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. 2025 Aug 15;104(33):e43732. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000043732

Dissecting the role of inflammatory biomarkers in breast cancer: Insights from Mendelian randomization

Xiyin Yang a, Qiang Hu b,c,*
PMCID: PMC12366995  PMID: 40826779

Abstract

Inflammatory biomarkers (including C-reactive protein [CRP], interleukin-6 [IL-6], procalcitonin [PCT], and serum amyloid A [SAA]) have been postulated to influence tumorigenesis, yet their causal relevance to breast cancer (BC) remains uncertain. We applied a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) framework to evaluate putative causal relationships between these circulating inflammatory factors and BC risk. Publicly available genome-wide association study summary statistics were used to identify, curate, and clump single-nucleotide polymorphisms that robustly trace CRP, IL-6, PCT, and SAA concentrations, which then served as instrumental variables. Causal estimates were generated with inverse-variance weighting, MR-Egger regression, weighted-median, simple-mode, and weighted-mode models. Heterogeneity was assessed by Cochran Q statistic, horizontal pleiotropy by the MR-Egger intercept, and robustness by leave-one-out as well as funnel-plot inspection. Two-sample MR demonstrated that genetically predicted SAA is positively associated with BC risk (inverse-variance weighting odds ratios = 1.002, 95% confidence interval 1.000–1.003, P = .023), whereas CRP, IL-6, and PCT exhibited no evidence of causal effects on BC in any MR model. Sensitivity analyses showed no substantial heterogeneity or directional pleiotropy, and causal estimates were stable after sequential SNP exclusion. In summary, the present MR study provides genetic evidence that elevated SAA causally increases the risk of developing BC, whereas CRP, IL-6, and PCT do not appear to exert independent causal influences.

Keywords: breast cancer, causal relationship, C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, Mendelian randomization, procalcitonin, serum amyloid A

1. Introduction

In recent years, the connection between inflammation and cancer has been a focal point of research, as inflammation is increasingly recognized as a critical factor in cancer development and progression. Inflammation contributes to various stages of cancer, including initiation, promotion, and metastasis. The tumor microenvironment, which includes inflammatory cells and cytokines, plays a significant role in supporting tumor growth and survival.[13] Chronic low-level inflammation is linked to the development and spread of many cancers. Breast cancer (BC) is one of the most common cancers in women, and its causes include genetics, environment, hormones, and the immune system.[4,5] In recent studies, inflammation factors like C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and serum amyloid A (SAA) have become important topics in cancer research. These factors are often used in clinical practice to check for inflammation in cancer patients and also show the development of tumors. Because of this, studying the link between these factors and BC is important for both science and treatment.

Mendelian randomization (MR) is a method that uses genetic differences to study cause and effect.[6,7] It has been used more in cancer and disease research. By looking at genetic differences linked to inflammation factors, MR can avoid problems in regular studies, like confusion or wrong conclusions.[8,9] In BC research, MR is a new way to find out if inflammation factors cause the disease. This study will look at how CRP, PCT, IL-6, and SAA affect the chance of getting BC using MR. We hope this study will help doctors better understand how to screen and prevent BC and find new ways to treat it.

2. Materials and methods

2.1. Research methods

This study used Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to explore the causal relationship between inflammatory factors and BC, treating inflammatory factors (CRP, IL-6, PCT, and SAA) as exposures and BC as the outcome (Fig. 1). Sensitivity analyses were conducted to verify the reliability of MR results. MR analysis relies on 3 key assumptions (Fig. 2): ① relevance assumption: the instrumental SNPs must be strongly associated with the exposure; ② independence assumption: the instrumental variables must not be related to confounders affecting the outcome; ③ exclusion restriction assumption: the instrumental variables should affect the outcome only through the exposure.

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

Flowchart of Mendelian randomization.

Figure 2.

Figure 2.

Flowchart of 3 assumptions.

2.2. Data sources

All data used in this study were obtained from the IEU open genome-wide association study (GWAS) project database and are publicly available. CRP data from a 2022 GWAS (ebi-a-GCST90029070; n = 575,531; 10,713,245 SNPs). PCT data from a 2018 GWAS (prot-a-341; n = 3301; 10,534,735 SNPs). IL-6 data from a 2020 GWAS (ebi-a-GCST90012005; n = 21,758; 11,782,139 SNPs). SAA data from a 2020 GWAS (ebi-a-GCST90019411; n = 10,708; 15,567,814 SNPs). BC data from a 2018 GWAS (ukb-b-16890; n = 462,933; 10,303 cases and 452,630 controls; 9,851,867 SNPs). All samples were of European ancestry to minimize population stratification bias. Ethical approval was not required for using publicly available data (Table 1).

Table 1.

Genetic summary data sources for inflammatory factors and BC.

Trait Sample size Population ncase ncontrol Sex PMID
CRP 575,531 European NA NA Males and females 35459240
PCT 3301 European NA NA Males and females 29875488
IL-6 21,758 European NA NA Males and females 33067605
SAA 10,708 European NA NA Males and females 33328453
BC 462,933 European 10,303 452,630 Males and females NA

BC = breast cancer, CRP = C-reactive protein, IL-6 = interleukin-6, PCT = procalcitonin, SAA = serum amyloid A.

