiro Miyazu 2, Satoshi Tamura 2, Shinya Tani 2, Mihoko Yamade 2, Moriya Iwaizumi 3, Yasushi Hamaya 2, Satoshi Osawa 1, Ken Sugimoto 2,*
Editor: Emiko Mizoguchi4
PMCID: PMC10760906  PMID: 38166010

Abstract

Anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) -α antibodies, including infliximab (IFX), adalimumab (ADA), and golimumab, which were the first biologic therapeutic agents, have a crucial position in advanced therapy for ulcerative colitis (UC). We aimed to investigate serum albumin (Alb) change as a prognostic factor for the therapeutic effect of ADA in UC. Thirty-four patients with UC treated with ADA were enrolled in this study and were divided into failure and non-failure groups. Biological data, such as Alb were compared between the two groups. Thirteen patients showed failure within six months. Examination of the biological data showed a significant difference between the two groups only in the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio. In receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to predict failure, the cut-off value of week 2/week 0 Alb ratio was 1.00, and the area under the curve was 0.868 (95% confidence interval: 0.738–0.999). In addition, in the sub-group analysis of only clinically active patients, the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio of the non-failure group was significantly higher than that of the failure group, and the cut-off-value in ROC analysis was 1.00. Week 2/week 0 Alb ratio ≤ 1 predicts failure within six months of ADA for UC.

Introduction

Various biological agents have emerged for the treatment of ulcerative colitis (UC). Anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α antibodies, including infliximab (IFX), adalimumab (ADA), and golimumab, which were the first biologic therapeutic agents, have a crucial role in the advanced therapy for UC [14]. Following IFX, ADA is an anti-TNF-α antibody agent administered by subcutaneous injection, which is indicated for the treatment of UC [2, 3, 5]. The ULTRA-1/2 trial reported its usefulness in the induction of remission, and although there were differences in the extent of previous use of molecular-targeted drugs, the clinical remission rate at week 8 was 16.5%–18.5%, showing good results [2, 3]. The subsequent ULTRA-3 trial was an unblinded clinical study in which only patients who completed the ULTRA-1/2 studies were included, and a clinical remission rate of 24.7% was reported after four years [5]. Thus, large-scale clinical trials have reported the efficacy of ADA from induction to maintenance therapy.

Although the efficacy of anti-TNF-α antibody preparations has been reported, there are cases of primary failure, in which treatment response is not obtained, and secondary failure, in which treatment resistance occurs even after temporary improvement [6, 7]. Although there are various reports on the evaluation methods, the frequency of primary failure of anti-TNF-α antibody preparations in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is approximately 10%–40% overall [6]. In addition, reports on UC indicate that the rate of primary failure is approximately 30%–40% [6]. The frequency of secondary failure of ADA in UC has been reported to be 58.3% [7].

Predictive factors for primary and secondary failure have been reported [811]. A retrospective cohort study based on data from the ENEIDA registry reported that failure to achieve response at 12 weeks was a clinical predictor of colectomy [8]. A randomized controlled trial reported that high C-reactive protein (CRP) levels, primary sclerosing cholangitis comorbidity, and female sex were predictors of failure [9]. Previous biologic exposure and disease activity at eight weeks after induction were also reported to be predictors of ADA [10]. The mechanism of developing such a loss of response (LOR) is involved in the production of anti-drug antibodies and the decrease in the serum level (trough level) of anti-TNF-α due to the undetectability of anti-TNF-α; both serum ADA trough level and anti-ADA antibodies (AAA) have been reported to be associated with mucosal healing and LOR [11]. Various prognostic factors for ADA in UC treatment have been reported. Previously, Lee et al. reported that the ratio of albumin (Alb) during induction and after two weeks of anti-TNF-α antibody therapy in UC was a predictor of subsequent prognosis [12]. In this study, anti-TNF-α agents, including both IFX and ADA, were evaluated, but no study has examined the Alb ratio only for ADA. In this study, we evaluated the effect of ADA on UC and examined whether the Alb ratio is useful for prognosis prediction.

Methods

Patients and study design

Patients with UC who were treated with ADA at the Hamamatsu University School of Medicine between November 2013 and February 2022 were enrolled in this study. This study protocol was reviewed and approved by the Ethics Committee of Hamamatsu University School of Medicine (number 21–029). This study was conducted in accordance with Good Clinical Practice principles in adherence to the Declaration of Helsinki. Informed consent for patients was obtained in the form of opt-out on the hospital website. The collection and analysis of data began in October 17, 2022. We did not have access to information that could identify individual participants during or after data collection.

