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. 2000 Feb 12;320(7232):444.

Coping with winter bed crises

Crises do not just happen in winter

John Heyworth 1
PMCID: PMC1117554  PMID: 10669456

Editor—Hanratty and Robinson have provided some valuable suggestions for coping with winter bed crises.1 Unfortunately, however, the title and content serve to reinforce the myth that bed crises are seasonal. Certainly, the pressures are even greater during the winter months, but many accident and emergency departments are overwhelmed throughout the year, with prolonged delays while patients await admission. Recent initiatives have produced only a marginal benefit, and the pressures on medical and nursing staff are unrelenting. Privacy and dignity for patients are lost, and the quality of care inevitably falls.

The fundamental issue is a failure to accept the impact of the volume and casemix of emergency patients on a health service that is still oriented towards government targets for elective priorities. The situation is unlikely to alter greatly until the inexorable rise is recognised and addressed by providing adequate capacity in the acute trusts. Priorities will not change so long as chief executives live under the threat of penalties for failing to meet waiting list targets and there is little incentive or reward in delivering a safe and efficient emergency service. Change must be directed from the centre without delay. The political advantages of such a strategy would be immense.

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BMJ. 2000 Feb 12;320(7232):444.

Essence of problem is insufficient resources

Geoff Anderson 1

Editor—In their editorial Hanratty and Robinson note that plans for managing winter bed crises were not introduced until 1996.1-1 They continue by suggesting ways in which such crises might more accurately be predicted but seem to have totally missed the point (obvious to anyone working in an acute specialty) that the crises are not primarily caused by excesses of patients but by shortages of beds and of nursing, medical, and ancilliary staff created in the years immediately up to 1996.

Predicting such crises, which would in turn allow elective work to be suspended to create space for emergency work, does not seem to me to be time or money well spent. The elective work still has to be done, and tactics such as these simply help one crisis—the shortage of emergency beds—by worsening another—the excessive time patients with painful and life threatening conditions have to wait for elective treatment. Rather than developing short term plans to rob Peter and pay Paul, I suggest that disease surveillance data should be used to highlight the fact that the NHS simply cannot cope with the demands made on it. I also believe that the implication that the service can be improved to a satisfactory point by predicting winter crises is dangerous because it distracts attention (particularly political attention, which always seems to be on the lookout for a cheap and easy fix) from the essence of the problem—insufficient resources.

References

BMJ. 2000 Feb 12;320(7232):444.

Answer is not data showing crises will happen

John Belstead 1

Editor—So Hanratty and Robinson think that the way to cope with the winter bed crises is increased surveillance.2-1 I can hear the hollow laughter from accident and emergency staff up and down the country. This is like an intelligence officer in a war zone telling the troops that they are about to be plastered with high energy explosives and afterwards saying while surveying the chaos, “There you are, we said it would happen.”

During one weekend in December, apart from reading this article, I received a huge book about how to use NHS Direct (endorsed by the BMA) and I have been called into the accident and emergency departments that I cover. One had 29 patients waiting for beds, the other 12.

The answer to bed crises is not data to tell us they are going to happen. We cannot pull extra beds, doctors, and nurses out of a cupboard when we are told a crisis is going to happen. The solution is not to expect hospitals to run on over 100% bed occupancy to break even financially. Let us not waste any more money on data collection and an unproved telephone advice service and give it to the places where the hard slogging foot soldiers are up to their ears in mud and gore. Data may solve the problem in 10 years' time, but patients with emergency illnesses need the help now.

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