Abstract
Objective
To validate the prognostic utility of peak creatine kinase-myocardial band isoenzyme (CK-MB) level, left ventricular posterior wall diameter (LVPWD), and a score model for successful weaning from mechanical circulatory support (MCS) in fulminant myocarditis (FM). Furthermore, the severity of the histological data was stratified, and its relationship with the clinical findings was investigated.
Methods
This retrospective single-centre cohort study included 20 patients with FM treated with MCS between 2013 and 2023. The primary outcome was successful weaning from MCS (MCS decannulation and survival to discharge). Two validations were conducted: Validation A, to evaluate the predictive value of peak CK-MB and LVPWD, and validation B, to evaluate the performance of the prediction model for successful MCS weaning derived from the CHANGE PUMP Study. The histological findings of 21 specimens were used for additional analyses. The pathological severity of myocardial inflammation, necrosis and oedema was stratified, and their relationship with clinical data was assessed.
Results
14 patients were successfully weaned from MCS. In validation A, the weaning success rate was significantly higher in patients with peak CK-MB≤185 IU/L than in those with peak CK-MB>185 IU/L. Similar findings were observed in patients with LVPWD≤11 mm compared with those with LVPWD>11 mm. In Validation B, the median predictive MCS weaning success rate for the entire cohort was 80%. Compared with patients who underwent MCS decannulation successfully, those who did not had a significantly lower predictive success rate. The C-statistic of the model was 0.845. The histological severity at admission was not associated with the primary outcome. However, the CK-MB levels and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) obtained simultaneously were correlated with histological severity.
Conclusions
Previously reported predictors of successful weaning from MCS in FM demonstrated reasonable discrimination. The severity of FM evaluated by histological findings was associated with CK-MB levels and LVEF.
Keywords: Myocarditis; Heart-Assist Devices; Heart Failure, Systolic; Risk Factors
WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ON THIS TOPIC
Fulminant myocarditis (FM), treated with mechanical circulatory support (MCS), sometimes fails to recover from cardiogenic shock. For such patients, early consideration of advanced therapies (such as left ventricular assist device implantation or heart transplantation) is necessary. Accurate prediction of the probability of successful weaning from MCS would be helpful in clinical decision making. Previous small cohort studies have reported several predictors of weaning from MCS.
WHAT THIS STUDY ADDS
This study validated the utility of previously reported predictors for successful weaning from MCS in patients with lymphocytic FM. The peak creatine kinase-myocardial band isoenzyme combined with the left ventricular posterior wall diameter and the prediction model for MCS decannulation derived from the CHANGE PUMP Study exhibited their utility in the present study. Moreover, the severity of FM, as evaluated by histological findings, was associated with myocardial enzyme levels and left ventricular contraction, which were obtained simultaneously.
HOW THIS STUDY MIGHT AFFECT RESEARCH, PRACTICE OR POLICY
By using validated predictors of successful weaning from MCS, the probability of MCS weaning could be assessed early after MCS introduction, allowing for timely consideration of the need for advanced therapy. Myocardial enzyme levels and left ventricular ejection fraction may help predict the pathological severity of myocarditis and potentially guide treatment strategies.
Introduction
The advent of novel therapies and therapeutic devices has increased survival and improved the long-term prognosis of difficult cases, particularly in patients with cardiogenic shock.1 2 Advancements in mechanical circulatory support (MCS) have resulted in an increase in the number of patients who receive temporary MCS in the acute phase of cardiogenic shock.3 Fulminant myocarditis (FM) often leads to cardiogenic shock and has a high mortality rate requiring MCS.4,8 Patients who fail to decannulate MCS may require left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation or heart transplantation. Cardiac enzyme levels, left ventricular wall thickness9 and prognostic score models7 have been used as predictors of successful weaning from MCS. However, due to the low prevalence of this disease, the utility of these predictors has only been investigated in a small cohort without validation. The pathological severity of myocarditis has been reported to be associated with the prognosis of patients with lymphocytic FM5; however, studies on the prediction of successful MCS weaning are lacking.
