Abstract
Background
Postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD) significantly affects recovery, hospitalization duration, and quality of life following cardiac surgery. Identifying reliable biomarkers for predicting POCD could improve patient outcomes and perioperative care. Among these, S100 calcium-binding protein beta (S100β) and neuron-specific enolase (NSE) have emerged as promising indicators of cerebral injury and neurocognitive dysfunction.
Objectives
This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess within-subject perioperative changes in S100β and NSE levels among patients who developed POCD after cardiac surgery, to evaluate whether these biomarkers consistently rise in association with POCD.
Methods
Following PRISMA guidelines, we searched PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science up to October 2024. Studies included peer-reviewed articles evaluating S100β and NSE levels in relation to POCD in cardiac surgery patients. Two reviewers independently extracted data and assessed the quality using the ROBINS-I tool. Meta-analyses were conducted using a random-effects model.
Results
Thirty studies were included. Among patients who developed POCD, both S100β and NSE levels were significantly elevated postoperatively compared to preoperative baselines. The pooled standardized mean difference (SMD) was 1.52 (95% CI 0.57–2.48; I2 = 93.1%) for S100β and 1.19 (95% CI 0.42–1.96; I2 = 88.7%) for NSE, indicating large effect sizes. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of these findings despite substantial heterogeneity.
Conclusions
Among patients who developed POCD, S100β and NSE levels significantly increased from preoperative to postoperative measurements, indicating a potential association with cerebral injury. However, as non-POCD patients were not analyzed for the same biomarker changes, causality or specificity to POCD cannot be confirmed and future research should be directed toward between group changes.
Supplementary Information
The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40001-025-03081-6.
Keywords: Postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD), S100β protein, Neuron-specific enolase (NSE), Cardiac surgery, Biomarkers, Neurocognitive disorders, Perioperative risk stratification
Introduction
Postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD) represents a significant clinical complication that adversely impacts patient recovery, prolongs hospitalization, and diminishes the overall quality of life in patients undergoing cardiac surgery [1]. Despite advancements in surgical techniques, anesthetic protocols, and comprehensive perioperative management strategies, the prevalence of POCD remains notably high, particularly in patients undergoing complex cardiac procedures, such as valve replacement or cardiopulmonary bypass. This neurocognitive impairment can range from subtle cognitive deficits to more profound disturbances, adversely affecting patients' ability to resume normal daily activities, leading to prolonged rehabilitation and increased healthcare utilization [1].
Reported prevalence rates of POCD vary depending on the timing of assessment and diagnostic criteria used, but studies suggest that up to 30–50% of patients may experience cognitive decline in the early postoperative period, with persistent deficits reported in approximately 10–20% of cases at 3–12 month post-surgery [2].
POCD's pathophysiology's complexity underscores the critical need for reliable and predictive biomarkers to identify individuals at increased risk, guide early intervention, and optimize perioperative clinical management [3]. In recent decades, significant attention has been devoted to identifying and validating biochemical biomarkers indicative of neuronal injury or cerebral distress, among which S100 calcium-binding protein beta (S100β) has emerged as an up-and-coming candidate. This protein, predominantly found in glial cells, regulates neuronal survival, growth, and apoptosis. Clinically, elevated serum or cerebrospinal fluid levels of S100β have consistently been correlated with various forms of cerebral injury, including stroke, traumatic brain injuries, and neurodegenerative diseases [4].
Recent research has increasingly suggested a correlation between perioperative elevations of S100β and the development of POCD in cardiac surgery patients. Nevertheless, variability in study designs, patient populations, biomarker measurement protocols, and definitions of cognitive dysfunction has complicated the interpretation of results and hindered definitive conclusions. Thus, a systematic synthesis and rigorous meta-analytic evaluation of existing studies are necessary to elucidate the true significance of S100β as a biomarker for POCD [5].
