Abstract
Background & Aims:
The presence of steatosis in a donor liver and its relation to post-transplantation outcomes are not well-defined. This study evaluates the effect of the presence and severity of micro and macrosteatosis of a donor graft on post-transplantation outcomes.
Methods:
The UNOS-STAR registry (2005–2019) was used to select patients who received a liver transplant graft with hepatic steatosis. The study cohort was stratified by the presence macrovesciular or microvesicular steatosis, and further stratified by histologic grade of steatosis. The primary endpoints of all-cause mortality and graft failure were compared using sequential Cox regression analysis. Analysis of specific causes of mortality were further performed.
Results:
There were 9,184 with no macrosteatosis (control), 150 with grade 3 macrosteatosis, 822 with grade 2 macrosteatosis, and 12,585 with grade 1 macrosteatosis. There were 10,320 without microsteatosis (control), 478 with grade 3 microsteatosis, 1,539 with grade 2 microsteatosis, and 10,404 with grade 1 microsteatosis. There was no significant difference in all-cause mortality or graft failure among recipients who received a donor organ with any evidence of macro or microsteatosis, compared to those receiving non-steatotic grafts. There was increased mortality due to biliary and infectious causes among recipients with a donor organ of grade 3 macrosteatosis and grade 3 microsteatosis, and increased mortality due to cardiac arrest, emboli, graft infection, disseminated intravascular coagulation hemorrhage, and other vascular pathologies among recipients of a grade 2 macrosteatosis donor organ.
Conclusion:
This study shows no significant difference in all-cause mortality or graft failure among recipients who received a donor liver with any degree of micro or macrosteatosis. Further analysis identified increased mortality due to specific etiologies among recipients receiving donor organs with varying grades of macro and microsteatosis.
Keywords: prognostication, post-liver transplant outcomes, macrosteatosis, microsteatosis, UNOS-STAR registry
Lay Summary
This study looked at how fat deposits in donor livers, known as steatosis, might affect the success of liver transplantation. The study analyzed data from over 20,000 liver transplant cases from 2005 to 2019. The results showed that when recipients received livers with any level of fat deposits, there wasnť a significant difference in overall survival or graft failure compared to those who got livers without fat deposits. However, when they looked closer at specific causes of death, they found that recipients of livers with severe fat deposits (grade 3) faced higher risks of mortality from biliary and infectious complications following liver transplant. Additionally, those with moderately fatty livers (grade 2) had increased risks of death from cardiac arrest, clots, infection of the transplant, bleeding disorders, and other vascular problems.
Introduction
Among patients with advanced liver disease, liver transplantation (LT) is a definitive therapeutic option that reverses the symptoms of organ failure and portal hypertension (1). Long-term prognoses after organ allocation are often favorable, and improvements in short-term patient and graft survival have been especially pronounced (2–4). However, adverse LT outcomes still occur, and the risks for these undesirable events are dependent on recipient, graft, and donor-related variables (5–8). In particular, there has been a budding interest in understanding if graft steatosis has any bearing on LT recipient outcomes (9). There have been conflicting presentations on this topic, with some reviews observing increased mortality among recipients who received grafts with underlying steatosis, and other studies suggesting these histological changes of steatosis to be innocuous (10).
Given this conflicting evidence, further investigation is required to clarify the precise effects of graft microvesicular and macrovesicular steatosis on recipient and graft survival following LT. As the recipient pool continues to enlarge and the available organ supply becomes further outstripped, UNOS-distribution mechanics and screening processes have adapted to meet the growing organ demand (11). As policy changes search for a solution to meet the supply-demand discrepancy and the literature advocates for expansion to the donor pool, the effects of graft steatosis on both recipient and graft outcomes have become more relevant (12,13).
In this study, we use the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) Standard Transplant and Analysis Research (STAR) database to evaluate LT recipients whose grafts are from donors with either micro or macro-steatosis, in order to capture the effects of steatosis on the post-LT outcomes. Furthermore, we stratify the severity of steatosis to differentially classify the prognostic value of this histological distortion on recipient and graft outcomes.
Methods
Database and Study Cohort
The UNOS STAR registry compiles patient outcome and follow-up information for American transplant patients. Our study utilized data from 2005 to 2019 from the UNOS STAR database. To guarantee confidentiality, all patient data was masked along with data-use agreements and safety mechanisms. This study was supported by the Health Resources and Services Administration Contract 234–2005-370011C. Views and opinions of this manuscript are reflected upon the authors and do not represent any stance of any governmental body.
Study Population and Variables
A total of 99,987 patients in the UNOS database received a liver transplant between 2005 and 2019. Exclusion criteria were applied, which were as follows: cases without data pertaining to the exposure (hepatic micro and macrosteatosis) (n=71,647), lost to follow up (n=773), those that had a history of prior LT (n=1,014), under the age of 18 (n=324), had a non-heart-beating organ donation (n= 846), underwent partial LT (n=1,426), and that underwent retransplantation (n=1,154). This left a final population of 22,741patients, which was then stratified using the donor steatosis severity contained in UNOS. Patients who underwent re-transplantation were excluded from the analysis in order to mitigate bias as retransplantation has been associated with poorer outcomes compared to primary transplantation (14, 15). Figure 1 delineates the patient selection process underlying the final cohort selection.
Figure 1.

This figure shows the patient selection process of this study
Degree of hepatic steatosis in the donor graft was obtained from the UNOS registry. UNOS requires participating institutions to stain hepatopathology slides through standardized protocols with hematoxylin and eosin, as well as fat-specific methods (Red-oil-O or Sudan red) in order to identify fatty deposits in the parenchyma and quantify the area of change relative to the total examined parenchyma. Degree and grade of macro versus microsteatosis is then interpreted per the methods of each participating institution and pathologist. Steatosis grading was performed using cross-sectional hepatic histology and various threshold percentages, in which 0 to 5% indicated stage 0, 3 to 33% indicated stage 1, 33 to 66% indicated stage 2, and 66 to 100% indicated stage 3. The escalating severities of steatosis were used to stratify the sample and to compare the groups with the study endpoints, which included the primary endpoints of all-cause deaths and graft failure as well as secondary system-specific causes of death identified in the database. The specific etiologies of death in the secondary analysis included mortality due to biliary complication, cardiac arrest, pulmonary embolism, hemorrhage, graft failure, as well as general neurological, renal, infectious, respiratory, and vascular causes.
In addition to the primary comparisons, a strata-specific approach was employed to subdivide the sample into those who received donor livers with mixed micro and macrovesicular steatosis (compared to those with pure micro and macrosteatosis). Covariates included recipient demographics (age, gender, race, and body mass index), comorbidities (hepatitis B, hepatitis C, alcoholic liver disease, diabetes), hepatic variables (ascites, encephalopathy, history of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS), and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores), medications (mycophenolate mofetil, cyclosporine, tacrolimus, sirolimus, steroids), biomarkers (albumin, creatinine, INR, total bilirubin), life support variables (artificial liver devices, utilization of inotropic agents, ICU admissions, ventilator support), donor demographics (age, gender, race, body mass index), and donor biomarkers (donor creatinine and donor total bilirubin).
Statistical Analysis
Baseline characteristics were evaluated between the steatotic cohorts. To determine the significance of nominal variables, parametric factors, and non-parametric factors, the Fisher’s or Chi Squared test, Student’s t test, and Whitney-U tests were used, respectively. Primary and secondary outcomes were analyzed with iterative Cox regression. Each successive model included more covariates, as well as the associated adjusted hazard ratio, 95% confidence interval, and p-value. Model 1 included recipient demographics. Model 2 included model 1 covariates and recipient comorbidities. Model 3 included model 2 covariates, recipient liver status, and laboratory markers. Model 4 included model 3 covariates and donor characteristics. For each strata-outcome relationship, we reported the incidence rates in units per 1000 person-years. We further analyzed our primary outcomes with cumulative hazard analyses with log-rank testing to determine the significance of the analyses. Competing risk regression was also performed according to the procedure outlined by Fine and Gray (16). Statistical analysis was performed with RStudio version 1.2.5042 with R code version 3.6.3.
Results
Baseline Characteristics
Table 1A details the baseline characteristics of our study's patient population. Tables 1A and 1B contain information from liver transplant recipients who had donors with macro-steatosis and micro-steatosis respectively. Patients were divided into groups of grade 3, grade 2, grade 1 or no donor steatosis with additional covariates stratifying them. Significant findings were identified with p-values of <.05 being significant.
