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. 2025 Mar 10;185(5):572–581. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2025.0011

Awake Prone Positioning in Adults With COVID-19

An Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis

Jian Luo 1, Ivan Pavlov 2, Elsa Tavernier 3, Yonatan Perez 4, Aileen Kharat 5, Bairbre McNicholas 6,7, Oriol Roca 8,9,10, David L Vines 11, Miguel Ibarra-Estrada 12, Waleed Alhazzani 13,14, Kimberley Lewis 15,16, Steven Q Simpson 17, Garrett Rampon 18, Ling Liu 19, Qin Sun 19, Haibo Qiu 19, Yi Yang 19, Giuseppe Lapadula 20, Edward Tang Qian 21, Cheryl L Gatto 21, Todd W Rice 21, Ken Kuljit S Parhar 22, Jason Weatherald 23, Allan J Walkey 24, Nicholas A Bosch 25, Mai-Anh Nay 26, Thierry Boulain 26, Guillaume Fossat 26, Tim RE Harris 27,28, C Louise Thwaites 29, Nguyen Thanh Phong 30, Paolo Bonfanti 20, Sajad Yarahmadi 31, Seyed Mohammadreza Hashemian 32, Devachandran Jayakumar 33, Stephanie Parks Taylor 34, Stacy A Johnson 35, Claude Guerin 36, John G Laffey 6,7, Stephan Ehrmann 37,38, Jie Li 11,, for the Awake Prone Positioning Meta-Analysis Group
PMCID: PMC11894540  PMID: 40063016

Key Points

Question

Is awake prone positioning (APP) associated with better odds of survival without intubation compared with supine positioning in patients with COVID-19 and acute hypoxemic respiratory failure?

Findings

In this meta-analysis using individual participant data of 3019 patients from 14 randomized clinical trials, APP was found to improve survival without intubation and reduce the risk of both intubation and hospital mortality. A prolonged duration of APP, specifically 10 or more hours per day, was associated with better outcomes.

Meaning

These results suggest that among patients with COVID-19 and acute hypoxemic respiratory failure, APP is associated with improved clinical outcomes.


This meta-analysis examines awake prone positioning to treat patients with COVID-19 and acute hypoxemic respiratory failure and its association with increased odds of survival without intubation.

Abstract

Importance

The impact of awake prone positioning (APP) on clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19 and acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) remains uncertain.

Objective

To assess the association of APP with improved clinical outcomes among patients with COVID-19 and AHRF, and to identify potential effect modifiers.

Data Sources

PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and ClinicalTrials.gov were searched through August 1, 2024.

Study Selection

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) examining APP in adults with COVID-19 and AHRF that reported intubation rate or mortality were included.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

Individual participant data (IPD) were extracted according to PRISMA-IPD guidelines. For binary outcomes, logistic regression was used and odds ratio (OR) and 95% CIs were reported, while for continuous outcomes, linear regression was used and mean difference (MD) and 95% CIs were reported.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was survival without intubation. Secondary outcomes included intubation, mortality, death without intubation, death after intubation, escalation of respiratory support, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, time from enrollment to intubation and death, duration of invasive mechanical ventilation, and hospital and ICU lengths of stay.

Results

A total of 14 RCTs involving 3019 patients were included; 1542 patients in the APP group (mean [SD] age, 59.3 [14.1] years; 1048 male [68.0%]) and 1477 in the control group (mean [SD] age, 59.9 [14.1] years; 979 male [66.3%]). APP improved survival without intubation (OR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.20-1.68), and it reduced the risk of intubation (OR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.59-0.84) and hospital mortality (OR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.63-0.95). APP also extended the time from enrollment to intubation (MD, 0.93 days; 95% CI, 0.43 to 1.42 days). In exploratory subgroup analyses, improved survival without intubation was observed in patients younger than age 68 years, as well as in patients with a body mass index of 26 to 30, early implementation of APP (ie, less than 1 day from hospitalization), a pulse saturation to inhaled oxygen fraction ratio of 155 to 232, respiratory rate of 20 to 26 breaths per minute (bpm), and those receiving advanced respiratory support at enrollment. However, none of the subgroups had significant interaction with APP treatment. APP duration 10 or more hours/d within the first 3 days was associated with increased survival without intubation (OR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.37-2.49).

Conclusions and Relevance

This IPD meta-analysis found that in adults with COVID-19 and AHRF, APP was associated with increased survival without intubation and with reduced risks of intubation and mortality, including death after intubation. Prolonged APP duration (10 or more hours/d) was associated with better outcomes.

