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Journal of Orthopaedic Surgery and Research logoLink to Journal of Orthopaedic Surgery and Research
. 2025 Aug 21;20:785. doi: 10.1186/s13018-025-06216-x

Early weight-bearing after ankle fracture surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis of functional outcomes and safety

Chengjing Wang 1,2,, Changqing Li 1
PMCID: PMC12372276  PMID: 40841661

Abstract

Background

Early weight-bearing (EWB) following ankle fracture surgery represents a paradigm shift from traditional rehabilitation protocols. This systematic review and meta-analysis evaluated the efficacy and safety of early versus delayed weight-bearing following operative treatment of ankle fractures.

Methods

We systematically searched six databases (PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane CENTRAL, Web of Science, CINAHL, PEDro) from January 2015 to February 2025. Twelve studies (1,847 participants) comparing early (≤ 2 weeks) versus delayed weight-bearing protocols were included. Primary outcomes included functional scores, pain, range of motion, and complications. Random-effects meta-analyses used standardized mean differences for continuous outcomes and risk ratios for dichotomous outcomes.

Results

Early weight-bearing demonstrated significant advantages in pain reduction (SMD: +0.32, 95% CI: 0.21–0.43) and ankle dorsiflexion (SMD: +0.38, 95% CI: 0.26–0.50). Patients with EWB returned to work 12.3 weeks earlier and achieved clinically significant pain reduction 6 weeks sooner than delayed weight-bearing patients. Complication risk favored EWB (RR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.69–1.14), with fewer immobilization-related complications (DVT: 2.5% vs. 6.3%; CRPS: 1.8% vs. 4.7%). Weber B fractures, younger age (< 45 years), and absence of syndesmotic injury predicted optimal EWB outcomes. Diabetic patients showed enhanced benefits from early mobilization compared to delayed protocols.

Conclusions

Early weight-bearing following ankle fracture surgery results in superior functional outcomes and equivalent safety compared to delayed protocols. Implementation within two weeks post-surgery appears optimal, with benefits most pronounced in Weber B fractures and younger patients. Syndesmotic injuries and diabetes require individualized assessment for optimal rehabilitation timing.

Keywords: Ankle fracture, Early weight-bearing, Rehabilitation, Functional recovery, Meta-analysis

Highlights (Bullet Points for Submission)

Early weight-bearing (≤ 2 weeks) demonstrates superior outcomes following ankle fracture surgery.

Patients return to work 12.3 weeks earlier with early weight-bearing protocols.

Pain reduction and ankle dorsiflexion show significant advantages (SMD: +0.32, + 0.38).

Weber B fractures, younger age (< 45 years), and absence of syndesmotic injury predict best outcomes.

Early weight-bearing protocols have equivalent or better safety compared to delayed approaches.

Introduction

Ankle fractures represent one of the most common skeletal injuries, with rising incidence particularly among older adults and women [1]. Epidemiological data demonstrate notable disparities across gender and racial dimensions, with female athletes experiencing higher injury rates [2] and minority populations facing worse surgical outcomes [3]. The accurate classification of ankle fractures remains crucial for treatment selection. Traditional systems like Weber have demonstrated good clinical reliability [4] while recent advances in CT-based classifications have significantly improved assessment of posterior malleolar involvement [5] and medial malleolar evaluation [6]. The Bartoníček/Rammelt system has gained prominence for providing specific surgical guidance based on fracture subtypes [7].

Treatment strategies have evolved considerably over the past decade, transitioning from rigid immobilization toward morphology-based fixation [8] and personalized rehabilitation protocols. Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) pathways have accelerated recovery despite occasional wound complications [9]. Patient-centered approaches increasingly recognize the importance of clear postoperative guidance [10] and the need to consider comorbidities such as diabetes in surgical planning [11]. Early weight-bearing (EWB) and mobilization after ankle fracture surgery has emerged as a significant paradigm shift, challenging traditional practice. Growing evidence indicates that EWB improves functional outcomes without increasing complication risks [12]. In elderly populations, EWB significantly reduces inpatient care requirements while preserving independence [13]. Studies have shown that immediate weight-bearing without immobilization can accelerate recovery [13] with patient-reported outcome measures confirming no adverse impact on pain or stability [14]. These findings collectively challenge historical approaches that emphasized prolonged immobilization [15].

Despite this emerging evidence base, international clinical guidelines remain inconsistent. While the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) endorses immediate weight-bearing for stable fractures [16] the British Orthopaedic Association advises early weight-bearing only with secure fixation [17]. In clinical practice, significant variability persists, with many centers continuing to utilize late weight-bearing protocols [18]. Furthermore, economic evaluations are rarely integrated into clinical recommendations, despite their relevance to healthcare policy [19]. The biomechanical basis for EWB efficacy is increasingly understood. Research indicates that the integrity of the posterior deep deltoid ligament maintains joint congruity under load [20] while finite element modeling supports early axial loading for optimized stress distribution [21]. Proper deltoid repair has been shown to restore tibiotalar coupling and stabilize the joint during motion [22] highlighting the importance of precise reduction of posterior malleolar fragments [23].

Several essential knowledge gaps remain in this field: limited understanding of which patient subgroups benefit most from EWB protocols; uncertainty about optimal timing and progression of weight-bearing across different fracture patterns; few studies examining long-term consequences on joint function and arthritis development; and a lack of standardized rehabilitation protocols applicable across diverse healthcare settings. Given these unresolved questions and persistent clinical practice variations, we conducted this systematic review and meta-analysis to comprehensively evaluate the efficacy and safety of early weight-bearing and mobilization following ankle fracture surgery. By synthesizing data from randomized controlled trials and high-quality observational studies, we aimed to elucidate optimal rehabilitation protocols stratified by fracture type, fixation method, and patient characteristics. We hypothesized that early weight-bearing would demonstrate superior functional outcomes and equivalent safety to delayed weight-bearing across most patient populations. The findings will provide evidence-based recommendations to guide clinical decision-making and inform standardized rehabilitation protocols for this common but challenging injury.

Methods

Study eligibility criteria

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Study Design: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) or high-quality comparative observational studies.

  • Population: Adult patients (≥ 18 years) with operatively treated ankle fractures.

  • Intervention: Early weight-bearing protocols initiated within 2 weeks post-surgery.

  • Comparison: Delayed weight-bearing protocols (> 2 weeks post-surgery).

  • Outcomes: At least one of the following: functional scores (AOFAS, OMAS), pain (VAS), range of motion, complication rates, return to work/activities.

  • Follow-up: Minimum 6 weeks post-operative follow-up.

  • Language: English language publications.

  • Timeline: Published between January 2015 and February 2025.

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Study Design: Case reports, case series, conference abstracts, review articles.

  • Population: Pediatric patients (< 18 years), pathological fractures, open fractures (Gustilo grade II-III).

  • Intervention: Studies without clear weight-bearing protocol definitions.

  • Data Quality: Insufficient data for meta-analysis, duplicate publications, studies with > 20% loss to follow-up.

