Abstract
Background:
Although an association between the apolipoprotein E (APOE) ∊4 allele and increased risk of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is established, the utility of APOE genotyping in the clinical diagnosis of AD is still under investigation.
Methods:
Medical records of 89 patients with cognitive impairment and APOE genotype data underwent a retrospective review.
Results:
Comparison of age, age at onset, education, Mini-Mental State Examination, months of follow-up, and family history of dementia did not reveal statistical difference among the patients with different APOE genotypes. The APOE ∊4 carriers had a higher percentage of AD diagnoses after a median 16 months follow-up than non-APOE ∊4 carriers. The APOE ∊4 designation had a high sensitivity and high positive predictive value for the diagnosis of AD but a low negative predictive value and specificity.
Conclusions:
The APOE genotyping may be helpful in diagnosing AD especially in patients presenting with atypical features or early age of onset of dementia.
Keywords: Alzheimer’s disease, APOE, APOE ∊4, sensitivity, positive predictive value
Introduction
A strong association between the APOE (apolipoprotein E) ∊4 allele and increased risk of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is well established based on extensive clinical and basic studies. 1,2 It is reported that APOE ∊4 carriers have an increased risk of late onset of AD of 3 to 15 times in a gene dose-dependent manner. 3 The APOE ∊4 carriers have an earlier age of onset of AD by 10 to 20 years as compared to the noncarriers. 4
The mechanism of APOE ∊4 allele in the pathogenesis of AD is not entirely understood. Both amyloid-β (Aβ)-dependent and Aβ-independent roles for APOE ∊4 allele in the pathogenesis of AD have been proposed. 2,5 The presence of APOE ∊4 allele is associated with increased Pittsburgh compound B binding and amyloid deposition in in vivo and postmortem human studies. 1,6 –8 The correlation between reduced cerebral spinal fluid (CSF) Aβ 42 and APOE ∊4 allele has also been reported. 6 Regarding the amyloid-independent role of APOE ∊4 allele in the development of AD, recent functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) studies report that APOE ∊4 allele disrupts the resting state fMRI connectivity in the absence of amyloid plaques or decreased CSF Aβ 42. 9,10 Earlier study shows the mean normalized hippocampal right and left hippocampal volumes are smaller in the ∊4 carriers versus noncarriers with normal cognition. Greater medial temporal lobe atrophy is reported in the patients with AD who are ∊4 carriers although conflicting data exist. 11 –14 Taken together, it is suggested that APOE ∊4 allele plays a vital role in the pathogenesis of AD.
Although APOE genotyping is not recommended for use alone in routine clinical diagnosis, a few studies have reported on a possible role of APOE genotyping in actual clinical practice. 15 –17 In the present study, we undertook a retrospective analysis of APOE genotype in the patients referred to a memory disorders clinic in a university hospital setting. Comparison of the clinical diagnosis at first visit was made with the clinical diagnosis at follow-up visit after the APOE genotype information was available. Using the diagnosis of AD at the follow-up visit as our outcome measure, we calculated the positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), sensitivity, and specificity of APOE genotype testing.
Methods
Participants
This retrospective study was performed at the Medical University of South Carolina (MUSC), with approval by institutional review boards. The charts dated January 2005 to November 2010 of the 335 patients referred to the memory disorders clinic were reviewed. Those patients carried International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification diagnostic code 290 (dementia), 294.8 (dementia, not otherwise specified), and 331.83 (mild cognitive impairment [MCI]). A total of 89 patients (26.6% of the total referred patients) with these diagnostic codes had APOE genotyping performed subsequent to the first visit. The APOE genotyping was performed in those patients if the patients had an atypical presentation or early age of onset of cognitive impairment. The patients were evaluated by 2 senior neurologists (DB or AW) including detailed history, neurological examination, and routine laboratory analysis. If brain imaging was not already available, it was also obtained. In the present study, other specialized diagnostic studies such as flurodeoxyglucose F 18 positron emission tomography (PET) scanning or CSF studies of Aβ 42 and p-tau were not considered for an initial clinical diagnosis. Dementia diagnosis was established using Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (Third edition) criteria. 18 Clinical AD diagnosis was established using National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke and the Alzheimer’s Disease and Related Disorders Association criteria for possible or probable AD. 19 The initial diagnosis was based on the history and clinical assessment at the first visit prior to APOE genotyping. The follow-up diagnosis was obtained from the last available clinical note that was based on the clinical assessment which included all available clinical and laboratory data as well as routine imaging studies.
