Abstract
Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors have emerged as a promising therapy for diabetes and CKD patients. However, the pros and cons of SGLT2i in Type2 diabetes patients with CKD stage 5 remained largely unexplored. By using Taiwan’s national health insurance research database (NHIRD), this observational cohort study enrolled T2DM patients with newly identified as having CKD5, and the index date defined as the date of CKD5 identification. The enrollees were divided into 2 groups depending on whether SGLT2 inhibitors were used for more than 3 months or not following the index date. A 1:4 propensity score matching was performed to balance characteristics between two groups. The SGLT2-inhibitor group exhibited significantly lower risks of new-onset ESRD (35.9% vs. 58.2%, hazard ratio [HR] 0.59, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.59–0.74). For the risks of MACCEs (16.72% vs. 17.66%, HR 0.84, 95% CI: 0.62–1.15), infections related hospitalization (2.4% vs. 2.61%, HR:1.02, 95% CI:0.80–1.31), Infection-associated mortality (3.45% vs. 4.18% HR:0.80, 95% CI:0.41–1.56) and all-cause mortality (13.79% vs. 13.83%, HR:0.95, 95% CI:0.68–1.32), no significant differences were observed between two groups. In conclusion, we provide evidence suggesting that SGLT2 inhibitors may offer renal protection and did not increase infection risks for CKD5 patients with type2 diabetes.
Keywords: CKD, Diabetes, ESRD, MACCE, SGLT2 inhibitor
Subject terms: Endocrinology, Nephrology
Introduction
Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) stands as a leading health concern, impacting populations worldwide as a top-priority disease1. T2DM has a global prevalence of approximately 13.5%2and its prevalence continues to rise, thereby contributing to the burden of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and other subsequent complications, such as an increased risk of stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), infection, and reduced quality of life3,4. Although several medications are presently available to manage blood sugar levels, most oral hypoglycemic agents (OHA) offer limited renal protection and are unable to impede the progression of chronic kidney disease. Recently, Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors have emerged as a promising therapy for patients with T2DM, offering both cardiovascular and renal protection5–8. As an OHA, these medications could inhibit glucose reabsorption in the renal proximal tubules, leading to a reduction in blood glucose levels and aiding in achieving the optimal glycohemoglobin (HbA1c) target. Beyond their blood sugar-lowering effects, SGLT2 inhibitors also exert an additional effect by inhibiting the sodium-glucose co-transporter, which results in a decrease in the reabsorption of sodium in the proximal tubules as well9. The increased urinary sodium in the renal tubule, facilitated by the tubular-glomerular feedback mechanism, can effectively mitigate the hyperfiltration of the glomerulus, which has been identified as the primary cause of proteinuria and the decline in renal function10,11. Thus, recent guidelines of T2DM treatment have classified SGLT2 inhibitors as the initial option, especially when the primary objective is to prevent chronic kidney disease12.
In 2020, Dapagliflozin in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease (DAPA-CKD) trial13, which enrolled patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 25 to 75 ml/min/1.73m2, and proved that the renal protection effect of SGTL2i is consistent irrespective of different baseline eGFR or the presence of T2DM or not. In 2022, Empagliflozin in Patients with CKD (EMPA-KIDNEY) trial additionally extended the baseline eGFR of participants lower to 20 ml/min/1.73m2 and the renal benefits of SGLT2i are still observed14. Although these exciting findings hinted that, unlike the reduced glucose-lowering effect along with renal function decline, the renal protection and proteinuria-lowering effect of SGLT2i seem to be less influenced with baseline renal function. However, as far, there is no direct evidence to prove that SGLT2i could be safely prescribed among patients with CKD stage 5 (eGFR < 15 ml/min/1.73m2) and still had renal or cardiovascular (CV) benefits. For several reasons, the authors believed that this is crucial to evaluate the role of SGLT2i in CKD5 patients. First, main effect of SGLT2i is to decrease hyperfiltration of glomerulus and would result in following reduction of proteinuria and temporary eGFR decline. Although in patients with moderate CKD, the temporary eGFR decline of SGLT2i have been proved safe and renal protective7,14. However, the uncertainty remains about whether the reduction of hyperfiltration in patients with extremely low eGFR might result in inadequate uremia clearance, potentially necessitating early initiation of renal replacement therapy. Second, previous studies have demonstrated the cardiovascular protective benefits of SGLT2i, particularly in reducing heart failure-related hospitalizations and mortality. Given the common occurrence of advanced CKD and heart failure simultaneously15,16, investigating whether the use of SGLT2i could also reduce the risk of heart failure or heart failure-associated complications in CKD5 patients is of great interest. Third, patients with CKD stage 5 are prone to complications such as protein-energy wasting (PEW) and immunodeficiency17,18, raising the question of whether SGLT2i-induced glucosuria might lead to severe urinary tract infections and exacerbate energy wasting in this population. This aspect is also worthy of investigation for nephrologists.
