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. 2025 Feb 6;20(2):e0318653. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0318653

Cryptic coral community composition across environmental gradients

Gia N Cabacungan 1, Tharani N Waduwara Kankanamalage 1, Amilah F Azam 1, Madeleine R Collins 1, Abigail R Arratia 1, Alexandra N Gutting 2, Mikhail V Matz 1, Kristina L Black 1,*
Editor: Vitor Hugo Rodrigues Paiva3
PMCID: PMC11801642  PMID: 39913472

Abstract

Cryptic genetic variation is increasingly being identified in numerous coral species, with prior research indicating that different cryptic genetic lineages can exhibit varied responses to environmental changes. This suggests a potential link between cryptic coral lineages and local environmental conditions. In this study, we investigate how communities of cryptic coral lineages vary along environmental gradients. We began by identifying cryptic genetic lineages within six coral species sampled around St. Croix, USVI based on 2b-RAD sequencing data. We then analyzed associations between the distributions of cryptic lineages across the six coral species (i.e., “cryptic coral community composition”) and ecoregions, or geographically distinct environmental conditions. Our findings show that depth is a more significant predictor of community composition than ecoregions and is the most influential factor among the 40 abiotic variables that characterize ecoregions. These results imply that cryptic coral communities are influenced by both depth and local environmental conditions, although the exact environmental factors driving these patterns remain unknown. Understanding community turnover across a seascape is important to consider when outplanting corals to restore a reef, as locally-adapted lineages may have differential fitness in different environmental conditions.

Introduction

The Caribbean Sea is experiencing a sharp decline in coral cover, primarily due to diseases [1, 2] and warm temperature anomalies [35]. These stressors have led to rapid transformations in coral communities and a subsequent reduction in reef functionality across the Caribbean [6]. In response, conservationists have launched efforts to restore coral populations by outplanting asexually propagated coral fragments [7] and sexually propagated coral recruits [8] onto degraded reefs. Restoration activities are widespread, covering multiple Caribbean islands [9, 10], the U.S. [11], and Central and South America [12]. When outplanting coral, restoration practitioners aim to identify specific genotypes that demonstrate resilience, i.e., high survival and growth rates, at outplant sites. However, it’s important to consider that the most successful genotypes may vary due to local environments at different outplanting locations [13].

Understanding how environmental gradients drive local adaptations will be crucial for optimizing outplanting strategies. By ensuring corals are placed in environments where they are most likely to thrive, we can enhance their survival rates [13]. It is also important to recognize shared environmental adaptations across various coral species. These species likely form communities that are locally adapted to specific, yet undefined, ecoregions [14]. Thus, improving the survival rates of outplanted corals necessitates a robust understanding of how local environmental factors shape the genetic structure of diverse coral species. This knowledge is vital for developing targeted, effective restoration strategies that support the resilience and recovery of coral ecosystems.

Many coral taxa around the world, including Acropora hyacinthus [15], Orbicella faveolata [16], Pocillopora spp. [17], Porites cf. lobata [18], and Agaricia spp. [19], exhibit cryptic genetic variation, forming distinct genetic lineages that are morphologically similar but genetically divergent. Genetic divergence within species can arise from various factors- including differences in depth, habitat type, physical disturbances, oceanographic factors, temperature, or geographic isolation [20]. Depth is a common driver in many species [20], with numerous studies demonstrating significant associations between cryptic lineages and depth [17, 20, 21]. Depth preferences often lead to spatial segregation; for instance, cryptic genetic lineages of M. cavernosa and S. siderea, are found at different depths and distances from shore, with some lineages restricted to shallow reefs of 3–10 meters, while others thrive in deeper habitats over 20 meters [21]. Similarly, Agaricia fragilis exhibits genomic divergence and limited dispersal across depths [22].

In addition to depth, environmental factors such as salinity [23, 24] and temperature [25, 26] significantly influence community composition in marine ecosystems. Temperature is of particular concern due to increasing heat anomalies leading to mass mortality events [35]. Some cryptic lineages exhibit variable responses to temperature [15, 16]. For example, cryptic lineages of O. faveolata in Panama show different physiological responses to coral bleaching, suggesting adaptations to rising water temperatures [16]. Likewise, cryptic lineages of A. hyacinthus in American Samoa demonstrate variations in heat tolerance and their association with heat-resistant symbionts [15]. More broadly, shifts in community composition can result from divergent responses to heat stress [27], although communities may recover if environmental conditions reverse [28]. Given the consistent associations of depth and temperature with cryptic genetic variation in coral species, we hypothesize that these factors may serve as key environmental drivers of cryptic coral community composition.

St. Croix is characterized by extensive patch reefs and colonized pavement areas, and it includes protected areas such as the Buck Island Reef National Monument and the East End Marine Park [2] (Fig 1). Despite facing the widespread environmental pressures that have decimated coral populations elsewhere, the benthic habitats of St. Croix have historically maintained fair conditions, with some regions like Buck Island Reef showing notable resilience [29, 30]. This resilience is often attributed to the genetic diversity among coral species, with particularly resilient species like M. cavernosa and P. astreoides playing a crucial role in recovery potential [29, 31]. Alternatively, the Orbicella populations on the island, especially O. faveolata, have suffered significant declines, characterized by dead colony surface areas and erosion rates that surpass their live surface area and rates of calcification [32]. Furthermore, the recent surge in Stony Coral Tissue Loss Disease (SCTLD) throughout the U.S. Virgin Islands underscores the urgency of evaluating the variability in resilience within coral communities [33].

Fig 1. Map of St. Croix, USVI.

Fig 1

Three coral sampling sites are pictured to demonstrate the variability of reef environments across the island. On the western side, Butler Bay (photo by Corina Marks) has high visibility with a moderate reef slope. Cane Bay (photo by Kristina Black) is most notably defined by a “wall,” or a sudden cavernous drop-off adjacent to the north shore. Deep End (photo by Daisy Flores) is shallow and turbid. Some sites receive direct anthropogenic impacts from the capital Christiansted, which is highly developed, and the town of Frederiksted, where cruise ships bring tourism. The island also maintains two marine protected areas: Buck Island National Monument and East End Marine Park. Coastlines and district boundaries are plotted with GADM mapping data (https://gadm.org/index.html).

In this study, we conducted a population genomics analysis of six coral species sampled across St. Croix: Agaricia agaricites, Montastraea cavernosa, Orbicella faveolata, Porites astreoides, Pseudodiploria strigosa, and Siderastrea siderea. These species, which are widespread throughout the Caribbean, represent a diverse range of coral families and reproductive strategies, including both broadcast spawners and brooders. Our sample set also included a mix of species experiencing population declines, such as the endangered O. faveolata [34], as well as species that are increasing and considered “weedy,” such as P. astreoides [35, 36].

For each species, we identified cryptic genetic lineages and subsequently explored the environmental associations between seascape heterogeneity and the composition of these cryptic coral communities. The primary goal of our research was to pinpoint the environmental predictors and ecological thresholds that play a role in structuring the distribution of cryptic genetic lineages across multiple species. This comprehensive approach allows us to better understand the dynamics influencing coral diversity and resilience across different environmental gradients.

Methods

Sample collection

Six coral species- A. agaricites (n = 42), M. cavernosa (n = 54), O. faveolata (n = 98), P. astreoides (n = 61), P. strigosa (n = 108), and S. siderea (n = 53)—were sampled from 12 sites surrounding St. Croix. Adult colonies >5cm in diameter were sampled, and for each sample, depth was recorded in situ (S1 Fig in S1 File). Tissue samples were stored in 100% ethanol at -80 degrees Celsius. Sampling was conducted in accordance with the U.S. Virgin Islands Department of Planning and Natural Resources (The Nature Conservancy Coral Restoration Permit DFW20052X).