APOE Genotypes and Statistical Analysis
Approximately 10 mL of blood were collected from each patient in EDTA tube, gently mixed by inversion and shipped at room temperature to Athena Diagnostic (Athena Neurosciences Inc, Worcester, MA) by the laboratory of MUSC hospital within 24 hours of collection for the APOE genotype analysis. 17,20 The APOE ∊4 positive designated as the participants carry at least 1 ∊4 allele. Statistical analysis was conducted using the Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS, version 17) software (SPSS Inc, Chicago, Illinois). The Student’s 2-sided t test for independent samples was used for continuous variables (Mann-Whitney U for nonparametric continuous) and chi-square (χ 2 ) for categorical variables. A P value less than .05 was considered statistically significant. Allele frequencies were determined by counting alleles. The agreement of the observed genotype frequency with expected genotype frequency according to the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium was verified by χ 2 test. Sensitivity was defined as the percentage of AD cases who were ∊4 positive; specificity was defined as the percentage of non-AD cases who were ∊4 negative; and PPV was defined as the percentage of individuals who were ∊4 positive who had the diagnosis of AD after follow-up. The median follow-up time was 16 months.
Results
Demographic Features of the Patients
Data on 89 patients referred to the memory clinic for evaluation of cognitive impairment were collected in this study for those patients that had APOE genotypes testing and at least 1 follow-up visit from 2005 to 2011. The average age at the initial visit was 65 years (standard deviation [SD] 9.4) and age at onset was 62.3 years (SD 9.6). Among all patients, there were 57 patients (64%) who developed symptoms before 65 or at 65 years. Ten patients (11%) presented with dominant behavior and mood symptoms including agitation, irritability, depression, anxiety, hallucination, paranoia, and confusion in the context of memory impairment. Six patients (7%) exhibited relatively stable clinical course of memory impairment. Sixteen patients (18%) had differential diagnosis of normal pressure hydrocephalus, frontotemporal lobe dementia, neurosarcoidosis, seizure, vascular dementia, cognitive impairment after cardiac events, dementia unresponsive to B12, and heavy metal chelation treatment. In this sample, 58 participants (65%) were female. There were 75 Caucasian (84.3%), 12 Africa American (13.5%), 1 Asian (1.1%), and 1 other (1.1%). The APOE ∊4 carrier status was positive in 71% of the participants. In this sample, 58% of the cases had a positive family history of dementia. There were 3 participants without known family history. Two of them were adopted. One of them was not documented in the chart. The average Mini-Mental Status Examination (MMSE) score at the first visit was 21.6 for 78 cases (SD = 5.9). The scores were not adjusted for education and age. Some of participants did not undertake MMSE test either due to severely impaired or highly functional cognition. Median follow-up duration was 16 months (Table 1).
Table 1.
Variables | |
---|---|
Age, y (N = 89) | 65.0 ± 9.4 |
Age at onset, y (N = 89) | 62.3 ± 9.6 |
Education, y (N = 57) | 14.5 ± 3.0 |
Female (%) | 58 (65) |
Caucasian (%) | 75 (84.3) |
Africa American (%) | 12 (13.5) |
Asian (%) | 1 (1.1) |
Other (%) | 1 (1.1) |
APOE ∊4 (%) | 70.8 |
Positive family history of dementia, % (N = 86) | 58 |
MMSE (N = 78) | 21.6 ± 5.9 |
Months follow-up (N = 89) | 16 (1, 72) |
Abbreviations: APOE, apolipoprotein E; MMSE, Mini-Mental State Examination; SD, standard deviation.
a Age, age at onset, education, and MMSE score are expressed as mean ± SD; months follow-up is expressed as median (minimum and maximum).
Different Variables Among the Patients With Different APOE Genotype
The APOE genotype and allele frequency distributions in the patients are given in Table 2. There are 41.6% APOE ∊3/4, 27% APOE ∊4/4, 2.2% APOE ∊2/4, 23.6% APOE ∊3/3, and 5.6% APOE ∊2/3 (Table 2). The allele frequencies are reported as ∊2 = 0.04, ∊3 = 0.47, and ∊4 = 0.49. All the observed allele frequencies fits those expected allele frequencies according to Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (P = .49). Table 3 shows the age at the initial visit, age at onset, education, MMSE, follow-up duration, and family history of dementia by APOE genotype among the patients with different APOE genotype. There are no statistical differences between these variables among the patients across different APOE genotype. There are no statistical differences between these variables between APOE ∊4 carriers and non-∊4 carriers. Table 4 shows the comparison between initial diagnosis and a follow-up diagnosis of AD in association with APOE genotype. There are no statistical differences in the clinical diagnosis of AD between ∊4 and non-∊4 carriers at the initial visit. There is, however, a statistical difference in the AD diagnosis between ∊4 and non-∊4 carriers after a median of 16 months follow-up.