Since the pros and cons of SGLT2i in patients with CKD stage 5 remained largely unexplored, in this nationwide population-based retrospective cohort study by using Taiwan’s national health insurance research database (NHIRD), we aimed to investigate the effectiveness of SGLT2 inhibitors in stage 5 CKD patients with T2DM in the risk of Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Events (MACCE), progression into end stage renal disease (ESRD), infection and infection related mortality.
Methods
Study population
We performed this nationwide population-based retrospective cohort study using Taiwan’s NHIRD which was launched in 1995 by National Health Insurance (NHI) program. NHI in Taiwan is a nationwide, single-payer and compulsory health care program which covers 99.8% population (nearly 23.37 million) in Taiwan19,20. NHIRD database includes the diagnosis, outpatient clinic visits, hospital admissions, medications prescriptions, and procedures of insured patients. Disease diagnosis are made according to the International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) before 2015 and ICD-10-CM since 2016. The patient’s personal identification and information are scrambled before it is used for research. Therefore, this study was approved with a waiver of informed consent from the Institutional Review Board, Chang Gung Medical Foundation’s (approval number: 201900840B0). The authors confirmed that all experiments were performed in accordance with relevant guidelines and regulations.
Study design
As illustrated in Fig. 1, we enrolled all patients > 20 years diagnosed with chronic kidney disease stage 5 (eGFR < 15 ml/min/1.73m2) and type 2 diabetes mellitus between May 1st, 2016 and September 30th, 2020. In previous researches on the basis of Taiwan’s NHIRD, patients with stage 5 chronic kidney disease are identified through the diagnosis of CKD accompanied by the prescription of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs)21,22, as the insurance only cover the copayment of the use of ESAs for patients with eGFR < 15 ml/min/1.73m2 and hematocrit < 28%. Stage 5 chronic kidney disease date was defined as the date patients first prescribed ESAs after at least 3 claims of chronic kidney disease during hospital admission or at outpatient clinics. We defined day 91 after stage 5 chronic kidney disease as the index date for a 90-day observational time for better identification of medications prescribed for these patients.
Fig. 1.
Flowchart for the inclusion and follow-up of study patients. CKD: chronic kidney disease; SGLT2: sodium-glucose cotransporter 2.
We excluded patients newly diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus after the index date, those younger than 20 years old, patients who had undergone long-term dialysis therapy or kidney transplantation before the index date, and those with a malignancy diagnosis prior to the index date. A total of 36,184 CKD5 patients with type2 diabetes mellitus were enrolled, of which 248 were continuously prescribed SGLT2 inhibitors.
Study groups and Covariates
All enrolled patients were divided into two groups depending on whether SGLT2 inhibitors were continuously used for 90 days or not between CKD stage 5 date and index date.
The covariates in this study were age, sex, area of residence, occupation, comorbidities, history of hospitalizations, and relevant medications. Comorbidities were identified if they were reported for more than two outpatient visits or one inpatient stay within the year preceding the index date. The history of hospitalization was tracked to three years before the index date. Medications were identified according to the prescriptions between CKD stage 5 date and index date.
End points
The main outcome in this study was Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Events (MACCE), which encompassed percutaneous coronary intervention, coronary artery bypass surgery, thrombolysis therapy, cardiogenic shock, heart failure, malignant dysrhythmia, myocardial infarction, and stroke. Infection, infection-associated mortality, progression to end-stage renal disease and all-cause mortality were considered as secondary outcomes. All-cause mortality was defined as either the withdrawal from the National Health Insurance (NHI) program for more than three months or the patient’s appearance in the Taiwan Death Registry. MACCE and infection were identified according to the principal diagnosis during hospitalization or emergency room visits. New-onset ESRD was defined as obtaining a catastrophic illness certificate for permanent dialysis. Disease diagnoses were conducted using ICD-9-CM codes before 2015 or ICD-10-CM codes from 2016 onwards, and most of these codes have been previously validated23–25.
Statistical analysis
To balance the baseline characteristics between the study groups (SGLT2 inhibitor group vs. control group), the propensity score matching was performed, in which each patient in the SGLT2 inhibitor group was matched with four counterparts in the control group. With the covariates being demographics, comorbidities, history of hospitalizations, medications, and index date of CKD stage 5 (variables listed in Table 1), the propensity score was the predicted probability to be in the SGLT2 inhibitor group derived from logistic regression26. A greedy nearest neighbor algorithm was adopted with a caliper of 0.2 without replacement26. The quality of matching between the groups was confirmed using the absolute standardized mean difference (ASMD), in which a value less than 0.1 indicate a negligible difference between groups.
Table 1.
