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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2025 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Biomech. 2024 Oct 5;176:112361. doi: 10.1016/j.jbiomech.2024.112361

Probability of Lateral Instability While Walking on Winding Paths

Anna C Render a, Joseph P Cusumano b, Jonathan B Dingwell a,*
PMCID: PMC11560479  NIHMSID: NIHMS2029183  PMID: 39395341

Abstract

People with balance impairments often struggle performing turns or lateral maneuvers, which can increase risk of falls and injuries. Here we asked how people’s mediolateral balance is impacted when walking on non-straight winding paths. Twenty-four healthy adults (12F/12M; 25.8±3.5 yrs) participated. Each walked on each of six paths projected onto a treadmill, comprised of three pseudo-random path oscillation frequency combinations (straight, slowly-winding, quickly-winding), each presented at either wide or narrow width. We quantified stepping errors as the percent of steps taken off each path. We quantified minimum mediolateral Margin of Stability MoSL at each step and calculated means (μ) and standard deviations (σ) for each trial. We calculated lateral Probability of Instability PoIL as participants’ statistical risk of taking unstable (MoSL<0) steps. On narrower paths, participants made more stepping errors and walked with smaller μMoSL on all paths (p < 0.001), and exhibited increased PoIL on the straight and slowly-winding paths (p < 0.001). On winding paths, participants made progressively more stepping errors and walked with smaller μMoSL for increasingly sinuous narrow paths (all p < 0.001) and wide quickly-winding paths (all p < 0.001). They also consistently walked with larger σMoSL, and increased PoIL on higher sinuosity paths of both widths (all p < 0.001). Though many took numerous unstable steps, no participant fell. Our results demonstrate healthy adults’ ability both to trade off increased risk of lateral instability for greater maneuverability, and to employ highly-versatile stepping strategies to maintain balance while walking.

Keywords: Walking, Stepping, Balance Control, Lateral Stability, Goal-Directed Walking

INTRODUCTION

Maneuvering constitutes a significant proportion of daily activities (Glaister et al., 2007). Walking around corners (Bergsma et al., 2021; Tillman et al., 2022), in crowded environments (Degond et al., 2013), through narrow spaces, or negotiating obstacles (Musselman and Yang, 2007) are fundamental to our mobility. However, executing maneuvers imposes that we adapt our stepping (Desmet et al., 2022; Hak et al., 2013; Ochs et al., 2021; Twardzik et al., 2019). Such tasks may heighten our risk of instability (Bruijn and van Dieën, 2018; Desmet et al., 2022; Desmet et al., 2024), particularly as people age and face challenges in weight shifting (Patla et al., 1993) and balance control (van Dieën et al., 2005). Indeed, older adults often fall when trying to perform such lateral maneuvers (Robinovitch et al., 2013). This can pose potential for serious injury (Parkkari et al., 1999; Yang et al., 2020). Thus, it is important to better understand how executing lateral maneuvers affects mediolateral balance while walking.

One metric widely used to quantify walking balance is the lateral margin of stability (MoSL) (Hof, 2008). MoSL quantifies a margin as the linear distance from a threshold (i.e., MoSL=0) beyond which stability is presumed to be compromised (Hof et al., 2005; Kazanski et al., 2024). However, in multiple destabilizing contexts, people exhibit larger (not smaller) mean values of MoSL (Hak et al., 2012; Hurt and Grabiner, 2015; Onushko et al., 2019; Wu et al., 2017). Such larger mean MoSL are often interpreted to indicate greater stability (Watson et al., 2021), which is quite counterintuitive. This arises because interpreting mean MoSL values as indicating stability runs contrary to MoSL’s definition as a margin. We proposed a different statistic, lateral Probability of Instability (PoIL) (Kazanski et al., 2022), that is computed from the same MoSL values as the mean, but characterizes an attribute of the distribution consistent with Hof’s original definition. PoIL resolves the paradox of misinterpreting mean MoSL (Kazanski et al., 2022), and explains why perturbed/impaired people take wider steps to maintain balance (Dean et al., 2007). When people can readily take wider steps, doing so will increase their mean MoSL. But when this offsets greater step-to-step variability of MoSL (McAndrew Young et al., 2012; Onushko et al., 2019), it can simultaneously decrease PoIL (Kazanski et al., 2024).

