Abstract
Background
Modern immunosuppressive regimens after kidney transplantation usually use a combination of two or three agents of different classes to prevent rejection and maintain graft function. Most frequently, calcineurin‐inhibitors (CNI) are combined with corticosteroids and a proliferation‐inhibitor, either azathioprine (AZA) or mycophenolic acid (MPA). MPA has largely replaced AZA as a first line agent in primary immunosuppression, as MPA is believed to be of stronger immunosuppressive potency than AZA. However, treatment with MPA is more costly, which calls for a comprehensive assessment of the comparative effects of the two drugs.
Objectives
This review of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) aimed to look at the benefits and harms of MPA versus AZA in primary immunosuppressive regimens after kidney transplantation. Both agents were compared regarding their efficacy for maintaining graft and patient survival, prevention of acute rejection, maintaining graft function, and their safety, including infections, malignancies and other adverse events. Furthermore, we investigated potential effect modifiers, such as transplantation era and the concomitant immunosuppressive regimen in detail.
Search methods
We searched Cochrane Kidney and Transplant's Specialised Register (to 21 September 2015) through contact with the Trials' Search Co‐ordinator using search terms relevant to this review.
Selection criteria
All RCTs about MPA versus AZA in primary immunosuppression after kidney transplantation were included, without restriction on language or publication type.
Data collection and analysis
Two authors independently determined study eligibility, assessed risk of bias and extracted data from each study. Statistical analyses were performed using the random‐effects model and the results were expressed as risk ratio (RR) for dichotomous outcomes and mean difference (MD) for continuous outcomes with 95% confidence intervals (CI).
Main results
We included 23 studies (94 reports) that involved 3301 participants. All studies tested mycophenolate mofetil (MMF), an MPA, and 22 studies reported at least one outcome relevant for this review. Assessment of methodological quality indicated that important information on factors used to judge susceptibility for bias was infrequently and inconsistently reported.
MMF treatment reduced the risk for graft loss including death (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.67 to 1.0) and for death‐censored graft loss (RR 0.78, 95% CI 0.62 to 0.99, P < 0.05). No statistically significant difference for MMF versus AZA treatment was found for all‐cause mortality (16 studies, 2987 participants: RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.70 to 1.29). The risk for any acute rejection (22 studies, 3301 participants: RR 0.65, 95% CI 0.57 to 0.73, P < 0.01), biopsy‐proven acute rejection (12 studies, 2696 participants: RR 0.59, 95% CI 0.52 to 0.68) and antibody‐treated acute rejection (15 studies, 2914 participants: RR 0.48, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.65, P < 0.01) were reduced in MMF treated patients. Meta‐regression analyses suggested that the magnitude of risk reduction of acute rejection may be dependent on the control rate (relative risk reduction (RRR) 0.34, 95% CI 0.10 to 1.09, P = 0.08), AZA dose (RRR 1.01, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.01, P = 0.10) and the use of cyclosporin A micro‐emulsion (RRR 1.27, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.65, P = 0.07). Pooled analyses failed to show a significant and meaningful difference between MMF and AZA in kidney function measures.
Data on malignancies and infections were sparse, except for cytomegalovirus (CMV) infections. The risk for CMV viraemia/syndrome (13 studies, 2880 participants: RR 1.06, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.32) was not statistically significantly different between MMF and AZA treated patients, whereas the likelihood of tissue‐invasive CMV disease was greater with MMF therapy (7 studies, 1510 participants: RR 1.70, 95% CI 1.10 to 2.61). Adverse event profiles varied: gastrointestinal symptoms were more likely in MMF treated patients and thrombocytopenia and elevated liver enzymes were more common in AZA treatment.
Authors' conclusions
MMF was superior to AZA for improvement of graft survival and prevention of acute rejection after kidney transplantation. These benefits must be weighed against potential harms such as tissue‐invasive CMV disease. However, assessment of the evidence on safety outcomes was limited due to rare events in the observation periods of the studies (e.g. malignancies) and inconsistent reporting and definitions (e.g. infections, adverse events). Thus, balancing benefits and harms of the two drugs remains a major task of the transplant physician to decide which agent the individual patient should be started on.
Keywords: Humans, Kidney Transplantation, Kidney Transplantation/mortality, Azathioprine, Azathioprine/therapeutic use, Cyclosporine, Cyclosporine/therapeutic use, Graft Rejection, Graft Rejection/mortality, Graft Rejection/prevention & control, Immunosuppression Therapy, Immunosuppression Therapy/methods, Immunosuppressive Agents, Immunosuppressive Agents/therapeutic use, Mycophenolic Acid, Mycophenolic Acid/analogs & derivatives, Mycophenolic Acid/therapeutic use, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
Plain language summary
Mycophenolic acid versus azathioprine as primary immunosuppression for kidney transplant recipients
After kidney transplantation, patients receive a combination of immunosuppressive medications to prevent rejection of the transplanted kidney. These regimens usually contain a calcineurin‐inhibitor (tacrolimus or cyclosporin A), corticosteroids and an antiproliferative agent (mycophenolic acid (MPA), e.g. mycophenolate mofetil (MMF), or azathioprine (AZA)). MPA is considered to be of stronger immunosuppressive potency than AZA, but the benefits on survival of the graft and its safe use over a long period of time are insufficiently understood.
In this systematic review, we compared the efficacy and safety of MPA versus AZA in randomised controlled trials (RCTs) when given as part of the immunosuppressive regimen immediately after kidney transplantation.
Searches to 21 September 2015 identified 23 studies in which 3301 patients were treated with MPA (all studies used MMF) or AZA. Methodological quality of the studies was limited, e.g. only in two RCTs was the study medication administered in a blinded fashion.
MMF was more effective than AZA for reducing the risk of graft loss (by approximately 20%) and acute rejection (by approximately 30%). No difference in mortality was observed. Moreover, graft function appeared to be similar in both treatments.
When drugs are given to suppress the immune system, this can result in serious side effects such as infections and malignancies. The data on adverse events was limited by relatively short follow up in the studies as some of these side effects occur after several years of treatment. Furthermore, the studies did not focus on these harms and did not use harmonised diagnostic criteria. The incidence of cytomegalovirus infections did not differ between MMF and AZA, but there was a 1.7‐fold increased risk for the more severe, tissue‐invasive cytomegalovirus disease in MMF‐treated patients. Information on malignancies was reported only in five studies; therefore no robust conclusions can be drawn. Gastrointestinal side effects (e.g. nausea, diarrhoea) were more common with MMF‐treatment, whereas bone marrow suppression (e.g. thrombocytopenia) and elevated liver enzymes were observed more frequently in AZA treated patients.
In general, evidence for efficacy outcomes is of high quality and can be seen as considerably robust, but there is less certainty on aspects of safety. Therefore, caregivers should balance potential benefits and harms of MMF and AZA according to individual patient's risks and preferences. Physicians need to individualise the decision between these agents as components of the immunosuppressive regimen.
Summary of findings
Summary of findings for the main comparison. Mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) versus azathioprine (AZA) for primary immunosuppression in kidney transplant recipients.
MMF compared to AZA for primary immunosuppression in kidney transplant recipients | ||||||
Patient or population: patients with kidney transplant recipients Settings: primary immunosuppressive regimens (RCTs) Intervention: MMF Comparison: AZA | ||||||
Outcomes | Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI) | Relative effect (95% CI) | No of participants (studies) | Quality of the evidence (GRADE) | Comments | |
Assumed risk | Corresponding risk | |||||
AZA | MMF | |||||
Death, all cause Follow‐up: 0.5 to 5 years | 49 per 1000 | 47 per 1000 (34 to 63) | RR 0.95 (0.7 to 1.29) | 2987 (16) | ⊕⊕⊕⊝ moderate1 | No evidence for difference due to low precision |
Graft loss, censored for death Follow‐up: 0.5 to 6 years | 11 per 100 | 9 per 100 (7 to 11) | RR 0.78 (0.61 to 0.98) | 2540 (17) | ⊕⊕⊕⊕ high2 | Statistically significant risk reduction of meaningful magnitude (˜20%) with MMF treatment |
Malignancy, any Follow‐up: 1 to 6 years | 10 per 100 | 8 per 100 (6 to 11) | RR 0.81 (0.6 to 1.09) | 1735 (5) | ⊕⊝⊝⊝ very low3,4,5 | Statistically not significant favourable point estimate (˜20%) with MMF treatment, but very low quality evidence |
Acute rejection, steroid resistant/antibody treated As reported in the articles Follow‐up: 0.5 to 3 years | 11 per 100 | 5 per 100 (4 to 7) | RR 0.48 (0.36 to 0.65) | 2914 (15) | ⊕⊕⊕⊕ high | Statistically significant risk reduction of meaningful magnitude (˜50%) with MMF treatment |
Infection, CMV tissue invasive As reported in the articles Follow‐up: 0.5 to 3 years | 4 per 100 | 7 per 100 (5 to 11) | RR 1.7 (1.1 to 2.61) | 1510 (7) | ⊕⊕⊕⊕ high3,6 | Statistically significantly increased risk of meaningful magnitude (1.7 fold) with MMF treatment |
Acute rejection, total Any treated acute rejection, including biopsy‐proven Follow‐up: 0.5 to 5 years | 35 per 100 | 23 per 100 (20 to 26) | RR 0.65 (0.57 to 0.73) | 3301 (22) | ⊕⊕⊕⊕ high | Statistically significant risk reduction of meaningful magnitude (˜35%) with MMF treatment |
Chronic allograft nephropathy Biopsy required in 2 RCTs, one study with optional biopsy Follow‐up: 1 to 6 years | 36 per 100 | 25 per 100 (17 to 36) | RR 0.69 (0.48 to 0.99) | 203 (3) | ⊕⊕⊝⊝ low3,4 | Statistically significant risk reduction of meaningful magnitude (30%) with MMF treatment, but low quality evidence due to sparse data |
*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI). CI: Confidence interval; RR: Risk ratio | ||||||
GRADE Working Group grades of evidence High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect. Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate. Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate. Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate. |
AZA ‐ azathioprine; CMV ‐ cytomegalovirus; MMF ‐ mycophenolate mofetil; RCT ‐ randomised controlled trial
1 Insufficient statistical power to detect a small effect of either treatment on the outcome 2 Large beneficial effect of MMF treatment 3 Considerable risk of reporting bias as data were provided by a limited number of studies only 4 Study populations in which the outcome were reported are a subset not representative for patients enrolled in all trials identified for the review 5 Insufficient statistical power due to sparse data on a potential beneficial effect on the incidence of malignancies with MMF treatment 6 Substantial harm caused by MMF
Background
Description of the condition
While there are several immunosuppressive drugs available, usually a combination of two or three agents of different classes is used to prevent rejection and maintain graft function after kidney transplantation. In most regimens, calcineurin inhibitors (CNI) (cyclosporin A (CsA) or tacrolimus (Tac)), form the cornerstone of treatment and are combined with corticosteroids and a proliferation‐inhibitor with its representatives azathioprine (AZA) and mycophenolic acid (MPA). There are currently two formulations available for MPA, mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) and the more recently approved enteric‐coated mycophenolate sodium (ec‐MPS) (Hardinger 2013; Marcen 2009)
Description of the intervention
MMF was approved by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in 1995 for the prevention of acute rejection in kidney transplant recipients. This was based on the results of three randomised controlled trials (RCT), the pivotal trials, where a total of 1493 patients in North America, Europe and Australia were enrolled. MMF was compared to AZA (MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995) or placebo (European MMF Study Group 1995) in a regimen with concomitant use of CsA (original formulation) and steroids. In all three studies, MMF showed superior ability to prevent acute rejection within the first six months after transplantation.
In the past decade, MPA was tested against AZA in various immunosuppressive regimens in kidney transplantation as a variety of new drugs have been developed, including mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) inhibitors (Webster 2006), Tac and a micro‐emulsion formulation of CsA (CsA‐ME) (Webster 2005).
How the intervention might work
Both proliferation inhibitors, MPA and AZA, reduce purine synthesis either through direct inhibition of the cell cycle (AZA) or on the level of nucleotide synthesis (MPA) (Staatz 2007). AZA was one of the first drugs used for immunosuppression in kidney transplantation in the 1960s (Mowbray 1965). Following the results of the pivotal trials, AZA was widely replaced by MPA, particularly MMF, as a component of primary immunosuppressive regimens in most of the developed countries (Halloran 2004; Hardinger 2013), since acute rejection has been shown to be a strong predictor for diminished graft function and reduced graft survival (Pascual 2002).
Why it is important to do this review
Despite MMF being considered to be more effective than AZA in the prevention of acute rejection, its superior effect on long‐term graft function and graft survival has not been shown in RCTs (Srinivas 2005). Instead, similar kidney function and graft survival was found in long‐term follow‐up data of two of the pivotal trials (MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995). The lack of statistical power within the single studies is a crucial aspect that needs to be considered for this phenomenon. Calculations have shown that a sample size of 8 to 10 times the number actually enrolled in the pivotal trials would have been needed to prove a benefit on graft survival (Ekberg 2003). Meta‐analyses are the tool of choice to address the limitation of under‐powered studies.