Table 1A:
Baseline Characteristics of Liver Transplant Recipients Stratified Using Grade of Macrovesicular Steatosis
| No Steatosis |
Grade 1 Macrovesicular Steatosis |
Grade 2 Macrovesicular Steatosis |
Grade 3 Macrovesicular Steatosis |
|||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | n = 9184 | 42.19 | % | n = 12585 | 57.81 | % | p-value | n = 822 | 8.22 | % | p-value | n = 150 | 1.61 | % | p-value | |||
| Recipient Demographics | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Age (years) | 56.10 | ± 9.57 | years | 56.20 | ± 9.46 | years | 0.28 | 56.50 | ± 9.47 | years | 0.27 | 55.80 | ± 8.51 | years | 0.44 | |||
| Gender (%) | 6208 | 67.60 | % | 8972 | 71.29 | % | < 0.001 | *** | 602 | 73.24 | % | 0.001 | ** | 107 | 71.33 | % | 0.38 | |
| Race | 0.14 | 0.52 | 0.33 | † | ||||||||||||||
| White (%) | 6700 | 72.95 | % | 9306 | 73.95 | % | 591 | 71.90 | % | 117 | 78.00 | % | ||||||
| Black (%) | 811 | 8.83 | % | 1045 | 8.30 | % | 65 | 7.91 | % | 14 | 9.33 | % | ||||||
| Hispanic (%) | 1183 | 12.88 | % | 1520 | 12.08 | % | 122 | 14.84 | % | 12 | 8.00 | % | ||||||
| Asian (%) | 358 | 3.90 | % | 507 | 4.03 | % | 31 | 3.77 | % | 4 | 2.67 | % | ||||||
| Other (%) | 132 | 1.44 | % | 207 | 1.64 | % | 13 | 1.58 | % | 3 | 2.00 | % | ||||||
| BMI (kg/m²) | 28.90 | ± 5.71 | kg/m² | 29.00 | ± 5.71 | kg/m² | 0.34 | 29.00 | ± 5.70 | kg/m² | 0.66 | 28.60 | ± 5.63 | kg/m² | 0.69 | |||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Comorbidities | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Hepatitis B (%) | 507 | 5.52 | % | 622 | 4.94 | % | 0.06 | 41 | 4.99 | % | 0.57 | 5 | 3.33 | % | 0.32 | |||
| Hepatitis C (%) | 4049 | 44.09 | % | 5394 | 42.86 | % | 0.07 | 317 | 38.56 | % | 0.003 | ** | 64 | 42.67 | % | 0.79 | ||
| Alcoholic Liver Disease (%) | 2222 | 24.19 | % | 3374 | 26.81 | % | < 0.001 | *** | 232 | 28.22 | % | 0.01 | * | 41 | 27.33 | % | 0.43 | |
| Diabetes (%) | 2093 | 22.79 | % | 2928 | 23.27 | % | 0.42 | 191 | 23.24 | % | 0.80 | 34 | 22.67 | % | 1.00 | |||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Hepatic Variables | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Ascites | 0.03 | * | 0.74 | 0.38 | ||||||||||||||
| Absent (%) | 2328 | 25.35 | % | 3313 | 26.32 | % | 216 | 26.28 | % | 31 | 20.67 | % | ||||||
| Slight (%) | 4341 | 47.27 | % | 5726 | 45.50 | % | 390 | 47.45 | % | 73 | 48.67 | % | ||||||
| Moderate (%) | 2515 | 27.38 | % | 3546 | 28.18 | % | 216 | 26.28 | % | 46 | 30.67 | % | ||||||
| Encephalopathy | 0.39 | 0.64 | 0.29 | |||||||||||||||
| None (%) | 3505 | 38.16 | % | 4756 | 37.79 | % | 326 | 39.66 | % | 48 | 32.00 | % | ||||||
| 1 – 2 (%) | 4779 | 52.04 | % | 6525 | 51.85 | % | 421 | 51.22 | % | 87 | 58.00 | % | ||||||
| 3 – 4 (%) | 900 | 9.80 | % | 1304 | 10.36 | % | 75 | 9.12 | % | 15 | 10.00 | % | ||||||
| MELD Scores (unit) | 20.10 | ± 9.62 | unit | 20.10 | ± 9.63 | unit | 0.87 | 18.40 | ± 8.42 | unit | < 0.001 | *** | 19.90 | ± 8.66 | unit | 0.93 | ||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Medications | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Mycophenolate Mofetil (%) | 7430 | 80.90 | % | 10074 | 80.05 | % | 0.12 | 654 | 79.56 | % | 0.37 | 131 | 87.33 | % | 0.06 | |||
| Cyclosporine (%) | 458 | 4.99 | % | 627 | 4.98 | % | 1.00 | 24 | 2.92 | % | 0.01 | * | 6 | 4.00 | % | 0.72 | ||
| Tacrolimus (%) | 8398 | 91.44 | % | 11428 | 90.81 | % | 0.11 | 735 | 89.42 | % | 0.06 | 137 | 91.33 | % | 1.00 | |||
| Sirolimus (%) | 223 | 2.43 | % | 275 | 2.19 | % | 0.25 | 9 | 1.09 | % | 0.02 | * | 4 | 2.67 | % | 0.79 | † | |
| Steroids (%) | 8250 | 89.83 | % | 11077 | 88.02 | % | < 0.001 | *** | 706 | 85.89 | % | < 0.001 | *** | 130 | 86.67 | % | 0.26 | |
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Biomarkers | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Albumin (mg/dL) | 3.06 | ± 0.71 | mg/dL | 3.08 | ± 0.72 | mg/dL | 0.16 | 3.08 | ± 0.70 | mg/dL | 0.77 | 2.98 | ± 0.71 | mg/dL | 0.14 | |||
| Creatinine (mg/dL) | 1.31 | ± 0.96 | mg/dL | 1.34 | ± 0.96 | mg/dL | 0.006 | ** | 1.18 | ± 0.75 | mg/dL | < 0.001 | *** | 1.25 | ± 0.86 | mg/dL | 0.82 | |
| INR (unit) | 1.87 | ± 1.04 | unit | 1.87 | ± 1.07 | unit | 0.90 | 1.74 | ± 1.03 | unit | < 0.001 | *** | 1.87 | ± 1.28 | unit | 0.77 | ||
| Total Bilirubin (mg/dL) | 7.53 | ± 10.10 | mg/dL | 7.26 | ± 9.73 | mg/dL | 0.06 | 6.21 | ± 8.19 | mg/dL | 0.003 | ** | 7.27 | ± 9.85 | mg/dL | 0.46 | ||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Life Support Variables | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Artificial Liver Devices (%) | 2 | 0.02 | % | 3 | 0.02 | % | 1.00 | † | 0 | 0.00 | % | 1.00 | † | 0 | 0.00 | % | 1.00 | † |
| Primary Inotropic Agent | < 0.001 | *** | 0.02 | * | < 0.001 | *** | ||||||||||||
| Dobutamine (%) | 189 | 2.06 | % | 283 | 2.25 | % | 26 | 3.16 | % | 6 | 4.00 | % | ||||||
| Dopamine (%) | 1459 | 15.89 | % | 1849 | 14.69 | % | 104 | 12.65 | % | 19 | 12.67 | % | ||||||
| Epinephrine (%) | 98 | 1.07 | % | 144 | 1.14 | % | 8 | 0.97 | % | 6 | 4.00 | % | ||||||
| Levophed (%) | 1702 | 18.53 | % | 2245 | 17.84 | % | 137 | 16.67 | % | 20 | 13.33 | % | ||||||
| Neosynephrine (%) | 1459 | 15.89 | % | 2347 | 18.65 | % | 151 | 18.37 | % | 38 | 25.33 | % | ||||||
| None (%) | 4092 | 44.56 | % | 5452 | 43.32 | % | 376 | 45.74 | % | 52 | 34.67 | % | ||||||
| Other (%) | 185 | 2.01 | % | 265 | 2.11 | % | 20 | 2.43 | % | 9 | 6.00 | % | ||||||
| Secondary Inotropic Agent | 0.43 | 0.56 | 0.41 | † | ||||||||||||||
| Dobutamine (%) | 62 | 0.68 | % | 65 | 0.52 | % | 5 | 0.61 | % | 0 | 0.00 | % | ||||||
| Dopamine (%) | 90 | 0.98 | % | 124 | 0.99 | % | 7 | 0.85 | % | 2 | 1.33 | % | ||||||
| Epinephrine (%) | 60 | 0.65 | % | 77 | 0.61 | % | 6 | 0.73 | % | 2 | 1.33 | % | ||||||
| Levophed (%) | 372 | 4.05 | % | 488 | 3.88 | % | 22 | 2.68 | % | 4 | 2.67 | % | ||||||
| Neosynephrine (%) | 431 | 4.69 | % | 653 | 5.19 | % | 45 | 5.47 | % | 11 | 7.33 | % | ||||||
| None (%) | 8011 | 87.23 | % | 10977 | 87.22 | % | 723 | 87.96 | % | 128 | 85.33 | % | ||||||
| Other (%) | 158 | 1.72 | % | 201 | 1.60 | % | 14 | 1.70 | % | 3 | 2.00 | % | ||||||
| Ternary Inotropic Agent | 0.37 | 0.96 | † | 0.86 | † | |||||||||||||
| Dobutamine (%) | 14 | 0.15 | % | 12 | 0.10 | % | 2 | 0.24 | % | 0 | 0.00 | % | ||||||
| Dopamine (%) | 5 | 0.05 | % | 8 | 0.06 | % | 0 | 0.00 | % | 0 | 0.00 | % | ||||||
| Epinephrine (%) | 21 | 0.23 | % | 18 | 0.14 | % | 1 | 0.12 | % | 0 | 0.00 | % | ||||||
| Levophed (%) | 45 | 0.49 | % | 58 | 0.46 | % | 3 | 0.36 | % | 1 | 0.67 | % | ||||||
| Neosynephrine (%) | 50 | 0.54 | % | 54 | 0.43 | % | 3 | 0.36 | % | 1 | 0.67 | % | ||||||
| None (%) | 9011 | 98.12 | % | 12370 | 98.29 | % | 810 | 98.54 | % | 148 | 98.67 | % | ||||||
| Other (%) | 38 | 0.41 | % | 65 | 0.52 | % | 3 | 0.36 | % | 0 | 0.00 | % | ||||||
| ICU Admission | 0.55 | 0.02 | * | 0.06 | ||||||||||||||
| ICU (%) | 867 | 9.44 | % | 1157 | 9.19 | % | 56 | 6.81 | % | 7 | 4.67 | % | ||||||
| No ICU (%) | 8317 | 90.56 | % | 11428 | 90.81 | % | 766 | 93.19 | % | 143 | 95.33 | % | ||||||
| Ventilator Support (%) | 310 | 3.38 | % | 393 | 3.12 | % | 0.32 | 16 | 1.95 | % | 0.04 | * | 4 | 2.67 | % | 0.82 | † | |
| TIPS Procedure (%) | 929 | 10.12 | % | 1233 | 9.80 | % | 0.45 | 84 | 10.22 | % | 0.97 | 18 | 12.00 | % | 0.53 | |||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Donor Demographics | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Donor Age (years) | 48.80 | ± 15.80 | years | 50.40 | ± 14.30 | years | < 0.001 | *** | 45.50 | ± 13.50 | years | < 0.001 | *** | 46.20 | ± 14.90 | years | 0.05 | |
| Donor Gender (%) | 4838 | 52.68 | % | 6880 | 54.67 | % | 0.004 | ** | 448 | 54.50 | % | 0.33 | 82 | 54.67 | % | 0.69 | ||
| Donor Race | < 0.001 | *** | < 0.001 | *** | 0.09 | † | ||||||||||||
| White (%) | 5958 | 64.87 | % | 8615 | 68.45 | % | 559 | 68.00 | % | 108 | 72.00 | % | ||||||
| Black (%) | 1898 | 20.67 | % | 2058 | 16.35 | % | 71 | 8.64 | % | 22 | 14.67 | % | ||||||
| Hispanic (%) | 903 | 9.83 | % | 1400 | 11.12 | % | 165 | 20.07 | % | 18 | 12.00 | % | ||||||