2.3. SNP selection

Using the R package TwoSampleMR, SNPs were selected based on MR assumptions. SNPs significantly associated with exposures (P < 5 × 10‐8) were filtered, with LD parameters set at r²=0.001 and kb = 10,000 to remove linked SNPs. Palindromic SNPs with intermediate allele frequencies were excluded. MR-PRESSO was used to identify and remove outlier SNPs. F-statistics (F > 10) were calculated to ensure instrument strength, using the formula F = β²/SE².

2.4. Statistical analysis

Data importation, SNP selection, MR analysis, and sensitivity analyses were performed using R software version 4.4.1 and the TwoSampleMR package (version 0.6.8).

2.4.1. MR analysis

The inverse-variance weighting (IVW) method was used as the primary analysis, supplemented by MR-Egger, weighted median, simple mode, and weighted mode methods. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated to assess the causal relationship. IVW is considered the most accurate MR method when there is no significant heterogeneity or horizontal pleiotropy (P > .05).

2.4.2. Sensitivity analysis

Several sensitivity analyses were conducted to validate the MR results. ① Horizontal pleiotropy was assessed using the MR-Egger intercept test (P > .05 indicates no pleiotropy). ② Heterogeneity was assessed using Cochran Q test for both IVW and MR-Egger methods (P > .05 indicates no heterogeneity). ③ Leave-one-out analysis assessed the influence of individual SNPs on the results. ④ Funnel plots were visually inspected for symmetry to detect bias.

3. Results

3.1. Instrumental variables

Two hundred sixty-four SNPs for CRP, 16 SNPs for PCT, 17 SNPs for IL-6, and 6 SNPs for SAA were included, all with F-statistics > 10, indicating no weak instrument bias (Tables 25).

Table 2.

A total of 264 independent SNPs strongly associated with the exposure were included for CRP.

