Key Points
Question
What are the recent patterns and trends in cancer incidence and mortality in India?
Findings
In this cross-sectional National Cancer Registry Programme study, highlighting regional disparities in cancer rates across India, the lifetime risk of developing cancer in India was 11.0%, while Mizoram in the Northeastern region reported lifetime risks of 21.1% in males and 18.9% in females.
Meaning
These findings underscore a need to strengthen the ongoing efforts for cancer prevention and control measures to reduce the burden of cancer in India.
This cross-sectional study provides a comprehensive analysis of recent patterns in cancer incidence and mortality across 43 geographic regions in India
Abstract
Importance
Cancer is a significant global health concern, with India ranking second in Asia and third in the world in terms of cancer incidence. Regular monitoring and updates on cancer statistics are vital for assessing the impact and burden of the disease and the effectiveness of cancer control measures.
Objective
To measure the recent patterns and trends in cancer incidence and mortality across 43 geographic regions in India from 2015 to 2019 and to provide estimates for 2024.
Design, Setting, and Participants
This cross-sectional study used data from 43 population-based cancer registries across India, covering varying periods between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2019. Population at-risk data were obtained from the Census of India, and findings were assessed by registry area. Data were analyzed from May 1 to December 20, 2024.
Main Outcomes and Measures
Number of cases, crude rates, and age-adjusted rates (per 100 000 population) for cancer incidence and mortality, estimated average annual percent change (AAPC) from time trends, and estimated cancer cases in India for 2024.
Results
Incidence of 708 223 cases with 206 457 deaths from 43 population-based cancer registries were included. The lifetime risk of developing cancer in India was 11.0%, while Mizoram in the Northeastern region reported lifetime risks of 21.1% in males and 18.9% in females. The district of Aizawl reported the highest age-adjusted incidence rate (AAIR) in both males (256.1; 95% CI, 245.2-267.0) and females (217.2; 95% CI, 207.6-226.7). The most common cancers were oral, lung, and prostate in males and breast, cervical, and ovarian in females. Among metropolitan cities (defined as an urban agglomeration with a population of over 1 million), Delhi had the highest overall cancer AAIR for males (146.7; 95% CI, 145.1-148.3), while Srinagar recorded the highest AAIR for lung cancer (39.5; 95% CI, 35.8-43.2). Oral cancer showed significant increases in 14 population-based cancer registries (PBCRs) among males and 4 PBCRs among females; Ahmedabad Urban had an increase of 4.7% (95% CI, 2.9% to 6.6%) in males and 6.9% (95% CI, 4.1% to 9.7%) in females. The estimated AAPC in AAIR (all sites) showed a significant increase over time in Kamrup Urban in males (3.3%; 95% CI, 2.3%-4.3%) and Thiruvananthapuram Taluk in females (3.4%; 95% CI, 3.1%-3.8%). The estimated cancer incidence for 2024 was 1 562 099 cases; estimated cancer mortality, 874 404 cases.
Conclusions and Relevance
This cross-sectional study highlighted significant regional disparities in cancer incidence across India and the increasing cancer burden. The findings provide key insights for policymakers to enhance resource allocation and strengthen cancer control strategies nationwide.
Introduction
As one of the leading causes of mortality and morbidity, cancer is a significant worldwide health concern. Globally, cancer contributes to approximately 10 million deaths each year.1 In 2022, the Global Cancer Observatory (GCO) estimated the total number of cancer cases worldwide at approximately 20.0 million and projected these to increase to 32.6 million by 2045.1 The region of Southeast Asia is estimated to have a total of 2.4 million new cancer cases and 1.5 million cancer deaths.1 Cancer incidence and mortality in this region are estimated to increase to 4.0 million new cases and 2.7 million deaths by 2045. Concurrently, the GCO estimated that the incidence of cancer in India will increase to approximately 2.46 million cases by 2045.1 India ranks second in Asia and third in the world in terms of the number of cancer cases, and the likelihood of developing cancer during one’s lifetime is approximately 11.0%.1 Previous publications from the National Cancer Registry Programme (NCRP) estimated 1.46 million cancer cases in 2022, corresponding to a crude incidence rate of 100.4 per 100 000 population in India.2
Cancer registries are widely acknowledged as an essential component of national cancer control programs.3 In India, data on cancer have been systematically collected since 1981 through the NCRP of Indian Council Medical Research, which is operated from the National Centre for Disease Informatics and Research through the network of population-based cancer registries (PBCRs) and hospital-based cancer registries. The Sustainable Development Goal 3, Target 3.4, aims to reduce premature mortality from cancer and other noncommunicable diseases by one-third by 2030.4 PBCRs contribute to this objective by systematically collecting data on the newly diagnosed cancer cases and related mortality within a specific geographic area. They also monitor and assess the burden of cancer, which plays a significant role in the assessment of control of cancer within those defined populations.5,6,7,8,9,10
This study provides a comprehensive analysis of recent patterns and trends in cancer incidence and mortality across 43 geographic regions in India using data from the composite period of January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2019. Additionally, it provides estimated cancer incidence and mortality cases in India for the year 2024.
Methods
This report presents cancer incidence and mortality from 43 PBCRs across India, of which 33 are operated under the National Centre for Disease Informatics and Research, 9 are managed by the Tata Memorial Centre (TMC), Mumbai, and 1 is managed under the Tamil Nadu Cancer Registry Programme, together constituting the NCRP. These PBCRs covering the varying periods between 2015 and 2019 represent approximately 18% of India’s population. Trend analysis was conducted for 23 populations from January 1, 2002, to December 31, 2019. Cancer registration in PBCRs in India involves a multistep process that requires continuous and systematic data collection by trained skilled registry personnel from various sources, including diagnostic laboratories, hospitals, and vital statistics departments using a standardized proforma.11 All neoplasms characterized by a behavior code 3 according to the International Classification of Diseases for Oncology, 3rd Edition, and the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) were classified as reportable and subsequently recorded in the cancer registry (eTable 1 in Supplement 1).12 The Institutional Ethics Committee of National Centre for Disease Informatics and Research approved the study. Waiver of consent was obtained as the study used anonymized registry data. The study complied with the guidelines of the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) for reporting observational study findings.
Data quality indices were computed for each PBCR to assess the reliability of the data (microscopic verification, ≥75%; death certificate–only verification, <10%; other and unspecified sites of cancer, <10%). NCRP uses in-house PBCR data management software (PBCRDM, version 2.1.1 [National Centre for Disease Informatics and Research]) for data collection, quality control, duplicate removal, and linking mortality to incidence (M:I ratio). The registries under TMC collected data using CanReg-5 software.13 Data errors were flagged and sent back to all the registries for clarification, then cross-checked with the data source and corrected accordingly. The data quality was maintained according to the standards of the International Association of Cancer Registries and the International Agency for Research on Cancer.14,15
Estimation of Incidence and Mortality
Incidence of cancer cases in India for 2024 was estimated using trends in the cancer incidence rate and projected population.2,5,16 We analyzed trends from 2010 to 2019 (state- or region-specific PBCR) to estimate cancer incidence rate by anatomical site and sex. For anatomical sites where the annual percent change (APC) was statistically significant, cancer incidence rates were estimated to 2024. For sites where the APC was not statistically significant, the incidence rates from 2015 to 2019 were assumed to remain constant until 2024. Data on the population at risk by state and sex were obtained from the Census of India.17 The estimated incidence rates for 2024 were then applied to respective projected population figures for each state, and for the entire country. Mortality estimates for India were modeled as a function of cancer incidence estimates and M:I ratios, stratified by anatomical site and sex, based on the Mumbai PBCR.