Baseline characteristics between SGLT2 inhibitors and control groups.
| Variable | Propensity Score Matching | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before | ASMD | After | ASMD | |||||||
| SGLT2 inhibitors | SGLT2 inhibitors | |||||||||
| No | Yes | No | Yes | |||||||
| (n = 35,936) | (n = 248) | (n = 968) | (n = 242) | |||||||
| Age, years (mean, std) | 69 | 13 | 68 | 12 | 0.0699 | 68 | 13 | 68 | 12 | 0.0556 |
| Male (n, %) | 18,524 | 51.55 | 115 | 46.37 | 0.1037 | 436 | 45.04 | 112 | 46.28 | 0.0249 |
| Area of residence (n, %) | 0.0443 | 0.0684 | ||||||||
| Urban | 19,713 | 54.86 | 142 | 57.26 | 555 | 57.33 | 138 | 57.02 | ||
| Suburban | 11,859 | 33.00 | 78 | 31.45 | 302 | 31.20 | 77 | 31.82 | ||
| Rural | 4364 | 12.14 | 28 | 11.29 | 111 | 11.47 | 27 | 11.16 | ||
| Occupation (n, %) | 0.0766 | 0.0477 | ||||||||
| Dependent | 15,165 | 42.2 | 103 | 41.53 | 405 | 41.84 | 101 | 41.74 | ||
| Civil servant | 349 | 0.97 | 3 | 1.21 | 10 | 1.03 | 3 | 1.24 | ||
| Non-manual worker | 2642 | 7.35 | 23 | 9.27 | 94 | 9.71 | 21 | 8.68 | ||
| Manual worker | 10,706 | 29.79 | 71 | 28.63 | 270 | 27.89 | 70 | 28.93 | ||
| Other | 7074 | 19.68 | 48 | 19.35 | 189 | 19.52 | 47 | 19.42 | ||
| Comorbidity (n, %) | ||||||||||
| Hypertension | 27,997 | 77.91 | 177 | 71.37 | 0.1507 | 688 | 71.07 | 175 | 72.31 | 0.0275 |
| Hyperlipidemia | 15,713 | 43.72 | 98 | 39.52 | 0.0855 | 384 | 39.67 | 98 | 40.5 | 0.0169 |
| Liver cirrhosis | 657 | 1.83 | 1 | 0.40 | 0.1360 | 3 | 0.31 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.0167 |
| Systemic lupus erythematosus | 99 | 0.28 | 1 | 0.40 | 0.0220 | 8 | 0.83 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.0535 |
| Atrial fibrillation | 477 | 1.33 | 1 | 0.40 | 0.0999 | 4 | 0.41 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.0000 |
| Peripheral artery disease | 967 | 2.69 | 7 | 2.82 | 0.0080 | 22 | 2.27 | 7 | 2.89 | 0.0391 |
| Connective tissue disease | 501 | 1.39 | 7 | 2.82 | 0.0996 | 29 | 3.00 | 6 | 2.48 | 0.0319 |
| Chronic lung disease | 3152 | 8.77 | 32 | 12.9 | 0.1332 | 106 | 10.95 | 31 | 12.81 | 0.0575 |
| Renal stone | 936 | 2.60 | 10 | 4.03 | 0.0798 | 41 | 4.24 | 9 | 3.72 | 0.0266 |
| Benign prostate hyperplasia | 3364 | 9.36 | 19 | 7.66 | 0.0609 | 60 | 6.2 | 19 | 7.85 | 0.0646 |
| Hospitalization history (n, %) | ||||||||||
| Heart Failure | 8121 | 22.60 | 63 | 25.4 | 0.0657 | 221 | 22.83 | 60 | 24.79 | 0.0460 |
| Myocardial infarction | 1913 | 5.32 | 16 | 6.45 | 0.0479 | 52 | 5.37 | 15 | 6.2 | 0.0356 |
| Stroke | 2498 | 6.95 | 8 | 3.23 | 0.1701 | 31 | 3.2 | 8 | 3.31 | 0.0062 |
| Infection | 13,983 | 38.91 | 93 | 37.5 | 0.0290 | 354 | 36.57 | 88 | 36.36 | 0.0044 |
| Medication (n, %) | ||||||||||
| ACEi | 2656 | 7.39 | 10 | 4.03 | 0.1451 | 46 | 4.75 | 10 | 4.13 | 0.0301 |
| ARB | 21,166 | 58.9 | 167 | 67.34 | 0.1756 | 643 | 66.43 | 165 | 68.18 | 0.0373 |
| Aspirin | 11,026 | 30.68 | 84 | 33.87 | 0.0682 | 338 | 34.92 | 81 | 33.47 | 0.0306 |
| Beta-blockers | 21,606 | 60.12 | 160 | 64.52 | 0.0907 | 613 | 63.33 | 157 | 64.88 | 0.0323 |
| Calcium channel blockers | 16,661 | 46.36 | 84 | 33.87 | 0.2570 | 347 | 35.85 | 84 | 34.71 | 0.0239 |
| Digoxin | 721 | 2.01 | 5 | 2.02 | 0.0007 | 20 | 2.07 | 5 | 2.07 | 0.0000 |
| Diuretics | 26,694 | 74.28 | 174 | 70.16 | 0.0921 | 679 | 70.14 | 172 | 71.07 | 0.0204 |
| NSAID | 12,207 | 33.97 | 79 | 31.85 | 0.0450 | 294 | 30.37 | 77 | 31.82 | 0.0313 |
| Statin | 21,148 | 58.85 | 177 | 71.37 | 0.2650 | 688 | 71.07 | 172 | 71.07 | 0.0000 |
| Fibrate | 2415 | 6.72 | 28 | 11.29 | 0.1602 | 113 | 11.67 | 26 | 10.74 | 0.0295 |
