Skip to main content
Scientific Reports logoLink to Scientific Reports
. 2025 Aug 27;15:31663. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-16950-1

Incorporating long-range dependence and fractal features in turbulence spectra

Shyuan Cheng 1,#, Yaswanth Sai Jetti 1,#, Vincent S Neary 2, Martin Ostoja-Starzewski 1,3, Leonardo P Chamorro 1,4,5,6,
PMCID: PMC12391321  PMID: 40866431

Abstract

We introduce an advanced turbulence spectrum model developed from mathematical foundations from a covariance function class and empirically validated using extensive field data. This model captures the complex dynamics of long-range dependence, and fractal characteristics prevalent in riverine and atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) flows that are ignored by classical spectrum models, such as IEC (International Electrotechnical Commission) von Kármán and Kaimal model. The model delineates scaling behaviors across distinct frequency bands and offers substantial flexibility through five well-defined parameters each characterizing a distinct physical aspect of the velocity time series. A detailed procedure for obtaining each parameter from time series data is outlined. The comprehensive validations with field data from tidal currents and ABL flows substantiate the model’s fidelity in accurately replicating observed phenomena. This validation establishes the reliability of the proposed model and, when incorporated into stochastic full-field simulators such as TurbSim, demonstrates its potential to advance the predictive modeling and analysis of turbulent flows in environmental science and engineering contexts.

Subject terms: Civil engineering, Mechanical engineering

Introduction

The turbulence spectrum serves as a pivotal tool to describe the kinetic energy distribution across the scales of flow fluctuations. Its accurate representation is essential in numerous engineering fields and environmental disciplines. Velocity spectral models are central to estimating unsteady structural loading, modeling the transport of particles and scalars, and generating flow fields in high-fidelity simulations.

Among the various empirical models formulated based on wind data, those by Davenport1, Harris2, Hino3, Kaimal4, and von Kármán5 are commonly used. These models, particularly the von Kármán and Kaimal models, simulate the velocity spectrum in the inertial subrange following Kolmogorov scaling. Such models underpin advanced stochastic unsteady turbulent inflow simulators like TurbSim, developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)6,7, for critical applications including turbine load analysis, imbalance fault diagnosis, and Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) estimation711. However, these formulations may fail to capture significant aspects of turbulence, such as long-range dependence (LRD) effects, fractal behavior, and intermittent patterns. Long-range dependence (LRD) characterizes the persistence of a flow, specifically, how future states depend on past events due to memory effects, and is quantified by the Hurst exponent H. Standard spectral models typically assume that turbulent flows have no memory, implying statistical independence between past and future velocity increments. This assumption inherently leads to a flat scaling in the energy-containing range1214. In contrast, most environmental flows exhibit LRD, driven by factors such as climatic variability1517, large-scale weather systems18, external forcing mechanisms19, and atmospheric stability20. These effects contribute to a negative spectral slope in the energy-containing range, which classical turbulence models fail to capture accurately1214,21. The fractal dimension D reflects the self-affinity and geometric complexity of the flow, and environmental turbulence often exhibits multifractality, with D varying across scales. These multifractal features are closely tied to turbulence intermittency and stability conditions2224. The omission of LRD and fractal behaviors greatly influences the scaling within energy-containing regions. This limitation can lead to underestimating the spectral energy content, particularly in the low-frequency range, a critical gap that needs to be addressed in detail2527.

Studying the turbulence spectrum and associated formulations has long been a major target in science and engineering. Foundational work by Kolmogorov28,29 provided the basis for the energy spectrum of turbulence, offering unique insights into its energy distribution. However, characterizing the features of the turbulence spectrum in distinct frequency regions remains a significant challenge, demanding innovative approaches to capture contributing phenomena effectively. Recent studies have also revealed new non-classical behaviors in the pre-inertial range of wall-bounded turbulence that further challenge the sufficiency of existing spectral models. For example, Ali and Dey30 identified a zeroth-law scaling in the helicity spectrum, Inline graphic, arising from the combined effects of energy and helicity transfer induced by wall-attached superstructures.

Recent progress in spectral formulations of random fields has shown promising results in overcoming these limitations (Lim et al.31; Faouzi et al.32). These new models provide practical tools to extract and interpret velocity field data effectively while incorporating fractal dimensions (D) and Hurst parameters (H) have introduced novel ways to analyze the intermittent and multi-scale turbulence processes33. We introduce a velocity spectral model derived from the parametric family of fractal and Hurst effect decouplers formulated by Jetti et al.34.

This formulation accounts for short- and long-range dependencies, as determined by its parametric settings. This new class of velocity spectrum model requires similar input parameters to those used in traditional turbulence spectrum models, e.g., the IEC von Kármán isotropic model, and IEC Kaimal model35. These parameters can be easily obtained from measured or simulated time series. We demonstrate that the new model returns superior scale-dependent energy distribution accuracy compared to those obtained from traditional empirical spectrum models. This approach can also provide the basis to develop generalized two-dimensional36 and three-dimensional37 counterparts that account for the aforementioned phenomena.

The manuscript is organized as follows. The new class of covariance functions and their spectral representation are introduced in Section 1, followed by the description of the procedure to obtain the required model parameters in Section 2; the detrending, multifractal analysis, and model performance evaluation using the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) and tidal flow datasets are discussed in Section 3; and the main conclusions are provided in Section 4.

