Abstract
Background:
Within the Multiethnic Cohort (MEC), we examined the association between air pollution and mortality among African American, European American, Japanese American, and Latina American women diagnosed with breast cancer.
Methods:
We used a land use regression (LUR) model and kriging interpolation to estimate nitrogen oxides (NOx, NO2) and particulate matter (PM2.5, PM10) exposures for 3,089 breast cancer cases in the MEC, who were diagnosed from 1993 through 2013 and resided largely in Los Angeles County, California. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association of time-varying air pollutants with all-cause, breast cancer, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and non-breast cancer/non-CVD mortality, accounting for key covariates.
Results:
We identified 1,125 deaths from all causes (474 breast cancer, 272 CVD, 379 non-breast cancer/non-CVD deaths) among the 3,089 breast cancer cases with 8.1 years of average follow-up. LUR and kriged NOX (per 50 ppb) and NO2 (per 20 ppb), PM2.5 (per 10 μg/m3), and PM10 (per 10 μg/m3) were positively associated with risks of all-cause (Hazard Ratio (HR) range = 1.13–1.25), breast cancer (HR range = 1.19–1.45), and CVD mortality (HR range = 1.37–1.60). Associations were statistically significant for LUR NOX and CVD mortality (HR = 1.60; 95% CI: 1.08–2.37) and kriged NO2 and breast cancer mortality (HR = 1.45; 95% CI 1.02–2.07). Gaseous and PM pollutants were positively associated with breast cancer mortality across racial/ethnic group.
Conclusion:
In this study, air pollutants have a harmful impact on breast cancer survival. Additional studies should evaluate potential confounding by socioeconomic factors. These data support maintaining clean air laws to improve survival for women with breast cancer.
1. Introduction
Breast cancer is the most commonly diagnosed non-skin cancer among U.S. women. >3.8 million breast cancer survivors were estimated in the U.S. in 2019 and this number of survivors is projected to increase to 4.9 million by 2030 (Miller et al., 2019). Prognostic factors for survival following breast cancer diagnosis include stage and other tumor characteristics, treatment factors, co-morbidities, sociodemographic factors, as well as modifiable lifestyle factors such as smoking, obesity, and physical inactivity (Hellmann et al., 2010; Lu et al., 20152015; Kwan et al., 2014). It is a public health priority to identify modifiable factors that improve outcome among this large and growing number of breast cancer survivors.
Air pollutants have been well documented to impact adversely numerous health outcomes, including mortality, particularly from cardiorespiratory diseases (Kelly and Fussell, 2015; Hoek et al., 2013). In a large US study, exposure to particulate matter (PM) <2.5 μm in diameter was estimated to be responsible for over 15,000 female deaths from 1999 through 2015, and having greatest effect of loss in life expectancy in some southern states and Los Angeles, California (Bennett et al., 2019). It has been estimated that >40% of people in the US live in counties with unhealthy air quality, placing them at risk for adverse health outcomes, particularly vulnerable groups such as those with chronic conditions (American Lung Association Association, 2019).
To date, two U.S. studies have examined the association between air pollution and survival following breast cancer diagnosis (DuPré et al., 2019; Hu et al., 2013). In a report of 255,128 breast cancer cases based on data from the Surveillance Epidemiology End Results (SEER) program, estimates of particulate matter<10 μm in diameter (PM10) and PM2.5 were significantly associated with increased breast cancer mortality with stronger associations seen for localized disease (Hu et al., 2013). In the Nurses’ Health Study (NHS) with 8,936 breast cancer cases, estimates of PM10 and PM2.5 based on 2-year averages were not associated with breast cancer mortality, although a statistically significant association was observed with PM2.5 among cases with stage I disease (DuPré et al., 2019). An Italian study (Tagliabue et al., 2016) reported PM2.5 based on a median of 3 years around diagnosis was associated with breast cancer mortality and a study in China (Huo et al., 2015) reported suggestive findings for an annual PM estimate and all-cause mortality among estrogen receptor (ER) positive breast cancers. However, these latter two studies did not consider lifestyle factors (Huo et al., 2015; Troeschel et al., 20192019). There is a need for additional studies of air pollution and breast cancer survival with adjustment for relevant individual-level covariates. In addition, investigations are warranted to evaluate whether certain racial/ethnic and/or socioeconomic groups, who often reside in areas with higher levels of air pollution (Turner et al., 2011; Wang et al., 2020), experience different mortality hazards in relation to air pollutant exposure.
Thus, we conducted a prospective study of traffic-related air pollution exposures and mortality among California female participants of the Multiethnic Cohort Study (MEC) with a breast cancer diagnosis from 1993 through 2013.
2. Methods
2.1. Study subjects
The MEC is a large population-based prospective cohort of US adults (Kolonel et al., 2000). Briefly, from 1993 through 1996, 96,810 men and 118,441 women aged 45–75 years largely from five self-reported racial/ethnic groups residing in Hawaii (HI) or CA (primarily Los Angeles County) were enrolled. Participants completed a baseline questionnaire that surveyed demographics, anthropometrics, reproductive history, and other lifestyle factors. Participants were followed for diagnosis of incident invasive breast cancer through routine linkage with the HI and CA cancer SEER registries, and for vital status through linkages to the National Death Index and state death certificate files that provide primary cause of death based on International Classification of Disease (ICD)-9 and ICD-10 codes. Clinicopathologic and treatment factors were obtained from the cancer registries. For this study, eligible female CA MEC participants with primary invasive breast cancer (ICD-O-3 C500-C509) were those who completed a baseline questionnaire with valid addresses across the study period (n = 3,113). We excluded cases with implausible or insufficient address data (n = 44), leaving 3,089 breast cancer cases for analyses. This cohort was followed from the date of diagnosis (1993–2013) to the date of death or December 31, 2013 (study end date), whichever came earlier. The institutional review boards of the University of Hawaii, University of Southern California, and University of California, San Francisco approved the study protocol.
2.2. Participant characteristics
Participant characteristics that we evaluated were age at diagnosis, race/ethnicity and baseline variables (median = 7.3, Q1 = 3.3; Q3 = 12.6 years between cohort entry and death) including marital status (married, single, divorced/widowed), body mass index (BMI) (under-weight (<18.5 kg/m2), normal weight (18.5–24.9 kg/m2), overweight (25–29.9 kg/m2), and obese (≥30 kg/m2)), smoking status (never, former, current smoker), alcohol intake (non-drinker (0 g alcohol/day), drinker (>0 g alcohol/day)), diabetes (yes, no), cardiovascular disease (CVD) (coronary heart disease and/or stroke, hypertension and/or hypertension medications, none), and age at first live birth (no children, ≤20, 21–30, >30 years). Clinicopathologic information included stage at diagnosis (localized, regional, distant), grade (I, II, and III & IV), histology (ductal, lobular, other, inflammatory breast cancer), ER/progesterone receptor (PR) status (ER + PR+, ER + PR-, ER-PR+, ER-PR-), and tumor size (<1cm, 1-<5cm, ≥5cm). First course of treatment included surgery (no, lumpectomy, mastectomy), chemotherapy (no, yes), hormone therapy (no, yes), and radiation (no, yes). The frequency of missing data for variables such as BMI, smoking, age at first live birth, and stage was low (≤2.9%).
