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. 2024 Oct 3;19(10):e0309796. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0309796

Time to major adverse drug reactions and its predictors among children on antiretroviral treatment at northwest Amhara selected public hospitals northwest; Ethiopia, 2023

Bantegizie Senay Tsega 1, Abebe Habtamu 2, Moges Wubie 2, Animut Takele Telayneh 2, Bekalu Endalew 2, Samuel Derbie Habtegiorgis 2, Molla Yigzaw Birhanu 2, Worku Misganaw Kebede 3, Keralem Anteneh Bishaw 4,*
Editor: Edmund Tetteh Nartey5
PMCID: PMC11449323  PMID: 39361573

Abstract

Background

Adverse drug reaction is one of the emerging challenges in antiretroviral treatment. Determining the incidence rate and predictors among children on antiretroviral treatment (ART) is essential to improve treatment outcomes and minimize harm. And also, evidence regarding the time to major adverse drug reactions and its predictors among children on antiretroviral treatment is limited in Ethiopia.

Objective

This study aimed to assess the time to major adverse drug reaction and its predictors among children on antiretroviral treatment at selected public hospitals in Northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

Method

A retrospective cohort study was conducted among 380 children on antiretroviral treatment who enrolled from June 27, 2017, to May 31, 2022. Data was collected using a structured data extraction checklist. Data were entered into Epidata 4.6 and analyzed using STATA 14. The incidence rate of major adverse drug reactions was determined per person/months. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to identify predictors of major adverse drug responses. A p-value less than 0.05 with a 95% CI was used to declare statistical significance.

Result

The minimum and maximum follow-up time was 6 and 59 months, respectively. The study participants were followed for a total of 9916 person-months. The incidence rate of major adverse drug reactions was 3.5 /1000 person–months. Advanced clinical stages of HIV/AIDS (III and IV) [adjusted hazard ratio = 7.3, 95% CI: 2.74–19.60)], poor treatment adherence [adjusted hazard ratio = 0.33, 95% CI: 0.21–0.42], taking antiretroviral treatment twice and more [adjusted hazard ratio = 3.43, 955 CI: (1.26–9.33)] and not taking opportunistic infection prophylaxis [adjusted hazard ratio = 0.35, 95% CI: 0.23–0.52)] were predictors of major adverse drug reactions.

Conclusion

The incidence rate of major adverse drug reactions among children on antiretroviral treatment was congruent with studies in Ethiopia. Advanced clinical stages of HIV/AIDS, poor treatment adherence, taking antiretroviral treatment medications twice or more, and not taking opportunistic infection prophylaxis were predictors of major adverse drug reactions.

Introduction

Globally, more than 2 million children worldwide are infected with HIV; approximately 90% of them live in Sub-Saharan Africa. Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest burden of HIV/AIDS in the world. It remained the most severely affected region, accounting for 71% of all new HIV infections, with an estimated 430,000 new HIV infections among children less than 15 years [13].

In Ethiopia, the national HIV prevalence was 0.9, and 21,146 children < 15 years are taking antiretroviral therapy [4]. Infants and young children infected with HIV have exceptionally higher morbidity and mortality. Without intervention, up to 52% and 75% of children die before the age of two (2) and five (5) years, respectively. And also, when children begin ART therapy, severe medication reactions and poor adherence are significant challenges [4].

Adverse drug reactions (ADRs) are undesirable effects of drugs administered at recommended doses via the recommended method of administration for prevention and treatment [5]. It affected both the healthcare system and the patients. ART-related side effects range from acute to potentially fatal adverse effects of ART and often need an emergency cessation of drugs [6]. ADRs of antiretroviral (ARV) drugs and other medicines are recognized as the primary cause of mortality among people with HIV/AIDs [7]. ADRs are common in ART patients, leading to treatment failure, regimen modifications, poor adherence, and treatment discontinuation [8]. Up to 25% of patients discontinue their initial ART regimen during the first eight months of therapy due to ADRs [9].

Adverse drug reactions (ADRs) can affect the efficacy of antiretroviral therapy in children in several ways. It can result in treatment interruptions or discontinuance and reduce treatment adherence, which leads to viral rebound and drug resistance. ADRs can damage organs or cause other major health issues, which require additional medical interventions and increase healthcare costs. It affects children’s and families quality of life, including physical discomfort, emotional stress, and social isolation [10, 11].

A study in Namibia found that the earliest adverse effect was Neverapine-induced rash, with onset times averaging seven (7) days and ranging from five (5) days to two (2) weeks after the ART drug started. Hepatotoxicity was initially observed on average 1.7 years after starting antiretroviral treatment, with a range of 1 month to 5 years. Zidovudine (AZT) caused anemia, with a mean hemoglobin drop of 4.2–2.3 gm/dl [12]. A study in Nigeria also found that anemia and skin rash were the most typical ADRs observed. Almost 45% of ADRs occurred within the first three months of treatment [13]. Furthermore, clinical hepatitis, peripheral neuropathy, and lipodystrophy are reported as ADRs of ART [14].

The incidence rate of ADRs among HIV patients ART was 4.1 per 100 person-years [15]. A study in Ethiopia reported that more than ninety percent (90.74%) of participants developed ADRs within one (1) year. It was most frequently reported in patients with advanced WHO clinical stage of HIV, lower body mass index (BMI), those with poor adherence, and Tenofovir (TDF)—Lamivudine (3TC)-Efavirenz (EFV) regimen [16].

Many factors affect the incidence of adverse drug reactions, but the most significant ones were a decrease lower CD4 cell count, advanced WHO HIV/AIDS clinical stages, not taking opportunistic infection prophylaxis, a Tenofovir (TDF)–Nevirapine (NVP) containing regimen, being bedridden at the time of treatment initiation, and concurrent treatment administration [1720].