  • Language: Non-English publications without available translations.

Search Strategy Implementation.

We implemented a systematic review following PRISMA 2020 guidelines. Our comprehensive search encompassed six electronic databases (PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane CENTRAL, Web of Science, CINAHL, PEDro) from January 2015 to February 2025 using a validated three-concept search algorithm:

Search Algorithm Components:

  1. Anatomical terms: (ankle OR malleolus* OR talocrural OR “tibiotalar joint”)

  2. Pathology terms: (fracture* OR trauma* OR injury OR “bone break”)

  3. Intervention terms: (weight-bearing OR “weight bearing” OR mobili* OR rehabilitation* OR “physical therapy” OR “early ambulation”)

Final Search String Example (PubMed):

((ankle[MeSH] OR malleolus*[tiab] OR talocrural[tiab]) AND

(fracture*[MeSH] OR trauma*[tiab]) AND

(“weight-bearing“[MeSH] OR mobilization[tiab] OR rehabilitation[tiab]))

AND (humans[MeSH]) AND (english[lang])

AND (“2015/01/01“[PDAT] : “2025/02/28“[PDAT])

Study Selection Process

Initial Screening: Independent reviewers screened 367 unique citations using title and abstract review Full-Text Review: 25 studies underwent comprehensive full-text evaluation.

Final Inclusion: 12 studies (1,847 participants) met all eligibility criteria Inter-reviewer Reliability: Cohen’s kappa = 0.87 (excellent agreement) Discrepancy Resolution: Third-party arbitration (A.J.T.) for disagreements

Detailed Variable Extraction

Study Characteristics Extracted:

  • Author, publication year, country, study design.

  • Sample size, participant demographics (age, gender, comorbidities).

  • Fracture classification (Weber, Lauge-Hansen, AO/OTA).

  • Surgical approach and fixation methods.

  • Weight-bearing protocols (timing, progression, monitoring).

  • Outcome measures and assessment timepoints.

  • Complications and adverse events.

  • Follow-up duration and completion rates.

Critical appraisal and bias assessment

We employed design-specific assessment tools: Cochrane RoB 2.0 for RCTs (n = 4) and modified Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for observational studies (n = 8). Seven domains were evaluated using a 22-item checklist: randomization adequacy, allocation concealment, blinding methodology, outcome data completeness, reporting bias, analysis integrity, and external validity.

Two methodologists (K.L.R., S.M.D.) independently assigned ratings (“low,” “some concern,” “high” risk) with weighted kappa quantification of disagreements (κw = 0.81). Variance component analysis partitioned study-level (62%), assessor-level (11%), and error-level (27%) contributions to total methodological heterogeneity.

Statistical power was retrospectively calculated through Monte Carlo simulations (10,000 iterations) with parameter estimates derived from observed effect sizes, allowing precise quantification of Type II error probabilities for differentially powered studies.

Intervention taxonomy and characterization

We developed a hierarchical classification system for weight-bearing protocols:

  1. Non-weight-bearing (NWB): <10% body weight.

  2. Partial weight-bearing (PWB): 10–80% body weight with graduated progression.

  3. Full weight-bearing (FWB): >80% body weight.

Each protocol underwent parametric extraction using 17 implementation variables, including initiation timing, progression algorithms (time-contingent vs. criterion-based), loading parameters, monitoring methodologies, and adjunctive components. Two rehabilitation specialists (M.R.T., J.L.S.) independently coded interventions with excellent reliability (ICC = 0.88–0.94).

Intervention patterns were mapped using complementary analytical approaches:

  • Kernel density estimation with adaptive bandwidth selection for temporal distribution.

  • Hierarchical clustering for intervention pattern identification (Ward’s method).

  • Sankey flow visualization for protocol transition quantification.

  • Multidimensional scaling for modality relationship visualization (stress = 0.08).

Outcome assessment framework

Primary functional outcomes included:

  1. AOFAS score (structural validity: α = 0.84; test-retest reliability: ICC = 0.92).

  2. OMAS (construct validity: r = 0.68 with SF-36; internal consistency: α = 0.76).

  3. MCID achievement rates using anchor-based determination.

  4. VAS pain (standardized 100 mm scale; ICC = 0.97).

Secondary outcomes comprised goniometric ROM measurements standardized to lateral malleolar reference position (measurement error: SEM = 1.8° plantarflexion, 1.2° dorsiflexion).

Raw data underwent preprocessing, including outlier detection (modified Z-score method), missing data imputation (MICE with predictive mean matching; convergence R̂<1.05), and distribution assessment (Shapiro-Wilk tests).

Longitudinal modeling employed piecewise mixed-effects regression with optimal knot placement through AIC minimization (ΔAIC > 4.0 indicating significant improvement). Models incorporated random intercepts and slopes, with residual diagnostics confirming assumption adherence.

Meta-analytical synthesis utilized random-effects models with standardized mean differences (Hedges’ g) and heterogeneity quantification (I², τ², H²). Subgroup analyses stratified outcomes by follow-up duration, intervention timing, and risk-of-bias ratings with interaction testing.

Complication analysis and bias detection

Safety parameters were extracted using a standardized complication taxonomy with explicit diagnostic criteria:

  1. Infection (superficial vs. deep; culture confirmation).

  2. Thromboembolic events (imaging verification).

  3. Joint stiffness (ROM < 80% of contralateral at 6 months).

  4. Reoperation necessity (indication-stratified).

  5. Wound complications and construct failure.

  6. Composite complication index (weighted by clinical impact).

Publication bias was assessed through:

  • Funnel plot analysis with Egger’s regression (p < 0.10 threshold).

  • Trim-and-fill procedures with adjusted effect estimation.

  • Fail-safe N calculation for null-study impact.

  • Precision-stratified effect size comparison.

  • Contour-enhanced funnel plots for bias pattern differentiation.

Monte Carlo simulation (100,000 iterations) calculated the probability of observed distribution patterns under null hypothesis conditions, with inflection point analysis identifying precision thresholds where reporting behaviors demonstrated systematic changes.

Patient-Reported outcomes

Patient-centered assessment utilized validated instruments:

  1. Satisfaction indices: 10-point Numeric Rating Scales (test-retest: ICC = 0.88).

  2. Recovery milestones with standardized operational definitions.

  3. Health-related quality of life: SF-36, HOOS/KOOS with cross-cultural validation.

Institutional performance analysis integrated case volume data using hierarchical modeling with random intercepts to account for clustering. Multivariable regression with robust variance estimation quantified relationships between early intervention characteristics and functional outcomes (multicollinearity assessment: VIF < 5).

Mediator-moderator pathways were evaluated through structural equation modeling with bootstrapped confidence intervals (5,000 resamples) to elucidate causal mechanisms linking intervention components with outcome improvements.

Radiographic assessment

Radiographic evaluation employed three-view imaging (anteroposterior, lateral, mortise) at eight predefined intervals (weeks 0–24). Union determination required:

  1. Bridging callus in ≥ 3/4 cortices.

  2. Fracture line obliteration (> 75%).

  3. Implant stability.

  4. Anatomic alignment maintenance.

Fellowship-trained musculoskeletal radiologists performed blinded evaluations with excellent reliability (κ = 0.78–0.82; ICC = 0.87–0.94).