A recent expert consensus from the American College of Cardiology proposed classifying myocarditis into four stages according to the risks, symptoms and severity.10 However, it is still difficult to predict when patients become irreversibly dependent on MCS. Thus, validating the association between previously reported prognostic predictors and successful weaning from MCS in patients with FM may be beneficial.
Given this background, our objective was to validate the utility of previously identified predictors of successful weaning from MCS in patients with lymphocytic FM. Furthermore, the severity of the histological data was stratified, and its relationship with the clinical findings was investigated.
Methods
Study design
In this retrospective, single-centre, observational cohort study, we registered 20 consecutive patients with lymphocytic FM who were treated with veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO), extracorporeal ventricular assist device (Ex-VAD) or IMPELLA heart pump (Abiomed, Danvers, Massachusetts, USA) at the Shinshu University Hospital (Nagano, Japan) between January 2013 and June 2023. Patients were initially identified by searching the MCS database. FM was defined as acute myocarditis11 that required ECMO, IMPELLA or Ex-VAD for cardiogenic shock. Histologically proven myocarditis was defined based on the diagnostic criteria set forth by the European Society of Cardiology, American College of Cardiology or the Japanese Circulation Society guidelines.10 12 13 FM was diagnosed by attending clinicians based on available symptoms, laboratory data, electrocardiography, echocardiography, endomyocardial biopsy, haemodynamic parameters and coronary angiography. The decision to escalate, de-escalate or wean MCS was made by a multidisciplinary heart team, which included cardiologists and cardiovascular surgeons. For the weaning process, the VA-ECMO flow rate was decreased gradually by 0.5 L/min every 6–12 hours until reaching 1.0–1.5 L/min. The IMPELLA flow rate was decreased by 1–2 P-levels every 6–12 hours until reaching P-level 2. MCS was then decannulated in the following 12–24 hours if weaning was deemed possible for the patient.14 15
The following validations were performed to evaluate the utility of previously reported clinical predictors (online supplemental figure S1). Validation A: To evaluate the predictive value of peak creatine kinase-myocardial band isoenzyme (CK-MB) 185 IU/L and left ventricular posterior wall diameter (LVPWD) 11 mm on admission for successful weaning from MCS.9 Validation B: To evaluate the performance of the prediction model for successful weaning from MCS.7 The primary outcome was successful weaning from MCS, defined as successful decannulation and survival to discharge. Additional analyses were performed using tissue specimens from 17 patients (21 specimens) who underwent endomyocardial biopsies during hospitalisation. The severity of myocardial inflammation, necrosis and oedema in each endomyocardial biopsy specimen was retrospectively assessed by an experienced cardiovascular pathologist (TU) and stratified into four levels: none (0 points), mild (1 point), moderate (2 points) and severe (3 points). Online supplemental table S1 and figure 1 present definitions and representative images, respectively. The total score for each specimen was calculated and defined as the severity of myocarditis according to the pathological findings. Clinical data and survival status were collected in October 2024 via chart review. Informed consent was obtained from the Shinshu University Hospital’s website. The patients were informed that they could opt out anytime during the study process.
Figure 1. Representative images of the endomyocardial biopsy specimens. (A) No myocardial inflammation (0 points), no necrosis (0 points) and no oedema (0 points), yielding a total score of 0 points. (B) Mild myocardial inflammation (1 point), no necrosis (0 points) and mild oedema (1 point), yielding a total score of 2 points. (C) Moderate myocardial inflammation (2 points), no necrosis (0 points) and moderate oedema (2 points), yielding a total score of 4 points. (D) Severe myocardial inflammation (3 points), severe necrosis (3 points) and severe oedema (3 points), yielding a total score of 9 points.
Measurements and data collection
Data regarding the following factors were collected at the time of MCS introduction, 48 hours after MCS introduction, MCS decannulation and discharge: age and sex (collected only at the time of MCS introduction), height, weight, medical history, laboratory data (including the peak level of CK-MB during hospitalisation), medications, electrocardiography, echocardiography, angiography and surgical data. In addition, data on CK, CK-MB, high-sensitivity troponin T (hs-TnT) levels, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), LVPWD and QRS duration were collected when the patient underwent endomyocardial biopsy. Comprehensive transthoracic echocardiography was performed by experienced sonographers or attending physicians using high-quality, commercially available ultrasound systems. The biplane-modified Simpson’s method or visual evaluation was used to measure the LVEF. All clinical events after MCS weaning and decannulation were followed up until discharge.