In addition to S100β, neuron-specific enolase (NSE) has also been investigated as a biomarker of neurocognitive injury in the perioperative setting. NSE is a glycolytic enzyme found predominantly in neurons and neuroendocrine cells, and elevated serum levels may indicate neuronal cytoplasmic damage. Like S100β, NSE has been associated with cerebral ischemia, traumatic brain injury, and postoperative cognitive decline [6]. However, its role in the context of cardiac surgery remains less consistently characterized. Including both biomarkers in the present review allows for a more comprehensive evaluation of their respective associations with POCD and their potential as complementary indicators of perioperative cerebral insult [7].
This systematic review and meta-analysis aim to assess the extent to which S100β and NSE levels change from preoperative to postoperative states within patients who develop POCD following cardiac surgery. Rather than comparing POCD vs. non-POCD groups, this study synthesizes within-patient biomarker changes to explore their potential association with POCD.
Methods
Study design and protocol
This systematic review and meta-analysis adhered to the PRISMA guidelines (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) [8]. The study protocol was registered in the Open Science Framework (OSF) under registration number 10.17605/OSF.IO/QH9WT.
Search strategy
A comprehensive literature search was performed using PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases up to October 2, 2024. The search strategy was developed using a combination of keywords related to biomarkers indicative of cerebral injury, specifically S100β protein and neuron-specific enolase (NSE), and various cardiac surgical procedures. Keywords were combined using Boolean operators to maximize sensitivity. In addition, manual searches of reference lists from retrieved articles and relevant systematic reviews were conducted to identify any studies missed by electronic searches.
Eligibility criteria
Inclusion criteria were original, peer-reviewed human studies evaluating the relationship between S100β and NSE biomarkers and postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD) in patients undergoing any type of cardiac surgery, including valve replacement, coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), congenital heart surgeries, and procedures with or without cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), across both adult and pediatric populations. Articles were excluded if they were non-human, in-vitro studies, non-English publications, conference abstracts, case series, case reports, or review articles. Duplicate studies were also removed. Our synthesis and meta-analysis focuses on within-patient comparisons of biomarker levels before and after surgery in patients who developed POCD.
Study selection and data extraction
Two reviewers independently screened articles using the Rayyan Intelligent, systematic review tool. Disagreements were resolved through consensus and the involvement of a third reviewer. Data extracted included authors, publication year, country, number of POCD and non-POCD patients, anesthesia method, type of cardiac surgery performed, biomarker levels (pre- and postoperative values of S100β and NSE), and cognitive assessment methods. Data were summarized and presented in structured tables.
Quality assessment
The ROBINS-I tool was applied to evaluate the potential risk of bias across seven domains [9]: (1) bias due to confounding, (2) bias in participant selection, (3) bias in classification of interventions, (4) deviations from intended interventions, (5) missing data, (6) outcome measurement, and (7) selection of reported results. Findings from the quality assessments were visualized using a traffic-light system to illustrate the risk level clearly.
Statistical analysis
Meta-analysis used a random-effects model to account for anticipated heterogeneity across studies. Effect sizes were computed as standardized mean differences (SMD) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI). For each included study, the preoperative biomarker level was treated as the baseline (control), and the postoperative level as the post-exposure condition. The standardized mean difference thus reflects within-subject changes in biomarker levels among patients with POCD.
Heterogeneity was evaluated using the I2 statistic, and funnel plots were used to assess potential publication bias visually. Sensitivity analyses were conducted by sequentially removing individual studies to test the robustness of the results.
Results
Study selection
The PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases identified 708 records. After excluding 234 duplicates, 474 unique titles and abstracts were screened. Of these, 132 were removed for not meeting the predefined inclusion criteria (e.g., non-human studies, irrelevant biomarkers, or non-English articles), leaving 342 articles for full-text review. Subsequently, 320 articles were excluded due to insufficient or irrelevant data. Ultimately, 30 studies fulfilled all eligibility requirements and were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis (see PRISMA flow diagram in Fig. 1) [10–36].
Fig. 1.