The patients were diagnosed with UC according to the current established UC criteria, excluding IBD such as indeterminate colitis or inflammatory bowel disease-unclassified [13]. The primary endpoint of this retrospective, single-center, observational study was the continuation of treatment with ADA, which did not require intensification of treatment. We defined failure as any of the following with UC progression: change from ADA to another agent; surgery, induction, or ADA doubling was performed; or treatment with prednisolone (PSL) or tacrolimus (TAC). The secondary endpoint compared failure and non-failure only in clinically active patients. Non-failure patients were followed up for at least six months, and patients who dropped out for reasons other than failure were excluded. Based on these investigations, we searched for factors that could predict the therapeutic effect of ADA treatment.

Disease assessment

In this study, the clinical activity index (CAI) according to Rachmilewitz was used to evaluate the clinical activity of UC [14]. Clinical remission was defined as CAI 4, while the clinical response was defined as a decrease of more than 1 point compared to the baseline and a decrease of 50% from the baseline. Biological data including serum albumin (Alb), serum CRP, white blood cell (WBC), hemoglobin (Hb), and platelet (Plt) levels, were measured at the laboratory test department of Hamamatsu University School of Medicine. For all enrolled patients, these data were measured and evaluated at induction and two weeks later. Endoscopic examination of UC severity was assessed by the Mayo endoscopic subscore (MES) and the UC endoscopic index of severity (UCEIS) [15, 16].

Treatment and follow-up of patients

Patients enrolled in this study visited our hospital regularly every one week to two months. ADA was administered by subcutaneous injection of 160 mg during induction, 80 mg after two weeks, and 40 mg every two weeks from the fourth week onwards. We instructed patients to record their clinical symptoms based on the CAI (Rachmilewitz index) to assess their clinical activity outside the hospital. Based on the exacerbation of clinical symptoms, such as an increase in the number of defecations and the appearance of bloody stools, the treatment policy was decided based on the judgment of the attending physician.

Statistical analysis

Statistical analyses were performed with IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, version 24 (IBM Corp., Armonk, N.Y., USA) and EZR (Saitama Medical Center, Jichi Medical University, Saitama, Japan) software [17]. The Mann–Whitney U test or Student’s t-test was used to evaluate differences. The cumulative non-failure rate was evaluated using Kaplan–Meier analysis with the log-rank test. P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

Patient characteristics

Forty patients with UC treated with ADA were enrolled at our institution (Fig 1). Of these patients, four were lost to follow-up within six months, and two discontinued treatment owing to adverse events; thus, a total of six patients were excluded. The remaining 34 were included in the analysis (Table 1). The median age of the patients in the study was 43 years, and the median disease duration was seven years. There were 27 patients (79.4%) with extensive colitis, 6 (17.6%) with left-sided colitis, and 1 (2.9%) with proctitis. In the first investigation of this study, all patients were enrolled regardless of UC activity, including six patients with MES 0 or 1 and mucosal healing. These patients included those who switched from other treatments due to adverse effects and those who were induced as maintenance therapy after remission was induced with PSL or TAC. Seven (20.6%) patients had a history of using biologics.

Fig 1. Study flow chart.

Fig 1

There were 40 patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) treated with adalimumab (ADA). Six patients were excluded, and the remaining 34 patients were enrolled in this study. There were 13 and 21 patients in failure and non-failure groups, respectively.

Table 1. Baseline patient characteristics.

Characteristics at entry N = 34
Age (year), median [IQR] 43 [25–55]
Male/Female, n (%) 18 (52.9) /16 (47.1)
Disease duration (year), median [IQR] 7 [3–15]
Disease extent, n (%) Extensive colitis 27 (79.4)
Left-sided colitis 6 (17.6)
Proctitis 1 (2.9)
CAI (Rachmilewitz index), median [IQR] 7 [4–10]
Alb (g/dL), median [IQR] 3.7 [3.3–4.1]
CRP (mg/dL), median [IQR] 0.30 [0.10–1.64]
WBC (/μL), median [IQR] 7755 [5385–9907]
Hb (g/dL), median [IQR] 12.4 [10.0–14.2]
Plt (×104/μL), median [IQR] 37.9 [28.6–41.7]
MES, n (%) MES 0 1 (2.9)
MES 1 5 (14.7)
MES 2 17 (50.0)
MES 3 11 (32.4)
UCEIS, median [IQR] 4 [3–5]
Other medication, n (%) Oral 5-ASA 18 (52.9)
Suppository steroids 2 (5.9)
Systemic steroids 14 (41.2)
Immunomodulator 11 (32.4)
Tacrolimus 3 (8.8)
History of biologics use 7 (20.6)