Laboratory methods

Genomic DNA was isolated using a CTAB extraction procedure (Supplementary section 1 in S1 File), followed by purification using the Zymo Genomic DNA Clean & Concentrator kit (Zymo #D4067) following the manufacturer’s protocol. All samples were equalized to 12ng/μL, and 2bRAD libraries were prepared following a protocol available at https://github.com/z0on/2bRAD_denovo. 2bRAD is a restriction site-associated DNA sequencing method used to survey 0.5% of the total genome, which is sufficient for profiling neutral genetic variation of these natural populations [37]. The libraries were sequenced at the Genomic and Sequencing Analysis Facility at the University of Texas at Austin on the Illumina NovaSeq SR100 platform.

2bRAD genotyping

Raw sequences were processed using the Texas Advanced Computing Center (TACC). Raw reads were trimmed and deduplicated following a custom pipeline hosted at https://github.com/z0on/2bRAD_denovo, then low-quality ends were trimmed using Cutadapt [38]. Reference genomes were available for mapping sample sets of O. faveolata (NCBI RefSeq assembly: GCF_002042975.1) and M. cavernosa [21]. However, for all other species, de novo cluster-derived reference was constructed, following [37]. Briefly, the trimmed reads within each sample set were “stacked” to identify tags that appear multiple times. Tags that appeared in at least 10 individuals were collected. Then, tags with more than 7 observations without reverse-complement were discarded, and the remaining tags were clustered at 91% identity (i.e. allowing for up to 3 mismatches within 34b tag). The most abundant tag from each cluster became the reference, and all the reference tags were concatenated to form 10 equal-sized pseudo-chromosomes. Additionally, four reference genomes of the main zooxanthellae clades of algal symbiont genomes were concatenated onto the coral genomes (Symbiodinium: NCBI accession no. GCA_003297005.1, Brevolium: GCA_000507305.1; Cladocopium: GCA_003297045.1; Durisdinium: GAFP00000000). All genomes were indexed with Bowtie2 [39] and trimmed reads were mapped to their respective reference. All reads that mapped to the symbiont genomes were discarded, leaving only coral reads for downstream analysis. The resulting bam files were genotyped with ANGSD [40] and individuals with less than 10% of sites at 5X coverage were discarded. Sites were filtered with minor allele frequency < 0.025, and only sites with mapping error <0.1% and genotyped in at least 75% of individuals were retained. Genotypes were compiled into a pairwise Identity-by-state (IBS) genetic dissimilarity matrix for initial inspection. Hierarchical clustering of the genetic matrix was evaluated for correct alignment of technical replicates, and identification of clonal samples. All clones and technical replicates were removed. Then the samples were re-genotyped with ANGSD using the smaller set of individuals to produce the final IBS matrix.

Population genomics

We explored population structure within each species by visualizing the IBS dissimilarities as a hierarchical clustering tree and principal coordinates analysis (PCoA) using the R package vegan (version 2.6–4). For O. faveolata and P. strigosa, the optimal number of genetic lineages was visually determined by examining hierarchical clustering tree and PCoA. To determine the number of lineages in the remaining four species, we clustered our samples with larger 2bRAD datasets from the Florida Keys and Gulf of Mexico. Four cryptic genetic lineages in M. cavernosa and S. siderea were detected in a previous study [21, 41] NCBI BioProject Accession PRJNA679067), and at least two more lineages of M. cavernosa were detected in the Gulf of Mexico [42]. Three lineages of A. agaricia and P. astreoides were detected in another study from Florida [43] SRA Bioproject PRJNA812916). M. cavernosa, S. siderea, and A. agaricites all demonstrated clear assignment to previously detected lineages. However, P. astreoides did not cluster with any lineages from Florida, despite genetic connectivity previously detected between Florida and the U.S. Virgin Islands in a microsatellite study [44]. Therefore, we also designated the optimal number of lineages within St. Croix P. astreoides by visual separation in a hierarchical clustering tree and principal coordinate analysis (PCoA).

Defining ecoregions

Environmental monitoring data was obtained from the Virgin Islands Department of Planning and Natural Resources (DPNR), available at waterqualitydata.us. This data represents eight in situ variables measured across the St. Croix coastline from 2000 to 2022 (S2 Fig and S1 Table in S1 File). Variables included pH, Enterococcus and E. coli (count per 100ml), dissolved oxygen, Kjeldahl nitrogen, and phosphorus (mg/L), and Secchi disk depth (m). All variables were monitored across all coastlines of St. Croix, and very close to coral sampling sites (S2 Fig in S1 File). The only exception is that E. coli was not monitored near Cane Bay on the north shore. We summarized variables at each location by calculating mean, maximum, and minimum values across all observations. We also calculated mean monthly range as the difference between the maximum and minimum value at each site each month, and then averaged across months (S2 Table in S1 File). Similarly, we calculated mean yearly range as range of values at each site recorded over each year, averaged across years (S3 Table in S1 File). Altogether, these measures produced 40 environmental variables total. To extract environmental values at our coral sampling sites, we performed a kriging interpolation of each variable. Using the autoKrige function in the R package automap (version 1.0–14), we inferred the optimal model to fit a variogram between neighboring monitoring sites and implemented cross-validation to approximate a continuous environmental grid. Then, values were extracted at the twelve coral sampling sites from environmental grids of each variable (S3 Fig in S1 File).

Due to multicollinearity within our environmental dataset, we aimed to summarize conditions across the seascape by clustering sampling sites into distinct “ecoregions” of similar environmental values. We first reduced multicollinearity within the environmental dataset by removing variables with height < 0.3 average distance in a hierarchical clustering tree (Fig 2A). Then the smaller subset of 15 variables was used to cluster sampling sites by environment (Fig 2B). The hierarchical clustering tree resulted in four ecoregions (Fig 2C) across the seascape. At first glance, these regions appear to align with visual differences between the reef environments (Fig 1). These regions are also reasonable given the influence of the Caribbean Current around St. Croix. The northbound Caribbean current deflects around the southern shore of St. Croix, sending disparate wake flows to the eastern sites (ecoregion A) and the western sites (ecoregions C and D) (45). The two flows are asymmetric due to wake eddies, or circular currents, forming contained benthic conditions in ecoregion A [45]. Ecoregion B (The Palms and WAPA) are closest to the Virgin Islands capital of Christiansted, and likely receive land-based sources of pollution [46]. Ecoregion C (Cane Bay, North Star, and Carambola) is close to ecoregion D in the hierarchical clustering tree (Fig 2B) but likely differs due a prominent shelf break that drops 5,500m deep approximately 250m from shore [47]. Together, these ecoregions likely capture broad environmental heterogeneity across the seascape, so that even variables that are missing from this analysis are likely congruent with these environmental boundaries.

Fig 2. Environmental clustering of 12 sites into “ecoregions”.

Fig 2

(a) Clustering of 16 environmental variables, after reducing multicollinearity. (b) Clustering of sampling sites based on those 15 environmental variables. Ecoregion is indicated by color and assigned to sites that cluster by environment. (c) Sampling sites and their ecoregion assignment on the map of St. Croix, USVI. Coastlines and district boundaries are plotted with GADM mapping data (https://gadm.org/index.html).

Community-environment associations

A common framework for finding associations between community composition and environmental variables is to compare species abundance at multiple sampling sites across a heterogeneous landscape with various environmental factors [48]. Several methods are used for this analysis, including latent factor mixed models (LFMM; [49]), redundancy analysis (RDA; [50]), and gradient forest [51]. Gradient forest may be the most advanced method, as it employs multiple regression trees to estimate environmental thresholds that drive community turnover across the landscape. This method, which extends the principles of random forest to handle multiple response variables, allows for the detection of both linear and nonlinear relationships between communities and their environments, while also controlling for collinearity among environmental variables [51]. In our study, we apply the gradient forest method to identify the environmental predictors of coral community composition across the reefs of St. Croix in the U.S. Virgin Islands.