Statistical Analysis
Data were analyzed from May 1 to December 20, 2024. We analyzed cancer incidence and mortality using data from all PBCRs (708 223 cases and 206 457 deaths) across varying periods between 2015 and 2019. Cancer statistics are presented as the number of incident cases, crude incidence rate (CIR), and age-adjusted incidence rate (AAIR) per 100 000 population using the Indian standard population (ISP) and World standard population (WSP).18,19 Similarly, the number of mortality cases, crude mortality rate (CMR), age-adjusted mortality rate (AAMR) per 100 000 population, and the M:I ratio were derived. While the WSP allows for international and historical comparisons, the ISP was used as part of a sensitivity analysis to assess the association of India’s population age structure with incidence estimates. The use of the ISP, being more representative of the population of India, enables subnational comparison within the country. Therefore, simultaneous observation of crude rates (actual cancer burden) and age-adjusted rates (comparison across the population) using the WSP and the ISP provided a more comprehensive understanding of the cancer burden in the country.19 Leading sites of cancer are presented based on the relative proportion (percentage) of the total cancer of the PBCR. To evaluate the lifetime risk of developing cancer, cumulative risk (0-74 years of age) was calculated. In a PBCR covering multiple districts, the district with the highest incidence rates was analyzed and presented separately (eg, Aizawl subgroup of the Mizoram PBCR). A small proportion of missing age data (0.1%) was not imputed. The change in incidence rates resulting from the inclusion of 2020 data (reflecting the impact of COVID-19) is presented for 10 different populations in (eTable 2 in Supplement 1). A comparative analysis of AAIR for leading cancer sites (breast, cervix, prostate, oral, stomach, and lung) was performed across the PBCRs based on the WSP (eFigure 1 in Supplement 1).
Time trends in AAIR for the 23 populations (2002-2019) were analyzed for all sites and leading cancer sites using the Joinpoint Regression Program, version 5.0.2.20 The model estimates the APC for each segment defined by a trend change and calculates the average APC (AAPC) for the entire study period by fitting a regression line to the natural logarithm of the AAIRs, under the assumption of constant variance. The grid search method was used for model fitting, with the maximum number of Joinpoints set to 2. The optimal number of Joinpoints was determined through a permutation test. Statistical significance was assessed using 2-sided tests, with P < .05 considered statistically significant.20 The Census growth rate was used to project the population at risk for each PBCR.21,22
Results
An incidence of 708 223 cases (51.1% female and 48.9% male) and mortality of 206 457 cases (45.0% female and 55.0% male) were reported from 43 PBCRs between 2015 and 2019. Table 1 presents the distribution of cancer cases across all sites with incidence rate and cumulative risk by sex in different regions in India between 2015 and 2019. The dataset includes 43 PBCRs representing 56 distinct populations. The highest AAIR (using the ISP) was found in Aizawl for both males (198.4; 95% CI, 190.1-206.7) and females (172.5; 95% CI, 165.0-179.9), with the lowest rates recorded in Osmanabad and Beed for males (30.4; 95% CI, 29.5-31.3) and in Dima Hasao for females (22.1; 95% CI, 16.6-27.5). The lifetime risk of developing cancer in India was 11.0%, while Mizoram in the Northeastern region reported lifetime risks of 21.1% in males and 18.9% in females.
Table 1. Cancer Cases for All Sites, Incidence Rates Per 100 000 Population, and Cumulative Risk by Sex for 43 PBCRs (2015-2019), India.
| SN and PBCR (reference year) | 2011 Census population, % | Males | Females | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urban | Rural | Cases, No. | CIR per 100 000 population | AAIR using ISP (95% CI) | Cumulative risk of cancer, aged 0-74 y, % | Cases, No. | CIR per 100 000 population | AAIR using ISP (95% CI) | Cumulative risk of cancer, aged 0-74 y, % | |
| 1 | ||||||||||
| Kashmir Province, Jammu and Kashmir (2018-2019) | 68.0 | 32.0 | 7113 | 92.3 | 103.5 (101.1-105.9) | 15.5 | 5570 | 81.7 | 86.2 (83.9-88.4) | 11.2 |
| Pulwama, Jammu and Kashmir (2018-2019) | 14.4 | 85.6 | 694 | 131.6 | 132.3 (122.3-142.3) | 18.6 | 612 | 130.8 | 121.4 (111.5-131.1) | 15.5 |
| Srinagar, Jammu and Kashmir (2018-2019) | 98.6 | 1.4 | 2033 | 155.8 | 134.2 (128.3-140.1) | 19.9 | 1628 | 132.9 | 111.2 (105.8-116.7) | 14.0 |
| 2: Delhi, UT (2015 to 2017) | 100 | 0 | 34 303 | 116.5 | 117.5 (116.2-118.8) | 15.8 | 30 479 | 115.7 | 107.1 (105.8-108.2) | 14.2 |
| 3: Gautam Buddha Nagar, Uttar Pradesh (2016-2018) | 59.1 | 40.9 | 2906 | 89.4 | 101.5 (97.8-105.2) | 14.7 | 2696 | 96.7 | 105.2 (101.2-109.2) | 14.2 |
| 4: Prayagraj, Uttar Pradesh (2017-2019) | 25.0 | 75.0 | 5542 | 51.8 | 53.4 (52.0-54.8) | 7.2 | 4824 | 49.2 | 49.5 (48.1-50.9) | 6.4 |
