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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2024 Dec 3.
Published in final edited form as: Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2024 Jun 3;33(6):821–829. doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-23-1145

White Blood Cell Count, Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio, and Incident Cancer in the UK Biobank

Minkyo Song 1, Barry I Graubard 1, Erikka Loftfield 1, Charles S Rabkin 1, Eric A Engels 1
PMCID: PMC11147725  NIHMSID: NIHMS1984613  PMID: 38568024

Abstract

Background:

The peripheral white blood cell (WBC) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) reflect levels of inflammation and adaptive immunity. They are associated with cancer prognosis, but their associations with cancer incidence are not established.

Methods:

We evaluated 443,540 cancer-free adults in the UK Biobank with data on total WBC and its subsets, follow-up starting one year after baseline. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) per quartile of WBC or NLR for incidence of 73 cancer types.

Results:

22,747 incident cancers were diagnosed during a median of 6.9 years of follow-up. WBC was associated with risk of cancer overall (HR 1.05, 95%CI 1.03-1.06), chronic lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic leukemia (CLL/SLL: 2.79, 2.45-3.18), lung cancer (1.14, 1.08-1.20), and breast cancer (1.05-1.02-1.08). NLR was positively associated with cancer overall (HR 1.03, 95%CI 1.02-1.04, per quartile) and kidney cancer (1.16, 1.07-1.25), and inversely with CLL/SLL (0.38, 0.33-0.42).

Conclusion:

High WBC or NLR may reflect excessive inflammatory status, promoting development of some cancers. Conversely, low NLR indicates a relative rise in lymphocytes, which could reflect an increase in circulating premalignant cells before CLL/SLL diagnosis. Peripheral WBC and NLR, in combination with other clinical information or biomarkers, may be useful tools for cancer risk stratification.

Impact:

Elevated levels of white blood cells or an increased neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio may indicate an overly active inflammatory response, potentially contributing to the eventual onset of certain types of cancer.

Keywords: White blood cell counts, Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio, Epidemiology

INTRODUCTION

Chronic inflammation is an important etiologic mechanism of carcinogenesis (1,2). A large body of epidemiological evidence supports that chronic conditions of unresolved inflammation are associated with a higher risk of malignancies, such as chronic Helicobacter pylori infection of the stomach with gastric cancer, and inflammatory bowel disease with colorectal cancer. Anti-inflammatory drugs such as aspirin are considered promising chemopreventive agents (3).

In addition, a healthy immune system may limit the growth of malignant tumors through immunosurveillance that can control or eliminate premalignant cells. This process may be most important for virus-associated cancers, as immunosuppressed individuals have an elevated incidence of these malignancies (4). Immunity is increasingly recognized to play a role in determining patient outcomes after cancer diagnosis (57). Advances in immunotherapy, especially with the introduction of immune checkpoint inhibitors, can allow the immune system to control cancer. We are also beginning to understand the contribution of circulating immune cells to the antitumor immune response (8).

White blood cells (WBCs) are the primary effectors of the immune system protecting the body against infection and resolving tissue injury. Among different WBC subtypes, neutrophils are the most abundant in peripheral blood and secrete inflammatory mediators that act against bacteria and fungi in acute and chronic inflammation. Lymphocytes, which are part of the adaptive immune system, regulate inflammation. B-lymphocytes function in humoral immunity by producing antibodies, whereas T-lymphocytes play a role in cell-mediated immune destruction of abnormal cells. Neutrophils and lymphocytes together comprise ~90% of peripheral WBCs. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) measured in peripheral blood is a simple ratio representing the balance between chronic inflammation and adaptive immunity and is considered a more stable marker that is less affected by acute conditions than total WBC or counts of WBC subsets (9,10). Alterations in NLR can arise from changes in either the numerator (neutrophil count) or the denominator (lymphocyte count), or both. However, the ratio of these two components under the same total WBC levels can provide valuable insights into the immune response’s balance in terms of inflammation and adaptive immunity, while the total WBC count captures information about the total level of inflammation and immune activity.

Both total peripheral WBC and NLR have been associated with various clinical outcomes (911), but there are only a limited number of studies that investigate their association with the incidence of cancer. In prospective cohort studies, higher WBC counts were associated with an increased risk of cancers of the lung, breast, colorectal, endometrial, and stomach (1216). However, most of these studies did not investigate the association with WBC subtypes that may render differential risk. NLR has been associated with cancer risk in a small number of studies with inconsistent findings (12,1722). Two studies using data from the United Kingdom (UK) Biobank, a large prospective cohort study, found higher NLR associated with lung cancer and colorectal cancer (12,21). However, these studies did not take into account the total WBC level in their models, leaving open the possibility that measured NLR-cancer associations were driven by the absolute neutrophil and lymphocyte levels, rather than their balance. Furthermore, most studies on WBC or NLR associations with cancer risk were limited to a small number of frequent cancer types.

