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[Preprint]. 2024 Nov 6:2024.06.26.24309127. Originally published 2024 Jun 27. [Version 2] doi: 10.1101/2024.06.26.24309127

Stratifying Lung Adenocarcinoma Risk with Multi-ancestry Polygenic Risk Scores in East Asian Never-Smokers

Batel Blechter, Xiaoyu Wang, Jianxin Shi, Kouya Shiraishi, Jiyeon Choi, Keitaro Matsuo, Tzu-Yu Chen, Juncheng Dai, Rayjean J Hung, Kexin Chen, Xiao-Ou Shu, Young Tae Kim, Parichoy Pal Choudhury, Jacob Williams, Maria Teresa Landi, Dongxin Lin, Wei Zheng, Zhihua Yin, Baosen Zhou, Jiucun Wang, Wei Jie Seow, Lei Song, I-Shou Chang, Wei Hu, Li-Hsin Chien, Qiuyin Cai, Yun-Chul Hong, Hee Nam Kim, Yi-Long Wu, Maria Pik Wong, Brian Douglas Richardson, Shilan Li, Tongwu Zhang, Charles Breeze, Zhaoming Wang, Bryan A Bassig, Jin Hee Kim, Demetrius Albanes, Jason YY Wong, Min-Ho Shin, Lap Ping Chung, Yang Yang, She-Juan An, Hong Zheng, Yasushi Yatabe, Xu-Chao Zhang, Young-Chul Kim, Neil E Caporaso, Jiang Chang, James Chung Man Ho, Michiaki Kubo, Yataro Daigo, Minsun Song, Yukihide Momozawa, Yoichiro Kamatani, Masashi Kobayashi, Kenichi Okubo, Takayuki Honda, H Dean Hosgood, Hideo Kunitoh, Shun-ichi Watanabe, Yohei Miyagi, Haruhiko Nakayama, Shingo Matsumoto, Hidehito Horinouchi, Masahiro Tsuboi, Ryuji Hamamoto, Koichi Goto, Yuichiro Ohe, Atsushi Takahashi, Akiteru Goto, Yoshihiro Minamiya, Megumi Hara, Yuichiro Nishida, Kenji Takeuchi, Kenji Wakai, Koichi Matsuda, Yoshinori Murakami, Kimihiro Shimizu, Hiroyuki Suzuki, Motonobu Saito, Yoichi Ohtaki, Kazumi Tanaka, Tangchun Wu, Fusheng Wei, Hongji Dai, Mitchell J Machiela, Jian Su, Yeul Hong Kim, In-Jae Oh, Victor Ho Fun Lee, Gee-Chen Chang, Ying-Huang Tsai, Kuan-Yu Che, Ming-Shyan Huang, Wu-Chou Su, Yuh-Min Chen, Adeline Seow, Jae Yong Park, Sun-Seog Kweon, Kun-Chieh Chen, Yu-Tang Gao, Biyun Qian, Chen Wu, Daru Lu, Jianjun Liu, Ann G Schwartz, Richard Houlston, Margaret R Spitz, Ivan P Gorlov, Xifeng Wu, Ping Yang, Stephen Lam, Adonina Tardon, Chu Chen, Stig E Bojesen, Mattias Johansson, Angela Risch, Heike Bickeböller, Bu-Tian Ji, H-Erich Wichmann, David C Christiani, Gadi Rennert, Susanne Arnold, Paul Brennan, James McKay, John K Field, Michael PA Davies, Sanjay S Shete, Loic Le Marchand, Geoffrey Liu, Angeline Andrew, Lambertus A Kiemeney, Shan Zienolddiny-Narui, Kjell Grankvist, Mikael Johansson, Angela Cox, Fiona Taylor, Jian-Min Yuan, Philip Lazarus, Matthew B Schabath, Melinda C Aldrich, Hyo-Sung Jeon, Shih Sheng Jiang, Jae Sook Sung, Chung-Hsing Chen, Chin-Fu Hsiao, Yoo Jin Jung, Huan Guo, Zhibin Hu, Laurie Burdett, Meredith Yeager, Amy Hutchinson, Belynda Hicks, Jia Liu, Bin Zhu, Sonja I Berndt, Wei Wu, Junwen Wang, Yuqing Li, Jin Eun Choi, Kyong Hwa Park, Sook Whan Sung, Li Liu, Chang Hyun Kang, Wen-Chang Wang, Jun Xu, Peng Guan, Wen Tan, Chong-Jen Yu, Gong Yang, Alan Dart Loon Sihoe, Ying Chen, Yi Young Choi, Jun Suk Kim, Ho-Il Yoon, In Kyu Park, Ping Xu, Qincheng He, Chih-Liang Wang, Hsiao-Han Hung, Roel CH Vermeulen, Iona Cheng, Junjie Wu, Wei-Yen Lim, Fang-Yu Tsai, John KC Chan, Jihua Li, Hongyan Chen, Hsien-Chih Lin, Li Jin, Jie Liu, Norie Sawada, Taiki Yamaji, Kathleen Wyatt, Shengchao A Li, Hongxia Ma, Meng Zhu, Zhehai Wang, Sensen Cheng, Xuelian Li, Yangwu Ren, Ann Chao, Motoki Iwasaki, Junjie Zhu, Gening Jiang, Ke Fei, Guoping Wu, Chih-Yi Chen, Chien-Jen Chen, Pan-Chyr Yang, Jinming Yu, Victoria L Stevens, Joseph F Fraumeni, Nilanjan Chatterjee, Olga Y Gorlova, Christopher I Amos, Hongbing Shen, Chao Agnes Hsiung, Stephen J Chanock, Nathaniel Rothman, Takashi Kohno, Qing Lan, Haoyu Zhang
PMCID: PMC11230324  PMID: 38978671

Abstract

Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) are promising for risk stratification but have mainly been developed in European populations. This study developed single- and multi-ancestry PRSs for lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) in East Asian (EAS) never-smokers using genome-wide association study summary statistics from EAS (8,002 cases; 20,782 controls) and European (2,058 cases; 5,575 controls) populations. A multi-ancestry PRS, developed using CT-SLEB, was strongly associated with LUAD risk (odds ratio=1.71, 95% confidence interval (CI):1.61,1.82), with an area under the receiver operating curve value of 0.640 (95% CI:0.629,0.653). Individuals in the highest 20% of the PRS had nearly four times the risk compared to the lowest 20%. Individuals in the 95 th percentile of the PRS had an estimated 6.69% lifetime absolute risk. Notably, this group reached the average population 10-year LUAD risk at age 50 (0.42%) by age 41. Our study underscores the potential of multi-ancestry PRS approaches to enhance LUAD risk stratification in EAS never-smokers.

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