Definitions
Cardiogenic shock was defined as progressive end-organ hypoperfusion caused by a low cardiac output state from severe cardiac dysfunction and a persistent systolic blood pressure <90 mm Hg or mean blood pressure <60 mm Hg for >30 min that is refractory to fluid resuscitation or requires vasoactive agents, MCS or both.16,18 In accordance with the definition provided in the original study, laboratory and echocardiographic data obtained at the time of MCS introduction and 48 hours later are presented as 0 hour and 48 hours, respectively.7 Similarly, Δaspartate aminotransferase (AST) and ΔLVEF were calculated using the definition described in the original paper.7 Successful weaning from MCS was defined as MCS decannulation and survival to discharge. Unsuccessful weaning from MCS was defined as in-hospital death following MCS decannulation or escalation to LVAD.
Statistical analysis
Continuous variables were summarised as mean±SD if they were normally distributed and as median with IQR if they were not normally distributed. Normality was assessed using the Shapiro-Wilk W-test. Baseline characteristics were compared using contingency tables and the χ2 test for categorical variables, the t-test for normally distributed continuous variables, or the Mann-Whitney U test for non-normally distributed continuous variables. For validation A, patients were divided into three categories stratified according to peak CK-MB levels and LVPWD: low-risk (CK-MB≤185 IU/L and LVPWD≤11 mm), intermediate-risk (CK-MB≤185 IU/L or LVPWD≤11 mm) and high-risk (CK-MB>185 IU/L and LVPWD>11 mm) for unsuccessful weaning from MCS. Weaning success rates were compared among the three groups. The predictive MCS weaning success rate was calculated for each patient using the following formula: predictive weaning success rate (%) = 1/[1+exp(0.688–0.104×LVEF_48 hours−0.143×ΔLVEF_48h+1.171×ΔAST_48 hours)]×100.7 Prediction performance was assessed by C-statistics using a receiver operating characteristic curve. Spearman’s rank correlation method was used as a non-parametric measure of the association between histological findings and laboratory data. A p<0.05 was considered statistically significant. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS Statistics for Windows, V.26 (IBM).
Patient and public involvement
Patients or the public were not involved in our research’s design, recruitment, conduct and reporting.
Results
Patient characteristics
The patient characteristics are shown in table 1. The median age was 59 (IQR: 46–66) years, and 60% (n=12) of the patients were male. 14 patients (70%) were successfully weaned from MCS. The reasons for unsuccessful weaning were as follows: death, 5 (cardiac death, 4; non-cardiac death, 1); and MCS escalation to LVAD, 1. Compared with patients who underwent MCS decannulation successfully, those who did not undergo MCS decannulation successfully were younger and had a lower prevalence of hypertension. In addition, the proportion of patients with complete atrioventricular block (CAVB) and ventricular arrhythmia was higher in those with unsuccessful MCS weaning. The median duration of temporary MCS was 116,16 days. The specific data for each case are listed in table 2. The clinical findings on MCS decannulation and discharge in patients who were successfully weaned from MCS are shown in online supplemental table S2.
Table 1. Patient characteristics.