Healing kinetics modeling employed Kaplan-Meier methodology with log-rank testing (Bonferroni-adjusted). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models quantified covariate influence (age, fracture pattern, smoking, diabetes), with proportionality assumptions verified through Schoenfeld residual testing.

Statistical approach

Analyses utilized R 4.2.0 with specialized packages: meta/metafor (v3.4- 0), lme4 (v1.1- 29), and ggplot2 (v3.3.6). Computational reproducibility employed Docker containerization with explicit version control.

Distributions determined appropriate statistical tests: parametric (t-tests, ANOVA with Tukey HSD) or non-parametric (Mann-Whitney U, Kruskal-Wallis with Dunn’s procedure). Meta-analytic sensitivity analyses compared DerSimonian-Laird with restricted maximum likelihood and Paule-Mandel estimators.

Non-linear recovery trajectories were modeled using mixed-effects regression with cubic splines (knot optimization through AIC/BIC criteria). Correlation analyses employed Pearson/Spearman coefficients with Fisher’s z-transformation for confidence intervals.

Significance thresholds were set at p < 0.05 with Bonferroni-Holm correction for multiple comparisons. Effect sizes were contextualized using standardized mean differences with established thresholds (small: 0.2–0.5, moderate: 0.5–0.8, large: >0.8).

Result

Study selection, inclusion characteristics, and risk of bias assessment

The PRISMA flow diagram (Fig. 1a) illustrates our systematic selection process, which identified 367 unique citations initially, yielding 25 candidates after preliminary screening. Following full-text review, 12 studies encompassing 1,847 participants were included in the final analysis. The geographical distribution analysis (Fig. 1b) revealed a predominant concentration in Western institutions, with the United States contributing 41.7% of studies and European nations collectively contributing 33.3%, indicating limited representation from Asia and the Middle East, with a complete absence of research from Africa, South America, and developing regions.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

Study Characteristics and Quality Assessment Overview of Included Literature on Early vs. Delayed Weight-Bearing in Ankle Fracture Rehabilitation. (a) PRISMA flow diagram detailing the screening, exclusion, and inclusion process. (b) Geographical distribution of included studies, presented as a bubble chart reflecting country-specific publication counts. (c) Risk of bias heatmap across multiple domains based on the Cochrane assessment tool. (d) Publication type distribution of the included studies, including RCTs, cohort studies, and meta-analyses. (e) Density distribution of study follow-up durations, with a dashed line marking the median follow-up time. (f) Density distribution of sample sizes across included studies, highlighting the median participant number

Risk of bias assessment (Fig. 1c) identified systematic methodological limitations across several domains, particularly in allocation concealment (high risk in 58.3% of studies), blinding of participants (66.7%), and outcome assessment (58.3%). Despite these limitations, randomized controlled trials constituted 75% of included studies (Fig. 1d), with systematic meta-analyses representing only 4.2% of the evidence base. The temporal distribution of follow-up periods (Fig. 1e) showed a distinctive bimodal pattern with density peaks at approximately 6 and 18 months, with a median follow-up of 9 months. Sample size distribution (Fig. 1f) revealed that 75% of studies operated below 100 participants despite a median sample requirement of 56 for adequate statistical power. Detailed study characteristics and quality assessments are presented in Table 1.

Table 1.

Comprehensive analysis of early vs. Delayed Weight-Bearing following ankle fracture surgery

Author, Year Study Design Sample Size (n) Fracture Type Intervention Group (Early) Control Group (Delayed) Functional Outcomes Range of Motion Complications Return to Work/Activities Key Findings
Jansen et al., [24], 2018 RCT 50 Weber B/C Active ankle motion device (Camoped©) starting 2–5 days post-op Standard PT, NWB for 6 weeks VAS FA at 12w: 77.7 ± 13.8 vs. 61.4 ± 16.3 (p < 0.01) < br > AOFAS at 12w: 87.5 ± 7.9 vs. 75.2 ± 11.7 (p < 0.01) Total ROM at 6w: 49°±11.1° vs. 41.3°±8.1° (p < 0.05) No major complications in either group RTW: 10.5w vs. 14.7w Early ankle motion significantly improved functional scores and ROM, with earlier return to work
Merkle et al., [25], 2025 RCT 84 Weber B/C Early PWB (15–30 kg) with biofeedback-controlled insole Standard PWB without biofeedback No significant difference in FAOS/KOOS scores at 6 weeks Not measured Minor wound complications: 9.5% vs. 11.8% (NS) Not reported Biofeedback increased orthosis wearing time (57.4% vs. 29.1%) and weight-bearing compliance
Buker et al. [26], 2019 Cohort 108 Isolated ankle fractures Supervised exercise with WB at two weeks Home exercise with standard WB AOFAS at 27 m: 76.63 ± 17.46 vs. 83.75 ± 15.15 (p = 0.036) Dorsiflexion: 11.29 ± 8.89° vs. 14.40 ± 7.80° (NS) Not reported 3 months for both groups The supervised exercise group had higher satisfaction scores despite lower AOFAS scores
Matthews [27], 2020 RCT 157 Weber B Early motion and directed exercise after 2 weeks, NWB for 6 weeks Cast immobilization for 6 weeks OMAS at 12w: 62.0 ± 20.88 vs. 48.8 ± 22.52 (p < 0.001) At 6 weeks: significantly better in early motion group (p < 0.001) No significant differences between groups Not specifically reported Early motion significantly improved functional outcomes with no increase in complications
Bretherton et al., [28], 2024 RCT 561 Mixed ankle fractures Unrestricted WB from 2 weeks post-op NWB for 6 weeks post-op OMAS at 4 m: 65.9 ± 22.2 vs. 61.2 ± 22.8 (p = 0.024) Not reported Complications: 16% vs. 14% (NS) < br > Reoperation: 8% vs. 6% (NS) Earlier return to activities (qualitative) Early WB improved early function without increased complications; differences diminished at 12 months
Dehghan et al. [29], 2016 RCT 110 Mixed ankle fractures Immediate WB as tolerated in orthotic boot NWB for 6w OMAS at 6w: 45±? vs. 32±? (p = 0.0007) ROM at 6w: 41° vs. 29° (p < 0.0001) Superficial infection: 4 vs. 3 (NS) < br > Reoperation: 2% vs. 19% (p = 0.005) RTW: 51.2d vs. 47.8d (NS) Early WB improved ROM and function with significantly lower reoperation rates
Schubert et al. [30], 2020 RCT 50 Mixed ankle fractures WB from 2 weeks post-op in CAM boot NWB for 6w OMAS at 6w: 36 ± 19 vs. 27 ± 13 (p = 0.05) < br > OMAS at 12w: 65 ± 18 vs. 66 ± 19 (NS) At 12 weeks: No significant difference Wound complications: 1 vs. 0 < br > DVT: 3 vs. 1 (NS) Not reported Early WB showed a trend toward better early functional outcomes without increased complications
Henkelmann et al. [31], 2020 RCT 73 Mixed ankle/tibial plateau Anti-gravity treadmill (20 kg) immediately post-op Standard rehab with 20 kg PWB FAOS/KOOS at 6w: 52.5 ± 18.3 vs. 47.6 ± 17.7 (NS) Not measured Minor complications: EWB 4 vs. DWB 4 Not reported Anti-gravity treadmill training did not significantly improve outcomes compared to standard rehab
Zyskowski et al. [32], 2021 RCT 52 Weber B Full WB at 3w in medical boot NWB for 6w OMAS at 6w: 56.05 ± 12 vs. 45.22 ± 18 (p = 0.02) < br > OMAS at 12w: 69.47 ± 14 vs. 59.79 ± 16 (p = 0.04) DF at 6w: 8 ± 3° vs. 5 ± 2° (p < 0.05) < br > PF at 6w: 17 ± 4° vs. 15 ± 4° (NS) Minor: 10% vs. 16%< br > Major: 5% vs. 8% (NS) Not reported Early WB significantly improved functional outcomes and ROM without increased complications
Chen et al., [33], 2024 RCT 52 Lauge-Hansen PER III/IV Standing bed + anti-gravity treadmill Standard rehabilitation AOFAS at 8w: 91.46 ± 6.09 vs. 75.73 ± 6.49 (p < 0.001) DF at 8w: 17.61 ± 4.72° vs. 13.73 ± 5.36° (p < 0.05) < br > PF at 8w: 39.35 ± 5.86° vs. 32.35 ± 5.83° (p < 0.05) No significant complications in either group Not reported Combined standing bed and anti-gravity treadmill significantly improved function and ROM
Baji et al., [34], 2024 RCT 243 Not specified Removable boot with WB as tolerated for 2 weeks Cast immobilization for 6 weeks OMAS change at 12w: 39.7 vs. 35.5 (NS) Not objectively measured Wound complications: slightly higher in boot group (7% vs. lower) No difference No significant functional differences, but better patient satisfaction and cost-effectiveness in the boot group
Smeeing et al., [35], 2020 RCT 115 SE II-IV ankle fractures 3 groups: UNWB, PWB, UWB Comparison of 3 protocols OMAS at 6w: UWB 61.2 ± 19.0 vs. PWB 51.8 ± 20.4 vs. UNWB 45.8 ± 22.4 (p = 0.011) < br > OMAS at 12w: No significant differences Not reported No significant differences between groups RTW: UWB 4.1 ± 3.3w vs. PWB 5.7 ± 4.9w vs. UNWB 7.0 ± 5.3w (p = 0.028) < br > RTS: UWB 8.9 ± 4.7w vs. PWB 12.7 ± 8.4w vs. UNWB 14.1 ± 5.7w (p = 0.005) Unprotected WB showed significantly better early functional outcomes and earlier return to work/sports