Introduction

Awake prone positioning (APP), a noninvasive and low-cost treatment, has been widely used in patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) since the COVID-19 pandemic.1 Physiological studies have shown that, in addition to improving oxygenation, APP can significantly reduce the work of breathing and enhance ventilation homogeneity,2,3,4 potentially lowering the risk of lung injury.5,6 In contrast, a 2023 physiological study showed that APP was associated with more intense inspiratory effort when compared with supine position due to positional increases in airway resistance and prolonged expiratory time.7 These heterogeneous physiological responses to APP may account for the variability in outcomes observed across randomized clinical trials (RCTs). Indeed, despite the publication of numerous RCTs8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20 and meta-analyses,21,22,23,24 several key questions remain unanswered. First, the impact of APP on mortality remains unclear. While earlier meta-analyses21,22 did not find a mortality benefit, a 2024 RCT25 has demonstrated that prolonged APP can reduce the risk of death. Second, while patients receiving advanced respiratory support, such as high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC), continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP), or noninvasive ventilation (NIV), have been reported to benefit most from APP,21,22 its effectiveness in patients receiving conventional oxygen therapy remains uncertain.26,27 Third, it is unclear which patient populations, beyond those on advanced respiratory support, are most likely to benefit from APP, and what factors contribute to treatment success. To address these uncertainties, we conducted an individual participant data meta-analysis (IPD-MA) of RCTs comparing APP with supine positioning in patients with COVID-19 and AHRF.

Method

Literature Search

We prospectively registered the protocol for this IPD-MA in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) (CRD42022343625) and conducted the review in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Individual Participant Data (PRISMA-IPD).28 Two reviewers (A.K. and Y.P.) independently and in duplicate, conducted a systematic electronic search of PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and ClinicalTrials.gov from January 1, 2021, to August 1, 2024, based on our previous work.21 We searched for studies published in English only. (Detailed search strategies are available in the eAppendix in Supplement 1.) We included published and unpublished RCTs that compared APP with standard care in adult, nonintubated patients with COVID-19 and AHRF, if they reported our primary outcome of interest. Studies that randomized patients undergoing invasive mechanical ventilation or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation were excluded. Quasi-RCTs were included only in secondary sensitivity analyses. A group of investigators (J. Luo, J. Li, and I.P.) resolved discrepancies concerning study eligibility by discussion and consensus. All included studies obtained approval from the local research ethics boards and required obtaining informed consent from participants.

Outcomes

The primary outcome was survival without intubation. Secondary outcomes included intubation, death during intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital stay, death without intubation, death after intubation, escalation of respiratory support (defined as a sequential increase in oxygen or respiratory support levels [room air < conventional oxygen therapy < HFNC < CPAP/NIV < invasive mechanical ventilation]), ICU admission, time from enrollment to intubation, time from enrollment to death, duration of invasive mechanical ventilation, and lengths of stay in hospital and ICU.

Data Collection and Integration

The corresponding authors of eligible trials were invited to participate and share deidentified IPD. A data usage agreement was established before distributing a standardized data collection form, which included demographics, comorbidities, type of respiratory support, baseline oxygenation and vital signs, duration of APP, and outcomes. To ensure uniformity in data analysis, the primary outcome was censored to days 28 to 30 if data were available; otherwise, it was reported as originally collected. APP duration was reported as the daily average time (in hours) spent on APP (daily average time on APP [D0 through D3]). This metric was calculated as the total APP duration divided by the number of days APP was actually applied from day 0 to day 3 (data beyond day 3 were largely incomplete).

Assessment of Data Integrity and Risk of Bias

Data integrity and completeness were verified against the original study publications, when available, and any invalid, inconsistent, or missing data were sought for correction by communication with the respective study investigators. Two independent groups of investigators (S.E. and B.M.; J. Luo and J. Li) assessed the risk of bias for each included study using the revised tools for randomized trials (RoB 2) and cluster-randomized trials (RoB 2 CRT).29 For each study, reviewers assigned one of the following risk-of-bias categories (low risk, some concerns, and high risk) based on an assessment of the following domains: (1) randomization process, (2) intended intervention (effect of assignment/adhering to intervention), (3) missing outcome data, (4) outcome measurement, and (5) selection of the reported result. Any discrepancies were resolved by additional 2 reviewers (A.K. and Y.P.).

Imputation of Missing Data

Patterns of missing data were tested using a Little test for missing completely at random (MCAR) at both study and intervention levels. Missing data were imputed using multivariate imputation by chained equations (MICE) under a fully conditional specification approach, accounting for the clustering of participants within studies.30 Two models were attempted for multiple imputation, including Bayesian linear regression (referred to as “norm”) and predictive mean matching. The consistency of imputed data was further assessed by intraclass correlation with higher intraclass correlation indicating better representation. Imputation of missing data was conducted only for confounding variables, not for outcome variables. Complete-case, which removed participants with missing data, was used for primary analyses, while imputed data was used only for sensitivity analyses.