SNP Effect Other chr beta se pval F
rs3935032 T C 1 ‐0.0153 0.0023 6.42E‐11 44.251
rs12132412 G A 1 0.0182 0.0021 1.70E‐17 75.111
rs585406 T C 1 0.0116 0.002 1.22E‐08 33.64
rs469882 C A 1 ‐0.0349 0.0025 8.68E‐43 194.882
rs2211320 A G 1 ‐0.1766 0.0021 1.00E‐200 7072.009
rs630372 A G 1 0.0154 0.0023 4.82E‐11 44.832
rs10924372 T C 1 ‐0.0147 0.0021 6.18E‐12 49
rs12239046 C T 1 0.0404 0.002 1.34E‐87 408.04
rs6695572 A G 1 0.0143 0.0025 1.93E‐08 32.718
rs78511209 G C 1 ‐0.0213 0.0035 7.60E‐10 37.036
rs12730935 A G 1 ‐0.0936 0.002 1.00E‐200 2190.24
rs55852476 A G 1 ‐0.0201 0.0031 4.68E‐11 42.041
rs75460349 C A 1 ‐0.0948 0.0067 3.40E‐45 200.201
rs3768321 T G 1 0.0338 0.0025 3.06E‐40 182.79
rs1353595 C A 1 0.0282 0.0029 4.51E‐23 94.559
rs197422 A C 1 0.0123 0.002 1.54E‐09 37.822
rs17417252 G A 1 0.015 0.0022 2.13E‐11 46.488
rs11118625 G A 1 ‐0.0194 0.0022 4.67E‐18 77.76
rs11577023 C T 1 ‐0.0148 0.0021 4.45E‐12 49.669
rs34298354 T C 1 ‐0.0278 0.0031 8.90E‐20 80.42
rs301798 G A 1 0.0117 0.0021 4.44E‐08 31.041
rs34761529 T C 1 ‐0.0179 0.0025 2.03E‐12 51.266
rs4655802 A G 1 ‐0.021 0.002 6.16E‐25 110.25
rs2376015 G A 1 ‐0.118 0.002 1.00E‐200 3481
rs797680 T G 1 ‐0.0144 0.002 1.53E‐12 51.84
rs7528419 G A 1 0.0159 0.0024 7.67E‐11 43.891
rs34065906 A G 1 ‐0.0545 0.0027 1.79E‐87 407.442
rs59519769 G A 1 ‐0.0355 0.0059 1.84E‐09 36.204
rs2325924 C T 1 0.0286 0.0022 2.46E‐37 169
rs4433388 G C 1 0.0501 0.002 1.15E‐133 627.502
rs12025074 G A 1 0.0181 0.0023 1.08E‐14 61.93
rs10864088 A G 1 ‐0.016 0.0021 7.25E‐14 58.05
rs12118890 C G 1 ‐0.0168 0.0029 3.79E‐09 33.56
rs62104180 A G 2 ‐0.0315 0.0049 1.15E‐10 41.327
rs13021775 G C 2 0.0144 0.002 1.53E‐12 51.84
rs13416992 C A 2 ‐0.0124 0.002 1.13E‐09 38.44
rs12621948 G C 2 ‐0.0126 0.0022 1.85E‐08 32.802
rs2970901 T G 2 0.0134 0.002 4.68E‐11 44.89
rs6734238 G A 2 0.0449 0.002 9.53E‐108 504.003
rs728455 T C 2 0.0136 0.0021 2.01E‐10 41.941
rs10497423 T G 2 ‐0.0134 0.002 4.68E‐11 44.89
rs59916403 T G 2 0.0166 0.0021 8.23E‐15 62.485
rs13028310 C T 2 0.026 0.0026 9.06E‐23 100
rs11689543 T A 2 0.0186 0.002 6.58E‐20 86.49
rs35628191 T C 2 ‐0.012 0.002 3.79E‐09 36
rs2161037 A G 2 0.0205 0.002 7.70E‐24 105.063
rs1869358 C T 2 ‐0.0169 0.0024 4.64E‐12 49.585
rs10498240 A C 2 0.0133 0.0021 4.95E‐10 40.111
rs1260326 C T 2 ‐0.0758 0.002 1.00E‐200 1436.41
rs2041748 G A 2 ‐0.0223 0.0023 1.68E‐21 94.006
rs4849147 T A 2 0.0169 0.0022 4.52E‐14 59.01
rs77143791 G A 2 ‐0.033 0.0051 9.02E‐11 41.869
rs6435156 T C 2 0.0137 0.0023 4.90E‐09 35.48
rs1441169 G A 2 ‐0.021 0.002 6.16E‐25 110.25
rs12620844 C T 2 0.0133 0.002 6.51E‐11 44.223
rs7594775 C T 2 0.0147 0.0021 6.18E‐12 49
rs2054872 A C 3 0.0175 0.0027 1.94E‐10 42.01
rs6792725 G A 3 ‐0.0185 0.0022 1.46E‐16 70.713
rs58936320 A T 3 0.0123 0.0021 8.78E‐09 34.306
rs13066686 A C 3 ‐0.0128 0.002 3.26E‐10 40.96
rs11711864 G A 3 ‐0.0113 0.002 2.87E‐08 31.922
rs3732356 T G 3 ‐0.0235 0.0042 1.81E‐08 31.307
rs1969066 A G 3 0.0133 0.0022 2.89E‐09 36.548
rs1470560 A G 3 0.0121 0.0021 1.52E‐08 33.2
rs687339 T C 3 ‐0.0249 0.0024 2.19E‐24 107.641
rs35415272 AAAC A 3 ‐0.0129 0.0023 3.61E‐08 31.457
rs2596937 C T 3 0.0173 0.0024 1.44E‐12 51.96
rs6775319 T A 3 0.0131 0.0022 4.96E‐09 35.457
rs2280406 A G 3 0.0222 0.002 1.12E‐27 123.21
rs2310227 T G 3 ‐0.0119 0.0021 2.61E‐08 32.111
rs6443429 C A 3 ‐0.0134 0.0021 3.67E‐10 40.717
rs6801781 G A 3 ‐0.0129 0.0022 8.45E‐09 34.382
rs1905505 A G 3 0.0196 0.0022 2.13E‐18 79.372
rs7662792 T A 4 0.0166 0.0021 8.23E‐15 62.485
rs10027275 C G 4 ‐0.0138 0.0023 3.79E‐09 36
rs994596 T C 4 0.0137 0.0021 1.48E‐10 42.56
rs4832754 C T 4 ‐0.0126 0.0022 1.85E‐08 32.802
rs45499402 C G 4 ‐0.019 0.0033 5.49E‐09 33.15
rs201223023 AC A 4 0.0134 0.0023 1.05E‐08 33.943
rs141936164 G A 4 ‐0.0127 0.0021 2.85E‐09 36.574
rs4690098 T C 4 0.0167 0.0024 8.24E‐12 48.418
rs166169 C T 5 0.0188 0.0029 4.26E‐11 42.026
rs142503704 A G 5 0.0436 0.0079 4.02E‐08 30.459
rs6595549 C G 5 ‐0.0155 0.0026 4.76E‐09 35.54
rs6453434 T G 5 0.0184 0.0021 7.58E‐18 76.771
rs288183 G T 5 ‐0.0148 0.0026 2.26E‐08 32.402
rs72799497 C T 5 0.0166 0.0027 1.55E‐09 37.8
rs2289852 A G 5 ‐0.0313 0.0044 8.72E‐13 50.604
rs2608101 C T 5 0.0143 0.0023 1.02E‐09 38.656