| Asian (%) | 225 | 2.45 | % | 304 | 2.42 | % | 20 | 2.43 | % | 1 | 0.67 | % | ||||||
| Other (%) | 200 | 2.18 | % | 208 | 1.65 | % | 7 | 0.85 | % | 1 | 0.67 | % | ||||||
| Donor BMI (kg/m²) | 28.30 | ± 7.02 | kg/m² | 30.80 | ± 7.51 | kg/m² | < 0.001 | *** | 31.90 | ± 7.97 | kg/m² | < 0.001 | *** | 30.80 | ± 6.85 | kg/m² | < 0.001 | *** |
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Donor Biomarkers | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Donor Creatinine (mg/dL) | 1.95 | ± 2.04 | mg/dL | 1.85 | ± 1.86 | mg/dL | 0.81 | 1.77 | ± 1.59 | mg/dL | 0.63 | 1.80 | ± 1.70 | mg/dL | 0.86 | |||
| Donor Total Bilirubin (mg/dL) | 0.90 | ± 0.95 | mg/dL | 0.89 | ± 0.88 | mg/dL | 0.003 | ** | 0.90 | ± 0.72 | mg/dL | 0.01 | * | 0.88 | ± 0.73 | mg/dL | 0.66 | |
p < 0.05,
p < 0.01,
p < 0.001
Fisher's Test
Isolative sample indicates that patients had no alternative liver diagnoses except NASH; hence, patients with hepatitis B, C, alcoholic liver disease, and HCC were excluded
Table 1B:
Baseline Characteristics of Liver Transplant Recipients Stratified Using Grade of Microvesicular Steatosis
| No Steatosis |
Grade 1 Microvesicular Steatosis |
Grade 2 Microvesicular Steatosis |
Grade 3 Microvesicular Steatosis |
|||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | n = 10320 | 49.80 | % | n = 10404 | 50.20 | % | p-value | n = 1539 | 12.98 | % | p-value | n = 478 | 4.43 | % | p-value | |||
| Recipient Demographics | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Age (years) | 56.10 | ± 9.45 | years | 56.30 | ± 9.51 | years | 0.13 | 55.90 | ± 9.77 | years | 0.72 | 55.30 | ± 9.16 | years | 0.04 | * | ||
| Gender (%) | 7101 | 68.81 | % | 7344 | 70.59 | % | 0.006 | ** | 1103 | 71.67 | % | 0.03 | * | 341 | 71.34 | % | 0.26 | |
| Race | 0.24 | 0.08 | 0.48 | |||||||||||||||
| White (%) | 7634 | 73.97 | % | 7633 | 73.37 | % | 1102 | 71.60 | % | 345 | 72.18 | % | ||||||
| Black (%) | 870 | 8.43 | % | 884 | 8.50 | % | 132 | 8.58 | % | 49 | 10.25 | % | ||||||
| Hispanic (%) | 1255 | 12.16 | % | 1298 | 12.48 | % | 222 | 14.42 | % | 62 | 12.97 | % | ||||||
| Asian (%) | 384 | 3.72 | % | 436 | 4.19 | % | 63 | 4.09 | % | 17 | 3.56 | % | ||||||
| Other (%) | 177 | 1.72 | % | 153 | 1.47 | % | 20 | 1.30 | % | 5 | 1.05 | % | ||||||
| BMI (kg/m²) | 29.00 | ± 5.74 | kg/m² | 28.90 | ± 5.71 | kg/m² | 0.50 | 28.70 | ± 5.48 | kg/m² | 0.17 | 29.10 | ± 5.65 | kg/m² | 0.52 | |||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Comorbidities | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Hepatitis B (%) | 541 | 5.24 | % | 536 | 5.15 | % | 0.79 | 76 | 4.94 | % | 0.66 | 22 | 4.60 | % | 0.61 | |||
| Hepatitis C (%) | 4488 | 43.49 | % | 4480 | 43.06 | % | 0.54 | 646 | 41.98 | % | 0.28 | 210 | 43.93 | % | 0.89 | |||
| Alcoholic Liver Disease (%) | 2590 | 25.10 | % | 2762 | 26.55 | % | 0.02 | * | 389 | 25.28 | % | 0.90 | 128 | 26.78 | % | 0.44 | ||
| Diabetes (%) | 2379 | 23.05 | % | 2424 | 23.30 | % | 0.69 | 340 | 22.09 | % | 0.42 | 103 | 21.55 | % | 0.48 | |||
|
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| Hepatic Variables | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Ascites | < 0.001 | *** | 0.08 | 0.002 | ** | |||||||||||||
| Absent (%) | 2610 | 25.29 | % | 2744 | 26.37 | % | 421 | 27.36 | % | 113 | 23.64 | % | ||||||
| Slight (%) | 4933 | 47.80 | % | 4704 | 45.21 | % | 691 | 44.90 | % | 202 | 42.26 | % | ||||||
| Moderate (%) | 2777 | 26.91 | % | 2956 | 28.41 | % | 427 | 27.75 | % | 163 | 34.10 | % | ||||||
| Encephalopathy | 0.01 | * | 0.005 | ** | 0.17 | |||||||||||||
| None (%) | 3821 | 37.03 | % | 4025 | 38.69 | % | 628 | 40.81 | % | 161 | 33.68 | % | ||||||
| 1 – 2 (%) | 5484 | 53.14 | % | 5318 | 51.11 | % | 750 | 48.73 | % | 260 | 54.39 | % | ||||||
| 3 – 4 (%) | 1015 | 9.84 | % | 1061 | 10.20 | % | 161 | 10.46 | % | 57 | 11.92 | % | ||||||
| MELD Scores (unit) | 20.20 | ± 9.57 | unit | 20.10 | ± 9.65 | unit | 0.17 | 19.30 | ± 9.31 | unit | < 0.001 | *** | 19.20 | ± 9.04 | unit | 0.03 | * | |
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Medications | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Mycophenolate Mofetil (%) | 8377 | 81.17 | % | 8290 | 79.68 | % | 0.007 | ** | 1231 | 79.99 | % | 0.28 | 391 | 81.80 | % | 0.78 | ||
| Cyclosporine (%) | 503 | 4.87 | % | 507 | 4.87 | % | 1.00 | 81 | 5.26 | % | 0.55 | 24 | 5.02 | % | 0.97 | |||
| Tacrolimus (%) | 9431 | 91.39 | % | 9448 | 90.81 | % | 0.15 | 1394 | 90.58 | % | 0.32 | 425 | 88.91 | % | 0.07 | |||
| Sirolimus (%) | 233 | 2.26 | % | 231 | 2.22 | % | 0.89 | 35 | 2.27 | % | 1.00 | 12 | 2.51 | % | 0.84 | |||
| Steroids (%) | 9236 | 89.50 | % | 9160 | 88.04 | % | 0.001 | ** | 1352 | 87.85 | % | 0.06 | 415 | 86.82 | % | 0.08 | ||
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| Biomarkers | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Albumin (mg/dL) | 3.08 | ± 0.71 | mg/dL | 3.07 | ± 0.72 | mg/dL | 0.59 | 3.11 | ± 0.73 | mg/dL | 0.07 | 2.99 | ± 0.68 | mg/dL | 0.02 | * | ||
| Creatinine (mg/dL) | 1.33 | ± 0.96 | mg/dL | 1.33 | ± 0.96 | mg/dL | 0.98 | 1.29 | ± 0.94 | mg/dL | 0.09 | 1.22 | ± 0.79 | mg/dL | 0.02 | * | ||
| INR (unit) | 1.87 | ± 1.05 | unit | 1.87 | ± 1.04 | unit | 0.28 | 1.84 | ± 1.27 | unit | < 0.001 | *** | 1.81 | ± 1.01 | unit | 0.06 | ||
| Total Bilirubin (mg/dL) | 7.50 | ± 10.10 | mg/dL | 7.30 | ± 9.70 | mg/dL | 0.13 | 6.62 | ± 9.28 | mg/dL | < 0.001 | *** | 6.56 | ± 8.56 | mg/dL | 0.29 | ||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Life Support Variables | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Artificial Liver Devices (%) | 2 | 0.02 | % | 2 | 0.02 | % | 1.00 | † | 0 | 0.00 | % | 1.00 | † | 1 | 0.21 | % | 0.13 | † |
| Primary Inotropic Agent | < 0.001 | *** | 0.001 | ** | < 0.001 | *** | ||||||||||||
| Dobutamine (%) | 203 | 1.97 | % | 229 | 2.20 | % | 45 | 2.92 | % | 27 | 5.65 | % | ||||||
| Dopamine (%) | 1661 | 16.09 | % | 1483 | 14.25 | % | 213 | 13.84 | % | 74 | 15.48 | % | ||||||
| Epinephrine (%) | 116 | 1.12 | % | 118 | 1.13 | % | 16 | 1.04 | % | 6 | 1.26 | % | ||||||
| Levophed (%) | 1899 | 18.40 | % | 1822 | 17.51 | % | 305 | 19.82 | % | 78 | 16.32 | % | ||||||
| Neosynephrine (%) | 1674 | 16.22 | % | 1957 | 18.81 | % | 279 | 18.13 | % | 85 | 17.78 | % | ||||||
| None (%) | 4586 | 44.44 | % | 4556 | 43.79 | % | 641 | 41.65 | % | 189 | 39.54 | % | ||||||
| Other (%) | 181 | 1.75 | % | 239 | 2.30 | % | 40 | 2.60 | % | 19 | 3.97 | % | ||||||
| Secondary Inotropic Agent | 0.33 | 0.04 | * | 0.006 | † ** | |||||||||||||
| Dobutamine (%) | 57 | 0.55 | % | 65 | 0.62 | % | 8 | 0.52 | % | 2 | 0.42 | % | ||||||
| Dopamine (%) | 109 | 1.06 | % | 96 | 0.92 | % | 17 | 1.10 | % | 1 | 0.21 | % | ||||||
| Epinephrine (%) | 63 | 0.61 | % | 68 | 0.65 | % | 11 | 0.71 | % | 3 | 0.63 | % | ||||||
| Levophed (%) | 399 | 3.87 | % | 400 | 3.84 | % | 57 | 3.70 | % | 30 | 6.28 | % | ||||||
| Neosynephrine (%) | 470 | 4.55 | % | 535 | 5.14 | % | 102 | 6.63 | % | 33 | 6.90 | % | ||||||
| None (%) | 9062 | 87.81 | % | 9057 | 87.05 | % | 1321 | 85.83 | % | 399 | 83.47 | % | ||||||
| Other (%) | 160 | 1.55 | % | 183 | 1.76 | % | 23 | 1.49 | % | 10 | 2.09 | % | ||||||
| Ternary Inotropic Agent | 0.15 | 0.24 | † | 0.75 | † | |||||||||||||
| Dobutamine (%) | 12 | 0.12 | % | 13 | 0.12 | % | 3 | 0.19 | % | 0 | 0.00 | % | ||||||
| Dopamine (%) | 5 | 0.05 | % | 6 | 0.06 | % | 2 | 0.13 | % | 0 | 0.00 | % | ||||||
| Epinephrine (%) | 22 | 0.21 | % | 17 | 0.16 | % | 1 | 0.06 | % | 0 | 0.00 | % | ||||||
| Levophed (%) | 47 | 0.46 | % | 47 | 0.45 | % | 10 | 0.65 | % | 3 | 0.63 | % | ||||||
| Neosynephrine (%) | 49 | 0.47 | % | 48 | 0.46 | % | 9 | 0.58 | % | 2 | 0.42 | % | ||||||
| None (%) | 10152 | 98.37 | % | 10211 | 98.14 | % | 1506 | 97.86 | % | 470 | 98.33 | % | ||||||
| Other (%) | 33 | 0.32 | % | 62 | 0.60 | % | 8 | 0.52 | % | 3 | 0.63 | % | ||||||
| ICU Admission | 0.17 | 0.05 | 0.43 | |||||||||||||||
| ICU (%) | 987 | 9.56 | % | 937 | 9.01 | % | 123 | 7.99 | % | 40 | 8.37 | % | ||||||