Base formulation and contributing factors

Let us first consider the parametric family of isotropic functions proposed by Jetti et al.34, where each parameter must be rigorously linked to the physical processes they represent. The fundamental formulation is defined as follows:

graphic file with name d33e539.gif 1

where Inline graphic represents the covariance, and c is a scaling parameter. The function Inline graphic qualifies as an isotropic covariance function in Inline graphic for any dimension Inline graphic, provided Inline graphic, Inline graphic, and Inline graphic. Importantly, Inline graphic, ensuring that it models only positive covariances and does not represent negative correlations. Note that, in contrast, the covariance function of the classical Von Kármán model is complex, involving modified Bessel functions of the second kind; see Laudani et al.33. As discussed next, the quantity Inline graphic is related to the fractal behavior or short-range fluctuations of the random-like field, here the turbulent velocity fluctuations. The quantity Inline graphic is directly linked to the Hurst exponent used as a measure of long-term memory of time series16,17. The parameter Inline graphic controls the transition between the long-range and short-range scaling behaviors. The parameter c as noted is a scaling parameter and is related to the integral length scale (or the correlation length) of the underlying random-like field. For classical turbulence spectrum models (i.e., IEC von Kármán and Kaimal model) Inline graphic is set to 5/3 for one-dimensional velocity spectra to enforce the Kolmogorov Inline graphic slope in the inertial subrange and set Inline graphic assuming that the past and future velocity fluctuations in the flows are independent; while Inline graphic correspond to the Kolmogorov scaling law38 under self-affinity assumption.

Jetti et al.34 demonstrated that Inline graphic when Inline graphic, characterizing the function as exhibiting short-range dependence (SRD). Conversely, when Inline graphic, the function displays LRD, which is more commonly observed in turbulence field data and is the main focus of the manuscript. For further insights into SRD, refer to the supplementary information.

The associated spectral density of this parametric family is expressed as follows39:

graphic file with name d33e694.gif 2

where Inline graphic denotes the modified Bessel function of the second kind of order Inline graphic. For a valid covariance function Inline graphic, we have

graphic file with name d33e720.gif 3
graphic file with name d33e726.gif 4

Here, Inline graphic indicates that the function g behaves like h under the specified asymptotic limit. For detailed asymptotic SRD results, refer to the Supplementary Material. The low and high-frequency limits of the spectral density Inline graphic for LRD are given by:

graphic file with name d33e752.gif 5
graphic file with name d33e758.gif 6

where Inline graphic and Inline graphic are functions of Inline graphic, Inline graphic, Inline graphic, c, and d. For completeness, the explicit expressions for Inline graphic and Inline graphic are given below:

graphic file with name d33e814.gif 7
graphic file with name d33e821.gif 8

The asymptotic behavior of the covariance function reveals the fractal and Hurst properties inherent in the model, where the fractal dimension quantifies the degree of scale invariance within the time series, and the Hurst describes the long-range dependence effect, both of which are critical for characterizing turbulence data. From the derived asymptotic relations, the fractal dimension D and Hurst parameter H can be uniquely determined using the equations below:

graphic file with name d33e834.gif 9
graphic file with name d33e840.gif 10

Equations 9 and 10 illustrate that Inline graphic and Inline graphic facilitate tuning D and H (i.e., the high and low-frequency limits) given a specific Inline graphic. The influence of varying Inline graphic is explored by generating four unity variance random time series, each with different Inline graphic values while maintaining a constant Inline graphic, Inline graphic, and Inline graphic. The values of Inline graphic are set to [2/3, 1, 3/2, 2]. These values are chosen to ensure the time series correspond to having Inline graphic for one-dimensional turbulent velocity time series4042 and represent an LRD process. The time series were generated using the circulant embedding method (CEM)43, with each simulated time series being of total length Inline graphic.

The spectra of these four simulated time series are depicted in Fig. 1a, demonstrating that increasing Inline graphic sharpens the transition band between the H and D determined asymptotic high and low-frequency behavior. Figure 1b further elucidates the relationship between Inline graphic and the degree of multifractality by looking into their multifractal spectra, showing that a higher Inline graphic results in a sharper transition by increasing the multifractality44,45 (more information regarding multifractal spectrum is provided Section 2). An empirical correlation between Inline graphic and the multifractal spectrum width (Inline graphic) is presented in Fig. 1c. It illustrates a lower bound for the multifractal spectrum width at the highest Inline graphic value (Inline graphic at Inline graphic), indicating that the current class of covariance functions only allow limited source of multifractility at the transition band (Equation 1). The potential inclusion of non-Gaussian distribution processes and the expansion to a full multifractal model that includes intermittency effect are considerations left for future work.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

(a) Spectral distributions for long-range dependence covariance model sharing H (Inline graphic = 0.9) and D (Inline graphic = 2/3) but different Inline graphic. (b) Multifractal spectrum showing Inline graphicth order singularity exponent (Inline graphic) versus Inline graphicth order singularity dimension Inline graphic obtained from simulated time series with various Inline graphic, and (c) multifractal spectrum width (Inline graphic) versus Inline graphic for various Inline graphic realizations; the simulated time series shared Inline graphic, Inline graphic, and Inline graphic.

Tuning the scaling constant c allows control over the transition band frequency within the turbulence spectrum; it is related to the integral time-length scale (Inline graphic) of the velocity time series. The integral time-length scale represents the transition point where the spectral density function shifts from low to high-frequency behavior. This transition point can be approximated as the intersection of the asymptotic relations in Equations 5 and 6 when the covariance function exhibits LRD. Thus, the transition frequency is given by:

graphic file with name d33e1118.gif 11

For example, consider the spectral density Inline graphic when Inline graphic, Inline graphic, Inline graphic, Inline graphic, Inline graphic, and Inline graphic, as illustrated in Fig. 2a. The transition frequency Inline graphic, calculated using Equation 11 and the transition band frequency approximated by the inverse of the integral time scale Inline graphic, are also included, confirming that Inline graphic (and Inline graphic for the wavenumber spectrum). When Inline graphic, the integral length scale, Inline graphic, is obtained from the covariance function as:

graphic file with name d33e1212.gif 12

and can also be calculated from a velocity time series using Taylor hypothesis46 for flows with a characteristic turbulent velocity fluctuation Inline graphic of its mean convection velocity47, as:

graphic file with name d33e1234.gif 13

where U is the convection velocity, and the integral time scale Inline graphic is defined as:

graphic file with name d33e1250.gif 14

here, Inline graphic is the time lag where the correlation becomes sufficiently low48,49, typically set such that Inline graphic.

