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. 2024 Dec 18;161(3):265–273. doi: 10.1001/jamadermatol.2024.5129

Incidence of and Risk Factors for Cutaneous Malignant Neoplasms After Blood or Marrow Transplant

Kristy K Broman 1,2,, Qingrui Meng 1, Anna Holmqvist 3, Nora Balas 1, Joshua Richman 1, Wendy Landier 1, Lindsey Hageman 1, Elizabeth Ross 1, Alysia Bosworth 4, Hok Sreng Te 5, Britany Hollenquest 1, F Lennie Wong 4, Ravi Bhatia 1, Stephen J Forman 4, Saro H Armenian 4, Daniel J Weisdorf 5, Smita Bhatia 1
PMCID: PMC11923705  PMID: 39693095

This cohort study aims to identify risk factors for subsequent cutaneous malignant neoplasms among patients who underwent blood or marrow transplant.

Key Points

Question

What is the risk of subsequent cutaneous malignant neoplasms (basal cell carcinoma [BCC], squamous cell carcinoma, or melanoma) after blood or marrow transplant (BMT), and who is at risk?

Findings

In this cohort study of 3880 BMT survivors, the 30-year cumulative incidence of any cutaneous malignant neoplasm was 27.4% (BCC, 18.0%; squamous cell carcinoma, 9.8%; melanoma, 3.7%). Risk factors included age of 50 years and older at BMT, chronic graft-vs-host disease among allogeneic BMT recipients, pretransplant monoclonal antibody exposure, posttransplant immunosuppression, and site of transplant, while total body irradiation was a risk factor for BCC among participants younger than 50 years at transplant.

Meaning

These findings can inform counseling and dermatologic surveillance.

Abstract

Importance

Cutaneous malignant neoplasms are the most common subsequent neoplasm after blood or marrow transplant (BMT), but a full assessment among survivors is lacking.

Objective

To identify risk factors for subsequent cutaneous malignant neoplasms using the BMT Survivor Study (BMTSS).

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective cohort study included patients who underwent transplant from 1974 to 2014 at City of Hope, University of Minnesota, or University of Alabama at Birmingham and survived 2 years or longer, as well as a comparison cohort of siblings. Both groups completed the BMTSS survey. Data analysis took place from October 2022 to October 2024.

Exposures

Demographics, pre-BMT and BMT-related therapeutic exposures, chronic graft-vs-host disease (cGVHD), and posttransplant immunosuppression.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Incident cutaneous malignant neoplasms (basal cell carcinoma [BCC], squamous cell carcinoma [SCC], and melanoma) after BMT. Exposures were evaluated for association with subsequent neoplasms using proportional subdistribution hazards models (reported as subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR] and 95% CI).

Results

Among the 3880 BMT survivors (median [range] age at BMT, 44.0 [0-78.0] years; 2165 [55.8%] male; 190 [4.9%] Black, 468 [12.1%] Hispanic, 2897 [74.7%] non-Hispanic White, and 325 [8.4%] of other race [including Asian and Pacific Islander] and multiracial) who were followed up for a median (range) of 9.5 (2.0-46.0) years, 605 developed 778 distinct cutaneous neoplasms (BCC, 321; SCC, 231; melanoma, 78; and unknown type, 148). The 30-year cumulative incidence of any cutaneous malignant neoplasm was 27.4% (BCC, 18.0%; SCC, 9.8%; and melanoma, 3.7%). Seventy-year cumulative probabilities of BCC, SCC, and melanoma were considerably higher in BMT survivors than siblings (18.1% vs 8.2%, 14.7% vs 4.2%, and 4.2% vs 2.4%, respectively). Among BMT survivors, risk factors for subsequent cutaneous malignant neoplasms included age of 50 years and older at BMT (BCC: SHR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.36-2.29; SCC: SHR, 3.37; 95% CI, 2.41-4.72), male sex (BCC: SHR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.10-1.75; SCC: SHR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.39-2.45), pre-BMT monoclonal antibody exposure (BCC: SHR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.27-2.31), allogeneic BMT with cGVHD (BCC: SHR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.06-2.08; SCC: SHR, 2.61; 95% CI, 1.68-4.04 [reference: autologous BMT]), post-BMT immunosuppression (BCC: SHR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.24-2.14; SCC: SHR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.09-2.02; melanoma: SHR, 1.90; 95% CI, 1.16-3.12), and transplant at City of Hope (BCC: SHR, 3.55; 95% CI, 2.58-4.89; SCC: SHR, 3.57; 95% CI, 2.34-5.47 [reference: University of Minnesota]) or University of Alabama at Birmingham (BCC: SHR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.35-4.23; SCC: SHR, 2.63; 95% CI, 1.36-5.08 [reference: University of Minnesota]). Race and ethnicity other than non-Hispanic White were protective for BCC (Black: no cases; Hispanic: SHR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.16-0.44; other race and multiracial: SHR, 0.26; 95% CI, 0.14-0.50 [reference: non-Hispanic White]) and SCC (Black: SHR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.04-0.67; Hispanic: SHR, 0.28; 95% CI, 0.16-0.50; other race and multiracial: SHR, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.05-0.37 [reference: non-Hispanic White]). Total body irradiation was associated with BCC risk among those younger than 50 years at BMT (SHR, 1.92; 95% CI, 1.27-2.92).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study, the high risk of cutaneous malignant neoplasms and malignant-specific risk factors suggest a need for personalized patient counseling and posttransplant dermatologic surveillance.

