Abstract
BACKGROUND.
Tools for mortality prediction in patients with the severe hypercholesterolemia phenotype (LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL) are limited and restricted to specific racial/ethnic cohorts. We sought to evaluate the predictors of long-term mortality in a large racial/ethnically diverse US patient cohort with LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL.
METHODS.
We conducted a retrospective analysis of all patients with an LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL seeking care at Montefiore from 2010 through 2020. Patients <18 years of age or with prior malignancy were excluded. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Analyses were stratified by age, sex, and race/ethnicity. Patients were stratified by primary and secondary prevention. Cox-regression analyses were used to adjust for demographic, clinical, and treatment variables.
RESULTS.
A total of 18,740 patients were included (37% non-Hispanic Black, 30% Hispanic, 12% non-Hispanic White and 2% non-Hispanic Asian). The mean age was 53.9 years and median follow-up 5.2 years. Both HDL-C and BMI extremes were associated with higher mortality in univariate analyses. In adjusted models, higher LDL-C and triglyceride levels were associated with an increased 9-year mortality risk (adj-HR 1.08 [1.05–1.11] and 1.04 [1.02–1.06] per 20 mg/dL increase, respectively). Clinical factors associated with higher mortality included male sex (adjHR 1.31 [1.08–1.58]), older age (adjHR 1.19 per 5-year increase [1.15–1.23]), hypertension (adjHR 2.01 [1.57–2.57]), CKD (adjHR 1.68 [1.36–2.09]), diabetes (adjHR 1.79 [1.50–2.15]), heart failure (adjHR 1.51 [1.16–1.95]), myocardial infarction (adjHR 1.41 [1.05–1.90]), and BMI <20 kg/m2 (adjHR 3.36 [2.29–4.93]). A significant survival benefit was conferred by LLT (adj-HR 0.57 [0.42–0.77]). In the primary prevention group, HDL-C <40 mg/dL was independently associated with higher mortality (adj-HR 1.49 [1.06–2.09]). Temporal trend analyses showed a reduction in statin use over time (p<0.001). In the most recent time-period (2019–2020), 56% of patients on primary and 85% of those on secondary prevention were on statin therapy.
CONCLUSIONS.
In a large and diverse cohort of US patients with the severe hypercholesterolemia phenotype, we identified several patient characteristics associated with increased 9-year all-cause mortality and observed a decrease in statin use over time, in particular for primary prevention. Our results support efforts geared towards early recognition and consistent treatment for patients with severe hypercholesterolemia.
Keywords: Severe hypercholesterolemia, lipids, mortality
INTRODUCTION
Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) has long been recognized as a risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Severe hypercholesterolemia is commonly defined as an LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL and is strongly linked to higher rates of incident premature atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). The prevalence of ASCVD has been estimated to be approximately 5% of the United States population1. Multiple guidelines recommend early recognition and initiation of statin therapy for patients with severe hypercholesterolemia but do not recommend further risk stratification within this high-risk group2, mostly due to the lack proven risk stratification strategies in this subgroup of patients. Without appropriate therapy, patients with severe hypercholesterolemia develop ASCVD earlier (10–20 years earlier in men and 20–30 years earlier in women) compared to those with LDL-C <130 mg/dL1. Approximately 2–7% of patients with severe hypercholesterolemia have familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) defining mutations, which portend an even higher risk for earlier and more aggressive ASCVD when compared to those without (11-fold versus 6-fold)3,4, mostly lifelong exposure to high LDL-C levels. Statins represent the foundation of lipid lowering therapies (LLT) and a wealth of data demonstrate that the use of statins decrease ASCVD in patients with severe hypercholesterolemia5. However, emerging evidence from our group and others suggests that ASCVD risk may be heterogeneous as some individuals with LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL develop ASCVD early despite maximal LLT, while others never do, despite marked LDL-C elevation6–9. Indeed, it is plausible that a complex interplay of multiple cardiovascular risk modifiers beyond LDL-C may explain the variability of ASCVD expression in patients with severe hypercholesterolemia10. Understanding the spectrum of risk and independent contributors may allow better treatment strategies.
We therefore sought to evaluate the predictors of long-term mortality in a racial/ethnically diverse US patient cohort with LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL.
