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Bulletin of the World Health Organization logoLink to Bulletin of the World Health Organization
. 2025 Jul 9;103(9):530–540. doi: 10.2471/BLT.24.292792

Economic evaluation of thermal ablation compared to cryotherapy and loop diathermy in a screen-and-treat approach to cervical cancer, Zambia

Évaluation économique de l’ablation thermique par rapport à la cryothérapie et au traitement par anse diathermique dans le cadre d’une approche de dépistage et de traitement du cancer du col de l’utérus en Zambie

Evaluación económica de la ablación térmica en comparación con la crioterapia y la diatermia con asa en una estrategia de cribado y tratamiento del cáncer de cuello uterino en Zambia

التقييم الاقتصادي للاستئصال الحراري مقارنةً بالعلاج بالتبريد والمعالجة الحرارية الحلقية في أسلوب الفحص والعلاج لسرطان عنق الرحم في زامبيا

针对在赞比亚宫颈癌筛查即治疗策略中采用的热消融术(对比冷冻疗法和环形电切术)所开展的经济评估

Экономическая оценка использования термоабляции по сравнению с криотерапией и петлевой диатермией в комбинированном подходе «скрининг и лечение» в случае рака шейки матки, Замбия

Ahmad Fuady a, Charlotte Kasempa b, Eric Lucas c, Namakau Nyambe d, Darcy W Rao e, Vanessa Tenet c, Nathalie Broutet f, Richard Muwonge c, Mulindi Mwanahamuntu g, Iacopo Baussano c, Groesbeck P Parham h, Partha Basu c,
PMCID: PMC12399993  PMID: 40900929

Abstract

Objective

To estimate the financial and economic costs and the cost–effectiveness of thermal ablation compared to cryotherapy and loop diathermy within a screen-and-treat approach to cervical cancer screening in Zambia.

Methods

We analysed costs within a randomized controlled trial in which women eligible for ablative treatment after cervical cancer screening were assigned to one of three treatment arms: thermal ablation, cryotherapy or loop diathermy. We used a microcosting approach to calculate programme, personnel, equipment and consumable costs for two groups: women treated without follow-up (screened-and-treated) and women who completed follow-up (follow-up-completed). We also estimated trial costs and projected costs if the screen-and-treat approach were to be integrated into routine cervical cancer services. To assess how cost-effective the treatments were, we used a decision tree model.

Findings

Out of the 3124 women who were screened-and-treated, 2386 (76.4%) completed follow-up. In the trial scenario, costs for thermal ablation were lower than cryotherapy and loop diathermy, both per screened-and-treated woman (39.6 United States dollars (US$) versus US$ 42.3 and US$ 50.6, respectively) and per follow-up-completed woman (US$ 55.1 versus US$ 57.9 and US$ 66.2, respectively). In the routine scenario, costs for thermal ablation were also lower than for other treatments (US$ 12.7 versus US$ 15.6 and US$ 34.9, respectively, for screen-and-treat) due to significantly lower personnel costs. Thermal ablation was cost-effective compared to cryotherapy and loop diathermy.

Conclusion

Our study suggests that thermal ablation is a cost-effective option for the screen-and-treat approach to cervical cancer screening compared with cryotherapy and loop diathermy.

Introduction

Screen-and-treat approaches for cervical cancer prevention are widely used in low- and middle-income countries,1 in line with World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines.2 Offering treatment based on a positive screening test (without histopathological verification) reduces the need for repeated clinic visits, thus saving time and transportation costs and reducing loss-to-follow-up for treatment.36 Under the screen-and-treat approach, women are screened either by visual inspection (of the cervix) with acetic acid or by testing for human papillomavirus (HPV). Treatment is offered immediately following a positive test result to reduce the future risk of developing high-grade precancer or cancer.

Zambia has a cervical cancer incidence of 65.5 cases per 100 000 women and a mortality rate of 43.4 cases per 100 000 women.7 Screening is typically conducted using visual inspection with acetic acid. Women with a positive result are offered treatment with an ablative technique if they have lesions (that are likely to be precancerous) in the ectocervix and there is no suspicion of cancer.