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Spectral density Inline graphic for a long-range dependent covariance model. (a) Inline graphic, Inline graphic, and Inline graphic, illustrating the transition frequency Inline graphic. Black lines indicate the asymptotic low and high-frequency behaviors of Inline graphic. (b) Inline graphic with varying scaling constants c, such that Inline graphic. In both cases, Inline graphic, Inline graphic, and Inline graphic.

The approximations for the transition frequency (Eq. 11) indicate that as the scaling constant c increases, the transition frequency decreases. This is illustrated by considering the spectral density of a LRD covariance function for various c values in Fig. 2b, while keeping all other parameters constant. The transition frequency and integral time/length scale results for short-range dependence (SRD) are provided in the Supplementary Material.

Procedure to obtain turbulence spectrum via proposed spectrum model

This section details the procedure for obtaining the five required parameters–Inline graphic, and c–in Equation 1 for the spectrum model. Each step is thoroughly illustrated using atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) and tidal flow velocity measurements as examples. The procedure comprises six main steps:

  1. Preprocess the measured or simulated time series using an Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD)-based sifting method to detrend the data, ensuring the time series is wide-sense stationary (WSS) before calculating the required turbulence quantities.

  2. Obtain the variance Inline graphic, integral time scale Inline graphic, and integral length scale Inline graphic from the detrended WSS time series.

  3. The fractal dimension (D) of a stochastic process can also be estimated using various techniques, such as variogram estimators50. For high Reynolds number turbulence spectra, typically Inline graphic4042.

  4. Conduct a Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA) to determine the Hurst component, H, and the multifractal spectrum width Inline graphic of the measured or simulated time series. The monofractal Hurst component H will determine the energy-containing scaling in the turbulence spectrum13,14,21.

  5. Establish the parameter Inline graphic using the empirical multifractal spectrum width-Inline graphic relationship depicted in Fig. 1c.

  6. Once Inline graphic, Inline graphic (Inline graphic), Inline graphic, D and H are obtained, calculate Inline graphic, and c using Equations 9, 10 and 11.

Detailed methodology explaining these steps are discussed in the Materials and Methods section51.

Results and discussion

Two distinct sets of experimental turbulence data, from tidal currents and the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL), are used to compare and evaluate the velocity spectrum against traditional turbulence models and the proposed formulation. A set of atmospheric turbulence data was obtained using a CSAT3 sonic anemometer positioned on a meteorological tower at a height of 80 m and sampled over 24 hours at a frequency of 20 Hz. The meteorological tower is located at the University of Minnesota Eolos Wind Energy Research Field Station. For more details on the atmospheric boundary layer data, refer to Chamorro et al.52. The tidal current data were obtained from the Nodule Point, WA, tidal energy site. This dataset was collected using an Acoustic Doppler Velocimeter (ADV) during the spring tide of 2011, with a sampling frequency of Inline graphic Hz over a period of 4.3 days. The ADV was positioned at the apex of the Tidal Turbulence Tripod, 4.7 m above the seabed, which was 22 m deep at Nodule Point, located on the eastern side of Marrowstone Island. The unprocessed ADV data underwent the phase-space-thresholding (PST) test53 to detect spikes and outliers, which were replaced by time-averaged values. For more information on the sampling parameters and Doppler noise, refer to Thomson et al.54.

Detrended time series and turbulence quantities

Figure 3a,d illustrates the raw time series alongside the EMD residue and the detrended time series. For the ABL dataset, the residue appears as a moving mean with slight deviations from a constant zero mean, while large-scale motions dominates the tidal flow residue. These results highlight the effectiveness of EMD in eliminating both moving-mean and large-scale trends.

Fig. 3.

Fig. 3

(a,d) Sample atmospheric boundary layer data and tidal flow data with their background trend obtained by EMD sifting method as introduced in26. Comparison between quantities computed using detrended and raw time series; (b,e) autocorrelation Inline graphic, (c,f) streamwise velocity spectrum Inline graphic, and (g) Inline graphic and Inline graphic obtained using raw and detrended datasets.

The impact of detrending on turbulence quantities is demonstrated by comparing the streamwise velocity autocorrelation function, Inline graphic, and their Fourier domain spectrum (Inline graphic). The streamwise velocity autocorrelation Inline graphic is defined by Equation 1555:

graphic file with name d33e1652.gif 15

where Inline graphic denotes the streamwise velocity fluctuations, Inline graphic the mean velocity, Inline graphic the time lag, and Inline graphic the variance of the signal.

Despite only slight background residue shifts, the ABL dataset demonstrates that proper detrending significantly affects the autocorrelation function Inline graphic (Fig. 3b), influencing the estimation of variance Inline graphic, integral length scale Inline graphic, and integral time scale Inline graphic (Fig. 3g). For non-detrended time series, Inline graphic decays very slowly, not approaching zero until Inline graphic s and 17000 s for ABL and tidal velocity data, respectively (Fig. 3b,e). A closer examination of the highlighted region for Inline graphic seconds in the inset of Fig. 3b reveals that the raw data Inline graphic quickly decays to a plateau value of approximately 0.2 and drops very slowly thereafter, indicating the non-ergodic and non-stationary nature of the original time series56,57. A similar effect is observed for the tidal flow data in Fig. 3e, where the large-scale periodic oscillation in Inline graphic reflects the large-scale motions of the tidal currents. In contrast, the detrended Inline graphic decays quickly to zero as highlighted in the insets of Fig. 3b,e. The estimations of Inline graphic, and Inline graphic using raw and detrended time series are shown in Fig. 3g, revealing a significant overestimation of these quantities by an order when using the raw signal due to imposed mean on a non-stationary signal, leading to erroneous large-scale fluctuations. Conversely, accurate estimations from the detrended data show Inline graphic and Inline graphic values consistent with the inverse of the transition frequency Inline graphic from the spectrum and match those reported for ABL and riverine/tidal data under similar conditions and velocity ranges54,5861.