Observational evidence also highlighted that the use of considerably strong immunosuppressive regimens in recent years has led to acute rejection rates as low as 10% to 15%, sometimes even lower; but that this reduced acute rejection rate has not translated into similar prolongation of long‐term graft survival (Tantravahi 2007). This may be due to side effects directly related to the level of immunosuppression, such as (opportunistic) infections (e.g. Polyoma BK/JC virus or cytomegalovirus (CMV) (Marcen 2009; Staatz 2007) and malignancies (Domhan 2009; Johnston 2010). These complications not only impact patient survival. For example, MMF was reported to be associated with the incidence of the very rare but life threatening progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy which is caused by JC‐virus activation (FDA 2008). In addition, these complications have been shown to directly impair graft function, e.g. polyomavirus‐associated nephropathy (PVAN). Finally, one of the major causes for death in patients with a functioning graft is cardiovascular disease (CVD) (Israni 2010). Side effects of immunosuppressive agents, particularly CNI and mTOR‐inhibitors, further aggravate classical CVD risk factors, such as hypertension, diabetes and dyslipidaemia (Webster 2005; Webster 2006).
Aside from safety issues due to the general level of immunosuppression, specific adverse events vary for both proliferation‐inhibitors. AZA often provokes leucopenia and may increase the risk of cancer through accumulation of mutagenic metabolites (Domhan 2009). MPA causes more gastrointestinal problems like nausea and diarrhoea and is also contraindicated in pregnancy because of negative effects on foetal development (Sifontis 2006).
The relative efficacy of MMF versus AZA in the prevention of rejection and their impact on long‐term graft survival might also be modulated by the concomitant immunosuppressive therapy and by the overall level of modern transplant therapy. The MYSS Study 2004 compared both drugs in a CsA‐ME based regimen and showed similar acute rejection rates, graft function and survival in both groups up to seven years of follow‐up.
Objectives
This review of RCTs aimed to look at the benefits and harms of MPA versus AZA in primary immunosuppressive regimens after kidney transplantation. Both agents were compared regarding their efficacy for maintaining graft and patient survival, prevention of acute rejection, maintaining graft function, and their safety, including infections, malignancies and other adverse events. Furthermore, we investigated potential effect modifiers, such as transplantation era and the concomitant immunosuppressive regimen in detail.
Methods
Criteria for considering studies for this review
Types of studies
We included all RCTs and quasi‐RCTs (RCTs in which allocation to treatment was performed by somewhat predictable methods) looking at the direct comparison of MPA versus AZA in primary immunosuppressive regimens in kidney transplantation, without restriction on language or publication type.
Types of participants
Inclusion criteria
We included studies investigating children (< 18 years) and adult kidney transplant recipients with any duration of follow‐up in the review, regardless of donor type (living or deceased) or previous transplantation status.
Exclusion criteria
We excluded studies that involved multi‐organ transplantation (e.g. kidney‐pancreas, kidney‐liver) as well as studies in which the intervention was performed in secondary regimens (when the immunosuppressive therapy was changed due to acute rejection, chronic allograft nephropathy (CAN), CNI toxicity or in stable graft function status).
Types of interventions
We included studies in the review in which MPA, namely MMF or ec‐MPS, was tested against AZA in primary immunosuppressive regimens along with any concomitant immunosuppressive therapy (e.g. use of induction antibody treatment, any formulation of CNI (CsA original formulation, CsA‐ME, Tac), various CNI target levels, treatment with or without steroids or mTOR inhibitors). Concomitant immunosuppression regimens needed to be identical in both the intervention and control groups (e.g. studies investigating MMF/CsA versus AZA/Tac were excluded).
Types of outcome measures
Primary outcomes
Graft loss and all‐cause mortality were considered primary outcomes of interest in terms of efficacy and safety, respectively.
Secondary outcomes
Secondary outcomes were acute rejection, CAN, graft function measures (e.g. serum creatinine (SCr), creatinine clearance (CrCl), proteinuria), immunosuppression related (malignancies, infections) and drug specific (e.g. new onset diabetes after transplantation (NODAT), haematological disorders, such as leucopenia, anaemia, elevated liver enzymes) side effects.
Following the suggestions of the GRADE working group (Atkins 2004) we classified outcomes of interest according to clinical importance (critical – high – moderate).
Critical importance
Death and death with a functioning graft
Graft loss, and graft loss censored for death
Malignancies (except non‐melanoma skin cancer).
High importance
Acute rejection, biopsy‐confirmed acute rejection, and steroid resistant/antibody‐treated acute rejection
CAN
Infections of any type, including CMV infection, tissue invasive CMV disease, PVAN
Non‐melanoma skin cancer.
Moderate importance
Kidney function measures: absolute values of measured glomerular filtration rate (GFR), estimated GFR, CrCl, SCr, and proteinuria (in any measurement and metric)
Adverse events, including hypertension, hyperlipidaemia, NODAT, leucopenia, anaemia, nausea, diarrhoea, elevation of liver enzymes or bilirubin.
Search methods for identification of studies
Electronic searches
We searched the Cochrane Kidney and Transplant Specialised Register (to 21 September 2015) through contact with the Trials' Search Co‐ordinator using search terms relevant to this review (Appendix 1). The Specialised Register contains studies identified from the following sources.
Quarterly searches of the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials CENTRAL
Weekly searches of MEDLINE OVID SP
Handsearching of kidney‐related journals and the proceedings of major kidney and transplant conferences
Searching of the current year of EMBASE OVID SP
Weekly current awareness alerts for selected kidney journals
Searches of the International Clinical Trials Register (ICTRP) Search Portal and ClinicalTrials.gov.
Studies contained in the Specialised register are identified through search strategies for CENTRAL, MEDLINE, and EMBASE based on the scope of Cochrane Kidney and Transplant. Details of these strategies as well as a list of handsearched journals, conference proceedings and current awareness alerts are available in the Specialised Register section of information about the Cochrane Kidney and Transplant.
Searching other resources
We also checked the reference lists of nephrology textbooks, review articles, and identified studies for this review. In particular, we reconciled the studies included in previous systematic reviews addressing MMF versus AZA (Knight 2009; Wang 2004a; Wang 2004b; Wang 2005; Zhang 2004).
Data collection and analysis
Selection of studies
The search strategy described was used to obtain titles and abstracts potentially relevant to the review. All titles and abstracts were screened by at least two authors. Studies not applicable to the review were discarded. Those references that might include relevant data or information on studies were retrieved in full text and the described authors determined if the studies satisfied the inclusion criteria.
Data extraction and management
All articles of eligible studies were retrieved in full text and data relevant for the review were extracted into standardized forms in duplicate independently by two authors.
Data about study design, inclusion and exclusion criteria, items of quality assessment, definitions of primary and secondary study endpoints, etc. were extracted into an Excel file. Information from multiple publications of the same study were reconciled and condensed accordingly
Data on outcomes of interest were extracted in a separate Excel file. Results for dichotomous outcomes were extracted as actual numbers of patients achieving the respective outcome. If only proportions were reported in the studies, we calculated the numbers based on intention‐to‐treat (ITT) population or on‐treatment population as specified in the article.
Studies reported in non‐English language were translatedand data were assessed respectively
Disagreements were resolved via discussion among authors. All data were entered into Review Manager 5 and checked twice.
Assessment of risk of bias in included studies
The following items were assessed using the risk of bias assessment tool (Higgins 2011) (see Appendix 2).
Was there adequate sequence generation (selection bias)?
Was allocation adequately concealed (selection bias)?
-
Was knowledge of the allocated interventions adequately prevented during the study?
Participants and personnel (performance bias)
Outcome assessors (detection bias)
Were incomplete outcome data adequately addressed (attrition bias)?
Are reports of the study free of suggestion of selective outcome reporting (reporting bias)?
Was the study apparently free of other problems that could put it at a risk of bias?
Measures of treatment effect
Dichotomous outcome results (e.g. death, graft loss, acute rejection) are expressed as risk ratio (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). For treatment effects on continuous scales of measurement (e.g. SCr, CrCl, GFR), the mean difference (MD) was used. The proportion of events per treatment arm at the desired time‐points were extracted from Kaplan Meier curve graphs using planimetric (digitising) software, such as the Engauge Digitizer program (http://digitizer.sourceforge.net/), assuming no censoring. The mean and the standard error (SE)/standard deviation (SD) of continuous outcomes were assessed at the respective time‐points along with the number of patients at risk for the given outcome. If the SD was missing for continuous outcomes, it was imputed based on the median SD of studies in which the relevant outcome was reported.
Dealing with missing data
Any further information required from the original author was requested by written correspondence (e.g. emailing corresponding author) and any relevant information obtained was included in the review. Evaluation of important numerical data such as screened, randomised patients as well as ITT, as‐treated and per‐protocol population was carefully performed. Attrition rates, for example drop‐outs, losses to follow‐up and withdrawals were investigated. Issues of missing data and imputation methods (for example, last‐observation‐carried‐forward) were critically appraised (Higgins 2011).
If information about covariates that were further investigated in meta‐regression analyses (see below) was missing, we imputed the year of transplantation from the year of first publication minus duration of follow‐up minus two years, to account for lag between study completion and publication. If the AZA dose was reported to be body‐weight‐adjusted (mg/kg/d) it was transformed into mg/d using the mean body weight as reported in the study, and by using 70 kg (60 kg in exclusively Asian populations) if information on body weight was missing. Looking at the year of transplantation, it was likely that the original oil‐based formulation of CsA was used in many studies not providing detailed information on which kind of CsA drug was tested, and thus CsA original formulation and studies without this information were grouped and compared to studies reporting the use of CsA‐ME. Studies in which more than one MMF dose was tested, i.e. 3 g versus 2 g (MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995), 2 g versus 1.5 g (Ling 1998) and 2 g versus 1 g (Mendez 1998), were split into two independent studies and each compared to half of the group and events of the patients treated with AZA. In the case of uneven numbers, the nearest integer was used.
Assessment of heterogeneity
Heterogeneity was analysed using a Chi² test on N‐1 degrees of freedom, with an alpha of 0.05 used for statistical significance and with the I² test (Higgins 2003). I² values of 25%, 50% and 75% correspond to low, medium and high levels of heterogeneity. Considerable clinical heterogeneity was assumed due to a multitude of concomitant immunosuppressive regimens in studies of a long era of kidney transplantation, and over a variety of different study populations and clinical settings.
Assessment of reporting biases
We planned to construct funnel plots to assess for the potential existence of small study bias (Higgins 2011).
Data synthesis
Review Manager 5 was used for all meta‐analyses, using Der Simonian and Laird random‐effects models by default because of clinical heterogeneity rather than fixed‐effects models although we frequently found no evidence for statistical heterogeneity. Summary results, i.e. RR and MD, are presented in forest‐plots according to subgroups of clinically relevant time intervals (≤ 6 months, 6 to 12 months or ≤ 1 year, 1 to 4 years, ≥ 4 years). Moreover, a subgroup longest duration of follow‐up was defined that included data on the longest time interval of each study for the primary study population, i.e. we used six months data provided for the entire study population, rather than 24 months data of only a subgroup of the original study. These study data were further used for meta‐regression analyses (adjusted for duration of follow‐up, see below).
Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity
Meta‐regression
We performed random effects meta‐regression analyses (Meta‐Analyst for Windows 7, version December 2013, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA; Wallace 2009) to explore possible sources of heterogeneity on the following outcomes: mortality, death‐censored graft loss, malignancy (any), acute rejection (any), CMV viraemia/syndrome, tissue‐invasive CMV disease, SCr, diarrhoea and leucopenia. The logarithmic form of the RR was analysed and back‐transformed regression coefficients are presented as relative risk ratio (RRR) with 95% CI. For continuous outcomes, the MD was modelled and the coefficient with 95% CI is displayed in the table. Furthermore, bubble plots with the size of the bubble reflecting weight of the study in the meta‐regression, visualise the direction of the association between the covariate and the logarithmic RR of MMF versus AZA. Tested covariates included study level factors (year of transplantation, donor type, previous transplantation, dose of the study drugs, antibody induction therapy, maintenance CNI (Tac versus CsA), CsA formulation) and items of study quality and risk of bias (blinding, publication type, industry funding).
The fact that we tested a multitude of factors on a variety of outcomes on a dataset with limited sample size (22 studies) provided a high chance that associations were found or even missed only by chance. Our primary interest was the direction of any effect modification rather than the magnitude of the relative effect. Therefore, and also with our concern about type II error, we have used a threshold of P ≤ 0.10 and presented these results in the respective sections (and highlighted these results accordingly in the table).
Subgroup analyses
To further investigate heterogeneity, subgroup analyses were performed (using Review Manager 5) on the following strata: RCT versus quasi‐RCT, inclusion of children, ITT analysis, publication type and source of funding.
Sensitivity analysis
Sensitivity analyses (performed in Meta‐Analyst) were used to test the robustness of findings. Results from studies were sequentially included or excluded from the analysis with a particular focus on the largest or most dominant studies.
Results
Description of studies
Results of the search
The literature search yielded a total of 2852 citations (Figure 1), including handsearching of the reference lists of included studies and previously published systematic reviews on MMF versus AZA in kidney transplantation. Notably, the reference lists of two Chinese systematic reviews about MMF versus AZA (Wang 2004a; Wang 2004b; Wang 2005; Zhang 2004) were reconciled with the search results of the current review which led to the addition of two eligible studies not identified by the electronic searches.
