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Nature Communications logoLink to Nature Communications
. 2025 May 7;16:4235. doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-56910-x

Characterising acute and chronic care needs: insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

GBD 2019 Acute and Chronic Care Collaborators1
PMCID: PMC12059133  PMID: 40335470

Abstract

Chronic care manages long-term, progressive conditions, while acute care addresses short-term conditions. Chronic conditions increasingly strain health systems, which are often unprepared for these demands. This study examines the burden of conditions requiring acute versus chronic care, including sequelae. Conditions and sequelae from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019 were classified into acute or chronic care categories. Data were analysed by age, sex, and socio-demographic index, presenting total numbers and contributions to burden metrics such as Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), Years Lived with Disability (YLD), and Years of Life Lost (YLL). Approximately 68% of DALYs were attributed to chronic care, while 27% were due to acute care. Chronic care needs increased with age, representing 86% of YLDs and 71% of YLLs, and accounting for 93% of YLDs from sequelae. These findings highlight that chronic care needs far exceed acute care needs globally, necessitating health systems to adapt accordingly.

Subject terms: Epidemiology, Diseases, Public health


Chronic care manages long-term, progressive conditions, while acute care handles short-term ones. Here, authors show chronic conditions account for most of the global health burden, with 68% of DALYs and 93% of YLDs attributed to chronic care needs.

Introduction

The provision of healthcare services involves addressing a wide range of medical needs, each requiring specific attention and resources. Among these needs, two distinct categories stand out: chronic care and acute care1. Chronic care focuses on the management and long-term treatment of medical conditions that are persistent, progressive despite treatment, and typically incurable. In contrast, acute care involves conditions that have a short, relatively severe course, and potentially curable or reversible26. Some chronic conditions, such as HIV/AIDS or Tuberculosis (TB), have an infectious origin, while others, like cardiovascular diseases, cancer and type 2 diabetes, are classified as non-communicable diseases (NCDs). Globally, these three NCDs account for around 50% of all deaths in 20167. In the United States of America (USA), it is estimated that 100 million people have at least one chronic disease, and managing these diseases accounted for 75% of national health expenditure8. In Tanzania, Setel et al.5 undertook a reclassification of the traditional categorization of diseases, namely communicable diseases, NCDs, and injuries, into acute or chronic groups. This reclassification aimed to align with the specific care needs associated with each condition, and found that 86% of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) could be attributed to chronic diseases. In addition, acute diseases and injuries can have non-fatal health outcomes, known as sequelae, and these must also be considered9,10.

With the increase in the prevalence of NCDs11 and advancements in medical treatments that transform communicable diseases like HIV/AIDS into chronic conditions12, health systems need to integrate various factors to effectively plan, deliver, and sustain long-term healthcare. This includes primary, secondary and tertiary prevention. The management of chronic diseases poses a significant challenge for health systems worldwide13, spanning all the different World Health Organization (WHO)’s health system building blocks, including health policies, financing, delivery of care, access to medicines, leadership and governance, information management, and quality and safety13,14. There have been numerous calls, including from the WHO, for a shift in health systems from reactive acute care responses to proactive and preventive chronic care13,1517.

The distinction between acute and chronic care in healthcare is crucial, as previously reported by the WHO Universal Health Coverage (UHC) compendium and the Disease Control Priorities Network (DCP-3). UHC aims to ensure that all individuals have access to essential healthcare services without encountering financial hardships, emphasizing equitable access to both acute and chronic care18. DCP-3, on the other hand, provides a comprehensive understanding of disease burdens and interventions, shedding light on effective strategies for addressing chronic conditions and their associated care needs within healthcare systems19. DCP-3 also acknowledges that the pursuit of essential UHC will differ across countries based on unique cost structures, epidemiological needs, and national priorities20. Integrating the principles outlined in these frameworks allows for a more holistic approach to healthcare planning and delivery, emphasizing not only the treatment of acute conditions but also the management and prevention of chronic illnesses which, ultimately, has the overarching goal of improving health outcomes and promoting overall well-being. Understanding the dynamics and requirements of both acute and chronic care is therefore vital for creating robust healthcare systems capable of meeting the diverse and evolving needs of populations worldwide.

In this work we aim to characterise the burden of acute and chronic care needs using estimates from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019.

Results

Diseases and injuries

Global DALYs, YLDs and YLLs attributed to acute and chronic care needs

Globally, the leading cause of DALYs was ischemic heart disease (chronic care) followed by lower respiratory infections (acute care). Six out of the ten top leading causes of DALYs were related to chronic care needs (Supplementary Figs. 1 and 2). Only around 27% of all-cause, all-age DALYs were attributable to conditions that required acute care, while around 68% were attributed to conditions that required chronic care. Around 5% of DALYs could not be attributed to acute or chronic needs (Fig. 1b and Supplementary Fig 1). Globally, 7% and 38% of YLDs and YLLs, respectively, were attributed to conditions requiring acute care across all age groups, whereas corresponding figures for conditions requiring chronic care were 86%, and 59%, respectively (Fig. 1).

Fig. 1. Number and percentage of DALYs, YLDs, and YLLs attributed to acute and chronic care conditions.

Fig. 1

Left figures show number and right figures show percentage of global (a, b) disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), (c, d) years lived with disability (YLDs), and (e, f) years of live lost (YLLs) according to the care needs classification (i.e.: acute [green], chronic [blue], and undetermined [yellow]) by age group.

Larger numbers and percentages of DALYs, YLDs, and YLLs were attributable to chronic care needs in people 25 years old and above. In contrast higher DALYs and YLLs attributed to acute care needs were observed in the first five years of life (Fig. 1). As a proportion, YLDs attributed to conditions requiring chronic care tended to be higher than the ones attributed to acute care needs while the contrary is observed for YLLs in people below 25 years old, where conditions requiring acute care needs represented a higher number and proportion of YLLs (Fig. 1d and 1f).

DALYs, YLDs and YLLs by location

When assessing metrics by country, a larger proportion of DALYs was attributed to chronic versus acute conditions across most countries and territories, except for certain countries in Central Africa (details for numbers and percentages of DALYs, YLDs, and YLLs attributed to acute and chronic care needs conditions by country are provided in Supplementary Tables 2 and 3). In some countries in Africa and Asia, DALYs attributed to conditions that required acute care were around or exceeded 50% of the total. Niger had the highest burden attributed to conditions that required acute care (72% of DALYs), and Italy had the lowest burden (6% of DALYs) (Supplementary Table 3).

When assessing the burden of care needs by SDI, a gradient was found in the proportion of DALYs attributed to conditions with acute care needs. Acute care needs were higher in low SDI locations (52%), decreasing (11%) as SDI increased for countries and territories characterized by a high SDI (Fig. 2). When assessing absolute numbers, middle SDI countries and territories had the highest DALYs attributable to chronic care needs (Fig. 2).

Fig. 2. All-age number and percentage of Dalys by socio-demographic Index using the care needs classification.

Fig. 2

All-age number and percentage of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 293 conditions classified according to their care needs classification (i.e., acute [green], chronic [blue], and undetermined [yellow]) by Socio-Demographic Index (SDI).

A higher burden of DALYs and YLLs of both types of care needs was observed in males when compared to females (Supplementary Fig. 3). In contrast, for YLDs, women showed a slightly higher burden (Supplementary Fig. 4). Of note, larger differences for DALYs and YLLs were observed between males and females for conditions requiring acute care (Supplementary Figs. 3,  5). For example, all-age DALYs and YLLs for men in high-middle SDI countries were almost double of what was found for women (Supplementary Figs. 3 and 5).

Most DALYs and YLDs attributed to chronic care needs increased with age across SDI country categories (Supplementary Figs. 6 and 7). In the age groups under 25 years old, YLLs attributed to conditions requiring acute care were higher than conditions requiring chronic care. This is the opposite for the age groups 25 years of age or older. (Supplementary Fig. 7).

Sequelae

Global YLDs attributed to sequelae requiring acute and chronic care

In 2019, 93.1% of all-cause and all-age YLDs were attributed to sequelae that required chronic care, 6.3% were attributed to sequelae that required acute care, and 0.6% that could not be attributed to acute or chronic care needs (Supplementary Fig. 8). This pattern was found in most countries and territories, with some variation. (Supplementary Table 5).

Globally, the number of YLDs increased with age, being higher in people aged 50-59 years when compared to the other age categories. As age increased, the percentage of YLDs attributed to chronic (versus acute) sequelae also increased, ranging from 56% at 1 to 4 years of age to more than 90% in age groups older than 25 years. (Fig. 3).

Fig. 3. Number and percentage of YLDs for both sexes by age group using the care needs classification for sequelae.

Fig. 3

Number (a) and percentage (b) of global years lived with disability (YLDs) according to the care needs classification (i.e.: acute [green], chronic [blue], and undetermined [yellow]) by age group.

The sequelae accounting for the greatest YLDs by acute, chronic and undetermined care needs are shown in Supplementary Figs. 8 and 9. Type 2 diabetes sequelae were associated with the largest number of YLDs, and chronic care needs accounted for 8 out of 10 conditions with disabling sequelae (Supplementary Fig. 9).

YLDs attributed to acute and chronic sequelae by location

The proportion of YLDs attributed to sequelae with chronic care needs ranged from 59% in Liberia, to 98% in the USA and Niue (Supplementary Table 5). When grouping the location by SDI, in low SDI countries and territories, YLDs attributed to sequelae with chronic care needs were slightly lower (80.3%) than the global proportion (93%). In high-SDI countries and territories this proportion was 98% (Fig. 4).

Fig. 4. All-age number and percentage of YLDs by care needs classification and SDI attributed to sequelae.

Fig. 4

All-age number and percentage of years lived in disability for 379 sequelae classified by their care needs classification (i.e: acute [green], chronic [blue], and undetermined [yellow]) by Socio-demographic Index (SDI).

When disaggregating by sex, all-age YLDs attributed to sequelae requiring chronic care were slightly higher in women living in low and low-middle SDI countries and in men living in high SDI countries when compared to their counterparts (Supplementary Fig. 10). In contrast, YLDs attributed to acute sequelae were slightly higher in women living in high SDI and in men living in low to middle SDI countries. Also, a higher number of YLDs were observed in older ages independently of SDI (Supplementary Fig. 11).

Discussion

This study aimed to quantify the burden of acute and chronic care for diseases and injuries and sequelae. Worldwide, two-thirds of all-cause, all-age DALYs were attributed to conditions that required chronic care. The proportion of DALYs attributed to chronic care needs was low in early life but increased as age increased. Of the 10 conditions associated with the greatest DALYs across age groups, 6 required chronic care. This burden was also reflected in all-age YLDs and YLLs with 86% and 59% of the overall burden attributable to conditions with chronic care needs, respectively. For both, conditions having acute and chronic care needs, DALYs and YLLs were slightly and consistently higher in men than in women, while YLDs were higher in women. Additionally, there was a socioeconomic gradient, with low SDI countries having the greatest proportion of DALYs and YLLs from acute care conditions and high SDI countries the greatest proportion of DALYs and YLLs from chronic care conditions. Except for the low SDI countries, in the rest of the territories by SDI, the proportion of DALYs from chronic care conditions was above 60%. Eight out of the top 10 sequelae were linked to chronic care needs, with complications related to type 2 diabetes being the leading condition associated with the largest number of YLDs due to sequelae.