The effect of removing background residue also significantly influences the velocity spectrum at the ,largest scales (i.e., the low frequency component), where high energy level in the raw Inline graphic is observed due to non-stationarity; specifically, Inline graphic Hz for ABL and Inline graphic Hz for tidal flows as shown in Fig. 3c,f. Since EMD segregates intrinsic mode functions and residue by scale order, subtracting the residue predominantly affects the velocity spectrum only at the largest scales. This effect is demonstrated by the overlap of the raw and detrended higher frequency Inline graphic components in Fig. 3c,f. The overlap highlights the efficacy of the EMD detrending algorithm, which accurately removes large-scale trends while preserving the integrity of smaller-scale fluctuations. This attribute showcases the advantages of EMD over other regression-based and frequency-based filtering methods for turbulence studies26.

DFA and multifractal spectrum results

The distributions of the generalized Hurst exponent (Inline graphic), mass exponent (Inline graphic), singularity exponent (Inline graphic), singularity dimension (Inline graphic), and the multifractal spectrum for ABL and tidal data are illustrated in Fig. 4. The generalized Hurst component, shown in Fig. 4a, demonstrates a monofractal Hurst component Inline graphic for both datasets, confirming the LRD effect. The non-flat distribution of Inline graphic also suggests significant multifractality for both ABL and tidal flows, corroborated by the multifractal spectrum in Fig. 4e. The multifractal spectrum permits the extraction of the Hurst component Inline graphic and the multifractal spectrum width Inline graphic. Here, a wider Inline graphic but a lower H is observed for tidal flow, indicating stronger multifractality but lower LRD compared to the ABL dataset.

Fig. 4.

Fig. 4

(a) Generalized Hurst component, Inline graphic, (b) Inline graphicth order mass exponent, Inline graphic, (c) Inline graphicth order singularity exponent, Inline graphic, (d) Inline graphicth order singularity dimension, Inline graphic, and (e) multifractal spectrum for the wind (blue solid line) and tidal (red dashed line) data.

Model parameters

Using the turbulence statistics and the multifractal spectrum, it is possible to derive all required parameters, construct the covariance function class of Equation 1, and obtain the modeled spectrum.

For the detrended ABL and tidal flow datasets, the derived parameters are as follows: Inline graphic, Inline graphic, Inline graphic m/s, Inline graphic s, and Inline graphic estimated using both box-counting and variogram methods, which agrees well with those reported in the literature4042. The Hurst components Inline graphic indicating LRD for both flows, where riverine flows often shows LRD resulting from hydrological processes and climatic variability1517. Similarly, turbulent flows in environmental boundary layers exhibit long-term persistence influenced by large-scale weather systems18, external forcing mechanisms19, and atmospheric stability conditions20.

Following the procedure outlined in Section 2, Inline graphic and Inline graphic are determined using Equations 9 and 10 with a selected Inline graphic, resulting in Inline graphic, where the uncertainty in parameter estimation are inherent from flow statistics, and Equation 11 leads to Inline graphic for ABL and tidal data respectively. The choice of Inline graphic is motivated by the high degree of multifractality demonstrated in both datasets (Fig. 4b). For additional results with lower Inline graphic values, please refer to the Supplementary Material.

Model performance evaluation

With the derived parameters, the modeled proposed spectra are compared with the experimentally measured spectra and the classical von Kármán spectra in Figs. 5 and  6.

Fig. 5.

Fig. 5

Comparison between experimental measurement, Von Kármán model, and proposed spectral model for atmospheric boundary layer flow; (a) streamwise velocity spectrum Inline graphic, (b) premultiplied spectrum Inline graphic, and (c) band-/ and low-pass Inline graphic.

Fig. 6.

Fig. 6

Comparison between experimental measurement, Von Kármán model, and proposed spectral model for tidal flow; (a) streamwise velocity spectrum Inline graphic, (b) premultiplied spectrum Inline graphic, and (c) high-/ and low-pass Inline graphic.

The experimentally measured spectra in Figs. 5a and  6a exhibit negative scaling in the energy-containing range, demonstrating the LRD effect14,21,6264. In contrast, the widely used IEC von Kármán spectral model fails to capture the correct scaling within this range due to its inability to model LRD effects. It shows a flat scaling and underestimates the energy level within the energy-containing range.

It is critical to note that large-scale energy-containing range eddies contribute significantly to the velocity variance–approximately 40% and 55% for ABL and tidal flow datasets, respectively (black dashed-line in Figs. 5a,b and  6a,b). These eddies are crucial for wind and tidal turbine design and operation6567, as studies have shown that background flow structures with scales larger than the wind turbine rotor diameter significantly affect turbine power and wake velocity fluctuations6870.

Moreover, the consequences of inaccurate energy-containing range scaling by the von Kármán spectral model are further illustrated by the compensated spectrum. There is a clear overestimation in the high-frequency bands of the pre-multiplied von Kármán spectra in Figs. 5b and  6b, as the model compensates for the underestimated energy level within the energy-containing range to match the full band variance with the detrended time series.

The enhanced performance of the proposed model relative to the IEC von Kármán spectral model is demonstrated in Figs. 5c and 6c. The omission of long-range dependence (LRD) effects in the von Kármán model leads to an underestimation of energy in the energy-containing range, as quantified by the low-pass-filtered standard deviation Inline graphic. Specifically, the von Kármán model captures only 48% and 53% of the experimentally measured low-pass Inline graphic for the ABL and tidal spectra, respectively.