Statistical Analysis

To estimate the overall treatment association of APP with differences in this IPD-MA, a 1-stage approach was conducted using a generalized linear mixed model with stratified trial intercept and trial-specific centering of treatment variable to account for both clustering of participants within trials and heterogeneity across trials.31,32 For binary outcomes, logistic regression was used and odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs were reported, while for continuous outcomes, linear regression was used and the mean difference (MD) and 95% CIs were reported. For time-to-event outcomes, a Cox proportional hazards model was used and reported as hazard ratio (HR). For the identification of patient-level treatment effect modifiers, treatment-covariate interaction was estimated between intervention and variables including age, body mass index (BMI; calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared), time from hospitalization to enrollment, ratio of pulse oxygen saturation to fraction of inhaled oxygen (SpO2:FiO2 ratio), respiratory rate, the unit of care at enrollment (ICU vs non-ICU), and type of respiratory support at enrollment (advanced respiratory support [HFNC, NIV, or CPAP] vs conventional oxygen therapy). Exploratory subgroup analyses were performed based on tertiles of continuous variables or categories of binary variables using the same regression model within each categorized analysis, and significance level was adjusted for multiple testing using the Bonferroni method.33

To assess the independent association of APP duration with binary outcomes, univariate and multivariable logistic regression were performed in the APP group, using a full model with risk factors chosen a priori and confirmed by stepwise factor selection based on Akaike Information Criteria value. Cutoff values of APP duration were defined as the inflection time point where the trend in the percentage of outcome events changed, depicted graphically by the number and percentage of patients who had an event in 2-hour bins.

For conventional meta-analyses of aggregate data, treatment effects were estimated using the Mantel-Haenszel method for fixed-effects models and the inverse variance method for random-effect models, respectively. Two sets of conventional meta-analyses were conducted separately for the studies providing IPD and those with aggregate data.

Heterogeneity was evaluated by the Cochran Q test and the degree of heterogeneity was quantified by I2: insignificant heterogeneity (0% to 30%), moderate heterogeneity (30% to 60%), substantial heterogeneity (50% to 90%), and considerable heterogeneity (75% to 100%).34

All analyses were performed on intention-to-treat population and conducted separately on complete-case data and imputed data from RCTs, both without and with quasi-RCTs. Results of complete-case IPD from RCTs were reported primarily, while results of IPD from imputation or quasi-RCTs and results of conventional meta-analyses were used as sensitivity analyses. All tests were 2-sided with a significance level of P < .05. All data were analyzed using R software version 4.2.2 (R Project for Statistical Computing).

Results

Study Selection and Quality Assessment

Our search identified a total of 3139 records, and 26 studies (5333 patients) were eligible for inclusion, out of which 5 studies (796 patients) were not published, resulting in 21 studies8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,25,35,36,37,38,39,40,41 with 4537 patients (2315 APP vs 2222 control) included in a conventional meta-analysis (eFigure 1 in Supplement 1). After contacting corresponding authors to share individual participant data, 6 (1017 patients [22.4%]) were not included because IPD data could not be made available, and the other 15 (3520 patients [77.6%]) agreed to participate. We obtained IPD from 14 RCTs,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,20,25,35,36 comprising 3019 patients (1542 APP vs 1477 control). In addition, we included data from 1 quasi-RCT,19 resulting in 3520 patients (1800 APP vs 1720 control) for sensitivity analyses. Details of studies included in IPD-MA are summarized in eTable 1 in Supplement 1. From 1719 patients (approximately 60% of total patients) undergoing HFNC or NIV, data on flow was reported in 1241 patients (72.2%). Using the new definition of ARDS,42 ie, flow 30 or more L/min and SpO2:FiO2 ratio of 315 or lower, 1229 patients (99.0%) had ARDS based on the assumption of bilateral opacities. There were no significant imbalances across demographic variables between the 2 groups. In the APP group, the mean (SD) age was 59.3 (14.1) years, and 1048 of 1542 participants (68.0%) were male; in the control group, the mean (SD) age was 59.9 (14.1) years, with 979 of 1477 male participants (66.3%) (Table 1).

Table 1. Demographic Characteristics in RCTs.

Characteristics APP Control
No. Event, No. (%) No. Event, No. (%)
Age, mean (SD), y 1542 59.3 (14.1) 1476 59.9 (14.1)
Sex
Female 1542 494 (32.0) 1477 498 (33.7)
Male 1542 1048 (68.0) 1477 979 (66.3)
BMI, mean (SD) 1500 28.7 (5.6) 1443 28.4 (5.6)
Comorbidities
Hypertension 936 391 (41.8) 892 372 (41.7)
COPD 947 52 (5.5) 890 42 (4.7)
CKD 1218 82 (6.7) 1181 78 (6.6)
Chronic liver disease 1208 17 (1.4) 1164 21 (1.8)
Diabetes 1542 466 (30.2) 1477 472 (32.0)
Time from hospitalization to enrollment, mean (SD), h 1339 1.6 (2.1) 1285 1.5 (2.1)
Use of steroids 1326 1143 (86.2) 1287 1106 (85.9)
Unit of care at enrollment (ICU)
ICU 1542 879 (57.0) 1477 857 (58.0)
Non-ICU 1542 663 (43.0) 1477 620 (42.0)
Type of respiratory support at enrollment
Advanced respiratory support 1542 872 (56.5) 1476 847 (57.4)
Conventional oxygen therapy 1542 670 (43.5) 1476 629 (42.6)
SpO2:FiO2 ratio, mean (SD) 1509 215.2 (104.7) 1451 212.2 (103.6)
Respiratory rate, mean (SD), bpm 1129 24.1 (6.2) 1083 24.2 (6.4)