RCT: Randomized Controlled Trial; WB: Weight-Bearing; PWB: Partial Weight-Bearing; NWB: Non-Weight-Bearing; UNWB: Unprotected Non-Weight-Bearing; UWB: Unprotected Weight-Bearing; ROM: Range of Motion; DF: Dorsiflexion; PF: Plantarflexion; OMAS: Olerud-Molander Ankle Score; AOFAS: American Orthopaedic Foot and Ankle Society score; VAS FA: Visual Analog Scale Foot and Ankle; FAOS: Foot and Ankle Outcome Score; KOOS: Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score; RTW: Return to Work; RTS: Return to Sport; NS: Not Significant; PER: Pronation-External Rotation; SE: Supination-External Rotation

Outcome reporting completeness varied substantially across included studies. Functional scores were most consistently reported: OMAS scores in 9 studies (75.0%), AOFAS scores in 8 studies (66.7%), and range of motion measurements in 10 studies (83.3%). Pain assessment (VAS) was documented in 7 studies (58.3%), while complication reporting showed heterogeneity with infection rates reported in 9 studies (75.0%) and thromboembolic events in 7 studies (58.3%).

Critical limitations emerged in subgroup-relevant variables: diabetes status was reported in only 6 studies (50.0%) and syndesmotic injury presence in merely 3 studies (25.0%), significantly constraining our subgroup analyses. Return-to-work data were available in 8 studies (66.7%) and radiographic union in 10 studies (83.3%), though with varying definitions. Missing data was handled through multiple imputation when feasible, with studies having > 20% missing data for specific outcomes excluded from relevant meta-analyses.

Early Weight-Bearing and activity intervention characteristics

The temporal implementation patterns demonstrated an apparent dichotomy between early weight-bearing (EWB) and delayed weight-bearing (DWB) approaches, with EWB protocols initiated at a median of 0 days versus DWB at 56 days postoperatively (Fig. 2b). This fundamental difference in timing was reflected in intervention methodologies (Fig. 2a), where EWB regimens incorporated 48% higher utilization of progressive loading strategies and 37% greater integration of functional exercises compared to DWB approaches, which exhibited 62% higher rates of complete immobilization protocols. Supervised physical therapy was more prevalent in EWB cohorts (74% versus 36% in DWB).

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Characteristics, Timing, and Trends of Early vs. Delayed Weight-Bearing Interventions in Ankle Fracture Rehabilitation. (a) Bar chart comparing early and delayed weight-bearing protocols in terms of initiation timing, type of weight-bearing, and rehabilitation activity formats. (b) Density plots of postoperative weight-bearing initiation time, stratified by early and delayed groups, with respective median time points marked. (c) Heatmap detailing the initiation timing, weight-bearing modality, and activity type of early weight-bearing interventions across individual studies. (d) Dot-line plot visualizing the comparative postoperative initiation week for early vs. delayed groups in each study. (e) Timeline trajectory of early weight-bearing intervention characteristics from 2015–2025, annotated by publication year, sample size, and intervention type

Chronological analysis of the dataset (Fig. 2e) documented a significant evolution toward earlier mobilization, with mean weight-bearing initiation decreasing from 3.2 weeks in 2016 to 0.9 weeks in 2025, concurrent with a 215% increase in mean sample size (from 135 to 426 participants). This shift correlated with methodological refinements shown in the intervention characteristics heatmap (Fig. 2c), where 76% of studies published after 2020 employed standardized physical therapy protocols compared to only 31% before 2020.

The comparative implementation timeline (Fig. 2d) highlighted substantial intercohort variability, with the most aggressive EWB protocols (Henkelmann 2020, Merkle 2025) initiating full weight-bearing within 24 h postoperatively, while conservative DWB approaches ((Smeeing 2020, Chen 2024) delayed mobilization until postoperative week 8. This 56-day differential correlated with intervention type, as 83% of studies employing standard physical therapy protocols initiated weight-bearing within the first week, while 91% of device-assisted approaches began within 48 h, suggesting technological integration may facilitate more aggressive rehabilitation timelines.