| 5: Varanasi, Uttar Pradesh (2018-2019) | 43.4 | 56.6 | 2619 | 62.2 | 59.8 (57.5-62.1) | 8.1 | 2013 | 52.3 | 48.9 (46.7-51.0) | 6.5 |
| 6: Muzaffarpur, Bihar (2018)a | 38.1 | 61.9 | 383 | 36.4 | 35.8 (32.2-39.5) | 4.6 | 368 | 38.8 | 39.1 (35.0-43.2) | 4.9 |
| 7: Patiala district, Punjab (2015-2018) | 40.3 | 59.7 | 2960 | 66.8 | 55.8 (53.8-57.9) | 7.8 | 3387 | 84.9 | 66.0 (63.7-68.2) | 8.8 |
| 8: Sangrur, Punjab (2017-2018) | 31.2 | 68.8 | 1338 | 70.2 | 58.7 (55.5-61.9) | 8.4 | 1369 | 81.3 | 65.9 (62.4-69.4) | 8.7 |
| 9: Mansa, Punjab (2017-2018) | 21.3 | 78.7 | 561 | 63.7 | 49.0 (44.8-53.2) | 6.7 | 617 | 79.1 | 56.8 (52.2-61.4) | 7.9 |
| 10: Chandigarh, Punjab (2017-2018) | 97.3 | 2.7 | 968 | 72.8 | 73.6 (68.9-78.3) | 10.2 | 990 | 88.9 | 81.4 (76.3-86.6) | 11.8 |
| 11: SAS Nagar, Punjab (2017-2018) | 54.8 | 45.2 | 917 | 69.0 | 67.3 (62.8-71.7) | 9.8 | 1030 | 85.5 | 81.8 (76.8-86.9) | 11.0 |
| 12: Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh (2016-2019) | 100 | 0 | 4638 | 98.2 | 91.7 (89.1-94.4) | 12.3 | 4304 | 97.3 | 89.2 (86.5-91.9) | 11.8 |
| 13: Ahmedabad Urban, Gujarat (2015-2018) | 100 | 0 | 13 472 | 95.9 | 83.7 (82.3-85.2) | 11.4 | 10 553 | 83.0 | 67.9 (66.6-69.2) | 9.1 |
| 14: Cachar district, Assam (2015-2019) | 18.2 | 81.8 | 5283 | 106.6 | 107.4 (104.5-110.3) | 15.3 | 4637 | 96.5 | 96.8 (94.0-99.6) | 12.1 |
| 15 | ||||||||||
| Karimganj, Assam (2016-2018)b | 10.5 | 89.5 | 2192 | 60.7 | 65.4 (62.7-68.2) | 9.4 | 1539 | 44.0 | 48.7 (46.3-51.2) | 6.6 |
| Hailakandi, Assam (2016-2018) | 7.3 | 92.7 | 702 | 61.5 | 66.6 (61.7-71.6) | 9.5 | 443 | 40.4 | 45.4 (41.1-49.6) | 5.9 |
| Dima Hasao, Assam (2016-2018) | 29.2 | 70.8 | 129 | 36.3 | 42.3 (34.8-49.7) | 6.5 | 65.0 | 19.0 | 22.1 (16.6-27.5) | 3.3 |
| Karimganj district, Assam (2016-2018) | 8.9 | 91.1 | 1274 | 60.2 | 64.3 (60.7-67.8) | 9.3 | 946 | 45.9 | 50.2 (47.0-53.4) | 6.9 |
| 16: Dibrugarh district, Assam (2015-2018) | 18.4 | 81.6 | 2073 | 72.4 | 69.3 (66.2-72.3) | 10.2 | 1909 | 68.1 | 63.3 (60.4-66.1) | 8.5 |
| 17: Kamrup Urban, Assam (2015-2018) | 100 | 0 | 5384 | 195.5 | 163.3 (158.9-167.8) | 22.2 | 4395 | 159.8 | 139.3 (135.1-143.5) | 18.3 |
| 18: Tripura state (2015-2018) | 26.2 | 73.8 | 6049 | 74.7 | 68.9 (67.1-70.7) | 10.3 | 4645 | 59.3 | 53.0 (51.5-54.6) | 7.1 |
| 19: Sikkim state (2015-2018) | 25.2 | 74.8 | 1054 | 76.3 | 72.3 (67.9-76.8) | 10.1 | 994 | 80.1 | 79.73 (74.7-84.7) | 10.5 |
| 20 | ||||||||||
| Mizoram state (2015-2019) | 52.1 | 47.9 | 4501 | 143.6 | 153.7 (149.2-158.3) | 21.1 | 4232 | 134.7 | 142.3 (137.9-146.6) | 18.9 |
| Aizawl, Mizoram (2015-2019) | 78.6 | 21.4 | 2253 | 202.0 | 198.4 (190.1-206.7) | 26.1 | 2124 | 181.9 | 172.5 (165.0-179.9) | 22.1 |
| 21 | ||||||||||
| West Arunachal, Arunachal Pradesh (2015-2019)c | 25.8 | 74.2 | 1392 | 59.0 | 87.9 (82.9-92.8) | 13.0 | 1214 | 52.6 | 75.1 (70.6-79.6) | 10.2 |
| Papumpare, Arunachal Pradesh (2015-2019) | 54.9 | 45.1 | 515 | 93.7 | 163.8 (147.2-180.4) | 23.1 | 473 | 83.2 | 136.4 (122.3-150.4) | 18.6 |
| 22: Pasighat, Arunachal Pradesh (2015-2019)d | 25.4 | 74.6 | 382 | 105.3 | 112.9 (101.4-124.3) | 15.8 | 369 | 103.0 | 112.7 (101.0-124.5) | 13.9 |
| 23 | ||||||||||
| Meghalaya, Meghalaya (2015-2019)e | 24.9 | 75.1 | 5414 | 99.4 | 150.8 (146.7-155.0) | 19.9 | 3352 | 61.0 | 82.7 (79.9-85.6) | 11.5 |
| East Khasi Hills, Meghalaya (2015-2019) | 44.4 | 55.6 | 3269 | 139.5 | 191.8 (185.0-198.6) | 24.8 | 2042 | 84.6 | 100.7 (96.3-105.2) | 14.1 |
| 24 | ||||||||||
| Manipur state (2015-2019) | 29.2 | 70.8 | 4166 | 48.7 | 50.6 (49.1-52.2) | 7.9 | 5017 | 59.3 | 58.5 (56.8-60.1) | 8.4 |
| Imphal West, Manipur (2015-2019) | 62.3 | 37.7 | 1263 | 90.6 | 77.5 (73.2-81.9) | 11.6 | 1681 | 115.0 | 94.1 (89.5-98.7) | 12.9 |
| 25: Nagaland, Nagaland (2015-2019)f | 49.3 | 50.7 | 1604 | 77.0 | 100.9 (95.8-106.1) | 14.5 | 1187 | 60.2 | 76.2 (71.6-80.7) | 9.8 |
| 26: Kolkata, West Bengal (2015-2017) | 100 | 0 | 8930 | 130.3 | 83.3 (81.5-85.1) | 11.8 | 7814 | 119.7 | 79.9 (78.1-81.7) | 10.6 |
| 27: Wardha district, Maharashtra (2015-2019) | 32.5 | 67.5 | 2714 | 78.9 | 56.9 (54.7-59.1) | 7.6 | 2860 | 87.3 | 62.3 (59.9-64.6) | 8.0 |
| 28: Barshi Rural, Maharashtra (2015-2019) | 0 | 100 | 779 | 55.8 | 40.4 (37.5-43.4) | 5.8 | 870 | 69.9 | 50.4 (46.9-53.9) | 6.7 |
| 29: Mumbai, Maharashtra (2015-2018) | 100 | 0 | 27 866 | 102.9 | 85.5 (84.5-86.5) | 11.7 | 28 703 | 120.5 | 90.8 (89.7-91.8) | 12.3 |
| 30: Aurangabad, Maharashtra (2015-2019) | 100 | 0 | 2153 | 58.3 | 57.0 (54.5-59.4) | 7.7 | 2239 | 64.2 | 61.0 (58.5-63.6) | 8.3 |
| 31: Osmanabad and Beed, Maharashtra (2015-2019) | 18.7 | 81.3 | 4570 | 37.4 | 30.4 (29.5-31.3) | 4.0 | 5433 | 48.9 | 36.3 (35.3-37.3) | 5.0 |
| 32: Pune, Maharashtra (2015-2019) | 100 | 0 | 11 314 | 72.0 | 67.5 (66.2-68.7) | 9.6 | 13 011 | 91.3 | 79.9 (78.5-81.3) | 11.3 |
| 33: Nagpur, Maharashtra (2015-2019) | 100 | 0 | 6235 | 89.4 | 72.0 (70.2-73.8) | 9.6 | 6360 | 93.1 | 72.4 (70.6-74.3) | 9.1 |
| 34: Sindhudurg, Maharashtra (2017-2018) | 12.6 | 87.4 | 402 | 49.9 | 31.2 (27.9-34.5) | 4.2 | 462 | 58.1 | 36.6 (33.0-40.3) | 4.5 |
