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. 2025 Mar 27;22(2):203–221. doi: 10.1007/s10393-025-01706-0

The Ecological, Biological, and Social Determinants of Dengue Epidemiology in Latin America and the Caribbean: A Scoping Review of the Literature

Aisha Barkhad 1,, Natacha Lecours 2, Maya Stevens-Uninsky 1, Lawrence Mbuagbaw 3,4,5,6,7,8
PMCID: PMC12259752  PMID: 40148718

Abstract

Dengue has re-emerged in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) over the last five decades. The factors influencing dengue transmission by the Aedes aegypti mosquito vector within the region can be classified as ecological, biological, and social determinants. In this review, we summarized the published literature on the evidence for the determinants of dengue vector dynamics, transmission, and epidemiological outcomes in LAC. We searched PubMed, SCOPUS, and LILACS databases in September 2022 to collect published works irrespective of study design published in either English, French, Portuguese, or Spanish. Full-text articles were obtained for the studies that passed the title and abstract screening process. During full-text screening, articles were assessed to determine if they met the eligibility criteria. Data were extracted using NVivo™ 12. Data were organized as NVivo codes. Themes were compiled and communicated narratively. We included 90 peer-reviewed research articles from LAC between 2007 and 2022. The included studies were from 15 different countries, dependencies, and territories in the region. Several dengue-related indicators and outcomes were classified as ecological, biological, or social. Eight main factors were found, including: micro- and macro-climatic factors; entomological and pathogenic factors; and global-, community-, household-, and individual- level social factors. We identified several existing knowledge gaps in the literature. Making salient these gaps may serve as a starting point for future vector-borne infectious disease research to equip policymakers and public health practitioners to develop effective strategies to mitigate the impact of dengue and protect vulnerable populations in LAC.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10393-025-01706-0.

Keywords: Dengue, Latin America, Caribbean, Epidemiology, Eco-bio-social, Scoping review

Introduction

Dengue is the most common and most widespread human arboviral disease in the world (Bhatt et al., 2013). Transmissible by the Aedes aegypti and the Aedes albopictus mosquito vectors, the dengue virus (DENV), in all its four serotypes, represents a major public health threat in many parts of Mesoamerica and South America (Gómez-Dantés & Willoquet, 2009). Dengue has re-emerged in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) over the last 50 years due to the re-infestation of the A. aegypti mosquito in the region (Zambrano & San Martin, 2014). Recently, documented dengue cases in LAC have increased as epidemics have become widespread (Tapia-Conyer et al., 2012).

The frequency of dengue epidemics is influenced by seasonality and weather patterns (Morin et al., 2013), especially anomalies of temperature, rainfall, and relative humidity. Seasonality is shaped by the Earth’s inter-annual climate cycle on a global scale, and patterns of seasonal dengue epidemics are correlated with the El Niño Southern Oscillations (ENSO; Gagnon et al., 2001). ENSO is a natural cycle, which is a coupled atmospheric-oceanic system that produces short-term climate and sea surface temperature changes over the Pacific region and has implications for dengue outbreaks (McGregor & Ebi, 2018).

The intrinsic entomological and pathogenic characteristics of the dengue vector and virus also have a regulatory role in DENV outbreaks (Jones et al., 2008). Importantly, vectorial capacity and competence of A. aegypti represents the vector’s propensity and ability to acquire, maintain, and transmit DENV and has consequences for dengue transmission (Liu-Helmersson et al., 2014). Vectorial capacity and competence are regulated by genetic variabilities phenotypically expressed by not only the vector, but also the virus, and can vary depending on infection by distinct DENV serotypes (Severson & Behura, 2016).

Urbanization is a social driver of DENV transmission in LAC and is contributing to increased human population densities in already crowded cities, providing opportunities for DENV transmission within human settlements (Gubler, 2011). Disorderly urban planning also promotes the growth of ‘poverty pockets’ and may increase the risk of DENV among populations (Gómez-Dantés & Willoquet, 2009; Tapia-Conyer et al., 2012). Poor intra- and peri-domiciliary housing conditions including inadequate structures (e.g., roofs, walls, and flooring), have been associated with DENV transmission (Coreil et al., 2013). Additionally, human water-storing behaviors, which facilitate superlative breeding sites for mosquito vectors, are an important social determinant of DENV outbreak potential and are associated with access to reliable water sources in communities (Gibson et al., 2014).

Since viable and universal vaccination campaigns have not yet been launched within the LAC region, efforts to contain DENV epidemics typically rely on community-based vector control and prevention strategies. Understanding the factors affecting the patterns of DENV epidemics in LAC is a challenge and may allow for targeted prevention campaigns and vaccine introduction. This challenge underscores the need for identifying the distinct factors impacting dengue in the LAC region to provide the groundwork for prospective research and policy for DENV prevention and control. Therefore, the aim of this scoping review is to summarize the published literature on the ecological, biological, and social determinants of DENV vector dynamics, transmission, and epidemiological outcomes in LAC.

