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. 2024 Jul 10;24:1841. doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-19321-z

Trends in alcohol use and alcoholic liver disease in South Korea: a nationwide cohort study

Jeong-Ju Yoo 1, Dong Hyeon Lee 2, Young Chang 3, Hoongil Jo 4, Young Youn Cho 5, Sangheun Lee 6, Log Young Kim 7,, Jae Young Jang 3,; the Korean Association for the Study of the Liver
PMCID: PMC11234741  PMID: 38987717

Abstract

Background

There is a lack of national-level research on alcohol consumption and the epidemiology of alcoholic liver disease (ALD) in South Korea. This study aims to address the critical public health issue of ALD by focusing on its trends, incidence, and outcomes, using nationwide claims data.

Methods

Utilizing National Health Insurance Service data from 2011 to 2017, we calculated the population's overall drinking amount and the incidence of ALD based on ICD-10 diagnosis codes.

Results

From 2011 to 2017 in South Korea, social drinking increased from 15.7% to 16.5%, notably rising among women. High-risk drinking remained around 16.4%, decreasing in men aged 20–39 but not decreased in men aged 40–59 and steadily increased in women aged 20–59. The prevalence of ALD in high-risk drinkers (0.97%) was significantly higher than in social drinkers (0.16%). A 3-year follow-up revealed ALD incidence of 1.90% for high-risk drinkers and 0.31% for social drinkers. Women high-risk drinkers had a higher ALD risk ratio (6.08) than men (4.18). The economic burden of ALD was substantial, leading to higher healthcare costs and increased hospitalization. Progression rates to liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in ALD patients were 23.3% and 2.8%, respectively, with no gender difference in cirrhosis progression.

Conclusions

The study revealed a concerning rise in alcohol consumption among South Korean women and emphasizes the heightened health risks and economic burdens associated with high-risk drinking, especially concerning ALD and its complications.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-024-19321-z.

Keywords: Gender, Smoking, Alcoholic liver disease, Epidemiology

Background

In South Korea, chronic hepatitis B and alcohol are the most common causes of liver disease in South Korea, accounting for 60–80% and 13–14.5% of cases [13]. Recently, there has been a decline in hepatitis B and C, while the prevalence of alcoholic liver disease (ALD) is gradually increasing [46]. This upward trend is concerning due to the potential for ALD to progress to severe liver conditions, including cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) [7, 8]. Alcohol consumption has a well-documented relationship with the incidence of alcoholic liver disorders. Alcoholic liver disease is a significant issue in Asia, where trends in alcohol consumption are particularly alarming. In China, the rate of alcohol consumption is increasing faster than in other regions of the world, highlighting a growing public health concern [9]. Additionally, Central Asia has recorded the highest number of alcohol-attributable liver cirrhosis Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) per 100,000 people for both men and women [10]. Research has shown that genetic factors, such as the prevalence of certain alcohol dehydrogenase and aldehyde dehydrogenase enzyme variants in Asians, contribute to a higher susceptibility to alcoholic liver diseases compared to other populations. This genetic predisposition results in a faster conversion of alcohol into acetaldehyde, a toxic metabolite, and a slower process of clearing it from the body, leading to increased liver damage from smaller amounts of alcohol.

Traditionally, alcohol has played a pivotal role in both social and business settings in South Korea. Drinking patterns in South Korea are characterized by a mix of solitary and social drinking, often involving both mixed and single-type alcohol consumption. Social drinking is commonly practiced in a variety of settings, including family gatherings, pubs, and restaurants, reflecting its integral role in both personal and professional interactions. This pattern is deeply embedded in the culture, where drinks like soju and beer are frequently consumed in combination during social occasions to facilitate bonding and business negotiations. On the other hand, solitary drinking has been on the rise, often driven by stress or social isolation, marking a shift in traditional drinking behaviors. These changes are not just social trends; they carry significant implications for public health, particularly in the incidence and progression of ALD. Additionally, the landscape of alcoholic beverage policies in South Korea has seen adjustments during the study period. These include modifications in taxation, advertising regulations, and sales restrictions aimed at curbing excessive alcohol consumption.

Unlike other viral hepatitis cases, ALD has identifiable triggering factors and is significantly influenced by social and economic policies [11]. Therefore, early identification of drinking status can aid in ALD prevention through abstinence education, effectively averting progression to liver cirrhosis or HCC [12]. Understanding the current status of drinking rates and their direct impact on ALD epidemiology is crucial for developing effective public health interventions and policies [13]. Unfortunately, no large-scale study representative of South Korea's ALD epidemiology has been conducted to date [1, 14]. This study aims to investigate drinking rates and ALD epidemiology in South Korea, examining patterns of change over time using national cohort and National Health Insurance data. Additionally, in line with existing reports that alcohol consumption varies by age and gender [1517], we have conducted further stratified analysis based on these demographic factors

Methods

Data source and study population

In this study, two databases were utilized. First, to comprehend the current drinking landscape in South Korea and assess the risk levels based on drinking rates, we analyzed examination data from the National Health Insurance Corporation (National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening Cohort; NHIS-HEALs). Due to security and data capacity limitations, the complete NHIS-HEALs dataset was unavailable. Consequently, a representative sample cohort, constituting 10% of the NHIS population, was randomly selected annually from 2011 to 2017, as detailed in Supplementary Table 1. This sample cohort accurately mirrors the broader South Korean population, deliberately chosen to match the age and gender distribution of the entire NHIS-HEALs. Second, the epidemiology of patients with ALD was further validated using claims data in conjunction with NHIS-HEALs. Data reliability was ensured through two methods. Initially, the ALD incidence rate was calculated and compared from NHIS-HEALs and claims data, confirming a consistent pattern. Additionally, the proportion of high-risk drinkers was compared between National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data and NHIS-HEALs, demonstrating consistent proportions of high-risk drinkers in the two cohorts.