2.3. Address history, geocoding, and neighborhood socioeconomic status
The MEC actively maintains a residential history of address locations on all participants based on mailings, linkages to secondary data sources, and direct communication from study participants. For the 3,089 CA MEC breast cancer cases, there were 4,305 residential addresses (74.5% non-movers, 22.4% 1–2 moves, 3.1% 3 + moves). Residential addresses were geocoded to latitude and longitude coordinates using address or street locators. Geocoded addresses were linked to 1990 (1993–1996 addresses), 2000 (1997–2005 addresses), and 2010 (2006–2013 addresses) US Census block groups. An index measure of nSES was based on principal component analysis of seven census-based indicators of SES: education, median household income, percent living 200% below the poverty level, percent blue-collar workers, percent without a job among those older than 15 years in workforce, median rent, and median house value (Yost et al., 2001; Yang et al., 2014). This nSES index was assigned to participants’ address at diagnosis and at time of the event of death or censoring and was categorized into quintiles based on the nSES distribution of Los Angeles County block groups for each decennial census year.
2.4. Air pollution exposure assessment
We used established air pollution assessment approaches (Cheng et al., 2020) based on linkage of geocoded residential addresses with latitude/longitude coordinates as the geographic unit to estimate traffic-related air pollutant exposures. In brief, a land use regression (LUR) model estimated NOx and NO2 exposures from regional and local sources based on air monitoring data from spatially dense air monitoring campaigns (2006–2007) and incorporated spatial data on land use and traffic characteristics; for temporal adjustment, monthly scaling factors were applied based on routinely collected air monitoring data nearest to the participant’s residence (Jerrett et al., 2005). Empirical Bayesian kriging interpolation was used to estimate largely regional exposures for NOx, NO2, PM10, and PM2.5 (Laurent et al., 2016). Measured concentrations of NOx, NO2, PM10 (1993–2013) and PM2.5 (2000–2013) were obtained from routinely collected air monitoring data from the US EPA. PM2.5 concentrations for 1993–1999 were estimated from a spatiotemporal model (Li et al., 2017). A correlation matrix of pollutants is presented in Supplemental Table 1 (r = 0.59–0.98).
2.5. Statistical analysis
We used Cox regression with time-varying exposure variables to examine the hazards of four mortality endpoints: all-cause, breast cancer, CVD, and non-breast/non-CVD mortality in relation to air pollution exposure. The Cox regression model used age in months as the time variable and defined a series of risk sets based on the age of death (months) of each event (index death). Each risk set consisted of all breast cancer cases who died at the age of the index death or remained alive and uncensored at that same age. For each member of each risk set (including the index death), we used her residential history to compute an average air pollutant exposure from time of diagnosis (month/year) to time of death of the index case in each risk set.
The Cox regression model used age of breast cancer diagnosis as the strata variable, and adjusted for demographics, lifestyle factors at baseline, clinicopathologic and treatment factors at diagnosis, and nSES at diagnosis and at death/censoring. Supplemental Table 2 presents the associations of covariates and all-cause mortality among breast cancer cases in the LUR NOx model. For Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) of cause specific deaths, we used a competing risk model where the at-risk denominator included living participants up until censoring at the time of death from other causes. HRs and 95% CI sfor common fixed size increases in air pollutants were calculated. For NOx, we used 50 ppb, which was close to the interquartile range (IQRs) of the LUR (41.1 ppb) and kriged (42.5 ppb) estimates. For NO2, we used 20 ppb, which was close to the IQR for LUR (13.3 ppb) and kriged (14.1 ppb) estimates. For PM10 and PM2.5, we used 10 μg/m3, which was between the IQR of kriged PM10 (12.5 μg/m3) and PM2.5 (6.4 μg/m3). We checked the proportional hazards assumption for each pollutant and found no violation. Subgroup analyses were conducted for race/ethnicity, hormone receptor-positive (ER + or PR + denoted as ER+/PR +) and hormone receptor-negative (ER- and PR- denoted as ER-PR-) breast tumors, first course of treatment, stage, nSES at diagnosis, pre-existing CVD (CVD status at baseline), and moving status. We assessed heterogeneity in associations using a global test of interaction.
To understand differences in air pollutant-mortality associations by nSES, we plotted the linear trends in HR for mortality across NO2 levels categorized into 20 quantiles by low (Q1–Q3) and high (Q4–Q5) nSES at diagnosis. The reference was the combination of the lowest NO2 level (first quantile) and high nSES. HRs were adjusted for all covariates described above.
All P values are two-sided with a statistical significance level of 0.05. Analyses were performed using SAS 9.2 statistical software (SAS Institute, Cary, NC).
3. Results
The study population consisted of 3,089 breast cancer cases (38% African American, 19% European American, 12% Japanese American, 31% Latina American, and 0.4% Native Hawiian) with racial/ethnic differences in age at diagnosis, marital status, obesity, smoking, alcohol intake, comorbidities, and age at first birth (Table 1). Regional/distant disease was higher among African Americans (33.6%) than other racial/ethnic groups (range: 22.4%–32.5%). The proportion of ER-PR- tumors was highest in African American (19.2%) and lowest in European American (10.8%) breast cancer cases. African American (27.0%) and Latina American breast cancer cases (20.3%) were more likely to live in the lowest SES neighborhoods at diagnosis than European American (7.7%) and Japanese American (4.3%) breast cancer cases. African American and Latina American breast cancer cases had higher average NOX exposures in comparison to Japanese American and European American breast cancer cases (Supplemental Table 3).
Table 1.
Study characteristics of 3,089 women diagnosed with breast cancer in CA MEC (1993–2013).