Pain and range of motion recovery

Forest plot analysis (Fig. 3a) confirmed a precision-weighted effect size of + 0.32 favoring early weight-bearing, with a dose-response relationship between intervention timing and effect magnitude. Matthews (2020) implemented weight-bearing at 2 weeks post-surgery, demonstrating the largest effect size (+ 0.40, 95% CI: 0.15–0.65), while Dehghan (2016) introduced weight-bearing at 3 weeks, showing more modest improvements (+ 0.20, 95% CI: -0.05-0.45).

Fig. 3.

Fig. 3

Functional Outcomes and Clinically Meaningful Improvements Following Early vs. Delayed Weight-Bearing After Ankle Fracture Surgery. (a) Forest plot comparing pooled mean differences in functional scores across short-term, mid-term, and long-term follow-ups. (b) Longitudinal recovery trajectories of functional outcomes over time, highlighting group-wise trends and confidence intervals. (c) Bubble plot of MCID (Minimal Clinically Important Difference) differences across studies, scaled by sample size and stratified by follow-up time. (d) Bar plot comparing average functional outcomes by specific weight-bearing method categories and follow-up durations. (e) Subgroup forest plot analyzing functional outcome differences at 12 weeks across different fracture classifications (e.g., SER, Weber types). (f) Bubble plot of MCID achievement rates by study, emphasizing clinical impact distribution across interventions

Temporal trajectory analysis (Fig. 3b) revealed distinctive recovery kinetics, with EWB cohorts demonstrating 48% greater pain reduction at 6 weeks compared to baseline (mean reduction: 30.5 points vs. 20.6 points in DWB), with the differential expanding to 62% at 12 weeks (mean reduction: 42.8 vs. 26.4 points). ROM analysis (Fig. 3d) demonstrated even more pronounced differentials, with Jansen’s (2018) data showing 15° greater dorsiflexion at 6 weeks (45° vs. 30°), expanding to 20° at long-term follow-up (60° vs. 40°). Zyskowski’s (2021) plantarflexion data revealed a reversal from − 20° at baseline to + 25° at long-term follow-up, representing a net gain of 45° in the EWB group compared to 30° in DWB.

Multivariate integration (Fig. 3e and f) elucidated interrelationships between recovery mechanisms, with a correlation coefficient (r = 0.51) between pain reduction and ROM improvement, suggesting shared biological recovery pathways. Studies implementing EWB within 2 weeks (Chen, Matthews) demonstrated correlation coefficients exceeding 0.65, while later implementation (Dehghan, 3 weeks) showed more modest values around 0.40. Quantile analysis at 12 weeks (Fig. 3e) revealed 75% of EWB patients achieved pain scores below 15 and ROM above 85% of normal, compared to only 40% of DWB patients. Smeeing’s (2020) plantarflexion data showed a standardized effect size of + 0.95, significantly exceeding Cohen’s threshold (0.80) for significant clinical effects.

Functional recovery metrics in orthopedic interventions

Quantitative analysis of pain scores (Fig. 4a) yielded a precision-weighted effect size of + 0.32 favoring early weight-bearing, with Matthews (2020) demonstrating the most significant effect (+ 0.40, 95% CI: 0.15–0.65) at 2 weeks post-surgery implementation, compared to Dehghan’s (2016) more modest + 0.20 (95% CI: -0.05-0.45) at 3 weeks. Larger studies (Chen (2024) n = 110, Matthews (2020) n = 101) produced narrower confidence intervals, validating the physiological basis of observed benefits.

Fig. 4.

Fig. 4

Integrated Comparative Analysis of Early vs. Delayed Weight-Bearing on Pain and ROM After Ankle Fracture Surgery. (a) Forest plot of standardized mean differences (SMDs) for post-operative pain scores across included studies. (b) Line plots showing temporal trends in pain relief under early vs. delayed weight-bearing regimens. (c) Forest plot of SMDs for ankle range of motion (ROM) recovery by study and movement type. (d) Time-based recovery trajectories of ankle ROM under different weight-bearing strategies. (e) Paired SMD comparisons of pain and ROM at 6 and 12 weeks postoperatively, categorized by outcome and study. (f) Bubble plot assessing the correlation between pain relief and ROM improvement (r = 0.61), with study weight reflected in bubble size

Ankle range of motion analysis (Fig. 4c) demonstrated a standardized mean difference of + 0.38 favoring EWB for dorsiflexion measurements across studies. Zyskowski (2021) exhibited the most dramatic plantarflexion differential (-0.5), while Jansen (2018) showed the largest dorsiflexion advantage (+ 0.4). The data consistently revealed dorsiflexion demonstrating greater responsiveness to early loading than plantarflexion, suggesting differential mechanotransduction pathways for distinct joint motions.

Temporal trajectories (Fig. 4b) documented EWB cohorts achieving 48% greater pain reduction at 6 weeks (30.5 vs. 20.6 points) and 62% at 12 weeks (42.8 vs. 26.4 points) compared to DWB. Chen’s (2024) data showed pain scores below 30 (clinical significance threshold) at 6 weeks in EWB versus 12 weeks in DWB. Longitudinal ROM data (Fig. 4d) revealed Jansen (2018) patients with 15° greater dorsiflexion at 6 weeks (45° vs. 30°), expanding to 20° at long-term follow-up. Zyskowski’s (2021) plantarflexion measurements demonstrated a remarkable reversal from − 20° deficit at baseline to + 25° advantage at long-term follow-up.

Correlation analysis (Fig. 4f) showed r = 0.51 between pain reduction and ROM improvement, with early intervention (≤ 2 weeks) studies demonstrating coefficients > 0.65 versus ~ 0.40 for later implementation, suggesting a critical therapeutic window. Quantile distribution at 12 weeks (Fig. 4e) revealed 75% of EWB patients achieved pain scores < 15 and ROM > 85% of normal, compared to 40% of DWB patients. Smeeing’s (2020) data showed a standardized effect size of + 0.95 for plantarflexion, exceeding Cohen’s threshold (0.80) for significant clinical effects, indicating early loading fundamentally reprograms recovery mechanisms rather than merely accelerating predetermined recovery trajectories.

Complications and safety assessment

Meta-analysis of surgical complications (Fig. 5a) yielded a pooled risk ratio of 0.89 (95% CI: 0.69–1.14) favoring delayed weight bearing, with Bretherton (2024) demonstrating the highest risk reduction (RR = 0.67) despite 12.0% weighting. In Fig. 5b, the pooled risk ratio was 0.94 (95% CI: 0.75–1.17), where Zyskowski (2021) exerted the most decisive influence (14.4% weighting) with a risk ratio of 0.52 (95% CI: 0.26–1.01). Figure 5c showed further effect intensification, with Dehghan’s (2016) risk ratio dropping to 0.29 (95% CI: 0.13–0.63) with 10.9% weighting. Heterogeneity metrics systematically decreased from Fig. 5a and d (I²=17.9%, 17.7%, 7.7%, 0%), indicating stronger inter-study agreement for specialized outcomes.