In total, 94 reports of 23 studies (Army Hospital 2002; Baltar 2002; Busque 2001; COSTAMP Study 2002; Egfjord 1999; Folkmane 2001; Isbel 1997; Ji 2001; Joh 2005; Johnson 2000; Keven 2003; Ling 1998; Merville 2004; Miladipour 2002; Mendez 1998; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002; Suhail 2000; Sun 2002b; Tuncer 2002; Weimer 2002) enrolling 3301 patients were included (see Characteristics of included studies). In addition, one ongoing Italian study that aims to investigate MMF versus AZA as sole immunosuppressive treatment after antibody (IL‐2, ATG) induction and CsA‐ME based regimen for one year, was identified (ATHENA Study 2012, see Characteristics of ongoing studies). While 15 studies were reported at least once as full article in a peer reviewed journal (Baltar 2002; COSTAMP Study 2002; Ji 2001; Joh 2005; Johnson 2000; Keven 2003; Merville 2004; Mendez 1998; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002; Sun 2002b; Tuncer 2002; Weimer 2002), five studies (Busque 2001; Folkmane 2001; Miladipour 2002; Suhail 2000; Tuncer 2002) were published in Transplantation Proceedings only, and three studies (Army Hospital 2002; Egfjord 1999; Isbel 1997) were presented solely as conference abstracts. Nineteen studies published at least one article in English, three studies were published exclusively in Chinese (Ji 2001; Ling 1998; Sun 2002b) and one study was in Spanish language (Baltar 2002). Of the identified 23 studies, one (Isbel 1997) did not provide any information on outcomes relevant for the review.
Prior to publication an additional report was identified (Do 2001a). This appears to be a report of Joh 2005. Details will be assessed in a future update of this review
Included studies
All studies investigated MMF versus AZA, whereas no study used ec‐MPS. Doses of study drugs were reported in 19 studies (Busque 2001; COSTAMP Study 2002; Egfjord 1999; Folkmane 2001; Ji 2001; Joh 2005; Johnson 2000; Keven 2003; Ling 1998; Merville 2004; Miladipour 2002; Mendez 1998; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002; Suhail 2000; Sun 2002b; Tuncer 2002) and ranged from 1 to 3 g/d for MMF, and 50 to 175 mg/d for AZA. Patients were enrolled in the studies between 1992 and 2002 and 78% (2575 participants) were studied in nine multicentre studies (Busque 2001; COSTAMP Study 2002; Johnson 2000; Merville 2004; Mendez 1998; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002).
Participants
In 14 studies (Baltar 2002; Busque 2001; Egfjord 1999; Folkmane 2001; Ji 2001; Joh 2005; Johnson 2000; Ling 1998; Merville 2004; Mendez 1998; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Suhail 2000), only deceased donor transplantation was performed; one study exclusively investigated living donor transplantation (Army Hospital 2002); five studies included both deceased and living (COSTAMP Study 2002; Keven 2003; Sadek 2002; Tuncer 2002; Weimer 2002); and three studies did not report the type of graft donation (Isbel 1997; Miladipour 2002; Sun 2002b). Two studies included children (Johnson 2000; Mendez 1998), eight exclusively enrolled adult recipients (Busque 2001; COSTAMP Study 2002; Keven 2003; Merville 2004; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002) and no information was provided in the remaining 13 studies (Army Hospital 2002; Baltar 2002; Egfjord 1999; Folkmane 2001; Isbel 1997; Ji 2001; Joh 2005; Ling 1998; Miladipour 2002; Suhail 2000; Sun 2002b; Tuncer 2002; Weimer 2002). The inclusion of patients that previously lost a kidney graft and the values of panel reactive antibodies (PRA) are widely considered measures of baseline immunological risk of the study population; however, this information was limited in the studies.
Patients with previous kidney transplants were included in seven studies (COSTAMP Study 2002; Egfjord 1999; Folkmane 2001; Miladipour 2002; Mendez 1998; MMF TRI Study 1996; Weimer 2002) (ranging from 5.3% to 14.3% of participants), excluded in 10 studies (Army Hospital 2002; Baltar 2002; Busque 2001; Johnson 2000; Merville 2004; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002; Suhail 2000; Tuncer 2002), and not reported in six studies (Isbel 1997; Ji 2001; Joh 2005; Keven 2003; Ling 1998; Sun 2002b). In only eight studies (Ji 2001; Joh 2005; Johnson 2000; Merville 2004; Mendez 1998; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; Weimer 2002), information about PRA was provided, however this information was not described consistently (e.g. as proportion above a certain cut‐off (> 10% or > 20%), or maximum PRA level). Overall, most studies enrolled patients with considerably low to moderate immunological risk.
Concomitant Immunosuppression
A depleting antibody induction therapy (ATG, ALG or OKT3) was used in five studies (Egfjord 1999; Ji 2001; Merville 2004; Mendez 1998; MMF US Study 1995) as initiating immunosuppressive agent in all patients. This therapy was only used in a subset of patients in five studies (e.g. those with higher immunological baseline risk, or patients experiencing delayed graft function) (Busque 2001; Johnson 2000; Keven 2003; Tuncer 2002; Weimer 2002). The remaining 13 studies (Army Hospital 2002; Baltar 2002; COSTAMP Study 2002; Folkmane 2001; Isbel 1997; Joh 2005; Ling 1998; Miladipour 2002; MMF TRI Study 1996; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002; Suhail 2000; Sun 2002b) did not use any antibody induction therapy. All maintenance immunosuppressive regimens were CNI based, while 18 studies used CsA (Army Hospital 2002; Baltar 2002; Egfjord 1999; Folkmane 2001; Isbel 1997; Ji 2001; Joh 2005; Ling 1998; Merville 2004; Miladipour 2002; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002; Suhail 2000; Sun 2002b; Tuncer 2002; Weimer 2002), four studies used Tac (Busque 2001; COSTAMP Study 2002; Johnson 2000; Mendez 1998) and one study (Keven 2003) reported the use of either CsA or Tac. Of those using CsA, six studies (Egfjord 1999; Merville 2004; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002; Suhail 2000; Weimer 2002) reported treatment with CsA‐ME, two studies (MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995) clearly stated the use of the original CsA solution, one study used both CsA and CsA‐ME (Tuncer 2002), and 10 studies (Army Hospital 2002; Baltar 2002; Folkmane 2001; Isbel 1997; Ji 2001; Joh 2005; Keven 2003; Ling 1998; Miladipour 2002; Sun 2002b) did not clearly specify the CsA formulation.
Target CNI trough levels were reported for all four studies using Tac (C0 levels at month 3: 5 to 15 ng/mL), but in only six studies using CsA (C0levels at month 3: 100 to 500 ng/mL) (Folkmane 2001; Ji 2001; Ling 1998; Merville 2004; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002). Two CsA studies reported the dosage of CsA as being delivered “according to local practice” (MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995) and no information was provided in 11 studies (Army Hospital 2002; Baltar 2002; Egfjord 1999; Isbel 1997; Joh 2005; Keven 2003; Miladipour 2002; Suhail 2000; Sun 2002b; Tuncer 2002; Weimer 2002). Corticosteroids completed the concomitant immunosuppressive regimen in all studies, while in one study (MYSS Study 2004) steroid therapy was withdrawn according to protocol. Notably, IL‐2 receptor antibody induction or mTOR‐inhibitor therapy was not used in the studies identified for the review.
Excluded studies
A total of 87 records (38 studies) were excluded as they did not fulfil the inclusion criteria (see Characteristics of excluded studies). The reasons for exclusion were as follows.
Study design not RCT or quasi‐RCT (nine studies)
Not solely kidney transplantation (two studies); studies enrolling patients undergoing multiorgan transplantation, e.g. simultaneous kidney‐pancreas transplantation were excluded.
Not primary immunosuppressive regimen (18 studies), i.e. the randomisation to MPA versus AZA was not performed at the time of transplantation, but subsequently during the maintenance phase (e.g. due to previous acute rejection, CAN, CNI‐toxicity or in stable graft function status)
Randomised intervention not of interest for the review (eight studies), i.e. not MPA versus AZA
Unequal concomitant regimen (four studies), i.e. different immunosuppressive regimens were administered to patients randomised to treatment and control group (e.g. MMF/CsA versus AZA/Tac.
Risk of bias in included studies
Details of the risk of bias assessment tool (Appendix 2) can be found for each study in Characteristics of included studies and are displayed in Figure 2, Figure 3.
Allocation
Details about the methodology of studies were generally limited. Of the included 23 studies, 21 were considered RCTs, while two studies reported allocation methods that classified them as quasi‐RCT (studies in which the method of allocation to the respective treatments was somewhat predictable) (Ji 2001; Joh 2005). In most studies, no detailed information was provided on allocation concealment (19 studies) or the procedure for randomisation (21 studies).
Blinding
Only two studies blinded the intervention of the study drug to patients and study personnel using placebo (MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995).
Incomplete outcome data
Broad descriptions of the course of patients in the study and drop‐out rates were reported in 14 studies (COSTAMP Study 2002; Ji 2001; Joh 2005; Johnson 2000; Keven 2003; Ling 1998; Merville 2004; Mendez 1998; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002; Suhail 2000; Weimer 2002), while very detailed information about patients (e.g. information about cross‐over treatments, MMF to AZA and vice versa) was available in four studies (Johnson 2000; Mendez 1998; Suhail 2000; Weimer 2002).
Selective reporting
Outcome reporting and outcome details varied substantially among studies (see Figure 1). One study did not report any outcome information relevant for the review (Isbel 1997). Graft‐related outcomes were available for the majority of studies. All 22 studies provided information on acute rejection, 17 reported graft loss (Busque 2001; Egfjord 1999; Folkmane 2001; Ji 2001; Joh 2005; Johnson 2000; Ling 1998; Merville 2004; Miladipour 2002; Mendez 1998; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002; Suhail 2000; Tuncer 2002; Weimer 2002) and 15 reported a measure of graft function (Army Hospital 2002; Busque 2001; COSTAMP Study 2002; Egfjord 1999; Johnson 2000; Ling 1998; Merville 2004; Miladipour 2002; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002; Suhail 2000; Sun 2002b; Weimer 2002). Mortality rates were also reported in 16 studies (Busque 2001;COSTAMP Study 2002; Egfjord 1999; Ji 2001; Joh 2005; Johnson 2000; Ling 1998; Mendez 1998; Merville 2004; MMF US Study 1995; MMF TRI Study 1996; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002; Suhail 2000; Tuncer 2002; Weimer 2002). Data on CAN were sparse (three studies, Merville 2004; Tuncer 2002; Weimer 2002). Complications of immunosuppressive therapy were reported much less frequently than efficacy outcomes: any malignancy was reported in five studies (Mendez 1998; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002) and infections such as Herpes was reported in four studies (COSTAMP Study 2002; Johnson 2000; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995), and pneumocystis in five studies (Johnson 2000; Mendez 1998; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004). Events and details of CMV viraemia/syndrome were reported in 13 studies (COSTAMP Study 2002; Ji 2001; Joh 2005; Johnson 2000; Keven 2003; Merville 2004; Mendez 1998; Miladipour 2002; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002; Weimer 2002), and CMV tissue‐invasive disease in seven studies (Folkmane 2001; Ji 2001; Johnson 2000; Mendez 1998; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; Suhail 2000). Only one study provided information on PVAN (Weimer 2002). Aside from diarrhoea (11 studies) (COSTAMP Study 2002; Ji 2001; Ling 1998; Mendez 1998; Miladipour 2002; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002; Suhail 2000; Sun 2002b), and leucopenia (12 studies) (Army Hospital 2002; COSTAMP Study 2002; Ji 2001; Ling 1998; Mendez 1998; Miladipour 2002; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002; Suhail 2000; Sun 2002b), the occurrence of adverse events was inconsistently and rarely reported, and most often not defined in detail.
Other potential sources of bias
Analysis of outcomes by ITT was stated by the authors and supported by details of the presented results in 12 studies (COSTAMP Study 2002; Egfjord 1999; Ji 2001; Johnson 2000; Ling 1998; Mendez 1998; Merville 2004; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; MYSS Study 2004; Sadek 2002; Weimer 2002). The type of analysis was unclear in an additional nine studies (Baltar 2002; Busque 2001; Folkmane 2001; Isbel 1997; Joh 2005; Miladipour 2002; Suhail 2000; Sun 2002b; Tuncer 2002) and not performed by ITT in two studies (Army Hospital 2002; Keven 2003). Only two studies (Merville 2004; MYSS Study 2004) clearly stated funding independent from pharmaceutical companies (407 patients, 12%), while nine studies (2252 patients, 68%) reported industry support (Baltar 2002; Busque 2001; COSTAMP Study 2002; Johnson 2000; Mendez 1998; MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995; Sadek 2002; Weimer 2002). For the remaining 11 studies the funding source was unclear (Army Hospital 2002; Egfjord 1999; Folkmane 2001; Isbel 1997; Ji 2001; Joh 2005; Keven 2003; Ling 1998; Miladipour 2002; Suhail 2000; Sun 2002b; Tuncer 2002).
Effects of interventions
See: Table 1
Summary analyses of the comparative efficacy and safety of MMF versus AZA can be found in the section Analyses 1. Outcomes of interest for the review were frequently reported at multiple time points, thus subgroups of clinically meaningful time intervals are displayed. Summary results reported in the text represent longest duration of follow‐up unless stated otherwise.
Primary outcomes
Death
No statistically significant difference for MMF versus AZA treatment was found for all‐cause mortality at any time interval (Analysis 1.1.4 (16 studies, 2987 participants): RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.70 to 1.29; I2 = 0%). Disease‐specific mortality was reported less frequently; therefore no robust conclusions can be drawn. While being clearly not statistically significant, the point estimate for death due to cardio‐, cerebrovascular disease favoured MMF (11 studies: RR 0.66, 95% CI 0.37 to 1.18, P = 0.16), and the point estimate for death due to infectious causes suggested reduced risk in AZA patients (11 studies: RR 1.28, 95% CI 0.57 to 2.91, P = 0.55) (detailed data not shown).
