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. 2025 Jul 3;298(3):214–227. doi: 10.1111/joim.20112

Use of dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitors is associated with lower risk of severe renal outcomes in pre‐dialysis patients with Type 2 diabetes

Tung‐Ying Hung 1, Tzu‐Chieh Lin 1, Ying‐Jay Liou 2,3, Tzu‐Han Lin 1, Yu‐Juei Hsu 4,5, Liang‐Yu Lin 6,7,, Meng‐Ting Wang 1,
PMCID: PMC12374763  PMID: 40611400

Abstract

Objectives

Patients with diabetes and Stage 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD) not on dialysis are susceptible to renal replacement therapy and severe complications. Among limited antidiabetic options in this vulnerable population, dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 (DPP‐4) inhibitors (DPP‐4i) are widely used; however, supporting evidence is scant. This study assessed severe renal outcomes associated with DPP‐4i in diabetic and pre‐dialysis patients.

Methods

This study employed an active‐comparator and propensity score–based inverse probability of treatment weighting approach, using Taiwan's nationwide healthcare claims database from 2012 to 2020. We identified patients with diabetes and CKD stage 5 not on dialysis who received erythropoietin (erythropoietin‐stimulating agent), a drug reimbursed for patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate <15 mL/min/1.73 m2. The primary outcome was a composite of renal replacement therapy, renal death, and kidney‐related hospitalization events, and secondary outcomes included each component of the composite and hypoglycemia.

Results

We included 7271 diabetic and pre‐dialysis patients with CKD stage 5, of whom 5028 received DPP‐4i and 2243 received meglitinides. DPP‐4i were associated with a 14% reduced risk of the renal composite outcome compared to meglitinides (weighted hazard ratio [HR], 0.86; 95% confidence interval, 0.81–0.92). Individual component analysis revealed that the decreased risk was confined to renal replacement therapy, with a 17% reduction. DPP‐4i was related to a 41% decreased severe hypoglycemia risk.

Conclusions

In diabetic and pre‐dialysis patients with CKD stage 5, DPP‐4i are related to a lower risk of the renal composite outcome, primarily driven by lower renal dialysis risk, and a lower hypoglycemia risk compared with meglitinides.

Keywords: cohort study, dialysis, dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitors, end‐stage renal disease, renal replacement therapy


 

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Abbreviations

ACEIs

angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitors

aDCSI

adapted Diabetes Complications Severity Index

ARBs

angiotensin II receptor blockers

CKD

chronic kidney disease

DPP‐4i

dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitors

eGFR

estimated glomerular filtration rate

EPO

erythropoietin‐stimulating agent

ESRD

end‐stage renal disease

GERD

gastroesophageal reflux disease

GIP

gastric inhibitory peptide

GLP‐1 RA

glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonists

HR

hazard ratio

IPTW

inverse probability of treatment weighting

KDIGO

Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes

NHI

National Health Insurance

NNT

number needed to treat

PPV

positive predictive value

PS

propensity score

RCTs

randomized controlled trials

SGLT2i

sodium–glucose cotransporter‐2 inhibitors

SMD

standardized mean difference

T2DM

Type 2 diabetes mellitus

Introduction

Diabetic nephropathy is the leading cause of chronic kidney disease (CKD) [1], with approximately 40% of the 537 million diabetic patients worldwide developing CKD [2, 3] and potentially progressing to CKD stage 5 or even end‐stage renal disease (ESRD), which ultimately requires dialysis or kidney transplantation [4]. The presence of ESRD in patients with diabetes poses a significant global health threat, leading to increased mortality, deteriorated quality of life, and high healthcare costs [5, 6, 7]. Therefore, preventing the progression of severe CKD to dialysis, renal transplantation, or death is critically important.

The choices of antidiabetic agents for patients with diabetes and CKD stage 5 are limited, and dose adjustment is often required, primarily due to severely decreased renal function, the renal elimination of most antidiabetic drugs, and the risk of drug‐induced hypoglycemia. Although sodium–glucose cotransporter‐2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) have shown renal protective effects [8, 9, 10], initiation of SGLT2i is not recommended in Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) under 20 mL/min/1.73 m2 because these drugs can cause a drop in eGFR during early treatment and have reduced glucose‐lowering effects in advanced CKD [11, 12]. Similarly, glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonists (GLP‐1 RAs), another newer class of antidiabetic medications, have been demonstrated to have renal protective effects in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) [13, 14]. However, GLP‐1 RA use in patients with diabetes and pre‐dialysis is relatively uncommon [15], primarily due to intolerance of gastrointestinal side effects—such as nausea, vomiting, and diarrhea—in this vulnerable population [11]. Consequently, patients with diabetes and CKD stage 5 have restricted choices of oral antidiabetic medications with approved reno‐protective effects.

Dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitors (DPP‐4i) are widely used in clinical practice and recommended by the current Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) guidelines for patients with severe renal impairment [11]; however, the corresponding supporting evidence is limited. In RCTs that excluded pre‐dialysis patients with an eGFR <15, DPP‐4i have been shown to reduce albuminuria risk [16, 17]. Specifically, the CARMELINA trial reported a 14% reduction in albuminuria with the use of linagliptin in patients at high cardiovascular and renal risk [16]. Similarly, a post hoc analysis of SAVOR‐TIMI 53 found that saxagliptin improved or stabilized the albumin‐to‐creatinine ratio in patients with diabetes across albuminuria stages [17]. A meta‐analysis of 23 RCTs observed 11% and 23% reductions in microalbuminuria and macroalbuminuria risk, respectively, when excluding SGLT2 inhibitors in the control arm [18]. However, all these RCTs excluded pre‐dialysis patients with T2DM due to ethical concerns, leaving the impact of DPP‐4i on renal outcomes in CKD stage 5 patients not receiving dialysis uncertain.