Prisma flow diagram of the study selection procedure
Data extraction
Key information, such as authors, publication year, country, number of POCD vs. non-POCD patients, anesthesia type, type of cardiac surgery, S100β and NSE levels (pre- and post-surgery), and cognitive assessment methods, was extracted from each of the 30 included studies (Supplementary Table 1). Most studies focused on adult cardiac surgical procedures involving cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), although a few addressed pediatric cases or off-pump surgeries. Reported POCD assessments ranged from standardized neuropsychological batteries (e.g., Mini-Mental State Examination, MoCA) to clinical diagnoses based on DSM-III-R or DSM-IV criteria.
Quality assessment
Figure 2 presents the traffic-light summary of the risk of bias (ROB) judgments for each included study across seven domains, as assessed by the ROBINS-I tool.
Fig. 2.
Risk-of-bias assessment of included studies using ROBINS-I tool. This figure summarizes the risk of bias evaluation across seven predefined domains for the included studies, as assessed using the ROBINS-I (risk of bias in non-randomized studies of interventions) tool. Domains include: D1—bias due to confounding, D2—bias due to selection of participants, D3—bias in classification of interventions, D4—bias due to deviations from intended interventions, D5—bias due to missing data, D6—bias in measurement of outcomes, D7—bias in selection of the reported result. Judgments are color-coded: green circles (+) indicate low risk, yellow circles (−) indicate moderate risk, red circles (×) indicate serious risk, and blue circles (?) represent no information. Overall bias risk for each study is indicated in the final column. This assessment highlights variability in methodological quality, with most studies rated as low-to-moderate risk of bias, although a few studies exhibit serious concerns in specific domains
Bias due to confounding (D1): Most studies had a low or moderate risk in this domain, reflecting efforts to control key confounders (e.g., age and comorbidities). However, a few studies lacked detailed reporting of patient characteristics, leading to higher concern in D1.
Bias in selection of participants (D2): A subset of studies showed serious risk of bias here, primarily due to unclear or non-consecutive recruitment methods and incomplete inclusion/exclusion criteria reporting.
Bias in classification of interventions (D3): All studies were rated low or moderate in this domain, as surgical procedures and biomarkers were clearly defined.
Bias due to deviations from intended interventions (D4) and bias due to missing data (D5): These domains were generally rated low-to-moderate risk. Some studies reported losses to follow-up or missing biomarker measurements without a clear explanation.
Bias in measurement of outcomes (D6) and bias in selection of the reported result (D7): Most articles used validated cognitive assessment tools. However, the variation in timing and outcome measurements of some studies led to moderate ratings in D6. Reporting bias (D7) was typically low or mild, with only a few studies omitting relevant outcome details.
Despite occasional serious risk in specific domains, often due to incomplete methodological descriptions, included studies were deemed suitable for meta-analysis.
Meta-analysis
While several included studies reported biomarker levels in both POCD and non-POCD patients, our pooled analyses exclusively focused on within-subject comparisons, evaluating the change from preoperative to postoperative biomarker levels among POCD patients only. Studies that did not report stratified data for POCD patients were excluded from the pooled analysis.
Meta-analysis of NSE levels
Figure 3 (forest plot) shows the pooled effect of neuron-specific enolase (NSE) in patients who developed postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD), comparing postoperative values to preoperative baselines. NSE levels were significantly elevated after surgery, with a pooled standardized mean difference (SMD) of 1.19 (95% CI 0.42–1.96, p < 0.001). Heterogeneity was substantial (I2 = 88.7%), prompting additional exploration through Galbraith plots (Fig. 4). Sensitivity analyses, removing one study at a time, did not substantially alter the overall effect size, supporting the robustness of this observed postoperative increase in NSE among POCD cases.
Fig. 3.
Forest plot of neuron-specific enolase (NSE) levels in patients with postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD). Forest plot displaying the comparison of postoperative NSE comparing postoperative vs. preoperative biomarker levels in POCD patients. The analysis reveals a significant increase in NSE levels among patients with POCD, suggesting its potential as a biomarker for cognitive impairment following cardiac surgery
Fig. 4.