The analysis conducted in this study highlights the overwhelming global burden of chronic care needs. While acute care needs still outweigh those for chronic care in Africa, decreases in childhood mortality21 and increasing life expectancy will translate to an increase in chronic and degenerative conditions22. Globally, health systems require a “paradigm shift”13 theorized by Wagner et al.23 with their Chronic Care Model, which the WHO further developed into the Innovative Care for Chronic Conditions Framework (ICCCF)13. The ICCCF highlights that policy, health system, community and individuals and their carers are all necessary to develop a propitious environment for chronic care management13. Different challenges exist at each of these levels, both globally and in low SDI countries. At a policy level, it is argued that one of the prerequisites for addressing chronic care is UHC, ensuring the absence of financial barriers to care24. All SDI groups face different challenges related to chronic diseases due to their cost.25. For countries with low and middle SDI, in the process of implementing UHC, the challenge lies in integrating costly chronic diseases into their UHC packages26. In high SDI countries, given the overwhelming burden of chronic care needs, these represent a threat to UHC due to the cost of these diseases.

At a system level, various elements need to be put in place to ensure the continuity of care across ages as well as disease progression to not only prevent or delay the onset of chronic conditions, but also their sequalae27. The focus on primary health care (PHC) and healthcare delivery structures alone, fails to recognize the complexity of the management of chronic diseases and the multifactorial determinants of health, including household, neighborhood, community, economic, and societal factors. Many health systems, especially at the PHC level, do not have the tools to address this28. The ICCCF highlights the importance of health professionals serving as a links between the health system and the community, which is a key consideration for guaranteeing continuity of chronic care beyond the walls of the formal health system29. This is especially important as the onus of chronic care is on the individual and their caregivers30. Studies have shown the challenges chronic disease management for individuals within the community ranging from financial challenges, individuals feeling like a burden on their families or lacking the understanding to manage their condition31. Poorly managed chronic care can itself result in acute and downstream chronic sequelae, highlighting the self-perpetuating cycle that can result from inadequate systems to optimize care. As shown in this study, type 2 diabetes sequalae had the largest number of YLDs, confirming overall challenges in the management of such a condition both in low- and high-income settings resulting in poor control and resulting in complications and increased mortality32,33.

Amenable mortality, which measures deaths that can be avoided with timely and effective healthcare, can provide an insight into how access to and quality healthcare varies worldwide and over time34. Reports using this metric have shown a worldwide improvement in the quality of health systems35, although it should be mentioned that there is great heterogeneity in death patterns when assessing the healthcare systems across countries, regions, or globally35,36.

As previously reported, the conventional broad cause classification approach may be limited because it is based on an arbitrary list of conditions that depends on the medical definition used34. Acknowledging that this may vary not only among the definitions used but also among the scenarios assessed, a more overarching approach, like the one used in the present study, classifying all the conditions based on the type of care they require, either acute or chronic5, may be more useful when it comes to assessed and plan around the healthcare. The WHO within the ICCCF calls for integration of care. In many contexts such integration has happened for HIV/AIDS37, but is still failing for those with other chronic diseases. The result of integration of care is for the individual to have a continuum of care needs met across ages and conditions38. For health professionals, this integration requires coordination and cooperation with different medical specialties as well as actors outside the formal health system. Finally, for policy makers, it is the recognition of how different policies may impact health. This was especially true during the COVID-19 pandemic, when people with chronic diseases were not only at higher risk of complications from COVID-19 but are also vulnerable to the disruptions in care that were caused by the epidemic and required a range of supportive services from the government39,40. Beyond strengthening health systems to manage those already with chronic diseases, governments need to also invest in health prevention and promotion activities at a societal level.

On the other hand, certain health conditions, such as ischemic heart disease, stroke, and type 2 diabetes, among others, exhibit both chronic and acute manifestations. While our study primarily aimed to offer a comprehensive overview of chronic and acute care needs over recent decades, many chronic conditions pose intricate challenges due to their acute manifestations that require different health system responses beyond chronic continuous care. Additionally, it must also be considered that people with chronic conditions must also deal with acute presentation conditions41. Recognizing the urgency associated with managing acute episodes within chronic diseases underscores further critical considerations for health system preparedness for more effective health planning and resource allocation. Understanding the interplay between major chronic diseases and their acute phases or acute infectious events is a crucial direction for future research.

Furthermore, the presence of multimorbidity, where patients experience multiple chronic conditions simultaneously, poses significant challenges for healthcare delivery and patient outcomes. However, GBD data does not allow the assessment of multimorbidity. Addressing multimorbidity requires comprehensive strategies considering patients' complex health needs, which is crucial for guiding efforts to enhance the preparedness of the health system42. Our study, despite the current data limitations, intrinsically underscores the importance of considering multimorbidity when evaluating chronic care requirements.

Previous studies have identified and described the overall limitations of the GBD data11,42,43. In our study and other studies using GBD Study data, we acknowledge a fundamental limitation in calculating YLDs. The current GBD methodology, especially since 2010, utilises a prevalence-based approach for YLD estimations9. This approach involves multiplying the prevalence of a sequela by the associated disability weight, without explicitly factoring in disease duration. Consequently, there is a risk of overestimating YLDs, especially for chronic conditions, particularly in settings where high treatment coverage can enable longer lifespans for affected individuals. Additionally, the accuracy of GBD estimates is highly dependent on the quality of the data sources43. Considering the vast scope of the study, covering 204 countries and territories, with numerous diseases, injuries, and sequelae, different locations may exhibit variations in data quality, particularly in resource-poor settings44. Furthermore, the GBD methodology itself has been subject to discussion due to its complex and evolving nature45. However, it is important to note that the GBD continually improves its statistical models and analysis, incorporating data and methodological updates to enhance the accuracy and timeliness of its results11. In this study, a limitation arises from the coding of acute versus chronic care needs for both conditions and sequelae. It is acknowledged that the chronicity of certain conditions may vary in different settings. Nevertheless, the option for "undetermined" was available to address such circumstances, with a relatively small percentage falling into this category (around 4% to 5%).

This study highlights the need for further research in various areas related to the burden of chronic conditions. These areas include examining gender differences in the burden, addressing the training needs of healthcare professionals, understanding the impact on caregivers, assessing the economic consequences for individuals, households, and health systems, implementing person-centered care approaches, evaluating policy environments in the context of Universal Health Coverage (UHC), considering psychological factors and their effects on individuals and families, exploring innovative service delivery models, examining the impact of COVID-19, and assessing how prevention and health promotion efforts can influence morbidity and mortality46.

Globally, many healthcare systems have been designed, and are still struggling, to respond to acute conditions. However, they are not adequately organized to address chronic conditions or sequelae. This study provides much needed information to develop national and global policies to address the actual and increasing burden of chronic diseases. Presenting the burden of disease in this way enhances the traditional view of the global burden of disease and sequelae which has been largely focused on single diseases or conditions. This current approach is more suitable for our future health strategy where health services will be managed and delivered in a way making them more integrated and person-centered. Population-based strategies with a multidisciplinary approach for disease prevention and management aggressively pursued and promoted at the national and global level. This is possible through efficient community engagement, identifying structural and systemic determinants of health, and collective sharing and learning across countries. High-quality long-term care for chronic conditions and its sequelae is essential and health systems and societies must embrace this transformation as a priority.

Methods

Overview

The GBD 2019 estimates, among other health metrics, years lived with disability (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs) and DALYs. All estimates generated and reported are in accordance with the Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting47. For this paper, 297 diseases and injuries, and 379 sequelae were classified according to whether these required chronic or acute care, adapting the approach used by Setel et al.5 and is described in Section “Classification of conditions according to their care needs” of this paper.

Data description

The GBD 2019 compiles burden of health metrics from 204 countries and territories that are grouped into 21 regions and seven super-regions11,46,4851. Here, data are presented by location, which refers to countries and territories as well as to socio-demographic index (SDI, a composite average of income per capita, average educational attainment, and fertility rates in females categorized by low SDI, low-middle SDI, middle SDI, high-middle SDI, and high SDI).

The number of DALYs, YLDs, and YLLs by locations, age and sex categories were extracted using the GHDx (Global Health Data Exchange) tool (http://ghdx.healthdata.org) from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). For sequelae, only numbers of YLDs are available by request to IHME. These were requested and obtained by location, age, and sex.

Data were extracted for nine age categories for diseases and injuries (<1 year, 1 to 4, 5 to 9, 10 to 14, 15 to 19, 20 to 24, 25 to 49, 50 to 69, 70+ years), and for 12 age categories for sequelae (1 to 4, 5 to 9, 10 to 14, 15 to 19, 20 to 24, 25 to 29, 30 to 34, 35 to 39, 40 to 44, 45 to 49, 50 to 69, 70+ years), both aggregated and disaggregated by sex.

All visualisations and graphs presented in this study were created using Power BI (version 2.116.921.0), ensuring clarity and accessibility in data representation.

Causes of diseases and injuries

The GBD 2019 list of diseases and injuries has a hierarchical organisation. Level 1 comprises three groups of conditions: communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional diseases (Group A); non-communicable diseases (Group B); and injuries (Group C). These Level 1 aggregates are subdivided at Level 2 into 22 cause groupings, Group A is divided into seven sub-groups, Group B into twelve sub-groups, and Group C, in three. The disaggregation into Levels 3 and 4 contains the finest level of detail for causes captured in GBD 2019. For this study, the complete list of Levels 3 and 4 diseases and injuries (Supplementary Table 1) was extracted and classified based on the given care needs for the specific condition (see Section “Classification of conditions according to their care needs”).

Sequelae

The GBD 2019 Sequelae, defined as the direct consequences of diseases and injuries, do not have a hierarchical organisation. The complete list of sequelae, containing 379 items, were classified based on their care needs (see Section “Classification of conditions according to their care needs”). The full list is included in Supplementary Table 4.

Classification of conditions according to their care needs

For each disease and sequelae, two physicians (BA and JC) ascertained if the care needs of the condition were acute or chronic, independently. To aid in this classification, the approach used by Setel et al.5 was adapted and the definitions of the United States National Library of Medicine thesaurus Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) were used6. The definition used for conditions that require chronic care was: “Condition which has one or more of the following characteristics: they are permanent, leave residual disability, are caused by non-reversible pathological alteration, require special training of the patient for rehabilitation, or may be expected to require a long period of supervision, observation, or care. Additionally, the condition is either incurable or requires more than a month of appropriate treatment”5,6. For conditions requiring acute care, the definition used was: “Condition having a short and relatively severe course. Potentially curable within a month of current appropriate treatment”.5,6 The definitions were extended to include sequelae as well. Those, despite their association with chronic diseases, have been classified independently based on their unique care needs. This ensures a distinct classification, irrespective of their linkage to chronic conditions.

Any discrepancies or inconsistencies were thoroughly examined and resolved through discussions, involving a third party (CA-R), to reach a consensus. Additionally, the classifications made were reviewed and confirmed by colleagues at IHME, providing further validation to the decisions.

In line with Setel et al.5, injuries causing YLDs were classified as having chronic care needs, while injuries causing YLLs were classified as having acute care needs. This is the reason Injuries are classified as Chronic / Acute in Supplementary Table 1. The number of YLDs and YLLs was extracted for each condition and added to obtain the number of DALYs. Some conditions fall into the definition of both acute and chronic, depending on different factors. In this case the conditions were classified as undetermined, then fitted separate. (Supplementary Table 1 for diseases and injuries, and Supplementary Table 4, for sequelae).

Reporting summary

Further information on research design is available in Nature Portfolio Reporting Summary linked to this article.