This study aimed to investigate whether use of DPP‐4i is related to a reduced risk of a composite renal outcome, including dialysis or renal transplantation, hospitalization for kidney‐related events, and renal‐specific deaths in a population of pre‐dialysis patients with T2DM in real‐world clinical settings.

Methods

Data source

We conducted an active‐comparator, propensity score (PS)‐based inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) cohort study using Taiwan's National Health Insurance (NHI) claims database from 2012 to 2020. Since the implementation of Taiwan's universal NHI in 1996, the NHI claims database has captured comprehensive medical care claims, including ambulatory, emergency care, and inpatient services, as well as prescribed medications and prescriptions filled at pharmacies, covering over 99% of Taiwanese inhabitants [19]. Various disease codes have been confirmed with high accuracy in the NHI database, making it a reliable source for assessing drug effectiveness and safety [20]. We linked the NHI claims database to the nationwide death registry for assessing mortality data and to the catastrophic illness file, containing detailed data on nearly all patients undergoing dialysis for at least 3 months, to accurately identify patients on dialysis. Patients receiving dialysis for ≥3 months are eligible for the catastrophic illness program, which waives medical copayments and requires approval from two nephrologists. All data from the NHI claims and death registry are double‐encrypted. This study was approved by the National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University (approval number: YM111121W). Informed consent was waived because deidentified data were analyzed. This study was presented following the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) reporting guideline.

Cohort identification

We first identified patients with diabetes mellitus and CKD stage 5 who first received erythropoietin‐stimulating agent (EPO) as the base study cohort between 2013 and 2019. In Taiwan, under the NHI reimbursement policy, EPO is reimbursed for patients having CKD with an eGFR <15 mL/min/1.73 m2, which was used to identify patients with Stage 5 CKD in this study. The surrogate definition of CKD stage 5 has a reported positive predictive value of 95.9% [21]. Additionally, over 70% of patients with diabetes and CKD stage 5 receive EPO [15, 22]. We required patients to have at least two outpatient visits or one inpatient visit in 1 year for diabetes and CKD, respectively. The coding algorithms for the two diseases have been found to be highly accurate [21, 23, 24].

From the base cohort, we required patients to receive either DPP‐4i or meglitinide after their first EPO prescription between 2013 and 2019. The date of the first DPP‐4i or meglitinide prescription after EPO initiation marked the cohort entry. Meglitinides were chosen as the comparator because (1) they were the second most frequently used oral antidiabetic medication after DPP‐4i based on our pilot data in CKD stage 5 patients, and (2) no known associations between meglitinides and renal outcomes have been reported [25, 26]. After the first EPO use, we included new users—those with no DPP‐4i or meglitinide use in the prior 6 months—and persistent combination therapy users, who initially received both DPP‐4i and meglitinides before EPO initiation but switched to monotherapy after EPO use. Persistent users were included to avoid loss of sample size when adopting a new‐user design, as initiating a new antidiabetic therapy is rare in this vulnerable population with diabetes and severe CKD. To minimize prevalent user bias among persistent users, we accounted for the duration of prior dual combination therapy before the initiation of EPO. Patients had to be aged ≥18 years on the cohort entry date. Patients meeting these criteria formed the study cohort.

We excluded patients receiving maintenance dialysis or kidney transplantation, having diagnoses of Type 1 diabetes mellitus or gestational diabetes, or having less than 1 year of NHI coverage prior to cohort entry. Additionally, patients hospitalized for CKD in the 60 days preceding cohort entry or those using both DPP‐4i and meglitinides on the cohort entry date were also excluded. The study cohort was followed using an on‐treatment exposure definition, requiring continuous treatment during follow‐up. Continuous treatment was defined as the duration of a prescription plus a 60‐day grace period overlapping with the next prescription date. The cohort was followed from the cohort entry date until any of the following events occurred: renal composite outcome (defined below), switching to or adding a study drug, treatment discontinuation, termination of NHI enrollment, death, or study end (December 31, 2020). Operational definitions of selection criteria are detailed in Table S1.

Outcome measurement

The primary outcome was time‐to‐first renal composite event, including renal replacement (dialysis or kidney transplantation), renal death (based on the primary and secondary diagnosis position in the death registry), and hospitalization with a primary discharge code of kidney‐related events [27, 28]. Renal replacement and renal death were determined from the catastrophic illness file and the national death registry, respectively, ensuring accurate measurement of these outcomes. Secondary outcomes included individual components of the primary outcome, 3‐point major adverse cardiovascular events (3P‐MACE: hospitalization for myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or cardiovascular death), hospitalization for heart failure, all‐cause mortality, and hypoglycemia. Diagnosis codes for heart failure, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and hypoglycemia are highly accurate [29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34]. Table S1 provides the corresponding ICD‐9 codes and ICD‐10 codes along with the relevant procedure definitions.

Potential confounders

Multiple dimensions of potential confounders measured before or on cohort entry were considered, including demographics (age, sex, cohort entry year, and monthly income‐based insurance premiums as a proxy for socioeconomic status). Renal disease severity was assessed using proxies such as time from EPO initiation to cohort entry, acute kidney disease, proteinuria, and edema. Healthcare utilization measures (e.g., kidney‐related outpatient and inpatient visits and numbers of Hemoglobin A1c [HbA1c] and serum creatinine test orders) and proxies of diabetes severity (e.g., complexity of antidiabetic treatment, type of antidiabetic medications, and the adapted Diabetes Complications Severity Index [aDCSI]) [35] were included. Comorbidities (e.g., anemia and cardiovascular and pulmonary diseases) and comedications (e.g., angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitors [ACEIs], angiotensin II receptor blockers [ARBs], and pentoxifylline) were also measured. Demographic data were collected at cohort entry, whereas antidiabetic treatments were evaluated both during the 6 months before and at cohort entry. Other comedications and confounders were assessed in the 6 months and the year preceding cohort entry, respectively. Operational definitions of the confounders are shown in Table S1.

Sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses

Predetermined sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the robustness of our findings. To address potential informative censoring bias, we conducted a 1‐year intention‐to‐treat approach, irrespective of treatment changes or discontinuation. Treatment continuation was redefined using 30‐ and 90‐day grace periods. To reduce misclassification of kidney‐related deaths, only primary kidney‐related deaths were included. Non‐renal deaths, which could compete with the composite renal outcome, were treated as competing events using the Fine and Gray's approach [36]. PS trimming was applied to exclude nonoverlapping regions between groups to reduce the impact of extreme weights in the used weighting approach. The weighting approach was detailed in the Statistical Analysis section. Additionally, we performed a multiple Cox regression model adjusted for unbalanced characteristics at baseline as an alternative to IPTW to mitigate confounding effects on our findings while preserving the original sample size of the study cohort. We additionally excluded patients with cancer diagnoses, as the NHI reimbursement policy also allows EPO to be used for cancer patients. We also restricted DPP‐4i uses to linagliptin users only, as it is the only DPP‐4i shown to reduce the risk of albuminuria in the RCTs. Lastly, analyses were repeated using a 1:1 PS matching and a new‐user design.

To evaluate potential effect modifiers, we conducted stratified analyses based on exposure status (new‐user vs. persistent‐user), enrollment in Taiwan's pre‐ESRD care program, prior insulin use, history of renal event hospitalization, cardiovascular disease history, prior use of ACEI or ARBs, and the mean of aDCSI. The pre‐ESRD program is a universal pay‐for‐performance program that has been aiming to adopt multidisciplinary care for CKD stage 3b‐5 patients in Taiwan since 2006.

Additional analysis

To address unmeasured confounding, gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) was used as a negative control outcome, given its association with diabetes mellitus severity but not the drugs of interest [37]. Additionally, we estimated the E‐value to examine the potential influence of an unmeasured confounder on the primary renal composite outcome [38].

Statistical analyses

Patient characteristics between the DPP‐4i and meglitinide groups were compared, with standardized mean differences (SMDs) exceeding 10% indicating meaningful differences. PS‐based IPTW was used to maintain comparability between the two groups [39]. PSs—the probabilities of receiving DPP‐4i—were estimated using a multiple logistic regression model with predefined confounders as predictors [40]. We assigned weights of 1/PS for the DPP‐4 inhibitor group and 1/(1‐PS) for the meglitinide group, stabilizing the weights with the marginal probability of receiving DPP‐4i [41]. Weighted Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for the composite renal outcome and secondary outcomes for DPP‐4i use versus meglitinide use. Sandwich robust variance estimators were applied for all Cox proportional hazards models. The proportionality assumption was examined by assessing Schoenfeld residuals, and all models met this assumption [42] (Table S2). Accumulated incidences of the outcomes were quantified for each group using a weighted Kaplan–Meier approach, and incidences were compared between the two groups using log‐rank tests. The number needed to treat (NNT) for outcomes with significant differences was calculated using the difference in weighted cumulative incidence between the groups during a 1‐year period [43]. For the sample size calculation, this study required 1946–3926 patients in each group to detect a 20% reduction in the risk of renal outcomes in DPP‐4i versus meglitinides, with 80% statistical power, based on the findings from the CARMELINA trial (details in “Methods” section in Supporting Information file). All tests were two‐tailed, with p‐values <0.05 indicating statistical significance. Analyses were conducted using SAS, version 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USC), and Stata, version 16 (StataCorp LLC).

Results

After applying the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 7271 patients with T2DM and CKD stage 5 were identified, including 5028 patients receiving DPP‐4i and 2243 patients receiving meglitinides (Fig. S1). Following the IPTW application, we analyzed 5027 DPP‐4i users and 2241 meglitinide users (Table 1). The overall mean age (standard deviation [SD]) between the two groups was 68.7 (12.30), and approximately 50% of the study cohort were male. The full baseline characteristics of DPP‐4 inhibitor users versus meglitinide users before and after IPTW are shown in Table S3. The overall mean (SD) follow‐up duration in days between the two groups was 132.6 (223.1). Most patients were censored during follow‐up due to the occurrence of outcome (DPP‐4i group: 65.4%; meglitinides: 64.3%), and other reasons for censoring are provided in Table S4, with <6% of the SMDs between the two groups.

Table 1.

Selected baseline characteristics of dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP‐4) inhibitor users versus meglitinide users before and after inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW).