Both databases contain anonymized data, including demographic details and claims information aligned with the International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision (ICD-10). The Institutional Review Board of Soonchunhyang University Bucheon Hospital approved the current study (IRB No. SCHBC 2023–05-007, approval date 23-May-2023). Informed consent was waived by the IRB since only de-identified information was utilized. Our study adhered to the ethical guidelines of the World Medical Association Declaration of Helsinki.

Classification of alcohol drinking

In South Korea, a national health screening is conducted every two years, during which citizens are required to fill out a health questionnaire. The questionnaire includes the following items related to alcohol consumption:

  1. On average, how many days per week do you drink alcohol?

  2. On days when you drink, how much do you typically consume in a day? (number of drinks)

(Calculate using each type of drink's standard serving size. Note that one can of beer (355 cc) is equivalent to 1.6 standard beer servings.)

Based on these survey items, high-risk drinking was categorized as consuming alcohol more than twice weekly, with men consuming over 7 standard drinks and women more than 5, following the guidelines of the South Korean Ministry of Health and Welfare [18]. A standard drink in Korea is defined as containing 7 g of pure alcohol, in accordance with South Korean alcohol consumption guidelines [19]. For the purpose of comparison, social drinkers served as the control group for high-risk drinking. Social drinkers were identified as individuals who drink once a week, with men having up to 6 standard drinks and women up to 4 standard drinks [18].

Outcomes

The study focused on examining the prevalence and incidence of ALD, cirrhosis, and HCC. ALD was identified in patients who received outpatient treatment more than twice or were admitted to the hospital at least once with a primary diagnosis coded under ICD-10 codes K70 (K700, K701, K702, K703, K704, and K709). Liver cirrhosis was categorized using ICD-10 codes K74, K702, and K703, while HCC was defined by the code C220. Mortality encompassed all reported deaths, regardless of the cause. Incidence referred to the emergence of a new case of the outcome during a 3-year follow-up of the sample cohort.

Statistical analysis

Continuous variables were presented as means with standard deviations (SDs), while categorical variables were expressed as percentages, unless otherwise specified. Group differences were assessed using Student's t-test for continuous variables and the χ2 test for categorical variables. We conducted age-period-cohort (APC) analyses to identify changes in outcomes over time, accounting for the influences of age and birth cohort. Statistical analyses were performed using SAS version 9.4 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA) and R version 3.2.3 (The R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria, http://www.Rproject.org). A P value of less than 0.05, determined from a two-sided test, was considered indicative of statistical significance.

Results

Alcohol consumption trends in South Korea

The proportion of social drinkers was 15.7% in 2011, gradually increasing thereafter and reaching 16.5% in 2017 (p for trend < 0.001) (Table 1, Supplementary Fig. 1). For men, the proportion of social drinkers peaked at 16.8% in 2014 and has been decreasing since, while for women, it has shown a consistent upward trend each year. Meanwhile, high-risk drinkers remained constant at about 16.5% from 2011 to 2017. Although the number of high-risk drinkers among men gradually decreased, the proportions among women increased annually. When analyzed by age and gender, the proportion of high-risk drinkers decreased among men aged 20–39, while it does not decrease among men aged 40–59. In women, the number of high-risk drinkers increased each year across all age groups from 20 to 59. To validate the reliability of NHIS-HEALs data, the proportion of high-risk drinkers was cross-verified with National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data, revealing consistent proportions in both cohorts (Supplementary Table 2).

Table 1.

Drinking rate

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Sex Age Proportion (%) SE (%) Proportion (%) SE (%) Proportion (%) SE (%) Proportion (%) SE (%) Proportion (%) SE (%) Proportion (%) SE (%) Proportion (%) SE (%)
Social drinker
Male 20-39 20.1 0.02 20.8 0.02 21.3 0.03 21.7 0.03 21.0 0.03 20.6 0.03 20.5 0.03
40-59 15.3 0.02 15.9 0.02 15.8 0.02 16.5 0.02 16.1 0.02 16.0 0.02 16.2 0.02
 ≥ 60 11.3 0.04 11.8 0.04 11.7 0.04 12.1 0.04 12.4 0.04 12.5 0.04 12.8 0.03
SUM 15.8 0.01 16.3 0.01 16.4 0.01 16.8 0.01 16.6 0.01 16.4 0.01 16.6 0.01
Female 20-39 20.8 0.03 21.3 0.03 21.7 0.03 22.6 0.03 22.3 0.03 22.3 0.03 22.8 0.03
40-59 13.1 0.02 13.3 0.02 13.7 0.02 14.4 0.02 14.8 0.02 15.0 0.02 15.6 0.02
 ≥ 60 4.0 0.04 4.1 0.04 4.0 0.03 4.2 0.03 4.4 0.03 4.6 0.03 4.9 0.03
SUM 15.3 0.01 15.7 0.01 15.7 0.01 16.3 0.01 16.1 0.01 15.9 0.01 16.2 0.01
Total 15.7 0.01 16.1 0.01 16.2 0.01 16.7 0.01 16.4 0.01 16.3 0.01 16.5 0.01
High-risk drinker
Male 20-39 25.7 0.02 24.9 0.02 24.4 0.03 24.1 0.03 24.4 0.03 23.8 0.03 23.6 0.03
40-59 27.3 0.02 27.0 0.02 27.0 0.02 26.9 0.02 27.5 0.02 27.4 0.02 27.3 0.02
 ≥ 60 14.3 0.04 14.1 0.04 13.9 0.04 14.0 0.04 13.9 0.04 14.0 0.04 14.1 0.03
SUM 18.1 0.01 17.7 0.01 17.6 0.01 17.5 0.01 17.8 0.01 17.6 0.01 17.6 0.01
Female 20-39 8.9 0.03 8.7 0.03 9.4 0.03 9.4 0.03 10.4 0.03 10.5 0.03 11.0 0.03
40-59 4.1 0.02 4.2 0.02 4.3 0.02 4.4 0.02 4.8 0.02 4.9 0.02 5.1 0.02
 ≥ 60 0.7 0.04 0.8 0.04 0.8 0.03 0.9 0.03 0.9 0.03 1.0 0.03 1.1 0.03
SUM 16.0 0.01 15.7 0.01 15.7 0.01 15.7 0.01 16.0 0.01 15.9 0.01 15.9 0.01
Total 16.8 0.01 16.5 0.01 16.4 0.01 16.3 0.01 16.7 0.01 16.5 0.01 16.4 0.01