Forest plot of S100β levels in patients with postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD). This forest plot depicts the standardized mean differences (SMD) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for postoperative S100β levels comparing postoperative vs. preoperative biomarker levels in POCD patient across the included studies. The pooled analysis indicates significantly elevated S100β levels in patients who developed POCD
Meta-analysis of S100β levels
Figure 5 illustrates the pooled within-subject comparison of postoperative vs. preoperative S100β levels in patients who developed POCD. Postoperative S100β levels were significantly higher, with a pooled SMD of 1.52 (95% CI 0.57–2.48, p < 0.001). Heterogeneity was high (I2 = 93.1%), but subsequent sensitivity analyses (Fig. 6) confirmed the consistency of the effect estimate, indicating a reliable elevation of S100β following surgery in patients exhibiting POCD.
Fig. 5.
Galbraith plot for heterogeneity analysis of S100β levels. Galbraith plot illustrating the heterogeneity among studies included in the meta-analysis of S100β levels. This plot helps identify potential sources of heterogeneity by plotting the standardized effect sizes against their precision
Fig. 6.

Funnel plot for publication bias assessment of S100β and NSE analyses. Funnel plot evaluating potential publication bias in studies reporting S100β and NSE levels in relation to POCD. The symmetry of the funnel plot suggests minimal evidence of publication bias across the included studies
Publication bias and sensitivity analysis
Funnel plots (Fig. 7) showed minimal evidence of publication bias for both NSE and S100β analyses. In addition, sequentially excluding individual studies from each meta-analysis did not materially change the summary effect estimates or confidence intervals, indicating that the results are robust and not driven by any single outlier study.
Fig. 7.
Sensitivity analysis plot (leave-one-out analysis) for the meta-analysis of S100β levels in relation to postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD). This plot demonstrates the influence of each individual study on the overall pooled estimate by performing a leave-one-out sensitivity analysis. The graph shows the meta-analysis effect estimates (yellow circles) and the corresponding lower and upper confidence intervals (yellow lines) when each study is omitted sequentially. The consistency of the estimates across the omissions indicates the robustness and stability of the meta-analysis results
The PRISMA-guided search and selection process identified 30 studies meeting the inclusion criteria. Despite some variability in study quality, most studies were rated as having a low-to-moderate risk of bias, supporting their suitability for pooled analysis. The meta-analyses demonstrated that both NSE and S100β levels rise significantly in patients who develop POCD, indicating that these biomarkers may be valuable for detecting and monitoring postoperative cognitive changes in the cardiac surgery population.
Discussion
This systematic review and meta-analysis provide robust evidence that elevated postoperative levels of S100β and neuron-specific enolase (NSE) are significantly associated with postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD) in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. The pooled standardized mean differences (SMDs) were 1.52 for S100β and 1.19 for NSE, indicating moderate to large effect sizes. These findings highlight a clinically meaningful association, suggesting that these biomarkers may reflect ongoing cerebral injury in the perioperative context and hold potential for enhancing neurocognitive monitoring strategies.
These effect sizes are considered large by conventional standards, suggesting that the differences in biomarker levels are not only statistically significant but also potentially clinically meaningful. The magnitude of biomarker elevation from preoperative to postoperative timepoints supports the utility of S100β and NSE as robust indicators of postoperative neurocognitive risk.
Clinical implications
The consistent increase in S100β and NSE among POCD cases supports their use as early indicators of cerebral stress or damage following cardiac surgery. Their integration into routine perioperative care could improve risk stratification, allowing for more proactive interventions to protect cognitive function [37]. However, most of the included studies measured these biomarkers postoperatively, indicating that they may primarily serve as early signatures of injury rather than predictive markers. Clarifying this distinction is crucial, as biomarkers measured preoperatively may inform preventive strategies, while postoperative elevations are more likely to signal the onset of neurocognitive decline [38, 39].
The application of these biomarkers could be particularly useful in elderly patients and in those undergoing high-risk procedures, such as prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass or complex valve replacements. Real-time monitoring of these markers may aid in tailoring perfusion strategies, guiding anesthetic choices, and informing postoperative care plans [40, 41].As our analysis reflects within-patient comparisons, these markers may serve as early signals of developing POCD, rather than as preoperative predictors.