WHO previously recommended cryotherapy as the preferred ablative method for the screen-and-treat approach,8 because it does not require electricity, is simple to use and has proven effectiveness. However, there have been recorded challenges related to ensuring an uninterrupted supply of carbon dioxide or nitrous oxide refrigerant gas, a lengthy 11-minute treatment duration and equipment reliability issues, leading to frustration among treatment providers.9 Another ablative technique recommended by WHO, thermal ablation, can address the challenges of cryotherapy while offering comparable efficacy.10,11 Such ablation can be performed by non-specialist medical doctors and nurses; it has short treatment duration (30 seconds) and does not require a gas supply. Cases that are not eligible for ablation are usually treated with large loop excision of the transformation zone (i.e. the area of cervix undergoing metaplastic transformation), hereafter referred to as loop diathermy.12 This approach is also the standard of care for treating all high-grade precancer lesions in high-resourced settings.13 Thermal ablation, cryotherapy and loop diathermy are compared in more detail in Table 1.

Table 1. Comparison of treatment methods used in the economic evaluation of screen-and-treat approach for cervical cancer screening, Zambia, 2023.

Method, benefits Limitations Proportion cured after treatment of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grades 2 and 3 (%)
Thermal ablation 2 , 11 , 14 16
- Portable, battery-operated options
- Quick (30 seconds)
- Outpatient procedure
- Needs minimal training
- Minimal pain
- No gas supply needed
- Not suitable for large lesions (> 75% of ectocervix) or lesions extending to the endocervix 82–94
Cryotherapy 2 , 17 , 18
- Needs minimal equipment
- No electricity required
- Portable
- Low cost
- Needs minimal training
- Outpatient procedure
- No anaesthesia needed
- Minimal pain
- Not suitable for large lesions (> 75% of ectocervix) or lesions extending to the endocervix
- Needs a supply of gases
- Takes 11 minutes
- Post-procedure watery discharge
77–92
Loop diathermy 2 , 16 , 19
- Provides tissue for detailed histological analysis
- Higher efficacy, especially for larger/higher-grade lesions
- Can also be used for endocervical or glandular lesions
- Requires electricity
- Needs additional training
- Higher cost
- Needs local anaesthesia
- Higher risk of bleeding
- Risk of cervical stenosis
- Higher risk of spontaneous abortion and premature rupture of membrane in subsequent pregnancies
91–98

In low-resource settings it is important to identify the simplest, most affordable and most sustainable treatment option to be used for the screen-and-treat approach. Previous studies have evaluated the costs and cost–effectiveness of loop diathermy and cryotherapy. 1,18,2023 Here we compare these treatments with thermal ablation.

Methods

The International Agency for Research in Cancer and University Teaching Hospital, Lusaka, Zambia implemented a three-arm randomized controlled trial (RCT) between 2017 and 2023, which compared thermal ablation with cryotherapy and loop diathermy, nested within a screen-and-treat programme in Lusaka, Zambia.16 The RCT (ClinicalTrials.gov registration: NCT02956239) was approved by the ethics committees of the International Agency for Research on Cancer and University Teaching Hospital, Zambia.

Screen-and-treat approach

Under the screen-and-treat programme in Lusaka, trained nurses in two public-funded screening clinics (Chipata and University Teaching Hospital) performed visual inspections with acetic acid to screen women aged 25–49 years, as per Zambia’s national screening protocol. Women with a positive result who were eligible for ablative treatment were randomly enrolled into one of three treatment groups: thermal ablation, cryotherapy or loop diathermy.16 We aimed to compare the financial and economic costs of the three treatment options and assess their cost–effectiveness; while financial costs refer to the monetary expenditures for the treatment services, economic costs include the costs of manpower and other resources covered by the government budget and sources other than the trial (e.g. donation).