Consequences of alcoholic liver disease caused by alcohol consumption

Subsequently, we assessed the occurrence of ALD, liver cirrhosis, HCC, and mortality based on the volume of alcohol consumed. The prevalence of ALD among high-risk drinkers was 0.97%, significantly surpassing the prevalence of 0.16% among social drinkers (Supplementary Table 3). Over a 3-year follow-up, the incidence of ALD in high-risk drinkers reached 1.90%, while in social drinkers, it was 0.31% (Table 2). In both groups, ALD incidence rose with age and was higher in men than in women. The prevalence of cirrhosis was 0.19% among high-risk drinkers, exceeding the 0.10% among social drinkers (Supplementary Table 4). The 3-year follow-up also revealed a higher incidence of cirrhosis in high-risk drinkers (0.43% vs. 0.19%) (Table 2). The patterns for the prevalence (Supplementary Table 5) and incidence (Table 4) of HCC followed a similar trend, with significantly higher rates in high-risk drinkers compared to social drinkers (prevalence: 0.04% vs. 0.03%, incidence: 0.13% vs. 0.08%). Furthermore, 3-year mortality was elevated in high-risk drinkers (0.50% vs. 0.24%) (Supplementary Table 6).

Table 2.

Consequences of alcoholic liver disease caused by alcohol consumption over 3 years

