Abstract
Introduction
The overall prevalence of gambling problems across prison populations is currently unknown. The objective of the present study was therefore to quantitatively synthetize prevalence estimates of gambling problems in prison populations using a random effects meta-analytic model and to investigate if the estimates were moderated by time frame, cut-off levels, and sample size.
Methods
To be included the studies had to report original data on the prevalence of gambling problems in a prison sample and to be written in a European language, whereas data based on abstracts or qualitative reports were excluded. The search ended on December 1, 2023 and were conducted in Web of Science, PubMed, Cinahl, PsycINFO, Embase, Google Scholar, Grey Literature Report, and GreyNet. Risk of bias was assessed with a standardized 10-item measure for epidemiological studies.
Results
A total of 26 studies comprising 9,491 participants were included. The vast majority of the participants were males. The most commonly used instrument for assessment of gambling problems was the South Oaks Gambling Screen. The pooled random-effects gambling problems prevalence estimate was 30.8% (95% CI = 25.1–37.3). The meta-regression analysis showed that none of the three moderator variables (criteria, timeframe, sample size) were related to the gambling problems prevalence. Common limitations of the included studies entailed not being representative nationally or for the target population, lack of randomization, and low response rate. The meta-analysis was restricted to studies published in a European language.
Conclusions
Overall, the studies show that 1 in 3 prisoners has gambling problems and suggests that more emphasis on relevant prevention and treatment is warranted for this population. The study was funded by the Norwegian Competence Center for Gambling and Gaming Research and pre-registered at PROSPERO (CRD42023390552).
Keywords: prison, problem gambling, meta-analysis, systematic review
Gambling can be defined as staking money or other possessions of material value on the outcome of a game or event that is partly or completely determined by chance (Bolen & Boyd, 1968). For most people, gambling is a recreational activity, but may for some develop into problem gambling, characterized by loss of control which can manifest itself in terms of impaired economy, relationships, wellbeing, health, cultural connectedness, work/school-performance and illegal behaviors (Langham et al., 2016). Prevalence studies indicate that between 0.7 and 6.5% of the general adult population in Europe, Asia, North America, and Oceania report gambling problems (Calado & Griffiths, 2016). In more severe cases, the gambler fulfills the diagnostic criteria for gambling disorder, which is subclassified into mild, moderate and severe depending on number of the diagnostic criteria satisfied (APA, 2013).
Some populations may be more vulnerable in terms of developing gambling problems and several studies indicate that the prevalence of problem gambling within prison populations is considerably higher than that observed in the general population. For instance, a study conducted by Riley, Larsen, Battersby, and Harvey (2018) assessed problem gambling among male prisoners in Australia and found a lifetime prevalence of 60.1%. Similarly, Riley, Larsen, Battersby, & Harvey (2017) examined problem gambling in an Australian female prison sample and reported a lifetime prevalence rate of 63.5%. Moreover, the elevated prevalence of problem gambling among prisoners has consistently been documented across different geographical regions. A study conducted by Yokotani, Tamura, Kaneko, and Kamimura (2019) examined the rates of problem gambling in a Japanese prison and revealed an average lifetime prevalence rate of 38.6%. Another study conducted by Lelonek-Kulela (2020) found gambling lifetime prevalence rates to be 29.4% among a sample of Polish prisoners. These findings further attest to the global nature of the issue and emphasize the urgency of understanding and addressing problem gambling among incarcerated individuals.