However, most often when people walk, they follow paths with lateral boundaries that restrict where they can step (Dingwell and Cusumano, 2019; Kazanski et al., 2023). These paths sometimes have well-defined boundaries, like hallways, sidewalks, etc., or sometimes less-well-defined boundaries, like outdoor walking trails (Matthis et al., 2018), etc. Such lateral path boundaries limit people’s stepping options for maintaining balance. Thus, when people walk on narrow paths or beams, they exhibit smaller mean MoSL (Arvin et al., 2016; da Silva Costa et al., 2020; Kazanski et al., 2024; Schrager et al., 2008).

Similarly, when people make discrete turns or maneuvers, MoSL typically decreases on so-called “inside” steps (where the stepping foot is ipsilateral to direction of the maneuver) and increases on so-called “outside” steps (where the stepping foot is contralateral to the direction of the maneuver) (Acasio et al., 2017; He et al., 2018; Ho et al., 2023; Wu et al., 2015). The smaller MoSL on inside steps implies that people are more unbalanced in the direction of the maneuver. This, however, simultaneously facilitates their ability to execute that maneuver (Desmet et al., 2022). Hence, people trade-off compromising their stability to enhance their lateral maneuverability (Acasio et al., 2017; Desmet et al., 2022).

Real-world paths are often both laterally constrained and non-straight (Bergsma et al., 2021; Matthis et al., 2018; Moussaïd et al., 2011). Experiments have not yet assessed how these competing factors combine to affect MoSL. Therefore, to simulate real-world-like walking conditions that impose continuously-changing balance challenges, here we created winding walking paths. We investigated the influence of these paths’ lateral oscillation frequency, or sinuosity, by creating paths with either slowly-winding or quickly-winding curves. We also tested the influence of path width by creating wide and narrow versions of each winding path.

We hypothesized that people walking on narrow paths would take more unstable steps due to the constraints placed on foot placement. We hypothesized that people walking on windier (i.e., higher sinuosity) paths would likewise take more unstable steps due to their continuously changing direction. Lastly, we hypothesized that each of these two factors (path width and sinuosity) would compound each other, such that people would take even more unstable steps when both challenges were imposed simultaneously.

By investigating how varying degrees of continuous maneuvering affect one’s probability of experiencing lateral balance loss, we further and better characterize how people make trade-offs between stability and maneuverability (Acasio et al., 2017; Desmet et al., 2022; Wu et al., 2017). This research holds particular significance for high fall-risk populations like older adults (Robinovitch et al., 2013), as it offers insights into identifying everyday tasks that may impose a challenge to their stability. By quantifying risk of lateral instability, this work both expands our understanding of human locomotion and contributes to developing strategies aimed at enhancing mobility and mitigating fall risk in diverse populations.

METHODS

Data Availability

All relevant data underlying the results reported here are available on Dryad ([Dataset] Render et al., 2024).

Participants

Prior to participation, twenty-four participants (Table 1) provided written informed consent, as approved by the Institutional Review Board of Penn State University. Participants were screened to ensure no medications, lower limb injuries, surgeries, musculoskeletal, cardiovascular, neurological, or visual conditions affected their gait.

Table 1. Participant characteristics.

All values except Sex are given as Mean ± Standard Deviation.

Characteristic: Value:

Sex [F/M] 12 / 12
Age [yrs] 25.77 ± 3.53
Body Height [m] 1.74 ± 0.11
Body Mass [kg] 70.15 ± 14.75
Body Mass Index [kg/m2] 22.97 ± 3.10
Leg Length [m] 0.93 ± 0.05

Experimental Protocol

Participants walked on a 1.2 m wide treadmill in an M-Gait virtual reality system (Motek Medical, Netherlands; Fig. 1A). Each participant wore a safety harness. All walking trials were performed at 1.2 m/s. Participants first walked 4-minutes to acclimate to the system.

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

A) Photo of a participant walking in the Motek M-Gait virtual reality system with a path projected onto the treadmill surface. B) Participants traversed paths of each of three oscillation frequency combinations (Eq. 1): straight (STR; grey panel), low frequency (LOF; red panel), and high frequency (HIF; purple panel). Each path frequency was presented at each of two different path widths, wide (W = 0.6m; beige) and narrow (N = 0.3m; yellow), for a total of six unique conditions.