Introduction

Survivors of blood or marrow transplant (BMT) have heightened risk of subsequent neoplasms.1,2,3 Therapeutic exposures, younger age, chronic graft-vs-host disease (cGVHD), and prolonged immunosuppression increase BMT survivors’ vulnerability to subsequent neoplasms.1,2,4,5,6 Cutaneous neoplasms are the most common solid neoplasms observed after BMT and include basal cell carcinoma (BCC), squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), and melanoma.7 Prior evaluations of subsequent cutaneous malignant neoplasms after BMT excluded nonmelanoma skin cancers (NMSCs), evaluated SCC but not BCC, or restricted the cohorts to allogeneic BMT recipients.1,8,9,10 Furthermore, there were small sample sizes with limited follow-up. Due to differences in underlying mechanisms of tumorigenesis, the etiologies of post-BMT BCC, SCC, and melanoma likely differ. In this study, we sought to determine the magnitude of risk of BCC, SCC, and melanoma after BMT in a large cohort of BMT survivors followed up long term using the BMT Survivor Study (BMTSS).

Methods

Study Cohort

BMTSS is a multi-institutional retrospective cohort study with longitudinal follow-up that examines long-term complications after BMT, including subsequent neoplasms. Participants are pediatric and adult patients who underwent BMT between 1974 and 2014 at City of Hope (COH), University of Minnesota (UMN), or University of Alabama at Birmingham (UAB) and survived at least 2 years after BMT. Participants completed up to 3 surveys over a 15-year period. The survey captured sociodemographics (race and ethnicity [Black, Hispanic, non-Hispanic White, and other race and multiracial, including Asian and Pacific Islander, which were grouped together for analytical purposes], annual household income, education, insurance), chronic health conditions, subsequent neoplasms, cGVHD, and posttransplant medications, including immunosuppression. Survivors’ age at BMT, sex, history of prior skin cancer, primary diagnosis (indication for BMT), type of transplant (autologous, allogeneic), and therapeutic exposures were retrieved from institutional transplant databases and/or participants’ medical records. BMTSS also examines outcomes in an unaffected comparison group drawn from the survivors’ siblings by asking the siblings to complete a similar survey.

The UAB Institutional Review Board approved the study. Participants provided written informed consent. The present cohort was restricted to individuals who underwent a single transplant and completed at least 1 BMTSS survey and the sibling cohort. We linked the study participants with the National Death Index Plus to determine date and cause of death for deceased participants. This study followed Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) reporting guidelines.

Outcome

The primary outcomes were development of subsequent cutaneous malignant neoplasms (BCC, SCC, or melanoma). Participants were asked “At any time after your BMT, were you diagnosed with cancer, leukemia, tumor, or similar illness [include skin cancers]?” The diagnosing health care professional, facility, and month and year of diagnosis were requested. When available, melanoma cases were confirmed by obtaining pathology reports and/or physician notes.

Statistical Analysis

Separate analyses were performed for BCC, SCC, and melanoma. For each cutaneous malignant neoplasm type, cumulative incidence plots and 95% CIs were computed using competing risk methods, with incident cutaneous malignant neoplasm as the primary event and death as competing risk. For patients with more than 1 type of cutaneous malignant neoplasm during follow-up, all reported events were considered. Difference in cumulative incidence between groups was assessed using the Gray test. Participants were censored at time of last survey. The association of demographic and treatment variables with the risk of cutaneous malignant neoplasms was assessed using Fine-Gray proportional subdistribution hazard models, with time at risk from the date of BMT to development of the cutaneous malignant neoplasm, last known follow-up, or death.

Clinical/therapeutic variables examined included primary diagnosis, total body irradiation (TBI), conditioning intensity (myeloablative, nonmyeloablative/reduced intensity), type of BMT (autologous, allogeneic without cGVHD, allogeneic with cGVHD), pre-BMT exposures (radiation, alkylating agents, anthracyclines, antimetabolites, bleomycin, platinum compounds, topoisomerase II inhibitors, steroids, plant alkaloids, monoclonal antibodies, and targeted agents), post-BMT immunosuppression, site of transplant (UMN, COH, or UAB), and year of transplant (before 2000, 2000 and later) (eTable 1 in Supplement 1). Magnitude of association was presented as a subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) with corresponding 95% CI. Backward selection was used to select covariates for inclusion in the adjusted models based on the effect of their stepwise removal on model explanatory power, measured by Akaike information criterion. Low melanoma event rates precluded effective use of backward selection for model inclusion, and these covariates were selected a priori: age, sex, race and ethnicity, prior skin cancer, pretransplant radiation, TBI, conditioning intensity, posttransplant immunosuppression, year of transplant, and site of transplant.

To evaluate the age-dependent impact of treatment exposures on cancer risk, we performed analyses stratified by age at BMT (<50 years, ≥50 years). Additional sensitivity analyses included models with posttransplant immunosuppression categorized as calcineurin inhibitor (CNI) or non-CNI, pretransplant monoclonal antibody exposure categorized as rituximab or other, and a melanoma model limited to validated cases.

Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) quantified the excess risk of melanoma among BMT survivor participants compared to the general population. Age- and sex-specific incidence rates of melanoma in the general population were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program using SEER*Stat.11 The expected number of cases was calculated by multiplying the person-years at risk in the BMT cohort by incidence rates for the general population. SIRs were calculated as the ratio of observed to expected cases. The exact 95% CIs were estimated by assuming Poisson distribution for SIR, where the offset was the number of total log person-years and the outcome was the number of melanoma cases. Because population-level data are not available from SEER for NMSCs, we compared the risk of cutaneous malignant neoplasms in BMT survivor participants to the sibling cohort using Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariable logistic regression (adjusting for age at survey completion, sex, race and ethnicity, education, and income).

Statistical analyses were performed from October 2022 to October 2024 using SAS, version 9.4 (SAS Institute). The level of statistical significance was set at P = .05, and all P values and 95% CIs were 2-sided.

Results

Participant Characteristics

Characteristics of the 3880 BMT survivor participants and the 1415 sibling participants are summarized in Table 1. BMT survivor participants were younger at survey completion when compared with the sibling cohort (median [range] age, 56.0 [4.0-89.0] years vs 57.5 [2.4-90.5] years). Among the BMT cohort, there were 2165 male participants (55.8%) and 1715 female participants (44.2%); 190 (4.9%) Black participants, 468 (12.1%) Hispanic participants, 2897 (74.7%) non-Hispanic White participants, and 325 (8.4%) participants of other race and multiracial; and the median (range) age at BMT was 44.0 (0-78.0) years. The most common indications for BMT among participants were non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL; 953 [24.6%]), acute myeloid leukemia/myelodysplastic syndrome (930 [24.0%]), and plasma cell disorders (594 [15.3%]). A total of 2056 participants (53.0%) received an allogeneic BMT, and 508 (13.1%) received pretransplant radiation. A majority of the cohort received myeloablative conditioning (2981 [76.8%]), and 1819 (46.9%) received TBI. Among allogeneic transplant recipients, 1045 (50.8%) had cGVHD (356 [34.0%] with skin involvement). Additionally, 836 participants (21.5%) reported posttransplant immunosuppression, and 430 (51.0%) of these received a CNI. The cohort was followed up for a median (range) of 9.5 (2.0-46.0) years. Among the BMT survivor participants, 605 (15.6%) reported 778 distinct cutaneous malignant neoplasms (Table 1), including 78 with melanoma, 231 with SCC, 321 with BCC, and 148 with skin cancer of unknown type. The 30-year cumulative incidence of any cutaneous malignant neoplasm was 27.4% (Figure); by individual malignant neoplasm type, the 30-year cumulative incidence was 18.0% for those with BCC, 9.8% for those with SCC, and 3.7% for those with melanoma. Four patients died due to a cutaneous malignant neoplasm after completing the survey, comprising less than 1% of the 800 deceased individuals.

Table 1. Characteristics of the Study Cohort.

Characteristic No. (%)
BMT cohort (n = 3880) Sibling cohort (n = 1425)
Age at transplant, y
Mean (SD) 40.7 (19.6) NA
Median (range) 44.0 (0-78.0) NA
<18 609 (15.7) NA
18-49 1716 (44.2) NA
≥50 1555 (40.1) NA
Age at survey completion, y
Mean (SD) 51.8 (17.3) 53.3 (16.8)
Median (range) 56.0 (4.0-89.0) 57.5 (2.4-90.5)
Sex
Female 1715 (44.2) 851 (59.7)
Male 2165 (55.8) 574 (40.3)
Race and ethnicity
Black 190 (4.9) 33 (2.3)
Hispanic 468 (12.1) 99 (6.9)
Non-Hispanic White 2897 (74.7) 1213 (86.4)
Other race and multiraciala 325 (8.4) 62 (4.4)
Highest level of education
≤High school 869 (22.4) 217 (15.2)
Some college 1385 (35.7) 463 (32.5)
≥College degree 1598 (41.2) 733 (51.4)
Decline to answer/missing 28 (0.7) 12 (0.8)
Annual income, $
<50 000 1255 (32.3) 288 (20.2)
50 000-74 999 627 (16.2) 254 (17.8)
≥75 000 1542 (39.7) 736 (51.6)
Decline to answer/missing 456 (11.8) 147 (10.3)
Prior skin cancer 65 (1.7) NA
Primary cancer diagnosis
Acute lymphoblastic leukemia 346 (8.9) NA
Acute myeloid leukemia/myelodysplastic syndrome 930 (24.0) NA
Chronic myelogenous leukemia 356 (9.2) NA
Hodgkin lymphoma 260 (6.7) NA
Non-Hodgkin lymphoma 953 (24.6) NA
Plasma cell disorder 594 (15.3) NA
Severe aplastic anemia 138 (3.6) NA
Other 303 (7.8) NA
Pretransplant chemotherapy
Any chemotherapeutic agent 3311 (85.3) NA
Alkylating agents 1613 (41.6) NA
Anthracyclines 2247 (57.9) NA
Antimetabolite 1578 (40.7) NA
Bleomycin 295 (7.6) NA
Monoclonal antibody 716 (18.5) NA
Platinum compounds 639 (16.5) NA
Targeted agent 556 (14.3) NA
Topoisomerase II inhibitor 906 (23.4) NA
Steroid 2085 (53.7) NA
Plant alkaloid 1546 (39.8) NA
Pretransplant radiation 508 (13.1) NA
Transplant type
Autologous 1824 (47.0) NA
Allogeneic 2056 (53.0) NA
Conditioning intensity
Myeloablative 2981 (76.8) NA
Nonmyeloablative/reduced intensity 895 (23.1) NA
Total body irradiation 1819 (46.9) NA
Year of transplant
Before 2000 1284 (33.1) NA
2000 or later 2596 (66.9) NA
Site of transplant
University of Minnesota 1313 (33.8) NA
City of Hope 2246 (57.9) NA
University of Alabama at Birmingham 321 (8.3) NA
cGVHD among allogeneic BMT recipients (n = 2056) 1045 (26.9) NA
Posttransplant immunosuppression
Calcineurin inhibitor 430 (51.4) NA
Non–calcineurin inhibitor immunosuppression 406 (48.6) NA
None 3044 (78.5) NA
Follow-up time, median (range), yb 9.0 (2.0-46.0) 57.5 (2.4-90.5)
Status at follow-up
Skin cancer 605 (15.6) NA
Alive without skin cancer 2659 (68.5) NA
Deceased without skin cancer 616 (15.9) NA
First skin cancer subtypec
Melanoma 50 (1.3) NA
Squamous cell carcinoma 174 (4.5) NA
Basal cell carcinoma 233 (6.0) NA
Unknown/not specified 148 (3.8) NA
Any skin cancer subtyped
Melanoma 78 (2.0) 20 (1.4)
Squamous cell carcinoma 231 (6.0) 29 (2.0)
Basal cell carcinoma 321 (8.3) 63 (4.4)
Unknown/not specified 148 (3.8) NA