WHO revised ART guidelines multiple times, and ADRs was the main reason [21, 22]. Evidence regarding time to major adverse drug reactions (MADRs) and its predictors in Ethiopia for Dolutegravir (DTG)-based ART regimens is scarce. And also, there is no published study in the study setting. Therefore, the study aimed to assess the time to MADRs incidence and its predictors among HIV-positive children on antiretroviral therapy at selected public hospitals in Northwest Ethiopia.

Methods

Study area, setting, and population

This hospital-based retrospective cohort study was conducted at selected public hospitals of the northwest Amhara region from June 27, 2017, to May 31, 2022, with ART services beginning after the 2017 G.C. The study included Felege Hiwot Comprehensive Specialized Hospital (FHCSH), Adet Primary Hospital, Finote Selam General Hospital, and Debre Markos Comprehensive Specialized Hospital (DMCSH). The study settings are 565km, 510km, 385km, and 299 km, respectively, away from Addis Ababa, the capital city of Ethiopia. The 2022 zonal report and the ART registry logbook reported that FHCSH, Adet Primary Hospital, Finote Selam General Hospital, and DMCSH provided ART for 6984, 221, 2052, and 3880 patients, respectively. In all selected hospitals, trained General practitioners, nurses, and public health officers provide ART services. The study’s source population included all children under the age of 15 years who were receiving ART services at public hospitals in Northwest Amhara. All under 15 children who had ART follow-up at selected northwest Amhara region public hospitals from June 27, 2017, to May 31, 2022, were the study population. Patients with incomplete medical records, such as regimen type and date of enrolment on ART, were excluded from the study. The data extraction period was from February 15 to March 30/2023.

Sampling size determination

The sample size was determined using the survival analysis formula by considering the assumption of 95% CI and a study power of 80%, Hazard rate (3.2) from the previous study at Bahirdar, Ethiopia [23]. The number of events (E) calculated using the formula = (Za/2+zB) 2/ (PQ) (logHR) 2, where = Za/2 = 1.96, ZB = 0.84, HR = 3.2, p = proportion of subjects for the exposed group is = 0.5 in the exposed group, and Q = proportion of subjects in unexposed group = 0.5 according to freedman principle. Based on the calculation, the event was 24. The sample size was determined using the formula = Event (E) / P (E), where P (E) = probability of an event (0.098) from an input of the freedman principle. The study’s final sample size was 402 after considering the replacement of missed medical records and the design effect (1.5).

Sampling technique and sampling procedure

A multi-stage sampling procedure was used in the study. First, a simple random sampling (lottery) method was used to select from all public health hospitals that began providing ART services earlier than 2017. Then, the proportional allocation was done for elected public hospitals based on the number of the study population. Furthermore, using medical record number at each hospital from June 27, 2017, to May 31, 2022, were considered, and a random number was generated using a computer. Finally, each study participant was selected using a computer-generated simple random sampling technique (Fig 1).

Fig 1. Schematic diagram representation the sampling procedure of the study, northwest Amhara region public health hospital among children on ART, 2023.

Fig 1

Variables and operational definitions

Dependent variable. Time to develop major adverse drug reactions (MADRs).

Independent variables

  • Socio-demographic Factors: Age, sex, residence, parental aliveness, primary care giver, primary care giver HIV status, parent educational status

  • Clinical and Immunological Drug Factors: Immune status, WHO clinical stage of HIV, chronic illness, opportunistic infections, base line CD4 count, base line HGB, base line functional status, baseline developmental status, BMI for age, baseline viral load, base line and weight for height.

  • ART Drug Regimen Type and Prophylaxis Related Factors: Type of initial regimen, INH, Cotrimoxazole prophylaxis, treatment adherence, frequency dose.

MADRs

It is defined in this study as having any one of the features recorded as drug complaints about seeking care and resulted in either hospitalization, regimen change or switch/discontinued /and disability in the patient’s body function: anemia, skin rash, elevated organ functional test, hepatotoxicity, CNS toxicity, and other rare conditions.

Event

A patient outcome who reported at least one of the listed MADRs.

Censored

Patients lost to follow up, dead and not develop MADRs till end of study.

Functional status

Was described as working, ambulatory, bedridden.

Working

Go to school, do normal activities, or play [24].

Ambulatory

Able to perform activities of daily living [24].

Bedridden

Not able to perform activities of daily living [24].

Time to adverse drug reaction

The time gap in months between being put on ART to the development of the first episode of ART adverse drug reactions [16].

Good adherence

If took ≥ 95% or (<2 doses of 30 doses or <3 doses of 60 doses is missed) as documented by the ART healthcare provider [16].

Poor adherence

If it is less than 85%, the patient is considered to have poor adherence if they missed more than six of every 30 doses or more than nine of every 60 doses [16].

Appropriate development

Milestones are things most children can do by a certain age. Skills such as taking a first step, smiling for the first time, and waving “bye-bye” are called developmental milestones [25].

Delay development

Is considered when a child takes longer to reach certain development milestones than other children their age [25].

Developmental regression

Is when a child who has reached a certain developmental stage begins to lose previously acquired milestones [26].

Severe anemia

(Hemoglobin <7g/dl in children aged 6–59 months and <8g/dl in children aged 5–14 years) [13].

Data collection checklist and procedure

Charts were gathered at each hospital’s ART clinic using their medical record numbers. Medical cards were collected and provided to data collectors with the assistance of card room staff. The data was extracted from each patient’s record chart using a data extraction checklist prepared using reviewed literature and the ART treatment guideline [4, 23, 27]. Six (6) BSC nurses and four (4) MSc nurses worked as data collectors and supervisors, respectively.

Data quality control

Nurses who took ART training served as data collectors. Both data collectors and supervisors were trained regarding data collection and the study’s purpose. The supervisors and the primary investigator provided close supervision. A pretest was done using a 5% sample size (21) at DMCSH and FHCSH.