In the present study, we comprehensively investigated the independent associations of total peripheral WBC count and NLR with incident cancer risk. We evaluated 73 individual cancer types using data from the UK Biobank.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Study design and participants

The UK Biobank study design has been described on the study website (https://www.ukbiobank.ac.uk/) and elsewhere (23). Briefly, adults registered in the UK National Health Service (NHS) aged 40-69 years residing within 40 km of 22 assessment centers were eligible. During 2006-2010, the study enrolled 503,317 individuals who were administered questionnaires, underwent physical examinations, and provided biological samples including whole blood (24). The UK Biobank study was approved by governmental and ethical review boards. Written consent was obtained from all participants.

Data from 502,505 participants with WBC measurements were available for our study. As shown in Supplementary Figure S1, we excluded individuals who withdrew from the study, had missing baseline assessment date, had cancer diagnosed before the assessment, or were missing differential WBC measurement or information on potential confounding factors. Furthermore, to minimize the possibility that the WBC count was influenced by undiagnosed cancer (i.e., reverse causation), we started follow-up one year after the baseline assessment. The final sample for analysis comprised 443,540 participants.

Assessment of blood cells

The complete blood count including the total and differential WBC (neutrophils, lymphocytes, monocytes, eosinophils) was measured in baseline blood samples collected in 4 ml ethylene diamine tetraacetic acid vacutainers using the Coulter LH 750 System (Beckman Coulter, Brea, CA; https://biobank.ndph.ox.ac.uk/ukb/ukb/docs/haematology.pdf). Samples were mostly analyzed within 24 hours of blood draw. Absolute neutrophil and lymphocyte counts, and NLRs, were calculated from these measurements.

Outcome assessment

Participants were followed from one year after baseline until a first incident cancer diagnosis, death, or censoring at the end of cancer ascertainment (January 31, 2016, for England and Wales, and November 30, 2015, for Scotland), whichever was the earliest. Invasive cancer diagnoses were provided by the UK Health and Social Care Information Centre and the NHS Central Register. Cancers excluding nonmelanoma skin cancers were categorized using a modified version of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program Site Recode (https://seer.cancer.gov/siterecode/icdo3_dwhoheme/index.html). There were a total of 73 prespecified cancer types, 10 of which had 10 or fewer cases and were included in the overall cancer analysis but not assessed separately (see Table 2 footnote).

Table 2.

Associations of total white blood cell (WBC) count and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) with cancer incidence.