Why the prevalence rates seem dramatically elevated in prison populations is not completely determined, but several mechanisms may be in play. Firstly, gambling has been deemed “criminogenic”. Historically, gambling has been associated with organized crime such as illegal gambling, corruption, and money laundering (Ferentzy and Turner, 2009). Due to the nature of gambling some gamblers accumulate debts or severe economic problems which may cause them to commit economic crimes such as fraud and embezzlement, although violent crimes also have been described in this context (Adolphe, Khatib, van Golde, Gainsbury, & Blaszczynski, 2019; Binge et al., 2022). Secondly, a less discussed path goes from the prison system to gambling. In a study among prisoners in the UK 30% agreed that gambling was a normal part of prison life, and 8% started gambling when being incarcerated. Beyond money, currency used were food, cigarettes, drugs and drinks (Smith, Sharman, & Roberts, 2022). Abbott, McKenna and Giles (2005) and Abbott and McKenna (2005), reporting from a New Zealand prison, found that gambling was prevalent both among male and female prisoners. Thirdly, it is conceivable that several common “third variables” which have relevance for gambling as well as crime are involved. Both crimes and excessive gambling have been associated with environmental risk factors such as poverty and deprived communities, and also with personality related conditions and traits such as conduct disorder, antisocial personality, impulsivity and risk taking (Dennison, Finkeldey, & Rocheleau, 2021).
A relevant theoretical perspective in this realm is problem behavior theory (Jessor, 1987; Jessor & Jessor, 1977). According to this theory, behavior is a result of three systems of variables: 1) antecedent-background variables (e.g., family background and socialization), 2) social-psychological variables, such as the personality system (e.g., values, expectations, beliefs and personal control structures) and the perceived environment system (e.g., support/control from others and problem behavioral approval from others), and 3) social behavior variables (e.g., problem-behavior structure and conventional behavior structure). Within each system variables either reflect instigations towards or controls against problem behavior (Jessor, 1987). Problem behavior theory proposes a ‘problem behavior syndrome’ where involvement in one problem behavior such as problem gambling co-occurs with involvement in other problem behaviors such as economic and violent crime (Jessor & Jessor, 1977).
Although both assumed mechanisms and empirical studies suggest that gambling problems are significantly elevated in prison populations, still, no quantitative synthesis of gambling problems in such populations has been performed. Due to lack of systematic reviews not much is known in regard to factors that may moderate prevalence rates. In terms of the latter, previous studies have generally shown far higher lifetime than current prevalence of mental disorders among defendants at criminal court (Brown et al., 2022). Furthermore, there is reason to believe that lenient criteria categorizing gambling problems will provide higher prevalences than studies based on more strict cut-offs (Sassen, Kraus, & Bühringer, 2011). Finally, another study characteristic which may influence the estimates is sample size as small samples (small study effect) have been associated with inflated estimates more often than large samples (Richter, Wall, Bruen, & Whittington, 2019).
Against this backdrop, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of problem gambling in prison populations and investigated (in the presence of heterogenous prevalence estimates) if moderators in terms of time frame (current vs. lifetime), cut-off (lenient vs. strict) and sample size could explain the dispersion in prevalence estimates.
Methods
Search strategy and inclusion criteria
The present study was pre-registered at PROSPERO (CRD42023390552). We conducted a systematic and comprehensive literature search in Web of Science, PubMed, Cinahl, PsycInfo, Embase, Google Scholar, Grey Literature Report, and GreyNet. The following search string was used: “Gambl* AND (prison* OR institution* OR jail* OR detain* OR correction* OR offend* OR penal* OR penitentiar* OR incarcerat* OR felon* OR custod* OR remand* OR inmate* OR sentenc* OR gaol* OR crim* OR jurid* OR detention*). A total of 5,891 hits (including the first 286 hits in Google Scholar) were identified from the database search. The search from Google Scholar, Grey Literature Report and GreyNet was conducted in order to identify gray literature. After removing duplicates, 5,244 records were available for screening. Of this pool, 4,889 records were removed after screening their titles. Next, the abstracts of the remaining 355 records were inspected of which 267 were discarded after going through the abstracts. After screening the remaining 88 full-text records for eligibility, 26 were included in the analysis.
The key inclusion criteria were that the study or record presented original data on the prevalence of gambling problems in a prison sample and was published in a European language. Data only presented in abstracts or in qualitative reports were excluded. The literature search ended on June 1, 2023 (with a supplementary search ending December 1, 2023). We conducted the literature search and selection in line with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) procedure (Page et al., 2021) and the Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (Brooke, Schwartz, & Pawlik, 2021). Figure 1 presents the literature search and selection process. See Appendix for a completed PRISMA-guideline checklist.