rs11242113 A G 5 ‐0.0148 0.0025 6.08E‐09 35.046
rs77704739 C T 5 ‐0.0483 0.0052 1.38E‐20 86.276
rs750344 A G 5 0.0158 0.0022 1.74E‐12 51.579
rs3805433 G C 5 0.0151 0.0022 1.57E‐11 47.11
rs2161374 T C 5 ‐0.0191 0.002 6.60E‐21 91.202
rs6925389 G A 6 0.0149 0.0021 3.20E‐12 50.342
rs13216424 A G 6 0.0152 0.0026 9.35E‐09 34.178
rs6905544 G A 6 0.015 0.002 1.75E‐13 56.25
rs654912 C T 6 ‐0.013 0.0022 6.48E‐09 34.917
rs991946 T C 6 0.0112 0.002 3.79E‐08 31.36
rs4714508 G A 6 0.0179 0.0021 5.67E‐17 72.655
rs2307377 G A 6 0.0221 0.0038 4.45E‐09 33.823
rs174373 C T 6 ‐0.0135 0.0024 3.30E‐08 31.641
rs4354188 C T 6 ‐0.018 0.002 9.60E‐19 81
rs141783576 C G 6 ‐0.041 0.0046 3.59E‐19 79.442
rs1338071 C G 6 0.0163 0.0022 3.41E‐13 54.895
rs5017416 T G 6 0.0268 0.0047 1.05E‐08 32.514
rs1490384 T C 6 ‐0.0279 0.002 9.94E‐43 194.603
rs12202212 T C 6 0.0119 0.0021 2.61E‐08 32.111
rs6920220 A G 6 0.0219 0.0024 3.17E‐19 83.266
rs3808348 T C 7 ‐0.0224 0.0025 1.36E‐18 80.282
rs1880241 G A 7 -0.0252 0.002 3.54E‐35 158.76
rs12673996 T C 7 ‐0.027 0.0024 2.20E‐28 126.563
rs62451586 A G 7 ‐0.02 0.0033 8.32E‐10 36.731
rs1918912 T C 7 ‐0.0124 0.0022 3.10E‐08 31.769
rs35462231 T A 7 ‐0.0212 0.0024 4.10E‐18 78.028
rs73476799 G A 7 0.0414 0.0071 6.29E‐09 34
rs7794705 G A 7 ‐0.0259 0.0027 4.44E‐21 92.018
rs114947103 C T 7 0.0157 0.0026 3.01E‐09 36.463
rs17196595 T C 7 ‐0.0141 0.0023 1.73E‐09 37.582
rs79941637 T A 7 ‐0.0292 0.0045 7.12E‐11 42.106
rs2700938 C T 7 0.0236 0.0021 2.51E‐28 126.295
rs73137144 G A 7 ‐0.0186 0.0026 2.12E‐12 51.178
rs35695283 G A 7 ‐0.0372 0.0031 4.02E‐34 144
rs113184201 A G 7 0.0144 0.0021 1.64E‐11 47.02
rs7801838 T C 7 ‐0.0128 0.0022 1.10E‐08 33.851
rs7012637 A G 8 0.0499 0.002 1.29E‐132 622.502
rs6992315 T C 8 ‐0.0135 0.0022 1.67E‐09 37.655
rs11786900 C G 8 ‐0.0368 0.0035 2.14E‐26 110.55
rs685218 A C 8 0.0137 0.0021 1.48E‐10 42.56
rs11782130 T G 8 0.0123 0.0021 8.78E‐09 34.306
rs10106298 A G 8 0.0151 0.0021 1.64E‐12 51.703
rs1545536 T C 8 ‐0.0244 0.0025 9.14E‐22 95.258
rs10095930 T C 8 0.0286 0.002 8.23E‐45 204.49
rs13261587 T C 8 0.0204 0.002 1.27E‐23 104.04
rs112875651 A G 8 ‐0.0202 0.0021 3.46E‐21 92.526
rs424539 G C 9 0.012 0.0021 1.99E‐08 32.653
rs1935237 C A 9 0.0198 0.0027 5.90E‐13 53.778
rs78428995 C T 9 0.0203 0.002 2.08E‐23 103.022
rs10760691 G A 9 0.0172 0.0021 8.65E‐16 67.084
rs13294945 G T 9 ‐0.0137 0.0024 2.06E‐08 32.585
rs10868852 A C 9 0.0344 0.006 1.02E‐08 32.871
rs505922 C T 9 0.0239 0.0021 5.21E‐29 129.526
rs10969334 A C 9 ‐0.0112 0.002 3.79E‐08 31.36
rs10797119 C T 9 0.0177 0.002 3.55E‐18 78.322
rs12251016 T A 10 0.0144 0.0021 1.64E‐11 47.02
rs7908825 G C 10 0.0133 0.002 6.51E‐11 44.223
rs303429 T C 10 ‐0.0152 0.002 8.35E‐14 57.76
rs1332328 T C 10 0.0265 0.0021 2.81E‐35 159.24
rs7084062 G A 10 0.0133 0.0021 4.95E‐10 40.111
rs704017 G A 10 ‐0.016 0.002 3.92E‐15 64
rs835278 T A 10 ‐0.015 0.0021 2.29E‐12 51.02
rs10831676 C A 11 ‐0.0118 0.002 6.84E‐09 34.81
rs1222209 A C 11 ‐0.0146 0.0021 8.58E‐12 48.336
rs2956395 G C 11 0.0145 0.0021 1.19E‐11 47.676
rs1401454 T C 11 ‐0.0129 0.002 2.37E‐10 41.602
rs4755726 G T 11 ‐0.0167 0.0022 8.94E‐14 57.622
rs7127808 T A 11 0.0206 0.0026 7.14E‐15 62.775
rs663015 C T 11 0.0167 0.0021 5.69E‐15 63.24
rs34092660 C T 11 ‐0.0128 0.0022 1.10E‐08 33.851
rs62618693 T C 11 ‐0.0296 0.0051 6.08E‐09 33.686
rs6486122 T C 11 0.0296 0.0021 1.38E‐43 198.676
rs7103411 T C 11 0.0216 0.0024 9.60E‐19 81
rs4647725 C T 11 ‐0.0333 0.0027 8.94E‐34 152.111
rs7933202 C A 11 ‐0.021 0.002 6.16E‐25 110.25
rs11047224 C G 12 ‐0.0522 0.0054 3.90E‐22 93.444
rs1800973 A C 12 0.0294 0.0043 6.18E‐12 46.747
rs7970695 A G 12 0.1496 0.002 1.00E‐200 5595.04
rs117316622 T C 12 0.042 0.0076 3.79E‐08 30.54
rs1800693 C T 12 ‐0.0218 0.002 9.56E‐27 118.81
rs4963725 T C 12 0.0163 0.003 3.38E‐08 29.521
rs2465585 G A 12 ‐0.0224 0.0025 1.36E‐18 80.282
rs77738620 T C 12 ‐0.0588 0.0099 2.62E‐09 35.276
rs4764939 T C 12 ‐0.0201 0.002 5.56E‐23 101.003
rs112303588 C G 12 0.045 0.0063 1.01E‐12 51.02
rs2668244 G C 12 0.0286 0.0038 3.15E‐14 56.645
rs9738365 A C 12 0.0212 0.0023 1.39E‐19 84.96
rs6582586 A G 12 0.0114 0.002 2.16E‐08 32.49