Data analysis

Data was entered into Epi Data 4.6 and analyzed using SATA 14. Data was processed to generate the survival time to develop adverse drug reaction. Incidence rate MADRs was calculated per 1000 patients–months. Model fitness was checked using the log–log-rank graphical technique and Schoenfeld residual. A multivariable Cox regression hazard model was fitted for variables with a p-value of ≤ 0.25 in bivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model to identify predictors of the outcome variable. The adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) and a P-value of 0.05 was used to determine the strength of the association and statistical significance.

Ethical approval

Ethical approval was secured from the research ethical committee of Debre Markos, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, with approval number MHSC/R/C/TT/D122/11/15. And also, a permission letter was secured from each hospital. Furthermore, because this was a retrospective study based on medical records of patents, individual assent was not applicable. The ethics committee formally waived for extraction of data from patient’s medical records to meet the study’s goal. Data collection started once hospital managers granted permission. All patient information was kept confidential.

Results

Sociodemographic characteristics

A total of 380 study participants’ charts were included in the analysis. More than half (57.9% of the children were females. Nearly two third (64.2%) of children were in the age category of 5–15 years. The baseline age of the study participants was 11–180 months, and the mean age was 89.27 (SD + 2.42) months (Table 1).

Table 1. Baseline socio-demographic characteristics participants at selected public health selected public hospital, northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

(n = 380).

Variables Category Frequency (%)
Age <24 months 60 (15.79%)
24–60 months 76 (20.00%)
60–120 months 124 (32.63%)
≥120 months 120 (31.58%)
Sex Male 160 (42.11%)
Female 220 (57.89%)
Residence Urban 168 (44.21%)
Rural 212 (55.79%)
Parental aliveness Both alive 290 (76.32%)
Mother died 15 (3.95%)
Father died 15 (3.95%)
Both died 8 (2.11%)
Not known 52 (13.68%)
Primary care giver Parent 317 (83.42%)
None parent 63 (16.58%)
Marital status of caregiver Married 373 (98.16%)
Single 7 (1.84%)
HIV status of caregiver Positive 312 (82.11%)
Negative 43 (11.32%)
Unknown 25 (6.58%)
Age of caregiver (years) 20–35 223 (58.68%)
≥35 157 (41.32%)

Baseline clinical, immunological, ART drug and prophylaxis related characteristics

More than one-third (36.5%) of study participants were in WHO clinical stage 2 of HIV/AIDS. More than half of the study participants (60.16%) used DTG-based ART regimens. Three hundred fifty-three (92.89%) participants had a CD4 count of more than or equal to 200 cells/mm3, and one hundred eleven (29.21%) of the study participants had OI. Almost the majority of the subjects (99.47%) had a viral load of 1000cop/mm3. Over 90% (354) of research participants received OI prophylaxis (Table 2).

Table 2. Baseline clinical, immunological, ART drug and prophylaxis related characteristics participants at selected public health selected public hospital, northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

(n = 380).

Variables Categories Frequency (%)
ART drug regimen DTG / Other based 229 (60.26%)
LPV/r based 14 (3.68%)
EFV based 81 (21.32%)
NVP based 56 (14.74%)
Baseline WHO stage Stage I 107 (28.16%)
Stage II 137 (36.05%)
Stage III 116 (30.53%)
Stage IV 20 (5.26%)
Opportunistic infection Yes 111 (29.21%)
No 269 (70.79%)
Baseline viral load <1000 378 (99.47%)
≥1000 2 (.53%)
Baseline HGB level <11 7 (1.84%)
11–12 130 (34.21%)
≥12 243 (63.95%)
Baseline CD4 count <200 27 (7.11%)
≥200 353 (92.89%)
Developmental status age <5 years (110) Appropriate 102 (92.73%)
Delayed 8 (7.27%)
Functional status age (5–15 years) Working 108 (40%)
Ambulatory 142 (52.59%)
Bedridden 20 (7.41%)
Baseline weight for height > - 1 z-score 79 (73.15%)
< -1 and > -2 z- score 22 (20.37%)
< -2 and > -3 z-score 2 (1.85%)
< -3 z- score 5 (4.63%)
BMI for age (5–15 years > -1 z-score 208 (76.47%)
< -1 and > -2 z- score 60 (22.06%)
< -2 and > - 3 z- score 4 (1.4%)
OI prophylaxis given Yes 354 (93.16%)
No 26 (6.84%)
INH prophylaxis Yes 260 (68.42%)
No 120 (31.58%)
Adherence to ART drug Good adherence 349 (91.84%)
Fair / poor adherence 31 (8.16%)
ART drug intake frequency Once per day 147 (38.68%)
Twice or more per day 233 (61.32%)
Current status of patient Alive 340 (89.47%)
Dead and lost follow up 10 (2.63%)
Transfer out and transfer to adult 30 (7.89%)

Incidence of major adverse drug reaction

The minimum and maximum follow-up times were 6 and 59 months, respectively, with a total follow-up time was 9916 months. Of the participants in the study, 35 (9.21%) experienced MADRs. The incidence rate of MADRs was 3.53 per 1000 person-months. Of those who experienced MADRs, 57.14%, 20%, and 17.14% of study participants experienced them in the 6th, 12th, and 18th months. Anemia, severe skin rash, hepatotoxicity, CNS toxicity, renal problem, and others accounted for MADRs of 31.43%, 28.57%, 17.14%, 8.57%, 8.57%, and 5.71%, respectively.

The incidence rate of MADRs among females and males was 4.2/4278 and 3/5638 person months observation, respectively. The incidence rates of MADRs on ART medication regimens based on NVP, EFV, and DTG were 0.010/2232, 0.0028/3167, 0.0029/341, and 0.00071/4225 person-months observation time, respectively. Patients with good adherence had an incidence rate of 0.0022/9021, and those with fair or poor adherence had a MADRs incidence rate of 0.017/895 person months, respectively. The incidence rates of MADRs were 3/9055 and 8.1/860 person-months of observation, respectively, among individuals who received prophylaxis and those who did not. Incidence rates for MADRs were 0.0019/6192 and 0.0061/3724 person months, respectively, among persons in WHO clinical stages I, II, III, and IV (S1 Table).