Abbreviations: APP, awake prone positioning; BMI, body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared); bpm, breaths per minute; CKD, chronic kidney disease; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; ICU, intensive care unit; SpO2:FiO2, ratio of pulse oxygen saturation to fraction of inhaled oxygen; RCT, randomized clinical trial.

No data were missing for the primary outcome. At the intervention level, all treatment effect modifiers were consistent with MCAR (Little test, P > .05). However, at the study level, systematic missingness occurred, with only BMI, time from hospitalization to enrollment, and respiratory rate identified as not missing at random (Little test, P < .001). Although masking participants and health care staff were not feasible due to the nature of the intervention, 17 trials8,9,10,11,12,13,14,16,18,20,25,35,36,37,39,40,41 were judged as low risk of bias, while 2 cluster-randomized trials15,17 were considered high risk of bias (eFigures 2 and 3 in Supplement 1).

Overall Outcomes From Treatment With APP

Compared with supine positioning, APP was associated with increased survival without intubation (OR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.20-1.68) and with reduced odds of intubation (OR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.59-0.84) and hospital mortality (OR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.63-0.95) (Table 2). While the overall patients (intention-to-treat population) in the APP group had a lower risk of death after intubation than the control group (OR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.61-0.96), mortality was similar between APP and control groups within the selected subgroup of intubated patients (OR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.79-1.46). APP extended the time to intubation compared with supine positioning (MD, 0.93 days; 95% CI, 0.43 to 1.42 days). No significant differences were observed between APP and control groups in terms of ICU mortality, need for escalation of respiratory support, need for ICU admission, duration of invasive mechanical ventilation, ICU length of stay, hospital length of stay, or adverse events.

Table 2. Primary and Secondary Outcomes in RCTs.

Outcomes No. of study Event, No. or mean/total OR or MD (95% CI) I2, % (95% CI)
APP Control IPD-MA Conventional MA
Primary outcome
Survival without intubation 14 1149/1542 1004/1477 OR: 1.42 (1.20-1.68) OR: 1.43 (1.20-1.69) 0 (0- 58)
Secondary outcomes
Intubation 14 336/1542 413/1477 OR: 0.70 (0.59-0.84) OR: 0.70 (0.59-0.83) 0 (0-58)
Mortality 14 215/1542 255/1477 OR: 0.77 (0.63-0.95) OR: 0.78 (0.64-0.96) 0 (0-58)
Death without intubation 14 57/1542 61/1477 OR: 0.88 (0.60-1.28) OR: 0.81 (0.50-1.33) 0 (0-71)
Death after intubation 14 158/1542 194/1477 OR: 0.76 (0.61-0.96) OR: 0.77 (0.61-0.97) 0 (0-58)
Death in nonintubated patients 14 57/1206 61/1064 OR: 0.72 (0.46-1.13) OR: 0.68 (0.40-1.18) 8 (0-73)
Death in intubated patients 12 158/336 194/413 OR: 1.07 (0.79-1.46) OR: 1.08 (0.79-1.47) 0 (0-60)
ICU mortality 9 86/807 89/781 OR: 0.91 (0.66-1.25) OR: 0.90 (0.66-1.24) 0 (0-71)
Need for escalation of respiratory support 13 412/1501 464/1435 OR: 0.83 (0.59-1.18) OR: 0.83 (0.59-1.19) 53 (11-75)
Need for ICU admission 10 112/518 95/468 OR: 0.92 (0.60-1.40) OR: 0.88 (0.57-1.36) 34 (0-71)
Time to intubation, mean, d 8 4.5/308 3.6/375 MD: 0.93 (0.43 to 1.42) MD: 0.96 (0.30 to 1.63) 0 (0-79)
Time to death, mean, d 10 13.0/211 13.0/248 MD: −0.25 (−2.25 to 1.75) MD: −0.18 (−2.25 to 1.88) 45 (0-78)
Duration of IMV, mean, d 5 11.9/233 11.5/273 MD: −0.78 (−3.11 to 1.55) MD: −0.72 (−3.16 to 1.73) 57 (0-86)
ICU LOS, mean, d 8 12.2/696 13.2/705 MD: −1.97 (−4.37 to 0.44) MD −2.01 (−4.38 to 0.35) 81 (62-91)
Hospital LOS, mean, d 12 14.1/1434 14.6/1380 MD: −0.81 (−2.07 to 0.45) MD −0.81 (−2.04 to 0.42) 62 (27-80)
Adverse events
Skin breakdown 10 26/1191 27/1143 OR: 0.84 (0.48-1.47) OR: 0.84 (0.48-1.47) 0 (0-79)
Vomiting 9 31/1195 32/1154 OR: 0.78 (0.46-1.34) OR: 0.78 (0.45-1.34) 0 (0-90)
Central arterial line dislodgement 9 38/1311 30/1228 OR: 1.14 (0.69-1.90) OR: 1.08 (0.54-2.15) 0 (0-85)
Back pain 6 18/367 9/349 OR: 1.59 (0.64-3.93) OR: 1.52 (0.62-3.72) 0 (0-90)
Bloating sensation 5 21/357 12/332 OR: 1.31 (0.52-3.35) OR: 1.31 (0.51-3.35) NAa
Discomfort 8 76/567 58/524 OR: 3.47 (0.64-18.86) OR: 2.64 (0.52-13.40) 80 (52-91)
Cardiac arrest 9 13/1164 11/1130 OR: 0.82 (0.33-2.02) OR: 1.03 (0.26-4.09) 23 (0-92)