Supplementary information

Reporting Summary (212KB, pdf)

Acknowledgements

This research was funded by The Leona M. and Harry B. Helmsley Charitable Trust as part of the Addressing the Challenge and Constraints of Insulin Sources and Supply (ACCISS) Study. Statements and conclusions presented in this report are those of the authors alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Helmsley Charitable Trust. All references and conclusions are intended for educational and informative purposes and do not constitute an endorsement or recommendation from the Helmsley Charitable Trust. O O Adetokunboh acknowledges support from the Department of Science and Innovation at the National Research Foundation, the Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modeling and Analysis, Stellenbosch University, South Africa. J M Acuna acknowledges support from American University of Antigua. A Ahmad acknowledges support from Shaqra University. K Ahmadi acknowledges support from the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR), Applied Research Collaboration (ARC), Northwest London (the views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of the NIHR or the Department of Health and Social Care). S Alian Samakkhah acknowledges support from the Department of Food Hygiene, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Amol University of Special Modern Technologies. S M Alif acknowledges support from The University of Melbourne and Monash University. S M Aljunid acknowledges support from the Department of Community Medicine, School of Medicine, International Medical University, Malaysia and International Centre for Casemix and Clinical Coding, Faculty of Medicine, National University of Malaysia for the approval and support to participate in this research project. S Almustanyir acknowledges support from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) for the global health research initiatives at the University of Washington. J H Amuasi acknowledges support from Bernhard Nocht Institute of Tropical Medicine in Hamburg, Germany. A Badawi acknowledges support from the Public Health Agency of Canada. I Banerjee acknowledges support from Sir Seewoosagur Ramgoolam Medical College in Belle Rive, Mauritius. S Barteit acknowledges support from the Heidelberg Institute of Global Health (HIGH), Faculty of Medicine, University Hospital, Heidelberg University in Heidelberg, Germany. H Benzian acknowledges support from Stellenbosch Institute of Advanced Study (STIAS), in Stellenbosch, South Africa. A N Bhat, J R Padubidi, A Shetty, B S K Shetty, and B Unnikrishnan acknowledge support from Kasturba Medical College, Mangalore and Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal. M K Boachie acknowledges support from the Discipline of Public Health Medicine, University of KwaZulu-Natal in Durban, South Africa. L C Brant acknowledges support from CNPq (307329/2022-4). T Brugha acknowledges support from The University of Leicester Department of Population Health Sciences and the Leicestershire Partnership NHS Trust, United Kingdom. L A Cámera acknowledges support from the Sociedad Argentina de Medicina. M Cross acknowledges support from the Global Alliance for Musculoskeletal Health. G Damiani acknowledges support from the Italian Center of Precisione Medicine and Chronic Inflammation. R P Dellavalle acknowledges support from the United States Department of Veterans Affairs, which in no way endorses the content of the manuscript. S Dey acknowledges support from the Indian Institute of Technology Delhi (IIT Delhi) for the Institute Chair Fellowship. G M T ElGohary acknowledges support from the Ain Shams University, Faculty Of Medicine, Internal Medicine, and Adult Hematology Department in Cairo, Egypt. W Etafa acknowledges support from the Institute of Health Sciences, Wallaga University. A Fatehizadeh acknowledges support from the Department of Environmental Health Engineering of Isfahan University of Medical Sciences in Isfahan, Iran. V L Feigin acknowledges support from Auckland University of Technology. J C Glasbey acknowledges support from a UK National Institute of Health Research (NIHR) Academic Clinical Lectureship. A Halimi acknowledges support from the Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences in Tehran, Iran. N E Ismail acknowledges institutional support from Asian Institute of Medicine, Science and Technology (AIMST University), Malaysia. J S Ji acknowledges support from Tsinghua University International Cooperation Special Project of Initiative Scientific Research Program. N Joseph acknowledges support from the Department of Community Medicine at Kasturba Medical College, Mangalore, and Manipal Academy of Higher Education in Manipal, India. H Kandel acknowledges support from the Kornhauser Research Fellowship at The University of Sydney. M N Khatib acknowledges support from the Global Consortium for Public Health Research, Datta Meghe Institute of Higher Education and Research. S L Koulmane Laxminarayana acknowledges support from Manipal Academy of Higher Education. M Kumar acknowledges support from K43 TW010716-05s1. I Landires acknowledges support from the Sistema Nacional de Investigación (SNI) which is supported by Panamá’s Secretaría Nacional de Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación (SENACYT). K Latief acknowledges support from Taipei Medical University during the conduct of this review. G Liu acknowledges support from the Lung Foundation Australia. M A Mahmoud acknowledges support from Taibah University to participate in this research project. P Maulik acknowledges support from the George Institute for Global Health and University of New South Wales. S Mohammed acknowledges support from the Alexander von Humboldt (AvH) Foundation. M Molokhia acknowledges support from the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Biomedical Research Center at Guy’s and St Thomas’ National Health Service Foundation Trust, King’s College London, and NIHR grant NIHR202769. A R Pathan acknowledges support from Author Gates Publications. P Pedersini acknowledges support from the Italian Ministry of Health, Ricerca Corrente 2023. V C Pepito acknowledges support from Ateneo de Manila University. Z Z Piracha acknowledges support from the International Center of Medical Sciences Research (ICMSR), Islamabad (44000) Pakistan. R V Polibin acknowledges support from the Department of Epidemiology and Evidence-Based Medicine, F. Erismann Institute of Public Health, I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University). I Qattea acknowledges support from the Nassau University Medical Center. Z Quazi Syed acknowledges support from Datta Meghe Institute of Higher Education and Research. A Rahman acknowledges support from the Data Science Research Unit at Charles Sturt University. E M M Redwan acknowledges support from King Abdulaziz University (DSR) in Jeddah, and King Abdulaziz City for Science & Technology (KACSAT) in Saudi Arabia, Science and Technology Development Fund (STDF), and US-Egypt Science & Technology Joint Fund, and The Academy of Scientific Research and Technology (ASRT), in Egypt. B Reshmi acknowledges support from Manipal College of Health Professions, Manipal Academy of Higher Education. U Saeed acknowledges support from the International Center of Medical Sciences Research (ICMSR) in Islamabad, Pakistan. A M Samy acknowledges support from Ain Shams University and the Egyptian Fulbright Mission Program. R K Saroj acknowledges support from the School of Computational and Integrative Sciences (SC&IS), Jawaharlal Nehru University in New Delhi, India. H R Shahsavari acknowledges support from the Institute for Advanced Studies in Basic Sciences (IASBS) Research Council. K S Shaji acknowledges support from Kerala University of Health Sciences in Kerala, India. M Shanawaz acknowledges support from Jazan University. P H Shetty acknowledges support from the Department of Forensic Medicine and Toxicology, Kasturba Medical College, Mangalore, Manipal Academy Of Higher Education, Manipal, India. A Sheikh acknowledges support from Health Data Research UK. A Singh acknowledges support from the International Graduate Research Scholarship, University of Tasmania. D A Sleet acknowledges support from Bizzell Global, LLC. M Tabish acknowledges support from the Scientific Research Unit at Shaqra University, Saudi Arabia. M Taheri acknowledges support from the Medical Ethics and Law Research Center, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran. G W Tesema acknowledges support from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). Nih Thomas acknowledges support from the Christian Medical College Vellore. M R Tovani-Palone acknowledges support from the Saveetha Institute of Medical and Technical Sciences and SRM Institute of Science and Technology. Sai Ullah acknowledges support from the University of Agriculture, Faisalabad. J H Villafañe acknowledges support and funding from the Italian Ministry of Health, Ricerca Corrente 2023. H Xiao acknowledges support from the Public Health Sciences Division of Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center. S Yaghoubi acknowledges support from the Department of Basic Medical Sciences, Neyshabur University of Medical Sciences in Neyshabur, Iran.

Author contributions

Please see the Supplementary Information for more detailed information about individual author contributions to the research, divided into the following categories: managing the overall research enterprise; writing the first draft of the manuscript; primary responsibility for applying analytical methods to produce estimates; primary responsibility for seeking, cataloging, extracting, or cleaning data; designing or coding figures and tables; providing data or critical feedback on data sources; developing methods or computational machinery; providing critical feedback on methods or results; drafting the manuscript or revising it critically for important intellectual content; and managing the estimation or publications process.

Peer review

Peer review information

Nature Communications thanks Paolo (A) Cortesi, and Kjell (A) Johansson for their contribution to the peer review of this work. A peer review file is available.

Data availability

All data can be accessed at:Global Burden of Disease Collaborative Network. Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019) Results. Seattle, United States: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), 2020. Available from https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-results/. If any required data, such as specific categorised sequelae data, are not available, requests can be sent to engage@healthdata.org, and they will respond in the coming days to assist with the request.