Median survival time among children on ART

The study’s findings showed that children on ART had a median survival duration of 57 months. However, because the study had fewer events, restricted mean survival time was used, over the median survival time, which indicated the maximum event time [28]. The mean survival time using the restricted mean was 51.78 (95% CI: 49.89–53.66) months. However, among patients who had experienced the event (MADRs), the median survival time was 42 months (Fig 2).

Fig 2. Kaplan Meier curve estimate of overall survival status of children on ART drug at selected public hospital, northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

Fig 2

(n = 380).

Assessing the proportional hazard assumption

According to the proportional hazard assumption, the study subjects’ risk of failing must be constant over the course of their follow-up. The Schoenfeld residual assumption test (phtest) and a log-log probability plot of the graph were used to visually assess the model’s fitness (chi-square = 4.81, P-value = 0.6826). The log-log probability plot of the graph and the phtest results showed that all required proportional hazard assumptions were satisfied (S2 Table).

Comparative analysis of models

Semi-parametric and parametric proportional hazard models analysis was also done to select the most fitted model for overall model fitness to estimate the survival incidence of MADRs and its predictors among participants. Using information criterion (AIC) and log-likelihood results. Based on all three comparisons, the Gompertz regression model chosen to have a lower AIC value (AIC = 66.78037, BIC = 114.0624, log likelihood = -21.390184) was more efficient than Cox-PH and other parametric models (S3 Table).

Kaplan Meier survival curves

Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed the survival difference between groups and the timing of the MADRs in the survival rates. The difference in the research participants’ baseline WHO clinical stage of HIV/AIDS III& IV was associated with a significant increase in the development of MADRs compared to counterparts (long rank test chi-square = 9.91 and p-value = 0.0016) (S1 Fig). This study also reported that children with good adherence status had a better survival rate than fair/poor adherence to ART (S2 Fig). In addition, this study found that a difference in time to MADRs was observed in children who took ART drugs once per day and those who took twice or more (S3 Fig). Finally, this study found that there is a significant difference in time to MADRs between children on ART who received OI prophylaxis and those who did not (S4 Fig).

Predictors of time to MADRs among HIV positive children on ART

OI prophylaxis, INH prophylaxis, adherence to ART drug, ART drug intake frequency, WHO clinical stage of disease, and OI infection were associated with time to MADRs in the bivariate cox-regression model with a p-value less than or equal to 0.25. In multivariable cox-regression, only predictors such as adherence to ART drug, ART drug intake frequency, WHO clinical stage of disease, and OI prophylaxis remained statistically significant at a p-value less than 0.05.

This study revealed that the hazard-developing MADRs among patients with advanced WHO clinical stage of HIV/AIDS was 3.51 times higher than stage I and II patients [AHR = 3.51, (95% CI, 1.41–8.76)]. The hazard of developing MADRs among patients who took ART drugs twice or more per day was 3.43 times more likely at risk of developing MADRs than those who once per day [(AHR = 3.43, (95%CI, (1.26–9.33)]. And also, this study revealed that the hazard of developing MADRs among patients with fair or poor adherence is 6.40 times higher risk compared to counterparts [(AHR = 6.40, (95%CI, (3.14–13.04)]. Finally, this found that patients who didn’t take prophylaxis for opportunistic were 3.09 times more likely to develop MADRs compared to their counterparts [AHR = 3.09, (95%CI, 1.17–8.16)] (Table 3).

Table 3. Bivariate and multivariate cox regression analysis predictor variables of time to the development of MADRs participants at selected public health selected public hospital, northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

(n = 380).

Variables Categories Survival status CHR(95%CI) AHR(95%CI) P-value
Event Censored
Adherence to ART drug Good adherence 21 328 1.00 1.00
Fair/poor adherence 14 17 9.74(4.8–19.39) 6.40(3.14–13.04) 0.001
Baseline WHO clinical stage of HIV I and II 11 233 1.00 1.00
III and IV 24 112 2.90(1.44–5.86) 3.51(1.41–8.76) 0.007
Taking OI Prophylaxis Yes 29 325 1.00 1.00
No 6 20 2.64(1.14–6.09) 3.09(1.17–8.16) 0.022
ART drug intake frequency Once per day 6 141 1.00 1.00
≥2 times per day 29 204 2.52(0.97–6.54) 3.43(1.26–9.33) 0.016
Being infected with OI Yes 14 97 1.00 1.00
No 21 248 0.81(0.33–1.30) 0.65(0.39–1.86) 0.697

Discussion

The effect of adverse drug reactions on antiretroviral treatment efficacy depends on the type and severity of the adverse drug reactions (ADRs) and the timing of the adverse drug reaction. The timing of adverse drug reactions in HIV patients is a critical public health concern for ART treatment adherence and retention. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the time to MADRs and its predictors among HIV/AIDS-positive children on ART. The study reported that 9.21% of participants developed MADRs with an incidence rate of 3.5/1000 (PM) person per month of follow-up with 95% CI [2.5–4.9]. This finding is consistent with studies in Ethiopia and Nigeria [15, 2931] supported this evidence.

In this study, females had a higher incidence of MADRs than males, with 4.2/4278 and 3/5638, respectively. This finding is consistent with studies in Debre Markos (Ethiopia), and Mali [30, 32]. This might be due to sex-related differences in adverse drug reactions (ADRs) to antiretroviral drugs, where females report ADRs at a higher rate than males beginning at puberty [33, 34]. The incidence of MADRs among NVP-based ART drug regimens was higher than EFV-based ART, which was 0.010/2232 and 0.0028/3167, respectively. Studies in Ethiopia supported this evidence [27, 30]. This is due to the lower rate of severe adverse drug reactions in EFV compared to NFV, particularly treatment discontinuations [35].