| 35: Ratnagiri, Maharashtra (2017-2018) | 16.3 | 83.7 | 855 | 60.4 | 41.0 (38.1-43.9) | 5.5 | 1067 | 68.7 | 45.7 (42.7-48.6) | 5.6 |
| 36: Hyderabad district, Telangana (2015-2018) | 100 | 0 | 7868 | 96.4 | 92.7 (90.6-94.8) | 12.8 | 9966 | 126.4 | 123.8 (121.3-126.3) | 16.7 |
| 37: Visakhapatnam, Andhra Pradesh (2017-2018) | 52.5 | 47.5 | 2149 | 47.3 | 39.5 (37.8-41.2) | 5.3 | 3137 | 68.2 | 53.4 (51.5-55.3) | 6.9 |
| 38: Bangalore, Karnataka (2015-2018) | 100 | 0 | 21 321 | 103.9 | 99.9 (98.5-101.2) | 14.3 | 25 331 | 132.5 | 121.0 (119.5-122.6) | 16.5 |
| 39 | ||||||||||
| Malabar, Kerala (2015-2018) | 56.6 | 43.4 | 12 941 | 172.8 | 119.9 (117.8-122.0) | 17.3 | 11 277 | 131.9 | 87.1 (85.4-88.8) | 11.5 |
| Kannur, Kerala (2015-2018) | 65.0 | 35.0 | 9387 | 195.8 | 127.4 (124.7-130.0) | 18.3 | 8282 | 148.5 | 92.9 (90.8-95.0) | 12.2 |
| Kasaragod, Kerala (2015-2018) | 38.9 | 61.1 | 3469 | 132.7 | 105.0 (101.5-108.6) | 15.4 | 2913 | 101.4 | 75.7 (72.9-78.5) | 10.0 |
| 40: Kollam district, Kerala (2015-2019) | 45.0 | 55.0 | 11 919 | 191.4 | 114.8 (112.6-116.9) | 16.6 | 11 784 | 165.6 | 101.2 (99.3-103.2) | 13.0 |
| 41 | ||||||||||
| Thiruvananthapuram district, Kerala (2015-2019) | 53.7 | 46.3 | 14 966 | 188.3 | 114.4 (112.5-116.3) | 15.9 | 16 529 | 188.3 | 114.8 (112.9-116.7) | 14.8 |
| Pathanamthitta, Kerala (2019)g | 11.0 | 89.0 | 1408 | 260.9 | 122.5 (115.3-129.6) | 17.9 | 1316 | 209.4 | 108.1 (101.3-115.0) | 14.3 |
| Alappuzha, Kerala (2019)g | 54.0 | 46.0 | 2360 | 233.2 | 125.5 (120.1-130.9) | 18.7 | 2187 | 193.3 | 106.1 (101.1-111.0) | 14.2 |
| 42: Tamil Nadu state (2015-2017) | 48.4 | 51.6 | 88 665 | 75.9 | 57.8 (57.4-58.1) | 8.0 | 109 558 | 93.6 | 68.6 (68.1-69.0) | 9.0 |
| 43: Chennai, Tamil Nadu (2015-2018)h | 100 | 0 | 12 630 | 131.2 | 99.6 (97.8-101.4) | 13.3 | 14 728 | 151.7 | 111.0 (109.1-112.8) | 14.9 |
Abbreviations: AAIR, age-adjusted rate per 100 000; CIR, crude incidence rate; ISP, Indian standard population; PBCR, population-based cancer registry; SN, serial number; UT, Union Territory.
Muzaffarpur covered Motipur, Kanti, Musahari, Sakra, Muraul, and Muzaffarpur Municipal Corporation.
Karimganj covered Karimganj, Hailakandi, and Dima Hasao.
West Arunachal covered Tawang, West Kameng, East Kameng, Upper Subansiri, Lower Subansiri, Kurung Kumey, Papumpare, and West Siang.
Pasighat covered East Siang and Upper Siang.
Meghalaya covered East Khasi Hills, West Khasi Hills, Jaintia Hills, and Ri Bhoi Districts.
Nagaland covered Kohima and Dimapur districts; Malabar covered Kasaragod, Mahe, and Kannur.
Pathanamthitta and Alappuzha were expanded districts of Thiruvananthapuram PBCR.
Chennai is part of the Tamil Nadu State and presented as a separate PBCR.
Figure 1 compares the AAIR per 100 000 population for all cancers (ICD-10 codes C00-C97) across PBCRs. Aizawl reported the highest AAIR (using the WSP) in both males (256.1; 95% CI, 245.2-267.0) and females (217.2; 95% CI, 207.6-226.7), while the lowest rates were observed in Osmanabad and Beed for males (36.8; 95% CI, 35.7-37.9) and in Dima Hasao for females (27.6; 95% CI, 20.6-34.7). AAIRs varied regionally, with 6 northeastern populations having higher rates, followed by Srinagar (173.7; 95% CI, 166.0-181.3), Pulwama (168.9; 95% CI, 156.1-181.7), and Kannur (163.8; 95% CI, 160.4-167.1) among males, while among females Hyderabad ranked in fifth place with an AAIR of 153.8 (95% CI, 150.7-157.0), trailing the northeastern regions. Metropolitan cities such as Delhi (146.7; 95% CI, 145.1-148.3) and Chennai (125.7; 95% CI, 123.5-127.9), had higher AAIRs than Barshi Rural (50.6; 95% CI, 46.9-54.2) among males.
Figure 1. Comparison of All Cancer Sites’ Age-Adjusted Incidence Rates (AAIRs) of All Population-Based Cancer Registries (PBCRs), 2015 to 2019.

Comparison of AAIR across the population was performed based on the World Standard Population (WSP; codes C00-C97 from the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th Revision). Error bars represent 95% CIs. A comparison of AAIR for selected leading sites of cancer across PBCRs is given in eFigure 1 in Supplement 1.
eFigure 1 in Supplement 1 depicts the comparison of AAIR for selected leading sites of cancer. Breast cancer had the highest AAIR in Hyderabad (54.0; 95% CI, 52.1-55.8) and the lowest in Dima Hasao (4.8; 95% CI, 1.8-7.7). Cervical cancer had the highest AAIR in Aizawl (27.1; 95% CI, 23.9-30.2), while the lowest AAIR was observed in Kashmir (1.6; 95% CI, 1.2-2.0). The highest AAIRs for lung cancer were observed in Srinagar (39.5; 95% CI, 35.8-43.2) for males and Aizawl (33.7; 95% CI, 29.7-37.7) for females. The highest AAIRs for oral cancer were observed in Ahmadabad Urban (33.6; 95% CI, 32.6-34.6) for males and East Khasi Hills (13.6; 95% CI, 11.6-15.5) for females. The highest AAIRs for prostate cancer were observed in Srinagar (12.7; 95% CI, 10.6-14.8) and Delhi (12.7; 95% CI, 12.2-13.2), followed by Gautam Buddha Nagar (11.7; 95% CI, 10.2-13.2).