Competing interests

A M Abdel-Azeem reports leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with the Arab Society for Fungal Conservation as the President, the International Mycological Association on the Executive Committee, and the African Mycological Association as the President; outside the submitted work. M R M Abrigo reports stock or stock options from Diliman Doctors’ Hospital; outside the submitted work. G Addolorato reports leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with the Study of Alcohol-related Liver Disease in Europe, as a committee member; outside the submitted work. S Afzal reports support for the present manuscript from King Edward Medical University for study materials, library facilities, internet, journals and e-books and other learning; payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from King Edward Medical University and collaborative partners including the University of Johns Hopkins, University of California, University of Massachusetts, and University of Lahore; support for attending meetings and/or travel from King Edward Medical University; participation on a Data Safety Monitoring Board or Advisory Board with National Bioethics Committee Pakistan, King Edward Medical University Institutional Ethical Review Board, Ethical Review Board Fatima Jinnah Medical University and Sir Ganga Ram Hospital; leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with the Pakistan Association of Medical Editors, Fellow of Faculty of Public Health Royal Colleges UK (FFPH), Society of Prevention, Advocacy and Research, King Edward Medical University (SPARK), member of Pakistan Society of Infectious Diseases; and other support from King Edward Medical University. J Alonso reports support for the present manuscript from Departament de Recerca I Universitats of the Generalitat de Catalunya (AGAUR 2021 SGR 00624). H Amare reports stock or stock options from GSK; outside the submitted work. R Ancuceanu reports consulting fees from Abbvie; payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from Abbvie, Sandoz, B. Braun, and Laropharm; outside the submitted work. M H Antwi reports support for the present manuscript from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. The funders of the study had no role in study design; collection, analysis and interpretation of data, or writing of the report. H Ariffin reports payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from Amgen; outside the submitted work. J Ärnlöv reports payment or honoraria for lectures from AstraZeneca and Novartis; participation on a Data Safety Monitoring Board or Advisory Board with AstraZeneca, Boerhinger Ingelheim, and Astella; outside the submitted work. A A Asadi-Pooya reports royalties or licenses from Oxford University Press; payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from Cobel Daru; outside the submitted work. T Astell-Burt reports grants or contracts from ARC Future Fellowship, Medical Research Futures Fund, and the National Health and Medical Research Council; outside the submitted work. P Atorkey reports support for the present manuscript from the Australian College of Applied Professions and Hunter Medical Research Institute. O O Ayinde reports grants or contracts from a research grant from Medical Research Council; support for attending meetings and/or travel from the British Medical Journal Global Health Grant; leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with the ASIDO Foundation as the Director of Policy and Research; outside the submitted work. T W BÃrnighausen reports grants or contracts from the European Union (Horizon 2020 and EIT Health), German Research Foundation (DFG), US National Institutes of Health, German Ministry of Education and Research, Alexander von Humboldt Foundation, Else-Kroner-Fresenius-Foundation, Wellcome Trust, Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, KfW, UNAIDS, WHO; consulting fees for KfW on the OSCAR initiative in Viet Nam; participation on a Data Safety Monitoring Board or Advisory Board with the NIH-funded study “Health Options”, German National Committee on the “Future of Public Health Research and Education”, EDCTP Evaluation, UNAIDS Evaluation Expert Advisory Committee, National Institute of Health Study section member on Population and Publica Health Approaches to HIV/AIDS (PPAH), US National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine’s Committee for the “Evaluation of Human Resources for Health in the Republic of Rwanda under the President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR)”, University of Pennsylvania (UPenn) Population Aging Researching Center (PARC); leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with the Global Health Hub Germany as a Co-chair; outside the submitted work. J L Baker reports grants or contracts from Novo Nordisk Foundation, World Cancer Research Fund, and the Independent Research Council Denmark; consulting fees from Novo Nordisk Denmark; support for attending meetings and/or travel from the European Association for the Study of Obesity; leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with the European Association for the Study of Obesity; outside the submitted work. O C Baltatu reports support for the present manuscript from the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq, 304224/2022-7), and Anima Institute; leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with Technology Park São José dos Campos – Center for Innovation in Health Technologies (CITS) and Afya- UNINOVAFAPI. S L Barker-Collo payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from Auckland University of Technology; participation on a Data Safety Monitoring Board or Advisory Board with Auckland University of Technology’s National Institute of Stroke and Applied Neurorehabilitation; outside the submitted work. B T Baune reports royalties or licenses from Elsevier, Springer; consulting fees from LivaNova, Janssen, Boehringer-Ingelheim, Otsuka/Lundbeck; payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from LivaNova, Janssen, Boehringer-Ingelheim, Otsuka/Lundbeck; support for attending meetings and/or travel from LivaNova, Janssen, Otsuka/Lundbeck; leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with the Network of Pharmacogenomics and Transcriptomics at the ECNP as a Chair; outside the submitted work. M L Bell reports support for the present manuscript from the National Institutes of Health (NIH); grants or contracts from US EPA, National Institutes of Health (NIH), High Tide Foundation, Health Effects Institute, Yale Women Faculty Forum, Environmental Defense Fund, Wellcome Trust Foundation, Yale Climate Change and Health Center, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation; consulting fees from Clinique; payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from Colorado School of Public Health, Duke University, University of Texas, Data4Justice, Korea University, Organization of Teratology Information Specialist, University of Pennsylvania, Boston University, IOP Publishing, National Institutes of Health (NIH), Health Canada, PAC-10, UKRI, AXA Research Fund Fellowship, Harvard University, and University of Montana; support for attending meetings and/or travel from Colorado School of Public Health, University of Texas, Duke University, Boston University, University of Pennsylvania, and Harvard University; leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with Fifth National Climate Assessment, Lancet Countdown, US EPA Clean Air Scientific Advisory Committee (CASAC), Johns Hopkins EHE Advisory Board, Harvard University on an external advisory committee for training grant, WHO Global Air Pollution and Health Technical on an advisory group, and National Academies as a panel/committee member. L Belo reports support from Fundação para a Ciência Tecnologia (FCT) project UIDP/04378/2020 and UIDB/04378/2020 of UCIBIO and project LA/P/0140/2020 of i4HB; outside the submitted work. B Bikbov reports grants or contracts from European Commission and Lombardy Region; support for attending meetings and/or travel from the European Renal Association; leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with the International Society of Nephrology as a member of the advocacy working group; outside the submitted work. A Biswas reports consulting fees from INTAS Pharmaceuticals, Lupin Limited; payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from Roche Diagnostics India Private Limited; support for attending meetings and/or travel from Sun Pharmaceuticals; outside the submitted work. G Britton reports grants or contracts from Sistema Nacional de Investigacion (063-2023), Secretaría Nacional de Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación (FID-228-2022); outside the submitted work. J Brown reports grants or contracts from the National Health and Medical Research Council, Australian Research Council; payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from University of Adelaide; outside the submitted work. R Buchbinder reports grants or contracts from the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC), Arthritis Australia, Australian Medical Research Future Fund (MRFF), Cabrini Foundation, HCF Foundation; royalties or licesnse from UpToDate; outside the submitted work. M Carvalho reports support from Fundação para a Ciência Tecnologia (FCT) project UIDP/04378/2020 and UIDB/04378/2020 of UCIBIO and project LA/P/0140/2020 of i4HB; outside the submitted work. 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D Dias da Silva reports grants or contracts from the Faculty of Pharmacy of University of Porto, Escola Superior de Saúde Instituto Politécnico de Leiria, and Instituto Universitário de Ciências da Saúde (IUCS); consulting fees from Albert Labs, Eurox Pharma; payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from the Faculty of Pharmacy of University of Porto, Escola Superior de Saúde Instituto Politécnico de Leiria, and Instituto Universitário de Ciências da Saúde (IUCS); support for attending meetings and/or travel from Eurox Pharma; leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with the Portuguese Association of Forensic Sciences (APCF) as a member of the board; receipt of equipment, materials, drugs, medical writing, gifts or other services from Albert Labs and Eurox Pharma; outside the submitted work. 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L Göbölös reports payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from the Asian Society for Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery (ASCVTS 2023) in Busan, Korea; outside the submitted work. N G M Gomes reports grants or contracts from Fundação para a Ciência Tecnologia (FCT); outside the submitted work. B N G Goulart reports stock or stock options in Pfizer and Takeda at NYSE; outside the submitted work. A Guha reports grants or contracts from the American Heart Association-Strategically Focused Research Network Grant in Disparities in Cardio-Oncology (#847740, #863620) and the Department of Defense Prostate Cancer Research Program's Physician Research Award (#HT94252310158); consulting fees from Novartis, Pfizer, and Myovant; outside the submitted work. V K Gupta reports grants or contracts from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) of Australia; outside the submitted work. 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I M Ilic reports support for the present manuscript from the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development, Republic of Serbia (project 175042, 2011-2023). M D Ilic reports support for the present manuscript from the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development, Republic of Serbia (project 451-03-47/2023-01/200111). S M S Islam reports support for the present manuscript from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) of Australia and the National Heart Foundation of Australia; grants or contracts from the NHMRC and the National Heart Foundation of Australia; leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with the ESC Heart Failure Association as a committee member, and the WHO-ITU Global Initiative on AI for Health as a group leader. N E Ismail reports leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, unpaid with the Malaysian Academy of Pharmacy as a council member and the Bursar; outside the submitted work. I O Iyamu reports grants or contracts from the Canadian Institute for Health Research and the University of British Columbia (UBC) fellowship; support for attending meetings and/or travel from the University of British Columbia (UBC) Designing for People research cluster; outside the submitted work. M Jakovljevic reports grants or contracts through the Grant OI 175 014 of the Ministry of Education Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia. V Jha reports consulting fees from GSK, Boehringer Ingelheim, Travere, Vera, Otsuka, Baxter Healthcare; payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from Bayer and GSK; participation on a Data Safety Monitoring Board or Advisory Board with Zydus Lifesciences; outside the submitted work. T Joo reports support for the present manuscript from the National Research, Development and Innovation Office in Hungary (RRF- 2.3.1-21-2022-00006, Data-Driven Division of National Laboratory for Health Security). A Joseph reports grants or contracts from American College of Gastroenterology; outside the submitted work. J J Jozwiak payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from Novartis and Adamed; outside the submitted work. J H Kempen reports support for the present manuscript from the National Eye Institute, Massachusetts Eye and Ear Global Surgery Program, Sight for Souls, Research to Prevent Blindness; grants or contracts from USAID/American Schools and Hospitals Abroad; participation on a Data Safety Monitoring Board or Advisory Board with Gilead; stock or stock options from Betaliq and Tarsier Pharma. J Khubchandani reports grants or contracts from Teva Pharmaceuticals; outside the submitted work. M Kivimäki reports grants or contracts from Wellcome Trust (221854/Z/20/Z), Medical Research Council (R024227), National Institute on Aging (R01AG062553) and Academy of Finland, Finland (350426); outside the submitted work. P Kolkhir reports consulting fees from ValenzaBio; payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from Novartis; support for attending meetings and/or travel from Takeda; outside the submitted work. K Krishan reports other non-financial support from UGC Centre of Advanced Study, CAS II, Department of Anthropology, Panjab University, Chandigarh, India; outside the submitted work. B Lacey reports support for the present manuscript from UK Biobank, funded largely by the UK Medical Research Council and Wellcome. T Lallukka reports support for the present manuscript from Academy of Finland (Grant #330527) and Social Insurance Institution of Finland (Grant 29/26/2020); grants or contracts from Finnish Centre for Pensions and The Juho Vainio Foundation. J Lám reports support for the present manuscript from the National Research, Development and Innovation Office in Hungary (RRF-2.3.1-21-2022-00006, Data-Driven Health Division of National Laboratory for Health Security). B Langguth reports grants or contracts from Bayhost, the German Research Foundation, the German Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung, Neuromod, the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (European School for Interdisciplinary Tinnitus Research (ESIT), Grant agreement number 722046; Unification