Table 2.
APOE genotype | N (%) | APOE allele | Distribution of APOE allele frequency |
---|---|---|---|
2/3 | 5 (5.6) | ∊2 | 0.04 |
3/3 | 21 (23.6) | ∊3 | 0.47 |
2/4 | 2 (2.2) | ∊4 | 0.49 |
3/4 | 37 (41.6) | ||
4/4 | 24 (27) |
Abbreviation: APOE, apolipoprotein E.
Table 3.
APOE genotypes | Age, y | Age at onset | Education | MMSE | Months follow-up | Family history of dementia |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2/3 (n = 5) | 65.4 ± 6.1 | 62.6 ± 8.0 | 12.0 ± 0.0 | 21.5 ± 5.7 | 15 (1, 72) | 100.0% |
3/3 (n = 21) | 61.4 ± 9.2 | 59.4 ± 9.09 | 14.5 ± 2.9 | 22.7 ± 4.5 | 12 (1, 72) | 42.1% |
2/4 (n = 2) | 54.0 ± 1.4 | 52.5 ± 2.1 | 12.0 (n = 1) | 25.0 ± 2.8 | 21 (18, 24) | 0.0% |
3/4 (n = 37) | 67.1 ± 10.7 | 64.5 ± 11.5 | 14.9 ± 3.2 | 21.9 ± 6.1 | 12 (2, 60) | 67.6% |
4/4 (n = 24) | 65.5 ± 7.0 | 62.1 ± 7.5 | 14.5 ± 2.9 | 20.1 ± 6.6 | 18 (1, 72) | 54.2% |
P value of ∊4 versus non-∊4 carriers | .07 | .16 | .56 | .46 | .48 | .62 |
Abbreviations: APOE, apolipoprotein E; MMSE, Mini-Mental State Examination; SD, standard deviation.
a Values are mean ± SD except month follow-up expressed as a median (minimum and maximum).
Table 4.
Initial diagnosis | Follow-up diagnosis | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
APOE genotype | AD | MCI | Non-AD | Total | AD | MCI | Non-AD | Total |
2/3 (n = 5) | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
3/3 (n = 21) | 6 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 21 |
2/4 (n = 2) | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
3/4 (n = 37) | 14 | 14 | 9 | 37 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 37 |
4/4 (n = 24) | 13 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
P value of ∊4 versus non-∊4 carriers | .11 | <.01 |
Abbreviations: AD, Alzheimer’s disease; APOE, apolipoprotein E; MCI, mild cognitive impairment.
The PPV, NPV, Sensitivity, and Specificity of APOE ∊4 in Association With a Clinical Diagnosis
The PPV, NPV, sensitivity, and specificity of APOE ∊4 in association with clinical diagnosis of AD are calculated. The PPV is 77%; NPV 52.4%; sensitivity 82.5%; and specificity 44%.
Discussion
The APOE genotype testing has been used primarily as a clinical research tool to evaluate the risk population of AD. The utility of APOE genotyping in the clinical diagnosis of AD is still under investigation. 21,22 A recent clinical trial of monoclonal antibody directed against Aβ suggests that APOE ∊4 carriers may have a different response to amyloid removal therapy than noncarriers. Noncarriers show a treatment-associated response on cognitive scores. By contrast, patients with 1 or 2 alleles of APOE ∊4 show no treatment effect on any measure. In addition, APOE ∊4 carriers had more vasogenic edema. 23 Taken together, it is suggested that stratifying APOE by genotype may be useful in clinical practice if disease-modifying therapy is available.
In our memory disorders clinic, we do not perform the APOE genotyping for the routine diagnosis of AD. We obtain the APOE genotypes only in those patients who have an early age of onset of cognitive impairment or present with atypical symptoms of presumed AD. This is a retrospective study to evaluate the role of APOE ∊4 in the clinical diagnosis of AD in this selected population. To compare our patient population with those from other studies, we calculate the frequency of APOE ∊4 allele. The frequency of APOE ∊4 (49%) allele in the patients of the present study is higher than the result obtained in a large meta-analysis of 5107 Caucasian with AD (36.7%). 3 The discrepancy is mostly due to age-dependent variation. It is reported that the frequency of APOE ∊4 allele is higher in those patients with age at onset as 60 to 69 years. The frequency of APOE ∊4 allele (49%) in the present study is similar to the results obtained from other studies of patient with AD in this age group. 24,25 Using the APOE ∊4 allele-enriched patient group, we are likely to observe the maximal effect of the ∊4 allele in the development of AD. 26 In this cohort, the average age of the patients at onset was younger than 65 years. We found significantly more AD cases among APOE ∊4 carriers than noncarriers, confirming that APOE ∊4 is strongly associated with AD in our clinical setting. As Poirier et al reported, analysis of ∊4 allele frequency as a function of age revealed a bimodal distribution, with peaks at 65 (55-65 years old) and 75 years (75-85 years old) in AD. 27 Taken together, it is suggested that APOE ∊4 might accelerate neurodegenerative process both in an aging-dependent and an independent manner. 27 Clinically, if a patient with early age of onset of memory impairment has positive APOE ∊4, he or she is likely to be diagnosed with AD in the course of disease. To our knowledge, there are no studies to evaluate the role of APOE genotyping in the diagnosis of clinically challenging cases.
