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. 2024 Mar 1;132(3):037001. doi: 10.1289/EHP13071

Exposure to Neighborhood Greenness and Hypertension Incidence in Adults: A Longitudinal Cohort Study in Taiwan

Yi Qian Zeng 1, Ka Chun Chong 1,2,, Ly-yun Chang 3, Xue Liang 1, Li-Hao Guo 4, Guanghui Dong 4, Tony Tam 5, Xiang Qian Lao 6,7,
PMCID: PMC10906659  PMID: 38427031

Abstract

Background:

There are few studies on the health effects of long-term exposure to neighborhood greenness in a longitudinal setting, especially in Asian countries with high population densities.

Objectives:

This study investigates the association between long-term exposure to neighborhood greenness and hypertension among adults in Taiwan.

Methods:

We selected 125,537 participants (18 years of age) without hypertension from Taiwan who had joined the standard medical examination program between 2001 and 2016. Neighborhood greenness was estimated using the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), derived from satellite images at a resolution of 250m2. The 2-y average NDVI value within a 500-m circular buffer around participants’ residences was calculated. A time-varying Cox regression model was used to investigate the association between neighborhood greenness and incident hypertension. Mediation analyses were performed to examine whether the association was explained by air pollution, leisure-time physical exercise, or body mass index (BMI).

Results:

Compared with living in areas within the first quartile of neighborhood greenness, living in areas within the second, third, and fourth quartiles of neighborhood greenness was found to be associated with a lower risk of hypertension, with hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of 0.95 (95% CI: 0.91, 1.00), 0.95 (95% CI: 0.90, 0.99), and 0.93 (95% CI: 0.88, 0.97), respectively. Each 0.1-unit increase in the NDVI was associated with a 24% lower risk of developing hypertension (HR=0.76; 95% CI: 0.66, 0.87), with this associations being stronger among males and those with higher education levels. This association was slightly mediated by BMI but not by air pollution or leisure-time physical exercise.

Discussion:

Our findings suggest the protective effects of neighborhood greenness on hypertension development, especially in males and well-educated individuals. Our results reinforced the importance of neighborhood greenness for supporting health. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13071

Introduction

Hypertension is one of the leading risk factors for cardiovascular diseases and premature deaths worldwide. It is estimated that high systolic blood pressure (SBP) contributed to 10.4 million deaths (30.4% of total deaths) in the world in 2017.1 Moreover, in 2019, the number of people 30–79 years of age living with hypertension was 1.28 billion, twice the number in 1990.2 One of the World Health Organization’s global targets for noncommunicable diseases is to reduce the prevalence of hypertension by 33% by 2030.3

Neighborhood greenness is increasingly recognized as a modifiable environmental factor, and as an important element of the urban environment.4 Previous studies found that exposure to greenness may lower the prevalence of hypertension.510 However, most studies have relied on cross-sectional data, which cannot capture changes in exposure to greenness and covariates over time. In addition, few cohort studies have investigated the associations of exposure to greenness with hypertension, especially in Asian countries. Two cohort studies conducted in European countries failed to detect a significant negative association between exposure to greenness and hypertension.11,12 By contrast, a cohort study in Australia reported a negative association between tree canopy and hypertension.13 Similarly, a cohort study conducted in China found an inverse association between greenness exposure and hypertension, but it focused on people >80 years of age.14

It has been hypothesized that exposure to greenness may benefit population health by reducing exposure to air pollution and noise, by promoting engagement in physical exercise (PE) and increasing social interaction, and by decreasing psychological stress and depression.4 However, a limited number of studies have investigated the underlying pathways linking exposure to greenness with hypertension, and their results are inconsistent. Specifically, a few studies, conducted mainly among adults, have explored the mediating effects of exposure to air pollution,9,10,14,15 engagement in PE,9,14,16 and body mass index (BMI)6,9,14,15,17 on the association between exposure to greenness and hypertension. However, although some of these studies have found that one or two of these variables partially mediated the association between exposure to greenness and hypertension,6,9,10,14,16 the other studies did not find evidence that any of these variables mediate this association.15,17 Furthermore, although some studies found the beneficial effects of greenness on hypertension, the directions of mediating effects of air pollution on the association between greenness and hypertension were inconsistent. Zhou found the indirect effects of greenness exposure mediated through air pollution were associated with an increased risk of hypertension,14 whereas Yang reported decreasing SBP associated with greenness exposure mediated through air pollution.9

The primary aim of the present study was to investigate the association between long-term exposure to neighborhood greenness and hypertension based on a Taiwanese cohort. The second aim was to assess whether the association was mediated by exposure to air pollution, leisure-time PE, or BMI.

Methods

Study Design and Population

The participants were selected from an ongoing cohort in Taiwan. The cohort profile has been documented in our previous publications.18,19 As previously described, the Mei Jau (MJ) Health Management Institution, a private fee-for-service company, established the cohort.20 In brief, this institution offers a comprehensive standard health screening program. Participants, from various parts of Taiwan, paid a membership fee and an additional charge for health examinations since 1994.20 These participants generally had a higher level of education compared with the average Taiwanese population. In addition, the MJ Health Management Institution also provided services to individuals whose screenings were financed by various companies. Participants were encouraged to visit the clinical center periodically for a series of medical examinations and to complete a standard self-administered questionnaire. By 2016, 600,000 Taiwan residents had been recruited into the program and 44% had visited the clinical center at least twice. Each participant signed an informed consent form prior to each medical visit, authorizing the MJ Health Management Institution to release the data for research purposes. In addition, ethical approval for this study was obtained from the Joint Chinese University of Hong Kong–New Territories East Cluster Clinical Research Ethics Committee.

Figure 1 shows the procedure for participant selection. We targeted 442,782 participants 18 years of age who had joined the program from 2001 to 2016, given that satellite data were available for greenness and air pollution assessments during this period. We excluded 106,654 participants because of incomplete information (33,313 lacked information on greenness exposure owing to having no listed address or living near water [i.e., people living within the 500-m radius buffer, including some pixels of NDVI value <0 were excluded), 3,736 lacked blood pressure measurements, and 69,605 lacked information on covariates, including demographics, socioeconomic status, lifestyle factors, anthropometric measurements, blood tests, medical history, and particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5μm (PM2.5) exposure]. We further excluded 10 participants who exhibited outlier blood pressure values [i.e., SBP250 mmHg or diastolic blood pressure (DBP)150 mmHg, or SBPDBP]; 190,169 participants who had undergone only one medical examination; and 20,412 participants who had hypertension at baseline (i.e., SBP140mmHg, DBP90mmHg, or self-reported physician-diagnosed hypertension). Finally, a total of 125,537 participants with 442,435 medical measurements were selected for the data analysis.