Before IPTW After IPTW
Characteristics DPP‐4 inhibitor n = 5028 Meglitinide n = 2243 SMD DPP‐4 inhibitor n = 5027 Meglitinide n = 2241 SMD
Demographics, no. (%)
Age, mean (SD) a 68.78 (12.34) 68.51 (12.21) 0.02 68.69 (12.34) 68.76 (12.18) −0.01
Sex (male) 2508 (49.88) 1152 (51.36) 0.09 2525 (50.22) 1122 (50.05) 0.01
Cohort entry year
2013 295 (5.87) 335 (14.94) −0.30 435 (8.65) 194 (8.65) 0.00
2014 466 (9.27) 398 (17.74) −0.25 597 (11.88) 268 (11.94) 0.00
2015 556 (11.06) 319 (14.22) −0.10 607 (12.07) 271 (12.07) 0.00
2016 774 (15.39) 329 (14.67) 0.02 760 (15.11) 336 (15.00) 0.00
2017 897 (17.84) 330 (14.71) 0.08 851 (16.94) 388 (17.32) −0.01
2018 999 (19.87) 289 (12.88) 0.19 889 (17.69) 395 (17.61) 0.00
2019 1041 (20.70) 243 (10.83) 0.27 888 (17.66) 390 (17.42) 0.01
Measures of healthcare utilization, no (%)
Hospitalizations
Kidney‐related
0 4324 (86.00) 1878 (83.73) 0.06 4284 (85.22) 1905 (85.00) 0.01
1 586 (11.65) 285 (12.71) −0.03 603 (11.99) 273 (12.19) −0.01
2+ 118 (2.35) 80 (3.57) −0.07 140 (2.79) 63 (2.81) 0.00
DM‐related
0 4522 (89.94) 2037 (90.82) −0.03 4532 (90.16) 2018 (90.02) 0.00
1 451 (8.97) 186 (8.29) 0.02 442 (8.79) 200 (8.93) −0.01
2+ 55 (1.09) 20 (0.89) 0.02 53 (1.05) 23 (1.04) 0.00
CV‐related
0 3,848 (76.53) 1,661 (74.05) 0.06 3815 (75.89) 1708 (76.19) −0.01
1 829 (16.49) 396 (17.65) −0.03 842 (16.74) 366 (16.33) 0.01
2+ 351 (6.98) 186 (8.29) −0.05 370 (7.37) 168 (7.48) 0.00
Other
0 2937 (58.41) 1331 (59.34) −0.02 2951 (58.69) 1321 (58.93) 0.00
1 1223 (24.32) 529 (23.58) 0.02 1213 (24.13) 547 (24.40) −0.01
2+ 868 (17.26) 383 (17.08) 0.01 863 (17.18) 374 (16.67) 0.01
Pre‐ESRD program 2319 (46.12) 990 (44.14) 0.04 2289 (45.54) 1022 (45.61) 0.00
Proxy indicators of DM severity, no (%)
Exposure status
New users 3697 (73.53) 1674 (74.63) −0.03 3713 (73.86) 1646 (73.45) 0.01
Persistent combination therapy users 1331 (26.47) 569 (25.37) 0.03 1314 (26.14) 595 (26.55) −0.01
Duration of previous therapy, mean days (SD) a 90.20 (258.82) 87.23 (248.44) 0.01 89.16 (257.64) 89.97 (248.77) 0.00
DM medication within 180 days prior to entry date
TZD 410 (8.15) 129 (5.75) 0.09 372 (7.39) 164 (7.30) 0.00
GLP‐1 RA 62 (1.23) 25 (1.11) 0.01 61 (1.21) 29 (1.29) −0.01
Insulin 3018 (60.02) 1276 (56.89) 0.06 2978 (59.24) 1334 (59.54) −0.01
Biguanides 574 (11.42) 231 (10.30) 0.04 554 (11.03) 251 (11.21) −0.01
AGI 630 (12.53) 279 (12.44) 0.00 628 (12.49) 284 (12.69) −0.01
SGLT2i 38 (0.76) 8 (0.36) 0.05 32 (0.64) 18 (0.82) −0.02
aDCSI, mean(SD) a 4.41 (2.34) 4.24 (2.38) 0.07 4.35 (2.37) 4.34 (2.32) 0.01
Hypoglycemia 725 (14.42) 291 (12.97) 0.04 703 (13.98) 311 (13.89) 0.00
Proxy indicators of renal severity, no (%)
Periods from EPO initiation to cohort entry, mean days (SD) a 130.10 (218.55) 112.21 (185.73) 0.09 124.72 (210.66) 123.12 (201.75) 0.01
Acute kidney disease 1083 (21.54) 468 (20.86) 0.02 1075 (21.38) 476 (21.23) 0.00
Proteinuria 171 (3.40) 91 (4.06) −0.03 181 (3.61) 87 (3.88) −0.01
Disorders of electrolyte 957 (19.03) 468 (20.86) −0.05 993 (19.76) 460 (20.52) −0.02
Disorders of fluid balance 148 (2.94) 84 (3.74) −0.04 161 (3.20) 71 (3.17) 0.00
Edema 501 (9.96) 330 (14.71) −0.14 570 (11.34) 252 (11.24) 0.00
Kidney and urinary stone 191 (3.80) 75 (3.34) 0.02 187 (3.72) 89 (3.96) −0.01
Comorbidities, no (%)
Cardiovascular disease
Myocardial infarction 296 (5.89) 127 (5.66) 0.01 290 (5.76) 129 (5.74) 0.00
Ischemic stroke 553 (11.00) 261 (11.64) −0.02 561 (11.15) 249 (11.13) 0.00
Hemorrhage stroke 77 (1.53) 28 (1.25) 0.02 71 (1.40) 27 (1.21) 0.02
Other stroke 677 (13.46) 302 (13.46) 0.00 677 (13.47) 303 (13.54) 0.00
Heart failure 1,427 (28.38) 624 (27.82) 0.01 1410 (28.04) 613 (27.33) 0.02
Arrhythmia 402 (8.00) 192 (8.56) −0.02 411 (8.17) 182 (8.10) 0.01
Peripheral vascular disease 189 (3.76) 97 (4.32) −0.03 199 (3.96) 91 (4.07) −0.01
Venous thromboembolism 56 (1.11) 32 (1.43) −0.03 63 (1.25) 27 (1.20) 0.00
Coronary revascularization 193 (3.84) 82 (3.66) 0.01 190 (3.77) 85 (3.77) 0.00
Hypertension 4452 (88.54) 2012 (89.70) −0.04 4469 (88.91) 1998 (89.12) −0.01
Dyslipidemia 2344 (46.62) 1025 (45.70) 0.02 2330 (46.35) 1048 (46.78) −0.01
Neurologic disorders
Dementia 341 (6.78) 140 (6.24) 0.02 333 (6.63) 157 (7.01) −0.02
Epilepsy 72 (1.43) 40 (1.78) −0.03 76 (1.51) 33 (1.47) 0.00
Other diseases
Anemia 1756 (34.92) 857 (38.21) −0.07 1804 (35.90) 809 (36.12) 0.00
Thyroid disease 194 (3.86) 69 (3.08) 0.04 184 (3.66) 84 (3.76) −0.01
Liver disease 472 (9.39) 189 (8.43) 0.03 460 (9.14) 213 (9.49) −0.01
GERD 599 (11.91) 243 (10.83) 0.03 581 (11.55) 257 (11.48) 0.00
Autoimmune diseases 215 (4.28) 95 (4.24) 0.00 213 (4.24) 92 (4.12) 0.01
Comedications, no (%)
Cardiovascular system drugs
ACEIs 585 (11.63) 262 (11.68) 0.00 585 (11.63) 262 (11.71) 0.00
ARBs 3038 (60.42) 1270 (56.62) 0.08 2978 (59.25) 1339 (59.73) −0.01
α‐Agonists 42 (0.84) 25 (1.11) −0.03 47 (0.94) 20 (0.91) 0.00
α‐Blockers 1314 (26.13) 614 (27.37) −0.03 1329 (26.44) 592 (26.42) 0.00
β‐Blockers 3101 (61.67) 1418 (63.22) −0.03 3128 (62.22) 1403 (62.58) −0.01
Calcium channel blockers
Dihydropyridines 4194 (83.41) 1919 (85.56) −0.06 4225 (84.05) 1886 (84.13) 0.00
Non‐dihydropyridines 401 (7.98) 209 (9.32) −0.05 419 (8.34) 183 (8.18) 0.01
Diuretics
Loop 3717 (73.93) 1719 (76.64) −0.06 3763 (74.85) 1679 (74.91) 0.00
Thiazides 1535 (30.53) 718 (32.01) −0.03 1565 (31.14) 709 (31.63) −0.01
Potassium‐sparing agents 696 (13.84) 297 (13.24) 0.02 687 (13.67) 309 (13.80) 0.00
Lipid‐lowering agents
Statins 2763 (54.95) 1168 (52.07) 0.06 2717 (54.05) 1212 (54.06) 0.00
Non‐statin agents 440 (8.75) 171 (7.62) 0.04 421 (8.38) 188 (8.39) 0.00
Antiplatelets 2635 (52.41) 1,169 (52.12) 0.01 2630 (52.32) 1179 (52.62) −0.01
Anticoagulants 820 (16.31) 348 (15.51) 0.02 808 (16.07) 353 (15.76) 0.01
Nitrates 1666 (33.13) 750 (33.44) −0.01 1670 (33.21) 742 (33.08) 0.00
Antiarrhythmics 447 (8.89) 200 (8.92) 0.00 445 (8.84) 192 (8.57) 0.01
Digoxin 126 (2.51) 67 (2.99) −0.03 135 (2.68) 60 (2.66) 0.00
Other medication
Pentoxifylline 1918 (38.15) 785 (35.00) 0.07 1874 (37.28) 837 (37.35) 0.00
Ketosteril 889 (17.68) 289 (12.88) 0.13 814 (16.20) 354 (15.77) 0.01
Proton pump inhibitors 1348 (26.81) 550 (24.52) 0.05 1309 (26.04) 580 (25.86) 0.00
Drugs for hyperkalemia and hyperphosphatemia 2294 (45.62) 1120 (49.93) −0.09 2356 (46.86) 1056 (47.10) 0.00