| Pentoxifylline | 15,401 | 42.86 | 100 | 40.32 | 0.0514 | 398 | 41.12 | 100 | 41.32 | 0.0041 |
| Ketosteril | 7786 | 21.67 | 49 | 19.76 | 0.0471 | 201 | 20.76 | 49 | 20.25 | 0.0126 |
| Glucose lowering agents | ||||||||||
| Sulfonylurea | 8844 | 24.61 | 105 | 42.34 | 0.3825 | 403 | 41.63 | 101 | 41.74 | 0.0022 |
| DPP-4i | 19,871 | 55.3 | 155 | 62.5 | 0.1468 | 612 | 63.22 | 151 | 62.4 | 0.0170 |
| Thiazolidinedione | 2414 | 6.72 | 43 | 17.34 | 0.3310 | 140 | 14.46 | 40 | 16.53 | 0.0572 |
| Insulin | 17,644 | 49.1 | 135 | 54.44 | 0.1070 | 539 | 55.68 | 133 | 54.96 | 0.0145 |
| GLP-1 Agonist | 467 | 1.3 | 8 | 3.23 | 0.1298 | 34 | 3.51 | 7 | 2.89 | 0.0352 |
| Acarbose | 2848 | 7.93 | 38 | 15.32 | 0.2324 | 147 | 15.19 | 37 | 15.29 | 0.0028 |
| Meglitinide | 7831 | 21.79 | 43 | 17.34 | 0.1124 | 165 | 17.05 | 42 | 17.36 | 0.0082 |
| Follow-up, years (mean, std) | 2.00 | 1.27 | 1.20 | 0.95 | 1.90 | 1.19 | 1.20 | 0.96 | ||
ACEi, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor; ARB, angiotensin receptor blocker; ASMD, absolute standardized mean difference; DPP4i, dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors; GLP-1, glucagon-like peptide-1; NSAID, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug.
The comparison of the risk of all-cause mortality between two groups was using a Cox proportional hazard model. The comparison of the risk of other time to event outcomes (i.e., infection death) between two groups was using a subdistribution hazard model that considered death as a competing risk27. In both the Cox and subdistribution hazard models, matching pairs were stratified to consider the correlation among patients within the same matching pair28. The cumulative incidence rate was plotted using subdistribution cumulative incidence function for time to event outcomes, except for all-cause mortality, whereas Kaplan–Meier survival curves was plotted for all-cause mortality. A 2-tailed p-value of < 0.05 was regarded statistically significant and no adjustment of multiple testing was conducted.
Results
Patient characteristics
Table 1 exhibited the main characteristics of the studied patients. A total of 36,184 adult patients with CKD stage 5 between 2016 and 2020 were eligible. Of them, 248 continuously received SGLT2 inhibitors between CKD5 date and index date (SGLT2 inhibitor group), whereas the other 35,936 patients had not (control group). Before matching, the SGLT2 inhibitor group only exhibited a few differences compared to control group: more common prescriptions for calcium channel blockers, statins, sulfonylurea, thiazolidinedione (TZD), and acarbose. After propensity score matching, all the values of ASMD were less than 0.1, indicating negligible differences between the two groups in these clinical characteristics (Table 1).
Outcome
In the outcome analysis (Table 2), after propensity score matching, the SGLT2i group exhibited a significantly lower risks of new-onset ESRD (36.12% vs. 61.58%, hazard ratio [HR] 0.61, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.47–0.77). However, for the risks of MACCE (17.85% vs. 18.58%, HR 0.98, 95% CI: 0.69–1.38), infections related hospitalization (30.36% vs. 29.17%, HR:1.03, 95% CI:0.80–1.33), MACCE-associated mortality (2.19 vs. 2.45, HR:0.89, 95% CI: 0.38–2.07), Infection-associated mortality (3.28% vs. 4.81% HR:0.69, 95% CI:0.34–1.38) and all-cause mortality (13.14% vs. 15.27%, HR:0.86, 95% CI:0.60–1.23), no significant differences were observed between SGLT2i group and control group. The cumulative incidence curves for outcomes were represented in Fig. 2.
Table 2.