Figure 1.

Figure 1 is a flowchart with two steps. Step 1: There were 442,782 participants aged 18 years old or older from 2001 to 2016, excluding 106,654 participants with incomplete information that included 33,313 participants without greenness exposure measurements, 3,736 participants without blood pressure measurements, and 69,605 participants without covariate measurements. After exclusion, there were 336,128 participants with 727,544 medical examinations. Step 2: There were 336,128 participants with 727,544 medical examinations, excluding 210,591 participants that include 10 participants with outlier blood pressure values, 190,169 participants who underwent only one medical examination, and 20,412 participants who had hypertension at baseline. After exclusion, there were 125,537 participants with 442,435 medical examinations included in the study.

Flow chart of participant selection for a study on neighborhood greenness and incident hypertension in Taiwanese adults.

Compared with the 125,537 participants included in the data analysis, the 317,245 excluded participants exhibited similar distributions for most characteristics, except that they were slightly older (40.60 vs. 37.33) and slightly less educated (college or above: 60.32% vs. 70.58%) (Table 1).

Table 1.

Comparison of baseline characteristics of the included and excluded participants from Taiwan (included, N=125,537; excluded, N=317,245).

Characteristic Included participants
(N=125,537)a
Excluded participants
(N=317,245)b
Age [y (mean±SD)] 37.33±10.63 40.60±13.75
Sex [n (%)]
 Male 61,076 (48.65) 152,278 (48.00)
 Female 64,461 (51.35) 164,967 (52.00)
Education [n (%)]
 Lower than high school 11,992 (9.55) 57,471 (19.30)
 High school 24,939 (19.87) 60,651 (20.37)
 College or university 71,882 (57.26) 146,628 (49.25)
 Postgraduate 16,724 (13.32) 32,971 (11.07)
Marital status [n (%)]
 Unmarried 40,172 (32.00) 79,813 (32.14)
 Married or remarried or cohabiting 79,916 (63.66) 150,214 (60.49)
 Divorced 2,978 (2.37) 7,742 (3.12)
 Widowed 2,471 (1.97) 10,554 (4.25)
Smoking status [n (%)]
 Never 94,743 (75.47) 212,539 (73.08)
 Former 6,418 (5.11) 17,581 (6.05)
 Current 24,376 (19.42) 60,695 (20.87)
Alcohol consumption [n (%)]
 Seldom 109,103 (86.91) 239,776 (85.06)
 Occasional 11,588 (9.23) 27,094 (9.61)
 Regular 4,846 (3.86) 15,019 (5.33)
Physical labor at work [n (%)]
 Sedentary jobs 81,911 (65.25) 174,169 (61.11)
 Jobs that are approximately half sedentary and half standing/walking 32,217 (25.66) 75,972 (26.66)
 Jobs that mostly involve walking and standing 9,348 (7.45) 27,875 (9.78)
 Jobs that involve vigorous physical activity 2,061 (1.62) 6,977 (2.45)
Vegetable intake [n (%)]
 Seldom 16,954 (13.51) 43,731 (14.88)
 Moderate 75,191 (59.90) 171,304 (58.30)
 Frequent 33,392 (26.60) 78,813 (26.82)
Fruit intake [n (%)]
 Seldom 41,038 (32.69) 105,034 (35.75)
 Moderate 68,882 (54.87) 155,632 (52.98)
 Frequent 15,617 (12.44) 33,108 (11.27)
Occupational exposure [n (%)]c
 Yes 10,447 (8.32) 23,922 (7.64)
 No 115,090 (91.68) 293,323 (92.46)
BMI [kg/m2 (mean±SD)] 22.56±3.36 23.26±3.86
NDVI500 d 0.28 (0.15) 0.28 (0.15)
PM2.5 [μg/m3 (mean±SD)] 26.48±7.55 26.15±8.05
Season [n (%)]
 Spring 31,443 (25.05) 80,127 (25.26)
 Summer 35,065 (27.93) 89,209 (28.12)
 Fall 33,570 (26.74) 82,879 (26.12)
 Winter 25,459 (20.28) 65,030 (20.50)

Note: Values are presented as means±SDs for continuous variables with normal distributions and as counts (%) for categorical variables. BMI, body mass index; IQR, interquartile range; NDVI, normalized difference vegetation index; PM2.5, particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5μm; SD, standard deviation.

a

Baseline characteristics of the 125,537 participants included in the study. Data are complete for all variables for the included participants.

b

Baseline characteristics of the 317,245 participants excluded in the study. Statistics are based on valid observations for the excluded participants (missing cases are not counted).

c

Classified as exposure to dust or organic solvents in the workplace; this was established by asking, “Are there any occupational hazards in your workplace?”

d

Refers to the average NDVI values within a 500-m buffer in the year of the visit and in the year before the visit. Each value is presented as a median (IQR) owing to the skewed distribution.

Neighborhood Greenness Assessment

Neighborhood greenness was estimated using a satellite image-based vegetation index—the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). The NDVI is calculated based on the difference in spectral reflectance and absorption of leaves in two light bands (i.e., leaves strongly reflect near infrared light, and they strongly absorb visible red light for use in photosynthesis). In theory, the valid range of the NDVI is from 1 to +1; negative values indicate the presence of freestanding water, clouds, or snow; values around 0 indicate barren areas (i.e., rocks, sand, or buildings); and positive values indicate grassland or bushland, with higher positive values indicating densely vegetated areas. We restricted our data to values >0 to differentiate the effects of greenness from the potential effects of living near water.