Methodology

Registration

This review was registered in the Open Science Framework (OSF) Registries (DOI: https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/9Z268).

Eligibility Criteria

Research articles published between 2007 and 2022, inclusively, were sought to capture the interval following the release of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 4th Assessment Report (IPCC, 2007). We included qualitative, quantitative, and mixed methods studies; short communications of findings; and discussion papers set in LAC, in either English, French, Portuguese, or Spanish. We excluded books and book chapters, systematic reviews, meta-analyses, pre-print articles, and Gray literature (Table S1).

Data Sources and Search Strategy

We searched PubMed, SCOPUS, and Latin American & Caribbean Health Sciences Literature (LILACS) in September 2022. The literature search strategies were developed using medical subject headings (MeSH) and relevant keywords adapted to each of the databases. See the Supplemental Material for search terms used. Additional articles were compiled from bibliographic references of included articles (Table S2, S3, S4).

Data Management and Selection

A two-stage screening procedure was implemented to select studies. Searches were conducted in the databases, and retrieved records were managed in Zotero software 5.0.67. Published works were transferred to Covidence (Veritas Health Innovation, Melbourne, Australia). Full-text articles were obtained for the studies that passed the title and abstract screening process. The full-text articles were assessed to determine whether they met the eligibility criteria. Articles that met the criteria were transferred to NVivo™ 12 for data analysis (QSR International, Cambridge, USA). Figure S1 shows the PRISMA flowchart describing the search strategy and screening procedure.

Data Collection and Analysis

Data from full-text articles were coded in NVivo™ 12. Codes were highlighted to sort ecological, biological, and social factors and themes. A Codebook was developed and rules for coding were established. A data extraction form in Microsoft Excel 2019 (Version 16) was used to obtain information on the characteristics of the articles (i.e., country, year of publication, journal, etc.) and the context of the article (i.e., study methods, indicators, outcomes, etc.; Table S5).

Results

Characteristics of Included Studies

We included 90 articles in this review from 15 different countries, dependencies, and/or territories from LAC (Table 1). Of these, nearly three quarters were from South America (n = 66), whereas nearly one quarter of the studies were from Central America and the Caribbean Islands (n = 13 and n = 6, respectively). Other studies were conducted in multiple countries (n = 2) or were classified as laboratory-based studies (n = 3). Most studies were from Brazil (n = 36) and Colombia (n = 12). Fewest studies were published in 2007 (n = 1). Most studies were published in 2021 (n = 11). The included research papers were classified as: ecological, biological, or social studies (Table 2). Most studies were classified as social studies (n = 39), followed by biological studies (n = 28), and ecological studies (n = 23). Eight main factors influencing DENV vector dynamics, transmission, and epidemiological outcomes in LAC were identified and are illustrated in Fig. 1.

Table 1.

List of studies included in a scoping review of the literature on the ecological, biological, and social determinants of dengue vector dynamics, transmission, and epidemiology in Latin America and the Caribbean.