Table 2 presents estimated cancer cases and rates (per 100 000 population) in India for 2024. The estimated cancer incidence for 2024 was 1 562 099 cases; estimated cancer mortality, 874 404 cases. The estimated number of new cancer cases among males in India was 780 822 with a CIR of 107.4. The estimated number of new cancer cases for females was 781 277 with a CIR of 113.3. The most common cancers in males consisted of mouth cancer (113 249 [CIR, 15.6]), followed by lung cancer (74 763 [CIR, 10.3]), and prostate cancer (49 998 [CIR, 6.9]). Among females, the most common cancers were breast (238 085 [CIR, 34.5]), cervix (78 499 [CIR, 11.4]), and ovarian (48 984 [CIR, 7.1]). Female genital system cancers were estimated to account for 171 497 cases (CIR, 24.9). In males, cancers of the oral cavity and pharynx were estimated to contribute to 217 327 cases (CIR, 29.9).
Table 2. Estimated Incidence of Cancer in India, 2024.
| Site | Males | Females | Both sexes | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cases, No. | CIR per 100 000 population | Cumulative risk of cancer, aged 0-74 y, % | Cases, No. | CIR per 100 000 population | Cumulative risk of cancer, aged 0-74 y, % | Cases, No. | CIR per 100 000 population | Cumulative risk of cancer, aged 0-74 y, % | |
| All | 780 822 | 107.4 | 11.6 | 781 277 | 113.3 | 11.1 | 1 562 099 | 110.3 | 11.3 |
| Oral cavity and pharynx | |||||||||
| Overall | 217 327 | 29.9 | 3.2 | 63 671 | 9.2 | 1.0 | 280 998 | 19.8 | 2.1 |
| Tongue | 61 859 | 8.5 | 0.9 | 21 351 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 83 210 | 5.9 | 0.6 |
| Mouth | 113 249 | 15.6 | 1.6 | 28 093 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 141 342 | 10.0 | 1.0 |
| Pharynx | 2272 | 0.3 | <0.1 | 761 | 0.1 | <0.1 | 3033 | 0.2 | <0.1 |
| Other oral cavity | 39 947 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 13 466 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 53 413 | 3.8 | 0.4 |
| Digestive system | |||||||||
| Overall | 185 779 | 25.5 | 3.1 | 122 691 | 17.8 | 1.9 | 308 470 | 21.8 | 2.5 |
| Esophagus | 36 470 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 22 296 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 58 766 | 4.1 | 0.5 |
| Stomach | 32 401 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 17 833 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 50 234 | 3.5 | 0.4 |
| Small intestine | 3038 | 0.4 | <0.1 | 2412 | 0.3 | <0.1 | 5450 | 0.4 | <0.1 |
| Colon | 24 906 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 18 325 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 43 231 | 3.1 | 0.3 |
| Rectum | 23 336 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 18 166 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 41 502 | 2.9 | 0.3 |
| Anus, anal canal | 2887 | 0.4 | <0.1 | 1782 | 0.3 | <0.1 | 4669 | 0.3 | <0.1 |
| Liver and intrahepatic bile duct | 33 316 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 11 680 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 44 996 | 3.2 | 0.4 |
| Gallbladder and other biliary | 14 402 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 22 238 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 36 640 | 2.6 | 0.3 |
| Pancreas | 15 023 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 7959 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 22 982 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Respiratory system | |||||||||
| Overall | 106 094 | 14.6 | 1.9 | 36 447 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 142 541 | 10.1 | 1.2 |
| Larynx | 26 901 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 3242 | 0.5 | <0.1 | 30 143 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Lung and bronchus | 74 763 | 10.3 | 1.3 | 30 446 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 105 209 | 7.4 | 0.9 |
| Other respiratory organs | 4430 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2759 | 0.4 | <0.1 | 7189 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Bones and joints | 7490 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 5391 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 12 881 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Soft tissue | 7426 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 6220 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 13 646 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| Skin (excluding basal and squamous) | |||||||||
| Overall | 13 308 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 10 579 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 23 887 | 1.7 | 0.2 |
| Melanoma of the skin | 3619 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 2857 | 0.4 | <0.1 | 6476 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Other nonepithelial skin | 9689 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 7722 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 17 411 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| Breast | 5820 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 238 085 | 34.5 | 3.4 | 243 905 | 17.2 | 1.8 |
| Genital system | |||||||||
| Overall | 61 632 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 171 497 | 24.9 | 2.6 | NA | NA | NA |
| Uterine cervix | NA | NA | NA | 78 499 | 11.4 | 1.2 | NA | NA | NA |
| Uterine corpus | NA | NA | NA | 34 876 | 5.1 | 0.6 | NA | NA | NA |
| Ovary | NA | NA | NA | 48 984 | 7.1 | 0.7 | NA | NA | NA |
| Vulva | NA | NA | NA | 2601 | 0.4 | <0.1 | NA | NA | NA |
| Vagina and other genital, female | NA | NA | NA | 6266 | 0.9 | 0.1 | NA | NA | NA |
| Placenta | NA | NA | NA | 271 | 0.0 | <0.1 | NA | NA | NA |
| Prostate | 49 998 | 6.9 | 0.9 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| Testis | 5379 | 0.7 | 0.1 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| Penis and other genital, male | 6255 | 0.9 | 0.1 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| Urinary system | |||||||||
| Overall | 33 382 | 4.6 | 0.5 | 11 442 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 44 824 | 3.2 | 0.4 |
| Urinary bladder | 20 015 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 5743 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 25 758 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Kidney and renal pelvis | 13 058 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 5506 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 18 564 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| Ureter and other urinary organs | 309 | 0.0 | <0.1 | 193 | 0.0 | <0.1 | 502 | 0.0 | <0.1 |
| Eye and orbit | 1124 | 0.2 | <0.1 | 922 | 0.1 | <0.1 | 2046 | 0.1 | <0.1 |
| Brain and other nervous system | 21 673 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 12 940 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 34 613 | 2.4 | 0.2 |
| Endocrine system | |||||||||
| Overall | 9679 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 26 939 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 36 618 | 2.6 | 0.2 |
| Thyroid | 9003 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 26 261 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 35 264 | 2.5 | 0.2 |
| Adrenal gland | 676 | 0.1 | <0.1 | 678 | 0.1 | <0.1 | 1354 | 0.1 | <0.1 |
| Lymphoma | |||||||||
| Overall | 29 643 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 17 517 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 47 160 | 3.3 | 0.3 |
| Hodgkin lymphoma | 6143 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3350 | 0.5 | <0.1 | 9493 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Non-Hodgkin lymphoma | 23 215 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 14 040 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 37 255 | 2.6 | 0.3 |
| Malignant immunoproliferative disease | 285 | 0.0 | <0.1 | 127 | 0.0 | <0.1 | 412 | 0.0 | <0.1 |
| Multiple myeloma | 10 769 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 7830 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 18 599 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| Leukemia | |||||||||
| Overall | 31 065 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 21 461 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 52 526 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| Lymphoid leukemia | 12 842 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 7387 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 20 229 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| Myeloid leukemia | 15 358 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 12 131 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 27 489 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Leukemia unspecified | 2865 | 0.4 | <0.1 | 1943 | 0.3 | <0.1 | 4808 | 0.3 | <0.1 |
| Other and unspecified primary sites | 38 611 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 27 645 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 66 256 | 4.7 | 0.5 |
Abbreviations: CIR, crude incidence rate; NA, not applicable.