Fig. 1.
Flow diagram of systematic literature search on problem gambling in prison populations
Data extraction
EVT and FM independently conducted the literature search and selection of articles based on the aforementioned criteria. Using a pretested data extraction form, the following data were extracted from the identified studies and coded accordingly: first author name and publication year, country, prison conditions (sentence served in prison vs. open), problem gambling assessment/measure, sample size (total, female, and male), age of the participants (range, M ± SD), prevalence of problem gambling, and response rate (Table 1). Discrepant extractions were resolved through discussion and further reviewed until consensus was reached. None of the authors have any competing interests to declare.
Table 1.
Characteristics of prevalence studies of problem gambling in prison populations
| References | Country | Sentence served in prison | Screening tool | n | n ♀ | n ♂ | Age range | Age M ± SD | T prev %b | RR %c | Cuf off | Time frame |
| Abbott et al. (2005) | New Zealand | Yes | SOGS-Rd | 357 | 357 | 17–36+a | 31.1 | 87.5 | Lenient | Lifetime | ||
| Abbott and McKenna (2005) | New Zealand | Yes | SOGS-Rd | 94 | 94 | 30 ± 8 | 55.3 | 62 | Lenient | Lifetime | ||
| Anderson (1999) | USA | Yes | SOGS-Ee | 223 | 223 | 73 | 74 | Lenient | Lifetime | |||
| Kerber et al. (2012) | USA | Yes | SOGSe | 43 | 43 | 50+a | 44.2 | 93.5 | Lenient | Lifetime | ||
| Kirchmann-Kallas et al. (2023) | Germany | Prison hospital | KFGe | 134 | 134 | 20.5 | 97.1 | Strict | Lifetime | |||
| Lahn (2005) | Australia | Both | SOGSd | 102 | 5 | 97 | 34.3 | 11.23 | Strict | Current | ||
| Lelonek-Kulela (2020) | Poland | Yes | SOGSe | 891 | 891 | 18–69 | 34.24 ± 10.379 | 29.4 | Strict | Lifetime | ||
| Lind et al. (2019) | Finland | Both | BBGSe | 94 | 39 | 55 | 18–55+a | 16 | 30.8 | Strict | Current | |
| May-Chahal et al. (2012) | England | Yes | PGSIe | 423 | 222 | 201 | 21–60+a | 22.7 | 60 | Lenient | Current | |
| May-Chahal et al. (2016) | UK | Yes | PGSIe | 1,057 | 252 | 805 | 18–77 | 33.5 | 23.1 | 88 | Lenient | Current |
| Riley & Oakes. (2015) | Australia | Yes | EIGHTe | 105 | 105 | 52.4 | 70 | Lenient | Lifetime | |||
| Riley et al. (2017) | Australia | Yes | EIGHTe | 74 | 74 | 38.54 ± 9.86 | 63.5 | 58 | Lenient | Lifetime | ||
| Riley et al. (2018) | Australia | Yes | EIGHTe | 296 | 296 | 37.70 ± 11.08 | 60.1 | 66 | Lenient | Lifetime | ||
| Ruiz-Pérez and Echeburúa (2019) | Colombia | Yes | BQPGe | 100 | 47 | 53 | 37.6 ± 12.6 | 33 | Lenient | Lifetime | ||
| Smith et al. (2022) | UK | Yes | PGSIe | 282 | 0 | 282 | 18–75 | 34.5 ± 11.4 | 14.5 | Strict | Lifetime | |
| Sullivan et al. (2008) | New Zealand | Yes | EIGHT/SOGSe | 100 | 100 | 29 | 100 | Strict | Current | |||
| Templer et al. (1993) | USA | Yes | SOGSe | 136 | 136 | 20–64 | 31.68 ± 8.91 | 47.1 | Lenient | Current | ||
| Turner et al. (2009) | Canada | Yes | SOGSe | 254 | 254 | 34.6 ± 10.8 | 22.8 | 39 | Lenient | Lifetime | ||
| Turner et al. (2012) | Canada | Yes | SOGS/PGSI/DSM-IVe | 422 | 41 | 381 | 18–82 | 38.7 | 17.3 | 61.5 | Lenient | Current |
| Walters (1997) | USA | Yes | SOGSd | 363 | 363 | 19–74 | 31.47 ± 8.15 | 12.7 | 91.44 | Lenient | Lifetime | |