| No ICU (%) | 9333 | 90.44 | % | 9467 | 90.99 | % | 1416 | 92.01 | % | 438 | 91.63 | % | ||||||
| Ventilator Support (%) | 335 | 3.25 | % | 333 | 3.20 | % | 0.88 | 38 | 2.47 | % | 0.12 | 17 | 3.56 | % | 0.81 | |||
| TIPS Procedure (%) | 1078 | 10.45 | % | 990 | 9.52 | % | 0.03 | * | 141 | 9.16 | % | 0.13 | 55 | 11.51 | % | 0.51 | ||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Donor Demographics | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Donor Age (years) | 49.20 | ± 15.10 | years | 50.40 | ± 14.70 | years | < 0.001 | *** | 47.60 | ± 14.60 | years | < 0.001 | *** | 45.00 | ± 14.60 | years | < 0.001 | *** |
| Donor Gender (%) | 5605 | 54.31 | % | 5634 | 54.15 | % | 0.83 | 770 | 50.03 | % | 0.002 | ** | 239 | 50.00 | % | 0.07 | ||
| Donor Race | 0.004 | ** | < 0.001 | *** | 0.02 | † * | ||||||||||||
| White (%) | 6855 | 66.42 | % | 7035 | 67.62 | % | 1021 | 66.34 | % | 329 | 68.83 | % | ||||||
| Black (%) | 1970 | 19.09 | % | 1793 | 17.23 | % | 211 | 13.71 | % | 75 | 15.69 | % | ||||||
| Hispanic (%) | 1048 | 10.16 | % | 1149 | 11.04 | % | 231 | 15.01 | % | 58 | 12.13 | % | ||||||
| Asian (%) | 256 | 2.48 | % | 250 | 2.40 | % | 30 | 1.95 | % | 14 | 2.93 | % | ||||||
| Other (%) | 191 | 1.85 | % | 177 | 1.70 | % | 46 | 2.99 | % | 2 | 0.42 | % | ||||||
| Donor BMI (kg/m²) | 29.10 | ± 7.32 | kg/m² | 30.30 | ± 7.50 | kg/m² | < 0.001 | *** | 31.00 | ± 7.44 | kg/m² | < 0.001 | *** | 31.20 | ± 6.83 | kg/m² | < 0.001 | *** |
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Donor Biomarkers | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
| Donor Creatinine (mg/dL) | 1.91 | ± 1.99 | mg/dL | 1.86 | ± 1.88 | mg/dL | 0.13 | 1.91 | ± 1.78 | mg/dL | < 0.001 | *** | 2.01 | ± 1.93 | mg/dL | < 0.001 | *** | |
| Donor Total Bilirubin (mg/dL) | 0.88 | ± 0.90 | mg/dL | 0.90 | ± 0.92 | mg/dL | 0.001 | ** | 0.93 | ± 0.77 | mg/dL | < 0.001 | *** | 1.02 | ± 0.98 | mg/dL | < 0.001 | *** |
p < 0.05,
p < 0.01,
p < 0.001
Fisher's Test
Isolative sample indicates that patients had no alternative liver diagnoses except NASH; hence, patients with hepatitis B, C, alcoholic liver disease, and HCC were excluded
There were 9184 with no macro-steatosis (control), 150 with grade 3 macro-steatosis, 822 with grade 2 macro-steatosis and 12 585 with grade 1 macro-steatosis. In terms of recipient demographics, our data showed that patients who received livers with grade 2 (73.2% vs. 67.6%, p = .001) and grade 1 (71.3% vs. 67.6%, p < .001) macro-steatosis were more likely to be male compared to the control group. Regarding co-morbidities, recipients of a liver with grade 2 macro-steatosis were less likely to have hepatitis C (38.6% vs. 44.1%, p = .003) and more likely to have alcoholic liver disease (28.2% vs. 24.2%, p = .01). Similarly, recipients of a liver with grade 1 macro-steatosis showed an increased likelihood to have alcoholic liver disease (26.8% vs. 24.2%, p < .001).
When analysing patient hepatic variables, grade 2 macro-steatosis donor liver patients had significantly lower MELD scores (18.40 ± 8.42 vs. 20.10 ± 9.62, p < .001). Grade 2 macro-steatosis donor liver patients also had lower rates of using cyclosporine (2.92% vs. 4.99%, p = .01), sirolimus (1.09% vs. 2.43%, p = .02) and steroids (85.9% vs. 89.8%, p < .001). Grade 1 macro-steatosis donor liver patients showed lower rates of using steroids (88% vs. 89.8%, p < .001) as well as lower rates of slight ascites (45.5% vs. 47.3%, p = .03) and higher rates of moderate ascites (28.2% vs. 27.4%, p = .03). In terms of biomarkers, recipients of grade 2 macro-steatosis livers had significantly lower creatinine (1.18 ± .75 mg/dL vs. 1.31 ± .96 mg/dL, p < .001), INR (1.74 ± 1.03 vs. 1.87 ± 1.04, p < .001) and total bilirubin (6.21 ± 8.19 mg/dL vs. 7.53 ± 10.10 mg/dL, p = .003). Furthermore, when analysing life support variables, patients with grade 2 macro-steatosis donor livers had a higher rate of patients which did not require inotropic agent (45.7% vs. 44.6%, p = .02), while grade 3 (34.7%, p < .001) and grade 1 (43.3%, p < .001) macro-steatosis donor livers showed lower rates compared to the control (44.6%). Additionally, patients with grade 2 macro-steatosis donor livers showed significantly fewer ICU admissions (6.81% vs. 9.44%, p = .02) and were less likely to utilize a ventilator (1.95% vs. 3.38%, p = .04).
Regarding donor characteristics, donors with grade 2 macro-steatosis were younger (45.5 ± 13.5 vs. 48.8 ± 15.8, p < .001) and had a significantly greater BMI (31.9 ± 7.97 kg/m2 vs. 28.3 ± 7.02 kg/m2, p < .001). Donors with grade 1 macro-steatosis were older (50.4 ± 14.3 years vs. 48.8 ± 15.8 years, p < .001), more likely to be male (54.7% vs. 52.7%, p = .004) and had a significantly greater BMI (30.80 ± 7.51 kg/m2 vs. 28.3 ± 7.02, p < .001). Additionally, donors with grade 2 (68%, p = <.001) and grade 1 (68.5%, p < .001) macro-steatosis had more white donors compared to the control group (64.9%).
There were 10,320 individuals without micro-steatosis (control), 478 with grade 3 micro-steatosis, 1539 with grade 2 micro-steatosis and 10 404 with grade 1 micro-steatosis. In terms of recipient demographics, patients of grade 3 micro-steatosis donor livers were younger (55.3 ± 9.16 years vs. 56.1 ± 9.45 years, p = .04) and patients of grades 2 (71.7% vs. 68.8%, p = .03) and 1 (70.6% vs. 68.8%, p = .006) micro-steatosis livers were more likely to be male. Recipients of grade 1 micro-steatosis livers were more likely to have the co-morbidity of alcoholic liver disease (26.5% vs. 25.1%, p = .002). Patients of grade 2 (19.30 ± 9.31 vs. 20.20 ± 9.57, p < .001) and grade 3 (19.2 ± 9.04 vs. 20.20 ± 9.57, p = .03) micro-steatosis livers had significantly lower MELD scores. Additionally, patients with grade 3 (34.1%, p = .002) and grade 1 (28.4%, p < .001) micro-steatosis donor livers had higher rates of moderate ascites compared to the control group (26.9%), while those with grade 2 macro-steatosis donor livers showed a higher rate of encephalopathy of 3–4% (10.5% vs. 9.84%) and lower rates of encephalopathy of 1%–2% (48.7% vs. 53.1%) or no encephalopathy (40.8% vs. 37%) compared to the control (p = .005). Regarding medications, grade 1 micro-steatosis donor liver patients had lower rates of using steroids (88% vs. 89.5%, p = .001). Furthermore, grade 3 micro-steatosis donor liver patients had lower albumin (2.99 ± .68 vs. 3.08 ± .71, p = .02) and creatinine (1.22 ± .79 mg/dL vs. 1.33 ± .96 mg/dL, p = .02) and grade 2 micro-steatosis donor liver patients had lower INR (1.84 ± 1.27 vs. 1.87 ± 1.05, p < .001) and total bilirubin (6.62 ± 9.28 mg/dL vs. 7.50 ± 10.10 mg/dL, p < .001). In regard to life support variables, grade 3 (39.5%, p < .001), grade 2 (41.7%, p = .001) and grade 1 (43.8%, p < .001) micro-steatosis donor liver all had a lower percentage of cases which did not require inotropic agents compared to the control group (44.4%).
Regarding donor variables, patients with grade 3 (45.0 ± 14.6 years vs. 49.2 ± 15.1 years, p < .001) and grade 2 (47.6 ± 14.6 years vs. 49.2 ± 15.1 years, p < .001) micro-steatosis donors were younger, while grade 1 (50.40 ± 14.7 years vs. 49.2 ± 15.1 years, p < .001) micro-steatosis donors were older. Grade 2 (50%, p = .002) and grade 1 (45.8%, p = .004) micro-steatosis donors were more likely to be female compared to the control group (45.7%). Grade 3 (31.2 ± 6.83 kg/m2, p < .001), grade 2 (31 ± 7.44 kg/m2, p < .001) and grade 1 (30.3 ± 7.5 kg/m2, p < .001) micro-steatosis donors all had a greater BMI than that of the control patients (29.1 ± 7.32 kg/m2). Grade 3 micro-steatosis donors had higher creatinine values (2.01 ± 1.93 mg/dL, p < .001), while grade 2 micro-steatosis donors had near similar creatinine values (1.91 ± 1.78 mg/dL, p < .001) when compared to the control group (1.91 ± 1.99 mg/dL). Grade 3 (1.02 ± .98 mg/dL, p < .001), grade 2 (.93 ± .77 mg/dL, p < .001) and grade 1 (.90 ± .92 mg/dL, p = .003) micro-steatosis donors all had greater total bilirubin than that of the control patients (.88 ± .90 mg/dL).
