Table 4.
Panel A: Small banks – Large banks | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | Zscore is the dependent variable |
|||||||||||
(1) |
(2) |
(3) |
(4) |
(5) |
(6) |
(7) |
(8) |
(9) |
(10) |
(11) |
(12) |
|
Small | Large | Small | Large | Small | Large | Small | Large | Small | Large | Small | Large | |
Lag.SIZE | 0.2619* | 0.3107 | 0.3652** | 0.4598* | 0.4112** | 0.3964* | 0.3659** | 0.7347*** | 0.3604** | 0.6161*** | 0.2655* | 0.3547* |
(0.1370) | (0.1998) | (0.1702) | (0.2392) | (0.1659) | (0.2346) | (0.1476) | (0.2199) | (0.1447) | (0.2281) | (0.1371) | (0.2022) | |
Lag.LTA | 0.5658 | 1.0048*** | 0.4593 | 1.2970*** | 0.4366 | 1.2877*** | 0.4295 | 1.2386*** | 0.3944 | 1.2319*** | 0.4949 | 1.0738*** |
(0.3739) | (0.2891) | (0.3620) | (0.3182) | (0.3605) | (0.3228) | (0.3671) | (0.2975) | (0.3646) | (0.3113) | (0.3712) | (0.2919) | |
Lag.LLP | −0.0282** | −0.0954*** | −0.0282** | −0.0777*** | −0.0260** | −0.0762*** | −0.0314** | −0.0848*** | −0.0273** | −0.0724*** | −0.0310** | −0.0922*** |
(0.0131) | (0.0196) | (0.0126) | (0.0202) | (0.0121) | (0.0203) | (0.0132) | (0.0202) | (0.0127) | (0.0208) | (0.0133) | (0.0199) | |
Lag.NPL | −1.4083* | −0.2693 | −1.2744* | −0.4269 | −1.2295* | −0.4419 | −1.2695* | −0.2620 | −1.2427* | −0.2583 | −1.3677* | −0.1970 |
(0.8054) | (0.3227) | (0.7454) | (0.3650) | (0.7249) | (0.3720) | (0.7269) | (0.3386) | (0.7286) | (0.3666) | (0.7897) | (0.3286) | |
ZSCORE(Country) | 0.2038 | 0.2370 | 0.2289 | −0.0122 | 0.0680 | −0.0367 | 0.3764 | −0.1807 | 0.2131 | −0.2929 | 0.2918 | 0.1997 |
(0.3246) | (0.2172) | (0.3246) | (0.2204) | (0.3259) | (0.2244) | (0.3360) | (0.2180) | (0.3237) | (0.2193) | (0.3193) | (0.2253) | |
CONCEN(Country) | −0.1977 | −0.2080** | −0.1942 | −0.2397*** | −0.1737 | −0.2706*** | −0.1453 | −0.1929** | −0.1679 | −0.1826** | −0.1931 | −0.2068** |
(0.1333) | (0.0812) | (0.1327) | (0.0788) | (0.1325) | (0.0766) | (0.1340) | (0.0756) | (0.1318) | (0.0765) | (0.1356) | (0.0789) | |
LnGPR | −0.0361 | 0.5962*** | ||||||||||
(0.2215) | (0.1778) | |||||||||||
LnEPU | −0.1446 | −0.1537** | ||||||||||
(0.1105) | (0.0670) | |||||||||||
LnCPU | −0.1894* | −0.1141* | ||||||||||
(0.1013) | (0.0609) | |||||||||||
WPU | −0.0141*** | −0.0228*** | ||||||||||
(0.0053) | (0.0036) | |||||||||||
GSCP | −0.1012** | −0.1591*** | ||||||||||
(0.0428) | (0.0308) | |||||||||||
LnMPU | −0.0552 | −0.1811*** | ||||||||||
(0.0636) | (0.0416) | |||||||||||
Constant | −1.0006 | −4.4861*** | −0.9898 | −2.2323 | −1.0720 | −1.9855 | −1.7268** | −4.9537*** | −1.6722** | −4.1220** | −0.9203 | −1.3796 |
(1.3010) | (1.6838) | (0.7514) | (1.5761) | (0.7631) | (1.5678) | (0.8429) | (1.5688) | (0.8300) | (1.6305) | (0.7936) | (1.4365) | |
Obs. | 651 | 862 | 651 | 862 | 651 | 862 | 651 | 862 | 651 | 862 | 651 | 862 |
R squared | 0.0523 | 0.0880 | 0.0592 | 0.0756 | 0.0649 | 0.0718 | 0.0702 | 0.1372 | 0.0663 | 0.1104 | 0.0543 | 0.0957 |
Banks | 81 | 104 | 81 | 104 | 81 | 104 | 81 | 104 | 81 | 104 | 81 | 104 |