METHODS
Study population
The electronic medical records of the Montefiore Health System – Albert Einstein College of Medicine (Bronx, NY), a quaternary large health system, were reviewed to identify all lipid panels measured between January 2010 and December 2020 using Clinical Looking GlassTM (CLG), a quality improvement health care surveillance software, a proprietary query tool which integrates all clinical data throughout the Montefiore Health system. Patients were included in this study if they had at least one measurement of LDL-C level ≥190 mg/dL. In case of multiple measurements of LDL-C level ≥190 mg/dL during the study period, the first occurrence was used to define study entry and baseline status for each patient. Patients were included regardless of their statin use or age. Exclusion criteria were 1) age below 18-year-old and 2) history of cancer (926 patients) and 3) history of nephrotic syndrome (475), hypothyroidism (1,003) or biliary obstruction/cholestasis (389). Baseline demographic, clinical, laboratory data, and outcomes were subsequently retrieved from the electronic medical records system. The study cohort was further stratified according to self-identified race/ethnicity, sex, and age categories. Race and ethnicity were self-identified at the time of initial registration for care. We first identified self-reported Hispanics, and then only among non-Hispanics, we specified race. Being Hispanic is an ethnicity, not a race, but self-reported race among Hispanics is notoriously unreliable11. Thus, we categorized race/ethnicity as Hispanic, non-Hispanic Black (NHB), non-Hispanic White (NHW), non-Hispanic Asian (NHA), and others/declined/unknown/not available as has been reported previously12. Summary socioeconomic score (SES), which relate to the wealth, income, education, and occupation of residents in a census-block group (a proxy for neighborhood), was calculated as previously reported13. The modified DLCN score was calculated as follows: patients were analyzed if male <55 years and female <60 years (excluded those older than these cut offs). Possible FH: LDL-C ≤325 mg alone, LDL-C 190–250 mg/dL + CAD or PAD/Stroke; Probable FH: LDL-C>325 mg/dL alone, LDL-C 251–325 mg/dL+ CAD or PAD/Stroke, or LDL-C 190–250 + both CAD and PAD/Stroke); and Definite FH: LDL-C>325 mg/dL + CAD or PAD/Stroke. % LDL-C variation was defined as the lowest LDL-C reduction attained from the maximum.
The study was approved by our Institutional Review Board (Office of Human Research Affairs at Albert Einstein College of Medicine) and was HIPAA compliant. Informed consent was waived due to the retrospective study design. The data that supports the findings of this study is available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
Study endpoint
The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Patient mortality status was extracted from the electronic medical record through CLG (a system previously known to capture most events with readmissions outside Montefiore occurring rarely (1.9%)14. In addition, in-hospital mortality, deaths occurred elsewhere and notified to our institution were also included through our data mining software.
Statistical analysis
Baseline characteristics are described with mean ± standard deviation (SD) [or medians and 1st to 3rd interquartile ranges (IQRs)] for continuous variables and percentages for categorical variables. Differences among groups were assessed by generating a standardized mean difference, determined to be clinically significant with a value exceeding 0.10. All-cause mortality was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were determined using the Cox proportional hazards regression. Multivariable analyses were performed with adjustment for the following demographic and clinical variables: age, sex, race/ethnicity, socioeconomical status (SES), smoking, alcohol abuse, BMI, hypertension, coronary artery disease (CAD), myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, diabetes, chronic kidney disease (CKD), peripheral artery disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, LDL-C, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), triglycerides, statin. The relationship between baseline continuous variables and risk of 9-year mortality was further explored with Cox proportional hazards regression models by entering each variable as a restricted cubic spline with 3 knots located at the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles. The Cochran-Armitage test was used to assess linear trends in proportions of statin use over time. Interaction terms for were derived from the multivariable Cox Regression model including: age, sex, race, BMI, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, diabetes, COPD, stroke, myocardial infarction, coronary artery disease, heart failure, and lipid lowering therapy. To avoid bias due to complete case analyses, missing data were handled with Multivariate Imputation via Chained Equations using the mice package (v3.13.0; van Buuren & Groothuis-Oudshoorn, 2011). A two-sided p value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Statistics were performed using R, version 4.1.3 (The R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria).