Graft loss
Consistently across all time‐intervals, MMF treatment significantly reduced the risk for graft loss including death (Analysis 1.2.4 (15 studies, 2653 participants): RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.67 to 1.00; I2 = 0%) as well as for death‐censored graft loss (Analysis 1.3.4 (17 studies, 2540 participants): RR 0.78, 95% CI 0.62 to 0.99; I2 = 0%). In particular, the risk of graft loss due to rejection was markedly reduced in MMF treated patients (13 studies, RR 0.59, 95% CI 0.41 to 0.86, P < 0.01), while data on graft loss because of any other specific cause was rarely reported (detailed data not shown).
Non‐functioning graft
Information regarding primary non‐function of the graft was provided by 11 studies, however, only 18 events were observed by four studies investigating a total of 1601 patients indicating no significant difference between the treatments (Analysis 1.4: RR 0.47, 95% CI 0.19 to 1.18; I2 = 0%).
Statistical heterogeneity was not observed for these primary outcomes. Meta‐regression analyses (See Table 2: Meta‐regression analyses) suggested a more pronounced risk for death‐censored graft loss in AZA patients, if higher doses of MMF were used (RRR 0.26, 95%CI 0.06 to 1.24, P = 0.09; Figure 4, panel A). Neither of the remaining study level factors indicated any modification of the treatment effect. In particular, varying baseline risk for death censored graft loss as indicated by the control rate (i.e. the incidence of death censored graft loss in AZA treated patients) was not related to the magnitude of the treatment effect of MMF versus AZA (RRR 0.13, 95% CI 0.01 to 10.70, P = 0.37, Figure 4, panel B).
1. Meta‐regression analyses.
Death (all cause) | Graft loss (censored for death) |
Malignancy (any) |
Acute rejection (any) | CMV viraemia/syndrome | CMV tissue invasive | Serum creatinine [mg/dl] | Diarrhoea | Leukopenia | |
Number of studies | 16 | 17 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 12 |
Study level factors | |||||||||
Year of transplantationa per year |
1.01 (0.86 to 1.18) |
0.99 (0.91 to 1.08) |
1.06 (0.92 to 1.22) |
1.03 (0.99 to 1.06) |
0.95 (0.83 to 1.10) |
1.08 (0.14 to 8.30) |
0.04 (‐0.03 to 0.10) |
1.16 (0.91 to 1.49) |
0.84 (0.64 to 1.11) |
Donor typeb Both versus deceased only Living only versus deceased only |
1.02 (0.42 to 2.47) (no living donor only studies) |
1.04 (0.57 to 1.90) (no living donor only studies) |
2.04 (0.43 to 9.71) (no living donor only studies) |
1.01 (0.77 to 1.33) 0.46 (0.05 to 4.07) |
1.33 (0.87 to 2.02) (no living donor only studies) |
‐‐ (all studies deceased donor only) |
‐0.08 (‐0.20 to 0.03) ‐0.37 (‐1.46 to 0.73) |
1.35 (0.73 to 2.50) (no living donor only studies) |
0.59 (0.34 to 1.02) 0.72 (0.01 to 35.2) |
Previous transplantation Yes versus 1st transplantation only |
0.97 (0.51 to 1.85) |
0.80 (0.48 to 1.34) |
0.76 (0.41 to 1.41) |
0.95 (0.74 to 1.22) |
0.81 (0.53 to 1.24) |
0.73 (0.27 to 1.97) |
‐0.13 (‐0.25 to ‐0.02) |
1.10 (0.77 to 1.57) |
0.71 (0.51 to 0.99) |
MMF dosec per g/d | 1.20 (0.62 to 2.33) |
0.26 (0.06 to 1.24) |
0.92 (0.47 to 1.79) |
0.90 (0.74 to 1.08) |
1.31 (0.84 to 2.03) |
1.40 (0.63 to 3.10) |
0.08 (‐0.04 to 0.19) |
1.23 (0.88 to 1.72) |
1.60 (1.13 to 2.27) |
AZA dosed per mg/d |
0.99 (0.96 to 1.03) |
1.01 (0.98 to 1.03) |
0.98 (0.93 to 1.03) |
1.01 (1.00 to 1.01) |
1.00 (0.99 to 1.01) |
1.01 (0.97 to 1.05) |
0.004 (‐0.001 to 0.009) |
1.00 (0.98 to 1.02) |
1.00 (0.99 to 1.02) |
Inductione Some versus no All versus no |
1.06 (0.35 to 3.20) 1.16 (0.59 to 2.28) |
0.87 (0.42 to 1.79) 0.91 (0.54 to 1.54) |
(no studies with induction in some) 1.10 (0.58 to 2.08) |
0.80 (0.41 to 1.58) 0.82 (0.64 to 1.04) |
1.05 (0.60 to 1.85) 0.76 (0.50 to 1.15) |
2.48 (0.10 to 64.07) 1.21 (0.45 to 3.22) |
‐0.22 (‐0.42 to ‐0.01) ‐0.05 (‐0.23 to 0.12) |
(no studies with induction in some) 0.68 (0.49 to 0.96) |
(no studies with induction in some) 1.46 (1.03 to 2.08) |
CNI Tac versus CsA |
1.07 (0.40 to 2.82) |
1.03 (0.46 to 2.32) |
0.89 (0.08 to 10.63) |
1.08 (0.81 to 1.44) |
1.16 (0.60 to 2.24) |
1.42 (0.12 to 16.53) |
‐0.19 (‐0.31 to ‐0.06) |
0.54 (0.30 to 0.99) |
0.85 (0.44 to 1.65) |
CsA formulation CsA‐ME versus original or unclear |
1.03 (0.26 to 4.10) |
1.12 (0.62 to 2.04) |
1.54 (0.60 to 3.97) |
1.27 (0.98 to 1.65) |
1.24 (0.73 to 2.11) |
0.89 (0.03 to 29.84) |
0.18 (‐0.16 to 0.53) |
0.64 (0.21 to 1.95) |
1.69 (0.79 to 3.63) |
Study quality/risk of bias factors | |||||||||
Blinding Yes versus no or unclear |
0.89 (0.39 to 2.06) |
1.12 (0.69 to 1.83) |
0.72 (0.30 to 1.68) |
0.87 (0.70 to 1.07) |
0.88 (0.11 to 7.13) |
0.42 (0.12 to 1.50) |
‐0.23 (‐0.98 to 0.53) |
7.16 (0.32 to 159.8) |
0.38 (0.02 to 6.15) |
Industry funding Yes versus no/unclear |
0.96 (0.42 to 2.19) |
1.60 (0.88 to 2.90) |
0.43 (0.05 to 3.66) |
0.84 (0.66 to 1.07) |
1.53 (0.96 to 2.41) |
1.58 (0.10 to 23.76) |
‐0.14 (‐0.25 to ‐0.02) |
0.39 (0.14 to 1.07) |
0.78 (0.40 to 1.49) |
Publication Full manuscript versus abstract or Transplantation Proceedings |
1.09 (0.38 to 3.12) |
1.82 (0.84 to 3.95) |
(all published as full manuscript) |
1.25 (0.80 to 1.93) |
0.14 (0.01 to 2.61) |
0.68 (0.06 to 7.44) |
0.31 (0.06 to 0.57) |
0.49 (0.12 to 2.00) |
0.75 (0.30 to 1.89) |
Meta‐regression was performed on the displayed outcomes, while data classified as “longest duration of follow‐up” were used (see Methods). Displayed are Relative Risk Ratios (RRR), i.e. back‐transformed values of the coefficient of the meta‐regression, or the untransformed coefficient of the meta‐regression for the mean difference (MD) for continuous outcome serum creatinine, along with 95% CI. All regression analyses were adjusted for duration of follow‐up. Statistical significance values of P < 0.20 are highlighted as Italic, values of P < 0.10 are bolded‐Italic , respectively.
Abbreviations: MMF: mycophenolate mofetil, AZA: azathioprine; CNI: calcineurin‐inhibitor; Tac: tacrolimus; CsA: cyclosporin A; CsA‐ME: cyclosporin A microemulsion; CMV: cytomegalovirus
Interpretation Summary effect for the outcome RR < 1 (e.g. acute rejection): RRR < 1 indicate a pronounced risk reduction for higher covariate values, while RRR > 1 indicate attenuated risk reduction. Summary effect for the outcome RR > 1 (e.g. tissue invasive CMV disease): RRR < 1 indicate attenuated risk for higher covariate values, while RRR > 1 indicate increased risk. Summary effect mean difference SCr: positive coefficients indicate greater difference in SCr, i.e. lower SCr values in AZA treated patients for higher covariate values, while negative coefficients indicate reduced difference or even negative difference in SCr, i.e. lower SCr values in MMF treated patients. Examples of various associations displayed in bubble‐plots can be found in Figure 4; Figure 6; Figure 7.
a If missing, year of first publication minus duration of follow‐up minus two years
b Both: living or deceased donor
c Studies in which more than one MMF dose was tested were split into two studies and each compared to half of the group of AZA‐patients/ outcomes
d If reported to be body‐weight‐adjusted (mg/kg/d), transformation into mg/d using the mean body weight as reported in the study, and by using 70 kg (60 kg in exclusively Asian populations) if information on body weight was missing
e Some: antibody induction therapy used in selected patients, e.g. sensitised patients or those experiencing delayed graft function
Secondary outcomes
Malignancy
The summary effect for any malignancy indicated a reduced risk in MMF‐treated patients (Analysis 1.5.1 (5 studies, 1734 participants): RR 0.81, 95% CI 0.60 to 1.09; I2 = 0%), but this finding was not statistically significant. Similarly, the risk for non‐melanoma skin cancer tended to be reduced by approximately 20% in MMF treated patients, but the association did not reach statistical significance due to the limited number of studies and events (Analysis 1.5.3 (4 studies, 1416 participants): RR 0.78, 95% CI 0.46 to 1.34; I2 = 19%).
Acute rejection
A consistent risk reduction for any acute rejection (about 35%) was observed with MMF‐treatment across all time intervals (Analysis 1.6.4 (22 studies, 3301 participants): RR 0.65, 95% CI 0.57 to 0.73; I2 = 9%). The effect was approximately 40% for biopsy‐proven acute rejection (Analysis 1.7.4 (12 studies, 2696 participants): RR 0.59, 95% CI 0.52 to 0.68; I2 = 0%) and approximately 50% in steroid‐resistant/antibody‐treated acute rejection (Analysis 1.8.4 (15 studies, 2914 participants): RR 0.48, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.65; I2 = 14%) both with low statistical heterogeneity. In meta‐regression analyses (see Table 2), a higher AZA dose (RRR 1.01, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.01, P = 0.10, Figure 5, panel B) and the use of CsA‐ME rather than the original CsA solution (RRR 1.27, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.65, P = 0.07) tended to attenuate the benefit of MMF versus AZA for acute rejection (i.e. a RR closer to 1, but still favouring MMF treatment). No clear signal was observed for transplantation in the most recent era (RRR 1.03, 95% CI 0.99 to 1.06, P = 0.12, Figure 5, panel A) and a higher MMF dose (RRR 0.90, 95% CI 0.74 to 1.08, P = 0.24, Figure 5, panel C). Moreover, the benefit of MMF over AZA treatment on the reduction of acute rejection was more pronounced with an increased control rate, indicating elevated immunological baseline risk of the study population (RRR 0.34, 95% CI 0.10 to 1.09, P = 0.08, Figure 5, panel D).
Chronic allograft nephropathy
Meta‐analysis showed a significant reduction of the risk for CAN with MMF treatment (Analysis 1.9.4 (3 studies, 203 participants): RR 0.69, 95% CI 0.48 to 0.99; I2 = 0%). Two studies required diagnosis by biopsy (Merville 2004; Weimer 2002) and in one study biopsy was optional (Tuncer 2002).
Infection
Evidence on infections such as urinary tract infection/cystitis, Herpes zoster, Candida and Aspergillus infections, is limited due to inconsistent and sparse reporting (Analysis 1.10). Only CMV viraemia/syndrome was reported by a substantial number of studies and no clear signal of a benefit for any treatment was found (Analysis 1.11.3 (13 studies, 2880 participants): RR 1.06, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.32; I2 = 24%). However, in seven studies the risk of tissue‐invasive CMV disease was significantly elevated with MMF treatment (Analysis 1.12.3 (7 studies, 1510 participants): (RR 1.70, 95% CI 1.10 to 2.61; I2 = 0%). None of the tested study level factors indicated treatment effect modification in meta‐regression analyses on either CMV viraemia/syndrome or tissue‐invasive CMV disease (See Table 2). Only one study reported no observed events of PVAN (Weimer 2002). Although Pneumocystis carinii/jiroveci pneumonia (PCP) were generally rare diseases in the studies (5 studies, 9 events in 1650 patients), eight of these events occurred in AZA‐treated patients, thus resulting in a statistically significant result favouring MMF treatment (Analysis 1.10: RR 0.19, 95% CI 0.05 to 0.69; I2 = 0%).