2011
3-year follow-up
(2012–2014)
2012
3-year follow-up
(2013–2015)
2013
3-year follow-up
(2014–2016)
2014
3-year follow-up
(2015–2017)
Sex Age Cohort Incidence
(n)
Incidence
rate (%)
Cohort Incidence
(n)
Incidence
rate (%)
Cohort Incidence
(n)
Incidence
rate (%)
Cohort Incidence
(n)
Incidence
rate (%)
Incidence of alcoholic liver disease over 3 years
Social drinker
 Male 20—39 154,589 588 0.38 158,398 488 0.31 160,032 506 0.32 161,487 457 0.28
40—59 122,963 1087 0.88 130,725 1086 0.83 131,720 1029 0.78 139,775 1026 0.73
 ≥ 60 24,414 272 1.11 26,051 295 1.13 26,615 278 1.04 28,979 302 1.04
SUM 301,966 1947 0.64 315,174 1869 0.59 318,367 1813 0.57 330,241 1785 0.54
 Female 20—39 151,040 126 0.08 152,888 106 0.07 153,328 107 0.07 157,632 107 0.07
40—59 103,148 257 0.25 107,058 275 0.26 112,423 238 0.21 120,091 215 0.18
 ≥ 60 10,475 42 0.40 10,931 44 0.40 11,346 29 0.26 12,550 42 0.33
SUM 264,663 425 0.16 270,877 425 0.16 277,097 374 0.13 290,273 364 0.13
 Total 566,629 2372 0.42 586,051 2294 0.39 595,464 2187 0.37 620,514 2149 0.35
High risk drinker
 Male 20—39 197,895 2307 1.17 189,676 1969 1.04 183,502 2014 1.10 179,741 1935 1.08
40—59 219,140 7070 3.23 221,692 6947 3.13 225,866 6906 3.06 228,531 6732 2.95
 ≥ 60 32,768 1638 5.00 33,471 1640 4.90 34,261 1703 4.97 36,497 1693 4.64
SUM 449,803 11,015 2.45 444,839 10,556 2.37 443,629 10,623 2.39 444,769 10,360 2.33
 Female 20—39 64,541 234 0.36 62,455 208 0.33 66,229 227 0.34 65,701 229 0.35
40—59 32,555 521 1.60 33,585 580 1.73 35,566 573 1.61 36,912 605 1.64
 ≥ 60 2133 39 1.83 2509 44 1.75 2621 56 2.14 3023 62 2.05
SUM 99,229 794 0.80 98,549 832 0.84 104,416 856 0.82 105,636 896 0.85
 Total 549,032 11,809 2.15 543,388 11,388 2.10 548,045 11,479 2.09 550,405 11,256 2.05
Incidence of liver cirrhosis over 3 years
Social drinker
 Male 20—39 154,589 88 0.06 158,398 96 0.06 160,032 90 0.06 161,487 95 0.06
40—59 122,963 561 0.46 130,725 574 0.44 131,720 598 0.45 139,775 641 0.46
 ≥ 60 24,414 161 0.66 26,051 177 0.68 26,615 197 0.74 28,979 204 0.70
SUM 301,966 810 0.27 315,174 847 0.27 318,367 885 0.28 330,241 940 0.28
 Female 20—39 151,040 33 0.02 152,888 29 0.02 153,328 42 0.03 157,632 21 0.01
40—59 103,148 147 0.14 107,058 141 0.13 112,423 150 0.13 120,091 173 0.14
 ≥ 60 10,475 35 0.33 10,931 34 0.31 11,346 41 0.36 12,550 42 0.33
SUM 264,663 215 0.08 270,877 204 0.08 277,097 233 0.08 290,273 236 0.08
 Total 566,629 1025 0.18 586,051 1051 0.18 595,464 1118 0.19 620,514 1176 0.19
High risk drinker
 Male 20—39 197,895 120 0.06 189,676 104 0.05 183,502 125 0.07 179,741 126 0.07
40—59 219,140 1417 0.65 221,692 1400 0.63 225,866 1525 0.68 228,531 1478 0.65
 ≥ 60 32,768 493 1.50 33,471 511 1.53 34,261 516 1.51 36,497 483 1.32
SUM 449,803 2030 0.45 444,839 2015 0.45 443,629 2166 0.49 444,769 2087 0.47
 Female 20—39 64,541 24 0.04 62,455 31 0.05 66,229 27 0.04 65,701 31 0.05
40—59 32,555 108 0.33 33,585 134 0.40 35,566 133 0.37 36,912 165 0.45
 ≥ 60 2133 17 0.80 2509 19 0.76 2621 22 0.84 3023 22 0.73
SUM 99,229 149 0.15 98,549 184 0.19 104,416 182 0.17 105,636 218 0.21
 Total 549,032 2179 0.40 543,388 2199 0.40 548,045 2348 0.43 550,405 2305 0.42
Incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma over 3 years
Social drinker
 Male 20—39 154,589 30 0.02 158,398 23 0.01 160,032 24 0.01 161,487 22 0.01
40—59 122,963 210 0.17 130,725 278 0.21 131,720 232 0.18 139,775 272 0.19
 ≥ 60 24,414 99 0.41 26,051 112 0.43 26,615 120 0.45 28,979 127 0.44
SUM 301,966 339 0.11 315,174 413 0.13 318,367 376 0.12 330,241 421 0.13
 Female 20—39 151,040 8 0.01 152,888 5 0.00 153,328 9 0.01 157,632 6 0.00
40—59 103,148 48 0.05 107,058 29 0.03 112,423 35 0.03 120,091 38 0.03
 ≥ 60 10,475 14 0.13 10,931 11 0.10 11,346 10 0.09 12,550 13 0.10
SUM 264,663 70 0.03 270,877 45 0.02 277,097 54 0.02 290,273 57 0.02
 Total 566,629 409 0.07 586,051 458 0.08 595,464 430 0.07 620,514 478 0.08
High risk drinker
 Male 20—39 197,895 26 0.01 189,676 24 0.01 183,502 35 0.02 179,741 35 0.02
40—59 219,140 471 0.21 221,692 434 0.20 225,866 460 0.20 228,531 458 0.20