of Treatments and Interventions for Tinnitus Patients (UNITI) Grant Agreement Number 848261); royalties or licenses from Springer; consulting fees from Neuromod, Schwabe, Rovi; payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from Medical Tribune, Schwabe, Rovi; payment for expert testimony; participation on a Data Safety Monitoring Board or Advisory Board with Neuromond and Rovi; leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with Neuromod, Retex, Morpheus, DGHP, HSN; stock or stock options in Sea Pharma; outside the submitted work. M B Laurens reports grants or contracts from UM1AI148689 Infectious Diseases Clinical Research Consortium 7/1/21-11/30/23: Exposure-response evaluation of IV artesunate in children with severe malaria; DMID 19-0007 DON in Pediatric Cerebral Malaria: A Phase 1 Dose-Escalation Safety Study NIH 1U01AI155300-01A1; BioNTech 2/23-11/24, Safety, Tolerability, and Immunogenicity of an investigational mRNA-based vaccine for malaria; A Phase 3, Randomized, Stratified, Observer-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Study to Evaluate the Efficacy, Safety, and Immunogenicity of mRNA-1273 SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine in Adults Aged 18 Years and Older, NIH HHSN272201300022I, Vaccine and Treatment Evaluation Units 2 12/13/2021; Development of a CRISPR-based Rapid Diagnostic Test for Point of Care Diagnosis of Malaria, University of Maryland Medical Center Innovation Challenge; A Phase 1 Challenge Study to Evaluate Safety, Immunogenicity and Efficacy of a Malaria Vaccine (rCSP adjuvanted with GLA-LSQ), in Healthy Adults, DMID 13-0088; NIH HHSN272201300022I, Vaccine and Treatment Evaluation Units Accelerating Availability and Access to Typhoid Conjugate Vaccines (TyVAC 2.0) The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, INV-030857; outside the submitted work. M-C Li reports grants or contracts from the National Science and Technology Council, Taiwan (NSTC 112-2410-H-003-031); outside the submitted work. L-L Lim reports grants or contracts from Boehringer Ingelheim, Abbott, Zuellig Pharma, Novartis; payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from AstraZeneca, Abbott, Boehringer Ingelheim, Novo Nordisk, Roche, Zuellig Pharma, and Servier; outside the submitted work. G Liu reports support for the present manuscript from the Lung Foundation Australia. G Lopes reports grants or contracts from the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT) under the Scientific Employment Stimulus-Individual Call (CEECIND/01768/2021); outside the submitted work. G Lucchetti reports support for the present manuscript as a Grantee of the Research Productivity Scholarship – Level 1D (Medicine) - Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq), Brazil. P W Mahasha reports support for attending meetings and/or travel from the South African Medical Research Council, Department of Nuclear Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Pretoria, Discipline of Traditional Medicine, School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu Natal; participation on a Data Safety Monitoring Board or Advisory Board as a member of International Community Advisory Group for STANDING Together, an editorial board member of the Journal Current Research in Public Health (CRPH), and an associate editorial board member of the Journal of Frontiers in Reproductive Health section HIV and STIs; leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with the Federation of Infectious Diseases Societies of Southern Africa (FIDSSA) as a member, the International Society for Infectious Diseases (ISID) as a member, the COVID-19 Clinical Research Coalition as a member, the Global Burden of Disease Collaborator Network as a member, the Scholars Academic and Scientific Society (SAS) (FSASS) as a fellow member, and the South African Council for Natural Scientific Professions (SACNASP) as a member; outside the submitted work. M A Mahmoud reports grants or contracts from the Deputyship for Research and Innovation, Ministry of Education in Saudi Arabia (project 445-5-133). J N Malagón-Rojas reports support for attending meetings and/or travel from the PIMENTO COST Project; outside the submitted work. L G Mantovani reports support for the present manuscript from the Italian Ministry of Health to Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Istituto Auxologico Italiano, Milano, Italy. S Martini reports leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with the Faculty of Public Health Universitas, Airlangga, Surabaya, Indonesia as the Dean; outside the submitted work. E Mathews reports grants or contracts from Wellcome DBT India Alliance funding; outside the submitted work. A G Mathioudakis reports grant or contracts from the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR, UK) clinical lectureship, and NIHR Manchester Biomedical Research Centre. R J Maude reports support for the present manuscript from Wellcome Trust (grant 220211) as it provides core funding for Mahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research. A-F A Mentis reports funding from MilkSafe: a novel pipeline to enrich formula milk using omics technologies, a research co-financed by the European Regional Development Fund of the European Union and Greek national funds through the Operational Program Competitiveness, Entrepreneurship and Innovation, under the call RESEARCH - CREATE - INNOVATE (project code: T2EDK-02222), as well as from ELIDEK (Hellenic Foundation for Research and Innovation, MIMS-860); payment or expert testimony as an external peer-reviewer for Fondazione Cariplo, Italy; leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with Systematic Reviews journal as an editorial board member, Annals of Epidemiology journal and Translational Psychiatry Journal as Associate Editor; other support as a scientific officer at the BGI Group; outside the submitted work. 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J J Miranda reports grants or contracts from the Alliance for Health Policy and Systems Research (HQHSR1206660), Bloomberg Philanthropies (grant 46129, via University of North Carolina at Grant support, Chapel Hill School of Public Health), FONDECYT via CIENCIACTIVA/CONCYTE C, British Council, British Embassy and the Newton-Paulet Fund (223-2018, 224-2018), DFID/MRC/Wellcome Global Health Trials (MR/M007405/1), Fogarty International Center (R21TW009982, D71TW010877, R21TW011740), Grand Challenges Canada (0335-04), International Development Research Center Canada (IDRC 106887, 108167), Inter- American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI CRN3036), National Cancer Institute (1P20CA217231), National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute (HHSN268200900033C, 5U01HL114180, 1UM1HL134590), National Institute of Mental Health (1U19MH098780), Swiss National Science Foundation (40P740-160366), UKRI BBSRC (BB/T009004/1), UKRI EPSRC (EP/V043102/1), UKRI MRC (MR/P008984/1, MR/P024408/1, MR/P02386X/1), Wellcome (074833/Z/04/Z, 093541/Z/10/Z, 103994/Z/14/Z, 107435/Z/15/Z, 205177/Z/16/Z, 214185/Z/18/Z, 218743/Z/19/Z) and the World Diabetes Foundation (WDF15-1224), and Health Action International; participation on a Data Safety Monitoring Board or Advisory Board with DSMB, Nigeria Sodium Study (NaSS) Trial Steering Committee, INTEnsive care bundle with blood pressure Reduction in Acute Cerebral hemorrhage Trial (INTERACT 3) Unpaid International Advisory Board, Latin American Brain Health institute (BrainLat), Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez (Chile) Unpaid Consultative Board, Programa de Gastronomía, Facultad de Estudios Unpaid Interdisciplinarios, Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú Advisory Board, InterAmerican Heart Foundation (IAHF); leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid as a co-Chair of the Independent Group of Scientists (IGS), 2023 Global Sustainable Development Report, United Nations; member of the Scientific Expert Committee, Global Data Collaborative for CV Population Health, World Health Federation, Microsoft, and Novartis Foundation; member of the Scientific and Technical Advisory Committee (STAC), Alliance for Health Policy and Systems Research, World Health Organization; member of the WHO Technical Advisory Group on NCD-related Research and Innovation (TAG/RI), Noncommunicable Diseases Department, World Health Organization; member of the Advisory Scientific Committee, Instituto de Investigación Nutricional (Peru). S Mohammed reports support for the present manuscript from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. N Moka reports leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with the Kentucky Society of Clinical Oncology as a treasurer; outside the submitted work. L Monasta reports support for the present manuscript from the Italian Ministry of Health to the Institute for Maternal and Child Health IRCCS Burlo Garofolo, Trieste, Italia (RC 34/2017). R S Moreira reports grants or contracts from the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development, CNPq Research Productivity Scholarship 316607/2021-5. M E Morris reports grants or contracts from the National Health and Medical Research Council Australia (NHMRC GNT1152853 2019-2023) Partnership Grant, “A public-private partnership to reduce falls in Australian hospitals”; outside the submitted work. S D Morrison reports grants or contracts from the Seattle Children’s Academic Enrichment Fund; payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from Swedish Hospital CME honoraria; outside the submitted work. U O Mueller reports grants or contracts from the German National Cohort Study (grant #10ER2301C); outside the submitted work. B R Nascimento reports grants or contracts from CNPq (Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico Research Productivity Grant number 312382/2019-7), Edwards Lifesciences Foundation Research Grant for Global Health (Improving the Prevention and Detection of Heart Valve Disease Across the Lifespan, 2023) FAPEMIG (Fundação de Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado de Minas Gerais Research Grant number APQ-000627-20; outside the submitted work. G Natarajan reports grants or contracts from the project, “Study of prevalence of chronic kidney disease of Unknown etiology among Agricultural workers of Tamilnau”, funded by Tamilnadu Health System Reform Programme, and DRAKI (Dialysis requiring Acute Kidney injury) follow-up study, funded by Indian Council of Medical research (ICMR); leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with the Indian Society of Nephrology as a chairman on the scientific committee; outside the submitted work. S Nomura reports support for the present manuscript from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology of Japan (MEXT). B Norrving participation on a Data Safety Monitoring Board or Advisory Board with Simbec-Orion; outside the submitted work. F C A Obi reports leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with Health Systems Global as a board member, and the African Health Economics and Policy Association as an executive team member; outside the submitted work. O O Odukoya reports grants or contracts from Fogarty International Center of the National Institutes of Health under award number K43TW010704; outside the submitted work. A Ojagbemi reports grants or contracts from the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) and Wellcome Global Health Research Partnership International Intermediate Fellowship (ref: 220684/Z/20/Z); outside the submitted work. A P Okekunle reports grants or contracts from the National Research Foundation of Korea (2020H1D3A1A04081265); outside the submitted work. O O Oladunjoye reports payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from Pri-Med; outside the submitted work. A B Oliveira reports support for attending meetings and/or travel from the International Headache Society; outside the submitted work. A Ortiz reports grants or contracts from IIS-Fundacion Jimenez Diaz UAM; grants from Sanofi and consultancy or speaker fees or travel support from Advicciene, Astellas, Astrazeneca, Amicus, Amgen, Boehringer Ingelheim, Fresenius Medical Care, GSK, Bayer, Sanofi-Genzyme, Menarini, Mundipharma, Kyowa Kirin, Lilly, Alexion, Freeline, Idorsia, Chiesi, Otsuka, Novo-Nordisk, Sysmex and Vifor Fresenius Medical Care Renal Pharma and is Director of the Catedra Mundipharma-UAM of diabetic kidney disease and the Catedra Astrazeneca-UAM of chronic kidney disease and electrolytes; outside the submitted work. A Otoiu reports grants or contracts from Bucharest University for Economic Studies and the European Commission: Horizon 2020; support for attending meetings and/or travel from Bucharest University for Economic Studies; outside the submitted work. 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R G Pestell reports grants or contracts from the National Institute of Health (NIH) (grant 1R43HL164131-01A1); support for attendance at research meetings by parent institution (Baruch S. Blumberg Institute) June 12, 2023 Melbourne Australia Immune Oncology Therapy for Breast Cancer July 20, 2023 8th World Congress on cancer research and therapy., Frankfurt, Germany AACR Annual Meeting, 2023, San Antonio breast Cancer meeting 2022; the following patents planned, issued, or pending: WO2004037983 US patent number 8,076,318; EP2399129, EU patent application no. 10744303.8 (issued in France, Germany and the UK under patent number EP2399129); US Patent application 14/090,538 (publication number 20,160,139,132; US 2012-00398-05A1; AU 2012225232 Australian issued Patent No. 2012225232; US Patent issued 9,453,836; US 10,952,415; US 16/363,981; JP 7003083; EP 2683643; US Patent 13/520,759 US Provisional Application No. 61/292,749; US Provisional Patent Application 62/183,08; US Provisional Patent Application 62/035,929; Publication Number US 20120039805 Appl no. 13/202,318; Provisional Application No. 62/948,301; Provisional Application No 63093772; Provisional Patent Application Serial No. 63/178,633; EP3947431A1; Application No. 62/286,533 U.S. Provisional Patent Application Serial No. 63/178,633; U.S. Application No. 17/167,578; U.S. Application No. 15/275,050; U.S. Application No. 16/363,981; outside the submitted work. 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X Xu reports support for the present manuscript from the National Heart Foundation of Australia and the Scientia Program, University of New South Wales, Australia; outside the submitted work. S Zadey payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events from Think Global Health, Harvard Public Health; support for attending meetings and/or travel from Gates Foundation for IDM Symposium 2023, Lancet Commission for Commission meeting 2023, MoHFW for G-20 Youth Health Meet, New Delhi 2023 Duke University for KCMC Fieldwork 2023; participation on a Data Safety Monitoring Board or Advisory Board with Nivarana, India; leadership or fiduciary roles in board, society, committee or advocacy groups, paid or unpaid with ASAR India as a board member and G4 Alliance as a council member; outside the submitted work. 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A Zumla reports other financial or non-financial support from the Pan African Network for Rapid Research, Response, and Preparedness for Infectious Diseases Epidemics Consortium (PANDORA-ID-NET), European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership the EU Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EDCTP-RIA2016E-1609); outside the submitted work.