rs17098829 C G 12 ‐0.0129 0.0023 3.61E‐08 31.457
rs4842708 T C 12 ‐0.0149 0.002 2.53E‐13 55.503
rs2126886 T C 12 ‐0.0172 0.0024 1.94E‐12 51.361
rs2657896 T C 12 ‐0.0233 0.0027 2.33E‐17 74.471
rs2393794 C T 12 0.0367 0.0026 1.05E‐43 199.244
rs72656645 G A 12 0.015 0.0022 2.13E‐11 46.488
rs7302913 A G 12 ‐0.0279 0.002 9.94E‐43 194.603
rs12229097 T C 12 ‐0.0133 0.0023 1.35E‐08 33.439
rs17691879 T C 13 ‐0.015 0.0027 4.85E‐08 30.864
rs11617494 A G 13 0.0144 0.0024 3.79E‐09 36
rs7993752 A C 13 ‐0.0134 0.002 4.68E‐11 44.89
rs9604045 T G 13 ‐0.0229 0.0027 8.06E‐17 71.936
rs2786178 C T 13 ‐0.0142 0.0025 2.42E‐08 32.262
rs11159021 C T 14 0.0118 0.0021 3.41E‐08 31.574
rs6573778 C T 14 0.0179 0.002 1.49E‐18 80.102
rs146424514 A G 14 0.0159 0.0027 7.30E‐09 34.679
rs55772175 C T 14 ‐0.0171 0.0021 1.27E‐15 66.306
rs17781691 G A 14 ‐0.0188 0.002 2.64E‐20 88.36
rs76014628 T C 14 ‐0.0142 0.0024 6.20E‐09 35.007
rs56047269 T C 14 0.014 0.0022 4.10E‐10 40.496
rs28929474 T C 14 ‐0.1003 0.0074 1.67E‐41 183.712
rs34864350 G A 14 0.0301 0.0046 5.04E‐11 42.817
rs2239222 G A 14 0.0359 0.0021 2.85E‐63 292.247
rs4776150 A G 15 ‐0.0182 0.002 3.97E‐19 82.81
rs340005 A G 15 0.0339 0.0021 1.29E‐56 260.592
rs9788721 T C 15 ‐0.0121 0.0021 1.52E‐08 33.2
rs55707100 T C 15 0.0692 0.0063 5.79E‐28 120.651
rs60669734 T C 15 ‐0.0287 0.0034 1.32E‐17 71.253
rs56187480 A G 15 ‐0.0156 0.0021 2.96E‐13 55.184
rs728538 G T 16 0.0397 0.0027 2.82E‐47 216.199
rs4988483 A C 16 0.0278 0.0051 4.74E‐08 29.713
rs2726033 G A 16 0.0151 0.0022 1.57E‐11 47.11
rs28429148 A G 16 0.0247 0.0021 7.18E‐31 138.342
rs12933677 C T 16 0.0137 0.002 1.72E‐11 46.923
rs60037105 A T 16 0.0183 0.0022 3.08E‐16 69.192
rs6500446 G A 16 ‐0.0114 0.002 2.16E‐08 32.49
rs12716972 G A 16 0.0115 0.002 1.63E‐08 33.062
rs141179989 T C 16 ‐0.0572 0.0097 3.34E‐09 34.774
rs66985888 G A 16 ‐0.035 0.0059 3.08E‐09 35.191
rs4018180 A G 16 ‐0.0317 0.0042 3.10E‐14 56.967
rs17616063 G A 16 ‐0.1338 0.0044 1.00E‐200 924.713
rs12929503 C T 16 ‐0.0161 0.002 2.64E‐15 64.803
rs12927172 G A 16 ‐0.0193 0.002 2.59E‐21 93.123
rs62089592 A G 17 0.0142 0.0021 3.11E‐11 45.723
rs992072 T G 17 ‐0.0148 0.0022 3.91E‐11 45.256
rs7217663 T C 17 ‐0.0213 0.0035 7.60E‐10 37.036
rs1557812 A G 17 0.0153 0.0024 3.81E‐10 40.641
rs8070176 T C 17 ‐0.015 0.0023 1.50E‐10 42.533
rs11658216 T C 17 0.0274 0.0024 3.51E‐29 130.34
rs178826 T C 17 0.0158 0.002 8.54E‐15 62.41
rs17138478 A C 17 0.0338 0.0032 9.23E‐27 111.566
rs8072566 A G 17 ‐0.0204 0.0025 1.11E‐15 66.586
rs1292061 G A 17 0.0209 0.002 1.02E‐24 109.202
rs11078597 C T 17 ‐0.0187 0.0026 1.62E‐12 51.729
rs149394327 C G 17 0.0593 0.0063 5.77E‐21 88.599
rs1037170 T C 17 0.0281 0.0023 3.56E‐33 149.265
rs11868378 A G 17 ‐0.0334 0.0027 5.73E‐34 153.026
rs2542153 C T 18 0.0237 0.002 2.61E‐31 140.422
rs9965184 T A 18 ‐0.0118 0.0021 3.41E‐08 31.574
rs2339102 T C 18 0.0125 0.002 8.32E‐10 39.063
rs55855238 C T 18 0.027 0.0021 1.48E‐36 165.306
rs12605964 T C 18 0.0141 0.0021 4.26E‐11 45.082
rs10871777 G A 18 0.0196 0.0023 5.76E‐17 72.62
rs34866669 C G 18 0.0137 0.0021 1.48E‐10 42.56
rs123698 C G 19 ‐0.0132 0.0022 3.79E‐09 36
rs62119267 C A 19 0.0505 0.0071 1.38E‐12 50.59
rs429358 C T 19 ‐0.2652 0.0029 1.00E‐200 8362.787
rs59737437 T C 19 -0.015 0.0023 1.50E‐10 42.533
rs58542926 T C 19 0.0356 0.0039 3.53E‐20 83.324
rs199956232 CT C 19 ‐0.0673 0.0027 2.30E‐132 621.302
rs10420434 A G 19 0.0598 0.005 4.17E‐33 143.042
rs117627359 T C 19 ‐0.0343 0.0056 9.05E‐10 37.516
rs373043655 T C 19 ‐0.05 0.0072 4.62E‐12 48.225
rs117664574 G C 19 0.087 0.0069 3.24E‐36 158.979
rs2207132 A G 20 0.0487 0.006 5.18E‐16 65.88
rs1800961 T C 20 ‐0.1074 0.0059 6.50E‐74 331.363
rs74616372 C T 20 ‐0.0228 0.0036 1.57E‐10 40.111
rs6070563 G A 20 0.0129 0.0021 1.60E‐09 37.735
rs6090040 C A 20 ‐0.0154 0.002 3.94E‐14 59.29
rs2260997 T G 20 0.0178 0.002 2.30E‐18 79.21
rs1056441 C T 20 0.0208 0.0021 2.28E‐22 98.104
rs9977825 C T 21 ‐0.0122 0.0021 1.16E‐08 33.751
rs16988471 C A 21 0.0336 0.0049 6.18E‐12 47.02
rs4817984 A C 21 ‐0.0344 0.0022 3.14E‐53 244.496
rs6519133 C T 22 ‐0.0313 0.0021 1.58E‐48 222.152
rs4821764 A G 22 ‐0.0132 0.002 9.02E‐11 43.56
rs111298861 T G 22 ‐0.0159 0.002 5.79E‐15 63.203