IQR, interquartile range; CAI, clinical activity index; Alb, albumin; CRP, C-reactive protein; WBC, white blood cell; Hb, hemoglobin; Plt, platelet; MES, Mayo endoscopic subscore; UCEIS, ulcerative colitis endoscopic index of severity; 5-ASA, 5-aminosalicylic acid

Comparison of failure and non-failure with ADA treatment

Thirteen patients failed during the six-month follow-up period (Table 2). The patient background during entry was compared between the failure and non-failure groups, but no items showed a significant difference. Then, we compared the biological data between the failure and non-failure groups (Table 3). Biological data in weeks 0 and 2 did not show a significant difference between the two groups. When the ratio of weeks 0 and 2 was calculated for each biological data and compared, the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio was significantly higher in the non-failure group than in the failure group (P < 0.001).

Table 2. Comparison of patient characteristics between the failure and the non-failure groups.

Characteristics at entry Failure Non-failure P-value
n = 13 n = 21
Age (year), median [IQR] 36 [23–62] 47 [32–54] 0.375
Male/Female, n (%) 6 (46.2) /7 (53.8) 12 (57.1) /9 (42.9) 0.725
Disease duration (year), median [IQR] 5 [1–10] 9 [4–15] 0.136
Disease extent, n (%) Extensive colitis 10 (76.9) 17 (81.0) 0.789
Left-sided colitis 3 (23.1) 3 (14.3)
Proctitis 0 (0.0) 1 (4.8)
CAI (Rachmilewitz index), median [IQR] 8 [5–10] 7 [4–10] 0.749
MES, n (%) MES 0 1 (7.7) 0 (0.0) 0.543
MES 1 2 (15.4) 3 (14.3)
MES 2 5 (38.5) 12 (57.1)
MES 3 5 (38.5) 6 (28.6)
UCEIS, median [IQR] 4 [2–6] 5 [3–5] 0.957
Other medication, n (%) Oral 5-ASA 6 (46.2) 12 (57.1) 0.725
Suppository steroids 0 (0.0) 2 (9.5) 0.513
Systemic steroids 5 (38.5) 9 (42.9) 1
Immunomodulator 4 (30.8) 7 (33.3) 1
1 (7.7) 2 (9.5) 1
History of biologics use 3 (23.1) 4 (19.0) 1

IQR, interquartile range; CAI, clinical activity index; Alb, albumin; CRP, C-reactive protein; WBC, white blood cell; Hb, hemoglobin; Plt, platelet; MES, Mayo endoscopic subscore; UCEIS, ulcerative colitis endoscopic index of severity; 5-ASA, 5-aminosalicylic acid

Table 3. Comparison of biological data between the failure and the non-failure groups.

Variable Failure Non-failure P-value
n = 13 n = 21
Alb at week 0 (g/dL), median [IQR] 3.8 [3.7–3.9] 3.6 [3.3–4.3] 0.749
CRP at week 0, median [IQR] 0.22 [0.06–2.24] 0.32 [0.13–1.05] 0.958
WBC at week 0 (/μL), median [IQR] 7760 [5110–9530] 7750 [5610–10080] 0.901
Hb at week 0 (g/dL), median [IQR] 12.80 [10.0–14.4] 11.8 [10.3–13.6] 0.670
Plt at week 0 (×104/μL), median [IQR] 38.1 [30.9–42.3] 37.8 [28.3–41.6] 0.818
Alb at week 2 (g/dL), median [IQR] 3.5 [3.2–3.9] 4.0 [3.6–4.5] 0.058
CRP at week 2, median [IQR] 0.22 [0.03–0.53] 0.08 [0.02–0.22] 0.243
WBC at week 2 (/μL), median [IQR] 6240 [4760–9850] 7410 [4360–8450] 0.790
Hb at week 2 (g/dL), median [IQR] 12.3 [10.4–13.1] 12.4 [10.4–13.4] 0.696
Plt at week 2 (×104/μL), median [IQR] 36.3 [24.4–46.9] 32.5 [24.8–42.9] 0.490
Week 2/week 0 Alb ratio 0.95 [0.91–1] 1.06 [1.03–1.16] < 0.001
Week 2/week 0 CRP ratio 0.55 [0.30–1] 0.44 [0.10–0.80] 0.446
Week 2/week 0 WBC ratio 0.89 [0.75–1.02] 0.80 [0.73–0.98] 0.736
Week 2/week 0 Hb ratio 1.01 [0.97–1.04] 1.05 [0.98–1.07] 0.184
Week 2/week 0 Plt ratio 1.04 [0.78–1.13] 0.98 [0.79–1.03] 0.559

Alb, albumin; IQR, interquartile range; CRP, C-reactive protein; WBC, white blood cell; Hb, hemoglobin; Plt, platelet

Furthermore, the actual number, proportion, and ratio of leukocyte fractions were compared between the two groups, but no variables showed significant differences (S1 Table). Although the sample size decreased from that at baseline, no biologicals data showed a significant difference between the failure and non-failure groups at week 6 (S2 Table).