Thermal ablation was performed using a portable machine driven by rechargeable batteries (Liger Medical, Lehi, United States of America); a double freeze technique with nitrous oxide refrigerant was used for cryotherapy; and loop diathermy was performed under local anaesthesia using an electrosurgical generator (Hayden Medical, Santa Clarita, USA). More details of the trial and its outcomes are available in our previous publications.15,16

We tested women recruited to the study for HPV deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) by collecting a cervical sample using a Cervex-Brush® (Rovers Medical Devices, Oss, the Netherlands) in PreservCyt® medium (Hologic, Marlborough, USA) just before treatment. The Xpert® HPV test (Cepheid, Sunnyvale, USA) or the BD Viper™ LT system (Becton, Dickinson and Co., Franklin Lakes, USA) was used to detect high-risk types of HPV.

All participants coming for the follow-up visit one year post-treatment were evaluated by both visual inspection with acetic acid and the HPV test. Women with persistent lesions were mostly treated by loop diathermy. We defined persistent lesions as type-specific persistence of HPV at follow-up in those positive on HPV testing before treatment, or persistent positivity on visual inspection with acetic acid among those who were negative on HPV testing before treatment. Patients with cancer suspected on visual inspection and confirmed by subsequent histopathology were managed according to stage.

Costing method

Although the RCT was nested in Zambia’s national cervical screening programme, it required additional funding – mainly to support additional staff. In this cost–effectiveness analysis we followed the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research’s Good Research Practices reporting guidance.24 We used a health system perspective in cost estimation that considers direct, market-valued costs required to deliver treatment and out-of-pocket payments made by patients. We did not consider non-medical costs (e.g. travel costs) and productivity costs.

First, we estimated the cost based on actual spending for the RCT (henceforth referred to as the trial scenario). To inform policy decisions for precancerous cervical lesion treatment in routine screening services beyond the RCT, we developed a routine scenario which estimated the costs by projecting expenses if screening were to be applied and integrated into routine services and replicated in facilities beyond the Chipata and University Teaching Hospital clinics. We developed a microcosting framework consisting of several cost variables, programme, personnel, equipment, consumable costs and laboratory testing costs, for both trial and routine scenarios (Table 2).

Table 2. Cost variables for trial and routine scenariosa in the micro-costing framework for economic evaluation of thermal ablation, cryotherapy and loop diathermy for cervical cancer screening, Zambia, 2023 .

Cost variables Definition
Trial scenario Routine scenario
Programme
Supervision Costs of regular supervision, mainly by calls (airtime) Costs of regular supervision, mainly by call (airtime), estimated at two times higher than expenses in the trial
Monitoring Costs of regular monitoring, calculated from fuel used in visiting trial sites Costs of regular monitoring, calculated from fuel used in visiting facilities sites, estimated at two times higher than expenses in the trial
Evaluation Costs of evaluation, once per year Costs of evaluation, once per year, estimated at two times higher than expenses in the trial
Health information system Costs of:
- regular internet connection
- system development (including computers, software, and reporting system)
Cost of regular internet, estimated at two times higher than expenses in the trial
No costs for system development
Laboratory information system Costs of reporting system development, including computers No costs for system development
Other capital investment Head office rent and cost of utilities for the trial No office rent costs
Personnel Monthly salary of personnel involved in and dedicated to the trial. Data were extracted from the trial expenses Assuming that the service would be integrated into clinic services, personnel would not be independently dedicated to the screen-and-treat programme. Costs were calculated based on motion–time spent for screening-related activities (in minutes), multiplied by salary per minute (based on Zambian health workers’ average salaries)
Equipment Costs of purchasing cryotherapy, thermal ablation and loop diathermy equipment which will have repeated use (e.g. the machine, speculum and examination bed).
Unit costs were calculated after adjustment for expected useful life and an annualization factor (discount rate of 3%)
Costs of purchasing cryotherapy, thermal ablation and loop diathermy equipment that can be used repeatedly or is reusable (e.g. the machine, speculum and examination bed).
Unit costs were calculated after adjustment for expected useful life and an annualization factor (discount rate of 3%), divided by the expected number of uses per year
Consumables Costs for purchase of goods and single-use items (e.g. examination gloves) Costs for purchase of goods and single-use items (e.g. examination gloves)
Laboratory testing
HPV testing Expenses for HPV-DNA testing during screening Expenses for HPV-DNA testing during screening
Histopathology Expenses for processing and examination of tissue samples for histopathology (costs per sample) Expenses for processing and examination of tissue samples for histopathology (costs per sample)