Total WBC, Per Quartile Increase NLR, Per Quartile Increase
N % HR (95%CI) p-trend HR (95%CI) p-trend
All Cancers 22,747 100.0 1.05 (1.03-1.06) <0.0001 1.03 (1.02-1.04) <0.0001
Tongue 143 0.6 0.91 (0.77-1.07) 0.24 0.98 (0.84-1.14) 0.79
Salivary Gland 28 0.1 1.12 (0.78-1.60) 0.55 0.84 (0.60-1.19) 0.34
Floor of Mouth 23 0.1 1.17 (0.73-1.89) 0.51 1.29 (0.86-1.93) 0.22
Gum and Other Mouth 74 0.3 0.91 (0.72-1.14) 0.39 1.16 (0.93-1.43) 0.19
Nasopharynx 15 0.1 1.01 (0.62-1.66) 0.96 1.30 (0.80-2.11) 0.30
Tonsil 113 0.5 0.98 (0.81-1.17) 0.80 1.06 (0.89-1.25) 0.54
Oropharynx 18 0.1 0.60 (0.37-0.95) 0.03 1.24 (0.80-1.92) 0.34
Hypopharynx 21 0.1 0.75 (0.49-1.15) 0.19 1.19 (0.79-1.79) 0.41
Esophagus 426 1.9 1.06 (0.96-1.16) 0.27 1.11 (1.01-1.21) 0.02
Stomach 283 1.2 1.18 (1.05-1.32) 0.01 1.07 (0.96-1.19) 0.26
Small Intestine 102 0.5 1.08 (0.89-1.31) 0.43 1.13 (0.94-1.36) 0.19
Colon excluding Rectum 1,709 7.5 1.04 (0.99-1.09) 0.09 1.06 (1.01-1.10) 0.02
Rectum and Rectosigmoid Junction 888 3.9 1.07 (1.00-1.14) 0.05 1.03 (0.97-1.09) 0.37
Anus 76 0.3 1.13 (0.90-1.42) 0.28 0.96 (0.78-1.18) 0.68
Liver 146 0.6 0.76 (0.65-0.89) 0.0008 0.91 (0.78-1.06) 0.22
Intrahepatic Bile Duct 105 0.5 1.22 (1.01-1.47) 0.04 0.98 (0.82-1.17) 0.79
Gallbladder 59 0.3 1.41 (1.09-1.84) 0.01 1.01 (0.79-1.28) 0.96
Other Biliary 77 0.3 0.91 (0.73-1.13) 0.41 0.90 (0.73-1.11) 0.33
Pancreas 495 2.2 1.01 (0.93-1.11) 0.77 1.07 (0.98-1.16) 0.11
Retroperitoneum 12 0.1 1.19 (0.69-2.06) 0.53 1.08 (0.64-1.83) 0.78
Peritoneum, Omentum and Mesentery 67 0.3 0.90 (0.71-1.14) 0.38 1.01 (0.81-1.26) 0.94
Nose, Nasal Cavity and Middle Ear 23 0.1 1.02 (0.68-1.53) 0.93 0.82 (0.56-1.20) 0.31
Larynx 85 0.4 0.97 (0.77-1.20) 0.75 1.02 (0.83-1.24) 0.87
Lung 1,657 7.3 1.14 (1.08-1.20) <0.0001 1.04 (1.00-1.09) 0.06
Bones and Joints 25 0.1 1.21 (0.82-1.79) 0.34 0.98 (0.68-1.41) 0.89
Soft Tissue including Heart 119 0.5 1.05 (0.88-1.25) 0.57 1.29 (1.08-1.53) 0.005
Melanoma of the Skin 1,223 5.4 1.00 (0.95-1.06) 0.99 1.00 (0.95-1.06) 0.95
Non-Melanoma Skin 41 0.2 0.96 (0.71-1.30) 0.81 1.21 (0.90-1.62) 0.21
Breast 4,467 19.6 1.05 (1.02-1.08) 0.0004 1.02 (0.99-1.05) 0.17
Cervix 56 0.3 1.21 (0.93-1.57) 0.15 1.01 (0.79-1.29) 0.94
Uterine Corpus 694 3.1 1.07 (1.00-1.15) 0.07 1.11 (1.04-1.19) 0.003
Uterus, Not Otherwise Specified 13 0.1 0.91 (0.54-1.54) 0.73 1.21 (0.72-2.02) 0.47
Ovary 441 1.9 1.01 (0.92-1.10) 0.88 1.08 (0.99-1.18) 0.09
Vagina 12 0.1 1.01 (0.59-1.74) 0.96 1.37 (0.80-2.35) 0.25
Vulva 52 0.2 1.07 (0.83-1.40) 0.60 1.13 (0.88-1.46) 0.34
Other Female Genital Organs 46 0.2 0.88 (0.66-1.16) 0.36 0.99 (0.76-1.30) 0.96
Prostate 4,757 20.9 1.01 (0.98-1.03) 0.71 1.01 (0.99-1.04) 0.36
Testis 58 0.3 1.08 (0.84-1.40) 0.53 1.02 (0.80-1.30) 0.86
Penis 28 0.1 0.98 (0.68-1.41) 0.92 1.17 (0.82-1.67) 0.39
Urinary Bladder 495 2.2 1.02 (0.93-1.11) 0.69 1.08 (1.00-1.18) 0.06
Kidney and Renal Pelvis 640 2.8 1.07 (0.99-1.15) 0.09 1.15 (1.07-1.24) 0.0002
 Kidney 593 2.6 1.09 (1.01-1.18) 0.03 1.16 (1.07-1.25) 0.0002
 Renal Pelvis 47 0.2 0.82 (0.62-1.08) 0.16 1.08 (0.83-1.42) 0.57
Ureter 26 0.1 1.09 (0.74-1.59) 0.67 1.13 (0.79-1.63) 0.50
Eye and Orbit 52 0.2 1.06 (0.81-1.38) 0.67 0.92 (0.71-1.19) 0.52
Brain and Other Nervous System 374 1.6 0.96 (0.87-1.06) 0.40 1.05 (0.95-1.15) 0.33
Thyroid 189 0.8 0.95 (0.83-1.09) 0.49 1.01 (0.88-1.16) 0.88
Other Endocrine including Thymus 25 0.1 0.96 (0.65-1.40) 0.82 0.83 (0.58-1.21) 0.34
Hodgkin Lymphoma 60 0.3 1.24 (0.96-1.60) 0.10 0.97 (0.77-1.23) 0.80
Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma 1,199 5.3 1.26 (1.20-1.34) <0.0001 0.82 (0.78-0.86) <0.0001
 Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma 358 1.6 0.93 (0.84-1.03) 0.15 1.06 (0.96-1.17) 0.24
 Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia/Small Lymphocytic Leukemia 315 1.4 2.79 (2.45-3.18) <0.0001 0.38 (0.33-0.42) <0.0001
 Follicular 191 0.8 0.79 (0.68-0.90) 0.0007 1.21 (1.06-1.39) 0.01
 Other Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma 335 1.5 1.18 (1.06-1.31) 0.002 0.98 (0.89-1.08) 0.67
Myeloma 364 1.6 0.85 (0.77-0.95) 0.002 0.85 (0.77-0.94) 0.001
Acute Lymphocytic Leukemia 18 0.1 1.28 (0.81-2.03) 0.29 1.00 (0.65-1.53) 0.99
Other Lymphocytic Leukemia 32 0.1 0.93 (0.66-1.31) 0.66 0.55 (0.38-0.79) 0.001
Acute Myeloid Leukemia 157 0.7 0.84 (0.72-0.97) 0.02 0.93 (0.81-1.08) 0.35
Chronic Myeloid Leukemia 40 0.2 1.15 (0.84-1.56) 0.38 0.98 (0.74-1.31) 0.89
Other Myeloid/Monocytic Leukemia 26 0.1 1.15 (0.78-1.69) 0.49 0.90 (0.63-1.28) 0.55
Mesothelioma 201 0.9 1.01 (0.88-1.15) 0.92 0.97 (0.85-1.10) 0.63
Miscellaneous 90 0.4 1.08 (0.88-1.32) 0.47 0.89 (0.74-1.08) 0.25
Uncertain Cancer Type 17 0.1 0.84 (0.53-1.33) 0.45 1.20 (0.76-1.88) 0.44