Abbreviations: BMT, bone or marrow transplant; cGVHD, chronic graft-vs-host disease; NA, not applicable.

a

Other race and multiracial includes Asian and Pacific Islander participants and was grouped together for analytical purposes.

b

Follow-up time for BMT survivor participants was time from BMT to survey completion; for sibling participants, follow-up time was measured from birth to survey completion.

c

Type of first secondary cutaneous malignant neoplasm diagnosed during posttransplant follow-up period.

d

Type of secondary cutaneous malignant neoplasm diagnosed at any time during posttransplant follow-up period (participants may have more than 1 event). For BMT survivor participants, events occurred between BMT and survey completion, whereas for sibling participants events occurred from birth to survey completion.

Figure. Cumulative Incidence Curves for Skin Cancer Events.

Figure.

Shaded areas represent 95% CIs. BCC indicates basal cell carcinoma; HCT, hematopoietic cell transplant; HR, hazard ratio; SCC, squamous cell carcinoma.

Any Cutaneous Malignant Neoplasm

Multivariable analysis identified age of 50 years or older at BMT (SHR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.83-2.71 [reference: <50 years]), male sex (SHR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.18-1.65), pretransplant skin cancer (SHR, 3.35; 95% CI, 2.14-5.23), pretransplant monoclonal antibody exposure (SHR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.00-1.66), cGVHD among allogeneic BMT recipients (SHR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.37-2.47 [reference: autologous BMT]), TBI (SHR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.08-1.63), site of transplant (COH: SHR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.62-2.54; UAB: SHR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.35-2.93 [reference: UMN]), and posttransplant immunosuppression (SHR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.26-1.86) to be associated with cutaneous malignant neoplasm. Race and ethnicity other than non-Hispanic White was protective against cutaneous malignant neoplasm (Black: SHR, 0.14; 95% CI, 0.05-0.37; Hispanic: SHR, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.20-0.42; other race and multiracial: SHR, 0.22; 95% CI, 0.13-0.37 [reference: non-Hispanic White]) (Table 2 and Table 3).

Table 2. Patient and Treatment-Related Factors Associated With Subsequent Cutaneous Malignant Neoplasms.