Comparison of our study with others reveals that high PPV (69%-100%) and low NPV (0%-52.4%) of APOE ∊4 in the diagnosis of AD are the consistent findings across all the studies regardless of the age of the patients and the frequency of APOE ∊4 15 –17,21,28 –31 (Table 5). Our result together with other studies suggests that the presence of APOE ∊4 allele in patients with cognitive impairment has a high probability of predicting the future development of AD in these individuals. At follow-up visits in our study, more APOE ∊4 carriers were eventually diagnosed as having AD. This occurred because many patients carrying other clinical diagnoses were rediagnosed as having AD. However, many non-∊4 carriers were also diagnosed as having AD. Therefore, the absence of the ∊4 allele did not preclude an eventual diagnosis of AD. It remains to be seen whether the excellent PPV mainly found at hospital memory disorder clinic setting would be applicable to other community settings. One could argue that the PPV might actually be higher since the prevalence of AD among all dementia cases is likely to be higher in the community than at a specialized memory disorders clinic where one would expect to see more unusual etiologies of dementia. Regarding sensitivity, there are differences among the studies. Low sensitivity is mostly observed in the patients who are older 16,28,30 or in data obtained from multiple centers. 21
Table 5.
Saunders et al, 15 N = 67a | Tsuang et al, 16 N = 132 a | Welsh-Bohmer et al, 17 N = 162 a | Slooter et al, 30 N = 249 b | Mayeux et al 21 ; McConnell et al, 29 N = 2188 a | Kakulas et al, 28 N = 66 | Smith et al, 31 N = 115 | Current study, N = 89 b | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Frequency of APOE ∊4 | 64% | 50% | 71% | 34% | 69% | 38% | 71% | |
Sensitivity | 75% | 59% | 83% | 32% | 65% | 46% | 78% | 82.5% |
Specificity | 100% | 71% | 83% | 61% | 68% | 100% | 100% | 44% |
PPV | 100% | 83% | 97% | 69% | 90% | 100% | 100% | 77% |
NPV | 42% | 41% | 44% | 31% | 0 | 52.4% | ||
Age at diagnosis, y | 80.7 + 7 | 72 + 10 | 65 ± 9.4 | |||||
Age at death, y | 83 ± 7 | 77.2 ± 7.8 | 83.5 ± 7.3 | 77 ± 10 |
Abbreviations: AD, Alzheimer’s disease; APOE, apolipoprotein E; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value.
a The AD was diagnosed by pathological criteria.
b The AD was diagnosed with clinical criteria.
Limitations of the current study include a relatively small sample size, and the final clinical diagnosis as the outcome rather than the pathological diagnosis. However, a median of 16 months follow-up did allow for the natural progression of the patient’s symptoms to play an important role in assigning a final diagnosis. A high conversion rate to AD (16%-64%) has been observed in several other studies after 1 to 2 years follow-up of patients with MCI. 32 –34
As our samples were obtained from retrospective study, the observers were not blinded to the APOE genotype status. However, the follow-up diagnosis was established in combination with MRI of the brain, laboratory tests, PET scan, and CSF amyloid and tau studies at the discretion of the treating neurologist. Therefore, APOE genotype was not the sole consideration in the final diagnosis, though an important consideration. In general, the follow-up of the natural progression of symptoms was the major factor in determining the final diagnosis. Further prospective studies with larger sample sizes are needed to validate our findings.
In the past, the clinical diagnosis of AD was largely a diagnosis of exclusion. Recently, research has demonstrated that the temporal unfolding of biological markers will likely play an increasingly important role in understanding the pathophysiology of AD. Very likely, biological markers and risk factor genes will be more frequently utilized in the characterization of individual patients in the clinical setting for future available treatment. 35
Acknowledgments
We gratefully acknowledge Laurie Brenner, PhD, for critical reading of manuscript and Ms Christine Lewis for data collection.
Footnotes
The authors declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Funding: The authors received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
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