BFE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Panel B: Low loan ratios – High loan ratios | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | Zscore is the dependent variable |
|||||||||||
(1) |
(2) |
(3) |
(4) |
(5) |
(6) |
(7) |
(8) |
(9) |
(10) |
(11) |
(12) |
|
Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | |
Lag.SIZE | 0.3857** | 0.2739* | 0.3916** | 0.3908** | 0.3745** | 0.3996** | 0.5399*** | 0.5131*** | 0.4702*** | 0.4668*** | 0.3987*** | 0.3277** |
(0.1476) | (0.1570) | (0.1810) | (0.1758) | (0.1736) | (0.1689) | (0.1575) | (0.1703) | (0.1591) | (0.1620) | (0.1503) | (0.1549) | |
Lag.LTA | 0.3173 | −0.7770** | 0.3642 | −0.7440* | 0.3586 | −0.7380* | 0.3788 | −0.6785* | 0.3565 | −0.8034** | 0.3425 | −0.8050** |
(0.3482) | (0.3906) | (0.3581) | (0.3919) | (0.3602) | (0.3910) | (0.3477) | (0.3826) | (0.3562) | (0.3835) | (0.3537) | (0.3905) | |
Lag.LLP | −0.0006 | −0.1205*** | 0.0023 | −0.1092*** | 0.0025 | −0.1059*** | −0.0036 | −0.1141*** | 0.0005 | −0.1046*** | 0.0001 | −0.1231*** |
(0.0198) | (0.0305) | (0.0201) | (0.0295) | (0.0198) | (0.0292) | (0.0200) | (0.0288) | (0.0197) | (0.0295) | (0.0203) | (0.0298) | |
Lag.NPL | −1.3148 | −0.9627* | −1.3432 | −0.9523* | −1.3276 | −0.9521* | −1.0913 | −0.8543 | −1.3131 | −0.8117 | −1.3378 | −0.8463* |
(1.3316) | (0.5177) | (1.3444) | (0.5213) | (1.3361) | (0.5280) | (1.2735) | (0.5199) | (1.3656) | (0.5129) | (1.3485) | (0.4974) | |
ZSCORE(Country) | 0.4596 | −0.1834 | 0.2876 | −0.3506 | 0.2997 | −0.4132* | 0.3827 | −0.4296* | 0.2692 | −0.5580** | 0.3376 | −0.1674 |
(0.3379) | (0.2240) | (0.3410) | (0.2313) | (0.3448) | (0.2354) | (0.3336) | (0.2277) | (0.3412) | (0.2452) | (0.3319) | (0.2312) | |
CONCEN(Country) | −0.0378 | −0.1809** | −0.0581 | −0.1808** | −0.0608 | −0.1917** | −0.0185 | −0.1403* | −0.0303 | −0.1458* | −0.0470 | −0.1581* |
(0.1428) | (0.0807) | (0.1383) | (0.0798) | (0.1378) | (0.0786) | (0.1373) | (0.0783) | (0.1387) | (0.0774) | (0.1408) | (0.0801) | |
LnGPR | 0.3030 | 0.3007* | ||||||||||
(0.2362) | (0.1725) | |||||||||||
LnEPU | 0.0081 | −0.1144* | ||||||||||
(0.1009) | (0.0689) | |||||||||||
LnCPU | 0.0261 | −0.1225* | ||||||||||
(0.0926) | (0.0648) | |||||||||||
WPU | −0.0142*** | −0.0193*** | ||||||||||
(0.0048) | (0.0036) | |||||||||||
GSCP | −0.0655 | −0.1317*** | ||||||||||
(0.0415) | (0.0318) | |||||||||||
LnMPU | −0.0480 | −0.1440*** | ||||||||||
(0.0592) | (0.0423) | |||||||||||
Constant | −3.3483** | −1.5702 | −2.0488** | −0.4363 | −2.0186** | −0.4875 | −2.9980*** | −1.8865 | −2.5287** | −1.5065 | −1.8479* | 0.0404 |
(1.5459) | (1.4438) | (0.9835) | (1.1416) | (0.9870) | (1.1304) | (1.0137) | (1.2190) | (1.0350) | (1.1610) | (0.9707) | (1.1124) | |
Obs. | 547 | 818 | 547 | 818 | 547 | 818 | 547 | 818 | 547 | 818 | 547 | 818 |
R squared | 0.0466 | 0.0636 | 0.0416 | 0.0634 | 0.0419 | 0.0647 | 0.0643 | 0.0984 | 0.0489 | 0.0843 | 0.0435 | 0.0760 |
Banks | 103 | 121 | 103 | 121 | 103 | 121 | 103 | 121 | 103 | 121 | 103 | 121 |