Multivariate models include the following variables: age as 3-knot spline, sex, race/ethnicity (White, Black, Asian, mixed or missing), smoking history (25-level variable incorporating current smoking status, smoking intensity [current and former smokers]; time since quitting [former smokers], and cigar and pipe use [current and former smokers]), alcohol drinking (never, past, current), body mass index (<25, 25-30, ≥30kg/m2), WBC count (quartile), and NLR (quartile). Results are not shown separately for the following cancers where the number of cases was less than 11 (n=65): cancers of the lip (n=9), other oral cavity and pharynx (n=9), other digestive organs (n=7), pleura (n=3), trachea/mediastinum/other respiratory organs (n=7), other urinary organs (n=9), acute monocytic leukemia (n=4), other acute leukemia (n=7), aleukemic/subleukemic/not otherwise specified leukemia (n=7), and Kaposi sarcoma (n=3).

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; WBC, white blood cell

Bold indicates significant p-values after Bonferroni correction

Statistical analysis

Total WBC and NLR were categorized into quartiles according to the distribution of the analytic cohort. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models with follow-up time as the time metric, to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) for cancer risk. HRs per quartile increase were modeled jointly for total WBC and NLR and were adjusted for age at baseline (3-knot spline), sex, race (White, Black, Asian, mixed or missing), smoking (25-level variable incorporating current smoking status, smoking intensity [current and former smokers], time since quitting [former smokers], and cigar and pipe use [current and former smokers]; method used in (25) and also see Supplementary Table S1), alcohol drinking (never, past, current), and body mass index (BMI: <25, 25-30, ≥30 kg/m2).

For those cancers that showed significant associations with total WBC count or NLR, we plotted the baseline values of total WBC, NLR, neutrophil count, and lymphocyte count in the cancer cases as a function of time from the start of follow-up to cancer diagnosis. A cubic spline was fitted to the values in these plots using five knots placed at the quantiles 5%, 27.5%, 50%, 72.5%, and 95%, for comparison of the cases with the overall population means. We tested the proportional hazards assumption by incorporating an interaction comparing the hazard ratios for WBC or NLR between two periods (before and after median follow-up time for cancer incidence), where the two periods were modeled as a time-dependent binary 0–1 variable. We observed no statistically significant deviations from this assumption.

For kidney cancer, we further assessed whether associations with WBC and NLR were confounded due to certain prevalent conditions, so we further adjusted Cox models for baseline presence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and kidney disease (defined using a combination of medical history and baseline measurements, Supplementary Table S2). We also included BMI as a continuous variable in the model to account for the strong association of BMI with kidney cancer. Among women with known menopausal status (n=200,198, 83.8%), WBC and NLR associations with breast cancer were investigated separately by baseline menopausal status. Postmenopausal women were followed until breast cancer diagnosis or censoring, whereas premenopausal women were censored earlier at age 55 (i.e., presumed menopause).

Circulating high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) is another biomarker of inflammation measured in the UK Biobank baseline samples. We assessed the Pearson correlation between hs-CRP levels and total WBC, WBC subsets, and NLR in those individuals with a measurement (n=423,685, 96%). In a sensitivity analysis, we adjusted associations with WBC and NLR for hs-CRP levels for selected cancer types.