Baseline characteristics of the study cohort further stratified by the presence of mixed steatosis versus pure micro-and macro-steatosis in the donor livers can be identified in Supplementary Tables S2 and S5.
Clinical Outcomes
Table 2A analyses the impact of donor m acro-steatosis (Table 2A) and micro-steatosis (Table 2B) on all-cause mortality and graft failure. Our data show that in the final iterations of our sequential Cox regression analyses, any percentage of macro-steatosis and micro-steatosis in a transplanted liver has no significant difference on mortality or graft failure when compared to those with no steatosis. This is furthermore demonstrated in Figures 2 and 3, which show the cumulative hazard curves for the different macro-vesicular and micro-vesicular steatosis cohorts respectively. In addition, the final models of the iterative Cox regression analyses performed for all-cause mortality and graft failure are represented by the combined multivariable forest plots demonstrated in the Supplementary Figures S1 and S2 respectively.
Table 2A:
Incidence Rates and Sequential Cox Regression Analysis Using Macrosteatosis as a Prognostic Risk Factor for All-Cause Mortality and Graft Failure
| Grade 1 Macrovesicular Steatosis | Grade 2 Macrovesicular Steatosis | Grade 3 Macrovesicular Steatosis | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (A) All-Cause Mortality | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 3139 | 59.68 | (57.68–61.74) | Grade 2 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 162 | 58.42 | (49.98–67.81) | Grade 3 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 32 | 49.54 | (34.13–69.22) |
| No Steatosis | 2310 | 55.55 | (53.36–57.79) | No Steatosis | 2310 | 55.55 | (53.36–57.79) | No Steatosis | 2310 | 55.55 | (53.36–57.79) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.04 * | 1.06 | (1.00–1.12) | 1 | 0.90 | 0.99 | (0.84–1.16) | 1 | 0.53 | 0.89 | (0.63–1.27) |
| 2 | 0.04 * | 1.06 | (1.00–1.12) | 2 | 0.96 | 1.00 | (0.86–1.18) | 2 | 0.49 | 0.88 | (0.62–1.25) |
| 3 | 0.04 * | 1.06 | (1.00–1.12) | 3 | 0.85 | 1.02 | (0.87–1.19) | 3 | 0.45 | 0.87 | (0.62–1.24) |
| † FM | 0.18 | 1.04 | (0.98–1.10) | † FM | 0.71 | 1.03 | (0.88–1.21) | † FM | 0.50 | 0.89 | (0.62–1.26) |
|
| |||||||||||
| (B) Graft Failure | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 690 | 13.12 | (12.17–14.13) | Grade 2 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 42 | 15.15 | (10.94–20.42) | Grade 3 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 11 | 17.03 | (8.53–30.27) |
| No Steatosis | 498 | 11.98 | (10.95–13.07) | No Steatosis | 498 | 11.98 | (10.95–13.07) | No Steatosis | 498 | 11.98 | (10.95–13.07) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.26 | 1.07 | (0.95–1.20) | 1 | 0.40 | 1.15 | (0.84–1.57) | 1 | 0.31 | 1.36 | (0.75–2.48) |
| 2 | 0.22 | 1.07 | (0.96–1.21) | 2 | 0.30 | 1.18 | (0.86–1.62) | 2 | 0.33 | 1.34 | (0.74–2.44) |
| 3 | 0.22 | 1.08 | (0.96–1.21) | 3 | 0.25 | 1.20 | (0.88–1.65) | 3 | 0.34 | 1.34 | (0.74–2.44) |
| † FM | 0.66 | 1.03 | (0.91–1.15) | † FM | 0.23 | 1.22 | (0.88–1.68) | † FM | 0.34 | 1.34 | (0.74–2.45) |
p < 0.05,
p < 0.01,
p < 0.001
FM indicates Final Model
Footnote:
Model 1 includes VOI (variable of interest) and demographics; Model 2 includes Model 1 terms with the addition of comorbidities, and liver disease etiologies; Model 3 includes Model 2 terms with the addition of hepatic variables, MELD score, and liver laboratory markers; Model 4 includes Model 3 terms with the addition of donor demographics
Table 2B:
Incidence Rates and Sequential Cox Regression Analysis Using Microsteatosis as a Prognostic Risk Factor for All-Cause Mortality and Graft Failure
| Grade 1 Microvesicular Steatosis | Grade 2 Microvesicular Steatosis | Grade 3 Microvesicular Steatosis | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (A) All-Cause Mortality | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Microvesicular Steatosis | 2566 | 59.38 | (57.17–61.64) | Grade 2 Microvesicular Steatosis | 335 | 57.05 | (51.26–63.30) | Grade 3 Microvesicular Steatosis | 111 | 53.41 | (44.14–63.96) |
| No Steatosis | 2631 | 56.66 | (54.58–58.80) | No Steatosis | 2631 | 56.66 | (54.58–58.80) | No Steatosis | 2631 | 56.66 | (54.58–58.80) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.32 | 1.03 | (0.97–1.09) | 1 | 0.56 | 0.97 | (0.86–1.08) | 1 | 0.52 | 0.94 | (0.78–1.14) |
| 2 | 0.33 | 1.03 | (0.97–1.09) | 2 | 0.63 | 0.97 | (0.87–1.09) | 2 | 0.49 | 0.94 | (0.77–1.13) |
| 3 | 0.33 | 1.03 | (0.97–1.08) | 3 | 0.73 | 0.98 | (0.87–1.10) | 3 | 0.47 | 0.93 | (0.77–1.13) |
| † FM | 0.65 | 1.01 | (0.96–1.07) | † FM | 0.83 | 0.99 | (0.88–1.11) | † FM | 0.86 | 0.98 | (0.81–1.19) |
|
| |||||||||||
| (B) Graft Failure | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Microvesicular Steatosis | 576 | 13.33 | (12.27–14.45) | Grade 2 Microvesicular Steatosis | 80 | 13.63 | (10.82–16.93) | Grade 3 Microvesicular Steatosis | 20 | 9.62 | (5.89–14.82) |
| No Steatosis | 565 | 12.17 | (11.19–13.21) | No Steatosis | 565 | 12.17 | (11.19–13.21) | No Steatosis | 565 | 12.17 | (11.19–13.21) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.34 | 1.06 | (0.94–1.19) | 1 | 0.85 | 1.02 | (0.81–1.29) | 1 | 0.20 | 0.75 | (0.48–1.17) |
| 2 | 0.33 | 1.06 | (0.94–1.19) | 2 | 0.81 | 1.03 | (0.81–1.30) | 2 | 0.18 | 0.74 | (0.47–1.15) |
| 3 | 0.34 | 1.06 | (0.94–1.19) | 3 | 0.71 | 1.05 | (0.83–1.32) | 3 | 0.20 | 0.75 | (0.48–1.17) |
| † FM | 0.66 | 1.03 | (0.91–1.15) | † FM | 0.69 | 1.05 | (0.83–1.33) | † FM | 0.35 | 0.81 | (0.51–1.26) |
p < 0.05,
p < 0.01,
p < 0.001
FM indicates Final Model
Footnote:
Model 1 includes VOI (variable of interest) and demographics; Model 2 includes Model 1 terms with the addition of comorbidities, and liver disease etiologies; Model 3 includes Model 2 terms with the addition of hepatic variables, MELD score, and liver laboratory markers; Model 4 includes Model 3 terms with the addition of donor demographics
Figure 2. Comparison of Cumulative Events with All-Cause Mortality and Graft Failure as Endpoint Macrovesicular Steatosis.

This figure shows the differences in cumulative hazards using all-cause mortality and graft failure as primary endpoints, in liver transplant recipients who received grafts from donors with varying degrees of hepatic macrovesicular steatosis (A,B), mixed-steatosis (C,D), and pure macrosteatosis (E,F).
(A) and (B) represent the cumulative hazard(s) for all-cause mortality and graft failure, respectively, in liver transplant recipients, whoreceived their grafts from donors with grade 1 macrovesicular steatosis versus donors with grade 2 macrovesicular steatosis versus donorswith grade 3 macrovesicular steatosis versus donors with no steatosis. (C) and (D) represent the cumulative hazard(s) for all-cause mortalityand graft failure, respectively, in liver transplant recipients, who received their grafts from donors with grade 1 mixed-macrovesicular steatosisversus donors with grade 2 mixed-macrovesicular steatosis versus grade 3 mixed-macrovesicular steatosis. (E) and (F) represent thecumulative hazard(s) for all-cause mortality and graft failure, respectively, in liver transplant recipients, who received their grafts from donorswith grade 1 pure macrovesicular steatosis versus donors with grade 2 pure macrovesicular steatosis versus grade 3 pure macrovesicularsteatosis versus donors with no steatosis.
Figure 3. Comparison of Cumulative Events with All-Cause Mortality and Graft Failure as Endpoint Microvesicular Steatosis.

This figure shows the differences in cumulative hazards using all-cause mortality and graft failure as primary endpoints, in liver transplant recipients who received grafts from donors with varying degrees of hepatic microvesicular steatosis (A,B), mixed-steatosis (C,D), and pure microsteatosis (E,F).
(A) and (B) represent the cumulative hazard(s) for all-cause mortality and graft failure, respectively, in liver transplant recipients, whoreceived their grafts from donors with grade 1 microvesicular steatosis versus donors with grade 2 microvesicular steatosis versus donorswith grade 3 microvesicular steatosis versus donors with no steatosis. (C) and (D) represent the cumulative hazard(s) for all-cause mortalityand graft failure, respectively, in liver transplant recipients, who received their grafts from donors with grade 1 mixed-microvesicular steatosisversus donors with grade 2 mixed-microvesicular steatosis versus grade 3 mixed-microvesicular steatosis. (E) and (F) represent thecumulative hazard(s) for all-cause mortality and graft failure, respectively, in liver transplant recipients, who received their grafts from donorswith grade 1 pure microvesicular steatosis versus donors with grade 2 pure microvesicular steatosis versus grade 3 pure microvesicularsteatosis versus donors with no steatosis.
However, Table 3A reveals that macro-steatosis (Table 3A) and micro-steatosis (Table 3B) do have significantly increased rates of mortality when stratified by specific causes of death. Transplant recipients of grade 2 macro-steatosis livers had a statistically greater incidence of cardiac arrest (aHR 1.62, p = .03) as a cause of death. Patients who received a donor organ with grade 1 macro-steatosis had a statistically greater incidence of mortality due to graft rejection (aHR 1.78, p = .006). Regarding micro-steatosis, recipients of grade 1 micro-steatosis donor livers had greater mortality due to graft rejection (aHR 1.61, p = .02). Supplementary Table S1 includes results from our competing risk regression analysis using macro-steatosis and micro-steatosis as prognostic risk factors for all-cause mortality and graft failure.