RESULTS
Demographics
As shown in Table 1, a total of 18,740 patients were included (37% non-Hispanic Black (NHB), 30% Hispanic, 12% non-Hispanic White (NHW), and 2% non-Hispanic Asian (NHA)). Median follow-up was 5.2 years (IQR 2.3–8.5 years). Mean age was 53.9 ± 14.7 years and 38.1% were female. Hypertension was present in 47%, diabetes 31%, CKD 20%, smoking 29%, alcohol abuse 4% and CAD 11%, with 4% of patients with prior myocardial infarction. Peripheral artery disease was present in 5.2% and stroke in 4.6%. Mean LDL-C was 212.2 ± 32.6 mg/dL, HDL-C was 54.5 ± 15.5 mg/dL, total cholesterol 298.4 ± 37.5 mg/dL, and triglycerides 158.9 ± 72.5 mg/dL. Median hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) was 6.0% (IQR 5.6–7.2%) and mean creatinine 1.04 ± 0.70 mg/dL. A total of 75.4% of patients were on statin therapy. Statin prescription was less common in primary (71.8%) than in secondary prevention (93.0%). As seen in Table 2, follow-up LDL-C was measured at 4.9 years [2.3–7.9 years]. When latest LDL-C was analyzed, only 6.9% of patients reached LDL-C <70mg/dL while 17.3% and 20.6% reached LDL-C 70–99 and 100–129 mg/dL, respectively. Among 55.3% of patients, the latest LDL-C remained ≥130 mg/dL. Mean LDL-C reduction was −33.11% ± 24.11% in the total cohort.
Table 1.
Baseline Characteristics According to Race/Ethnicity of Patients with LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL.
Overall (n=18740) | Non-Hispanic Black (6952) | Non-Hispanic White (2298) | Non-Hispanic Asian (394) | Hispanic (n=5622) | Other/NA (n=3474) | P value | SMD* | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||
Age (years) | 53.85 ±14.71 | 54.77 ±14.49 | 55.55 ±14.98 | 50.04 ±14.72 | 52.99 ±14.57 | 52.70 ±14.92 | <0.001 | 0.178 |
Female | 7131 (38.1) | 2514 (36.2) | 939 (40.9) | 171 (43.4) | 2035 (36.2) | 1472 (42.4) | <0.001 | 0.085 |
BMI | 30.32 ± 6.37 | 31.49 ± 6.87 | 29.54 ± 6.29 | 27.29 ± 5.15 | 29.92 ± 5.88 | 29.31± 5.77 | <0.001 | 0.302 |
Hypertension | 8772 (46.8) | 3894 (56.0) | 816 (35.5) | 159 (40.4) | 2623 (46.7) | 1280 (36.8) | <0.001 | 0.207 |
Diabetes | 5830 (31.1) | 2554 (36.7) | 452 (19.7) | 110 (27.9) | 1789 (31.8) | 925 (26.6) | <0.001 | 0.177 |
CKD | 3776 (20.1) | 1799 (25.9) | 365 (15.9) | 52 (13.2) | 982 (17.5) | 578 (16.6) | <0.001 | 0.138 |
CAD | 2132 (11.4) | 813 (11.7) | 298 (13.0) | 37 (9.4) | 690 (12.3) | 294 (8.5) | <0.001 | 0.077 |
Prior MI | 830 (4.4) | 302 (4.3) | 112 (4.9) | 14 (3.6) | 276 (4.9) | 126 (3.6) | 0.036 | 0.039 |
Heart Failure | 1265 (6.8) | 589 (8.5) | 145 (6.3) | 18 (4.6) | 347 (6.2) | 166 (4.8) | <0.001 | 0.077 |
PAD | 977 (5.2) | 421 (6.1) | 107 (4.7) | 15 (3.8) | 327 (5.8) | 107 (3.1) | <0.001 | 0.076 |
Stroke | 858 (4.6) | 391 (5.6) | 95 (4.1) | 12 (3.0) | 258 (4.6) | 102 (2.9) | <0.001 | 0.07 |
COPD | 1765 (9.4) | 700 (10.1) | 211 (9.2) | 25 (6.3) | 640 (11.4) | 189 (5.4) | <0.001 | 0.114 |
Smoking | 5425 (29.0) | 2133 (30.8) | 752 (32.8) | 84 (21.3) | 1763 (31.4) | 693 (31.4) | <0.001 | 0.164 |