Prediction of failure within six months using Alb ratio in ADA treatment

We performed receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to predict failure within six months using the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio (Fig 2a). The cut-off value of the Alb ratio for predicting failure was 1. The area under the curve (AUC) for this analysis was 0.868 (95% confidence interval 0.738–0.999). Next, Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed by dividing into week 2/week 0 Alb ratio ≥ 1.00 group and week 2/week 0 Alb ratio < 1.00 group; a significant difference was shown in the log-rank test (P < 0.001) (Fig 2b). In addition, multivariate analysis showed that week 2/week 0 Alb ratio < 1.00 was an independent prognostic factor for predicting failure within six months (Table 4).

Fig 2.

Fig 2

Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis for prediction of failure by treatment with adalimumab to patients with ulcerative colitis during six months (a) and Kaplan–Meier analysis of failure-free rate by the groups of patients with week 2/week 0 Alb ratio ≥ 1.00 and < 1.00 (b).

Table 4. Multivariate analysis for predicting failure within 6 months.

Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis
HR 95% CI P-value HR 95% CI P-value
Week 2/week 0 Alb ratio < 1.00 6.248 1.889–20.66 0.003 16.62 3.135–88.08 0.001
Age 0.984 0.951–1.019 0.366 0.966 0.918–1.017 0.19
Sex, male 0.674 0.226–2.006 0.478 0.629 0.154–2.564 0.518
Disease duration 0.957 0.884–1.035 0.271 0.986 0.910–1.068 0.723
Extensive colitis 0.827 0.227–3.008 0.773 0.187 0.032–1.102 0.064
CAI ≥ 5 1.256 0.345–4.569 0.729 3.191 0.369–27.58 0.292
MES ≥ 2 0.670 0.184–2.443 0.544 0.730 0.096–5.568 0.762
History of biologics use 1.144 0.315–4.162 0.838 4.200 0.648–27.24 0.132

HR, hazard ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; Alb, albumin; CAI, clinical activity index; MES, Mayo endoscopic subscore

Examination of the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio in clinically active patients

Analysis up to the above was performed on all enrolled patients regardless of CAI, and then we analyzed the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio of 25 patients with clinical activity excluding nine patients in clinical remission with CAI ≤ 4. There was no significant difference in the baseline patient background data between the group of 10 failures and the group of 25 non-failures (S3 Table). The week 2/week 0 Alb ratio showed a significant difference between the failure and non-failure groups (P = 0.002) (Fig 3a). The ROC curve analysis for predicting failure within six months had a cut-off value of 1 and an AUC of 0.86 (95% CI 0.698–1.000), similar to the analysis of all patients (Fig 3b). In addition, when Kaplan–Meier analysis was performed on groups with a week 2/week 0 ≥ 1 and < 1 in this sub-group analysis, a significant difference was shown in the log-rank test (P = 0.002) (Fig 3c).

Fig 3.

Fig 3

Week 2/week 0 Alb ratio difference between the patients with failure and non-failure in the group with CAI > 4 (a). Receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis for prediction of failure by treatment with adalimumab to patients with ulcerative colitis during six months in the group with CAI > 5 (b). Kaplan–Meier analysis of failure-free rate by the groups of patients with week 2/week 0 Alb ratio ≥ 1.00 and < 1.00 (c).

Examination of the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio in patients treated with anti-tumor necrosis factor-α antibodies

In addition to the 34 patients in the ADA group, 20 and 14 patients treated with GLM and IFX, respectively, were added, for a total of 68 patients. As a statistically significant analysis cannot be performed due to the small sample size, analysis was not performed for the GLM and IFX group. During the 6-month observation period, 20 patients had treatment failure. There were no baseline characteristics that showed significant differences between the failure and non-failure groups (S4 Table). Meanwhile, the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio showed a significant difference between the failure group and the non-failure groups (P < 0.001), and the ROC analysis for predicting treatment failure had a cut-off value of 0.98 and an AUC of 0.84 (95% CI: 0.727–0.960) (Fig 4a, 4b). Kaplan–Meier analysis was also performed for the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio ≥0.98 and <0.98 groups, and the log-rank test showed a significant difference (P < 0.001) (Fig 4c).

Fig 4.