Methodological considerations and limitations
Interpretation of these results must take into account several methodological challenges. One major source of heterogeneity was the timing of biomarker sampling. While some studies measured S100β and NSE immediately after bypass, others used longer windows, such as 24–72 h postoperatively. The absence of consistent preoperative measurements limits our ability to evaluate the predictive value of these markers [42, 43].
In addition, definitions of POCD varied widely across studies. Different cognitive assessment tools, including the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA), and DSM-based clinical criteria, were employed with varying thresholds for diagnosis. These inconsistencies reduce the precision of cross-study comparisons and limit the interpretability of pooled outcomes [44].
Confounding remains another concern. Only a minority of studies adjusted for essential variables, such as age, educational level, comorbidities, pre-existing cognitive function, or intraoperative factors, such as cerebral embolism or hypotension. As a result, some of the observed associations may reflect underlying clinical or procedural risk rather than biomarker-specific effects. Furthermore, most studies focused on short-term cognitive outcomes, often within the first few days or weeks post-surgery, with limited data on longer term cognitive trajectories [45].
A major limitation across included studies was the lack of consistent reporting on the timing of biomarker sampling. In most cases, only postoperative measurements were provided, and preoperative levels were either not measured or not reported in sufficient detail. This restricts the interpretation of whether S100β and NSE function primarily as predictive markers or as early indicators of cerebral injury. Future studies should standardize the timing of biomarker collection to distinguish baseline vulnerability from postoperative pathophysiological changes.
Despite these challenges, most studies were judged to have low-to-moderate risk of bias according to the ROBINS-I criteria, supporting the reliability of our meta-analytic findings.
Specificity of biomarker changes to POCD
A critical limitation of this study is the lack of comparison with patients who did not develop POCD. While we observed significant within-subject increases in S100β and NSE levels among POCD patients, we did not evaluate whether similar biomarker changes occur in patients without cognitive decline. Therefore, the findings cannot confirm whether the observed biomarker elevations are specific to POCD or simply reflect general postoperative cerebral changes. Future studies should include comparative analyses with non-POCD groups to establish biomarker specificity.
Addressing heterogeneity
A notable limitation of this meta-analysis is the substantial heterogeneity observed across studies (I2 = 93.1% for S100β and 88.7% for NSE). This likely reflects variability in multiple domains, including surgical techniques (e.g., CPB vs. off-pump), timing of biomarker sampling, types of cognitive assessments used, and differing definitions of POCD. While a random-effects model was applied to account for between-study variability, the magnitude of heterogeneity limits the precision of pooled estimates. Unfortunately, subgroup analyses were not feasible due to the inconsistent reporting of key modifiers, such as sampling timepoints and surgical subtypes. Future research should aim to harmonize methodologies and report stratified biomarker data to enable more nuanced meta-analytic comparisons and reduce residual heterogeneity.
Addressing confounding factors
Another critical limitation involves the potential impact of unmeasured or inadequately controlled confounding factors. Variables such as age, baseline cognitive status, comorbidities (e.g., diabetes and hypertension), type and duration of anesthesia, and intraoperative events (e.g., hypotension, microembolism, and inflammatory responses) may independently influence both biomarker expression and the risk of developing POCD. Most of the included studies did not report multivariable adjustments or stratified analyses to account for these factors. As a result, the observed associations between S100β, NSE, and POCD may, in part, reflect residual confounding. Future studies should aim to incorporate these covariates into multivariate models or propensity-matched designs to better isolate the independent effect of these biomarkers on neurocognitive outcomes.
Comparison with prior literature
Our results are consistent with existing literature showing that S100β and NSE levels rise in response to cerebral injury during and after cardiac surgery. S100β, primarily expressed in astrocytes, is known to indicate blood–brain barrier disruption and glial stress. NSE, a glycolytic enzyme found in neurons, reflects neuronal cytoplasmic damage. Together, these biomarkers offer complementary insights into the different cellular pathways implicated in POCD pathogenesis [46, 47].