Alcohol | 768 (4.1) | 312 (4.5) | 92 (4.0) | 10 (2.5) | 262 (4.7) | 92 (2.7) | <0.001 | 0.066 |
SES | −3.00 (2.89) | −3.01 (2.72) | −1.36 (2.80) | −2.49 (2.71) | −3.96 (2.75) | −2.54 (2.91) | <0.001 | 0.411 |
Primary Prevention | 15569 (83.1) | 5671 (81.6) | 1893 (82.4) | 339 (86.0) | 4610 (82.0) | 3056 (88.0) | <0.001 | 0.094 |
Secondary Prevention | 3171 (16.9) | 1281 (18.4) | 405 (17.6) | 55 (14.0) | 1012 (18.0) | 418 (12.0) | <0.001 | 0.094 |
Liver Disease | 398 (2.1) | 137 (2.0) | 42 (1.8) | 5 (1.3) | 149 (2.7) | 65 (1.9) | 0.02 | 0.042 |
Measurements | 4.85 (4.86) | 5.16 (5.05) | 4.42 (4.40) | 4.70 (4.60) | 5.21 (5.11) | 3.96 (4.21) | <0.001 | 0.139 |
Total Cholesterol (mg/dL) | 298.39 ±37.49 | 297.26 ±39.23 | 299.27 ±32.84 | 298.04 ±35.44 | 299.62 ±37.78 | 298.10 ±36.51 | 0.008 | 0.033 |
LDL-C (mg/dL) | 212.20 ± 32.62 | 212.66±34.62 | 211.15±27.27 | 211.89± 29.42 | 212.21 ± 33.01 | 212.01 ± 31.42 | 0.421 | 0.022 |
HDL-C (mg/dL) | 54.46 ±15.54 | 56.52 ±16.21 | 53.67 ±15.66 | 52.63 ±13.85 | 52.75 ±14.51 | 53.82 ±15.39 | <0.001 | 0.115 |
Triglycerides (mg/dL) | 158.87 ±72.48 | 140.64 ±64.82 | 172.39 ±77.31 | 167.69 ±69.27 | 173.61 ±75.32 | 161.54 ±71.45 | <0.001 | 0.218 |
Creatinine (mg/dL) | 1.04 ±0.70 | 1.14±0.84 | 0.97 ±0.52 | 0.96 ±0.55 | 0.98 ±0.62 | 1.00 ±0.61 | <0.001 | 0.113 |
HbA1c (%) | 6.00 [5.60, 7.20] | 6.20 [5.70, 7.60] | 5.80 [5.50, 6.40] | 6.10 [5.70, 7.05] | 6.00 [5.60, 7.20] | 6.00 [5.60, 6.90] | <0.001 | 0.101 |
Systolic BP (mmHg) | 131 [120, 147] | 135 [122, 150] | 130 [119, 143] | 128 [115, 144] | 130 [119, 145] | 131 [120, 145] | <0.001 | 0.153 |
Diastolic BP (mmHg) | 80 [74, 87] | 81 [75, 90] | 80 [73, 85] | 79 [72, 86] | 80 [72, 86] | 80 [74, 87] | <0.001 | 0.125 |
Primary prevention | ||||||||
Statin | 11,182 (71.8) | 4,246 (74.9) | 1,255 (66.3) | 232 (68.4) | 3,493 (75.8) | 1,956 (64.0) | <0.001 | 0.141 |
Ezetimibe | 915 (5.9) | 367 (6.5) | 104 (5.5) | 18 (5.3) | 283 (6.2) | 143 (4.7) | 0.012 | 0.039 |
PCSK9i | 144 (0.9) | 53 (0.9) | 20 (1.1) | 3 (0.9) | 41 (0.9) | 27 (0.9) | 0.974 | 0.008 |
Secondary prevention | ||||||||
Statin | 2,949 (93.0) | 1,204 (94.0) | 358 (88.4) | 53 (96.4) | 957 (94.6) | 377 (90.2) | <0.001 | 0.156 |
Ezetimibe | 473 (14.9) | 203 (15.9) | 53 (13.1) | 5 (9.3) | 165 (16.3) | 47 (11.3) | 0.058 | 0.112 |
PCSK9i | 149 (4.7) | 51 (4.0) | 13 (3.2) | 2 (3.6) | 58 (5.7) | 25 (6.0) | 0.109 | 0.073 |
Data are mean ± SD, median [interquartile range], or n (%).
Average SMD among groups. BMI: Body mass index; CKD: Chronic kidney disease; CAD: Coronary artery disease; MI: Myocardial infarction; PAD: Peripheral artery disease; BP: blood pressure; COPD: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; LDL-C: low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; HDL-C: high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; HbA1c: Hemoglobin A1c; PCSK9i: Proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors; IQR: interquartile range; NA: not available; SES: Summary Socioeconomic Score; SMD: standardized mean difference.