Table 3 presents India’s estimated cancer mortality cases and rates (per 100 000 population) in 2024. The estimated number of cancer mortality cases among males in India was 460 191 with a CMR of 63.3. For females, the estimated number of cancer mortality cases was 414 213 with a CMR of 60.1. The highest estimates of deaths from cancer among males were digestive system cancers (128 695 [CMR, 17.7]), followed by oral cavity and pharynx cancers (116 744 [CMR, 16.1]), and respiratory system cancers (76 686 [CMR, 10.5]). Among females, breast cancer had the highest estimated mortality (102 377 [CMR, 14.9]).
Table 3. Estimated Mortality of Cancer in India, 2024.
| Site | Males | Females | Both sexes | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cases, No. | CMR per 100 000 population | Cases, No. | CMR per 100 000 population | Cases, No. | CMR per 100 000 population | |
| All | 460 191 | 63.3 | 414 213 | 60.1 | 874 404 | 61.7 |
| Oral cavity and pharynx | ||||||
| Overall | 116 744 | 16.1 | 37 418 | 5.4 | 154 162 | 10.9 |
| Tongue | 34 024 | 4.7 | 11 320 | 1.6 | 45 344 | 3.2 |
| Mouth | 55 491 | 7.6 | 16 856 | 2.4 | 72 347 | 5.1 |
| Pharynx | 2272 | 0.3 | 748 | 0.1 | 3020 | 0.2 |
| Other oral cavity | 24 957 | 3.4 | 8494 | 1.2 | 33 451 | 2.4 |
| Digestive system | ||||||
| Overall | 128 695 | 17.7 | 83 308 | 12.1 | 212 003 | 15.0 |
| Esophagus | 27 716 | 3.8 | 16 277 | 2.4 | 43 993 | 3.1 |
| Stomach | 23 004 | 3.2 | 12 838 | 1.9 | 35 842 | 2.5 |
| Small intestine | 1428 | 0.2 | 1256 | 0.2 | 2684 | 0.2 |
| Colon | 12 702 | 1.7 | 10 449 | 1.5 | 23 151 | 1.6 |
| Rectum | 12 365 | 1.7 | 10 358 | 1.5 | 22 723 | 1.6 |
| Anus, anal canal | 1381 | 0.2 | 820 | 0.1 | 2201 | 0.2 |
| Liver and intrahepatic bile duct | 27 986 | 3.8 | 9810 | 1.4 | 37 796 | 2.7 |
| Gallbladder and other biliary | 9793 | 1.3 | 14 897 | 2.2 | 24 690 | 1.7 |
| Pancreas | 12 320 | 1.7 | 6603 | 1.0 | 18 923 | 1.3 |
| Respiratory system | ||||||
| Overall | 76 686 | 10.5 | 27 779 | 4.0 | 104 465 | 7.4 |
| Larynx | 17 755 | 2.4 | 2239 | 0.3 | 19 994 | 1.4 |
| Lung and bronchus | 56 818 | 7.8 | 24 055 | 3.5 | 80 873 | 5.7 |
| Other respiratory organs | 2113 | 0.3 | 1485 | 0.2 | 3598 | 0.3 |
| Bones and joints | 3296 | 0.5 | 2534 | 0.4 | 5830 | 0.4 |
| Soft tissue | 3269 | 0.4 | 2797 | 0.4 | 6066 | 0.4 |
| Skin (excluding basal and squamous) | ||||||
| Overall | 4549 | 0.6 | 4068 | 0.6 | 8617 | 0.6 |
| Melanoma of the skin | 1448 | 0.2 | 1518 | 0.2 | 2966 | 0.2 |
| Other nonepithelial skin | 3101 | 0.4 | 2550 | 0.4 | 5651 | 0.4 |
| Breast | 2326 | 0.3 | 102 377 | 14.9 | 104 703 | 7.4 |
| Genital system | ||||||
| Overall | 26 933 | 3.7 | 86 219 | 12.5 | NA | NA |
| Uterine cervix | NA | NA | 42 392 | 6.1 | NA | NA |
| Uterine corpus | NA | NA | 8724 | 1.3 | NA | NA |
| Ovary | NA | NA | 29 880 | 4.3 | NA | NA |
| Vulva | NA | NA | 1091 | 0.2 | NA | NA |
| Vagina and other genital, female | NA | NA | 3861 | 0.6 | NA | NA |
| Placenta | NA | NA | 271 | 0.04 | NA | NA |
| Prostate | 23 498 | 3.2 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| Testis | 1349 | 0.2 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| Penis and other genital, male | 2086 | 0.3 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| Urinary system | ||||||
| Overall | 12 731 | 1.8 | 4910 | 0.7 | 17 641 | 1.2 |
| Urinary bladder | 7605 | 1.0 | 2527 | 0.4 | 10 132 | 0.7 |
| Kidney and renal pelvis | 4928 | 0.7 | 2264 | 0.3 | 7192 | 0.5 |
| Ureter and other urinary organs | 198 | 0.03 | 119 | 0.02 | 317 | 0.0 |
| Eye and orbit | 439 | 0.1 | 324 | 0.05 | 763 | 0.1 |
| Brain and other nervous system | 12 572 | 1.7 | 8154 | 1.2 | 20 726 | 1.5 |
| Endocrine system | ||||||
| Overall | 2874 | 0.4 | 5973 | 0.9 | 8847 | 0.6 |
| Thyroid | 2520 | 0.3 | 5519 | 0.8 | 8039 | 0.6 |
| Adrenal gland | 354 | 0.05 | 454 | 0.1 | 808 | 0.1 |
| Lymphoma | ||||||
| Overall | 14 726 | 2.0 | 9349 | 1.4 | 24 075 | 1.7 |
| Hodgkin lymphoma | 2152 | 0.3 | 1373 | 0.2 | 3525 | 0.2 |
| Non-Hodgkin lymphoma | 12 426 | 1.7 | 7892 | 1.1 | 20 318 | 1.4 |
| Malignant immunoproliferative disease | 148 | 0.02 | 84 | 0.01 | 232 | 0.0 |
| Multiple myeloma | 8507 | 1.2 | 5636 | 0.8 | 14 143 | 1.0 |
| Leukemia | ||||||
| Overall | 19 592 | 2.7 | 15 121 | 2.2 | 34 713 | 2.5 |
| Lymphoid leukemia | 7064 | 1.0 | 4951 | 0.7 | 12 015 | 0.8 |
| Myeloid leukemia | 10 292 | 1.4 | 8614 | 1.2 | 18 906 | 1.3 |
| Leukemia unspecified | 2236 | 0.3 | 1556 | 0.2 | 3792 | 0.3 |
| Other and unspecified primary sites | 26 252 | 3.6 | 18 246 | 2.6 | 44 498 | 3.1 |
Abbreviations: CMR, crude mortality rate; NA, not applicable.