Fig 4

Difference in the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio of patients treated with anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α antibodies in the failure and non-failure groups (a). Receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis for predicting treatment failure within 6 months following administration of anti-TNF-α to patients with ulcerative colitis (b). Kaplan–Meier analysis of the failure-free rate among patients with a week 2/week 0 Alb ratio of ≥0.98 and <0.98 (c).

Discussion

The turning point in the treatment of UC was the emergence of biological agents, and anti-TNF-α antibody agents had a particularly large impact. ADA, an anti-TNF-α antibody preparation, was shown to be useful in ULTRA-1/2/3 studies [2, 3, 5]. However, ADA is a drug that induces anti-drug antibodies upon administration, and the emergence of drug antibodies is considered to lead to a loss of response to ADA. Therefore, there are reports that anti-ADA antibodies and measurement of serum ADA levels may be effective predictors of ADA efficacy [11, 18]. However, despite studies involving Crohn’s disease (CD) and UC, we reported that anti-ADA antibodies did not correlate with treatment adherence, and the prognostic utility of anti-ADA antibodies is controversial [19]. In addition, the measurement of these anti-ADA antibodies and ADA trough concentrations is problematic as they cannot be measured easily due to the difficulty of the measurement method and the cost of measurement. Moreover, ADA was a drug that appeared in the first era of biologics therapy, and there were almost no therapeutic drugs as advanced therapy to compensate in case of failure. Therefore, evaluation of efficacy is crucial, and there have been reports of evaluating efficacy by measuring anti-ADA antibody and ADA trough concentration. However, in recent years, a large number of drugs, mainly biologics, have been developed for UC, and even when a failure occurs, the transition to the next treatment is easier than before. Further, the blood concentration and anti-drug antibody measurements for predicting the efficacy of ADA have declined. However, ADA is still a crucial biologic drug in terms of its efficacy and is the only anti-TNFα antibody drug that can be increased and shortened in the dose for UC.

Prediction of treatment efficacy in UC is important. A universal efficacy predictor that can be assessed at any facility is desired. Lee et al. reported that anti-TNF-α antibody preparations, including IFX and ADA, showed that the Alb ratio during the induction and at two weeks predicted relapse [12]. However, both drugs were summarized in the report, and ADA alone was not evaluated. In this study, we focused only on ADA and examined whether it can be used to predict the prognosis. The Alb ratio was found to be useful as a predictor even with ADA alone. Conversely, it would have been desirable to examine the usefulness of the Alb ratio in predicting the efficacy of other anti-TNF-α antibodies, including IFX and GLM; however, the sample size was small, and analysis was not possible. It is hoped that IFX and GLM will be investigated based on accumulated results in future cases. It was also reported that the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio is useful for predicting the efficacy of anti-TNF-α antibody drugs [20]. In this study, leukocyte differential analysis was performed, but no significant differences were shown for any of the variables, which may be due to the small sample size and differences in endpoints. In the first analysis of this study, all ADA-treated patients with UC were evaluated regardless of clinical activity as real-world data. In other words, the study included remission cases such as patients who were introduced to maintenance therapy after induction of remission with PSL or TAC and patients who were switched due to adverse events of other treatments. Although the inclusion of these patients has the advantage of being real-world data in clinical practice, it is problematic that the inclusion of patients in remission is fraught with bias when evaluating the remission induction effects of ADA. Therefore, we performed a second analysis of clinically active patients, excluding those with CAI (Rachmilewitz index) ≤ 4. As a result, the Alb ratio showed a significant difference between the failure and non-failure groups. The cut-off value in the ROC analysis was 1, which was the same result as the analysis of all patients.

The cut-off value of the Alb ratio obtained in this study was 1, and this cut-off value is easy to interpret. If the Alb value at week 2 is higher than that at the time of induction, the subsequent prognosis is favorable. This result is a subsequent predictive factor and representative of the early treatment effects of ADA at week 2. In a previous study, we reported that the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio could be a prognostic factor for TAC as well, and the cut-off value was 1 [21]. However, a subsequent study reported that the week 2/week 1 Alb ratio could be a more accurate prognostic predictor [22]. This is because TAC, which is mostly induced in inpatient and biological data, can be easily obtained one week after its induction, whereas ADA is often induced in outpatient treatment and is usually measured two weeks after its induction. Therefore, it was difficult to obtain week 1 data. Although there are some reports on the prognosis and Alb of IBD treatment using anti-TNFα antibody preparations, Tighe et al. showed no significant difference between failure and non-failure Alb levels at the time of induction [23]. Conversely, Baki et al. reported that the Alb level during induction of the anti-TNF-α antibody preparation in the group that did not achieve remission was significantly lower than that in the group that achieved remission [24]. There are differences in the endpoint, and there are various reports on Alb at the time of induction and prognosis; however, this study also did not show a significant difference in the Alb value during induction. Hence, we concluded that the improvement rate of Alb at 2 weeks affected the prognosis. As an additional analysis, we performed an analysis using all currently available anti-TNF-α antibody preparations, including patients treated with GLM and IFX, in addition to ADA. The results were useful for prediction. Furthermore, it would be sufficient to perform similar analyses with GLM or IFX alone, and it is hoped that future cases will accumulate.

