Table 9.
Variables | ARDL estimation |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FEC as a dependent |
REC as a dependent |
TEC as a dependent |
||||
Coefficient | Probability | Coefficient | Probability | Coefficient | Probability | |
Long run equation | ||||||
GPR | −0.070∗∗ | 0.095 | 0.961∗∗∗ | 0.045 | −1.675∗ | 0.098 |
FDI | 1.611∗∗∗ | 0.010 | 0.961∗∗∗ | 0.045 | 1.061 | 0.292 |
ECG | 1.573∗∗∗ | 0.000 | 0.964∗∗∗ | 0.044 | 0.990∗∗∗ | 0.000 |
BSD | 0.262∗∗∗ | 0.000 | 0.963∗∗∗ | −0.046 | 0.295∗∗∗ | 0.000 |
IFR | 0.372 | 0.116 | 0.964∗∗∗ | 0.0452 | 3.258∗∗∗ | 0.001 |
Short run equation | ||||||
COINTEQ01 | −0.137∗∗∗ | 0.005 | 0.007∗∗∗ | 0.006 | −0.055∗∗∗ | 0.002 |
D(GPR) | 0.244 | 0.233 | 0.092∗∗∗ | 0.026 | 0.585 | 0.361 |
D(FDI) | −0.118 | 0.138 | 0.230 | 0.126 | 0.404 | 0.296 |
D(ECG) | −0.036 | 0.510 | −0.072∗∗∗ | 0.006 | −0.114 | 0.460 |
D(BSD) | 0.006∗∗ | 0.077 | −0.110∗∗ | 0.075 | −0.875∗∗∗ | 0.036 |
D(IFR) | −0.058∗∗∗ | 0.007 | 0.040 | 0.178 | −0.465∗∗∗ | 0.020 |
C |
5.584∗∗∗ |
0.000 |
0.364∗∗ |
0.053 |
−0.187∗∗∗ |
0.015 |
Mean dependent variable | 0.213 | −0.342 | 32.169 | |||
S.E. of regression | 0.770 | 0.840 | 52.420 | |||
Akaike info criterion | 2.034 | 2.161 | 9.578 | |||
Schwarz criterion | 3.034 | 3.161 | 10.577 | |||
Log likelihood | −68.863 | −75.659 | −472.450 | |||
Hannan-Quinn criterion | 2.439 | 2.566 | 9.983 |
Acronyms: FEC = fossil fuel energy consumption, REC = renewable energy consumption, TEC = total energy consumption, GPR = geopolitical risk, FDI = foreign direct investment, ECG = economic growth, BSD = banking sector development, IFR = inflation rate.
Note: ∗∗∗, ∗∗, ∗ are demonstrating the significance level at 1 %, 5 %, and 10 % relatively.
Source: self-calculation.