While previous reviews have examined these markers individually, few have undertaken a combined meta-analytic approach across multiple cardiac surgery populations. This study strengthens the evidence base by synthesizing data from 30 studies and directly comparing both markers in relation to cognitive outcomes [10–36, 48–50].
Future research and clinical translation
Standardizing biomarker measurement
One major barrier to clinical translation is the lack of consistency in biomarker sampling protocols across studies. Timing of measurement varied widely, with most studies assessing postoperative levels at different intervals, while preoperative data were rarely available. This variability limits comparability and hinders meta-analytic precision. Future studies should adopt standardized perioperative timepoints, ideally including preoperative baselines, immediate post-bypass sampling, and longer term postoperative follow-up, to map dynamic changes in S100β and NSE levels and determine their true prognostic value.
Embedding biomarkers into interventional studies
To move beyond associative findings, future trials should incorporate S100β and NSE as surrogate endpoints in interventions aimed at reducing POCD risk. For instance, studies evaluating neuroprotective strategies, perfusion optimization, or anesthetic regimens could assess whether modulating perioperative care alters biomarker trajectories and cognitive outcomes. Such integration would not only validate the biological relevance of these markers but also establish their potential role in guiding clinical decisions.
Toward multimodal and predictive modeling
Combining S100β and NSE with additional neuroinflammatory, glial, and imaging-based biomarkers may yield more specific and sensitive risk stratification tools. Advances in machine learning and systems biology could facilitate the development of multimodal predictive models tailored to individual risk profiles. These models would be especially powerful if trained on harmonized data sets that account for surgical type, patient comorbidities, and neuropsychological baselines. The next generation of research must shift from descriptive biomarker studies toward predictive, interventional, and mechanistically informed investigations that support clinical translation.
Conclusion
This meta-analysis provides compelling evidence that Postoperative elevations of S100β and NSE relative to preoperative levels are significantly associated with POCD in cardiac surgery patients. These biomarkers may serve as early indicators of neurocognitive changes in patients with POCD. However, because we did not analyze biomarker trajectories in patients who did not develop POCD, it remains unclear whether these perioperative changes are specific to POCD or reflect general cerebral stress during surgery. As such, implications for risk stratification remain speculative.
Supplementary Information
Supplementary Material 1: Table 1. Summary characteristics of included studies.
Supplementary Material 2: Table 2. curated search strategies across searched databases.
Acknowledgements
None.
Abbreviations
- POCD
Postoperative cognitive dysfunction
- S100β
S100 calcium-binding protein beta
- NSE
Neuron-specific enolase
- CPB
Cardiopulmonary bypass
- CABG
Coronary artery bypass grafting
- PRISMA
Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses
- ROBINS-I
Risk of bias in non-randomized studies of interventions
- CI
Confidence interval
- SMD
Standardized mean difference
- DSM
Diagnostic and statistical manual of mental disorders
- MoCA
Montreal cognitive assessment
- ELISA
Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay
Author contributions
Study concept and design: MAA Acquisition of the data: MAA Analysis and interpretation of the data:MAA Drafting of the manuscript: OR.; critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: SKSR,AR,SMM,SS,IA,AT,AM,KAS,AK,PE,FK,MS,MHA,KAH administrative, technical, and material support: SKSR,AR,SMM,SS,IA,AT,AM,KAS,AF,AR,MR study supervision: MAA.
Funding
None.
Data availability
Data is provided in the manuscript.
Declarations
Ethical approval and consent to participate
Not applicable.
Consent for publication
Not applicable.
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Footnotes
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Mehdi Hassani Ahangar, Komeil Aghazadeh-Habashi and Ali Rahi have contributed equally to this work.
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Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Supplementary Materials
Supplementary Material 1: Table 1. Summary characteristics of included studies.
Supplementary Material 2: Table 2. curated search strategies across searched databases.
Data Availability Statement
Data is provided in the manuscript.