Satellite images containing layers of NDVI were obtained from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer Vegetation Index products (version 6; MODIS VI), which were available across Taiwan at 16-d intervals at a spatial resolution of 250m.21 The current MODIS VI product was validated and the accuracy of the NDVI is within ±0.025 units.22 The valid range for the NDVI from the products is 2,000 to +10,000 units with a scale factor of 0.0001, and an NDVI value of 3,000 indicates a missing value.21 Each satellite image also contains a summary quality layer with a valid range from 0 to 3 to indicate the pixel reliability. A pixel with a reliability index of 2 or 3 was regarded as a missing value because such values indicate that the target in the pixel is covered by snow, ice, or cloud, which may affect the NDVI value.21 We therefore used pixels with a reliability index of 0 or 1 to fill the missing values through the spatiotemporal prediction method in the R package gapfill.23

The address of each participant was geocoded into latitude and longitude data, which were transferred as spatial points into the satellite images. The 16-d interval NDVI estimates were aggregated as annual average values. The annual mean NDVI value within a circular buffer with a 500-m radius around each spatial point was calculated and regarded as the indicator of neighborhood greenness.9,24 Participants reported their address during each medical visit, thus any change of address was recorded. If the participant’s address was updated in a follow-up medical visit, the NDVI value at the new address since the follow-up time point was applied in the data analysis. A 2-y average NDVI value (i.e., the average annual NDVI value for the year of the medical examination and the previous year) was assigned to each address and served as the indicator of long-term exposure to neighborhood greenness. Both continuous and categorical NDVI values (i.e., those in the <25th, 25th to 50th, 50th to 75th, and 75th percentile of the NDVI distribution) were used for data analysis.

Potential Mediators

Previous studies have reported the association of air pollution,25,26 PE,27,28 and obesity2931 with greenness and hypertension. Further, it has been hypothesized that the benefits of exposure to greenness may be mediated by reducing exposure to air pollution, as well as reducing obesity levels and improving PE.4 Therefore, the mediating effects of exposure to PM2.5, leisure-time PE, and BMI were examined in the analysis.6,9,14

The details of the PM2.5 assessment have been described in our previous studies.32,33 In brief, we estimated ambient PM2.5 exposure at each participant’s residence using a spatiotemporal model. This model integrates satellite-based atmospheric optical depth (AOD) data, collected at a fine spatial resolution of 1km, with meteorological information such as visibility and relative humidity.32,33 The AOD data, essential for our model, was sourced from the MODIS on board satellites of the US National Aeronautics and Space Administration.32,33 The data sample size for AOD, 300, aligns with the global average level.34 To mitigate the challenges of missing data and temporal constraints, we applied a correction factor derived from terrestrial observations.35 This model was previously validated by comparing estimated PM2.5 exposures with monitoring data from >70 ground-level air-pollution monitoring stations across Taiwan,18 revealing that the correlation coefficients between two measurements ranged from 0.72 to 0.83.18 A 2-y average PM2.5 concentration was assigned to each participant’s address as their exposure to ambient PM2.5. This was calculated by taking the average of the annual PM2.5 concentrations for the medical examination year and the previous year.

Details regarding the assessment of PE have been described elsewhere.26,36,37 PE was estimated using a standard self-administrated questionnaire. The participants reported the intensity level of weekly leisure-time PE they had performed in the previous month, with the following intensity levels: light (e.g., walking), moderate (e.g., brisk walking), moderately vigorous (e.g., jogging), and highly vigorous (e.g., rope skipping). These intensity levels were assigned a specific metabolic equivalent of task (MET; 1 MET=1 kcal per hour per kilogram of body weight) value: 2.5 (light), 4.5 (moderate), 6.5 (moderately vigorous), or 8.5 (highly vigorous).36,37 Participants also reported the duration of weekly exercise. If they had engaged in more than one intensity level of exercise, they were assigned a weighted MET that was based on the duration of each intensity level of exercise they had engaged in. The weekly exercise volume (MET-h) of each participant was calculated as the product of intensity level (MET) and duration (hours) of exercise. The participants were classified into two groups for data analysis based on the median weekly exercise volume: inactive (<3.75) and moderate/high (3.75 MET-h).

The weight and height of each participant were measured by trained staff using an auto-anthropometer (KN-5000A, Nakamura). BMI was calculated as the weight (in kilograms) divided by the square of the height (in meters).

Outcome Ascertainment

A total of 125,537 participants without hypertension at baseline were followed up, and the incident hypertension was identified in accompanying medical examinations when the participants visited the clinical center. Incident hypertension was defined as an SBP140mmHg, DBP90mmHg, or self-reported physician-diagnosed hypertension.38 The participants’ SBP and DBP were measured using a computerized auto-mercury sphygmomanometer (Citizen CH-5000) in the morning and after they had been seated at rest for 10 min. The right-arm blood pressure was measured (or the left-arm blood pressure was measured if the right arm was unavailable). If participants exhibited an SBP140 mmHg or DBP90 mmHg, a second measurement was taken 10 min later and the information from the second measurement was used for the data analysis. In addition, participants were required to answer the question: “Have you ever been diagnosed with hypertension?” on the standard self-administered questionnaire survey when they visited the clinical center. If a participant reported having been diagnosed with hypertension but their measured blood pressure was not consistent with the self-reported hypertension status, the self-reported physician-diagnosed hypertension was used. The end point was defined as the first identification of hypertension during subsequent medical examination visits or the final visit if hypertension did not occur over the study period.

Covariates

The details on data collection and quality-control measures have been described in the Technical Reports of the MJ Health Research Foundation20,39 and previous studies.18,19 An overnight fasting blood sample was taken in the morning for a series of laboratory tests. The plasma glucose and lipid profiles were enzymatically determined using a Hitachi 7150 Automated Biochemical Analyzer (before 2005) or Toshiba C8000 Automated Biochemical Analyzer (after 2005). In addition, data regarding the participants’ demographic characteristics, behavioral and lifestyle factors, and medical history were collected through a standard self-administered questionnaire.9,13,14