Abundances of each lineage within each species at each site were used to produce a community-by-site table for investigating the influence of environmental gradients on cryptic lineage composition. These counts became our response matrix that was input to a gradient forest model with the environmental predictors (using R package gradientForest version 0.1.32, [51]). We ran two gradient forest models: one with depth and assignment to four ecoregions and one with all 40 environmental predictors. Random forests were grown for each lineage, each with an ensemble of 500 trees, where each tree splits environmental gradients at different observations. The change in community composition across each split was then summarized into the compositional turnover along each environmental gradient. The importance of each predictor was computed with cross-validation and assessed by conditional permutation of each variable, permuted with a maximum of two splits on predictors correlated > 0.5.

Results

Cryptic genetic lineages

After quality filtering individual corals and genomic loci, a subset was retained for analyzing population structure within each species (Table 1, S4 Table in S1 File). Technical replicates and genetically identical individuals were removed from the final subset by retaining the sample with highest alignment rate to its respective coral genome.

Table 1. Sample size and genomic sites retained for six coral species.

Species # individuals retained after quality filtering and removing clones # geographic sites represented # genomic sites retained after sequencing
A. agaricites 25 8 49,992
M. cavernosa 35 8 32,790
O. faveolata 47 10 28,724
P. astreoides 47 6 115,034
P. strigosa 70 11 35,943
S. siderea 21 8 49,863

We identified two genetic lineages within A. agaricites, O. faveolata, and P. astreoides (Fig 3A,3C and 3D) and four lineages of P. strigosa based on visual examination of the hierarchical clustering tree and PCoA of the identity-by-state genetic dissimilarity matrix for each species. When clustering A. agaricites and P. astreoides with samples from a prior study in Florida [43], we observed that the two A. agaricites lineages from St. Croix cluster with two genetic lineages found throughout the Florida Keys. Specifically, the red St. Croix lineage (Fig 3A) clusters with the shallow-preferred lineage in Florida and the blue St. Croix lineage clusters with the depth-generalist lineage in Florida. However, the two P. astreoides lineages from St. Croix do not cluster with any of the lineages observed in the Florida Keys, and instead appear to be genetically differentiated. The M. cavernosa and S. siderea sample sets also clustered with samples from prior studies [21, 42, 52]. M. cavernosa from St. Croix clustered with six lineages specialized to various depths, and S. siderea clustered with two shallow and one deep-specialized lineage found across the Florida Keys and the Gulf of Mexico. Differentiation of three S. siderea lineages is apparent in hierarchical clustering and PCoA (Fig 3F), but the delineation of six M. cavernosa lineages is less obvious, especially in ordination space (Fig 3B). However, this is likely due to the under-sampling of M. cavernosa around St. Croix, and a larger sample set would likely reveal more striking differentiation of lineages.

Fig 3. Identifying cryptic genetic lineages in six coral species in St. Croix.

Fig 3

(a) A. agaricites is composed of two distinct genetic lineages as shown in the hierarchical clustering tree (left) and PCoA (right) of genetic dissimilarities. (b) M. cavernosa contains six lineages, as confirmed by clustering with a larger sample set from Florida and the Gulf of Mexico. (c) O. faveolata contains two lineages, (d) P. astreoides contains two lineages, (e) P. strigosa contains four lineages, and (f) S. siderea contains three lineages.

Cryptic lineages within each coral species show different geographic distributions. For instance, the red lineage of A. agaricites occurs at all sites, but the blue lineage was only found at one western site (Fig 4A). Similarly, the red lineage of P. astreoides occurs at all sites but the blue lineage was only found at one central site (Fig 4D). On the other hand, the two lineages of O. faveolata seem to be geographically segregated and do not co-occur at the same sites (Fig 4C). P. strigosa, which contains four lineages, shows geographic partitioning of the green lineage to the west and blue lineage in the east (Fig 4E). Similarly, S. siderea shows partitioning of the red and tan lineages in the central sites and outer sites, respectively. However, the blue lineage S. siderea occurs at all sites (Fig 4F). M. cavernosa, which contains six lineages, also shows some geographic separation, as the red, green, and tan lineages only occur at central sites while the pink and turquoise lineages occur everywhere (Fig 4B).

Fig 4. Spatial distribution of cryptic genetic lineages in six coral species from St. Croix.

Fig 4

Each pie chart represents the occurrence of distinct genetic lineages at each sampling site, and the size legend in the bottom right of each panel indicates the number of samples in each pie. Different lineages are indicated by color and correspond to points in PCoAs from Fig 2. Coastlines and district boundaries are plotted with GADM mapping data (https://gadm.org/index.html).

Community ecology

In the first gradient forest model, depth and ecoregions together accounted for 15.4% of the variation in cryptic coral communities. Depth was the strongest predictor (cross-validation R2 = 0.083) and Ecoregion B, representing central St. Croix near the capital Christiansted (Fig 2C), was the most important ecoregion driving community structure (Fig 5A). When summing importances of all ecoregions together (cross-validation R2 = 0.071), they explain less community structure than depth. These findings imply that depth and ecoregions both contribute to the structure of cryptic coral communities, but depth is a more important predictor than ecoregions.

Fig 5. Environmental drivers of cryptic coral communities.

Fig 5

(a) Estimated importance (cross-validation R2) of depth and four ecoregions to coral community composition across the seascape. (b) Top five out of 40 environmental predictors, based on cross-validation R2 in a gradient forest model. (c-d) Cumulative importance distributions show change in community composition along the range of the two most important variables. Tick marks on the x-axis indicate the environmental values at each site. (c) Coral communities demonstrate steep turnover around 5 meters deep, and (d) communities show graduate turnover across a gradient of yearly pH range. (d) Map of depths around St. Croix, using bathymetry data from GEBCO 2023 Grid (doi:10.5285/f98b053b-0cbc-6c23-e053-6c86abc0af7b). (e) Map of the maximum temperature (averaged from 2010–2022) and derived from interpolation of in situ monitoring data from the Virgin Islands DPNR. Coastlines and district boundaries are plotted with GADM mapping data (https://gadm.org/index.html).

When evaluating the importances of all 40 environmental variables, they together accounted for 29.5% of the community composition. Depth was the strongest predictor (Fig 5B, R2 = 0.15), and the yearly range of pH was the second most important (Fig 5B, R2 = 0.011). Depth shows a prominent ecological threshold around 5 meters deep, where there is a sharp turnover of community assembly (Fig 5B). Notably, depth increases with distance from shore at all sites (Fig 5E), though eastern sites associated with Ecoregion A are generally the shallowest (Fig 2E). We also observed a gradual turnover when the yearly range of pH is 0.4–0.5 and steep turnover around 0.5 (Fig 5C), which corresponds to Ecoregion B on the map (Figs 2C and 5F).

Discussion

Multiple cryptic genetic lineages were detected within six coral species from St. Croix, revealing a complex genetic landscape. These include at least two lineages within A. agaricites, P. astreoides, and O. faveolata, three within S. siderea, four within P. strigosa, and six within M. cavernosa. The geographic partitioning observed among some of these lineages suggests that local reef environments may influence cryptic genetic variation. When assessing the abundance of these 19 cryptic lineages, it becomes evident that community composition is partially determined by both depth and the natural environmental boundaries that define distinct ecoregions. However, we note that these associations reflect how community structure correlates with long-term environmental trends- in this case, abiotic variables summarized over 9–22 years. Further investigations into the role of instantaneous selective pressures, such as cyclones or bleaching events, could be conducted by resampling coral over time. Comparing abundance before and after such events could provide insights into how cryptic communities shift in response to these acute pressures, thereby enhancing our temporal understanding of coral responses to changing environmental conditions.