Author(s),
Year of publication
Study setting Study design Indicator(s)* Outcome(s) Factor
Alto et al. (2008a) N/A Experimental study Vector competition DENV infection, vector competence Biological
Alto et al. (2008b) N/A Experimental study Vector physiology DENV infection Biological
Aponte et al (2013) Mexico Experimental study Exposure to insecticide Vector insecticide resistance status Biological
Arboleda et al (2012) Colombia Ecological niche modeling Vector presence DENV incidence Biological
Barbosa et al (2014) Brazil Spatial case–control study Vector presence DENV risk Biological
Bellinato et al (2016) Brazil Experimental study Exposure to insecticide Vector insecticide resistance status Biological
Bennett et al (2021) Panama Experimental study, genetic analyses Temperature, vegetation, rainfall humidity Vector adaptability Biological
Burke et al (2010) Puerto Rico Observational study Vector larval presence Vector abundance Biological
Carreño et al (2019) Colombia Experimental study, genetic analyses DENV serotype changes DENV cases Biological
Carrington et al (2013) N/A Experimental study Temperature Vector lifecycle Biological
Cromwell et al (2017) Peru Entomological, longitudinal epidemiological study Vector density DENV seroconversion Biological
Dusfour et al (2011) French Guiana Experimental study Exposure to insecticide Vector insecticide resistance status Biological
Flores et al (2013) Mexico Experimental study Exposure to insecticide Vector insecticide resistance status Biological
Francis et al (2020) Jamaica Experimental study Exposure to insecticide Vector insecticide resistance status Biological
Gonçalves et al (2014) Brazil Experimental study Experimental DENV infection Vector competence Biological
Gustave et al (2012) Guadeloupe Observational study Vector breeding site presence Vector abundance Biological
Honório et al (2009) Brazil Spatial modeling study Vector density DENV seroprevalence Biological
Lima et al (2011) Brazil Experimental study Exposure to insecticide Vector insecticide resistance status Biological
Lima Júnior & Scarpassa (2009) Brazil Experimental study, phylogenetic analysis Distinct vector populations Vector genetic variability Biological
Lourenço-de-Oliveira et al (2013) Multi-country Experimental study Experimental DENV infection Vector competence Biological
Marcombe et al (2009) Martinique Islands Experimental study Exposure to insecticide Vector insecticide resistance status Biological
OhAinle (2011) Nicaragua Experimental study, phylogenetic analysis DENV genetics DENV cases Biological
Rahman et al (2021) Brazil Experimental study, genetic analyses Exposure to insecticide Vector insecticide resistance status Biological
Sá et al (2019) Brazil Experimental study Exposure to insecticide Vector insecticide resistance status Biological
Santiago et al (2012) Puerto Rico Experimental study, phylogeographic analysis, evolutionary analysis DENV genetics DENV evolution Biological
Solis-Santoyo et al (2021) Mexico Experimental study, spatial study Exposure to insecticide Vector insecticide resistance status Biological
Vazeille et al (2016) French Guiana Experimental study Vector competence DENV serotype competition Biological
Whiteman et al (2019) Panama Spatial temporal modeling study Vector infestation DENV prevalence Biological
Amarakoon et al (2008) Multi-country Epidemiological study Temperature, precipitation DENV incidence Ecological
Araujo et al (2015) Brazil Ecological study, epidemiological study Temperature, vegetation, population density, SES, housing conditions DENV incidence Ecological
Campbell et al (2015) Peru Epidemiological study Temperature, humidity DENV incidence, DENV transmission potential Ecological
Carneiro et al (2017) Brazil Epidemiological study, cross-sectional observational study, ecological planning model, temporal trend analysis Temperature, pollution DENV incidence Ecological
Chowell et al (2011) Peru Epidemiological study, temporal trend analysis Temperature, precipitation DENV incidence Ecological
Dostal et al (2022) Peru Ecological study, Time series study Temperature, precipitation, ENSO events DENV cases Ecological
Duarte et al (2019) Brazil Ecological study, epidemiological study Temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, river level DHF incidence Ecological
Fuller et al (2009) Costa Rica Climatological modeling study Sea surface temperatures, vegetation DHF/DF incidence Ecological
Gomes et al (2012) Brazil Epidemiological study, analytical ecological design Temperature, precipitation DENV cases Ecological
Hurtado-Díaz et al (2007) Mexico Ecological study, time series analysis Temperature, precipitation, ENSO events DENV incidence Ecological
Marinho et al (2022) Brazil Environmental observational study, temporal analysis Temperature, precipitation, ENSO events DENV incidence Ecological
Morin et al (2022) Brazil Ecological study, epidemiological study Temperature, air pressure, specific humidity, relative humidity DF incidence Ecological
Muñoz et al (2021) Colombia Ecological study, epidemiological study, temporal analysis study Temperature, precipitation, wind velocity, relative humidity, ENSO events DENV incidence Ecological
Navarro Valencia et al (2021) Panama Epidemiological study, time series analysis Temperature, precipitation, relative humidity DENV incidence Ecological
Peña-García et al (2017) Colombia Epidemiological study Temperature DENV incidence Ecological
Pereira da Silva et al (2022) Brazil Ecological study, epidemiological study Vegetation indices DENV cases Ecological
Quintero-Herrera et al (2015) Colombia Epidemiological study Temperature, precipitation, ENSO events DENV incidence Ecological
Silva et al (2015) Brazil Epidemiological study, temporal trend analysis Temperature, precipitation, relative humidity DENV incidence Ecological
Silva et al (2016) Brazil Ecological study, epidemiological study, temporal analysis Temperature, precipitation DENV incidence Ecological
Troyo et al (2009) Costa Rica Ecological study, epidemiological study Temperature, precipitation, vegetation indices, environmental built area DENV incidence Ecological
Vincenti-Gonzalez et al (2018) Venezuela Epidemiological study, Time series analyses ENSO events DENV incidence Ecological