Figure 2 depicts the AAPC and trends in AAIR (2002-2019) for all sites of cancer, with PBCRs grouped by region. Among the 23 populations, a statistically significant increase in AAIR was observed in 9 populations among males and 14 among females. The highest increases in AAPC were observed in Kamrup Urban for males (3.3%; 95% CI, 2.3%-4.3%) and females (2.4%; 95% CI, −1.8% to 6.8%), Wardha for males (3.0%; 95% CI, 1.5%-4.6%) and females (2.7%; 95% CI, 1.0%-4.4%), and Thiruvananthapuram Taluk for males (2.9%; 95% CI, 2.4%-3.4%) and females (3.4%; 95% CI, 3.1%-3.8%) (eTable 3 in Supplement 1).
Figure 2. Trends in Age-Adjusted Incidence Rate (AAIR) for All Sites of Cancer, 2002 to 2019.

Trends in AAIRs across the population were performed based on the World Standard Population (WSP), for all cancers combined; population-based cancer registries with more than 10 years of continuous data were included in the analysis, while those with fewer than 10 cases per year were excluded. Details regarding the average annual percent change values and trends in the AAIR for all cancer sites are provided in eTable 3 in Supplement 1. Additionally, trends in the AAIR from 2002 to 2019 for selected cancer sites are depicted in eFigure 2 in Supplement 1.
eFigure 2 in Supplement 1 depicts the trends in AAIR (2002-2019) and AAPC for the selected leading anatomical sites. Oral cancer showed significant increases in 14 PBCRs among males and 4 PBCRs among females. Meanwhile, the stomach cancer incidence rates decreased in both males and females, specifically in Aizawl (−3.8% [95% CI, −5.3% to −2.3%] and −5.9% [95% CI, −8.0% to −3.8%], respectively), Mizoram (−3.0% [95% CI, −4.3% to −1.8%] and −4.1% [95% CI, −5.4% to −2.9%], respectively), and Chennai (−2.0% [95% CI, −2.9% to −1.0%] and −1.4% [95% CI, −2.6% to −0.3%], respectively). The AAIR of lung cancer exhibited a statistically significant increase in 5 PBCRs for males and 9 PBCRs for females, including Kamrup Urban (3.8% [95% CI, 1.8%-5.8%] and 6.3% [95% CI, 2.9%-9.7%], respectively), Bangalore (3.7% [95% CI, 2.2%-5.2%] and 5.5% [95% CI, 3.2%-7.9%], respectively), Kollam (2.5% [95% CI, 1.5%-3.6%] and 3.9% [95% CI, 1.8%-6.1%], respectively), and Thiruvananthapuram Taluk (2.3% (95% CI, 1.0%-3.5%] and 6.1% [95% CI, 2.4%-10.0%], respectively). The AAIR of prostate cancer demonstrated statistically significant increases trends in 8 PBCRs.
eFigure 3 in Supplement 1 depicts the AAPC and trends in AAMR (2002-2019) for all sites of cancer across the selected PBCRs. The highest increases in AAPC were observed in Wardha at 8.5% (95% CI, 3.7%-13.6%) for males and 8.6% (95% CI, 5.0%-12.3%) for females and Mumbai at 2.6% (95% CI, 1.0%-4.2%) for females and 3.1% (95% CI, 1.7%-4.5%) for males (eTable 4 in Supplement 1).
eFigure 4 in Supplement 1 presents the top 3 leading cancer sites across the PBCRs. Among males, lung, mouth, stomach, esophagus, and prostate cancers were the most common cancers. For females, breast, cervical, and ovarian cancers were the most common.
eTable 5 in Supplement 1 presents mortality statistics across PBCRs, including number, CMR, AAMR (per 100 000 population), and M:I ratios. The Aizawl district, Mizoram, had the highest AAMR for males and females at 155.9 (95% CI, 147.3-164.5) and 96.4 (95% CI, 89.9-102.9), respectively. The M:I ratio for the leading cancer sites is presented in eTable 6 in Supplement 1, where variations by cancer site were observed across the PBCRs.
eTable 7 in Supplement 1 provides a comprehensive overview of the quality indicators for PBCRs across various geographical areas. Microscopic verification was more than 75% in all the PBCRs except in Mansa (72.4%), Dima Hasao (69.6%), and Varanasi (65.7%).
Discussion
This cross-sectional study provides a comprehensive overview of cancer incidence and mortality in India for the varying period of 2015 to 2019 from 43 PBCRs. Our findings indicate that regions such as Aizawl, East Khasi Hills, Papumpare, Kamrup Urban, and Mizoram of northeastern India consistently recorded the highest incidence rates of cancer, in alignment with previous publications from the NCRP.5,23 Esophageal cancer was most prevalent in the northeastern region of the country. The analysis also indicated a higher incidence rate in urban areas compared with rural areas. The Delhi metropolitan area recorded an AAIR 3 times higher than that of Barshi Rural, a pattern consistent with findings from another study.24 A significant rise in cancer incidence was observed in most of the geographical areas studied. In India, the leading cancer sites were mouth for males and breast for females.