Abbreviations: ACEIs, angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitors; aDCSI, adapted Diabetes Complication Index; AGI, α‐glucosidase inhibitor; ARBs, angiotensin II receptor blockers; CV, cardiovascular; DM, diabetes mellitus; DPP‐4 inhibitor, dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor; EPO, erythropoietin‐stimulating agent; ESRD, end‐stage renal disease; GERD, gastroesophageal reflux disease; GLP‐1 RA, glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonists; SD, standard deviation; SGLT2i, sodium–glucose cotransporter‐2 inhibitor; SMD, standardized mean difference; TZD, thiazolidinedione.

a

Continuous variables were treated as restricted cubic splines with five knots in the logistic regression model estimating the propensity scores, except for the time period from EPO initiation to cohort entry, which was treated as restricted cubic splines with three knots.

Before IPTW was applied, the majority of baseline characteristics—including proxy indicators for diabetes and renal disease severity, cardiovascular diseases and other comorbidities, and comedications—were all balanced, except for cohort entry year, edema, and use of ketosteril. However, all baseline characteristics were well balanced between the DPP‐4i and meglitinide groups after IPTW (Table 1).

Table 2 presents the comparative risks of the examined outcomes. During the follow‐up, a total of 3286 and 1442 events of composite renal outcomes occurred among DPP‐4i and meglitinide users, respectively. The weighted incidence rate was 162.0 per 100 person‐years in DPP‐4i users, compared with 251.6 in meglitinide users. The cumulative incidence rates for all examined outcomes are shown in Figs. S2 and S3. DPP‐4i versus meglitinide use was related to a 14% reduced risk of the composite renal outcome, which included renal replacement, renal death, and hospitalization for kidney‐related events (weighted HR, 0.86; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.81–0.92), with an NNT of 11 (Table S5). In the secondary outcomes, the use of DPP‐4i versus meglitinide was associated with a reduced risk of renal replacement (weighted HR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.77–0.90); however, a non‐significant lower risk was observed for renal death (weighted HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.66–1.03), hospitalizations of kidney‐related events (weighted HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.88–1.03), and all‐cause mortality (weighted HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.71–1.01). In addition, no significant difference was observed in risks of 3P‐MACE (weighted HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.73–1.10) and hospitalization of HF (weighted HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.79–1.36). As for the risk of severe hypoglycemia, DPP‐4i was associated with a 41% decreased risk compared to meglitinide (weighted HR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.49–0.70).