DNA: deoxyribonucleic acid; HPV: human papillomavirus.

a The trial scenario was based on actual costs during the randomized controlled trial, while the routine scenario estimated costs by projecting the expenses if screening were to be expanded or scaled up to other facilities.

Programme costs

We included supervision, monitoring, evaluation, health and laboratory information system development plus other capital investment under programme costs.25 We assumed that replicating and scaling up the approach for the routine scenario would involve facilities beyond Chipata and University Teaching Hospital, so costs for supervision, monitoring and evaluation would increase. We therefore arbitrarily doubled the costs for supervision, monitoring and evaluation for this routine scenario. Since the health and laboratory information systems were developed specially for the trial scenario, we did not include these costs for the routine scenario.

Personnel costs

There were considerable differences between the two scenarios when calculating salaries. For the trial scenario, we included the monthly salary of personnel dedicated to the trial (based on expenses in the trial’s financial report) in the costing analysis. For the routine scenario we assumed that health workers would receive their regular salary from the government and would not receive a salary from the trial, and that they would not receive additional payment for performing screening and/or treatment. For this routine scenario we calculated personnel costs by assessing motion–time spent on providing services during the trial (in minutes). During our motion–time observations, we recorded the time that personnel spent on counselling, obtaining consent, examining participants, writing records, consulting with supervisors and explaining results to patients. To assess motion–time we selected women coming to the two study clinics at random and followed their motion from registration (i.e. general counselling, enrolment, collection of sociodemographic information and data entry) through to the screening examination (which includes room preparation after each examination) and treatment. Across both sites, we observed that community educators conducted 80% of the registration process and research assistants conducted the remaining registration. Nurses conducted medical history taking, screening examination, cryotherapy or thermal ablation and data entry. At both sites most loop diathermies were performed by nurses; a medical doctor only treated complicated cases. Finally, we interviewed medical staff and community educators to determine the time spent on other activities which could not be captured by motion–time observation, such as room preparation between visits, health education talks, disinfecting instruments and equipment.

To estimate personnel costs for the routine scenario, we collected the monthly average salary of different health workers, for example Zambian Kwacha (ZK) 4631 (171 United States dollars (US$)) per month for a nurse, and ZK 4320 (US$ 160) per month for a research assistant. To adjust for the change in salary before data collection and reporting, we adjusted the salary using the 2023 inflation rate. With an estimated 240 working days per year after adjustment, with 20 days of leave and holiday and eight hours per day, we estimated the salary per minute. We then multiplied the salary per minute by the time (in minutes) spent providing screening services.

Equipment costs

We obtained information on the useful life of equipment from the manufacturer’s brochure, leaflet or the internet. We adjusted the equipment costs by spreading them over their useful life (n) using a 3% annual discount rate (r). We calculated the current actual cost using a process called annualization, where the annualization factor = r/(1−[1+r]n). This process helps reflect the yearly cost of equipment over its expected lifespan, rather than counting the full cost in a single year.

Costs of consumables and testing

We collected details on costs for purchase of goods and single-use items (for example, examination gloves) from the project. We obtained costs of HPV testing and histopathology from the University Teaching Hospital laboratory.