Patient or treatment characteristic No. (%)
Any skin cancer (n = 605) Squamous cell carcinoma (n = 231) Basal cell carcinoma (n = 321) Melanoma (n = 78)
Age at transplant, y
<50 290 (12.5) 78 (3.4) 165 (7.1) 41 (1.8)
≥50 315 (20.2) 153 (9.8) 156 (6.7) 37 (2.4)
Sex
Female 223 (36.9) 73 (31.6) 118 (36.8) 30 (38.5)
Male 382 (63.1) 158 (68.4) 203 (63.2) 48 (61.5)
Race and ethnicity
Black 4 (0.7) 2 (0.9) 0 1 (1.3)
Hispanic 31 (5.1) 12 (5.2) 17 (5.3) 5 (6.4)
Non-Hispanic White 555 (91.7) 213 (92.2) 294 (91.6) 70 (89.7)
Other race and multiraciala 15 (2.5) 4 (1.7) 10 (3.1) 2 (2.6)
Prior skin cancer 30 (5.0) 19 (8.2) 27 (8.4) 5 (6.4)
Primary cancer diagnosis
Leukemia 268 (44.3) 106 (45.9) 144 (44.9) 33 (42.3)
Lymphoma 238 (39.4) 81 (35.0) 131 (40.9) 32 (41.0)
Other 99 (16.4) 44 (19.1) 46 (14.3) 10 (16.7)
Transplant type/cGVHD
Autogenous 271 (44.8) 91 (39.4) 147 (45.8) 40 (51.3)
Allogeneic without cGVHD 123 (20.3) 31. (13.4) 62 (19.3) 16 (20.5)
Allogeneic with cGVHD 211 (34.9) 109 (47.2) 112 (34.9) 22 (28.2)
Total body irradiation 310 (51.2) 86 (37.2) 163 (50.8) 40 (51.3)
Conditioning intensity
Myeloablative 452 (74.7) 147 (63.6) 245 (76.3) 58 (74.4)
Nonmyeloablative/reduced intensity 153 (25.3) 84 (36.4) 76 (23.7) 20 (25.6)
Pretransplant chemotherapy
Alkylator 294 (48.6) 103 (44.6) 164 (51.1) 40 (51.3)
Anthracycline 402 (66.4) 152 (65.8) 220 (68.5) 52 (66.7)
Antimetabolite 278 (46.0) 103 (44.6) 158 (49.2) 35 (44.9)
Bleomycin 51 (8.4) 18 (7.8) 31 (9.7) 5 (6.4)
Monoclonal antibody 148 (24.5) 54 (23.4) 79 (24.6) 17 (21.8)
Platinum 115 (19.0) 46 (19.9) 60 (18.7) 20 (25.6)
Targeted agent 55 (9.1) 28 (12.1) 25 (7.8) 9 (11.5)
Topoisomerase II inhibitor 151 (25.0) 55 (23.8) 79 (24.6) 26 (33.3)
Steroid 348 (57.5) 126 (54.5) 190 (59.2) 40 (51.3)
Plant alkaloid 294 (48.6) 101 (43.7) 159 (49.5) 38 (48.7)
Pretransplant radiation 86 (14.2) 26 (11.3) 52 (16.2) 8 (10.3)
Year of transplant
Before 2000 224 (37.0) 56 (24.2) 127 (39.6) 23 (29.5)
2000 or later 381 (63.0) 175 (75.8) 194 (60.4) 55 (70.5)
Site of transplant
University of Minnesota 156 (25.8) 33 (14.3) 59 (18.4) 27 (34.6)
City of Hope 402 (66.4) 181 (78.4) 241 (75.1) 47 (60.3)
University of Alabama at Birmingham 47 (7.8) 17 (7.4) 21 (6.5) 4 (5.1)
Posttransplant immunosuppression 154 (25.5) 66 (28.6) 79 (24.6) 22 (28.2)

Abbreviation: cGVHD, chronic graft-vs-host disease.

a

Other race and multiracial includes Asian and Pacific Islander participants and was grouped together for analytical purposes.

Table 3. Factors Associated With Specific Subsequent Cutaneous Malignant Neoplasms After Blood or Marrow Transplanta.

Participant or treatment characteristic Subdistribution hazard ratio (95% CI)
Any skin cancer Squamous cell carcinoma Basal cell carcinoma Melanoma
Age at transplant, y
<50 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
≥50 2.23 (1.83-2.71)b 3.37 (2.41-4.72)b 1.76 (1.36-2.29)b 1.49 (0.88-2.51)b
Sex
Female 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Male 1.40 (1.18-1.65)b 1.85 (1.39-2.45)b 1.39 (1.10-1.75)b 1.31 (0.82-2.07)
Race and ethnicity
Black 0.14 (0.05-0.37)b 0.17 (0.04-0.67)b NI 0.25 (0.03-1.86)
Hispanic 0.29 (0.20-0.62)b 0.28 (0.16-0.50)b 0.27 (0.16-0.44)b 0.41 (0.16-1.07)
Non-Hispanic White 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Other race and multiracialc 0.22 (0.13-0.37)b 0.13 (0.05-0.37)b 0.26 (0.14-0.50)b 0.24 (0.06-0.99)
Prior skin cancer
No 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Yes 3.35 (2.14-5.23)b 4.30 (2.51-7.35)b 5.71 (3.67-8.89)b 5.14 (1.91-13.82)b
Primary cancer diagnosis
Leukemia 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Lymphoma 1.28 (0.96-1.70) NI NI NI
Other mixed 0.87 (0.66-1.14) NI NI NI
Transplant type/cGVHD
Autologous 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Allogeneic without cGVHD 1.27 (0.91-1.78) 1.29 (0.73-2.27) 1.17 (0.78-1.77) NI
Allogeneic with cGVHD 1.84 (1.37-2.47)b 2.61 (1.68-4.04)b 1.48 (1.06-2.08)b NI
Total body irradiation
No 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Yes 1.32 (1.08-1.63)b 1.09 (0.76-1.57) 1.29 (0.98-1.70) 1.39 (0.84-2.31)
Conditioning intensity
Myeloablative 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Nonmyeloablative/reduced intensity 1.01 (0.78-1.30) 1.15 (0.75-1.79) 1.09 (0.77-1.54) 1.07 (0.62-1.83)
Pretransplant monoclonal antibody
No 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Yes 1.29 (1.00-1.66)b NI 1.71 (1.27-2.31)b 1.06 (0.59-1.91)
Pretransplant radiation
No 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Yes NI NI NI NI
Site of transplant
University of Minnesota 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
City of Hope 2.03 (1.62-2.54)b 3.57 (2.34-5.47)b 3.55 (2.58-4.89)b 1.48 (0.89-2.44)
University of Alabama at Birmingham 1.99 (1.35-2.93)b 2.63 (1.36-5.08)b 2.35 (1.30-4.23)b 0.81 (0.24-2.67)
Year of transplant
Before 2000 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
2000 or later NI NI NI 2.18 (1.21-3.93)b
Posttransplant immunosuppression
No 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Yes 1.53 (1.26-1.86)b 1.48 (1.09-2.02)b 1.63 (1.24-2.14)b 1.90 (1.16-3.12)b

