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. 2024 Jun 14;103(24):e38477. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000038477

The prognostic value of preoperative laboratory data indicators in patients with esophageal carcinoma: An observational study

Hui Ma a,b, Yangchen Liu b, Hongxun Ye b, Fei Gao b, Zhu Li b, Songbing Qin a,*
PMCID: PMC11175890  PMID: 38875403

Abstract

Preoperative laboratory data indicators significantly affect the prognosis of a variety of tumors. Nevertheless, the combined effect of systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) on overall survival (OS) in patients with esophageal carcinoma remains unclear. Thus, we examined these associations among patients with postoperative staged T3N0M0 esophageal carcinoma. The data of 246 patients with postoperative staged T3N0M0 esophageal carcinoma from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2022, were retrospectively analyzed. OS was measured from the date of pathological diagnosis until either death or the last follow-up. The Kaplan–Meier method and multivariate Cox regression model were used to analyze the relationship between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (LMR), SII, PNI, and OS. The predictive value of SII and PNI as a combined index was analyzed by the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). A total of 246 patients aged 65.5 ± 7.4 years were included in this study and 181 (73.6%) were male. The univariate analysis revealed that differentiation, vessel involvement, postoperative treatment, NLR, SII, PLR, LMR, PNI were predictors of OS (P < .05). After adjusted for potential confounds, multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the differentiation, SII, PNI, and postoperative treatment were independent prognostic factors correlated with OS in patients with postoperative staged T3N0M0 esophageal carcinoma (P < .05). SII and PNI, as a combined indicator, have a higher predictive value for OS. The NLR, SII, PLR, LMR, and PNI could all be used as independent predictors of OS in patients with postoperative staged T3N0M0 esophageal carcinoma. The combination of SII and PNI can significantly improve the accuracy of prediction.

Keywords: Overall survival, Preoperative laboratory data indicators, T3N0M0 esophageal carcinoma

1. Introduction

Esophageal cancer, a highly aggressive malignancy with a poor prognosis, ranked 7th in incidence and 6th in mortality worldwide, and its prevalence has steadily increased over the past few decades.[1] Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is the predominant histological subtype of esophageal cancer in China, accounting for over 90% of all cases.[2] Despite advances in the diagnosis, imaging, and treatment of esophageal cancer, the overall survival (OS) remains low in recent decades, with a 5-year survival rate of 15% to 25%.[3,4] The primary cause is that the majority of patients are diagnosed at an advanced stage, with lower opportunity for curative resection.[5] At the same time, the prognosis of patients remains poor due to local recurrence or distant metastasis. Hence, it is imperative and urgently needed to discover a simple and efficient prognostic indicator that could identify patients with a higher risk of esophageal carcinoma.

Inflammation is a widely recognized characteristic of malignancy, and numerous inflammatory markers have been investigated as prognostic indicators in cancer patients.[6] Additionally, the inflammatory response of the host plays a pivotal role in tumor initiation and progression.[7,8] For instance, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) have been recognized as prognostic indicators in gastric, lung, colorectal, and hepatocellular cancers due to their inflammatory and immunologic-based scoring systems.[811] Systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), as a composite index containing 3 indicators, can represent different inflammatory and immune pathways in the body and has greater stability. Meanwhile, it has recently been shown to be a significant predictor of gastric cancer and non-small cell lung cancer.[12,13]

In recent years, researchers have been dedicated to exploring the correlation between tumors and malnutrition.[14] Patients with malignant diseases frequently experience malnutrition due to loss of appetite and adverse effects of treatment regimens.[15] Malnutrition in turn exacerbates intolerance towards treatment modalities and ultimately impacts recurrence and OS.[16] In a result, the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) has been recently identified as a prognostic marker in various cancers.[1719]

According to the 8th edition of the Cancer staging manual, patients with T3N0M0 were classified into stages IIA, IIB, which suggested that survival outcomes may vary significantly among these patients.[20] Therefore, the identification of promising prognostic factors and appropriate clinical treatment have the potential to enhance long-term survival rate.

The primary aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic efficacy of NLR, SII, PLR, LMR, and PNI. Then, we examined the association between these biomarkers and clinical characteristics and further explored whether their combination could improve the prognostic value of patients with postoperative staged T3N0M0 esophageal carcinoma compared with individual utilization.