Participants were asked to walk on paths projected onto the treadmill belt (Fig. 1A). Five meters (5 m) of moving path were projected at all times to allow participants more-than-sufficient visual information to plan their steps (Matthis et al., 2017; Matthis et al., 2018). We created these paths using a sum of sin waves:

z(x)=0.22sin(A0.46875x)+0.05sin(A0.625x)+0.03sin(A0.9375x), (1)

where z is the lateral position (in meters) of the path center, x is forward distance (in meters), and A is a frequency scaling factor. Each participant walked on each of six unique paths (Fig. 1B), combining either of two path widths, wide (W = 0.60 m) and narrow (N = 0.30 m), with each of three oscillation frequencies: straight (STR: A=0), low frequency (LOF: A=1), and high frequency (HIF: A=4).

We instructed participants to “stay on the path” and minimize stepping errors. They received visual (firework) and auditory (flute) penalties when steps landed outside the path boundaries. For each condition, participants completed a 1-minute introductory trial followed by two 4-minute experimental trials. Order of presentation of conditions was randomly assigned to each participant and counterbalanced across participants using a Latin Square design. Participants were allowed to rest as needed after each trial.

Data Processing

Each participant wore 16 retroreflective markers: four around the head, four around the pelvis (left and right PSIS and ASIS), and four on each shoe (first and fifth metatarsal heads, lateral malleolus, and calcaneus). Kinematic data were collected at 100 Hz from a 10-camera Vicon system (Oxford Metrics, Oxford, UK) and post-processed using Vicon Nexus software. Marker trajectories and path data from D-Flow software (Motek Medical, Netherlands) were analyzed in MATLAB (MathWorks, Natick, MA).

For each experimental trial, we low-pass filtered (10 Hz 4th-order Butterworth) the raw marker trajectories and interpolated these data to 600 Hz (Bohnsack-McLagan et al., 2016). Heel strikes and toe-offs were identified using a previously validated algorithm (Zeni et al., 2008). For consistency, we analyzed the first N = 350 steps of each trial.

On a curved path, one’s direction of motion changes at each new step. We therefore transformed our data into path-based local coordinates (Dingwell et al., 2023; Ho et al., 2023). At each step, we aligned this path-based local coordinate system to be tangent to the point on the path closest to the midpoint between the left and right foot placements for that step (Dingwell et al., 2023). The locally lateral (z-axis) motion was then taken to be perpendicular to the path at that point on the path.

Stepping Errors

The instructed task objective was to remain on the path. We counted as a stepping error any step where any of the first or fifth metatarsal head or calcaneus markers exceeded the path boundary. We then quantified Stepping Errors as the percentage of steps (out of N=350) within each trial that landed outside the path’s boundaries. This measure served as a functional measure of overall task performance.

Lateral Margins of Stability

We quantified lateral stability in the locally-lateral z-direction at each step (Fig. 2A). We took the average motion of the 4 pelvis markers to approximate the center-of-mass (CoM) state (z,z˙) (Havens et al., 2018). The extrapolated center-of-mass (XCoM) position was then (Hof et al., 2005):

XCoM=z+z˙ω0, (2)

where ωo=9.81m/s2/(1.34l) and l was leg length, as measured from the greater trochanter to the lateral malleolus (Curtze et al., 2024). We took the z-position of the leading foot’s fifth metatarsal-phalangeal joint marker to approximate the lateral boundary of the base of support (umax). We calculated the minimum MoSL within each step n as:

MoSLmin=minumax-XCoMn. (3)

Hence, a positive MoSLmin indicated a stable step, while a negative MoSLmin indicated an unstable step.

Figure 2.

Figure 2.