Follow-up outcomes before and after propensity score matching.
| Control group | SGLT2 inhibitors group | SGLT2 inhibitors group vs Control group |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. of events | Incidence rate* (95%CI) |
No. of events | Incidence rate* (95%CI) |
Hazard ratio (95%CI) | |
| Before Propensity Score Matching | |||||
| MACCEa | 10,387 | 17.73(17.39–18.07) | 44 | 16.95(11.94–21.96) | 0.86(0.64–1.15) |
| Infection | 15,209 | 28.13(27.68–28.57) | 72 | 30.26(23.27–37.25) | 0.96(0.76–1.21) |
| New-onset ESRD | 22,752 | 69.29(68.39–70.19) | 76 | 34.47(26.72–42.22) | 0.48(0.38–0.60) |
| MACCEa associated mortality | 1805 | 2.51(2.40–2.63) | 7 | 2.34(0.94–4.83) | 0.88(0.42–1.86) |
| Infection associated mortality | 4084 | 5.68(5.51–5.86) | 10 | 3.35(1.27–5.42) | 0.55(0.30–1.03) |
| All-cause mortality | 11,466 | 15.95(15.66–16.24) | 40 | 13.39(9.24–17.54) | 0.77(0.57–1.05) |
| After Propensity Score Matching | |||||
| MACCEa | 166 | 18.58(15.75–21.4) | 42 | 17.85(12.45–23.25) | 0.98(0.69–1.38) |
| Infection | 247 | 29.17(25.53–32.81) | 65 | 30.36(22.98–37.74) | 1.03(0.80–1.33) |
| New-onset ESRD | 377 | 61.58(55.36–67.79) | 71 | 36.12(27.72–44.53) | 0.61(0.47–0.77) |
| MACCEa associated mortality | 26 | 2.45(1.51–3.39) | 6 | 2.19(0.80–4.77) | 0.89(0.38–2.07) |
| Infection associated mortality | 51 | 4.81(3.49–6.13) | 9 | 3.28(1.50–6.24) | 0.69(0.34–1.38) |
| All-cause mortality | 162 | 15.27(12.92–17.63) | 36 | 13.14(8.85–17.43) | 0.86(0.60–1.23) |
*: per 100 person-years, a: MACCE: major advanced cardiovascular events, any coronary artery bypass graft (CABG), myocardial infarction (MI), percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), cardiogenic shock, new-diagnosis heart failure, coronary revascularization, malignant arrhythmia, or cerebrovascular events; CI: confidence interval; ESRD: End-stage renal disease.
Fig. 2.
Event free rate for study outcomes after propensity score matching: (A)End-stage renal disease, (B) All-cause mortality, (C) MACCE, (D) Infection. MACCE: major advanced cardiovascular events, any coronary artery bypass graft (CABG), myocardial infarction (MI), percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), cardiogenic shock, new-diagnosis heart failure, coronary revascularization, malignant arrhythmia, or cerebrovascular events.
Discussion
In this study, we aimed to investigate the relationship between renal and CV outcomes and the use of SGLT2 inhibitors in CKD5 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Though the utilization of SGLT2 inhibitors in CKD5 patients was relatively infrequent as far, limiting the number of SGLT2 inhibitor users in this study. We observed that baseline characteristics between SGLT2 inhibitors group and control group were largely balanced even prior to propensity score matching in this study (Table 1). Therefore, the equilibrium in baseline co-morbidities between the SGLT2 inhibitor group and the control group suggests that we did not recruit a specific population, enhancing the reliability of our results. This study provides insights into the potential benefits of SGLT2 inhibitors in patients with stage 5 CKD, a population was often excluded from clinical trials. The findings suggest that SGLT2 inhibitors may offer renal protection for patients with stage 5 CKD without causing significant adverse cardiovascular effects or increased infection rates. These results indicate that SGLT2 inhibitors might still have a role for slowing down the progression to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) even in patients with late-stage CKD, potentially improving patient outcomes and reducing the burden on healthcare systems. The results of our study align with previous research demonstrating the efficacy of SGLT2 inhibitors in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and advanced CKD, including stage 4 CKD7,8,14. Our findings extend the evidence base for the use of SGLT2 inhibitors in this patient population, highlighting their potential benefit to slow the progression to end-stage renal disease.
According to the current emerging evidence, the protective effect of SGLT2 inhibitors is mainly attributed to the reduction of hyperfiltration of glomerulus11,29. However, in CKD5 patients, who have only a fraction of the glomerulus preserved, the major concern for physicians is whether the reduction of glomerular hyperfiltration caused by SGLT2 inhibitors still exerts a renal protective effect or, conversely, leads to inadequate renal toxin clearance and early uremia symptoms. The positive results of this study may partially alleviate these concerns. But it is important to note that most participants in this study initiated the use of SGLT2 inhibitors before reaching CKD stage 5. As a result, this study can only demonstrate that continuing the use of SGLT2 inhibitors after CKD stage 5 can still have a renal protective effect. However, since very few patients have initiated SGLT2 inhibitor treatment after reaching CKD stage 5 in Taiwan so far, this cohort study was underpowered to determine whether newly prescribed SGLT2 inhibitors after CKD stage 5 still provide benefits for renal outcomes. Our research team plans to design a further cohort study to address this question when the prescriptions of SGLT2 inhibitors in CKD stage 5 patients become more prevalent.