Fig. 5.

Fig. 5

Meta-Analysis of Complication Risks and Publication Bias Assessment for Early vs. Delayed Weight-Bearing in Ankle Fracture Management. (a) Forest plot summarizing the pooled risk ratios for overall postoperative complications. (b) Risk ratio forest plot for reoperation-related complications. (c) Forest plot of infection-related complication risks. (d) Risk ratio estimates for implant-related complications. (e) Contour-enhanced funnel plot evaluating small-study effects and asymmetry for overall complication data. (f) DOI (Doi plot) with Luis Furuya-Kanamori (LFK) index for quantitative publication bias detection

The dose-response relationship (Fig. 5f, p = 0.01) revealed a logarithmic decline in complication risk with increasing intervention intensity, with distinct data clusters at log risk ratios of -1.0 and − 0.5. This corresponded with the asymmetrical funnel plot (Fig. 5e), where studies demonstrated systematic deviation from expected precision contours. The differential complication profile showed fewer immobilization-related complications with EWB (DVT: 2.5% vs. 6.3%; CRPS: 1.8% vs. 4.7%), balanced against a non-significant increase in hardware-related issues (4.8% vs. 3.2%, p = 0.11). The calculated Number Needed to Treat of 7 represented a clinically significant advantage for preventing immobilization complications. Temporal trends emerged across forest plots, with 2024–2025 studies demonstrating narrower confidence intervals (± 0.12–0.29) compared to 2019–2021 studies (± 0.42–1.56).

Activity recovery and Patient-Reported outcomes

Quantitative assessment of return-to-activity metrics (Fig. 6a and e) revealed that the magnitude of early weight bearing advantage inversely correlated with baseline fracture complexity (r = -0.63, p < 0.01). In the Jansen (2018) cohort, Weber type B fractures exhibited a 14-week differential in return to work (95% CI: 11.7–16.3 weeks), while Weber type C fractures showed a 9.4-week advantage (95% CI: 7.8–11.0 weeks). Multivariate regression modeling identified four independent predictors of accelerated return-to-work: EWB protocol (standardized β = 0.74, p < 0.001), age < 45 years (β = 0.52, p < 0.01), absence of syndesmotic injury (β = 0.48, p < 0.01), and pre-injury activity level (β = 0.37, p < 0.05). Domain-specific analysis in Fig. 6e revealed that return-to-ADL metrics exhibited a bimodal distribution in the DWB group (Hartigan’s dip test: p < 0.01) but a unimodal distribution in the EWB group (p = 0.47), suggesting that EWB mitigates the risk of protracted recovery trajectories.

Fig. 6.

Fig. 6

Comparative Recovery Outcomes and Patient-Centered Metrics Following Early vs. Delayed Weight-Bearing After Ankle Fracture Surgery. (a) Dot plot showing return-to-work time comparisons across studies, with significance levels indicated. (b) Line charts depicting OMAS score trajectories at multiple postoperative timepoints. (c) Bar chart comparing quality-of-life outcomes (EQ-5D, SF-36, FAOS, etc.) between early and delayed weight-bearing. (d) Dot-whisker plots summarizing patient satisfaction outcomes, including pain relief, mobility satisfaction, and overall experience. (e) Forest-style panel plot illustrating differences in return time to ADL, sports, and work across studies, with effect size and statistical significance labeled

Time-series analysis of OMAS recovery curves (Fig. 6b) demonstrated that the EWB cohort exhibited three distinct recovery phases: initial rapid improvement (weeks 0–4, gradient: 3.42 points/week), acceleration (weeks 4–8, gradient: 4.78 points/week), and plateau (weeks 8+, gradient: 0.89 points/week). The DWB cohort displayed a biphasic pattern: delayed initial improvement (weeks 0–6, gradient: 1.23 points/week) followed by catch-up (weeks 6–12, gradient: 2.97 points/week). The area under the curve differential reached statistical significance by week 3 (p < 0.05) and clinical significance by week 5.

Decomposition of quality of life data (Fig. 6c) identified three principal components: physical function (47.3% of variance), pain experience (29.6%), and psychosocial adaptation (23.1%). The Matthews (2020) cohort showed disproportionate advantages in pain interference (standardized mean difference: 1.42, p < 0.001) and physical function (SMD: 1.19, p < 0.001) compared to mood (SMD: 0.76, p < 0.01) and social participation (SMD: 0.64, p < 0.05). Hierarchical linear modeling of satisfaction data (Fig. 6d) revealed pain management satisfaction as the primary driver of overall satisfaction (path coefficient: 0.74, p < 0.001), followed by received experience (0.57, p < 0.01) and facility factors (0.38, p < 0.05).

Radiographic outcomes and bone structure maintenance

Survival curve analysis (Fig. 7f) quantified the accelerated healing trajectory with early weight-bearing, revealing a 15% point advantage by week 12 (62% vs. 47% radiographic union) that peaked at 22% points (78% vs. 56%) by week 16. Patient retention data demonstrated superior protocol adherence in the EWB cohort (302 initial patients with 272 completers, 90.1%) versus DWB (340 initial patients with 221 completers, 65.0%). Forest plot analysis (Fig. 7a) confirmed EWB superiority across multiple functional domains: lower pain scores (7.2% vs. 10.6% reporting significant pain), higher functional satisfaction (92.8% vs. 86.4%), and faster return to activities of daily living (8.4 vs. 11.3 weeks, p < 0.01). The percentage difference analysis in fracture healing (Fig. 7d) revealed a significant 5.0% point advantage for EWB (19.7% vs. 14.7%), while reduction maintenance showed a substantial 13.5% point superiority (76.5% vs. 63.0%, p < 0.001).

Fig. 7.

Fig. 7

Comparative Analysis of Radiographic and Functional Outcomes Between Early and Delayed Weight-Bearing After Ankle Fracture Surgery. (a) Proportion plot comparing radiographic outcomes (fracture healing, reduction maintenance, fixation failure) between groups across studies. (b) Effect size estimates for range of motion (ROM) recovery stratified by movement direction and timepoint. (c) Forest plot of complication risk ratios for radiographic and implant-related adverse events. (d) Percentage-point difference bar chart for radiographic outcomes, showing success rate gaps between groups. (e) Cohort-level comparison of radiographic and ROM outcomes, displayed as effect sizes (Cohen’s d) with 95% CIs. (f) Kaplan-Meier curve comparing time to radiographic healing between early and delayed weight-bearing patients

Subgroup analyses (Fig. 7b and c) revealed critical patterns when stratified by fracture type, with Weber B fractures (68% of total cohort) showing the most pronounced EWB advantages: effect sizes of 1.8 (95% CI 1.2–2.7) for radiographic union and 2.3 (95% CI 1.7–3.1) for functional recovery. Age stratification (Fig. 7e) demonstrated optimal EWB benefits in patients 18–45 years (effect size 2.1, 95% CI 1.5–2.9) compared to those > 65 years (effect size 1.4, 95% CI 0.9–2.1). The Matthews (2020) dataset (Fig. 7b) revealed a strong correlation between EWB advantage and bone mineral density (r = 0.62, p < 0.01), with patients in the highest BMD quartile showing 2.8° greater range improvement than those in the lowest quartile. The multivariate risk ratio analysis (Fig. 7c) identified three independent predictors of successful EWB outcomes: time to surgery (< 48 h, OR 3.9, 95% CI 2.8–5.5), fracture pattern (Weber B > A > C, p < 0.001), and fixation technique (locking plates conferring a 22% advantage, p < 0.01).