A) Schematic showing the relevant variables extracted at each step to calculate MoSLmin (Eq. 23): center-of-mass (CoM; grey), extrapolated center-of-mass (XCoML; orange), and lateral base-of-support boundary (umax; blue). B) Example time series data of MoSLmin across several steps. The vertical red dashed line indicates MoSLmin=0. Values of MoSLmin>0 (blue ● markers) are considered stable, while values of MoSLmin<0 (green × markers) are considered unstable. C) Hypothetical probability density function (PDF) to demonstrate how to calculate PoIL from a distribution of MoSLmin values (e.g., as might be obtained from B, etc.). Here, μMoSLmin=0.020 and σMoSLmin=0.016. The dashed vertical red line indicates the stability threshold separating stable (MoSLmin>0) from unstable steps (MoSLmin<0). Note that the mean, μMoSLmin=0.020, is well within the stable region, and so yields no information regarding unstable steps. Conversely, PoIL (Eq. 4) directly calculates the cumulative probability (area under the curve) precisely of those unstable (MoSLmin<0) steps. Here PoIL=10.6%, which equates to taking 1 unstable step every ~9.4 steps. Thus, PoIL directly estimates statistical risk of instability, consistent with Hof’s theory, while μMoSLn does not.

For each trial performed by each participant for each condition, we extracted time series of MoSLmin (e.g., Fig. 2B) from all n{1,,350} steps. We then computed the within-trial means, μMoSLmin, and standard deviations, σMoSLmin, for each trial.

Lateral Probability of Instability

As defined (Hof et al., 2005), MoSL is a margin that quantifies the distance to a defined threshold for becoming unstable (i.e., MoSL=0). While researchers commonly average MoSL across steps in a trial (Watson et al., 2021), this is not consistent with how MoSL was originally defined (Kazanski et al., 2022, 2024), because μMoSL does not quantify a person’s risk of exceeding that threshold (i.e., of experiencing MoSL<0) and thus becoming unstable.

Therefore, for each trial, we estimated the lateral Probability of Instability (PoIL) (Kazanski et al., 2022) as the cumulative probability (P), for an assumed normal distribution of MoSLmin, that steps within that trial would exceed the MoSLmin<0 threshold (Fig. 2C):

PoIL=PMoSLmin<0=121-erfμMoSLminσMoSLmin12×100%. (4)

For example, a PoIL=10% implies that a person is likely to take ~35 unstable MoSLmin<0 steps over a 350 step trial. Importantly, PoIL is neither “new” or “different” from MoSL: it simply extracts a different statistical metric than the mean from the exact same distribution of MoSLmin values (Fig. 2BC).

Statistical Analyses

We applied a two-factor (Frequency × Width) mixed-effects analyses of variance (ANOVA) with repeated measures to test for differences between conditions for each dependent measure: % Stepping Errors, μMoSLmin,σMoSLmin and PoIL). For σMoSLmin, to satisfy normality assumptions, we first log-transformed these data. For % Stepping Errors and PoIL, because multiple trials yielded resulting values equal to 0, we first added a small constant value (0.001) before we log-transformed these measures. When we found main or interaction effects to be significant, we performed Tukey’s pairwise post-hoc comparisons to test for specific differences between path frequencies (STR, LOF, HIF) for each path width (W, N), and between path widths for each path frequency. All statistical analyses were conducted using Minitab (Minitab, Inc., State College, PA).

RESULTS

Stepping Errors

Participants took more steps off the narrower paths than the wide paths for all path oscillation frequencies (p < 0.001; Fig. 3; Table 2). Similarly, participants made more stepping errors as path oscillation frequency increased (from STR to LOF to HIF) for all narrow paths (all p ≤ 0.007). However, for the wide paths, they only made more stepping errors on the HIF paths (each p < 0.001) (Fig. 3; Table 2).

Figure 3.

Figure 3.

Percent stepping errors on the wide (W) and narrow (N) paths for each path oscillation frequency: STR (grey), LOF (red), and HIF (purple). Bar plots represent the mean values. The overlaid markers are individual data points for each trial for each participant. Results of statistical analyses are detailed in Table 2.

Table 2.

Statistical results for differences between path Frequencies (STR, LOF, and HIF) and path Widths (Wide, Narrow) for the data shown in Figs. 3, 5 and 6, including: step errors, means (μ) and variability (σ) for Margin of Stability (MoSL), and Probability of Instability (PoIL). ANOVA results (F-statistics and p-values) are provided for main effects of Frequency, Width, and Frequency×Width. In cases where Frequency×Width interactions were significant, we considered main effects results (marked ‘p*’) to be unreliable. We drew conclusions instead from the Tukey’s pairwise comparisons, as these account for the effects of the interactions. Significant differences are indicated in bold.