Another major concern regarding the prescription of SGLT2 inhibitors is the higher risk of infection30. Since SGLT2 inhibitors promote sugar excretion through urine, previous randomized controlled trials (RCTs) involving patients with diabetes mellitus have demonstrated that SGLT2 inhibitors may increase the incidence of skin infections in the vulva and penis regions, particularly fungal infections31,32. Some observational studies also indicated that SGLT2 inhibitors may raise the risks of urinary tract infection33. On the other hand, advanced CKD patient is a well-known population of frailty, with high risks of protein energy wasting (PEW), immunocompromised, and infection34,35. Therefore, the concern of infection may limit the use of SGLT2 inhibitors in patients with advanced CKD, as they are a susceptible population for infections. Additionally, the potential loss of additional sugar and calories after using SGLT2 inhibitors might worsen protein-energy wasting (PEW) among advanced CKD patients, especially in those with inadequate calorie intake, possibly leading to severe infections or even death. Contrary to these speculations, our study demonstrated that the use of SGLT2 inhibitors after reaching CKD stage 5 did not increase the risks of infection and mortality. Particularly, the baseline characteristics, including age, co-morbidities, and history of infection, were very similar between the SGLT2 inhibitors group and the control group even before performing propensity score matching. This suggests that the selection bias between the two groups might be minimal, making our results relatively reliable. We speculate that the lower-than-expected adverse events of SGLT2 inhibitors in advanced CKD patients may be attributed to the reduced daily urine sugar amount coupled with the lower eGFR36. As CKD stage 5 patients excrete less sugar and calories in their urine under the influence of SGLT2 inhibitors compared to early CKD patients37, the subsequent risks of infection or mortality in CKD5 patients may not increase. At last, concerning the risks of CV events, unlike the CV beneficial effects of SGLT2 inhibitors observed in previous studies involving early-stage CKD patients38,39, this study demonstrates that the use of SGLT2 inhibitors in CKD5 patients neither increases nor decreases the risks of CV events. We have speculated several possible reasons for the neutral effect of SGLT2 inhibitors on CV events in this study. First, as mentioned before, the effect of SGLT2 inhibitors on the excretion of sugar, sodium, and calories diminishes along with eGFR decline and loss of glomerulus function37. Consequently, SGLT2 inhibitors may play a lesser role in weight reduction, sugar control, and hypertension control in CKD5 patients, potentially attenuating their CV benefits. Second, the SGLT2 inhibitors are usually discontinued after initiating dialysis, and the relatively short duration of SGLT2 inhibitor use (mean follow-up of around 1.5 years in this study) may contribute to the observed insignificant CV benefits. Third, it is possible that the CV benefits of SGLT2 inhibitors may exist in certain high CV risk subgroups; however, the small sample size limits our ability to conduct further subgroup analysis. Additional randomized controlled trials or large-scale, high-quality observational studies with sufficient patient numbers could help address this issue.
This year, another study using the NHIRD focused on CKD stage 5 patients was published, demonstrating that the SGLT2 inhibitor group had superior renal outcomes compared to the non-SGLT2i group. The study employed a statistical method known as sequential weekly emulated target trials, treating each week as a new trial. By using this method, CKD5 patients receiving SGLT2 inhibitor treatment were repeatedly enrolled over 10 times, allowing the study to include a significantly larger number of subjects than ours. However, our study exclusively enrolled CKD5 patients who continuously used SGLT2 inhibitors for more than three months to ensure compliance. Additionally, our study evaluated infection-associated outcomes, an important aspect for CKD patients that was not addressed in the prior study.
Some limitations of this study should be acknowledged. First, certain clinical information, such as serum sugar levels, albumin, creatinine, proteinuria, and body mass index, were not available in the NHIRD. This lack of data could potentially influence the assessment of certain outcomes. Second, despite achieving a high degree of similarity in baseline characteristics between the SGLT2 inhibitors group and the control group, an observational study may still entail inherent bias due to its non-randomized nature. Third, the use of SGLT2 inhibitors in advanced CKD patients was still relatively uncommon, resulting in a limited number of enrollees in the SGLT2 inhibitors group. Consequently, the small sample size limited generalizability of this study and made further subgroup analysis infeasible .
Conclusion
In conclusion, our study provides initial evidence suggesting that SGLT2 inhibitors may offer renal protection for patients with stage 5 CKD without increasing cardiovascular risk or infection rates. The positive findings from our study may help alleviate certain concerns about prescribing SGLT2 inhibitors in advanced CKD patients, including the risks of infection or early dialysis. However, it is important to note that one single observational study is insufficient to draw definitive conclusions, and further RCTs are still necessary to establish causality and optimize treatment strategies.
Data availability
All data generated or analysed during the study are included in this published article.
Acknowledgements
The authors thank the statistical assistance and wish to acknowledge the support of the Maintenance Project of the Center for Big Data Analytics and Statistics (Grant CLRPG3N0011) at Chang Gung Memorial Hospital for study design and monitor, data analysis and interpretation. The authors thank Mr. Yu-Tung Huang, and Miss Hui-Tzu Tu, for their assistance in the statistical analysis.
Author contributions
B.H and C.L.Y wrote the main manuscript text. C.L.Y and H.Y.Y proposed the idea of this research. C.Y.W, H.Y.Y, and I.C.H edited the main manuscript. C.Y.T, J.J.C, and C.C.H performed the data curation and analysis. Y.C.C and I.C.H supervised this research. All authors reviewed the manuscript.