Abbreviations: APP, awake prone positioning; ICU, intensive care unit; IMV, invasive mechanical ventilation; IPD-MA, individual participant data meta-analyses; LOS, length of stay; MA, meta-analyses; MD, mean difference; NA, not available; OR, odds ratio; RCT, randomized clinical trial.

a

Four out of 5 studies reported no event on bloating sensation, resulting in only 1 study contributing to the final meta-analysis result; therefore, I2 was not available.

In the time-to-event analysis, APP was associated with reduced risk of the composite outcome of mortality or intubation (HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.65-0.86) (Figure 1), intubation (HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.64-0.86) and mortality (HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.67-0.98) within 30 days (eFigures 4 and 5 in the Supplement 1).

Figure 1. Comparison of Time to Composite Outcome of Mortality or Intubation in Randomized Clinical Trials.

Figure 1.

APP indicates awake prone positioning; HR, hazard ratio. Shading indicates 95% CIs.

Similar results were found in the sensitivity analyses, which excluded cluster-randomized trials (eTable 3 in Supplement 1) and included the quasi-RCT (eTable 4 and eFigures 6 through 8 in Supplement 1) and conventional meta-analyses (Table 2; eTables 5 and 6 in Supplement 1), except for mortality in the analyses involving the quasi-RCT.

Exploratory Subgroup and Interaction Analyses

For survival without intubation, the P values for interaction were not significant (Figure 2). The treatment effect of APP on survival without intubation was estimated as follows: patients aged 55 to 68 years had an OR of 1.57 (95% CI, 1.19-2.07), patients under 55 years old had an OR of 1.67 (95% CI, 1.18-2.35), patients with a BMI between 26 and 30 had an OR of 1.57 (95% CI, 1.18-2.08), patients who received APP 0.8 to 1 day during hospitalization had an OR of 1.60 (95% CI, 1.12-2.28), patients who received APP 0.8 days of hospitalization or less had an OR of 1.50 (95% CI, 1.11-2.04), patients with a SpO2:FiO2 ratio between 155 and 232 had an OR of 1.85 (95% CI, 1.25-2.72), patients with respiratory rates between 20 and 26 breaths per minute (bpm) had an OR of 1.53 (95% CI, 1.15-2.03), and patients receiving advanced respiratory support at enrollment had an OR of 1.46 (95% CI, 1.21-1.77) (Figure 2). These findings were consistent across both imputed data (eFigures 9 and 10 in the Supplement 1) and data from the quasi-RCT (eFigures 11 through 13 in the Supplement 1).

Figure 2. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Primary Outcome in Randomized Clinical Trials.

Figure 2.

APP indicates awake prone positioning; BMI, body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared); bpm, breaths per minute; ICU, intensive care unit; OR, odds ratio; SpO2:FiO2, the ratio of pulse oxygen saturation to the fraction of inhaled oxygen.

Similar results were also found for intubation (eFigure 14 in Supplement 1) and confirmed by imputed data and data from the quasi-RCT (eFigures 15 through 19 in Supplement 1), but significant treatment effect modification by age was found in the latter (P for interaction = .047). No significant treatment effect modifiers were identified for mortality (eFigures 20 through 25 in Supplement 1), death without intubation (eFigures 26 through 31 in Supplement 1), or death after intubation (eFigures 32 through 37 in Supplement 1).