Xavier et al (2021) Brazil Epidemiological study, time series analysis Temperature, precipitation DENV incidence Ecological
Zambrano et al (2012) Honduras Epidemiological study, Multiple linear regression model Temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, ENSO events DHF incidence Ecological
Barrera et al (2021) Puerto Rico Entomological study, spatial analysis Vector productivity per household, location Vector presence Social
Bavia et al (2020) Brazil Epidemiological study, spatiotemporal study Temperature, rainfall, income DENV incidence Social
Benítez-Díaz et al (2020) Colombia Epidemiological study, Nested cross-sectional analytical study, cohort study Age, gender, education, number of persons in household, household income, KAP DENV risk perception Social
Braga et al (2010) Brazil Epidemiological study Age, sex, education, household characteristics, access to water supply, garbage collection DENV seroprevalence Social
Campos et al (2021) Brazil Ecological study, epidemiological study Sex, age, precipitation, temperature, humidity, health vulnerability index DENV incidence rate Social
Carabalí et al (2017) Colombia Epidemiological, community-based study Sex, age, ethnicity DENV seroprevalence, DENV seroconversion Social
Castro-Bonilla et al (2018) Colombia Cross-sectional, epidemiological study KAP, sewer connection, access to water supply, toilet discharge services, garbage collection, education, employment status, age DENV seropositivity Social
Charette et al (2020) Peru Epidemiological study Age, gender, district DENV incidence Social
Chiaravalloti-Neto et al (2019) Brazil Epidemiological, cohort study Sex, race, occupation, education, household type, household ownership, number of members DENV seroprevalence Social
da Conceição Araújo et al (2020) Brazil Ecological study, spatiotemporal modeling study Income, education, access to water supply, household density, sewage connection, literacy, poverty DENV incidence rate Social
da Silva-Nunes et al (2008) Brazil Epidemiological study Household structure, access to water supply, wealth, sex, age, land tenure DENV seroprevalence, DENV seroconversion Social
do Carmo et al (2020) Brazil Ecological study, spatiotemporal modeling study Population density, education, literacy, income, access to water supply, access to electricity, social vulnerability DENV incidence rate Social
Farinelli et al (2018) Brazil Ecological, spatiotemporal study HOH income, HOH sex, household income, people per household, HOH literacy DF risk Social
Ferreira et al (2021) Brazil Epidemiological, cross-sectional study Type of house, access to water supply, garbage collection, education, sex, age, race DENV seroprevalence Social
Flauzino et al (2009) Brazil Epidemiological study Age, sex, education, access to water supply, garbage collection DF incidence Social
Honorato et al (2014) Brazil Ecological study, spatial modeling study Literacy, access to water supply, garbage disposal, income DENV incidence Social
Johansen et al (2018) Brazil Epidemiological study, geospatial study Proximity to breeding sites, garbage collection, sewage connection, access to water, household income, race, household ownership DF incidence Social
Kalbus et al (2021) Brazil Ecological study, epidemiological study Household income, poverty, sanitation, healthcare access DF incidence Social
Kenneson et al (2017) Ecuador Epidemiological study HOH age, HOH sex, HOH education, HOH employment, people per house, beds per house, people per bedroom, patio, household ecological characteristics, air conditioning, sewage connection, water storage DENV infection Social
Kikuti et al (2015) Brazil Epidemiological, geospatial study Proximity to healthcare center, poverty, household population density, race, literacy, sewage connection, access to water supply, garbage collection DENV infection Social
Lippi et al (2021) Ecuador Epidemiological study, entomological study Housing condition indicators, household demographics and practices DENV seropositivity/infection Social
Lippi et al (2018) Ecuador Epidemiological study, geospatial study Household conditions, age, education, employment, sex DENV severity of outbreaks/burden, DENV hotspots Social
Maccormack-Gelles et al (2018) Brazil Epidemiological study, spatiotemporal study Access to electricity, access to water supply, sewage connection, garbage collection, household population density, household income DENV cases Social
Maljkovic Berry et al (2020) Ecuador Experimental study, phylogeographic analysis, evolutionary analysis Immigration DENV transmission Social
Martínez-Vega et al (2015) Mexico Epidemiological study, prospective cohort study Household location, toilet discharge, access to water supply, SES, insecticide use, household characteristics, individual-level characteristics DENV infection Social
Nunes et al (2014) Brazil Experimental study, phylogeographic analysis, evolutionary analysis, spatiotemporal analysis Vector infestation index, number of scheduled flights, population density DENV transmission Social
Padmanabha et al (2015) Colombia Epidemiological study, spatial analysis Human movement DENV transmission Social
Quinteiro et al (2009) Colombia Epidemiological study, cross-sectional study Gender, education, occupation, SES, health insurance, KAP Vector dynamics Social
Reiner Jr. et al (2014) Peru Epidemiological study, modeling study Human movement DENV infection Social
Shragai et al (2022) Colombia Retrospective geospatial analysis Public transit usage, public transit lines, socioeconomic status, human mobility DENV risk Social
Shuaib et al (2010) Jamaica Descriptive study, cross-sectional study Gender, age, education, occupation, marital status DENV KAP Social
Stewart Ibarra et al (2013) Ecuador Entomological, epidemiological study Water storage practices, access to water supply, house condition, knowledge, perceptions of dengue Vector dynamics Social
Stewart Ibarra et al (2014) Ecuador Qualitative study, focus group discussions Prevention practices, perceptions, HOH education, HOH sex, HOH employment, garbage collection, sewage connection, access to water supply DENV perceptions Social
Stoddard et al (2013) Peru Epidemiological study, case–control study, spatial analysis Human movement, DENV attack rate DENV incidence Social
Teixeira & Cruz (2011) Brazil Epidemiological study, spatial modeling study