In contrast, the proposed spectral model incorporates LRD effects and offers tunable parameters D and H, enabling accurate representation of energy levels across all frequency ranges, including precise control of the transition frequency via the scaling parameter c. The resulting low-pass Inline graphic deviates from the experimental measurements by only 5% for the ABL and tidal spectra, indicating a substantial improvement in predictive accuracy over the IEC von Kármán model.

Conclusions

The findings from this study indicate that the proposed turbulence spectrum model provides a significant advancement in modeling field turbulence spectra across diverse environmental conditions. This model, derived from a newly developed class of covariance functions, offers several distinct advantages over traditional turbulence spectrum models, such as the IEC von Kármán isotropic model and the IEC Kaimal model.

The proposed model introduces parameters that explicitly account for long-range dependence and fractal dimension. This differentiation is critical as it allows for a more nuanced representation of turbulence dynamics, particularly in capturing the negative slope of the spectrum in the energy-containing range (that are linked to LRD of the flows1214), a feature often observed in atmospheric and oceanic turbulence but inadequately represented by classical models. The inclusion of the LRD effect and the ability to decouple between Hurst exponent H and fractal dimension D by the proposed model results in better accuracy in energy level representation across all scales compared to previous turbulence spectrum models. This precision is not merely a theoretical enhancement but has practical implications in improving the fidelity of simulations used in wind and tidal energy research, where accurate energy predictions are crucial for design and operational efficiency. Also, it has been recently shown that, under statistically isotropic conditions, the fractal and Hurst characteristics of the lateral velocity components are identical to those of the streamwise component71. This offers a natural extension of the proposed approach to modeling full velocity fields. Another significant benefit of the proposed model is its ease of use. The model is designed with a clear and simple procedural approach that minimizes the need for non-trivial parameter tuning. This user-friendly aspect makes it accessible to practitioners and researchers who may not specialize in the theoretical aspects of turbulence modeling.

It is important to note that the proposed model, due to the monofractal structure of Equation 1, is limited in its ability to capture the multifractal and heavy-tailed characteristics of turbulent velocity fluctuations. Future work will aim to extend the underlying Gaussian random field to a superstatistical framework72, enabling improved representation of intermittency and progression toward a multifractal formulation73. Since the turbulence spectrum fundamentally governs the distribution of turbulent kinetic energy across scales, it plays a critical role in stochastic, full-field turbulence simulators. In this context, implementing the proposed model in tools such as TurbSim, replacing conventional spectra like the IEC von Kármán and Kaimal models, can yield more accurate simulations of environmental flows that exhibit long-range dependence (LRD). The proposed model improves spectral fidelity across all frequency ranges and significantly reduces band-pass Inline graphic errors compared to classical models currently used in TurbSim74, thereby enhancing the accuracy of turbine load predictions and levelized cost of energy (LCOE) assessments7,9. These improvements underscore the model’s potential to substantially impact the planning and implementation of wind and tidal energy plants. Its ability to provide more accurate predictions of turbulence behavior will likely lead to enhancements in turbine design, site selection, and overall energy efficiency. The broader adoption of this model could, therefore, contribute significantly to optimizing renewable energy resources, aligning with global sustainability goals.

Methods

Empirical mode decomposition (EMD) based sifting method for detrending

Atmospheric boundary layer, tidal, and riverine flows are typically non-stationary. Data detrending is essential to ensure time series data are wide-sense stationary (WSS) before assessing turbulence statistics26 such as variance (Inline graphic), turbulence intensity level (Inline graphic), and integral time/length scale (Inline graphic), which serve as input parameters for the proposed spectrum model. We adopt a fast and adaptive EMD-based sifting method75 to detrend the time series data x(t), with an overview of the algorithm provided below:

  1. Identify the local extrema of the time series. The local minima and maxima are connected using cubic splines to construct the lower and upper envelopes.

  2. Average the lower and upper envelopes constructed in the previous step to form a new mean envelope, Inline graphic. This is the first intrinsic mode function (IMF) that contains the highest frequency fluctuations within x(t).

  3. Compute the difference Inline graphic between the original signal x(t) and the first IMF Inline graphic:
    graphic file with name d33e2365.gif 16
  4. Repeat the first two steps using the difference signal Inline graphic as a new signal, and generate the second IMF Inline graphic by computing a new mean from the upper and lower envelopes of Inline graphic.

  5. The second iteration yields a new difference signal Inline graphic:
    graphic file with name d33e2405.gif 17
  6. Store the n-th order IMFs, Inline graphic, and iterate through the above process until a stopping criterion indicates that no more fluctuating IMFs can be sifted. The last difference signal Inline graphic is termed the residue, which should show no significant variation upon further iteration.

  7. Once the residue Inline graphic is obtained, compute the detrended time series Inline graphic:
    graphic file with name d33e2448.gif 18

Hurst exponent using detrended fluctuation analysis

Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA) is performed to obtain the Hurst component that characterizes the degree of Long-Range Dependence (LRD) within a time series. MF-DFA is a robust tool for extracting scale-invariant structures within time series45,76,77 and is required here to incorporate the LRD within the proposed spectrum model, where classical spectrum models ignore the LRD effect (i.e., assuming that Inline graphic). This assumption used in classical spectrum models will later be proved incorrect and will be addressed by the proposed spectrum model. The fractal analysis of a time series Inline graphic is conducted to determine the Hurst exponent H and the multifractal spectrum width Inline graphic. MF-DFA involves the following steps:

  1. Generate a random walk-like time series Inline graphic from a noise-like time series Inline graphic by
    graphic file with name d33e2508.gif 19
  2. Divide Inline graphic into Inline graphic non-overlapping intervals of equal timescale s.

  3. Remove the local trend from each of the Inline graphic segments by subtracting the residues obtained via the EMD-based sifting method.