 ≥ 60 32,768 213 0.65 33,471 187 0.56 34,261 193 0.56 36,497 203 0.56
SUM 449,803 710 0.16 444,839 645 0.14 443,629 688 0.16 444,769 696 0.16
 Female 20—39 64,541 8 0.01 62,455 6 0.01 66,229 2 0.00 65,701 2 0.00
40—59 32,555 20 0.06 33,585 23 0.07 35,566 22 0.06 36,912 27 0.07
 ≥ 60 2133 2 0.09 2509 7 0.28 2621 1 0.04 3023 9 0.30
SUM 99,229 30 0.03 98,549 36 0.04 104,416 25 0.02 105,636 38 0.04
 Total 549,032 740 0.13 543,388 681 0.13 548,045 713 0.13 550,405 734 0.13
2015
3-year follow-up
(2016–2018)
2016
3-year follow-up
(2017–2019)
2017
3-year follow-up
(2018–2020)
Sex Age Cohort Incidence
(n)
Incidence
rate (%)
Cohort Incidence
(n)
Incidence
rate (%)
Cohort Incidence
(n)
Incidence
rate (%)
Incidence of alcoholic liver disease over 3 years
Social drinker
 Male 20—39 155,424 475 0.31 152,067 411 0.27 150,728 343 0.23
40—59 137,774 980 0.71 137,377 880 0.64 139,195 865 0.62
 ≥ 60 31,635 261 0.83 33,711 345 1.02 36,530 343 0.94
SUM 324,833 1716 0.53 323,155 1636 0.51 326,453 1551 0.48
 Female 20—39 154,143 77 0.05 152,646 82 0.05 155,215 80 0.05
40—59 123,611 220 0.18 125,555 235 0.19 131,359 249 0.19
 ≥ 60 14,074 34 0.24 15,498 58 0.37 17,465 64 0.37
SUM 291,828 331 0.11 293,699 375 0.13 304,039 393 0.13
 Total 616,661 2047 0.33 616,854 2011 0.33 630,492 1944 0.31
High risk drinker
 Male 20—39 180,484 1828 1.01 175,245 1811 1.03 173,058 1708 0.99
40—59 235,420 6916 2.94 234,602 6637 2.83 234,079 6310 2.70
 ≥ 60 39,022 1797 4.61 41,835 1868 4.47 44,853 1901 4.24
SUM 454,926 10,541 2.32 451,682 10,316 2.28 451,990 9919 2.19
 Female 20—39 71,949 269 0.37 71,875 277 0.39 75,082 271 0.36
40—59 40,035 592 1.48 41,261 639 1.55 42,455 652 1.54
 ≥ 60 3401 60 1.76 3904 80 2.05 4351 76 1.75
SUM 115,385 921 0.80 117,040 996 0.85 121,888 999 0.82
 Total 570,311 11,462 2.01 568,722 11,312 1.99 573,878 10,918 1.90
Incidence of liver cirrhosis over 3 years
Social drinker
 Male 20—39 155,424 87 0.06 152,067 93 0.06 150,728 85 0.06
40—59 137,774 615 0.45 137,377 599 0.44 139,195 537 0.39
 ≥ 60 31,635 201 0.64 33,711 241 0.71 36,530 272 0.74
SUM 324,833 903 0.28 323,155 933 0.29 326,453 894 0.27
 Female 20—39 154,143 23 0.01 152,646 30 0.02 155,215 24 0.02
40—59 123,611 154 0.12 125,555 166 0.13 131,359 182 0.14
 ≥ 60 14,074 41 0.29 15,498 55 0.35 17,465 73 0.42
SUM 291,828 218 0.07 293,699 251 0.09 304,039 279 0.09
 Total 616,661 1121 0.18 616,854 1184 0.19 630,492 1173 0.19
High risk drinker
 Male 20—39 180,484 121 0.07 175,245 119 0.07 173,058 95 0.05
40—59 235,420 1558 0.66 234,602 1480 0.63 234,079 1477 0.63
 ≥ 60 39,022 574 1.47 41,835 687 1.64 44,853 664 1.48
SUM 454,926 2253 0.50 451,682 2286 0.51 451,990 2236 0.49
 Female 20—39 71,949 30 0.04 71,875 39 0.05 75,082 34 0.05
40—59 40,035 160 0.40 41,261 190 0.46 42,455 191 0.45
 ≥ 60 3401 26 0.76 3904 37 0.95 4351 31 0.71
SUM 115,385 216 0.19 117,040 266 0.23 121,888 256 0.21
 Total 570,311 2469 0.43 568,722 2552 0.45 573,878 2492 0.43
Incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma over 3 years
Social drinker
 Male 20—39 155,424 15 0.01 152,067 20 0.01 150,728 17 0.01
40—59 137,774 275 0.20 137,377 257 0.19 139,195 234 0.17
 ≥ 60 31,635 134 0.42 33,711 151 0.45 36,530 161 0.44
SUM 324,833 424 0.13 323,155 428 0.13 326,453 412 0.13
 Female 20—39 154,143 8 0.01 152,646 8 0.01 155,215 5 0.00
40—59 123,611 46 0.04 125,555 58 0.05 131,359 46 0.04
 ≥ 60 14,074 12 0.09 15,498 16 0.10 17,465 17 0.10
SUM 291,828 66 0.02 293,699 82 0.03 304,039 68 0.02
 Total 616,661 490 0.08 616,854 510 0.08 630,492 480 0.08
High risk drinker
 Male 20—39 180,484 33 0.02 175,245 36 0.02 173,058 21 0.01
40—59 235,420 473 0.20 234,602 432 0.18 234,079 421 0.18
 ≥ 60 39,022 226 0.58 41,835 255 0.61 44,853 234 0.52
SUM 454,926 732 0.16 451,682 723 0.16 451,990 676 0.15
 Female 20—39 71,949 2 0.00 71,875 3 0.00 75,082 4 0.01
40—59 40,035 30 0.07 41,261 24 0.06 42,455 29 0.07
 ≥ 60 3401 4 0.12 3904 8 0.20 4351 12 0.28
SUM 115,385 36 0.03 117,040 35 0.03 121,888 45 0.04
 Total 570,311 768 0.13 568,722 758 0.13 573,878 721 0.13