This study reported that the cumulative probability of surviving without developing MADRs was 0.99, 0.99, 0.95, 0.83, and 0.85 in 1st year, 2nd year, 3rd year, 4th year, and 5th year, respectively, and the cumulative survival without experiencing MADRs is 92.2%. This result is higher than studies from Ethiopia [16, 29, 30]. This could be due to the current recommendation of DTG-based ART drug regimens rather than previous NVP and EFV-based regimens because DTG-based drug regimens are less toxic than NVP and EFV-based regimens. Newer ART drug regimens, such as DTG-based regimens, are associated with fewer adverse drug effects [36].

This study revealed that patients in the advanced clinical stage at the initiation of ART had a 3.85 times higher risk of developing MADRs at any time compared to patients in clinical stages II and I. The finding is consistent with studies in Ethiopia, where clients in the advanced clinical stage of the disease were more likely to develop MADRs [23, 30, 37, 38]. Patients at advanced clinical stages of HIV/AIDS often had significant immunosuppression, characterized by lower CD4 counts. This immunocompromised state can increase susceptibility to infections and raise the occurrence of adverse reactions due to the body’s decreased ability to handle the stress of new ART drugs. Many children reporting adverse drug reactions had CD4 counts < 300 cells/mm3, indicating a link between immunosuppression and the occurrence of adverse drug reactions [39]. In addition, advanced clinical stages are often associated with high viral loads. A high viral load can have an impact on the pharmacodynamics of ART, perhaps increasing toxicity or causing adverse effects as the body fights to handle both the viral infection and the side effects of the drugs. This dual burden can exacerbate the risk of experiencing MADRs.

Furthermore, children with advanced stages may require more complex ART regimens, including combinations of multiple drugs, to adequately treat their illness. The complexity of these regimens raises the risk of drug-drug interactions and adverse reactions, as the possibility of suffering side effects is often associated with the number of medications taken concurrently.

The hazard of developing MADRs among children who did not take OI prophylaxis was 3.09 times higher risk compared to their counterparts. Studies in Bahirdar and North West Amhara Specialized Hospitals [23, 37] supported this finding. Children without OI prophylaxis are at a greater risk of developing opportunistic infections. The presence of OI infections can complicate treatment and increase the likelihood of MADRs, as the body may react more severely to the combination of ART and the stress of an ongoing infection.

Children with poor adherence to ART drugs had a 6.4 higher risk of experiencing MADRs than patients with good adherence. A study in West Hararghe Zone supported this finding [16]. This could be due to children with poor adherence to ART drugs are more likely to develop co-morbidities or OI as a result of weakened immunity, which puts them at a higher risk of MADRs due to drug-drug interactions when taking extra drugs to treat OI infection. Poor adherence results in inconsistent and low therapeutic drug levels, which can lead to resistance and raise the risk of MADRs due to the use of alternative drugs with distinct adverse effect profiles, potentially increasing the risk of ADRs. Children with poor adherence may face various psychological challenges, including a lack of support, stigma, or a misunderstanding of their treatment plan. These conditions can exacerbate the likelihood of experiencing ADRs since they may not disclose side effects or seek care soon, resulting in more adverse severe reactions.

Finally, this study revealed that the risk of developing MADRs in children who took ART >2(two) times/ day increased by 43% compared to those who took once/ day. This study is supported by national ART treatment guideline [22]. This could be because patients who take ART medications twice a day or more are more prone to forget their drug intake dose, which results in decreased immunity and MADRs.

The finding has important clinical implications for reducing the incidence of MADRs by enhancing patients’ ART adherence to prevent opportunistic infection and advanced-stage HIV/AIDS. The finding is also important for policymakers in developing strategies and integrated clinical intervention to prevent poor treatment adherence, the occurrence of opportunistic infection, and the advanced stage of HIV/AIDS. Finally, it had public health importance by preventing economic loss associated with HIV/AIDS and adverse drug reactions.

Conclusions

The overall incidence rate MADRs among children on ART was “3.5/1000” person—months. Advanced WHO clinical stage, poor adherence to ART drugs, drug intake frequency, and taking OI prophylaxis were associated with the incidence of MADRs. Therefore, especial emphasis should be given, to patients with advanced clinical stages of HIV/AIDS, poor adherence to ART, and not taking prophylaxis. And also responsible should implement strategies to improve the quality of care given to such patients to prevent poor ART adherence, opportunistic infection, and advanced stage of HIV/AIDS.

Limitation of the study

Because the study was based secondary data, important variables such sociodemographic and clinical characteristics, may be missed due to poor documentation. Additionally, records and measurements made by many people increase the potential of observer bias.

Supporting information

S1 Checklist

(DOCX)

pone.0309796.s001.docx (17.7KB, docx)
S1 Fig. Kaplan Meier curve showing time to the development of MADRs of participants based on WHO clinical stage of HIV/AIDS at selected public hospitals, northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

(n = 380).

(TIF)

pone.0309796.s002.tif (341.1KB, tif)
S2 Fig. Kaplan Meier curve showing time to the development of MADRs of participants based on ART adherence at selected public hospitals, northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

(n = 380).

(TIF)

pone.0309796.s003.tif (338.8KB, tif)
S3 Fig. Kaplan Meier curve showing time to the development of MADRs of participants based on ART frequency intake at selected public hospitals, northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

(n = 380).

(TIF)

pone.0309796.s004.tif (336.9KB, tif)
S4 Fig. Kaplan Meier curve showing time to the development of MADRs of participants based on intake of OI prophylaxis at selected public hospitals, northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

(n = 380).

(TIF)

pone.0309796.s005.tif (342.4KB, tif)
S1 Table. Life table for MADRs survival among children on ART at selected public health selected public hospital, northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

(n = 380).

(DOCX)

pone.0309796.s006.docx (13.5KB, docx)
S2 Table. Global test result of variables among HIV positive children on ART, at selected public hospital northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

(n = 380).