Data In Variable Frequency Width Frequency × Width Tukey’s (Frequency Effects) Tukey’s (Width Effects)

Fig. 3: ln(Step Errors+0.001) F(2,259) = 113.10
p* < 0.001
F(1,259) = 535.39
p* = < 0.001
F(2,259) = 11.37
p < 0.001
STRW-LOFW: p = 0.987
STRW-HIFW: p < 0.001
LOFW-HIFW: p < 0.001
STRN-LOFN: p < 0.001
STRN-HIFN: p < 0.001
LOFN-HIFN: p < 0.001
STRW-STRN: p < 0.001
LOFW-LOFN: p < 0.001
HIFW-HIFN: p < 0.001

Fig. 5A: μ(MoSL) F(2,261) = 2,016.96
p* <0.001
F(1,261) = 403.57
p* <0.001
F(2,259) = 46.07
p <0.001
STRW-LOFW: p = 0.232
STRW-HIFW: p < 0.001
LOFW-HTFW: p < 0.001
STRN-LOFN: p < 0.001
STRN-HTFN: p < 0.001
LOFN-HTFN: p < 0.001
STRW-STRN: p < 0.001
LOFW-LOFN: p < 0.001
HTFW-HTFN: p < 0.001
Fig. 5B: ln(σ(MoSL)) F(2,259) = 6,747.67
p* < 0.001
F(1,259) = 6.92
p* < 0.01
F(2,259) = 15.24
p < 0.001
STRW-LOFW: p < 0.001
STRW-HTFW: p < 0.001
LOFW-HTFW: p < 0.001
STRN-LOFN: p < 0.001
STRN-HTFN: p < 0.001
LOFN-HTFN: p < 0.001
STRW-STRN: p = 0.736
LOFW-LOFN: p = 1.000
HTFW-HTFN: p < 0.001

Fig. 6: ln(PoIL+0.001) F(2,259) = 1093.58
p* < 0.001
F(1,259) = 60.09
p* < 0.001
F(2,259) = 11.90
p = < 0.001
STRW-LOFW: p < 0.001
STRW-HTFW: p < 0.001
LOFW-HTFW: p < 0.001
STRN-LOFN: p < 0.001
STRN-HTFN: p < 0.001
LOFN-HTFN: p < 0.001
STRW-STRN: p < 0.001
LOFW-LOFN: p < 0.001
HIFW-HIFN: p = 0.985

Lateral Margins of Stability

Qualitatively, step-to-step time series of MoSLmin exhibited increasingly larger-amplitude fluctuations from the STR paths to LOF paths, and much larger still from the LOF paths to HIF paths (Fig. 4).

Figure 4.

Figure 4.

Example minimum lateral Margin of Stability MoSLmin time series (350 consecutive steps each) for three representative trials from a typical participant walking on a Wide path for each path oscillation frequency: STR, LOF, and HIF. The vertical red dashed line indicates MoSLmin=0. Solid blue markers (●) indicate steps where MoSLmin>0, which were considered stable. Green markers (×) indicate steps where MoSLmin<0, which were considered unstable. The within-trial means (μ) and standard deviations (σ) of each MoSLmin time series are shown on each corresponding subplot.

People exhibited smaller means, μMoSLmin, on paths of narrower width (p < 0.001), and on narrow paths of increased oscillation frequency (all p < 0.001; Fig. 5A; Table 2). Across wide paths, people exhibited similar μMoSLmin on STR and LOF (p = 0.232), but smaller μMoSLmin on HIF (both p < 0.001). People exhibited greater variance, σMoSLmin, on the Narrow vs. the Wide HIF path (p < 0.001; Fig. 5 B; Table 2), but similar variance for both path widths for both STR (p = 0.736) and LOF (p = 1.000). People also exhibited increased σMoSLmin with increased path sinuosity (from STR to LOF to HIF), regardless of path width (all p < 0.001; Fig. 5B; Table 2).

Figure 5.

Figure 5.