Table 4.

Progression from alcoholic liver disease to cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma

2012
3-year follow-up
(2013–2015)
2014
3-year follow-up
(2015–2017)
2016
3-year follow-up
(2017–2019)
2018
3-year follow-up
(2019–2021)
2019
3-year follow-up
(2020–2022)
Sex Age Cohort Incidence (n) Incidence rate (%) Cohort Incidence (n) Incidence rate (%) Cohort Incidence (n) Incidence rate (%) Cohort Incidence (n) Incidence rate (%) Cohort Incidence (n) Incidence rate (%)
Progression to liver cirrhosis
Male 20-39 18,512 809 4.37% 14,618 705 4.82% 13,325 701 5.26% 12,142 756 6.23% 11,350 702 6.19%
40-59 81,286 15,232 18.74% 72,744 14,849 20.41% 68,311 14,559 21.31% 62,343 13,467 21.60% 60,109 12,992 21.61%
60-79 36,546 8,777 24.02% 35,840 9,408 26.25% 39,624 11,118 28.06% 42,412 12,352 29.12% 44,188 12,768 28.89%
≥ 80 1,274 233 18.29% 1,388 325 23.41% 1,690 417 24.67% 1,970 542 27.51% 2,283 652 28.56%
SUM 137,618 25,051 18.20% 124,590 25,287 20.30% 122,950 26,795 21.79% 118,867 27,117 22.81% 117,930 27,114 22.99%
Female 20-39 5,349 541 10.11% 4,033 563 13.96% 3,789 662 17.47% 3,709 721 19.44% 3,629 736 20.28%
40-59 12,534 2,047 16.33% 11,399 2,442 21.42% 11,768 2,858 24.29% 11,911 3,157 26.50% 12,144 3,257 26.82%
60-79 4,828 746 15.45% 3,865 840 21.73% 4,300 1,022 23.77% 4,956 1,210 24.41% 5,294 1,323 24.99%
≥ 80 398 43 10.80% 342 64 18.71% 398 69 17.34% 386 93 24.09% 433 93 21.48%
SUM 23,109 3,377 14.61% 19,639 3,909 19.90% 20,255 4,611 22.76% 20,962 5,181 24.72% 21,500 5,409 25.16%
Total 160,727 28,428 17.69% 144,229 29,196 20.24% 143,205 31,406 21.93% 139,829 32,298 23.10% 139,430 32,523 23.33%
Progression to hepatocellular carcinoma
Male 20-39 18,512 53 0.29% 14,618 32 0.22% 13,325 39 0.29% 12,142 32 0.26% 11,350 32 0.28%
40-59 81,286 1,612 1.98% 72,744 1,485 2.04% 68,311 1,432 2.10% 62,343 1,233 1.98% 60,109 1,233 2.05%
60-79 36,546 1,740 4.76% 35,840 1,786 4.98% 39,624 1,962 4.95% 42,412 2,157 5.09% 44,188 2,175 4.92%
≥ 80 1,274 60 4.71% 1,388 75 5.40% 1,690 117 6.92% 1,970 139 7.06% 2,283 138 6.04%
SUM 137,618 3,465 2.52% 124,590 3,378 2.71% 122,950 3,550 2.89% 118,867 3,561 3.00% 117,930 3,578 3.03%
Female 20-39 5,349 41 0.77% 4,033 37 0.92% 3,789 48 1.27% 3,709 48 1.29% 3,629 46 1.27%
40-59 12,534 139 1.11% 11,399 163 1.43% 11,768 189 1.61% 11,911 227 1.91% 12,144 228 1.88%
60-79 4,828 87 1.80% 3,865 80 2.07% 4,300 96 2.23% 4,956 119 2.40% 5,294 117 2.21%
≥ 80 398 10 2.51% 342 7 2.05% 398 12 3.02% 386 9 2.33% 433 11 2.54%
SUM 23,109 277 1.20% 19,639 287 1.46% 20,255 345 1.70% 20,962 403 1.92% 21,500 402 1.87%
Total 160,727 3,742 2.33% 144,229 3,665 2.54% 143,205 3,895 2.72% 139,829 3,964 2.83% 139,430 3,980 2.85%

Age–period–cohort analysis

Our APC analysis of ALD, liver cirrhosis, and HCC over a three-year span reveals distinct trends among different age groups and drinking behaviors (Fig. 1). For high-risk drinkers, the incidence of ALD decreases with age, with the highest rates in older age groups. Social drinkers show consistently lower incidence rates across all conditions compared to high-risk drinkers. The incidence of liver cirrhosis and HCC is higher in older age groups for both high-risk and social drinkers, with a more pronounced increase among high-risk drinkers. Overall, while high-risk drinkers exhibit a gradual decline in incidence rates over time, social drinkers maintain relatively stable and lower rates across all age groups and conditions.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

Age-period-cohort (APC) analyses. a alcoholic liver disease, (b) liver cirrhosis, (c) hepatocellular carcinoma

Vulnerability of females to alcoholic liver disease

Stratified by gender, we computed the risk ratios (RRs) for ALD, cirrhosis, and HCC in high-risk drinkers compared to social drinkers. Compared to social drinkers, the risk of developing ALD was higher in women (RR 6.08) than in men (RR 4.18) (Supplementary Fig. 2A). Similarly, the risk of developing liver cirrhosis (women 2.31, men 1.74; Supplementary Fig. 2B) and HCC (women 1.48, men 1.25; Supplementary Fig. 2C) was determined to have a higher RR value in women than in men.

Epidemiology of alcohol-associated liver disease and economic burden

Subsequently, we computed epidemiological data and economic costs associated with ALD using claims data. The incidence of ALD showed a yearly decline, decreasing from 0.39% in 2012 to 0.33% in 2017, with a more significant decrease observed in men compared to women (Supplementary Table 7). To validate the reliability of the claim data, we compared the NHIS-HEALs cohort with ALD incidence and confirmed that the trends in the two cohorts were consistent. When ALD was categorized into detailed disease codes, the proportion of relatively mild diseases such as alcoholic fatty liver, ALD, and unspecified decreased, while the proportion of liver cirrhosis increased from 16 to 27% (Fig. 2). Comparing the healthcare utilization of ALD patients with the control group, the ALD group exhibited significantly higher total medical costs and drug costs than the control group (Table 3). Additionally, the number of outpatient visits and hospitalization days in the ALD group exceeded those of the control group (Table 3, Supplementary Fig. 3A/3B). This discrepancy appears to be linked to the higher comorbidity rate in the ALD group compared to the control group (Supplementary Table 8).

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Distribution of stages in alcohol-related liver disease

Table 3.