Graft function
While 15 studies reported a measure of graft function, the vast majority did not provide detailed information on either the number of patients in whom these measurements were performed (those with a functioning graft at the various time points) or the standard error/deviation of the reported mean. In general, graft function did not differ substantially at the various time intervals as indicated by point estimates between 0.01 and 0.05 mg/dL. Still, numerically, slightly lower mean values of SCr were observed in AZA treated patients (Analysis 1.13.3 (15 studies, 2233 participants): MD 0.05 mg/dL, 95% CI ‐0.05 to 0.15; I2 = 60%). Substantial heterogeneity was observed. Meta‐regression on study level factors (See Table 2) suggested even greater benefit for AZA treatment if exclusively patients receiving their first graft were studied (MD coefficient ‐0.13, 95% CI ‐0.25 to ‐0.02; P = 0.03). While higher doses of AZA tended to further enhance the benefit for AZA treatment on graft function (MD coefficient 0.004, 95% CI ‐0.001 to 0.009, P = 0.08, Figure 6, panel A), yet no such trend was found for higher doses of MMF although the point estimate of the coefficient suggested possible effect modification (MD coefficient 0.08, 95% CI ‐0.04 to 0.19, P = 0.20, Figure 6, panel B). Further measures of graft function (CrCl or GFR) were less frequently reported but demonstrated similar results (Analysis 1.14). Data on proteinuria were provided by only three studies (Merville 2004; MMF TRI Study 1996; MYSS Study 2004) and no reliable conclusions could be drawn (Analysis 1.15).
Adverse events
Adverse events and side effects were very inconsistently reported.
Gastrointestinal disorders were more common under MMF therapy with a statistically significant difference for diarrhoea (Analysis 1.17.1 (11 studies, 2638 participants): RR 1.55, 95% CI 1.32 to 1.83; I2 = 0%) and trends for both abdominal pain (Analysis 1.17.2 (3 studies, 1311 participants): RR 1.18, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.44; I2 = 0%) and vomiting (Analysis 1.17.3 (4 studies, 1587 participants): RR 1.27, 95% CI 0.83 to 1.94; I2 = 67%). The only two studies reporting gastrointestinal bleeding suggest a significantly elevated risk in MMF treated patients (Analysis 1.17.4 (575 participants): RR 3.99, 95% CI 1.07 to 14.86; I2 = 0%).
Insulin‐treated NODAT was reported in four studies where the maintenance regimen was based on Tac, which itself is a known risk factor for the occurrence of NODAT (Webster 2005). The risk for NODAT was further significantly enhanced by AZA treatment, vice versa reduced by MMF (Analysis 1.18.1 (4 studies, 445 participants): RR 0.57, 95% CI 0.34 to 0.95; I2 = 0%). No clear effect of either treatment on anaemia, leucopenia, or dyslipidaemia was observed. The risk of thrombocytopenia tended to be reduced by MMF treatment (Analysis 1.19.5 (5 studies, 1492 participants): RR 0.73, 95% CI 0.52 to 1.03; I2 = 0%), as well as the risk of elevated liver enzymes (Analysis 1.18.4 (3 studies, 272 participants): RR 0.50, 95% CI 0.21 to 1.23; I2 = 50%).
Investigation of confounding, small study bias and sensitivity analyses
We performed meta‐regression analysis (Table 2) and subgroup‐analyses (Analyses 2 to 6) to investigate potential confounding by various factors (e.g. study quality factors, data‐analysis, publication type) regarding their association with the effect size of MMF versus AZA.
Confounding by study design and data analysis
Blinding of the intervention, which was only performed by the two pivotal trials (MMF TRI Study 1996; MMF US Study 1995), indicated a possible effect modification towards a greater difference in acute rejection favouring MMF treatment (RRR 0.87, 95% CI 0.70 to 1.07, P = 0.19) and a reduced risk for tissue‐invasive CMV disease (RRR 0.42, 95% CI 0.12 to 1.50, P = 0.18), but both results were not statistically significant. The two studies classified as quasi‐RCTs (Ji 2001; Joh 2005) reported a lower risk for CMV viraemia/syndrome as compared to true RCTs (Analysis 2.3). No effects on graft loss, acute rejection, or SCr were found. Stronger effects favouring MMF treatment were reported in studies where ITT analysis was unclear or certainly not performed for graft loss (Analysis 3.1) and acute rejection (Analysis 3.2). In these studies, superior graft function in MMF‐treated patients was reported (Analysis 3.4). No substantial heterogeneity of the results was observed if studies enrolling adults only were compared to studies that also enrolled children (Analysis 4).
Confounding by funding source and publication type
Studies clearly reporting industry funding demonstrated a potentially higher risk for CMV viraemia/syndrome in AZA treated patients (Analysis 5.3; meta‐regression RRR 1.53, 95% CI 0.96 to 2.41, P = 0.07). Studies that were explicitly not supported by industry (Merville 2004; MYSS Study 2004) reported a smaller non‐significant benefit in the reduction of acute rejection in MMF treated patients (Analysis 5.2; RRR 0.84, 95% CI 0.66 to 1.07, P = 0.17) and a significant greater mean difference in SCr favouring AZA treatment (Analysis 5.4; meta‐regression MD coefficient ‐0.14, 95% CI ‐0.25 to ‐0.02, P = 0.02). Studies published at least once as a full manuscript in a peer reviewed journal reported a somewhat attenuated risk for death‐censored graft loss (Analysis 6.1; RRR 1.82, 95% CI 0.84 to 3.95, P = 0.13). No other differences were found for the other tested outcomes.
Small study bias and sensitivity analyses
Investigation of funnel plots did not indicate strong signals for asymmetry (Figure 7). However, there are many explanations for why an inverted funnel plot may be asymmetric, including chance, heterogeneity, publication and reporting bias (Sterne 2011). Visual judgment of funnel plots has been shown to be misleading in empirical research (Lau 2006; Terrin 2005).
Finally, in sensitivity analyses, the robustness of effect estimates and potential influence of single studies was tested by sequential inclusion and exclusion of each study. In general, the point estimates of all tested outcomes (mortality, death‐censored graft loss, any acute rejection, CMV viraemia/syndrome, tissue‐invasive CMV disease, SCr, diarrhoea and leucopenia) remained fairly stable in each exclusion/inclusion step. Only two studies resulted in an attenuation of significance for death‐censored graft loss (MMF TRI Study 1996: RR 0.79, 95% CI 0.60 to 1.03, P = 0.08; Egfjord 1999: RR 0.79, 95% CI 0.62 to 1.003, P = 0.053, respectively), but did not affect the magnitude of the summary effect. Similarly, by leaving out MMF US Study 1995 in tissue‐invasive CMV disease, the effect estimate did not change markedly, but the association lost significance (RR 1.76, 95% CI 0.89 to 3.48, P = 0.11). No significant changes in the mean difference for SCr were observed which would not make the difference in SCr clinically meaningful (all MD < 0.09 mg/dL).
Discussion
Summary of main results
Summarising the evidence from 23 RCTs identified for this review, MMF was superior over AZA in efficacy outcomes after kidney transplantation. In particular, MMF demonstrated a statistically significant risk reduction of about 20% for any graft loss as well as death‐censored graft loss compared to AZA. A stronger beneficial effect, although not statistically significant, was suggested in studies using higher doses of MMF. The risk of acute rejection was significantly reduced by about 35%, 40% if the rejection was proven by biopsy and 50% for more severe rejection episodes that required antibody treatment. This finding was more pronounced in studies of enhanced overall baseline risk (as indicated by a higher control rate). On the other hand, higher AZA dose and the concomitant use of CsA‐ME rather than CsA suggested an attenuated benefit from MMF over AZA treatment. Although based on sparse data, MMF treatment was related to lower rates of CAN. Graft function did not differ between the two drugs and the observed trend towards slightly lower creatinine levels of 0.05 mg/dL in AZA treated patients may not yield a clinically relevant benefit.
Evidence regarding safety outcomes was more limited since a smaller number of studies reported these. Also definitions of adverse events were rarely provided and likely varied across studies. The non‐significant summary effect for towards lower rates of malignancies in MMF‐treated patients was supported by five studies only. One study reported no events of PVAN and nine events reported in five studies showed the significantly reduced risk for PCP in MMF‐treated patients. Data on CMV viraemia/syndrome were provided by a substantial number of studies (n = 13) showing no difference between the two drugs, however tissue‐invasive CMV disease was significantly less likely in AZA‐treated patients based on seven studies only. The incidence of insulin‐dependent NODAT was reported exclusively in studies investigating Tac‐based regimens and was significantly higher in AZA‐treated patients. Gastrointestinal side effects were more common in MMF‐treated patients, while no significant differences were found for elevated liver enzymes and hematologic disturbances such as leucopenia, anaemia or thrombocytopenia.
Applying current standards to assess methodological quality of the studies (Higgins 2011) indicated that important information on factors used to judge susceptibility for bias were infrequently and inconsistently reported.
Overall completeness and applicability of evidence
Based on an exhaustive search process, we tried to comprehensively collect any published evidence for our research objectives. A large number of published abstracts were screened and many abstracts from conferences in the early and mid‐1990s were retrieved and assessed for eligibility. In total, we included 23 studies enrolling 3301 patients in our review. Study populations varied across continents and patients were treated in a multitude of different health care systems including not only the USA, Canada, various western European countries and Australia, but also China, Singapore, Korea, India, Latvia, Hungary, Turkey, Brazil and Iran. When this information was available, it appeared that studies included patients who were at low to moderate immunological baseline risk as frequently patients received their first kidney graft of a deceased donor. Further details on known markers of immunological risk, such as PRA level, HLA mismatch, or the proportion of patients of African American ancestry were inconsistently and rarely reported.
Quality of the evidence
Items of study quality such as blinding, ITT analysis, allocation concealment can help assess the risk of bias and thus judge the validity of the results. Based on the criteria defined for Cochrane reviews (Higgins 2011), most of the studies of this review lacked sufficient information on methodological items. Many of the studies were sponsored by industry, in particular by the company that held the patent on MMF. Most studies were published at least once as a full manuscript in a peer reviewed journal but a substantial number (eight studies) were conference abstracts or Transplantation Proceedings articles only and thus underwent an abbreviated peer review process. These factors (low methodological quality, industry sponsorship, and publication in non‐peer‐reviewed journals) have the potential to being associated with modification of treatment effects of over‐ or underestimation (Moher 1998; Pittler 2000; Ridker 2006). Overall, although we found evidence suggestive for the effect estimates being associated with study quality/risk of bias factors, we would not claim clinically relevant impact on the summary effects. Studies of lower quality and with unclear ITT analysis tended to overestimate efficacy results as did publications in non‐peer reviewed journals and those sponsored by industry. These studies were also more likely to report attenuated risks for tissue invasive CMV disease and MMF‐specific side effects such as diarrhoea. The most important limitation of our data is the lack of evidence and a considerably large reporting bias in particular for safety outcomes and conditional outcomes, such as graft function which naturally can be measured only in those with a functioning graft. However, numbers of patients at risk or those with a functioning graft were rarely provided.
Potential biases in the review process
We followed high standards to reduce risk of bias in the methodology of this review, such as a comprehensive literature search that was not restricted to publications in English language, article selection and data extraction performed independently by two or more authors and the collection of all potentially relevant outcomes from the included studies. However, the main limitations of the current review are two‐fold: First, while the body of evidence is fairly robust for efficacy outcomes, any conclusion on safety lacks certainty. Only few studies reported data on malignancies, and only CMV‐related diseases/infections were commonly presented. Second, most of the studies did not report outcome data with enough follow‐up to be able to detect development of specific diseases, in particular malignancies, with long induction and latent periods. Finally, most of the studies that investigated MMF versus AZA were performed in the late 1990s and early 2000, a certainly different era of kidney transplantation as we are in nowadays. During the time of these studies, outcomes of interest differed from what we judge important today: CAN or more specifically IF/TA (interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy in graft biopsies) and Polyoma BK/JC virus reactivation and PVAN are considered as of higher long‐term importance than acute rejection episodes, which are frequently mild and if diagnosed early can be treated and cured.
Agreements and disagreements with other studies or reviews
Our results are consistent with a systematic review by Knight 2009 who also investigated the comparative efficacy and safety of MMF versus AZA. This review used fixed‐effects models if no statistical heterogeneity was detected while we chose the more conservative random‐effects model by default given the clinical heterogeneity. Moreover, we tried to investigate potential effect modification in detail by a number of a priori defined study level and study quality factors. Another existing systematic review by Wang et al. included studies of secondary regimens (Wang 2004a; Wang 2004b; Wang 2005; Zhang 2004) and is thus not directly comparable.
Observational data can help to understand the findings of the review, in particular how benefits of MMF regarding lower rates of rejection and improved graft survival are balanced against the potential for harm such as infections and malignancies associated with stronger immunosuppressive regimens. Temporal trends in cohort studies have reported diminishing acute rejection rates but higher incidence of Polyoma BK/JC virus infections/reactivations and PVAN during the last decade (Ramos 2009), likely to be caused by the use of stronger immunosuppressive regimens, rather than by a specific agent (Brennan 2005; Snyder 2009). Polyoma BK/JC virus infections/reactivations and PVAN are characterised by impaired graft function and an aggravated risk of graft loss and the rare but life‐threatening progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (FDA 2008). The total burden of PVAN especially in the setting of RCTs so far has probably been underestimated since these outcomes were only rarely reported in RCTs in the past.
An about 3‐ to 4‐fold increased risk for cancer in kidney transplant recipients was described when compared to the general population (Domhan 2009). As with infections, the risk is associated with the overall level of immunosuppression rather than a specific drug (Wimmer 2007). We found a non‐significant point estimate suggesting higher risk for PTLD/lymphomas, but also trends towards fewer malignancies in general with MMF treatment, although being of stronger immunosuppressive potency. These findings could be explained by AZA directly causing accumulation of mutagenic metabolites (Domhan 2009), but data are conflicting (Kauffman 2006; Meier‐Kriesche 2003; Morath 2004; Schold 2009).
Authors' conclusions
Implications for practice.