2. Methods

This study was conducted in Taizhou, China from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2022. Patients who underwent radical esophagectomy for esophageal carcinoma at Taixing People’s Hospital were recruited in this study. The inclusion criteria were: postoperative pathology was squamous cell carcinoma of the esophagus with a TNM stage of T3N0M0 based on the American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition staging system; preoperative blood routine examination should be conducted within 3 days; patients with detailed clinicopathological data. Exclusion criteria were: patients with neoadjuvant therapy before surgery; patients with comorbidities including acute infections, hematologic diseases, other malignant tumors, and autoimmune disorders; patients undergoing immunization suppression therapy before surgery; patients with any missing clinical, laboratory, and follow-up information. The study was approved by the medical research ethics committee of Taixing People's Hospital (No. XJS2023060) and was performed in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki. All participants included in this study provided written informed consent.

2.1. Clinical and pathological parameters

The clinical and pathological parameters of the patients were obtained from the medical records, such as age (years), gender (male, female), smoking (No, current smoking), alcohol drinking (No, current alcohol drinking), tumor differentiation degree (low, medium, high), maximum tumor diameter, nerve involvement (negative, positive), vascular involvement (negative, positive), and postoperative treatment (none, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, chemoradiotherapy). All the pathological parameters followed the definition of American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition staging system.

2.2. Blood routine examination and definitions

Data on routine blood tests were retrospectively extracted from the medical record within 3 days before surgery, such as the neutrophil, lymphocyte, platelet, and monocyte counts. The serum albumin level was measured by hepatic function test before surgery. NLR, SII, PLR, LMR, and PNI were calculated using the following formula as follows: NLR = neutrophil counts/lymphocyte counts, SII = platelet counts × neutrophil counts/lymphocyte counts, PLR = absolute platelet count/lymphocyte count, LMR = lymphocyte count/monocyte count, PNI = serum albumin level (g/L) + 5 × absolute lymphocyte count (mm3).

2.3. Follow-up assessment

The patients were followed up with regular checks in the outpatient department, such as physical examination, blood routine, and the computed tomography scan of the chest. Patients were reexamined every 3 to 6 months for the initial 2 years and then the patients were reexamined every 6 months from the 3rd to 5th year. The deadline date of follow-up was December 31, 2022. OS was defined as the interval from the first day of pathological diagnosis to the date of all-cancer death or the date of the last follow-up.

2.4. Statistical analysis

All data analyses were conducted using IBM SPSS software version 26.0 (SPSS Inc. Chicago, IL, USA). The best cutoff values of NLR, SII, PLR, LMR, and PNI were selected by drawing the ROC, which used OS time as the endpoint. Independent sample T test and one-way analysis of variance were used for the comparison of measurement data. Enumeration data were compared by the chi-square test. The Kaplan–Meier method and the multivariate Cox regression model analysis were used to analyze the prognostic relationship among NLR, SII, PLR, LMR, PNI, and OS. All statistical tests were two-tailed and a P < .05 was suggested as statistically significant.

3. Results

The ROC curves were used to determine the best cutoff values for these biomarkers in predicting OS. The area under curve (AUC) for NLR, SII, PLR, LMR, and PNI were 0.605 (P = .005), 0.595 (P = .010), 0.580 (P = .030), 0.586 (P = .020), 0.601 (P = .007). The corresponding maximum cutoff values were 3.15, 723.90, 111.74, 4.36, and 48.13. Based on the best cutoff values, we divided the patients into 2 groups, low SII group (<723.90, n = 184), high SII group (≥723.90, n = 62); low NLR group (<3.15, n = 176), high NLR group (≥3.15, n = 70); low PLR group (<111.74, n = 89), high PLR group (≥111.74, n = 157); low LMR group (<4.36, n = 167), high LMR group (≥4.36, n = 79); low PNI group (<48.13, n = 65), high PNI group (≥48.13, n = 181).

The clinicopathological characteristics of 246 patients (age 43–81 years) enrolled in this study were summarized in Table 1, with 181 (73.6%) being male and 65 (26.4%) female. Among all the patients, 119 cases (48.4%) had a history of smoking and 124 cases (50.4%) had a history of Alcohol Drinking. According to the degree of tumor differentiation, 20 (8.1%), 205 (83.3%), and 21 (8.5%) patients were classified in the low, moderate, and high differentiation groups, respectively. At the same time, we found that both NLR, SII, and PLR were significantly associated with tumor length (P < .001). In addition, low PLR group was significantly associated with low differentiation (P = .043) and negative nerve involvement (P = .049). Furthermore, the low LMR group had a higher proportion of males (P < .001) and a higher proportion of smoking (P = .001) and alcohol drinking (P < .001).

Table 1.

Relationships among NLR, SII, PLR, LMR, PNI and clinicopathological characteristics in patients with esophageal carcinoma.