(DOCX)

pone.0309796.s007.docx (12.7KB, docx)
S3 Table. Parametric and semi parametric model comparison among HIV positive children on ART, at selected public hospital northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

(n = 380).

(DOCX)

pone.0309796.s008.docx (12.7KB, docx)

Acknowledgments

We are grateful to Debre Markos University, the College of Medicine and Health Sciences, and the individuals who participated in the study for their cooperation and technical support.

Data Availability

All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information.

Funding Statement

The author(s) received no specific funding for this work.

References

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Decision Letter 0

Edmund Tetteh Nartey

17 Jul 2024

PONE-D-23-20912TIME TO MAJOR ADVERSE DRUG REACTIONS AND ITS PREDICTORS AMONG CHILDREN ON ANTIRETROVIRAL TREATMENT AT NORTHWEST AMHARA  SELECTED PUBLIC HOSPITALS  NORTHWEST; ETHIOPIA, 2023.PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Bishaw,

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

********** 

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: I Don't Know

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

********** 

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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Reviewer #1: My Review Comments

The researchers retrospectively studied time to major adverse drug reactions and its predictors among children on antiretroviral treatment in selected public hospitals in Ethiopia. This study is quite interesting because adverse drug reactions (ADRs) are common in HIV treatment and as the authors rightly put it, determining the incidence rate and predictors of ADRs among children on ART may be useful in improving treatment outcomes and minimizing harm. The authors indicated limited evidence regarding the time to ADRs and its predictors among children on ART in Ethiopia, and this further justified the study.

The researchers employed a structured data extraction checklist to collect data for the study. They further indicated how data was analyzed and how parameters of interest were determined. The authors determined the incident rate of major ADRs per person/month, while they used the Cox proportional hazards regression model to identify predictors of major adverse drug responses. They declare statistical significance when p-values of less than 0.05 at 95% CI were attained.

The researchers followed the participants up for between 6 and 59 months for a total of 9916 person-months and observed an incidence rate of major ADRs of 3.5 / 1000 person-months. From the results of the study, the researchers reported congruence of their observed incidence rate of major ADRs among children on ART with previous studies in Ethiopia. They further reported advanced clinical stages of HIV / AIDS, poor treatment adherence, taking ART medications twice or more, and not taking opportunistic infection prophylaxis as predictors of major ADRs.

Introduction

The introduction was quite well-written. The authors gave some statistics on the global and Sub-Saharan Africa prevalence of HIV/AIDS with some useful information on ensuing ADRs during treatment of affected patients. The authors then narrowed down on similar studies carried out in Namibia, Nigeria, and in Ethiopia.

Method

The study area, setting, and population were well defined, as well as the duration of the recruitment of study participants retrospectively. The data extraction period was also specified to be from February 15 to March 30/2023.

The researchers stated how the sample test for the study was determined. The authors also explained the sampling technique and sampling procedure used to enroll the study participants and this was quite appropriate. Variables and operational definitions were provided by the authors. The authors stated a data collection checklist and procedure that is quite sound. They also included how data quality control was achieved. The researchers gave details on how data was analyzed.

The authors secured ethical clearance for the study and included the approval number. They also secured permissions from the study sites.

Results

A table and description of social demographic characteristics were provided. Under baseline clinical, immunological, ART drug and prophylaxis related characteristics, the researchers stated that more than half of the study participants (60.16%) used DTG-based ART regimens but failed to show what ART drug regimen the remaining 39.84% of the study participants used.

Minor Revision

Abstract

1. Authors should write ART, and AHR in full at first use.

Introduction

2. Paragraph 3 line 5: Authors should write AVR in full at first use.

3. Paragraph 5 line 4: Authors should write AZT in full at first use.

4. Paragraph 6 line 4: Authors should write BMI, and TDF-3TC-EFV in full at first use.

5. Paragraph 7 line 3: Authors should write TDF-NVP in full at first use.

6. Paragraph 8 line 2: Authors should write MADRs, and DTG in full at first use.

Methods

7. Authors should write all abbreviations in full at first use in all sections of the manuscript.

Results

8. Under baseline clinical, immunological, ART drug and prophylaxis related characteristics, the researchers stated that "more than half of the study participants (60.16%) used DTG-based ART regimens" but failed to show what ART drug regimen the remaining 39.84% of the study participants used. The authors should include this data and discuss any observed effect the different ART regimen may have on time to major ADRs in study participants.

Discussion

The discussion was well written.

9. However, the authors compared their findings with previous findings but gave no brief description of such findings. The authors should include very brief description of the previous findings to make their comparison more meaningful.

Reviewer #2: Opening Comments:

This is an important by Bantegizie Senay and colleagues. It sought to retrospectively examine adherence of children infected with HIV to ARTs’ in Amhara in Ethiopia.

The manuscript is well written...

Title:

Time to Major Adverse Drug Reactions and Its Predictors Among Children on Antiretroviral Treatment at Northwest Amhara Selected Public Hospitals Northwest; Ethiopia, 2023.

Abstract

- The abstract is ok, and well structured.

Introduction

- Paragraph 5, line 5: Revise ‘4.18–2.3 gm/dl’ to read 4.2 -2.3 g/dl

- Paragraph 6, line 2: Revise ….’majority of (90.74%)’….to read ….’majority (90.7%) of’ …., and delete the last 2 words (i.e. of ART ) at the end of that sentence.

- Last Paragraph, second line: Write the acronym ‘MADRs’ in full, and put the MADRs in parentheses or bracket here

Methods

Study area, setting, and population

- Revise the first sentence into 2 sentences

- Line 6 and 7, add the respective hospitals to complete that sentence

Data Quality Control

- Last sentence, from Line 4: Should read 5% with the number obtained in parentheses

- Write DMCSH and FHCSH in full

Data Analysis

- Line 2: Correct the error in the acronym MADR’s from MDAR’s

Results

Incidence of major adverse drug reaction

- Line 1, Paragraph 2: Kindly take a second look at the sentence ‘The incidence rate of MADR among females and males was 4.2/4278 and 3/5638 person months’ in comparison with the female: male population in Table 1, Review and confirm that its collaborative and correct

Discussion

- Line 5: Should read…. The study reports that ….

