Editor—We agree with Doherty et al that regional and national surveillance systems are required to identify increases in the incidence of syphilis.1 It is therefore ironic that the authors' data on the syphilis outbreak in Manchester are incorrect, although enhanced surveillance systems have been in operation for over three years.
The medical response to any sexually transmitted infection outbreak depends on the accuracy of epidemiological data. The Manchester Outbreak Control Group (comprising local specialists in genitourinary medicine, health promotion experts, and voluntary groups supported by the Communicable Disease Surveillance Centre North West and the Centre for Public Health at Liverpool John Moores University) has established a surveillance and communication system to ensure that statutory and voluntary sector organisations throughout Manchester have access to accurate up to date epidemiological information on request. If Doherty et al's article were the only source of information healthcare professionals in the Manchester area had access to, they would be forgiven for believing that the current outbreak is one third its actual size.
The correct number of cases between February 1999 and January 2002 should read 239, more than twice the previously published number. Similarly, quoting figures to January 2002 leaves the impression that the outbreak is over. This is not the case as a further 67 new cases were diagnosed between January and June 2002 (table).
This lack of consultation highlights the need not only for enhanced epidemiological surveillance locally but also for enhanced communication nationally. Throughout the outbreak, the Manchester Outbreak Control Group has provided first class epidemiological data. Findings from investigations have influenced local and national strategies and been published in peer reviewed journals.2–5
This misrepresentation of the situation in Manchester has not been well received as the departments for genitourinary medicine there are struggling to cope with the increased workload from the continuing syphilis outbreak, exacerbated by some of the highest rates of sexually transmitted infection in the United Kingdom. To get ahead of the curve we first of all need to describe it accurately.
Figure.

NLM
It's coming back
Table.
Features of the ongoing outbreak of syphilis in greater Manchester
| Previously published figures1
|
Actual figures
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Date | Feb 1999- Jan 2002 |
Jan 1999- Jun 2002 |
| No of cases | 103 | 306 |
| No of men | 100 | 284 |
| No of women | 3 | 23 |
| No (%) of cases in heterosexuals | 7 (7) | 50 (17) |
| No (%) of cases in homosexual men | 96 (93) | 255 (83) |
| No (%) of cases in homosexual men with HIV | 33 (34) | 88 (29) |
References
- 1.Doherty L, Fenton KA, Jones J, Paine TC, Higgins SP, Williams D, et al. Syphilis: old problem, new strategy. BMJ. 2002;325:153–156. doi: 10.1136/bmj.325.7356.153. . (20 July.) [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 2.Clark P, Cook PA, Syed Q, Ashton JR, Bellis MA. Re-emerging syphilis in the north west: lessons from the Manchester outbreak. Liverpool: Liverpool John Moores University, Public Health Sector; 2001. [Google Scholar]
- 3.Donaldson L. Getting ahead of the curve: a strategy for combating infectious diseases (including other aspects of health protection). London: Department of Health; 2002. [Google Scholar]
- 4.Bellis MA, Cook PA, Clark P, Syed Q, Hoskins A. Re-emerging syphilis in gay men: a case-control study of behavioural risk factors and HIV status. J Epidemiol Commun Health. 2002;56:235–236. doi: 10.1136/jech.56.3.235. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 5.Cook PA, Clark P, Bellis MA, Ashton JR, Syed Q, Hoskins A, et al. Re-emerging syphilis in the UK: a behavioural analysis of infected individuals. Commun Dis Public Health. 2001;4:253–258. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