We included the following covariates in our data analyses: age (years); sex (male or female); education status [lower than high school (<10y), high school (10–12 y), college or university (13–16 y) or postgraduate (>16y)]; marital status [unmarried, married (including remarried or cohabiting), divorced, or widowed]; smoking status [never, ever (smoked at least once but quit later), or current (more than once a week)]; alcohol consumption [seldom (<once/wk), occasional (1–3 times/wk), or regular (>3 times/wk)]; vegetable intake [seldom (<1 serving/d), moderate (1–2 servings/d), or frequent (>2 servings/d)]; fruit intake [seldom (<1 serving/d), moderate (1–2 servings/d), or frequent (>2 servings/d)]; occupational exposure to dust or solvent in the workplace (yes or no); physical labor at work [sedentary jobs (e.g., clerk), jobs that are approximately half sedentary and half standing/walking (e.g., nurse), jobs that mostly involve walking and standing (e.g., retail salesperson), or jobs that involve vigorous physical activity (e.g., porter)], diabetes (defined as fasting blood glucose concentration 126mg/dL or self-reported physician-diagnosed diabetes); dyslipidemia (a total cholesterol concentration 240mg/dL, a triglyceride concentration 200mg/dL, or a high-density lipoprotein–cholesterol concentration <40mg/dL); self-reported cardiovascular disease, including stroke (yes or no); any self-reported form of cancer (yes or no); season of medical examination [spring (March–May), summer (June–August), fall (September–November), winter (December–February)]; and calendar year of baseline visit.

Data Analysis

A time-varying Cox regression model was fitted to investigate the association between neighborhood greenness (i.e., NDVI) and incident hypertension. The follow-up time was used as the timescale in the model. All of the variables (except for sex and baseline year) were treated as time-varying variables in the model to account for the changes in these variables during the study period. In addition to a crude model (without any adjustment), three models were developed by gradually adding the aforementioned covariates to investigate the main effects of neighborhood greenness: a) model 1, which was adjusted for age, sex, marital status, and education level; b) model 2, which was adjusted for the covariates in model 1 and for smoking status, alcohol consumption, vegetable intake, fruit intake, occupational exposure, physical labor at work, season, and calendar year at baseline visit; and c) model 3 (the main model), which was adjusted for the covariates in model 2 and for diabetes, dyslipidemia, self-reported cardiovascular disease, and self-reported cancer. Three potential mediators (i.e., PM2.5, leisure-time PE, and BMI) were also included in the main model to explore whether the association was affected by the potential mediators. A trend test was performed across NDVI categories, with the corresponding category treated as a numeric variable (coded as 1 to 4). Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the NDVI were estimated for every 0.1-unit increase in NDVI value or using the first quartile of the NDVI values as the reference. The natural cubic spline function was used to evaluate the shape of the concentration–response relationship between continuous NDVI values and incident hypertension. We used the likelihood ratio test to detect the linearity by comparing the model with the linear term to the model with the linear and the cubic spline terms. We also checked collinearity by calculating correlations among the NDVI and covariates using Spearman correlation coefficients.

Subgroup analyses were further conducted to investigate whether the association was modified by age (<65 vs. 65y), sex (male vs. female), education level (<high school vs. high school or above), smoking status (never vs. ever/current), alcohol consumption (seldom vs. occasional/regular), BMI (<25 vs. 25kg/m2), leisure-time PE [inactive (<3.75) vs. moderate/high (3.75 MET-h)], and PM2.5 [<23.7 (median) vs. 23.7μg/m3]. Each potential modifier was examined in a separate model by adding a multiplicative interaction term (i.e., potential modifier×NDVI value).

A causal mediation analysis was performed to examine whether the potential mediators (PM2.5, leisure-time PE, or BMI) mediate the effect of neighborhood greenness on hypertension, whereas the exposure, covariates and the mediator at baseline were selected for data analysis. To start the casual mediation analysis, first, for each potential mediator, we fitted the following two models40: a) outcome regression: a Cox model was fitted for the association of exposure to greenness with hypertension adjusted for the potential mediator; and b) mediator regression: a linear regression model was fitted for the association of exposure to greenness with a continuous mediator (PM2.5 or BMI) or a logistic regression model for the association of exposure to greenness with a binary mediator (leisure-time PE). Both models were adjusted for the covariates included in the main model. Second, we obtained the estimates of total effect (TE), natural direct effect (NDE), natural indirect effect (NIE), and the proportion mediated (i.e., the extent of the association mediated by that specific mediator) by direct counterfactual imputation estimation41 using the above models, and 95% CIs were estimated by Bootstrap with 5,000 repetitions.42 The causal mediation analysis was conducted using R package CMAverse.40

A series of sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness and stability of the association between neighborhood greenness and hypertension. This involved a) using the 2-y average of NDVI values within a circular buffer of 250m and a 1,000-m radius around each spatial point as the indicators of neighborhood greenness9,24; b) using the seasonal average of NDVI values rather than the annual mean of NDVI values as the indicator of exposure to neighborhood greenness to reflect the short-term exposure to greenness; c) excluding participants who had changed their address during follow-up; d) using the annual NDVI value of the year prior to the year of medical examination to investigate whether variation in time windows may affect our main results; e) excluding participants with a follow-up of <2y, given that the development of hypertension is a chronic process; f) using the new definition of hypertension provided by the American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association (i.e., SBP130mmHg or DBP80mmHg)43; g) excluding participants with baseline diabetes, dyslipidemia, cardiovascular diseases, and/or cancer, to eliminate potential comorbidity effects; h) further including a city-level random intercept in model 3 to adjust for the cluster effect; i) further adjusting for area-level family income in model 3 to account for the effect of socioeconomic status, where the area-level family income was obtained from National Statistics of Taiwan44; j) using inverse probability weight to account for the selection bias; and k) truncating negative NDVI values to 0 rather than restricting our data to NDVI values >0.

Statistical analyses were performed using R (version 4.2.0; R Development Core Team). A two-tailed p<0.05 was used to define statistical significance.

Results

A total of 125,537 participants with 442,435 medical records were included in the data analysis. The median follow-up duration was 4.08 y, with an interquartile range (IQR) of 5.17 y. Approximately 55% of participants underwent at least 3 medical examinations, with a median number of 3 (IQR: 2). The median interval of examinations was 3.75 y (IQR: 4.33 y). During the study period, 14,103 incident cases of hypertension were identified over 628,966.58 person-years of follow-up, leading to an incidence rate of 2.24/100 person-years. In addition, 14% of participants moved after a median of 5 y (IQR: 3.75 y) during follow-up. The general characteristics of the participants at baseline and observations during follow-up are shown in Tables 1 and 2. The mean age of the participants at baseline was 37.33 y, and 48.65% were male. The majority had higher levels of education and were nonsmokers and light drinkers. In addition, more than half of the participants were married, remarried, or cohabiting and had a sedentary job. The temporal distribution of the 2-y average NDVI values by year is presented in Figure S1. Overall, the NDVI values remained stable over the years; the values declined slightly from 2001 to 2005, fluctuated somewhat from 2005 to 2011, and increased after 2011.