Table 2.
LDL-C at Follow-Up According to Race/Ethnicity.
Overall (n=14917) | Non-Hispanic Black (n=5709) | Non-Hispanic White (n=1762) | Non-Hispanic Asian (n=318) | Hispanic (n=4639) | Other/NA (n=2489) | p value | SMD* | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||
Baseline LDL-C (mg/dL) | 212.20 ± 32.62 | 212.66 ± 34.62 | 211.15 ± 27.27 | 211.89 ± 29.42 | 212.21 ± 33.01 | 212.01 ± 31.42 | 0.421 | 0.022 |
Latest LDL-C (mg/dL) | 140.16 ± 51.96 | 141.56 ± 52.51 | 136.43 ± 48.89 | 135.50 ± 50.33 | 139.01 ± 52.46 | 142.35 ± 51.89 | <0.001 | 0.074 |
LDL-C Variation (%) | −33.11 ± 24.11 | −32.50 ± 24.25 | −34.52 ± 23.25 | −35.32 ± 23.94 | −33.82 ± 24.20 | −31.92 ± 24.15 | <0.001 | 0.074 |
Target LDL-C | 0.002 | 0.086 | ||||||
<70 mg/dL | 13,888 (93.1) | 5,358 (93.9) | 1,640 (93.1) | 292 (91.8) | 4,267 (92.0) | 2,331 (93.7) | 0.003 | 0.044 |
<100 mg/dL | 11,312 (75.8) | 4,387 (76.8) | 1,327 (75.3) | 229 (72.0) | 3,460 (74.6) | 1,909 (76.7) | 0.027 | 0.054 |
<130 mg/dL | 8,244 (55.3) | 3,192 (55.9) | 920 (52.2) | 164 (51.6) | 2,545 (54.9) | 1,423 (57.2) | 0.01 | 0.06 |
≥130 mg/dL | 6,673 (44.7) | 2,517 (44.1) | 842 (47.8) | 154 (48.4) | 2,094 (45.1) | 1,066 (42.8) | 0.01 | 0.06 |
Primary Prevention | ||||||||
LDL-C <100 mg/dL | 9,772 (79.0) | 3,733 (80.2) | 1,149 (78.5) | 201 (73.6) | 2,952 (78.1) | 1,737 (79.1) | 0.024 | 0.068 |
Secondary Prevention | ||||||||
LDL-C <70 mg/dL | 2,186 (85.7) | 920 (87.0) | 253 (84.9) | 38 (84.4) | 719 (83.7) | 256 (87.4) | 0.266 | 0.057 |
Data are n (%).
Average SMD among groups. LDL-C: low-density lipoprotein cholesterol
NA: not available; SMD: standardized mean difference.
Ethnicity/Race differences
Age was significantly different with NHW patients being the oldest (56 years) and NHA patients the youngest (50 years, p<0.001 for both). As shown on Table 1, NHB patients had the highest burden of comorbidities such as hypertension (56.0%), diabetes (36.7%), chronic kidney disease (25.9%), heart failure (8.5%), peripheral artery disease (6.1%), and stroke (5.6%, p<0.001 for all). Statin therapy was more commonly prescribed in NHB (78.4%) and Hispanic (79.2%) compared to NHW (70.2%) and NHA (72.3%) patients (p<0.001). There were no significant differences among racial/ethnic groups in sex or LDL-C levels.
When follow-up LDL-C measurements were analysed, no clinically meaningful differences based on race/ethnicity were found in terms of LDL-C reduction or percentages of patients at several target LDL-C levels (<70 mg/dL, <100 mg/dL, or <130 mg/dL; Table 2, all SMDs <0.10). Statin intensity is shown in Table S1. When the latest statin dose recorded was considered, only 47.5% were on high-intensity statin therapy. The interaction analysis between clinical and biological variables can be seen on Table S2. Stratified sub-analysis by race/ethnicity is shown in Table S3.