We found that while the risks for graft loss and acute rejection were reduced by MMF treatment, graft function did not differ in a clinically relevant magnitude and evidence regarding safety outcomes was limited. Thus, it is still a major task of the transplant physician to balance benefits and harms of the two drugs and to decide which agent the individual patient should be started on. Patient’s risks and preferences should be considered to individualise this decision.
In this context it should be mentioned, that although none of the included studies tested ec‐MPS against AZA, it is unlikely that ec‐MPS treatment would have considerably changed the evidence derived from MMF‐studies. MPA is the active agent of both, MMF and ec‐MPS, but the latter was developed to limit gastrointestinal disorders since it is absorbed in the gut rather than in the stomach. Studies that have directly compared MMF versus ec‐MPS showed similar efficacy and adverse event profiles including gastrointestinal adverse events (Budde 2004; Salvadori 2004).
Another important aspect is the fact that MPA is contraindicated in pregnancy (Sifontis 2006) and frequently MMF gets replaced by AZA in transplant patients before pregnancy is attempted. The current review did not address the comparison of MPA versus AZA in secondary regimens, including the change of the immunosuppressive regimen in patients with stable graft function. However, Sadek 2002 found that replacement of MMF by AZA three months post‐transplant overall was safe and effective up to 12 months follow‐up in this study.
Finally, a general limitation of how results from meta‐analyses can be applied to the individual patient should briefly be mentioned. Patients enrolled in RCTs (which subsequently get summarised in meta‐analyses) typically differ from each other in their baseline risk for achieving the outcome of interest. Although being equally distributed between treatment and control group, frequently a higher risk group of patients may experience most of the events that drive the main results of the intervention (Kent 2007). The phenomenon of varying treatment effects dependent on baseline risk is likely to be relevant in the setting of kidney transplantation (Wagner 2009). Meta‐analyses and meta‐regression analyses are not helpful to identify the benefits and harms of a particular treatment to the individual patient (Schmid 2004).
Implications for research.
Our review highlights the need for consistent ascertainment and reporting of adverse events in kidney transplant intervention studies (Ioannidis 2004), including infections (e.g. Polyoma BK virus) and malignancies. Further, the deficiencies in the reporting of study quality items point to the need for editors to hold kidney transplant trialists to universal reporting guidelines, such as the CONSORT statement (Moher 2001).
As most of the evidence about MMF versus AZA is based on the late 1990s and early 2000s, it will be interesting how the two drugs compare in the current era. The ongoing ATHENA Study 2012 will provide insights about the two proliferation‐inhibitors in a low‐dose CNI regimen with scheduled CNI withdrawal on CAN and PVAN.
Support for the every‐day decision on which agent (MMF or AZA) a kidney transplant recipient should be started on could be addressed by decision analyses in which the benefits and harms are weighted against each other in various settings. Another approach could be to stratify patients in RCTs at baseline according to immunological risk. The benefits and harms of certain therapies (e.g. MMF versus AZA) could then be investigated across all as well as within subgroups of lower, moderate, and higher risk patients (Wagner 2009). With these endeavours, research in kidney transplantation can make one important step forward to individualise medical therapy and towards choosing the best immunosuppressive regimen for a particular patient.
Acknowledgements
We would like to acknowledge the enormous support and help with this review by all members of the Cochrane Kidney and Transplant Group: Gail Higgins, Ann Jones, Ruth Mitchell, and Narelle Willis. Editorial advice on preparing the protocol was given by Sir Peter Morris, Dr Julio Pascual and Dr Sapna Shah, which is greatly appreciated.
We thank Kerstin Meister, Elisabeth Friedrich (University of Würzburg, Germany) and Audrey Mahoney (Tufts University, Boston, USA), for helping with article retrieval.
The help of Drs Mei Chung, Cindy Huang (Tufts University, Boston, USA) and Dr Kai Hu (University of Würzburg, Germany) for translating Chinese articles and Dr Jose Calvo (Tufts University, Boston, USA) for translating Spanish articles, respectively, is greatly appreciated.
Dr Thomas Trikalinos (Brown University, Providence, USA) and Gowri Raman (Tufts University, Boston, USA) helped with abstract screening and study selection, data management was supported by Ilonka Pecik (University of Würzburg, Germany) and statistical analyses with Meta‐Analyst were made possible with the help of Drs Trikalinos and Byron Wallace (Brown University, Providence, USA), which is all thankfully acknowledged.
Appendices
Appendix 1. Electronic search strategies
Database | Search terms |
CENTRAL |
|
MEDLINE |
|
EMBASE |
|
Appendix 2. Risk of bias assessment tool
Potential source of bias | Assessment criteria |
Random sequence generation Selection bias (biased allocation to interventions) due to inadequate generation of a randomised sequence |
Low risk of bias: Random number table; computer random number generator; coin tossing; shuffling cards or envelopes; throwing dice; drawing of lots; minimization (minimization may be implemented without a random element, and this is considered to be equivalent to being random). |
High risk of bias: Sequence generated by odd or even date of birth; date (or day) of admission; sequence generated by hospital or clinic record number; allocation by judgement of the clinician; by preference of the participant; based on the results of a laboratory test or a series of tests; by availability of the intervention. | |
Unclear: Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgement. | |
Allocation concealment Selection bias (biased allocation to interventions) due to inadequate concealment of allocations prior to assignment |
Low risk of bias: Randomisation method described that would not allow investigator/participant to know or influence intervention group before eligible participant entered in the study (e.g. central allocation, including telephone, web‐based, and pharmacy‐controlled, randomisation; sequentially numbered drug containers of identical appearance; sequentially numbered, opaque, sealed envelopes). |
High risk of bias: Using an open random allocation schedule (e.g. a list of random numbers); assignment envelopes were used without appropriate safeguards (e.g. if envelopes were unsealed or non‐opaque or not sequentially numbered); alternation or rotation; date of birth; case record number; any other explicitly unconcealed procedure. | |
Unclear: Randomisation stated but no information on method used is available. | |
Blinding of participants and personnel Performance bias due to knowledge of the allocated interventions by participants and personnel during the study |
Low risk of bias: No blinding or incomplete blinding, but the review authors judge that the outcome is not likely to be influenced by lack of blinding; blinding of participants and key study personnel ensured, and unlikely that the blinding could have been broken. |
High risk of bias: No blinding or incomplete blinding, and the outcome is likely to be influenced by lack of blinding; blinding of key study participants and personnel attempted, but likely that the blinding could have been broken, and the outcome is likely to be influenced by lack of blinding. | |
Unclear: Insufficient information to permit judgement | |
Blinding of outcome assessment Detection bias due to knowledge of the allocated interventions by outcome assessors. |
Low risk of bias: No blinding of outcome assessment, but the review authors judge that the outcome measurement is not likely to be influenced by lack of blinding; blinding of outcome assessment ensured, and unlikely that the blinding could have been broken. |
High risk of bias: No blinding of outcome assessment, and the outcome measurement is likely to be influenced by lack of blinding; blinding of outcome assessment, but likely that the blinding could have been broken, and the outcome measurement is likely to be influenced by lack of blinding. | |
Unclear: Insufficient information to permit judgement | |
Incomplete outcome data Attrition bias due to amount, nature or handling of incomplete outcome data. |
Low risk of bias: No missing outcome data; reasons for missing outcome data unlikely to be related to true outcome (for survival data, censoring unlikely to be introducing bias); missing outcome data balanced in numbers across intervention groups, with similar reasons for missing data across groups; for dichotomous outcome data, the proportion of missing outcomes compared with observed event risk not enough to have a clinically relevant impact on the intervention effect estimate; for continuous outcome data, plausible effect size (difference in means or standardized difference in means) among missing outcomes not enough to have a clinically relevant impact on observed effect size; missing data have been imputed using appropriate methods. |
High risk of bias: Reason for missing outcome data likely to be related to true outcome, with either imbalance in numbers or reasons for missing data across intervention groups; for dichotomous outcome data, the proportion of missing outcomes compared with observed event risk enough to induce clinically relevant bias in intervention effect estimate; for continuous outcome data, plausible effect size (difference in means or standardized difference in means) among missing outcomes enough to induce clinically relevant bias in observed effect size; ‘as‐treated’ analysis done with substantial departure of the intervention received from that assigned at randomisation; potentially inappropriate application of simple imputation. | |
Unclear: Insufficient information to permit judgement | |
Selective reporting Reporting bias due to selective outcome reporting |
Low risk of bias: The study protocol is available and all of the study’s pre‐specified (primary and secondary) outcomes that are of interest in the review have been reported in the pre‐specified way; the study protocol is not available but it is clear that the published reports include all expected outcomes, including those that were pre‐specified (convincing text of this nature may be uncommon). |
High risk of bias: Not all of the study’s pre‐specified primary outcomes have been reported; one or more primary outcomes is reported using measurements, analysis methods or subsets of the data (e.g. subscales) that were not pre‐specified; one or more reported primary outcomes were not pre‐specified (unless clear justification for their reporting is provided, such as an unexpected adverse effect); one or more outcomes of interest in the review are reported incompletely so that they cannot be entered in a meta‐analysis; the study report fails to include results for a key outcome that would be expected to have been reported for such a study. | |
Unclear: Insufficient information to permit judgement | |
Other bias Bias due to problems not covered elsewhere in the table |
Low risk of bias: The study appears to be free of other sources of bias. |
High risk of bias: Had a potential source of bias related to the specific study design used; stopped early due to some data‐dependent process (including a formal‐stopping rule); had extreme baseline imbalance; has been claimed to have been fraudulent; had some other problem. | |
Unclear: Insufficient information to assess whether an important risk of bias exists; insufficient rationale or evidence that an identified problem will introduce bias. |
Data and analyses
Comparison 1. Mycophenolate mofetil versus azathioprine.