Table 3A:
Incidence Rates and Sequential Cox Regression Analysis Using Macrosteatosis as a Prognostic Risk Factor for Specific Causes of Death
| Grade 1 Macrovesicular Steatosis | Grade 2 Macrovesicular Steatosis | Grade 3 Macrovesicular Steatosis | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (A) Death due to Cardiac Arrest | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 264 | 5.02 | (4.43–5.66) | Grade 2 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 23 | 8.29 | (5.27-12.42) | Grade 3 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 4 | 6.19 | (1.69–15.78) |
| No Steatosis | 176 | 4.23 | (3.63–4.90) | No Steatosis | 176 | 4.23 | (3.63–4.90) | No Steatosis | 176 | 4.23 | (3.63–4.90) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.18 | 1.14 | (0.94–1.38) | 1 | 0.02 * | 1.71 | (1.11–2.64) | 1 | 0.47 | 1.44 | (0.53–3.89) |
| 2 | 0.20 | 1.13 | (0.94–1.37) | 2 | 0.02 * | 1.69 | (1.09–2.62) | 2 | 0.51 | 1.40 | (0.52–3.77) |
| 3 | 0.21 | 1.13 | (0.93–1.37) | 3 | 0.01 * | 1.75 | (1.13–2.71) | 3 | 0.54 | 1.36 | (0.50–3.68) |
| † FM | 0.42 | 1.08 | (0.89–1.32) | † FM | 0.03 * | 1.62 | (1.04–2.55) | † FM | 0.55 | 1.36 | (0.50–3.67) |
|
| |||||||||||
| (B) Death due to General Cardiac Causes | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 425 | 8.08 | (7.33–8.88) | Grade 2 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 31 | 11.18 | (7.61–15.83) | Grade 3 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 6 | 9.29 | (3.42–20.11) |
| No Steatosis | 294 | 7.07 | (6.29–7.92) | No Steatosis | 294 | 7.07 | (6.29–7.92) | No Steatosis | 294 | 7.07 | (6.29–7.92) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.20 | 1.10 | (0.95–1.28) | 1 | 0.07 | 1.40 | (0.97–2.03) | 1 | 0.50 | 1.32 | (0.59–2.97) |
| 2 | 0.23 | 1.10 | (0.94–1.27) | 2 | 0.08 | 1.39 | (0.96–2.02) | 2 | 0.55 | 1.28 | (0.57–2.87) |
| 3 | 0.24 | 1.09 | (0.94–1.27) | 3 | 0.05 | 1.44 | (1.00–2.10) | 3 | 0.56 | 1.27 | (0.57–2.86) |
| † FM | 0.35 | 1.07 | (0.92–1.25) | † FM | 0.08 | 1.41 | (0.96–2.06) | † FM | 0.56 | 1.27 | (0.57–2.87) |
|
| |||||||||||
| (D) Death due to Graft Rejection | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 76 | 1.45 | (1.14–1.81) | Grade 2 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 5 | 1.80 | (0.59–4.20) | Grade 3 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 0 | 0.00 | (0.00–5.69) |
| No Steatosis | 34 | 0.82 | (0.57–1.14) | No Steatosis | 34 | 0.82 | (0.57–1.14) | No Steatosis | 34 | 0.82 | (0.57–1.14) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.006 ** | 1.77 | (1.18–2.65) | 1 | 0.14 | 2.02 | (0.79–5.18) | 1 | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00-Inf) |
| 2 | 0.006 ** | 1.77 | (1.18–2.65) | 2 | 0.14 | 2.03 | (0.79–5.20) | 2 | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00-Inf) |
| 3 | 0.006 ** | 1.76 | (1.17–2.63) | 3 | 0.11 | 2.18 | (0.84–5.63) | 3 | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00-Inf) |
| † FM | 0.006 ** | 1.78 | (1.18–2.68) | † FM | 0.18 | 1.94 | (0.73–5.18) | † FM | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00-Inf) |
|
| |||||||||||
| (F) Death due to General Infectious Causes | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 545 | 10.36 | (9.51–11.27) | Grade 2 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 24 | 8.66 | (5.55–12.85) | Grade 3 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 3 | 4.64 | (0.96–13.51) |
| No Steatosis | 409 | 9.83 | (8.91–10.83) | No Steatosis | 409 | 9.83 | (8.91–10.83) | No Steatosis | 409 | 9.83 | (8.91–10.83) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.69 | 1.03 | (0.90–1.17) | 1 | 0.24 | 0.78 | (0.52–1.18) | 1 | 0.17 | 0.45 | (0.15–1.41) |
| 2 | 0.71 | 1.02 | (0.90–1.17) | 2 | 0.24 | 0.78 | (0.52–1.18) | 2 | 0.17 | 0.45 | (0.14–1.40) |
| 3 | 0.69 | 1.03 | (0.90–1.17) | 3 | 0.34 | 0.82 | (0.54–1.24) | 3 | 0.15 | 0.44 | (0.14–1.37) |
| † FM | 0.92 | 1.01 | (0.88–1.15) | † FM | 0.61 | 0.90 | (0.59–1.36) | † FM | 0.19 | 0.47 | (0.15–1.46) |
|
| |||||||||||
| (G) Death due to General Neurological Causes | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 95 | 1.81 | (1.46–2.21) | Grade 2 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 2 | 0.72 | (0.09–2.60) | Grade 3 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 1 | 1.55 | (0.04–8.60) |
| No Steatosis | 78 | 1.88 | (1.48–2.34) | No Steatosis | 78 | 1.88 | (1.48–2.34) | No Steatosis | 78 | 1.88 | (1.48–2.34) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.75 | 0.95 | (0.71–1.28) | 1 | 0.15 | 0.36 | (0.09–1.46) | 1 | 0.88 | 0.86 | (0.12–6.18) |
| 2 | 0.74 | 0.95 | (0.70–1.28) | 2 | 0.15 | 0.36 | (0.09–1.46) | 2 | 0.88 | 0.86 | (0.12–6.19) |
| 3 | 0.74 | 0.95 | (0.70–1.28) | 3 | 0.17 | 0.37 | (0.09–1.53) | 3 | 0.87 | 0.85 | (0.12–6.14) |
| † FM | 0.61 | 0.92 | (0.68–1.25) | † FM | 0.25 | 0.44 | (0.11–1.80) | † FM | 0.88 | 0.86 | (0.12–6.22) |
|
| |||||||||||
| (H) Death due to General Renal Causes | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 143 | 2.72 | (2.29–3.20) | Grade 2 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 9 | 3.25 | (1.49–6.15) | Grade 3 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 2 | 3.10 | (0.38–11.14) |
| No Steatosis | 124 | 2.98 | (2.48–3.55) | No Steatosis | 124 | 2.98 | (2.48–3.55) | No Steatosis | 124 | 2.98 | (2.48–3.55) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.34 | 0.89 | (0.70–1.13) | 1 | 0.99 | 1.01 | (0.51–1.98) | 1 | 0.97 | 1.03 | (0.25–4.15) |
| 2 | 0.35 | 0.89 | (0.70–1.14) | 2 | 0.90 | 1.04 | (0.53–2.06) | 2 | 1.00 | 1.00 | (0.25–4.06) |
| 3 | 0.35 | 0.89 | (0.70–1.13) | 3 | 0.78 | 1.10 | (0.56–2.18) | 3 | 0.94 | 0.95 | (0.23–3.86) |
| † FM | 0.28 | 0.87 | (0.68–1.12) | † FM | 0.82 | 1.09 | (0.54–2.17) | † FM | 0.95 | 0.96 | (0.24–3.89) |
|
| |||||||||||
| (I) Death due to General Respiratory Causes | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 197 | 3.75 | (3.24–4.31) | Grade 2 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 12 | 4.33 | (2.24–7.55) | Grade 3 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 2 | 3.10 | (0.38–11.14) |
| No Steatosis | 146 | 3.51 | (2.97–4.13) | No Steatosis | 146 | 3.51 | (2.97–4.13) | No Steatosis | 146 | 3.51 | (2.97–4.13) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.66 | 1.05 | (0.85–1.30) | 1 | 0.73 | 1.11 | (0.61–2.00) | 1 | 0.85 | 0.87 | (0.22–3.52) |
| 2 | 0.69 | 1.05 | (0.84–1.30) | 2 | 0.72 | 1.11 | (0.62–2.01) | 2 | 0.84 | 0.86 | (0.21–3.49) |
| 3 | 0.65 | 1.05 | (0.85–1.30) | 3 | 0.66 | 1.14 | (0.63–2.06) | 3 | 0.80 | 0.84 | (0.21–3.38) |
| † FM | 0.54 | 1.07 | (0.86–1.33) | † FM | 0.90 | 1.04 | (0.57–1.90) | † FM | 0.78 | 0.82 | (0.20–3.33) |
|
| |||||||||||
| (J) Death due to Sepsis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 348 | 6.62 | (5.94–7.35) | Grade 2 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 16 | 5.77 | (3.30–9.35) | Grade 3 Macrovesicular Steatosis | 3 | 4.64 | (0.96–13.51) |
| No Steatosis | 257 | 6.18 | (5.45–6.98) | No Steatosis | 257 | 6.18 | (5.45–6.98) | No Steatosis | 257 | 6.18 | (5.45–6.98) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.66 | 1.04 | (0.88–1.22) | 1 | 0.43 | 0.81 | (0.49–1.35) | 1 | 0.59 | 0.73 | (0.23–2.28) |
| 2 | 0.67 | 1.04 | (0.88–1.22) | 2 | 0.44 | 0.82 | (0.50–1.36) | 2 | 0.59 | 0.73 | (0.23–2.28) |
| 3 | 0.65 | 1.04 | (0.88–1.22) | 3 | 0.54 | 0.85 | (0.51–1.41) | 3 | 0.56 | 0.71 | (0.23–2.23) |
| † FM | 0.80 | 1.02 | (0.87–1.20) | † FM | 0.93 | 0.98 | (0.58–1.63) | † FM | 0.67 | 0.78 | (0.25–2.44) |
p < 0.05,
p < 0.01,
p < 0.001
FM indicates Final Model
Footnote:
Model 1 includes VOI (variable of interest) and demographics; Model 2 includes Model 1 terms with the addition of comorbidities, and liver disease etiologies; Model 3 includes Model 2 terms with the addition of hepatic variables, MELD score, and liver laboratory markers; Model 4 includes Model 3 terms with the addition of donor demographics
Table 3B:
Incidence Rates and Sequential Cox Regression Analysis Using Microsteatosis as a Prognostic Risk Factor for Specific Causes of Death
| Grade 1 Microvesicular Steatosis | Grade 2 Microvesicular Steatosis | Grade 3 Microvesicular Steatosis | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (A) Death due to Cardiac Arrest | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Microvesicular Steatosis | 225 | 5.21 | (4.55–5.93) | Grade 2 Microvesicular Steatosis | 31 | 5.28 | (3.59–7.49) | Grade 3 Microvesicular Steatosis | 7 | 3.37 | (1.36–6.93) |
