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PCN Reports: Psychiatry and Clinical Neurosciences logoLink to PCN Reports: Psychiatry and Clinical Neurosciences
. 2022 Oct 3;1(4):e48. doi: 10.1002/pcn5.48

Predictors of the intentions to leave among nurses in an academic medical center

Aoi Sato 1, Yoshiteru Sato 1, Norio Sugawara 1,2, Masataka Shinozaki 1, Hiroaki Okayasu 1, Yasushi Kawamata 1, Keita Tokumitsu 1, Yumiko Uchibori 3, Tomie Komatsu 3, Norio Yasui‐Furukori 1,, Kazutaka Shimoda 1
PMCID: PMC11114313  PMID: 38868654

Abstract

Aim

Nurses are an essential human resource for the healthcare system. However, high turnover of nurses is a current issue. Reducing the high turnover of nurses is crucial for facilitating the sustainable provision of care in hospitals. The purpose of this study was to explore the factors affecting nurses' intentions to leave among nurses in an advanced medical center.

Methods

Using a cross‐sectional design, we conducted a questionnaire survey of nurses working at an academic medical center in August 2020. Of the 1063 distributed questionnaires, there were 821 (77.2%) valid responses. The questionnaire included items on the Kessler 6 (K6), New Brief Job Stress Questionnaire (New BJSQ), Organizational Justice Questionnaire (OJQ), and intention to leave a hospital job.

Results

Overall, the mean age of the nurses was 34.3 ± 10.1 years and 87.8% (721/821) of them were female. Among respondents, 19.5% (160/821) had a strong intention to leave. After adjusting for all the variables, a logistic regression analysis revealed that longer working hours, job rank (staff nurse), work–self‐balance positive (imbalance), workplace harassment (no bullying), and interactional justice (unfair supervisor) were determinants associated with strong intentions to leave.

Conclusions

Approximately one‐fifth of nurses working at advanced medical center had a strong intention to leave. However, our findings can help managers predict the turnover of nurses by understanding occupational characteristics. Managing work–self‐balance and treating staff fairly could improve work environments. Further research focusing on the outcome of actual turnover rather than intention to leave is needed.

Keywords: intentions to leave, management, nurses, university hospital, work environments


  • We demonstrated that approximately one‐fifth of nurses working at advanced medical center had a strong intention to leave.

  • In multivariate logistic regression analysis, longer working hours, job rank (staff nurse), work–self‐balance positive (imbalance), workplace harassment (no bullying), and interactional justice (unfair supervisor) were determinants associated with strong intentions to leave.

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INTRODUCTION

Nurses are an essential human resource for healthcare systems. The increasing elderly population has increased the demand for healthcare by nurses in OECD countries, 1 and high turnover in nurses is a current issue. 2 Nursing has been recognized as a highly stressful occupation, 3 and higher stress could result in nurse turnover. 2 The turnover of nurses leads to increased costs related to recruiting new staff and arranging orientation programs. 4 Furthermore, an understaffed work environment is associated with a lower quality of nursing care, resulting in increased mortality. 5 It is crucial to improve nurse retention to facilitate the sustainable provision of care in hospitals. When nurses decide to leave their jobs for personal reasons, the roles of managers to prevent it are ethically and practically limited. However, if such decisions are based on occupational conditions and organizational culture, managers can intervene. 6

Previous studies have investigated the factors of nurse retention, 7 , 8 , 9 and the factors are classified into four levels consisting of the individual, job‐related, interpersonal and organizational levels. 2 To date, several interventions targeting nurse retention have been tested. 10 , 11 , 12 However, a recent systematic review investigating the usefulness of interventions failed to find components of successful interventions. 10 Previous findings indicate that higher intention to leave is a strong predictor of resignation. 13 , 14 Given the high turnover in nurses, it is necessary to clarify the factors affecting nurses' intentions to leave.

Previous studies were conducted mostly at regional hospitals. There are few reports focusing on employees working in academic medical centers, which are regarded as hospitals that provide not only the best possible clinical care but also the education and research environment. Academic medical centers play a wider range of roles than regional hospitals, and nurses working at such centers might encounter more occupational stress. Different working conditions based on institutional characteristics might result in novel indicators of turnover in nurses.