Mortality analysis
A total of 842 (8.0%) patients died during the 9-year follow up. Non-Hispanic Black and NHW patients had higher mortality than Hispanic and NHA patients (9.3% vs. 8.5% vs. 6.9% vs. 6.1%, respectively, p=0.0004; Figure 1A). No difference in mortality was observed between male and female patients (8.0% vs. 7.9%, respectively, p=0.82; Figure 1B). As a continuous variable, higher LDL-C levels were found to be associated with increasing risk of 9-year mortality (Figure 2A). On the contrary, a U-shaped curve was observed for HDL-C with low or significantly elevated levels carrying a higher mortality risk and the lowest mortality was identified between 45 and 80 mg/dL (Figure 2B). Similar findings were observed for BMI that correlated with higher mortality with values outside the 27–40 kg/m2 range (Figure 2C). Older age was associated with increasing 9-year mortality risk, with significant differences in the mortality rates of patients <60 years versus ≥60 years (4.5% vs. 14.5%, p<0.0001; Figure S1).
Figure 1. Kaplan-Meier curves for 9-year mortality stratified by race-ethnicity (A) and sex (B).
Figure 2. Restricted spline curves for 9-year mortality according to LDL-C (A), HDL-C (B), and BMI (C).
BMI: body-mass index; HDL-C: high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; LDL-C: low-density lipoprotein cholesterol.
After adjustment for abovementioned demographic and clinical variables, an increased risk of 9-year mortality was observed for male individuals (adj-HR 1.31 [1.09–1.58]) and low BMI (adj-HR 3.36 [2.29–4.93]), Figure 3. No significant amounts of missing data were found, with the exception of the BMI (Table S4). The Multivariable Cox Regression analysis for 9-year all-cause death was performed excluding BMI from the predictor variables (Table S5). The observed results were in line with the primary analysis. The Multivariable Cox Regression analysis for 9-year all-cause death after multiple imputations showed similar findings compared to the main analysis, Table S6.
Figure 3. Forest plot of multivariable cox regression analysis for 9-year all-cause death.
BMI= body-mass index; NHW= non-Hispanic White; COPD= chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; LDL-C= low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; HDL-C= high-density lipoprotein cholesterol.
Compared to NHW ethnicity/race, no difference in mortality was found for NHB and NHA individuals, while a lower risk was observed in the Hispanic patients (adj-HR 0.73 [0.55–0.96]). Higher LDL-C levels were independently associated with higher mortality (adj-HR 1.08 [1.05–1.11] per 20 mg/dL increase), with a significant survival benefit conferred by lipid lowering therapy (adj-HR 0.50 [0.37–0.68]).
When the same adjustments were applied for primary prevention patients (Figure S2), similar associations were found with a particular association with increased mortality for low HDL-C (adj-HR 1.49 [1.06–2.09]).
When a modified DLCN criteria was applied, patients meeting possible, probable and definite FH had graded higher mortality for each (Figure 4). When those with at least two LDL-C measures were analyzed, mortality between those with persistent LDL-C≥190 mg/dL versus improved, did not differ (Figure S3, p=0.24).
Figure 4. Time-trend analysis on statin use stratified by primary and secondary prevention.
Temporal trend analyses showed a reduction in statin use over time in both primary and secondary cardiovascular prevention (overall X2 p <0.001, Cochran-Armitage p <0.001), Figure 3. In the most recent time-period (2019–2020), 56% of patients on primary prevention and 85% of those on secondary prevention were on statin therapy. Moreover, most of the ezetimibe and PCSK9i prescriptions occurred in the latest time-period (Figure S4).
DISCUSSION
Our study represents a large cohort studying risk factors for mortality in patients with LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL. In particular, our cohort is racially/ethnically diverse with a high percentage of usually underrepresented racial/ethnic minorities (37% NHB and 30% Hispanic). Our study has several important findings. First, we demonstrated the heterogeneity of mortality risk in patients with LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL. Secondly, we confirmed undertreatment of patients with severe hypercholesterolemia. In our cohort, 25% of patients were not prescribed statin therapy (28% in primary and 7% in secondary prevention and over half of patients (55.3%) latest LDL-C remained ≥130 mg/dL. Thirdly, we demonstrated that higher LDL-C levels, triglycerides, significantly low HDL-C, older age at diagnosis, male sex, hypertension, diabetes, heart failure, myocardial infarction and lower BMI were independently associated with increased mortality risk while LLT use decreased the risk. Lastly, temporal trend analysis showed a reduction in statin use over time in both primary and secondary cardiovascular prevention.