Funding
This work was supported by grants from Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taiwan, (CORPG3J0301, CMRPG3I0371-2, CORPG3L0451).
Declarations
Competing interests
All authors disclosure there is no financial conflict of interest.
Footnotes
The original online version of this Article was revised: The original version of this Article contained an error in the spelling of the author I-Chang Hsieh which was incorrectly given as I-chiang Hsieh.
Publisher’s note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Birdie Huang, Chieh-Li Yen, I-Chang Hsieh and Huang-Yu Yang contributed equally.
Change history
4/11/2025
A Correction to this paper has been published: 10.1038/s41598-025-96996-3
References
- 1.Cho, N. H. et al. IDF Diabetes Atlas: Global estimates of diabetes prevalence for 2017 and projections for 2045. Diabetes Res. Clin. Pract.138, 271–281. 10.1016/j.diabres.2018.02.023 (2018). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 2.Khan, M. A. B. et al. Epidemiology of type 2 diabetes - global burden of disease and forecasted trends. J. Epidemiol. Glob. Health10, 107–111. 10.2991/jegh.k.191028.001 (2020). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 3.Afkarian, M. et al. Kidney disease and increased mortality risk in type 2 diabetes. J. Am. Soc. Nephrol.24, 302–308. 10.1681/ASN.2012070718 (2013). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 4.Thomas, M. C., Cooper, M. E. & Zimmet, P. Changing epidemiology of type 2 diabetes mellitus and associated chronic kidney disease. Nat. Rev. Nephrol.12, 73–81. 10.1038/nrneph.2015.173 (2016). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 5.Perkovic, V. et al. Canagliflozin and renal outcomes in type 2 diabetes and nephropathy. N. Engl. J. Med.380, 2295–2306. 10.1056/NEJMoa1811744 (2019). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 6.Zinman, B. et al. Empagliflozin, cardiovascular outcomes, and mortality in type 2 diabetes. N. Engl. J. Med.373, 2117–2128. 10.1056/NEJMoa1504720 (2015). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 7.Heerspink, H. J. L. et al. Dapagliflozin in patients with chronic kidney disease. N. Engl. J. Med.383, 1436–1446. 10.1056/NEJMoa2024816 (2020). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 8.Wanner, C. et al. Empagliflozin and clinical outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, established cardiovascular disease, and chronic kidney disease. Circulation137, 119–129. 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.117.028268 (2018). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 9.Vallon, V. et al. SGLT2 mediates glucose reabsorption in the early proximal tubule. J. Am. Soc. Nephrol.22, 104–112. 10.1681/ASN.2010030246 (2011). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 10.Thomas, M. C. & Cherney, D. Z. I. The actions of SGLT2 inhibitors on metabolism, renal function and blood pressure. Diabetologia61, 2098–2107. 10.1007/s00125-018-4669-0 (2018). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 11.Ni, L., Yuan, C., Chen, G., Zhang, C. & Wu, X. SGLT2i: beyond the glucose-lowering effect. Cardiovasc. Diabetol.19, 98. 10.1186/s12933-020-01071-y (2020). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 12.Blonde, L. et al. American Association of Clinical Endocrinology Clinical Practice Guideline: Developing a Diabetes Mellitus Comprehensive Care Plan-2022 Update. Endocr. Pract.28, 923–1049. 10.1016/j.eprac.2022.08.002 (2022). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 13.Wheeler, D. C. et al. Effects of dapagliflozin on major adverse kidney and cardiovascular events in patients with diabetic and non-diabetic chronic kidney disease: a prespecified analysis from the DAPA-CKD trial. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol.9, 22–31. 10.1016/S2213-8587(20)30369-7 (2021). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 14.Delanaye, P. & Scheen, A. J. EMPA-KIDNEY: empagliflozin in chronic kidney disease. Rev. Med. Liege.78, 24–28 (2023). [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 15.House, A. A. Management of heart failure in advancing CKD: Core curriculum 2018. Am. J. Kidney. Dis.72, 284–295. 10.1053/j.ajkd.2017.12.006 (2018). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 16.Chen, J. J., Lee, T. H. & Yang, H. Y. Exploring nontraditional cardiorenal advantages of SGLT-2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists. Kidney Int.105, 442–444. 10.1016/j.kint.2024.01.002 (2024). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 17.Oliveira, E. A., Zheng, R., Carter, C. E. & Mak, R. H. Cachexia/Protein energy wasting syndrome in CKD: Causation and treatment. Semin. Dial.32, 493–499. 10.1111/sdi.12832 (2019). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 18.Diaz-Ricart, M. et al. Endothelial damage, inflammation and immunity in chronic kidney disease. Toxins (Basel)12, 361. 10.3390/toxins12060361 (2020). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 19.Lin, L. Y., Warren-Gash, C., Smeeth, L. & Chen, P. C. Data resource profile: the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). Epidemiol. Health40, e2018062. 10.4178/epih.e2018062 (2018). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 20.Hsieh, C. Y. et al. Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database: past and future. Clin. Epidemiol.11, 349–358. 10.2147/CLEP.S196293 (2019). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 21.Hsieh, M. S. et al. Contrast medium exposure during computed tomography and risk of development of end-stage renal disease in patients with chronic kidney disease: A nationwide population-based, propensity score-matched, longitudinal follow-up study. Med. (Baltim.)95, e3388. 10.1097/MD.0000000000003388 (2016). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 22.Lin, C. C. et al. Angiotensin receptor blockers are associated with lower mortality than ACE inhibitors in predialytic stage 5 chronic kidney disease: A nationwide study of therapy with renin-angiotensin system blockade. PLoS One12, e0189126. 10.1371/journal.pone.0189126 (2017). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 23.Hsieh, C. Y., Chen, C. H., Li, C. Y. & Lai, M. L. Validating the diagnosis of acute ischemic stroke in a National Health Insurance claims database. J. Formos. Med. Assoc.114, 254–259. 10.1016/j.jfma.2013.09.009 (2015). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 24.Cheng, C. L., Chien, H. C., Lee, C. H., Lin, S. J. & Yang, Y. H. Validity of in-hospital mortality data among patients with acute myocardial infarction or stroke in National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan. Int. J. Cardiol.201, 96–101. 10.1016/j.ijcard.2015.07.075 (2015). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 25.Cheng, C. L. et al. Validation of acute myocardial infarction cases in the national health insurance research database in taiwan. J. Epidemiol.24, 500–507. 10.2188/jea.je20140076 (2014). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 26.Austin, P. C. Optimal caliper widths for propensity-score matching when estimating differences in means and differences in proportions in observational studies. Pharm. Stat.10, 150–161. 10.1002/pst.433 (2011). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 27.Zhang, X., Zhang, M. J. & Fine, J. A proportional hazards regression model for the subdistribution with right-censored and left-truncated competing risks data. Stat. Med.30, 1933–1951. 10.1002/sim.4264 (2011). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 28.Austin, P. C. Comparing paired vs non-paired statistical methods of analyses when making inferences about absolute risk reductions in propensity-score matched samples. Stat. Med.30, 1292–1301. 10.1002/sim.4200 (2011). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 29.Rabizadeh, S., Nakhjavani, M. & Esteghamati, A. Cardiovascular and renal benefits of SGLT2 Inhibitors: A narrative review. Int. J. Endocrinol. Metab.17, e84353. 10.5812/ijem.84353 (2019). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 30.Gadzhanova, S., Pratt, N. & Roughead, E. Use of SGLT2 inhibitors for diabetes and risk of infection: Analysis using general practice records from the NPS MedicineWise MedicineInsight program. Diabetes Res. Clin. Pract.130, 180–185. 10.1016/j.diabres.2017.06.018 (2017). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 31.Thong, K. Y. et al. Clinical risk factors predicting genital fungal infections with sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor treatment: The ABCD nationwide dapagliflozin audit. Prim. Care Diabetes12, 45–50. 10.1016/j.pcd.2017.06.004 (2018). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 32.Nyirjesy, P. et al. Genital mycotic infections with canagliflozin, a sodium glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitor, in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a pooled analysis of clinical studies. Curr. Med. Res. Opin.30, 1109–1119. 10.1185/03007995.2014.890925 (2014). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 33.Uitrakul, S., Aksonnam, K., Srivichai, P., Wicheannarat, S. & Incomenoy, S. The incidence and risk factors of urinary tract infection in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus using SGLT2 inhibitors: a real-world observational study. Med. (Basel)9, 59. 10.3390/medicines9120059 (2022). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 34.Lorenz, E. C. et al. Frailty in CKD and transplantation. Kidney Int. Rep.6, 2270–2280. 10.1016/j.ekir.2021.05.025 (2021). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 35.Walker, S. R. et al. Association of frailty and physical function in patients with non-dialysis CKD: a systematic review. BMC Nephrol.14, 228. 10.1186/1471-2369-14-228 (2013). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 36.Yau, K., Dharia, A., Alrowiyti, I. & Cherney, D. Z. I. Prescribing SGLT2 inhibitors in patients with CKD: Expanding indications and practical considerations. Kidney Int. Rep.7, 1463–1476. 10.1016/j.ekir.2022.04.094 (2022). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 37.Cherney, D. Z. I. et al. Pooled analysis of Phase III trials indicate contrasting influences of renal function on blood pressure, body weight, and HbA1c reductions with empagliflozin. Kidney Int.93, 231–244. 10.1016/j.kint.2017.06.017 (2018). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 38.Solomon, S. D. et al. Dapagliflozin in heart failure with mildly reduced or preserved ejection fraction. N. Engl. J. Med.387, 1089–1098. 10.1056/NEJMoa2206286 (2022). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 39.Packer, M. et al. Cardiovascular and renal outcomes with empagliflozin in heart failure. N. Engl. J. Med.383, 1413–1424. 10.1056/NEJMoa2022190 (2020). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Data Availability Statement
All data generated or analysed during the study are included in this published article.