Data collection and analysis

We collected and managed data using the Research Electronic Data Capture web application (REDCap; Vanderbilt University, Nashville, USA).26 In addition to scenarios, we calculated the costs in two different terms: financial and economic. Financial costs included all expenses incurred for the trial (in the trial scenario) and all expenses at government and other facilities (in the routine scenario). However, some screen-and-treat costs were covered by other sources. For example, a Viper system was donated, an Xpert machine was purchased for another project, and information technology personnel were funded by the university. These additional resources were used to estimate the full economic costs.

As post-treatment follow-up is an integral part of screen-and-treat care continuum and 24% of participants in the trial did not undergo follow-up, we applied two approaches in calculating unit costs for both scenarios: per woman completing treatment (termed per screened-and-treated woman) and per woman completing treatment plus follow-up (termed per follow-up-completed woman).

Cost–effectiveness analysis

We assessed the cost–effectiveness of thermal ablation relative to cryotherapy and loop diathermy using a decision tree model, run with R programming language (University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand), by comparing the incremental costs per successfully treated case. We based all parameters used in the analysis on data collected directly from this trial (online repository).27 The time horizon used in the analysis, that is, the duration over which costs and health effects are measured and compared, was one year; this corresponds to the outcome measurement one year after the treatment.

Results

A total of 76 016 women were screened using visual inspection with acetic acid at the Chipata and University Teaching Hospital clinics between August 2017 and June 2023. Of those screened, 3124 women (4.1%) with positive results following visual inspection were recruited to this study. They were assigned to one of three treatment arms (thermal ablation, cryotherapy, and loop diathermy). Out of the 3124 women who were screened-and-treated, a total of 2386 (76.4%) across the three treatment arms completed follow-up (Fig. 1).

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

Flowchart of screen-and-treat participants in the economic evaluation of thermal ablation, cryotherapy and loop diathermy for cervical cancer screening, Zambia, 2023

Motion–time

We noted motion–time differences between the two clinics. The average time for the entire screening visit was 168 minutes in University Teaching Hospital versus 124 minutes in Chipata. Fig. 2 and Fig. 3 show plots of observed times from the time and motion visits. Fig. 2 shows a breakdown of personnel time spent on various activities before pre-treatment counselling and treatment, while Fig. 3 shows time spent on pre-treatment counselling and treatment using the three techniques in the two facilities. The average time spent on loop diathermy (86 and 74 minutes in Chipata and University Teaching Hospital, respectively) was higher than time spent on cryotherapy (37 and 31 minutes, respectively) or thermal ablation (44 and 30 minutes, respectively; Fig. 3). Details of the time spent on screen-and-treat activities by different categories of staff are provided in the online repository.27

Fig. 2.

Time spent before pre-treatment counselling and treatment, by health-care facility, in the economic evaluation of thermal ablation, cryotherapy or loop diathermy for cervical cancer screening, Zambia, 2023

Note: Screening procedures included counselling, enrolment, history taking, data entry, a screening exam and room preparation for selected participants before they were assigned to the three treatment arms. Box plots show the median and interquartile range of the observed times.

Fig. 2

Fig. 3.

Time spent for pre-treatment counselling and treatment, by treatment type, in the economic evaluation of thermal ablation, cryotherapy and loop diathermy for cervical cancer screening, Zambia, 2023

Note: Box plots show the median and interquartile range of the observed times.

Fig. 3

Screen-and-treat costs

The financial costs of thermal ablation were the lowest compared to cryotherapy and loop diathermy in the trial scenario, for both per screened-and-treated woman (approximately US$ 39.6 versus US$ 42.3 versus US$ 50.6) and per follow-up-completed woman (approximately US$ 55.1 versus US$ 57.9 versus US$ 66.2; Table 3; online repository).27 The economic costs of thermal ablation were also consistently lower than cryotherapy and loop diathermy in the trial scenario. The financial costs of all treatments were almost half the economic costs in the trial, due to payment of personnel salaries by other projects and donation of a Viper system for HPV detection leading to cost-saving. In the trial scenario, personnel costs accounted for most expenses (online repository).27

Table 3. Treatment costs for each scenarioa and approach in the economic evaluation of thermal ablation, cryotherapy and loop diathermy for cervical cancer screening, Zambia, 2023.