| Walters et al. (1998) | USA | Yes | SOGSe | 316 | 316 | 18+a | 50.6 | 72 | Lenient | Current | ||
| Westphal and Johnson (2006) | USA | Yes | SOGS-R/DSM-IV-JRe | 1,636 | 169 | 1,444 | 10–19 | 20.5 | 92 | Strict | Current | |
| Widinghoff et al. (2019) | Sweden | Yes | DSM-IVe | 263 | 263 | 18–25 | 22.3 | 16.3 | 71 | Strict | Lifetime | |
| Yokotani et al. (2019) | Japan | Yes | SOGS-Re | 332 | 332 | 18+a | 51.34 ± 12.82 | 38.6 | 74.6 | Strict | Lifetime | |
| Zorland et al. (2013) | USA | No | SOGSe | 602 | 172 | 430 | 18–63 | 36 ± 10.60 | 30.4 | Lenient | Lifetime | |
| Zurhold et al. (2014) | Germany | Yes | Lie-Betd | 792 | 34.3 ± 10.3 | 6.6 | 89 | Lenient | Lifetime |
Note: aAs reported from authors, bPrevalence, cResponse rate, dInterview, eSelf-Report, BBGS = Brief Biosocial Gambling Screen, BQPG = Brief Questionnaire of Pathological Gambling, DSM-IV = Diagnostic and Statistical Manual, EIGHT = Early Intervention Gambling Health Test, KFG = Kurzfragebogen zum Glücksspielverhalten, PGSI = Problem Gambling Severity Index, SOGS = South Oaks Gambling Screen.
Statistical analysis
A random-effects model using the DerSimonian and Laird approach for estimating the between-study variance (DerSimonian & Laird, 1986) was used. Prevalence estimates and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated for each study in addition to pooled results and prediction interval. The latter represents the interval within which the effect size of a future study would fall, given that the study was randomly selected from the same population as the studies included in the present meta-analysis (IntHout, Ioannidis, Rovers, & Goeman, 2016).
A random-effects model is preferred as the included studies were assumed to represent different populations of studies (Borenstein et al., 2009). In the case of significant between study heterogeneity, we decided a priori to conduct a random-effects meta-regression analysis to examine whether the following predictors explained heterogeneity in gambling problem prevalence: a) diagnostic cut-off a (lenient vs. strict), b) time frame (current/last 12 months vs. lifetime), and c) sample size. Regarding strict vs. lenient operationalization of gambling problems, we coded the cut-off as strict if the study employed clinical assessment and/or a standardized and validated measurement of gambling problems using conventional cut-off values to indicate the most severe category (e.g., PGSI ≥8/SOGS ≥5). We coded the cut-off as lenient if the study employed a lower cut-off value than the conventional cut-off when using standardized and validated measurements (e.g., PGSI 3-7/SOGS 3 or 4). If the screening tool covered a mixed timeframe (Petry, 1996), “lifetime” was used as moderator value in the analysis. Heterogeneity was assessed using Cochran's Q and the I2 statistic, the latter reflecting the proportion of variation in observed effects that is due to variation in true effect sizes (Borenstein, Higgins, Hedges, & Rothstein, 2017). An I2 of 0% suggests no heterogeneity, 25% indicate low heterogeneity, 50% indicate moderate heterogeneity, and 75% indicate high heterogeneity, respectively (Higgins, Thompson, Deeks, & Altman, 2003).