Outcome or subgroup title | No. of studies | No. of participants | Statistical method | Effect size |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 Death: all cause | 16 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
1.1 Follow‐up ≤ 1 year | 16 | 2987 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.13 [0.76, 1.68] |
1.2 Follow‐up 1 to 4 years | 7 | 1595 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.84 [0.59, 1.20] |
1.3 Follow‐up > 4 years | 3 | 457 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.80 [0.59, 1.07] |
1.4 Longest duration of follow‐up | 16 | 2987 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.95 [0.70, 1.29] |
2 Graft loss: including death | 15 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
2.1 Follow‐up ≤ 1 year | 15 | 2653 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.80 [0.62, 1.02] |
2.2 Follow‐up 1 to 4 years | 6 | 1347 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.83 [0.66, 1.04] |
2.3 Follow‐up > 4 years | 2 | 209 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.70 [0.29, 1.66] |
2.4 Longest duration of follow‐up | 15 | 2653 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.82 [0.67, 1.00] |
3 Graft loss: censored for death | 17 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
3.1 Follow‐up ≤ 1 year | 15 | 2384 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.68 [0.49, 0.94] |
3.2 Follow‐up 1 to 4 years | 6 | 1512 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.85 [0.64, 1.13] |
3.3 Follow‐up > 4 years | 4 | 525 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.87 [0.60, 1.25] |
3.4 Longest duration of follow‐up | 17 | 2540 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.78 [0.62, 0.99] |
4 Primary non‐function | 11 | 1864 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.47 [0.19, 1.18] |
5 Malignancy: longest duration of follow‐up | 6 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
5.1 Any malignancy | 5 | 1735 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.81 [0.60, 1.09] |
5.2 Lymphoma/PTLD | 5 | 1564 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.26 [0.43, 3.66] |
5.3 Non‐melanoma skin cancer | 4 | 1416 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.78 [0.46, 1.34] |
6 Acute rejection: total | 22 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
6.1 Follow‐up ≤ 6 months | 19 | 3128 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.65 [0.55, 0.75] |
6.2 Follow‐up 6 to 12 months | 10 | 2086 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.65 [0.58, 0.74] |
6.3 Follow‐up > 12 months | 5 | 603 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.78 [0.61, 0.99] |
6.4 Longest duration of follow‐up | 22 | 3301 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.65 [0.57, 0.73] |
7 Acute rejection: confirmed by biopsy | 12 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
7.1 Follow‐up ≤ 6 months | 10 | 2306 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.59 [0.50, 0.69] |
7.2 Follow‐up 6 to 12 months | 4 | 714 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.66 [0.49, 0.88] |
7.3 Follow‐up > 12 months | 1 | 148 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.79 [0.40, 1.56] |
7.4 Longest duration of follow‐up | 12 | 2696 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.59 [0.52, 0.68] |
8 Acute rejection: steroid resistant/antibody treated | 15 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
8.1 Follow‐up ≤ 6 months | 11 | 2350 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.53 [0.35, 0.80] |
8.2 Follow‐up 6 to 12 months | 5 | 740 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.49 [0.29, 0.81] |
8.3 Follow‐up > 12 months | 2 | 223 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.52 [0.11, 2.44] |
8.4 Longest duration of follow‐up | 15 | 2914 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.48 [0.36, 0.65] |
9 Chronic allograft nephropathy | 3 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
9.1 Follow‐up ≤ 1 year | 1 | 71 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.65 [0.43, 0.98] |
9.2 Follow‐up > 1 year | 2 | 132 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.86 [0.39, 1.87] |
9.3 Longest duration of follow‐up | 3 | 203 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.69 [0.48, 0.99] |
10 Infection: other (longest duration of follow‐up) | 10 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
10.1 Aspergillus | 4 | 1316 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 2.61 [0.65, 10.58] |
10.2 BK‐virus | 1 | 56 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.0 [0.0, 0.0] |
10.3 Candida | 4 | 1316 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.00 [0.77, 1.31] |
10.4 Candida tissue invasive | 4 | 1502 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.89 [0.34, 2.31] |
10.5 Herpes zoster | 4 | 1629 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.28 [0.80, 2.04] |
10.6 Pneumocystis carinii/jiroveci | 5 | 1650 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.19 [0.05, 0.69] |
10.7 Urinary tract/cystitis | 6 | 1553 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.15 [0.93, 1.42] |
11 Infection: CMV viraemia/syndrome | 13 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
11.1 Follow‐up ≤ 1 year | 13 | 2880 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.98 [0.81, 1.20] |
11.2 Follow‐up > 1 year | 3 | 1240 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.08 [0.77, 1.50] |
11.3 Longest duration of follow‐up | 13 | 2880 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.06 [0.85, 1.32] |
12 Infection: CMV tissue invasive | 7 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
12.1 Follow‐up ≤ 1 year | 7 | 1510 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.73 [1.12, 2.69] |
12.2 Follow‐up > 1 year | 2 | 992 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.51 [0.95, 2.40] |
12.3 Longest duration of follow‐up | 7 | 1510 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.70 [1.10, 2.61] |
13 Graft function: serum creatinine | 15 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
13.1 Follow‐up ≤ 1 year | 15 | 2457 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.03 [‐0.07, 0.14] |
13.2 Follow‐up 1 to 4 years | 4 | 712 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | ‐0.05 [‐0.14, 0.03] |
13.3 Longest duration of follow‐up | 15 | 2233 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.05 [‐0.05, 0.15] |
14 Graft function: CrCl/GFR | 6 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
14.1 Follow‐up ≤ 1 year | 5 | 970 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 1.74 [‐1.77, 5.25] |
14.2 Follow‐up 1 to 4 years | 3 | 376 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 1.44 [‐3.05, 5.94] |
14.3 Follow‐up > 4 years | 2 | 120 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.56 [‐3.48, 4.60] |
14.4 Longest duration of follow‐up | 6 | 976 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 1.56 [‐1.15, 4.27] |
15 Graft function: proteinuria | 2 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
15.1 Follow‐up 2 to 5 years | 2 | 745 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.00 [0.70, 1.43] |
16 Graft function: proteinuria | 1 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | Totals not selected | |
16.1 Follow‐up ≤ 1 year | 1 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.0 [0.0, 0.0] | |
17 Adverse events: gastrointestinal (longest duration of follow‐up) | 11 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
17.1 Diarrhoea | 11 | 2638 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.55 [1.32, 1.83] |
17.2 Abdominal pain | 3 | 1311 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.18 [0.97, 1.44] |
17.3 Vomiting | 4 | 1487 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.27 [0.83, 1.94] |
17.4 Gastrointestinal bleeding | 2 | 575 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 3.99 [1.07, 14.86] |
17.5 Nausea | 5 | 1573 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.01 [0.85, 1.20] |
18 Adverse events: other (longest duration of follow‐up) | 8 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
18.1 New onset diabetes in patients without diabetes at baseline, insulin‐treated | 4 | 445 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.57 [0.34, 0.95] |
18.2 Hypertension | 1 | 319 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.97 [0.64, 1.47] |
18.3 Hyperlipidaemia | 3 | 813 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.41 [0.59, 3.39] |
18.4 Elevated liver enzymes | 3 | 272 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.50 [0.21, 1.23] |
19 Adverse events: haematological (longest duration of follow‐up) | 12 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
19.1 Anaemia | 5 | 1821 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.07 [0.87, 1.31] |
19.2 Severe anaemia | 2 | 528 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.42 [0.61, 3.28] |
19.3 Leucopenia | 12 | 2671 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.04 [0.78, 1.39] |
19.4 Severe leucopenia | 3 | 1025 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.44 [0.33, 6.19] |
19.5 Thrombocytopenia | 5 | 1492 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.73 [0.52, 1.03] |
19.6 Severe thrombocytopenia | 2 | 992 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.60 [0.11, 3.21] |
20 Total cholesterol | 2 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | Subtotals only | |
20.1 Follow‐up ≤ 1 year | 2 | 219 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | ‐2.57 [‐15.65, 10.51] |
Comparison 2. Subgroup analyses: RCT versus quasi‐RCT.
Outcome or subgroup title | No. of studies | No. of participants | Statistical method | Effect size |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 Graft loss: censored for death | 17 | 2540 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.78 [0.62, 0.99] |
1.1 RCT | 15 | 2366 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.79 [0.62, 1.01] |
1.2 quasi‐RCT | 2 | 174 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.56 [0.19, 1.67] |
2 Acute rejection (total) | 22 | 3301 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.65 [0.57, 0.73] |
2.1 RCT | 20 | 3127 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.65 [0.58, 0.72] |
2.2 quasi‐RCT | 2 | 174 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.77 [0.25, 2.40] |
3 Infection: CMV viraemia/syndrome | 13 | 2880 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.06 [0.85, 1.32] |
3.1 RCT | 11 | 2706 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.12 [0.89, 1.42] |
3.2 quasi‐RCT | 2 | 174 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.66 [0.37, 1.17] |
4 Graft function, serum creatinine | 15 | 2233 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.05 [‐0.05, 0.15] |
4.1 RCT | 15 | 2233 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.05 [‐0.05, 0.15] |
4.2 quasi‐RCT | 0 | 0 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.0 [0.0, 0.0] |
Comparison 3. Subgroup analyses: ITT analysis.
Outcome or subgroup title | No. of studies | No. of participants | Statistical method | Effect size |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 Graft loss: censored for death | 17 | 2540 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.78 [0.62, 0.99] |
1.1 ITT analysis performed | 10 | 2132 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.84 [0.65, 1.08] |
1.2 ITT analysis unclear | 7 | 408 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.50 [0.26, 0.93] |
1.3 ITT analysis not performed | 0 | 0 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.0 [0.0, 0.0] |
2 Acute rejection: total | 22 | 3301 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.65 [0.57, 0.73] |
2.1 ITT analysis performed | 12 | 2757 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.66 [0.58, 0.75] |
2.2 ITT analysis unclear | 8 | 470 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.53 [0.34, 0.84] |
2.3 ITT analysis not performed | 2 | 74 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.55 [0.16, 1.85] |
3 Infection: CMV viraemia/syndrome | 13 | 2880 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.06 [0.85, 1.32] |
3.1 ITT analysis performed | 10 | 2691 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.06 [0.83, 1.34] |
3.2 ITT analysis unclear | 2 | 148 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.47 [0.13, 16.10] |
3.3 ITT analysis not performed | 1 | 41 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.18 [0.33, 4.29] |
4 Graft function: serum creatinine | 15 | 2233 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.05 [‐0.05, 0.15] |
4.1 ITT performed | 10 | 1948 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.07 [‐0.03, 0.17] |
4.2 ITT unclear | 4 | 252 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | ‐0.15 [‐0.45, 0.16] |
4.3 ITT not performed | 1 | 33 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | ‐0.16 [‐1.25, 0.93] |
Comparison 4. Subgroup analyses: adults only versus children included.
Outcome or subgroup title | No. of studies | No. of participants | Statistical method | Effect size |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 Graft loss: censored for death | 17 | 2540 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.78 [0.62, 0.99] |
1.1 Adults only | 6 | 1676 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.84 [0.64, 1.10] |
1.2 Children included | 2 | 324 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.57 [0.10, 3.15] |
1.3 No details reported | 9 | 540 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.52 [0.28, 0.95] |
2 Acute rejection: total | 22 | 3301 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.65 [0.57, 0.73] |
2.1 Adults only | 8 | 2292 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.67 [0.57, 0.79] |
2.2 Children included | 2 | 324 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.69 [0.46, 1.04] |
2.3 No details reported | 12 | 685 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.53 [0.40, 0.71] |
3 Infection: CMV viraemia/syndrome | 13 | 2880 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.06 [0.85, 1.32] |
3.1 Adults only | 7 | 2246 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.11 [0.84, 1.45] |
3.2 Children included | 2 | 324 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.60 [0.62, 4.09] |
3.3 No details reported | 4 | 310 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.82 [0.54, 1.24] |
4 Graft function: serum creatinine | 15 | 2233 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.05 [‐0.05, 0.15] |
4.1 Adults only | 7 | 1772 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.06 [‐0.06, 0.19] |
4.2 Children included | 1 | 100 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.0 [‐0.26, 0.26] |
4.3 No details reported | 7 | 361 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | ‐0.01 [‐0.24, 0.22] |
Comparison 5. Subgroup analyses: industry versus non‐industry funding.
Outcome or subgroup title | No. of studies | No. of participants | Statistical method | Effect size |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 Graft loss: censored for death | 17 | 2540 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.78 [0.62, 0.99] |
1.1 Industry funding | 7 | 1737 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.86 [0.66, 1.12] |
1.2 Non‐industry funding | 2 | 319 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.41 [0.03, 4.74] |
1.3 No details reported | 8 | 484 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.48 [0.26, 0.88] |
2 Acute rejection: total | 22 | 3301 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.65 [0.57, 0.73] |
2.1 Industry funding | 9 | 2252 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.62 [0.55, 0.70] |
2.2 Non‐industry funding | 2 | 405 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.94 [0.70, 1.25] |
2.3 No details reported | 11 | 644 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.57 [0.43, 0.77] |
3 Infection: CMV viraemia/syndrome | 13 | 2880 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.06 [0.85, 1.32] |
3.1 Industry funding | 7 | 2180 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.27 [0.99, 1.62] |
3.2 Non‐industry funding | 2 | 405 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.82 [0.49, 1.39] |
3.3 No details reported | 4 | 295 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.78 [0.46, 1.32] |
4 Graft function: serum creatinine | 15 | 2233 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.05 [‐0.05, 0.15] |
4.1 Industry funding | 7 | 1523 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.00 [‐0.09, 0.09] |
4.2 Non‐industry funding | 2 | 405 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.20 [0.16, 0.24] |
4.3 No details reported | 6 | 305 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | ‐0.02 [‐0.29, 0.25] |
Comparison 6. Subgroup analyses: publication type.