In this study, we focused on nurses working at an academic medical center. The objectives of this investigation were as follows: (1) to evaluate the degree of intention to leave of nurses and (2) to explore the factors affecting intentions to leave among nurses in an academic medical center.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

Study subjects

Using a cross‐sectional design, anonymous self‐administered pen‐and‐paper questionnaires were distributed to 1063 nurses working at Dokkyo Medical University School of Medicine from the end of July to the beginning of August 2020. The total number of valid responses for age, gender, and intention to leave was 821 (77.2%). This study was approved by the Bioethics Committee of Dokkyo Medical University (ref: 29112), and it complies with the Declaration of Helsinki and the Japanese Ethical Guidelines for Medical and Health Research Involving Human Subjects.

Sociodemographic and employment characteristics

The participants completed anonymous questionnaires including questions about their sociodemographic backgrounds (age, gender, marital status, habitual alcohol intake, and education) and employment characteristics (working hours per week, job rank, and night shift). Marital status was categorized as follows: single, married, or others (widows and divorced). Habitual alcohol intake was evaluated on the basis of responses (“yes” or “no”) to the following question: “Do you drink three times or more in a week?” Education was classified as nursing school, junior college, or university. Regarding working hours per week, respondents were asked to answer with the following categories: <40, 40–49, 50–59, and ≥60 h. Job rank was categorized as follows: staff nurse, subchief nurse, or chief nurse. Night shift was evaluated on the basis of responses (“yes” or “no”) to the following questions: “Do you work in night shifts?”

Comprehensive psychological distress

The participants' comprehensive psychological distress was assessed with the Kessler 6 (K6). 15 , 16 The K6 comprises six questions pertaining to the assessment of psychological distress, and higher K6 values indicate higher levels of psychological distress. In line with the recommended K6 cutoff point, any participants with total scores >13 were defined as having severe psychological distress. 17

Occupational stress

Job‐related stress was assessed with the New Brief Job Stress Questionnaire (New BJSQ). 18 The following measures were selected from the New BJSQ: emotional demand, role conflict, role clarity, career opportunity, predictability, work–self‐balance (negative), work–self‐balance (positive), supervisor support, coworker support, support from family and friends, workplace harassment, and workplace social capital. The included items were assessed on a four‐point scale with possible responses of “strongly agree,” “agree,” “disagree,” and “strongly disagree.” Higher scores indicated lower stress levels.

Questionnaire for organizational justice

The participating employees' perceptions of fairness were measured using the Organizational Justice Questionnaire (OJQ). 19 The Japanese version of the OJQ is based on Elovainio's scale, 20 which is a modified version of the original scale developed by Moorman. 21 The OJQ consists of a seven‐item procedural justice subscale and a six‐item interactional justice subscale. All the items of both subscales were rated on a five‐point Likert scale ranging from 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree), and higher scores indicated higher levels of organizational justice.

Intention to leave a hospital job

The examined outcome, namely, the participants' “intention to leave”, was measured using the original two items: “I intend to continue working at this hospital” and “I intend to leave this hospital if I get a favorable job offer.” The first query was rated according to four response choices: “strongly agree = 1,” “agree = 2,” “disagree = 3,” and “strongly = 4 disagree,” while the second query was inversely rated with the same choices. The lowest score is 2, and the highest score is 8. Higher scores indicated higher levels of the intention to leave a hospital job. Higher scores of intention to leave are associated with actual resignation, 13 , 14 and the frequency distribution of intention to leave scores among our participants was bimodal (Figure 1). Therefore, participants with total scores of 8 were defined as having strong intentions to leave. For the participants in this study, the α coefficients of the intention to leave items were acceptable (α = 0.72).

FIGURE 1.

FIGURE 1

Frequency distribution of intention to leave scores among nurses. The lowest score is 2 and the highest score is 8.

Statistical analysis

A t test and a χ² test were used to compare the group with strong (total scores of 8) intention to leave and others (total scores of 2–7). Due to the skewed distribution of intention to leave scores, a logistic regression model was used to perform multivariate analysis. In the analysis, the dependent variable was strong intention to leave of nurses, and the independent variables were sociodemographic and employment characteristics, K6 scores, New BJSQ measures, and OJQ subscales. The number of patients used in the analysis without missing values was 696. All analyses were conducted using SPSS Statistics version 25.0 statistical software, and the significance level was set to 0.05 (two‐tailed test).