Table 2.

Comparative risk of renal and cardiovascular events between dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitor (DPP‐4i) users and meglitinide users.

DPP‐4i (N = 5028) Meglitinide (N = 2243)
IR (100 person‐years) IR (100 person‐years) HR (95% CI)
Outcomes Events Crude Weighted Events Crude Weighted Crude Weighted
Primary composite outcome 3286 155.2 162.0 1442 276.0 251.6 0.78 (0.73–0.83) * 0.86 (0.81–0.92) *
Secondary outcomes
Renal replacement therapy 2318 88.7 92.3 976 146.5 131.8 0.73 (0.67–0.79) * 0.83 (0.77–0.90) *
Renal death 325 6.3 6.3 128 9.1 9.3 0.82 (0.67–1.01) 0.82 (0.66–1.03)
Hospitalization of kidney‐related events 2323 78.3 80.3 984 120.8 116.4 0.88 (0.82–0.95) * 0.95 (0.88–1.03)
3‐point MACE 412 8.2 8.0 145 10.5 11.1 0.94 (0.78–1.14) 0.90 (0.73–1.10)
Hospitalization of heart failure 200 4.0 4.1 86 6.3 5.6 0.85 (0.66–1.10) 1.04 (0.79–1.36)
All‐cause mortality 509 9.9 9.8 190 13.4 14.1 0.87 (0.73–1.03) 0.85 (0.71–1.01)
Hypoglycemia 376 7.7 7.3 212 16.2 17.7 0.65 (0.55–0.77) * 0.59 (0.49–0.70) *

Abbreviations: 3‐point MACE, 3‐point major adverse cardiovascular events; CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; IR, incidence rate.

*

p < 0.05.

The primary findings remained consistent across all sensitivity analyses, including adopting 1‐year intention‐to‐treat analysis, treating non‐renal deaths as competing events, and restricting DPP‐4i users to linagliptin users. As expected, a null association was observed for the negative outcome (weighted HR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.84–1.20) (Fig. 1 and Table S6). In addition, the estimated E‐value for the primary analysis was 1.6, indicating that our primary finding could be explained by potential unmeasured confounding if an unmeasured confounder is associated with both DPP‐4i use and renal composite outcome, with relative risks at least 1.6. No apparent significant effect modifiers were observed across the subgroup analyses, except for prior renal events, which had a p‐value of 0.047, approaching the threshold of 0.05 (Fig. 2 and Table S7).

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

Forest plot of sensitivity analyses for the primary composite renal outcomes. CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; PS, propensity score. ap < 0.05. *HR with 95% CI was estimated by a multiple Cox regression model, which adjusted for number of test order for microalbuminuria and HbA1c, cohort entry year, monthly income‐based insurance premium, edema, antipsychotics, and use of ketosteril. †HR with 95% CI was estimated using a 1:1 PS matching approach and a new user design, which led to all balanced characteristics between the two groups.

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Forest plot of subgroup analyses for the primary composite renal outcomes. ACEIs, angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitors; aDCSI, adapted Diabetes Complication Index; ARB, angiotensin II receptor blockers; CI, confidence interval; CV, cardiovascular; ESRD, end‐stage renal disease; HR, hazard ratio. ap < 0.05.

Discussion

This nationwide cohort study of pre‐dialysis patients with T2DM found that DPP‐4i were associated with a 14% lower risk of the composite outcome—comprising renal replacement therapy (dialysis or renal transplantation), renal deaths, or hospitalizations for kidney‐related events—compared with meglitinides. Further analysis of the composite outcome revealed that the decreased risk was primarily attributable to renal replacement therapy, showing a 17% reduction. DPP‐4i were also associated with a 41% reduced risk of hypoglycemia. Findings were consistent across all sensitivity analyses, supporting the robustness of the observed associations.

Empirical evidence on the renal effects of DPP‐4i in pre‐dialysis patients is limited. Previous studies evaluating DPP‐4i use and renal outcomes in patients with diabetes generally excluded those receiving dialysis or in pre‐dialysis stages. The CARMELINA trial enrolled patients with an eGFR of 15–90 mL/min/1.73 m2, and the SAVOR‐TIMI 53 trial included those with an eGFR of 30–90 mL/min/1.73 m2. Both trials reported reductions in albuminuria risk with linagliptin and saxagliptin, respectively; however, neither showed reduced risks of dialysis or renal transplantation [16, 17]. Additionally, two observational studies found that DPP‐4i use was associated with slower eGFR decline rates compared with nonuse, although potential confounding by indication bias may exist [44, 45]. Yang et al. reported no significant difference in the risk of renal replacement therapy between DPP‐4i and sulfonylureas among patients with diabetes and CKD stages 3b to 5 [46]. However, their findings were potentially limited by small sample sizes and reduced generalizability, as patients who received EPO—used by more than 60% of patients with CKD stage 5 [15, 22]—were excluded. Notably, pre‐dialysis patients were largely unrepresented across these studies, except for a small number of patients with CKD stage 5 in Yang's study. Therefore, the present study addresses a critical evidence gap and informs clinical decision‐making for this high‐risk population.

We observed that DPP‐4i may slow the progression to dialysis or renal transplantation in patients with T2DM and CKD stage 5, despite a short follow‐up period. The CARMELINA trial showed a reduction in albuminuria with linagliptin, which emerged right after approximately 6 months of therapy, although the median follow‐up was 2 years [16]. In contrast, our study found that a mean treatment duration of approximately 5 months with DPP‐4i was related to a lower risk of renal progression. However, whether short‐term DPP‐4i use can reduce the risk of albuminuria and, consequently, decrease the risk of progression to renal replacement therapy remains uncertain. Although real‐world studies suggest that DPP‐4i may slow down the decline in eGFR and progression to ESRD in patients with mild‐to‐moderate CKD [44, 45, 47], it is unclear whether these effects apply to those with advanced CKD. Accordingly, it remains unclear whether the reduced risk of progression to dialysis or renal transplantation with DPP‐4i in pre‐dialysis patients is mediated by a reduction in albuminuria or slower eGFR decline.