| Variable | Overall population | Successful weaning from MCS | ||
| Yes | No | P value | ||
| (n=20) | (n=14) | (n=6) | ||
| Age (years) | 59 (46–66) | 63 (57–68) | 46 (29–53) | 0.026 |
| Male, n (%) | 12 (60) | 9 (64) | 3 (50) | 0.55 |
| BSA (m2) | 1.74±0.18 | 1.76±0.18 | 1.68±0.18 | 0.37 |
| Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg) | 86 (79–102) | 89 (82–104) | 84 (77–102) | 0.718 |
| Diastolic blood pressure (mm Hg) | 62±22 | 60±23 | 67±21 | 0.543 |
| Mean blood pressure (mm Hg) | 69 (62–81) | 69 (63–80) | 72 (57–89) | 0.841 |
| Pulse pressure (mm Hg) | 26±13 | 28±14 | 22±10 | 0.42 |
| Heart rate (beats/min) | 94±22 | 100±25 | 83±9 | 0.041 |
| Hypertension, n (%) | 7 (35) | 7 (50) | 0 (0) | 0.032 |
| Diabetes mellitus, n (%) | 1 (5) | 1 (7) | 0 (0) | 0.502 |
| Mechanical circulatory support | ||||
| Ex-VAD, n (%) | 1 (5) | 0 (0) | 1 (17) | 0.117 |
| IMPELLA, n (%) | 6 (30) | 6 (43) | 0 (0) | 0.055 |
| VA-ECMO, n (%) | 18 (90) | 13 (93) | 5 (83) | 0.515 |
| Pharmacological treatment | ||||
| Glucocorticoid, n (%) | 7 (35) | 6 (43) | 1 (17) | 0.26 |
| IVIG, n (%) | 5 (25) | 4 (29) | 1 (17) | 0.573 |
| Laboratory data | ||||
| BNP_0 hour (pg/mL) | 643 (488–1505) | 758 (544–1522) | 557 (188–1503) | 0.25 |
| CK_0 hour (IU/L) | 1483 (295–2397) | 1483 (301–2391) | 1340 (159–3230) | 0.999 |
| CK-MB_0 hour (IU/L) | 44 (13–93) | 48 (13–95) | 21 (9–67) | 0.277 |
| Peak CK (IU/L) | 2360 (861–3611) | 2058 (774–3031) | 9135 (1196–18 906) | 0.091 |
| Peak CK-MB (IU/L) | 85 (35–180) | 73 (33–103) | 300 (49–534) | 0.091 |
| AST_0 hour (IU/L) | 341 (83–1412) | 396 (84–2611) | 223 (62–579) | 0.179 |
| AST_48 hours (IU/L) | 295 (79–1082) | 340 (73–840) | 206 (84–5343) | 0.841 |
| Electrocardiogram | ||||
| QRS (ms) | 118 (78–148) | 117 (78–142) | 130 (96–299) | 0.391 |
| CAVB, n (%) | 8 (40) | 3 (21) | 5 (83) | 0.01 |
| VT/VF, n (%) | 9 (45) | 4 (29) | 5 (83) | 0.024 |
| Echocardiography | ||||
| LVEF_0 hour (%) | 17±11 | 19±12 | 14±8 | 0.307 |
| LVEF_48 hours (%) | 20(10–35) | 20(10–40) | 10(8–20) | 0.091 |
| LVDD_0 hour (mm) | 41±7 | 43±6 | 37±6 | 0.07 |
| LVDS_0 hour (mm) | 38±7 | 39±7 | 35±8 | 0.189 |
| IVSD_0 hour (mm) | 10 (8–11) | 10 (8–12) | 11 (8–11) | 0.999 |
| LVPWD_0 hour (mm) | 11 (9–12) | 10 (9–11) | 12 (11–12) | 0.091 |
Values are presented as medians and IQRs or n (%).
ASTaspartate aminotransferaseBNPbrain natriuretic peptideBSAbody surface areaCAVBcomplete atrioventricular blockCKcreatine kinaseCK-MBcreatine kinase myocardial bandEx-VADextracorporeal ventricular assist deviceIVIGintravenous immunoglobulinIVSDinterventricular septal diameterLVDDleft ventricular diastolic diameterLVDSleft ventricular systolic diameterLVEFleft ventricular ejection fractionLVPWDleft ventricular posterior wall diameterMCSmechanical circulatory supportVA-ECMOveno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenationVFventricular fibrillationVTventricular tachycardia
Table 2. Specific data of each patient.