- Second Paragraph, Line 2: Revise to read: ‘in Debre Markos (in Ethiopia) and Mali’.

Conclusions

- Revise the first sentence, especially the quotation of the value ‘3.5/1000’.

Summary

1. Manuscript requires minor revisions indicated.

Thanks

********** 

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

**********

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Attachment

Submitted filename: R_enyn PONE -D-23-20912 R1.docx

pone.0309796.s009.docx (19.4KB, docx)
PLoS One. 2024 Oct 3;19(10):e0309796. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0309796.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 0


15 Aug 2024

Date: August 13, 2024

Manuscript ID: PONE-D-23-20912

Title: Time to Major Adverse Drug Reactions and Its Predictors among Children on Antiretroviral Treatment at Northwest Amhara Selected Public Hospitals Northwest; Ethiopia, 2023.

Response to editors

Dear Editors:

Thank you for sending us your valuable comments, which immensely improved our manuscript. We included all the editorial comments raised and we also enclosed the point by point response of six (6) pages attached here with.

It is my pleasure to inform you that the manuscript was edited meticulously by the English Language expert from Debre Markos University - Ethiopia.

Respectfully,

Bishaw, KA

Corresponding author

Reviewer #1: My Review Comments

The researchers retrospectively studied time to major adverse drug reactions and its predictors among children on antiretroviral treatment in selected public hospitals in Ethiopia. This study is quite interesting because adverse drug reactions (ADRs) are common in HIV treatment and as the authors rightly put it, determining the incidence rate and predictors of ADRs among children on ART may be useful in improving treatment outcomes and minimizing harm. The authors indicated limited evidence regarding the time to ADRs and its predictors among children on ART in Ethiopia, and this further justified the study.

The researchers employed a structured data extraction checklist to collect data for the study. They further indicated how data was analyzed and how parameters of interest were determined. The authors determined the incident rate of major ADRs per person/month, while they used the Cox proportional hazards regression model to identify predictors of major adverse drug responses. They declare statistical significance when p-values of less than 0.05 at 95% CI were attained.

The researchers followed the participants up for between 6 and 59 months for a total of 9916 person-months and observed an incidence rate of major ADRs of 3.5 / 1000 person-months. From the results of the study, the researchers reported congruence of their observed incidence rate of major ADRs among children on ART with previous studies in Ethiopia. They further reported advanced clinical stages of HIV / AIDS, poor treatment adherence, taking ART medications twice or more, and not taking opportunistic infection prophylaxis as predictors of major ADRs.

Introduction

The introduction was quite well-written. The authors gave some statistics on the global and Sub-Saharan Africa prevalence of HIV/AIDS with some useful information on ensuing ADRs during treatment of affected patients. The authors then narrowed down on similar studies carried out in Namibia, Nigeria, and in Ethiopia.

Method

The study area, setting, and population were well defined, as well as the duration of the recruitment of study participants retrospectively. The data extraction period was also specified to be from February 15 to March 30/2023.

The researchers stated how the sample test for the study was determined. The authors also explained the sampling technique and sampling procedure used to enroll the study participants and this was quite appropriate. Variables and operational definitions were provided by the authors. The authors stated a data collection checklist and procedure that is quite sound. They also included how data quality control was achieved. The researchers gave details on how data was analyzed.

The authors secured ethical clearance for the study and included the approval number. They also secured permissions from the study sites.

Results

A table and description of social demographic characteristics were provided. Under baseline clinical, immunological, ART drug and prophylaxis related characteristics, the researchers stated that more than half of the study participants (60.16%) used DTG-based ART regimens but failed to show what ART drug regimen the remaining 39.84% of the study participants used.

Minor Revision

Response: Dear reviewer, thank you the constructive comment.

Abstract

Comment 1: Authors should write ART, and AHR in full at first use.

Response: Dear reviewer, correction was made accordingly and highlighted in the main document

Introduction

Comment 2. Paragraph 3 line 5: Authors should write AVR in full at first use.

Response: Dear, correction was made accordingly and highlighted in the main document

Comment 3. Paragraph 5 line 4: Authors should write AZT in full at first use.

Response: Dear, correction was made accordingly and highlighted in the main document

Comment 4. Paragraph 6 line 4: Authors should write BMI, and TDF-3TC-EFV in full at first use.

Response: Dear, correction was made accordingly and highlighted in the main document

Comment 5. Paragraph 7 line 3: Authors should write TDF-NVP in full at first use.

Response: Dear, correction was made accordingly and highlighted in the main document

Comment 6. Paragraph 8 line 2: Authors should write MADRs, and DTG in full at first use.

Response: Dear, correction was made accordingly and highlighted in the main document

Methods

Comment 7. Authors should write all abbreviations in full at first use in all sections of the manuscript.

Response: Dear, correction was made accordingly and highlighted in the main document

Results

Comment 8. Under baseline clinical, immunological, ART drug and prophylaxis related characteristics, the researchers stated that "more than half of the study participants (60.16%) used DTG-based ART regimens" but failed to show what ART drug regimen the remaining 39.84% of the study participants used. The authors should include this data and discuss any observed effect the different ART regimen may have on time to major ADRs in study participants.

Response: Dear, thank for the constructive comment. Discussion based on this idea was considered and included in the main document.

Discussion

The discussion was well written.

Comment 9. However, the authors compared their findings with previous findings but gave no brief description of such findings. The authors should include very brief description of the previous findings to make their comparison more meaningful.

Response: Dear, thank for the constructive comment. Correction was considered and included in the main document to describe the finding of the study briefly.

Reviewer #2: Opening Comments:

This is an important by Bantegizie Senay and colleagues. It sought to retrospectively examine adherence of children infected with HIV to ARTs’ in Amhara in Ethiopia.