Footnotes

Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

These authors contributed equally: Cecilia Anza-Ramirez, J. Jaime Miranda.

A list of authors and their affiliations appears at the end of the paper.

Contributor Information

GBD 2019 Acute and Chronic Care Collaborators:

Cecilia Anza-Ramirez, J. Jaime Miranda, Benedetta Armocida, Jorge César Correia, Harriette Gillian Christine Van Spall, David Beran, Amirali Aali, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Semagn Mekonnen Abate, Cristiana Abbafati, Mohsen Abbasi-Kangevari, Zeinab Abbasi-Kangevari, Hedayat Abbastabar, Ahmed M. Abdel-Azeem, Michael Abdelmasseh, Sherief Abd-Elsalam, Ahmed Abdelwahab, Gholamreza Abdoli, Mohammad Abdollahi, Meriem Abdoun, Deldar Morad Abdulah, Abu Yousuf Md Abdullah, Ame Mehadi Abdurehman, Getachew Abebe, Aidin Abedi, Vida Abedi, Hassan Abidi, Richard Gyan Aboagye, Hassan Abolhassani, Lucas Guimarães Abreu, Michael R. M. Abrigo, Yonas Derso Abtew, Hiwa Abubaker Ali, Eman Abu-Gharbieh, Ahmed Abu-Zaid, Manfred Mario Kokou Accrombessi, Juan Manuel Acuna, Denberu Eshetie Adane, Tigist Demssew Adane, Isaac Yeboah Addo, Giovanni Addolorato, Oluwafemi Atanda Adeagbo, Victor Adekanmbi, Miracle Ayomikun Adesina, Olatunji O. Adetokunboh, Daniel Adedayo Adeyinka, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani, Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika Afolabi, Muhammad Sohail Afzal, Saira Afzal, Gina Agarwal, Prerna Agarwal, Pradyumna Agasthi, Anurag Agrawal, Marcela Agudelo-Botero, Bright Opoku Ahinkorah, Aqeel Ahmad, Sajjad Ahmad, Sohail Ahmad, Tauseef Ahmad, Ali Ahmadi, Keivan Ahmadi, Sepideh Ahmadi, Ali Ahmed, Ayman Ahmed, Haroon Ahmed, Jivan Qasim Ahmed, Luai A. Ahmed, Janardhana P. Aithala, Marjan Ajami, Budi Aji, Hossein Akbarialiabad, Yibeltal Akelew, Meisam Akhlaghdoust, Addis Aklilu, Maxwell Akonde, Hanadi Al Hamad, Fares Alahdab, Ziyad Al-Aly, Khurshid Alam, Manjurul Alam, Nazmul Alam, Samiah Alam, Fahad Mashhour Alanezi, Turki M. Alanzi, Jacqueline Elizabeth Alcalde-Rabanal, Astawus Alemayehu, Birhanu Alamirew Alamirew Alemu, Kefyalew Addis Alene, Abdelazeem M. Algammal, Khalid F. Alhabib, Noora Alhajri, Mohammed Khaled Al-Hanawi, Robert Kaba Alhassan, Liaqat Ali, Muhammad Ali, Syed Shujait Ali, Shohreh Alian Samakkhah, Gianfranco Alicandro, Sheikh Mohammad Alif, Yousef Alimohamadi, Adel Al-Jumaily, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, François Alla, Mohammed J. Almalki, Sadeq Al-Maweri, Sami Almustanyir, Mahmoud A. Alomari, Jordi Alonso, Nivaldo Alonso, Rajaa M. Al-Raddadi, Salman Khalifah Al-Sabah, Ala’a B. Al-Tammemi, Khalid A. Altirkawi, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Nelson J. Alvis-Zakzuk, Azmeraw T. Amare, Hiwot Amare, Edward Kwabena Ameyaw, Tarek Tawfik Amin, Javad Aminian Dehkordi, Afreenish Amir, Hoda Amiri, Sohrab Amiri, Hubert Amu, John H. Amuasi, Dickson A. Amugsi, Ganiyu Adeniyi Amusa, Tadele Fentabil Anagaw, Julio Ancochea, Robert Ancuceanu, Deanna Anderlini, Catalina Liliana Andrei, Tudorel Andrei, Sofia Androudi, Ranjit Mohan Anjana, Amir Anoushiravani, Adnan Ansar, Alireza Ansari-Moghaddam, Benny Antony, Ernoiz Antriyandarti, Maxwell Hubert Antwi, Davood Anvari, Razique Anwer, Anayochukwu Edward Anyasodor, Stella Apostolaki, Francis Appiah, Jalal Arabloo, Morteza Arab-Zozani, Demelash Areda, Hany Mohamed Amin Aref, Zeleke Gebru Argaw, Hany Ariffin, Johan Ärnlöv, Renato Arruda, Muhammad Arshad, Al Artaman, Anton A. Artamonov, Kurnia Dwi Artanti, Judie Arulappan, Raphael Taiwo Aruleba, Ashokan Arumugam, Krishna K. Aryal, Zahra Aryan, Ali A. 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Bakkannavar, Asaminew Birhanu Balta, Ovidiu Constantin Baltatu, Amitava Banerjee, Indrajit Banerjee, Palash Chandra Banik, Hansi Bansal, Abere Tilahun Bantie, Mainak Bardhan, Suzanne Lyn Barker-Collo, Till Winfried Bärnighausen, Mark Thomaz Ugliara Barone, Francesco Barone-Adesi, Hiba Jawdat Barqawi, Fabio Barra, Amadou Barrow, Sandra Barteit, Lingkan Barua, Azadeh Bashiri, Pritish Baskaran, Sanjay Basu, Saurav Basu, Abdul-Monim Mohammad Batiha, Bernhard T. Baune, Neeraj Bedi, Tahmina Begum, Diana Fernanda Bejarano Ramirez, Hailu B. Y. Belay, Moges Mareg Belay, Uzma Iqbal Belgaumi, Michelle L. Bell, Luis Belo, Salaheddine Bendak, Derrick A. Bennett, Isabela M. Bensenor, Habib Benzian, Alemshet Yirga Berhie, Adam E. Berman, Robert S. Bernstein, Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula, Dinesh Bhandari, Nikha Bhardwaj, Pankaj Bhardwaj, Sonu Bhaskar, Ajay Nagesh Bhat, Vivek Bhat, Suraj Bhattarai, Vijayalakshmi S. Bhojaraja, Boris Bikbov, Corey B. Bills, Antonio Biondi, Setognal Birara, Atanu Biswas, Raaj Kishore Biswas, Saeid Bitaraf, Oleg Blyuss, Micheal Kofi Boachie, Belay Boda Abule Bodicha, Virginia Bodolica, Hunduma Amensisa Bojia, Archith Boloor, João Silva Botelho, Souad Bouaoud, Rupert Bourne, Nicola Luigi Bragazzi, Dejana Braithwaite, Luisa C. Brant, Nicholas J. K. Breitborde, Hermann Brenner, Corstiaan Breugem, Nikolay Ivanovich Briko, Gabrielle Britton, Julie Brown, Traolach Brugha, Andre R. Brunoni, Rachelle Buchbinder, Norma B. Bulamu, Danilo Buonsenso, Katrin Burkart, Richard A. Burns, Sharath Burugina Nagaraja, Muhammad Hammad Butt, Nadeem Shafique Butt, Zahid A. Butt, Tianji Cai, Daniela Calina, Luis Alberto Cámera, Luciana Aparecida Campos, Chao Cao, Vera L. A. Carneiro, Giulia Carreras, Andre F. Carvalho, Márcia Carvalho, Joao Mauricio Castaldelli-Maia, Giulio Castelpietra, Alberico L. Catapano, Maria Sofia Cattaruzza, Christopher R. Cederroth, Francieli Cembranel, Ester Cerin, Promit Ananyo Chakraborty, Eeshwar K. Chandrasekar, Jung-Chen Chang, Gashaw Sisay Chanie, Periklis Charalampous, Vijay Kumar Chattu, Sarika Chaturvedi, Akhilanand Chaurasia, Meng Xuan Chen, Simiao Chen, Nicolas Cherbuin, Patrick R. Ching, Abdulaal Chitheer, William C. S. Cho, Yuen Yu Chong, Hitesh Chopra, Tzu-Chieh Chou, Sonali Gajanan Choudhari, Enayet Karim Chowdhury, Rajiv Chowdhury, Hanne Christensen, Steffan Wittrup McPhee Christensen, Devasahayam J. Christopher, Dinh-Toi Chu, Isaac Sunday Chukwu, Sheng-Chia Chung, Raffaela Ciuffreda, Scott Richard Clark, Rafael M. Claro, Kaleb Coberly, Joao Conde, Barbara Corso, Michael H. Criqui, Marita Cross, Natália Cruz-Martins, Omid Dadras, Xiaochen Dai, Albertino Antonio Moura Damasceno, Giovanni Damiani, Hadi A. Danawi, Jai K. Das, Saswati Das, Ana Maria Dascalu, Anna Dastiridou, Claudio Alberto Dávila-Cervantes, Kairat Davletov, Fernando Pio De la Hoz, Maia De Luca, Sisay Abebe Debela, Natanim Degefu, Amin Dehghan, Azizallah Dehghan, Hiwot Dejene, Robert Paul Dellavalle, Andreas K. Demetriades, Biniyam Demisse, Fitsum Wolde Demisse, Solomon Demissie, Edgar Denova-Gutiérrez, Diriba Dereje, Msganaw Derese, Nikolaos Dervenis, Hardik Dineshbhai Desai, Rupak Desai, Fikadu Nugusu Dessalegn, Gashaw Dessie, Abebaw Alemayehu Desta, Keshab Deuba, Sagnik Dey, Arkadeep Dhali, Meghnath Dhimal, Sameer Dhingra, Nancy Diao, Diana Dias da Silva, Diriba Tolesa Dibaba, Lankamo Ena Digesa, Mengistie Diress, Abhinav Dixit, Shilpi Gupta Dixit, Shirin Djalalinia, Saeid Doaei, Milad Dodangeh, Mohamed Fahmy Doheim, Paul Narh Doku, Deepa Dongarwar, Bezabih Terefe Dora, Fariba Dorostkar, Wendel Mombaque dos Santos, Chirag P. Doshi, Rajkumar Doshi, Leila Doshmangir, Abdel Douiri, Haneil Larson Dsouza, John Dube, Andre Rodrigues Duraes, Oyewole Christopher Durojaiye, Hisham Atan Edinur, David Edvardsson, Kristina Edvardsson, Ferry Efendi, Elham Ehsani-Chimeh, Ebrahim Eini, Michael Ekholuenetale, Temitope Cyrus Ekundayo, Nevine El Nahas, Iman El Sayed, Maha El Tantawi, Hassan El-Abid, Iffat Elbarazi, Teshome Bekele Elema, Frank J. Elgar, Islam Y. Elgendy, Ghada Metwally Tawfik ElGohary, Hala Rashad Elhabashy, Muhammed Elhadi, Mohamed A. Elmonem, Luchuo Engelbert Bain, Ryenchindorj Erkhembayar, Hawi Leul Esayas, Christopher Imokhuede Esezobor, Babak Eshrati, Sharareh Eskandarieh, Juan Espinosa-Montero, Francesco Esposito, Farshid Etaee, Werku Etafa, Sayeh Ezzikouri, Adeniyi Francis Fagbamigbe, Shahriar Faghani, Luca Falzone, Emerito Jose A. Faraon, Somayeh Farhang Dehghan, Carla Sofia e. Sá Farinha, Andre Faro, Umar Farooq, Md Omar Faruk, Abidemi Omolara Fasanmi, Akinlolu O. Fasanmi, Ali Fatehizadeh, Nazir Fattahi, Nelsensius Klau Fauk, Valery L. Feigin, Ginenus Fekadu, Xiaoqi Feng, Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Abdullah Hamid Feroze, Pietro Ferrara, Allegra Ferrari, Simone Ferrero, Getahun Fetensa, Bikila Regassa Feyisa, Irina Filip, Florian Fischer, Joanne Flavel, David Flood, Morenike Oluwatoyin Folayan, Ana Catarina Fonseca, Arianna Fornari, Behzad Foroutan, Kayode