Variables Total patients NLR SII PLR LMR PNI
Low
(176)
High
(70)
P Low
(184)
High
(62)
P Low
(89)
High
(157)
P Low
(167)
High
(79)
P Low
(65)
High
(181)
P
Age (years, %) 65.5 ± 7.4 65.1 ± 7.3 66.4 ± 7.6 .220 65.2 ± 7.3 66.2 ± 7.7 .383 65.4 ± 7.2 65.5 ± 7.5 .929 65.5 ± 7.5 65.3 ± 7.1 .849 66.9 ± 6.5 65.0 .072
Gender
Male 181 127 54 .424 132 49 .260 66 115 .877 137 44 <.001 47 134 .787
 Female 65 49 16 53 12 23 42 32 33 18 47
Smoking
 No 128 86 41 .169 94 34 .558 39 88 .065 74 53 .001 34 93 .898
 Yes 119 90 29 91 28 50 69 93 26 31 88
Alcohol drinking
 No 122 87 35 .936 92 30 .826 41 81 .405 70 52 <.001 29 93 .349
 Yes 124 89 35 92 32 48 76 97 27 36 88
Differentiation
 Low 20 10 10 .061 11 9 .104 4 16 .043 16 4 .423 4 16 .545
 Medium 205 149 56 157 48 73 132 138 67 57 148
 High 21 17 4 16 5 12 9 13 8 4 17
Vascular involvement
 Negative 212 155 57 .173 162 50 .144 77 135 .908 141 71 .248 52 160 .092
 Positive 34 21 13 22 12 12 22 26 8 13 21
Nerve involvement
 Negative 213 152 61 .871 157 56 .318 72 141 .049 144 69 .811 60 153 .115
 Positive 33 24 9 27 6 17 16 23 10 5 28
Length (mm, %) 4.2 ± 1.3 4.0 ± 1.1 4.9 ± 1.5 <.001 4.0 ± 1.2 4.8 ± 1.4 <.001 4.0 ± 1.2 4.4 ± 1.3 .029 4.3 ± 1.3 4.0 ± 1.2 .082 4.5 ± 1.3 4.1 ± 1.2 .051
Postoperative treatment
 None 151 107 44 .565 117 34 .622 58 93 .817 99 52 .817 46 105 .112
 Radiotherapy 17 12 5 12 5 5 12 13 4 3 14
 Chemotherapy 54 42 12 39 15 18 36 38 16 14 40
 Chemoradiotherapy 24 15 9 16 8 8 16 18 6 2 22

LMR = lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, NLR = neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, PLR = platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, PNI = prognostic nutritional index, SII = systemic immune-inflammation index.

The correlations between clinical parameters and preoperative laboratory data indicators and OS are shown in Table 2. Univariate Cox regression models showed that the differentiation (P = .005), vessel involvement (P = .046), postoperative treatment (P = .014), NLR (P < .001), SII (P < .001), PLR (P = .044), LMR (P = .002), and PNI (P < .001) were the influencing factors for OS. After adjusted for age, gender, smoking, alcohol drinking, these 9 influencing factors were included in multivariate Cox regression analysis. The results showed that patients with Medium differentiation (HR: 0.54 (0.27, 0.98), P = .043)), high differentiation (HR: 0.19 (0.07, 0.54), P = .002)), and SII (HR: 1.76 (1.03–3.01), P = .039)) were independent risk factors for OS. Chemotherapy treatment (HR: 0.48 (0.29–0.81)), P = .005), chemoradiotherapy treatment (HR: 0.26 (0.10–0.66), P = .004)), PNI (HR: 0.62 (0.40–0.97), P = .037)) were independent protect factors for OS.

Table 2.

Prognostic factors for OS in patients with postoperative staged T3N0M0 esophageal carcinoma.

Univariate analysis Multivariate analysisa
HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P
Gender
 Male 1 .731
 Female 1.08 (0.71,1.63)
Smoking
 No 1 .559
 Yes 1.12 (0.77,1.62)
Alcohol drinking
 No 1 .268
 Yes 1.23 (0.85,1.79)
Differentiation
 Low 1 .005 1 .006
 Medium 0.48 (0.27,0.85) .011 0.54 (0.27,0.98) .043
 High 0.21 (0.074,0.57) .002 0.19 (0.07,0.54) .002
Vessel involvement
 Negative 1 .046 1 .053
 Positive 1.64 (1.01,2.66) 1.66 (0.99–2.76)
Nerve involvement
 Negative 1 .977 1 .637
 Positive 0.98 (0.58,1.71) 1.16 (0.64–2.10)
Postoperative treatment
 None 1 .014 1 .003
 Radiotherapy 0.88 (0.47,1.83) .735 0.79 (0.36–1.57) .455
 Chemotherapy 0.56 (0.34,0.92) .021 0.48 (0.29–0.81) .005
 Chemoradiotherapy 0.31 (0.13,0.77) .012 0.26 (0.10–0.66) .004
NLR
 Low 1 <.001 1 .116
 High 2.35 (1.61,3.43) 1.50 (0.91–2.48)
SII
 Low 1 <.001 1 .039
 High 2.23 (1.51,3.30) 1.76 (1.03–3.01)
PLR
 Low 1 .044 1 .850
 High 1.51 (1.01.2.26) 0.85 (0.52–1.39)
LMR
 Low 1 .002 1 .072
 High 0.52 (0.33,0.81) 0.64 (0.40–1.04)
PNI
 Low 1 <.001 1 .037
 High 0.44 (0.30,0.65) 0.62 (0.40–0.97)