Abbreviations: cGVHD, chronic graft-vs-host disease; NI, not included.

a

All listed variables were included in the multivariable analysis. Variables with NI were not included in the final multivariable models due to not meeting criteria for variable selection.

b

Value is statistically significant.

c

Other race and multiracial includes Asian and Pacific Islander participants and was grouped together for analytical purposes.

In the subanalyses stratified by age at BMT, pretransplant exposure to monoclonal antibodies was identified as an additional risk factor for subsequent cutaneous malignant neoplasm among individuals younger than 50 years at transplant (SHR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.18-2.66) and 50 years and older (SHR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.15-1.86) (eTable 2 in Supplement 1). There was a differential association of TBI, with greater risk of cutaneous malignant neoplasm for younger transplant recipients (<50 years: SHR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.20-2.35; ≥50 years: SHR, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.84-1.58). Male sex was a risk factor for cutaneous malignant neoplasm among those who were 50 years and older at BMT (SHR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.33-2.14 [reference: female]).

BCC

BMT recipients developed BCC at a median (range) of 6.1 (2.0-32.0) years after transplant. Risk factors for BCC in the adjusted model included age of 50 years and older at BMT (SHR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.36-2.29 [reference: <50 years), male sex (SHR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.10-1.75 [reference: female]), pretransplant skin cancer (SHR, 5.71; 95% CI, 3.67-8.89), pretransplant monoclonal antibody exposure (SHR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.27-2.31), cGVHD among allogeneic BMT recipients (SHR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.06-2.08 [reference: autologous BMT]), site of transplant (COH: SHR, 3.55; 95% CI, 2.58-4.89; UAB: SHR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.30-4.23 [reference: UMN]), and posttransplant immunosuppression (SHR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.24-2.14). Race and ethnicity other than non-Hispanic White was protective (Black: no cases; Hispanic: SHR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.16-0.44; other race and multiracial: SHR, 0.26; 95% CI, 0.14-0.50 [reference: non-Hispanic White]) (Table 2 and Table 3). An association between TBI and risk of BCC was observed for participants younger than 50 years at BMT (SHR, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.27-2.64) but not among those 50 years and older at BMT (SHR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.36-0.80) (eTable 2 in Supplement 1). Other differential risk factors by age at transplant were posttransplant immunosuppression, which was a risk factor for BCC in participants younger than 50 years (SHR, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.27-2.64) but not in those 50 years and older at transplant (SHR, 1.21; 95% CI, 0.82-1.78), and nonmyeloablative/reduced intensity conditioning, which was a risk factor for BCC among participants 50 years and older (SHR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.48-3.14) but not younger than 50 years (SHR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.37-1.08).

The cumulative probability of BCC by 70 years of age in BMT survivor participants with and without a history of skin cancer and in siblings was 45.0%, 16.9%, and 8.2%, respectively (P < .001). BMT survivors had higher odds of BCC than siblings (with pretransplant skin cancer: odds ratio [OR], 13.50; 95% CI, 7.67-23.78; without pretransplant skin cancer: OR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.55-2.75) (eTable 3 and eFigure in Supplement 1).

SCC

SCC cases occurred at a median (range) of 3.9 (2.0-35.2) years after transplant. In the multivariable model, SCC was associated with age 50 years and older at BMT (SHR, 3.37; 95% CI, 2.41-4.72 [reference: <50 years]), male sex (SHR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.39-2.45 [reference: female]), pretransplant skin cancer (SHR, 4.30; 95% CI, 2.51-7.35), cGVHD among allogeneic BMT recipients (SHR, 2.61; 95% CI, 1.68-4.04 [reference: autologous BMT]), site of transplant (COH: SHR, 3.57; 95% CI, 2.34-5.47; UAB: SHR, 2.63; 95% CI, 1.36-5.08 [reference: UMN]), and posttransplant immunosuppression (SHR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.09-2.02). Race and ethnicity other than non-Hispanic White was protective against SCC (Black: SHR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.04-0.67; Hispanic: SHR, 0.28; 95% CI, 0.16-0.50; other race and multiracial: SHR, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.05-0.37 [reference: non-Hispanic White]) (Table 2 and Table 3).

The cumulative probability of SCC by age of 70 years in BMT survivor participants with and without a history of skin cancer and siblings was 29.9%, 14.3%, and 4.2%, respectively (P < .001). BMT survivors were at higher odds of SCC compared with siblings (with pretransplant skin cancer: OR, 16.34; 95% CI, 8.46-31.57); without pretransplant skin cancer: OR, 3.15; 95% CI, 2.12-4.69) (eTable 3 and eFigure in Supplement 1).