| All (n = 3089) | African Americans (n = 1,177) | European Americans (n = 573) | Japanese Americans (n = 370) | Latina Americans (n = 958) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | % | n | % | n | % | n | % | n | % | ||
| Race/Ethnicitya | African American | 1177 | 38.1% | 1177 | 100% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| European American | 573 | 18.6% | – | – | 573 | 100% | – | – | – | – | |
| Japanese American | 370 | 12.0% | – | – | – | – | 370 | 100% | – | – | |
| Latina American | 958 | 31.0% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 958 | 100% | |
| Native Hawaiian | 11 | 0.4% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Age at diagnosis, years | 45–49 | 35 | 1.1% | 14 | 1.2% | 5 | 0.9% | 4 | 1.1% | 12 | 1.3% |
| 50–54 | 144 | 4.7% | 68 | 5.8% | 20 | 3.5% | 24 | 6.5% | 32 | 3.3% | |
| 55–59 | 289 | 9.4% | 102 | 8.7% | 57 | 10.0% | 31 | 8.4% | 97 | 10.1% | |
| 60–64 | 443 | 14.3% | 172 | 14.6% | 64 | 11.2% | 42 | 11.4% | 159 | 16.6% | |
| 65–69 | 599 | 19.4% | 197 | 16.7% | 123 | 21.5% | 75 | 20.3% | 201 | 21.0% | |
| 70–74 | 605 | 19.6% | 208 | 17.7% | 113 | 19.7% | 80 | 21.6% | 204 | 21.3% | |
| 75+ | 974 | 31.5% | 416 | 35.3% | 191 | 33.3% | 114 | 30.8% | 253 | 26.4% | |
| Marital statusa,b | Married | 1614 | 52.3% | 438 | 37.2% | 352 | 61.4% | 271 | 73.2% | 547 | 57.1% |
| Single | 205 | 6.6% | 63 | 5.4% | 27 | 4.7% | 31 | 8.4% | 84 | 8.8% | |
| Divorced/Widowed | 1229 | 39.8% | 649 | 55.1% | 188 | 32.8% | 68 | 18.4% | 319 | 33.3% | |
| BMIa,b | Underweight | 35 | 1.1% | 9 | 0.8% | 8 | 1.4% | 12 | 3.2% | 6 | 0.6% |
| Normal | 1015 | 32.9% | 258 | 21.9% | 255 | 44.5% | 233 | 63.0% | 268 | 28.0% | |
| Overweight | 1094 | 35.4% | 421 | 35.8% | 176 | 30.7% | 105 | 28.4% | 385 | 40.2% | |
| Obese | 913 | 29.6% | 461 | 39.2% | 133 | 23.2% | 20 | 5.4% | 296 | 30.9% | |
| Smoking statusa,b | Never smoker | 1655 | 53.6% | 524 | 44.5% | 267 | 46.6% | 250 | 67.6% | 610 | 63.7% |
| Former smoker | 921 | 29.8% | 390 | 33.1% | 216 | 37.7% | 98 | 26.5% | 213 | 22.2% | |
| Current smoker | 446 | 14.4% | 236 | 20.1% | 84 | 14.7% | 20 | 5.4% | 103 | 10.8% | |
| Alcohol intakea,b | Non-drinker | 1747 | 56.6% | 696 | 59.1% | 232 | 40.5% | 251 | 67.8% | 561 | 58.6% |
| Drinker | 1236 | 40.0% | 447 | 38.0% | 318 | 55.5% | 105 | 28.4% | 362 | 37.8% | |
| Diabetesa | No | 2749 | 89.0% | 1028 | 87.3% | 535 | 93.4% | 344 | 93.0% | 833 | 87.0% |
| Yes | 340 | 11.0% | 149 | 12.7% | 38 | 6.6% | 26 | 7.0% | 125 | 13.1% | |
| CVDa | Coronary heart disease, stroke | 300 | 9.7% | 148 | 12.6% | 42 | 7.3% | 16 | 4.3% | 94 | 9.8% |
| Hypertension, hypertension medications | 1137 | 36.8% | 562 | 47.8% | 169 | 29.5% | 126 | 34.1% | 274 | 28.6% | |
| None | 1652 | 53.5% | 467 | 39.7% | 362 | 63.2% | 228 | 61.6% | 590 | 61.6% | |
| Age at first live birtha,b | Nulliparous | 420 | 13.6% | 156 | 13.3% | 92 | 16.1% | 75 | 20.3% | 97 | 10.1% |
| 15–20y | 939 | 30.4% | 489 | 41.6% | 124 | 21.6% | 20 | 5.4% | 304 | 31.7% | |
| 21–30y | 1421 | 46.0% | 438 | 37.2% | 296 | 51.7% | 215 | 58.1% | 463 | 48.3% | |
| >30y | 221 | 7.2% | 52 | 4.4% | 54 | 9.4% | 49 | 13.2% | 66 | 6.9% | |
| Stagec | Localized | 2070 | 67.0% | 758 | 64.4% | 385 | 67.2% | 285 | 77.0% | 634 | 66.2% |
| Regional | 865 | 28.0% | 345 | 29.3% | 166 | 29.0% | 77 | 20.8% | 274 | 28.6% | |
| Distant | 106 | 3.4% | 50 | 4.3% | 20 | 3.5% | 6 | 1.6% | 30 | 3.1% | |
| Gradec | Grade I | 610 | 19.8% | 210 | 17.8% | 136 | 23.7% | 97 | 26.2% | 166 | 17.3% |
| Grade II | 1183 | 38.3% | 385 | 32.7% | 241 | 42.1% | 157 | 42.4% | 394 | 41.1% | |
| Grade III & IV | 984 | 31.9% | 434 | 36.9% | 149 | 26.0% | 95 | 25.7% | 302 | 31.5% | |
| Histologyc | Ductal | 2191 | 70.9% | 854 | 72.6% | 374 | 65.3% | 274 | 74.1% | 678 | 70.8% |
| Lobular | 529 | 17.1% | 181 | 15.4% | 129 | 22.5% | 58 | 15.7% | 161 | 16.8% | |
| Other | 336 | 10.9% | 132 | 11.2% | 62 | 10.8% | 36 | 9.7% | 106 | 11.1% | |
| Inflammatory breast cancer | 33 | 1.1% | 10 | 0.9% | 8 | 1.4% | 2 | 0.5% | 13 | 1.4% | |
| Estrogen/Progesterone Receptor statusc | ER + PR+ | 1714 | 55.5% | 609 | 51.7% | 356 | 62.1% | 236 | 63.8% | 504 | 52.6% |
| ER + PR- | 339 | 11.0% | 127 | 10.8% | 72 | 12.6% | 39 | 10.5% | 100 | 10.4% | |
| ER-PR+ | 50 | 1.6% | 22 | 1.9% | 8 | 1.4% | 4 | 1.1% | 16 | 1.7% | |
| ER-PR- | 502 | 16.3% | 226 | 19.2% | 62 | 10.8% | 48 | 13.0% | 165 | 17.2% | |
| Tumor sizec | <1 cm | 509 | 16.5% | 154 | 13.1% | 119 | 20.8% | 85 | 23.0% | 148 | 15.5% |
| 1-<5 cm | 2136 | 69.2% | 835 | 70.9% | 385 | 67.2% | 248 | 67.0% | 660 | 68.9% | |
| ≥5 cm | 264 | 8.6% | 110 | 9.4% | 43 | 7.5% | 27 | 7.3% | 84 | 8.8% | |
| Surgery typec | No surgery | 186 | 6.0% | 96 | 8.2% | 27 | 4.7% | 14 | 3.8% | 49 | 5.1% |
| Lumpectomy | 821 | 26.6% | 321 | 27.3% | 145 | 25.3% | 92 | 24.9% | 261 | 27.2% | |
| Mastectomy | 1681 | 54.4% | 599 | 50.9% | 335 | 58.5% | 217 | 58.7% | 523 | 54.6% | |
| Chemotherapyc | No | 2329 | 75.4% | 881 | 74.9% | 442 | 77.1% | 291 | 78.7% | 708 | 73.9% |
| Yes | 760 | 24.6% | 296 | 25.2% | 131 | 22.9% | 79 | 21.4% | 250 | 26.1% | |
| Hormone therapyc | No | 2031 | 65.8% | 777 | 66.0% | 361 | 63.0% | 240 | 64.9% | 647 | 67.5% |
| Yes | 1058 | 34.3% | 400 | 34.0% | 212 | 37.0% | 130 | 35.1% | 311 | 32.5% | |
| Radiationc | No | 1888 | 61.1% | 765 | 65.0% | 309 | 53.9% | 199 | 53.8% | 610 | 63.7% |
| Yes | 1201 | 38.9% | 412 | 35.0% | 264 | 46.1% | 171 | 46.2% | 348 | 36.3% | |
| Neighborhood SESa,c | Quintile 1-low | 572 | 18.5% | 318 | 27.0% | 44 | 7.7% | 16 | 4.3% | 194 | 20.3% |
| Quintile 2 | 668 | 21.6% | 315 | 26.8% | 73 | 12.7% | 29 | 7.8% | 246 | 25.7% | |
| Quintile 3 | 744 | 24.1% | 277 | 23.5% | 131 | 22.9% | 75 | 20.3% | 259 | 27.0% | |
| Quintile 4 | 613 | 19.8% | 154 | 13.1% | 159 | 27.8% | 128 | 34.6% | 169 | 17.6% | |
| Quintile 5-high | 459 | 14.9% | 98 | 8.3% | 162 | 28.3% | 120 | 32.4% | 78 | 8.1% | |
At baseline
Numbers may not total to 100% due to missing
At Diagnosis
LUR and kriged NOx (per 50 ppb) and NO2 (per 20 ppb), and PM2.5 and PM10 (per 10 μg/m3) were positively associated with all-cause (HR range = 1.13–1.25; p value range = 0.05–0.25) and breast cancer mortalities (HR range = 1.19–1.45; p value range = 0.04–0.29) (Table 2). For breast cancer mortality, a statistically significant increased risk was observed for kriged NO2 (HR = 1.45; 95% CI: 1.02–2.07). For CVD mortality, a statistically significant increased risk was observed for LUR NOx (HR = 1.60; 95% CI: 1.08–2.37).