CI = confidence interval, HR = hazard ratio, LMR = lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, NLR = neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, PLR = platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, PNI = prognostic nutritional index, SII = systemic immune-inflammation index.

a

Adjusted for age, gender, smoking, alcohol drinking.

The correlation between inflammation-related markers and OS is shown in Figure 1. The OS rates were significantly higher in the low NLR and SII group than in the high NLR and SII groups (P < .001); The OS rates were significantly higher in the high LMR and PNI group than in the low LMR and PNI group (P < .001). The OS survival rate was significantly higher in the low PLR group than in the high PLR group (P = .041).

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

Kaplan–Meier survival curves for OS in patients with postoperative staged T3N0M0 esophageal carcinoma. OS = overall survival.

The prognostic value of assessing coPNI-SII in patients with esophageal carcinoma was shown in Figure 2. Patients with low SII and high PNI were scored 3, patients with high SII and high PNI were scored 2, patients with low SII and low PNI were scored 1, and patients with high SII and low PNI were scored 0. And the results revealed that OS rates were 23.1%, 46.2%, 47.2%, and 64.1% in patients with coPNI-SII scored 0, 1, 2, and 3, respectively.

Figure 2.

Figure 2.

Kaplan–Meier survival curves for OS according to coPNI-SII. OS = overall survival.

We assessed the predictive power of NLR, SII, PLR, LMR, PNI and coPNI-SII for OS using ROC curve analysis. The AUC values were as follows: NLR, SII, PLR, LMR, PNI, and coPNI-SII were NLR (0.605, P = .005), SII (0.595, P = .010). PLR (0.580, P = .030), LMR (0.586, P = .020), PNI (0.601, P = .007), coPNI-SII (0.629, P = .001). Among these indicators, coPNI-SII showed the highest AUC, making it the most accurate prognostic predictor of survival. Thus, coPNI-SII could serve as an alternative prognostic staging tool for patients with prostoperative stage T3N0M0 esophageal carcinoma.

4. Discussion

In this study, we examined the association between NLR, SII, PLR, LMR, PNI, and OS in patients with postoperative staged T3N0M0 esophageal carcinoma and compared their predictive accuracy. The results in this study indicated that NLR, SII, PLR, LMR, and PNI were reliable predictors of OS. In addition, Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that SII and PNI were independent prognostic factors. Thus we found that the new prognostic value combining SII with PNI (0.629, P = .001) exhibited higher accuracy in predicting OS when compared with PNI (0.601, P = .007) and SII (0.595, P = .010) alone. To our knowledge, this is the first study to compare the prognostic value of these 5 preoperative biomarkers in patients with postoperative staged T3N0M0 esophageal carcinoma.

Tumor microenvironment plays a pivotal role in promoting tumorigenesis and progression.[21] The catabolic effects of systemic inflammation and malnutrition on host metabolism often promote tumor growth, exacerbate the vicious cycle of poor immunonutrition, and lead to the deterioration of cancer.[22] Therefore, the significance of systemic inflammation and malnutrition in malignant tumors is increasingly acknowledged.[23] Consistent with our findings, recent studies have revealed that patients with low LMR experience significantly worse OS compared to those with high LMR.[24] Feng et al[25] found that preoperative NLR and PLR were significant predictors of OS in patients with ESCC. SII, which is a systemic inflammation score based on neutrophil, platelet, and lymphocyte counts, is an independent predictor for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, colorectal cancer, and gastric cancer.[2628] Neutrophilia is an inflammatory response that suppresses the cytolytic activity of immune cells, such as lymphocytes and activated T cells, thereby inhibiting the immune system. Platelets may enhance tumor cell extravasation and promote metastasis.[29] Lymphocytes, as a fundamental component of cellular immunity, exert cytokine-mediated cytotoxicity to inhibit the proliferation and invasion of tumor cells.[8] Therefore, SII is posited as a more objective marker that reflects the equilibrium between host inflammatory and immune response status compared to other systemic inflammation indices such as PLR and LMR. In this study, we found that a higher SII score in patients with postoperative staged T3N0M0 esophageal carcinoma usually indicated poorly OS (P = .039), which is a negative prognostic factor for the clinical outcome.