Table 2.

Characteristics of 316,898 observations during follow-up for 125,537 participants from Taiwan.

Characteristic Observations at follow-up visits
(N=316,898)a
Age [y (mean±SD)] 41.91±10.48
Sex [n (%)]
 Male 155,477 (49.06)
 Female 161,421 (50.94)
Education [n (%)]
 Lower than high school 26,218 (8.27)
 High school 58,983 (18.61)
 College or university 182,836 (57.70)
 Postgraduate 48,861 (15.42)
Marital status [n (%)]
 Unmarried 64,538 (20.37)
 Married or remarried or cohabiting 235,932 (74.45)
 Divorced 9,583 (3.02)
 Widowed 6,845 (2.16)
Smoking status [n (%)]
 Never 244,584 (77.18)
 Former 18,234 (5.75)
 Current 54,080 (17.07)
Alcohol consumption [n (%)]
 Seldom 272,431 (85.97)
 Occasional 30,984 (9.78)
 Regular 13,483 (4.25)
Physical labor at work [n (%)]
 Sedentary jobs 219,331 (69.21)
 Jobs that are approximately half sedentary and half standing/walking 73,755 (23.27)
 Jobs that mostly involve walking and standing 19,978 (6.30)
 Jobs that involve vigorous physical activity 3,834 (1.21)
Vegetable intake [n (%)]
 Seldom 31,506 (9.94)
 Moderate 185,242 (58.45)
 Frequent 100,150 (31.60)
Fruit intake [n (%)]
 Seldom 82,059 (25.89)
 Moderate 186,657 (58.90)
 Frequent 48,182 (15.20)
Occupational exposure [n (%)]b
 Yes 24,259 (7.66)
 No 292,639 (92.34)
BMI [kg/m2 (mean±SD)] 22.87±3.29
Systolic blood pressure [mmHg (mean±SD)] 112.4±13.55
Diastolic blood pressure [mmHg (mean±SD)] 68.76±9.65
Dyslipidemia [n (%)] 67,398 (21.27)
Cardiovascular disease [n (%)] 12,422 (3.92)
Diabetes mellitus [n (%)] 10,011 (3.16)
Cancer [n (%)] 6,891 (2.17)
NDVI500 c 0.28 (0.15)
PM2.5 [μg/m3 (mean±SD)] 25.93±7.09
Season [n (%)]
 Spring 75,965 (23.97)
 Summer 92,404 (29.16)
 Fall 88,490 (27.92)
 Winter 60,039 (18.95)

Note: Values are presented as means±SDs for continuous variables with normal distributions and as counts (%) for categorical variables. Data are complete for all variables. BMI, body mass index; IQR, interquartile range; NDVI, normalized difference vegetation index; PM2.5, particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5μm; SD, standard deviation.

a

Characteristics of 316,898 observations during follow-up for 125,537 participants with complete information and without hypertension at baseline.

b

Classified as exposure to dust or organic solvents in the workplace, established by asking, “Are there any occupational hazards in your workplace?”

c

Refers the average NDVI values within a 500-m buffer in the year of the visit and in the year before the visit. Each value is presented as a median (IQR) owing to the skewed distribution.

Table 3 shows the results of the association of neighborhood greenness with incident hypertension. Compared with the first quartile of NDVI value, the HRs for incident hypertension for the second, third, and fourth quartiles of NDVI were 0.95 (95% CI: 0.91, 1.00), 0.95 (95% CI: 0.90, 0.99), and 0.93 (95% CI: 0.88, 0.97), respectively (model 3). In addition, there was a significant trend in the association of incident hypertension across the categories of NDVI. When NDVI was treated as a continuous variable, each 0.1-unit increase in NDVI was associated with a 24% lower risk of hypertension (HR=0.76; 95% CI: 0.66, 0.87). The association remained stable after including one or more potential mediators in model 3 (Table S1). The concentration–response curve for the association between NDVI values and incident hypertension is approximately linear overall (likelihood ratio test: χ2=5.63, p=0.06; Figure S2). Figure S3 illustrates the correlation matrix among the greenness and covariates, including age, sex, marital status, education status, smoking status, alcohol drinking, fruit intake, vegetable intake, occupational exposure, physical labor during work, season, year of enrollment, diabetes, dyslipidemia, self-reported cardiovascular disease, self-reported cancer, BMI, PM2.5, and PE. The corresponding Spearman correlation coefficients were <0.6.

Table 3.

Overall association between long-term exposure to neighborhood greenness and incident hypertension in Taiwanese adults (N=442,435).

Crude model Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
HR (95% CI) p-Value HR (95% CI) p-Value HR (95% CI) p-Value HR (95% CI) p-Value
2nd quartile 0.99 (0.95, 1.04) 0.78 0.97 (0.93, 1.02) 0.23 0.96 (0.91, 1.00) 0.06 0.95 (0.91, 1.00) 0.04
3rd quartile 0.99 (0.95, 1.04) 0.77 0.96 (0.91, 1.00) 0.08 0.95 (0.91, 1.00) 0.03 0.95 (0.90, 0.99) 0.02
4th quartile 1.02 (0.97, 1.07) 0.46 0.93 (0.89, 0.97) 0.002 0.93 (0.88, 0.97) 0.001 0.93 (0.88, 0.97) 0.001
Trend test 1.01 (0.99, 1.02) 0.47 0.98 (0.96, 0.99) 0.002 0.98 (0.96, 0.99) 0.002 0.98 (0.96, 0.99) 0.002
Per 0.1-unit increase in NDVI500 1.00 (0.87, 1.15) 0.96 0.74 (0.65, 0.85) <0.001 0.75 (0.65, 0.86) <0.001 0.76 (0.66, 0.87) <0.001

Note: NDVI500 was the 2-y average value of the NDVI within a 500-m buffer and the quartile cutoffs were 0.23, 0.28, and 0.38. Time-varying Cox regression model was used. Crude model: without adjustment. Model 1 was adjusted for age, sex, marital status, and education status. Model 2 was adjusted for model 1’s covariates plus smoking status, alcohol consumption, fruit intake, vegetable intake, occupational exposure, physical labor during work, season, and year of enrollment. Model 3 was adjusted for model 2’s covariates plus diabetes, dyslipidemia, self-reported cardiovascular disease, and self-reported cancer. Data are complete for all variables. CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; NDVI, normalized difference vegetation index. p<0.05 was considered statistically significant.