RESULTS

Figure 1 shows the frequency distribution of intention to leave scores among nurses. Among respondents, 19.5% (160/821) had a strong intention to leave. Table 1 contains the sociodemographic and occupational factors of the participants. When analyzing the association of participants' characteristics with the degree of intention to leave, there were differences in age, marital status, job rank, K6 score, New BJSQ measures (emotional demand, role conflict, career opportunity, predictability, work–self‐balance negative, work–self‐balance positive, supervisor support, workplace social capital), and OJQ subscales (procedural justice and interactional justice).

TABLE 1.

Sociodemographic and occupational characteristics of participants

Strong intention to leave Others
8 points 2–7 points
Age 31.4 ± 7.9 35.0 ± 10.4 p < 0.001
Gender (being men) 11.9% (19/160) 12.3% (81/661) p = 1.000
Married 33.1% (52/157) 46.1% (302/654)
Others (widows and divorced) 0.6% (1/157) 1.5% (10/654)
Habitual alcohol intake (drinking three times or more a week) 20.9% (33/158) 20.4% (133/652) p = 0.913
Education
Nursing school 71.9% (115/160) 76.2% (502/659) p = 0.526
Junior college 4.4% (7/160) 3.8% (25/659)
University 23.8% (38/160) 20.0% (132/659)
Working hours per week
<40 12.7% (20/158) 17.9% (117/652) p = 0.089
40–49 46.8% (74/158) 50.9% (332/652)
50–59 28.5% (45/158) 23.3% (152/652)
≥60 12.0% (19/158) 7.8% (51/652)
Job rank
Satff nurse 99.3% (150/151) 88.9% (569/640) p < 0.001
Subchief nurse 0.7% (1/151) 6.4% (41/640)
Chief nurse 0.0% (0/151) 4.6% (30/640)
Night shift (answering Yes) 88.8% (142/160) 83.5% (142/160) p = 0.113
K6 score 9.9 ± 6.8 7.3 ± 5.3 p < 0.001
New BJSQ measures
Emotional demand 1.7 ± 0.7 2.0 ± 0.6 p < 0.001
Role conflict 2.1 ± 0.6 2.4 ± 0.6 p < 0.001
Role clarity 2.9 ± 0.5 2.9 ± 0.4 p = 0.982
Career opportunity 2.7 ± 0.6 2.8 ± 0.5 p < 0.001
Predictability 2.3 ± 0.6 2.4 ± 0.6 P = 0.015
Work–self‐balance (negative) 2.0 ± 0.9 2.4 ± 0.8 p < 0.001
Work–self‐balance (positive) 1.8 ± 0.8 2.2 ± 0.7 p < 0.001
Supervisor support 2.1 ± 0.7 2.4 ± 0.7 p < 0.001
Coworker support 2.7 ± 0.8 2.8 ± 0.7 p = 0.144
Support from family and friends 3.3 ± 0.8 3.3 ± 0.7 P = 0.910
Workplace harassment 3.2 ± 0.9 3.3 ± 0.8 p = 0.152
Workplace social capital 2.5 ± 0.7 2.8 ± 0.6 p < 0.001
OJQ subscales
Procedural justice 2.7 ± 0.8 3.1 ± 0.7 p < 0.001
Interactional justice 2.9 ± 1.0 3.4 ± 0.8 p < 0.001

Note: Data indicate mean ± standard deviation.

Abbreviations: K6, Kessler 6; BJSQ, Brief Job Stress Questionnaire; OJQ, Organizational Justice Questionnaire.

A logistic regression analysis revealed that longer working hours, job rank, New BJSQ measures (work–self‐balance positive and workplace harassment), and OJQ subscales (interactional justice) were associated with strong intentions to leave (Table 2).

TABLE 2.

Results of logistic regression analysis predicting strong intention to leave among nurses