  4. Calculate the variance for each segment Inline graphic, where the variance is defined as:
    graphic file with name d33e2556.gif 20
    and Inline graphic represents the EMD residue in the v-th segment.
  5. Compute the q-th order fluctuation function by:
    graphic file with name d33e2580.gif 21
  6. Estimate the generalized q-th order Hurst exponent Inline graphic by the relation:
    graphic file with name d33e2600.gif 22
    The first order Hurst component is the monofractal Hurst component H (i.e., Inline graphic).

Multifractal spectrum width Inline graphic from multifractal spectrum

The multifractal spectrum is derived through a two-step transformation process of the q-th order Hurst exponent, Inline graphic. Initially, Inline graphic is utilized to compute the q-th order mass exponent Inline graphic using Equation 23. The derivative of Inline graphic yields the q-th order singularity exponent (Inline graphic), and the q-th order singularity dimension (Inline graphic) is then derived via a first-order Legendre transformation, as delineated in Equations 24 and 2576,78,79. Subsequently, the multifractal spectrum is constructed by relating Inline graphic with Inline graphic.

graphic file with name d33e2707.gif 23
graphic file with name d33e2713.gif 24
graphic file with name d33e2720.gif 25

Two key quantities can be extracted from the multifractal spectrum: Inline graphic, at which the maximum Inline graphic occurs, representing the most dominant Hurst exponent, and the width or range of the Inline graphic spectrum, defined as Inline graphic, indicating the degree of multifractality.

Supplementary Information

Acknowledgements

The present study was supported by Sandia National Laboratories. Sandia National Laboratories is a multi-mission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology and Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC., a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International, Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525. This paper describes objective technical results and analysis. Any subjective views or opinions that might be expressed in the paper do not necessarily represent the views of the U.S. Department of Energy or the United States Government.

Author contributions

S.C., Y.S.J. performed the research, analytical tools and analyzed the data. V.S.N., M.O-S., L.P.C. supervised and guided the research. All authors wrote and reviewed the manuscript.

Data availability

The datasets generated during and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Footnotes

Publisher’s note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Shyuan Cheng and Yaswanth Sai Jetti are contributed equally to this work.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1038/s41598-025-16950-1.