The analysis revealed a distinct pattern in the leading cancer sites across India. Among males, lung cancer emerged as the most frequently diagnosed cancer in the southern regions and metropolitan cities, including Visakhapatnam, Bangalore, Malabar, Kollam, Thiruvananthapuram, Chennai, and Delhi. A previous study7 found that patients in India tend to present with lung cancer about a decade earlier than those in western populations, with median age ranging from 54 to 70 years. Additionally, half of the patients were diagnosed with advanced-stage disease.7 A systematic review and meta-analysis on tobacco use25 revealed a significantly higher risk of respiratory system cancers (lung cancer), with an odds ratio of 4.97 (95% CI, 3.62-6.32). Mouth cancer is the predominant cancer site in the western (Ahmedabad Urban, Bhopal, Nagpur, and Wardha), central (Barshi Rural, Mumbai, Aurangabad, Osmanabad and Beed, Pune, Sindhudurg, and Ratnagiri), and certain northern (Prayagraj and Varanasi) regions. As tobacco and alcohol use are major risk factors, it is vital to promote widespread education about their harmful effects.26,27 Furthermore, quitline services and the implementation of early detection programs are critical for effective prevention and control.28,29
In India, breast, cervical, and ovarian cancers consistently ranked among the top 3 most common cancers in women, with disparities observed in survival rates for breast and cervical cancers.30,31 The increasing incidence of breast cancer and decreasing incidence of cervical cancer were more associated with generational shifts in risk factors than period effects.32 The significant variation in area-wise cancer incidence rates and cancer types in India highlights the need for tailored strategies to enhance cancer prevention, and control efforts. These insights may guide future studies on environmental and lifestyle risk factors in Indian populations. This heterogeneity underscores the importance of strengthening infrastructure and human resources both nationally and at the state level.33 Similar to India, Thailand and China have experienced significant increases in the estimated APC in all sites of cancer incidence during the past 15 years.34
A similar approach was used to estimate cancer cases for India by incorporating region-specific historical incidence trend data.1,5,16 In 2024, an estimated 1 562 099 new cancer cases were expected, with females having a higher estimated incidence rate than males. PBCRs with poor-quality indicators, as well as data from the year 2020 (due to the impact of COVID-19), were excluded from the estimation process.35 Worldwide, the COVID-19 pandemic has had a considerable effect on health care systems, including cancer registries. Our analysis of PBCRs with finalized 2020 data revealed a decline in cancer incidence rates (eTable 2 in Supplement 1). Investing in prevention strategies that address key cancer risk factors, including smoking, overweight and obesity, and infections, could prevent millions of cancer cases globally. These efforts will also generate substantial economic and societal benefits for countries.36
High-quality PBCRs in India, known for their comprehensive regional representation of geographic and demographic diversity, have been consistently included in the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents (CI5) volumes by the World Health Organization–International Agency for Research on Cancer, enhancing the generalizability of their findings to broader regional and national contexts.37 The latest CI5 volume XII featured data from 24 PBCRs in India, 19 of which were contributed by the Indian Council Medical Research–National Centre for Disease Informatics and Research, 3 from TMC, and 2 from the Tamil Nadu Cancer Registry Programme.37 Although mortality figures from various registries may be incomplete, the mortality data provided by Mumbai were relatively more consistent and complete over time. Therefore, estimated mortality cases for India were calculated by applying Mumbai’s M:I ratio to the estimated incidence of cancer cases, similar to the GCO method.1
Effective cancer control in India requires coordinated efforts, focusing on public awareness, prevention, and early detection. Awareness campaigns help reduce stigma and encourage timely health-seeking behavior. Beyond prevention, upgrading existing cancer care facilities and expanding services in high-incidence regions is vital to ensure equitable access to quality and affordable care. However, cancer care delivery faces challenges, including regional disparities, socioeconomic inequalities, low awareness, and varied health-seeking patterns. Addressing these issues requires a collaborative, data-driven approach to build equitable and accessible cancer care across India.38 The Indian government has strengthened cancer control through nationwide screening under the National Programme for Prevention and Control of Non-Communicable Diseases, financial protection through Ayushman Bharat Pradhan Mantri Jan Arogya Yojana for low-income groups, expansion of tertiary care with 19 state cancer institutes and 20 tertiary care centers, and plans to establish 200 district day care cancer centers by 2025 to 2026 to improve access to treatment.39
Limitations
This study has limitations. Unlike incidence, mortality data are not uniformly captured across India, and underreporting of deaths across PBCRs may have occurred due to incorrect or incomplete certification of causes of death and limited coverage. Although PBCRs cover approximately 18% of India’s total population, registries cover a wide range of urban and rural areas across different states, providing a reasonably representative snapshot of the country’s cancer burden. Nonetheless, care must be taken when interpreting these results for regions not currently represented, as local epidemiological, environmental, and health care factors may influence the distribution and outcomes of cancer.
The study also revealed differing rates of quality indicators across the PBCRs, influenced by the level of cooperation and reporting from sources of registration. Additionally, 26 areas with mostly newer PBCRs reported a death certificate–only verification rate of less than 2%, and 3 areas—Nagpur, Muzaffarpur, and Hailakandi—exhibited other and unspecified site rates exceeding 10%. These challenges can be overcome by engaging the state governments to bridge the gap between the source of registration and cancer registries for comprehensive data collection.
Conclusions
This cancer registry–based cross-sectional study from 43 PBCRs highlights the regional disparities in cancer incidence and mortality across India and the growing cancer burden. In India, oral, lung, and prostate cancers were the most prevalent among males, while breast, cervical, and ovarian cancers were common among females. This underscores a need to strengthen the ongoing efforts for cancer prevention and control measures to reduce the burden of cancer in India.
eTable 1. ICD-10 Codes for Various Cancer Sites
eTable 2. Comparison of Incidence Rate Between 2015-2019 and 2015-2020
eFigure 1. Comparison of Age-Adjusted Incidence Rates (AAIRs) for Selected Leading Sites of Cancer Across PBCRs (2015-2019)
eTable 3. AAPC and Trends in Age-Adjusted Incidence Rate (2002-2019) for All Sites of Cancer
eFigure 2. AAPC and Trends in Age-Adjusted Incidence Rate (2002-2019) for Selected Sites of Cancer
eFigure 3. Trends in Age-Adjusted Mortality Rate (2002-2019) for All Sites of Cancer
eTable 4. AAPC and Trends in Age-Adjusted Mortality Rate (2002-2019) for All Sites of Cancer
eFigure 4. Top 3 Leading Sites of Cancers Based on the Relative Proportion in PBCRs in India (2015-2019)
eTable 5. Cancer Mortality Cases: Number, Mortality-Incidence Ratio (M/I), and Rates (CMR and AAMR) per 100 000 by Sex in 43 PBCRs (2015-2019), India
eTable 6. Mortality-to-Incidence Ratio of the Top Leading Cancer Sites Across 43 PBCRs (2015-2019)
eTable 7. Data Quality Indicators: Number and Relative Proportion, All Sites of Cancer (2015-2019), Both Sexes
Data Sharing Statement
References
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Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Supplementary Materials
eTable 1. ICD-10 Codes for Various Cancer Sites
eTable 2. Comparison of Incidence Rate Between 2015-2019 and 2015-2020
eFigure 1. Comparison of Age-Adjusted Incidence Rates (AAIRs) for Selected Leading Sites of Cancer Across PBCRs (2015-2019)
eTable 3. AAPC and Trends in Age-Adjusted Incidence Rate (2002-2019) for All Sites of Cancer
eFigure 2. AAPC and Trends in Age-Adjusted Incidence Rate (2002-2019) for Selected Sites of Cancer
eFigure 3. Trends in Age-Adjusted Mortality Rate (2002-2019) for All Sites of Cancer
eTable 4. AAPC and Trends in Age-Adjusted Mortality Rate (2002-2019) for All Sites of Cancer
eFigure 4. Top 3 Leading Sites of Cancers Based on the Relative Proportion in PBCRs in India (2015-2019)
eTable 5. Cancer Mortality Cases: Number, Mortality-Incidence Ratio (M/I), and Rates (CMR and AAMR) per 100 000 by Sex in 43 PBCRs (2015-2019), India
eTable 6. Mortality-to-Incidence Ratio of the Top Leading Cancer Sites Across 43 PBCRs (2015-2019)
eTable 7. Data Quality Indicators: Number and Relative Proportion, All Sites of Cancer (2015-2019), Both Sexes
Data Sharing Statement