| No Steatosis | 204 | 4.39 | (3.81–5.04) | No Steatosis | 204 | 4.39 | (3.81–5.04) | No Steatosis | 204 | 4.39 | (3.81–5.04) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.19 | 1.13 | (0.94–1.37) | 1 | 0.62 | 1.10 | (0.75–1.61) | 1 | 0.46 | 0.75 | (0.35–1.60) |
| 2 | 0.21 | 1.13 | (0.94–1.37) | 2 | 0.59 | 1.11 | (0.76–1.62) | 2 | 0.45 | 0.75 | (0.35–1.59) |
| 3 | 0.22 | 1.13 | (0.93–1.36) | 3 | 0.50 | 1.14 | (0.78–1.67) | 3 | 0.44 | 0.74 | (0.35–1.58) |
| † FM | 0.34 | 1.10 | (0.91–1.33) | † FM | 0.73 | 1.07 | (0.73–1.57) | † FM | 0.37 | 0.71 | (0.33–1.51) |
|
| |||||||||||
| (B) Death due to General Cardiac Causes | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Microvesicular Steatosis | 349 | 8.08 | (7.25–8.96) | Grade 2 Microvesicular Steatosis | 43 | 7.32 | (5.30–9.85) | Grade 3 Microvesicular Steatosis | 16 | 7.70 | (4.41–12.47) |
| No Steatosis | 348 | 7.49 | (6.73–8.32) | No Steatosis | 348 | 7.49 | (6.73–8.32) | No Steatosis | 348 | 7.49 | (6.73–8.32) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.64 | 1.04 | (0.89–1.20) | 1 | 0.52 | 0.90 | (0.66–1.24) | 1 | 0.95 | 1.02 | (0.62–1.68) |
| 2 | 0.66 | 1.03 | (0.89–1.20) | 2 | 0.57 | 0.91 | (0.66–1.25) | 2 | 0.95 | 1.01 | (0.61–1.68) |
| 3 | 0.68 | 1.03 | (0.89–1.20) | 3 | 0.68 | 0.94 | (0.68–1.29) | 3 | 0.97 | 1.01 | (0.61–1.67) |
| † FM | 0.78 | 1.02 | (0.88–1.19) | † FM | 0.60 | 0.92 | (0.67–1.26) | † FM | 0.96 | 0.99 | (0.59–1.63) |
|
| |||||||||||
| (D) Death due to Graft Rejection | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Microvesicular Steatosis | 64 | 1.48 | (1.14–1.89) | Grade 2 Microvesicular Steatosis | 9 | 1.53 | (0.70–2.91) | Grade 3 Microvesicular Steatosis | 1 | 0.48 | (0.01–2.68) |
| No Steatosis | 41 | 0.88 | (0.63–1.20) | No Steatosis | 41 | 0.88 | (0.63–1.20) | No Steatosis | 41 | 0.88 | (0.63–1.20) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.01 * | 1.64 | (1.11–2.42) | 1 | 0.21 | 1.59 | (0.77–3.27) | 1 | 0.50 | 0.50 | (0.07–3.67) |
| 2 | 0.01 * | 1.64 | (1.10–2.42) | 2 | 0.21 | 1.59 | (0.77–3.27) | 2 | 0.49 | 0.49 | (0.07–3.60) |
| 3 | 0.02 * | 1.63 | (1.10–2.41) | 3 | 0.20 | 1.60 | (0.78–3.30) | 3 | 0.43 | 0.45 | (0.06–3.27) |
| † FM | 0.02 * | 1.61 | (1.08–2.38) | † FM | 0.28 | 1.50 | (0.72–3.12) | † FM | 0.42 | 0.44 | (0.06–3.22) |
|
| |||||||||||
| (F) Death due to General Infectious Causes | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Microvesicular Steatosis | 473 | 10.95 | (9.99–11.97) | Grade 2 Microvesicular Steatosis | 56 | 9.54 | (7.21–12.37) | Grade 3 Microvesicular Steatosis | 11 | 5.29 | (2.64–9.45) |
| No Steatosis | 441 | 9.50 | (8.64–10.42) | No Steatosis | 441 | 9.50 | (8.64–10.42) | No Steatosis | 441 | 9.50 | (8.64–10.42) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.11 | 1.11 | (0.98–1.27) | 1 | 0.51 | 0.91 | (0.69–1.20) | 1 | 0.04 * | 0.54 | (0.30–0.98) |
| 2 | 0.11 | 1.11 | (0.98–1.26) | 2 | 0.52 | 0.91 | (0.69–1.21) | 2 | 0.04 * | 0.54 | (0.30–0.99) |
| 3 | 0.11 | 1.11 | (0.98–1.26) | 3 | 0.69 | 0.94 | (0.71–1.25) | 3 | 0.05 | 0.55 | (0.30–1.00) |
| † FM | 0.18 | 1.09 | (0.96–1.25) | † FM | 0.88 | 0.98 | (0.74–1.30) | † FM | 0.12 | 0.62 | (0.34–1.13) |
|
| |||||||||||
| (G) Death due to General Neurological Causes | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Microvesicular Steatosis | 88 | 2.04 | (1.63–2.51) | Grade 2 Microvesicular Steatosis | 6 | 1.02 | (0.38–2.22) | Grade 3 Microvesicular Steatosis | 5 | 2.41 | (0.78–5.61) |
| No Steatosis | 77 | 1.66 | (1.31–2.07) | No Steatosis | 77 | 1.66 | (1.31–2.07) | No Steatosis | 77 | 1.66 | (1.31–2.07) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.24 | 1.20 | (0.88–1.63) | 1 | 0.23 | 0.60 | (0.26–1.38) | 1 | 0.34 | 1.56 | (0.63–3.86) |
| 2 | 0.23 | 1.20 | (0.89–1.64) | 2 | 0.21 | 0.59 | (0.26–1.36) | 2 | 0.32 | 1.59 | (0.64–3.93) |
| 3 | 0.22 | 1.21 | (0.89–1.65) | 3 | 0.26 | 0.62 | (0.27–1.43) | 3 | 0.35 | 1.54 | (0.62–3.82) |
| † FM | 0.30 | 1.18 | (0.86–1.60) | † FM | 0.32 | 0.65 | (0.28–1.51) | † FM | 0.30 | 1.62 | (0.65–4.05) |
|
| |||||||||||
| (H) Death due to General Renal Causes | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Microvesicular Steatosis | 124 | 2.87 | (2.39–3.42) | Grade 2 Microvesicular Steatosis | 12 | 2.04 | (1.06–3.57) | Grade 3 Microvesicular Steatosis | 4 | 1.92 | (0.52–4.92) |
| No Steatosis | 138 | 2.97 | (2.50–3.51) | No Steatosis | 138 | 2.97 | (2.50–3.51) | No Steatosis | 138 | 2.97 | (2.50–3.51) |
|
| |||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.62 | 0.94 | (0.74–1.20) | 1 | 0.15 | 0.65 | (0.36–1.17) | 1 | 0.36 | 0.63 | (0.23–1.70) |
| 2 | 0.61 | 0.94 | (0.74–1.20) | 2 | 0.17 | 0.66 | (0.36–1.19) | 2 | 0.37 | 0.63 | (0.23–1.71) |
| 3 | 0.61 | 0.94 | (0.74–1.20) | 3 | 0.19 | 0.68 | (0.37–1.22) | 3 | 0.39 | 0.65 | (0.24–1.76) |
| † FM | 0.57 | 0.93 | (0.73–1.19) | † FM | 0.23 | 0.69 | (0.38–1.26) | † FM | 0.44 | 0.68 | (0.25–1.84) |
|
| |||||||||||
| (I) Death due to General Respiratory Causes | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Microvesicular Steatosis | 167 | 3.86 | (3.30–4.50) | Grade 2 Microvesicular Steatosis | 22 | 3.75 | (2.35–5.67) | Grade 3 Microvesicular Steatosis | 5 | 2.41 | (0.78–5.61) |
| No Steatosis | 163 | 3.51 | (2.99–4.09) | No Steatosis | 163 | 3.51 | (2.99–4.09) | No Steatosis | 163 | 3.51 | (2.99–4.09) |
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| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
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| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.52 | 1.07 | (0.87–1.33) | 1 | 0.97 | 1.01 | (0.64–1.57) | 1 | 0.42 | 0.69 | (0.29–1.69) |
| 2 | 0.53 | 1.07 | (0.86–1.33) | 2 | 0.94 | 1.02 | (0.65–1.59) | 2 | 0.41 | 0.69 | (0.28–1.68) |
| 3 | 0.49 | 1.08 | (0.87–1.34) | 3 | 0.84 | 1.05 | (0.67–1.63) | 3 | 0.44 | 0.70 | (0.29–1.72) |
| † FM | 0.47 | 1.08 | (0.87–1.35) | † FM | 0.93 | 1.02 | (0.65–1.60) | † FM | 0.41 | 0.69 | (0.28–1.69) |
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| (J) Death due to Sepsis | |||||||||||
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| Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Raw Incidence | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||
| Grade 1 Microvesicular Steatosis | 294 | 6.80 | (6.05–7.62) | Grade 2 Microvesicular Steatosis | 37 | 6.30 | (4.44–8.68) | Grade 3 Microvesicular Steatosis | 5 | 2.41 | (0.78–5.61) |
| No Steatosis | 288 | 6.20 | (5.51–6.96) | No Steatosis | 288 | 6.20 | (5.51–6.96) | No Steatosis | 288 | 6.20 | (5.51–6.96) |
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| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
|
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| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI |
| 1 | 0.56 | 1.05 | (0.89–1.23) | 1 | 0.59 | 0.91 | (0.65–1.28) | 1 | 0.03 * | 0.37 | (0.15–0.90) |
| 2 | 0.56 | 1.05 | (0.89–1.23) | 2 | 0.58 | 0.91 | (0.64–1.28) | 2 | 0.03 * | 0.37 | (0.15–0.90) |
| 3 | 0.54 | 1.05 | (0.89–1.24) | 3 | 0.73 | 0.94 | (0.67–1.33) | 3 | 0.03 * | 0.38 | (0.16–0.92) |
| † FM | 0.66 | 1.04 | (0.88–1.22) | † FM | 0.95 | 0.99 | (0.70–1.40) | † FM | 0.07 | 0.44 | (0.18–1.06) |
p < 0.05,
p < 0.01,
p < 0.001
FM indicates Final Model
Footnote:
Model 1 includes VOI (variable of interest) and demographics; Model 2 includes Model 1 terms with the addition of comorbidities, and liver disease etiologies; Model 3 includes Model 2 terms with the addition of hepatic variables, MELD score, and liver laboratory markers; Model 4 includes Model 3 terms with the addition of donor demographics
To supplement the earlier findings, further analysis was conducted to identify the role of the presence of mixed steatosis in donor liver grafts as a prognostic risk factor for all-cause mortality, graft failure and other specific aetiologies of death. Supplementary Tables S3 and S6 demonstrate the incidence rates of the outcomes of all-cause mortality and graft failure in the patient cohorts with mixed steatosis and pure macro-and micro-steatosis respectively. Supplementary Tables S4 and S7 indicate the results from the sequential Cox regression analysis using mixed steatosis and pure macro-and micro-steatosis as prognostic risk factors for specific aetiologies of death respectively.