The cryptic variation identified in this study is consistent with previous findings in most of the species examined. Depth-partitioned cryptic lineages have been reported in Agaricia [19] and specifically in A. agaricites [43], as well as in P. astreoides [43, 44, 53], S. siderea, and M. cavernosa [21, 42, 52]. These studies consistently demonstrate that genetic lineages exhibit preferences for specific depths rather than strict depth boundaries. Depth partitioning was also identified in O. faveolata lineages from Puerto Rico [54], although previous research from Panama detected three lineages with variations in thermal tolerance [16]. P. strigosa remains relatively understudied in population genetics, despite its high morphological variability suggesting potential for cryptic genetic variation [55]. The four P. strigosa lineages identified in this study represent the first documented instances of cryptic genetic divergence within this species. Overall, the coral reefs of St. Croix exhibit genetic diversity comparable to other regions in the Caribbean.

Our investigation into the associations between community composition and environmental factors revealed that ecoregions may play a supporting role in shaping cryptic community structure, second to depth. Previous studies have also identified depth as a primary factor influencing cryptic variation [17, 19, 21, 56]. However, our findings underscore the novel impact of ecoregions on the structuring of cryptic lineages. When re-analyzing community-environment associations using all abiotic variables employed to define ecoregions, depth re-emerged as the most important predictor, followed by various measures of pH, temperature, and other variables (Fig 5D). While depth and temperature are plausible candidates for driving community structure, the actual variables that drive ecoregion differences, beyond depth, may not be represented in our data. Our findings suggest that unique local conditions within each ecoregion collectively shape the structure of cryptic coral communities, such that nuanced shifts in many environmental factors drive community divergence.

While our incorporation of cryptic genetic lineages into a multi–species study represents a novel application to coral community ecology, previous research has identified environmental drivers of coral communities at the species level. Important drivers include cyclones [57], temperature anomalies [5759], productivity [60], latitude [61], sedimentation [62], and depth [63]. Although depth emerges as a common driver across many coral communities worldwide, a study in the Indo-Pacific region found it to be only a minor predictor for two coral species [59]. One potential explanation for the prevalence of depth as a driver could be its impact on light reduction [64] and algal biomass and diversity [65]. For instance, a study of coral reefs in South Africa delineated depth thresholds at 15 meters for Pocillopora damicornis and 33 meters for reef communities [61], mirroring the depth threshold we observed at approximately 14–22 meters (see Fig 5C). Additionally, previous research in the Virgin Islands noted variations in community structure among different sites [66], which aligns with our finding that ecoregions may exert influence over community composition.

One factor (beyond depth) that might have a direct effect on the cryptic coral community is the yearly range of pH, the next most important predictor after depth (Fig 5D). It shows notable differences within Ecoregion B (see Fig 5E). After pH, mean and maximum temperature appear to be the next most drivers of cryptic coral community structure (Fig 5B). In St. Croix, maximum temperature shows notable differences near Ecoregion B and Buck Island National Monument (S3h Fig in S1 File). Fluctuations in pH [67] and temperature [6870] have been shown to affect coral reef ecosystem structure and function, so their putative role in driving community structure on St. Croix seems likely. However, while we can speculate about how pH, temperature, and other variables may impose selective pressures, it is essential to consider the multicollinearity present in our environmental dataset (Fig 2A). Therefore, although our findings align with our hypotheses that depth and temperature are critical environmental drivers influencing genetic divergence in cryptic communities, we view these variables as part of the unique local conditions within each ecoregion that collectively shape selection pressures on cryptic coral communities.

While we can estimate the extent of environmental differences that contribute to community structure, we recognize that most lineages are not strictly confined to specific depths or ecoregions and can co-occur at certain sites (see Fig 4). Untangling the mechanisms driving and maintaining genetic differentiation between cryptic lineages in the absence of geographic isolation remains a challenge. In addition to environmental variables, non-environmental factors such as ocean currents, reproductive strategies, natural disturbances, and prezygotic barriers may also influence coral community structure. For example, ocean currents can restrict dispersal patterns of local coral taxa [71] and determine the settling locations of coral larvae [72]. In St. Croix, currents bend around the southern coast, sending wake flows to both the eastern and western sites [45], which may help explain the structured distribution of cryptic lineages across the east and west. Additionally, the reproductive mode of coral species- whether brooding or spawning- influences dispersal distance due to variations in larval phase length. For instance, the broadcast spawner Acropora palmata can have parent-offspring separations of 70 meters to one kilometer [73], while brooding Agaricia corals typically only disperse 2 to 11 meters per generation [74]. Despite the influence of ocean currents, many coral larvae settle in close proximity to their parent colonies [74], suggesting that short dispersal distances may limit the role of currents in driving genetic differentiation within these populations.

Natural disturbances, such as hurricanes, can also shape the structure of cryptic coral communities by fragmenting corals and redispersing them over large distances. However, the impact of these disturbances varies depending on oceanic geographic features. For example, patterns of reef destruction in St. Croix caused by Hurricane Hugo in 1989 varied by depth, shoreline orientation, and the composition of benthic communities before the storm [75]. Moreover, patterns of coral growth on the mesophotic shelf edge of the U.S. Virgin Islands appear to be structured by acute but infrequent swell impacts, which varies across depths [76]. These examples illustrate how natural disturbances can generate distinct patterns in coral community structure, shaped by the interaction between damage and recovery processes. On St. Croix, the impacts of Hurricanes Irma and Maria were similarly devastating, with significant damage to heritage and fisheries resources [77, 78], though the full scope of damage to the island’s coral communities remains unclear.

Prezygotic barriers, such as temporal isolation and gamete incompatibility, can also drive genetic divergence and the formation of cryptic lineages in corals. Within a single species, individuals may spawn at different times of the year, with some spawning in spring and others in fall. This asynchronous spawning is observed in species such as Acropora tenuis, A. samoensis, A. digitifera, Orbicella spp., and Mycedium elephantotus, all of which show genetic differentiation linked to their spawning periods [7983]. Spawn timing is also determined by environmental cues and genetics, and even just a few hours difference in spawning can lead to sympatric speciation [84]. Gamete incompatibility further contributes to this process. In some Orbicella spp., eggs can demonstrate conspecific sperm precedence (CSP), where they preferentially accept sperm from their own species. CSP may help gametes from broadcast spawners find each other in the water column, but it may also drive divergence in gamete compatibility [85]. In the Caribbean, three recently diverged Orbicella spp.- O. franksi, O. faveolata, and O. annularis- show varying levels of gamete incompatibility, which may have played a role in their speciation [86].

Despite these alternative explanations for the observed distribution patterns, depth consistently appears to be a significant driver of cryptic genetic differentiation in prior literature [20] and in our study. In St. Croix, depth can explain geographically proximate yet genetically divergent coral populations. This is particularly evident in O. faveolata, S. siderea, M. cavernosa, and P. astreoides, all of which exhibit high lineage diversity along the extensive depth gradient in Ecoregion C (see Figs 2 and 4). However, further exploration is warranted to investigate potential hybrid zones between cryptic lineages present on both sides of this ecological barrier, and to examine non-environmental drivers such as those described above.