BFE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Panel C: Less income diversification – More income diversification | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | ZSCORE is the dependent variable |
|||||||||||
(1) |
(2) |
(3) |
(4) |
(5) |
(6) |
(7) |
(8) |
(9) |
(10) |
(11) |
(12) |
|
Less | More | Less | More | Less | More | Less | More | Less | More | Less | More | |
Lag.SIZE | 0.3973*** | 0.0895 | 0.3665* | 0.3472* | 0.3458* | 0.3945** | 0.5150*** | 0.3752* | 0.4434*** | 0.4220** | 0.4050*** | 0.1417 |
(0.1495) | (0.1901) | (0.1885) | (0.1912) | (0.1874) | (0.1802) | (0.1591) | (0.2114) | (0.1631) | (0.1848) | (0.1504) | (0.1874) | |
Lag.LTA | 0.7792** | 0.4452 | 0.8174*** | 0.5072 | 0.8135*** | 0.5186 | 0.7954** | 0.4550 | 0.7983*** | 0.2750 | 0.7863*** | 0.3295 |
(0.3003) | (0.3868) | (0.3002) | (0.3879) | (0.2995) | (0.3828) | (0.3067) | (0.3864) | (0.3037) | (0.3573) | (0.3003) | (0.3790) | |
Lag.LLP | −0.0276* | −0.1171*** | −0.0254* | −0.1018*** | −0.0262* | −0.0918*** | −0.0257* | −0.1095*** | −0.0243 | −0.0910*** | −0.0272* | −0.1197*** |
(0.0149) | (0.0181) | (0.0153) | (0.0149) | (0.0155) | (0.0147) | (0.0146) | (0.0154) | (0.0149) | (0.0133) | (0.0149) | (0.0162) | |
Lag.NPL | −1.3335* | −2.7831* | −1.4032* | −2.6567* | −1.4063* | −2.7081* | −1.3169* | −2.4618 | −1.3484* | −2.3241 | −1.3396* | −2.4279 |
(0.7251) | (1.5953) | (0.7395) | (1.5448) | (0.7511) | (1.5696) | (0.6872) | (1.6176) | (0.7012) | (1.5983) | (0.7175) | (1.5047) | |
ZSCORE(Country) | 0.4261 | −0.2365 | 0.3487 | −0.4876* | 0.3776 | −0.7167*** | 0.3396 | −0.4637* | 0.3120 | −0.8035*** | 0.3755 | −0.1917 |
(0.2648) | (0.2827) | (0.2613) | (0.2647) | (0.2560) | (0.2643) | (0.2653) | (0.2707) | (0.2611) | (0.2631) | (0.2640) | (0.2775) | |
CONCEN(Country) | −0.2169** | −0.2031* | −0.2416** | −0.2312** | −0.2457*** | −0.2496** | −0.1865** | −0.1595 | −0.2100** | −0.1707 | −0.2140** | −0.1928* |
(0.0977) | (0.1120) | (0.0948) | (0.1115) | (0.0935) | (0.1115) | (0.0935) | (0.1120) | (0.0941) | (0.1085) | (0.0963) | (0.1120) | |
LnGPR | 0.2097 | 0.4181* | ||||||||||
(0.1818) | (0.2375) | |||||||||||
LnEPU | 0.0333 | −0.2802*** | ||||||||||
(0.0861) | (0.0799) | |||||||||||
LnCPU | 0.0536 | −0.3215*** | ||||||||||
(0.0805) | (0.0814) | |||||||||||
WPU | −0.0118*** | −0.0255*** | ||||||||||
(0.0039) | (0.0059) | |||||||||||
GSCP | −0.0365 | −0.2463*** | ||||||||||
(0.0339) | (0.0396) | |||||||||||
LnMPU | −0.0483 | −0.2124*** | ||||||||||
(0.0471) | (0.0518) | |||||||||||
Constant | −3.1977** | −1.5259 | −2.2165** | −0.0087 | −2.1658** | −0.2011 | −3.0221*** | −1.5929 | −2.5559** | −1.8207 | −2.0920** | 0.9583 |
(1.3020) | (1.9285) | (0.9903) | (1.2318) | (1.0103) | (1.2050) | (1.0069) | (1.4503) | (1.0416) | (1.2670) | (0.9429) | (1.2449) | |
Obs. | 942 | 462 | 942 | 462 | 942 | 462 | 942 | 462 | 942 | 462 | 942 | 462 |
R squared | 0.0646 | 0.1277 | 0.0626 | 0.1477 | 0.0633 | 0.1590 | 0.0786 | 0.1839 | 0.0643 | 0.2101 | 0.0640 | 0.1554 |
Banks | 123 | 85 | 123 | 85 | 123 | 85 | 123 | 85 | 123 | 85 | 123 | 85 |