CRP = C-reactive protein.

Table 5.

A total of 6 independent SNPs strongly associated with the exposure were included for SAA.

SNP Effect Other chr beta se pval F
rs1938498 C T 1 ‐0.1633 0.0136 5.26E‐33 144.177
rs2668202 G A 3 ‐0.1232 0.0138 5.45E‐19 79.701
rs746463 T C 11 ‐0.0884 0.0145 1.14E‐09 37.168
rs12286251 G A 11 0.1345 0.0179 6.00E‐14 56.46
rs11606304 G T 11 0.1807 0.0255 1.24E‐12 50.215
rs11024589 C A 11 ‐0.6126 0.0224 2.17E‐164 747.925

SAA = serum amyloid A, SNPs = single nucleotide polymorphisms.

Table 3.

A total of 16 independent SNPs strongly associated with the exposure were included for PCT.

SNP Effect Other chr beta se pval F
rs12043613 G A 1 0.2118 0.0449 2.34E‐06 22.251
rs141164217 C A 2 0.6489 0.1411 4.27E‐06 21.15
rs2270263 T C 2 0.1351 0.0264 3.16E‐07 26.188
rs145214525 A G 2 ‐0.5883 0.1208 1.12E‐06 23.717
rs76051678 A G 6 ‐0.2321 0.0503 3.98E‐06 21.292
rs9474592 C A 6 ‐0.1542 0.0309 6.31E‐07 24.903
rs147828190 T C 7 0.4433 0.0807 3.98E‐08 30.175
rs13288876 A G 9 ‐0.2279 0.049 3.31E‐06 21.632
rs114802537 A G 10 0.5487 0.1166 2.51E‐06 22.145
rs57626295 G T 11 ‐0.1324 0.0282 2.75E‐06 22.043
rs78816719 C T 12 0.3072 0.0671 4.68E‐06 20.96
rs1446528 G A 12 0.1375 0.028 9.12E‐07 24.115
rs113712971 T C 13 ‐0.233 0.0507 4.27E‐06 21.12
rs74093831 A C 14 0.1487 0.028 1.15E‐07 28.204
rs61986621 T C 14 0.145 0.0314 3.80E‐06 21.324
rs2427459 T C 20 0.1166 0.025 3.16E‐06 21.753

PCT = procalcitonin.

Table 4.

A total of 17 independent SNPs strongly associated with the exposure were included for IL-6.

SNP Effect Other chr beta se pval. F
rs111572787 T C 1 0.4099 0.0893 4.44E‐06 21.069
rs2228145 C A 1 0.1747 0.0124 3.34E‐45 198.492
rs192869620 A G 1 ‐0.4749 0.0954 6.44E‐07 24.78
rs148924545 G A 1 ‐0.1821 0.0379 1.51E‐06 23.086
rs1444691 G A 2 ‐0.0573 0.0122 2.69E‐06 22.059
rs9811834 T A 3 ‐0.0679 0.0147 4.11E‐06 21.336
rs80316479 T C 3 ‐0.1956 0.0418 2.92E‐06 21.897
rs34032964 T A 4 ‐0.4095 0.0884 3.57E‐06 21.459
rs7448500 G C 5 0.0631 0.0128 8.68E‐07 24.302
rs4959106 C T 6 0.0823 0.0138 2.37E‐09 35.567
rs76598619 C T 7 ‐0.2511 0.0506 7.01E‐07 24.626
rs35119607 T C 11 0.1295 0.0284 4.99E‐06 20.792
rs144530765 G A 11 ‐0.3623 0.0731 7.16E‐07 24.564
rs1530088 T C 16 0.068 0.0147 3.95E‐06 21.398
rs2288477 G A 19 ‐0.0617 0.0133 3.74E‐06 21.521
rs4802241 C A 19 ‐0.0791 0.0166 1.85E‐06 22.706
rs2651097 A G 19 ‐0.071 0.0155 4.52E‐06 20.982

IL-6 = interleukin-6.