All covariates included in the regression models were measured at baseline. Statistical tests were 2-sided. To account for multiple comparisons, we applied a Bonferroni correction for the trend test across quartiles of WBC and NLR requiring p<0.0007 (i.e., 0.05/73) based on analyses of 73 cancer types to be statistically significant. We used SAS (version 9.4; SAS Institute Inc.) and GraphPad Prism (version 8; GraphPad Software, Inc.) for analyses.

Data Availability Statement

The data underlying this article has been provided by the UK Biobank Resources under Application Number 52255 (RRID:SCR_012815). We do not have permission to share it directly. UK Biobank data are globally available to approved researchers through the UK Biobank research portal (https://www.ukbiobank.ac.uk/enable-your-research/apply-for-access).

RESULTS

Baseline characteristics of the 443,540 subjects are presented in Table 1. There were slightly more females (53.8%) than males, with a median age of 57 years (interquartile range [IQR] 50-63), and the majority were of White race (94.4%).

Table 1.

Baseline characteristics, total white blood cell counts, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios for individuals in the UK Biobank

Number of Subjects Total White Blood Cell Count (x109/L) Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte Ratio
N % Median Interquartile Range Median Interquartile Range
Overall 443,540 100.0 6.7 5.6-7.9 2.1 1.7-2.8
Sex
  Female 238,769 53.8 6.6 5.6-7.8 2.1 1.6-2.6
  Male 204,771 46.2 6.7 5.7-7.9 2.2 1.7-2.9
Age group, years
  <50 107,477 24.2 6.6 5.6-7.9 2.2 1.7-2.8
  50-59 149,335 33.7 6.6 5.6-7.7 2.1 1.6-2.7
  ≥ 60 186,728 42.1 6.7 5.7-7.9 2.2 1.7-2.8
Race
  White 418,717 94.4 6.7 5.7-7.9 2.2 1.7-2.8
  Mixed 2,610 0.6 6.8 5.7-8.1 2.1 1.6-2.7
  Asian 9,974 2.3 7.0 6.0-8.2 1.9 1.5-2.4
  Black 6,829 1.5 5.5 4.6-6.7 1.4 1.1-1.9
  Unknown 5,410 1.2 6.6 5.5-7.9 1.9 1.4-2.5
Smoking status
  Never 244,884 55.2 6.5 5.5-7.6 2.1 1.7-2.7
  Past 152,270 34.3 6.6 5.7-7.8 2.1 1.7-2.7
  Current 46,386 10.5 7.9 6.6-9.3 2.2 1.7-2.8
Alcohol drinking status
  Never 19,354 4.4 6.8 5.7-8.0 2.1 1.6-2.7
  Past 15,545 3.5 6.9 5.8-8.3 2.2 1.7-2.8
  Current 408,641 92.1 6.6 5.6-7.8 2.1 1.7-2.8
Body mass index, kg/m2
  <25 147,150 33.2 6.3 5.4-7.5 2.1 1.7-2.8
  25-30 189,047 42.6 6.6 5.7-7.8 2.1 1.7-2.7
  ≥30 107,343 24.2 7.2 6.1-8.4 2.1 1.7-2.7
Hypertension
  No 320,995 72.4 6.5 5.5-7.7 2.1 1.6-2.7
  Yes 122,545 27.6 7.0 5.9-8.3 2.2 1.7-2.9
Diabetes mellitus
  No 418,507 94.4 6.6 5.6-7.8 2.1 1.7-2.8
  Yes 25,033 5.6 7.5 6.3-8.8 2.2 1.7-2.9
Kidney disease*
  No 406,485 91.7 6.6 5.6-7.8 2.1 1.7-2.7
  Yes 33,418 7.5 7.1 6.0-8.4 2.3 1.8-3.0
*

Information on kidney disease was missing for n=3,637 (0.8%) of the study population.

At baseline, the median WBC was 6.7 x109/L ([IQR] 5.6-7.9 x109/L) and the median NLR was 2.1 (IQR 1.7-2.8). WBCs were similar between males and females (median 6.6-6.7 x109/L), across age groups (median, 6.6-6.7 x109/L), and according to alcohol use. Compared to White individuals (median 6.7, IQR 5.7-7.9 x109/L), WBC was slightly higher in Asian (7.0, 6.0-8.2) and lower in Black individuals (5.5, 4.6-6.7). Total WBCs were strongly increased in current smokers (median 7.9, IQR 6.6-9.3 x109/L), obese individuals with BMI ≥30 kg/m2 (7.2, 6.1-8.4), and individuals with hypertension (7.0, 5.9-8.3), diabetes mellitus (7.5, 6.3-8.8), or kidney disease (7.1, 6.0-8.4). NLR values were similar across most participant characteristics (median values ranging from 2.1 to 2.3), with the exception of Black individuals who had lower levels compared to White individuals (median 1.4 vs. 2.2).