Publication bias was investigated using Egger test, which is based on a regression model where the standardized effect size comprises the dependent variable and the inverse of the standard error constitute the independent variable. An intercept significantly different from zero suggests bias (Egger, Davey Smith, Schneider, & Minder, 1997). Also, a trim-and-fill procedure (Duval & Tweedie, 2000) was used for investigation of publication bias. This procedure is based on a funnel plot, where effect sizes are depicted along the x axis and where the inverse of the variance (sample size) is represented on the y axis. This creates a funnel plot with the largest and most precise studies situated at the top of the funnel. In the absence of publication bias, the funnel plot is symmetrical. Publication bias often entails lack of small studies with small effects. The trim-and-fill procedure trims off asymmetric outlying studies and replaces them with studies around the center, whereupon an adjusted effect size and 95% CI are calculated.
Risk of bias was evaluated using a quality assessment checklist for prevalence studies (Hoy et al., 2012). The checklist comprised items reflecting ten characteristics of the included studies, each scored 0 (low risk of bias) or 1 (high risk of bias): High risk was indicated by each of the following items: 1) study target population is not representative of the national prison population, 2) sampling frame is not a representation of the target population, 3) random selection is not used, 4) response rate is less than 75%, 5) data is collected from a proxy, 6) an acceptable case definition is not used, 7) the study instrument is not shown to have reliability or validity, 8) same mode of data collection is not used for all subjects, 9) the shortest prevalence period for the parameter is not appropriate, and 10) one or more of the numerator(s) or denominator(s) is inappropriate. Hence, the total score ranged from 0 to 10 and was categorized as high quality/low risk (0–3), moderate quality/risk (4–6), and low quality/high risk (7–10), respectively. See Table 2. The meta-analysis and meta-regression analysis were conducted using Comprehensive Meta-Analysis 4.0 (Biostat Inc., 2014). The extraction sheet and data file are available as supplementary material.
Table 2.
Risk-of-bias evaluation of the included studies
| References | N representativeness | N frame | Randomization | Non-response bias | Primary data | Operationalization | Instrument | Consistency | Period | Estimation | Total risk score | Risk category |
| Abbott et al. (2005) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Low |
| Abbott and McKenna (2005) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Low |
| Anderson (1999) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Low |
| Kerber et al. (2012) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low |
| Kirchmann-Kallas et al. (2023) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Low |
| Lahn (2005) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Moderate |
| Lelonek-Kulela (2020) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Low |
| Lind et al. (2019) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low |
| May-Chahal et al. (2012) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Low |
| May-Chahal et al. (2016) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Low |
| Riley and Oakes (2015) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Moderate |
| Riley et al. (2017) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low |
| Riley et al. (2018) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Low |
| Ruiz-Pérez and Echeburúa (2019) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Moderate |
| Smith et al. (2022) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low |
| Templer et al. (1993) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Moderate |
| Turner et al. (2009) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Low |
| Turner et al. (2012) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Low |
| Walters (1997) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Moderate |
| Walters et al. (1998) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Moderate |
| Westphal and Johnson (2006) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low |
| Widinghoff et al. (2019) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Moderate |
| Yokotani et al. (2019) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low |
| Zorland et al. (2013) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low |
| Zurhold et al. (2014) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Low |
Item score: (0: low risk, 1: high risk). §Total quality/risk score: [range (0–10): high quality/low risk (0–3), moderate quality/risk (4–6), poor quality/high risk (7–10)].