(A) Within-trial means (μ) of minimum lateral Margin of Stability MoSLmin on the wide (W) and narrow (N) paths for each path oscillation frequency: STR (grey), LOF (red), and HIF (purple). (B) Corresponding within-trial step-to-step standard deviations (σ) of MoSLmin for each path combination. Box plots show the medians, 1st and 3rd quartiles, and whiskers extending to 1.5 × interquartile range. Values beyond this range are shown as individual asterisks. The overlaid markers are individual data points for each participant from two separate trials. Half-violin plots are also shown for visual reference. The red horizontal dashed line in (A) indicates MoSLmin=0. Results of statistical analyses are detailed in Table 2.

Lateral Probability of Instability

For each trial, that trial’s mean, μMoSLmin (Fig. 5A), and standard deviation, σMoSLmin (Fig. 5B), were used to compute that trial’s PoIL (Eq. 4) (Fig. 6). People exhibited higher PoIL (p < 0.001) on the narrower compared to wider paths for both STR and LOF (Fig. 6; Table 2), but similar PoIL at both path widths for HIF (p = 0.985).

Figure 6.

Figure 6.

Lateral Probability of Instability (PoIL) on the wide (W) and narrow (N) paths for each path oscillation frequency: STR (grey), LOF (red), and HIF (purple). Bar plots represent the mean values. The overlaid markers are individual data points for each participant from two separate trials. Results of statistical analyses are detailed in Table 2.

For both path widths individually, people exhibited very low PoIL on the STR paths, slightly but significantly (p < 0.001) higher PoIL on the LOF paths, and much higher PoIL on the HIF paths (all p < 0.001) (Fig. 6). Pooled across both path widths, participants’ mean probability of taking unstable steps on the STR paths was only PoIL0.11% (range [0%, 3.15%]). This equates to taking 1 unstable step every ~909 steps (range [∞, ~32] steps). On the LOF paths, these increased to mean PoIL1.08% (range [0%, 8.99%]), or 1 unstable step every ~93 (range [∞, ~11]) steps. On the HIF paths, these increased to mean PoIL51.2% (range [~36.6%, ~65.4%]), or 1 unstable step every ~2.0 (range [~2.7, ~1.5]) steps. Thus, the HIF paths in particular substantially disrupted people’s ability to maintain stable walking (e.g., as seen in Fig. 4).

DISCUSSION

Everyday walking often entails navigating crowded and/or non-straight paths (Bergsma et al., 2021; Degond et al., 2013; Glaister et al., 2007). These tasks require people to adapt their stepping to precisely maneuver (Acasio et al., 2017; Wu et al., 2015). However, this maneuverability can increase one’s risk of experiencing instability (Desmet et al., 2024; Tillman et al., 2022). Many older adults fall because they cannot adequately negotiate such non-straight walking tasks (Robinovitch et al., 2013). Despite their prevalence, we know little about how path width and/or shape affect lateral stability during walking. This study therefore examined real-world-like walking on winding paths of varying sinuosity and width. The results reveal how such tasks challenge people’s ability to maintain lateral balance while walking.

Our first hypothesis, that people would take more unstable steps when walking on narrow paths was supported. On the Narrow paths, participants made more stepping errors for each path frequency (Fig. 3), walked with smaller mean MoSLmin on all three path types (Fig. 5A), more variable MoSLmin on HIF paths (Fig. 5B), and exhibited statistically increased instability risk on the Narrow STR and LOF paths (Fig. 6). Our second hypothesis, that people would take more unstable steps on windier paths was very strongly supported. Participants nearly always made increasingly more stepping errors from STR to LOF to HIF paths (Fig. 3), walked with both smaller mean MoSLmin (Fig. 5A) and more variable MoSLmin (Fig. 5B) from STR to LOF to HIF paths, and most importantly, exhibited significantly increased instability risk from STR to LOF to HIF paths (Fig. 6). Our third hypothesis that simultaneously narrow and windier paths would further exacerbate participant’s ability to maintain balance was partly supported. People did not make more stepping errors with increased path sinuosity on Wide paths from STR to LOF, but did on HIF and Narrow paths (Fig. 3). For σ(MoSLmin), path width differences not observed for STR and LOF paths, became significant (Table 2) on HIF (Fig. 5B) paths.