A total of 22,747 cancers were diagnosed at a median of 4.3 years after the start of follow-up (maximum 9.0 years) during a median of 6.9 years (maximum 9.1 years) follow-up for the study population (Table 2). Increases in the total WBC were associated with a greater risk of cancer overall (HR 1.05, 95%CI 1.03-1.06 per quartile), and specifically for cancers of the lung (1.14, 1.08-1.20) and breast (1.05, 1.02-1.08), as well as chronic lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic leukemia (CLL/SLL, 2.79, 2.45-3.18). Higher NLR was associated with elevated risk for overall cancer (HR 1.03, 95%CI 1.02-1.04 per quartile) and specifically for kidney cancer (1.16, 1.07-1.25), and with strongly decreased risk for CLL/SLL (0.38, 0.33-0.42). An analysis without mutual adjustment for the NLR and WBC is shown in Supplementary Table S3, revealing minimal difference in the risk estimates (maximum 18% for CLL/SLL).

For the four cancers that were significantly associated with WBC and/or NLR, we present scatterplots of the baseline measurements in cases according to time to cancer diagnosis (Figure 1, 2 and Supplementary Figs S2 and S3). For lung cancer (Figure 1), total WBC and neutrophil count were elevated for cases compared to the population average, regardless of the time to cancer diagnosis; similar patterns were seen for cancers of the breast, and kidney, although the elevations appeared smaller (Supplementary Figs S2 and S3). In contrast, CLL/SLL showed a higher total WBC count than the population mean, which was much higher when cases were diagnosed within the first 4 years of follow-up (i.e., within 5 years of the baseline blood draw); this pattern was driven by the high lymphocyte counts, and the NLRs were correspondingly low (Figure 2).

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

Scatter plots for lung cancer. Results are shown for total white blood cell count (upper left), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (upper right), neutrophil count (lower left), lymphocyte count (lower right) as a function of time from the start of follow-up (one year after the baseline assessment) until cancer diagnosis. Solid line indicates cubic regression trend fitted for cases and the red dotted line indicates the population mean values of each y-axis variable.

Figure 2.

Figure 2.

Scatter plots for chronic lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic leukemia. Results are shown for total white blood cell count (upper left), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (upper right), neutrophil count (lower left), lymphocyte count (lower right) a function of time from the start of follow-up (one year after the baseline assessment) until cancer diagnosis. Solid line indicates cubic regression trend fitted for cases and the red dotted line indicates the population mean values of each y-axis variable.

For kidney cancer, we performed additional analyses adjusting for BMI and the baseline presence of hypertension, diabetes, and kidney disease (Supplementary Table S4). With all factors in the same model, the adjusted association between NLR and kidney cancer incidence (HR 1.13, 95%CI 1.04-1.22 per quartile) was similar to the result in the primary analysis (1.16, 1.07-1.25).

As shown in Table 3, total WBC was associated with breast cancer among both premenopausal and postmenopausal women, whereas NLR showed a suggestive positive association only in postmenopausal women (HR 1.03, 95%CI 1.00-1.07 per quartile; Pinteraction=0.04).

Table 3.

Associations of WBC and NLR with breast cancer incidence among women, stratified by baseline menopausal status

Total WBC, per quartile NLR, per quartile
HR (95%CI) p-trend Pinteraction HR (95%CI) p-trend Pinteraction
All 1.06 (1.03-1.09) 0.0002 1.02 (0.99-1.05) 0.24
According to menopausal status at baseline*
  Premenopause (n=57,606) 1.07 (1.01-1.14) 0.02 0.6** 0.95 (0.89-1.01) 0.10 0.04**
  Postmenopause (n=142,592) 1.05 (1.01-1.09) 0.007 1.03 (1.00-1.07) 0.08

Models included WBC and NLR quartiles and were additionally adjusted for age as 3-knot spline, sex, race/ethnicity (White, Black, Asian, mixed or missing), smoking history (25-level variable incorporating current smoking status, smoking intensity [current and former smokers]; time since quitting [former smokers], and cigar and pipe use [current and former smokers]), alcohol drinking (never, past, current), and body mass index (<25, 25-30, ≥30kg/m2).

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; WBC, white blood cell

*

N=37,397 women with unknown menopausal status and N=1,174 women who were over age 55 years and reported being premenopausal at baseline were excluded.

**

Pinteraction between the breast cancer associations in premenopausal vs. postmenopausal women.

Hs-CRP was positively correlated with total WBC (Pearson rho=0.21), neutrophil count (0.24), and NLR (0.15) (Supplementary Table S5). However, additional adjustment for hs-CRP did not alter the magnitude of the associations for WBC or NLR and cancer by more than 3% (Table 4).