The results of the stratified analysis for the potential modifiers are shown in Table 4. No statistically significant interactions were observed when data analyses were stratified by baseline age, smoking status, alcohol consumption, BMI, leisure-time PE, and PM2.5. However, the inverse association between neighborhood greenness and hypertension was more pronounced among males and participants with an education level of above high school (both pinteraction<0.05).

Table 4.

Stratified analysis on associations between long-term exposure to neighborhood greenness and incident hypertension in Taiwanese adults (N=442,435).

Subgroup Cases/participants HR (95% CI) pinteraction
Age (y)
<65 13,240/123,209 0.76 (0.65, 0.88) 0.48
65 863/2,328 0.84 (0.50, 1.41)
Sex
 Male 9,108/61,076 0.72 (0.60, 0.86) <0.001
 Female 4,995/64,461 0.89 (0.71, 1.12)
Education
<High school 2,960/11,992 1.09 (0.82, 1.44) 0.02
High school 11,143/113,545 0.69 (0.59, 0.82)
Smoking status
 Never 9,809/94,743 0.80 (0.67, 0.94) 0.08
 Ever/current 4,294/30,794 0.69 (0.54, 0.89)
Alcohol consumption
 Seldom 11,337/109,103 0.79 (0.68, 0.92) 0.09
 Occasional/regular 2,766/16,434 0.68 (0.50, 0.93)
BMI (kg/m2)
<25 8,282/98,593 0.80 (0.67, 0.96) 0.06
25 5,821/26,944 0.74 (0.60, 0.93)
PE (MET-h/week)
<3.75 6,192/62,933 0.69 (0.56, 0.85) 0.41
3.75 7,911/62,604 0.81 (0.67, 0.98)
PM2.5 (μg/m3)
<23.7 6,923/61,099 0.76 (0.64, 0.90) 0.81
23.7 7,180/64,438 0.72 (0.56, 0.92)

Note: Neighborhood greenness was estimated as the 2-y average value of the NDVI within a 500-m (continuous). Time-varying Cox regression model was used. All models were adjusted for age (except for in age-stratified analyses), sex (except for in sex-stratified analyses), marital status, education status (except for in education level-stratified analyses), smoking status (except for in smoking-stratified analyses), alcohol consumption (except for in drinking-stratified analyses), fruit intake, vegetable intake, occupational exposure, physical labor during work, season, year of enrollment, diabetes, dyslipidemia, self-reported cardiovascular disease, and self-reported cancer. Data are complete for all variables. BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; MET, metabolic equivalent of task; NDVI, normalized difference vegetation index; PE, physical exercise (leisure-time); PM2.5, particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5μm. p<0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Figure 2 shows the potential mediating effects of air pollution, leisure-time PE, and BMI on the association between neighborhood greenness and hypertension. The estimate of the NIE of BMI was 0.998 (95% CI: 0.996, 1.000) (p=0.03), which accounts for 8.90% of the association between NDVI and incident hypertension, whereas the natural indirect effects for PM2.5 and leisure-time PE on hypertension were not statistically significant.

Figure 2.

Figure 2A is an illustration flowchart with three steps. Step 1: Normalized difference vegetation index begin subscript 500 end subscript 500 end subscript leads to particulate matter begin subscript 2.5-end subscript. Step 2: particulate matter begin subscript 2.5-end subscript with a natural indirect effect: hazard ratio (95 percent confidence interval) and proportion-mediated percentage (95 percent confidence interval) lead to hypertension. Step 3: Normalized difference vegetation index begin subscript 500 end subscript 500 end subscript with natural direct effect: hazard ratio (95 percent confidence interval) and total effect: hazard ratio (95 percent confidence interval) leads to hypertension. Figure 2B is an illustration flowchart with three steps. Step 1: Normalized difference vegetation index begin subscript 500 end subscript 500 end subscript leads to physical exercise. Step 2: physical exercise with a natural indirect effect: hazard ratio (95 percent confidence interval) and proportion-mediated percentage (95 percent confidence interval) lead to hypertension. Step 3: Normalized difference vegetation index begin subscript 500 end subscript 500 end subscript with natural direct effect: hazard ratio (95 percent confidence interval) and total effect: hazard ratio (95 percent confidence interval) leads to hypertension. Figure 2C is an illustration flowchart with three steps. Step 1: Normalized difference vegetation index begin subscript 500 end subscript 500 end subscript leads to body mass index. Step 2: body mass index with natural indirect effect: hazard ratio (95 percent confidence interval) and proportion-mediated percentage (95 percent confidence interval) lead to hypertension. Step 3: Normalized difference vegetation index begin subscript 500 end subscript 500 end subscript with natural direct effect: hazard ratio (95 percent confidence interval) and total effect: hazard ratio (95 percent confidence interval) lead to hypertension.

