Table 1.

Region-level forecasted incident cases for the 2023–2024 (Apr. 2023-Mar. 2024) and 2024–2025 (Apr. 2024-Mar. 2025) transmission years. PI = prediction interval.

Region	2023–2024 Predicted (90% PI)	2024–2025 Forecasted (90% PI)
Bay Area	529 (427–665)	558 (441–675)
Central Coast	1,189 (819–1,599)	1,207 (867–1,585)
Eastern California	42 (27–81)	49 (27–84)
Northern California	32 (19–45)	28 (15–43)
Northern San Joaquin Valley	605 (474–801)	811 (646–1,044)
Southern Coast	3,049 (2,495–3,739)	3,322 (2,694–3,961)
Southern Inland	694 (549–902)	725 (537–919)
Southern San Joaquin Valley	5,557 (4,778–6,757)	5,399 (4,556–6,442)
Southern Sacramento Valley	149 (108–516)	147 (107–282)
Statewide	11,846 (10,056–14,094)	12,244 (10,476–14,506)