Precipitation; Breteau index;

social development index, municipal human

development index, income

DENV incidence Social
Vargas et al (2015) Brazil Ecological study, epidemiological study Access to water supply, garbage collection, sex, literacy, household location DENV incidence, DENV risk Social
Vásquez-Trujillo et al (2021) Colombia Epidemiological study, observational cross-sectional study Income, property condition, water supply, garbage collection, internet, number of people per house, number of rooms Vector dynamics Social
Velasco-Salas et al (2014) Venezuela Cross-sectional, epidemiological study SES, household size, household ownership, presence of water containers, use of insecticides, access to water supply DENV seroprevalence Social
Vincenti-Gonzalez et al (2017) Venezuela Epidemiological study, community-based cross-sectional study SES, household crowding, occupation, number of rooms, persons per household, presence of vector breeding sites, age, sex DENV seroprevalence Social

ǂDENV, dengue virus; DF, dengue fever; DHF, dengue hemorrhagic fever; HOH, household head; KAP, knowledge, attitudes, and practices; SES, socioeconomic status; SEV, socioeconomic vulnerability; TDS, total dissolved solids.

Table 2.

Descriptive statistics of the included studies.

Description Number of studies (n, %)
Region South America 66 (73.3%)
Central America 13 (14.4%)
Caribbean Islands 6 (6.7%)
Laboratory-based 3 (3.3%)
Multi-country 2 (2.2%)
Country Brazil 36 (40.0%)
Colombia 12 (13.3%)
Peru 7 (7.8%)
Ecuador 6 (6.7%)
Mexico 5 (5.6%)
Panama 3 (3.3%)
Puerto Rico 3 (3.3%)
Venezuela 3 (3.3%)
Laboratory-based 3 (3.3%)
Costa Rica 2 (2.2%)
French Guiana 2 (2.2%)
Jamaica 2 (2.2%)
Multi-country 2 (2.2%)
Guadeloupe 1 (1.1%)
Honduras 1(1.1%)
Martinique Islands 1 (1.1%)
Nicaragua 1 (1.1%)
Year 2007 1 (1.1%)
2008 5 (5.6%)
2009 7 (7.8%)
2010 3 (3.3%)
2011 5 (5.6%)
2012 5 (5.6%)
2013 6 (6.7%)
2014 7 (7.8%)
2015 8 (8.9%)
2016 3 (3.3%)
2017 6 (6.7%)
2018 6 (6.7%)
2019 5 (5.6%)
2020 7 (7.8%)
2021 11 (12.2%)
2022 5 (5.6%)
Classification Ecological 23 (25.6%)
Biological 28 (31.1%)
Social 39 (43.3%)

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Ecological, biological, and social factors determining dengue virus transmission and epidemiological outcomes in LAC, based on a scoping review of the literature.

Ecological Factors (23 Studies)

Microclimatic Factors

Meteorological Factors.

Some studies reported a strong relationship between minimum, maximum, and mean temperatures and the occurrence of epidemics and transmission potential of DENV, where higher temperatures were associated with increased DENV incidence (Amarakoon et al., 2008; Peña-García et al., 2017). Relative humidity revealed similar effects as temperature on DENV occurrence (Zambrano et al., 2012). Spatiotemporal and climate-based modeling studies have suggested that levels of precipitation can predict the timing of DENV outbreaks (Duarte et al., 2019), where DENV epidemics peaked most frequently with increased abundant rainfall, followed by a time lag representative of the period between vector breeding and life cycle development, and human infection (Troyo et al., 2009; Chowell et al., 2011; Silva et al., 2015; Xavier et al., 2021).

Artificial Environmental Factors.

One study conducted by Araujo et al., (2015) showed that the urban heat island (UHI) effect and the urban environment favor the transmission of DENV in São Paulo, Brazil. Other researches from urban regions of LAC have cited the role of this phenomenon (Vincenti-Gonzalez et al., 2018); however, less is understood about the magnitude of this relationship. Heatwaves in UHI environments increase concentrations of air-borne particulates. One study found that lower particulate matter (PM10) values were associated with higher DENV cases in Brazil (Carneiro et al., 2017).

Macroclimatic Factors

Climatological and Seasonal Factors.

The dynamics of DENV transmission in endemic and hyperendemic areas was compounded by local seasonal weather oscillations (Morin et al., 2022; Zambrano et al., 2012). El Niño is correlated with negative (i.e., cooler) anomalies of precipitation, soil moisture and river flows, and positive (i.e., warmer) air temperature anomalies, whereas the opposite is true for the La Niña cool phase (Vincenti-Gonzalez et al., 2018). In Costa Rica, La Niña was more likely to favor greater numbers of DENV fever cases, since this region is linked to increased levels of precipitation in La Niña years (Fuller et al., 2009). This finding is similar to studies from Brazil (Marinho et al., 2022) and Colombia (Quintero-Herrera et al., 2015; Muñoz et al., 2021). El Niño years were associated with increased DENV cases in Mexico (Hurtado-Díaz et al., 2007), despite this region being prone to droughts and dry periods during warm phase years. Similar findings were documented in Peru (Dostal et al., 2022).