Odds ratio 95% CI Wald's value P value
Age 0.98 0.95–1.01 1.84 0.175
Gender (being men) 0.88 0.46–1.69 0.15 0.701
Marital status (reference: single)
Married 0.77 0.46–1.32 0.89 0.346
Others (widows and divorced) 1.05 0.10–10.71 0.00 0.969
Habitual alcohol intake
(drinking three times or more a week) 1.28 0.75–2.20 0.81 0.367
Education (reference: nursing school)
Junior college 2.07 0.76–5.63 2.03 0.155
University 1.00 0.60–1.66 0.00 0.995
Working hours per week (reference: <40)
40–49 0.99 0.51–1.92 0.00 0.967
50–59 1.00 0.59–1.69 0.00 0.993
≥60 2.26 1.04–4.92 4.19 0.041
Job rank (reference: staff nurse)
Chief or subchief nurse 0.07 0.01–0.60 5.94 0.015
Night shift (answering Yes) 0.94 0.45–1.95 0.03 0.871
K6 score 1.03 0.99–1.07 1.70 0.193
New BJSQ measures
Emotional demand 0.81 0.54–1.23 0.96 0.327
Role conflict 1.01 0.64–1.60 0.00 0.963
Role clarity 1.35 0.80–2.28 1.29 0.257
Career opportunity 0.75 0.47–1.19 1.45 0.229
Predictability 1.18 0.79–1.76 0.66 0.415
Work–self‐balance (negative) 0.85 0.61–1.17 1.00 0.316
Work–self‐balance (positive) 0.52 0.36–0.75 11.99 0.001
Supervisor support 0.78 0.49–1.24 1.09 0.296
Coworker support 1.00 0.70–1.44 0.00 0.994
Support from family and friends 1.04 0.75–1.44 0.06 0.808
Workplace harassment 1.42 1.03–1.96 4.58 0.032
Workplace social capital 0.74 0.49–1.12 2.02 0.155
OJQ subscales
Procedural justice 0.90 0.64–1.27 0.36 0.549
Interactional justice 0.69 0.49–0.96 4.87 0.027

Abbreviations: BJSQ, Brief Job Stress Questionnaire; K6, Kessler 6; OJQ, Organizational Justice Questionnaire; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval.

DISCUSSION

Approximately one‐fifth of nurses working at academic medical center had a strong intention to leave a hospital job. After adjusting for all the variables, longer working hours (≥60), job rank (staff nurse), work–self‐balance (positive) (imbalance), workplace harassment (no bullying), and interactional justice (unfair supervisor) showed significant associations with strong intentions to leave.

Among nurses with a strong intention to leave, 12% answered that they worked 60 h or more per week. Some studies indicating an association between longer working hours and intention to leave supported our results. 22 , 23 However, several studies did not show such an association. 24 , 25 , 26 Unmeasured factors, such as the character of the institution or organization, might affect the abovementioned inconsistent results. Although professional training does not increase job satisfaction, 27 nurses working in academic medical centers might have more duties of such activities than those in regional hospitals.

Work–life balance (WLB) is an important concern for all workers, and it could play a key role in nurse retention. In our participants, nurses with a strong intention to leave showed poorer status of work–self‐balance than those without it. A longitudinal study conducted in Japan showed that nurses with the ability to act to achieve WLB showed a lower intention to leave than those without it. 28 In addition to a direct effect on intention to leave, poor WLB could be a mediator between occupational stress and psychological health. 29 Indeed, poor WLB could affect intention to leave. However, some demographic and occupational factors, such as the number of children and work wards/units, could have a ‎moderating‎ effect on intention to leave. 30 While having children increased the intention to leave among nurses in the child‐rearing generation, it did not among those in other generations. 31

Managers should treat staff with respect in the workplace, 32 and organizational justice is the concept concerning employee perceptions of fairness. In our participants, nurses with a strong intention to leave felt poorer interactional justice than those without it. Interactional justice, which is defined as the quality of interpersonal treatment that focuses on the dissemination of information, is a dimension of organizational justice. 19 Previous studies also showed that organizational justice could affect intention to leave in nurses both directly and indirectly. 33 , 34

Among 72 chief or subchief nurses, only one nurse marked full scores of intentions to leave, demonstrating that the nurse had strong intention. Our results showed that chief or subchief nurses had less intention to leave. However, a previous report concerning job rank and intention to leave in nurses did not find such an association. 24 Our study setting is different from that of a previous study. At academic medical centers, nurses with strong intentions to stay in a hospital job might attain a higher job rank.

In our results, a lower stress level of workplace harassment was associated with intentions to leave a hospital job in logistic regression analysis. This result is inconsistent with previous findings. 34 , 35 In univariate analysis, we did not find significant differences in the level of workplace harassment measure between nurses with and without strong intentions to leave. We have no clear explanation as to how it came in this way.