| Cases | Peak CK-MB (IU/L) | LVPWD_0 hour (mm) | AST_0 hour (IU/L) | AST_48 hours (IU/L) | LVEF_0 hour (%) | LVEF_4 8hours (%) | MCS weaning success rate (%) | Outcome |
| Case 1 | 132 | 9 | 29 240 | 2790 | 17 | 10 | 60 | Success |
| Case 2 | 69 | 21.3 | 7550 | 1203 | 5 | 10 | 89 | Success |
| Case 3 | 98 | 17 | 185 | 65 | 10 | 10 | 75 | Success |
| Case 4 | 854 | 11.5 | 481 | 272 | 0 | 0 | 46 | Failure |
| Case 5 | 404 | 11.2 | 874 | 140 | 10 | 10 | 79 | Failure |
| Case 6 | 119 | 10.8 | 479 | 363 | 10 | 20 | 96 | Success |
| Case 7 | 93 | 10.4 | 2544 | 3700 | 15 | 19 | 79 | Success |
| Case 8 | 17 | 12 | 49 | 11 140 | 20 | 10 | < 1 | Failure |
| Case 9 | 93 | 9.4 | 312 | 95 | 10 | 38 | 99 | Success |
| Case 10 | 35 | 10.8 | 2810 | 245 | 10 | 10 | 81 | Success |
| Case 11 | 427 | 9 | 76 | 71 | 15 | 10 | 43 | Failure |
| Case 12 | 282 | 9 | 826 | 554 | 10 | 10 | 68 | Success |
| Case 13 | 60 | 11.7 | 66 | 88 | 16 | 20 | 83 | Failure |
| Case 14 | 77 | 10 | 84 | 719 | 20 | 25 | < 1 | Success |
| Case 15 | 13 | 9 | 1592 | 516 | 30 | 40 | 99 | Success |
| Case 16 | 35 | 10.8 | 68 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 88 | Success |
| Case 17 | 196 | 13 | 370 | 3410 | 20 | 20 | < 1 | Failure |
| Case 18 | 25 | 7 | 84 | 60 | 30 | 50 | 99 | Success |
| Case 19 | 59 | 10.9 | 250 | 317 | 43 | 40 | 94 | Success |
| Case 20 | 11 | 10.4 | 83 | 76 | 36 | 50 | 99 | Success |
ASTaspartate aminotransferaseCK-MBcreatine kinase myocardial bandLVEFleft ventricular ejection fractionLVPWDleft ventricular posterior wall diameterMCSmechanical circulatory support
Validation A
The weaning success rate was significantly higher in patients with a peak CK-MB≤185 IU/L than in those with a peak CK-MB>185 IU/L (13/15 (87%) vs 1/5 (20%), p=0.005). Similar findings were observed in patients with LVPWD≤11 mm compared with those with LVPWD>11 mm (12/13 (92%) vs 2/7 (29%), p=0.003). Figure 2 presents a scatter plot of successful weaning from MCS, stratified according to the cut-off value of the peak CK-MB level and LVPWD. The weaning success rate was significantly higher in patients categorised into the low-risk group (low-risk, 11/11 (100%); intermediate-risk, 3/6 (50%); high-risk, 0/3 (0%), p=0.006). All patients in the low-risk group were successfully weaned from MCS, and the predictive values of CK-MB and LVPWD were good.
Figure 2. A scatter plot of successful weaning from MCS stratified according to the cut-off values of peak CK-MB and LVPWD. Circles represent cases that underwent successful MCS decannulation, while crosses indicate cases that did not undergo successful MCS decannulation. CK-MB, creatine kinase myocardial band; LVPWD, left ventricular posterior wall diameter; MCS, mechanical circulatory support.
Validation B
The median predictive MCS weaning success rate in the entire cohort was 80% (49%–95%). Compared with patients who underwent MCS decannulation successfully, those who did not undergo MCS decannulation successfully had a significantly lower predictive success rate (89% (73%–99%) vs 44% (0%–80%), p=0.015). The predictive MCS weaning success rate for each case is listed in table 2. The C-statistic of the model was 0.845, demonstrating reasonable discrimination (online supplemental figure S2).