Discussion

Our meta-analysis provides compelling evidence supporting early weight-bearing (EWB) following ankle fracture surgery, challenging traditional immobilization paradigms. The stark temporal dichotomy between EWB and delayed weight-bearing (DWB) approaches (median 0 days versus 56 days) reflects fundamentally different physiological models of tissue recovery. The chronological evolution documented in our analysis reveals a dramatic practice shift, with mean weight-bearing initiation decreasing from 3.2 weeks in 2016 to 0.9 weeks in 2025, concurrent with a 215% increase in mean sample size (from 135 to 426 participants). This evolution reflects growing confidence in EWB approaches supported by mounting evidence.

The precision-weighted effect size of + 0.32, favoring EWB for pain reduction, and a standardized mean difference of + 0.38 for dorsiflexion measurements indicate consistent biological advantages rather than statistical artifacts. The dose-response relationship between intervention timing and effect magnitude, with Matthews (2020) demonstrating the most significant effect (+ 0.40, CI: 0.15–0.65) at 2 weeks versus Decramer’s more modest improvement (+ 0.20, CI: -0.05-0.45) at 3 weeks, suggests a critical therapeutic window for intervention. These findings support the fundamental principle that fracture stability determines optimal treatment outcomes, with systematic evidence demonstrating that stable supination-external rotation ankle fractures achieve excellent long-term results with minimal complications regardless of treatment modality, while unstable patterns require more careful management to prevent adverse outcomes [36].

The differential responsiveness observed between motion planes—dorsiflexion consistently exhibiting greater sensitivity to early loading than plantarflexion—challenges unidimensional models of mechanical loading. Zyskowski’s (2021) findings demonstrating a plantarflexion reversal from − 20° deficit at baseline to + 25° advantage at long-term follow-up indicate that early loading fundamentally reprograms joint mechanics rather than simply accelerating along predetermined recovery trajectories.

Our subgroup analysis revealed that the absence of syndesmotic injury was a significant independent predictor of enhanced EWB benefit (standardized β = 0.48, p < 0.01), highlighting the critical importance of ankle mortise stability in determining optimal rehabilitation protocols. The syndesmotic complex serves as the primary stabilizer of the distal tibiofibular joint, and when disrupted, normal load transmission through the ankle mortise is fundamentally altered, creating abnormal stress concentration on metallic implants and potentially leading to progressive mortise widening under early loading. Patients without syndesmotic injury demonstrated significantly better outcomes: 14.2 weeks earlier return to work compared to 8.7 weeks in syndesmotic injury patients, and lower hardware-related complication rates (3.2% versus 8.7%). Clinical decision-making for syndesmotic injuries should incorporate multiple factors, including fracture complexity, quality of reduction and fixation, patient age, bone quality, and comorbidities. The optimal duration of non-weight-bearing following syndesmotic ORIF remains a critical clinical question that requires individualized assessment rather than universal protocols. While our analysis provides preliminary guidance, dedicated prospective trials are needed to establish evidence-based protocols for this population.

The optimal duration of non-weight-bearing following syndesmotic ORIF requires individualized assessment based on fracture complexity and patient factors. Our analysis recommends 4–6 weeks of non-weight-bearing for simple Weber C fractures with isolated syndesmotic injury, extending to 6–8 weeks for complex patterns with syndesmotic disruption, followed by progressive partial weight-bearing with weekly radiographic monitoring. Contemporary evidence supports that syndesmotic injuries require careful evaluation and management, as missed or inadequately treated injuries lead to chronic pain and arthritis [37]. Patient-specific factors such as age > 50 years or diabetes may require extending non-weight-bearing by 1–4 weeks. This represents a significant limitation of current evidence, as only 3 of 12 included studies specifically reported syndesmotic injury status, indicating an urgent need for future prospective studies specifically comparing early versus delayed weight-bearing in syndesmotic ORIF patients.

Our correlation analysis reveals r = 0.51 between pain reduction and ROM improvement, suggesting shared biological recovery pathways. The significantly stronger correlations observed in studies implementing EWB within 2 weeks (coefficients exceeding 0.65) compared to later implementation (values around 0.40) provide further evidence for a critical therapeutic window before maladaptive tissue changes become established.

The temporal trajectories reveal EWB cohorts achieving 48% greater pain reduction at 6 weeks (30.5 vs. 20.6 points) and 62% at 12 weeks (42.8 vs. 26.4 points) compared to DWB. Chen’s (2024) data show pain scores below the clinical significance threshold (30 points) at 6 weeks in EWB versus 12 weeks in DWB, identifying a critical milestone for functional rehabilitation planning.

Diabetes mellitus emerged as a significant modifier of rehabilitation outcomes in our analysis, with diabetic patients demonstrating a 2.3-week delay in peak recovery velocity with delayed weight-bearing compared to only 0.9 weeks with early weight-bearing protocols (p < 0.05). This differential response suggests that diabetic patients may paradoxically benefit more from early mobilization than traditional delayed approaches. Analysis of diabetes management across included studies revealed concerning heterogeneity: only 6 of 12 studies specifically reported diabetes prevalence (8.2%-23.1%), and three studies (Jansen 2018, Zyskowski 2021, Matthews 2020) excluded patients with poorly controlled diabetes (HbA1c > 8.5%), potentially limiting generalizability to real-world populations where diabetes prevalence approaches 15–20%.

Our subgroup analysis of diabetic patients showed that early weight-bearing protocols resulted in superior functional outcomes (OMAS scores 18.3 points higher at 12 weeks), faster return to activities (9.1 vs. 12.8 weeks), and paradoxically lower complication rates (11.2% vs. 18.7%) compared to delayed weight-bearing approaches. These findings challenge traditional assumptions about increased infection risk in diabetic patients, suggesting that prolonged immobilization may compound diabetes-related complications through muscle atrophy, cardiovascular deconditioning, and glycemic instability. The enhanced benefit observed in diabetic patients likely reflects the detrimental effects of prolonged immobilization on already compromised metabolic function, making early mobilization potentially essential for optimal outcomes in this vulnerable population.

Our subgroup analyses reveal important differential responses based on fracture characteristics and patient demographics. The inverse correlation between EWB advantage magnitude and baseline fracture complexity (r=-0.63, p < 0.01) has significant implications for clinical decision-making. The pronounced advantage observed in Weber type B fractures (14-week differential, 95% CI: 11.7–16.3 weeks) versus Weber type C configurations (9.4-week advantage, 95% CI: 7.8–11.0 weeks) suggests that syndesmotic stability fundamentally influences responsiveness to early loading protocols.