Melanoma

BMT survivor participants developed melanoma a median (range) of 4.0 (2.0-32.0) years after transplant. In the multivariable model, risk factors for melanoma included pretransplant skin cancer (SHR, 5.14; 95% CI, 1.91-13.82), transplant after 2000 (SHR, 2.61; 95% CI, 1.25-5.46), and posttransplant immunosuppression (SHR, 1.90; 95% CI, 1.16-3.12) (Table 2 and Table 3). Relative to the general population, the SIR for melanoma among BMT survivors was 4.9 (95% CI, 3.9-6.1). In the cohort with only validated cases, the SIR was 3.6 (95% CI, 2.7-4.6) (eTable 4 in Supplement 1). Relative to the sibling participants, BMT survivor participants with pretransplant skin cancer had greater odds of melanoma (OR, 5.19; 95% CI, 1.88-14.34); those without pretransplant skin cancer had comparable risk (OR, 1.59; 95% CI, 0.96-2.63) (eTable 3 and eFigure in Supplement 1).

Sensitivity Analyses

Stratified analyses were performed to investigate the observed association between pretransplant monoclonal antibody exposure and BCC. Monoclonal antibodies were used among recipients more often during or after 2000 (658 of 674 [97.6%]), in those 50 years or older at BMT (459 of 674 [68.1%]) and for those with NHL (600 of 674 [89.0%]). For each strata (before 2000, 2000 or later; <50 years, ≥50 years; NHL, other), the observed association between monoclonal antibodies and BCC persisted, suggesting a true association rather than confounding by indication (eTables 5 and 6 in Supplement 1). Rituximab, in particular (the monoclonal antibody used in 674 [94.5%] cases), was associated with BCC (SHR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.26-2.31). While the association between monoclonal antibodies other than rituximab and BCC had a similar magnitude, it was not statistically significant (SHR, 1.92; 95% CI, 0.67-5.52) (eTable 7 in Supplement 1).

The sensitivity analysis of CNI vs non-CNI immunosuppression demonstrated that both were associated with BCC (CNI: SHR, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.30-2.60; non-CNI: SHR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.01-2.07). Non-CNI agents were associated with SCC (SHR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.07-2.43) and melanoma (SHR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.21-4.11); however, CNIs were not (eTable 7 in Supplement 1).

Discussion

In this multi-institutional cohort of BMT survivor participants followed for a median of 9.5 years, the 30-year cumulative incidence of subsequent cutaneous malignant neoplasms exceeded 25%. Risk factors included being 50 years or older at BMT, male sex, cGVHD among allogeneic transplant recipients, and posttransplant immunosuppression. Novel risk factors for BCC included pretransplant treatment exposure to monoclonal antibody at any age and TBI at a younger age. Finally, BMT survivors were at a 5-fold greater risk of melanoma than the general population. Relative to sibling participants, BMT survivor participants had a 2- to 15-fold greater risk of BCC and a 2- to 20-fold greater risk of SCC. These findings may be used to provide targeted counseling to patients and plan post-BMT dermatologic surveillance.

Most BMT survivors do not undergo routine dermatologic surveillance, highlighting the need to understand risk factors and incorporate risk-informed dermatologic surveillance into survivorship care plans.12 While available tools predict risk to guide screening recommendations in solid organ transplant recipients, resources are lacking for BMT recipients.13 The current study comprises, to our knowledge, the largest of its kind to specifically examine risk factors for post-BMT BCC, SCC, and melanoma, and may be used for future development of a risk prediction tool specific for BMT survivors to tailor the frequency of dermatologic surveillance intervals and heighten the threshold for biopsy of lesions suspected of being malignant.3,14,15

To our knowledge, no prior work has established an association between pretransplant exposure to monoclonal antibodies and BCC. Though monoclonal antibodies were used more commonly in certain subgroups (older age at BMT, NHL, contemporary transplant era), stratified analyses suggest a true association between monoclonal antibody exposure (specifically rituximab) and BCC, rather than confounding by indication. In a systematic review and meta-analysis of 12 studies examining patients with autoimmune disorders,16 biologic agents were associated with NMSCs, but this was largely attributable to agents other than rituximab. One study of more than 3500 patients with inflammatory diseases found no association between rituximab and SCC (BCC cases were not included).16 A large Medicare-based cohort study also did not find increased risk of NMSCs among patients receiving rituximab for autoimmune disorders or transplant.17,18 Considering prior work, the present novel finding of an association between pre-BMT monoclonal antibody exposure and subsequent cutaneous malignant neoplasms warrants further investigation.

We observed an association between TBI and subsequent BCC among BMT survivor participants younger than 50 years at transplant, though not among older participants. The association between TBI and BCC aligns with findings from other post-BMT cohorts. The Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research (CIBMTR)/Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center (FHCRC) cohort had a 2-fold increased risk of BCC after TBI, and a Danish Cancer Registry cohort had a 4-fold increased risk of BCC.15,19,20 In the CIBMTR/FHCRC cohort, increased BCC risk was observed in patients younger than 40 years at time of transplant.19 Of note, the association between ionizing radiation at younger ages and BCC was also observed among atomic bomb survivors.21

In the present study, history of cGVHD and chronic posttransplant immunosuppression were associated with subsequent SCC or BCC. An association between cGVHD, posttransplant immunosuppression, and subsequent cutaneous SCC has been reported previously.10,22 A CIBMTR/FHCRC study found that cGVHD duration and severity, as well as treatment with azathioprine, were risk factors for post-BMT SCC.22 SCC often develops at sites of prior cGVHD and may be caused by chronic inflammation and frequent cell division.23 Similar to the present findings, another study identified an association between cGVHD and BCC.15 Although prior work in kidney transplant recipients demonstrated an association between CNIs and BCC, SCC, and melanoma relative to non-CNI therapies,24 we found that both CNIs and non-CNIs were risk factors for BCC, while non-CNI immunosuppression was associated with SCC and melanoma. Of note, treatments for cGVHD with UV-light phototherapy or extracorporeal photopheresis with photosensitization could potentially increase risk of cutaneous malignant neoplasms; however, these treatment details were not available.