Even though it is well accepted that LDL-C is a key player for lifetime risk for incident ASCVD, that patients with LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL have significantly higher risk and more premature development of ASCVD, and that statin therapy is widely available and inexpensive, a significant number of patients (28% for primary prevention in our study) do not receive a prescription for a statin. While this treatment gap has been well described in the literature, it remains alarming. Jackson et al studied 227 patients with LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL in Texas and found that only 21% were on statin at diagnosis and despite 90% having a follow-up visit, 41% had no change in treatment and only 13% were referred for specialist care15. Virani et al, using data from the American College of Cardiology National Cardiovascular Data Registry-Practice Innovation and Clinical Excellence registry, studied the use of LLT in 49,447 patients with LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL 16. The authors found the proportion of patients receiving a statin, high-intensity statin, LLT associated with ≥50% LDL-C reduction, ezetimibe, or PCSK9 inhibitor were 58.5%, 31.9%, 34.6%, 8.5%, and 1.5%, respectively. Moreover, they found >200% variation in receipt of several of these medications for patients across practices.
Whilst focused on FH, newer machine learning algorithms are being developed in an attempt to improve detection and treatment void17–19. A study in the UK described an electronic health record audit tool that identified patients with diagnosed FH or possible FH, and flagged those with an LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL for further assessment19. Another study, using the FIND FH, machine learning model, identified potential FH patients with good precision (AUC 0.89) in a large database of over 170 million patients20. Our study highlights the importance and imperative for new tools to improve statin prescription and LDL-C goal achievement.
For patients recognized as requiring statin therapy, only 7% and 21% reached LDL-C <70 and <100 mg/dL, respectively. With the current availability of new LLT, there are multiple pharmacological tools to reach current LDL-C goals for primary and secondary prevention. Despite this, a large number of patients fail to achieve their LDL-C goal, mostly due to insufficient prescribing of statin and non-statin therapies, poor adherence and medication discontinuation. Underserved populations such as Hispanic and NHB patients have a high prevalence of dyslipidemia, hypertension, and diabetes, placing them at particularly high risk for recurrent ASCVD. The proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors reduce LDL-C approximately 60% on top of baseline statin therapy and improve cardiovascular outcomes in those with established ASCVD21,22. Even though they are widely covered by insurance companies with usually low co-pays, they are still highly underutilized. In a database of 139,036 healthcare claims, Hispanic patients represented only 3% and NHB 7% of claims, suggesting a large gap of care in ethnic minorities.
We also found for the first time that HDL-C levels had a U-shaped correlation with mortality with the lowest risk between 45 and 80 mg/dL and higher mortality for those with HDL-C <40 or >80 mg/dL, however only low HDL-C remained independently associated with mortality in the multivariable analysis. Even though others have shown similar findings in different populations, it has not previously been described in patients with severe hypercholesterolemia 20,23,24. The relationship between HDL-C and mortality remains complex, in particular at extreme LDL-C levels with possible interactions between LDL-C and HDL-C and other comorbidities such as alcohol abuse creating competing risks. The U-shaped correlation of HDL-C with mortality in patients with LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL has not been previously reported.
Moreover, we observed that compared to NHW patients, Hispanic patients had lower mortality. While this phenomenon has not been previously described in patients with LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL, it has been observed in other cohorts and labeled as the Hispanic paradox. Moreover, this finding persisted after adjusting for comorbidities and socioeconomical status. Epidemiological studies have demonstrated that Hispanic Americans tend to have better outcomes than their non-Hispanic counterparts with as much as 17.5% lower mortality rate25,26. Although the mechanisms are unknown, several risk and resilience factors may play a role and deserve further investigation.
In addition, we found a U-shaped correlation between BMI and mortality, with increasing risk for lower and higher values. This goes together with prior findings that despite its numerous deleterious effects on health, several studies have documented an obesity paradox in which overweight and obese people have better prognosis when compared to nonoverweight/nonobese counterparts27.
Last, we demonstrated a worrisome decrease in statin utilization over time with worse impact on primary prevention. Despite significant improvements in detection of severe hypercholesterolemia over time in mostly White populations, there are known significant gaps between different ethnicities and socioeconomic groups28,29. The undertreatment of patients with severe hypercholesterolemia is likely multifactorial in origin, including a lack of proper insurance and access to primary care providers (PCPs), low rates of routine screening by PCPs, a lack of consensus on screening recommendations, insufficient emphasis on LDL-C as a quality-measure4,30,31, lack of recognition of severe hypercholesterolemia as high-risk and hesitance to start treatment in asymptomatic individuals. Analysis of real-world data is essential to recognize these gaps and underscores the need for elucidating specific barriers preventing achievement of proper recognition and treatment across different racial and ethnic subgroups in this population32.