Discussion
This analysis evaluates the effect of various grades of hepatic macro-or micro-steatosis of a LT donor organ on post-LT outcomes, particularly highlighting notable causes of mortality which appear to influence post-LT prognosis. To our knowledge, this is the largest sample size of patients analysing hepatic steatosis in relation to LT outcomes. Additionally, this study is novel in that it includes stratification of steatosis across severity of both macro-and micro-steatosis and further specification according to various causes of mortality. This allows for identification of particularly vulnerable LT recipients to better define parameters for recipients of steatotic grafts. Additionally, the highlighted causes of mortality in our analysis can also be used to help guide management post-LT.
Our analysis found that among recipients who received a donor organ with any evidence of macro-or micro-steatosis, there was no statistically significant change in all-cause mortality or graft failure, when compared to those with no steatosis. However, analysis of specific causes of mortality revealed that among recipients that received a donor organ with grade 2 macro-steatosis, there was statistically increased mortality due to cardiac arrest. Recipients of a donor organ with grade 1 macro-steatosis had a statistically greater incidence of mortality due to transplant rejection. Regarding micro-steatosis, recipients of a donor liver with grade 1 micro-steatosis donor livers had greater mortality due to graft rejection.
Current guidance regarding the use of grafts with steatosis is unclear and relies on physician discretion. There are various permutations in the literature in regards to the quantitative degree of and pure versus mixed composition of steatosis. This study's findings of an absence of statistical difference in all-cause mortality related to the presence or severity of neither macro-or micro-steatosis as compared to donor organs without steatosis may indicate a viable donor organ option that overall does not impact post-transplant mortality regardless of the degree or pure versus mixed nature of steatosis, which is novel to this study. This finding is supported by Han et al. which demonstrates that when specifically controlling for pure micro-steatosis (5%–50%), there was no significant impact on post-operative recipient and graft survival, similar to findings in this study (17). These data are however complicated specifically in the setting of donation after circulatory death as Bath et al. reports that recipients demonstrated worse outcomes in the setting of macro-and micro-steatosis, revealing sub-groups that conflict with these conclusions from Han et al. and this study (17,18). As such when paired with the appropriate recipient with minimal co-morbidities and consideration for circulatory compromise, suboptimal grafts with evidence of steatosis may be successful with benefits outweighing the risks (19). This may further suggest that management of complications and co-morbidities play a crucial role in post-LT prognosis. Careful identification and management of vulnerabilities and patient co-morbidities may therefore allow for expansion of the pool of viable donor livers to meet the increasing demand for organs (20). Han et al. further shows that varying degrees of micro-steatosis do not impact outcomes in the mixed setting of macro-steatosis, which similar to this study demonstrates how outcomes were not influenced by the quantitative degree of steatosis (17). However, this conclusion does not rule out complications due to macro-steatosis, as demonstrated by a retrospective study by Spitzer et al. which identified macro-steatosis to be an independent risk factor for graft failure at one year.21 More specifically in the setting of ischaemia and reperfusion with intermittent hepatic inflow occlusion, significant changes in transaminases were observed in analysis of macro-steatosis, not replicated in grafts with pure micro-steatosis (22). Although transaminases do not clinically equate to all-cause mortality in this study, this raises concern regarding macro-steatosis notably is not replicated in this study. Some key differences may explain the difference in results. Spitzer et al. used a follow-up period of 1 year which is more concerning for short-term risk factors of graft failure, while our analysis evaluates risk in more long-term LT prognosis with median follow-up times of 3.53–3.70 years (21). Additionally, graft failure in their study was defined as either re-transplantation or recipient death, which differs from our endpoint of graft failure as registered in the UNOS database (21). As such, it is possible that macro-steatosis may still contribute to graft failure in the short term which is captured by our study, while also not affecting long-term mortality outcomes.
Our results identified mortality particularly in the setting of cardiac arrest and graft rejection. This is similar to observations in previous studies that identify cardiovascular events as a leading cause of non-graft-related mortality in LT with risks of cardiovascular events after 1 and 3 years post-LT of 4.5% and 10.1% (23). One study in 2012 by Albeldawi et al. assessed cardiovascular events among recipients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) as the indication for transplant and reported 15.3% and 19.3% cumulative risk of cardiovascular events (at 1 and 3 years post-LT respectively), significantly elevated from the aforementioned risk generally across all LT. Albeldawi's study also identified hypertension and diabetes, independent from NASH diagnosis, to be associated with nearly twice the risk of cardiovascular events (24). As such, it can be extrapolated that the increased oxidative stress and lipid peroxidation associated with metabolic syndromes such as NASH poses a cardiovascular risk (25). However, distinct from our analysis, these studies reveal the impact of metabolic syndrome on the hepatic graft post-LT. Our analysis shows a similar result of cardiovascular vulnerability in the setting of steatosis of the donor hepatic graft on post-LT outcomes, which may suggest persistence of these metabolic dysfunction-related risks presenting post-transplantation. As such, similar management strategies of modifiable risk factors such as diabetes, obesity and hypertension are warranted in this population of LT recipients regardless of their metabolic health.
The absence of significant difference in mortality secondary to coagulopathy in the setting of grade 3 steatosis may be the result of a more cautionary approach to the use of grafts with grade 3 macro-or micro-steatosis, especially given that literature suggests that grafts with higher grades of steatosis led more frequently to graft dysfunction. One study in particular attributed >30% macro-steatosis to be associated with a relative risk of 1.71 and as such transplant centres likely avoid use of grafts with grade 3 severity unless necessary with the benefits of a suboptimal graft outweighing its risks (21,26). If we revisit how our study revealed no statistical change in all-cause mortality due to grade 3 macro-or micro-steatotic grafts, it could be that current avoidance of higher grade steatotic grafts optimally removes the grafts most likely to fail from our study and thus optimal management of grade 3 steatosis requires further investigation.
Our findings of specific causes of death according to type of steatosis and severity reveals what specific qualities of a recipient should be evaluated to mitigate complications and mortality, as well as to identify optimal recipients for these suboptimal grafts. Limitations of this study include the retrospective model of study, which is subject to selection bias and limited collected data to expose confounding factors related to mortality and definitions may vary between entries. As such, the UNOS-STAR database may not capture all details or confounders that influence mortality seen in this population. In order to minimize bias, cohorts were matched and adjusted for donor demographics, co-morbidities and donor and recipient profiles. The modality through which severity of hepatic steatosis was determined poses another possible limitation. Data regarding the presence of micro-steatosis or macro-steatosis were obtained through the UNOS registry. UNOS requires institutions to stain pathology slides through standardized protocols to discern severity of steatosis. However, there may have been variable interpretation techniques among each participating institution and pathologist, thereby introducing a source of bias. Furthermore, biopsy data regarding presence and severity of fibrosis were unfortunately not available in the registry, findings of which may have a notable impact on graft outcomes. Although histological presence of fibrosis was not available, the prevalence of cirrhosis and diagnostic indications for orthotopic liver transplantation were included in the univariate analysis. Finally, a limitation in interpretation of these results is the lack of data to correlate mortality to time post-LT. Given that more likely rejection types and immune responses differ according to the amount of time post-LT, it would be important to investigate how causes of mortality may or may not be affected during various stages or amount of time post-LT in future studies.
The need for hepatic grafts is growing and the proportion of the population impacted by hepatic steatosis is expanding; it is important to consider the use of steatotic hepatic grafts in the setting of limited optimal donor organs, especially given the high risk of mortality from end-stage hepatic dysfunction (20,27). This study importantly identifies prognostic and mortality factors that pose a risk to LT recipients of steatotic grafts. With results which show no significant change in mortality but rather significance in causes of mortality including cardiac arrest and graft rejection management can be directed towards preventing and identifying such risks as it pertains to management in the setting of a graft with hepatic steatosis.
Conclusion
This study attempted to identify the effect of the presence and severity of hepatic steatosis of a donor liver on post-transplant outcomes. Our analysis demonstrated no significant difference in all-cause mortality or graft failure among recipients who received a donor liver with any degree of micro-or macro-steatosis. Further analysis identified significantly increased mortality due to specific aetiologies, including cardiac and graft rejection among recipients receiving donor organs with varying grades of macro-and micro-steatosis.
Supplementary Material
Supplementary Figure 1. Forest plot of adjusted hazard ratios from the final model of the Cox regression analysis graft failure as the outcome in a cohort of liver transplant recipients who received grafts with donor macrovesicular steatosis.
Supplementary Figure 2. Forest plot of adjusted hazard ratios from the final model of the Cox regression analysis graft failure as the outcome in a cohort of liver transplant recipients who received grafts with donor microvesicular steatosis.
Footnotes
Conflict of Interest Statement:
The authors of this manuscript certify they share no affiliation or involvement with any organization or entity with any financial interest or non-financial interest in the subject matter or materials discussed in this manuscript. None declared.
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Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Supplementary Materials
Supplementary Figure 1. Forest plot of adjusted hazard ratios from the final model of the Cox regression analysis graft failure as the outcome in a cohort of liver transplant recipients who received grafts with donor macrovesicular steatosis.
Supplementary Figure 2. Forest plot of adjusted hazard ratios from the final model of the Cox regression analysis graft failure as the outcome in a cohort of liver transplant recipients who received grafts with donor microvesicular steatosis.