Although cryptic communities in St. Croix are associated with depth and ecoregions, it is uncertain whether these factors have a causal relationship with community assemblage. However, these associations with significant predictors can be empirically tested through field experiments. Reciprocal transplantations across ecoregion boundaries offer a means to examine local adaptations by assessing the fitness (i.e., survival or growth) of transplanted lineages. For instance, a reciprocal transplantation experiment involving five coral species from shallow (5-10m) and deep (45m) sites demonstrated decreased fitness of corals from deep sites when transplanted to shallow sites [87]. Similar experiments within our study system could ascertain whether cryptic lineages can thrive when outplanted beyond their native depth or ecoregion boundaries to aid in reef restoration initiatives. In addition, common garden experiments conducted ex situ could validate the influence of identified environmental predictors, such as temperature thresholds, on fitness. For instance, a common garden experiment investigating Acropora pulchra found that elevated temperatures and increased pCO2 levels led to reduced growth, suggesting these variables likely shape the distribution of this species across the seascape [88].

Continued efforts to characterize cryptic variation within coral species and understand the unique environments supporting genetically distinct populations will be crucial for informing effective coral outplanting strategies [20]. As restoration programs begin to identify resilient genotypes for propagation, insights from cryptic lineages and their evolutionary trajectories can guide the spatial planning of coral outplants, ensuring they are placed in environmental conditions optimal for their survival [13].

Conclusions

In this study, we observed that cryptic genetic lineages within many coral species form distinct communities that vary across depth and ecoregions. Given that all six species and at least 11 cryptic lineages in this study are distributed across the Caribbean, these findings could be generalizable beyond the Virgin Islands. As human impacts on coral reefs escalate, evaluating the direct effects of environmental changes on coral fitness, particularly in the Caribbean, becomes increasingly crucial. Future studies directly assessing the impact of the identified predictors will be essential in determining the adaptability or restriction of cryptic lineages to specific conditions. Furthermore, characterizing environmental heterogeneity across the seascape and understanding its influence on cryptic communities will be vital for guiding future restoration efforts.

Supporting information

S1 File

(ZIP)

pone.0318653.s001.zip (1.9MB, zip)

Acknowledgments

We like to thank everyone at The Nature Conservancy’s Coral Innovation Hub in St. Croix, USVI for their guidance and camaraderie in the field. We would especially like to thank Ashlee Lillis, Emily Klosterman, Emily Nixon, Robin Smith, Moose Marusa, Matthew Warham (DPNR), Carly Scott (UT-Austin) and Daisy Flores (UT-Austin) for helping with fieldwork for this study. We would also like to thank Cruzan Rum for providing ethanol for laboratory work on island. The bioinformatic analyses were performed using the high-performance computing resources of the Texas Advanced Computing Center (TACC).

Data Availability

All sequences and metadata are deposited on the Sequence Read Archive under Bioproject PRJNA1122865. Tutorials for these analyses, as well as all scripts and data to reproduce the figures in this manuscript, can be found at: https://github.com/kristinaleilani/2bRAD-workshop.

Funding Statement

This study was primarily funded by the NatureNet Science Fellowship from The Nature Conservancy to K. L. B., and partially funded by the National Fish and Wildlife Foundation Grant 0318.20.069532 awarded to The Nature Conservancy and the National Science Foundation grant OCE-2433977 to M.V.M.. However, the funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript."

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Decision Letter 0

Vitor Hugo Rodrigues Paiva

17 Sep 2024

PONE-D-24-30961Cryptic coral community composition across environmental gradientsPLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Black,

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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5. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: General comments

Evaluating how population and community structure is influenced by environmental conditions is key to understanding the influence of environmental change on ecosystems and implementing effective restoration/conservation efforts. This study explores the genetic structure of coral communities around St. Croix and how that genetic structure relates to a spatiotemporal variation in environmental conditions. The authors find variable genetic structuring across coral taxa with certain environmental conditions of key influence on coral community structure over space and time.

Generally, I found this manuscript to be well-written, well-structured and easy to read. Moreover, the quantitative design appears to be well constructed and performed. However, I feel that the manuscript would benefit from greater detail on portions of the analysis and environmental data structure (expanded on below). My technical understanding of these genetic methods is limited and thus I cannot provide meaningful technical review of this section.

Although the study is designed to be a more exploratory assessment, an important consideration here is the lack of specific hypotheses that are set out to be tested. While this isn’t necessarily a make-or-break issue, it is important for how the study is framed. The authors suggest that the broader implication of this work is around conservation and restoration actions—understanding where corals perform well and poorly can inform where corals are out planted. However, I find the interpretation of results provided here to be a bit of a stretch in a restoration context. Simply put, it is difficult to assess whether corals perform better or worse in a particular area without causal-type experimentation and hypothesis testing, indeed the authors indicate that such examination is a logical next step. This association-type analysis evaluates how spatial variation in genetic structure of corals is associated with long-term trends in environmental conditions, but it doesn’t say how these variables actually affect corals or their genetic structure. Given that consideration, reframing portions of the introduction and discussion to be focused on how environmental conditions can contribute to genetic heterogeneity might be a better framing than trying to make the leap regarding restoration efficacy.

Specific comments

Introduction

L53-55: “ecologically cohesive communities”. What is an ecologically cohesive community? Does this imply some type of facilitation by heterospecifics? This is not defined here or in the referenced literature. The potential facilitation effect may not be entirely relevant to this study.

L60: The authors note species and genera. Better to note these as coral “taxa” not species.

L64: The referenced literature, Grupstra et al. (2024 in NEE), reviews the potential drivers of genetic divergence among cryptic corals. I wouldn’t necessarily call this divergence for unknown reasons as the authors purport in this line. Rather it appears that there are many supported hypotheses for why provided by Grupstra et al. and by the authors in the following sentence. This context is a critical component of this study given that the authors do not generate specific hypotheses regarding why certain environmental attributes influence genetic structure. Perhaps a more useful approach would be to evaluate the hypotheses, pre or post-hoc, generated by Grupstra et al. within the study system, species.

L77-79: I appreciate the broadening of this topic to relevant examples in temperate ecosystems. However, I would suggest focusing this section on the abiotic factors that influence marine communities exclusively. Perhaps the broader strokes would be more useful earlier in the introduction.

L89-91: “highlighting the intricate relationship between genetic variation and environmental challenges in coral ecosystems.” Can the authors be more specific regarding environmental challenges? Are they referring to climate change?

L93-104: This paragraph seems like it should be in the methods section. The authors note potential mechanistic drivers of these patterns in the previous paragraph. Perhaps this space could be used to introduce specific hypotheses that the authors are testing?

Methods

L153-155: This passage would benefit from additional detail regarding sampling design. What was the size distribution per species of colonies sampled? Are these similarly sized colonies? What is the sample size per species per site?

L222-223: Can the authors expand on the structure and processing of environmental data? Mainly, what was the temporal resolution of environmental data used and subsequently summarized? Perhaps this information can be added to Supplementary Table 1. Moreover, interpretation of the environmental heterogeneity across sites and years would benefit from an additional supplementary figure illustrating spatiotemporal variation in each environmental variable.

L227: Kriging interpolation appears to be an appropriate way to interpolate environmental conditions for the location of colonies sampled. However, evaluating interpolation performance is contingent on the location of monitoring sites relative to colony locations. Where were the environmental monitoring sites? How far apart were they? Can the authors provide a supplementary figure of the variograms generated from kriging interpolation?

L235-236: The authors note that the “optimal number of genetic linkages was visually determined” (L206). Was a similar method performed for the environmental data (i.e., ecoregions and environmental data)? For ecoregions, what was the visual criteria for ecoregion grouping? Was there consideration of the height of each site similarity?