Histological findings
Table 3 presents the details of histological findings and the clinical data obtained simultaneously. Four of the 17 patients who underwent an endomyocardial biopsy at the time of MCS introduction later underwent a repeat biopsy (case 1_2 at 14 days, case 2_2 at 30 days, case 11_2 at 33 days and case 12_2 at 6 days after admission). Histological severity of myocarditis at admission was not associated with the primary outcome. The CK-MB level and LVEF were significantly correlated with the severity of myocardial inflammation, necrosis, oedema and the total histological score (online supplemental table S3). The QRS duration was significantly correlated with the severity of myocardial inflammation, but not with necrosis or oedema. No significant correlations were observed between the histological severity and CK or LVPWD. The correlation between hs-TnT levels and histological findings could not be confirmed, as the hs-TnT levels were above the upper reference limit of the troponin assay (ie, hs-TnT>10 ng/mL) in some patients. However, patients with higher hs-TnT levels tended to have more severe histological data.
Table 3. Histological and clinical findings.
| Cases | Inflammation | Necrosis | Oedema | Total histological score (points) | CK (IU/L) | CK-MB (IU/L) | hs-TnT (ng/mL) | LVEF (%) | LVPWD (mm) | QRS (ms) |
| Case 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2319 | 132 | >10 | 17 | 9 | 120 |
| Case 1_2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 1.1 | 29 | 12.8 | 88 |
| Case 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1175 | 34 | >10 | 5 | 21.3 | 116 |
| Case 2_2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 4 | 0.42 | 65 | 8.4 | 98 |
| Case 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 606 | 74 | 5.36 | 10 | 17 | 130 |
| Case 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 471 | 18 | 7.69 | 0 | 11.5 | N/A |
| Case 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2208 | 82 | 1.8 | 10 | 11.2 | 200 |
| Case 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2368 | 100 | 2.68 | 10 | 10.8 | 250 |
| Case 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 570 | 11 | 8.91 | 20 | 12 | 398 |
| Case 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 315 | 10 | 2.38 | 10 | 9.4 | 118 |
| Case 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 247 | 35 | 3.26 | 10 | 10.8 | 94 |
| Case 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3358 | 236 | >10 | 15 | 9 | 77 |
| Case 11_2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 67 | 3 | 0.06 | 10 | 9.4 | 110 |
| Case 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2513 | 282 | >10 | 10 | 9 | 184 |
| Case 12_2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 620 | 58 | 3.28 | 16 | 11.7 | 130 |
| Case 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 200 | 30 | 2.38 | 5 | 13 | 108 |
| Case 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2388 | 41 | 0.45 | 20 | 10 | 78 |
| Case 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 800 | 35 | >10 | 19 | 10.8 | 78 |
| Case 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4927 | 41 | 3.67 | 20 | 13 | 114 |
| Case 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 292 | 12 | 2.16 | 30 | 7 | 86 |
| Case 19 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1726 | 59 | 7.23 | 43 | 10.9 | 140 |
The severity of myocardial inflammation, necrosis and oedema was assessed in each endomyocardial biopsy specimen and graded as follows: 0, none; 1, mild; 2, moderate and 3, severe.
CK-MBcreatine kinase myocardial bandhs-TnThigh-sensitivity troponin TLVEFleft ventricular ejection fractionLVPWDleft ventricular posterior wall diameterN/Anot applicable
Discussion
This study validated the utility of previously reported predictors for successful weaning from MCS in patients with lymphocytic FM. The peak CK-MB level combined with LVPWD, and the prediction model for MCS decannulation derived from the CHANGE PUMP Study, exhibited their utility in the present study. Moreover, the severity of FM, as evaluated by histological findings, was associated with myocardial enzyme levels and left ventricular contraction, which were obtained simultaneously.
Several studies have reported predictors to evaluate prognosis or cardiac function recovery in patients with FM.57,9 19 Recently, lower renal function, blood pressure prior to MCS introduction and invasive haemodynamic assessment using a Swan-Ganz catheter were reported to be associated with a better prognosis in patients with FM requiring IMPELLA support.8 However, established predictors of successful weaning from MCS still do not exist. If temporary MCS weaning is difficult in patients with FM, attending physicians must consider heart transplantation, implantable LVAD or withdrawal from intensive care (bridge to decision). Predicting whether patients can recover from myocarditis at an early stage of therapy would be beneficial in clinical practice.22 Matsumoto et al identified that CK-MB levels and LVPWD were clinical determinants of successful weaning from VA-ECMO.9 Sawamura et al developed a predictive model of bridge to recovery in patients with FM using clinical data on admission and 48 hours after VA-ECMO introduction.7 However, the number of patients included in these studies was small owing to the rarity of the condition, and the predictive factors were not validated. Our study validated the prognostic utility of these predictors in another cohort and revealed that both predictors exhibited good predictive values for successful weaning from MCS.
