Editor—We have concerns about the design and analysis of Shah et al's cluster randomised trial of a peer led education programme for asthma.1 Neither the printed nor the (longer) electronic version mentioned how clustering was accounted for in the trial design. The sample size was not justified—neither the number of clusters (six) nor numbers of children in them. This may seem unimportant since confidence intervals were provided for the comparisons between arms, but the omission is crucial.
The authors did not specify the magnitude of differences considered in advance as clinically important. The small intracluster correlations observed could just be fortuitous. With so few clusters, any estimate of between-cluster variance (and hence intracluster correlation) will be extremely imprecise. Without proper details of trial design, the danger of publication bias remains, where a study with low power is more likely to be published when significance is attained. The widths of the comparative confidence intervals are not reassuring here.
It is unlikely that a fully considered trial design would include only six clusters, with apparently no attention being paid to stratification, given the sex and year imbalances.2 Important information was also omitted regarding the analysis plan, with between-arm comparisons in table 2 for quality of life as a total score and three subdomains. Only the electronic version states that the total score was the primary outcome.
More fundamentally, comparisons for each of the four outcomes were presented first for all children and then for four subgroups (males and females in years 7 and 10). Separate tests for subgroups rather than formal interaction tests are highly prone to false positive results. There was no indication that these subgroup analyses were established in advance, nor specifically whether others were conducted. The analysis section of the electronic version refers to sex and year as potential confounders, not effect modifiers.
If the principle of “electronic long, paper short” publishing is to be successful, it is important that short versions do not omit crucial methodological information. It cannot be assumed that all readers have access to electronic versions, and Plummer has commented on the paper (in his rapid response) without apparently checking the long version.3
We appreciate that the exclusion of cluster adjusted results was justified here on grounds of space,4 but we contend that issues of design and analysis are vital in cluster randomised trials and should have been mentioned in the short version.
References
- 1.Shah S, Peat JK, Mazurski EJ, Wang H, Sindhusake D, Bruce C, et al. Effect of peer led programme for asthma education in adolescents: cluster randomised controlled trial. BMJ. 2001;322:583–585. doi: 10.1136/bmj.322.7286.583. . (10 March.) [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 2.Ukoumunne OC, Gulliford MC, Chinn S, Sterne JAC, Burney PGJ. Methods for evaluating area-wide and organisation-based interventions in health and health care: a systematic review. Health Technol Assess 1999;3(5). [PubMed]
- 3.Plummer W. Analysis should reflect the clustered study design [electronic response to Shah S et al. Effect of peer led programme for asthma education in adolescents: cluster randomised controlled trial]. www.bmj.com/cgi/eletters/322/7286/583#EL1 (accessed 12 June 2001). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
- 4.Wang H, Peat J, Shah S. Analysis reflects clustered study design [electronic response to Shah S et al. Effect of peer led programme for asthma education in adolescents: cluster randomised controlled trial]. www.bmj.com/cgi/eletters/322/7286/583#EL2 (accessed 12 June 2001). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