Association of APP Duration and Outcomes

In 11 RCTs8,9,11,12,13,16,17,20,25,35,36 with data on APP duration, more than 93% (1174 of 1258 [93.3%]) of patients started APP on day 0 or day 1 from enrollment. After adjustment for age, BMI, time from hospitalization to enrollment, SpO2:FiO2 ratio, respiratory rate, unit of care at enrollment, and type of respiratory support at enrollment, multivariable logistic regression showed that APP duration was an independent factor associated with survival without intubation. There was a 3% increase in the odds of survival without intubation for every hour increase in APP duration (OR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.00-1.07) (eTable 7 in Supplement 1). We identified a significant inflection cutoff at 10 hours/d within the first 3 days (Figure 3). Patients with 10 hours or more of APP per day had a significantly lower baseline SpO2:FiO2 ratio compared with those with less than 10 hours/d, with similar baseline respiratory rates (eFigure 38 in Supplement 1). Patients with 10 or more hours/d of APP had higher odds of survival without intubation (OR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.37-2.49), especially those who were consecutively proned for the first 3 days (OR, 2.59; 95% CI, 1.30-5.14) (eTable 8 in Supplement 1). These findings were confirmed by sensitivity analyses (eTables 7, 9 and 10, eFigures 39 through 41 in Supplement 1). Although APP duration was not independently associated with higher odds of intubation (OR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.94-1.00) (eTables 11 and 12 in Supplement 1) or mortality (OR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.95-1.02) (eTables 13 and 14 in Supplement 1), significant differences were observed when comparing patients with an APP duration of 10 or more hours/d to those with less than 10 hours/d during the first 3 days. Patients with 10 or more hours/d had reduced odds of intubation (OR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.50-0.94) (eTables 8 and 10, eFigures 42 through 45 in Supplement 1) and mortality (OR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.34-0.70) (eTables 8 and 10, eFigures 46 through 49 in Supplement 1), especially those who were consecutively proned for the 3 first days (intubation: OR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.30-0.95; mortality: OR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.15-0.97) (eTables 8 and 10 in Supplement 1).

Figure 3. Dose Effect of Awake Prone Positioning (APP) Duration on APP Success for the Primary Outcome in Randomized Clinical Trials.

Figure 3.

The number of patients who survived without intubation (yes) and those who did not (no) and the percentage of patients who survived without intubation in the total number of patients are depicted at each APP duration (daily average time on APP during day 0 to day 3) interval of 2 hours/d by stacked bars (left y-axis) and connected points (right y-axis), respectively.

Discussion

This study presents the most comprehensive analysis to date of APP for COVID-19 and AHRF. We have confirmed that APP reduces intubation and mortality, and identified key factors that are associated with its success, offering actionable insights for clinical practice.

Consistent with previous meta-analyses of aggregated data, our findings confirm that APP significantly reduces the risk of intubation compared with the supine position.21,22,23,24 Unlike prior meta-analyses of RCTs,21,22,23 which found no significant impact on hospital mortality, our study demonstrates that APP reduces mortality in patients with COVID-19 and AHRF. This outcome is likely attributed to larger sample sizes and particularly to analyses conducted at the individual participant level. However, in our sensitivity analysis that included a quasi-RCT,19 we did not observe a significant difference in mortality. This discrepancy is presumably due to the high number of patients with “do-not-intubate” orders in the quasi-RCT,19 because a significant reduction in the postintubation mortality by APP was still observed. More insights are expected from the ongoing CORONA trial (NCT04402879), which will further explore this issue. Among patients who failed treatment and ultimately required intubation, the APP group experienced longer durations between enrollment and intubation, yet their mortality did not significantly differ from those intubated in the supine position group. While assessing outcomes only in intubated patients can introduce bias compared with a strict intention-to-treat analysis of all randomized patients, these findings help alleviate clinicians’ concerns that APP may delay intubation and thereby increase postintubation mortality.43,44,45

In addition to confirming that APP benefits most patients receiving advanced respiratory support,21 our exploratory subgroup analyses revealed new insights. Specifically, patients under 68 years old, with a BMI of 26 to 30, early implementation of APP (within 1 day), a SpO2:FiO2 ratio of 155 to 232 at enrollment, a respiratory rate of 20 to 26 bpm at enrollment, and those treated in an ICU were significantly associated with improved survival without intubation. Although interaction analyses did not show significant treatment effect modification by any of these factors potentially due to limited sample size,46 the treatment effect in these subgroups remained significant after adjusting for multiple comparisons using the Bonferroni method.33 These findings may help identify the patients most likely to benefit from APP, but should not preclude implementation of APP in patients who do not exhibit these beneficial characteristics since no significant increase of severe adverse events were observed with APP.