References

  • 1.Davenport, A. G. Gust loading factors. J. Struct. Div.93, 11–34 (1967). [Google Scholar]
  • 2.Harris, R. Some further thoughts on the spectrum of gustiness in strong winds. J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerodyn.33, 461–477 (1990). [Google Scholar]
  • 3.Hino, M. Spectrum of gusty wind, paper i-7. Proc. 3rd Int. Conf. on Wind Effects on Buildings and Structures, Tokyo (1971).
  • 4.Kaimal, J. C., Wyngaard, J., Izumi, Y. & Coté, O. Spectral characteristics of surface-layer turbulence. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.98, 563–589 (1972). [Google Scholar]
  • 5.Von Kármán, T. & Lin, C. C. On the statistical theory of isotropic turbulence. Adv. Appl. Mech.2, 1–19 (1951). [Google Scholar]
  • 6.Kelley, N. & Jonkman, B. Overview of the TurbSim stochastic inflow turbulence simulator. National Renewable Energy Lab.(NREL), Golden, CO. (2005).
  • 7.Foley, J. T. & Gutowski, T. G. Turbsim: Reliability-based wind turbine simulator. 2008 IEEE International Symposium on Electronics and the Environment 1–5 (2008).
  • 8.Malik, H. & Mishra, S. Artificial neural network and empirical mode decomposition based imbalance fault diagnosis of wind turbine using TurbSim, FAST and Simulink. IET Renew. Power Gener.11, 889–902 (2017). [Google Scholar]
  • 9.Bashirzadeh Tabrizi, A., Wu, B., Whale, J. & Shahabi Lotfabadi, M. Using turbsim stochastic simulator to improve accuracy of computational modelling of wind in the built environment. Wind Engineering43, 147–161 (2019).
  • 10.Byon, E. Wind turbine operations and maintenance: A tractable approximation of dynamic decision making. IIE Trans.45, 1188–1201 (2013). [Google Scholar]
  • 11.El-Thalji, I. & Liyanage, J. P. On the operation and maintenance practices of wind power asset: A status review and observations. J. Qual. Maint. Eng.18, 232–266 (2012). [Google Scholar]
  • 12.Kelty-Stephen, D. G., Lane, E., Bloomfield, L. & Mangalam, M. Multifractal test for nonlinearity of interactions across scales in time series. Behav. Res. Methods55, 2249–2282 (2023). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 13.Bies, A. J., Boydston, C. R., Taylor, R. P. & Sereno, M. E. Relationship between fractal dimension and spectral scaling decay rate in computer-generated fractals. Symmetry8, 66 (2016). [Google Scholar]
  • 14.Mandelbrot, B. B. Multifractals and 1/ƒ noise: Wild self-affinity in physics (1963–1976) (publisherSpringer, 2013).
  • 15.O’Connell, E., O’Donnell, G. & Koutsoyiannis, D. On the spatial scale dependence of long-term persistence in global annual precipitation data and the hurst phenomenon. Water Resources Research59, e2022WR033133 (2023).
  • 16.Hurst, H. E. Long-term storage capacity of reservoirs. Trans. Am. Soc. Civ. Eng.116, 770–799 (1951). [Google Scholar]
  • 17.Mandelbrot, B. B. & Wallis, J. R. Noah, joseph, and operational hydrology. Water Resour. Res.4, 909–918 (1968). [Google Scholar]
  • 18.Bunde, A., Havlin, S., Koscielny-Bunde, E. & Schellnhuber, H.-J. Long term persistence in the atmosphere: Global laws and tests of climate models. Physica A302, 255–267 (2001). [Google Scholar]
  • 19.Li, Q., Cheng, X., Ma, Y., Wu, L. & Zeng, Q. Physical model of gusty coherent structure in atmospheric boundary layer. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres128, e2023JD038790 (2023).
  • 20.Verburg, P. & Antenucci, J. P. Persistent unstable atmospheric boundary layer enhances sensible and latent heat loss in a tropical great lake: Lake tanganyika. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres115 (2010).
  • 21.Russ, J. C. & Russ, J. C. Hurst and Fourier analysis. Fractal Surfaces 83–114 (1994).
  • 22.Tijera, M., Maqueda, G., Yagüe, C. & Cano, J. L. Analysis of fractal dimension of the wind speed and its relationships with turbulent and stability parameters. Fractal analysis and chaos in geosciences29 (2012).
  • 23.Shu, Z. & Chan, P. W. Application of fractal analysis on wind speed time series: A review. Advances in Wind Engineering 100028 (2025).
  • 24.Tarraf, W., Queiros-Condé, D., Ribeiro, P. & Absi, R. Fractal geometric model for statistical intermittency phenomenon. Entropy25, 749 (2023). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 25.Anh, V., Angulo, J., Ruiz-Medina, M. & Tieng, Q. Long-range dependence and second-order intermittency of two dimensional turbulence. Environmental Modelling & Software13, 233–238 (1998). [Google Scholar]
  • 26.Cheng, S., Neary, V. S. & Chamorro, L. P. On detrending stream velocity time series for robust tidal flow turbulence characterization. Ocean Eng.300, 117427 (2024). [Google Scholar]
  • 27.Hosking, D. N. & Schekochihin, A. A. Emergence of long-range correlations and thermal spectra in forced turbulence. J. Fluid Mech.973, A13 (2023). [Google Scholar]
  • 28.Kolmogorov, A. N. The local structure of turbulence in incompressible viscous fluid for very large Reynolds numbers. In Dokl. Akad. Nauk SSSR30, 301 (1941). [Google Scholar]
  • 29.Kolmogorov, A. N. Dissipation of energy in the locally isotropic turbulence. Dokl. Akad. Nauk SSSR32, 19–21 (1941). [Google Scholar]
  • 30.Ali, S. Z. & Dey, S. Discovery of the zeroth law of helicity spectrum in the pre-inertial range of wall turbulence. Physics of Fluids34 (2022).
  • 31.Lim, S. & Teo, L. P. Gaussian fields and gaussian sheets with generalized cauchy covariance structure. Stochastic Processes and Their Applications119, 1325–1356 (2009). [Google Scholar]
  • 32.Faouzi, T., Porcu, E., Kondrashuk, I. & Malyarenko, A. A deep look into the dagum family of isotropic covariance functions. J. Appl. Probab.59, 1026–1041 (2022). [Google Scholar]
  • 33.Laudani, R. et al. On streamwise velocity spectra models with fractal and long-memory effects. Physics of Fluids33 (2021).
  • 34.Jetti, Y. S., Porcu, E. & Ostoja-Starzewski, M. New decouplers of fractal dimension and Hurst effects. Z. Angew. Math. Phys.74, 123 (2023). [Google Scholar]
  • 35.Madsen, P. H. & Risø, D. Introduction to the iec 61400–1 standard (Technical University of Denmark, Risø National Laboratory, 2008). [Google Scholar]
  • 36.Kelly, M. & Wyngaard, J. C. Two-dimensional spectra in the atmospheric boundary layer. J. Atmos. Sci.63, 3066–3070 (2006). [Google Scholar]
  • 37.Batchelor, G. K. The role of big eddies in homogeneous turbulence. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A. Mathematical and Physical Sciences195, 513–532 (1949).
  • 38.Monin, A. S. & Yaglom, A. M. Statistical fluid mechanics, volume II: Mechanics of turbulence, vol. 2 (publisherCourier Corporation, 2013).
  • 39.Jetti, Y. S., Shyuan, C., Porcu, E., Chamorro, L. P. & Ostoja-Starzewski, M. A covariance function with fractal, Hurst, and scale-bridging effects for random surfaces and turbulence. Zeitschrift für angewandte Mathematik und Physik76 (2025).
  • 40.Ziaei, A. N., Keshavarzi, A. R. & Homayoun, E. Fractal scaling and simulation of velocity components and turbulent shear stress in open channel flow. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals24, 1031–1045 (2005). [Google Scholar]