There are some limitations to this study. First, this was a single-institution study. The number of registered patients was small. Second, this was retrospective research. Third, there was no investigation of biomarkers and histological evaluation before and after the treatment. Although treatment in recent years aiming at treat-to-target has become the standard for UC, the achievement of mucosal healing was not evaluated, and the focus was only on the clinical activity in this study. In addition, the endpoint of this study was a point that was interpreted for our convenience. However, although the number of participants in this study is small, it is a strength that the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio showed a significant difference between the failure and non-failure groups, which is a useful result for predicting clinical prognosis.

Conclusion

Week 2/week 0 Alb ratio was a useful prognostic predictor in ADA treatment in UC. If the Alb value at week 2 is higher than that at the time of induction, the subsequent prognosis is favorable.

Supporting information

S1 Table. Comparison of leukocyte subtype count, rate, and ratio.

(DOCX)

S2 Table. Comparison of biological data at week 6 between the failure and non-failure groups.

(DOCX)

S3 Table. Comparison of patients with clinical activity index >5 between the failure and non-failure groups.

(DOCX)

S4 Table. Comparison of patients treated with anti-tumor necrosis factor-α antibodies between the failure and non-failure groups.

(DOCX)

S1 Checklist. Human participants research checklist.

(DOCX)

S1 File. Review result notification.

(PDF)

S2 File. Review result notification (English translation).

(PDF)

Data Availability

All data needed to evaluate the conclusions in the paper are presented herein. Additional data related to this study may be requested from the authors.

Funding Statement

The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

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Decision Letter 0

Emiko Mizoguchi

11 Oct 2023

PONE-D-23-29818Albumin change predicts failure in ulcerative colitis treated with adalimumabPLOS ONE

Dear Professor Sugimoto,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. Your manuscript was assessed by two specialized reviewers in this field, and some major issues have been raised by both reviwers as shown below. Regarding the criticisms from both reviewers, you must fully address the issues in the revised results and discussion sections. In particular, as suggested by reviewer 1, please carefully investigate if albumin changes can predict failure in ulcerative colitis patients treated with inflixmab and golimumab as well. Without providing the additional data/explanations, this manuscript will not be considered for publication in PLOS ONE.

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Emiko Mizoguchi, M.D., Ph.D.

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

5. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: In this study, the authors demonstrated that serum albumin change was a prognostic factor for the therapeutic effect of ADA in UC. This is a very interesting result, but it is necessary to confirm whether similar findings can be obtained for other anti-TNF-alpha antibodies. Furthermore, it has been reported that the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is associated with treatment failure of anti-TNF-alpha antibodies, which also needs to be investigated. I raise several concerns including this point as listed below.

1. Previous reports have shown that albumin changes are associated with treatment failure in UC patients using IFX and ADA. In Japan, it remains unclear whether albumin changes are associated only with ADA or with anti-TNF-alpha antibodies as a whole. Please investigate whether albumin changes can predict failure in UC patients treated with infliximab (IFX) and golimumab (GOM).

2. Factors such as Erythrocyte sedimentation rate and NLR should also be considered in ADA, IFX, and GOM.

3. Were there any differences between failures and non-failures in laboratory parameters at Week 6?

Reviewer #2: The authors aimed to investigate serum albumin (Alb) change as a prognostic factor for the therapeutic effect of ADA in UC, and demonstrated albumin change predicts failure in ulcerative colitis treated with adalimumab. The present study was well-organized and well-investigated, and will give us a new information, especially in the field of clinical medicine. To improve the quality of this paper, the authors should revise it according to the following suggestions;

1) This paper shows that the Week 2/week 0 Alb ratio is important as an outcome predictor of ADA treatment. However, the first problem is that the number of cases is small.

2) Week 2 Alb data is already data after ADA treatment, and it has already been shown that Week 2 Alb increases in the no-failure group. We believe that the Week 2/week 0 Alb ratio is not a predictive factor in a strict sense, but rather a factor for determining early treatment effects of ADA.

3) It has been reported that low serum Alb levels are factor in treatment failure in UC in general, regardless of treatment. It is predicted that this does not indicate the usefulness of the Week 2/week 0 Alb ratio only for ADA treatment. The Week 2/week 0 Alb ratio should also be indicated in patients who do not use ADA.