Mediation analyses of whether the associations between neighborhood greenness and incident hypertension in Taiwanese adults are explained by (A) air pollution exposure, (B) leisure-time PE, and (C) BMI (n=125,537). NDVI500 was the 2-y average value of the NDVI within a 500-m buffer (continuous). PM2.5 and BMI were treated as continuous variables, whereas PE was treated as a dichotomous variable (<3.75 vs. 3.75 MET-h/week). Two models were fitted to calculate the estimates (NIE, NDE, TE, and PM%). Outcome regression: a Cox model for the association of exposure to greenness with hypertension adjusted for the potential mediator; Mediator regression: a linear regression model for the association of exposure to greenness with a continuous mediator (PM2.5 or BMI), or a logistic regression model for the association of exposure to greenness with a binary mediator (leisure-time PE). All models were adjusted for age, sex, marital status, education status, smoking status, alcohol consumption, fruit intake, vegetable intake, occupational exposure, physical labor during work, season, year of enrollment, diabetes, dyslipidemia, self-reported cardiovascular disease, and self-reported cancer. Data are complete for all variables. Note: BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; MET, metabolic equivalent of task; NDE, natural direct effect; NDVI, normalized difference vegetation index; NIE, natural indirect effect; PE, physical exercise (leisure-time); PM%, proportion mediated percentage; PM2.5, particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5μm; TE, total effect. p<0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Tables S2 and S3 show that the associations remained robust after using average NDVI values within different buffers (Table S2, Sensitivity analyses 1 and 2) and time windows (Table S2, Sensitivity analyses 3 and 5), excluding participants with a follow-up of <2y (Table S2, Sensitivity analysis 6), further adjusting for a city-level random intercept or area-level family income (Table S3, Sensitivity analyses 9 and 10), using inverse probability weight (Table S3, Sensitivity analysis 11), and truncating negative NDVI values to 0 (Table S3, Sensitivity analysis 12). However, the associations were weakened after excluding participants who changed address during follow-up (Table S2, Sensitivity analysis 4), using the new definition of hypertension (Table S3, Sensitivity analysis 7), and excluding participants who had comorbidities at baseline (Table S3, Sensitivity analysis 8).

Discussion

The findings from this large Taiwanese cohort show that long-term exposure to neighborhood greenness, as measured by the NDVI, is associated with a lower risk of incident hypertension. This association is significantly stronger among males and participants with an education level of above high school. The finding also suggests that BMI may mediate the effects of exposure to greenness on hypertension.

Our findings are consistent with most cross-sectional studies that have reported the beneficial effects of exposure to greenness on hypertension.5,6,9,16 Our study found a 24% lower risk of hypertension for each 0.1-unit increase in NDVI within a 500-m buffer. This result is comparable to previous cross-sectional studies that identified 17%–36% lower odds of hypertension associated with NDVI among adults and children.8,10,15,45 On the other hand, the effects observed in other studies among older adults were generally stronger, showing 49%–85% lower odds.6,16,46 However, few studies have adopted a longitudinal cohort design, which typically can provide stronger evidence than cross-sectional studies. The results from several cohort studies are inconsistent with each other. The Sax Institute’s 45 and Up Study found that lower odds of incident hypertension (odds ratio= 0.993; 95% CI: 0.989, 0.997) was associated with a 1% increase in exposure to tree canopy but not with exposure to total green space.13 A study in Kaunas, the second largest city in Lithuania, reported no significant association between incident hypertension and distance to green space.12 Another study based on the Stockholm Diabetes Prevention Program cohort failed to detect any association between NDVI and incident hypertension.11 A recent cohort study conducted among older Chinese adults (80 years of age) found the protective effects of greenness on incident hypertension, but these effects were only observed in the third tertile of NDVI when compared with the first tertile of NDVI (HR=0.51; 95% CI: 0.40, 0.64). In the present study, our stratified analysis shows that the negative association was not statistically significant among participants 65 years of age. This is possibly due to the small sample size of this subgroup in our study. Overall, it may be difficult to directly compare our results with other studies owing to heterogeneities in study populations, study regions, and exposure assessments. Furthermore, most previous studies did not account for lifestyle behavioral factors, which are also potential confounders.

We did not observe that age modified the association of exposure to greenness with hypertension (Table 4), similar to what was found in a previous study.47 However, our stratified analyses observed that the inverse association between exposure to greenness and hypertension was significantly stronger in males than in females. Previous findings concerning the effect modifier of sex on the association between greenness and hypertension are inconclusive. Yang et al. found a stronger negative association between exposure to community greenness and hypertension in Chinese females than in males,9 whereas three other studies conducted in China found that the beneficial effects of exposure to greenness on hypertension are more pronounced in males than in females.16,47,48 However, other studies have found no clear evidence for effect modification by sex.6,8,14 Possible explanations for these mixed results of analyses stratified by sex include variations in lifestyles and exposure patterns (i.e., participants may be exposed to greenness during their daily activities), which may be partly influenced by travel mode, occupation, child-rearing activities, and perceptions of nature.49,50 In addition, education, a proxy for socioeconomic status, was detected as a significant effect modifier in the present study, with exposure to greenness having more protective effects of greenness against hypertension in participants with higher education levels than in those with lower education levels. The evidence for the effect modification of socioeconomic status on greenness–hypertension association is limited. A few studies have found no effect modification by education or household income levels,6,8,9 whereas another study found that compared with participants living in high-income neighborhoods, there were more substantial protective effects of exposure to greenness on hypertension in participants living in low- and medium-income neighborhoods.5 Similar to our findings, a Canadian cohort study found that exposure to greenness had stronger effects on participants with a higher income and education level, although the outcome was nonaccidental death.51 As suggested by the study by Pinault et al.,52 this may be because people with higher socioeconomic status tend to spend more time in contact with nature and participate in more leisure-time activities, thus increasing their chance of exposure to greenness. This might be the reason for the more beneficial effects of greenness observed among affluent individuals.

Although the mechanism underlying the association between greenness exposure and hypertension remains unclear, several pathways have been proposed and explored. Reduced air pollution is a potential mediator of this association, given that vegetation can decrease concentrations of air pollutants through deposition, dispersion, and modification,25 thus alleviating the adverse effects of air pollution on human health. Exposure to air pollution [e.g., PM2.5, (particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of less than 1μm) PM1, and nitrogen dioxide (NO2)] has been found to explain 12% of the association between greenness and hypertension.9,10 It was also found that exposure to PM2.5 completely mediated the association of exposure to greenness with hypertension in urban areas but only partially mediated the association in rural areas.46 However, we did not observe the mediating effect of PM2.5 in our study. Similarly, a study found no indirect effects of PM2.5 on the association between NDVI and SPB.45 Another study conducted among children and adolescents in China found no evidence that exposure to air pollution (i.e., NO2 and PM2.5) mediated the association between greenness with hypertension.15 Further studies are warranted for the correlation between the specific pollutants and neighborhood greenness. Exposure to greenness was found to be associated with increasing leisure-time PE,27 which is known to be beneficial to human health.28 However, we did not find mediating effects of PE in the present study, which was in line with other studies.9,10 In contrast, one study focusing on middle-aged and older adults found that approximately half of the association between NDVI with hypertension was mediated by PE.16 Previous studies suggested that residing in greener areas was associated with lower adiposity,29,30 which is a well-documented risk factor for hypertension. Our findings and previous studies support the suggestion that the greenness–hypertension association is partially explained by reducing adiposity.6,9 However, other studies have failed to find evidence of mediation for BMI.8,15 Further studies are needed to investigate the mediating effects on the association between greenness and hypertension.