  • 41.Liu, Z., Zhang, H., Fu, Z., Cai, X. & Song, Y. Analysis of fractal properties of atmospheric turbulence and the practical applications. Fractal and Fractional8, 483 (2024). [Google Scholar]
  • 42.Scotti, A., Meneveau, C. & Saddoughi, S. G. Fractal dimension of velocity signals in high-reynolds-number hydrodynamic turbulence. Phys. Rev. E51, 5594 (1995). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 43.Davies, T. M. & Bryant, D. On circulant embedding for Gaussian random fields in R. J. Stat. Softw.55, 1–21 (2013). [Google Scholar]
  • 44.Wendt, H., Abry, P. & Jaffard, S. Bootstrap for empirical multifractal analysis. IEEE Signal Process. Mag.24, 38–48 (2007). [Google Scholar]
  • 45.Kantelhardt, J. W. et al. Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of nonstationary time series. Physica A316, 87–114 (2002). [Google Scholar]
  • 46.Taylor, G. I. The spectrum of turbulence. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A-Mathematical and Physical Sciences164, 476–490 (1938).
  • 47.Higgins, C. W. et al. The effect of scale on the applicability of taylor’s frozen turbulence hypothesis in the atmospheric boundary layer. Bound.-Layer Meteorol.143, 379–391 (2012). [Google Scholar]
  • 48.Chamorro, L. et al. On the interaction between a turbulent open channel flow and an axial-flow turbine. J. Fluid Mech.716, 658–670 (2013). [Google Scholar]
  • 49.Cheng, S., Kaufman, S., Tipnis, V., Best, J. L. & Chamorro, L. P. Effects of low clay concentrations on nearly isotropic turbulence. Physical Review Fluids7, 073801 (2022). [Google Scholar]
  • 50.Constantine, A. & Hall, P. Characterizing surface smoothness via estimation of effective fractal dimension. J. Roy. Stat. Soc. Ser. B Methodol.56, 97–113 (1994). [Google Scholar]
  • 51.noteMaterials and methods are available as nn material.
  • 52.Chamorro, L. P. et al. Turbulence effects on a full-scale 2.5 MW horizontal-axis wind turbine under neutrally stratified conditions. Wind Energy18, 339–349 (2015). [Google Scholar]
  • 53.Goring, D. G. & Nikora, V. I. Despiking acoustic Doppler velocimeter data. J. Hydraul. Eng.128, 117–126 (2002). [Google Scholar]
  • 54.Thomson, J., Polagye, B., Durgesh, V. & Richmond, M. C. Measurements of turbulence at two tidal energy sites in Puget Sound. WA. IEEE Journal of Oceanic Engineering37, 363–374 (2012). [Google Scholar]
  • 55.Hong, L. et al. On the submerged low-Cauchy-number canopy dynamics under unidirectional flows. J. Fluids Struct.113, 103646 (2022). [Google Scholar]
  • 56.Papoulis, A. Random variables and stochastic processes (publisherMcGraw Hill, 1965).
  • 57.Park, K. I., Park, M. et al.Fundamentals of probability and stochastic processes with applications to communications (publisherSpringer, 2018).
  • 58.Milne, I. A., Sharma, R. N., Flay, R. G. & Bickerton, S. Characteristics of the turbulence in the flow at a tidal stream power site. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences371, 20120196 (2013). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 59.Thiébaut, M. et al. A comprehensive assessment of turbulence at a tidal-stream energy site influenced by wind-generated ocean waves. Energy191, 116550 (2020). [Google Scholar]
  • 60.Druault, P. & Krawczynski, J.-F. Numerical investigation of the spatial integration effect on the velocity spectrum: Consequences in the wind or tidal turbine power spectrum. Computers & Fluids250, 105729 (2023). [Google Scholar]
  • 61.Nandi, T. N. & Yeo, D. Estimation of integral length scales across the neutral atmospheric boundary layer depth: A large eddy simulation study. J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerodyn.218, 104715 (2021). [Google Scholar]
  • 62.Hough, S. On the use of spectral methods for the determination of fractal dimension. Geophys. Res. Lett.16, 673–676 (1989). [Google Scholar]
  • 63.Higuchi, T. Relationship between the fractal dimension and the power law index for a time series: A numerical investigation. Physica D46, 254–264 (1990). [Google Scholar]
  • 64.Mandelbrot, B. B. The fractal geometry of nature. New York (1983).
  • 65.Tobin, N. & Chamorro, L. P. Modulation of turbulence scales passing through the rotor of a wind turbine. J. Turbul.20, 21–31 (2019). [Google Scholar]
  • 66.Zhang, Y. et al. The influence of waves propagating with the current on the wake of a tidal stream turbine. Appl. Energy290, 116729 (2021). [Google Scholar]
  • 67.Ouro, P. & Stoesser, T. Impact of environmental turbulence on the performance and loadings of a tidal stream turbine. Flow Turbul. Combust.102, 613–639 (2019). [Google Scholar]
  • 68.Chamorro, L. P. et al. Turbulence effects on a full-scale 2.5 mw horizontal-axis wind turbine under neutrally stratified conditions. Wind Energy18, 339–349 (2015). [Google Scholar]
  • 69.Jin, Y., Liu, H., Aggarwal, R., Singh, A. & Chamorro, L. P. Effects of freestream turbulence in a model wind turbine wake. Energies9, 830 (2016). [Google Scholar]
  • 70.Zang, W. et al. On the impact of waves and turbulence on the power fluctuations and wake structure of a tidal-stream turbine. Physics of Fluids35 (2023).
  • 71.Jetti, Y. S., Malyarenko, A. & Ostoja-Starzewski, M. Fractal and Hurst effects in solenoidal and irrotational vector random fields. SIAM J. Appl. Math.85, 1006–1021 (2025). [Google Scholar]
  • 72.Friedrich, J., Moreno, D., Sinhuber, M., Wächter, M. & Peinke, J. Superstatistical wind fields from pointwise atmospheric turbulence measurements. PRX Energy1, 023006 (2022). [Google Scholar]
  • 73.Friedrich, J., Peinke, J., Pumir, A. & Grauer, R. Explicit construction of joint multipoint statistics in complex systems. J. Phys. Complex.2, 045006 (2021). [Google Scholar]
  • 74.Jonkman, B. J. Turbsim user’s guide. typeTech. Rep., institutionNational Renewable Energy Lab.(NREL), Golden, CO (United States) (2006).
  • 75.Thirumalaisamy, M. R. & Ansell, P. J. Fast and adaptive empirical mode decomposition for multidimensional, multivariate signals. IEEE Signal Process. Lett.25, 1550–1554 (2018). [Google Scholar]
  • 76.Ihlen, E. A. Introduction to multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis in Matlab. Front. Physiol.3, 141 (2012). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 77.Gu, G.-F. & Zhou, W.-X. Detrended fluctuation analysis for fractals and multifractals in higher dimensions. Phys. Rev. E74, 061104 (2006). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 78.Wu, Y. et al. Multifractality and cross-correlation analysis of streamflow and sediment fluctuation at the apex of the Pearl River Delta. Sci. Rep.8, 16553 (2018). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 79.Eke, A., Herman, P., Kocsis, L. & Kozak, L. Fractal characterization of complexity in temporal physiological signals. Physiol. Meas.23, R1 (2002). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]

Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Data Availability Statement

The datasets generated during and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.


Articles from Scientific Reports are provided here courtesy of Nature Publishing Group

RESOURCES