L260: It appears that two gradient forest models were employed here: one that assessed the influence of the 40 environmental predictors and another that assessed the effect of depth and the four ecoregions. Is this interpretation correct? This section would benefit for an explicit statement regarding the model structure[s].

Results

Table 1: What were the sample sizes per species per location? Are the sample sizes adequate to characterize genetic variation within and between locations? Additionally, in Fig. 4, there is some indication that genetic diversity appears to increase with sample size (panel b., M. cavernosa) although these patterns may not be as evident for the other 5 taxa. It is possible that the diversity of genetic linkages revealed may be an artifact of sampling design, although it is challenging to assess this without explicit reporting of sampling size per site per species. Do sample sizes reflect the relative abundance of each taxa at each site?

L338: The authors refer to Fig. 1d here. Should this be Fig. 2c? Its difficult to tell.

L334: The amount of variation in coral community structure explained by environmental conditions in the two separate models appears to be relatively small (12.5 and 18.9%), with cross validation values quite low for environmental predictors? Could this be a result of overfit models (i.e., too many environmental predictors)? Can the authors provide detail as to whether hierarchal cluster models and subsequently gradient forest models were assessed with fewer environmental variables? A more parsimonious environmental cluster model could contribute to increased gradient forest model performance. It might be beneficial to provide an explanation of why the variance explained was relatively low (e.g., low sample size).

L346: The authors refer to depth being the strongest predictor of community composition. However, Fig. 5a shows Ecoregion to be the most important, followed by depth. Do they mean Fig. 5b?

Figure 4: Add figure legend for bubble size corresponding to sample size.

Figure 5: Remove titles from panels A and B and provide x-axis labels.

Discussion

L376: The authors note that community composition is partially shaped by environmental conditions, mainly ecoregions and depth. Indeed, there is a high degree of variation in coral community structure that isn’t explained by models. While the authors expand on other potential drivers of these dynamics (e.g., cyclones temperature anomalies etc.), it is important to note that the temporal resolution of environmental conditions is not matched to the instantaneous measure of genetic structure. In other words, the authors assess how the environmental legacy of sites over ~12 years contributes to “current” community genetic structure. This approach makes many assumptions about what the coral community ‘looked like’ over this 12-year period. An acknowledgement and brief discussion of this assumption is probably needed here.

Reviewer #2: This is a nice study and a well-written paper. Strengths are that the distribution of cryptic coral lineages were studied in many (six) sympatric species from many (12) sites. One potential weakness might be that the number of individuals sampled per species was perhaps a bit low in some species (n = 21, 25 spread across 8 sites) so potential that some composition-environment patterns might not be fully characterized (but this is hard to know).

The manuscript is presented well, and it was easy to read. The data analyses all seem robust to me. I think the result will be useful to those working at St. Croix as well as to the bolster the evidence that cryptic species of corals are becoming the rule rather than the exception.

The overall result is consistent with previous studies that many morphologically-defined species contain evolutionarily distinct genetic lineages, that these lineages commonly co-occur but differ in relative abundance across depths and locations that differ in environmental variables. This study finds a correlation with yearly pH variation.

My only main comments are:

1) Because the association between community composition and environmental variables is still a correlation (and this is acknowledged e.g., 459), the discussion could perhaps be strengthened by considering alternative explanations for the current composition-distribution pattern that can be made without invoking environmental variables, like dispersal patterns / limitation or that they are just a signature of past disturbance history.

2) Genetic lineages within species were identified by visual examination only (of the hierarchical clustering tree and PCoA). The clustering analyses included samples from prior studies, which increases the confidence in the visual determination of lineages. However, the evidence for how the current samples cluster with previous samples is hard to find. It might be good to show which tips in Figure 3 are the “reference” samples from previous studies, and make a better connection to the nomenclature of each lineage (if a consistent one even exists for these species?), so readers can trace what lineages are showing up where.

Minor:

Line 224: Could you mention here what the frequency of recording are, and what the mean, maximum, etc refer to (mean per day, per month? How many measurements comprised each mean?). This is just to get a better idea of how well the environmental variables are characterized.

Line 227: Again, could you mention the spatial resolution of the sampling (how many sites?). Just trying to understand the robustness of the spatial interpolations. If a site where coral is sampled is far from the nearest site where environmental variables were measured, how good are the environmental estimates?

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

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PLoS One. 2025 Feb 6;20(2):e0318653. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0318653.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 0


19 Nov 2024

Thank you for the opportunity to revise our manuscript. In response to the reviewer’s concerns, we’ve made the following important changes:

1. We reframed our manuscript so that it now presents a hypothesis in the introduction that is grounded in prior literature. Then we revisit our hypothesis in the discussion, to show how our results compared to prior research.

2. We added many more tables and figures to the supplementary material, per both the reviewer's requests. The addition of this information greatly improves our ability to illustrate the environmental heterogeneity around St. Croix.

3. In producing the new supplementary tables and figures, we found some spurious environmental observations that might have skewed our interpolations. So we cleaned up the environmental input by removing months or years with only singular observations, re-interpolated the variables, and then re-conducted the gradient forest model analyses. The results were mostly the same with only two differences- the sample collection site Columbus Landing is now in Ecoregion B (which actually makes more logical sense given its location), and the second most important environmental predictor of coral communities became maximum temperature. We changed the main text figures as well, to reflect this.

We believe these changes greatly strengthen our manuscript and hope that the editor and reviewers will agree. Please see our reviewer response document to see our full responses to all reviewer's concerns line-by-line.

Thank you on behalf of all co-authors,

Kristina Black

Attachment

Submitted filename: STX_ReviewerResponse (1).pdf

pone.0318653.s002.pdf (637.4KB, pdf)

Decision Letter 1

Vitor Hugo Rodrigues Paiva

5 Dec 2024

PONE-D-24-30961R1Cryptic coral community composition across environmental gradientsPLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Black,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

Please submit your revised manuscript by Jan 19 2025 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.

Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:

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If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter.

If applicable, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io to enhance the reproducibility of your results. Protocols.io assigns your protocol its own identifier (DOI) so that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols. Additionally, PLOS ONE offers an option for publishing peer-reviewed Lab Protocol articles, which describe protocols hosted on protocols.io. Read more information on sharing protocols at https://plos.org/protocols?utm_medium=editorial-email&utm_source=authorletters&utm_campaign=protocols.

We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Kind regards,

Vitor Hugo Rodrigues Paiva, Ph.D.

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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Please review your reference list to ensure that it is complete and correct. If you have cited papers that have been retracted, please include the rationale for doing so in the manuscript text, or remove these references and replace them with relevant current references. Any changes to the reference list should be mentioned in the rebuttal letter that accompanies your revised manuscript. If you need to cite a retracted article, indicate the article’s retracted status in the References list and also include a citation and full reference for the retraction notice.

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #1: (No Response)

Reviewer #2: (No Response)

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2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: Evaluating how population and community structure is influenced by environmental conditions is key to understanding the influence of environmental change on ecosystems and implementing effective restoration/conservation efforts. This study explores the genetic structure of coral communities around St. Croix and how that genetic structure relates to a spatiotemporal variation in environmental conditions. The authors find variable genetic structuring across coral taxa with certain environmental conditions of key influence on coral community structure over space and time.

This is my second review of this manuscript. The authors have made useful modifications and additions to all sections of the manuscript that assist in bolstering their approach. The revised version of this manuscript is much improved. Although the hypothesis outlined in the introduction is relatively broad, I feel that the updated context of the approach assists in the interpretation of the results. I have a few lingering comments that should be addressed and may benefit the manuscript further.