BFE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Panel D: Low competitiveness – High competitiveness | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | ZSCORE is the dependent variable |
|||||||||||
(1) |
(2) |
(3) |
(4) |
(5) |
(6) |
(7) |
(8) |
(9) |
(10) |
(11) |
(12) |
|
Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | |
Lag.SIZE | 0.0697 | 0.3204 | 0.1374 | 0.3446 | 0.1255 | 0.3226 | 0.2928* | 0.5291** | 0.2280 | 0.4516** | 0.1048 | 0.3419* |
(0.1555) | (0.2033) | (0.1760) | (0.2124) | (0.1697) | (0.2060) | (0.1705) | (0.2078) | (0.1656) | (0.2026) | (0.1547) | (0.2022) | |
Lag.LTA | 0.8128*** | 0.3763 | 0.8872*** | 0.4566 | 0.8972*** | 0.4624 | 0.7976*** | 0.4052 | 0.8014*** | 0.3792 | 0.7942*** | 0.3752 |
(0.2732) | (0.4487) | (0.2778) | (0.4378) | (0.2780) | (0.4353) | (0.2837) | (0.4585) | (0.2858) | (0.4499) | (0.2763) | (0.4455) | |
Lag.LLP | −0.0536*** | −0.0284 | −0.0480*** | −0.0200 | −0.0469*** | −0.0195 | −0.0520*** | −0.0263 | −0.0448*** | −0.0232 | −0.0545*** | −0.0268 |
(0.0152) | (0.0330) | (0.0152) | (0.0305) | (0.0150) | (0.0308) | (0.0156) | (0.0316) | (0.0155) | (0.0297) | (0.0153) | (0.0318) | |
Lag.NPL | −1.1228* | −0.8865 | −1.1604* | −0.8610 | −1.1682* | −0.8926 | −1.0668* | −0.6137 | −1.0941* | −0.5278 | −1.0780* | −0.7711 |
(0.6496) | (1.3649) | (0.6580) | (1.3799) | (0.6614) | (1.3651) | (0.6138) | (1.3956) | (0.6395) | (1.3590) | (0.6335) | (1.3825) | |
ZSCORE(Country) | 0.0629 | 0.3507 | −0.0969 | 0.1593 | −0.1309 | 0.1511 | −0.1780 | 0.2418 | −0.2793 | 0.1741 | 0.0503 | 0.2505 |
(0.2324) | (0.4160) | (0.2344) | (0.4310) | (0.2413) | (0.4326) | (0.2284) | (0.4190) | (0.2387) | (0.4172) | (0.2322) | (0.4211) | |
CONCEN(Country) | −0.1862** | −0.3812*** | −0.1984** | −0.3948*** | −0.2065** | −0.3990*** | −0.1474* | −0.3298*** | −0.1659** | −0.3406*** | −0.1744** | −0.3657*** |
(0.0832) | (0.1223) | (0.0815) | (0.1190) | (0.0809) | (0.1180) | (0.0798) | (0.1183) | (0.0800) | (0.1214) | (0.0815) | (0.1254) | |
LnGPR | 0.3197* | 0.3864 | ||||||||||
(0.1687) | (0.2590) | |||||||||||
LnEPU | −0.0806 | −0.0212 | ||||||||||
(0.0668) | (0.0858) | |||||||||||
LnCPU | −0.0705 | −0.0005 | ||||||||||
(0.0629) | (0.0808) | |||||||||||
WPU | −0.0168*** | −0.0146** | ||||||||||
(0.0034) | (0.0058) | |||||||||||
GSCP | −0.1027*** | −0.0844* | ||||||||||
(0.0297) | (0.0455) | |||||||||||
LnMPU | −0.1213*** | −0.0938 | ||||||||||
(0.0411) | (0.0628) | |||||||||||
Constant | −1.4344 | −3.0756* | −0.0630 | −1.4065 | −0.0529 | −1.3699 | −1.4746 | −2.6947** | −1.0434 | −2.1928* | 0.2954 | −1.0648 |
(1.3781) | (1.6713) | (1.0398) | (1.2286) | (1.0289) | (1.2223) | (1.1174) | (1.2624) | (1.0834) | (1.2378) | (1.0089) | (1.2314) | |
Obs. | 1017 | 429 | 1017 | 429 | 1017 | 429 | 1017 | 429 | 1017 | 429 | 1017 | 429 |
R squared | 0.0515 | 0.0544 | 0.0481 | 0.0461 | 0.0476 | 0.0460 | 0.0824 | 0.0700 | 0.0630 | 0.0580 | 0.0580 | 0.0533 |
Banks | 129 | 71 | 129 | 71 | 129 | 71 | 129 | 71 | 129 | 71 | 129 | 71 |