APP duration is an independent factor associated with treatment success; efforts should be made to improve patient compliance and comfort in the prone position in order to extend APP duration.47 Although this finding aligns with previous studies,8,48,49 our study analyzed data at the individual participant level after adjustment for other confounding factors, highlighting the importance of sustained prone positioning for optimal clinical outcomes, with a preferred daily duration of at least 10 hours in the first 3 days. Furthermore, the use of IPD allowed us to address potential biases in patient severity between those with longer and shorter APP duration. Given that the duration of APP was not randomized in the original RCTs, there was a concern that the observed benefit of longer APP might be driven by what may be described as a “healthy worker bias,” with healthier patients tolerating longer durations of APP. This assumption is not borne out in our IPD meta-analysis, as patients with longer APP durations (10 or more hours/d) had worse baseline oxygenation, reinforcing the conclusion that longer APP is independently associated with better clinical outcomes. In addition, approximately 44% of patients were intubated or dead within the first 3 days of enrollment, which necessarily resulted in shorter exposure to APP and could have introduced immortal time bias into our analysis of the dose-response relationship of APP on the outcomes. Reassuringly, the benefit of longer duration of APP was even stronger in a subgroup analysis restricted to patients who did not encounter the outcomes during the first 3 days, and had therefore an equal window of opportunity for exposure to APP.

Strengths and Limitations

Our study has several strengths. First, to our knowledge this study features the largest sample size to date, utilizing IPD from all eligible RCTs, representing the highest level of evidence. The findings from the comprehensive analyses are confirmed by sensitivity analyses including the most updated conventional meta-analysis of 21 RCTs, making them conclusive. Second, our findings are also practical for guiding clinical practice, including identifying the patient population that benefits most from APP and the optimal APP duration. Third, these results offer a valuable reference for future studies involving patients without COVID-19.

However, our study also has some limitations. First, despite extensive efforts, we could not obtain data from all RCTs for various reasons, among them regulatory complexities concerning sharing data collected across multiple sites. Second, not all studies collected all outcomes, resulting in several outcomes having data from only a few RCTs with limited sample sizes, which could result in insignificant differences in findings for those outcomes. Third, the impact of pandemic timing on the benefits of APP has not been fully addressed. Subgroup analyses based on pandemic timing indicated a stronger treatment effect of APP during the first and second waves compared to the control group. However, these findings should be interpreted with caution. Pandemic timing was analyzed as a study-level covariate, limiting the granularity of the analysis, and the sample size for patients enrolled during the third and fourth wave subgroups was relatively small (less than 20% of the total patients in each treatment arm), which reduces statistical power and precision and increases the potential for bias. Additionally, heterogeneity in co-interventions, virus variants, and clinical practices across pandemic periods may have influenced outcomes. For example, earlier trials with longer APP durations may have shown greater benefit, while later trials with shorter APP durations may have shown diminished benefits due to changes in cotreatments, virus variants, or overall care practices. These factors complicate efforts to attribute differences in outcomes solely to APP duration. Finally, while our models accounted for clustering within trials, they did not explicitly adjust for the time period of enrollment as a random effect, which could have introduced residual confounding.

Conclusions

This IPD meta-analysis establishes the efficacy of APP in improving survival outcomes and reducing intubation for adult patients with COVID-19–induced AHRF, with potential benefits in specific patient subgroups and with sustained application. APP was also associated with significant reductions in mortality, including death after intubation. These findings support the broader implementation of APP in clinical practice.

Supplement 1.

eAppendix. Search strategy

eFigure 1. Study Flow Diagram

eTable 1. Details of Each Included Trial for IPD-MA

eTable 2. Demographic Characteristics in Sensitivity Analysis for IPD-MA

eFigure 2. Risk of Bias Assessment of RCTs

eFigure 3. Risk of Bias Assessment of Cluster-Randomized Trials

eFigure 4. Comparison of Time-to-Intubation in RCTs

eFigure 5. Comparison of Time-to-Death in RCTs

eTable 3. Primary and Secondary Outcomes in RCTs Excluding Cluster-Randomized Trials

eTable 4. Primary and Secondary Outcomes in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 6. Comparison of Time-to-Composite Outcome of Mortality or Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 7. Comparison of Time-to-Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 8. Comparison of Time-to-Death in Sensitivity Analysis

eTable 5. Results of Conventional Meta-analyses From RCTs

eTable 6. Results of Conventional Meta-analyses From Sensitivity Analyses

eFigure 9. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Primary Outcome in RCTs After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 10. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Primary Outcome in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 11. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Primary Outcome in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 12. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Primary Outcome in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 13. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Primary Outcome in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 14. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Intubation in RCTs

eFigure 15. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Intubation in RCTs After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 16. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Intubation in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 17. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 18. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 19. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 20. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Mortality in RCTs

eFigure 21. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Mortality in RCTs After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 22. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Mortality in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 23. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Mortality in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 24. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Mortality in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 25. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Mortality in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 26. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death Without Intubation in RCTs

eFigure 27. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death Without Intubation in RCTs After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 28. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death Without Intubation in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 29. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death Without Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 30. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death Without Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 31. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death Without Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 32. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death After Intubation in RCTs