The manuscript is well written...

Title: Time to Major Adverse Drug Reactions and Its Predictors among Children on Antiretroviral Treatment at Northwest Amhara Selected Public Hospitals Northwest; Ethiopia, 2023.

Abstract: The abstract is ok, and well structured.

Introduction

Comment1: Paragraph 5, line 5: Revise ‘4.18–2.3 gm/dl’ to read 4.2 -2.3 g/dl.

Response: Dear, thank for the constructive comment. Correction was considered and highlighted in the main document as 4.2 -2.3 g/dl.

Comment2: Paragraph 6, line 2: Revise ….’majority of (90.74%)’….to read ….’Majority (90.7%) of’ …., and delete the last 2 words (i.e. of ART) at the end of that sentence.

Response: Dear correction was considered and the term “of ART” was deleted and included in the main document as “A study in Ethiopia reported that more than ninety percent (90.74%) of participants developed ADRs within one (1) year”

Comment3: Last Paragraph, second line: Write the acronym ‘MADRs’ in full, and put the MADRs in parentheses or bracket here.

Response: Dear, correction was made and included as major adverse drug reactions “‘MADRs” in the main document.

Methods

Study area, setting, and population

Comment 4: Revise the first sentence into 2 sentences

Response: Thank you for the comment. Correction was considered and included in the main document.

Comment 5: - Line 6 and 7, add the respective hospitals to complete that sentence

Response: Correction was considered and respective hospitals (Felege Hiwot Comprehensive Specialized Hospital (FHCSH), Adet Primary Hospital, Finote Selam General Hospital, and Debre Markos Comprehensive Specialized Hospital (DMCSH)) were included in the main document.

Data Quality Control

Comment 6: - Last sentence, from Line 4: Should read 5% with the number obtained in parentheses

Response: Correction was considered and included in the main document.

Comment 7: Write DMCSH and FHCSH in full.

Response: Correction was considered and included in the main document

Data Analysis

Comment 8: Line 2: Correct the error in the acronym MADR’s from MDAR’s

Response: Correction was considered and included as “MADR’s” in the main document.

Results

Incidence of major adverse drug reaction

Comment 9: Line 1, Paragraph 2: Kindly take a second look at the sentence ‘the incidence rate of MADR among females and males was 4.2/4278 and 3/5638 person months’ in comparison with the female: male population in Table 1, Review and confirm that it’s collaborative and correct.

Response: Thank you dear for the comment. I checked this sentence “The incidence rate of MADRs among females and males was 4.2/4278 and 3/5638 person months’ in comparison with the female: male population in Table 1”. Theses sentence is correct and considered as it is in the main document. It reported the incidence rate MADRs in since it is the difference in the incidence rate between male and female individuals.

Discussion

Comment 10: Line 5: Should read…. The study reports that ….

Response: Dear, correction was considered.

Comment11: - Second Paragraph, Line 2: Revise to read: ‘in Debre Markos (in Ethiopia) and Mali’.

Response: Dear, correction was considered and included in the main document.

Conclusions

Comment 12:- Revise the first sentence, especially the quotation of the value ‘3.5/1000’.

Response: Correction was considered and included in the main document

Summary

1. Manuscript requires minor revisions indicated.

Thanks

Respectfully,

Bishaw, KA

Corresponding author

Decision Letter 1

Edmund Tetteh Nartey

20 Aug 2024

TIME TO MAJOR ADVERSE DRUG REACTIONS AND ITS PREDICTORS AMONG CHILDREN ON ANTIRETROVIRAL TREATMENT AT NORTHWEST AMHARA  SELECTED PUBLIC HOSPITALS  NORTHWEST; ETHIOPIA, 2023.

PONE-D-23-20912R1

Dear Dr. Bishaw,

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

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Kind regards,

Edmund Tetteh Nartey

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Additional Editor Comments (optional):

Reviewers' comments:

Acceptance letter

Edmund Tetteh Nartey

24 Sep 2024

PONE-D-23-20912R1

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Bishaw,

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Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Checklist

    (DOCX)

    pone.0309796.s001.docx (17.7KB, docx)
    S1 Fig. Kaplan Meier curve showing time to the development of MADRs of participants based on WHO clinical stage of HIV/AIDS at selected public hospitals, northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

    (n = 380).

    (TIF)

    pone.0309796.s002.tif (341.1KB, tif)
    S2 Fig. Kaplan Meier curve showing time to the development of MADRs of participants based on ART adherence at selected public hospitals, northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

    (n = 380).

    (TIF)

    pone.0309796.s003.tif (338.8KB, tif)
    S3 Fig. Kaplan Meier curve showing time to the development of MADRs of participants based on ART frequency intake at selected public hospitals, northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

    (n = 380).

    (TIF)

    pone.0309796.s004.tif (336.9KB, tif)
    S4 Fig. Kaplan Meier curve showing time to the development of MADRs of participants based on intake of OI prophylaxis at selected public hospitals, northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

    (n = 380).

    (TIF)

    pone.0309796.s005.tif (342.4KB, tif)
    S1 Table. Life table for MADRs survival among children on ART at selected public health selected public hospital, northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

    (n = 380).

    (DOCX)

    pone.0309796.s006.docx (13.5KB, docx)
    S2 Table. Global test result of variables among HIV positive children on ART, at selected public hospital northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

    (n = 380).

    (DOCX)

    pone.0309796.s007.docx (12.7KB, docx)
    S3 Table. Parametric and semi parametric model comparison among HIV positive children on ART, at selected public hospital northwest Amhara, Ethiopia, 2023.

    (n = 380).

    (DOCX)

    pone.0309796.s008.docx (12.7KB, docx)
    Attachment

    Submitted filename: R_enyn PONE -D-23-20912 R1.docx

    pone.0309796.s009.docx (19.4KB, docx)

    Data Availability Statement

    All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information.


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