Biological Factors (28 Studies)

Entomological Factors

Vectorial Capacity and Competence.

Laboratory-based studies have documented genetically based differences in DENV vectorial competence in A. aegypti populations within and between geographic areas (Gonçalves et al., 2014). For example, the body size of the female A. aegypti mosquito, determined by its genetic make-up, was suspected to be an important contributing factor to vectorial capacity (Alto et al., 2008a). One experimental study that investigated vectorial competence discovered greater risks for the establishment of the disease in novel regions. Lourenço de Oliveira et al. (2013) demonstrated that A. aegypti populations from Uruguay, which is a country without any local DENV transmission, were found to be competent in transmitting DENV.

Vector Competition and Evolution.

Alto et al. (2008b) showed that high levels of intraspecific or interspecific competition among larvae enhanced the susceptibility of A. albopictus to DENV infection and increased the potential for viral transmission. Both DENV adult mosquito vectors can coexist and persist together. However, competitive interaction between Aedes species mosquitoes is possible and is dependent on the environmental conditions of the landscape and the level of urbanicity in the region. For instance, one study recorded a displacement of A. aegypti for A. albopictus under suboptimal, wet, tropical climate conditions, and more vegetated environments in Panama (Bennett et al., 2021).

Pathogenic Factors

Serotype Competition and Evolution.

The competitive displacement of DENV serotypes within vectors from distinct geospatial areas has been documented (Carreño et al., 2019). In French Guiana, predominant lineage change events were identified resulting in the competitive displacement of DENV-1 to DENV-4, which may be explained by deleterious genetic mutations of DENV (Vazeille et al., 2016). Additionally, a phylogeographic analysis from Puerto Rico, combined with serotype-specific incidence data from the region, showed that the transmission of a DENV serotype at geographic and temporal scales was correlated with the absence of other serotypes (Santiago et al., 2012). Serotype competition and the dominance of individual serotypes among human populations may be influenced by human immunological profiles due to cross-reactive humoral and cellular immune responses (Reiner Jr. et al., 2014). Transient serotype cross-protection may have consequences for the clustering of phylogenetically related viruses and serotype exclusion, dominance, and overall frequencies, as evidenced in Nicaragua for distinct DENV serotypes and specific DENV-2 genotypes (OhAinle et al., 2011).

Social Factors (39 Studies)

Global-Level Factors

Globalizing forces, including the transportation of humans and vectors, may determine DENV transmission. For example, one study demonstrated the role of aerial transportation of humans and vectors in DENV transmission in Brazil (Nunes et al., 2014). Human migration is another globalizing force, where the movement or forced displacement of individuals may encourage the introduction of DENV to novel locations. For example, the migration of Venezuelan and Colombian refugees to Ecuador in 2011 and 2013 contributed to the introduction of DENV-1 and DENV-2 serotypes to the region, according to a phylogeographic analysis (Maljkovic Berry et al., 2020).

Community-Level Factors

Community-level determinants of DENV infection from the literature included inadequate sewage connection, weekly domestic solid waste collection, and garbage disposal (Honorato et al., 2014; Castro-Bonilla et al., 2018; Lippi et al., 2021), which create favorable conditions for peridomicile and intradomicile A. aegypti infestation and greater possibilities for DENV infection among community members. Evidence also suggested that the proximity of communities to important municipal infrastructural areas and shared services was associated with DENV outcomes. For instance, in Itaboraí, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, regions located along major municipal highways with increased vehicular traffic were at higher risk of DENV infections (Vargas et al., 2015). Similarly, municipalities located near vacant and abandoned lots and other uninhabited areas were at higher risk for DENV infections since these properties supported early-stage A. aegypti development within containers of still water (Barrera et al., 2021). In Colombia, locations closer to, and with a greater utilization of, public transit recorded higher DENV case counts (Shragai et al., 2022). Living near junk yards, tire repair shops, and deposits of recyclable materials was also closely associated with increased DENV incidence in Brazil (Johansen et al., 2018). Living near a health unit in the community was associated with higher DENV infection risk since these increased opportunities for case detection (Kikuti et al., 2015; Kalbus et al., 2021). Other sociocultural community patterns shared between members of the community are also crucial social factors. For instance, Stewart Ibarra et al. (2013) discovered that households that shared their property with other households were at greater risk of DENV infection since sharing a common space, such as a patio, may affect community members’ water storage practices, thereby creating prolific vector breeding sites.