eFigure 33. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death After Intubation in RCTs After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 34. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death After Intubation in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 35. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death After Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 36. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death After Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 37. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death After Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 38. Baseline SpO2 FiO2 Ratio and Respiratory Rate Between Patients With Longer and Shorter APP

eTable 7. Independent Factors Associated With APP Success for Primary Outcome in RCTs

eTable 8. Comparison of Outcomes Between Daily APP ≥10 Hours and <10 Hours in RCTs

eFigure 39. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Primary Outcome in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eTable 9. Independent Factors Associated With APP Success for Primary Outcome in Sensitivity Analysis

eTable 10. Comparison of Outcomes Between Daily APP ≥10 Hours and <10 Hours in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 40. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Primary Outcome in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 41. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Primary Outcome in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

eTable 11. Independent Factors Associated With APP Success for Intubation in RCTs

eFigure 42. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Intubation in RCTs

eFigure 43. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Intubation in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eTable 12. Independent Factors Associated With APP Success for Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 44. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 45. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

eTable 13. Independent Factors Associated With APP Success for Mortality in RCTs

eFigure 46. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Mortality in RCTs

eFigure 47. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Mortality in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eTable 14. Independent Factors Associated With APP Success for Mortality in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 48. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Mortality in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 49. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Mortality in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

Supplement 2.

Nonauthor Collaborators

Supplement 3.

Data Sharing Statement

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Supplement 1.

eAppendix. Search strategy

eFigure 1. Study Flow Diagram

eTable 1. Details of Each Included Trial for IPD-MA

eTable 2. Demographic Characteristics in Sensitivity Analysis for IPD-MA

eFigure 2. Risk of Bias Assessment of RCTs

eFigure 3. Risk of Bias Assessment of Cluster-Randomized Trials

eFigure 4. Comparison of Time-to-Intubation in RCTs

eFigure 5. Comparison of Time-to-Death in RCTs

eTable 3. Primary and Secondary Outcomes in RCTs Excluding Cluster-Randomized Trials

eTable 4. Primary and Secondary Outcomes in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 6. Comparison of Time-to-Composite Outcome of Mortality or Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 7. Comparison of Time-to-Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 8. Comparison of Time-to-Death in Sensitivity Analysis

eTable 5. Results of Conventional Meta-analyses From RCTs

eTable 6. Results of Conventional Meta-analyses From Sensitivity Analyses

eFigure 9. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Primary Outcome in RCTs After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 10. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Primary Outcome in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 11. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Primary Outcome in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 12. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Primary Outcome in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 13. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Primary Outcome in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 14. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Intubation in RCTs

eFigure 15. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Intubation in RCTs After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 16. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Intubation in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 17. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 18. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 19. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 20. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Mortality in RCTs

eFigure 21. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Mortality in RCTs After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 22. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Mortality in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 23. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Mortality in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 24. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Mortality in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 25. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Mortality in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 26. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death Without Intubation in RCTs

eFigure 27. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death Without Intubation in RCTs After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 28. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death Without Intubation in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 29. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death Without Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 30. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death Without Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 31. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death Without Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 32. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death After Intubation in RCTs

eFigure 33. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death After Intubation in RCTs After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 34. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death After Intubation in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 35. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death After Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 36. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death After Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (Norm)

eFigure 37. Interaction and Subgroup Analyses of Death After Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

eFigure 38. Baseline SpO2 FiO2 Ratio and Respiratory Rate Between Patients With Longer and Shorter APP

eTable 7. Independent Factors Associated With APP Success for Primary Outcome in RCTs

eTable 8. Comparison of Outcomes Between Daily APP ≥10 Hours and <10 Hours in RCTs

eFigure 39. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Primary Outcome in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eTable 9. Independent Factors Associated With APP Success for Primary Outcome in Sensitivity Analysis

eTable 10. Comparison of Outcomes Between Daily APP ≥10 Hours and <10 Hours in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 40. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Primary Outcome in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 41. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Primary Outcome in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

eTable 11. Independent Factors Associated With APP Success for Intubation in RCTs

eFigure 42. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Intubation in RCTs

eFigure 43. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Intubation in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eTable 12. Independent Factors Associated With APP Success for Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 44. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 45. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Intubation in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

eTable 13. Independent Factors Associated With APP Success for Mortality in RCTs

eFigure 46. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Mortality in RCTs

eFigure 47. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Mortality in RCTs After Imputation (pmm)

eTable 14. Independent Factors Associated With APP Success for Mortality in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 48. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Mortality in Sensitivity Analysis

eFigure 49. Dose Effect of APP Duration on APP Success for Mortality in Sensitivity Analysis After Imputation (pmm)

Supplement 2.

Nonauthor Collaborators

Supplement 3.

Data Sharing Statement


Articles from JAMA Internal Medicine are provided here courtesy of American Medical Association

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