Results
Description of studies
Of the 26 included studies, publication years ranged from 1993 (Templer, Kaiser, & Siscoe, 1993) to 2023 (Kirchmann-Kallas et al., 2023). Studies were conducted in USA (k = 7; Anderson, 1999; Kerber, Hickey, Astroth, & Kim, 2012; Templer et al., 1993; Walters, 1997; Walters & Contri, 1998; Westphal & Johnson, 2006; Zorland, Kuperminc, Mooss, Gilmore, & Emshoff, 2013), Australia (k = 4; Lahn, 2005; Riley & Oakes, 2015; Riley et al., 2017, 2018), New Zealand (k = 3; Abbott, McKenna, & Giles, 2005; Abbott & McKenna, 2005; Sullivan, Brown, & Skinner, 2008), UK (k = 3; May-Chahal, Wilson, Humphreys, & Anderson, 2012; May-Chahal, Humphreys, Clifton, Francis, & Reith, 2016; Smith et al., 2022), Canada (k = 2; Turner, Preston, Saunders, McAvoy, & Jain, 2009, 2012), Germany (k = 2; Kirchmann-Kallas et al., 2023; Zurhold, Verthein, & Kalke, 2014), and one study each from the following countries: Colombia (Ruiz-Pérez & Echeburúa, 2019), Finland (Lind, Salonen, Järvinen-Tassopoulos, Alho, & Castrén, 2019), Japan (Yokotani et al., 2019), Poland (Lelonek-Kulela, 2020) and Sweden (Widinghoff et al., 2019).
The majority of studies (k = 15) assessed gambling problems with the South Oaks Gambling Screen (SOGS) (Abbott et al., 2005; Abbott & McKenna, 2005; Anderson, 1999; Kerber et al., 2012; Lahn, 2005; Sullivan et al., 2008; Lelonek-Kulela, 2020; Templer, 1993; Turner et al., 2009, 2012; Walters, 1997; Walters & Contri, 1998; Westphal et al., 2006; Yokotani et al., 2019; Zorland et al., 2013), some (k = 4) studies used the Problem Gambling Severity Index (PGSI) measure (May-Chahal et al., 2012, 2016; Smith et al., 2022; Turner, Preston, McAvoy, & Gillam, 2012), others (k = 4) used the Early Intervention Gambling Health Test (EIGHT) (Riley & Oakes, 2015; Riley et al., 2017, 2018; Sullivan et al., 2008), and (k = 3), and some studies (k = 3) used the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition (DSM-IV) or DSM-IV-JUNIOR (JR) criteria (Turner et al., 2012; Westphal & Johnson, 2006; Widinghoff et al., 2019). One study each used the BQPG measure (Ruiz-Pérez & Echeburúa, 2019), the Lie/Bet Questionnaire (Zurhold et al., 2014), BBGS measure (Lind et al., 2019), and KFG (Petry, 1996).
The studies included a total of 9,491 participants, ranging from 43 (Kerber et al., 2012) to 1,636 (Westphal & Johnson, 2006) with a mean of 365.0 (SD = 368.4) participants. Based on the 26 articles, the vast majority were males (n = 7,561), whereas 1,115 were females. Globally, 93.1% of those serving time in prisons are men (Fair & Walmsley, 2022). One article did not report the gender of the participants (Zurhold et al., 2014).
Publication bias
The findings of the Egger test (b = 2.80, 95% CI = −2.98–8.58, t = 1.00, p = 0.33) revealed an absence of publication bias. The trim-and-fill procedure trimmed 0 studies and did not, accordingly, change the overall prevalence estimates.
Interrater reliability
Interrater reliability was calculated as initial percent agreement between the two independent raters and was calculated separately for inclusion/exclusion of articles (90.4%), study characteristics including prevalence rates (96.4%), and thirdly for risk of bias (88.1%).
Prevalence estimates, confidence and prediction intervals, and heterogeneity
The results of the meta-analysis are presented in Fig. 2. The overall prevalence across all 26 studies was 30.8% (95% CI = 25.1–37.3, p < 0.001). The 95% prediction interval ranged from 8.8% to 67.3%. Cochran's Q was significant (Q = 841.70, df = 25, p < 0.001) suggesting heterogeneity across the prevalence estimates, and the I2 statistic was 97.0% indicating very high heterogeneity.
Fig. 2.
Forest plot of the included studies
Association of problem gambling in prisons
Due to the significant heterogeneity, a meta-regression analysis based on a random-effects model with Knapp Hartung adjustment (Knapp & Hartung, 2003) was conducted including three moderators: Cut-off (lenient vs. strict), time frame (current/12 months vs. lifetime), and sample size. As specific hypotheses were stated for all the moderators one-tailed significance tests were used. The results are presented in Table 3. Overall, the regression model was not significant (F[3, 22] = 2.00, p = 0.14, R2 analog = 0.00) and none of the moderators turned out significant. There were significant proportions of the variance that were not accounted for (Q = 681.1, df = 22, p < 0.001).