Our study has several limitations. First, given its retrospective design, LDL-C testing post statin initiation was not uniform. The lack of consistent testing precluded us from performing a reliable time dependent covariate analysis. Moreover, we had no data on patient compliance, this however represents a common scenario in ‘real-world’ practice. Second, we cannot exclude unmeasured confounders that could contribute to mortality in our patient cohort. Third, despite having a large and diverse patient population, our patients represent a cohort from a single large healthcare network. Large registries studying patients with severe hypercholesterolemia, including different regions and countries are needed. Fourth, there were more than 3,000 patients whose race/ethnicity was categorized as ‘other’ or ‘not available’, this is however a small number of the overall population. Fifth, all the covariates were included in the multivariable models as baseline factors, with no time-dependent effect. The latter was not analyzed due to the limited amount of data on changes in medications/lipid measurements during follow-up. This precluded us from performing time-dependent covariate analyses. Lastly, while we did our best to account for all of the known confounders, there is a possibility of unmeasured or unobserved confounding due to retrospective study design.
CONCLUSION
In a large and diverse cohort of US patients with the severe hypercholesterolemia phenotype, we identified several patient characteristics associated with increased 9-year all-cause mortality: male sex, older age, hypertension, CKD, diabetes, heart failure, myocardial infarction, and BMI <20. Higher LDL-C levels and triglycerides were associated with higher mortality with a significant survival benefit conferred by LLT therapy and Hispanic ethnicity. In the primary prevention group, low HDL-C was independently associated with higher mortality. Lastly, temporal trend analyses showed a reduction in statin use over time in both primary and secondary cardiovascular prevention. Our results support efforts geared towards early recognition and consistent treatment for patients with severe hypercholesterolemia.
Supplementary Material
Figure 5. Kaplan-Meier curves for 9-year mortality stratified by modified DLCN score.
FH = familial hypercholesterolemia.
CLINICAL PERSPECTIVE.
What is new?
We found heterogeneity of mortality risk in patients with LDL-C ≥190 mg/dL. Patients with severe hypercholesterolemia were undertreated. In our cohort, 25% of patients were not prescribed statin therapy (28% in primary and 7% in secondary prevention) and over half of patients (55.3%) latest LDL-C remained ≥130 mg/dL.
We demonstrated that higher LDL-C levels, triglycerides, significantly low HDL-C, older age at diagnosis, male sex, hypertension, diabetes, heart failure, myocardial infarction and lower BMI were independently associated with increased mortality risk while LLT use decreased the risk. Patients with probable and definite FH had higher mortality when compared to those with possible FH.
Temporal trend analysis showed a reduction in statin use over time in both primary and secondary cardiovascular prevention.
Lipid lowering therapy show significant mortality risk reduction (HR 0.50 [0.37–0.58]).
What are the clinical implications?
Our results support efforts geared towards early recognition and consistent treatment for patients with severe hypercholesterolemia.
Treatment of comorbidities associated with all-cause mortality in patients with severe hypercholesterolemia should be prioritized.
Funding
Francesco Castagna is supported by a grant from the National Institute for Health (T32HL144456) and by the National Center for Advancing Translational Science (NCATS) Clinical and Translational Science Award at Einstein-Montefiore (UL1TR001073). Leandro Slipczuk is supported by grants from Amgen and Philips.
Abbreviations:
- ASCVD
Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease
- HDL-C
High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol
- LDL-C
Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol
- NHA
Non-Hispanic Asian
- NHB
Non-Hispanic Black
- NHW
Non-Hispanic White
- US
United States
- CAD
Coronary artery disease
- CKD
Chronic kidney disease
Footnotes
Disclosures:
LS has received consulting honoraria from Philips and Amgen for lectures; participated in an advisory board meeting from BMS; and received Grant support from Amgen and Philips (Institutional). He has also participated as site PI for the Victorian-INITIATE trial.
PHJ reports grant support from Amgen, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, and NASA.
MDS has served on scientific advisory boards for Amgen, Ionis, Novartis, and Precision Biosciences and served as consultant for Ionis, Novartis, Regeneron and Emendo Biotherapeutics.
SV is supported by grants from the Department of Veterans Affairs, the National Institute of Health, the Tahir and Jooma Family, and has received Honoraria from the American College of Cardiology (Associate Editor for Innovations, ACC.org).
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