Raphael Fowobaje, Alberto Freitas, Marisa Freitas, Sara D. Friedman, Takeshi Fukumoto, Peter Andras Gaal, Muktar A. Gadanya, Abhay Motiramji Gaidhane, Santosh Gaihre, Yaseen Galali, Nasrin Galehdar, Silvano Gallus, Balasankar Ganesan, M. A. Garcia-Gordillo, Priyanka Garg, Mariana Gaspar Fonseca, Federica Gazzelloni, Semiu Olatunde Gbadamosi, Mesfin Gebrehiwot, Kahsu Gebrekirstos Gebrekidan, Teferi Gebru Gebremeskel, Yibeltal Yismaw Gela, Leta Adugna Geleta, Urge Gerema, Lemma Getacher, Tamirat Getachew, Keyghobad Ghadiri, Fariborz Ghaffarpasand, Mansour Ghafourifard, Sulmaz Ghahramani, Seyyed-Hadi Ghamari, Reza Ghanbari, Mohammad Ghasemi Nour, Ahmad Ghashghaee, Farzaneh Ghazi Sherbaf, Zahra Ghodsi, Maryam Gholamalizadeh, Ali Gholami, Ali Gholamrezanezhad, Ghozali Ghozali, Sherief Ghozy, Tiffany K. Gill, Themba G. Ginindza, James C. Glasbey, Laszlo Göbölös, Amit Goel, Mahaveer Golechha, Pouya Goleij, Davide Golinelli, Nelson G. M. Gomes, Sameer Vali Gopalani, Giuseppe Gorini, Houman Goudarzi, Alessandra C. Goulart, Bárbara Niegia Garcia Goulart, Michal Grivna, Jenny S. Guadamuz, Habtamu Alganeh Guadie, Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen Gubari, Zewdie Gudisa, Avirup Guha, Rafael Alves Guimarães, Bhawna Gupta, Rajeev Gupta, Sapna Gupta, Veer Bala Gupta, Vijai Kumar Gupta, Vivek Kumar Gupta, Alemu Guta, Wilmer Cristobal Guzman-Vilca, Mojtaba Habibi Asgarabad, Parham Habibzadeh, Vladimir Hachinski, Mostafa Hadei, Nima Hafezi-Nejad, Adel Hajj Ali, Arvin Haj-Mirzaian, Esam S. Halboub, Aram Halimi, Brian J. Hall, Rabih Halwani, Randah R. Hamadeh, Mitiku Teshome Hambisa, Sajid Hameed, Samer Hamidi, Mohammad Hamiduzzaman, Asif Hanif, Graeme J. Hankey, Md Abdul Hannan, Md Nuruzzaman Haque, Harapan Harapan, Arief Hargono, Ninuk Hariyani, Josep Maria Haro, Mehdi Harorani, Risky Kusuma Hartono, Ahmed I. Hasaballah, Faizul Hasan, M. Tasdik Hasan, Md Mehedi Hasan, Hamidreza Hasani, Abbas M. Hassan, Amr Hassan, Shoaib Hassan, Hossein Hassanian-Moghaddam, Soheil Hassanipour, Hadi Hassankhani, Rasmus J. Havmoeller, Khezar Hayat, Jeffrey J. Hebert, Khedidja Hedna, Mohammad Heidari, Reza Heidari-Soureshjani, Delia Hendrie, Brenda Yuliana Herrera-Serna, Demisu Zenbaba Heyi, Kamal Hezam, Yuta Hiraike, Ramesh Holla, Nobuyuki Horita, Md Mahbub Hossain, Sahadat Hossain, Mehdi Hosseinzadeh, Mihaela Hostiuc, Sorin Hostiuc, Soodabeh Hoveidamanesh, Mohamed Hsairi, Alexander Kevin Hsiao, Junjie Huang, Irene Lena Hudson, Salman Hussain, Zakir Hussain, Nawfal R. Hussein, Foziya Mohammed Hussien, Bing-Fang Hwang, Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye, Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi, Irena M. Ilic, Milena D. Ilic, Mustapha Immurana, Leeberk Raja Inbaraj, Lalu Muhammad Irham, Md Rafiqul Islam, Mohammad Mainul Islam, Rubana Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam, Farhad Islami, Nahlah Elkudssiah Ismail, Hiroyasu Iso, Gaetano Isola, Ademola Joshua Itiola, Masao Iwagami, Chidozie C. D. Iwu, Chinwe Juliana Iwu-Jaja, Ihoghosa Osamuyi Iyamu, Linda Merin J, Jalil Jaafari, Louis Jacob, Farhad Jadidi-Niaragh, Haitham Jahrami, Rajesh Jain, Abhishek Jaiswal, Mihajlo Jakovljevic, Elham Jamshidi, Chinmay T. Jani, Manthan Dilipkumar Janodia, Tahereh Javaheri, Krishnamurthy Jayanna, Sathish Kumar Jayapal, Umesh Jayarajah, Shubha Jayaram, Seyed Behzad Jazayeri, Rime Jebai, Jayakumar Jeganathan, Digisie Mequanint Jemere, Angeline Jeyakumar, Vivekanand Jha, John S. Ji, Olatunji Johnson, Jost B. Jonas, Tamas Joo, Abel Joseph, Nitin Joseph, Vasna Joshua, Farahnaz Joukar, Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak, Mikk Jürisson, Billingsley Kaambwa, Ali Kabir, Zubair Kabir, Vidya Kadashetti, Dler Hussein Kadir, Pradnya Vishal Kakodkar, Rizwan Kalani, Laleh R. Kalankesh, Leila R. Kalankesh, Rohollah Kalhor, Feroze Kaliyadan, Vineet Kumar Kamal, Ashwin Kamath, Rajesh Kamath, Zahra Kamiab, Naser Kamyari, Tanuj Kanchan, Himal Kandel, Rami S. Kantar, Neeti Kapoor, Hassan Karami, Shama D. Karanth, Ibraheem M. Karaye, Salah Eddin Karimi, Samad Karkhah, Faizan Zaffar Kashoo, Gizat M. Kassie, Patrick D. M. C. Katoto, Mohammad Obadah Kattea, Joonas H. Kauppila, Gbenga A. Kayode, Leila Keikavoosi-Arani, Gemechu Gemechu Kejela, John H. Kempen, Jessica A. Kerr, Cumali Keskin, Mohammad Keykhaei, Yousef Saleh Khader, Himanshu Khajuria, Mohammad Khalafi, Nauman Khalid, Mohammad Khammarnia, Asaduzzaman Khan, Atif A. Khan, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Imteyaz A. Khan, Maseer Khan, Md Jobair Khan, Moien A. B. Khan, M. Nuruzzaman Khan, Yusra H. Khan, Javad Khanali, Khaled Khatab, Moawiah Mohammad Khatatbeh, Mona M. Khater, Sorour Khateri, Mahalaqua Nazli Khatib, Hamid Reza Khayat Kashani, Zahra Khazaeipour, Ahmad Khosravi, Jagdish Khubchandani, Gyu Ri Kim, Jihee Kim, Yun Jin Kim, Ruth W. Kimokoti, Adnan Kisa, Sezer Kisa, Mika Kivimäki, Cameron J. Kneib, Sonali Kochhar, David S. Q. Koh, Ali-Asghar Kolahi, Pavel Kolkhir, Kamrun Nahar Koly, Farzad Kompani, Hamid Reza Koohestani, Vladimir Andreevich Korshunov, Oleksii Korzh, Soewarta Kosen, Parvaiz A. Koul, Sindhura Lakshmi Koulmane Laxminarayana, Ai Koyanagi, Kewal Krishan, Vijay Krishnamoorthy, Estie Kruger, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, Burcu Kucuk Bicer, Mohammed Kuddus, Nuworza Kugbey, Akshay Kumar, Manasi Kumar, Narinder Kumar, Naveen Kumar, Nithin Kumar, Om P. Kurmi, Dian Kusuma, Ambily Kuttikkattu, Carlo La Vecchia, Ben Lacey, Lucie Laflamme, Dharmesh Kumar Lal, Ratilal Lalloo, Tea Lallukka, Judit Lám, Faris Hasan Lami, Qing Lan, Iván Landires, Justin J. Lang, Berthold Langguth, Bagher Larijani, Anders O. Larsson, Kamaluddin Latief, Sum Yuet Joyce Lau, Matthew B. Laurens, Paolo Lauriola, Habib Layoun, Doo Woong Lee, Paul H. Lee, Sang-woong Lee, Seung Won Lee, Shaun Wen Huey Lee, Wei-Chen Lee, Yo Han Lee, Samson Mideksa Legesse, James Leigh, Matilde Leonardi, Elvynna Leong, An Li, Ming-Chieh Li, Massimo Libra, Andrew Tiyamike Makhiringa Likaka, David Lim Lim, Lee-Ling Lim, Stephen S. Lim, Ro-Ting Lin, Christine Linehan, Shai Linn, Gang Liu, Jue Liu, Shiwei Liu, Wei Liu, Chun-Han Lo, Graciliana Lopes, Platon D. Lopukhov, Arianna Maever Loreche, László Lorenzovici, Mojgan Lotfi, Joana A. Loureiro, Giancarlo Lucchetti, Raimundas Lunevicius, Vanessa Sintra Machado, Farzan Madadizadeh, Ralph Maddison, Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek, D. R. Mahadeshwara Prasad, Preetam Bhalchandra Mahajan, Phetole Walter Mahasha, Soleiman Mahjoub, Mansour Adam Mahmoud, Razzagh Mahmoudi, Marzieh Mahmoudimanesh, Azeem Majeed, Jeadran N. Malagón-Rojas, Elaheh Malakan Rad, Ahmad Azam Malik, Tauqeer Hussain Mallhi, Yosef Manla, Ali Mansour, Borhan Mansouri, Mohammad Ali Mansournia, Lorenzo Giovanni Mantovani, Abdoljalal Marjani, Carlos Alberto Marrugo Arnedo, Ramon Martinez-Piedra, Adolfo Martinez-Valle, Santi Martini, Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-Melo, Miquel Martorell, Sahar Masoudi, Elezebeth Mathews, Alexander G. Mathioudakis, Richard James Maude, Pallab K. Maulik, Sazan Qadir Maulud, Enkeleint A. Mechili, Jitendra Kumar Meena, Salima Meherali Meherali, Khalid Mehmood, Man Mohan Mehndiratta, Entezar Mehrabi Nasab, Kala M. Mehta, Laychiluh Bantie Mekonnen, Ziad A. Memish, Walter Mendoza, Oliver Mendoza-Cano, Ritesh G. Menezes, Alexios-Fotios A. Mentis, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo J. Meretoja, Belsity Temesgen Meselu, Bezawit Afework Mesfin, Tomislav Mestrovic, Tomasz Miazgowski, Georgia Micha, Irmina Maria Michalek, Ana Carolina Micheletti Gomide Nogueira de Sá, Gedefaye Nibret Mihrtie, Ted R. Miller, Seyed Peyman Mirghaderi, Mojgan Mirghafourvand, Andreea Mirica, Antonio Mirijello, Seyyedmohammadsadeq Mirmoeeni, Erkin M. Mirrakhimov, Moonis Mirza, Maryam Mirzaei, Roya Mirzaei, Awoke Misganaw, Sanjeev Misra, Prasanna Mithra, Chaitanya Mittal, Javad Moghadasi, Ashraf Mohamadkhani, Abdalla Z. Mohamed, Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad, Sakineh Mohammad-Alizadeh-Charandabi, Esmaeil Mohammadi, Soheil Mohammadi, Hussen Mohammed, Shafiu Mohammed, Syam Mohan, Nagabhishek Moka, Ali H. Mokdad, Mariam Molokhia, Sara Momtazmanesh, Lorenzo Monasta, T. J. Robinson T. Moncatar, Stefania Mondello, Mohammad Ali Moni, Md Moniruzzaman, Fateme Montazeri, Delaram Moosavi, Yousef Moradi, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Paula Moraga, Rafael Silveira Moreira, Joana Morgado-da-Costa, Negar Morovatdar, Meg E. Morris, Shane Douglas Morrison, Elias Mossialos, Ebrahim Mostafavi, Majid Motaghinejad, Simin Mouodi, Amin Mousavi Khaneghah, Sumaira Mubarik, Lorenzo Muccioli, Ulrich Otto Mueller, Soumyadeep