The observed protective effect of DPP‐4i on severe renal outcomes, including dialysis, may involve both GLP‐1 receptor (GLP‐1R)‐dependent [48] and GLP‐1R‐independent pathways [49]. DPP‐4i inhibits the breakdown of incretin hormones, mainly GLP‐1 and gastric inhibitory peptide, and their renal effects could be mediated through GLP‐1R‐dependent mechanisms, similar to those identified for GLP‐1 receptor agonists (GLP‐1 RA). Under chronic hyperglycemia, GLP‐1R signaling helps protect against renal oxidative stress by inhibiting NAD(P) oxidase, a major source of glomerular superoxide, and by activating the cyclic AMP‐protein kinase A pathway [48]. These effects may contribute to the renal protection associated with DPP‐4i. Additionally, GLP‐1R‐independent pathways also play a role in DPP‐4i‐associated renal protection effects, with studies suggesting that DPP‐4i influences signaling pathways beyond the GLP‐1/GLP‐1R pathway, involving heterogeneous nuclear ribonucleoprotein A, collagen I hemostasis, box‐binding protein‐1, thymosin β4, and renal transforming growth factor β1 [49].

To our knowledge, this is the first study assessing whether use of DPP‐4i versus meglitinides reduces the risk of progression to renal replacement therapy or renal‐specific mortality in pre‐dialysis patients with T2DM and CKD stage 5 not receiving dialysis. Given the similar pharmacotherapeutic roles of DPP‐4i and meglitinides in this population, baseline characteristics were largely balanced between the two groups before applying IPTW, indicating strong comparability. The use of meglitinides as an active‐comparator also helped mitigate confounding by indication. Both new and prevalent users were included to reflect real‐world prescribing patterns. The algorithms used to define Type 2 diabetes, CKD stage 5, and most outcomes have been validated with high accuracy [21, 23, 24]. The primary findings remained robust across multiple sensitivity analyses, supporting the robustness of our findings.

Our study has several limitations. First, not all patients with diabetes and CKD stage 5 were included. Patients with CKD stage 5 were identified based on prescription refill records for EPO, which are indicated for anemia and reimbursed for those with an eGFR less than 15 mL/min/1.73 m2. Although not all patients with CKD stage 5 receive EPO, anemia is prevalent in this population, and studies report that 60%–85% of these patients in Taiwan are treated with EPO [15, 22]. Second, we were unable to measure certain confounders, such as blood glucose levels, eGFR and albuminuria; therefore, unmeasured confounding could either overestimate or underestimate the observed association. However, we considered several proxy indicators of diabetes and CKD severity at baseline. Additionally, we adopted GERD as a negative control outcome and observed no association, suggesting minimum influence from unmeasured confounding. The estimated E‐value of 1.6 indicates that an unmeasured confounder would need to be 1.6 times more prevalent in the comparator group than in the DPP‐4i group and increase the risk of severe renal outcomes by a factor of 1.6 to fully account for the observed association. This suggests our results are unlikely fully attributable to unmeasured confounding. Third, the inclusion of prevalent users may introduce bias. However, we restricted prevalent users to those receiving a combination of DPP‐4i and meglitinides prior to starting EPO and ensured the duration of the combined treatment was similar between the two groups to minimize prevalent user bias. Accordingly, the impact of this bias is likely minimal, though it could lead to either overestimation or underestimation of the estimated HR. We also repeated the analysis using a new‐user design coupled with 1:1 PS matching, and the findings remained consistent. Fourth, the short duration of DPP‐4i and meglitinide use may reflect the rapid progression to renal replacement therapy or renal‐related hospitalization in patients with diabetes and severe renal disease, making it challenging to evaluate the long‐term renal effects of DPP‐4i. However, this short‐term usage reflects real‐world clinical practice. Lastly, our findings may be influenced by the ethnic composition of the study cohort. Yet, approximately 96% of Taiwanese inhabitants are Han Chinese [50], suggesting limited ethnic heterogeneity and minimal impact on the internal validity of our findings. As noted in the first limitation, the use of EPO as one of the inclusion criteria may limit the representativeness of the broader Taiwanese population with diabetes and CKD stage 5. Nevertheless, a study from a Taiwanese tertiary hospital using medical records to identify patients with diabetes and CKD stage 5 reported similar demographic and clinical characteristics to those in our study [51], supporting the generalizability of our findings to this population in Taiwan. Additionally, international evidence on individuals with diabetes and CKD stage 5 remains limited. For instance, recent studies from Australia and Pakistan, which included this vulnerable population, had small sample sizes, assessed few potential confounders, and did not evaluate renal disease progression, making comparisons with our study regarding patient characteristics challenging [52, 53]. These gaps highlight the novelty of our study and underscore the need for further research using real‐world data from diverse geographic and ethnic populations to validate our findings.

Conclusions

This large nationwide cohort study found that the use of DPP‐4i was associated with a significantly decreased risk of composite renal events, including renal replacement, renal death, and hospitalization of kidney‐related events, compared to meglitinides in patients with T2DM and CKD stage 5 not on dialysis. Additionally, DPP‐4i use was linked to a reduced risk of hypoglycemia compared to meglitinides. Our findings suggest that, for pre‐dialysis patients with T2DM, DPP‐4 inhibitors may provide more renal advantages and less hypoglycemia risk than meglitinides.