Table 4.

Association between WBC/NLR and selected cancers before and after high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) adjustment in a subset of individuals with hs-CRP information (n=425,417; 96% of all study participants)

Cancer Site Before hs-CRP Adjustment After hs-CRP Adjustment
Total WBC, Per Quartile Increase NLR, Per Quartile Increase Total WBC, Per Quartile Increase NLR, Per Quartile Increase
HR (95%CI) p-trend HR (95%CI) p-trend HR (95%CI) p-trend HR (95%CI) p-trend
All Cancers 1.05 (1.03-1.06) <0.0001 1.03 (1.02-1.04) <0.0001 1.04 (1.03-1.06) <0.0001 1.03 (1.01-1.04) <0.0001
Lung 1.14 (1.08-1.02) <0.0001 1.04 (1.00-1.09) 0.06 1.13 (1.07-1.19) <0.0001 1.03 (0.99-1.08) 0.19
Breast 1.05 (1.02-1.08) 0.0004 1.02 (0.99-1.05) 0.17 1.06 (1.03-1.09) 0.0001 1.02 (0.99-1.05) 0.12
Kidney 1.09 (1.01-1.18) 0.03 1.16 (1.07-1.25) 0.0002 1.08 (0.99-1.17) 0.07 1.13 (1.04-1.22) 0.003
CLL/SLL 2.79 (2.45-3.18) <0.0001 0.38 (0.33-0.42) <0.0001 2.79 (2.44-3.19) <0.0001 0.38 (0.34-0.43) <0.0001

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; WBC, white blood cell; CLL/SLL, Chronic lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic leukemia

DISCUSSION

In this large prospective study of nearly 450,000 individuals in the UK general population, we observed a positive association of total WBC and NLR with overall cancer risk. Four out of 73 specific cancer sites investigated were significantly associated with either total peripheral WBC or NLR. Cancers associated with higher WBC or NLR included those for which an inflammatory component to etiology has been suggested, including lung cancer, although the vast majority of participants had total WBC counts within the normal range. The pattern for CLL/SLL was strikingly different, with strong associations with higher WBC and lower NLR, a pattern that likely represents manifestations in the peripheral blood indicative of asymptomatic early cancer.

As expected, higher WBC was observed in conditions associated with systemic inflammation, including obesity, hypertension, diabetes, and kidney disease. Differences across sex, age groups, or alcohol use were not observed. Black individuals had relatively lower total WBC and NLR, a well-known phenomenon, yet the exact reason for the difference is still unknown (26). The majority of the total peripheral WBC is comprised of neutrophils, and it is notable that both WBC and NLR were much higher in smokers, since the adverse effects of smoking in promoting cardiovascular diseases, stroke, and cancer may be partly mediated through chronic inflammation. Various circulating inflammation-related markers have been reported to be associated with smoking, including CRP, interleukin (IL)-1β, and IL-6, as well as total WBC (27,28). Higher NLR has also been reported to be associated with greater cumulative smoking (29). Adipose tissue is an important endocrine organ for the regulation of hormones and chemokines, and obesity is associated with increased systemic levels of pro-inflammatory markers (3032). In our study, the correlations of total WBC and NLR with CRP were moderate, indicating that these markers capture somewhat separate components of the inflammatory process.

The association that we observed between total WBC and incidence of lung cancer plausibly reflects an etiologic role of chronic inflammation. Smoking induces strong inflammatory responses as described above. However, it may be noted that the association with lung cancer is unlikely to be due to residual confounding by smoking, given our detailed adjustment for smoking in regression models. We saw clear elevations in the total WBC and neutrophil count up to 7 years prior to lung cancer diagnosis (Figure 1), and previous studies have demonstrated similar associations between WBC or NLR with lung cancer (12,15,18,21). The etiologic role of inflammation in lung cancer is further supported by its associations with other immune-related markers such as hs-CRP, IL-6, IL-8, and additional cytokines/chemokines (33,34).

Although breast cancer has not typically been considered to be related to inflammation, our results showed a small magnitude of increased risk with higher total WBC, regardless of menopausal status. Other recent studies have suggested potential links with inflammation. For example, one study reported that women with benign breast disease or cancer had bacterial DNA present in sterile surgical tissue samples without any evidence of infection, perhaps reflecting a source of local inflammation (35). Several epidemiologic studies have used circulating inflammatory biomarkers to investigate the role of inflammation in breast carcinogenesis (36). hs-CRP has been the most consistent and frequently investigated marker, but other cytokines (e.g., IL-1β) were also explored. Our findings extend the results of earlier smaller studies that likewise showed small to moderate positive associations between higher leukocyte counts and breast cancer risk (14,37).