Mukherjee, Francesk Mulita, Getaneh Baye Mulu, Daniel Munblit, Efrén Murillo-Zamora, Shruti Murthy, Ana-Maria Musina, Ghulam Mustafa, Saravanan Muthupandian, Julius C. Mwita, Ashraf F. Nabhan, Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan, Mukhammad David Naimzada, Tapas Sadasivan Nair, Zhila Najafpour, Luigi Naldi, Vinay Nangia, Atta Abbas Naqvi, Sreenivas Narasimha Swamy, Aparna Ichalangod Narayana, Bruno Ramos Nascimento, Gopalakrishnan Natarajan, Zuhair S. Natto, Biswa Prakash Nayak, Vinod C. Nayak, Rawlance Ndejjo, Sabina Onyinye Nduaguba, Ionut Negoi, Ruxandra Irina Negoi, Seyed Aria Nejadghaderi, Evangelia Nena, Samata Nepal, Henok Biresaw Netsere, Georges Nguefack-Tsague, Josephine W. Ngunjiri, Che Henry Ngwa, Robina Khan Niazi, Solomon Gedlu Nigatu, Ali Nikoobar, Amin Reza Nikpoor, Muhammad A. Nizam, Chukwudi A. Nnaji, Shuhei Nomura, Nurulamin M. Noor, Nafise Noroozi, Bo Norrving, Jean Jacques Noubiap, Hasti Nouraei, George Ntaios, Mpiko Ntsekhe, Dieta Nurrika, Jerry John Nutor, Chimezie Igwegbe Nzoputam, Ogochukwu Janet Nzoputam, Felix Chukwudi Abrahams Obi, Oluwakemi Ololade Odukoya, Onome Bright Oghenetega, Abiola Ogunkoya, In-Hwan Oh, Akin Ojagbemi, Hassan Okati-Aliabad, Akinkunmi Paul Okekunle, Osaretin Christabel Okonji, Adeolu Olufunso Oladunjoye, Olubunmi Omotola Oladunjoye, Andrew T. Olagunju, Antonio Olivas-Martinez, Arão Belitardo Oliveira, Gláucia Maria Moraes Oliveira, Isaac Iyinoluwa Olufadewa, Bolajoko Olubukunola Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun Olusanya, Ahmed Omar Bali, Sokking Ong, Obinna E. Onwujekwe, Doris V. Ortega-Altamirano, Alberto Ortiz, Adrian Otoiu, Nikita Otstavnov, Stanislav S. Otstavnov, Abderrahim Oulhaj, Amel Ouyahia, Simon Øverland, Mayowa O. Owolabi, Mahesh P. A, Kevin Pacheco-Barrios, Alicia Padron-Monedero, Jagadish Rao Padubidri, Pramod Kumar Pal, Tamás Palicz, Raffaele Palladino, Songhomitra Panda-Jonas, Seithikurippu R. Pandi-Perumal, Helena Ullyartha Pangaribuan, Suman Pant, Paraskevi Papadopoulou, Shahina Pardhan, Eun-Cheol Park, Eun-Kee Park, Seoyeon Park, Deepak Kumar Pasupula, Jay Patel, Jenil R. Patel, Rikinkumar S. Patel, Urvish K. Patel, Aslam Ramjan Pathan, Ronit Patnaik Patnaik, Uttam Paudel, Shrikant Pawar, Hamidreza Pazoki Toroudi, Amy E. Peden, Paolo Pedersini, Minjin Peng, Umberto Pensato, Veincent Christian Filipino Pepito, Emmanuel K. Peprah, João Perdigão, Marcos Pereira, Renato B. Pereira, Norberto Perico, Simone Perna, Richard G. Pestell, Konrad Pesudovs, Ionela-Roxana Petcu, Raffaele Pezzani, Michael R. Phillips, Cristiano Piccinelli, David M. Pigott, Julian David Pillay, Zahra Zahid Piracha, Saeed Pirouzpanah, Meghdad Pirsaheb, Evgenii Plotnikov, Indrashis Podder, Vivek Podder, Riccardo Pofi, Roman V. Polibin, Kevan R. Polkinghorne, Ramesh Poluru, Constance Dimity Pond, Fabio Porru, Maarten J. Postma, Naeimeh Pourtaheri, Sergio I. Prada, Pranil Man Singh Pradhan, V. Prakash, Narayan Prasad, Luís Proença, Ibrahim Qattea, Zahiruddin Quazi Syed, Navid Rabiee, Amir Radfar, Raghu Anekal Radhakrishnan, Venkatraman Radhakrishnan, Ata Rafiee, Alberto Raggi, Pankaja Raghav Raghav, Fakher Rahim, Majid Rahimi, Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar, Azizur Rahman, Md Obaidur Rahman, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Mosiur Rahman, Muhammad Aziz Rahman, Amir Masoud Rahmani, Shayan Rahmani, Vahid Rahmanian, Diego Raimondo, Ivano Raimondo, Sheetal Raj Moolambally, Prashant Rajput, Sasa Rajsic, Sree Bhushan Raju, Pradhum Ram, Sheena Ramazanu, Juwel Rana, Chhabi Lal Ranabhat, Chythra R. Rao, Sowmya J. Rao, Temam Beshir Raru, Sina Rashedi, Mohammad-Mahdi Rashidi, Prateek Rastogi, Azad Rasul, Zubair Ahmed Ratan, Ramin Ravangard, David Laith Rawaf, Reza Rawassizadeh, Rabail Zehra Raza, Iman Razeghian-Jahromi, Elrashdy Moustafa Mohamed Redwan, Giuseppe Remuzzi, Andre M. N. Renzaho, Bhageerathy Reshmi, Nazila Rezaei, Negar Rezaei, Nima Rezaei, Zahed Rezaei, Mohsen Rezaeian, Abanoub Riad, Mavra A. Riaz, Muhammad Riaz, Antonio Luiz P. Ribeiro, Daniel Cury Ribeiro, Daniela Ribeiro, Tércia Moreira Ribeiro da Silva, Jennifer Rickard, Mónica Rodrigues, Jefferson Antonio Buendia Rodriguez, Leonardo Roever, Esperanza Romero-Rodríguez, Michele Romoli, Luca Ronfani, Betty Roosihermiatie, Victor Daniel Rosenthal, Morteza Rostamian, Bedanta Roy, Enrico Rubagotti, Susan Fred Rumisha, Godfrey M. Rwegerera, Manjula S, Chandan S. N, Aly M. A. Saad, Michela Sabbatucci, Maha Mohamed Saber-Ayad, Siamak Sabour, Simona Sacco, Perminder S. Sachdev, Rajesh Sachdeva, Basema Saddik, Erfan Sadeghi, Malihe Sadeghi, Masoumeh Sadeghi, Saeid Sadeghian, Mohammad Reza Saeb, Umar Saeed, Sahar Saeedi Moghaddam, Muhammad Aamir Safdar Safdar, Mahdi Safdarian, Sher Zaman Safi, Rajesh Sagar, Dominic Sagoe, Amirhossein Sahebkar, Harihar Sahoo, Mohammad Ali Sahraian, K. M. Saif-Ur-Rahman, Mirza Rizwan Sajid, Sateesh Sakhamuri, Rehab Salah, Saina Salahi, Sarvenaz Salahi, Nasir Salam, Payman Salamati, Marwa Rashad Salem, Hossein Samadi Kafil, Yoseph Leonardo Samodra, Abdallah M. Samy, Juan Sanabria, Francesco Sanmarchi, Itamar S. Santos, Milena M. Santric-Milicevic, Bruno Piassi Sao Jose, Muhammad Arif Nadeem Saqib, Sivan Yegnanarayana Iyer Saraswathy, Yaser Sarikhani, Rakesh Kumar Saroj, Nizal Sarrafzadegan, Arash Sarveazad, Brijesh Sathian, Thirunavukkarasu Sathish, Maheswar Satpathy, Davide Sattin, Monika Sawhney, Ganesh Kumar Saya, Nicolas Sayegh, Nikolaos Scarmeas, Markus P. Schlaich, Winfried Schlee, Ione Jayce Ceola Schneider, David C. Schwebel, Abdul-Aziz Seidu, Subramanian Senthilkumaran, Dragos Serban, Edson Serván-Mori, SeyedAhmad SeyedAlinaghi, Allen Seylani, Melika Shafeghat, Zahra Shaghaghi, Syed Mahboob Shah, Saeed Shahabi, Ataollah Shahbandi, Amira A. Shaheen, Fariba Shahraki-Sanavi, Hamid R. Shahsavari, Masood Ali Shaikh, KS Shaji, Reza Shakaib, Ali S. Shalash, Mohd Shanawaz, Mequannent Melaku Sharew, Nigussie Tadesse Sharew, Azam Sharifi, Sakineh Sharifian, Javad Sharifi-Rad, Purva Sharma, Saurab Sharma, Vishal Sharma, Bereket Beyene Shashamo, Amin Amin Shavandi, Maryam Shayan, Blerta Shehaj, Aziz Sheikh, Rahim Ali Sheikhi, Abbas Sheikhtaheri, Shashank Shekhar, Adithi Shetty, B. Suresh Kumar Shetty, Jeevan K. Shetty, Pavanchand H. Shetty, Peilin Shi, Yi Shi, Amir Shiani, Mika Shigematsu, Jae Il Shin, Rahman Shiri, maryam Shirvani Shiri, Kawkab Shishani, K. M. Shivakumar, Velizar Shivarov, Parnian Shobeiri, Seyed Afshin Shorofi, Dhan Bahadur Dhan Shrestha, Sunil Shrestha, Kanwar Hamza Shuja, Kerem Shuval, Inga Dora Sigfusdottir, Luís Manuel Lopes Rodrigues Silva, Ali Reza Sima, Wudneh Simegn, Biagio Simonetti, Ehsan Sinaei, Anjali Singal, Ambrish Singh, Balbir Bagicha Singh, Garima Singh, Harpreet Singh, Jasvinder A. Singh, Kuldeep Singh, Narinder Pal Singh, Paramdeep Singh, Surjit Singh, Robert Sinto, Md Shahjahan Siraj, Søren T. Skou, Valentin Yurievich Skryabin, Anna Aleksandrovna Skryabina, David A. Sleet, Bogdan Socea, Yonatan Solomon, Mohammad Sadegh Soltani-Zangbar, Ranjani Somayaji, Suhang Song, Yimeng Song, Prashant Sood, Joan B. Soriano, Raúl A. R. C. Sousa, Ireneous N. Soyiri, Chandrashekhar T. Sreeramareddy, Antonina V. Starodubova, Nicholas Steel, Simona Catalina Stefan, Dan J. Stein, Paschalis Steiropoulos, Jacqueline H. Stephens, Mark A. Stokes, Konstantinos Stroumpoulis, Parminder S. Suchdev, Muhammad Suleman, Abida Sultana, Jing Sun, Johan Sundström, Mindy D. Szeto, Miklós Szócska, Seidamir Pasha Tabaeian, Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos, Seyed-Amir Tabatabaeizadeh, Shima Tabatabai, Karen M. Tabb, Mohammad Tabish, Takahiro Tabuchi, Santosh Kumar Tadakamadla, Majid Taheri, Yasaman Taheri Abkenar, Moslem Taheri Soodejani, Iman M. Talaat, Mircea Tampa, Ker-Kan Tan, Ingan Ukur Tarigan, Elvis Enowbeyang Tarkang, Nathan Y. Tat, Vivian Y. 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Supplementary information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1038/s41467-025-56910-x.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Reporting Summary (212KB, pdf)

Data Availability Statement

All data can be accessed at:Global Burden of Disease Collaborative Network. Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019) Results. Seattle, United States: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), 2020. Available from https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-results/. If any required data, such as specific categorised sequelae data, are not available, requests can be sent to engage@healthdata.org, and they will respond in the coming days to assist with the request.


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