3.1.1. MR analysis results

IVW, MR-Egger, weighted median, simple mode, and weighted mode analyses consistently indicated no causal relationship between CRP, IL-6, PCT, and BC (P > .05). IVW analysis suggested that SAA increases BC risk [odds ratios = 1.002, 95% confidence interval (1.000, 1.003), P = .023]. Although other methods did not show a significant association for SAA, IVW as the primary method supports a causal relationship (P < .05) (Table 6).

Table 6.

The causal effect of different inflammatory factors and BC.

Exposure Outcome IVW MR-Egger Weighted median
OR
(95 % CI)
P Q P OR
(95 % CI)
P Q P OR
(95 % CI)
P
CRP BC 1.000 (0.998–1.002) .992 327.881 .000 1.000 (0.998–1.002) .799 327.372 .000 1.000 (0.998–1.002) .996
PCT BC 1.000 (0.998–1.001) .741 13.014 .223 0.996 (0.988–1.004) .363 11.919 .218 1.000 (0.996–1.003) .568
IL-6 BC 1.000 (0.998–1.003) .836 1.954 .992 1.002 (0.996–1.007) .537 1.576 .991 1.001 (0.997–1.004) .741
SAA BC 1.002 (1.000–1.003) .023 2.106 .716 1.001 (0.999–1.003) .429 1.652 .648 1.001 (0.999–1.003) .164

BC = breast cancer, CI = confidence interval, CRP = C-reactive protein, IL-6 = interleukin-6, IVW = inverse-variance weighting, OR = odds ratios, P = P value, PCT = procalcitonin, Q = cochran Q, SAA = serum amyloid A.

3.2. Sensitivity analyses

Heterogeneity tests for PCT, IL-6, and SAA showed no heterogeneity (IVW: Q = 13.014, P = .223; Q = 1.954, P = .992; Q = 2.106, P = .716). MR-Egger heterogeneity tests also showed no heterogeneity. MR-Egger intercept tests showed no evidence of horizontal pleiotropy for PCT, IL-6, or SAA (Table 7). Leave-one-out analyses indicated that no single SNP influenced the causal estimates significantly (Figs. 35). Funnel plots were largely symmetrical, suggesting minimal bias (Figs. 68).

Table 7.

Horizontal pleiotropy in different inflammatory factors and BC.

Exposure Outcome Egger_intercept P value
CRP BC ‐0.000 .717
PCT BC 0.001 .387
IL-6 BC ‐0.000 .556
SAA BC 0.000 .549

BC = breast cancer, CRP = C-reactive protein, IL-6 = interleukin-6, PCT = procalcitonin, SAA = serum amyloid A.

Figure 3.

Figure 3.

The leave-one-out method for the causal effect of PCT on breast cancer. PCT = procalcitonin.

Figure 5.

Figure 5.

The leave-one-out method for the causal effect of SAA on breast cancer. SAA = serum amyloid A.

Figure 6.

Figure 6.

Funnel plot of the causal effect of PCT on breast cancer. PCT = procalcitonin.

Figure 8.

Figure 8.

Funnel plot of the causal effect of SAA on breast cancer. SAA = serum amyloid A.

Figure 4.

Figure 4.

The leave-one-out method for the causal effect of IL-6 on breast cancer. IL-6 = interleukin-6.

Figure 7.

Figure 7.

Funnel plot of the causal effect of IL-6 on breast cancer. IL-6 = interleukin-6.

For CRP, heterogeneity was detected (IVW: Q = 327.881, P < .01; MR-Egger: Q = 327.372, P < .01) but did not affect the overall conclusion. No evidence of horizontal pleiotropy was found (Egger intercept = ‐0.000, P = .717). Leave-one-out analysis confirmed that no single SNP significantly influenced the causal inference (Fig. 9). Funnel plots were largely symmetrical, indicating minimal bias (Fig. 10).

Figure 9.

Figure 9.

The leave-one-out method for the causal effect of CRP on breast cancer. CRP = C-reactive protein.

Figure 10.

Figure 10.

Funnel plot of the causal effect of CRP on breast cancer. CRP = C-reactive protein.

4. Discussion

This study used two-sample Mendelian randomization to explore the causal relationship between inflammatory factors and BC. Inflammatory factors are widely considered to play an important role in the occurrence and development of various cancers, particularly in the immune microenvironment of BC, where they may promote tumor development by regulating tumor cell proliferation, metastasis, and immune evasion. However, traditional observational studies often suffer from confounding factors and biases, making it difficult to draw clear causal conclusions. To overcome these limitations, this study used genetic instrumental variables, effectively eliminating these potential biases, and providing more reliable causal inference. The results of the study suggest a significant causal relationship between SAA and BC, while no such relationship was found for PCT, CRP, and IL-6, offering new insights into the different roles of inflammatory factors in the development of BC.