More than 90% of kidney cancers are renal cell carcinomas (RCCs). Evidence supporting a role for immunity in RCC includes reports of spontaneous regression associated with cytoreductive nephrectomy, the presence of immune infiltrates in some tumors and the sensitivity of RCC to immunotherapy (38). In addition, elevated levels of inflammatory markers (such as hs-CRP or erythrocyte sedimentation rate) and a dietary inflammation index are associated with kidney cancer incidence in prospective studies (3941). Genetic variants in genes involved in oxidative stress and inflammation (including COMPT, CPX5, and NOS2A) are also associated with RCC (42). We found an increased incidence of kidney cancer among individuals with higher NLR values, even after adjusting for tobacco use, hypertension, diabetes, and kidney diseases, which are known risk factors for kidney cancer. Notably, higher NLR was also strongly associated with kidney disease mortality among participants of the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (11).

The pattern for CLL/SLL was unique, in that incidence was associated positively with total WBC but inversely with NLR. These associations were driven by elevated lymphocyte counts, and many individuals who later developed CLL/SLL manifested remarkably elevated lymphocyte counts at baseline. CLL/SLL has a long asymptomatic phase before clinical diagnosis, and its precursor condition is termed “monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis” (43). To a large extent, the significant results in our study thus reflect the presence of indolent or subclinical disease, and some individuals in our study who had strongly elevated lymphocyte counts developed CLL/SLL more than 5 years after baseline. However, only a minority of individuals who later developed CLL/SLL had clinically defined leukocytosis (>11,000 total WBC/uL; 35%) or lymphocytosis (>4,000 lymphocytes/uL; 40%) at baseline. Furthermore, even among individuals without leukocytosis or lymphocytosis, we still observed a significant positive association of CLL/SLL incidence with WBC (per quartile increase HR 1.51; 95%CI 1.30-1.75; p-trend<0.0001) and an inverse association with NLR (0.63; 0.55-0.73; p<0.0001). To our knowledge, our study is the first to report these prospective associations with CLL/SLL.

This study has several strengths, including its large sample size, which allowed us to detect modest effects and assess uncommon cancer sites, and our systematic analysis of 73 different types of cancer. We used a prospective design to establish temporality and started follow-up one year after the UK Biobank baseline to minimize potential reverse causation. Our study also used data obtained from comprehensive government cancer registries to ascertain cancer outcomes. Blood samples were typically analyzed at the UK Biobank central laboratory within 24 hours of blood draw, reducing laboratory artifacts. A limitation is that the blood counts were only assessed once at baseline, which did not allow us to assess the change of these levels in relation to cancer risk. Secondly, we made multiple statistical comparisons, which could have led to some chance associations. However, we used a stringent Bonferroni p-value cutoff to minimize this possibility. Thirdly, alternative methods for modeling neutrophils and lymphocytes, such as examining extreme values, could be explored in future studies.

In conclusion, our study demonstrated that total WBC and NLR are predictive of certain cancer risks in the UK general population. Cancers of the lung, breast, and kidney showed association with higher WBC or NLR, suggestive of a possible etiologic or mediating contribution from inflammation. On the other hand, the associations with CLL/SLL likely reflect the presence of its precursor condition. Further studies are warranted to understand the specific role of various WBC subsets, which will allow a deeper dissection of the role of immunity and inflammation in the development of cancer. It is also possible that the total peripheral WBC and its subsets, in combination with other clinical information or biomarkers, may be useful as clinical tools for cancer risk stratification.

Supplementary Material

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

This research was conducted using the UK Biobank resource (application 52255). The UK Biobank was established by the Wellcome Trust, the Medical Research Council, the UK Department of Health, and the Scottish Government. The UK Biobank has also received funding from the Welsh Assembly Government, the British Heart Foundation, and the Diabetes United Kingdom. We thank Michael Stagner, BS, at Information Management Services, who provided technical support, for which he was compensated.

FUNDING/SUPPORT

This work was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the National Cancer Institute.

ABBREVATIONS

BMI

body mass index

CI

confidence interval

CLL/SLL

lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic leukemia

HRs

hazard ratios

Hs-CRP

high-sensitivity C-reactive protein

IQR

interquartile range

NHS

UK National Health Service

NLR

neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio

RCC

renal cell carcinomas

WBC

white blood cells

Footnotes

Disclosure of conflicts of interest: The authors declare no potential conflicts of interest

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Associated Data

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Supplementary Materials

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Data Availability Statement

The data underlying this article has been provided by the UK Biobank Resources under Application Number 52255 (RRID:SCR_012815). We do not have permission to share it directly. UK Biobank data are globally available to approved researchers through the UK Biobank research portal (https://www.ukbiobank.ac.uk/enable-your-research/apply-for-access).

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