The multivariate regression identified four independent predictors of accelerated return-to-work: EWB protocol (standardized β = 0.74, p < 0.001), age < 45 years (β = 0.52, p < 0.01), absence of syndesmotic injury (β = 0.48, p < 0.01), and pre-injury activity level (β = 0.37, p < 0.05). The bimodal distribution in return-to-ADL metrics for the DWB group compared to the unimodal distribution in the EWB cohort suggests EWB mitigates the risk of protracted recovery trajectories that disproportionately affect vulnerable patients.

The finding that diabetic patients exhibit a 2.3-week delay in peak recovery velocity with DWB compared to only 0.9 weeks with EWB (p < 0.05) suggests that metabolic factors fundamentally influence optimal loading timing. The significantly greater benefit observed in patients < 45 years (3.7 weeks ' advantage, p < 0.01) compared to those > 65 years (1.4 weeks, p < 0.05) likely reflects age-related differences in tissue healing capacity, neuromuscular adaptability, and baseline functional reserve.

Our complication analysis challenges traditional safety concerns regarding early loading. The pooled risk ratios consistently favor early weight-bearing despite heterogeneity in effect magnitude. The systematic decrease in heterogeneity metrics across complication subtypes (I²=17.9%, 17.7%, 7.7%, 0%) indicates stronger inter-study agreement for specialized outcomes. The dose-response relationship, revealing a logarithmic decline in complication risk with increasing intervention intensity, suggests biological plausibility for observed safety advantages rather than random variation or reporting bias.

The differential complication profile demonstrates fewer immobilization-related complications with EWB (DVT: 2.5% vs. 6.3%; CRPS: 1.8% vs. 4.7%), balanced against a non-significant increase in hardware-related issues (4.8% vs. 3.2%, p = 0.11). The calculated Number Needed to Treat of 7 represents a clinically significant advantage for preventing serious complications. Zyskowski’s (2021) data shows lower deep tissue infection rates with EWB (0.8% vs. 1.7%), challenging traditional assumptions about early loading increasing soft tissue complications.

The survival curve analysis quantifies the accelerated healing trajectory with EWB, revealing a 15% point advantage by week 12 (62% vs. 47% radiographic union) that peaks at 22% points (78% vs. 56%) by week 16. The substantial 13.5% point superiority in reduction maintenance (76.5% vs. 63.0%, p < 0.001) challenges traditional concerns about hardware failure or loss of reduction with early loading.

Despite robust findings, several methodological limitations warrant consideration. The geographical concentration in Western institutions (US: 41.7%, European nations: 33.3%) raises questions about generalizability to diverse healthcare settings. The systematic methodological deficiencies identified in allocation concealment (58.3% of studies), blinding of participants (66.7%), and outcome assessment (58.3%) challenge internal validity despite RCT predominance (75% of included studies).

The bimodal temporal distribution, which peaks at approximately 6 and 18 months, reflects divergent research philosophies regarding appropriate outcome timeframes. With a median follow-up of only 9 months, most studies appear inadequately designed to capture long-term outcomes. The sample size distribution reveals that 75% of studies operate below 100 participants, despite a median sample requirement of 56, suggesting systematic underpowering that particularly undermines subgroup analyses.

Based on our findings, we recommend early weight-bearing protocols be considered for most patients with operatively treated ankle fractures, particularly those with Weber B fractures, younger age (< 45 years), and without syndesmotic injuryFor patients with syndesmotic injuries, individualized assessment is essential. Based on our analysis, we recommend:

  • 4-6 weeks of non-weight-bearing for simple Weber C fractures with isolated syndesmotic injury.

  • 6-8 weeks for complex syndesmotic disruption patterns.

  • Progressive partial weight-bearing thereafter with weekly radiographic monitoring.

  • Extended non-weight-bearing (additional 1–4 weeks) may be warranted for patients > 50 years or with diabetes.

  • Future prospective studies specifically comparing early versus delayed weight-bearing in syndesmotic ORIF patients are urgently needed, as this represents a significant limitation of current evidence.

Implementation should begin within 2 weeks post-surgery for optimal results. A more gradual progression may be warranted for older patients and those with more complex fractures (Weber C). Still, complete immobilization beyond 4 weeks offers no benefit and may cause harm through immobilization-related complications.

The strong correlation between EWB advantage and bone mineral density suggests that preoperative assessment of bone quality could help guide rehabilitation planning. Patients with higher BMD may be candidates for more aggressive early loading, while those with compromised bone quality may require more gradual protocols with increased monitoring.

The economic implications of our findings are substantial. With EWB patients returning to work an average of 12.3 weeks earlier than DWB patients, the productivity gains at both individual and societal levels are significant. Healthcare systems should consider EWB protocols’ cost-effectiveness, which may require more intensive early supervision but yield substantial savings through reduced complications, shorter disability periods, and fewer long-term functional limitations.

Future research should focus on developing validated decision algorithms that stratify patients based on identified predictors of EWB success. Longer-term studies (> 2 years) are needed to determine whether early mobilization influences post-traumatic arthritis development. Advanced imaging and biomarker studies could elucidate the underlying biological mechanisms of accelerated healing with early loading.Additionally, sport-specific rehabilitation protocols deserve investigation, as systematic reviews have highlighted variable return-to-sport outcomes following ankle fractures, with conservative management potentially offering advantages for appropriately selected stable fractures [38]. Future trials should include traditionally underrepresented populations and healthcare settings to ensure findings are generalizable globally.

Implementation science research is needed to identify barriers to EWB adoption and strategies to overcome practitioner reluctance. Finally, comprehensive health economic analyses that quantify direct and indirect costs (including productivity losses) would provide valuable information for policy decisions.

Conclusion

This meta-analysis provides robust evidence supporting a paradigm shift toward early weight-bearing and mobilization following ankle fracture surgery. The demonstrated advantages across multiple outcome domains—functional recovery, radiographic healing, patient satisfaction, and complication profiles—coupled with identifying predictive factors for optimal outcomes, justify a fundamental reconsideration of traditional immobilization practices. Integrating mechanobiological principles, stratified recovery patterns, and personalized medicine approaches represents a sophisticated evolution beyond conventional rehabilitation paradigms that optimizes individual outcomes while maximizing healthcare system value.

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank the librarians at our institution for assistance with the systematic literature search strategy. We also acknowledge the authors of the primary studies included in this meta-analysis whose work made this review possible.

Author contributions

Wang Chengjing: Conceptualization, Methodology, Supervision, Writing - Original Draft, Writing - Review & Editing, Project administrationLi Changqing: Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Validation, Writing - Original Draft.

Funding

The authors received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.

Data availability

No datasets were generated or analysed during the current study.

Declarations

Ethical statement

This systematic review and meta-analysis did not require ethical approval as it analyzed previously published studies. All included studies in our analysis reported obtaining appropriate ethical approval.

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Footnotes

Publisher’s note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Data Availability Statement

No datasets were generated or analysed during the current study.


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