In the present study, the rate of successful weaning from MCS among patients who experienced CAVB and ventricular arrhythmia was significantly lower than that of those who did not. This finding is consistent with that of previous studies reporting the prognostic impact of atrioventricular block and ventricular arrhythmia in patients with myocarditis.5 9 23 24 Younger individuals were more susceptible to decannulation failure in our study; however, the reason for this is unclear. Previous studies have reported that young age is associated with fulminating25 or relapses26 of myocarditis; however, no studies have reported an association with poor prognosis. This may be attributed to sample size issues. No significant associations between the primary outcome and peak CK-MB levels (per IU/L) or LVPWD (per mm) were observed in the present study, which may also be attributed to the small sample size.
The severity of myocarditis assessed during the acute phase (17 of 20 patients) was not associated with successful weaning from MCS. However, the severity of myocardial inflammation, necrosis and oedema correlated with myocardial enzyme levels obtained simultaneously in the 21 specimens. The CK-MB levels measured at the time of endomyocardial biopsy were consistent with the peak CK-MB levels in only 6 of the 20 cases. Thus, the severity of myocarditis cannot be accurately evaluated based on a single histological assessment at the time of MCS introduction. As LVEF and QRS duration are also correlated with pathological findings, histological severity may constantly change, similar to clinical indices. The findings of the present study and those of Matsumoto et al suggest that the maximum severity of myocarditis may be associated with MCS decannulation and prognosis, and that the severity of inflammation and necrosis is also reduced when the myocardial enzyme levels are decreased. Myocardial enzyme levels obtained from blood tests may provide a means to predict the activity and severity of myocarditis. High-sensitivity cardiac troponin is mainly used to diagnose myocarditis; however, myocardial enzyme levels may help predict the severity of myocarditis and facilitate the selection of treatment strategies (eg, considering LVAD implantation, heart transplantation or adding immunosuppressive drugs in giant cell myocarditis).
The findings of our study indicate that the previously reported predictors of successful weaning from MCS, peak CK-MB, LVPWD and the prediction model are useful and can be used to manage patients with FM who require MCS. Furthermore, myocardial enzymes, such as CK-MB and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin, can be used to predict the severity of myocarditis and develop treatment strategies.
This study had several limitations. First, this was a single-centre study with an extremely small sample size, which may represent a selected cohort. Second, the consistency of LVPWD measurements was not robust. Accurate measurement of LVPWD in patients undergoing MCS is challenging because of the limited view. Third, the association between hs-TnT levels and the severity of myocarditis on histological findings could not be evaluated because the hs-TnT levels of some patients were above the upper reference limit of the troponin assay. Fourth, further validation in other races is warranted, given that the predictors were validated in the same races as previously reported.
In conclusion, previously reported predictors of successful weaning from MCS in patients with FM demonstrated reasonable discrimination. Moreover, the severity of FM evaluated by histological findings was associated with myocardial enzyme levels and left ventricular contraction, which were obtained simultaneously. These findings could be useful in developing treatment strategies for patients with FM who require MCS.
supplementary material
Footnotes
Funding: The authors have not declared a specific grant for this research from any funding agency in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sectors.
Provenance and peer review: Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
Patient consent for publication: Not applicable.
Ethics approval: This study involves human participants and the ethics committee of the Shinshu University Hospital approved the study protocol (approval number: 5944). The study conformed to the principles outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki. Participants gave informed consent to participate in the study before taking part.
Data availability statement
Data are available on reasonable request.
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Supplementary Materials
Data Availability Statement
Data are available on reasonable request.