On the Narrow paths, across all sinuosity conditions, people walked with significantly smaller mean MoSLmin (Fig. 5A; Table 2). This was most likely because they needed to adopt narrower step widths (Arvin et al., 2016; Kazanski et al., 2024; McAndrew Young and Dingwell, 2012; Schrager et al., 2008). However, despite these smaller μMoSLmin, which would typically be interpreted as indicating greater instability (Watson et al., 2021), we observed minimal corresponding changes in people’s probability to take unstable steps (Fig. 6). From the Wide to Narrow, participants exhibited significant (p < 0.001), but modest increases in PoIL, from 0.025% to 0.20% (i.e., from taking an unstable step once every ~4,000 steps to once every ~500 steps) on STR paths, and from 0.39% to 1.78% (i.e., from taking an unstable step once every ~256 steps to once every ~56 steps) on LOF paths. However, the increases observed in PoIL from the Wide to Narrow paths for HIF (Fig. 6) were not statistically significant (p = 0.985; Table 2). These results further support prior findings (Kazanski et al., 2022, 2024) that measures of μMoSLmin, despite their prevalence (Watson et al., 2021), do not quantify risk of taking unstable steps, whereas PoIL does (Fig. 2C).

On the winding paths (LOF & HIF), participants took more unstable MoSLmin<0 steps, especially on the HIF paths, where participants took unstable steps as often as once every ~1–3 steps (Figs. 4 & 6). By comparison, in a prior experiment, we subjected young and older adults to unpredictable lateral physical perturbations (Kazanski et al., 2022). Those perturbations only induced, on average, PoIL<~3% (range [0%, ~21%]), or 1 unstable step every ~33 (range [∞, ~5]) steps ((Kazanski et al., 2022); Fig. 7B). Hence, walking on winding paths appears potentially far more laterally destabilizing than physically perturbing people. This may seem somewhat counterintuitive given that, in the current experiment, participants experienced no external perturbations and were given full visual information about their path well in advance to plan their foot placements (Matthis et al., 2017; Matthis et al., 2018). However, unlike in (Kazanski et al., 2022) where participants could step where they chose, participants here were instructed to keep their feet on their paths. This constrained where they could take their next step, which most likely accounts for their increased instability (Bruijn and van Dieën, 2018).

Figure 7.

Figure 7.

A) Boxplots of skewness values computed from MoSLmin time series (e.g., Fig. 5) computed from all trials pooled across both path Widths for each of the STR, LOF, and HIF path oscillation frequency conditions. Step-to-step MoSLmin distributions were predominantly symmetrical (−0.5 < skewness < +0.5) for STR and LOF trials, but mostly moderately negatively skewed (−1.0 < skewness < −0.5) for HIF. B) Correlations of PoIL to direct measurements of percent unstable steps taken for each path oscillation frequency. The diagonal grey dashed line indicates the identity line. PoIL predicts % Unstable Steps very well for STR and LOF paths, but over-estimates % Unstable Steps for HIF.

For HIF trials, MoSLmin time series (Fig. 4) appeared potentially skewed. Since Eq. (4) estimates PoIL assuming a Gaussian distribution (Fig. 2C), we computed the skewness of each MoSLmin timeseries. We then also calculated the actual percentage of unstable MoSLmin<0 steps taken within each trial, and correlated these against our PoIL estimates. While STR and LOF trials were mostly minimally skewed, most HIF trials were moderately negatively skewed (Fig. 7A). Correspondingly, PoIL predicted % unstable steps well for both STR and LOF, but somewhat overestimated % unstable steps for HIF (Fig. 7B). Hence, assuming normality somewhat limited the accuracy of our PoIL predictions, but only for the HIF trials.

Importantly however, these differences in no way change our conclusions here, given the very large PoIL for HIF compared to STR and LOF (Fig. 6). Future studies should check for skewness in their MoSLmin data before estimating PoIL. In some contexts, it might be more appropriate to directly calculate the percent of unstable (MoSLmin<0) steps taken, such as when sample sizes are large (i.e., many steps per trial) and/or instability risk is high (e.g., as in HIF trials here). However, in contexts where long trials are not feasible and/or instability risk is low/moderate (e.g., as in STR or LOF trials here), one may not observe enough unstable steps to get good direct estimates of the actual percent of MoSLmin<0 steps taken, and Eq. (4) may be preferrable. Alternatively, one could modify Eq. (4) to incorporate skewness in addition to mean and standard deviation.