Our study adds value to the emerging evidence on the effects of exposure to greenness on hypertension and the mediating effects in the pathways linking greenness and hypertension, using data from a large-scale prospective cohort. The large sample size allowed us to obtain stable and precise estimates. In addition, the longitudinal design of this study allowed us to develop time-varying metrics for greenness exposure and various covariates. We observed a median yearly change in the NDVI of 1.93% among our participants. This change was more pronounced, at 2.94%, for participants who relocated during the follow-up period. Furthermore, certain covariates, such as age and physical activity, can change significantly over time and substantially influence blood pressure. Therefore, a longitudinal approach is crucial for accurately assessing the relationship between greenness and hypertension, as it enables us to prospectively consider both greenness exposure and a comprehensive range of covariates.

On the other hand, this study has certain limitations. First, the participants’ blood pressures were measured only once at each visit if their blood pressures fell within the normal range. This was not strictly in accordance with clinical guidelines, which require repeated measurements. However, if the participants had an SBP140mmHg or DBP90mmHg at the first measurement, a second measurement was taken to minimize the “white coat” effect. In addition, the census date for a hypertension participant was the medical examination date in the MJ Health Management Institution. We are not sure how long the participant had hypertension before the examination. Second, it was suggested that greater exposure to greenness was associated with reduced exposure to noise and heat, decreased psychological stress, and increased social interaction, which are thought to be the potential mechanisms underlying the association between greenness and hypertension. Heat waves have also been reported to have an interactive influence on the health effects of greenness.53 However, such information is not available or cannot be considered in the present study. Further studies are warranted to investigate the underlying mechanisms. Third, NDVI is sensitive to season, but our sensitivity analysis indicated that using seasonal NDVI as greenness exposure yields similar results to annual NDVI as greenness exposure. Fourth, although NDVI has been used in most studies and was more accessible for comparison, it does not tell the difference in vegetations’ structure, type, usability, and quality. There are studies that show inconsistent correlations between NDVI-based greenness and perceptions of greenness. For instance, one study found a relatively high correlation (r=0.69) between environmental psychologists’ ratings of greenness around residents’ areas using the Likert scale and the NDVI,54 whereas another study found a lack of agreement between a dichotomized greenness score based on 17 perceived items and a dichotomized NDVI (Cohen’s kappa=0.17, p>0.05).55 Fifth, exposure patterns may reflect participants’ actual use of greenness but cannot be tracked in our study owing to the large sample size. In particular, although we used 500-m and 1,000-m exposure buffers around residences to cover participants’ leisure-time activities in areas within a 5–15 min walk from their homes, further studies using advanced technology are needed to track participants’ exposure patterns and thereby obtain more precise measurements of their exposure to greenness. Sixth, the resolution of NDVI data (i.e., 250m2) used in our study is not relatively high. Further studies using data with higher resolution like data from Landsat 7 and 8 were warranted to validate our findings. Higher resolution data help to reduce the exposure misclassification and improve accuracy of greenness exposure, although processing higher resolution data is computationally intensive, particularly when dealing with time-varying exposure data. However, one study compared NDVI from MODIS (250m2), Landsat 8 (30m2), Sentinel-2 (10m2), and the National Agricultural Imagery Program (NAIP, 1m2) around the address of 31,328 children in the Greater Boston Area in 2016.56 The study found that the distribution of NDVI from MODIS was comparable to that from Landsat 8. When the buffer sizes are expanded from a 50- to a 1,000-m radius, the agreement in the quantiles of NDVI from Sentinel 2, Landsat 8, and MODIS with respect to NAIP NDVI increases. At the same time, the differences in the extent of misclassification between NDVI at coarser resolution reduced. Given that we chose a buffer size of a 500-m radius in our main analysis, using coarser NDVI (i.e., MODIS NDVI) should not be a critical issue, and it is also cost effective and less time consuming. Seventh, we acknowledge that income is a potential confounder that is associated with greenness and health outcomes in previous studies,51,57 but we were unable to adjust for this in our analyses owing to the significant amount of missing data on individual income. Instead, we included personal education, an important indicator of socioeconomic status, in our main analysis. Our sensitivity analysis adjusting for area-level household income indicated results similar to those of our main analysis (Table S3, Sensitivity analysis 10). Finally, the participants were generally well educated (70.58% of participants in our study and 36.84% of Taiwanese adults in 201058 had an education of college or above). Therefore, we should be cautious when generalizing our findings to other populations. However, the main characteristics of the participants such as sex and marital status were generally comparable with those of the general population in Taiwan (48.65% vs. 49.47% for males, and 32.00% vs. 32.97% for the unmarried).

In summary, living in an area with a higher level of greenness was associated with a lower risk of developing hypertension. The protective effect of exposure to greenness was more pronounced in males and people with higher education levels. The association between greenness and hypertension was mediated by a decrease in BMI, although the proportion mediated was small. Given the potential benefits of exposure to greenness on health, the findings from this study will be valuable for urban planning and development, especially in areas with high population densities.

Supplementary Material

ehp13071.s001.acco.pdf (296.3KB, pdf)

Acknowledgments

We thank the MJ Health Research Foundation for the authorization of using MJ health data (authorization code MJHR2019006A). Any interpretation or conclusion related to this manuscript does not represent the views of the MJ Health Research Foundation.

This work was supported by the Research Grants Council General Research Fund of University Grant Committee of Hong Kong (14600522) and the City University of Hong Kong startup project (9610613), both to Xiang Qian. Ms. Yi Qian Zeng and Ms. Xue Liang are supported by the Ph.D. Studentship of the Chinese University of Hong Kong. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

Conclusions and opinions are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily reflect the policies or views of EHP Publishing or the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences.

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