Costs US$ (SD)
Thermal ablation
Cryotherapy
Loop diathermy
Financial mean Economic mean Financial mean Economic mean Financial mean Economic mean
Trial scenario
Costs per screened-and-treated womanb 39.6 (3.0) 75.2 (5.3) 42.3 (3.4) 78.1 (5.4) 50.6 (3.7) 94.9 (6.7)
Costs per follow-up-completed womanc 55.1 (3.9) 105.4 (8.5) 57.9 (4.3) 108.3 (8.5) 66.2 (5.2) 133.7 (10.9)
Routine scenario
Costs per screened-and-treated womanb 12.7 (1.0) 13.6 (1.0) 15.6 (1.3) 16.6 (1.3) 34.9 (2.9) 35.9 (3.0)
Costs per follow-up-completed womanc 13.5 (1.4) 14.8 (1.2) 16.4 (1.2) 17.8 (1.3) 35.7 (3.1) 37.1 (3.1)

SD: standard deviation.

a The trial scenario was based on actual costs during the randomized controlled trial, while the routine scenario estimated costs by projecting the expenses if screening were to be expanded or scaled up to other facilities.

b All women screened-and-treated.

c Only women that completed the follow-up visit.

Our study suggests that personnel costs would be much lower for the routine scenario (integrated into clinical services), than for the trial scenario. In the routine scenario, the cost of thermal ablation was estimated to be around US$ 13 per screened-and-treated woman and US$ 14 per follow-up-completed woman (Table 3). The financial and economic costs of the HPV test were approximately US$ 13 and US$ 26, respectively.

Cost–effectiveness of thermal ablation

Following a simulation across the three groups until the end of follow-up, for the trial scenario we found that thermal ablation was cost-effective compared to cryotherapy and loop diathermy. Thermal ablation would be also cost-effective for routine use, offering a saving of US$ 29.76 per successfully treated woman over cryotherapy, and a saving of US$ 1594.99 per successfully treated woman over loop diathermy (Table 4). Fig. 4 and Fig. 5 show the incremental cost–effectiveness ratios for trial (Fig. 4) and routine (Fig. 5) scenarios, which were produced from a simulation comparing the cost and effectiveness (success) of thermal ablation compared with cryotherapy and loop diathermy. Thermal ablation had lower costs than cryotherapy and loop diathermy (Fig. 4 and Fig. 5) and it offered similar effectiveness to the other two treatments for cervical lesions (Table 4).

Table 4. Cost–effectiveness per 100 follow-up-completed women, in US$, in the economic evaluation of thermal ablation, cryotherapy and loop diathermy for cervical cancer screening, Zambia, 2023 .

Strategy Mean cost, US$ (SD) Effectiveness, % of successfully treated (SD) Incremental cost–effectiveness ratio (SD)
Trial scenario
Thermal ablation 54.91 (3.81) 74.0 (3.26) Reference
Cryotherapy 57.84 (4.29) 71.1 (3.27) −125.03 (1 850.82)
Loop diathermy 66.1 (5.12) 71.2 (3.16) −1 557.73 (56 232.36)
Routine scenario
Thermal ablation 13.44 (1.19) 74.0 (3.26) Reference
Cryotherapy 16.38 (1.44) 71.1 (3.27) −29.76 (1 052.92)
Loop diathermy 35.63 (3.01) 71.2 (3.16) −1 594.99 (64 321.36)

SD: standard deviation.

Fig. 4.

Fig. 4

Comparison of the cost–effectiveness of treatment under a trial scenario, in the economic evaluation of thermal ablation, cryotherapy and loop diathermy for cervical cancer screening, Zambia, 2023

Fig. 5.