Author contributions

All authors conceptualized and contributed to the design of the current study. Meng‐Ting Wang acquired data from the database. Meng‐Ting Wang and Tung‐Ying Hung analyzed the data. Tung‐Ying Hung, Liang‐Yu Lin, Ying‐Jay Liou, Yu‐Juei Hsu, and Tzu‐Han Lin interpreted the data. Meng‐Ting Wang, Tung‐Ying Hung, and Tzu‐Chieh Lin drafted the manuscript. All authors thoroughly reviewed and approved the submitted manuscript.

Disclosure

During the course of preparing this work, the authors used ChatGPT 4.0 to only edit the manuscript for enhancing manuscript readability and refining English expression. Following the use of this tool, the authors formally reviewed the content for its accuracy and edited it as necessary. The authors take full responsibility for all the content of this publication.

Conflict of interest statement

All authors declare that there is no conflict of interest.

Supporting information

Table S1. Operational definition of the inclusion and exclusion criteria, exposures, outcomes, comorbidities, and comedications.

Table S2. Schoenfeld residual tests for assessing proportionality hazard assumptions by outcomes.

Table S3. All baseline characteristics of DPP‐4 inhibitor users versus meglitinide users before and after IPTW.

Table S4. The mean duration and the reasons for truncation during follow‐up for DPP‐4 inhibitors and meglitinides, by outcomes.

Table S5. The patient‐based number needed to treat for comparative results of DPP‐4 inhibitor versus meglitinide.

Table S6. Sensitivity analyses of the primary outcome associated with the use of DPP‐4 inhibitors versus meglitinides.

Table S7. Comparison of the primary outcome between DPP‐4 inhibitors and meglitinides, stratified by pre‐determined baseline characteristics.

Figure S1. Flow chart of the eligible study population.

Figure S2. Weighted Kaplan–Meier survival curves of the primary outcome (A), renal replacement therapy (B), renal death (C), and hospitalization of kidney‐related events (D) between users of DPP‐4 inhibitors and meglitinide.

Figure S3. Weighted Kaplan–Meier survival curves of 3‐point MACE (A), hospitalization of heart failure (B), all‐cause mortality (C), and hypoglycemia (D) between users of DPP‐4 inhibitors and meglitinides.

Methods. Sample size calculation.

JOIM-298-214-s001.docx (5.5MB, docx)

Acknowledgments

The authors extend their sincere appreciation to the Health and Welfare Data Source Center, Ministry of Health and Welfare (HWDC, MOHW), Taiwan, for granting access to the database for analysis. The interpretations and conclusions of the current study's findings do not represent those of HWDC, MOHW, Taiwan. We would also like to express our gratitude to Mrs. Bi‐Juan Wu, affiliated to the Department of Pharmacy, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan, for offering the technical support voluntarily and without compensation. We also deeply appreciate Ms. Yi‐Hsuan Chen for her valuable assistance during the revision of the manuscript in response to the reviewers' comments.

Hung T‐Y, Lin T‐C, Liou Y‐J, Lin T‐H, Hsu Y‐J, Lin L‐Y, et al. Use of dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitors is associated with lower risk of severe renal outcomes in pre‐dialysis patients with Type 2 diabetes. J Intern Med. 2025;298:214–227.

Contributor Information

Liang‐Yu Lin, Email: tristan074@gmail.com.

Meng‐Ting Wang, Email: mtwang@nycu.edu.tw.

Data availability statement

This study primarily employed claims data obtained from the Health and Welfare Data Source Center, Ministry of Health and Welfare (HWDC, MOHW) in Taiwan. Based on the regulations of Taiwan's Ministry of Health and Welfare (https://dep.mohw.gov.tw/DOS/cp‐5119‐59201‐113.html), public sharing of the claims data is prohibited. Please contact the HWDC, MOHW to request access to the analyzed data.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Table S1. Operational definition of the inclusion and exclusion criteria, exposures, outcomes, comorbidities, and comedications.

Table S2. Schoenfeld residual tests for assessing proportionality hazard assumptions by outcomes.

Table S3. All baseline characteristics of DPP‐4 inhibitor users versus meglitinide users before and after IPTW.

Table S4. The mean duration and the reasons for truncation during follow‐up for DPP‐4 inhibitors and meglitinides, by outcomes.

Table S5. The patient‐based number needed to treat for comparative results of DPP‐4 inhibitor versus meglitinide.

Table S6. Sensitivity analyses of the primary outcome associated with the use of DPP‐4 inhibitors versus meglitinides.

Table S7. Comparison of the primary outcome between DPP‐4 inhibitors and meglitinides, stratified by pre‐determined baseline characteristics.

Figure S1. Flow chart of the eligible study population.

Figure S2. Weighted Kaplan–Meier survival curves of the primary outcome (A), renal replacement therapy (B), renal death (C), and hospitalization of kidney‐related events (D) between users of DPP‐4 inhibitors and meglitinide.

Figure S3. Weighted Kaplan–Meier survival curves of 3‐point MACE (A), hospitalization of heart failure (B), all‐cause mortality (C), and hypoglycemia (D) between users of DPP‐4 inhibitors and meglitinides.

Methods. Sample size calculation.

JOIM-298-214-s001.docx (5.5MB, docx)

Data Availability Statement

This study primarily employed claims data obtained from the Health and Welfare Data Source Center, Ministry of Health and Welfare (HWDC, MOHW) in Taiwan. Based on the regulations of Taiwan's Ministry of Health and Welfare (https://dep.mohw.gov.tw/DOS/cp‐5119‐59201‐113.html), public sharing of the claims data is prohibited. Please contact the HWDC, MOHW to request access to the analyzed data.


Articles from Journal of Internal Medicine are provided here courtesy of Wiley

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