In their recent review article, Jain et al. pointed out that metrics like MoSL “ …fail to capture the probabilistic characteristics of behavior associated with risk” (Jain et al., 2024). This is particularly true when researchers simply compute average values of MoSL across multiple steps. Conversely, PoIL explicitly predicts a person’s probability to experience an unstable (i.e., MoSL<0) step over some sequence of steps, thus directly resolving the deficiency highlighted by (Jain et al., 2024). Additionally, however, when one does take a step with MoSL<0, they also then need to rectify that instability on subsequent step(s). PoIL does not, by itself, address how people might do this, but other time series analyses can (Desmet et al., 2022; Dingwell and Cusumano, 2019).

Moreover, because PoIL is merely another statistical metric computed from the same MoSL distribution used to compute means and standard deviations, PoIL can be applied to a wide range of laboratory (e.g., (Ochs et al., 2021; Onushko et al., 2019)) and/or real-world (e.g., (Tillman et al., 2022)) tasks, and also patient populations (e.g., (Watson et al., 2021)), just as measures of μMoSL have been. In particular, winding (non-straight) walking tasks occur in many real-world contexts (Bergsma et al., 2021; Degond et al., 2013; Glaister et al., 2007) and can be particularly hazardous for those with impaired gait (Robinovitch et al., 2013). Because PoIL is conceptually consistent with Hof’s definition (Hof, 2008; Hof et al., 2005), whereas μMoSL is not (Kazanski et al., 2022), PoIL is a far more relevant metric to compute for those impaired persons and/or in those varied walking contexts.

In this experiment, despite participants’ clearly taking numerous unstable steps (Fig. 4 & 6) on the winding paths, no participant fell. Taking a step with MoSLn<0 does not necessitate failure (Gill et al., 2019) – but instead, only that one must use strategies to regain balance that are not available to an inverted pendulum (Hof et al., 2005; Kazanski et al., 2022). The primary strategy is to take a step (Redfern and Schumann, 1994; Townsend, 1985). Even simple bipeds generally can choose among infinite stepping options to minimally remain “viable” (i.e., “not fall”) (Patil et al., 2022; Zaytsev et al., 2018), and switching stepping goals at each step can, in principle, allow them to walk effectively forever (Patil et al., 2022). Humans use such strategies when they make discrete maneuvers (Desmet et al., 2022). Moreover, viability gives rise to “semistability”, which allows expansive versatility of walking that is both viable and purposeful (Patil et al., 2024). That participants here took so many unstable steps (e.g., Fig. 4) without falling strongly suggests people can employ such highly-versatile stepping strategies to continuously trade off stability for maneuverability (Acasio et al., 2017) at each step.

Here, continuously winding paths compromised participant’s stability, demonstrating how people trade off stability for maneuverability. The increased likelihood for people taking an unstable step on these winding paths emphasizes the importance of individuals being able to frequently and successfully enact mechanisms to regain their balance and mitigate falls in destabilizing contexts. To improve everyday mobility in at-risk populations, interventions can target strategies, such as stepping adjustments or weight shifting, that enable people to quickly and effectively respond to balance disturbances.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

The authors thank Dr. David M. Desmet and Dr. Meghan E. Kazanski for their contributions and technical support throughout data collections. This work was supported by NIH grants 1-R01-AG049735 & 1-R21-AG053470 to JBD & JPC.

Footnotes

CONFLICT OF INTEREST

The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest associated with this work.

CRediT Author Statement

Anna C. Render: Conceptualization, Data Curation, Formal Analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – Original Draft, Writing – Review & Editing.

Joseph P. Cusumano: Conceptualization, Formal Analysis, Funding Acquisition, Methodology, Supervision, Writing – Review & Editing.

Jonathan B. Dingwell: Conceptualization, Data Curation, Formal Analysis, Funding Acquisition, Methodology, Project Administration, Resources, Supervision, Validation, Writing – Review & Editing.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Data Availability Statement

All relevant data underlying the results reported here are available on Dryad ([Dataset] Render et al., 2024).

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