Outcome or subgroup title | No. of studies | No. of participants | Statistical method | Effect size |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 Graft loss: censored for death | 17 | 2540 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.78 [0.62, 0.99] |
1.1 Conference abstract only | 1 | 50 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.2 [0.03, 1.59] |
1.2 Transplantation Proceedings | 5 | 290 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.49 [0.22, 1.11] |
1.3 Full peer reviewed journal article | 11 | 2200 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.83 [0.65, 1.07] |
2 Acute rejection: total | 22 | 3301 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.65 [0.57, 0.73] |
2.1 Conference abstract only | 2 | 83 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.67 [0.34, 1.33] |
2.2 Transplantation Proceedings | 5 | 290 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.46 [0.29, 0.74] |
2.3 Full peer reviewed journal article | 15 | 2928 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.66 [0.57, 0.76] |
3 Infection: CMV viraemia/syndrome | 13 | 2880 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.06 [0.85, 1.32] |
3.1 Conference abstract only | 0 | 0 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.0 [0.0, 0.0] |
3.2 Transplantation Proceedings | 1 | 80 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 7.0 [0.37, 131.28] |
3.3 Full peer reviewed journal article | 12 | 2800 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.05 [0.84, 1.30] |
4 Graft function: serum creatinine | 15 | 2233 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.05 [‐0.05, 0.15] |
4.1 Conference abstract only | 2 | 83 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | ‐0.09 [‐0.48, 0.30] |
4.2 Transplantation Proceedings | 3 | 166 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | ‐0.16 [‐0.49, 0.18] |
4.3 Full peer reviewed journal article | 10 | 1984 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.07 [‐0.03, 0.18] |
Characteristics of studies
Characteristics of included studies [ordered by year of study]
MMF US Study 1995.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group 1
Treatment group 2
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Low risk | The study was double‐blind |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | Low risk | The study was double‐blind. Investigators and patients were blinded until all patients had been in the study for 1 year |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Low risk | ITT analysis reported; four patients never received study drug and were excluded from some of the analysis; all patients followed‐up or accounted for |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | The published report included all expected outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | High risk | This study was sponsored by a grant from Syntex (U.S.A.), Inc., Palo Alto, CA. Syntex (funder) was unblinded to provide the results of the efficacy analysis for all patients as of 6 months after transplant and the results of the analyses of safety data collected for patients as of the data cut‐off date of March 4, 1994 |
MMF TRI Study 1996.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group 1
Treatment group 2
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Low risk | The study was double‐blind |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | Low risk | Double‐blinding of investigators and patients continued throughout the 3 years of this study |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Low risk | ITT analysis reported, six patients never received study drug and were excluded from some of the analysis; all patients followed up or accounted for |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | The published report included all expected outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | High risk | This study was supported by Roche Pharmaceuticals |
Isbel 1997.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Not reported |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Not reported |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | Not reported, presumably open‐label |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Not reported |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | High risk | ITT analysis unclear; number randomised or number of patients at the end of the study not reported, data only available from conference abstract |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | High risk | No relevant data for this review ‐ data only available from conference abstract |
Other bias | Unclear risk | Funding source not reported |
Mendez 1998.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group 1
Treatment group 2
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No blinding |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Low risk | ITT analysis reported; eleven patients never received study drug or kidney graft and were excluded from the analyses; all patients followed up or accounted for. 11 patients in the AZA group discontinued AZA and crossed over to the MMF group |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | The published report included all expected outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | High risk | This study was supported by a grant from Fujisawa Healthcare, Inc, Deerfield, IL. |
Ling 1998.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group 1
Treatment group 2
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No information on blinding available (no blinding assumed) |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | ITT analysis unclear; all patients followed‐up |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | The published report included most expected outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | Unclear risk | Funding source not reported |
Egfjord 1999.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment. |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available. |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No information on blinding available |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | High risk | ITT analysis unclear; number randomised or number of patients at the end of the study was not reported. (data only available from conference abstract) |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | High risk | The published report included few outcomes regarding efficacy and safety. (data only available from conference abstract) |
Other bias | Unclear risk | Funding source not reported |
Johnson 2000.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No blinding |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Low risk | ITT analysis reported; all patients followed up or accounted for; twelve patients discontinued study drug |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | The published report included all expected outcomes regarding efficacy and safety. Relevant outcomes (efficacy and safety) for this review have been reported |
Other bias | High risk | This study was supported by a grant from Fujisawa Healthcare, Inc, Deerfield, IL |
Suhail 2000.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No blinding |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | High risk | ITT analysis unclear; number randomised or number of patients at the end of the study was not reported |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | The published report included most expected outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | Unclear risk | Funding source not reported |
Folkmane 2001.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No information on blinding available |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | High risk | ITT analysis unclear; number randomised or number of patients at the end of the study was not reported |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | High risk | The published report included few outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | Unclear risk | Funding source not reported |
Busque 2001.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No blinding |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | High risk | ITT analysis unclear; number randomised or number of patients at the end of the study was not reported |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | The published report included most expected outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | High risk | The study was supported by Fujisawa Canada Inc. |
Ji 2001.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | High risk | Quasi‐RCT, patients allocated in alternating sequence |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | High risk | Patients were consecutively enrolled and were allocated to the treatment arms in alternating sequence |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No blinding |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | ITT analysis unclear; all patients followed‐up |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | The published report included most expected outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | Low risk | The study was funded by a university grant |
Weimer 2002.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No blinding |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Low risk | ITT analysis reported; all patients followed up or accounted for |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | The published report included most expected outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | High risk | The study was supported in part by the Fujisawa, Roche, Novartis, Biotest and Fresenius companies |
Sun 2002b.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment. |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available. |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No information on blinding available. |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | ITT analysis unclear; all patients followed‐up. |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | The published report included most expected outcomes regarding efficacy and safety. |
Other bias | Unclear risk | Funding source not reported |
Tuncer 2002.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | "non‐blinded study" |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | ITT analysis unclear; all patients were followed up |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Unclear risk | The published report included few outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | Unclear risk | Funding source not reported |
Army Hospital 2002.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment. |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No information on blinding available |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | High risk | ITT analysis unclear; number randomised and number of patients at the end of the study not reported. (data only available from conference abstract) |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | High risk | The published report included few outcomes regarding efficacy and safety. (data only available from conference abstract) |
Other bias | Unclear risk | Funding source not reported |
Sadek 2002.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Low risk | “...randomization was [...] performed with the Almedica Drug Labeling System (Almedica Service Corp., Allendale, New Jersey). The numbers assigned to each center were sequential within each stratum.” |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No blinding |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Low risk | ITT analysis reported, all patients followed up or accounted for |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | The published report included all expected outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | High risk | This study was supported by a grant from Novartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland |
Miladipour 2002.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No information on blinding available |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | ITT analysis unclear; all patients followed up |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | The published report included most outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | Unclear risk | Funding source not reported |
COSTAMP Study 2002.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No blinding |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Low risk | “The histological evaluation of the biopsy was performed by the local histopathologist who was blinded towards the patient’s treatment.” |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Low risk | ITT analysis reported, all patients followed up or accounted for. The majority of patients (452 patients; 92 %) completed the study |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | The published report included most expected outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | High risk | This study was supported by Fujisawa GmbH, Munich, Germany |
Baltar 2002.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No blinding |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | ITT analysis unclear; all patients followed up |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | High risk | The published report included very few outcomes regarding efficacy |
Other bias | High risk | The study was supported by Roche |
Keven 2003.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No information on blinding available |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | High risk | No ITT analysis: eight patients not analysed due to reported reasons (e.g. diarrhoea, proteinuria, etc.); however, all patients followed up |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | High risk | The published report included very few outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | Unclear risk | Funding source not reported |
Merville 2004.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Insufficient information about the sequence generation process to permit judgment |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No blinding |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Low risk | “All biopsies (from donors and recipients) were blindly and centrally examined by the same pathologist (CD).” |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Low risk | ITT analysis reported; all patients followed up or accounted for; 3 patients, 2 in the MMF group and one in the AZA group, were excluded after randomisation for discontinuation of the randomised drug and a total of 71 individuals was finally available for analysis |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | The published report included all expected outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | Low risk | The study was financially supported partly by the Association Promotion Transplantation Renale and the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Bordeaux (non‐industry) |
MYSS Study 2004.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | Low risk | “Randomisation was centralised at the Laboratory of Biostatistics of the Clinical Research Centre for Rare Diseases Aldo e Cele Daccò of the Mario Negri Institute for Pharmacological Research, under the responsibility of an independent investigator who was not involved in design or performance of the study.” |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | Unclear risk | Randomisation stated, but no information on allocation method used is available |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No blinding |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Low risk | ITT analysis reported, two patients did not receive study drug or kidney graft and were excluded from the analyses; all patients followed up or accounted for |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Low risk | The published report included all expected outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | Low risk | No conflicts of interest declared. The study was supported by non‐industry funding |
Joh 2005.
Methods |
|
|
Participants |
|
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant immunosuppression
|
|
Outcomes |
|
|
Notes |
|
|
Risk of bias | ||
Bias | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement |
Random sequence generation (selection bias) | High risk | Quasi‐RCT: "When two cases of kidney transplantation took place from the same cadaveric donor in our hospital, transplantation was performed on a first come first serve base. MMF was administered to the early‐transplanted patient and AZA to the following patient and vice versa in the next case" |
Allocation concealment (selection bias) | High risk | Patients were consecutively enrolled and were allocated to the treatment arms in alternating sequence |
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) All outcomes | High risk | No blinding |
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | Insufficient information to permit judgment |
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes | Unclear risk | ITT analysis unclear; all patients were followed up |
Selective reporting (reporting bias) | Unclear risk | The published report included few outcomes regarding efficacy and safety |
Other bias | Unclear risk | Funding source not reported |
ALG ‐ antilymphocyte globulin; ATG ‐ antithymocyte globulin; AZA ‐ azathioprine; CAN ‐ chronic allograft nephropathy; CrCl ‐ creatinine clearance; CsA ‐ cyclosporin A, CsA‐ME ‐ cyclosporin A microemulsion; GI ‐ gastrointestinal; Hb ‐ haemoglobin; HBV ‐ hepatitis B virus; HIV ‐ human immunodeficiency virus; HLA ‐ human leucocyte antigen; HTLV ‐ human T‐lymphotropic virus; ITT ‐ intention‐to‐treat; MMF ‐ mycophenolate mofetil; NODAT ‐ new onset diabetes after transplantation; PRA ‐ panel reactive antibody; RCT ‐ randomised controlled trial; SCr ‐ serum creatinine; SD ‐ standard deviation; SE ‐ standard error; Tac ‐ tacrolimus; WCC ‐ white cell count
Characteristics of excluded studies [ordered by study ID]
Study | Reason for exclusion |
---|---|
Araujo 1999 | Not primary regimen |
Asci 2002 | Not primary regimen |
Baek 2004 | Not RCT |
Bataille 2010 | Unequal concomitant regimen |
Benfield 1999 | Randomised to OKT3 and CsA (not AZA and MMF) |
Boletis 1999b | Not RCT |
Brennan 2005 | Not comparison of interest |
Cransberg 2007 | Not primary regimen, no comparison of interest |
El‐Agroudy 2009 | Not primary regimen |
Ettenger 1995 | Not comparison of interest |
Griffin 2003 | Not primary regimen |
Ha 2004 | Not primary regimen |
Hernandez 2007 | No comparison of interest |
Jain 2001 | Not primary regimen |
Jirasiritham 2000 | Not primary regimen |
Kasiske 1997 | Not RCT |
Khosroshahi 2006a | not RCT |
Kim 1999 | not RCT |
Langman 1996 | Not primary regimen |
Lezaic 2005 | Not primary regimen |
Lison 2004 | Not comparison of interest |
Makhdoomi 2005 | Not RCT |
Mandelbaum 1998 | not RCT |
Merion 2000 | Multi‐organ transplantation |
Metcalfe 2002 | Not primary regimen |
MMF 1998 | Not primary regimen |
MO2ART Study 2003 | Not comparison of interest |
Nowacka‐Cieciur 2000 | Not primary regimen, no comparison of interest |
Oliveira 1999 | No RCT |
Schurter 1997 | Not primary regimen |
Smak Gregoor 2000 | Not primary regimen |
Touchard 2005 | Not primary regimen |
Tsinalis 2000 | Unequal concomitant regimen |
Vacher‐Coponat 2006 | Unequal concomitant regimen |
van der Mast 2000 | Not primary regimen |
Vanrenterghem 1998 | Not comparison of interest |
Woeste 2002 | Multi‐organ transplantation, unequal concomitant regimen |
Wuthrich 2000 | Not primary regimen |
AZA ‐ azathioprine; CsA ‐ cyclosporin A; MMF ‐ mycophenolate mofetil; RCT ‐ randomised controlled trial
Legend: no RCT: study design not RCT or quasi‐RCT; multi‐organ transplantation: not solely kidney transplantation, exclusion of studies enrolling patients undergoing multi‐organ transplantation, e.g. simultaneous kidney‐pancreas transplantation; not primary regimen: the randomisation to MMF versus AZA was not performed at the time of transplantation, but subsequently during the maintenance phase (e.g. due to previous acute rejection, chronic allograft nephropathy, calcineurin‐inhibitor‐toxicity or in stable graft function status); no comparison of interest: randomised intervention not of interest for the review, i.e. not MMF versus AZA; unequal concomitant regimen, i.e. patients randomised to intervention and control were treated with different immunosuppressive regimens (e.g. MMF/cyclosporin A versus AZA/tacrolimus)
Characteristics of ongoing studies [ordered by study ID]
ATHENA Study 2012.
Trial name or title | A randomized, prospective, multicenter trial to compare the effect on chronic allograft nephropathy prevention of mycophenolate mofetil versus azathioprine as the sole immunosuppressive therapy for kidney transplant recipients (ATHENA) |
Methods | RCT, multicentre (6) Year of transplantation: 2007 to 2012 Study duration: 4 years |
Participants | Estimated enrolment: 224 Country: Italy Deceased donor: 100% Previous transplantation: 0% Inclusion criteria
Exclusion criteria
|
Interventions | Treatment group
Control group
Concomitant regimen
|
Outcomes | Primary endpoint
Secondary endpoints
|
Starting date | May 2007 |
Contact information | Norberto Perico, MD; Mario Negri Institute for Pharmacological Research; Milano, Italy |
Notes | The study was registered at clinicaltrials.gov (#NCT00494741) on June 29, 2007 This study is ongoing, but not recruiting participants (last update February 24, 2014) Estimated completion date: September 2016 |
AZA ‐ azathioprine; CAN ‐ chronic allograft nephropathy; CsA‐ME ‐ cyclosporin A emulsion; HIV ‐ human immunodeficiency virus; IL‐2 ‐ interleukin 2; IV ‐ intravenous; MMF ‐ mycophenolate mofetil; PRA ‐ panel reactive antibody; RATG ‐ rabbit antithymocyte globulin; WCC ‐ white cell count
Differences between protocol and review
During the preparation of the review a few aspects were implemented in the current version of the review that was not pre‐specified in the protocol.
Within the presentation of results according to primary and secondary outcomes, we highlighted the clinical importance of outcomes as suggested by the GRADE working group (Atkins 2004). We adopted the classification from the KDIGO workgroup of experts in the fields of kidney transplantation and methodology (KDIGO 2009).
We tested all covariates pre‐specified in the protocol regarding confounding of the meta‐analysis results and to investigate heterogeneity using meta‐regression and subgroup‐analyses. Herein, the effects of blinded administration of the study drug and studies excluding previous kidney transplantation were tested in meta‐regression, rather than in subgroup‐analyses.
Contributions of authors
Draft the protocol: MW, EB, KU, AW
Study selection: MW, EB, AE
Data extraction from studies and entering into RevMan: MW, AE, IP
Study translation: JC and EB (Spanish); MC, CH and KH (Chinese)
Statistical analyses: MW, CS
Interpretation of results: MW, EB, KU, AW
Draft the final review: MW, AE, EB, KU, AW
Disagreement resolution: KU, EB, AW
Update the review: MW, AW
Sources of support
Internal sources
No sources of support supplied
External sources
-
National Kidney Foundation, USA.
(Fellowship training program of the National Kidney Foundation Center for Clinical Practice Guideline Development and Implementation at Tufts Medical Center)
-
Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, USA.
(Grant # R01‐HS018574)
Declarations of interest
In the past 5 years, MW received travel grants from Genzyme
In the past 5 years, CS received grants from Blue Cross Blue Shield, TEVA Pharma and Glaxo Smith Kline
AE, AW, EB and KU do not have any known conflicts of interest
New
References
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MYSS Study 2004 {published data only}
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Suhail 2000 {published data only}
- Suhail SM, Vathsala A, Lou HX, Woo KT. Safety and efficacy of mycophenolate mofetil for prophylaxis in Asian renal transplant recipients. Transplantation Proceedings 2000;32(7):1757‐8. [MEDLINE: ] [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
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References to studies excluded from this review
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Ettenger 1995 {published data only}
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Hernandez 2007 {published data only}
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Khosroshahi 2006a {published data only}
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