**********

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

**********

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PLoS One. 2024 Jan 2;19(1):e0295681. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0295681.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 0


24 Nov 2023

Emiko Mizoguchi

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Emiko Mizoguchi:

We wish to resubmit our revised manuscript, titled “Albumin change predicts failure in ulcerative colitis treated with adalimumab.” The manuscript ID is PONE-D-23-29818.

We are grateful for the opportunity to revise our manuscript, and we would like to thank the reviewers for their helpful suggestions and comments. We have addressed the concerns of the reviewers and editor, and the relevant changes have been incorporated into the revised manuscript, which are highlighted in red font. The detailed and pointwise responses to all comments have been prepared and are given below. As advised by an academic editor, we have added an analysis of infliximab and golimumab in addition to adalimumab.

We believe that these revisions have strengthened our manuscript and hope that the revised manuscript is now suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. We have uploaded marked and unmarked copies of the manuscript, as requested.

Sincerely,

Ken Sugimoto

First Department of Medicine, Hamamatsu University School of Medicine

1-20-1 Handayama, Higashi-ku, Hamamatsu 431-3192, Japan

Tel: +81-53-435-2261

Fax: +81-53-434-9447

E-mail: sugimken@hama-med.ac.jp

Reviewer #1: In this study, the authors demonstrated that serum albumin change was a prognostic factor for the therapeutic effect of ADA in UC. This is a very interesting result, but it is necessary to confirm whether similar findings can be obtained for other anti-TNF-alpha antibodies. Furthermore, it has been reported that the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is associated with treatment failure of anti-TNF-alpha antibodies, which also needs to be investigated. I raise several concerns including this point as listed below.

1. Previous reports have shown that albumin changes are associated with treatment failure in UC patients using IFX and ADA. In Japan, it remains unclear whether albumin changes are associated only with ADA or with anti-TNF-alpha antibodies as a whole. Please investigate whether albumin changes can predict failure in UC patients treated with infliximab (IFX) and golimumab (GOM).

Response: Thank you for your comment. As you have pointed out, past studies have examined the prediction of treatment failure of the Alb ratio of IFX and ADA. In this revision, IFX and GOM as well as the Alb ratio analysis were added. As indicated in the limitations of the original manuscript, the number of UC patients treated with ADA in this study was small. Unfortunately, the sample size was even smaller with 14 and 20 patients receiving IFX and GOM, respectively. As it was considered difficult to obtain statistically significant results for GOM and IFX separately, we added the same analysis for all anti-TNF-α antibody preparations: ADA, GOM, and IFX. The results of this analysis have been added to the newly added “Examination of the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio in patients with anti-tumor necrosis factor-α antibodies treated” section (Page 13, Lines 212-225). Of the 68 patients who received ADA, GLM, and IFX, 20 had treatment failure. Patient demographics are shown in the newly added Supplemental Table 4. The Alb ratio of the failure group was significantly lower than that of the non-failure group (P < 0.001). The cutoff value for the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio in the ROC analysis for predicting treatment failure was 0.98. Kaplan–Meier analysis was performed between the Alb ratio ≥0.98 and <0.98 groups, and the log-rank test showed a significant difference (P < 0.001).

As mentioned above, the analysis that included GLM and IFX also demonstrated the usefulness of the Alb ratio for predicting treatment failure. Furthermore, it is desirable to investigate the usefulness of the Alb ratio in the analysis of IFX and GLM, and it is hoped that more cases will be accumulated (Page 17, Line 315-319).

2. Factors such as Erythrocyte sedimentation rate and NLR should also be considered in ADA, IFX, and GOM.

Response: Thank you for your comment. We greatly appreciate the reviewers’ advice. As mentioned above, due to the small sample size, it was not possible to conduct an analysis on IFX and GOM, but we added an analysis on the leukocyte subtype. Leukocyte subtype measurements were not performed in two patients before induction, and analysis was conducted only in 32 patients (19 non-failure versus 13 failure). A significant difference test was performed on the leukocyte subtype (neutrophile, lymphocyte, and monocyte), the absolute count, and leukocyte subtype ratio (neutrophile to lymphocyte ratio [NLR], neutrophile to monocyte ratio [NMR], and lymphocyte to monocyte ratio [LMR]). There were no significant differences between the two groups in these variables. Other studies showed significant differences in NLR, but this may be due to differences in sample size and endpoints. We have presented these results in Supplemental Table 1 and also included them in the Results and Discussion section (Page 9, Line 157–159) (Page 16, Line 282–286).