Table 2.
Associations of gaseous and particulate matter air pollutants and risk of death following breast cancer diagnosis, CA MEC breast cancer cases, 1993–2013a.
| All-cause mortality | Breast cancer mortality | CVD mortality | Non-breast cancer and non-CVD mortalityc | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | ||
| LUR | NOxb | 981 | 1.16 | (0.96–1.40) | 0.12 | 418 | 1.25 | (0.93–1.66) | 0.13 | 240 | 1.60 | (1.08–2.37) | 0.02 | 323 | 0.91 | (0.64–1.30) | 0.61 |
| NO2b | 1005 | 1.14 | (0.91–1.43) | 0.25 | 428 | 1.34 | (0.95–1.90) | 0.09 | 245 | 1.49 | (0.92–2.40) | 0.11 | 332 | 0.81 | (0.53–1.22) | 0.31 | |
| Kriging | NOxb | 1095 | 1.16 | (0.96–1.39) | 0.13 | 461 | 1.27 | (0.96–1.68) | 0.09 | 269 | 1.37 | (0.93–2.02) | 0.12 | 365 | 0.93 | (0.67–1.29) | 0.65 |
| NO2b | 1111 | 1.25 | (1.00–1.57) | 0.05 | 468 | 1.45 | (1.02–2.07) | 0.04 | 269 | 1.58 | (0.99–2.51) | 0.06 | 374 | 0.94 | (0.64–1.38) | 0.75 | |
| PM2.5b | 1109 | 1.17 | (0.95–1.44) | 0.13 | 465 | 1.19 | (0.86–1.64) | 0.29 | 269 | 1.44 | (0.95–2.17) | 0.08 | 375 | 0.94 | (0.66–1.34) | 0.72 | |
| PM10b | 1112 | 1.13 | (1.00–1.29) | 0.06 | 468 | 1.20 | (0.98–1.48) | 0.09 | 269 | 1.25 | (0.97–1.62) | 0.09 | 375 | 0.96 | (0.77–1.21) | 0.75 | |
Adjusted for race/ethnicity, marital status, ERPR status, stage, grade, histology, tumor size, chemotherapy, hormone treatment, radiation, surgery, nSES at diagnosis and current nSES, BMI, smoking, alcohol, diabetes, CVD risk, and age at first live birth; and stratified by age at diagnosis
LUR and kriging per 50 ppb NOX; 20 ppb Kriging and LUR NO2; Kriging per 10ug/m3 PM10 and PM2.5
Distribution of cause of deaths: other cancer site than breast cancer (42%), diabetes (9%), chronic lower respiratory disease (9%), Alzheimer’s disease (8%), mental/behavioral disease (5%), pneumonia (5%), kidney disease (3%), liver disease (3%), infectious/parasitic disease (3%), other causes of deaths (5%), unknown cause (8%)
For all-cause mortality, similar patterns of increased risk were seen for all pollutants among African American and European American breast cancer cases; results reached formal statistical significance for LUR NOx and PM10 among African American breast cancer cases and kriged NOx and NO2 among European American breast cancer cases (Table 3). For breast cancer mortality, consistent patterns of increased risks were seen for all pollutants across race/ethnicity with a statistically significantly increased risk for kriged NOX and NO2 among European American breast cancer cases. For CVD mortality, 1.6–3.6-fold increased risks of death were seen for all pollutants among African American breast cancer cases (p value range = 0.03 to < 0.0001). For non-breast cancer/non-CVD mortality, increased risk associated with air pollutants were observed among European American breast cancer cases (HR range = 1.29–2.69) with wide 95% CIs. Almost all LUR and kriged pollutants displayed relatively larger HRs among ER-PR- breast cancer in comparison to ER+/PR + disease for all-cause (HR range = 1.21–1.81 vs. HR range = 1.03–1.27, respectively) and breast cancer mortalities (HR range = 1.47–2.63 vs. HR range = 1.05–1.53, respectively) (Table 4). Yet, there was no formal statistical evidence of heterogeneity in associations by ER/PR status.
Table 3.
Associations of gaseous and particulate matter air pollutants and risk of death following breast cancer diagnosis among CA MEC breast cancer cases by race/ethnicity, 1993–2013a,b.
