Figure 3:

A summary of the comparative performance of FIGI-Net at the county level, for the 1-day and 7-day ahead horizon tasks from Oct. 18^th, 20 to Apr. 15^th, 22. (A) Performance of each model over all 3143 counties presented as a box plot. The median is highlighted in red along with the 5^th and 95^th percentile whiskers. The models are ordered in decreasing order, with the most accurate model (lowest RRMSE) appearing on the rightmost side. Notably, FIGI-Net exhibits the lowest RRMSE compared to other models for both tasks, as confirmed by the two-sided Wilcoxon rank sum test. (B) Error Reduction between each model with Persistence model. Compared to other models, FIGI-Net provides the fewest erroneous forecasting results. (C) Performance comparison of FIGI-Net against Persistence (our baseline model).Comparison is shown as a set of violin plots across the different time horizons. Our model consistently displays a narrower distribution of prediction errors (RMSE) compared to the Persistence model. (D) shows Daily prediction results of our model in 1-day, 7-day and 14-day horizons in Suffolk county. The example demonstrates our model’s ability to provide highly accurate predictions for diverse locations and various time periods.

**: p-value ¡ 0.001