Household-Level Factors

Structural deficiencies of houses were associated with DENV transmission since they may provide pathways for mosquito access into the household environment (Lippi et al., 2018; Campos et al., 2021). For instance, those who lived in ranchos (i.e., shacks, informal housing) in Venezuela were nearly seven times more likely to have had a previous DENV infection than those living in houses with better conditions (Velasco-Salas et al., 2014). Similar findings were documented from Brazilian favelas (Flauzino et al., 2009). Maccormack-Gelles et al. (2018) reported that higher average annual household income was strongly associated with reduced DENV incidence in Fortaleza, Brazil. Spatial modeling studies on DENV incidence corroborated these findings (Teixeira & Cruz, 2011; Kikuti et al., 2015). Other important household infrastructural determinants of DENV infection included interruptions to household piped water supply since inadequate water supply promotes water-storing behaviors and practices (Quintero et al., 2009). Using air conditioners to cool the home was negatively associated with A. aegypti abundance in Ecuador since it reduced the need for opening windows and doors in the house (Lippi et al., 2021). Households with toilets without direct discharge were associated with higher DENV risk and increased the number of potential breeding sites for vectors (Martínez-Vega et al., 2015).

Household compositional characteristics related to dengue outcomes included household population density (i.e., number of household members), where households with more residents increased the probability of infectious bites and DENV exposure and risk (Vincenti-Gonzalez et al., 2017). Living in households with fewer rooms, and households with children under the age of 5, were also associated with an increased risk of DENV infection and seropositivity (Martínez-Vega et al., 2015). House ownership, as opposed to non-ownership, was associated with decreased DENV incidence since residents of not-owned households may have had a weaker sense of belonging to the house, which could represent a diminished cleanliness of the house and its surroundings (Johansen et al., 2018). Both recent and past DENV infections were positively associated with the number of years lived in the same residence (Velasco-Salas et al., 2014). Lack of access to electricity and Internet within households was also associated with poorer DENV-related outcomes since access to Internet and basic electric utilities was linked with access to sources of knowledge, better living conditions, and overall positive preventive behaviors (Vásquez-Trujillo et al., 2021).

Individual-Level Factors

Several studies found no association between sex and gender and DENV outcomes, and findings generally reported that both sexes were equally affected (Carabalí et al., 2017; Chiaravalloti-Neto et al., 2019). However, in Amazonia, rates of DENV infections were higher among men than women (da Silva-Nunes et al., 2008), whereas in Peru, higher rates of infection were found among women compared to men (Charette et al., 2020). The type of occupation and individual’s employment status was a significant predictor of recent DENV infection in Venezuela, where people who spent more time within homes, such as domestic workers and housewives, were at a higher risk of contracting DENV (Velasco-Salas et al., 2014; Vincenti-Gonzalez et al., 2017). Lower levels of educational attainment and literacy were associated with DENV infection in Brazil (da Conceição Araújo et al., 2020) and Ecuador (Lippi et al., 2018). Ferreira et al. (2021) found that individuals with lower levels of educational attainment were among those with lower levels of knowledge about DENV. Misconceptions about DENV still exist in LAC (Stewart Ibarra et al., 2014). Knowledge, attitudes, and practices (KAP) studies showed that adequate knowledge about DENV transmission methods, and the appropriate attitudes and use of preventative measures, have shown a protective effect against DENV infection (Benítez-Díaz et al., 2020). However, some studies have implied that DENV-related KAP does not necessarily translate into human behavioral changes that consolidate recommended prevention practices (Shuaib et al., 2010). Additionally, low individual-level socioeconomic status (SES) was associated with higher rates of DENV infection (Braga et al., 2010; Farinelli et al. 2018). Bavia and colleagues (2020) found a statistically significant negative relationship between mean income, which is a strong indicator of SES and DENV incidence in southern Brazil.

Discussion

Overview of the Current Evidence

Antecedent efforts, largely based on research from the Special Programme for Research and Training for Tropical Diseases (TDR) at the World Health Organization (WHO), funded by the Ecosystems and Human Health (Ecohealth) Programme at Canada’s International Development Research Centre (IDRC), identified useful steps for investigating the ecological, biological, and social determinants of dengue and other vector-borne infectious diseases, and inspired the present work. We reviewed the literature to compile the evidence for the distinct ecological, biological, and social determinants of DENV vector dynamics, transmission, and epidemiology in LAC. Key findings from this review provided constructive evidence for recognizing the contributing factors of dengue emergence and re-emergence within LAC over the last 50 years.

The role of environmental and ecological determinants such as meteorological, climatological, and seasonal factors in influencing patterns of dengue transmission was emphasized in the literature. Particularly, there was a strong and significant relationship between indices of temperature and precipitation and the occurrence of dengue epidemics. Measures of relative humidity revealed similar effects as temperature on DENV occurrence since at higher temperatures; the air may contain more water vapor than the same volume of air at lower temperatures (Carneiro et al., 2017). For this reason, higher humidity levels at ideal temperature parameters can determine DENV transmission potential by regulating the location and magnitude of DENV risk (Campbell et al., 2015). The relationship between these factors and dengue outcomes is mediated by conductive changes to the life cycle of the DENV vector (e.g., breeding site availability; Kraemer et al., 2015).