A recent systematic review showed that demographic factors (male sex, younger age, higher educational attainment, unmarried status, and working in a remote region), job satisfaction, job stress, burnout, WLB, interpersonal communication, and patient violence were related to intention to leave among overall health workers in primary care. 36 WLB and interpersonal communication, including interactional justice, might be common factors across areas of expertise. 37

The current study also has several limitations. First, this study was conducted at a single academic medical center in certain geographic locations in Japan. After the study, 128 nurses resigned and four nurses retired in a fiscal year. In Japan, 10.6% of nurses quit their hospitals in a fiscal year. 38 The resignation rate of our study participants seems to be somewhat higher than national representative data. The generalizability of our findings should be cautiously interpreted. Second, our study is limited by the fact that nurses were asked about intentions to leave a hospital job. Although intention to leave is an important indicator of leaving a profession, 6 , 39 the responses of nurses may not accurately reflect resignation behavior in the future. Third, the cross‐sectional nature of the study does not allow for causal assumptions between the predictors and intentions to leave. Future studies with longitudinal designs are needed to investigate these associations. Fourth, several potential factors, such as nurse staffing level, satisfaction with income, and physical and mental illness, were not assessed in our study. The nurse staffing level may be a particularly important factor. 40 A higher staffing level may have confounded the results. Stratification by nurse staffing level should be a feature of future studies.

In conclusion, our study revealed that longer working hours, being a staff nurse, work–self‐imbalance, and poor interactional justice were associated with intentions to leave for Japanese nurses at an academic medical center. Our results carry important implications for the management of job control, WLB, and organizational justice in nursing. Promotion of WLB among nurses may aid in the prevention of job turnover. However, the interpretation of our results was hampered by the lack of data concerning actual resignations as well as nurse staffing levels, satisfaction with income, and physical and mental illness.

PATIENT CONSENT STATEMENT

The research subjects were requested to cooperate in writing using a cooperation request form, and the survey was conducted using a self‐administered questionnaire with no names. The completed forms were placed in a return envelope and deposited in a collection box, which was considered consent for the study.

AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS

All authors made a significant contribution to the work reported, whether in the conception, study design, execution, acquisition of data, analysis and interpretation, or all these areas; took part in drafting, revising or critically reviewing the article; gave final approval of the version to be published; have agreed on the journal to which the article has been submitted; and agree to be accountable for all aspects of the work.

CONFLICT OF INTEREST

Kazutaka Shimoda has received research support from Novartis Pharma, Dainippon Sumitomo Pharma, Astellas Pharma, Meiji Seika Pharma, Eisai, Pfizer, Otsuka Pharmaceutical, Daiichi Sankyo, and Takeda Pharmaceutical and honoraria from Eisai, Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma, Takeda Pharmaceutical, Meiji Seika Pharma, Janssen Pharmaceutical, Shionogi, Dainippon Sumitomo Pharma, Daiichi Sankyo, and Pfizer. The remaining authors declare no conflict of interest.

ETHICS APPROVAL STATEMENT

This protocol for this study was approved by the Bioethics Committee of Dokkyo Medical University (Approval Number: 29112) and it complies with the Declaration of Helsinki and the Japanese Ethical Guidelines for Medical and Health Research Involving Human Subjects.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The authors would like to thank all coworkers of this study for their skillful contributions to the data collection and management. This study was supported by the Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development (AMED) under grant numbers JP19dk0307083 and JP20dk0307081, Health and Labor Sciences Research Grants (19GC1201), and Grants‐in‐Aid for Scientific Research (KAKENHI: 20K07134, 21K07486) from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Research (JSPS). The funders had no role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

Sato A, Sato Y, Sugawara N, Shinozaki M, Okayasu H, Kawamata Y, et al. Predictors of the intentions to leave among nurses in an academic medical center. Psychiatry Clin Neurosci Rep. 2022;1:e48. 10.1002/pcn5.48

DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT

Although the data underlying the study's findings are anonymized, they contain potentially identifying or sensitive patient information. Under the ethical restrictions and legal framework of Japan, the data are unsuitable for public deposition. Please contact the Bioethics Committee of Dokkyo Medical University, which have set restrictions on data sharing. On request, the ethics committees will assess whether researchers meet the criteria for access to confidential data.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Data Availability Statement

Although the data underlying the study's findings are anonymized, they contain potentially identifying or sensitive patient information. Under the ethical restrictions and legal framework of Japan, the data are unsuitable for public deposition. Please contact the Bioethics Committee of Dokkyo Medical University, which have set restrictions on data sharing. On request, the ethics committees will assess whether researchers meet the criteria for access to confidential data.


Articles from PCN Reports: Psychiatry and Clinical Neurosciences are provided here courtesy of John Wiley & Sons Australia and Japanese Society of Psychiatry and Neurology

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