| All-cause mortality | Breast cancer mortality | CVD mortality | Non-breast cancer and non-CVD mortality | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | |||
| LUR | NOxc | African Americans | 419 | 1.42 | (1.04–1.94) | 0.03 | 193 | 1.41 | (0.88–2.25) | 0.15 | 106 | 3.62 | (1.91–6.86) | <0.0001 | 120 | 0.83 | (0.40–1.72) | 0.62 |
| European Americans | 198 | 1.35 | (0.80–2.30) | 0.26 | 66 | 1.94 | (0.63–6.02) | 0.25 | 52 | 0.51 | (0.09–2.72) | 0.43 | 80 | 2.66 | (1.0–7.07) | 0.05 | ||
| Japanese Americans | 80 | 1.91 | (0.63–5.83) | 0.25 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | ||
| Latina Americans | 282 | 1.05 | (0.71–1.54) | 0.82 | 126 | 1.46 | (0.79–2.71) | 0.23 | 61 | 1.14 | (0.43–2.97) | 0.79 | 95 | 0.51 | (0.25–1.05) | 0.07 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.46 | 0.82 | 0.02 | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||
| NO2c | African Americans | 437 | 1.33 | (0.91–1.95) | 0.14 | 199 | 1.73 | (0.97–3.08) | 0.07 | 110 | 3.34 | (1.50–7.44) | 0.003 | 128 | 0.53 | (0.23–1.21) | 0.13 | |
| European Americans | 203 | 1.30 | (0.72–2.34) | 0.39 | 69 | 2.23 | (0.66–7.53) | 0.20 | 53 | 0.88 | (0.16–5.00) | 0.89 | 81 | 1.71 | (0.60–4.87) | 0.32 | ||
| Japanese Americans | 80 | 3.18 | (0.90–11.20) | 0.07 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | ||
| Latina Americans | 283 | 1.02 | (0.63–1.65) | 0.92 | 127 | 1.17 | (0.56–2.44) | 0.68 | 61 | 1.00 | (0.30–3.30) | 1.00 | 95 | 0.68 | (0.28–1.64) | 0.39 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.25 | 0.50 | 0.14 | 0.21 | ||||||||||||||
| Kriging | NOxc | African Americans | 491 | 1.18 | (0.90–1.56) | 0.24 | 220 | 1.24 | (0.82–1.88) | 0.32 | 124 | 2.16 | (1.21–3.84) | 0.01 | 147 | 0.74 | (0.42–1.29) | 0.28 |
| European Americans | 224 | 1.68 | (1.01–2.80) | 0.04 | 76 | 3.98 | (1.31–12.04) | 0.01 | 60 | 0.88 | (0.23–3.36) | 0.86 | 88 | 2.25 | (0.86–5.85) | 0.10 | ||
| Japanese Americans | 82 | 0.92 | (0.26–3.28) | 0.89 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | ||
| Latina Americans | 296 | 1.14 | (0.76–1.72) | 0.52 | 131 | 1.67 | (0.87–3.19) | 0.12 | 63 | 0.96 | (0.33–2.79) | 0.93 | 102 | 0.74 | (0.36–1.51) | 0.41 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.91 | 0.42 | 0.09 | 0.73 | ||||||||||||||
| NO2c | African Americans | 506 | 1.30 | (0.91–1.86) | 0.15 | 227 | 1.52 | (0.87–2.65) | 0.14 | 124 | 3.39 | (1.59–7.23) | 0.002 | 155 | 0.56 | (0.28–1.10) | 0.09 | |
| European Americans | 224 | 1.87 | (1.05–3.34) | 0.03 | 76 | 4.90 | (1.36–17.71) | 0.02 | 60 | 0.85 | (0.21–3.43) | 0.82 | 88 | 2.69 | (0.94–7.73) | 0.07 | ||
| Japanese Americans | 83 | 0.88 | (0.24–3.26) | 0.84 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | ||
| Latina Americans | 296 | 1.19 | (0.73–1.95) | 0.49 | 131 | 1.61 | (0.75–3.47) | 0.22 | 63 | 1.05 | (0.29–3.85) | 0.94 | 102 | 0.85 | (0.35–2.03) | 0.71 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.59 | 0.25 | 0.12 | 0.05 | ||||||||||||||
| PM2.5c | African Americans | 504 | 1.35 | (0.99–1.85) | 0.06 | 225 | 1.33 | (0.80–2.20) | 0.27 | 124 | 2.10 | (1.13–3.91) | 0.02 | 155 | 0.92 | (0.51–1.65) | 0.78 | |
| European Americans | 225 | 1.33 | (0.77–2.30) | 0.30 | 76 | 2.21 | (0.63–7.82) | 0.22 | 60 | 0.78 | (0.20–3.02) | 0.72 | 89 | 1.79 | (0.69–4.65) | 0.23 | ||
| Japanese Americans | 83 | 0.57 | (0.15–2.20) | 0.42 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | ||
| Latina Americans | 295 | 0.94 | (0.60–1.47) | 0.78 | 130 | 1.17 | (0.59–2.33) | 0.66 | 63 | 0.93 | (0.29–3.02) | 0.91 | 102 | 0.62 | (0.28–1.36) | 0.23 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.23 | 0.87 | 0.11 | 0.63 | ||||||||||||||
| PM10c | African Americans | 506 | 1.25 | (1.03–1.52) | 0.02 | 227 | 1.33 | (0.97–1.83) | 0.08 | 124 | 1.55 | (1.04–2.29) | 0.03 | 155 | 0.97 | (0.68–1.37) | 0.85 | |
| European Americans | 225 | 1.23 | (0.83–1.81) | 0.31 | 76 | 1.51 | (0.63–3.64) | 0.36 | 60 | 1.05 | (0.38–2.93) | 0.93 | 89 | 1.29 | (0.67–2.46) | 0.45 | ||
| Japanese Americans | 83 | 0.85 | (0.34–2.12) | 0.73 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | ||
| Latina Americans | 296 | 0.98 | (0.73–1.30) | 0.87 | 131 | 1.11 | (0.72–1.73) | 0.64 | 63 | 1.24 | (0.54–2.82) | 0.61 | 102 | 0.79 | (0.47–1.33) | 0.36 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.21 | 0.52 | 0.34 | 0.66 | ||||||||||||||
African American (n = 1117), European American (n = 573), Japanese American (n = 370), and Latina American (n = 958) breast cancer cases. Native Hawaiian (n = 11) breast cancer cases were not included.
Adjusted for marital status, ERPR status, stage, grade, histology, tumor size, chemotherapy, hormone treatment, radiation, surgery, nSES at diagnosis and current nSES, BMI, smoking, alcohol, diabetes, CVD risk, and age at first live birth; age at diagnosis as a stratum variable
LUR and kriging per 50 ppb NOX; 20 ppb Kriging and LUR NO2; Kriging per 10ug/m3 PM10 and PM2.5
Table 4.
Associations of gaseous and particulate matter air pollutants and risk of death following breast cancer diagnosis among CA MEC breast cancer cases by ERPR status, 1993–2013a.