3. Were there any differences between failures and non-failures in laboratory parameters at Week 6?

Response: Thank you for your comment. we compared the biological data of the failure and non-failure groups at week 6. Further exclusion of three patients with treatment failure resulted in a comparison of 10 and 21 patients with and without treatment failure respectively. There were no significant differences between the two groups in Alb, CRP, WBC, Hb, and Plt level at week 6. It is possible that cases of early treatment failure were eliminated, leaving only cases with treatment failure with relatively good data. However, the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio, which is an earlier evaluation, was more predictive of the subsequent clinical course than the week 6 data.

This result will be added to the Results section (Page 9, Lines 159-161).

Reviewer #2: The authors aimed to investigate serum albumin (Alb) change as a prognostic factor for the therapeutic effect of ADA in UC, and demonstrated albumin change predicts failure in ulcerative colitis treated with adalimumab. The present study was well-organized and well-investigated, and will give us a new information, especially in the field of clinical medicine. To improve the quality of this paper, the authors should revise it according to the following suggestions;

1) This paper shows that the Week 2/week 0 Alb ratio is important as an outcome predictor of ADA treatment. However, the first problem is that the number of cases is small.

Response: Thank you for your comment. A major problem with this study is that it had a small sample size and was barely enough to perform statistical analysis. Additionally, the fact that the albumin ratio was significantly different between the two groups despite the small sample size shows the usefulness of the albumin ratio. This comment was added in the Discussion section (Page 19, Lines 314–315).

2) Week 2 Alb data is already data after ADA treatment, and it has already been shown that Week 2 Alb increases in the no-failure group. We believe that the Week 2/week 0 Alb ratio is not a predictive factor in a strict sense, but rather a factor for determining early treatment effects of ADA.

Response: Thank you for your comment. The Alb ratio may indicate early treatment effects of ADA. However, treatment effects do not always indicate subsequent prognosis, and not all treatment effects at week 2 indicate subsequent outcomes. The results of this analysis show that the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio can be a predictive factor for treatment failure. However, the reviewer’s recognition of early treatment effects of ADA is important and has been added to the discussion section (Page 19, Lines 299–300).

3) It has been reported that low serum Alb levels are factor in treatment failure in UC in general, regardless of treatment. It is predicted that this does not indicate the usefulness of the Week 2/week 0 Alb ratio only for ADA treatment. The Week 2/week 0 Alb ratio should also be indicated in patients who do not use ADA.

Response: Thank you for your comment. The usefulness of the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio has already been demonstrated in studies on ADA and IFX. In addition to ADA, the editor and reviewer 1 also recommended analysis of IFX and GLM, but these drugs did not have a sufficient sample size to statistically analyze the data.

We will conduct another analysis if more cases are accumulated. Thus, this study focused only on ADA. Accordingly, we have added a comment to the text regarding the fact that IFX and GLM analysis could not be performed (Page 16, Lines 279–282)

Attachment

Submitted filename: R1 Response to reviewer.docx

Decision Letter 1

Emiko Mizoguchi

28 Nov 2023

Albumin change predicts failure in ulcerative colitis treated with adalimumab

PONE-D-23-29818R1

Dear Dr. Ken Sugimoto:

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.

An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org.

Kind regards,

Emiko Mizoguchi, M.D., Ph.D.

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Additional Editor Comments (optional):

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed

**********

2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: I Don't Know

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: (No Response)

Reviewer #2: The authors responded to our suggestions and carefully revised, especially in the Discussion. We have no claim in the revised paper.

**********

7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.

Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy.

Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

**********

Acceptance letter

Emiko Mizoguchi

20 Dec 2023

PONE-D-23-29818R1

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Sugimoto,

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now being handed over to our production team.

At this stage, our production department will prepare your paper for publication. This includes ensuring the following:

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Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.

Kind regards,

PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff

on behalf of

Dr. Emiko Mizoguchi

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Table. Comparison of leukocyte subtype count, rate, and ratio.

    (DOCX)

    S2 Table. Comparison of biological data at week 6 between the failure and non-failure groups.

    (DOCX)

    S3 Table. Comparison of patients with clinical activity index >5 between the failure and non-failure groups.

    (DOCX)

    S4 Table. Comparison of patients treated with anti-tumor necrosis factor-α antibodies between the failure and non-failure groups.

    (DOCX)

    S1 Checklist. Human participants research checklist.

    (DOCX)

    S1 File. Review result notification.

    (PDF)

    S2 File. Review result notification (English translation).

    (PDF)

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: R1 Response to reviewer.docx

    Data Availability Statement

    All data needed to evaluate the conclusions in the paper are presented herein. Additional data related to this study may be requested from the authors.


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