Table 3.
Results of meta-regression of diagnostic cut-off procedure, time frame, and sample size on gambling problems prevalence
| Predictor | Coefficient | SE | 95% CI | t | 1-sided p |
| Intercept | −0.3658 | 0.3723 | −1.1378, 0.4062 | −0.99 | 0.1683 |
| Diagnostic criteria | −0.4891 | 0.3425 | −1.1994, 0.2212 | −1.43 | 0.0837 |
| Time frame | 0.0260 | 0.3484 | −0.6965, 0.7884 | 0.07 | 0.4706 |
| Sample size | −0.0008 | 0.0005 | −0.0017, 0.0002 | −1.71 | 0.0505 |
Note. Diagnostic criteria (lenient = 0, strict = 1), time frame (current/12 month = 0, lifetime = 1). k = 24. R2 analog = 0.00.
Discussion
We investigated the prevalence of gambling problems in prison populations. A total of 26 studies fulfilled the inclusion criteria and were included in the meta-analysis. The overall problem gambling prevalence among prison populations was 30.8%, suggesting that nearly one-third of the prison population has gambling problems. However, the dispersion of effect sizes was significant, ranging from 6.6% (Zurhold et al., 2014) to 73% (Anderson, 1999).
The disparity in prevalences suggests that the included studies differ greatly across multiple dimensions. In terms of the meta-regression none of the moderator variables could explain the disparity of prevalence in gambling problems. Other potential factors that might moderate the estimates may be the type of prison (high/low security; prison vs. open sentencing), the country in which the study was conducted and the composition of the type of convicts in the sample, such as age, gender and type of criminality. Such potential moderates should be investigated in future studies.
The high overall prevalence of problem gambling in prison populations can be hypothesized to reflect the “criminogenic pathway” implying that gambling problems cause (e.g. theft/fraud) crime (Adolphe et al., 2019; Langham et al., 2016; WHO, 1992). However, the reversed causality, implying that prison environments foster excessive gambling (Beauregard & Brochu, 2013) cannot be ruled out. The same goes for the “third variable explanation”, presupposing common vulnerability factors (e.g., proximity and upbringing in deprived environments, conduct disorder, antisocial personality disorder, difficulties with impulsivity as well as risk taking behavior and genetics) for excessive gambling and criminal behaviors (Dennison et al., 2021). As such, future well-designed longitudinal studies are called for in order to elucidate the temporal relationship between gambling and crime.
The problem-behavior model (Jessor, 1987; Jessor & Jessor, 1977), previously presented, represents a more detailed and comprehensive explanatory model which explains the co-occurrence of different problem-behaviors, such as gambling and law disobedience.
Limitations of included studies
Limitations of the meta-analysis should be acknowledged among others due to the inclusion of several studies that had high risk on certain dimensions of the Hoy et al. (2012) risk of bias tool. Specifically, a number of included studies were rated as high risk on dimensions such as representativeness (not representative of the national prison population), sample frame (not representative of the target population), randomization (not randomly drawn samples, and non-response bias (low response rate). These limitations affect the overall quality and reliability of the meta-analysis findings. The high risk of bias associated with representativeness and sample frame indicates that the included studies not adequately reflect diverse and representative samples of prison populations. This may limit the generalizability of the findings to broader prison populations. Further it cannot be ruled out that the inclusion of studies with limited representation may result in a biased estimation of the true prevalence of problem gambling in prison populations. Furthermore, the presence of high risk on the randomization dimension also introduces the potential for selection bias, which may affect the accuracy of the prevalence estimates. The high risk on the non-response bias dimension implies that there may have been systematic differences between participants who agreed to participate in the studies and those who declined or were non-responsive. This bias can lead to an over -or underrepresentation of certain subgroups within the prison population which may impact the reliability and generalizability of the prevalence estimates.