| All-cause mortality | Breast cancer mortality | CVD mortality | Non-breast cancer and non-CVD mortality | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | |||
| LUR | NOxb | ER+/PR+ | 569 | 1.27 | (0.97–1.66) | 0.08 | 214 | 1.53 | (0.98–2.39) | 0.06 | 144 | 1.35 | (0.78–2.33) | 0.28 | 211 | 1.05 | (0.67–1.64) | 0.85 |
| ER-PR- | 189 | 1.20 | (0.72–1.99) | 0.48 | 106 | 1.58 | (0.81–3.09) | 0.18 | – | – | – | – | 48 | 1.30 | (0.32–5.28) | 0.71 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.84 | 0.92 | – | 0.74 | ||||||||||||||
| NO2b | ER+/PR+ | 584 | 1.20 | (0.87–1.64) | 0.26 | 220 | 1.34 | (0.79–2.26) | 0.28 | 148 | 1.25 | (0.65–2.42) | 0.51 | 216 | 1.10 | (0.65–1.85) | 0.73 | |
| ER-PR- | 196 | 1.21 | (0.67–2.15) | 0.53 | 109 | 1.95 | (0.89–4.28) | 0.10 | – | – | – | – | 51 | 1.67 | (0.31–9.03) | 0.55 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.98 | 0.41 | – | 0.64 | ||||||||||||||
| Kriging | NOxb | ER+/PR+ | 647 | 1.14 | (0.89–1.47) | 0.31 | 238 | 1.31 | (0.86–2.02) | 0.21 | 166 | 1.33 | (0.79–2.24) | 0.29 | 243 | 0.98 | (0.65–1.49) | 0.93 |
| ER-PR- | 213 | 1.40 | (0.89–2.20) | 0.15 | 120 | 1.76 | (0.93–3.31) | 0.08 | 41 | 2.64 | (0.42–16.76) | 0.30 | 52 | 0.87 | (0.27–2.78) | 0.81 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 0.86 | ||||||||||||||
| N02b | ER+/PR+ | 659 | 1.08 | (0.80–1.45) | 0.63 | 243 | 1.28 | (0.76–2.14) | 0.35 | 166 | 1.36 | (0.73–2.55) | 0.33 | 250 | 0.89 | (0.55–1.44) | 0.64 | |
| ER-PR- | 215 | 1.81 | (1.04–3.15) | 0.04 | 122 | 2.63 | (1.19–5.83) | 0.02 | 41 | 1.79 | (0.21–15.2) | 0.59 | 52 | 1.49 | (0.33–6.83) | 0.61 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.81 | 0.53 | ||||||||||||||
| PM2.5b | ER+/PR+ | 657 | 1.03 | (0.78–1.36) | 0.84 | 241 | 1.05 | (0.65–1.72) | 0.83 | 166 | 1.12 | (0.64–1.97) | 0.69 | 250 | 0.98 | (0.63–1.51) | 0.91 | |
| ER-PR- | 215 | 1.41 | (0.86–2.30) | 0.17 | 121 | 1.76 | (0.88–3.52) | 0.11 | 41 | 1.30 | (0.20–8.43) | 0.78 | 53 | 1.22 | (0.33–4.58) | 0.77 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.72 | 0.72 | ||||||||||||||
| PM10b | ER+/PR+ | 659 | 1.09 | (0.92–1.29) | 0.33 | 243 | 1.12 | (0.83–1.52) | 0.46 | 166 | 1.12 | (0.80–1.58) | 0.51 | 250 | 1.07 | (0.81–1.40) | 0.65 | |
| ER-PR- | 216 | 1.32 | (0.96–1.81) | 0.09 | 122 | 1.47 | (0.95–2.28) | 0.09 | 41 | 0.65 | (0.20–2.08) | 0.46 | 53 | 1.37 | (0.57–3.31) | 0.48 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.39 | 0.63 | ||||||||||||||
Adjusted for race/ethnicity, marital status, stage, grade, histology, tumor size, chemotherapy, hormone treatment, radiation, surgery, nSES at diagnosis and current nSES, BMI, smoking, alcohol, diabetes, CVD risk, and age at first live birth; age at diagnosis as a stratum variable
Kriging and LUR per 50 ppb NOX; 20 ppb Kriging and LUR NO2; Kriging per PM10 and PM2.5
Risk of CVD mortality associated with air pollutants was higher among low than high nSES cases (Table 5; p heterogeneity > 05). However, LUR NO2 was associated with increased risk of all-cause, breast cancer, and non-breast cancer/non-CVD mortalities among high nSES breast cancer cases, but either inversely or not associated with these outcomes among low nSES cases (p heterogeneity ≤ 05). Supplemental Figure 1 shows that at low levels of LUR NO2, the HRs for all-cause and breast cancer mortalities were higher among low nSES cases. In contrast, at higher levels of LUR NO2, the HRs for these outcomes were higher for high nSES cases. That is, while starting at lower risk, the slope of increase in risk was steeper among high nSES cases with increasing LUR NO2.
Table 5.
Associations of gaseous and particulate matter air pollutants and risk of death following breast cancer diagnosis among CA MEC breast cancer cases by nSES at diagnosis, 1993–2013a.
| All-cause mortality | Breast cancer mortality | CVD mortality | Non-breast cancer and non-CVD mortality | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | |||
| LUR | NOxb | low nSES (Q1–Q3) | 681 | 1.04 | (0.82–1.31) | 0.76 | 298 | 1.08 | (0.75–1.55) | 0.67 | 168 | 1.57 | (0.99–2.50) | 0.06 | 215 | 0.74 | (0.47–1.16) | 0.19 |
| high nSES (Q4–Q5) | 289 | 1.44 | (0.97–2.13) | 0.07 | 116 | 1.87 | (0.98–3.55) | 0.06 | 70 | 0.65 | (0.23–1.81) | 0.41 | 103 | 1.43 | (0.72–2.83) | 0.31 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.09 | ||||||||||||||
| N02b | low nSES (Q1–Q3) | 698 | 0.93 | (0.69–1.24) | 0.61 | 305 | 1.04 | (0.66–1.63) | 0.88 | 171 | 1.42 | (0.78–2.59) | 0.25 | 222 | 0.62 | (0.36–1.08) | 0.09 | |
| high nSES (Q4–Q5) | 296 | 1.65 | (1.08–2.53) | 0.02 | 119 | 2.44 | (1.19–5.00) | 0.02 | 72 | 0.68 | (0.24–1.92) | 0.46 | 105 | 1.58 | (0.74–3.35) | 0.23 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.22 | 0.05 | ||||||||||||||
| Kriging | NOxb | low nSES (Q1–Q3) | 758 | 1.12 | (0.90–1.40) | 0.32 | 326 | 1.23 | (0.88–1.71) | 0.23 | 188 | 1.48 | (0.92–2.38) | 0.10 | 244 | 0.85 | (0.57–1.27) | 0.43 |
| high nSES (Q4–Q5) | 325 | 1.31 | (0.89–1.92) | 0.17 | 131 | 1.48 | (0.75–2.93) | 0.26 | 78 | 0.90 | (0.37–2.20) | 0.82 | 116 | 1.37 | (0.74–2.56) | 0.32 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.49 | 0.62 | 0.34 | 0.20 | ||||||||||||||
| N02b | low nSES (Q1–Q3) | 771 | 1.15 | (0.87–1.53) | 0.33 | 331 | 1.42 | (0.91–2.21) | 0.12 | 188 | 1.69 | (0.93–3.07) | 0.08 | 252 | 0.77 | (0.47–1.26) | 0.30 | |
| high nSES (Q4–Q5) | 328 | 1.49 | (0.98–2.27) | 0.07 | 133 | 1.46 | (0.69–3.07) | 0.32 | 78 | 0.92 | (0.36–2.33) | 0.86 | 117 | 1.86 | (0.91–3.80) | 0.09 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.32 | 0.95 | 0.28 | 0.05 | ||||||||||||||
| PM2.5b | low nSES (Q1–Q3) | 770 | 1.07 | (0.83–1.38) | 0.61 | 329 | 1.06 | (0.71–1.58) | 0.77 | 188 | 1.43 | (0.85–2.42) | 0.18 | 253 | 0.88 | (0.56–1.37) | 0.56 | |
| high nSES (Q4–Q5) | 327 | 1.38 | (0.93–2.04) | 0.11 | 132 | 1.32 | (0.67–2.60) | 0.43 | 78 | 1.40 | (0.59–3.35) | 0.44 | 117 | 1.33 | (0.67–2.65) | 0.42 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.29 | 0.59 | 0.97 | 0.32 | ||||||||||||||
| PM10b | low nSES (Q1–Q3) | 772 | 1.06 | (0.90–1.25) | 0.50 | 331 | 1.16 | (0.89–1.50) | 0.28 | 188 | 1.11 | (0.79–1.55) | 0.55 | 253 | 0.93 | (0.70–1.25) | 0.64 | |
| high nSES (Q4–Q5) | 328 | 1.30 | (1.01–1.66) | 0.04 | 133 | 1.37 | (0.87–2.15) | 0.18 | 78 | 1.39 | (0.79–2.44) | 0.25 | 117 | 1.16 | (0.77–1.76) | 0.48 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.18 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 0.39 | ||||||||||||||
Adjusted for race/ethnicity, marital status, ERPR status, stage, grade, histology, tumor size, chemotherapy, hormone treatment, radiation, surgery, current nSES, BMI, smoking, alcohol, diabetes, CVD risk, and age at first live birth; age at diagnosis as a stratum variable
Kriging and LUR per 50 ppb NOX; 20 ppb Kriging and LUR NO2; Kriging per PM10 and PM2.5 PM10 and PM2.5
Largely similar patterns of associations were observed for localized and advanced disease (Table 6). For breast cancer cases with no pre-existing CVD, statistically significant increased risks for all-cause mortality were seen with LUR NOX (HR = 1.38; 95% CI: 1.04–1.82), kriged NOX (HR = 1.38; 95% CI: 1.03–1.85) and NO2 (HR = 1.52; 95% CI: 1.06–2.18) (Supplemental Table 4). While for cases with pre-existing CVD, kriged pollutants and LUR NO2 displayed larger HRs for CVD mortality than cases with no CVD. Analyses by breast cancer treatment showed that PM2.5 and PM10 were consistently associated with increased risk of all-cause, breast cancer, and CVD mortalities among cases who did not receive either chemotherapy or radiation (Supplemental Table 5). Results by moving status showed positive associations with all-cause, breast cancer, and CVD mortalities for all pollutants among non-movers while patterns were less consistent patterns among movers (Supplemental Table 6).