Annual number of patients and utilization of medical institutions in alcoholic liver disease and control groups

2012 P 2014 P 2016 P
ALD Control ALD Control ALD Control
(N = 160,727) (N = 642,908) (N = 144,229) (N = 576,916) (N = 143,205) (N = 572,820)
Male (number, %) 137,618 (85.6) 550,472 (85.6) 0.999 124,590 (86.3) 498,360 (86.3) 0.999 122,950 (85.9) 491,800 (85.9) 0.999
Age 52.7 ± 11.9 52.70 ± 11.9 0.999 53.6 ± 11.8 53.65 ± 11.8 0.999 54.5 ± 11.9 54.54 ± 11.9 0.999
Annual medical cost (103 KRW) 2132 ± 3715 786 ± 2229  < 0.001 2473 ± 4361 853 ± 2382  < 0.001 2820 ± 5194 983 ± 2760  < 0.001
Annual medical cost related with medication (103 KRW) 684 ± 986 352 ± 781  < 0.001 721 ± 1087 363 ± 792  < 0.001 823 ± 1374 416 ± 950  < 0.001
Visit of outpatient clinic (day) 26 ± 26.1 16 ± 22  < 0.001 26 ± 27 16 ± 22  < 0.001 26 ± 26 17 ± 22  < 0.001
Hospital admission (day) 10 ± 23 2 ± 8  < 0.001 11 ± 25 2 ± 8  < 0.001 10 ± 24 2 ± 8  < 0.001
2018 P 2020 P 2021 P
ALD Control ALD Control ALD Control
(N = 139,829) (N = 559,316) (N = 124,403) (N = 497,612) (N = 119,630) (N = 478,520)
Male (number, %) 118,867 (85.0) 475,468 (85.0) 0.999 104,316 (83.9) 417,264 (83.9) 0.999 99,966 (83.6) 399,864 (83.6) 0.999
Age 55.3 ± 11.9 55.3 ± 11.9 0.999 56.3 ± 12.0 56.3 ± 12.0 0.999 56.7 ± 12.0 56.7 ± 12.0 0.999
Annual medical cost (103 KRW) 3447 ± 6786 1170 ± 3193  < 0.001 4076 ± 8234 1327 ± 3637  < 0.001 4351 ± 892 1477 ± 3947  < 0.001
Annual medical cost related with medication (103 KRW) 915 ± 1530 467 ± 998  < 0.001 1018 ± 1703 517 ± 1093  < 0.001 1073 ± 1800 552 ± 1151  < 0.001
Visit of outpatient clinic (day) 26 ± 26 17 ± 22  < 0.001 25 ± 26 16 ± 22  < 0.001 25 ± 26 16 ± 22  < 0.001
Hospital admission (day) 9 ± 22 2 ± 7  < 0.001 9 ± 21 1 ± 7  < 0.001 8 ± 21 2 ± 7  < 0.001

Natural history of alcohol-associated liver disease

Finally, we computed the rate of progression to liver cirrhosis or HCC in individuals diagnosed with ALD (Table 4). Over a 3-year follow-up period, the progression rates for liver cirrhosis and HCC in individuals with ALD were 23.3% and 2.8%, respectively. Notably, there was no significant difference in the rate of progression from ALD to liver cirrhosis between men and women (men 21.7%, women 21.7%; p = 0.382).

Discussion

Our study’s key findings include the gradual increase in social drinking, rising rates of high-risk drinking in women, gender and age-specific variations in alcohol consumption patterns, and the concerning association of high-risk drinking with the prevalence and incidence of ALD, liver cirrhosis, HCC, and mortality.

The primary finding of this study is the gradual increase in the proportion of social drinkers in South Korea. To ensure the reliability of this observation, alternative definitions, such as those who drink once a week, were explored, revealing a consistent pattern (Supplementary Table 9). We posit that two sociological factors in South Korea contribute to this trend. First, the absence of stringent regulations on alcohol advertising or broadcasting allows for the widespread portrayal of drinking scenes in public broadcasts and on platforms like YouTube, fostering a relaxed and favorable attitude towards drinking [20]. Also, the increase in alcohol consumption is influenced by the extensive reach of media and advertising. Alcohol brands frequently employ popular celebrities and K-pop idols in their marketing strategies, which are prominently displayed across diverse media platforms, including television and social media. Such advertisements portray alcohol consumption as an appealing aspect of a glamorous lifestyle, which resonates strongly with young audiences. Second, the increasing popularity of low-alcohol beverages, particularly among younger demographics, compounds the issue [21].

In terms of regulatory efforts, South Korea has established policies such as imposing taxes on alcoholic beverages and regulating sales times to control alcohol consumption. However, the enforcement of these policies is often lax, and specific regulations aimed at curbing alcohol advertising are insufficiently rigorous. This creates a regulatory environment where alcohol is both easily accessible and affordably priced, further encouraging its consumption among the youth. We suggest that the existing policies need to be strengthened with stricter advertising restrictions and more consistent enforcement of alcohol sales regulations.

The secondary finding is an increase in the number of high-risk drinkers among women. The overall rise of high-risk drinking among women is not exclusive to South Korea but represents a global phenomenon [2224]. These changes might be influenced by evolving sociocultural dynamics, such as more women participating in traditionally male-dominated professional environments, possibly adopting associated social drinking habits. Moreover, marketing strategies targeted at women by alcohol companies also play a significant role. These campaigns often promote alcoholic beverages as symbols of modernity and independence, appealing particularly to a younger, female audience. Additionally, the increasing stress levels due to rapid socio-economic changes in the country could differentially influence drinking behaviors between genders. Women might use alcohol as a coping mechanism differently than men, which warrants further exploration [25, 26].