Fig. 5

Comparison of the cost–effectiveness of treatment under a routine scenario, in the economic evaluation of thermal ablation, cryotherapy and loop diathermy for cervical cancer screening, Zambia, 2023

Discussion

Our study suggests that thermal ablation is a cost-effective treatment for ectocervical lesions in a screen-and-treat setting in Zambia, compared to both cryotherapy and loop diathermy. With the demonstrated high acceptability of thermal ablation among women,28 our study can inform the potential scale-up of the technology in low-resource settings.

Our study provides cost data for both trial and routine scenarios. Trial scenario costs were much higher than routine scenario costs due to higher personnel and research expenses. However, once established, thermal ablation would be significantly cheaper in routine service, costing nearly one quarter of the expenses required per follow-up-completed woman for the trial scenario. The reduced expense associated with thermal ablation makes it a more financially feasible option compared to cryotherapy or loop diathermy. This advantage complements previously known clinical and technical benefits.29 Compared to cryotherapy, thermal ablation results in fewer side-effects and offers a quicker,29 easier-to-perform method with simpler sterilization procedures,30 and no need for heavy gas cylinders, all of which enhance its acceptability.2,14,18,30

Although our motion–time observations suggest that pre-treatment counselling is costlier for thermal ablation than for cryotherapy, we would expect this cost to decrease as thermal ablation becomes a routine procedure and health workers become familiar with the technique. For routine service, personnel costs for thermal ablation would be much lower than for loop diathermy as the latter demands more specialized expertise and also takes longer. Thermal ablation’s simpler technique also offers advantages for knowledge transfer through trainings to large numbers of health workers – this is an important factor given the potentially high turnover rate of health workers in low- and middle-income countries.31

Our study has several limitations. As biopsies were only performed for loop diathermy, we could not assess overtreatment (i.e. treatment in the absence of any cervical precancerous lesions) and consequential harms following thermal ablation. We also could not assess the long-term consequences (and associated costs) of treatment with loop diathermy, such as higher risk of spontaneous abortion or premature rupture of membranes, as the evaluation period was only one year. However, as the overtreatment rate would be similar across treatment methods, and loop diathermy has a higher long-term risk of adverse reproductive outcomes compared to other treatments,32 thermal ablation would be both safer and more cost-effective than loop diathermy.

Although we show that HPV testing may cost up to US$ 26 per woman, leading to high upfront costs to programmes, there will be significant resource saving in the long run in switching from visual inspection with acetic acid to HPV testing, due to the prevention of a higher number of cervical cancers and reduction in screening frequency.33 Use of thermal ablation to treat HPV-positive women in a screen-and-treat setting will further add to resource saving.34

Despite the trial being nested in the Zambian cervical screening programme and making use of many routine care resources, any translation into routine service needs further careful assessment. While thermal ablation is relatively easy to perform, expertise is still needed to conduct the procedure effectively at scale. As we did not estimate costs associated with scaling up (which would involve training health workers and investing in resources) a budget impact analysis of the scaling up is also necessary. Another limitation of our study is that our cost–effectiveness analysis was limited to the trial period. We did not model long-term costs and effectiveness using outcome measures such as quality-adjusted life years, and the within-trial cost–effectiveness analysis may not have captured underlying or unobserved costs and effects.28 Also, we did not consider women’s perspectives separately, as societal costs are likely to be similar across the three treatment arms and minimal for healthy women undergoing screening.

Overall, our study provides evidence supporting thermal ablation as a cost-effective option for the screen-and-treat approach to cancer screening. This method could also offer a cost-effective solution for low- and middle-income countries aiming to achieve the 90% target of treatment coverage by 2030 to eliminate cervical cancer.35

Acknowledgments

We thank Carol Levin (Clinical Associate Professor, Global Health at University of Washington, USA) and Jesse Heitner (Chief of the Division of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA), and Krittika Pitaksaringkarn (International Agency for Research on Cancer/WHO, France).

Funding:

This study was funded by NCI/NIH (grant no. UH2CA202721) and part funded by Department of Sexual and Reproductive Health and Research, WHO.

Competing interests:

None declared.

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