Table 6.
Associations of gaseous and particulate matter air pollutants and risk of death following breast cancer diagnosis among CA MEC breast cancer cases by stage of disease, 1993–2013a.
| All-cause mortality | Breast cancer mortality | CVD mortality | Non-breast cancer and non-CVD mortality | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | Deaths | HR | 95% CI | p-value | |||
| LUR | NOxb | Localized | 525 | 1.20 | (0.91–1.59) | 0.21 | 134 | 1.29 | (0.77–2.15) | 0.33 | 157 | 1.52 | (0.87–2.64) | 0.14 | 234 | 0.95 | (0.61–1.48) | 0.81 |
| Advanced | 428 | 1.03 | (0.77–1.39) | 0.82 | 269 | 1.05 | (0.72–1.54) | 0.80 | 78 | 1.25 | (0.55–2.84) | 0.59 | 81 | 0.93 | (0.42–2.09) | 0.87 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.47 | 0.48 | 0.72 | 0.98 | ||||||||||||||
| N02b | Localized | 536 | 1.11 | (0.79–1.55) | 0.56 | 138 | 1.20 | (0.63–2.26) | 0.58 | 159 | 1.35 | (0.69–2.64) | 0.38 | 239 | 0.88 | (0.52–1.47) | 0.62 | |
| Advanced | 440 | 1.17 | (0.82–1.68) | 0.39 | 274 | 1.19 | (0.74–1.90) | 0.47 | 81 | 1.35 | (0.53–3.41) | 0.53 | 85 | 1.06 | (0.41–2.75) | 0.91 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.81 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 0.74 | ||||||||||||||
| Kriging | NOxb | Localized | 589 | 1.21 | (0.92–1.58) | 0.17 | 150 | 1.55 | (0.93–2.60) | 0.09 | 177 | 1.40 | (0.84–2.34) | 0.19 | 262 | 0.95 | (0.63–1.43) | 0.80 |
| Advanced | 477 | 1.04 | (0.78–1.39) | 0.81 | 295 | 1.04 | (0.72–1.51) | 0.84 | 87 | 1.24 | (0.54–2.84) | 0.62 | 95 | 1.01 | (0.52–1.98) | 0.97 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.48 | 0.21 | 0.76 | 0.91 | ||||||||||||||
| N02b | Localized | 596 | 1.35 | (0.98–1.86) | 0.06 | 151 | 1.95 | (1.02–3.75) | 0.04 | 177 | 1.50 | (0.83–2.71) | 0.18 | 268 | 1.04 | (0.65–1.68) | 0.87 | |
| Advanced | 485 | 1.14 | (0.79–1.65) | 0.48 | 301 | 1.11 | (0.69–1.78) | 0.66 | 87 | 1.22 | (0.42–3.55) | 0.72 | 97 | 1.06 | (0.45–2.47) | 0.90 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.49 | 0.17 | 0.74 | 0.97 | ||||||||||||||
| PM2.5b | Localized | 595 | 1.14 | (0.85–1.52) | 0.38 | 149 | 1.38 | (0.76–2.51) | 0.29 | 177 | 1.36 | (0.80–2.31) | 0.25 | 269 | 0.89 | (0.58–1.36) | 0.58 | |
| Advanced | 484 | 1.12 | (0.80–1.56) | 0.51 | 300 | 0.97 | (0.63–1.49) | 0.88 | 87 | 1.15 | (0.47–2.83) | 0.76 | 97 | 1.67 | (0.78–3.61) | 0.19 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.88 | 0.32 | 0.74 | 0.19 | ||||||||||||||
| PM10b | Localized | 597 | 1.19 | (0.99–1.43) | 0.06 | 151 | 1.47 | (1.01–2.13) | 0.04 | 177 | 1.25 | (0.90–1.73) | 0.18 | 269 | 1.01 | (0.77–1.33) | 0.93 | |
| Advanced | 485 | 1.08 | (0.87–1.33) | 0.49 | 301 | 1.00 | (0.76–1.31) | 0.99 | 87 | 0.95 | (0.52–1.75) | 0.87 | 97 | 1.21 | (0.78–1.89) | 0.39 | ||
| Pheterogenerity | 0.35 | 0.08 | 0.43 | 0.72 | ||||||||||||||
Adjusted for race/ethnicity, marital status, ERPR status, grade, histology, tumor size, chemotherapy, hormone treatment, radiation, surgery, nSES at diagnosis and current nSES, BMI, smoking, alcohol, diabetes, CVD risk, and age at first live birth; age at diagnosis as a stratum variable
LUR and kriging per 50 ppb NOX; 20 ppb Kriging and LUR NO2; Kriging per 10ug/m3 PM2.5 and PM10
4. Discussion
In this prospective study of female breast cancer cases in the MEC, NOX, NO2, PM2.5, and PM10 were positively associated with increased risks of all-cause, breast, and CVD mortalities. Consistently positive associations were observed across race/ethnicity for breast cancer mortality. In addition, almost all kriged and LUR pollutants displayed larger HRs for breast cancer mortality among ER-PR- breast cancer than ER+/PR + disease. Heterogeneity in LUR NO2 associations with all-cause and breast cancer mortalities by nSES were observed. Positive associations with all-cause, breast cancer and CVD mortalities were consistently observed among breast cancer cases who were non-movers. Overall, our findings provide new evidence that long-term air pollutant exposures adversely impact mortality outcomes for breast cancer survivors after adjustment for key covariates.