Our APC analysis indicate that the incidence of ALD, liver cirrhosis, and HCC varies significantly not only with gender, but also with age. Younger individuals, particularly those aged 20–39, show lower incidence rates of these conditions compared to older age groups. This can be attributed to the cumulative effects of long-term alcohol consumption, which typically manifests in more severe liver conditions over time. As people age, the prolonged exposure to alcohol and its hepatotoxic effects increase the likelihood of developing ALD and its complications.

Another important finding of our study is the notable increase in the proportion of liver cirrhosis cases within the spectrum of ALD. Upon manifestation of ALD, our study revealed a 23.3% probability of progressing to liver cirrhosis within 3 years, a figure consistent across both men and women and comparable to findings in other countries [27]. Alcoholic liver cirrhosis stands as a significant global public health concern, with an estimated 25% of cirrhosis-related deaths worldwide attributed to alcohol in 2019 [24, 28]. Recently observed shifts in South Korea, where the etiology of chronic liver disease is transitioning from viral hepatitis to ALD, emphasize the imperative for sustained attention and more effective treatments for alcoholic liver cirrhosis [8, 29, 30].

Additionally, our study demonstrated the vulnerability of females to ALD. The higher RR of developing ALD, cirrhosis, and HCC in women compared to men among high-risk drinkers aligns with findings in other studies [31]. We posit that the heightened vulnerability of women to alcohol stems from a combination of biological and physiological factors. Women, on average, have a higher body fat percentage and less body water, resulting in a more concentrated presence of alcohol in their bloodstream after consuming similar amounts as men. This prolonged exposure contributes to more significant liver damage over time [32, 33]. Additionally, women exhibit lower levels of alcohol dehydrogenase, the enzyme responsible for metabolizing alcohol, resulting in an extended duration of alcohol presence in their system, exposing the liver to harmful metabolites for prolonged periods [34]. Hormonal differences, particularly involving estrogen, may enhance women's susceptibility to alcohol-induced liver injury [34, 35]. Lastly, nutritional variances and social factors also contribute to women's heightened vulnerability to ALD. Social stigma and other barriers may lead women to delay seeking treatment, resulting in more advanced liver disease at the time of diagnosis [36, 37].

In the case of ALD, psychiatric alcohol abstinence treatment is essential. In South Korea, only about 9% of ALD patients, regardless of gender, receive formal psychiatric treatment, and this percentage is further decreasing each year (Supplementary Fig. 4). The information regarding population coverage, treatment coverage (e.g., alcohol use disorder and treatment), and copayment of these patients is listed in Supplementary Table 10. Lastly, the differences in healthcare utilization between ALD and HCC are notable. Patients with ALD generally incur lower healthcare costs and have fewer hospital admissions compared to those with HCC. This is likely because HCC, being a more advanced and severe condition, requires more intensive treatments, frequent monitoring, and complex interventions such as surgery, chemotherapy, or liver transplantation. In contrast, ALD management often involves lifestyle modifications, medication, and less frequent hospital visits unless it progresses to more severe stages like cirrhosis or HCC.

Our study has several limitations. Firstly, it relies on self-reported data for alcohol consumption, which may be subject to recall bias and underreporting. Secondly, the use of ICD-10 codes for diagnosing ALD and HCC might not capture all cases accurately, as some patients may be misclassified or undiagnosed. Thirdly, the study's observational design cannot establish causality between alcohol consumption and liver disease outcomes. Additionally, the cohort is based on South Korean individuals, which may limit the generalizability of the findings to other populations with different drinking habits and genetic predispositions. Lastly, the data on alcohol consumption patterns and healthcare utilization may not fully reflect recent trends, as the study period ends in 2017, potentially overlooking changes in drinking behaviors and policy impacts in subsequent years.

In conclusion, our study assesses the dynamic trends in alcohol consumption in South Korea and their concerning association with ALD and related liver diseases. The gender-specific findings, particularly the heightened vulnerability of women to the adverse effects of high-risk drinking, warrant urgent public health strategies and policies tailored to these trends.

Supplementary Information

Supplementary Material 1. (474.8KB, docx)

Acknowledgements

Not applicable.

Abbreviations

ALD

Alcoholic liver disease

HCC

Hepatocellular carcinoma

ICD-10

International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision

NHIS-HEALs

National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening Cohort

RRs

Risk ratios

SDs

Standard deviations

Authors’ contribution

Conceptualization: Log Young Kim, Jae Young Jang; Formal analysis: Jeong-Ju Yoo, Dong Hyeon Lee; Investigation: Young Chang, Hoongil Jo, Young Youn Cho, Sangheun Lee; Writing-original draft: Jeong-Ju Yoo, Dong Hyeon Lee; Writing-review and editing: Log Young Kim, Jae Young Jang.

Funding

The study was supported by the Korean Association for the Study of the Liver, and it was also partly supported by the Soonchunhyang University Research Fund.

Availability of data and materials

The datasets generated during and/or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Declarations

Ethics approval and consent to participate

The Institutional Review Board of Soonchunhyang University Bucheon Hospital approved the current study (IRB No. SCHBC 2023–05-007, approval date 23-May-2023). Informed consent was waived by the IRB since only de-identified information was utilized. Our study adhered to the ethical guidelines of the World Medical Association Declaration of Helsinki.

Consent for publication

Not applicable.

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Footnotes

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Jeong-Ju Yoo, Dong Hyeon Lee, Log Young Kim and Jae Young Jang contributed equally to this work.

Contributor Information

Log Young Kim, Email: kimlog2@naver.com.

Jae Young Jang, Email: jyjang@schmc.ac.kr.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Supplementary Material 1. (474.8KB, docx)

Data Availability Statement

The datasets generated during and/or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.


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