It is essential to acknowledge these limitations and emphasize the need for future studies to address these in order to obtain more accurate estimates of the prevalence of problem gambling in prison populations. By addressing these limitations, future studies can provide more robust and reliable evidence on the prevalence of problem gambling among prisoners.
Although several studies included in the meta-analysis were found to be high risk on certain dimensions according to the Hoy et al. (2012) tool, it is worth noting that none of the studies were categorized as having poor study quality/high risk on the overall risk evaluation. While specific dimensions may raise concerns about certain aspects of the studies' methodology, the overall quality of the included studies remained acceptable. This indicates that despite the identified limitations, the studies provided valuable data.
Strengths and limitations of the present meta-analysis
Some other limitations should also be mentioned. Although two authors independently collected and analyzed the data, providing a reliable process with a reduced risk of overlooking relevant information, it is still possible that some studies may have been missed. Still, efforts were made to minimize this risk by including grey literature and systematically searching reference lists of relevance reviews and included studies. Furthermore, by restricting our search to papers written in European languages, there is a potential bias towards excluding studies published in non-European languages. This limitation may have impacted the comprehensiveness and generalizability of the findings, particularly in relation to non-European prison populations.
Although the moderators in the regression model were selected based on hypothesized relationships, the model failed to explain variance in gambling problem prevalences. Exclusion of potential moderators (e.g. type of prison and type of convictions) may have influenced the model. Future meta-analyses should consider including a wider range of moderators to enhance the explanatory power of the model and to capture additional sources of variation.
Despite these limitations, it is important to note that our meta-analysis followed the updated 2020 PRISMA guidelines, which promote comprehensive reporting and methodological transparency. The inclusion of grey literature and adherence to rigorous search strategies across multiple databases contribute to the strength of the study. Still, researchers should be cautious when interpreting the findings, recognizing the potential for missed studies, language bias, and the need for further investigation into unexplored moderators.
Implications for practice and future research
More focus on gambling and gambling problems in prisons by correctional officials has been suggested as a means of controlling and limiting gambling problems in correctional settings. Informing new prisoners about the risks of inmate gambling and screening new prisoners for problem gambling have also been proposed (McEvoy & Spirgen, 2012). In addition, improved training of prison workers in terms of the problems and developing better guidelines for identifying and responding to gambling problems have been implied (Castren, Lind, Jarvinen-Tassopoulos, Alho, & Salonen, 2021). Specific treatment approaches have further been outlined for potential use in the prison environment (Weatherly, Montes, Peters, & Wilson, 2012). Addressing gambling problems could also be included in each prisoner's rehabilitation plan. Future research should aim to include larger, representative samples, use rigorous randomization procedures, and minimize non-response bias when assessing the prevalence of gambling problems in prison populations. In addition, future research should address risk factors associated with individual prisoners and with prison systems regarding development of gambling problems. Investigating effects of screening, as well as preventive and treatment efforts with the correctional setting should also be given prioritization in terms of future research.
Conclusion
The prevalence of problem gambling in prison populations was overall high (30.8%), although single estimates varied. This finding suggests that preventative and treatment efforts should be considered to better help this population. Several of the included studies rely on non-probability sampling and non-representative sampling frames, which should be addressed to ensure more representative prevalence estimates. Finally, studies from non-Western countries and longitudinal study designs elucidating the relationship between crime and gambling problems are warranted.
Funding sources
The study was supported by the Norwegian Competence Center for Gambling and Gaming Research, University of Bergen, Norway.
Authors' contribution
EVT, SP and FM designed and conceptualized the study. EVT and FM conducted the literature search and coded the included articles, whereas SP performed the analysis. All authors took part in results interpretation. Primary manuscript composition was undertaken by EVT, SP, and FM, with contributions from DS and LØS. All authors approved the final version of the manuscript and the subsequent revision before submission and resubmission, respectively. All authors had full access to all data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
Conflict of interest
The authors have no conflicts of interest.
Supplementary material
References
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