The positive associations observed for PM2.5 and PM10 (per 10 μg/m3; HR = 1.17 and 1.13, respectively) with all-cause mortality in the MEC support prior findings of the NHS based on time-varying spatiotemporal models (per 10 μg/m3 PM2.5 and PM10: HR = 1.12 and 1.09, respectively) (DuPré et al., 2019). In a California SEER-based study, county-level PM2.5 and PM10 were associated with increased risks of overall and breast cancer mortality for all breast cancer cases and those with localized disease (Hu et al., 2013). We also observed increased risks for breast cancer mortality with PM exposures but the 95% CIs included the null. The large SEER-based study (Hu et al., 2013) used county-level PM estimates based on a single address at diagnosis with limited individual-level covariates, while the MEC and NHS (DuPré et al., 2019) had fewer cases but used time-varying exposure estimates based on detailed residential histories and included individual-level covariate data.
The increased risks for CVD mortality associated with all air pollutants support the well-documented adverse health effects of air pollution on CVD (Brook et al., 2010). These overall CVD mortality associations were driven by associations observed among African American breast cancer cases, suggesting a particularly high risk for CVD mortality following their breast cancer diagnosis due to air pollutant exposures. Both chemotherapy and radiation treatment for breast cancer may increase the risk of CVD. In particular, anthracycline has known cardiotoxic effects while radiotherapy may increase CVD risk through injury to the cardiac muscle or the surrounding vasculature (Doyle et al., 2005; Accordino et al., 2014). Thus, it is surprising that the HRs for PM2.5 and PM10 with all-cause, breast cancer, and CVD mortalities were somewhat larger for women who did not receive chemotherapy and radiation than those who received chemotherapy and/or radiation, but the 95% CIs displayed large overlap between treatment strata.
We observed larger HRs for LUR NO2 with all-cause and breast cancer mortalities for breast cancer cases living in high versus low SES neighborhoods. However, at low levels of LUR NO2 larger HRs for all-cause and breast cancer mortalities were observed among low versus high nSES breast cancer cases, while at high levels of NO2, the relationship reversed in direction. As Supplemental Figure 1 illustrates, our findings suggest that high nSES breast cancer cases start with a lower mortality risk at low air pollution levels than low nSES cases but experience a steeper risk increase with increasing pollution that surpass low nSES cases at higher levels of LUR NO2. A similar pattern of lower baseline mortality risk and steeper increases by levels of air pollutant among the highest SES individuals was reported by a nationwide Danish study (Raaschou-Nielsen et al., 2020).
Air pollution is comprised a complex mixture of correlated gaseous pollutants and PM. We interpret the observed associations with the various air pollutants as reflecting a traffic-related air pollution mixture rather than any specific air pollutant. We did not conduct multi-pollutant modeling given the high degree of correlation between pollutants. Elevated effect estimates with LUR and kriging pollutants and all-cause mortality were consistently observed among African American and European American breast cancers with large numbers of deaths. Less consistent findings among Japanese American and Latina cases may be related to the smaller number of events overall for Japanese American cases and of non-breast cancer deaths among Latina American cases.
Air pollution includes various polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, metals, and benzene that are transported and metabolized throughout the body and have been linked to increased oxidative stress, inflammation, and epigenetic changes (Liu et al., 2019; Rider and Carlsten, 2019; Rao et al., 2018). Although the biological mechanisms by which air pollution may increase mortality among breast cancer cases are unclear, oxidative stress may adversely affect mortality through cell proliferation, genetic instability, and mutations (Kang and Hamasaki, 2003). Inflammation may also trigger the release of pro-inflammatory cytokines, leading to tissue and organ damage and death (Tsai et al., 2019; Li et al., 2019). Epigenetic changes, such as DNA methylation, resulting in the activation or silencing of key genes has been linked to mortality (Zhang et al., 2017).
To our knowledge, this is the first US study to evaluate associations between air pollution and mortality, overall and from different causes, among breast cancer cases across race/ethnicity, nSES, pre-existing CVD conditions, and first course of treatment. Study strengths include a diverse study population with regard to race/ethnicity and nSES. Our findings in Los Angeles County, an area that has experienced some of the highest air pollution levels in the US, provide important insights that may be particularly applicable to highly polluted megacities in developing and rapidly industrializing countries. In addition, we captured long-term air pollution exposures using detailed residential histories, an approach that possibly reduces exposure misclassification in comparison to studies limited to a single address at diagnosis. We also accounted for a large number of individual-level covariates and nSES.
Our study has limitations. While we accounted for nSES, using a construct that captured the domains of income, poverty, employment, and housing, we were unable to account for other unmeasured individual-level SES factors (e.g. insurance status). Information on air pollution exposures at non-residential locations and indoors, and details on treatment regimens and dose are lacking. Due to the smaller sample size in subgroup analyses, we acknowledge the imprecision in some of our effect estimates and the limited statistical power to detect associations for some outcomes (e.g. CVD mortality among Japanese Americans and ER-PR- breast cancers). We also acknowledge that a large number of comparisons were made with a possibility of false positive associations.
In conclusion, this study reports adverse effects of air pollution on mortality among breast cancer cases. While it remains to be determined whether breast cancer survivors are more susceptible to the adverse effects of air pollutants than the general population of women, maintaining stringent clean air laws serves as an actionable target to reduce mortality among the many US women with breast cancer. Future large studies of multiethnic and socioeconomically diverse populations are needed to corroborate and expand our findings.
Supplementary Material
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by Susan G. Komen (IIR13262718) for IC, JY, CT, JW, SMC, SSM, SLG, ASW, DS, BR, AW; Health Effects of Air Pollution Foundation (HEAPF014) for IC, JY CT, JW, SSM, AW; the National Cancer Institute (U01 CA164973) LRW, LLM; USC Norris Comprehensive Cancer Center (Core) Support (P30 CA014089) for AW; Environmental Exposures, Host Factors, and Human Disease (P30 ES0070480 for AW; California Air Resource Board (contract 04-323) for BR, National Cancer Institute (R21-CA094723). The authors are grateful to the study participants and research team of the MEC. We thank Diana Chingos who served as patient advocate on the study and Heather Rose for her administrative assistance.
Footnotes
Author Disclosures
None of the authors listed above have any conflicts of interest to disclose for this manuscript
Prior presentations
American Association of Cancer Research Conference on the Science of Cancer Health Disparities in Minorities and Medically Underserved, San Francisco 2019
CRediT authorship contribution statement
Iona Cheng: Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Investigation. Juan Yang: Formal analysis, Investigation. Chiuchen Tseng: Formal analysis, Investigation. Jun Wu: Data curation, Investigation. Shannon M. Conroy: Investigation. Salma Shariff-Marco: Investigation. Scarlett Lin Gomez: Investigation. Alice S. Whittemore: Investigation. Daniel O. Stram: Investigation. Loïc Le Marchand: Investigation. Lynne R. Wilkens: Investigation. Beate Ritz: Data curation, Investigation. Anna H. Wu: Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Investigation.
Declaration of Competing Interest
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
Appendix A. Supplementary data
Supplementary data to this article can be found online at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2022.107088.
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