PNI consists of serum albumin concentration and absolute lymphocyte count. Albumin is produced by hepatocytes and plays a crucial role in stabilizing cell growth and DNA replication, buffering various biochemical changes, as well as maintaining sex hormone homeostasis to prevent tumorigenesis.[30,31] The decrease in lymphocytes count will reduce the immune function of the body, making cancer cells more easily to immune escape and eventually lead to poor prognosis of cancer patients.[32] The reduction of PNI reflects malnutrition and decreased immunity, inhibiting inflammatory response and promoting tumor cell invasion function, thereby promoting tumorigenesis and progression, and ultimately leading to poor prognosis of cancer patients.

Combining PNI and SII could effectively predict the prognosis by revealing both the inflammatory and nutritional status of patients.[33] Patients with postoperative staged T3N0M0 esophageal carcinoma are the most common of all classifications, with a large disease burden, and the survival may differ greatly among such patients.[20] This suggests that OS may vary significantly among these patients. So far, few studies have investigated the relationship between nutritional status and systemic inflammation in this population. In our study, Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that SII and PNI were independent prognostic factors, but the efficacy of PNI or SII alone as a prognostic predictor was very low. Therefore, we conducted a joint analysis of SII and PNI and found that the coPNI-SII had the highest predictive value. The prognosis of the patients in the low SII and high PNI groups was much higher than that of patients in the high SII and low PNI groups. In the future, the treatment of improving PNI and reducing SII could significantly improve the prognosis of patients with postoperative staged T3N0M0 esophageal carcinoma.

Our study has several limitations. First, this was a retrospective and single-center study with a limited number of patients in China, which may lead to a selection bias. Second, some influencing variables that are relevant to OS, including the Glasgow prognostic score, prognostic index, and C-reactive protein, have not been collected in this study.[34] Thirdly, the long duration of data collection in this retrospective analysis, coupled with advancements in surgical technology during the same period, may have an impact on clinical outcomes.

5. Conclusion

In conclusion, this study showed that preoperative laboratory data indicators, such as NLR, SII, PLR, LMR, and PNI, are simple, noninvasive, reliable, and inexpensive for predicting the prognosis of patients with postoperative staged T3N0M0 esophageal carcinoma. Our findings highlight that the combined SII and PNI were more accurate than either indicator alone in predicting OS. Further research especially population-based prospective cohort study was urgently needed to include more prognostic factors to verify our results.

Acknowledgments

We would like to thank the participants in this study.

Author contributions

Conceptualization: Hui Ma, Songbing Qin.

Data curation: Hui Ma, Songbing Qin.

Formal analysis: Hui Ma.

Methodology: Hui Ma, Songbing Qin.

Project administration: Hui Ma, Songbing Qin.

Software: Hui Ma, Songbing Qin.

Supervision: Hui Ma, Songbing Qin.

Validation: Hui Ma.

Writing – original draft: Hui Ma, Yangchen Liu.

Writing – review & editing: Hui Ma, Hongxun Ye, Fei Gao, Zhu Li, Songbing Qin.

Resources: Yangchen Liu, Hongxun Ye, Fei Gao, Zhu Li, Songbing Qin.

Abbreviations:

AUC
area under curve
CI
confidence interval
ESCC
esophageal squamous cell carcinoma
HR
hazard ratio
LMR
lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio
NLR
neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio
OS
overall survival
PLR
platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio
PNI
prognostic nutritional index
ROC
receiver operating characteristic
SII
systemic immune-inflammation index.

The authors have no funding to disclose.

Informed consent was obtained from all subjects for this study.

The study was approved by the medical research ethics committee of Taixing People’s Hospital (No. XJS2023060) and was performed in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki.

The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

The datasets generated during and/or analyzed during the current study are not publicly available but are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

How to cite this article: Ma H, Liu Y, Ye H, Gao F, Li Z, Qin S. The prognostic value of preoperative laboratory data indicators in patients with esophageal carcinoma: An observational study. Medicine 2024;103:24(e38477).

Contributor Information

Hui Ma, Email: 820997233@qq.com.

Yangchen Liu, Email: liuyctx@163.com.

Hongxun Ye, Email: yhx4032@126.com.

Fei Gao, Email: gaofei93257@163.com.

Zhu Li, Email: 992518999@qq.com.

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