L89-100: In the previous version of the manuscript I noted that this paragraph would be best if placed in the methods section. Although the revised introduction adequately addresses my other comments I still feel that a description if the specific gradient forest methods here is out of place. Although these methods are certainly key to the analytical structure of the assessment, noting them in the introduction feels abrupt, especially after the paragraph noting the hypothesis examined but before the description of study area. Given that the gradient forest methods aren’t the key focus of this study, rather environmental drivers of cryptic coral composition, the introduction would benefit from a reduced focus on the particular methods.

Supplementary Figures: These appear to be out of order in the main text. Although this will probably be addressed in copy-editing, it may be best to rearrange them at this stage.

Semivariograms and kriging approach:

I appreciate the authors providing these supplementary figures—they greatly enhance the interpretation of the spatial interpolation of environmental conditions. Although, it is unclear what the numbers next to each point represent. Also, shouldn’t the points be pairwise comparisons of environmental stations? If so, shouldn’t there be many more points for each plot which may improve model fit.

As the authors note, the fit of these models is quite variable: some perform better than others. Based on even the good fits, I am somewhat concerned about the spatial scale of interpolation. For example, the fit for DO_max isn’t very good over the distance of ~0.03 (what are the units here?). For other variables (e.g., monthly range in Nitrogen), the fit line doesn’t appear to fit the [negative] trend at all. Given these fits, I am concerned that the environmental patterns over space may not be adequately represented by the models described. In general, some of the fits appear to either (1) obscure the spatial variability inherent to some variables or (2) don't appropriately capture trends.

Reviewer #2: 1) Overall I thought the revised text was fairly superficial, but it more or less addresses the point. For example, the phrase “stepped clines driving tension zone formation and assortative mating” is quite jargony and “other factors, such as ocean currents influencing larval dispersal” is quite vague. The statement that “the ability of currents to sustain high dispersal and connectivity” (L462) seems at odds with all the research showing that larvae (including corals) disperse much less than expected from ocean currents. For example: Prata et al 2024 Some reef-building corals only disperse metres per generation. Proc. R. Soc. B 291: 20231988. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2023.1988

2) Thanks for the info. I noted that no changes were made to the manuscript here. The point of my comment was just to make some edits that could help the reader (not just the reviewer). I think at least a statement in the manuscript that summarizes these connections would help the reader.

“Generally, environmental variables were monitored across all coastlines of St. Croix, and very close to coral sampling sites. The only exception is that E. coli was not monitored near Cane Bay on the north shore.” So this would be good to mention this is the manuscript.

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7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.

Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy.

Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

**********

[NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.]

While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step.

PLoS One. 2025 Feb 6;20(2):e0318653. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0318653.r004

Author response to Decision Letter 1


17 Jan 2025

Note: Please see separately attached document containing these responses to reviewer comments (formatted for easier reading). This document is also included at the end of the compiled PDF that contains all manuscript components.

Reviewer Comments to Author

Reviewer #1:

Evaluating how population and community structure is influenced by environmental conditions is key to understanding the influence of environmental change on ecosystems and implementing effective restoration/conservation efforts. This study explores the genetic structure of coral communities around St. Croix and how that genetic structure relates to a spatiotemporal variation in environmental conditions. The authors find variable genetic structuring across coral taxa with certain environmental conditions of key influence on coral community structure over space and time.

This is my second review of this manuscript. The authors have made useful modifications and additions to all sections of the manuscript that assist in bolstering their approach. The revised version of this manuscript is much improved. Although the hypothesis outlined in the introduction is relatively broad, I feel that the updated context of the approach assists in the interpretation of the results. I have a few lingering comments that should be addressed and may benefit the manuscript further.

L89-100: In the previous version of the manuscript I noted that this paragraph would be best if placed in the methods section. Although the revised introduction adequately addresses my other comments I still feel that a description if the specific gradient forest methods here is out of place. Although these methods are certainly key to the analytical structure of the assessment, noting them in the introduction feels abrupt, especially after the paragraph noting the hypothesis examined but before the description of study area. Given that the gradient forest methods aren’t the key focus of this study, rather environmental drivers of cryptic coral composition, the introduction would benefit from a reduced focus on the particular methods.

>>>Response – We moved this paragraph to the Methods (now lines 256-267).

Supplementary Figures: These appear to be out of order in the main text. Although this will probably be addressed in copy-editing, it may be best to rearrange them at this stage.

>>>Response – We re-ordered all supplementary figures and tables to be consistent with their order in the main text.

Semivariograms and kriging approach:

I appreciate the authors providing these supplementary figures—they greatly enhance the interpretation of the spatial interpolation of environmental conditions. Although, it is unclear what the numbers next to each point represent. Also, shouldn’t the points be pairwise comparisons of environmental stations? If so, shouldn’t there be many more points for each plot which may improve model fit.

>>>Response – Data points are grouped into bins based on their lag distance, so that all pairs of points with similar distances are analyzed together. Thus, each point in the variogram plot represents the average semivariance for all data pairs within a bin. The label next to each point indicates the number of data pairs used to calculate the semi-variance at each distance bin.

We added this explanation along with the following text to clarify the variogram plots in the supplementary figures:

Supplementary Figure 3: “Semi-variograms are included to the right of each map, which depict spatial autocorrelation between environmental measurements across the seascape. The x-axis of the variogram plot refers to the “lag distance,” or the distance between pairs of data points (expressed here in degrees of latitude and longitude). Data points are grouped into bins based on their lag distance, so that all pairs of points with similar distances are analyzed together. Thus, each point in the variogram plot represents the average semivariance for all data pairs within a bin. By default, the R package automap ensures that each bin contains at least five data pairs; if any bin has fewer than five pairs, it is merged with the adjacent bin. The y-axis represents the calculated semi-variance at each distance bin. Finally, the label next to each point indicates the number of data pairs used to calculate the semi-variance at each distance bin.

From the resulting variogram plots, several parameters controlling the fit of the model can be interpreted- including the “nugget,” or the y-intercept of the variogram, which represents small-scale variability of the data likely attributed to measurement error. The “range” is the distance where the variogram levels off (i.e., distance where spatial autocorrelation reduces), and the “sill” is the variance where the variogram levels off.

When interpreting the variogram, lag distance increases along the x-axis. For certain variables, such as mean temperature, the semivariance on the y-axis generally increases, indicating a reduction in spatial correlation between data points as they become further apart. For other variables, such as minimum temperature, semivariance appears relatively constant across lag distances, implying a more uniform spatial distribution of values through space.”

As the authors note, the fit of these models is quite variable: some perform better than others. Based on even the good fits, I am somewhat concerned about the spatial scale of interpolation. For example, the fit for DO_max isn’t very good over the distance of ~0.03 (what are the units here?). For other variables (e.g., monthly range in Nitrogen), the fit line doesn’t appear to fit the [negative] trend at all. Given these fits, I am concerned that the environmental patterns over space may not be adequately represented by the models described. In general, some of the fits appear to either (1) obscure the spatial variability inherent to some variables or (2) don't appropriately capture trends.

>>>Response – We agree that the environmental patterns are a critical factor and have taken the following steps to address your concerns-

To improve the fit of each variogram, we re-interpolated the variables individually, allowing us to visually inspect and refine the model fit for each case rather than relying solely on an automated kriging procedure. This iterative approach enabled us to ensure better alignment between the variogram models and the observed data. The updated interpolated variables are presented in new Supplementary Figure 3 (included in a separate PDF attachment to preserve figure resolution).

While we believe these adjustments have generally improved the overall fit of the models, we acknowledge that some variograms still exhibit relatively high variability, particularly at smaller lag distances. We provided additional explanation (see pasted lines below), justifying why we consider this variability acceptable for our analysis. Furthermore, we note that repeated testing of various model fits did not substantially alter the overall spatial patterns, suggesting that the models are adequately capturing the larger-scale environmental trends despite local inconsistencies.