We found a nearly 5-fold greater risk of melanoma in BMT survivor participants compared with an age- and sex-matched population. Melanoma risk was greater among those who underwent transplant after 2000, consistent with the increasing melanoma incidence in the general population.25 Prior analyses of other BMT recipients have identified a 3.5- to 5-fold greater risk of melanoma compared to matched populations.2,20 Previously identified risk factors for melanoma in BMT recipients include allogeneic transplant, TBI, and T-cell depletion. Rizzo et al2 reported an association between female sex and incident melanoma, though this was not observed in the present cohort.3,15 We did not observe an association between TBI and melanoma, but the direction of association in our model was consistent with prior work.

There was a non-Hispanic White and male predominance for all cutaneous malignant neoplasm types, which mirrors national trends and the racial and ethnic distribution of childhood cancer survivors.26,27 Among patients who underwent transplant at an age younger than 18 years, more women developed BCC. A prior study in a general US cohort similarly found more BCC than SCC cases in younger women.28 Proposed mechanisms include higher estrogen levels and greater use of indoor tanning. Although national racial and ethnic epidemiologic data are not available for BCC or SCC, there were notably no cases of BCC among Black patients in the present cohort. Similarly, the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort Study identified no cases of BCC in Black childhood cancer survivors.29 Future research should seek to better understand the epidemiology of skin cancer to optimize post-BMT surveillance in diverse populations.

Limitations

This study needs to be considered in the context of its limitations. Use of survey-based self-report for case identification is a possible limitation. However, 73% of melanoma cases were validated, and sensitivity analyses in these cases found comparable associations and magnitude of risk. Prior work suggests that melanoma cases may be underreported to SEER.30,31,32,33 It is unknown how possible underreporting of melanoma to SEER would impact the magnitude of SIRs. Furthermore, patients with unknown skin cancer type could not be included in the individual models of BCC, SCC, and melanoma. The BMTSS survey did not query other risk factors for cutaneous malignant neoplasms, such as skin phototype, UV-light exposure, or family history. The inclusion of site of transplant may be considered a surrogate for UV-light exposure; indeed, we found higher risk of cutaneous malignant neoplasms among individuals who underwent transplant in California or Alabama. Duration of posttransplant immunosuppression was not collected. Surveys were administered at variable intervals, though all were completed more than 2 years post-BMT, allowing time for important risk factors such as cGVHD to manifest.

Conclusions

In this cohort study, risk factors for post-BMT cutaneous malignant neoplasms included pretransplant treatment with a monoclonal antibody, cGVHD, and posttransplant immunosuppression. TBI was associated with increased risk of subsequent BCC when exposure occurred at a younger age. These findings could inform targeted surveillance of BMT survivors.

Supplement 1.

eTable 1. Chronic immunosuppressive medications reported by blood or marrow transplant recipients

eTable 2. Risk factors for squamous cell carcinoma, basal cell carcinoma, and melanoma by age at blood or marrow transplant

eTable 3. Risk of cutaneous malignancies among BMT survivors compared with a sibling cohort

eTable 4. Risk factors for melanoma in all cases (validated and self-report) versus validated cases only

eTable 5. Factors associated with receipt of pre-transplant rituximab

eTable 6. Association between monoclonal antibodies and post-BMT cutaneous neoplasms

eTable 7. Association between monoclonal antibodies and BCC

eTable 8. Factors associated with subsequent cutaneous neoplasms after blood or marrow transplant with post-transplant immunosuppression categorized as calcineurin inhibitor versus other

eFigure. Cumulative probability for skin cancer among BMT survivors and siblings

Supplement 2.

Data Sharing Statement

References

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Supplement 1.

eTable 1. Chronic immunosuppressive medications reported by blood or marrow transplant recipients

eTable 2. Risk factors for squamous cell carcinoma, basal cell carcinoma, and melanoma by age at blood or marrow transplant

eTable 3. Risk of cutaneous malignancies among BMT survivors compared with a sibling cohort

eTable 4. Risk factors for melanoma in all cases (validated and self-report) versus validated cases only

eTable 5. Factors associated with receipt of pre-transplant rituximab

eTable 6. Association between monoclonal antibodies and post-BMT cutaneous neoplasms

eTable 7. Association between monoclonal antibodies and BCC

eTable 8. Factors associated with subsequent cutaneous neoplasms after blood or marrow transplant with post-transplant immunosuppression categorized as calcineurin inhibitor versus other

eFigure. Cumulative probability for skin cancer among BMT survivors and siblings

Supplement 2.

Data Sharing Statement


Articles from JAMA Dermatology are provided here courtesy of American Medical Association

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