CRP is a widely used inflammatory marker. Its levels typically rise in response to systemic inflammation. Many studies suggest that CRP is associated with the occurrence, metastasis, and prognosis of BC.[10,11] Elevated CRP usually reflects a chronic inflammatory response, and such inflammation may influence tumor growth and metastasis.[12] Therefore, CRP is often considered a potential risk factor for BC, particularly in the prognosis assessment of BC patients.

However, in this study, Mendelian randomization analysis did not find a causal relationship between CRP and BC. While many observational studies found that elevated CRP levels are associated with increased BC risk, these studies cannot completely rule out other influencing factors.[13,14] By using Mendelian randomization, we were able to control for these confounding factors and concluded that there is no direct causal relationship between CRP and BC. The elevation of CRP may be caused by other health issues, such as obesity or diabetes, which themselves may be associated with increased BC risk. Overall, elevated CRP reflects a chronic inflammatory state in the body rather than being an independent risk factor for BC.

Interleukin-6 (IL-6) is a pro-inflammatory cytokine that plays an important role in the occurrence and progression of many cancers.[15] IL-6 activates specific signaling pathways, promoting the proliferation, metastasis, and immune evasion of tumor cells.[16] In BC, IL-6 is considered a factor associated with tumor malignancy and metastasis.[17] Many studies have shown that IL-6 may play a role in promoting the development of BC.[18,19]

However, Mendelian randomization analysis in this study did not find a clear causal relationship between IL-6 and BC. IL-6 is influenced not only by BC itself but also by other factors, such as systemic inflammation and metabolic issues.[20] Therefore, the elevation of IL-6 may not be directly caused by the occurrence of BC but by inflammation resulting from other health problems. Although IL-6 may play an important role in the immune microenvironment of BC, it is not the direct cause of BC.

SAA is a significant acute-phase protein that has been implicated in the pathogenesis of various cancers, including BC. Its role in inflammation and cancer progression is well-documented, highlighting its potential as a biomarker for cancer diagnosis and prognosis. In BC, SAA levels have been shown to correlate with disease progression and recurrence, making it a valuable marker for monitoring patient outcomes and treatment efficacy.[21] The diagnostic importance of SAA in BC is further supported by studies that have demonstrated its elevated levels in patients compared to healthy controls. These findings suggest that SAA, along with other markers, could be used to improve the accuracy of BC diagnosis and to differentiate between cancerous and noncancerous conditions.[2123] Moreover, the expression patterns of acute-phase proteins, including SAA, have been associated with BC, colorectal cancer, and lung cancer.[24] These proteins exhibit distinctive expression profiles that can be utilized to develop biomarker panels for early detection and monitoring of cancer progression.[25]

In this study, Mendelian randomization found a significant causal relationship between SAA and BC. The results suggest that elevated SAA levels may increase the risk of developing BC. SAA is not just a marker of inflammation; it may also regulate the immune system, influence the tumor microenvironment, and promote tumor growth and metastasis. Compared to other inflammatory factors, SAA may have a more direct role in BC, making its elevation an important biological marker of BC development.

5. Limitation

Although this study used Mendelian randomization to explore the causal relationship between inflammatory factors and BC and drew some important conclusions, there are still certain limitations. First, the study relied on existing GWAS data, and the choice of instrumental variables may affect the accuracy of the results. Future research could use larger genetic datasets to further validate the causal relationships between these inflammatory factors and BC. Second, the study included only populations of European descent, and future studies could consider including other diverse populations.

6. Conclusion

In this study, we used two-sample Mendelian randomization to investigate the causal relationship between inflammatory factors and BC. The results showed a clear causal relationship between SAA and BC, suggesting that SAA may increase the risk of BC by affecting inflammation and the immune environment. In contrast, no direct causal relationship was found between PCT, CRP, and IL-6 and BC, meaning they may not be major factors in the development of BC. However, these inflammatory factors may still play a role in immune evasion and prognosis assessment in BC. Future research needs to further confirm these findings, especially in different populations and BC subtypes, to provide more accurate theoretical support for early diagnosis, prevention, and personalized treatment of BC.

Author contributions

Conceptualization: Qiang Hu.

Data curation: Qiang Hu.

Formal analysis: Qiang Hu.

Funding acquisition: Qiang Hu.

Methodology: Xiyin Yang, Qiang Hu.

Software: Qiang Hu.

Writing – original draft: Xiyin Yang, Qiang Hu.

Writing – review & editing: Xiyin Yang, Qiang Hu.

Abbreviations:

BC
breast cancer
CRP
C-reactive protein
GWAS
genome-wide association study
IL-6
interleukin-6
IVW
inverse variance weighted
MR
Mendelian randomization
PCT
procalcitonin
SAA
serum amyloid A
SNPs
single nucleotide polymorphisms

This study was funded by Project of Traditional Chinese Medicine (No. 2025ZX009, No. 2024ZL345, No. GZY-ZJ-KJ-23051), Project of Zhejiang Provincial Department of Education (Y202351378).

Our research is an analysis of previously collected data and does not involve human participants or animals. Therefore, ethical approval is not applicable.

The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

All data generated or analyzed during this study are included in this published article [and its supplementary information files].

How to cite this article: Yang X, Hu Q. Dissecting the role of inflammatory biomarkers in breast cancer: Insights from Mendelian randomization. Medicine 2025;104:33(e43732).

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