Supplementary Figure 3: “Regarding the fit of the variogram model, we note that the initial points in the plot often exhibit high variability due to the small lag distances between data pairs. These points are calculated from fewer data pairs, as the number of available pairs tends to increase with larger distances. Moreover, the high variability among the initial points is often an artifact of observations being sparse or clustered around certain regions.

For example, in our study, the high variability at small lag distances in all variables is most likely due to more frequent sampling near the capital, Christiansted (see Supplementary Fig. 1), where environmental monitoring efforts are more concentrated. These localized measurements contribute disproportionately to the small lag distance bins. To minimize the impact of this artifact, we fit the variogram model to the remaining data points, excluding the early, high-variability points.

Some variogram models show a better fit than others (ex. mean nitrogen, mean dissolved oxygen, and mean temperature), thus the resulting interpolations for those variables are more likely to capture actual trends across the seascape. On the other hand, models with a poorer fit can still identify regions with exceptionally high values (ex. mean E. coli) or low values (ex. monthly range of Nitrogen). However, we opted to retain even these gradients as predictors to see if those spatial patterns correlated with genetic structure. If variables with weaker variograms demonstrated high associations with genetic structure, we would have interpreted that result as genetic turnover across the seascape without attributing it to our interpolated variables, as even well-predicted variables would need to be validated experimentally. We did not, however, retain variables without variability across the seascape (ex. minimum nitrogen) and removed those variables as predictors from gradient forest models.”

Regarding your concern about the units for DO, we added clarification for units of all variables in the manuscript:

Lines 210-211: “Variables included pH, Enterococcus and E. coli (count per 100ml), dissolved oxygen, Kjeldahl nitrogen, and phosphorus (mg/L), and Secchi disk depth (m).”

Following the re-interpolation of our environmental variables, we also redefined the ecoregions and re-ran the gradient forest model using the updated set of variables. The resulting ecoregion patterns were consistent with those derived from the previous variables, and we have updated Figure 2 accordingly to reflect this.

In terms of model outcomes, after re-running the gradient forest analysis, we found that depth remained by far the most important variable, followed by pH_yearly_range as the second most influential factor, followed by temperature-related variables (see new Figure 5). It is worth noting that the importance of pH_yearly_range is consistent with our initial manuscript submission, where it was also identified as the second most important variable.

Reviewer #2:

1) Overall I thought the revised text was fairly superficial, but it more or less addresses the point. For example, the phrase “stepped clines driving tension zone formation and assortative mating” is quite jargony and “other factors, such as ocean currents influencing larval dispersal” is quite vague. The statement that “the ability of currents to sustain high dispersal and connectivity” (L462) seems at odds with all the research showing that larvae (including corals) disperse much less than expected from ocean currents. For example: Prata et al 2024 Some reef-building corals only disperse metres per generation. Proc. R. Soc. B 291: 20231988. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2023.1988

>>>Response – We omitted these vague and jargony sentences, and we added the following new paragraphs to our discussion that consider alternative explanations for cryptic community structure. These paragraphs focus on possible non-environmental drivers that could have influenced the patterns we observed but were beyond the scope of our current analysis. Specifically, we discuss factors such as ocean currents, reproductive strategies (e.g., brooding vs. spawning), natural disturbances, and prezygotic barriers, including gamete incompatibility and temporal isolation due to differences in spawn timing.

Regarding your comment on ocean currents and larval dispersal, we acknowledge that Prata et al. 2024 highlights the limited dispersal distances of reef-building corals. We revised our discussion point to clarify that while ocean currents may influence connectivity, the actual dispersal distance for some species could be much shorter.

Lines 456-511: “While we can estimate the extent of environmental differences that contribute to community structure, we recognize that most lineages are not strictly confined to specific depths or ecoregions and can co-occur at certain sites (see Fig 4). Untangling the mechanisms driving and maintaining genetic differentiation between cryptic lineages in the absence of geographic isolation remains a challenge. In addition to environmental variables, non-environmental factors such as ocean currents, reproductive strategies, natural disturbances, and prezygotic barriers may also influence coral community structure. For example, ocean currents can restrict dispersal patterns of local coral taxa (Fiesinger et al., 2023, Wood et al., 2016) and determine the settling locations of coral larvae (Thompson et al., 2018). Seasonal variation in the strength and direction of currents can further affect larval connectivity (Gilmour et al. 2016). In St. Croix, currents bend around the southern coast, sending wake flows to both the eastern and western sites (Chérubin & Garavelli, 2016), which may help explain the structured distribution of cryptic lineages across the east and west. Additionally, the reproductive mode of coral species- whether brooding or spawning- influences dispersal distance due to variations in larval phase length. For instance, the broadcast spawner Acropora palmata can have parent-offspring separations of 70 meters to one kilometer (Aurélien et al.), while brooding Agaricia corals typically only disperse 2 to 11 meters per generation (Prata et al. 2024). Despite the influence of ocean currents, many coral larvae settle in close proximity to their parent colonies (Prata et al. 2024), suggesting that short dispersal distances may limit the role of currents in driving genetic differentiation within these populations.

Natural disturbances, such as hurricanes, can also shape the structure of cryptic coral communities by fragmenting corals and redispersing them over large distances. However, the impact of these disturbances varies depending on oceanic geographic features. For example, patterns of reef destruction in St. Croix caused by Hurricane Hugo in 1989 varied by depth, shoreline orientation, and the composition of benthic communities before the storm (Hubbard et al. 1991). Moreover, patterns of coral growth on the mesophotic shelf edge of the U.S. Virgin Islands appear to be structured by acute but infrequent swell impacts, which varies across depths (Smith et al. 2016). These examples illustrate how natural disturbances can generate distinct patterns in coral community structure, shaped by the interaction between damage and recovery processes. On St. Croix, the impacts of Hurricanes Irma and Maria were similarly devastating, with significant damage to heritage and fisheries resources (Dunnavant et al. 2018; Stoffle et al. 2020), though the full scope of damage to the island’s coral communities remains unclear.

Prezygotic barriers, such as temporal isolation and gamete incompatibility, can also drive genetic divergence and the formation of cryptic lineages in corals. Within a single species, individuals may spawn at different times of the year, with some spawning in spring and others in fall. This asynchronous spawning is observed in species such as Acropora tenuis, A. samoensis, A. digitifera, Orbicella spp., and Mycedium elephantotus, all of which show genetic differentiation linked to their spawning periods (Dai et al., 2000; Gilmour et al., 2016; Levitan et al., 2011; Ohki et al., 2015; Rosser, 2015). Spawn timing is also determined by environmental cues and genetics, and even just a few hours difference in spawning can lead to sympatric speciation (Monteiro et al. 2012). Gamete incompatibility further contributes to this process. In some Orbicella spp., eggs can demonstrate conspecific sperm precedence (CSP), where they preferentially accept sperm from their own species. CSP may help gametes from broadcast spawners find each other in the water column, but it may also drive divergence in gamete compatibility (Fogarty et al. 2012). In the Caribbean, three recently diverged Orbicella spp.- O. franksi, O. faveolata, and O. annularis- show varying levels of gamete incompatibility, which may have played a role in their speciation (Levitan et al. 2004).

Despite these alternative explanations for the observed distribution patterns, depth consistently appears to be a signi

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Cryptic coral community composition across environmental gradients

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    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

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    Data Availability Statement

    All sequences and metadata are deposited on the Sequence Read Archive under Bioproject PRJNA1122865. Tutorials for these analyses, as well as all scripts and data to reproduce the figures in this manuscript, can be found at: https://github.com/kristinaleilani/2bRAD-workshop.


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