The effect of artificial environmental factors that mediate inner-city temperatures, such as the UHI effect and pollution, on dengue transmission dynamics was addressed briefly in the literature. Urban areas are complex mosaics of heterogeneous environmental conditions that provide an epidemiological landscape for the DENV transmission chain (Pickett et al., 2011). More research in this field is needed to elucidate the physiographic (i.e., architectural) and territorial characteristics of the artificial environment that moderate dengue occurrence. Studies on global scale environmental factors such as climate change and the ENSO phenomenon and its impact on dengue occurrence at regional and local scales were limited. Against a backdrop of a warming globe, climatological factors (i.e., seasonal weather patterns at long-term time scales) have become unpredictable, and dramatic alterations to seasonal macroclimatic weather oscillations have been evidenced in LAC as a result (e.g., increased warm temperatures, rise in maximum sea levels, increased rainfall, etc.; IPCC, 2014). These factors may be associated with increasing the ecological suitability and plasticity of DENV vectors and the expansion of DENV risk in novel geographic settings (Naish et al., 2014).

We identified several biological determinants of dengue outcomes in the literature, including the impact of genetic variabilities on vectorial capacity and competence. Laboratory-based studies demonstrated the potential for A. aegypti populations from novel regions to transmit dengue (Lourenço de Oliveira et al., 2013). Vector competition and serotype dynamics were found to play a significant role in the dengue system, with implications for disease transmission patterns. Pathogenic indicators of the virus constituted biological determinants, and phylogeographic analyses demonstrated that the transmission of DENV serotypes vary at geographic and temporal scales. Other genetic studies demonstrated that the dengue viruses are competing and evolving, often through the deleterious genetic mutations of the virus and the progressive elimination of a particular lineage through genetic negative selection (i.e., purifying selection). This selection may depend on specific genotype-by-genotype (G × G) interactions, where vectorial capacity can determine serotype dominance and infection outcomes (Lambrechts et al., 2009). Importantly, serotype competition, and the resultant dominance of individual serotypes among human populations, may be influenced by the immunological profiles due to cross-reactive humoral and cellular immune responses between serotypes (Reiner Jr. et al., 2014).

We summarized the influence of social determinants on dengue transmission at global, community, household, and individual levels. Globalization facilitates DENV disease emergence and re-emergence in the Americas. International movement and migration of humans and vectors were identified as key drivers of dengue transmission in the region. Community and household-level factors were the most cited determinants of dengue outcomes in this review, including the location of the community relative to shared public spaces and transportation lines, and the structural conditions, infrastructure, and sanitation of households. Household compositional characteristics effectively determined DENV exposure and risk of household residents, underscoring the importance of integrated approaches to vector control and community engagement. Individual-level factors such as occupation, education, and knowledge about dengue were found to shape vulnerability to infection and exposure to DENV. The relationship between socioeconomic and cultural background and dengue infection, disaggregated by gender, should be assessed in future studies for the development of targeted interventions tailored to specific population groups. Importantly, poverty is a determinant of determinants, where unfavorable socioeconomic conditions are associated with lower levels of income, educational attainment and literacy, unemployment, and inadequate access to health services, among other barriers to health, and may mediate the relationship between SES and dengue epidemiology in LAC.

Limitations

One limitation of this review is the reliance on previously published research and the availability of these studies using the search strategy. Second, while several systematic methods and tools were used to conduct this review, this work is presented as a review and not a systematic review. Third, the heterogeneity of study methodologies and designs may have limited the comparability of findings across studies and LAC sub-regions. Fourth, this review emphasized the role of A. aegypti in shaping dengue outcomes and understated the role of the A. albopictus vector. We focused on the urban cycle of DENV transmission where the A. aegypti mosquito is more prevalent in the study region.

Conclusions

To the best of our knowledge, no study has compiled the existing evidence for the ecological, biological, and social determinants of dengue epidemiology in LAC. In this review, we underscored the multifaceted nature of dengue transmission dynamics in LAC. This scoping review serves as a starting point for future research to equip policymakers and public health practitioners toward developing effective strategies to mitigate the impact of dengue and protect vulnerable populations in the region. Prospective research should include qualitative research that investigates the differential experiences of communities and individuals and explores the latent, personalized social and cultural factors involved in DENV transmission. Future works may also endeavor to investigate the dynamic relationships between all the climatological, meteorological, and geographical; pathological and entomological; and socioeconomic, demographic, and cultural factors that regulate DENV vector dynamics and DENV transmission and epidemiological outcomes in LAC.

Supplementary Information

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

Acknowledgements

We kindly thank Dr. Roberto Bazzani for his guidance during the inception and conduct of this review.

Funding

This work was carried out with the aid of funding from the International Development Research Centre (IDRC; https://idrc-crdi.ca/en) (IDRC Project ID: 109935–806). The views expressed herein do not necessarily represent those of IDRC or its Board of Governors.

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