BFE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Table 4 shows the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty (MU) on bank stability for heterogeneous bank types. The dependent variable of ZSCORE is bank stability. MU variables include LnGPR, LnEPU, LnCPU, WPU, GSCP, and LnMPU, they are key explanatory variables. In Panel A, we split the banks for every country each year. A bank with a value greater than the bank median is classified as large-size. A bank with a value equal to or less than the country median is classified as small size. Robust standard errors in parentheses. *** denotes significance at a 1 % level, ** denotes significance at a 5 %, * denotes significance at a 10 % level.
Table 4 shows the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty (MU) on bank stability for heterogeneous bank types. The dependent variable of ZSCORE is bank stability. MU variables include LnGPR, LnEPU, LnCPU, WPU, GSCP, and LnMPU, they are key explanatory variables. In Panel B, we split the banks for every country each year. A bank with a value greater than the bank median is classified as having high loan ratios. A bank with a value equal to or less than the country median is classified as having low loan ratios. Robust standard errors in parentheses. *** denotes significance at a 1 % level, ** denotes significance at a 5 %, * denotes significance at a 10 % level.
Table 4 shows the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty (MU) on bank stability for heterogeneous bank types. The dependent variable of ZSCORE is bank stability. MU variables include LnGPR, LnEPU, LnCPU, WPU, GSCP, and LnMPU, they are key explanatory variables. In Panel C, the income diversification index (DIV) is computed as the ratio of non-interest incomes to total operating incomes. We split the banks for every country each year. A bank with a value greater than the bank median is classified as more diversified. A bank with a value equal to or less than the country median is classified as less diversified. Robust standard errors in parentheses. *** denotes significance at a 1 % level, ** denotes significance at a 5 %, * denotes significance at a 10 % level.
Table 4 shows the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty (MU) on bank stability for heterogeneous bank types. The dependent variable of ZSCORE is bank stability. MU variables include LnGPR, LnEPU, LnCPU, WPU, GSCP, and LnMPU, they are key explanatory variables. In Panel D, the Lerner index is used for measuring the bank's competitiveness. Lernerit = (Pit – MCit)/Pit. The Pit variable is the price of total assets calculated as the ratio of total revenue to total assets of a bank (i) at the time (t). MCit is the marginal cost of producing one more unit of output. We split the banks for every country each year. A bank with a value greater than the bank median is classified as high competitiveness. A bank with a value equal to or less than the country median is classified as low competitiveness. Robust standard errors in parentheses. *** denotes significance at a 1 % level, ** denotes significance at a 5 %, * denotes significance at a 10 % level.